CORRESP 1 filename1.htm American Physicians Service Group, Inc.

[seccorresp022509001.jpg]American Physicians Service Group, Inc.




February 25, 2009



VIA EDGAR


Mr. Jim B. Rosenberg

Senior Assistant Chief Accountant

Division of Corporation Finance

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

Washington, D.C.  20549


Re:

American Physicians Service Group, Inc.

Form 10-K for the Year Ended December 31, 2007

Filed March 13, 2008

Form 10-Q for the Quarterly Period Ended September 30, 2008

Filed November 3, 2008

File No. 001-31434


Dear Mr. Rosenberg:


On February 20, 2009, I spoke by telephone with Ibolya Ignat of the SEC Staff in which we were requested to respond to the following two additional comments as a follow-up to our Response letter to the Securities and Exchange Commission dated January 20, 2009.


1.

Please refer to your response to Comment No. 2, we do not believe that the proposed presentation of your 10-year development table complies with Industry Guide 6 because the financial information in the table does not appear to be based on financial information that is consistent with how your financial statements are prepared.  Please refer to the first sentence, of Item 2b of Industry Guide 6. Please provide us a revised table based on post-merger information that complies with Industry Guide 6. In addition, please include a separate ten-year development table presenting the development of the unpaid loss and loss adjustment expense of API prior to the date of the merger with the company.  


Response:  We have modified the 10-year development table by showing post-merger information that complies with Industry Guide 6.  In addition, in order to aid the reader of these financial statements we have included a separate ten-year development table reflecting the historical development of unpaid loss and loss adjustment expense of API prior the date of API’s merger with us. In response to your comment, we propose to revise our Critical Accounting Policies section of our Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Results of Operations to include the additional information set forth below, commencing with the filing of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008.




1301 S. CAPITAL OF TEXAS HIGHWAY   SUITE C 300  AUSTIN, TX 78746   PHONE:  (512) 328-0888  FAX:  (512) 314-4398




Mr. Jim B. Rosenberg

February 25, 2009

Page 2


The following tables, known as the reserve development tables, show the development of the liability for unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses. The top line of the table shows the original estimated liabilities at the balance sheet date, including losses incurred but not yet reported. The upper portion of the table shows the cumulative amounts subsequently paid as of successive year-ends with respect to the liability. The lower portion of the table shows the re-estimated amount of the previously recorded liability based on experience as of the end of each succeeding year. The estimates change as claims settle and more information becomes known about the ultimate frequency and severity of claims for individual years. A (deficiency) or redundancy exists when the re-estimated liability at each December 31 is greater (or less) than the prior liability estimate. The cumulative (deficiency) or redundancy depicted in the table, for any particular calendar year, represents the aggregate change in the initial estimates over all subsequent calendar years. The volatility of medical professional liability claim frequency and severity makes the prediction of the ultimate losses very difficult.  Likewise, the long period of time necessary for medical professional liability claims to develop and be paid further complicates the reserving process.




Mr. Jim B. Rosenberg

February 25, 2009

Page 3


On April 1, 2007, we acquired all of the issued and outstanding stock of API. The business combination was accounted for using the purchase method of accounting and, accordingly, the purchase price was allocated to assets acquired and liabilities assumed based on fair values at the date of acquisition. As such, on April 1, 2007, we assumed all assets and liabilities of API including reserves for loss and loss adjustment expenses as well as any future reserve development subsequent to the date of the acquisition. The following table summarizes our reserve development as of December 31, 2007, the year in which we acquired API and each subsequent year thereafter:  


 

2007

 

2008

Original Net Liability – end of year

$

81,164 

 

$

78,126 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cumulative net paid as of;

 

 

 

 

 

   One Year later

 

18,228 

 

 

   Two Years later

 

 

 

 

 

   Three Years later

 

 

 

 

 

   Four Years later

 

 

 

 

 

   Five Years later

 

 

 

 

 

   Six Years later

 

 

 

 

 

   Seven Years later

 

 

 

 

 

   Eight Years later

 

 

 

 

 

   Nine Years later

 

 

 

 

 

   Ten Years later

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Re-estimated Net Liability as of:

 

 

 

 

 

   End of year

 

81,164 

 

 

78,126 

   One Year later

 

60,955 

 

 

 

   Two Years later

 

 

 

 

 

   Three Years later

 

 

 

 

 

   Four Years later

 

 

 

 

 

   Five Years later

 

 

 

 

 

   Six Years later

 

 

 

 

 

   Seven Years later

 

 

 

 

 

   Eight Years later

 

 

 

 

 

   Nine Years later

 

 

 

 

 

   Ten Years later

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net cumulative (deficiency) redundancy

 

20,209 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Original Gross liability- end of year

$

101,606 

 

$

92,141 

Less: Reinsurance recoverables - end of year

$

(20,442)

 

$

(14,015)

Original Net liability - end of year

$

81,164 

 

$

78,126 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross re-estimated liability - latest

$

73,539 

 

$

92,141 

Re-estimated reinsurance recoverables-latest

$

(12,584)

 

$

(14,015)

Net re-estimated liabitity - latest

$

60,955 

 

$

78,126 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross cumulative (deficiency) redundancy

$

28,067 

 

$





Mr. Jim B. Rosenberg

February 25, 2009

Page 4


For comparative purposes, we have included a reserve development table below on a “pro forma basis” which shows reserve development for periods prior to the acquisition of API on April 1, 2007.


 

PRO FORMA

 

1998

 

1999

 

2000

 

2001

 

2002

 

2003

 

2004

 

2005

 

2006

 

As of

March 31,

2007

Original Net Liability – end of year

$

42,177 

 

$

35,471 

 

$

37,593 

 

$

33,747 

 

$

35,030 

 

$

42,231 

 

$

56,349 

 

$

65,933 

 

$

81,089 

 

$

86,036 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cumulative net paid as of;

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   One Year later

 

24,898 

 

 

21,805 

 

 

27,998 

 

 

23,360 

 

 

31,665 

 

 

34,965 

 

 

30,634 

 

 

20,074 

 

 

20,993 

 

 

   Two Years later

 

36,796 

 

 

40,156 

 

 

41,575 

 

 

40,278 

 

 

48,023 

 

 

55,034 

 

 

43,409 

 

 

29,939 

 

 

33,157 

 

 

 

   Three Years later

 

43,786 

 

 

44,562 

 

 

47,614 

 

 

45,952 

 

 

54,926 

 

 

62,226 

 

 

49,173 

 

 

34,878 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Four Years later

 

44,904 

 

 

46,015 

 

 

50,520 

 

 

48,503 

 

 

57,390 

 

 

66,613 

 

 

51,622 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Five Years later

 

45,626 

 

 

47,670 

 

 

51,090 

 

 

49,417 

 

 

58,957 

 

 

70,387 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Six Years later

 

46,786 

 

 

47,905 

 

 

51,674 

 

 

50,090 

 

 

60,942 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Seven Years later

 

46,903 

 

 

48,520 

 

 

52,020 

 

 

51,694 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Eight Years later

 

47,487 

 

 

48,655 

 

 

53,454 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Nine Years later

 

47,585 

 

 

48,752 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Ten Years later

 

47,682 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Re-estimated Net Liability as of:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   End of year

 

42,177 

 

 

35,471 

 

 

37,593 

 

 

33,747 

 

 

35,030 

 

 

42,231 

 

 

56,349 

 

 

65,933 

 

 

81,089 

 

 

   One Year later

 

42,837 

 

 

37,248 

 

 

39,708 

 

 

42,155 

 

 

46,955 

 

 

68,083 

 

 

73,957 

 

 

63,061 

 

 

65,939 

 

 

 

   Two Years later

 

43,677 

 

 

41,837 

 

 

48,411 

 

 

45,826 

 

 

61,294 

 

 

79,041 

 

 

69,525 

 

 

50,291 

 

 

52,834 

 

 

 

   Three Years later

 

44,636 

 

 

47,540 

 

 

50,926 

 

 

54,212 

 

 

64,379 

 

 

81,888 

 

 

61,154 

 

 

45,330 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Four Years later

 

46,880 

 

 

48,214 

 

 

55,846 

 

 

55,618 

 

 

66,557 

 

 

77,432 

 

 

58,456 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Five Years later

 

47,420 

 

 

51,101 

 

 

56,163 

 

 

54,762 

 

 

63,760 

 

 

76,522 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Six Years later

 

49,604 

 

 

51,064 

 

 

55,236 

 

 

53,115 

 

 

64,483 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Seven Years later

 

49,626 

 

 

50,551 

 

 

54,220 

 

 

53,768 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Eight Years later

 

48,873 

 

 

49,706 

 

 

54,839 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Nine Years later

 

48,563 

 

 

49,720 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Ten Years later

 

48,558 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net cumulative (deficiency) redundancy

 

(6,381)

 

 

(14,249)

 

 

(17,246)

 

 

(20,021)

 

 

(29,453)

 

 

(34,291)

 

 

(2,107)

 

 

20,603 

 

 

28,255 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Original Gross liability- end of year

$

66,434 

 

$

54,132 

 

$

64,335 

 

$

61,701 

 

$

54,186 

 

$

61,313 

 

$

69,445 

 

$

95,628 

 

$

110,089 

 

$

116,226 

Less: Reinsurance recoverables - end of year

 

(24,257)

 

 

(18,661)

 

 

(26,742)

 

 

(27,954)

 

 

(19,156)

 

 

(19,082)

 

 

(13,096)

 

 

(29,695)

 

 

(29,000)

 

 

(30,190)

Original Net liability - end of year

$

42,177 

 

$

35,471 

 

$

37,593 

 

$

33,747 

 

$

35,030 

 

$

42,231 

 

$

56,349 

 

$

65,933 

 

$

81,089 

 

$

86,036 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross re-estimated liability - latest

$

62,791 

 

$

61,091 

 

$

68,144 

 

$

62,032 

 

$

71,960 

 

$

84,837 

 

$

65,486 

 

$

50,162 

 

$

62,511 

 

 

 

Re-estimated reinsurance recoverables-latest

 

(14,233)

 

 

(11,371)

 

 

(13,305)

 

 

(8,264)

 

 

(7,477)

 

 

(8,315)

 

 

(7,030)

 

 

(4,832)

 

 

(9,677)

 

 

 

Net re-estimated liability - latest

$

48,558 

 

$

49,720 

 

$

54,839 

 

$

53,768 

 

$

64,483 

 

$

76,522 

 

$

58,456 

 

$

45,330 

 

$

52,834 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross cumulative (deficiency) redundancy

$

3,643 

 

$

(6,959)

 

$

(3,809)

 

$

(331)

 

$

(17,774)

 

$

(23,524)

 

$

3,959 

 

$

45,466 

 

$

47,578 

 

 

 





Mr. Jim B. Rosenberg

February 25, 2009

Page 5


2.

We believe that for the reconciliation of net reserve amount to the gross reserve amount in the ten-year development table to be compliant with Industry Guide 6, it is necessary to include a line item that arrives at the cumulative (deficiency)/redundancy on a gross basis.  (i.e. the difference between the gross reserve and gross re-estimated reserve).  Please revise your presentation to include this line item on a gross basis instead of the current net presentation.  


Response:  We have modified the ten-year table to include the line items on a gross basis as requested.  Please see our Response to Comment No. 1 above.


In accordance with the request contained in your original comment letter, American Physicians Service Group, Inc. (“APS”) acknowledges that:


o

APS is responsible for the adequacy and accuracy of the disclosures in the Form 10-K filed by APS for year ended December 31, 2007 and the Form 10-Q for the period ended September  30, 2008 (the “Filings”);


o

SEC Staff comments or changes to disclosure in response to SEC Staff comments do not foreclose the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “Commission”) from taking action with respect to the Filing; and


o

APS may not assert SEC Staff comments as a defense in any proceeding initiated by the Commission or any person under the federal securities laws of the United States.


If you have any questions concerning this letter or our responses to your comments, please do not hesitate to contact me at (512) 314-4497 or mzimmermann@amph.com.  Thank you.


Sincerely,



/s/ Marc Zimmermann

Marc Zimmermann

Chief Financial Officer


C:

Ibolya Ignat, Staff Accoutant

Division of Corporate Finance


Mr. Kenneth S. Shifrin

Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

American Physicians Service Group, Inc.

1301 S. Capital of Texas Highway, Suite C-300

Austin, TX  78746-6550