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Allowance for Credit Losses
6 Months Ended
Jun. 30, 2021
Receivables [Abstract]  
ALLOWANCE FOR CREDIT LOSSES ALLOWANCE FOR CREDIT LOSSES
We maintain an ACL at a level determined to be adequate to absorb estimated expected credit losses within the loan portfolio over the contractual life of an instrument that considers our historical loss experience, current conditions and forecasts of future economic conditions as of the balance sheet date. We develop and document a systematic ACL methodology based on the following portfolio segments: 1) Commercial Real Estate, or CRE, 2) Commercial and Industrial, or C&I, 3) Commercial Construction, 4) Business Banking, 5) Consumer Real Estate and 6) Other Consumer.
The following are key risks within each portfolio segment:
CRE—Loans secured by commercial purpose real estate, including both owner-occupied properties and investment properties for various purposes such as hotels, retail, multifamily and health care. Operations of the individual projects and global cash flows of the debtors are the primary sources of repayment for these loans. The condition of the local economy is an important indicator of risk, but there are also more specific risks depending on the collateral type and the business prospects of the lessee, if the project is not owner-occupied.
C&I—Loans made to operating companies or manufacturers for the purpose of production, operating capacity, accounts receivable, inventory or equipment financing. Cash flow from the operations of the company is the primary source of repayment for these loans. The condition of the local economy is an important indicator of risk, but there are also more specific risks depending on the industry of the company. Collateral for these types of loans often does not have sufficient value in a distressed or liquidation scenario to satisfy the outstanding debt.
Commercial Construction—Loans made to finance construction of buildings or other structures, as well as to finance the acquisition and development of raw land for various purposes. While the risk of these loans is generally confined to the construction/development period, if there are problems, the project may not be completed, and as such, may not provide sufficient cash flow on its own to service the debt or have sufficient value in a liquidation to cover the outstanding principal. The condition of the local economy is an important indicator of risk, but there are also more specific risks depending on the type of project and the experience and resources of the developer.
Business Banking—Commercial purpose loans made to small businesses that are standard, non-complex products evaluated through a streamlined credit approval process that has been designed to maximize efficiency while maintaining high credit quality standards that meet small business market customers’ needs. The business banking portfolio is monitored by utilizing a standard and closely managed process focusing on behavioral and performance criteria. The condition of the local economy is an important indicator of risk, but there are also more specific risks depending on the collateral type and business.
Consumer Real Estate—Loans secured by first and second liens such as home equity loans, home equity lines of credit and 1-4 family residential mortgages, including purchase money mortgages. The primary source of repayment for these loans is the income and assets of the borrower. The condition of the local economy, in particular the unemployment rate, is an important indicator of risk for this segment. The state of the local housing market can also have a significant impact on this segment because low demand and/or declining home values can limit the ability of borrowers to sell a property and satisfy the debt.
Other Consumer—Loans made to individuals that may be secured by assets other than 1-4 family residences, as well as unsecured loans. This segment includes auto loans, unsecured loans and lines. The primary source of repayment for these loans is the income and assets of the borrower. The condition of the local economy, in particular the unemployment rate, is an important indicator of risk for this segment. The value of the collateral, if there is any, is less likely to be a source of repayment due to less certain collateral values.
Management monitors various credit quality indicators for the commercial, business banking and consumer loan portfolios, including changes in risk ratings, nonperforming status and delinquency on a monthly basis.
We monitor the commercial loan portfolio through an internal risk rating system. Loan risk ratings are assigned based upon the creditworthiness of the borrower and are reviewed on an ongoing basis according to our internal policies. Loans within the pass rating generally have a lower risk of loss than loans risk rated as special mention or substandard.
Our risk ratings are consistent with regulatory guidance and are as follows:
Pass—The loan is currently performing and is of high quality.
Special Mention—A special mention loan has potential weaknesses that warrant management’s close attention. If left uncorrected, these potential weaknesses may result in deterioration of the repayment prospects or in the strength of our credit position at some future date.
Substandard—A substandard loan is not adequately protected by the net worth and/or paying capacity of the borrower or by the collateral pledged, if any. Substandard loans have a well-defined weakness or weaknesses that jeopardize the liquidation of the debt. These loans are characterized by the distinct possibility that we will sustain some loss if the deficiencies are not corrected.
Doubtful—Loans classified doubtful have all the weaknesses inherent in those classified substandard with the added characteristic that the weaknesses make collection or liquidation in full, on the basis of currently known facts, conditions, and values, highly questionable and improbable.
The following tables presents loan balances by year of origination and internally assigned risk rating for our portfolio segments as of the dates presented:
June 30, 2021
Risk Rating
(dollars in thousands)202120202019201820172016 and PriorRevolvingRevolving-TermTotal
Commercial real estate
Pass$179,504 $326,531 $457,287 $347,132 $229,164 $778,930 $40,398 — $2,358,945 
Special mention— 448 29,581 8,310 38,927 112,654 — — 189,920 
Substandard— — 17,007 15,516 19,229 131,668 1,500 — 184,920 
Doubtful— — 751 — — 5,760 — — 6,511 
Total commercial real estate179,504 326,979 504,625 370,957 287,320 1,029,012 41,898  2,740,296 
Commercial and industrial
Pass395,929 265,953 153,588 102,789 45,641 140,169 370,282 — 1,474,351 
Special mention51 3,008 22,124 3,369 — 1,141 11,574 — 41,266 
Substandard5,433 — 8,962 1,573 5,572 5,357 3,733 — 30,630 
Doubtful— — — — — — — — — 
Total commercial and industrial401,413 268,962 184,674 107,731 51,213 146,667 385,588  1,546,247 
Commercial construction
Pass61,289 126,858 182,394 48,374 1,352 5,131 19,761 — 445,159 
Special mention— 1,380 3,269 — — 8,421 — — 13,071 
Substandard— 2,138 4,058 — 500 2,945 — — 9,642 
Doubtful         
Total commercial construction61,289 130,376 189,721 48,374 1,853 16,498 19,761  467,871 
Business banking
Pass100,800 115,666 158,725 123,708 85,193 337,243 104,566 455 1,026,356 
Special mention117 637 1,919 1,665 1,564 6,958 287 121 13,270 
Substandard— 72 1,694 3,364 1,376 23,139 954 651 31,249 
Doubtful         
Total business banking100,917 116,374 162,338 128,737 88,133 367,340 105,808 1,228 1,070,875 
Consumer real estate
Pass43,351 111,065 98,684 49,815 45,224 241,295 467,802 22,670 1,079,907 
Special mention— — — — — 2,205 — — 2,205 
Substandard— 58 185 1,595 1,404 6,963 356 1,205 11,766 
Doubtful         
Total consumer real estate43,351 111,123 98,869 51,411 46,628 250,463 468,158 23,875 1,093,878 
Other consumer
Pass12,668 12,283 9,842 4,764 2,016 1,767 36,611 1,040 80,990 
Special mention— — — — — — — — — 
Substandard— — 113 123 208 4,910 275 1,560 7,190 
Doubtful— — — — — — — 
Total other consumer12,668 12,283 9,955 4,887 2,223 6,681 36,886 2,600 88,184 
Pass793,541 958,356 1,060,518 676,582 408,589 1,504,535 1,039,420 24,166 6,465,707 
Special mention168 5,474 56,894 13,343 40,492 131,379 11,861 121 259,732 
Substandard5,433 2,268 32,019 22,172 28,289 174,983 6,818 3,415 275,397 
Doubtful— — 751 — — 5,764 — — 6,514 
Total $799,142 $966,097 $1,150,182 $712,097 $477,370 $1,816,661 $1,058,098 $27,703 $7,007,351 
December 31, 2020
Risk Rating
(dollars in thousands)202020192018201720162015 and PriorRevolvingRevolving-TermTotal
Commercial real estate
Pass$334,086 $422,800 $394,963 $277,724 $307,321 $615,217 $46,330 $— $2,398,441 
Special mention— 35,499 10,200 22,502 55,174 75,022 — — 198,397 
Substandard— 17,259 12,781 19,914 50,700 83,792 1,500 — 185,946 
Doubtful— 645 — — 1,989 6,529 — — 9,163 
Total commercial real estate334,086 476,203 417,944 320,140 415,184 780,560 47,830  2,791,947 
Commercial and industrial
Pass454,131 199,453 140,049 68,607 27,645 206,782 383,082 — 1,479,749 
Special mention3,697 8,211 2,628 697 768 1,046 23,527 — 40,574 
Substandard— 7,793 2,613 8,544 75 13,781 2,022 — 34,828 
Doubtful— — — 4,401 — — — — 4,401 
Total commercial and industrial457,828 215,457 145,290 82,249 28,488 221,609 408,631  1,559,552 
Commercial construction
Pass131,235 224,794 59,649 2,420 6,346 4,555 12,778 — 441,777 
Special mention1,578 2,533 3,886 — — 8,593 — — 16,590 
Substandard— 3,580 — 501 — 3,629 — — 7,710 
Doubtful         
Total commercial construction132,813 230,907 63,535 2,921 6,346 16,777 12,778  466,077 
Business banking
Pass296,254 154,335 123,207 86,552 77,238 266,042 103,571 291 1,107,490 
Special mention— 1,060 1,147 1,602 1,084 6,866 637 123 12,519 
Substandard103 1,078 3,896 3,209 3,880 25,871 1,341 680 40,058 
Doubtful         
Total business banking296,357 156,473 128,250 91,363 82,202 298,779 105,549 1,094 1,160,067 
Consumer real estate
Pass120,736 122,171 67,700 63,653 73,805 243,939 438,888 22,667 1,153,559 
Special mention— — 1,489 — — 150 132 — 1,771 
Substandard— 373 742 1,480 2,449 6,958 — — 12,002 
Doubtful         
Total consumer real estate120,736 122,544 69,931 65,133 76,254 251,047 439,020 22,667 1,167,332 
Other consumer
Pass18,849 13,162 6,784 3,395 2,082 687 26,647 2,767 74,373 
Special mention— — — — — — — — — 
Substandard15 — — — — 3,367 744 2,386 6,512 
Doubtful         
Total other consumer18,864 13,162 6,784 3,395 2,082 4,054 27,391 5,153 80,885 
Pass1,355,291 1,136,715 792,352 502,350 494,436 1,337,221 1,011,297 25,726 6,655,389 
Special Mention5,274 47,302 19,350 24,802 57,026 91,677 24,296 123 269,851 
Substandard118 30,083 20,032 33,648 57,105 137,398 5,607 3,066 287,056 
Doubtful— 645 — 4,401 1,989 6,529 — — 13,564 
Total $1,360,684 $1,214,746 $831,734 $565,201 $610,556 $1,572,826 $1,041,199 $28,914 $7,225,860 
We monitor the delinquent status of the commercial and consumer portfolios on a monthly basis. Loans are considered nonperforming when interest and principal are 90 days or more past due or management has determined that a material deterioration in the borrower’s financial condition exists. The risk of loss is generally highest for nonperforming loans.
The following tables presents loan balances by year of origination and performing and nonperforming status for our portfolio segments as of June 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020:
June 30, 2021
(dollars in thousands)202120202019201820172016 and PriorRevolvingRevolving-TermTotal
Commercial real estate
Performing$179,504 $326,979 $488,368 $368,211 $280,693 $974,576 $41,898 $— $2,660,229 
Nonperforming— — 16,257 2,747 6,628 54,435 — — 80,067 
Total commercial real estate179,504 326,979 504,625 370,957 287,320 1,029,012 41,898  2,740,296 
Commercial and industrial
Performing395,980 268,962 184,674 107,347 45,711 146,416 384,959 — 1,534,049 
Nonperforming5,433 — — 384 5,501 250 629 — 12,198 
Total commercial and industrial401,413 268,962 184,674 107,731 51,213 146,667 385,588  1,546,247 
Commercial construction
Performing61,289 130,376 189,721 48,374 1,853 16,113 19,761 — 467,486 
Nonperforming— — — — — 385 — — 385 
Total commercial construction61,289 130,376 189,721 48,374 1,853 16,498 19,761  467,871 
Business banking
Performing100,917 116,374 162,077 127,306 87,342 358,870 105,753 1,170 1,059,810 
Nonperforming— — 261 1,431 791 8,470 55 57 11,064 
Total business banking100,917 116,374 162,338 128,737 88,133 367,340 105,808 1,228 1,070,875 
Consumer real estate
Performing43,351 110,441 98,578 51,161 46,018 244,783 467,827 22,934 1,085,094 
Nonperforming— 682 291 249 610 5,680 331 940 8,783 
Total consumer real estate43,351 111,123 98,869 51,411 46,628 250,463 468,158 23,875 1,093,878 
Other consumer
Performing12,668 12,162 9,955 4,887 2,223 6,681 36,886 2,600 88,062 
Nonperforming— 121 — — — — — — 121 
Total other consumer12,668 12,283 9,955 4,887 2,223 6,681 36,886 2,600 88,184 
Performing793,709 965,293 1,133,373 707,286 463,841 1,747,440 1,057,084 26,705 6,894,731 
Nonperforming5,433 803 16,809 4,811 13,529 69,221 1,015 998 112,619 
Total $799,142 $966,097 $1,150,182 $712,097 $477,370 $1,816,661 $1,058,098 $27,703 $7,007,351 
December 31, 2020
(dollars in thousands)202020192018201720162015 and PriorRevolvingRevolving-TermTotal
Commercial real estate
Performing$334,086 $459,799 $417,944 $313,465 $394,972 $722,782 $47,830 $— $2,690,879 
Nonperforming— 16,404 — 6,675 20,212 57,778 — — 101,070 
Total commercial real estate334,086 476,203 417,944 320,140 415,184 780,560 47,830  2,791,947 
Commercial and industrial
Performing457,828 214,144 143,706 69,411 28,426 220,701 408,350 — 1,542,566 
Nonperforming— 1,313 1,584 12,838 62 908 281 — 16,985 
Total commercial and industrial457,828 215,457 145,290 82,249 28,488 221,609 408,631  1,559,552 
Commercial construction
Performing132,813 230,907 63,535 2,921 6,346 16,393 12,778 — 465,692 
Nonperforming— — — — — 384 — — 384 
Total commercial construction132,813 230,907 63,535 2,921 6,346 16,777 12,778  466,077 
Business Banking
Performing296,327 156,164 126,432 90,414 80,106 286,970 105,494 1,037 1,142,944 
Nonperforming30 309 1,818 949 2,096 11,809 55 57 17,123 
Total business banking296,357 156,473 128,250 91,363 82,202 298,779 105,549 1,094 1,160,067 
Consumer real estate
Performing120,736 122,315 69,225 63,647 74,690 245,331 438,702 21,572 1,156,216 
Nonperforming— 229 706 1,486 1,564 5,716 318 1,096 11,116 
Total consumer real estate120,736 122,544 69,931 65,133 76,254 251,047 439,020 22,667 1,167,332 
Other consumer
Performing18,864 13,162 6,784 3,395 2,082 3,958 27,391 5,153 80,789 
Nonperforming— — — — — 96 — — 96 
Total other consumer18,864 13,162 6,784 3,395 2,082 4,054 27,391 5,153 80,885 
Performing1,360,654 1,196,491 827,625 543,253 586,622 1,496,135 1,040,544 27,762 7,079,086 
Nonperforming30 18,254 4,108 21,948 23,934 76,691 654 1,153 146,774 
Total$1,360,684 $1,214,746 $831,734 $565,201 $610,556 $1,572,826 $1,041,199 $28,914 $7,225,860 
The following tables present the age analysis of past due loans segregated by class of loans as of the dates presented:
June 30, 2021
(dollars in thousands)Current30-59 Days
Past Due
60-89 Days
Past Due
Non - performingTotal Past
Due Loans
Total Loans
Commercial real estate$2,648,221 $12,007 $— $80,067 $92,075 2,740,296 
Commercial and industrial1,534,049 — — 12,198 12,198 1,546,247 
Commercial construction466,987 — 500 385 885 467,871 
Business banking1,057,279 2,311 222 11,064 13,597 1,070,875 
Consumer real estate1,083,947 640 507 8,783 9,930 1,093,878 
Other consumer87,905 105 52 121 278 88,184 
Total$6,878,389 $15,063 $1,281 $112,619 $128,962 $7,007,351 
(1) We had 42 loans that were modified totaling $68.7 million under the CARES Act at June 30, 2021. These customers were not considered past due as a result of their delayed payments. Upon exiting the loan modification deferral program, the measurement of loan delinquency will resume where it left off upon entry into the program. Due to the modifications, this delinquency table may not accurately reflect the credit risk associated with these loans.
December 31, 2020
(dollars in thousands)Current30-59 Days
Past Due
60-89 Days
Past Due
Past Due 90+ Days Still Accruing (2)
Non - performingTotal Past
Due Loans
Total Loans
Commercial real estate$2,690,877 $— $— $— $101,070 $101,070 $2,791,947 
Commercial and industrial1,542,567 — — — 16,985 16,985 1,559,552 
Commercial construction462,094 19 3,580 — 384 3,983 466,077 
Business banking1,140,581 1,614 379 371 17,122 19,486 1,160,067 
Consumer real estate1,153,028 1,087 1,968 132 11,117 14,304 1,167,332 
Other consumer80,583 168 37 — 96 302 80,885 
Total(1)
$7,069,730 $2,888 $5,965 $503 $146,774 $156,130 $7,225,860 
(1) We had 52 loans that were modified totaling $195.6 million under the CARES Act at December 31, 2020. These customers were not considered past due as a result of their delayed payments. Upon exiting the loan modification deferral program, the measurement of loan delinquency will resume where it left off upon entry into the program. Due to the modification program, this delinquency table may not accurately reflect the credit risk associated with these loans.
(2) Represents acquired loans that were recorded at fair value at the acquisition date and remain performing at December 31, 2020.
The following table presents loans on nonaccrual status by class of loan:
June 30, 2021
June 30, 2021For the three and six months ended
(dollars in thousands)Beginning of Period NonaccrualEnd of Period NonaccrualNonaccrual With No Related Allowance
Interest Income Recognized on Nonaccrual(1)
Interest Income Recognized on Nonaccrual(1)
Commercial real estate$101,070 $80,067 $47,648 $$66 
Commercial and industrial16,985 12,198 11,183 72 115 
Commercial construction384 385 — — — 
Business banking17,122 11,064 1,508 139 275 
Consumer real estate11,117 8,783 — 210 319 
Other consumer96 121 — — 
Total$146,774 $112,619 $60,340 $426 $776 
(1) Represents only cash payments received and applied to interest on nonaccrual loans.
.
December 31, 2020
December 31, 2020For the twelve months ended
(dollars in thousands)Beginning of Period NonaccrualEnd of Period NonaccrualNonaccrual With No Related AllowancePast Due 90+ Days Still Accruing
Interest Income
Recognized
on Nonaccrual(1)
Commercial real estate$25,356 $101,070 $60,401 $— $22 
Commercial and industrial10,911 16,985 6,436 — 101 
Commercial construction737 384 285 — — 
Business banking9,863 17,122 3,890 371 275 
Consumer real estate6,063 11,117 398 132 423 
Other consumer1,127 96 — — 
Total$54,057 $146,774 $71,410 $503 $826 
(1) Represents only cash payments received and applied to interest on nonaccrual loans.
The following tables present collateral-dependent loans by class of loan as of the dates presented:
June 30, 2021
Type of Collateral
(dollars in thousands)Real EstateBusiness
Assets
Investment/CashOther
Commercial real estate$76,437 $— $— $— 
Commercial and industrial302 14,461 — — 
Commercial construction3,222 — — — 
Business banking1,806 1,141 — — 
Consumer real estate— — — — 
Total$81,767 $15,602 $ $ 
December 31, 2020
Type of Collateral
(dollars in thousands)Real EstateBusiness
Assets
Investment/CashOther
Commercial real estate$100,450$$$
Commercial and industrial1,04015,080
Commercial construction3,552
Business banking3,0851,619689
Consumer real estate398
Total$108,525$16,699$$689
The following tables present activity in the ACL for the periods presented:
Three Months Ended June 30, 2021
(dollars in thousands)Commercial
Real Estate
Commercial and
Industrial
Commercial
Construction
Business BankingConsumer
Real Estate
Other
Consumer
Total
Loans
Allowance for credit losses on loans:
Balance at beginning of period$66,842 $14,663 $6,329 $15,680 $8,981 $2,606 $115,101 
Provision for credit losses on loans(1)
2,937 225 (426)(560)(410)243 2,008 
Charge-offs(7,558)(473)— (410)(76)(221)(8,737)
Recoveries965 11 47 152 88 1,264 
Net (Charge-offs)/Recoveries(6,594)(462)2 (363)76 (132)(7,473)
Balance at End of Period$63,186 $14,426 $5,905 $14,756 $8,647 $2,717 $109,636 
(1) Excludes unfunded commitments

Three Months Ended June 30, 2020
(dollars in thousands)Commercial
Real Estate
Commercial and
Industrial
Commercial
Construction
Business BankingConsumer
Real Estate
Other
Consumer
Total
Loans
Allowance for credit losses on loans:
Balance at beginning of period$42,611 $19,870 $6,606 $13,706 $11,200 $2,857 $96,850 
Impact of CECL adoption— — — — — — — 
Provision for credit losses on loans(1)
20,681 60,906 2,249 918 400 677 85,831 
Charge-offs(5,600)(61,616)— (260)(37)(790)(68,303)
Recoveries38 19 40 22 108 231 
Net (Charge-offs)/Recoveries(5,562)(61,612)19 (220)(15)(682)(68,072)
Balance at End of Period$57,730 $19,164 $8,874 $14,404 $11,585 $2,852 $114,609 
(1) Excludes unfunded commitments
Six Months Ended June 30, 2021
(dollars in thousands)Commercial
Real Estate
Commercial and
Industrial
Commercial
Construction
Business BankingConsumer
Real Estate
Other
Consumer
Total
Loans
Allowance for credit losses on loans:
Balance at beginning of period$65,656 $16,100 $7,239 $15,917 $10,014 $2,686 $117,612 
Provision for credit losses on loans(1)
4,933 2,953 (1,337)(46)(1,254)61 5,308 
Charge-offs$(8,369)$(4,774)$— $(1,327)$(347)$(453)$(15,270)
Recoveries965 148 213 234 423 1,985 
Net (Charge-offs)/Recoveries(7,403)(4,627)3 (1,115)(113)(30)(13,285)
Balance at End of Period$63,186 $14,426 $5,905 $14,756 $8,647 $2,717 $109,636 
(1) Excludes unfunded commitments
Six Months Ended June 30, 2020
(dollars in thousands)Commercial
Real Estate
Commercial and
Industrial
Commercial
Construction
Business BankingConsumer
Real Estate
Other
Consumer
Total
Loans
Allowance for credit losses on loans:
Balance at beginning of period$30,577 $15,681 $7,900 $— $6,337 $1,729 $62,224 
Impact of CECL adoption4,810 7,853 (3,376)12,898 4,525 642 27,352 
Provision for credit losses on loans(1)
28,345 67,104 4,329 2,126 829 1,529 104,262 
Charge-offs(6,042)(71,496)— (721)(218)(1,272)(79,749)
Recoveries40 22 21 101 112 224 520 
Net (Charge-offs)/Recoveries(6,002)(71,474)21 (620)(106)(1,048)(79,229)
Balance at End of Period$57,730 $19,164 $8,874 $14,404 $11,585 $2,852 $114,609 
(1) Excludes unfunded commitments
The adoption of ASU 2016-13 resulted in an increase to our ACL of $27.4 million on January 1, 2020. The increase included $8.2 million for S&T legacy loans and $9.3 million for acquired loans from the DNB merger. We also recorded a day one adjustment of $9.9 million primarily related to a C&I relationship that was charged off in the first quarter of 2020. We obtained information on the relationship subsequent to filing our December 31, 2019 Form 10-K, but before the end of the first quarter of 2020. The updated information supported a loss existed at January 1, 2020.
The provision for credit losses, which includes a provision for losses on loans and on unfunded commitments, is a charge to earnings to maintain the ACL at a level consistent with management's assessment of expected losses in the loan portfolio at the balance sheet date. The provision for credit losses decreased $84.2 million and $101.1 million to $2.6 million and $5.7 million for the three and six months ended June 30, 2021 compared to $86.8 million and $106.8 million for the same periods in 2020. The provision for credit losses includes $0.6 million and $0.4 million for the reserve for unfunded commitments for the three and six months ended June 30, 2021.
During the three months ended June 30, 2020, we recognized a charge-off of $58.7 million related to a customer fraud from a check kiting scheme. We continue to pursue all available resources of recovery to mitigate the loss. The customer also had a lending relationship of $15.1 million that had a $4.2 million charge-off during the three months ended June 30, 2020. We received a recovery of $0.9 million on the lending relationship during the three months ended June 30, 2021.
The significant decrease in the provision for credit losses during the three and six months ended June 30, 2021 was mainly due to the above mentioned customer fraud and an improved economic forecast in 2021 compared to 2020. Our economic forecast covers a period of two years and is driven primarily by national unemployment data. The forecasted national unemployment rate improved at June 30, 2021 compared to the same periods in 2020.