EX-99.1 2 dex991.htm PRESS RELEASE Press Release

Exhibit 99.1

 

Contact:

   Shannon Alberts    -or-    Amanda Tobin Bielawski
   Investor Relations       Corporate Communications
   206/392-5218       206/392-5134

 

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE    January 24, 2008

ALASKA AIR GROUP REPORTS 2007 FULL YEAR AND FOURTH QUARTER RESULTS

SEATTLE — Alaska Air Group, Inc. (NYSE:ALK) today reported full-year net income of $125.0 million, or $3.09 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $52.6 million, or $1.39 per share, in 2006. The prior year results include charges related to the transition to an all-Boeing 737 fleet at Alaska Airlines and for voluntary severance programs related to new labor contracts. Both periods include adjustments resulting from mark-to-market fuel hedge accounting. Excluding the impact of these items, the company would have reported net income of $92.3 million, or $2.28 per diluted share, compared to net income of $137.7 million, or $3.45 per diluted share, in 2006.

The company reported fourth quarter net income of $7.4 million, or $0.19 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $11.6 million, or $0.29 per share, in 2006. Similar to the items noted above, both periods include mark-to-market fuel hedge accounting adjustments and 2006 includes a favorable adjustment related to the voluntary severance programs. Excluding the impact of these adjustments, the company would have reported a fourth quarter net loss of $17.9 million, or $0.46 per share, compared to a net loss of $3.4 million, or $0.08 per share, in 2006. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures can be found on page 6.

“It’s frustrating to report a fourth quarter adjusted loss in what has been a solid year relative to other carriers,” said Bill Ayer, chairman and CEO. “The loss was driven primarily by skyrocketing fuel costs combined with fares that have not kept pace. However, our fleet transition, fuel hedging program and other efforts to reduce fuel consumption put us in an excellent position to compete in this difficult environment.”

Alaska Airlines’ mainline passenger traffic in the fourth quarter increased 6.0 percent on a capacity increase of 4.6 percent. Load factor increased by 1.0 percentage points to 74.7 percent. Alaska’s mainline operating revenue per available seat mile (ASM) increased 2.7 percent and its operating costs per ASM excluding fuel and the special items mentioned above decreased 3.0 percent from the prior year. Alaska’s total pretax income for the quarter was $15.2 million, compared to a pretax loss of $12.1 million in 2006. Excluding the items noted above, Alaska would have reported a pretax loss of $18.8 million for the quarter compared to a $1.9 million pretax loss in the fourth quarter of 2006.


Horizon Air’s combined passenger traffic in the fourth quarter increased 9.7 percent on a 10.3 percent capacity increase. Load factor declined by 0.4 percentage points to 72.6 percent. Horizon’s combined operating revenue per ASM increased 3.9 percent and its operating costs per ASM excluding fuel decreased 0.8 percent. Horizon’s total pretax loss for the quarter was $4.8 million, compared to a pretax loss of $3.5 million in 2006. Excluding mark-to-market fuel-hedge accounting adjustments, Horizon’s pretax loss was $11.2 million for the quarter compared to a pretax loss of $0.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2006.

Alaska Air Group had cash and short-term investments at Dec. 31, 2007, of $823 million. The company repurchased 2,593,282 shares of its common stock for $62.8 million through Dec. 31, 2007, pursuant to the $100 million share repurchase program authorized by the Board of Directors in September 2007. As of yesterday, the company had repurchased 3,292,882 shares of its common stock for a total of $79.3 million.

A summary of financial and statistical data for Alaska Airlines and Horizon Air, as well as a reconciliation of the reported non-GAAP financial measures, can be found on pages 7 through 11.

A conference call regarding the full year and fourth quarter 2007 results will be simulcast via the Internet at 8:30 a.m. Pacific Time on Jan. 24, 2008. It can be accessed through the company’s Web site at alaskaair.com. For those unable to listen to the live broadcast, a replay will be available after the conclusion of the call at alaskaair.com.

 

2


References in this report to “Air Group,” “Company,” “we,” “us,” and “our” refer to Alaska Air Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries, unless otherwise specified. Alaska Airlines, Inc. and Horizon Air Industries, Inc. are referred to as “Alaska” and “Horizon,” respectively, and together as our “airlines.”

This report contains forward-looking statements that are intended to be subject to the safe harbor protection provided by Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements relate to future events or our future financial performance and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause our actual results or performance to be materially different from those indicated by any forward-looking statements. In some cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by terminology such as “forecast,” “may,” “will,” “could,” “should,” “expect,” “plan,” “believe,” “potential” or other similar words indicating future events or contingencies. Some of the things that could cause our actual results to differ from our expectations are: the competitive environment and other trends in our industry; changes in our operating costs including fuel, which can be volatile; our ability to meet our cost reduction goals; our inability to achieve or maintain profitability and fluctuations in our quarterly results; our significant indebtedness; the implementation of our growth strategy; the amounts of potential lease termination payments with lessors for our remaining MD-80 leased aircraft and related sublease payments from sub lessees, if applicable; compliance with our financial covenants; potential downgrades of our credit ratings and the availability of financing; the concentration of our revenue from a few key markets; general economic conditions, as well as economic conditions in the geographic regions we serve; actual or threatened terrorist attacks; global instability and potential U.S. military actions or activities; insurance costs; labor disputes; our ability to attract and retain qualified personnel; an aircraft accident or incident; liability and other claims asserted against us; operational disruptions; increases in government fees and taxes; changes in laws and regulations; our reliance on automated systems; and our reliance on third-party vendors and partners. For a discussion of these and other risk factors, see Item 1A of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2006. All of the forward- looking statements are qualified in their entirety by reference to the risk factors discussed therein. These risk factors may not be exhaustive. We operate in a continually changing business environment, and new risk factors emerge from time to time. Management cannot predict such new risk factors, nor can it assess the impact, if any, of such new risk factors on our business or events described in any forward-looking statements. We disclaim any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements after the date of this press release to conform them to actual results. Over time, our actual results, performance or achievements will likely differ from the anticipated results, performance or achievements that are expressed or implied by our forward-looking statements, and such differences might be significant and materially adverse.

# # #

Alaska Airlines and sister carrier, Horizon Air, together serve 92 cities through an expansive network throughout Alaska, the Lower 48, Hawaii, Canada and Mexico. For reservations visit alaskaair.com. For more news and information, visit the Alaska Airlines/Horizon Air newsroom at http://newsroom.alaskaair.com.

 

3


ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS (unaudited)

(In Millions, Except Per Share Amounts)

 

     Three Months Ended
December 31,
    Twelve Months Ended
December 31,
 
     2007     2006     2007     2006  

Operating Revenues:

        

Passenger

   $ 784.3     $ 724.6     $ 3,236.5     $ 3,083.0  

Freight and mail

     22.2       22.5       97.8       97.3  

Other - net

     46.9       43.2       171.7       154.1  
                                

Total Operating Revenues

     853.4       790.3       3,506.0       3,334.4  
                                

Operating Expenses:

        

Wages and benefits

     243.2       240.8       957.9       937.0  

Variable incentive pay

     3.6       12.7       20.8       36.8  

Aircraft fuel, including hedging gains and losses

     220.5       219.8       876.3       873.5  

Aircraft maintenance

     65.1       62.1       241.8       230.7  

Aircraft rent

     45.2       43.6       178.4       180.2  

Landing fees and other rentals

     56.7       51.6       226.0       204.0  

Contracted services

     41.8       38.9       160.6       153.2  

Selling expenses

     37.7       36.7       160.5       169.3  

Depreciation and amortization

     45.1       43.4       177.4       157.5  

Food and beverage service

     12.8       12.9       49.7       51.2  

Other

     62.8       53.6       230.5       214.0  

Fleet transition costs - Alaska

     —         —         —         189.5  

Fleet transition costs - Horizon

     3.5       —         14.1       —    

Restructuring charges and adjustments

     —         (7.6 )     —         24.8  
                                

Total Operating Expenses

     838.0       808.5       3,294.0       3,421.7  
                                

Operating Income (Loss)

     15.4       (18.2 )     212.0       (87.3 )
                                

Nonoperating Income (Expense):

        

Interest income

     11.9       14.9       53.9       54.3  

Interest expense

     (21.7 )     (20.4 )     (88.0 )     (78.0 )

Interest capitalized

     6.9       7.1       27.8       24.7  

Other - net

     (2.9 )     —         (4.1 )     (1.5 )
                                
     (5.8 )     1.6       (10.4 )     (0.5 )
                                

Income (loss) before income tax

     9.6       (16.6 )     201.6       (87.8 )

Income tax expense (benefit)

     2.2       (5.0 )     76.6       (35.2 )
                                

Net Income (Loss)

   $ 7.4     $ (11.6 )   $ 125.0     $ (52.6 )
                                

Basic Earnings (Loss) Per Share:

   $ 0.19       ($0.29 )   $ 3.12       ($1.39 )

Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share:

   $ 0.19       ($0.29 )   $ 3.09       ($1.39 )

Shares Used for Computation:

        

Basic

     39.210       40.214       40.125       37.939  

Diluted

     39.393       40.214       40.424       37.939  

 

4


Alaska Air Group, Inc.

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (unaudited)

 

(In Millions)

   December 31,
2007
   December 31,
2006

Cash and marketable securities

   $ 823    $ 1,014
             

Total current assets

     1,391      1,572

Property and equipment-net

     2,962      2,359

Other assets

     138      146
             

Total assets

   $ 4,491    $ 4,077
             

Current liabilities

   $ 1,388    $ 1,236

Long-term debt

     1,125      1,032

Other liabilities and credits

     954      923

Shareholders’ equity

     1,024      886
             

Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity

   $ 4,491    $ 4,077
             

Debt to Capitalization, adjusted for operating leases

     70%:30%      72%:28%
             

Number of common shares outstanding

     38.051      40.294
             

 

5


Air Group Net Income (Loss) and EPS Reconciliation:

The following table summarizes Alaska Air Group, Inc.’s net income (loss) and amounts per share during 2007 and 2006 excluding adjustments to reflect the timing of gain or loss recognition resulting from mark-to-market fuel-hedge accounting, fleet transition costs related to the impairment of the MD-80 fleet, and restructuring charges and adjustments, as reported in accordance with GAAP (in millions except per share amounts):

 

     Three Months Ended December 31,  
     2007     2006  
     Dollars     Diluted EPS     Dollars     Diluted EPS  
                                

Net loss and diluted EPS, excluding mark-to-market hedging adjustments, and restructuring charges

   $ (17.9 )   $ (0.46 )   $ (3.4 )   $ (0.08 )

Adjustments to reflect the timing of gain or loss recognition resulting from mark-to-market fuel-hedge accounting, net of tax

     25.3       0.65       (13.0 )     (0.33 )

Restructuring charges and adjustments, net of tax

     —         —         4.8       0.12  
                                

Reported GAAP amounts

   $ 7.4     $ 0.19     $ (11.6 )   $ (0.29 )
                                
     Twelve Months Ended December 31,  
     2007     2006  
     Dollars     Diluted EPS     Dollars     Diluted EPS*  

Net income and diluted EPS, excluding mark-to-market hedging adjustments, Alaska fleet transition costs, and restructuring charges

   $ 92.3     $ 2.28     $ 137.7     $ 3.45  

Effect of dilutive shares*

         NA       0.17  

Adjustments to reflect timing of gain or loss recognition resulting from mark-to-market fuel-hedge accounting, net of tax

     32.7       0.81       (56.3 )     (1.48 )

Fleet transition - Alaska, net of tax

     —         —         (118.5 )     (3.12 )

Restructuring charges and adjustments, net of tax

     —         —         (15.5 )     (0.41 )
                                

Reported GAAP amounts

   $ 125.0     $ 3.09     $ (52.6 )   $ (1.39 )
                                

 

* Diluted earnings per share for the twelve months ended December 31, 2006, excluding the impact of the mark-to-market losses on fuel hedges, fleet transition costs, and restructuring charges and adjustments has been calculated using the dilutive weighted-average number of shares outstanding of 40.386 million.

In order to reconcile the diluted earnings per share on an adjusted basis to the GAAP loss per share for twelve months ended December 31, 2006, the table above includes $0.17 per share, which represents the impact of the additional shares that were used in the adjusted diluted earnings per share. Additionally, $1.6 million of interest, net of tax, on the convertible senior notes that were outstanding during the first quarter of the year was added back to earnings for the twelve months ended December 31, 2006 in order to derive the diluted earnings per share on an adjusted basis.

The per share impact of the mark-to-market losses on fuel hedges, fleet transition costs, and restructuring and impairment charges have been presented in the table above using the basic shares outstanding of 37.939 million for the twelve months ended December 31, 2006.

 

6


Alaska Airlines Financial and Statistical Data

 

     Three Months Ended December 31,     Twelve Months Ended December 31,  

Financial Data (in millions):

   2007     2006     % Change     2007     2006     % Change  

Operating Revenues:

            

Passenger

   $ 612.8     $ 570.6     7.4     $ 2,547.2     $ 2,453.1     3.8  

Freight and mail

     21.3       21.6     (1.4 )     94.2       93.4     0.9  

Other - net

     41.3       36.6     12.8       147.1       129.6     13.5  
                              

Total mainline operating revenues

     675.4       628.8         2,788.5       2,676.1    

Passenger - purchased capacity

     71.9       3.4     NM       281.4       16.4     NM  
                              

Total Operating Revenues

     747.3       632.2     18.2       3,069.9       2,692.5     14.0  
                              

Operating Expenses:

            

Wages and benefits

     191.0       190.4     0.3       752.9       743.3     1.3  

Variable incentive pay

     2.3       10.4     (77.9 )     13.5       27.7     (51.3 )

Aircraft fuel, including hedging gains and losses

     182.2       189.8     (4.0 )     737.5       757.0     (2.6 )

Aircraft maintenance

     42.0       38.2     9.9       149.8       156.8     (4.5 )

Aircraft rent

     29.5       26.3     12.2       112.8       110.9     1.7  

Landing fees and other rentals

     42.8       40.3     6.2       170.1       158.2     7.5  

Contracted services

     32.9       30.2     8.9       124.1       117.5     5.6  

Selling expenses

     30.0       31.5     (4.8 )     129.3       141.5     (8.6 )

Depreciation and amortization

     36.2       38.2     (5.2 )     142.3       137.8     3.3  

Food and beverage service

     12.1       12.2     (0.8 )     46.9       48.3     (2.9 )

Other

     48.1       42.7     12.6       173.1       161.1     7.4  

Fleet transition costs

     —         —       NM       —         189.5     NM  

Restructuring charges and adjustments

     —         (7.6 )   NM       —         24.8     NM  
                                    

Total mainline operating expenses

     649.1       642.6     1.0       2,552.3       2,774.4     (8.0 )
                                    

Purchased capacity costs

     80.7       3.2     NM       302.8       14.3     NM  
                                    

Total Operating Expenses

     729.8       645.8         2,855.1       2,788.7    
                                    

Operating Income (Loss)

     17.5       (13.6 )   NM       214.8       (96.2 )   NM  
                                    

Interest income

     15.1       15.1         64.8       56.3    

Interest expense

     (21.3 )     (19.8 )       (86.2 )     (73.3 )  

Interest capitalized

     6.6       6.0         25.7       21.5    

Other - net

     (2.7 )     0.2         (3.1 )     (0.5 )  
                                    
     (2.3 )     1.5         1.2       4.0    
                                    

Income (Loss) Before Income Tax

   $ 15.2     $ (12.1 )     $ 216.0     $ (92.2 )  
                                    

Mainline Operating Statistics:

            

Revenue passengers (000)

     4,191       4,107     2.0       17,558       17,165     2.3  

RPMs (000,000) “traffic”

     4,498       4,243     6.0       18,451       17,822     3.5  

ASMs (000,000) “capacity”

     6,020       5,755     4.6       24,208       23,278     4.0  

Passenger load factor

     74.7 %     73.7 %   1.0pts       76.2 %     76.6 %   (0.4 )pts

Yield per passenger mile

     13.62 ¢     13.45 ¢   1.3       13.81 ¢     13.76 ¢   0.3  

Operating revenue per ASM

     11.22 ¢     10.93 ¢   2.7       11.52 ¢     11.50 ¢   0.2  

Passenger revenue per ASM

     10.18 ¢     9.91 ¢   2.7       10.52 ¢     10.54 ¢   (0.2 )

Operating expense per ASM

     10.78 ¢     11.17 ¢   (3.5 )     10.54 ¢     11.92 ¢   (11.6 )

Aircraft fuel per ASM

     3.02 ¢     3.30 ¢   (8.3 )     3.04 ¢     3.25 ¢   (6.4 )

Fleet transition costs per ASM (a)

     —         —       NM       —         0.81 ¢   NM  

Restructuring charges per ASM (a)

     —         -0.13 ¢   NM       —         0.11 ¢   NM  

Operating expense per ASM excluding fuel, restructuring charges and fleet transition costs (a)

     7.76 ¢     8.00 ¢   (3.0 )     7.50 ¢     7.75 ¢   (3.2 )

GAAP fuel cost per gallon

   $ 2.09     $ 2.18     (4.3 )   $ 2.08     $ 2.14     (2.6 )

Economic fuel cost per gallon (b)

   $ 2.48     $ 1.98     25.2     $ 2.20     $ 1.92     15.1  

Fuel gallons (000,000)

     87.2       87.1     0.1       354.3       354.3     0.0  

Average number of full-time equivalent employees

     9,672       9,485     2.0       9,679       9,322     3.8  

Aircraft utilization (blk hrs/day)

     10.7       10.6     0.9       10.9       11.0     (0.9 )

Average aircraft stage length (miles)

     946       914     3.5       926       919     0.8  

Operating fleet at period-end

     115       114     1 a/c       115       114     1 a/c  

Regional Operating Statistics:

            

RPMs (000,000)

     287       9     NM       1,099       41     NM  

ASMs (000,000)

     386       15     NM       1,453       67     NM  

NM = Not Meaningful

 

(a) See page 9 for a reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures and a discussion about why these measures may be important to investors.

 

(b) See page 11 for a reconciliation of economic fuel cost.

 

7


Horizon Air Financial and Statistical Data

 

     Three Months Ended December 31,     Twelve Months Ended December 31,  

Financial Data (in millions):

   2007     2006     % Change     2007     2006     % Change  

Operating Revenues:

            

Passenger (a)

   $ 179.6     $ 155.0     15.9     $ 709.2     $ 633.1     12.0  

Freight and mail

     0.5       0.9     (44.4 )     2.3       3.9     (41.0 )

Other - net

     1.8       2.9     (37.9 )     6.9       7.0     (1.4 )
                                    

Total Operating Revenues

     181.9       158.8     14.5       718.4       644.0     11.6  
                                    

Operating Expenses:

            

Wages and benefits

     51.1       49.0     4.3       201.2       189.3     6.3  

Variable incentive pay

     1.3       2.3     (43.5 )     7.3       9.1     (19.8 )

Aircraft fuel, including hedging gains and losses

     38.3       30.0     27.7       138.8       116.5     19.1  

Aircraft maintenance

     23.1       23.9     (3.3 )     92.0       73.9     24.5  

Aircraft rent

     15.7       17.3     (9.2 )     65.6       69.3     (5.3 )

Landing fees and other rentals

     14.1       11.6     21.6       56.9       46.9     21.3  

Contracted services

     7.2       6.9     4.3       27.1       27.0     0.4  

Selling expenses

     7.7       6.3     22.2       31.2       31.5     (1.0 )

Depreciation and amortization

     8.6       4.9     75.5       33.9       18.5     83.2  

Food and beverage service

     0.7       0.7     (0.0 )     2.8       2.9     (3.4 )

Other

     12.3       9.9     24.2       48.0       46.9     2.3  

Fleet transition costs

     3.5       —       NM       14.1       —       NM  
                                    

Total Operating Expenses

     183.6       162.8     12.8       718.9       631.8     13.8  
                                    

Operating Income (Loss)

     (1.7 )     (4.0 )   NM       (0.5 )     12.2     NM  
                                    

Interest income

     1.1       1.0         4.5       3.7    

Interest expense

     (4.5 )     (1.6 )       (16.6 )     (7.4 )  

Interest capitalized

     0.3       1.1         2.1       3.2    

Other - net

     —         —           (0.1 )     —      
                                    
     (3.1 )     0.5         (10.1 )     (0.5 )  
                                    

Income (Loss) Before Income Tax

   $ (4.8 )   $ (3.5 )     $ (10.6 )   $ 11.7    
                                    

Combined Operating Statistics: (a)

            

Revenue passengers (000)

     1,930       1,689     14.3       7,552       6,860     10.1  

RPMs (000,000) “traffic”

     723       659     9.7       2,918       2,691     8.4  

ASMs (000,000) “capacity”

     996       903     10.3       3,978       3,632     9.5  

Passenger load factor

     72.6 %     73.0 %   (0.4 )pts     73.4 %     74.1 %   (0.7 )pts

Yield per passenger mile

     24.84 ¢     23.52 ¢   5.6       24.30 ¢     23.53 ¢   3.3  

Operating revenue per ASM

     18.26 ¢     17.59 ¢   3.9       18.06 ¢     17.73 ¢   1.9  

Operating expenses per ASM

     18.43 ¢     18.03 ¢   2.2       18.07 ¢     17.40 ¢   3.9  

Aircraft fuel per ASM

     3.84 ¢     3.32 ¢   15.4       3.49 ¢     3.21 ¢   8.8  

Operating expense per ASM excluding fuel (b)

     14.59 ¢     14.71 ¢   (0.8 )     14.58 ¢     14.19 ¢   2.8  

Fleet transition costs per ASM (b)

     0.35 ¢     —       NM       0.35 ¢     —       NM  

Operating expense per ASM excluding fuel and fleet transition costs (b)

     14.24 ¢     14.71 ¢   (3.2 )     14.23 ¢     14.19 ¢   0.3  

GAAP fuel cost per gallon

   $ 2.18     $ 2.19     (0.8 )   $ 2.14     $ 2.14     0.1  

Economic fuel cost per gallon (c)

   $ 2.54     $ 1.98     28.5     $ 2.28     $ 1.93     17.9  

Fuel gallons (000,000)

     17.6       13.7     28.5       64.8       54.3     19.3  

Average number of full-time equivalent employees

     3,887       3,670     5.9       3,806       3,611     5.4  

Aircraft utilization (blk hrs/day)

     8.4       8.6     (2.3 )     8.6       8.8     (2.3 )

Operating fleet at period-end

     70       69     1 a/c       70       69     1 a/c  

NM = Not Meaningful

 

(a) Represents combined information for all Horizon flights, including those operated under Capacity Purchase Agreements (CPAs) with Alaska and as Frontier Jet Express. See page 10 for additional line of business information.

 

(b) See pages 9 and 10 for a reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures and a discussion about why these measures may be important to investors.

 

(c) See page 11 for a reconciliation of economic fuel cost.

 

8


Note A: Pursuant to Regulation G, we are providing disclosure of the reconciliation of reported non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable financial measures reported on a GAAP basis. We believe that consideration of this measure of unit costs excluding fuel, purchased capacity costs, and other noted items may be important to investors for the following reasons:

 

   

Cost per available seat mile (ASM) excluding fuel, purchased capacity costs, and other special items is one of the most important measures used by managements of both Alaska and Horizon and the Air Group Board of Directors in assessing quarterly and annual cost performance and, for Alaska Airlines, the operating results of the “mainline” operation, which includes the operation of the B737 and MD80 aircraft fleets branded in Alaska Airlines livery.

 

   

Cost per ASM excluding fuel, purchased capacity costs, and other items as specified in our governing documents is an important metric in the employee incentive plan that covers company management and executives.

 

   

By eliminating fuel expense from our unit cost metrics, we believe that we have better visibility into the results of our non-fuel cost-reduction initiatives. Our industry is highly competitive, and characterized by high fixed costs, so even a small reduction in non-fuel operating costs can result in a significant improvement in operating results. In addition, we believe that all domestic carriers are similarly impacted by changes in jet fuel costs over the long run, so it is important for management (and thus investors) to understand the impact of (and trends in) company specific cost drivers such as labor rates and productivity, airport costs, and maintenance costs, which are more controllable by management.

 

   

Cost per ASM excluding fuel and purchased capacity costs is a measure commonly used by industry analysts and we believe it is the basis by which they compare our airlines to others in the industry. The measure is also the subject of frequent questions from holders of our common stock.

 

   

By eliminating the impact of certain noted items, management is provided the ability to measure and monitor performance both with and without these special items. Management believes that the disclosure of the impact of certain items such as the fleet transition costs and restructuring charges is important to the reader as it provides information on significant items that are not indicative of future performance. Industry analysts and investors consistently measure the Company’s performance without these items for better comparability between periods and between other airlines.

 

   

Although we disclose our “mainline” unit revenues for Alaska to eliminate those revenues associated with purchased capacity flying performed by others on our behalf, we do not (nor are we able to) present unit revenues excluding the impact that rising fuel costs have had on ticket prices. This is a limitation of our non-GAAP measure that excludes fuel from unit costs, as fuel represents nearly 30% of our total mainline operating expenses, and fluctuations in our fuel prices are often the driver of changes in unit revenues in the mid-to long term. We would caution the readers of these financial statements not to place undue reliance on unit costs excluding fuel as a measure or predictor of future profitability.

The following tables reconcile our non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures for both Alaska Airlines, Inc. and Horizon Air Industries, Inc.:

Alaska Airlines, Inc.

(in millions, except for per ASM unit information)

 

     Three Months Ended December 31,     Twelve Months Ended December 31,  
     2007     2006     2007     2006  

Mainline unit cost reconciliations:

        

Mainline operating expenses

   $ 649.1     $ 642.6     $ 2,552.3     $ 2,774.4  

Mainline ASMs

     6,020       5,755       24,208       23,278  
                                

Mainline operating expenses per ASM

     10.78 ¢     11.17 ¢     10.54 ¢     11.92 ¢
                                

Mainline operating expenses

   $ 649.1     $ 642.6     $ 2,552.3     $ 2,774.4  

Less: aircraft fuel

     (182.2 )     (189.8 )     (737.5 )     (757.0 )

Less: fleet transition costs

     —         —         —         (189.5 )

Less: restructuring charges and adjustments

     —         7.6       —         (24.8 )
                                

Mainline operating expenses excluding fuel, fleet transition costs, and restructuring charges and adjustments

   $ 466.9     $ 460.4     $ 1,814.8     $ 1,803.1  

Mainline ASMs

     6,020       5,755       24,208       23,278  
                                

Mainline operating expenses per ASM excluding fuel, fleet transition costs, and restructuring charges and adjustments

     7.76 ¢     8.00 ¢     7.50 ¢     7.75 ¢
                                
     Three Months Ended December 31,     Twelve Months Ended December 31,  
     2007     2006     2007     2006  

Reconciliation to GAAP income (loss) before taxes :

        

Income (loss) before taxes, excluding mark-to-market hedging gains (losses), fleet transition costs, and restructuring charges and adjustments

   $ (18.8 )   $ (1.9 )   $ 172.7     $ 200.5  

Adjustments to reflect timing of gain or loss recognition resulting from mark-to-market accounting on fuel hedges

     34.0       (17.8 )     43.3       (78.4 )

Less: fleet transition costs

     —         —         —         (189.5 )

Less: restructuring charges and adjustments

     —         7.6       —         (24.8 )
                                

GAAP income (loss) before taxes as reported

   $ 15.2     $ (12.1 )   $ 216.0     $ (92.2 )
                                

 

9


Horizon Air Industries, Inc.

 

(in millions, except for per ASM unit information)

   Three Months Ended December 31,     Twelve Months Ended December 31,  
     2007     2006     2007     2006  

Unit cost reconciliations:

        

Operating expenses

   $ 183.6     $ 162.8     $ 718.9     $ 631.8  

ASMs

     996       903       3,978       3,632  
                                

Operating expenses per ASM

     18.43 ¢     18.03 ¢     18.07 ¢     17.40 ¢
                                

Operating expenses

   $ 183.6     $ 162.8     $ 718.9     $ 631.8  

Less: aircraft fuel

     (38.3 )     (30.0 )     (138.8 )     (116.5 )
                                

Operating expenses excluding fuel

   $ 145.3     $ 132.8     $ 580.1     $ 515.3  

ASMs

     996       903       3,978       3,632  
                                

Operating expenses per ASM excluding fuel

     14.59 ¢     14.71 ¢     14.58 ¢     14.19 ¢
                                

Unit cost reconciliations-excluding fleet transition costs:

        

Operating expenses

   $ 183.6     $ 162.8     $ 718.9     $ 631.8  

Less: aircraft fuel

     (38.3 )     (30.0 )     (138.8 )     (116.5 )

Less: fleet transition costs

     (3.5 )     —         (14.1 )     —    
                                

Operating expenses excluding fuel and fleet transition costs

   $ 141.8     $ 132.8     $ 566.0     $ 515.3  

ASMs

     996       903       3,978       3,632  
                                

Operating expenses per ASM excluding fuel and fleet transition costs

     14.24 ¢     14.71 ¢     14.23 ¢     14.19 ¢
                                

Reconciliation to GAAP income (loss) before taxes:

        

Income (loss) before taxes, excluding mark-to-market fuel hedging gains (losses)

   $ (11.2 )   $ (0.5 )   $ (19.5 )   $ 23.2  

Adjustments to reflect timing of gain or loss recognition resulting from mark-to-market accounting on fuel hedges

     (6.4 )     (3.0 )     8.9       (11.5 )
                                

GAAP income (loss) before taxes as reported

   $ (4.8 )   $ (3.5 )   $ (10.6 )   $ 11.7  
                                

Line of Business Information:

Horizon brand flying includes those routes in the Horizon system not covered by the Alaska and Frontier Capacity Purchase Agreements (CPA). Horizon bears the revenue risk in those markets and, as a result, traffic, yield and load factor impact revenue recorded by Horizon. In both CPA arrangements, Horizon is insulated from market revenue factors and is guaranteed contractual revenue amounts based on operational capacity. As a result, yield and load factor information is not presented.

 

     Three Months Ended December 31, 2007  
     Capacity and Mix     Load Factor     Yield     RASM  
     Actual
(000,000)
   % Change     Current %
Total
    Point Change
Yr-over-Yr
    Actual     Point Change
Yr-over-Yr
    Actual     % Change     Actual     % Change  

Brand Flying

   568,100    30.0 %   57 %   8     70.3 %   (4.0 )   24.86 ¢   (7.7 )   17.88 ¢   (13.7 )

Alaska CPA

   369,202    39.8 %   37 %   8     NM     NM     NM     NM     20.60 ¢   (1.1 )

Frontier CPA

   58,727    -70.9 %   6 %   (16 )   NM     NM     NM     NM     7.33 ¢   11.4  
                                                           

System Total

   996,029    10.3 %   100 %   —       72.6 %   (0.4 )   24.84 ¢   5.6     18.26 ¢   3.9  
                                                           
     Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2007  
     Capacity and Mix     Load Factor     Yield     RASM  
     Actual
(000,000)
   % Change     Current %
Total
    Point Change
Yr-over-Yr
    Actual     Point Change
Yr-over-Yr
    Actual     % Change     Actual     % Change  

Brand Flying

   2,086,047    19.6     52 %   4     71.8 %   (2.4 )   26.14 ¢   (5.9 )   19.20 ¢   (8.8 )

Alaska CPA

   1,383,271    29.7     35 %   6     NM     NM     NM     NM     20.49 ¢   (2.7 )

Frontier CPA

   508,990    (38.1 )   13 %   (10 )   NM     NM     NM     NM     6.77 ¢   6.0  
                                                           

System Total

   3,978,308    9.5     100 %   —       73.4 %   (0.7 )   24.30 ¢   3.3     18.06 ¢   1.9  
                                                           

NM= Not Meaningful.

 

10


Alaska Airlines Fuel Reconciliation

(in millions, except for per gallon amounts)

 

     Three Months Ended December 31,  
     2007     2006  
     Dollars     Cost/Gal     Dollars     Cost/Gal  

Raw or “into-plane” fuel cost

   $ 240.5     $ 2.76     $ 180.0     $ 2.07  

Minus gains during the period on settled hedges

     (24.3 )     (0.28 )     (8.0 )     (0.09 )
                                

Economic fuel expense

   $ 216.2     $ 2.48     $ 172.0     $ 1.98  
                                

Minus the gain, or plus the loss, recognized during current period for contracts settling in future periods

     (47.6 )     (0.55 )     7.2       0.08  

Plus cumulative gains recognized in prior periods for contracts settled in current period

     13.6       0.16       10.6       0.12  
                                

Net adjustments

     (34.0 )     (0.39 )     17.8       0.20  
                          

GAAP fuel expense

   $ 182.2     $ 2.09     $ 189.8     $ 2.18  
                                

Fuel gallons

     87.2         87.1    
                    
     Twelve Months Ended December 31,  
     2007     2006  
     Dollars     Cost/Gal     Dollars     Cost/Gal  

Raw or “into-plane” fuel cost

   $ 825.7     $ 2.33     $ 765.6     $ 2.16  

Minus gains during the period on settled hedges

     (44.9 )     (0.13 )     (87.0 )     (0.24 )
                                

Economic fuel expense

   $ 780.8     $ 2.20     $ 678.6     $ 1.92  
                                

Minus the gain, or plus the loss, recognized during current period for contracts settling in future periods

     (62.8 )     (0.18 )     5.1       0.01  

Plus cumulative gains recognized in prior periods for contracts settled in current period

     19.5       0.06       73.3       0.21  
                                

Net adjustments

     (43.3 )     (0.12 )     78.4       0.22  
                                

GAAP fuel expense

   $ 737.5     $ 2.08     $ 757.0     $ 2.14  
                                

Fuel gallons

     354.3         354.3    
                    

Horizon Air Fuel Reconciliation

(in millions, except for per gallon amounts)

 

     Three Months Ended December 31,  
     2007     2006  
     Dollars     Cost/
Gal
    Dollars     Cost/
Gal
 

Raw or “into-plane” fuel cost

   $ 49.3     $ 2.80     $ 28.3     $ 2.07  

Minus gains during the period on settled hedges

     (4.6 )     (0.26 )     (1.3 )     (0.09 )
                                

Economic fuel expense

   $ 44.7     $ 2.54     $ 27.0     $ 1.98  
                                

Minus the gain, or plus the loss, recognized during current period for contracts settling in future periods

     (9.0 )     (0.51 )     1.2       0.09  

Plus cumulative gains recognized in prior periods for contracts settled in current period

     2.6       0.15       1.8       0.12  
                                

Net adjustments

     (6.4 )     (0.36 )     3.0       0.21  
                                

GAAP fuel expense

   $ 38.3     $ 2.18     $ 30.0     $ 2.19  
                                

Fuel gallons

     17.6         13.7    
                    
     Twelve Months Ended December 31,  
     2007     2006  
     Dollars     Cost/
Gal
    Dollars     Cost/
Gal
 

Raw or “into-plane” fuel cost

   $ 156.2     $ 2.41     $ 119.1     $ 2.19  

Minus gains during the period on settled hedges

     (8.5 )     (0.13 )     (14.1 )     (0.26 )
                                

Economic fuel expense

   $ 147.7     $ 2.28     $ 105.0     $ 1.93  
                                

Minus the gain, or plus the loss, recognized during current period for contracts settling in future periods

     (12.9 )     (0.20 )     0.8       0.01  

Plus cumulative gains recognized in prior periods for contracts settled in current period

     4.0       0.06       10.7       0.20  
                                

Net adjustments

     (8.9 )     (0.14 )     11.5       0.21  
                                

GAAP fuel expense

   $ 138.8     $ 2.14     $ 116.5     $ 2.14  
                                

Fuel gallons

     64.8         54.3    
                    

 

11


Air Group Fuel Hedge Positions:

 

     Approximate % of Expected
Fuel Requirements
    Approximate Crude Oil
Price per Barrel

First quarter 2008

   50 %   $ 66.88

Second quarter 2008

   50 %   $ 72.60

Third quarter 2008

   33 %   $ 68.62

Fourth quarter 2008

   34 %   $ 68.21

Full year 2008

   42 %   $ 69.23

First quarter 2009

   11 %   $ 77.84

Second quarter 2009

   11 %   $ 76.73

Third quarter 2009

   6 %   $ 68.25

Fourth quarter 2009

   5 %   $ 67.20

Full year 2009

   8 %   $ 74.07

Air Group Capacity Guidance:

The following table summarizes Alaska’s and Horizon’s expected increase in capacity as measured in available seat miles for 2008.

 

     Alaska    Horizon

First quarter 2008

   5% - 6%    1%

Full year 2008

   3%    (4)%

Alaska and Horizon Unit Cost Forecast

During our quarterly earnings conference call, we expect to discuss forward-looking forecasted unit cost information for the 2008. This forecasted unit cost information includes non-GAAP unit cost estimates which are summarized in the following table together with the most directly comparable GAAP unit cost for both Alaska Mainline and Horizon Combined:

 

     Alaska Airlines- Mainline    Horizon Air Combined
     Forecast of
cost per
available seat
mile,
excluding
fuel (cents)
   Forecast of
fuel cost per
available
seat mile
(cents)
   Forecast of total
operating cost
per available
seat mile, as
reported on a
GAAP basis
(cents)
   Forecast of
cost per
available seat
mile,
excluding
fuel (cents)
   Forecast
of fuel
cost per
available
seat mile
(cents)
   Forecast of total
operating cost per
available seat mile,
as reported on a
GAAP basis
(cents)
                     

First quarter 2008

   7.8    4.1    11.9    15.6    5.5    21.1

Full year 2008

   7.5    3.8    11.3    14.6    5.1    19.7

Our forecast of fuel costs is based on anticipated gallons consumed and estimated raw fuel cost per gallon. The estimate does not include the benefit of hedges that will settle in the period, nor does it include an estimate of mark-to-market adjustments in our fuel hedge portfolio. Given the volatility of fuel prices and the likely mark-to-market adjustments on our fuel hedge portfolio, readers should be cautioned that actual fuel expense will likely differ from the forecast above.

 

12


Air Group Operating Fleet

The following table displays the fleet count for Alaska and Horizon as of the end of 2007 and the anticipated fleet count as of December 31, 2008:

 

     Seats    Actual
31-Dec-06
   Actual
31-Dec-07
   Planned
31-Dec-08

Alaska Airlines

           

737-200C**

   111    2    —      —  

MD80

   140    23    14    —  

737-400

   144    39    34    32

737-400F**

   —      1    1    1

737-400C**

   72    —      5    5

737-700

   124    22    20    20

737-800*

   157    15    29    46

737-900

   172    12    12    12
                 

Totals

      114    115    116

 

     Seats    Actual
31-Dec-06
   Actual
31-Dec-07
   Planned
31-Dec-08

Horizon Air

           

Q200

   37    28    16    10

Q400

   74-76    20    33    36

CRJ-700

   70    21    21    20
                 

Totals

      69    70    66

 

* The total includes one additional leased aircraft in 2008.

 

** F=Freighter; C=Combination freighter/passenger

Air Group Year-to-Date and Projected Capital Expenditures

(In Millions)

 

     Total 2008

Alaska

   $ 465

Horizon

     105
      

Total Air Group

   $ 570
      

 

13