EX-99.7 8 p69738exv99w7.htm EXHIBIT 99.7 exv99w7
 

Exhibit 99.7

LAST UPDATE: 10-22-04

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation
Earnings Variance Explanations
For Periods Ended September 30, 2004 and 2003

     This discussion explains the changes in our consolidated earnings for the three and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2004 and 2003. Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 follow this discussion. We will file our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the fiscal quarter ended September 30, 2004 on or before November 9, 2004. We have reclassified certain prior period amounts to conform to our current period presentation. Additional operating and financial statistics and a glossary of terms are available on our website (www.pinnaclewest.com).

Earnings Contribution by Business Segment

     We have three principal business segments (determined by services and the regulatory environment):

  our regulated electricity segment, which consists of traditional regulated retail and wholesale electricity businesses (primarily electricity service to “Native Load” customers) and related activities, and includes electricity generation, transmission and distribution;
 
  our marketing and trading segment, which consists of our competitive energy business activities, including wholesale marketing and trading and APS Energy Services’ commodity-related energy services; and
 
  our real estate segment, which consists of SunCor’s real estate development and investment activities.

     The following table summarizes net income by segment for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 and the comparable prior-year periods (dollars in millions):

                                 
    Three Months Ended   Nine Months Ended
    September 30
  September 30
    2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
Regulated electricity
  $ 90     $ 108     $ 146     $ 158  
Marketing and trading
    8       (7 )     25       8  
Real estate
    4       7       10       10  
Other (a)
    2       1       25       5  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
 
Income from continuing operations
    104       109       206       181  
Discontinued operations – net of tax
    1       1       3       10  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
 
Net income
  $ 105     $ 110     $ 209     $ 191  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
 

 


 

(a)   The nine months ended September 30, 2004 includes a $35 million gain ($21 million after-tax) related to the sale of El Dorado’s limited partnership interest in the Phoenix Suns.

General

     Throughout the following explanations of our results of operations, we refer to “gross margin.” With respect to our regulated electricity segment and our marketing and trading segment, gross margin refers to electric operating revenues less purchased power and fuel costs. Our real estate segment gross margin refers to real estate revenues less real estate operations costs of SunCor.

     In accordance with the 1999 regulatory settlement approved by the Arizona Corporation Commission, we completed amortizing substantially all of our regulatory assets related to the 1999 Settlement Agreement as of June 30, 2004.

Operating Results – Three-month period ended September 30, 2004
compared with the three-month period ended September 30, 2003

     Our consolidated net income for the three months ended September 30, 2004 was $105 million compared with $110 million for the prior-year period. The $5 million decrease in the period-to-period comparison reflects the following changes in earnings by segment:

  Regulated Electricity Segment – Net income decreased approximately $18 million primarily due to increased operations and maintenance costs related to customer service and personnel costs, the effects of weather on retail sales, increased purchased power and fuel costs due to higher fuel and power prices, and increased costs related to new power plants placed in service in mid-2003 and mid-2004. These negative factors were partially offset by lower replacement power costs due to fewer unplanned outages, the absence of regulatory asset amortization, and the benefit of customer growth.
 
  Marketing and Trading Segment – Net income increased approximately $15 million primarily due to higher forward and realized prices for wholesale sales of electricity.

     Additional details on the major factors that increased (decreased) net income are contained in the following table (dollars in millions).

2


 

                 
    Increase (Decrease)
    Pretax
  After Tax
Regulated electricity segment gross margin:
               
Lower replacement power costs due to fewer unplanned outages, partially offset by higher prices for replacement power
  $ 24     $ 14  
Higher retail sales volumes due to customer growth, excluding weather effects
    17       10  
Effects of weather on retail sales
    (20 )     (12 )
Increased purchased power and fuel costs due to higher fuel and power prices
    (11 )     (6 )
 
   
 
     
 
 
Net increase in regulated electricity segment gross margin
    10       6  
 
   
 
     
 
 
Marketing and trading segment gross margin:
               
Higher mark-to-market gains on contracts for future delivery due to higher forward prices for wholesale electricity
    11       7  
Higher realized margins on energy trading primarily due to higher electricity prices
    9       5  
Increase in generation sales other than Native Load due to higher sales volumes and higher unit margins, including sales from new power plants in service
    5       3  
Lower unit margins and lower competitive retail sales in California by APS Energy Services
    (2 )     (1 )
 
   
 
     
 
 
Net increase in marketing and trading segment gross margin
    23       14  
 
   
 
     
 
 
Net increase in regulated electricity and marketing and trading segments’ gross margins
    33       20  
Higher operations and maintenance expense primarily related to higher customer service costs, new power plants in service and personnel costs
    (27 )     (16 )
Lower real estate margins due to decreased land sales
    (4 )     (2 )
Depreciation and amortization decreases (increases):
               
Absence of regulatory asset amortization
    21       13  
New power plants in service
    (4 )     (2 )
Increased delivery and other assets
    (4 )     (2 )
Lower income resulting from APS’ return to the AFUDC method of capitalizing construction finance costs in the third quarter of 2003
    (5 )     (8 )
Interest expense net decreases (increases):
               
New power plants in service
    (6 )     (4 )
Lower other debt balances
    3       2  
Higher property taxes due to increased plant in service
    (3 )     (2 )
Lower income tax credits
          (4 )
 
   
 
     
 
 
Net increase (decrease) in net income
  $ 4     $ (5 )
 
   
 
     
 
 

     The increase in net costs (primarily interest expense, depreciation and operations and maintenance expense, net of gross margin contributions) related to new power plants placed in service in mid-2003 and mid-2004 by Pinnacle West Energy totaled approximately $6 million after income taxes in the three months ended September 30, 2004, compared with the prior-year period.

3


 

Regulated Electricity Segment Revenues

     Regulated electricity segment revenues were $3 million higher for the three months ended September 30, 2004 compared with the prior-year period, primarily as a result of:

  a $38 million increase in retail sales volumes related to customer growth and higher average usage, excluding weather effects;
 
  a $44 million decrease in retail revenues related to weather; and
 
  a $9 million increase due to miscellaneous factors.

Marketing and Trading Segment Revenues

     Marketing and trading segment revenues were $46 million higher for the three months ended September 30, 2004 compared with the prior-year period, primarily as a result of:

  a $31 million increase from generation sales other than Native Load primarily due to sales volumes and higher wholesale market prices;
 
  $13 million of higher realized energy trading revenues primarily due to higher electricity prices;
 
  $11 million in higher mark-to-market gains for future-period deliveries primarily as a result of higher forward prices for wholesale electricity; and
 
  a $9 million decrease from lower competitive retail sales in California by APS Energy Services.

Other Revenues

     Other revenues were $7 million higher for the three months ended September 30, 2004 compared with the prior year period primarily due to higher non-commodity revenues at APS Energy Services.

Operating Results – Nine-month period ended September 30, 2004
compared with the nine-month period ended September 30, 2003

     Our consolidated net income for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 was $209 million compared with $191 million for the prior-year period. The $18 million increase in the period-to-period comparison reflects the following changes in earnings by segment:

  Regulated Electricity Segment – Net income decreased approximately $12 million primarily due to higher costs related to new power plants

4


 

      placed in service in mid-2003 and mid-2004, increased operations and maintenance costs related to customer service and personnel costs, higher depreciation, property taxes and interest expense related to increased delivery and other assets, a retail electricity price reduction, the effects of weather on retail sales, and increased fuel and purchased power costs due to higher fuel and power prices. These negative factors were partially offset by lower regulatory asset amortization, the benefit of customer growth, lower interest expense due to lower balances and rates, and lower replacement power costs due to fewer unplanned outages.
 
    Marketing and Trading Segment – net income increased approximately $17 million primarily due to higher forward and realized prices for wholesale electricity, partially offset by lower margins in California of APS Energy Services.
 
    Real Estate Segment – Net income decreased approximately $5 million primarily due to the 2003 gain on the sale of SunCor’s water utility company, which was reported as discontinued operations.
 
    Other Segment – Net income increased approximately $18 million primarily due to a gain at El Dorado related to the sale of El Dorado’s limited partnership interest in the Phoenix Suns, which resulted in an after-tax gain of $21 million.

     Additional details on the major factors that increased (decreased) income from continuing operations and net income are contained in the following table (dollars in millions).

5


 

                 
    Increase (Decrease)
    Pretax
  After Tax
Regulated electricity segment gross margin:
               
Higher retail sales volumes due to customer growth, excluding weather effects
  $ 41     $ 25  
Lower replacement power costs due to fewer unplanned outages
    7       4  
Retail electricity price reduction effective July 1, 2003
    (13 )     (8 )
Effects of weather on retail sales
    (10 )     (6 )
Increased purchased power and fuel costs due to higher fuel and power prices
    (10 )     (6 )
Miscellaneous factors, net
    (3 )     (2 )
 
   
 
     
 
 
Net increase in regulated electricity segment gross margin
    12       7  
 
   
 
     
 
 
Marketing and trading segment gross margin:
               
Higher mark-to-market gains on contracts for future delivery due to higher forward prices for wholesale electricity
    22       13  
Higher realized margins on energy trading primarily due to higher electricity prices
    17       10  
Increase in generation sales other than Native Load due to higher sales volumes and higher unit margins, including sales from new power plants in service
    6       4  
Lower unit margins and lower competitive retail sales in California by APS Energy Services
    (19 )     (11 )
 
   
 
     
 
 
Net increase in marketing and trading segment gross margin
    26       16  
 
   
 
     
 
 
Net increase in regulated electricity and marketing and trading segments’ gross margins
    38       23  
Higher other income net of other expense primarily due to the sale of El Dorado’s limited partnership interest in the Phoenix Suns
    37       22  
Higher operations and maintenance expense primarily related to customer service costs, new power plants in service and personnel costs
    (29 )     (17 )
Interest expense net decreases (increases):
               
New power plants in service
    (19 )     (11 )
Increased delivery and other assets
    (7 )     (6 )
Lower other debt balances and rates
    14       8  
Depreciation and amortization decreases (increases):
               
Decreased regulatory asset amortization
    47       28  
New power plants in service
    (14 )     (8 )
Increased delivery and other assets
    (15 )     (9 )
Higher property taxes due to increased plant in service
    (10 )     (6 )
Lower income tax credits
          (2 )
Miscellaneous items, net
    5       3  
 
   
 
     
 
 
Net increase in income from continuing operations
  $ 47       25  
 
   
 
         
Discontinued operations
            (7 )
 
           
 
 
Net increase in net income
          $ 18  
 
           
 
 

     The increase in net costs (primarily interest expense, depreciation and operations and maintenance expense, net of gross margin contributions) related to new power plants placed in service in mid-2003 and mid-2004 by Pinnacle West Energy totaled approximately $21 million after income taxes in the nine months ended September 30, 2004, compared with the prior-year period.

6


 

Regulated Electricity Segment Revenues

     Regulated electricity segment revenues were $60 million higher for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 compared with the prior-year period, primarily as a result of:

    a $86 million increase in retail revenues related to customer growth and higher average usage, excluding weather effects;
 
    a $27 million decrease in retail revenues related to weather;
 
    a $13 million decrease in retail revenues related to a reduction in retail electricity prices; and
 
    a $14 million increase due to miscellaneous factors.

Marketing and Trading Segment Revenues

     Marketing and trading segment revenues were $31 million higher for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 compared with the prior-year period, primarily as a result of:

    $22 million in higher mark-to-market gains for future-period deliveries primarily as a result of higher forward prices for wholesale electricity;
 
    $17 million of higher energy trading revenues primarily due to higher electricity prices;
 
    a $7 million increase from generation sales other than Native Load primarily due to higher wholesale market prices; and
 
    a $15 million decrease from lower competitive retail sales in California by APS Energy Services.

Real Estate Segment Revenues

     Real estate segment revenues were $21 million higher for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 compared with the prior year period primarily as a result of increased home and commercial property sales partially offset by decreased land sales.

Other Revenues

     Other revenues were $16 million higher for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 compared with the prior year period primarily due to higher non-commodity revenues at APS Energy Services.

7


 

Discontinued Operations

     In 2003, SunCor sold its water utility company. The amounts of the gain on the sale and operating income of the water utility company are classified as discontinued operations on our Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003.

     In July 2004, we entered into an agreement to sell our investment in NAC Holding Inc. and NAC International Inc. (NAC). The transaction is expected to close later this year and result in an after-tax gain of approximately $6 million, which will be classified as discontinued operations. Due to the pending sale of NAC, all revenues and expenses for NAC have been reclassified to discontinued operations for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 on our Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income.

     The following chart provides a summary of SunCor and NAC income from discontinued operations (after income taxes) for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 and the comparable prior periods (dollars in millions):

                                 
    Three Months Ended   Nine Months Ended
    September 30,
  September 30,
    2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
SunCor
  $ 1     $     $ 2     $ 6  
NAC
          1       1       4  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
 
Total income from discontinued operations
  $ 1     $ 1     $ 3     $ 10  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
 

8


 

PINNACLE WEST CAPITAL CORPORATION
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME

(unaudited)
(in thousands, except per share amounts)

                                         
    THREE MONTHS ENDED            
    September 30,   Increase (Decrease)        
    2004
  2003
  Amount
  Percent
       
Operating Revenues
                                       
Regulated electricity segment
  $ 670,559     $ 667,400     $ 3,159       0.5 %     B  
Marketing and trading segment
    128,563       82,558       46,005       55.7 %     B  
Real estate segment
    75,072       75,009       63       0.1 %     B  
Other revenues
    12,585       6,035       6,550       108.5 %     B  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
                 
Total
    886,779       831,002       55,777       6.7 %     B  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
                 
Operating Expenses
                                       
Regulated electricity segment purchased power and fuel
    202,156       208,757       (6,601 )     3.2 %     B  
Marketing and trading segment purchased power and fuel
    107,377       84,195       23,182       27.5 %     W  
Operations and maintenance
    160,765       133,852       26,913       20.1 %     W  
Real estate segment operations
    67,079       63,196       3,883       6.1 %     W  
Depreciation and amortization
    97,349       110,242       (12,893 )     11.7 %     B  
Taxes other than income taxes
    31,649       28,206       3,443       12.2 %     W  
Other expenses
    9,568       5,193       4,375       84.2 %     W  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
                 
Total
    675,943       633,641       42,302       6.7 %     W  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
                 
Operating Income
    210,836       197,361       13,475       6.8 %     B  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
                 
Other
                                       
Allowance for equity funds used during construction
    (1,327 )     11,194       (12,521 )     111.9 %     W  
Other income
    2,836       5,533       (2,697 )     48.7 %     W  
Other expense
    (4,568 )     (5,791 )     1,223       21.1 %     B  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
                 
Total
    (3,059 )     10,936       (13,995 )     128.0 %     W  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
                 
Interest Expense
                                       
Interest charges
    49,497       52,527       (3,030 )     5.8 %     B  
Capitalized interest
    (4,506 )     (2,851 )     (1,655 )     58.0 %     B  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
                 
Total
    44,991       49,676       (4,685 )     9.4 %     B  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
                 
Income From Continuing Operations Before Income Taxes
    162,786       158,621       4,165       2.6 %     B  
Income Taxes
    58,900       49,961       8,939       17.9 %     W  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
                 
Income From Continuing Operations
    103,886       108,660       (4,774 )     4.4 %     W  
Income from Discontinued Operations
                                       
Net of Income Tax Expense
    1,514       1,388       126       9.1 %     B  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
                 
Net Income
  $ 105,400     $ 110,048     $ (4,648 )     4.2 %     W  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
                 
Weighted-Average Common Shares Outstanding — Basic
    91,357       91,271       86       0.1 %        
Weighted-Average Common Shares Outstanding — Diluted
    91,491       91,467       24       0.0 %        
Earnings Per Weighted-Average Common Share Outstanding
                                       
Income From Continuing Operations — Basic
  $ 1.14     $ 1.19     $ (0.05 )     4.2 %     W  
Net Income — Basic
  $ 1.15     $ 1.21     $ (0.06 )     5.0 %     W  
Income From Continuing Operations — Diluted
  $ 1.14     $ 1.19     $ (0.05 )     4.2 %     W  
Net Income — Diluted
  $ 1.15     $ 1.20     $ (0.05 )     4.2 %     W  

Certain prior year amounts have been restated to conform to the 2004 presentation.
 
 
 
B — Better
 
W — Worse
 

 


 

PINNACLE WEST CAPITAL CORPORATION
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME

(unaudited)
(in thousands, except per share amounts)

                                         
    NINE MONTHS ENDED            
    September 30,   Increase (Decrease)        
    2004
  2003
  Amount
  Percent
       
Operating Revenues
                                       
Regulated electricity segment
  $ 1,605,952     $ 1,545,829     $ 60,123       3.9 %     B  
Marketing and trading segment
    332,186       300,439       31,747       10.6 %     B  
Real estate segment
    193,965       172,886       21,079       12.2 %     B  
Other revenues
    32,904       16,774       16,130       96.2 %     B  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
                 
Total
    2,165,007       2,035,928       129,079       6.3 %     B  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
                 
Operating Expenses
                                       
Regulated electricity segment purchased power and fuel
    442,409       394,373       48,036       12.2 %     W  
Marketing and trading segment purchased power and fuel
    269,261       263,201       6,060       2.3 %     W  
Operations and maintenance
    437,126       408,488       28,638       7.0 %     W  
Real estate segment operations
    177,374       157,297       20,077       12.8 %     W  
Depreciation and amortization
    302,919       321,197       (18,278 )     5.7 %     B  
Taxes other than income taxes
    94,511       84,851       9,660       11.4 %     W  
Other expenses
    25,893       12,445       13,448       108.1 %     W  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
                 
Total
    1,749,493       1,641,852       107,641       6.6 %     W  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
                 
Operating Income
    415,514       394,076       21,438       5.4 %     B  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
                 
Other
                                       
Allowance for equity funds used during construction
    2,859       11,194       (8,335 )     74.5 %     W  
Other income
    50,653       13,886       36,767       264.8 %     B  
Other expense
    (14,444 )     (15,079 )     635       4.2 %     B  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
                 
Total
    39,068       10,001       29,067       290.6 %     B  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
                 
Interest Expense
                                       
Interest charges
    144,645       151,332       (6,687 )     4.4 %     B  
Capitalized interest
    (13,537 )     (24,061 )     10,524       43.7 %     W  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
                 
Total
    131,108       127,271       3,837       3.0 %     W  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
                 
Income From Continuing Operations Before Income Taxes
    323,474       276,806       46,668       16.9 %     B  
Income Taxes
    117,574       96,054       21,520       22.4 %     W  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
                 
Income From Continuing Operations
    205,900       180,752       25,148       13.9 %     B  
Income from Discontinued Operations
                                       
Net of Income Tax Expense
    3,566       10,736       (7,170 )     66.8 %     W  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
                 
Net Income
  $ 209,466     $ 191,488     $ 17,978       9.4 %     B  
 
   
 
     
 
     
 
                 
Weighted-Average Common Shares Outstanding — Basic
    91,322       91,262       60       0.1 %        
Weighted-Average Common Shares Outstanding — Diluted
    91,430       91,432       (2 )     0.0 %        
Earnings Per Weighted-Average Common Share Outstanding
                                       
Income From Continuing Operations — Basic
  $ 2.25     $ 1.98     $ 0.27       13.6 %     B  
Net Income — Basic
  $ 2.29     $ 2.10     $ 0.19       9.0 %     B  
Income From Continuing Operations — Diluted
  $ 2.25     $ 1.98     $ 0.27       13.6 %     B  
Net Income — Diluted
  $ 2.29     $ 2.09     $ 0.20       9.6 %     B  

Certain prior year amounts have been restated to conform to the 2004 presentation.
 
 
B — Better
 
W — Worse