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Investment Securities
9 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2011
Investment Securities [Abstract] 
Investment Securities

NOTE 3. Investment Securities

The amortized cost and fair values of investment securities at September 30, 2011 and December 31, 2010, were as follows:

 

At September 30, 2011

   Amortized
Cost
     Gross
Unrealized
Gains
     Gross
Unrealized
Losses
     Fair
Value
 

Available-for-Sale:

           

U.S. Government agencies

   $ 233,206       $ 2,553       $ 2       $ 235,757   

Obligations of states and political subdivisions

     390,196         22,820         82         412,934   

Agency residential mortgage-backed securities

     1,653,420         38,376         209         1,691,587   

Non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities

     83,655         0         8,888         74,767   

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

     63,144         2,146         0         65,290   

Other structured financial products

     24,792         0         12,052         12,740   

Other debt securities

     54,152         170         3,650         50,672   

Equity securities of the Federal Home Loan Bank

     73,007         0         0         73,007   

Equity securities of the Federal Reserve Bank

     50,225         0         0         50,225   

Other equity securities

     24,292         855         839         24,308   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total available-for-sale securities

   $ 2,650,089       $ 66,920       $ 25,722       $ 2,691,287   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Held-to-Maturity:

           

Other

   $ 4,570       $ 0       $ 0       $ 4,570   

State and municipal

     3,907         0         0         3,907   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total held-to-maturity securities

   $ 8,477       $ 0       $ 0       $ 8,477   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

At December 31, 2010

   Amortized
Cost
     Gross
Unrealized
Gains
     Gross
Unrealized
Losses
     Fair
Value
 

Available-for-Sale:

           

U.S. Government agencies

   $ 268,828       $ 2,230       $ 2,883       $ 268,175   

Obligations of states and political subdivisions

     397,777         4,869         5,986         396,660   

Agency residential mortgage-backed securities

     1,321,771         19,671         17,873         1,323,569   

Non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities

     129,206         32         12,427         116,811   

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

     99,501         5,341         0         104,842   

Other structured financial products

     24,680         0         12,177         12,503   

Other debt securities

     41,842         88         930         41,000   

Equity securities of the Federal Home Loan Bank

     71,065         0         0         71,065   

Equity securities of the Federal Reserve Bank

     50,225         0         0         50,225   

Other equity securities

     24,689         251         847         24,093   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total available-for-sale securities

   $ 2,429,584       $ 32,482       $ 53,123       $ 2,408,943   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Held-to-Maturity:

           

Other

   $ 4,560       $ 0       $ 0       $ 4,560   

State and municipal

     4,108         0         0         4,108   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total held-to-maturity securities

   $ 8,668       $ 0       $ 0       $ 8,668   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

At September 30, 2011 and December 31, 2010, investment securities with carrying values of $1,799,101 and $1,561,964, respectively, were pledged to secure public funds and for other purposes as required by law.

The amortized cost and fair value of U.S. Government agencies, obligations of states and political subdivisions, synthetic collateralized debt obligations, other structured financial products, other debt securities, and residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities, at September 30, 2011, by contractual maturity, are shown below. Actual maturities will differ from contractual maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay obligations with or without call or prepayment penalties.

 

     September 30, 2011  
     Amortized
Cost
     Fair
Value
 

Securities available for sale:

     

Within one year

   $ 29,910       $ 30,523   

After one year but within five years

     242,547         245,806   

After five years but within ten years

     497,607         508,534   

After ten years

     1,732,501         1,758,884   
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total securities available for sale

   $ 2,502,565       $ 2,543,747   
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Securities held to maturity:

     

Within one year

   $ 0       $ 0   

After one year but within five years

     0         0   

After five years but within ten years

     0         0   

After ten years

     8,477         8,477   
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total securities held to maturity

   $ 8,477       $ 8,477   
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Gross realized gains and gross realized losses on available-for-sale securities transactions are summarized below. These gains and losses were recognized using the specific identification method and were included in noninterest income.

 

     Available-for-sale Securities  
     Three Months Ended September 30,     Nine Months Ended September 30,  
     2011     2010     2011     2010  

Gross gains

   $ 2,070      $ 394      $ 8,562      $ 11,409   

Gross losses

     (417     (1     (3,978     (124

Other-than-temporary impairment

     (215     (322     (3,060     (3,059
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net gain

   $ 1,438      $ 71      $ 1,524      $ 8,226   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

The following table presents Susquehanna's investments' gross unrealized losses and the corresponding fair values by investment category and length of time that the securities have been in a continuous unrealized loss position, at September 30, 2011 and December 31, 2010.

 

$0000000000 $0000000000 $0000000000 $0000000000 $0000000000 $0000000000
     Less than 12 Months     12 Months or More     Total  

September 30, 2011

  Fair
Value
    Unrealized
Losses
    Fair
Value
    Unrealized
Losses
    Fair
Value
    Unrealized
Losses
 

U.S. Government agencies

  $ 997      $ 2      $ 0      $ 0      $ 997      $ 2   

Obligations of states and political subdivisions

    1,306        77        1,154        5        2,460        82   

Agency residential mortgage-backed securities

    65,235        209        0        0        65,235        209   

Non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities

    7,697        327        67,070        8,561        74,767        8,888   

Other structured financial products

    0        0        12,740        12,052        12,740        12,052   

Other debt securities

    1,645        144        34,729        3,506        36,374        3,650   

Other equity securities

    592        124        1,634        715        2,226        839   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
  $ 77,472      $ 883      $ 117,327      $ 24,839      $ 194,799      $ 25,722   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
     Less than 12 Months     12 Months or More     Total  

December 31, 2010

  Fair
Value
    Unrealized
Losses
    Fair
Value
    Unrealized
Losses
    Fair
Value
    Unrealized
Losses
 

U. S. Government agencies

  $ 114,618      $ 2,883      $ 0      $ 0      $ 114,618      $ 2,883   

Obligations of states and political subdivisions

    147,732        5,483        6,215        503        153,947        5,986   

Agency residential mortgage-backed securities

    642,864        17,873        0        0        642,864        17,873   

Non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities

    5,664        124        109,272        12,303        114,936        12,427   

Other structured financial products

    0        0        12,503        12,177        12,503        12,177   

Other debt securities

    15,120        630        1,480        300        16,600        930   

Other equity securities

    666        210        2,103        637        2,769        847   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
  $ 926,664      $ 27,203      $ 131,573      $ 25,920      $ 1,058,237      $ 53,123   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities (At September 30, 2011, all of the 13 securities were in a loss position, and seven of the securities were rated below investment grade). None of Susquehanna's non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities include subprime or Alt-A components. Management has analyzed the assets underlying these issues with respect to defaults, loan to collateral value ratios, current levels of subordination, and geographic concentrations and concluded that the unrealized losses were caused principally by decreased liquidity and larger risk premiums in the marketplace and not credit quality. However, Susquehanna's analysis also concluded that four of these securities were other-than-temporarily impaired, and Susquehanna recorded other-than-temporary impairment losses as presented in the following table.

 

Credit Losses on Non-agency Residential Mortgage-backed Securities for which a Portion of an

Other-than-temporary Impairment was Recognized in Other Comprehensive Income

 

     Three months ended
September 30,
     Nine months ended
September 30,
 
     2011      2010      2011      2010  

Balance - beginning of period

   $ 4,582       $ 1,737       $ 1,737       $ 0   

Additions:

           

Amount related to credit losses for which an other- than-temporary impairment was not previously recognized

     215         0         2,791         1,737   

Additional amount related to credit losses for which an other- than-temporary impairment was previously recognized

     0         0         269         0   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Balance - end of period

   $ 4,797       $ 1,737       $ 4,797       $ 1,737   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Susquehanna estimated the portion of loss attributable to credit using a discounted cash flow model. Susquehanna, in conjunction with an independent third-party, estimated the expected cash flows of the underlying collateral using internal credit risk, interest rate risk, and prepayment risk models that incorporated management's best estimate of current key assumptions, such as default rates, loss severity, and prepayment rates. Assumptions used can vary widely from loan to loan and are influenced by such factors as loan interest rate, geographical location of the borrower, borrower characteristics, and collateral type. The distribution of underlying cash flows is determined in accordance with the security's indenture. Expected principal and interest cash flows on an other-than-temporarily impaired debt security are discounted using the book yield of that debt security.

Based on the expected cash flows derived from the model, Susquehanna expects to recover the aggregate unrealized loss in accumulated other comprehensive income ($1,996 at September 30, 2011). Significant assumptions used in the valuation of these other-than-temporarily impaired securities were as follows:

 

As of September 30, 2011

   Weighted-average (%)  

Annual constant prepayment speed

     8.44   

Loss severity (1)

     45.01   

Life default rate, net of recoveries (2)

     7.54   

(1) Loss severity rates are projected considering collateral characteristics such as loan-to-value, creditworthiness of borrowers (FICO score) and geographic concentration.
(2) Default rates, net of expected recoveries, are projected by considering collateral characteristics including, but not limited to, loan-to-value, FICO score, and geographic concentration.

Other structured financial products. Other structured financial products are comprised of pooled trust preferred securities. All four of these securities are in unrealized loss positions and are rated below investment grade. Management has analyzed the assets underlying these securities with respect to interest deferrals and defaults, collateral coverage, and current levels of subordination and concluded that the unrealized losses were caused principally by decreased liquidity and larger risk premiums in the marketplace and not credit quality.

Susquehanna determines whether it expects to recover the entire amortized cost basis by comparing the present value of the expected cash flows to be collected with the amortized cost basis. To make this comparison, Susquehanna works with a third-party financial advisory firm to determine (a) the estimation of cash flows, (b) the application of the cash flows to the percent owned, and (c) the assessment of other-than-temporary impairment.

To determine expected cash flows, the valuation analysis considers credit default rates, prepayments and deferrals, waterfall structure, and covenants relating to the trust preferred securities. The third-party firm uses publicly available data to assess the creditworthiness of each underlying issue in the collateralized debt obligation and through its proprietary valuation methodology, projects the cash flows of the class. Assessments are made relative to the capital adequacy, earnings, asset quality, liquidity, and interest-rate sensitivity of the underlying issuer to determine default-risk. If the issuer is in default, a recovery rate of 10% is estimated with a lag for that recovery being twenty-four months. No recoveries are forecasted for those issuers that have a current Texas ratio greater than 250%. For current performing issuers or those issuers deferring interest payments, determination is made based on the previously mentioned financial assessment as to if and when the issuer is forecasted to default. Future interest deferrals are only projected in the estimate of the projected cash flows for issuers who are currently deferring, and it is assumed that they will defer for the full twenty quarters if not projected to default.

When considering Susquehanna's pooled trust preferred securities, management considers prepayment less relevant than call options (the option of the issuer to call the issue on certain dates). The projected exercising of the call options will change as economic and market conditions change, and management will adjust the valuation model accordingly. As of September 30, 2011, the exercising of call options was assumed to be remote.

In addition to the proprietary valuation methodology used in the estimation of the projected cash flows, the trust indenture documentation and the trustee reports for each specific trust preferred security issuance provide information regarding deferral rights, call options, various triggers (including over-collateralization triggers), and waterfall structure, all of which management believes to be essential in determining projected base cash flows.

The discount rate that is applied to the projected cash flows for the specific class is calculated using a spread to the current swap curve. The swap curve gives a market perspective of the term structure of interest rates and on credit spreads. The determination of the discount rate used in Susquehanna's valuation is based upon the referenced swap curve plus an additional credit spread based upon the credit rating of the class. Lower rated classes would have a wider implied credit spread. These multiple discount rates are then applied to the projected cash flows in determining the estimated value.

Susquehanna's management has assisted with the development of, and reviews and comments on the results of, this proprietary valuation methodology, and believes that the valuation analysis and methodology reasonably support the value and projected performance of the specific trust preferred securities. Susquehanna's management also believes this valuation methodology presents a logical and analytical approach for the determination of other-than-temporary impairment charges in accordance with Accounting Standards Codification Topic 320-10-35.

The present value of the expected cash flows for Susquehanna's specific class and all subordinate classes, as well as additional information about the pooled trust preferred securities, is included in the following table.

As of September 30, 2011

   Pooled Trust #1     Pooled Trust #2     Pooled Trust #3     Pooled Trust #4  

Class

     B        B        B        A2L   

Class face value

   $ 35,000      $ 57,995      $ 87,498      $ 45,500   

Book value

   $ 3,000      $ 7,051      $ 7,991      $ 6,750   

Fair value

     1,742        3,637        4,076        3,285   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Unrealized loss

   $ (1,258   $ (3,414   $ (3,915   $ (3,465
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Present value of expected cash flows for class noted above and all subordinate classes (1)

   $ 161,233      $ 165,727      $ 279,813      $ 140,625   

Lowest credit rating assigned

     CCC-        Caa3        Ca        CCC-   

Original collateral

   $ 623,984      $ 501,470      $ 700,535      $ 487,680   

Performing collateral

     371,728        300,200        507,281        314,700   

Actual defaults

     3,000        42,580        93,500        71,500   

Actual deferrals

     97,400        129,690        98,900        83,480   

Projected future defaults

     68,392        79,609        56,912        52,151   

Actual defaults as a % of original collateral

     0.5     8.5     13.3     14.7

Actual deferrals as a % of original collateral (2)

     15.6        25.9        14.1        17.1   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Actual defaults and deferrals as a % of original collateral

     16.1     34.4     27.4     31.8
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Projected future defaults as a % of original collateral (3)

     11.0     15.9     8.1     10.7

Actual institutions deferring and defaulted as a % of total institutions

     16.4        37.5        31.1        38.6   

Projected future defaults as a % of performing collateral plus deferrals

     14.6        18.5        9.4        13.1   

(1) Susquehanna determines whether it expects to recover the entire amortized cost basis by comparing the present value of the expected cash flows to be collected with the amortized cost basis, using documented assumptions. The present value of the expected cash flows for Susquehanna's specific class and all subordinate classes is listed above. As of September 30, 2011, the present value of the current estimated cash flows was equal to or greater than the face amount of the specific class for all trust preferred securities, and consequently, there was no other-than-temporary impairment.
(2) Includes current interest deferrals for the quarter for those institutions deferring as of the date of the assessment of the other-than-temporary impairment. Current deferrals are assumed to continue for the full twenty quarters if the institutions are not projected to default prior to that time.
(3) Includes those institutions that are performing but are not projected to continue to perform and includes those institutions that are currently deferring interest that are projected to default, based upon third-party proprietary valuation methodology used to determine future defaults. Creditworthiness of each underlying issue in the collateralized debt obligation is determined using publicly available data.

 Other debt securities. Other debt securities consist of single-issuer trust preferred securities. Eight of the 12 securities are in unrealized loss positions, and one security is rated below investment grade. Management has analyzed the assets underlying these securities with respect to interest deferrals and defaults, collateral coverage, and current levels of subordination and concluded that the unrealized losses were caused principally by decreased liquidity and larger risk premiums in the marketplace and not credit quality.

Susquehanna does not have the intent to sell any of its available-for-sale securities that are in an unrealized loss position, and it is more likely than not that Susquehanna will not be required to sell these securities before recovery of its amortized cost basis.