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Investment Securities
6 Months Ended
Jun. 30, 2011
Investment Securities  
INVESTMENT SECURITIES
7. INVESTMENT SECURITIES
 
The amortized cost and estimated fair values of investment securities available-for-sale at June 30, 2011 and December 31, 2010 were as follows:

Available-for-Sale
June 30, 2011
 
         
Gross
   
Gross
       
   
Aggregate
   
unrealized
   
unrealized holding losses
       
   
fair
   
holding
   
Non-credit
         
Amortized
 
   
value
   
gains
   
OTTI
   
Other
   
cost
 
U.S. Government agency securities
  $ 67,713     $ 334       -     $ 265     $ 67,644  
State and municipal securities
    69,319       1,180       -       96       68,235  
U.S. Government agencies and sponsored enterprises (GSEs) - residential:
                                       
Mortgage-backed securities
    108,291       2,848       -       139       105,582  
Collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs)
    74,245       1,763       -       34       72,516  
Other debt securities
    2,472       60     $ 1,164       514       4,090  
Equity securities
    4,054       813       -       71       3,312  
Total investment securities available-for-sale
  $ 326,094     $ 6,998     $ 1,164     $ 1,119     $ 321,379  

December 31, 2010
 
         
Gross
   
Gross
       
   
Aggregate
   
unrealized
   
unrealized holding losses
       
   
fair
   
holding
   
Non-credit
         
Amortized
 
   
value
   
gains
   
OTTI
   
Other
   
cost
 
U.S. Government agency securities
  $ 66,448     $ 241       -     $ 869     $ 67,076  
State and municipal securities
    63,588       675       -       514       63,427  
U.S. Government agencies and sponsored enterprises (GSEs) - residential:
                                       
Mortgage-backed securities
    78,801       2,438       -       311       76,674  
Collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs)
    75,573       1,890       -       137       73,820  
Other debt securities
    2,384       69     $ 1,224       550       4,089  
Equity securities
    3,770       667       -       43       3,146  
Total investment securities available-for-sale
  $ 290,564     $ 5,980     $ 1,224     $ 2,424     $ 288,232  

The amortized cost and estimated fair value of securities available-for-sale by contractual maturity at June 30, 2011 are shown in the following table. Expected maturities will differ from contractual maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay obligations with or without call or prepayment penalties. Securities are assigned to categories based on contractual maturity except for mortgage-backed securities and CMOs which are based on the estimated average life of these securities.

   
Aggregate
   
Amortized
 
   
fair value
   
cost
 
Due in one year or less
  $ 16,008     $ 15,519  
Due after one year through five years
    199,693       195,441  
Due after five years through ten years
    57,329       57,010  
Due after ten years
    49,010       50,097  
Equity securities
    4,054       3,312  
Total investment securities available-for-sale
  $ 326,094     $ 321,379  

Proceeds from sales of investment securities available-for-sale were $23,434,000 and $2,476,000 for the six months ended June 30, 2011 and 2010, respectively.

At June 30, 2011 and December 31, 2010, investment securities available-for-sale totaling $138,742,000 and $133,446,000, respectively, were pledged as collateral for repurchase agreements and deposits of public funds.

The following table presents information related to the Company's gains and losses on the sales of equity and debt securities, and losses recognized for the other-than-temporary impairment of these investments. Gains and losses on available-for-sale securities are computed on the specific identification method and included in non-interest income. Gross realized losses on equity and debt securities are net of other-than-temporary impairment charges:
 
Six months ended June 30, 2011:
 
               
Other-than-
       
   
Gross
   
Gross
   
temporary
       
   
realized
   
realized
   
impairment
   
Net gains
 
   
gains
   
losses
   
losses
   
(losses)
 
Equity securities
  $ 141     $ -     $ -     $ 141  
Debt securities
    248       (378 )     -       (130 )
Total
  $ 389     $ (378 )   $ -     $ 11  

Six months ended June 30, 2010:
 
               
Other-than-
       
   
Gross
   
Gross
   
temporary
       
   
realized
   
realized
   
impairment
   
Net gains
 
   
gains
   
losses
   
losses
   
(losses)
 
Equity securities
  $ 287     $ -     $ -     $ 287  
Debt securities
    10       (2 )     (226 )     (218 )
Total
  $ 297     $ (2 )   $ (226 )   $ 69  

All OTTI writedowns on debt securities were on pooled trust preferred securities, which are included in the other debt securities category, held at the Bank.
 
The tax expense applicable to the net realized gains was $4,000 and $23,000 for the six months ended June 30, 2011 and 2010, respectively.

QNB recognizes OTTI for debt securities classified as available-for-sale in accordance with FASB ASC 320, Investments – Debt and Equity Securities, which requires that we assess whether we intend to sell or it is more likely than not that the Company will be required to sell a security before recovery of its amortized cost basis less any current-period credit losses. For debt securities that are considered other-than-temporarily impaired and that we do not intend to sell and will not be required to sell prior to recovery of our amortized cost basis, the amount of the impairment is separated into the amount that is credit related (credit loss component) and the amount due to all other factors. The credit loss component is recognized in earnings and is the difference between the security's amortized cost basis and the present value of its expected future cash flows discounted at the security's effective yield. The remaining difference between the security's fair value and the present value of future expected cash flows is due to factors that are not credit related and, therefore, is not required to be recognized as a loss in the income statement, but is recognized in other comprehensive income. For equity securities, once a decline in value is determined to be other-than-temporary, the value of the equity security is reduced to fair value and a corresponding charge to earnings is recognized. QNB believes that we will fully collect the carrying value of securities on which we have recorded a non-credit related impairment in other comprehensive income.

The table below presents a rollforward of the credit loss component recognized in earnings. The credit loss component of the amortized cost represents the difference between the present value of expected future cash flows and the amortized cost basis of the security prior to considering credit losses. The beginning balance represents the credit loss component for debt securities for which OTTI occurred prior to January 1, 2011. Credit-impaired debt securities must be presented in two components based upon whether the current period is the first time the debt security was credit-impaired (initial credit impairment) or is not the first time the debt security was credit-impaired (subsequent credit impairments). No credit impairments were recognized in 2011. If we sell, intend to sell or believe we will be required to sell previously credit-impaired debt securities, the credit loss component would be reduced. The following table presents a summary of the cumulative credit-related other-than-temporary impairment charges recognized as components of earnings for debt securities still held by QNB:
 
   
Three Months
   
Six Months
 
   
Ended
   
Ended
 
   
June 30, 2011
   
June 30, 2011
 
Balance, beginning of period
  $ 1,279     $ 1,279  
Additions:
               
Initial credit impairments
    -       -  
Subsequent credit impairments
    -       -  
Balance, end of period
  $ 1,279     $ 1,279  
 
The amortized cost and estimated fair values of investment securities held-to-maturity at June 30, 2011 and December 31, 2010 were as follows:

Held-To-Maturity

 
   
June 30, 2011
 
December 31, 2010
       
Gross
 
Gross
         
Gross
 
Gross
   
       
unrealized
 
unrealized
 
Aggregate
     
unrealized
 
unrealized
 
Aggregate
   
Amortized
 
holding
 
holding
 
fair
 
Amortized
 
holding
 
holding
 
fair
   
cost
 
gains
 
losses
 
value
 
cost
 
gains
 
losses
 
value
State and municipal securities
 
$ 1,842
 
$ 63
 
-
 
$ 1,905
 
$ 2,667
 
$ 62
 
-
 
$ 2,729
 
The amortized cost and estimated fair value of securities held-to-maturity by contractual maturity at June 30, 2011 are shown in the following table. Expected maturities will differ from contractual maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay obligations with or without call or prepayment penalties.

   
Aggregate
   
Amortized
 
   
fair value
   
cost
 
Due in one year or less
    -       -  
Due after one year through five years
  $ 247     $ 240  
Due after five years through ten years
    1,658       1,602  
Due after ten years
    -       -  
Total investment securities held-to-maturity
  $ 1,905     $ 1,842  

There were no sales of investment securities classified as held-to-maturity during the six months ended June 30, 2011 or 2010.

The following table indicates the length of time individual securities have been in a continuous unrealized loss position at June 30, 2011 and December 31, 2010:

June 30, 2011
 
         
Less than 12 months
   
12 months or longer
   
Total
 
   
No. of
   
Fair
   
Unrealized
   
Fair
   
Unrealized
   
Fair
   
Unrealized
 
   
securities
   
value
   
losses
   
value
   
losses
   
value
   
losses
 
U.S. Government agencies
    18     $ 23,137     $ 265       -       -     $ 23,137     $ 265  
State and municipal securities
    22       10,339       96       -       -       10,339       96  
Mortgage-backed securities
    24       28,883       139       -       -       28,883       139  
Collateralized mortgage
                                                       
obligations (CMOs)
    6       6,802       34       -       -       6,802       34  
Other debt securities
    7       -       -     $ 1,962     $ 1,678       1,962       1,678  
Equity
    4       408       66       117       5       525       71  
Total
    81     $ 69,569     $ 600     $ 2,079     $ 1,683     $ 71,648     $ 2,283  

December 31, 2010
 
         
Less than 12 months
   
12 months or longer
   
Total
 
   
No. of
   
Fair
   
Unrealized
   
Fair
   
Unrealized
   
Fair
   
Unrealized
 
   
securities
   
value
   
losses
   
value
   
losses
   
value
   
losses
 
U.S. Government agencies
    30     $ 40,179     $ 869       -       -     $ 40,179     $ 869  
State and municipal securities
    40       19,207       482     $ 468     $ 32       19,675       514  
Mortgage-backed securities
    19       21,999       311       -       -       21,999       311  
Collateralized mortgage
                                                       
obligations (CMOs)
    7       6,918       137       -       -       6,918       137  
Other debt securities
    7       -       -       1,866       1,774       1,866       1,774  
Equity securities
    5       740       43       -       -       740       43  
Total
    108     $ 89,043     $ 1,842     $ 2,334     $ 1,806     $ 91,377     $ 3,648  

Management evaluates debt securities, which are comprised of U.S. Government Agencies, state and municipalities, mortgage-backed securities, CMOs and other issuers, for other-than-temporary impairment and considers the current economic conditions, the length of time and the extent to which the fair value has been less than cost, interest rates and the bond rating of each security. The unrealized losses at June 30, 2011 in U.S. Government securities, state and municipal securities, mortgage-backed securities and CMOs are primarily the result of interest rate fluctuations. If held to maturity, these bonds will mature at par, and QNB will not realize a loss. The Company has the intent to hold the securities and does not believe it will be required to sell the securities before recovery occurs.

All of the securities in the other debt securities category with unrealized losses greater than twelve months as of June 30, 2011 are pooled trust preferred security issues. QNB holds eight of these securities with an amortized cost of $3,640,000 and a fair value of $1,962,000. All of the pooled trust preferred securities are available-for-sale securities and are carried at fair value.

The following table provides additional information related to pooled trust preferred securities as of June 30, 2011:

                         
Realized
                                 
Total
 
                         
OTTI
   
Total
               
Current
   
Actual
   
performing
 
                         
credit
   
Recognized
         
Current
   
number of
   
deferrals and
   
collateral as
 
                         
loss
   
OTTI
   
Moody's
   
number of
   
performing
   
defaults as a
   
a % of
 
       
Book
   
Fair
   
Unreal-
   
(YTD
   
Credit
   
/Fitch
   
performing
   
insurance
   
% of total
   
outstanding
 
Deal
 
Class
 
value
   
value
   
ized loss
      2011 )  
Loss
   
ratings
   
banks
   
companies
   
collateral
   
bonds
 
PreTSL IV
 
Mezzanine*
  $ 243     $ 213     $ (30 )   $ -     $ (1 )  
Ca/CCC
      4       -       27.1 %     124.1 %
PreTSL V
 
Mezzanine*
    -       -       -       -       (118 )  
Ba3/D
      -       -       100.0 %     11.6 %
PreTSL VI
 
Mezzanine*
    121       120       (1 )     -       (8 )  
Ca/D
      3       -       73.6 %     62.1 %
PreTSL XVII
 
Mezzanine
    752       292       (460 )     -       (222 )  
Ca/C
      31       4       40.4 %     71.6 %
PreTSL XIX
 
Mezzanine
    988       474       (514 )     -       -       C/C       38       13       27.5 %     81.4 %
PreTSL XXV
 
Mezzanine
    766       341       (425 )     -       (222 )     C/C       39       8       36.7 %     72.2 %
PreTSL XXVI
 
Mezzanine
    469       230       (239 )     -       (270 )     C/C       39       10       27.7 %     82.8 %
PreTSL XXVI
 
Mezzanine
    301       292       (9 )     -       (438 )     C/C       39       10       27.7 %     82.8 %
        $ 3,640     $ 1,962     $ (1,678 )   $ -     $ (1,279 )                                        
 
Mezzanine* - only class of bonds still outstanding (represents the senior-most obligation of the trust)
 
The market for these securities at June 30, 2011 is not active and markets for similar securities also are not active. The inactivity was evidenced first by a significant widening of the bid-ask spread in the brokered markets in which pooled trust preferred securities trade and then by a significant decrease in the volume of trades relative to historical levels. The new issue market is also inactive and the market values for these securities (and any securities other than those issued or guaranteed by U.S. Government agencies) are depressed relative to historical levels. In today's market, a low market price for a particular bond may only provide evidence of a recent widening of corporate spreads in general versus being an indicator of credit problems with a particular issuer. Lack of liquidity in the market for trust preferred collateralized debt obligations, credit rating downgrades and market uncertainties related to the financial industry are all factors contributing to the temporary impairment of these securities. Although these securities are classified as available-for-sale, the Company has the intent to hold the securities and does not believe it will be required to sell the securities before recovery occurs. As illustrated in the table above, these securities are comprised mainly of securities issued by banks, and to a lesser degree, insurance companies. QNB owns the mezzanine tranches of these securities.
 
On a quarterly basis we evaluate our debt securities for other-than-temporary impairment (OTTI), which involves the use of a third-party valuation firm to assist management with the valuation. When evaluating these investments a credit-related portion and a non-credit related portion of OTTI are determined. The credit related portion is recognized in earnings and represents the expected shortfall in future cash flows. The non-credit related portion is recognized in other comprehensive income and represents the difference between the fair value of the security and the amount of credit related impairment. In the six months ended June 30, 2011, no other-than-temporary impairment charges representing credit impairment were recognized on our pooled trust preferred collateralized debt obligations. A discounted cash flow analysis provides the best estimate of credit related OTTI for these securities. Additional information related to this analysis follows:

All of the pooled trust preferred collateralized debt obligations held by QNB are rated lower than AA and are measured for OTTI within the scope of ASC 325 (formerly known as EITF 99-20), Recognition of Interest Income and Impairment on Purchased Beneficial Interests and Beneficial Interests That Continue to be Held by a Transferor in Securitized Financial Assets, and Amendments to the Impairment Guidance of EITF Issue No. 99-20 (formerly known as EITF 99-20-1). QNB performs a discounted cash flow analysis on all of its impaired debt securities to determine if the amortized cost basis of an impaired security will be recovered. In determining whether a credit loss exists, QNB uses its best estimate of the present value of cash flows expected to be collected from the debt security and discounts them at the effective yield implicit in the security at the date of acquisition or the prospective yield for those securities with prior OTTI charges. The discounted cash flow analysis is considered to be the primary evidence when determining whether credit related other-than-temporary impairment exists.
 
Results of a discounted cash flow test are significantly affected by other variables such as the estimate of future cash flows (including prepayments), credit worthiness of the underlying banks and insurance companies and determination of probability and severity of default of the underlying collateral. The following provides additional information for each of these variables:
 
·  
Estimate of Future Cash Flows – Cash flows are constructed in an INTEX desktop valuation model. INTEX is a proprietary cash flow model recognized as the industry standard for analyzing all types of structured debt products. It includes each deal's structural features updated with trustee information, including asset-by-asset detail, as it becomes available. The modeled cash flows are then used to determine if all the scheduled principal and interest payments of the investments will be returned. For purposes of the cash flow analysis, relatively modest rates of prepayment were forecasted (ranging from 0-2%). In addition to the base prepayment assumption, due to the recent enactment of the Dodd-Frank financial legislation additional prepayment analysis was performed. First, all fixed-rate trust preferred securities issued by banks with more than $15 billion in total assets at December 31, 2009 were identified. Next the holding companies' approximate cost of long-term funding given their rating and marketplace interest rates were estimated. The following assumption was made; any holding company that could refinance for a cost savings of more than 2% will refinance and will do so on January 1, 2013, or July 1, 2015 for bank holding company subsidiaries of foreign banking organizations that have relied on Supervision and Regulation Letter SR-01-1.
 
·  
Credit Analysis – A quarterly credit evaluation is performed for the companies comprising the collateral across the various pooled trust preferred securities. This credit evaluation considers all available evidence and focuses on capitalization, asset quality, profitability, liquidity, stock price performance, whether the institution has received TARP funding and whether the institution has shown the ability to raise capital.
 
·  
Probability of Default – A near-term probability of default is determined for each issuer based on its financial condition and is used to calculate the expected impact of future deferrals and defaults on the expected cash flows. Each issuer in the collateral pool is assigned a near-term probability of default based on individual performance and financial characteristics. Various studies suggest that the rate of bank failures between 1934 and 2008 were approximately 0.36%. Thus, in addition to the specific bank default assumptions used for the near term, future defaults on the individual banks in the analysis are assumed at 0.75% for 2012 (approximately two times historical levels) and for 2013 and beyond the rate used is calculated based upon a comparison of key financial ratios of active individual issuers without a short-term probability of default compared to all FDIC insured banks.
 
·  
Severity of Loss – In addition to the probability of default discussed above, a severity of loss (projected recovery) is determined in all cases. In the current analysis, the severity of loss ranges from 0% to 100% depending on the estimated credit worthiness of the individual issuer, with a 95% severity of loss utilized for deferrals projected in 2012 and thereafter.

In addition to the above factors, the evaluation of impairment also includes a stress test analysis which provides an estimate of future risk for each tranche. This stressed breakpoint is then compared to the level of assets with credit concerns in each tranche. This comparison allows management to identify those pools that are at a greater risk for a future adverse change in cash flows so the asset quality in those pools can be monitored more closely for potential deterioration of credit quality.

Based upon the analysis performed by management as of June 30, 2011, it is probable that we will collect all contractual principal and interest payments on one of our eight pooled trust preferred securities, PreTSL XIX. The expected principal shortfall on the remaining pooled trust preferred securities has resulted in credit related other-than-temporary impairment charges in previous years. All of these pooled trust preferred securities held by QNB could be subject to additional writedowns in the future if additional deferrals and defaults occur.