EX-99.2 3 dex992.htm PRISMARK PARTNERS PRESENTATION CONDUCTED JUNE 8, 2010 Prismark Partners presentation conducted June 8, 2010
Exhibit 99.2
PRISMARK PRESENTATION
P
REPARED
F
OR
:
ORBOTECH
INVESTOR AND ANALYST DAY
June 2010
PCB MARKETS AND TECHNOLOGY
P
REPARED
BY
:
PRISMARK PARTNERS LLC
130 Main Street Cold Spring Harbor NY 11724
Tel: 631 367-9187 Fax: 631 367-9223
e-mail: partners@prismark.com
www.prismark.com
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A Brief Talk On Printed Circuit Board Markets and
Technology
Electronic Systems Applications
Diversity of Needs
Growth Coming From New and Old
Aspects of Regional Production
Challenging Technology


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5.0%
4.0%
3.0%
2.0%
1.0%
4.5%
3.5%
2.5%
1.5%
0.5%
0%
Year-on-Year
GDP Growth
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Year-on-Year
Semiconductor
Growth
Year-on-Year
World Rigid
PCB Growth
-10%
-20%
-30%
-40%
-50%
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2009
2011
2012
2013
2014
2010
2008
1.4%
-3.5%
-6.8%
1.4%
14.2%
-20.1%
-5.7%
8.0%
15.3%
5.8%
11.1%
5.6%
-14.9%12.5%
7.3%
0.8%
2.1%
4.1%
1.1%
12.5%
9.2%
3.7%
9.5%
12.0%
16.0%
11.5%
Printed
Circuit
Value
Growth
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
$ Value of
Semiconductor Shipments
Year-on-Year Change
Printed Circuit
Value Growth
WORLD PRINTED CIRCUIT FORECAST
Kc510239bp-forecast pcb-gdp
GDP of Top 20
Electronics Nations
Year-on-Year Change
YE 2008    -1.5%
Q1 2009    -2.7%
Q2 2009    -2.1%
GDP Rate of Change


ELECTRONICS SYSTEMS MARKET FORECAST
($Bn)
2009
2010
2014
2010/2009
CAAGR
2009 – 2014
PC
$210
$226
$256
7.6%
4.0%
Server/Data Storage
$93
$98
$113
5.4%
4.0%
Other Computer
$93
$98
$112
5.4%
3.8%
Mobile Phones
$146
$158
$182
8.2%
4.5%
Communications Infrastructure
$116
$122
$150
5.2%
5.3%
Other Communications
$41
$43
$52
4.9%
4.9%
Consumer
$152
$163
$200
7.2%
5.6%
Automotive
$105
$120
$150
14.3%
7.4%
Industrial 
$91
$99
$147
8.8%
10.0%
PV Modules
$22
$29
$50
31.8%
17.8%
Medical
$77
$82
$100
6.5%
5.4%
Military/Aerospace
$118
$121
$145
2.5%
4.2%
Total (Including PV Modules)
$1,264
$1,359
$1,657
7.5%
5.6%
310.239jd


HIGH VOLUME SYSTEM SHIPMENTS
(M Units)
2008
2009 
2014 (F)
CAAGR
(2009 – 2014)
Mobile Handsets (Smartphone)
1,200 (150)
1,145 (175)
1,600 (550)
6.9% (26%)
MP3/PMP Players (Video Capable)
215 (35)
210 (40)
250 (80)
3.5% (15%)
Notebook PCs (Netbook, UMPC,
Smartbook, Tablet)
142 (12)
170 (33)
330 (120)
14% (29%)
Desktop PCs (PC Server)
150 (8)
133 (7)
130 (10)
-0.5% (5.6%)
Digital Cameras
135
130
165
4.9%
Camcorders
19
20
21
1%
Set-Top Box/PVR
140
170
220
5.5%
Flat Panel TVs
114
145
240
10.6%
LCD Monitors
172
140
150
1.4%
Portable GPS
40
35
55
9.5%
Game Consoles
50
53
65
4.2%
Portable Game Consoles
45
50
60
3.7%
Note: Values in parentheses are subsets of total
310.9/239bp


ASIA -THE PRODUCTION BASE
AND GROWTH ENGINE OF THE PCB INDUSTRY
510.3.044kk
May 2010


2000
2001
2004
2007
2010
2002
2005
2008
2011
2003
2006
2009
2012
2013
2014
May 2010
$5
$0
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
$40
$45
$50
$55
$65
$60
$70
$Bn
Historical Growth Rate
From 1995 to 2000
10.7% per year
Greater than six-year
global recovery period
Americas
Europe
Japan
$40.9Bn
$40.6Bn
Growth Drivers: Microvia,
Flex, Packaging Substrates
PCB Production in China
Still Grows Strongly
RECENT HISTORY AND OUTLOOK FOR THE
GLOBAL PRINTED CIRCUIT INDUSTRY
$41.1Bn
China
Asia
(ex. Japan and China)
RECENT HISTORY AND OUTLOOK FOR THE
GLOBAL PRINTED CIRCUIT INDUSTRY
-5.2%
-14.7%
-18.8%
-36.6%
-23.5%
Three year recovery period
driven by emerging
economies
Average Growth Rate
Forecast
From 2009 to 2014
5.3% per year
8.4% $3.4Bn
6.2%
$3.3Bn
20.2% $8.3Bn
15.0%
$7.9Bn
31.8% $13.1Bn
33.0%
$17.5Bn
34.7% $14.3Bn
41.9%
$22.2Bn
$53.0Bn
4.0%
$2.1Bn
5.0% $2.0Bn


510.3/044kk
CHANGES AND FORECAST OF THE PCB MARKET
Value ($M)
2000
2009
Change
2000 – 2009
2014
2009 - 2014
CAAGR
Commodity Boards
$9,674 
$6,336 
-34.5%
$7,216 
2.6%
Multilayer Boards
$22,217 
$16,763 
-24.5%
$22,017 
5.6%
Microvia Boards
$2,074 
$5,456 
163.1%
$7,090 
5.4%
Packaging Substrates
$3,505 
$5,891 
68.1%
$7,963 
6.2%
Flexible Circuits
$3,450 
$6,606 
91.5%
$8,746 
5.8%
Total
$40,920 
$41,052 
0.3%
$53,032 
5.3%
2000
Total:
$40,920M
Total:
$41,052M
Total:
$53,032M
2009
2014
Commodity Boards
23.6%
Multilayer
Boards
54.3%
Multilayer
Boards
40.8%
Multilayer
Boards
41.5%
Microvia
Boards
5.1%
Microvia
Boards
13.3%
Microvia
Boards
13.4%
Packaging
Substrates
8.6%
Packaging
Substrates
14.3%
Packaging
Substrates
15.0%
Flexible Circuits
8.4%
Flexible
Circuits
16.1%
Flexible Circuits
16.5%
Commodity Boards
15.4%
Commodity Boards
13.6%
N510.044skc-changes pies


510.3/023bp
APPLE iPAD MAIN PCB
1-8-1 microvia construction
All layers glass reinforced
790µm thick, 630µm core
220µm PTH, 90µm microvias
75µm L/S
Copper thickness range from 25-35µm
Supports multiple 0.5mm pitch
components up to 533 I/O
Photos source: Prismark/Binghamton University


97.3/039jm
LG CYON MOBILE PHONE


TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT OF ADVANCED
MULTILAYER AND RIGID FLEX CIRCUITS
2008
2010
2012-2014
Structure
Multilayer or Rigid-Flex
Material
PI Film and FR-4 Prepreg
Z-axis Interconnection
PTH, Staggered and Stacked Via
Maximum Layer Count 
20 (4-8 typical)
20 (4 to 10 typical)
30 (4 to 12 typical)
Flexible Air-gap Layer
4-6
Build-up Layers (each side)
2
3
3
Minimum Board Thickness (mm)
0.35
0.30
0.25
Outer layer Cu Thickness (µm)
25
20
20
Outer layer Cu Line/Space (µm)
55/55
50/50
45/45
Inner Layer Cu Thickness (µm)
12
12
9
Inner Layer Cu Line/Space (µm)
50/50
45/45
35/35
PTH Diameter/Capture Pad (µm)
200/450
180'350
150/300
Blind Via/Capture Pad (µm)
80/225
75/200
75/150
Soldermask Thickness (µm)
15
15
13
Soldermask Clearance (µm)
35
30
25
Nippon Mektron
Multilayer FPC
CMK 8 layer RF-3-DB Stacked Via
79.3/039skc


NOKIA 1616 DUAL-BAND GSM MOBILE PHONE
Based on Infineon Device and Design
1.
Infineon baseband/RF/PM and FM
2.
Samsung memory
3.
Transmit module
Four-Layer PCB
Single-sided assembly
Keypad LED mounted on back through hole
Carbon ink button and ground contacts, jumpers
LCD module flex tail hot bar soldered to front
Low-End GSM-Only Mobile Phone
900/1800MHz (850/1900MHz version also available)
GSM only, no GPRS
107 x 45 x 15mm, 79grams
65k color TFT display, 128 x 160 pixels
Flashlight, FM radio
Series 30 OS
800mAhr Battery: 8.5hr talk, 528 standby time
Nokia 1616
4 x 10.5cm, 770µm thick
150µm glass reinforced outer layers
75µm L/S, 280µm PTH
Supports two packages of 0.5mm pitch 
(184 and 44 I/O)
6510.4/062jpp
1
2
3
Photos source: Prismark/Binghamton University


GLOBAL PCB PRODUCTION BY TECHNOLOGY
Area
Paper
29.3%  71.1M m
2
Paper
25.1%  81.8M m
2
Flexible Circuits
10.0%  24.2M m
2
Flexible Circuits
11.0%  36.0M m
2
Rigid Glass
16.5%  40.0M m
2
Rigid Glass
17.4%  55.6M m
2
4 Layer
19.3%  46.9M m
2
4 Layer
20.1%  65.4M m
2
6 Layer
6.9%  16.8M m
2
6 Layer
7.9%  25.7M m
2
8-16 Layer
3.6%  8.7M m
2
8-16 Layer
4.8%  15.6M m
2
18+ Layer
0.2%  0.4M m
2
18+ Layer
0.2%  0.5M m
2
Silicon Platforms
2.0%  4.8M m
2
Silicon Platforms
2.4%  7.9M m
2
Microvia
4.2%  10.3M m
2
Microvia
4.8%  15.6M m
2
2014
2009
TOTAL: 242.6M m
TOTAL: 326.0M m
CAAGR 6.1%
Composite
8.0%  19.4M m
Composite
6.4%  20.8M m
June 2010
Paper
Composite
Rigid
4 Layers
6 Layers
8 to 16 Layers
18+ Layers
Microvia
Si Platform
Flex
Total
2.8%
1.4%
7.2%
6.9%
8.9%
12.3%
6.1%
8.7%
10.7%
8.2%
6.1%
Technology
CAAGR
2009-2014
2
2
2
2