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Securities
9 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2012
Securities

 

4. Securities – The following tables provide the amortized cost and fair values of securities at September 30, 2012 and December 31, 2011.

 

Securities Available for Sale

   September 30, 2012  
     Amortized
Cost
     Gross Unrealized      Fair
Value
 

(In Millions)

      Gains      Losses     

U.S. Government

   $ 1,747.7       $ 40.1       $ —         $ 1,787.8   

Obligations of States and Political Subdivisions

     14.1         0.2         —           14.3   

Government Sponsored Agency

     18,456.4         132.7         4.0         18,585.1   

Corporate Debt

     2,155.7         18.3         0.4         2,173.6   

Covered Bonds

     1,678.0         55.8         —           1,733.8   

Supranational Bonds

     1,040.1         7.0         0.5         1,046.6   

Residential Mortgage-Backed

     127.5         1.6         13.3         115.8   

Other Asset-Backed

     2,235.5         4.8         0.7         2,239.6   

Auction Rate

     102.8         1.0         4.3         99.5   

Other

     339.0         1.0         —           340.0   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 27,896.8       $ 262.5       $ 23.2       $ 28,136.1   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Securities Held to Maturity

   September 30, 2012  
     Amortized
Cost
     Gross Unrealized      Fair
Value
 

(In Millions)

      Gains      Losses     

Obligations of States and Political Subdivisions

   $ 374.8       $ 19.6       $ —         $ 394.4   

Government Sponsored Agency

     130.2         4.9         —           135.1   

Non-U.S. Government Debt

     213.7         —           —           213.7   

Certificates of Deposit

     263.9         0.1         —           264.0   

Other

     65.4         0.2         8.6         57.0   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 1,048.0       $ 24.8       $ 8.6       $ 1,064.2   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Securities Available for Sale

   December 31, 2011  
     Amortized
Cost
     Gross Unrealized      Fair
Value
 

(In Millions)

      Gains      Losses     

U.S. Government

   $ 3,965.9       $ 63.5       $ —         $ 4,029.4   

Obligations of States and Political Subdivisions

     14.9         0.9         —           15.8   

Government Sponsored Agency

     16,702.6         86.1         17.3         16,771.4   

Corporate Debt

     2,677.7         4.7         5.7         2,676.7   

Covered Bonds

     746.1         9.2         0.4         754.9   

Non-U.S. Government Debt

     173.7         —           —           173.7   

Supranational Bonds

     971.0         3.0         1.9         972.1   

Residential Mortgage-Backed

     196.1         —           32.3         163.8   

Other Asset-Backed

     1,606.8         1.3         3.3         1,604.8   

Certificates of Deposit

     2,418.2         0.2         0.3         2,418.1   

Auction Rate

     186.5         4.3         12.5         178.3   

Other

     433.1         0.6         0.2         433.5   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 30,092.6       $ 173.8       $ 73.9       $ 30,192.5   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Securities Held to Maturity

   December 31, 2011  
      Amortized
Cost
     Gross Unrealized      Fair
Value
 

(In Millions)

      Gains      Losses     

Obligations of States and Political Subdivisions

   $ 529.4       $ 24.6       $ 0.1       $ 553.9   

Government Sponsored Agency

     156.8         4.3         0.1         161.0   

Other

     113.0         0.1         10.9         102.2   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 799.2       $ 29.0       $ 11.1       $ 817.1   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Securities held to maturity consist of debt securities that management intends to, and Northern Trust has the ability to, hold until maturity.

 

The following table provides the remaining maturity of securities as of September 30, 2012.

 

(In Millions)

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair
Value
 

Available for Sale

     

Due in One Year or Less

   $ 6,783.0       $ 6,802.5   

Due After One Year Through Five Years

     19,052.4         19,240.6   

Due After Five Years Through Ten Years

     1,357.3         1,375.2   

Due After Ten Years

     704.1         717.8   
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

     27,896.8         28,136.1   
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Held to Maturity

     

Due in One Year or Less

     670.3         673.1   

Due After One Year Through Five Years

     284.1         297.4   

Due After Five Years Through Ten Years

     55.2         60.7   

Due After Ten Years

     38.4         33.0   
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 1,048.0       $ 1,064.2   
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Note:  Mortgage-backed and asset-backed securities are included in the above table taking into account anticipated future prepayments.

Investment Security Gains and Losses. Net investment security gains of $217.5 thousand were recognized for the three months ended September 30, 2012, representing net realized gains from the sale of securities, partially offset by other-than-temporary impairment (OTTI) losses of $148.6 thousand. Gross proceeds from the sale of securities during the quarter of $218.2 million resulted in gross realized gains of $356.0 thousand and gross realized losses of $1.0 thousand. Net investment security losses of $2.0 million were recognized for the three months ended September 30, 2011 and included OTTI losses of $1.3 million and net realized losses of $706.8 thousand from the sale of securities.

Net investment security losses of $1.7 million and $24.1 million were recognized for the nine months ended September 30, 2012 and 2011, respectively, and included OTTI losses of $3.3 million and $23.3 million, respectively. Gross proceeds from the sale of securities during the nine months ended September 30, 2012 of $2.7 billion resulted in gross realized gains of $23.5 million and gross realized losses of $21.9 million. The nine months ended September 30, 2011 included gross realized gains from the sale of securities of $1.6 million and gross realized losses from the sale of securities of $877.6 thousand, respectively.

 

Securities with Unrealized Losses. The following tables provide information regarding securities that had been in a continuous unrealized loss position for less than 12 months and for 12 months or longer as of September 30, 2012 and December 31, 2011.

 

Securities with Unrealized Losses

  as of September 30, 2012

   Less than 12 Months      12 Months or Longer      Total  

(In Millions)

   Fair
Value
     Unrealized
Losses
     Fair
Value
     Unrealized
Losses
     Fair
Value
     Unrealized
Losses
 

Government Sponsored Agency

   $ 165.8       $ 0.4       $ 1,251.3       $ 3.6       $ 1,417.1       $ 4.0   

Corporate Debt

     129.9         0.3         49.9         0.1         179.8         0.4   

Supranational Bonds

     235.9         0.5         —           —           235.9         0.5   

Residential Mortgage-Backed

     —           —           95.5         13.3         95.5         13.3   

Other Asset-Backed

     112.1         0.1         68.8         0.6         180.9         0.7   

Auction Rate

     19.9         0.5         41.0         3.8         60.9         4.3   

Other

     48.8         8.3         3.5         0.3         52.3         8.6   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 712.4       $ 10.1       $ 1,510.0       $ 21.7       $ 2,222.4       $ 31.8   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Securities with Unrealized Losses

  as of December 31, 2011

   Less than 12 Months      12 Months or Longer      Total  

(In Millions)

   Fair
Value
     Unrealized
Losses
     Fair
Value
     Unrealized
Losses
     Fair
Value
     Unrealized
Losses
 

Obligations of States and Political Subdivisions

   $ 2.7       $ 0.1       $ —         $ —         $ 2.7       $ 0.1   

Government Sponsored Agency

     5,492.5         14.1         470.1         3.3         5,962.6         17.4   

Corporate Debt

     1,027.5         4.1         123.6         1.6         1,151.1         5.7   

Covered Bonds

     50.4         0.4         —           —           50.4         0.4   

Supranational Bonds

     438.2         1.8         99.9         0.1         538.1         1.9   

Residential Mortgage-Backed

     4.7         0.9         158.8         31.4         163.5         32.3   

Other Asset-Backed

     824.6         2.3         205.7         1.0         1,030.3         3.3   

Certificates of Deposit

     1,019.9         0.3         —           —           1,019.9         0.3   

Auction Rate

     61.0         7.3         52.6         5.2         113.6         12.5   

Other

     146.3         2.1         45.0         9.0         191.3         11.1   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 9,067.8       $ 33.4       $ 1,155.7       $ 51.6       $ 10,223.5       $ 85.0   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

As of September 30, 2012, 215 securities with a combined fair value of $2.2 billion were in an unrealized loss position, with their unrealized losses totaling $31.8 million. Unrealized losses on residential mortgage-backed securities totaling $13.3 million reflect the impact of credit and liquidity spreads on the valuations of 15 residential mortgage-backed securities, with $95.5 million having been in an unrealized loss position for more than 12 months. Residential mortgage-backed securities rated below double-A at September 30, 2012 represented 94% of the total fair value of residential mortgage-backed securities, were comprised of sub-prime, prime, and Alt-A securities, and had a total amortized cost and fair value of $120.7 million and $109.0 million, respectively. Securities classified as “other asset-backed” at September 30, 2012 were predominantly floating rate with average lives less than 5 years, and 98% were rated triple-A.

Unrealized losses of $4.0 million related to government sponsored agency securities are primarily attributable to changes in market rates since their purchase. The majority of the $8.6 million of unrealized losses in securities classified as “other” at September 30, 2012 relate to securities which Northern Trust purchases for compliance with the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA). Unrealized losses on these CRA related other securities are attributable to their purchase at below market rates for the purpose of supporting institutions and programs that benefit low to moderate income communities within Northern Trust’s market area. Unrealized losses of $4.3 million related to auction rate securities primarily reflect reduced market liquidity as a majority of auctions continue to fail preventing holders from liquidating their investments at par. Unrealized losses of $0.4 million within corporate debt securities primarily reflect widened credit spreads; 40% of the corporate debt portfolio is backed by guarantees provided by U.S. and non-U.S. governmental entities. The remaining unrealized losses on Northern Trust’s securities portfolio as of September 30, 2012 are attributable to changes in overall market interest rates, increased credit spreads, or reduced market liquidity.

Security impairment reviews are conducted quarterly to identify and evaluate securities that have indications of possible OTTI. A determination as to whether a security’s decline in market value is other-than-temporary takes into consideration numerous factors and the relative significance of any single factor can vary by security. Factors Northern Trust considers in determining whether impairment is other-than-temporary include, but are not limited to, the length of time the security has been impaired; the severity of the impairment; the cause of the impairment and the financial condition and near-term prospects of the issuer; activity in the market of the issuer which may indicate adverse credit conditions; Northern Trust’s intent regarding the sale of the security as of the balance sheet date; and the likelihood that it will not be required to sell the security for a period of time sufficient to allow for the recovery of the security’s amortized cost basis. For each security meeting the requirements of Northern Trust’s internal screening process, an extensive review is conducted to determine if OTTI has occurred.

While all securities are considered, the following describes Northern Trust’s process for identifying credit impairment within non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities, the security type for which Northern Trust has previously recognized the majority of its OTTI. To determine if an unrealized loss on a non-agency residential mortgage-backed security is other-than-temporary, economic models are used to perform cash flow analyses by developing multiple scenarios in order to create reasonable forecasts of the security’s future performance using available data including servicers’ loan charge off patterns, prepayment speeds, annualized default rates, each security’s current delinquency pipeline, the delinquency pipeline’s growth rate, the roll rate from delinquency to default, loan loss severities and historical performance of like collateral, along with Northern Trust’s outlook for the housing market and the overall economy. If the present value of future cash flows projected as a result of this analysis is less than the current amortized cost of the security, a credit related OTTI loss is recorded to earnings equal to the difference between the two amounts.

Expected losses on non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities are influenced by a number of factors, including but not limited to, U.S. economic and housing market performance, security credit enhancement level, insurance coverage, year of origination, and type of collateral. The factors used in developing the expected loss on non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities vary by year of origination and type of collateral. As of September 30, 2012, the expected losses on subprime, Alt-A, prime and 2nd lien portfolios were developed using default roll rates, determined primarily by the stage of delinquency of the underlying instrument, that generally assumed ultimate default rates approximating 5% to 30% for current loans; 30% for loans 30 to 60 days delinquent; 80% for loans 60 to 90 days delinquent; 90% for loans delinquent greater than 90 days; and 100% for OREO properties and loans that are in foreclosure. September 30, 2012 amortized cost, weighted average ultimate default rates, and loss severity rates for the non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities portfolio, by security type, are provided in the following table.

 

($ In Millions)

   September 30, 2012  
                  Loss Severity Rates  

Security Type

   Amortized
Cost
     Weighted Average
Ultimate Default  Rates
    Low     High     Weighted
Average
 

Prime

   $ 22.3         15.0     35.9     57.8     46.2

Alt-A

     13.7         44.0        66.8        68.9        68.9   

Subprime

     65.4         50.8        63.6        83.8        73.5   

2nd Lien

     26.1         33.5        98.6        100.0        99.2   
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Non-Agency Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities

   $ 127.5         40.0     35.9     100.0     73.5
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

During the three months ended September 30, 2012, OTTI losses totaling $148.6 thousand related to non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities were recognized. During the nine months ended September 30, 2012, OTTI losses totaling $3.3 million were recognized, of which $1.7 million related to non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities and $1.6 million related to auction rate securities. Northern Trust’s processes for identifying credit impairment within auction rate securities are largely consistent with the processes utilized for non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities and include analyses of expected loss severities and default rates adjusted for the type of underlying loan and the presence of government guarantees, as applicable. OTTI losses of $1.3 million and $23.3 million were recorded for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2011, respectively, related to non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities.

 

Credit Losses on Debt Securities. The table below provides information regarding total other-than-temporarily impaired securities, including noncredit-related amounts recognized in other comprehensive income and net impairment losses recognized in earnings, for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2012 and 2011.

 

     Three Months Ended
September 30,
    Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 

(In Millions)

   2012     2011     2012     2011  

Changes in OTTI Losses*

   $ 0.4      $ 0.5      $ (2.7   $ (1.1

Noncredit-related Losses Recorded in / (Reclassified from) OCI**

     (0.6     (1.8     (0.6     (22.2
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net Impairment Losses Recognized in Earnings

   $ (0.2   $ (1.3   $ (3.3   $ (23.3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

* For initial other-than-temporary impairments in the respective period, the balance includes the excess of the amortized cost over the fair value of the impaired securities. For subsequent impairments of the same security, the balance includes any additional changes in fair value of the security subsequent to its most recently recorded OTTI.
** For initial other-than-temporary impairments in the respective period, the balance includes the portion of the excess of amortized cost over the fair value of the impaired securities that was recorded in OCI. For subsequent impairments of the same security, the balance includes additional changes in OCI for that security subsequent to its most recently recorded OTTI.

Provided in the table below are the cumulative credit-related losses recognized in earnings on debt securities other-than-temporarily impaired.

 

     Three Months Ended
September 30,
    Nine Months Ended
September  30,
 

(In Millions)

   2012      2011     2012     2011  

Cumulative Credit-Related Losses on Securities Held – Beginning of Period

   $ 43.2       $ 116.2      $ 68.2      $ 94.2   

Plus: Losses on Newly Identified Impairments

     —           —          1.6        1.5   

Additional Losses on Previously Identified Impairments

     0.2         1.3        1.7        21.8   

Less: Current and Prior Period Losses on Securities Sold During the Period

     —           (49.3     (28.1     (49.3
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Cumulative Credit-Related Losses on Securities Held – End of Period

   $ 43.4       $ 68.2      $ 43.4      $ 68.2   
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

The table below provides information regarding debt securities held as of September 30, 2012 and December 31, 2011, for which an OTTI loss has been recognized in the current period or previously.

 

     September 30,     December 31,  

(In Millions)

   2012     2011  

Fair Value

   $ 66.0      $ 73.6   

Amortized Cost Basis

     74.2        96.8   
  

 

 

   

 

 

 

Noncredit-related Losses Recognized in OCI

   $ (8.2   $ (23.2

Tax Effect

     3.1        8.6   
  

 

 

   

 

 

 

Amount Recorded in OCI

   $ (5.1   $ (14.6