EX-99.2 3 dex992.htm SLIDE PRESENTATION FROM IMPERIAL CAPITAL GLOBAL OPPORTUNITIES CONFERENCE Slide Presentation from Imperial Capital Global Opportunities Conference
Imperial Capital Global Opportunities
This
presentation
may
include
forward-looking
statements
regarding
the
performance
of
Alaska
Air
Group
or
its
subsidiaries.  Actual results may differ materially from these projections.  Please see our most recent Annual
Report on Form 10-K for additional information concerning factors that could cause
results to differ.
November 18, 2008
Exhibit 99.2


Los Cabos
Puerto Vallarta
Manzanillo
Ixtapa / Zihuantanejo
Guadalajara
Miami
Orlando
Loreto
Mazatlan
Washington, D.C.
Boston
New York
(Newark)
Chicago
Mexico City
Dallas/Ft Worth
Palm Springs
San Diego
Las Vegas
Phoenix
Tucson
Cancun
Nome
Barrow
Prudhoe Bay
Kotzebue
Bethel
Dutch
Harbor
Sitka
Dillingham
King Salmon
Kodiak
Fairbanks
Juneau
Petersburg
Wrangell
Anchorage
Yakutat
Glacier Bay/
Cordova
Gustavus
Adak
La Paz
Vancouver
Ontario
Burbank
Orange County
Los Angeles Int'l
Long Beach
Denver
Lihue
Honolulu
Seattle
6.9 million passengers/yr.*
3,700 employees
63 aircraft
47 cities served
390 daily departures
17.2 million passengers/yr.*
9,600 employees
110 aircraft
60 cities served
425 daily departures
Data is as of Q308 except passengers/yr, which is as of December
31, 2007
Spokane
Reno
Sacramento
Portland
Boise
San Jose
San Francisco Int'l
Oakland
Ketchikan
New
Alaska
Airlines
Service:
Maui –
July 2008
Minneapolis –
October 2008
Kona –
November 2008


($8.3)
($11.0)
($2.4)
($7.6)
($5.8)
$3.0
$5.0
$1.4
($3.0)
Nov ‘08
($12)
($9)
($6)
($3)
$0
$3
$6
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
est.
2009
est.
($68)
($31)
$5
$55
$138
$92
$79
($13)
Nov ‘08
($88)
($100)
($50)
$0
$50
$100
$150
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
est.*
2009
est.*
(in millions)
Industry
(in billions)
Fuel has moderated and analysts are
forecasting industry profits for 2009
*First Call mean estimate as of 10/29/08. Does not necessarily reflect the company’s internal forecast.
Merrill Lynch for top ten US airlines –
Nov 2008
Assumes oil at $100/bbl and $30/bbl crack spread
($5.4) July 08
Estimates at July 2008
($60) July 08


Our five point response to the
uncertain environment:
1.
Preserve our strong balance sheet
2.
Cut capacity and redeploy aircraft
3.
Maximize unit revenues
4.
Reduce fuel consumption
5.
Control our non-fuel costs
Leverage our existing strengths


Relatively low leverage outside bankruptcy
34%
75%
75%
78%
83%
88%
92%
93%
100%
114%
-30%
20%
70%
120%
Alaska
Air
Group
Adjusted
Debt-to-Capitalization
Q3
2008
Source:  Company Q3 08 SEC filings
FPA-PS 090308


11%
12%
14%
15%
17%
19%
19%
23%
29%
32%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
US Airways Group
AirTran
United
Delta
Jet Blue
Continental
American
Northwest
Alaska Air Group
Southwest
Strong cash position and
multiple sources of liquidity
Cash as a % of Revenues
Q3 ‘08
Note: Calculated using unrestricted cash and short-term investments at September 30, 2008 divided by revenue for the 12 months ended September 30,
2008. As of October 21, Alaska Air Group had $1.18 billion in cash.
*Does not include 9 aircraft pledged as collateral for line of credit.     Source:  Company earnings releases and 10Qs as of Q3 2008
Fuel hedging cash collateral
Possible sources of
liquidity
$110 million available
on line of credit
$172 million maximum
pre-delivery payment
facility 
6* unencumbered
aircraft, including B737-
800s and Q400s
Forward sale of miles


9.5%
6.8%
9.4%
20.9%
5.8%
13.0%
-6.6%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
4.0%
4.4%
0.1%
7.1%
7.5%
8.0%
3.5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Reduce and redeploy capacity
forecast
forecast
year-over-year %
available seat mile (ASM) growth
Q4 ‘08
Q1 ‘09
2009 forecast
-17%
-12%
Q4 ‘08
Q1 ‘09
2009 forecast
-21%
-19%
-11%
0%
-9%
-14%
Indicates change
in capacity
Indicates change
in departures


Seat supply is being cut, but not as
much on the West Coast
Sources: Industry -
Latest published schedules; AS –
8K filed 11-17-08
Carrier
Mainline Only
AirTran
(6%)
American
(12%)
Continental
(24%)
Delta
(9%)
Frontier
(16%)
JetBlue
(9%)
Northwest
(16%)
Southwest
1%
United
(17%)
US Airways
(11%)
West Coast
(5%)
Alaska -
system
(7.5%)
Domestic
ASM
Chg
-
4Q
08
vs.
4Q
07


Spokane
Spokane
Vancouver
Vancouver
San Diego
San Diego
Butte
Butte
Bozeman
Bozeman
Orlando
Orlando
San Francisco
San Francisco
Zihuatanejo
Zihuatanejo
Cancun
Cancun
Mazatlan
Mazatlan
Calgary
Calgary
Los Angeles
Los Angeles
Mexico City
Mexico City
Los Cabos
Los Cabos
Denver
Denver
San Jose
San Jose
Puerto Vallarta
Puerto Vallarta
Orange County
Orange County
Burbank
Burbank
La Paz
La Paz
Boise
Boise
Las Vegas
Las Vegas
Loreto
Loreto
San Diego
San Diego
Ontario
Ontario
Oakland
Oakland
Long Beach
Long Beach
Portland
Portland
Seattle
Seattle
Klamath Falls
Klamath Falls
North Bend
North Bend
Eugene
Eugene
Santa Rosa
Santa Rosa
Sacramento
Sacramento
Reno
Reno
Redmond
Redmond
Discontinued markets
and decreased capacity
Jan ’07 –
Dec ‘08


Flagstaff
Flagstaff
Anchorage
Anchorage
Boston
Boston
Los Angeles
Los Angeles
Spokane
Spokane
San Diego
San Diego
Palm Springs
Palm Springs
San Jose
San Jose
Lihue (Kauai)
Lihue (Kauai)
Honolulu (Oahu)
Honolulu (Oahu)
Kahului
(Maui)
Kahului
(Maui)
Kona (Hawaii)
Kona (Hawaii)
Santa Rosa
Santa Rosa
Seattle
Seattle
Portland
Portland
San Francisco
San Francisco
Eugene
Eugene
Boise
Boise
Minneapolis
Minneapolis
San Diego
San Diego
Sacramento
Sacramento
Las Vegas
Las Vegas
Cancun
Cancun
Eureka
Eureka
New markets
and increased capacity
Jan ’07 –
Dec ‘08


We are pulling the levers to   
maximize unit revenues
Fare increases
Better yield management
Fuel surcharges on cargo
Mileage Plan (FFP) changes
Ancillary revenue opportunities consistent
with our brand


Fuel continues to be the wildcard


Source: 10K reports as of Dec. 31, 2007
A young, all-737 fleet simplifies our operation
December 2008
737-800
46
737-700
20
737-900
12
737-400
38
All-737 Fleet
116 aircraft
17.5
15
13
12.8
10.8
10
9.4
7.6
4
3.1
0
3
6
9
12
15
18
Northwest
American
United
Delta
US Air
Continental
Southwest
Alaska 2009
AirTran
JetBlue
Average fleet age (years)


Alaska’s aircraft most
fuel-efficient in operation today
Alaska Domestic Mission Rules
1,000 statute miles
Nominal fuel burn
Pax/Bag weight = 220 lb
100% load factor
Better
10.76
11.16
11.65
12.38
12.63
12.75
13.12
15.36
16.49
3
8
13
18
737-900
172 seats
737-800
157 seats
A320  
149 seats
757-200
182 seats
737-700
124 seats
737-400
144 seats
A319  
122 seats
MD-80
140 seats
DC-9 140
125 seats
Fuel gallons per passenger
Source: The Boeing Company


Moving to Q400 single type fleet
~50 aircraft
December 2009
Q400
~50
Q200
16
Q200
16
70 aircraft
CRJ 700
21
Q400
33
December 2007


Horizon’s aircraft are among the
most fuel-efficient
5.8
6.2
6.7
7.1
7.2
7.3
7.7
10.6
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
     Q400  
76 seats
CRJ900
88 seats
      E190  
99 seats
CRJ700
70 seats
    Q200   
37 seats
CRJ200
50 seats
     E170   
72 seats
    B1900  
19 seats
400 statute miles
100% load factor
Better
Fuel gallons per passenger
Source: Bombardier


$0
$25
$50
$75
$100
$125
Q408
2009
2010
2011
Previous Position
Current Position
Improved fuel hedge strike prices
50%
Percent hedged
6%
26%
1%
17%
50%
50%
50%


Capacity reductions will put pressure        
on non-fuel unit costs
Cost per available seat mile
excluding fuel
8.73¢
8.52¢
8.33¢
7.92¢
7.0¢
7.5¢
8.0¢
8.5¢
9.0¢
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
8.01¢
7.81¢
2007
7.50¢
2008
guidance
Reflects 8K guidance as of 8/21/08 SA-IR
7.55¢
2009


Our non-fuel costs are better than legacy
carriers’
but we have more work to do


“You’ve got to be very realistic
about where you are…
but very optimistic
about where
you can be.”
Steve Ballmer
Microsoft CEO


14.2
14.5
11.6
11.8
7.3
4.2
1.7
4.8
4.5
2.5
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sept
Oct
0%
50%
100%
Greatly improved on-time
performance reduces costs
DOT on-time performance


J.D. Power and Associates North America Airlines
Satisfaction Study –
June 16, 2008
More than 19,000 business and leisure travelers
surveyed
Alaska garnered high marks for:
Aircraft
Boarding/deplaning/baggage
Check-in
Flight crews
Reservations
Source: PR Newswire, June 16, 2008
*In a tie with Continental Airlines among North American carriers
Improved on-time, reliability and baggage
handling means higher customer satisfaction


Source:  AAG revenue reports and APGDat.  Size of line indicated relative volume.
Partners drive additional revenue
to and from international points
Big opportunity in Asia



Alaska Air Group is well positioned
to weather the current environment
Realistic about today with credible plan
Optimistic about tomorrow
Strong balance sheet
Young, fuel-efficient, simple fleet
Positioned to benefit from growth                              
through network of code-share partners
Loyal customers and two great brands
A track record of innovation
Focused on delivering shareholder returns