XML 131 R11.htm IDEA: XBRL DOCUMENT v3.22.1
Financial risks
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2021
Text block [abstract]  
Financial risks
4 Financial risks
General
As an insurance group, Aegon is exposed to a variety of risks. Aegon’s largest exposures are to changes in financial markets (e.g. foreign currency, interest rate, credit and equity market risks) that affect the value of the investments, liabilities from products that Aegon sells, deferred expenses and value of business acquired. Other risks include insurance related risks, such as changes in mortality, morbidity, bond credit spread and liquidity premium, which are discussed in note 34 Insurance contracts. Aegon manages risk at local level where business is transacted, based on principles and policies established at the Group level. Aegon’s integrated approach to risk management involves similar measurement of risk and scope of risk coverage to allow for aggregation of the Group’s risk position.
To manage the risk from changes in financial markets, Aegon’s products are priced using a market-consistent framework and comprehensive asset liability management (ALM) programs are implemented to ensure that the assets backing policyholder benefits are invested prudently over the long term. A range of ALM techniques are used across the Group. These range in terms of sophistication and complexity from cash-flow matching (for traditional fixed annuities) to duration matching (for the Universal Life range of products) to derivative-based semi-static and dynamic hedges (to match variable annuities).
To manage its risk exposure, Aegon has risk policies in place. Many of these policies are group-wide while others are specific to the unique situation of local businesses. For ALM specifically, the Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) framework includes several risk policies that govern ALM strategies, such as the Investment and Counterparty Risk Policy (ICRP). The ICRP governs the management of investment risks associated with credit, equity, property, alternative asset classes, interest rate and currency risk in addition to option markets, implied volatility risk, interest rate options and swaptions. As well as product-level ALM programs, subsidiary businesses are required by the ICRP to maintain overarching entity-level ALM strategies that set the direction and limits for the aggregated product-level programs. Significant or complex ALM strategies are approved at group level, and all programs are subject to Group Risk oversight.
Together with the ICRP, which guides ALM strategy, several other ERM policies govern concentration risk, liquidity risk, use of derivatives and securities lending and repos. As Aegon uses derivatives extensively, collateral calls can be significant depending on market circumstances. Liquidity is managed at legal entity level in the first instance with central coordination by Aegon NV. The large US and Dutch units may use external market solutions to match projected liquidity requirements with funding.
Next to guidance, the Group level policies also provide limits the to Group’s exposure to major risks such as equity, interest rates, credit, and currency. The limits in these policies in aggregate remain within the Group’s overall tolerance for risk and the Group’s financial resources. Operating within this policy framework, Aegon employs risk management programs including ALM processes and models and hedging programs (which are largely conducted via the use of financial derivative instruments). These risk management programs are in place in each country unit and are not only used to manage risk in each unit, but are also part of the Group’s overall risk strategy.
Aegon operates a Derivative Use Policy to govern its usage of derivatives. This policy establishes the control, authorization, execution and monitoring requirements of the usage of such instruments. In addition, the policy stipulates necessary mitigation of credit risk created through derivatives management tools. For derivatives, counterparty credit risk is normally mitigated by requirements to post collateral via credit support annex agreements or through a central clearing house.
As part of its risk management programs, Aegon takes inventory of its current risk position across risk categories. Aegon also measures the sensitivity of net result and shareholders’ equity under both deterministic and stochastic scenarios. Management uses the insight gained through these ‘what if?’ scenarios to manage the Group’s risk exposure and capital position. The models, scenarios and assumptions used are reviewed regularly and updated as necessary.
Results of Aegon’s sensitivity analyses are presented throughout this section to show the estimated sensitivity of net result and shareholders’ equity to various scenarios. For each type of market risk, the analysis shows how net result and shareholders’ equity would have been affected by changes in the relevant risk variable that were reasonably possible at the reporting date. For each sensitivity test the impact of a reasonably possible change in a single factor is shown. Management action is taken into account to the extent that it is part of Aegon’s regular policies and procedures, such as established hedging programs. However, incidental management actions that would require a change in policies and procedures are not considered.
Each sensitivity analysis reflects the extent to which the shock tested would affect management’s critical accounting estimates and judgment in applying Aegon’s accounting policies. Market-consistent assumptions underlying the measurement of
non-listed
assets and liabilities are adjusted to reflect the shock tested. The shock may also affect the measurement of assets and liabilities based on assumptions that are not observable in the market. For example, a shock in interest rates may lead to changes in the amortization schedule of DPAC or to increased impairment losses on equity investments. Although management’s short-term assumptions may change if there is a reasonably possible change in a risk factor, long-term assumptions will generally not be revised unless there is evidence that the movement is permanent. This fact is reflected in the sensitivity analyses.
The accounting mismatch inherent in IFRS is also apparent in the reported sensitivities. A change in interest rates has an immediate impact on the carrying amount of assets measured at fair value. However, the shock will not have a similar effect on the carrying amount of the related insurance liabilities that are measured based on
locked-in
assumptions or on management’s long-term expectations. Consequently, the different measurement bases for assets and liabilities lead to increased volatility in IFRS net result and shareholders’ equity. Aegon has classified a significant part of its investment portfolio as
‘available-for-sale’,
which is one of the main reasons why the economic shocks tested have a different impact on net result than on shareholders’ equity. Unrealized gains and losses
 
on these assets are not recognized in the income statement but are booked through other comprehensive income to the revaluation reserves in shareholders’ equity, unless impaired. As a result, economic sensitivities predominantly impact shareholders’ equity but leave net result unaffected. The effect of movements of the revaluation reserve on capitalization ratios and capital adequacy are minimal. Aegon’s target ratio for the composition of its capital base is based on shareholders’ equity excluding the revaluation reserve.
The sensitivities do not reflect what the net result for the period would have been if risk variables had been different because the analysis is based on the exposures in existence at the reporting date rather than on those that actually occurred during the year. Nor are the results of the sensitivities intended to be an accurate prediction of Aegon’s future shareholders’ equity or earnings. The analysis does not take into account the impact of future new business, which is an important component of Aegon’s future earnings. It also does not consider all methods available to management to respond to changes in the financial environment, such as changing investment portfolio allocations or adjusting premiums and crediting rates. Furthermore, the results of the analyses cannot be extrapolated for wider variations since effects do not tend to be linear.
Concentration risk for financial risks are measured and managed at the following levels:
¨
  Concentration per risk type: Risk exposures are measured per risk type as part of Aegon’s internal economic framework. A risk tolerance framework is in place which sets risk limits per risk type to target desired risk balance and promote diversification across risk types;
¨
  Concentration per counterparty: Risk exposure is measured and risk limits are in place per counterparty as part of the Counterparty Name Limit Policy; and
¨
  Concentration per sector, geography and asset class: Aegon’s investment strategy is translated in investment mandates for its internal and external asset managers. Through these investment mandates limits on sector, geography and asset class are set. Compliance monitoring of the investment mandates is done by the insurance operating companies.
Moreover, concentration of financial risks are measured in Aegon business planning cycle. As part of business planning, the resilience of Aegon’s business strategy is tested in several extreme event scenarios. In the Adverse Financial scenario, financial markets are stressed without assuming diversification across different market factors. Within the projection certain management actions may be implemented when management deems this necessary.
Aegon’s significant financial risks and related financial information are explained in the order as follows:
¨
 
Credit risk
¨
 
Equity market risk and other investment risks
¨
 
Interest rate risk
¨
 
Currency exchange risk
¨
 
Liquidity risk
Credit risk
As premiums and deposits are received, these funds are invested to pay for future policyholder obligations. For general account products, Aegon typically bears the risk for investment performance which is equal to the return of principal and interest. Aegon is exposed to credit risk on its general account fixed-income portfolio (debt securities, mortgages and private placements),
over-the-counter
derivatives and reinsurance contracts. Some issuers have defaulted on their financial obligations for various reasons, including bankruptcy, lack of liquidity, downturns in the economy, downturns in real estate values, operational failure and fraud. During financial downturns, Aegon can incur defaults or other reductions in the value of these securities and loans, which could have a materially adverse effect on Aegon’s business, results of operations and financial condition. Investments for account of policyholders are excluded as the policyholder bears the credit risk associated with the investments.
The table that follows shows the Group’s maximum exposure to credit risk from investments in general account financial assets, as well as general account derivatives and reinsurance assets, collateral held and net exposure. Please refer to note 45 and 46 for further information on capital commitments and contingencies and on collateral given, which may expose the Group to credit risk.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2021
  
Maximum
exposure
to credit
risk
   
Cash
    
Securities
  
Letters of
credit /
guaran-
tees
  
Real
estate
property
  
Master
netting
agree-
ments
  
Other
  
Total
collateral
   
Surplus
collateral
(or
overcollater-
alization)
  
Net
exposure
 
Debt securities - carried at fair value
     97,195         -      -    221    -    -    -      221       -      96,974    
                     
Money market and other short-term investments - carried at fair value
     4,910       -      330    -    -    -    -      330     21      4,601  
                     
Mortgage loans - carried at amortized cost
     39,991       2,684      -    32    75,412    -    -      78,128     38,197      60  
                     
Private loans - carried at amortized cost
     4,883       33      -    -    -    -    -      33     -      4,850  
                     
Other loans - carried at amortized cost
     1,949       -      -    -    -    -    1,872      1,872     1,346      1,423  
                     
Other financial assets - carried at fair value
     4,245       -      -    -    -    -    -      -     -      4,245  
                     
Derivatives
     8,780       2,555      107    -    -    5,921    -      8,583     66      263  
                     
Reinsurance assets
     20,992       -      3,784    77    -    -    -      3,861     -      17,131  
At December 31
  
 
182,945
 
 
 
5,272
 
  
4,221
  
330
  
75,412
  
5,921
  
1,872
  
 
93,028
 
 
39,630
  
 
129,547
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2020
  
Maximum
exposure
to credit
risk
    Cash      Securities   
Letters of
credit /
guaran-
tees
  
Real
estate
property
  
Master
netting
agree-
ments
   Other   
Total
collateral
   
Surplus
collateral (or
overcollateral-
ization)
  
Net
 exposure
 
Debt securities - carried at fair value
     99,350         -      -    245    -    -    -      245       -      99,105    
                     
Money market and other short-term investments - carried at fair value
     4,667       -      330    -    -    -    -      330     19      4,357  
                     
Mortgage loans - carried at amortized cost
     38,244       2,685      -    60    64,028    -    -      66,772     28,655      126  
                     
Private loans - carried at amortized cost
     4,358       45      -    -    -    -    -      45     -      4,313  
                     
Other loans - carried at amortized cost
     1,917       -      -    -    -    -    1,786      1,786     1,293      1,424  
                     
Other financial assets - carried at fair value
     3,641       -      -    -    -    -    -      -     -      3,641  
                     
Derivatives
     13,238       4,873      60    29    -    8,373    -      13,336     135      38  
                     
Reinsurance assets
     18,910       -      3,578    117    -    -    -      3,694     -      15,216  
At December 31
  
 
184,326
 
 
 
7,603
 
  
3,967
  
450
  
64,028
  
8,373
  
1,786
  
 
86,207
 
 
30,101
  
 
128,220
 
Debt securities
Several bonds in Aegon’s Americas’ portfolio are guaranteed by Monoline insurers. This is shown in the table above in the column ‘Letters of credit / guarantees’.
Money market and short-term investments
The collateral reported for the money market and short-term investments are related to
tri-party
repurchase agreements (repos). Within
tri-party
repos Aegon invests under short-term reverse repurchase agreements and the counterparty posts collateral to a third party custodian. The collateral posted is typically high-quality, short-term securities and is only accessible for or available to Aegon in the event the counterparty defaults.
Mortgage loans
The real estate collateral for mortgages includes both residential and commercial properties. The collateral for commercial mortgage loans in Aegon Americas is measured at fair value. At a minimum on an annual basis, a fair value is estimated for each individual real estate property that has been pledged as collateral. When a loan is originally provided, an external appraisal is obtained to estimate the value of the property. In subsequent years, the value is typically estimated internally using various professionally accepted valuation methodologies. Internal appraisals are performed by qualified, professionally accredited personnel. International valuation standards are used and the most significant assumptions made during the valuation of real estate are the current cost of reproducing or replacing the property, the value that the property’s net earning power will support, and the value indicated by recent sales of comparable properties. Valuations are primarily supported by market evidence. For Aegon the Netherlands, collateral for the residential mortgages is measured as the foreclosure value which is indexed periodically.
Cash collateral for mortgage loans includes the savings that have been received to redeem the underlying mortgage loans at redemption date. These savings are part of the credit side of the statement of financial position, but reduce the credit risk for the mortgage loan as a whole.
A substantial part of Aegon’s Dutch residential mortgage loan portfolio benefits from guarantees by a Dutch government-backed trust (Stichting Waarborgfonds Eigen Woning) through the Dutch Mortgage loan Guarantee program (NHG). With exception of
NHG-backed
mortgage loans originated after January 1, 2014, for which a 10% lender-incurred haircut applies on realized losses on each defaulted loan, these guarantees cover all principal losses, missed interest payments and foreclosure costs incurred upon termination and settlement of defaulted mortgage loans when lender-specific terms and conditions of the guarantee are met. When not fully met, the trust may pay claims in part or in full, depending on the severity of the breach of terms and conditions. For each specific loan, the guarantee amortizes in line with an equivalent annuity mortgage loan. When the remaining loan balance at default does not exceed the amortized guarantee, it covers the full loss under its terms and conditions. Any loan balance in excess of this decreasing guarantee profile serves as a first loss position for the lender.
Derivatives
The master netting agreements column in the table relates to derivative liability positions which are used in Aegon’s credit risk management. The offset in the master netting agreements column includes balances where there is a legally enforceable right of offset, but no intention to settle these balances on a net basis under normal circumstances. As a result, there is a net exposure for credit risk management purposes. However, as there is no intention to settle these balances on a net basis, they do not qualify for net presentation for accounting purposes.
Reinsurance assets
The collateral related to the reinsurance assets include assets in trust that are held by the reinsurer for the benefit of Aegon. The assets in trust can be accessed to pay policyholder benefits in the event the reinsurers fail to perform under the terms of their contract. Further information on the related reinsurance transactions is included in note 26 Reinsurance assets.
Other loans
The collateral included in the other column represents the policyholders account value for policy loans. The excess of the account value over the loan value is included in the surplus collateral column. For further information on the policy loans refer to note 22.1 Financial assets, excluding derivatives.
The total collateral includes both under- and over-collateralized positions. To present a net exposure of credit risk, the over-collateralization, which is shown in the surplus collateral column, is extracted from the total collateral.
 
Credit risk management
Aegon manages credit risk exposure by individual counterparty, sector and asset class, including cash positions. Normally, Aegon mitigates credit risk in derivative contracts by entering into credit support agreement, where practical, and in ISDA master netting agreements for most of Aegon’s legal entities to facilitate Aegon’s right to offset credit risk exposure. Main counterparties to these transactions are investment banks which are typically rated ‘A’ or higher. The credit support agreement will normally dictate the threshold over which collateral needs to be pledged by Aegon or its counterparty. Transactions requiring Aegon or its counterparty to post collateral are typically the result of derivative trades, comprised mostly of interest rate swaps, equity swaps, currency swaps and credit swaps. Collateral received is mainly cash (USD and EUR). The credit support agreements that outline the acceptable collateral require high-quality instruments to be posted. Over the last three years, there was no default with any derivatives counterparty. The credit risk associated with financial assets subject to a master netting agreement is eliminated only to the extent that financial liabilities due to the same counterparty will be settled after the assets are realized. Eligible derivative transactions are traded via Central Clearing Houses as required by EMIR and the Dodd-Frank act. Credit risk in these transactions is mitigated through posting of initial and variation margins.
Aegon may also mitigate credit risk in reinsurance contracts by including downgrade clauses that allow the recapture of business, retaining ownership of assets required to support liabilities ceded or by requiring the reinsurer to hold assets in trust. For the resulting net credit risk exposure, Aegon employs deterministic and stochastic credit risk modeling in order to assess the Group’s credit risk profile, associated earnings and capital implications due to various credit loss scenarios.
Aegon operates a Credit Name Limit Policy (CNLP) under which limits are placed on the aggregate exposure that it has to any one counterparty. Limits are placed on the exposure at both group level and individual country units. The limits also vary by a rating system, which is a composite of the main rating agencies (S&P, Moody’s and Fitch) and Aegon’s internal rating of the counterparty. If an exposure exceeds the stated limit, then the exposure must be reduced to the limit for the country unit and rating category as soon as possible. Exceptions to these limits can only be made after explicit approval from Aegon’s Group Risk and Capital Committee (GRCC). The policy is reviewed regularly.
At December 31, 2021, there was one violation of the Credit Name Limit Policy at Group level (2020: one). This related to the Republic of Turkey and is being closely monitored. The breach will be resolved by the disposal of Aegon Turkey, which is expected to close in 2022.
At December 31, 2021, Aegon’s largest corporate credit exposures are to Wilton Re Holdings Ltd, American United Mutual Insurance, Reinsurance Group of America and JP Morgan. Aegon had large government exposures, the largest being to the United States, the Netherlands and Germany. Highly rated government bonds and government exposure domestically issued and owned in local currency are excluded from the Credit Name Limit Policy.
Aegon group level long-term counterparty exposure limits are as follows:
Group limits per credit rating
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
     
Amounts in EUR million
    
        2021
               2020  
     
AAA
                 900                    900  
     
AA
                 900                    900  
     
A
                 675                    675  
     
BBB
                 450                    450  
     
BB
                 250                    250  
     
B
                 125                    125  
     
CCC or lower
                   50                      50  
Credit rating
The ratings distribution of general account portfolios of Aegon’s major reporting units, excluding reinsurance assets, are presented in the table that follows, organized by rating category and split by assets that are valued at fair value and assets that are valued at amortized cost. Aegon uses a composite rating based on a combination of the external ratings of S&P, Moody’s, Fitch and National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC which is for US only) and internal ratings. The rating used is the lower of the external rating and the internal rating.
 
         
Credit rating general account
investments, excluding reinsurance
assets 2021
  
Americas
    
The Netherlands
    
United Kingdom
    
International
 
  
Amortized
cost
    
Fair
        value
    
Amortized
cost
    
Fair
        value
    
Amortized
cost
    
Fair
        value
    
Amortized
cost
   
Fair  
        value  
 
                 
AAA
     1,383        15,537        2,607        11,832        -        74        -       738    
                 
AA
     4,219        4,438        216        6,474        -        586        -       699    
                 
A
     3,301        20,888        128        10,636        -        384        52       2,610    
                 
BBB
     519        21,894        1,050        4,458        -        202        (4     3,311    
                 
BB
     59        1,614        44        127        -        1        -       272    
                 
B
     -        549        -        19        -        -        18       370    
                 
CCC or lower
     -        441        -        19        -        -        -       13    
                 
Assets not rated
     1,868        4,257        31,137        1,418        -        644        27       79    
                 
Total
  
 
11,349
 
  
 
69,618
 
  
 
35,182
 
  
 
34,983
 
  
 
-
 
  
 
1,893
 
  
 
93
 
 
 
8,093  
 
                 
Past due and/or impaired assets
     2        2,044        176        17        -        -        -       116    
                 
At December 31
  
 
11,352
 
  
 
71,662
 
  
 
35,358
 
  
 
35,000
 
  
 
-
 
  
 
1,893
 
  
 
93
 
 
 
8,208  
 
 
     
    
Asset Management
    
Total 2021
1)
 
Credit rating general account investments,
excluding reinsurance assets 2021
  
Amortized
cost
    
Fair  
        value  
    
Amortized
cost
    
Fair
        value
    
Total carrying  
value  
 
           
AAA
     -        295          3,989        28,476        32,465    
           
AA
     -        -          4,436        12,197        16,633    
           
A
     -        -          3,481        34,530        38,011    
           
BBB
     -        -          1,564        29,866        31,431    
           
BB
     -        -          103        2,015        2,118    
           
B
     -        -          18        938        956    
           
CCC or lower
     -        -          -        473        473    
           
Assets not rated
     -        2          33,053        6,474        39,527    
           
Total
  
 
-
 
  
 
296  
 
  
 
46,644
 
  
 
114,968
 
  
 
161,613  
 
           
Past due and/or impaired assets
     -        -          178        2,176        2,355    
           
At December 31
  
 
-
 
  
 
296  
 
  
 
46,823
 
  
 
117,145
 
  
 
163,967  
 
 
1
Includes investments of Holding and other activities.
 
Credit rating general account
investments, excluding
reinsurance assets 2020
   Americas      The Netherlands      United Kingdom      International  
   Amortized
cost
     Fair
        value
    
Amortized
cost
     Fair
        value
     Amortized
cost
     Fair
        value
     Amortized
cost
    Fair  
        value  
 
                 
AAA
     1,066        15,551        1,913        14,362        -        43        -       925    
                 
AA
     3,494        4,112        74        7,663        -        605        -       617    
                 
A
     3,369        21,741        46        14,421        -        337        49       2,604    
                 
BBB
     631        21,049        1,098        4,031        -        173        (4     3,242    
                 
BB
     56        1,847        46        248        -        1        -       230    
                 
B
     -        611        -        100        -        -        45       302    
                 
CCC or lower
     -        556        -        15        -        -        1       12    
                 
Assets not rated
     1,775        3,360        30,492        1,464        -        848        30       80    
                 
Total
  
 
10,390
 
  
 
68,828
 
  
 
33,669
 
  
 
42,305
 
  
 
-
 
  
 
2,008
 
  
 
120
 
 
 
8,014  
 
                 
Past due and/or impaired assets
     87        1,130        212        14        -        -        -       88    
                 
At December 31
  
 
10,477
 
  
 
69,958
 
  
 
33,882
 
  
 
42,319
 
  
 
-
 
  
 
2,008
 
  
 
120
 
 
 
8,102  
 
     Asset Management      Total 2020
1)
 
Credit rating general account investments,
excluding reinsurance assets 2020
  
Amortized
cost
     Fair
        value
    
Amortized
cost
    
Fair
value
    
     Total carrying  
value  
 
           
AAA
     -        159        2,980        31,042        34,021    
           
AA
     -        3        3,567        13,001        16,568    
           
A
     -        4        3,464        39,123        42,586    
           
BBB
     -        15        1,725        28,510        30,235    
           
BB
     -        16        102        2,372        2,473    
           
B
     -        8        45        1,022        1,067    
           
CCC or lower
     -        2        1        585        586    
           
Assets not rated
     -        1        32,336        5,984        38,320    
           
Total
  
 
-
 
  
 
208
 
  
 
44,219
 
  
 
121,637
 
  
 
165,856  
 
           
Past due and/or impaired assets
     -        -        300        1,238        1,538    
           
At December 31
  
 
-
 
  
 
208
 
  
 
44,519
 
  
 
122,875
 
  
 
167,394  
 
 
1
Includes investments of Holding and other activities.
The following table shows the credit quality of the gross positions in the statement of financial position for general account reinsurance assets specifically:
 
     
     
Carrying value  
2021  
    
    Carrying value  
2020  
 
     
AAA
     -          -    
     
AA
     9,084          9,025    
     
A
     11,087          9,430    
     
Below A
     7          34    
     
Not rated
     813          421    
     
At December 31
  
 
20,992  
 
  
 
18,910  
 
Credit risk concentration
The tables that follow present specific credit risk concentration information for general account financial assets.
 
               
Credit risk concentrations – debt
securities and money market
investments 2021
 
    Americas
   
The
    Netherlands
   
United
    Kingdom
   
    Interna-
tional
   
Asset
    Management
   
Total
    2021
1)
   
Of which past  
due and/or  
impaired  
assets  
 
               
Residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBSs)
    1,854       106       -       20       4       1,984        611    
               
Commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBSs)
    3,005       3       122       517       -       3,647        13    
               
Asset-backed securities (ABSs) - CDOs backed by ABS, Corp. bonds, Bank loans
    265       1,576       -       37       -       1,878        2    
               
ABSs – Other
    1,972       1       74       267       8       2,321        27    
               
Financial - Banking
    5,597       3,146       177       1,035       -       9,956        9    
               
Financial - Other
    9,916       854       68       783       257       11,877        175    
               
Capital goods and other industry
    4,048       1,078       33       501       -       5,661        144    
               
Communications & Technology
    6,190       1,561       3       732       -       8,485        411    
               
Consumer cyclical
    3,159       741       43       342       -       4,286        152    
               
Consumer non-cyclical
    6,138       1,900       121       825       -       8,984        177    
               
Energy
    4,177       143       26       635       -       4,980        91    
               
Transportation
    2,151       815       -       197       -       3,163        130    
               
Utility
    5,356       707       105       590       -       6,757        153    
               
Government bonds
    11,663       14,321       477       1,649       18       28,127        4    
               
At December 31
 
 
65,490
 
 
 
26,951
 
 
 
1,248
 
 
 
8,130
 
 
 
286
 
 
 
102,105 
 
 
 
2,101  
 
 
1
Includes investments of Holding and other activities.
             
Credit risk concentrations – Government
bonds per country of risk 2021
  
        Americas
    
The
  Netherlands
    
United
        Kingdom
    
     International
    
Asset
  Management
    
Total 
            2021
1)
 
 
             
United States
     10,897        -        -        463        -          11,360    
             
Netherlands
     -        4,691        -        -        -        4,691    
             
United Kingdom
     -        3        413        -        18        433    
             
Austria
     -        1,175        -        6        -        1,181    
             
Belgium
     -        1,132        -        5        -        1,137    
             
Finland
     -        41        -        -        -        41    
             
France
     -        1,618        34        2        -        1,654    
             
Germany
     -        4,309        -        -        -        4,309    
             
Hungary
     -        -        -        302        -        302    
             
Indonesia
     75        39        -        28        -        141    
             
Luxembourg
     -        873        -        1        -        875    
             
Spain
     -        144        -        197        -        341    
             
Rest of Europe
     85        65        -        503        -        654    
             
Rest of world
     587        230        31        131        -        979    
             
Supranational
     19        -        -        11        -        29    
             
At December 31
  
 
11,663
 
  
 
14,321
 
  
 
477
 
  
 
1,649
 
  
 
18
 
  
 
28,127  
 
 
1
Includes investments of Holding and other activities.
 
           
Credit risk concentrations – Credit rating 2021
2)
  
  Government
bonds
    
     Corporate
bonds
    
RMBSs
   CMBSs ABSs
    
              Other
    
Total 
            2021
1)
 
 
           
AAA
     19,740        754        5,779        1,882        28,155    
           
AA
     5,476        4,099        1,125        -        10,700    
           
A
     1,228        25,470        1,648        -        28,345    
           
BBB
     1,094        28,855        338        -        30,286    
           
BB
     238        1,700        63        -        2,001    
           
B
     348        553        26        -        927    
           
CCC or lower
     5        183        826        -        1,014    
           
Assets not rated
     -        3        24        649        676    
           
At December 31
  
 
28,127
 
  
 
61,617
 
  
 
9,830
 
  
 
2,531
 
  
 
102,105  
 
 
1
Includes investments of Holding and other activities.
2
CNLP Ratings are used and are the lower of the Barclay’s Rating and the Internal Rating with the Barclay’s rating being a blended rating of S&P, Fitch, and Moody’s.
There are no individual issuers rated below investment grade in the RMBS sector, CMBS sector and ABS sector which have unrealized loss position greater than EUR 25 million.
 
Credit risk concentrations – debt
securities and money market
investments 2020
    Americas    
The
  Netherlands
   
United
  Kingdom
      International    
Asset
  Management
   
Total
      2020
1)
   
Of which past  
due and/or  
  impaired assets  
 
               
Residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBSs)
    2,317       165       -       80       3       2,565       736    
               
Commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBSs)
    2,970       12       122       495       -       3,599       9    
               
Asset-backed securities (ABSs) - CDOs backed by ABS, Corp. bonds, Bank loans
    422       1,703       -       35       -       2,159       1    
               
ABSs – Other
    1,584       11       74       294       2       1,965       9    
               
Financial - Banking
    6,144       4,520       164       1,034       2       11,863       9    
               
Financial - Other
    9,080       706       78       744       135       10,760       35    
               
Capital goods and other industry
    3,968       1,182       18       446       4       5,618       41    
               
Communications & Technology
    5,736       1,129       3       701       1       7,570       119    
               
Consumer cyclical
    3,112       999       43       368       -       4,522       30    
               
Consumer non-cyclical
    6,200       1,773       120       815       1       8,909       32    
               
Energy
    3,852       287       27       545       4       4,715       12    
               
Transportation
    2,202       784       -       197       1       3,183       21    
               
Utility
    4,872       401       78       610       -       5,960       143    
               
Government bonds
    11,282       17,208       434       1,658       46       30,627       4    
               
At December 31
 
 
63,739
 
 
 
30,880
 
 
 
1,160
 
 
 
8,022
 
 
 
199
 
 
 
104,018
 
 
 
1,200  
 
 
1
Includes investments of Holding and other activities.
Credit risk concentrations – Government
bonds per country of risk 2020
   Americas      The
    Netherlands
     United
        Kingdom
         International       Asset
    Management
    
Total
        2020
1)
 
             
United States
     10,623        61        -        503         2        11,189    
             
Netherlands
     -        6,505        -               -        6,505  
             
United Kingdom
     -        3        368               17        387  
             
Austria
     -        1,318        -               -        1,326  
             
Belgium
     -        1,255        -               -        1,260  
             
Finland
     -        42        -               -        42  
             
France
     -        1,779        34               -        1,816  
             
Germany
     -        4,869        -               -        4,869  
             
Hungary
     2        -        -        375         1        378  
             
Luxembourg
     -        950        -               -        951  
             
Spain
     -        146        -        208         -        354  
             
Rest of Europe
     87        165        -        434         3        689  
             
Rest of world
     567        115        32        115         24        854  
             
Supranational
     3        -        -               -        7  
             
At December 31
  
 
11,282
 
  
 
17,208
 
  
 
434
 
  
 
1,658 
 
  
 
46
 
  
 
30,627
 
 
1
Includes investments of Holding and other activities.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Credit risk concentrations – Credit rating 2020
2)
   Government
bonds
           Corporate
bonds
     RMBSs 
  CMBSs ABSs 
                     Other      Total
        2020
1)
 
           
AAA
     22,335        766        6,256         1,585        30,942  
           
AA
     5,657        4,181        1,352         -        11,190  
           
A
     1,056        26,438        1,224         -        28,718    
           
BBB
     1,175        26,769        320         -        28,264  
           
BB
     90        2,055        133         -        2,279  
           
B
     308        639        53         -        1,000  
           
CCC or lower
     6        282        949         -        1,237  
           
Assets not rated
     -        2               385        388  
           
At December 31
  
 
30,627
 
  
 
61,132
 
  
 
10,289 
 
  
 
1,970
 
  
 
104,018
 
 
1
Includes investments of Holding and other activities.
2
CNLP Ratings are used and are the lower of the Barclay’s Rating and the Internal Rating with the Barclay’s rating being a blended rating of S&P, Fitch, and Moody’s.
There are no individual issuers rated below investment grade in the RMBS sector, CMBS sector and ABS sector which have unrealized loss position greater than EUR 25 million.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Credit risk concentrations
– mortgage loans 2021
  
Americas
    
The Netherlands
    
United
    Kingdom
    
International
    
Asset 
Management 
    
Total 2021  
    
Of which past
due and/or
impaired assets
 
               
Agricultural
     59        -        -        -               59         -  
               
Apartment
     5,085        -        -        -               5,085         2    
               
Industrial
     1,349        -        -        -               1,349         -  
               
Office
     1,560        -        -        -               1,560         -  
               
Retail
     1,425        6        -        -               1,432         -  
               
Other commercial
     -        23        -        -               23         1  
               
Residential
     6        30,476        -        1               30,483         139  
               
At December 31
  
 
9,485
 
  
 
30,505
 
  
 
-
 
  
 
1
 
  
 
 
  
 
39,991 
 
  
 
142
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Credit risk concentrations
– mortgage loans 2020
   Americas      The Netherlands      United
    Kingdom
     International      Asset
Management
    
Total
          2020
    
Of which past
due and/or
impaired assets
 
               
Agricultural
     59        -        -        -        -        59        -  
               
Apartment
     4,169        -        -        -        -        4,169        86    
               
Industrial
     1,240        -        -        -        -        1,240        -  
               
Office
     1,624        -        -        -        -        1,625        -  
               
Retail
     1,383        7        -        -        -        1,390        1  
               
Other commercial
     223        25        -        -        -        248        1  
               
Residential
     8        29,505        -        1        -        29,514        173  
               
At December 31
  
 
8,706
 
  
 
29,537
 
  
 
-
 
  
 
1
 
  
 
-
 
  
 
38,244
 
  
 
261
 
The fair value of Aegon Americas commercial and agricultural mortgage loan portfolio as per December 31, 2021, amounted to EUR 10,161 million (2020: EUR 9,518 million). The loan to value (LTV) amounted to approximately 53% (2020: 55%). Of the portfolio 0% (2020: 1%) is in delinquency (defined as 60 days in arrears). In 2021, Aegon Americas recognized EUR 1 million of net impairments (2020: EUR 1 million net impairments) on this portfolio. In 2021, there were no foreclosures (2020: EUR 0 million) and no impairments or recoveries associated with foreclosed loans (2020: EUR 0 million).
The fair value of Aegon the Netherlands mortgage loan portfolio as per December 31, 2021, amounted to EUR 34,198 million (2020: EUR 33,761 million). The LTV amounted to approximately 56% (2020: 66%). A significant part of the portfolio 42% (2020: 45%) is government guaranteed. Of the portfolio, 0.1% (2020: 0.1%) is in delinquency (defined as 60 days in arrears). Impairments in 2021 amounted to EUR 1 million (2020: EUR 0 million). During the last ten years defaults of the portfolio have been 5 basis points on average.
Unconsolidated structured entities
Aegon’s investments in unconsolidated structured entities such as RMBSs, CMBSs and ABSs and investment funds are presented in the line item ‘Investments’ of the statement of financial position. Aegon’s interests in these unconsolidated structured entities can be characterized as basic interests, Aegon does not have loans, derivatives, guarantees or other interests related to these investments. Any existing commitments such as future purchases of interests in investment funds are disclosed in note 45 Commitments and contingencies.
For debt instruments, specifically for RMBSs, CMBSs and ABSs, the maximum exposure to loss is equal to the carrying amount which is reflected in the credit risk concentration table regarding debt securities and money market investments. To manage credit risk Aegon invests primarily in senior notes of RMBSs, CMBSs and ABSs. The composition of the RMBSs, CMBSs and ABSs portfolios of Aegon are widely dispersed looking at the individual amount per entity, therefore Aegon only has non-controlling interests in individual unconsolidated structured entities. Furthermore these investments are not originated by Aegon.
Except for commitments as noted in note 45 Commitments and contingencies, Aegon did not provide, nor is required to provide financial or other support to unconsolidated structured entities. Nor does Aegon have intentions to provide financial or other support to unconsolidated structured entities in which Aegon has an interest or previously had an interest.
For RMBSs, CMBSs and ABSs in which Aegon has an interest at reporting date, the following table presents total income received from those interests. The Investments column reflects the carrying values recognized in the statement of financial position of Aegon’s interests in RMBSs, CMBSs and ABSs.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
         
                   
Total result 2021 
    
December 31, 2021
 
2021
  
        Interest income
    
Total gains and
    losses on sale of
assets
   
Total
 
    
Investments
 
         
Residential mortgage-backed securities
     83        (28     55         1,980    
         
Commercial mortgage-backed securities
     113        (31     82         3,647  
         
Asset-backed securities
     29        -       29         1,878  
         
ABSs - Other
     70        (11     59         2,323  
         
Total
  
 
295
 
  
 
(69
 
 
226 
 
  
 
9,829
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
                    Total result 2020      December 31, 2020  
2020
           Interest income      Total gains and
    losses on sale of
assets
   
Total
     Investments  
         
Residential mortgage-backed securities
     120        25       144        2,565    
         
Commercial mortgage-backed securities
     128        92       220        3,599  
         
Asset-backed securities
     38        (5     34        2,159  
         
ABSs - Other
     79        104       183        1,965  
         
Total
  
 
366
 
  
 
215
 
 
 
581
 
  
 
10,289
 
Additional information on credit risk, unrealized losses and impairments
Debt instruments
The amortized cost and fair value of debt securities, money market investments and other, included in Aegon’s available-for-sale (AFS) portfolios, are as follows as of December 31, 2021, and December 31, 2020.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
             
2021
  
    Amortized
cost
    
    Unrealized
gains
    
    Unrealized
losses
   
    Total fair 
value 
    
    Fair value of
instruments
with
unrealized
gains
    
    Fair value of
instruments
with
unrealized
losses
 
             
Debt securities, money market instruments and other
                                                    
             
United States government
     8,942        2,386        (11     11,317         10,938        379    
             
Dutch government
     3,456        1,238        (0     4,694         4,688        6  
             
Other government
     9,060        2,794        (84     11,769         10,414        1,356  
             
Mortgage-backed securities
     5,265        372        (56     5,581         3,832        1,749  
             
Asset-backed securities
     4,088        118        (16     4,189         2,334        1,855  
             
Corporate
     50,953        5,738        (343     56,348         45,363        10,985  
             
Money market investments
     4,790        -        (0     4,790         4,547        243  
             
Other
     876        34        (66     844         519        325  
             
Total
  
 
87,431
 
  
 
12,679
 
  
 
(576
 
 
99,533 
 
  
 
82,635
 
  
 
16,898
 
             
Of which held by Aegon Americas and NL
     78,468        11,865        (475     89,859         74,954        14,905  
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2020
       Amortized
cost
         Unrealized
gains
         Unrealized
losses
   
    Total fair
value
         Fair value of
instruments
with
unrealized
gains
         Fair value of
instruments
with
unrealized
losses
 
             
Debt securities, money market instruments and other
                                                    
             
United States government
     8,336        2,608        (9     10,935        10,661        274    
             
Dutch government
     4,769        1,736        -       6,505        6,502        3  
             
Other government
     9,085        3,660        (8     12,736        12,465        271  
             
Mortgage-backed securities
     5,678        482        (69     6,092        5,314        777  
             
Asset-backed securities
     3,980        158        (17     4,121        2,789        1,332  
             
Corporate
     45,986        7,404        (98     53,292        51,252        2,039  
             
Money market investments
     4,559        -        (1     4,558        4,136        422  
             
Other
     1,032        39        (75     996        616        380  
             
Total
  
 
83,426
 
  
 
16,087
 
  
 
(277
 
 
99,235
 
  
 
93,736
 
  
 
5,499
 
             
Of which held by Aegon Americas and NL
     74,880        14,938        (249     89,569        84,593        4,976  
 
Unrealized bond losses by sector
The composition by industry category of Aegon’s available-for-sale (AFS) debt securities, money market investments and other in an unrealized loss position at December 31, 2021, and December 31, 2020, is presented in the following table:
 
     
   
December 31, 2021
    December 31, 2020  
         
Unrealized losses - debt securities, money market

investments and other
 
Carrying value of
instruments with
unrealized losses
   
Unrealized losses
    Carrying value of
instruments with
unrealized losses
    Unrealized losses  
         
Residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBSs)
    810       (21     142       (17
         
Commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBSs)
    803       (27     543       (40
         
Asset-backed securities (ABSs) - CDOs backed by ABS, Corp. bonds, Bank loans
    1,244       (9     1,183       (13
         
ABSs - Other
    558       (7     123       (3
         
Financial Industry - Banking
    1,669       (32     149       (7
         
Financial Industry - Insurance
    368       (11     85       (7
         
Financial Industry - Other
    1,092       (29     536       (9
Industrial
    5,630       (179     1,141       (60
Utility
    1,564       (68     333       (9
         
Government
    842       (28     361       (10
         
Other
    325       (66     380       (75
         
Total held by Aegon Americas and NL
 
 
14,905
 
 
 
(475
 
 
4,976
 
 
 
(249
         
Held by other segments
    1,994       (102     523       (28
         
Total
 
 
16,898
 
 
 
(576
 
 
5,499
 
 
 
(277
Impairment of financial assets
Aegon regularly monitors industry sectors and individual debt securities for indicators of impairment. These indicators may include one or more of the following: 1) deteriorating market to book ratio, 2) increasing industry risk factors, 3) deteriorating financial condition of the issuer, 4) covenant violations by the issuer, 5) high probability of bankruptcy of the issuer, or 6) downgrades by internationally recognized credit rating agency. Additionally, for asset-backed securities, cash flow trends and underlying levels of collateral are monitored. A security is impaired if there is objective evidence that a loss event has occurred after the initial recognition of the asset that has a negative impact on the estimated future cash flows.
For details on impairments on financial assets, including receivables, refer to note 15 Impairment charges / (reversals).
Past due and impaired assets
The tables that follow provide information on past due and individually impaired financial assets for the whole Aegon Group. An asset is past due when a counterparty has failed to make a payment when contractually due. Assets are impaired when an impairment loss has been charged to the income statement relating to this asset. After the impairment loss is reversed in subsequent periods, the asset is no longer considered to be impaired. When the terms and conditions of financial assets have been renegotiated, the terms and conditions of the new agreement apply in determining whether the financial assets are past due.
Aegon’s policy is to pursue realization of the collateral in an orderly manner as and when liquidity permits. Aegon generally does not use the non-cash collateral for its own operations.
 
     
    
2021
     2020  
Past due but not impaired assets
  
0-6
  months
    
6-12
  months
    
  > 1 year 
    
        Total 
    
0-6
  months
    
6-12
  months
       > 1 year              Total   
                 
Debt securities - carried at fair value
     1,171        255        40         1,466         369        34        9        412   
                 
Mortgage loans
     129        1               131         169        55        1        226   
                 
Other loans
     19        5        10         35         24        8        5        36   
                 
Accrued interest
     30        10               42         5        1        1         
                 
Other financial assets - carried at fair value
     -        -                      -        -        -         
                 
At December 31
  
 
1,350
 
  
 
271
 
  
 
54 
 
  
 
1,675 
 
  
 
567
 
  
 
98
 
  
 
16
 
  
 
681 
 
 
     
Impaired financial assets
  
Carrying 
amount 2021 
     Carrying 
    amount 2020 
 
     
Shares
     62         38   
     
Debt securities - carried at fair value
     635         789   
     
Mortgage loans
     10         36   
     
Other loans
             
     
Other financial assets - carried at fair value
     14          
     
At December 31
  
 
723 
 
  
 
867 
 
Equity market risk and other investments risk
Fluctuations in the equity, real estate and capital markets have affected Aegon’s profitability, capital position and sales of equity related products in the past and may continue to do so. Exposure to equity, real estate and capital markets exists in both assets and liabilities. Asset exposure exists through direct equity investment, where Aegon bears all or most of the volatility in returns and investment performance risk. Equity market exposure is also present in insurance and investment contracts for policyholders where funds are invested in equities, backing variable annuities, unit-linked products and mutual funds. Although most of the risk remains with the policyholder, lower investment returns can reduce the asset management fee earned by Aegon on the asset balance in these products. In addition, some of this business has minimum return or accumulation guarantees.
In 2021, Transamerica expanded its dynamic hedge program to variable annuities with guaranteed minimum death benefit riders (GMDB) and remaining policies with guaranteed minimum income (GMIB) riders. This builds on the effective dynamic hedge program of policies with guaranteed minimum withdrawal benefits (GMWB). The dynamic hedge program now covers the equity risks (and interest rate risk) embedded in the guarantees of its entire variable annuity portfolio. Dynamic hedging stabilizes cash flows and reduces sensitivities to changes in equity markets (and interest rates) on an economic basis.
The general account equity, real estate and other non-fixed-income portfolio of Aegon is as follows:
 
               
Equity, real estate and
non-fixed income
exposure
  
    Americas
    
 The Netherlands
    
United
      Kingdom
    
 International
    
Asset
 Management
    
Holding 
      and other 
activities 
    
      Total 
2021 
 
               
Equity funds
     175        34        -        63        9               280   
               
Common shares
1)
     190        -        29        5        -               226   
               
Preferred shares
     128        -        -        -        -               128   
               
Investments in real estate
     39        2,588        -        16        -               2,643   
               
Hedge funds
     35        -        -        -        -               35   
               
Other alternative investments
     1,934        432        -        -        -               2,366   
               
Other financial assets
     1,595        1,023        598        7        2               3,225   
               
At December 31
  
 
4,097
 
  
 
4,076
 
  
 
628
 
  
 
91
 
  
 
10
 
  
 
 
  
 
8,903 
 
 
1
Common shares in Holding and other activities includes the elimination of treasury shares in the general account for an amount of EUR nil million.
 
Equity, real estate and
non-fixed income
exposure
       Americas       The Netherlands      United
      Kingdom
      International      Asset
 Management
     Holding 
      and other 
activities 
    
      Total 
2020 
 
               
Equity funds
     154        40        -        68        8               270   
               
Common shares
1)
     161        -        34        6        -        16         218   
               
Preferred shares
     127        -        -        -        -        27         155   
               
Investments in real estate
     37        2,331        -        16        -               2,385   
               
Hedge funds
     74        -        -        -        -               75   
               
Other alternative investments
     1,557        381        -        -        -               1,945   
               
Other financial assets
     1,104        1,046        800        6        1               2,957   
               
At December 31
  
 
3,215
 
  
 
3,799
 
  
 
834
 
  
 
97
 
  
 
10
 
  
 
51 
 
  
 
8,005 
 
 
1
Common shares in Holding and other activities includes the elimination of treasury shares in the general account for an amount of EUR nil million.
               
Market risk
concentrations – shares
  
    Americas
    
 The Netherlands
    
United
      Kingdom
    
 International
    
Asset
 Management
    
Total
      2021
1)
    
Of which 
      impaired 
assets 
 
               
Communication
     1        -        -        -        -        1         
               
Consumer
     5        -        -        -        -        5         
               
Financials
     411        4        -        5        -        420        39   
               
Funds
     -        1,406        29        62        -        1,498        17   
               
Industries
     42        -        -        -        -        42         
               
Other
     35        -        -        5        9        49         
               
At December 31
  
 
493
 
  
 
1,410
 
  
 
29
 
  
 
72
 
  
 
9
 
  
 
2,015
 
  
 
62 
 
1
Includes investments of Holding and other activities.
 
Market risk
concentrations – shares
       Americas       The Netherlands      United
      Kingdom
      International      Asset
 Management
    
Total
      2020
1)
    
Of which 
      impaired 
assets 
 
               
Communication
     1        -        -        -        -        4         
               
Consumer
     4        -        -        -        1        6         
               
Financials
     368        14        -        5        3        400         
               
Funds
     -        1,363        34        63        -        1,470        14   
               
Industries
     42        -        -        1        1        44        12   
               
Other
     27        -        -        6        3        56         
               
At December 31
  
 
442
 
  
 
1,376
 
  
 
34
 
  
 
74
 
  
 
9
 
  
 
1,979
 
  
 
35 
 
 
1
Includes investments of Holding and other activities.
The table that follows sets forth the closing levels of certain major indices at the end of the last five years.
 
           
    
            2021 
                 2020                  2019                  2018                  2017  
           
S&P 500
     4,766         3,756        3,231        2,507        2,674  
           
Nasdaq
     15,645         12,888        8,973        6,635        6,903  
           
FTSE 100
     7,385         6,461        7,542        6,728        7,688  
           
AEX
     798         625        605        488        545  
The sensitivity analysis of net result and shareholders’ equity to changes in equity prices is presented in the table below. The sensitivity of shareholders’ equity and net result to changes in equity markets reflects changes in the market value of Aegon’s portfolio, changes in DPAC amortization, contributions to pension plans for Aegon’s employees and the strengthening of the guaranteed minimum benefits, when applicable. Aegon generally has positive income benefits from equity market increases and negative impacts from equity market declines as it earns fees on policyholder account balances and provides minimum guarantees for account values. Aegon uses options and other equity derivatives to provide protection against the negative impact of equity market declines.
Sensitivity analysis of net result and shareholders’ equity to equity markets
 
     
Immediate change of
  
Estimated approximate effects
on net result
   
Estimated approximate effects
on shareholders’ equity
 
     
2021
                
     
Equity increase 10%
     151       341  
     
Equity decrease 10%
     (212     (221
     
Equity increase 25%
     322       660  
     
Equity decrease 25%
     (529     (685
     
2020
                
     
Equity increase 10%
     146       394  
     
Equity decrease 10%
     (208     (199
     
Equity increase 25%
     290       725  
     
Equity decrease 25%
     (541     (715
 
Interest rate risk
Aegon bears interest rate risk with many of its products. In cases where cash flows are highly predictable, investing in assets that closely match the cash flow profile of the liabilities can offset this risk. For some Aegon country units, local capital markets are not well developed, which prevents the complete matching of assets and liabilities for those businesses. For some products, cash flows are less predictable as a result of policyholder actions that can be affected by the level of interest rates.
In periods of rapidly increasing interest rates, policy loans, surrenders and withdrawals may increase. Premiums in flexible premium policies may decrease as policyholders seek investments with higher perceived returns. This activity may result in cash payments by Aegon requiring the sale of invested assets at a time when the prices of those assets are adversely affected by the increase in market interest rates; this may result in realized investment losses. These cash payments to policyholders result in a decrease in total invested assets and a decrease in net result. Among other things, early withdrawals may also require accelerated amortization of DPAC, which in turn reduces net result.
During periods of sustained low interest rates, Aegon may not be able to preserve margins as a result of minimum interest rate guarantees and minimum guaranteed crediting rates provided on policies. Also, investment earnings may be lower because the interest earnings on new fixed-income investments are likely to have declined with the market interest rates. Mortgage loans and redeemable bonds in the investment portfolio are more likely to be repaid as borrowers seek to borrow at lower interest rates and Aegon may be required to reinvest the proceeds in securities bearing lower interest rates. Accordingly, net result declines as a result of a decrease in the spread between returns on the investment portfolio and the interest rates either credited to policyholders or assumed in reserves.
Aegon manages interest rate risk closely, taking into account all of the complexity regarding policyholder behavior and management action. Aegon employs sophisticated interest rate measurement techniques and actively uses derivatives and other risk mitigation tools to closely manage its interest rate risk exposure. Aegon operates an Investment & Counterparty Risk policy that limits the amount of interest rate risk to which the Group is exposed. All derivative use is governed by Aegon’s Derivative Use Policy. A detailed description on the use of derivatives within Aegon is included in note 24 Derivatives.
In 2020 Transamerica commenced a multi-year plan to gradually reduce its economic interest rate risk, primarily by lengthening the duration of the assets to provide a closer match to the liability duration and extending the existing forward starting swap program. The program is due to be completed by mid-2022.
Furthermore, in 2021, Transamerica expanded its dynamic hedge program to variable annuities with guaranteed minimum death benefit riders (GMDB) and remaining policies with guaranteed minimum income (GMIB) riders. This builds on the effective dynamic hedge program of policies with guaranteed minimum withdrawal benefits (GMWB). The dynamic hedge program now covers the interest rate (and equity risks) embedded in the guarantees of its entire variable annuity portfolio. Dynamic hedging stabilizes cash flows and reduces sensitivities to changes in interest rates (and equity markets) on an economic basis.
The following table shows interest rates at the end of each of the last five years.
 
           
     
                2021 
                     2020                       2019                      2018                       2017   
           
3-month US LIBOR
     0.21%         0.24%         1.91%        2.81%         1.69%   
           
3-month EURIBOR
     (0.57%)        (0.55%)        (0.38%     (0.31%)        (0.33%)  
           
10-year US Treasury
     1.78%         0.91%         1.91%        2.69%         2.41%   
           
10-year Dutch government
     (0.03%)        (0.48%)        (0.06%     0.39%         0.53%   
The sensitivity analysis in the table below shows an estimate of the effect of a parallel shift in the yield curves on net result and shareholders’ equity arising from the impact on general account investments and offset due to liabilities from insurance and investment contracts. Timing and valuation differences between assets and liabilities may cause short-term reductions in net result as rates rise. Rising interest rates would also cause the fair value of the available-for-sale bond portfolio to decline and the level of unrealized gains could become too low to support recoverability of the full deferred tax asset triggering an allowance charge to income. The offsetting economic gain on the insurance and investment contracts is however not fully reflected in the sensitivities because many of these liabilities are not measured at fair value. The short to medium term reduction in net result due to rising interest rates would be offset by higher net result in later years, all else being equal. Therefore, higher interest rates are not considered a long-term risk to the Group. However, a long sustained period of low interest rates will erode net result due to lower returns earned on reinvestments and due to lower long term returns from decreased overall portfolio yields.
Parallel movement of yield curve
   Estimated approximate effects
on net result
    Estimated approximate effects
on shareholders’ equity
 
     
2021
                
     
Shift up 100 basis points
     296       (3,591
     
Shift down 100 basis points
     (594     2,906  
     
2020
                
     
Shift up 100 basis points
     813       (1,690
     
Shift down 100 basis points
     (1,174     1,352  
Aegon’s sensitivity to interest rate risk has changed in 2021, compared to 2020. This is the net result of the expansion of the variable annuities dynamic hedge program in the United States and the effect from the improvement of the LAT deficit in the Netherlands.
The hedge strategy targets minimal mismatch according to the Aegon economic framework (which broadly aligns with Solvency II Own Funds) and stabilizes Solvency II ratio volatility.
Risks and risks management arising from financial instruments subject to interest rate benchmark reform
The future of IBORs (Interbank Offered Rates) such as EURIBOR, EONIA and LIBOR has been a major topic on the global agenda since the G20 asked the Financial Stability Board (FSB) to undertake a fundamental review of leading interest rate benchmarks in 2013. The FSB proposed new standards to reform interest rate benchmarks and the use of transaction-based input data instead of non-transactional/panel input data.
To prepare for the IBOR transition all Aegon units have written transition plan containing among others project solutions and actions, timelines and ownership to ensure timely preparation and implementation. We are currently implementing the actions as described in the transition plans.
There are no plans for the discontinuation for EURIBOR and appropriate fallback language has been implemented for derivatives via the International Swaps and Derivatives Association (‘ISDA’) fallback protocol and rulebook changes by the clearing houses.
In the US the relevant USD LIBOR benchmark rates are expected to remain available for existing contracts until mid 2023 and these instruments are expected to either be transitioned actively to Secured Overnight Funding Rate (‘SOFR’) before the 2023 deadline, via the ISDA fallback protocol or via a legislative solution.
In July 2020 the discount rates of EUR cleared derivatives switched from EONIA to
STR which impacted the valuation of derivatives for which compensation was exchanged. All EUR Credit Support Annex (‘CSA’) which have positions outstanding have been amended from EONIA to
STR discounting. In the US, the cleared market has switched discount rates from Fed Funds to SOFR in October 2020. The switch in discount rates is expected to lead to increased liquidity in the new risk free rates.
Aegon recognizes that the reform of IBORs and any transition to replacement rates entail risks for all our businesses across our assets and liabilities. These risks include, but are not limited to:
¨
  Legal risks, as Aegon is required to make changes to documentation for new and existing transactions, such as funding instruments issued with an IBOR reference and derivatives held with an IBOR reference;
¨
  Financial risks, arising from any changes in the valuation of financial instruments linked to benchmark rates, such as derivatives and floating rate notes, issued by, or invested in by Aegon;
¨
  Pricing risks, as changes to benchmark indices could impact pricing mechanisms on some funding instruments or investments;
¨
  Operational risks, due to the potential requirement to adapt informational technology systems, trade reporting infrastructure and operational processes; and
¨
  Conduct risks, relating to communication with potential impact on Aegon’s customers, and engagement during the transition period.
Various supranational institutions, central banks, regulators, benchmark administrators and industry working groups play a role in the benchmark reform and the preparation for the replacement of IBORs. Although a lot of work has been done, there is still significant uncertainty around liquidity development, and the timetable and mechanisms for implementation, including application of spread adjustments to the alternative reference rates. Accordingly, it is not currently possible to determine whether, or to what extent, any such changes would affect Aegon. However, the implementation of alternative reference rates may have a material adverse effect on Aegon’s business, financial condition, customers, and operations.
The table below summarize the exposures of non-derivative financial assets and non-derivative liabilities that yet have to transition to alternative benchmark rates.
 
   
   
2021
 
     
Non derivative financial instruments to transition to alternative benchmark    
 
 
          Financial assets
non-derivatives
 
 
 
 
          Financial liabilities 
non-derivatives 
 
 
     
By benchmark rate
         
 
 
 
     
GBP LIBOR
    19        
     
USD LIBOR
    822       1,143   
     
Euribor
    3,095       1,200   
     
Fed Funds
    102        
     
Total
 
 
4,038
 
 
 
2,343 
 
The table below summarize the exposures of derivatives that yet have to transition to alternative benchmark rates.
 
   
    
    2021
 
   
Derivative financial instruments to transition to alternative benchmark
  
 
             Nominal Value 
 
   
By benchmark rate
  
 
 
 
   
GBP LIBOR
      
   
USD LIBOR
     54,232   
   
Euribor
     113,593   
   
Fed Funds
     3,574   
   
Total
  
 
171,399 
 
Currency exchange rate risk
As an international group, Aegon is subject to foreign currency translation risk. Foreign currency exposure exists mainly when policies are denominated in currencies other than the issuer’s functional currency. Currency risk in the investment portfolios backing insurance and investment liabilities is managed using asset liability matching principles. Assets allocated to equity are kept in local currencies to the extent shareholders’ equity is required to satisfy regulatory and self-imposed capital requirements. Therefore, currency exchange rate fluctuations will affect the level of shareholders’ equity as a result of translation of subsidiaries into euro, the Group’s presentation currency. Aegon holds the remainder of its capital base (perpetual capital securities, subordinated and senior debt) in various currencies in amounts that are targeted to correspond to the book value of the country units. This balancing mitigates currency translation impacts on shareholders’ equity and leverage ratios. Aegon does not hedge the income streams from the main non-euro units and, as a result, earnings may fluctuate due to currency translation. As Aegon has significant business segments in the Americas and in the United Kingdom, the principal sources of exposure from currency fluctuations are from the differences between the US dollar and the euro and between the UK pound and the euro. Aegon may experience significant changes in net result and shareholders’ equity because of these fluctuations.
Aegon operates an Investment & Counterparty Risk Policy which applies currency risk exposure limits both at Group and regional levels, and under which direct currency speculation or program trading by country units is not allowed unless explicit approval has been granted by the Group Risk and Capital Committee and the Management Board. Assets should be held in the functional currency of the business written or hedged back to that currency. Where this is not possible or practical, remaining currency exposure should be sufficiently documented and limits are placed on the total exposure at both group level and for individual country units.
Information on Aegon’s three year historical net result and shareholders’ equity in functional currency are shown in the table below:
 
       
     
                2021 
                     2020                     2019    
       
Net result
                         
       
Americas (in USD)
     1,195         (611     1,324    
       
United Kingdom (in GBP)
     104         60       (29)   
       
Equity in functional currency
                         
       
Americas (in USD)
     18,324         19,127       18,123    
       
United Kingdom (in GBP)
     1,260         1,391       1,358    
 
The exchange rates for US dollar and UK pound per euro for each of the last five year ends are set forth in the table below:
 
           
Closing rates
  
            2021
                 2020                  2019                  2018                  2017   
           
USD
     1.14        1.22        1.12        1.14        1.20   
           
GBP
     0.84        0.90        0.85        0.90        0.89   
Aegon Group companies’ foreign currency exposure from monetary assets and liabilities denominated in foreign currencies (that is, other than the entity’s functional currency), is not material.
The sensitivity analysis in the following table shows an estimate of the translation effect of movements in the exchange rates of functional currencies of foreign subsidiaries against the euro presentation currency of the Group’s financial statements, on net income and shareholders’ equity.
Sensitivity analysis of net result and shareholders’ equity to translation risk
 
Movement of currency exchange rates
1)
  
Estimated approximate effects
on net result
   
Estimated approximate effects
on shareholders’ equity
 
     
2021
                
     
Increase by 15% of USD currencies relative to the euro
     205       3,249  
     
Increase by 15% of GBP currencies relative to the euro
     152       1,900  
     
Increase by 15% of non-euro currencies relative to the euro
     244       3,541  
     
Decrease by 15% of USD currencies relative to the euro
     (153     (2,441
     
Decrease by 15% of GBP currencies relative to the euro
     107       1,315  
     
Decrease by 15% of non-euro currencies relative to the euro
     (179     (2,616
     
2020
                
     
Increase by 15% of USD currencies relative to the euro
     (93     2,848  
     
Increase by 15% of GBP currencies relative to the euro
     (43     1,015  
     
Increase by 15% of non-euro currencies relative to the euro
     (52     3,219  
     
Decrease by 15% of USD currencies relative to the euro
     74       (2,066
     
Decrease by 15% of GBP currencies relative to the euro
     (51     631  
     
Decrease by 15% of non-euro currencies relative to the euro
     45       (2,325
 
1
The effect of currency exchange movements is reflected as a one-time shift up or down in the value of the non-euro currencies relative to the euro on December 31.
Liquidity risk
Liquidity risk is inherent in much of Aegon’s business. Each asset purchased and liability incurred has its own liquidity characteristics. Some liabilities are surrenderable while some assets, such as privately placed loans, mortgage loans, real estate and limited partnership interests, have low liquidity. If Aegon requires significant amounts of cash on short notice in excess of normal cash requirements and existing credit facilities, it may have difficulty selling these investments at attractive prices or in a timely manner. Liquidity risk is also affected by the use of collateralized financial derivatives to mitigate other risks.
Aegon operates a Liquidity Risk Policy under which country units are obliged to maintain sufficient levels of highly liquid assets to meet cash demands by policyholders and account holders over the next two years. Potential cash demands are assessed under a stress scenario including spikes in disintermediation risk due to rising interest rates and concerns over Aegon’s financial strength due to multiple downgrades of the Group’s credit rating. At the same time, the liquidity of assets other than cash and government issues is assumed to be severely impaired for an extended period of time. All legal entities and Aegon Group must maintain enough liquidity in order to meet all cash needs under this extreme scenario.
Aegon held EUR 31,101 million of general account investments in cash, money market products and government bonds that are readily saleable or redeemable on demand (2020: EUR 33,465 million). The Group expects to meet its obligations, even in a stressed liquidity event, from operating cash flows and the proceeds of maturing assets as well as these highly liquid assets. Further, the Group has access to back-up credit facilities, as disclosed in note 37 Borrowings, amounting to EUR 3,399 million which were unused at the end of the reporting period (2020: EUR 3,288 million).
The maturity analysis below shows the remaining contractual maturities of each category of financial liabilities (including coupon interest). When the counterparty has a choice of when an amount is paid, the liability is included on the basis of the earliest date on which it can be required to be paid. Financial liabilities that can be required to be paid on demand without any delay are reported in the category ‘On demand.’ If there is a notice period, it has been assumed that notice is given immediately and the repayment has been presented at the earliest date after the end of the notice period. When the amount payable is not fixed, the amount reported is determined by reference to the conditions existing at the reporting date. For example, when the amount payable varies with changes in an index, the amount disclosed may be based on the level of the index at the reporting date.
To manage the liquidity risk arising from financial liabilities, Aegon holds liquid assets comprising cash and cash equivalents and investment grade investment securities for which there is an active and liquid market. These assets can be readily sold to meet liquidity requirements. For this reason, Aegon believes that it is not necessary to disclose a maturity analysis in respect of these assets to enable users to evaluate the nature and extent of liquidity risk.
 
Maturity analysis – gross undiscounted
contractual cash flows (for non-derivatives)
   On demand      < 1 yr
        amount
             1 < 5 yrs
amount
             5 < 10 yrs
amount
             > 10 yrs
amount
    
Total
        amount
 
             
2021
                                                     
             
Trust pass-through securities
     -        9        113        16        60        197  
             
Subordinated loans
     -        108        377        246        2,964        3,695  
             
Borrowings
     -        901        7,651        956        1,052        10,559  
             
Lease liabilities
     -        37        86        67        70        259  
             
Other financial liabilities
     4,993        1,749        325        154        224        7,444  
             
Total financial liabilities (excluding investment/insurance contracts)
  
 
4,993
 
  
 
2,803
 
  
 
8,551
 
  
 
1,439
 
  
 
4,368
 
  
 
22,154
 
             
Investment contracts
1)
     17,254        2,681        2,114        1,101        655        23,804  
             
Investment contracts for account of policyholders
1)
     34,756        34,571        10        6        4        69,347  
             
Total investment contracts
  
 
52,009
 
  
 
37,252
 
  
 
2,124
 
  
 
1,107
 
  
 
659
 
  
 
93,151
 
             
2020
                                                     
             
Trust pass-through securities
     -        8        33        91        58        191  
             
Subordinated loans
     -        103        382        283        2,842        3,610  
             
Borrowings
     -        1,033        6,627        747        1,002        9,410  
             
Lease liabilities
     -        45        97        60        76        278  
             
Other financial liabilities
     5,333        2,238        197        100        126        7,993  
             
Total financial liabilities (excluding investment/insurance contracts)
  
 
5,333
 
  
 
3,427
 
  
 
7,337
 
  
 
1,282
 
  
 
4,105
 
  
 
21,482
 
             
Investment contracts
1)
     16,699        2,458        1,878        1,072        795        22,903  
             
Investment contracts for account of policyholders
1)
     30,515        27,513        8        4        3        58,043  
             
Total investment contracts
  
 
47,214
 
  
 
29,971
 
  
 
1,886
 
  
 
1,077
 
  
 
798
 
  
 
80,946
 
 
1
Excluding investment contracts with discretionary participating features.
Aegon’s liquidity management is based on expected claims and benefit payments rather than on the contractual maturities. The projected cash benefit payments in the table below are based on management’s best estimates of the expected gross benefits and expenses, partially offset by the expected gross premiums, fees and charges relating to the existing business in force. Estimated cash benefit payments are based on mortality, morbidity and lapse assumptions based on Aegon’s historical experience, modified for recently observed trends. Actual payment obligations may differ if experience varies from these assumptions. The cash benefit payments are presented on an undiscounted basis and are before deduction of tax and before reinsurance.
 
Financial liabilities relating to insurance
          < 1 yr             1 < 5 yrs             5 < 10 yrs             > 10 yrs     
Total 
 
and investment contracts
1)
   On demand              amount     amount     amount     amount     
        amount 
 
             
2021
                                                  
             
Insurance contracts
     -        4,260       16,215        18,438        127,344         166,257    
             
Insurance contracts for account of policyholders
     -        11,494       41,638       39,941       131,667        224,740  
             
Investment contracts
     -        8,324       7,975       3,847       4,438        24,584  
             
Investment contracts for account of policyholders
     193        14,011       27,637       31,715       84,825        158,381  
             
 
  
 
193
 
  
 
38,089
  
 
 
93,465
 
 
 
93,941
 
 
 
348,274
 
  
 
573,962
 
             
2020
                                                  
             
Insurance contracts
     -        4,269       16,104       18,382       119,092        157,847  
             
Insurance contracts for account of policyholders
     -        10,546       37,153       35,257       117,005        199,961  
             
Investment contracts
     -        8,733       8,000       2,998       3,957        23,688  
             
Investment contracts for account of policyholders
     165        12,004       27,435       28,318       72,063        139,986  
             
 
  
 
165
 
  
 
35,552
 
 
 
88,693
 
 
 
84,955
 
 
 
312,117
 
  
 
521,482
 
 
1
The liability amount in the consolidated financial statements reflects the discounting for interest as well as adjustments for the timing of other factors as described above. As a result, the sum of the cash benefit payments shown for all years in the table exceeds the corresponding liability amounts included in notes 34 Insurance contracts and 35 Investments contracts.
The following table details the Group’s liquidity analysis for its derivative financial instruments, based on the undiscounted contractual net cash inflows and outflows on derivative instruments that settle on a net basis, and the undiscounted gross inflows and outflows on those derivatives that require gross settlement.
 
Maturity analysis relating to derivatives
1)
          < 1 yr             1 < 5 yrs             5 < 10 yrs             > 10 yrs    
Total 
 
(Contractual cash flows)
   On demand              amount     amount     amount     amount    
        amount 
 
             
2021
                                                 
             
Gross settled
                                                 
             
Cash inflows
         -        4,300         3,728       5,034       104,335       117,396   
             
Cash outflows
     -        (4,895     (7,080     (9,499     (105,376     (126,850
             
Net settled
                                                 
             
Cash inflows
     -        683       3,442       3,640       5,375       13,140  
             
Cash outflows
     -        (780     (3,032     (3,102     (12,591     (19,505
             
2020
                                                 
             
Gross settled
                                                 
             
Cash inflows
     -        23,118       3,073       3,119       7,554       36,863  
             
Cash outflows
     -        (23,429     (2,267     (1,974     (4,782     (32,451
             
Net settled
                                                 
             
Cash inflows
     -        612       2,293       2,870       5,418       11,193  
             
Cash outflows
     -        (797     (1,784     (2,258     (6,604     (11,444
 
1
Derivatives includes all financial derivatives regardless whether they have a positive or a negative value. It does not include bifurcated embedded derivatives. These are presented together with the host contract. For interest rate derivatives only, cash flows related to the pay leg are taken into account for determining the gross undiscounted cash flows.
For maturity information on other obligations, please refer to note 45 Commitments and contingencies.