EX-99.2 3 dex992.htm SELECT SLIDES FROM JPMORGAN AVIATION AND TRANSPORTATION CONFERENCE Select Slides from JPMorgan Aviation and Transportation Conference
13.73¢
12.34¢
12.50¢
13.76¢
13.94¢
12.51¢
12.19¢
13.35¢
14.48¢
$2.83
$0.71
$0.86
$0.75
$1.97
$2.17
$1.73
$1.21
$0.90
10¢
20¢
30¢
40¢
$0.00
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
Yield
Jet Fuel Price
The industry problem: Jet fuel
increases are outpacing fare increases
Source:  ATA and U.S. Energy Information Administration
Yield is trip length adjusted  (2000 base) in cents per revenue passenger mile
Exhibit 99.2


Alaska is well prepared to weather
another downturn
Strong hedge portfolio
Young, fuel-efficient, simple fleet
Strong network of codeshare partners, poised to
benefit from Trans-Pac growth
Good progress with cost reduction
Conservative balance sheet with strong liquidity
The PNW and Alaska may fare better economically
than other regions
Management team committed to shareholder returns


Air Group has the second best hedge
position in the industry
Source: Public Data, Bloomberg. May not include recent changes by other airlines.
1
Totals are annualized or estimated from Jet or heating oil positions.
2
Values shown are crude oil equivalents.
Note: The information above is derived from information available at the time this slide was created. Although there may
be
some
inaccuracies
in
the
data
for
other
carriers,
management
does
not
believe
it
would
change
the
Company’s
relative
position.
1Q08
2008
2009
Hedged
$/BBL²
70%
$51
50%
$74
21%      $80
26%
$90
24%
$79
30%
$82
25%
$90
9%       $92
24%      $90
18%
$93+
13%
$90
Hedged
$/BBL²
55%
$51
13%
$83
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
6%
$100
-
-
9%
$86
-
-
-
-
Southwest
Alaska
jetBlue¹
AirTran¹
American
US Airways¹
Frontier¹
Continental¹
Delta1
Northwest
United¹
Hedged
$/BBL²
75%
$51
50%
$67
35%
$77
37%
$90
35%
$77
50%
$78
22%
$64
22%
$90
24%
$90
45%
$88+
13%
$92


An all-737 fleet by year-end
December 2008
737-800
46
737-700
20
737-900
12
737-400
38
All-737 Fleet
116 aircraft
17.5
15
13
12.8
10.8
10
9.4
7.6
4
3.1
0
3
6
9
12
15
18
Northwest
American
United
Delta
US Air
Continental
Southwest
Alaska 2009
AirTran
JetBlue
Average fleet age (years)
Source:  10K reports as of Dec. 31, 2007


Alaska’s aircraft are the most
fuel-efficient in operation today
Alaska Domestic Mission Rules
1,000 statute miles
Nominal fuel burn
Pax/Bag weight = 220 lb
100% load factor
Source: The Boeing Company
Better
13.12
12.63
16.49
15.36
12.75
11.65
11.16
10.76
12.38
3
8
13
18
A319  
122 seats
737-700W
124 seats
DC-9 140
125 seats
MD-80 140
seats
737-400
144 seats
A320  
149 seats
737-800W
157 seats
737-900W
172 seats
757-200
182 seats


Fleet changes and hedges significantly
reduce fuel costs per ASM
Fuel cost per ASM
Fuel cost per ASM
oil @ $100 per barrel
oil @ $100 per barrel
2.9¢
4.6¢
2.4¢
4.2¢
3.9¢
Alaska 2005
Alaska 2008
Raw
Raw
Economic
Economic
Raw
Raw
w/2005
w/2005
fleet
fleet
Economic
Economic
Raw
Raw
in 2008
in 2008
Raw cost
increase = ~60% 
Fleet changes = .4¢
(about $100 million)


Horizon’s fleet is being simplified
Q200
28
Q200
28
69 aircraft
CRJ 700
21
Q400
20
December 2006
68 aircraft
August 2009
CRJ 700
20
Q400
48


Horizon’s aircraft are among
the most fuel-efficient
5.8
6.2
6.7
7.1
7.2
7.3
7.7
10.6
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
     Q400  
76 seats
CRJ900
88 seats
      E190  
99 seats
CRJ700
70 seats
    Q200   
37 seats
CRJ200
50 seats
     E170   
72 seats
    B1900  
19 seats
400 statute miles
100% load factor
Source: Bombardier
Better
Fuel gallons per passenger


Strong partnerships position us well to
capitalize on Trans-Pac growth
Major Domestic
Major Domestic
International
International
International Mileage Plan Only
Regionals
Regionals


Source:  AAG revenue reports and APGDat.  Size of line indicated relative volume.
Los Cabos
Los Cabos
Puerto Vallarta
Puerto Vallarta
Manzanillo
Manzanillo
Guadalajara
Guadalajara
Orlando
Orlando
Loreto
Loreto
Mazatlan
Mazatlan
Chicago
Chicago
Mexico City
Mexico City
Palm Springs
Palm Springs
San Diego
San Diego
Las Vegas
Las Vegas
Phoenix
Phoenix
Tucson
Tucson
Cancun
Cancun
La Paz
La Paz
Vancouver
Vancouver
Lihue
Lihue
Lihue
Honolulu
Honolulu
Honolulu
Miami
Miami
Washington, D.C.
Washington, D.C.
Boston
Boston
New York
New York
(Newark)
(Newark)
Dallas/Ft Worth
Dallas/Ft Worth
Denver
Denver
Spokane
Spokane
Reno
Reno
Sacramento
Sacramento
Boise
Boise
San Jose
San Jose
Oakland
Oakland
Nome
Nome
Barrow
Barrow
Prudhoe Bay
Prudhoe Bay
Kotzebue
Kotzebue
Bethel
Bethel
Dutch
Dutch
Harbor
Harbor
Sitka
Sitka
Dillingham
Dillingham
King Salmon
King Salmon
Kodiak
Kodiak
Fairbanks
Fairbanks
Juneau
Juneau
Petersburg
Petersburg
Wrangell
Wrangell
Anchorage
Anchorage
Yakutat
Yakutat
Glacier Bay/
Glacier Bay/
Cordova
Cordova
Gustavus
Gustavus
Adak
Adak
Ketchikan
Ketchikan
Partners drive additional revenue 
Partners drive additional revenue 
to AAG from international points;
to AAG from international points;
big opportunity in Asia
big opportunity in Asia
Japan/Asia
Japan/Asia
Northwest
Northwest
Cathay
Cathay
Ontario
Ontario
Burbank
Burbank
Orange County
Orange County
Long Beach
Long Beach
Los Angeles Int'l
Los Angeles Int'l
Seattle
Seattle
Portland
Portland
San Francisco Int'l
San Francisco Int'l
Caribbean/South America
Caribbean/South America
American
American
Europe/Middle East/Africa
Europe/Middle East/Africa
Northwest/KLM
Northwest/KLM
Air France
Air France
British
British
South America
South America
Lan
Lan
Australia/New Zealand
Australia/New Zealand
Qantas
Qantas


Possible growth to Asia and
Europe out of SEA with B787
Anchorage
Anchorage
Portland
Portland
Los Angeles
Los Angeles
International
International
Seattle
Seattle
Possible expansion
out of LAX


We have a track record of
unit cost improvements
Alaska Airlines cost per ASM
excluding fuel
8.73¢
8.52¢
8.34¢
7.92¢
7.0¢
7.5¢
8.0¢
8.5¢
9.0¢
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
8.01¢
7.81¢
2007
Continuous
Improvement
7.50¢
2008
Estimate
7.50¢


14%
17%
18%
20%
21%
21%
23%
24%
24%
28%
29%
0%
10%
20%
30%
AirTran
Delta
United
American
Continental
Frontier
Alaska Air Group
US Airways Group
Northwest
Southwest
Jet Blue
We have a strong cash position and
multiple sources of additional liquidity
Cash as a % of Revenues
Q4 2007
Note: *Calculated using unrestricted cash and short-term investments at December 31, 2007 divided by
revenue for the 12 months ended December 31, 2007.
Source:  Company earnings releases and 10Qs as of Q4 2007
Sources of additional
liquidity
$185 million line of credit
facility
$172 million maximum pre-
delivery payment facility 
Unencumbered aircraft,
including  B737-800s


The Pacific Northwest and Alaska may fare
better economically than other regions
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Euro
AUD
GBP
JPY
CAD
USD to:
As the dollar continues
to lose ground…
Higher growth in real personal
income is expected
3.6%
1.6%
2.6%
3.2%
4.8%
2.8%
3.6%
4.0%
0%
2%
4%
6%
2007
2008
2009
2010
United States
State of Washington
Source: Economic and Revenue Forecast Council of the State of
Washington, Feb 2008
Real personal income growth forecasts
Housing prices are stable
0.5%
1.2%
-8.9%
-12%
-8%
-4%
0%
4%
US National
Index
Seattle
Portland
Source: Standard % Poors/Case-Shiller
Home
Price Indices as of December 2007,
published Feb 2008
US Home Price Indices -
Changes in December 2007
Washington exports stand to benefit
Washington State Export Data, 2007
5%
21%
64%
10%
Source: NAICS Export Data -
Trade Stats Express Data
Transportation
Equipment
All other
Agriculture
Computers and
Electronics


3.4%
5.3%
7.9%
6.1%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
2004
2005
2006
2007
AAG ROIC History from 2003 to 2007
Management and the Board are committed
to providing returns to capital providers
Adjusted for hedge MTM and unusual items


ALK shareholders have fared better
than shareholders at other carriers
since our initial stock repurchase
-31%
-44%
-46%
-59%
-23%
-33%
-26%
-24%
-15%
6%
-70%
-60%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
Overall change in share price
Sept 13, 2007 through Feb 29, 2008
-42%
-51%
-61%
-70%
-37%
-42%
-41%
-41%
-20%
-20%
-70%
-60%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
Overall change in share price
Sept 13, 2007 through Mar 12, 2008
Source: Bloomberg