EX-99.04 5 a05-20881_1ex99d04.htm EXHIBIT 99






























 

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Executing

The Regulatory Plan

 

Financial

Performance

 

 

 

Regulators/

Legislators

 

 

 

Value to

 

Environmental

Customers

 

Stewardship

 

 

 

Invest in Regulated Utility Business

 

Dave Sparby Vice President – Government and Regulatory Affairs

 



 

Safe Harbor

 

This material includes forward-looking statements that are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions.  Such forward-looking statements include projected earnings, cash flows, capital expenditures and other statements and are identified in this document by the words “anticipate,” “estimate,” “expect,” “projected,” “objective,” “outlook,” “possible,” “potential” and similar expressions.  Actual results may vary materially.  Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially include, but are not limited to: general economic conditions, including the availability of credit, actions of rating agencies and their impact on capital expenditures; business conditions in the energy industry; competitive factors; unusual weather; effects of geopolitical events, including war and acts of terrorism; changes in federal or state legislation; regulation; final approval and implementation of the pending settlement of the securities, ERISA and derivative litigation; costs and other effects of legal administrative proceedings, settlements, investigations and claims including litigation related to company-owned life insurance (COLI); actions of accounting regulatory bodies; risks associated with the California power market; the higher degree of risk associated with Xcel Energy’s nonregulated businesses compared with Xcel Energy’s regulated business; and other risk factors listed from time to time by Xcel Energy in reports filed with the SEC, including Exhibit 99.01 to Xcel Energy’s report on Form 10-K for year 2004.

 



 

Well-Positioned for Regulatory Success

 

                  Constructive regulation

 

                  Innovative regulatory recovery

 

                  Competitive rates due to strong cost management

 

                  Increase investment to meet customer requirements

 

                  Environmental stewardship

 



 

An Experienced Regulatory Team

 

 

 

 

 

Years

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Xcel Energy

 

Dave Sparby

 

25

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Cross Functional)

 

Debbie Blair

 

23

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Darnell

 

22

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NSP (M)

 

Scott Wilensky

 

20

 

 

 

Judy Poferl

 

20

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NSP (W)

 

Don Reck

 

26

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PSCo

 

Fred Stoffel

 

26

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SPS

 

David Hudson

 

22

 

 



 

Key Regulatory Initiatives

 

                  Minnesota electric rate case

 

                  Minnesota rate rider recovery and resource planning

 

                  Monticello nuclear plant relicensing

 

                  Wisconsin gas and electric rate cases

 

                  Colorado gas and electric rate cases

 

                  Texas electric rate case

 

                  North Dakota electric rate case

 



 

Minnesota Regulatory Structure

 

                  Public Utilities Commission

                  Five members

                  Six-year terms

                  Appointed by Governor

                  Balanced party affiliations

 

                  Department of Commerce

                  Public advocate and enforcement agency for Commission

 

                  Office of the Attorney General

                  Represents residential and commercial customers

 



 

Minnesota Regulatory Practice

 

                  Provides direct recovery for state-supported initiatives (conservation, renewable energy, transmission)

 

                  Provides monthly forecast fuel and purchased energy cost recovery

 

                  Provides interim rates 60 days after rate case filing and decision in 10 months

 

                  Allows forecast test year

 



 

Minnesota Electric Case Highlights

 

                  Requested $168 million increase, based on forecasted 2006 test year

 

                  11% return on common equity

 

                  $141 million interim rate increase, expected January 1, 2006

 

                  Customer impact

                  Base rate increase of 8%

                  Interim rate increase of 6.9%

 

                  Final decision expected third quarter 2006

 



 

Increasing Demand

 

[CHART]

 



 

Effective Demand-Side Management (DSM)

 

Plants Avoided through Conservation and Load Management

 

[CHART]

 

1 Plant = 250 MW Combined Cycle

 



 

Careful Management of Costs Minnesota O&M Expenses

 

[CHART]

 



 

NSP (M) Increasing Capital Investments

 

[CHART]

 



 

Proposed Policy Changes

 

                  Resource selection – Making the shareholders indifferent to DSM, purchased power or build

 

                  Wholesale margins – Sharing the benefits of the new market

 

                  Time-of-day rates – Charging the cost of service for large customers

 

                  Nuclear – Reflecting the prospect of life extension

 



 

Equalizing Resource Impacts Purchased Capacity Equity Rider (PCER)

 

                  Proposed mechanism to address increased imputed debt costs of new power purchase agreements

 

                  Calculate by applying equity ratio to imputed debt and earning an equity return less the embedded debt cost on this equity capital

 

                  If approved, recovery through PCER effective July 2007 with annual adjustments

 



 

DSM Financial Neutrality Factor

 

                  Proposed annual recovery of reduced earnings growth resulting from avoided plant investments

 

                  Supplement existing DSM mechanism

 

                  Calculation based on equity return on avoided capital investment

 

                  Supports accomplishment of expansion of DSM goals

 



 

Short-Term Wholesale Margin

 

                  Proposed pass through of proceeds from traditional wholesale margins up to a set threshold

 

                  First $16 million of short-term wholesale margin flows through fuel clause to customer

 

                  Allow for 50/50 sharing beyond threshold amount

 

                  Reduces exposure by using fuel clause to pass through actual results rather than forecasting a base rate credit

 



 

Average Residential Rate

 

[CHART]

 

Average rate (675 KWh monthly use) has increased 17% during the same period.

 



 

Residential Interim Rate Bill Impact

 

[CHART]

 



 

Next Steps in Minnesota

 

 

 

Interim

 

 

 

 

 

 

Acceptance

 

Rates

 

Hearings

 

Settlement

 

Decision

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Possible)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

November/

 

January

 

Spring

 

 

 

August

December

 

2006

 

2006

 

 

 

2006

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 

Other Minnesota Initiatives

 

                  New transmission cost recovery tariff

                  Allowed by law

                  Effective for costs post rate case

 

                  Resource Plan

                  Identifies base load need mid-decade

                  Sets up build/buy/conserve decisions

                  Expanded DSM, wind resources

 

                  Monticello Certificate of Need/Relicensing

 

                  Community-based energy development

                  Required to purchase by law

                  Assists in meeting renewable energy objective

 



 

Wisconsin Regulatory Structure

 

                  Public Service Commission (PSCW)

                  Three members

                  Six-year terms

                  Non-partisan office, appointed by Governor

 

                  Consumer and environmental groups as well as large C&I customers typically intervene

 

                  Wisconsin has an intervenor compensation fund

 



 

Wisconsin Regulatory Practices

 

                  File rate cases every odd year

 

                  Forecast test year

 

                  Rates effective at beginning of test year

 

                  Electric fuel cost recovery cases filed if actual cost varies by + 2% from base amount

 

                  Full recovery of public benefits charge (DSM, low-income assistance)

 



 

Wisconsin Rate Cases Highlights Combined Electric and Gas Case

 

                  $53.1 million electric increase requested with a customer impact of 13.4%

 

                  $7.7 million gas increase requested with a customer impact of 4.8%

 

                  11.9% return on equity

 

                  56.32% common equity

 

                  New rates effective January 1, 2006

 



 

Wisconsin Rate Case Status

 

                  PSCW staff recommendations

                  $45.4 million electric increase

                  $5.8 million gas increase

                  11.0% ROE

                  56.43% common equity

 

                  Intervenor recommendations

                  10.25 10.5% ROE

                  51% common equity

 

                  Hearings completed November 2005

 

                  Commission decision expected December 2005

 



 

Colorado Regulatory Structure

 

                  Public Utilities Commission

                  Three members

                  Four-year staggered terms

                  Appointed by the Governor

                  Balanced party affiliations

 

                  Trial Staff public advocate, enforcement branch of the Commission

 

                  Office of Consumer Counsel

                  Public advocate for residential, small commercial and irrigation customers

 

                  Other Parties

                  Cities and municipalities

                  Large industrial customers

 



 

Colorado Regulatory Practices

 

                  Recovery of Comanche 3 CWIP allowed

 

                  Recovery of fuel and purchased energy cost subject to incentive mechanism + $11.25 million

 

                  Rider recovery of approved capacity costs (PCCA)

 

                  Rider recovery of forecast gas costs

 

                  Rider mechanism for environmental improvement costs (AQIR) (Amendment 37)

 

                  Historic test year

 

                  Rates effective eight months after filing

 



 

Colorado Gas Rate Case Highlights

 

                  Xcel Energy request:

                  $34.5 million request

                  11.0% return on equity

 

                  Staff recommendation

                  $8.5 million revenue increase

                  9.5% Return on equity

 

                  OCC recommendation

                  $0.2 million revenue decrease

                  8.5% ROE

 

                  Hearings scheduled for December 2005

 

                  Resolution expected February 2006

 



 

Colorado Electric Rate Case Highlights

 

                  Filing date April 2006

 

                  2005 test year with pro forma adjustments

 

                  Include Comanche 3 CWIP through 2006

 

                  Extend fuel and purchased power adjustment clauses

 

                  Imputed debt recovery

 



 

Texas Regulation

 

Regulatory practices

 

                  Historic test year

 

                  Interim rates 35 days after filing

 

                  Decision in six months

 

                  Semi-annual fuel recovery adjustments

 

                  New transmission cost recovery rider

 

Electric rate case highlights

 

                  Planned filing May 2006

 

                  Large industrial customer interveners

 



 

North Dakota Regulation

 

Regulatory practices

 

                  Forecast test year

 

                  Interim rates allowed 60 days after filing

 

                  Decision within six months of filing

 

                  Monthly fuel cost recovery

 

Electric rate case highlights

 

                  Expect to file early December 2005

 

                  PLUS plan rate increases in 2004 & 2005

 



 

Summary

 

                  Strong basis for rate relief

 

                  Experienced team to execute strategy

 

                  Rate riders will provide bridge between rate cases

 

                  Fuel clause mechanism will provide current recovery

 

                  History of constructive regulatory treatment