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Losses, Claims and Settlement Expenses
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2023
Insurance [Abstract]  
Losses, Claims and Settlement Expenses Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses
The following table shows changes in aggregate reserves for the Company's loss and loss adjustment expenses:

Years Ended December 31:202320222021
Gross reserves at beginning of year$12,221.5 $11,425.5 $10,671.0 
Less: reinsurance losses recoverable4,699.5 4,125.3 3,650.5 
Net reserves at beginning of year:
General Insurance6,824.8 6,587.0 6,328.0 
Title Insurance612.8 594.2 556.1 
RFIG Run-off77.9 111.2 127.6 
Other6.3 7.6 8.6 
Subtotal
7,521.9 7,300.2 7,020.4 
Incurred loss and loss adjustment expenses:
Provisions for insured events of the current year:
General Insurance2,770.7 2,545.1 2,418.3 
Title Insurance93.6 139.6 160.6 
RFIG Run-off13.7 17.5 19.3 
Other8.6 8.7 12.0 
Subtotal
2,886.8 2,711.1 2,610.4 
Change in provision for insured events of prior years:
General Insurance(234.0)(193.1)(137.9)
Title Insurance(44.9)(50.4)(47.6)
RFIG Run-off(24.7)(35.1)(21.1)
Other(2.1)(3.9)(3.9)
Subtotal
(305.8)(282.6)(210.6)
Total incurred loss and loss adjustment expenses2,581.0 2,428.4 2,399.7 
Payments:
Loss and loss adjustment expenses attributable to
   insured events of the current year:
General Insurance930.6 834.4 781.5 
Title Insurance14.4 13.1 21.4 
RFIG Run-off— 0.2 0.2 
Other4.7 4.8 7.7 
Subtotal
949.8 852.7 810.9 
Loss and loss adjustment expenses attributable to
   insured events of prior years:
General Insurance1,475.6 1,279.8 1,239.8 
Title Insurance48.7 57.3 53.4 
RFIG Run-off11.9 15.5 14.3 
Other1.3 1.3 1.3 
Subtotal
1,537.7 1,354.0 1,309.0 
Total payments2,487.6 2,206.7 2,120.0 
RFIG Run-off reserves reclassified to liabilities held-for-sale (a)
54.9 — — 
Net reserves at end of year:
General Insurance6,955.2 6,824.8 6,587.0 
Title Insurance598.5 612.8 594.2 
RFIG Run-off— 77.9 111.2 
Other6.6 6.3 7.6 
Subtotal
7,560.4 7,521.9 7,300.2 
Reinsurance losses recoverable4,977.7 4,699.5 4,125.3 
Gross reserves at end of year$12,538.2 $12,221.5 $11,425.5 
_________

(a)     RFIG Run-off reserves have been reclassified as held-for-sale as of December 31, 2023. See Note 2 for further discussion.
For the three most recent calendar years, the above table indicates that the one-year development of consolidated reserves at the beginning of each year produced favorable developments of 4.1%, 3.9%, and 3.0% for 2023, 2022, and 2021, respectively, with average favorable annual developments of 3.6%. The Company believes that the factors most responsible, in varying and continually changing degrees, for favorable or unfavorable reserve developments include, as to many General Insurance coverages, the effect of reserve discounts applicable to workers' compensation claims, changes in severity of litigated claims in particular, governmental or judicially imposed retroactive conditions in the settlement of claims such as noted below in regard to black lung disease claims, changes in inflation rates applicable to repairs and the medical portion of claims in particular, and changes in claims incurred but not reported due to the slower and highly volatile emergence patterns applicable to certain types of claims such as those stemming from litigated, assumed reinsurance, or the A&E types of claims noted below.

In 2023, the favorable development experienced by General Insurance came predominantly from the 2010-2022 accident years, driven by workers’ compensation and to a lesser extent, commercial auto lines of coverage, partially offset by unfavorable development from the general liability line of coverage. Favorable development experienced by Title Insurance occurred largely within the 2018-2020 years while RFIG Run-off segment was driven by higher levels of cure rates on reported defaults.

Federal Black Lung Regulations

The Federal Department of Labor revised the Federal Black Lung Program regulations in both 2001 and 2010. The revisions reflect more lenient standards that can potentially benefit claimants. Claims filed or refiled pursuant to these revised regulations initially increased immediately following the passing of both sets of regulations but have been gradually decreasing since.

The majority of pending claims against Old Republic pertain to business underwritten through loss sensitive programs that permit the charge of additional or refund of return premiums to wholly or partially offset changes in estimated claim costs, or to business underwritten as a service carrier on behalf of various industry-wide involuntary market (i.e. assigned risk) pools. A smaller portion pertains to business produced on a traditional risk transfer basis. The Company has established applicable reserves for claims as they have been reported and for claims not as yet reported on the basis of its historical experience.

A&E Reserves

At December 31, 2023 and 2022, Old Republic's aggregate loss and loss adjustment expense reserves specifically identified with A&E exposures amounted to approximately $130.6 and $121.3 gross, respectively, and $87.5 and $84.0 net of reinsurance, respectively.

Old Republic's reserve estimates also include provisions for indemnity and settlement costs for various A&E claims that have been filed in the normal course of business against a number of its insurance subsidiaries. Many such claims relate to policies incepting prior to 1985, including many issued during a short period between 1981 and 1982 pursuant to an agency agreement canceled in 1982. Over the years, the Company's property and liability insurance subsidiaries have typically issued general liability insurance policies with face amounts ranging between $1.0 and $2.0 and rarely exceeding $10.0. Such policies have, in turn, been subject to reinsurance cessions which have typically reduced the subsidiaries' net retentions to $0.5 or less as to each claim.

Old Republic's exposure to A&E claims cannot, however, be calculated by conventional insurance reserving methods for a variety of reasons, including: a) the absence of statistically valid data inasmuch as such claims generally involve long reporting delays and very often uncertainty as to the number and identity of insureds against whom such claims have arisen or will arise; and b) the litigation history of such or similar claims. Inconsistent court decisions stem from such questions as: when an alleged loss occurred, which policies provide coverage, how a loss is to be allocated among potentially responsible insureds and/or their insurance carriers, how policy coverage exclusions are to be interpreted, what types of environmental impairment or toxic tort claims are covered, when the insurer's duty to defend is triggered, how policy limits are to be calculated, and whether clean-up costs constitute property damage.

Over time, the Executive Branch and/or the Congress of the United States have proposed or considered changes in the legislation and rules affecting the determination of liability for A&E claims. As of December 31, 2023, however, there is no solid evidence to suggest that possible future changes might mitigate or reduce some or all of these claim exposures. Because of the above issues and uncertainties, estimation of reserves for losses and allocated loss adjustment expenses for A&E claims in particular is much more difficult to quantify with a high degree of precision. Accordingly, no representation can be made that the Company's reserves for such claims and related costs will not prove to be overstated or understated in the future. Based on average annual claims payments during the five most recent calendar years, such reserves represented a paid loss survival ratio of 6.6 years (gross) and 7.4 years (net of reinsurance) as of December 31, 2023, and 6.4 years (gross) and 7.6 years (net of reinsurance) as of December 31, 2022. Fluctuations in this ratio between years can be caused by the inconsistent pay-out patterns associated with these types of claims. For the five years ended December 31, 2023, incurred A&E claim and related loss settlement costs have averaged 0.6% of average annual General Insurance loss and loss adjustment expenses.

The following represents the Company's incurred and paid loss development tables for the major types of insurance coverages as of December 31, 2023. The information about incurred and paid claims development for the years ended December 31, 2014 to 2022 is presented as supplementary information.
Workers' Compensation
Incurred Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance (Undiscounted)As of December 31, 2023
Total of Incurred-but-Not-Reported Liabilities Plus Expected Development on Reported LossesCumulative Number of Reported Losses*
For the Years Ended December 31,
AccidentSupplementary Information (Unaudited)
Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023
2014$780.9 $792.8 $786.4 $784.9 $777.0 $763.3 $724.4 $705.4 $685.8 $673.2 $58.8 54,174
2015794.3 792.6 787.3 785.5 769.1 742.4 695.8 659.8 622.3 69.8 55,234
2016756.1 752.9 745.7 730.5 712.6 692.8 624.2 584.9 95.5 52,495
2017727.0 713.9 700.3 683.4 676.3 654.2 609.3 102.6 51,787
2018698.6 691.5 681.0 665.9 644.8 605.4 141.3 52,390
2019664.6 657.4 653.2 667.5 658.8 154.0 51,887
2020560.9 569.4 571.7 574.7 144.7 45,859
2021500.3 502.4 493.8 153.0 46,975
2022488.1 487.4 184.7 46,691
2023491.7 276.1 35,679
Total$5,802.1 (A)
* Reported losses are accumulated on an individual claimant basis and exclude external reinsurance assumed and participation in residual market pools as claim frequency information is not available.
Cumulative Paid Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the Years Ended December 31,
AccidentSupplementary Information (Unaudited)
Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023
2014$116.9 $293.7 $397.1 $466.0 $499.5 $524.8 $544.9 $554.6 $561.0 $567.9 
2015109.0 274.9 379.3 435.1 466.7 484.7 499.8 507.3 512.7 
2016102.5 253.5 334.4 383.5 408.4 425.2 435.8 442.5 
201799.6 244.6 334.8 383.1 414.3 444.1 453.5 
201894.8 240.6 320.5 367.2 396.8 416.0 
2019102.9 239.8 329.6 382.3 412.2 
202084.3 211.6 284.3 329.7 
202180.1 187.8 252.9 
202274.2 188.2 
202375.5 
Total$3,651.7 (B)
Net incurred loss and allocated loss adjustment expenses (A)$5,802.1 
Less: net paid loss and allocated loss adjustment expenses (B)3,651.7 
Subtotal
2,150.3 
All outstanding liabilities before 2014, net of reinsurance754.9 
Liabilities for loss and allocated loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance$2,905.3 
General Liability
Incurred Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance (Undiscounted)As of December 31, 2023
Total of Incurred-but-Not-Reported Liabilities Plus Expected Development on Reported LossesCumulative Number of Reported Losses*
For the Years Ended December 31,
AccidentSupplementary Information (Unaudited)
Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023
2014$107.0 $110.4 $109.4 $111.0 $117.0 $117.1 $112.3 $112.8 $115.6 $117.9 $10.7 6,047
201596.0 96.3 99.2 102.3 104.8 105.8 99.8 99.2 99.0 12.1 5,616
201692.4 96.7 98.8 100.3 101.0 104.4 98.8 95.9 13.2 83,293
2017111.2 121.4 129.6 132.8 135.2 138.0 143.9 18.2 460,523
2018120.5 119.7 125.1 135.5 141.9 152.0 32.0 462,021
2019133.5 131.9 138.7 146.0 146.9 39.5 375,990
2020112.4 111.7 114.9 116.1 50.0 6,112
202194.2 92.7 99.0 44.3 6,022
202297.8 100.7 49.4 5,758
2023132.6 98.5 12,208
$1,204.4 (A)
* Reported losses are accumulated on an individual claimant basis and exclude external reinsurance assumed and participation in residual market pools as loss frequency information is not available. The increases beginning in 2016 are due to the addition of a national account with higher frequency yet lower severity than the existing book of business for accident years 2016 through 2019.
Cumulative Paid Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the Years Ended December 31,
AccidentSupplementary Information (Unaudited)
Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023
2014$5.8 $15.8 $32.0 $52.8 $73.5 $82.8 $88.9 $94.9 $98.9 $103.0 
20156.3 16.0 29.5 47.4 64.5 70.7 75.0 79.9 82.5 
20167.1 18.5 34.8 47.7 58.0 66.9 71.9 75.1 
20175.7 25.9 50.1 76.9 95.5 105.3 113.2 
20186.9 28.8 48.9 71.0 91.0 102.0 
20196.4 29.5 53.4 72.1 87.8 
20204.2 12.4 28.5 45.0 
20215.6 14.7 30.9 
20226.4 22.2 
20233.9 
$665.9 (B)
Net incurred loss and allocated loss adjustment expenses (A)$1,204.4 
Less: net paid loss and allocated loss adjustment expenses (B)665.9 
Subtotal
538.4 
All outstanding liabilities before 2014, net of reinsurance167.0 
Liabilities for loss and allocated loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance$705.5 
Commercial Auto
Incurred Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance (Undiscounted)As of December 31, 2023
Total of Incurred-but-Not-Reported Liabilities Plus Expected Development on Reported LossesCumulative Number of Reported Losses*
For the Years Ended December 31,
AccidentSupplementary Information (Unaudited)
Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023
2014$687.8 $689.2 $691.7 $688.0 $688.6 $687.8 $683.8 $683.0 $682.1 $679.2 $5.9 103,242
2015712.4 710.5 729.7 721.4 720.7 703.4 700.6 699.9 699.5 2.2 104,829
2016755.9 768.9 786.0 780.8 779.3 762.1 754.9 752.9 4.3 110,766
2017788.7 819.1 869.2 874.4 867.9 847.1 843.0 6.7 117,639
2018883.2 947.9 989.9 992.1 976.1 971.3 20.1 129,290
2019931.1 959.7 954.8 947.4 942.0 25.0 138,735
2020941.1 913.7 854.0 845.5 70.6 117,927
2021989.4 954.6 935.3 83.9 125,608
20221,074.2 1,044.5 123.6 125,309
20231,204.1 100.9 107,783
$8,917.7 (A)
* Reported losses are accumulated on an individual claimant basis and exclude external reinsurance assumed and participation in residual market pools as claim frequency information is not available.
Cumulative Paid Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the Years Ended December 31,
AccidentSupplementary Information (Unaudited)
Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023
2014$267.4 $430.5 $536.9 $605.4 $640.3 $664.9 $658.4 $664.3 $669.9 $672.2 
2015265.1 438.9 541.8 626.2 669.7 680.6 687.3 693.0 695.4 
2016290.2 469.6 585.1 677.8 710.8 725.5 737.3 742.7 
2017307.9 512.0 657.1 746.5 791.2 814.1 826.9 
2018330.0 557.5 730.4 836.7 900.0 924.1 
2019330.4 549.0 681.6 787.2 875.3 
2020290.1 464.3 602.2 692.7 
2021302.7 508.6 662.9 
2022354.8 606.8 
2023424.4 
$7,123.8 (B)
Net incurred loss and allocated loss adjustment expenses (A)$8,917.7 
Less: net paid loss and allocated loss adjustment expenses (B)7,123.8 
Subtotal
1,793.9 
All outstanding liabilities before 2014, net of reinsurance14.5 
Liabilities for loss and allocated loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance$1,808.4 
The following represents a reconciliation of the incurred and paid loss development tables to total loss and loss adjustment expense reserves as reported in the consolidated balance sheets.
December 31,
20232022
Net loss and allocated loss adjustment expense reserves:
Workers' compensation (a)$2,725.3 $2,879.6 
General liability705.5 641.9 
Commercial auto1,808.4 1,747.3 
Other short-duration insurance coverages1,412.5 1,260.0 
Subtotal6,651.9 6,529.0 
Reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves:
Workers' compensation1,998.2 1,975.5 
General liability813.2 785.3 
Commercial auto1,684.4 1,486.6 
Other short-duration insurance coverages477.7 447.7 
Subtotal4,973.6 4,695.3 
Insurance coverages other than short-duration (b)
566.4 656.6 
Unallocated loss adjustment expense reserves (c)
346.1 340.5 
912.6 997.1 
Gross loss and loss adjustment expense reserves$12,538.2 $12,221.5 
__________

(a) Certain long-term disability type workers' compensation reserves are discounted to present value based on interest rates typically ranging from 3.0% to 3.5%. The amount of discount reflected in the year-end net reserves totaled $179.9 and $184.7 as of December 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively. Interest accretion of $25.6, $9.6, and $42.0 for the years ended December 31, 2023, 2022, and 2021, respectively, was recognized as unfavorable development of prior year reserves within loss and loss adjustment expenses in the consolidated statements of income.
(b)    RFIG Run-off loss reserves of $53.6 have been classified as held-for-sale as of December 31, 2023. See Note 2 for further discussion.
(c) RFIG Run-off unallocated loss adjustment expense reserves of $1.2 have been classified as held-for-sale as of December 31, 2023. See Note 2 for further discussion.


The table below is supplementary information and presents the historical average annual percentage payout of incurred losses by age, net of reinsurance.
Supplementary Information (Unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
Workers' compensation16.2 %23.9 %14.2 %8.4 %4.8 %3.5 %2.2 %1.3 %0.9 %1.0 %
General liability5.1 %11.8 %15.1 %15.6 %13.7 %7.5 %5.1 %4.4 %3.0 %3.4 %
Commercial auto35.7 %23.4 %16.0 %11.1 %6.1 %2.5 %0.8 %0.8 %0.6 %0.3 %