EX-99.2 3 dex992.htm SLIDES PRESENTED DURING ALCOA INC. FOURTH QUARTER 2008 EARNINGS CALL Slides Presented During Alcoa Inc. Fourth Quarter 2008 Earnings Call
[Alcoa logo]
January 12, 2009
4
th
Quarter 2008 Analyst Conference
Exhibit 99.2


[Alcoa
logo]
Forward Looking Statements
Today’s
discussion
may
include
“forward-looking
statements”
within
the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. 
Such statements relate to future events and expectations and
involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties.  Alcoa’s actual
results
or
actions
may
differ
materially
from
those
projected
in
the
forward-looking statements.  For a summary of the specific risk
factors that could cause results to differ materially from those
expressed in the forward-looking statements, please refer to
Alcoa’s Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007 and
Forms 10-Q for the quarters ended March 31, 2008, June 30, 2008
and September 30, 2008  and other reports filed with the Securities
and Exchange Commission.
2


[Alcoa logo]
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Chuck McLane


[Alcoa
logo]
4th Quarter 2008 Financial Overview
Loss from continuing operations of $929m or $1.16 per share
Restructuring, impairment and other special items of $708m or
$0.88 per share
Revenue of $5.7 billion, down 18%
Sequential metal price reduction of 35%
Significant market deterioration
Cash from operations of $608m
Cash on hand at $762m
Incremental bank facility of $1.9b
Trailing 12-month ROC stands at 6.7%, excluding growth
investments and restructuring charges
4


[Alcoa
logo]
Sequential Income Statement
In Millions
3Q'08
4Q'08
Change
Sales
$6,970
$5,688
(18%)
Cost of Goods Sold
$5,648
$5,277
(7%)
   % of Sales
81.0%
92.8%
11.8 pts
SG&A
$275
$273
(1%)
   % of Sales
3.9%
4.8%
0.9 pts
Restructuring and Other Charges
$38
$863
nm
Interest Expense
$96
$125
30%
Other Expense/(Income)
$15
$(36)
nm
Effective Tax Rate
25.9%
20.4%
(5.5 pts)
Minority Interests
$84
-
           
(100%)
GAAP Net Income/(Loss)
$268
($1,191)
($1,459)
Loss from Discontinued Operations
($38)
($262)
($224)
GAAP Income/(Loss) from Continuing Operations
$306
($929)
($1,235)
GAAP Income/(Loss) from Continuing Operations
per Diluted Share
$0.37
($1.16)
($1.53)
5


[Alcoa
logo]
Restructuring & Other Special Items
After-Tax
Earnings
Income Statement
Amount
Per Share
Classification
Segment
Loss from Continuing Operations
($929)
($1.16)
Restructuring:
Headcount
($97)
($0.12)
Restructuring
Corporate
Global Foil
(100)
(0.13)
Restructuring
Corporate
Europe Auto Structures
(50)
(0.06)
Restructuring
Corporate
Sapa Exchange
(223)
(0.28)
Restructuring
Corporate
Other Asset Write-offs
(144)
(0.18)
Restructuring
Corporate
Restructuring Sub-Total
($614)
($0.76)
Other Special Items:
Shutdown Related Obsolete Inventory
($16)
($0.02)
COGS
Flat-Rolled/Engineered Products
Environmental Reserve
(26)
(0.03)
COGS
Corporate
Accounts Receivable Reserve
(11)
(0.02)
SG&A
Corporate
Non-Cash Tax on Repatriated Earnings
(65)
(0.08)
Tax
Corporate
Refund of Indemnification Payment
24
0.03
Other Income
Corporate
Other Special Items Sub-Total
($94)
($0.12)
Total Restructuring & Other Special Items
($708)
($0.88)
6


[Alcoa
logo]
Minority
After-Tax
4th Quarter 2008
Pre-Tax
Tax $
Tax %
Interest
& M.I.
Reported Effective Tax Rate
($1,167)
($238)
20.4%
$0
($929)
Adjustments
Restructuring
($863)
($226)
26.2%
($23)
($614)
Non-Cash Tax on Repatriated Earnings
65
(65)
Adjustments Sub-Total
($863)
($161)
18.7%
($23)
($679)
Operational Effective Tax Rate
($304)
($77)
25.3%
$23
($250)
Total Year 2008
Reported Effective Tax Rate
$792
$342
43.2%
$221
$229
Adjustments
Restructuring
($939)
($246)
26.2%
($23)
($670)
Non-Cash Tax on Repatriated Earnings
65
(65)
Other Discrete Tax Items
33
(33)
Adjustments Sub-Total
($939)
($148)
15.8%
($23)
($768)
Operational Effective Tax Rate
$1,731
$490
28.3%
$244
$997
2008 Tax Reconciliation –
4
th
Quarter & Full Year
7


[Alcoa
logo]
4Q vs. 3Q 2008 Earnings Bridge
Income From Continuing Operations Excluding Restructuring & Other Special Items
4Q 2008 Other Special Items = Obsolete Inventory, Environmental Reserve, A/R Reserve, Non-Cash
Tax on Repatriated Earnings and Refund of Indemnification Payment (net $94m in total)
See Slide 42 for Reconciliation
$331
$560
($221)
$339
$164
$88
$191
$69
($300)
($200)
($100)
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
3Q08
Energy
Currency
Price/Mix
Volume
LME
4Q08
8


[Alcoa
logo]
4Q 08
3Q 08
4Q 07
2,123
2,010
2,030
3
rd
Party Shipments (kmt)
3,776
3,790
3,855
Production (kmt)
722
805
688
3
rd
Party Revenue ($ million)
162
206
205
ATOI ($ million)
16% lower realized pricing
Point Comfort curtailment led to lower
production
Sequential benefit of $33 million from Western
Australia gas disruption recovery
Stronger US dollar benefit of $64 million
through lower cost base
Lower energy costs realized
Alumina
4
th
Quarter Highlights
1
st
Quarter Outlook
Prices to follow approximate two-month lag
Anticipate 5% lower production due to
curtailments
Current US dollar slightly weaker than 4Q
average
Lower fuel oil costs
4
th
Quarter Business Conditions
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
1Q 07
2Q 07
3Q 07
4Q 07
1Q 08
2Q 08
3Q08
4Q08
$0
$300
$600
$900
$1,200
$1,500
$1,800
ATOI
Total Revenue
9


[Alcoa
logo]
Refining Cost Overview
Composition of Refining Production Costs
Pricing convention
Inventory flow
Input Cost
6 -
9 month lag
2 -
3 months
Bauxite
Spot & semi-
annual
3 -
6 months
Caustic soda
Rolling 16 quarters
1 –
2 months
Natural gas
Prior month
1 –
2 months
Fuel oil
Fuel Oil
14%
Natural gas
15%
Caustic
10%
Bauxite
25%
Conversion
36%
10


[Alcoa
logo]
4
th
Quarter Highlights
(101)
297
196
ATOI ($ million)
2,125
2,945
2,646
3
rd
Party Price ($/mt)
1,580
2,127
1,597
3
rd
Party Revenue ($ million)
4Q 08
3Q 08
4Q 07
807
704
624
3
rd
Party Shipments (kmt)
971
1,011
959
Production (kmt)
Primary Metals
1
st
Quarter Outlook
4
th
Quarter Business Conditions
Realized pricing down 28% sequentially
LME-linked costs declining but on lagged
basis
Stronger US dollar benefit of $94 million
through lower cost base
Sequential negative $21 million impact of
Rockdale curtailment
Favorable sequential energy of $23 million
Realized pricing trending closer to spot
Anticipate 8% lower production due to
curtailments
LME linked costs to continue decline
Current US dollar slightly weaker than 4Q
average
Cost savings from procurement actions on
carbon products start to hit bottom line
11
-$250
-$150
-$50
$50
$150
$250
$350
$450
$550
1Q 07
2Q 07
3Q 07
4Q 07
1Q 08
2Q 08
3Q08
4Q08
$1,350
$1,850
$2,350
$2,850
$3,350
$3,850
ATOI
Total Revenue


[Alcoa
logo]
Smelting Cost Overview
Pricing convention
Inventory flow
Input Cost
1 –
3 month lag
1 -
2 months
Materials
Spot & semi-annual
1 -
2 months
Carbon
40% LME linked –
3 month lag
1 –
2 months
Power
2 –
3 month lags
1 –
2 months
Alumina
Several significant input costs lag average primary metal revenue by up to 3 months
12


[Alcoa
logo]
Flat-Rolled Products
1
st
Quarter Outlook
4
th
Quarter Business Conditions
(97)
(38)
(67)
Russia, China & Other
29
7
60
3Q 08
Total
Hard Alloy Extrusions                   8
Global Rolled Products,
excl Russia & China
(15)
44
4Q 07
(98)
8
(9)
4Q 08
ATOI ($ million)
Continued weakness in end markets
Input costs expected to decline
Sharp decline in demand as economic
environment worsened
11% lower shipments on top of a seasonally
weak 3Q
Non can sheet shipments down 20%
Boeing strike impact of $10 million
Bohai
start-up costs of $9 million
Divestiture related inventory obsolescence
$12 million
($120)
($80)
($40)
$0
$40
$80
$120
1Q 07
2Q 07
3Q 07
4Q 07
1Q 08
2Q 08
3Q08
4Q08
$1,600
$1,800
$2,000
$2,200
$2,400
$2,600
$2,800
ATOI
Third Party Revenue
13


[Alcoa
logo]
Global Rolling Demand Collapse
2008 demand well below 2007
No sign of seasonal up-lift
Dramatic deterioration in 4Q
orders over the last 3 weeks
Downturn Evident in Flat-Rolled Products
14
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2007
2008
Global Rolling Order Rates 2008 & 2007


[Alcoa
logo]
Flat-Rolled Products Market Drivers
+7%
-
37%
-
11%
-
26%
-
18%
-
36%
-
23%
Total -17%
Revenue Composition
Sequential
Revenue Change
15


[Alcoa
logo]
Engineered Products and Solutions
5.2
9.2
5.9
ATOI% / Revenue
133
1,451
3Q 08
ATOI
Third Party Revenue
77
1,311
4Q 07
65
1,258
4Q 08
Market declines adversely affected all
businesses
Boeing strike ($5 million effect) & seasonal
impacts resulted in lower aerospace demand
4
th
Quarter Highlights
4
th
Quarter Business Conditions
1
st
Quarter Outlook
Further weakness expected in commercial
transportation and commercial construction markets
Revenue from automotive market reduced to 5% of
total segment as a result of portfolio moves
Productivity initiatives expected to gain momentum
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
$160
$180
1Q 07
2Q 07
3Q 07
4Q 07
1Q 08
2Q 08
3Q08
4Q08
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
$1,800
$2,000
$2,200
ATOI
Third Party Revenue
16


[Alcoa
logo]
Record earnings despite market headwinds
Cost efficient capacity
expansions
in
fasteners
and investment castings
along with
working capital
efficiencies
Strong market positions
in aerospace, IGT, B&C
and fastener acquisition
offset
unprecedented
decline in North American
& European truck and
automotive markets
Productivity
improvements
continue to accelerate and
yield bottom line benefits
Return on Capital
Sales (in billions)
7%
ATOI
(in millions)
23%
16%
Engineered Products & Solutions Financial Metrics
$5.3
$5.6
2007
2008
$409
$503
2007
2008
2007
2008
17


[Alcoa
logo]
Cash Flow Statement
In Millions
4Q'07
3Q'08
4Q'08
Net Income
$632
$268
$(1,191)
DD&A
312
311
292
Change in Working Capital
385
(552)
590
Other Adjustments
(661)
298
955
Pension Contributions
(25)
(418)
(38)
Cash From Operating Activities
$643
$(93)
$608
Dividends to Shareholders
$(143)
$(140)
$(136)
Change in Debt
467
1,573
444
Dividends to Minority Interests
(58)
(76)
(102)
Contributions from Minority Interests
105
130
214
Share Repurchases
(948)
(477)
-
Share Issuances
16
1
-
Other Financing Activities
2
(7)
(43)
Cash From Financing Activities
$(559)
$1,004
$377
Capital Expenditures
$(1,021)
$(877)
$(1,017)
Sales of Assets/Investments
126
115
26
Additions to Investments
(8)
(39)
(27)
Other Investing Activities
(16)
(56)
(5)
Cash From Investing Activities
$(919)
$(857)
$(1,023)
18


[Alcoa
logo]
Capital Expenditures
Capital Expenditure History
2009 Capital Expenditures Forecast
Values $ Millions
Values $ Millions
71%
29%
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
$3,500
$4,000
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
0%
50%
100%
150%
Total Capital Expenditures
Non-Growth Capex as % of Depreciation
393
328
876
187
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
2009 First Half
2009 Second Half
Non-Growth
Growth
19


[Alcoa
logo]
59%
87%
96%
33%
43%
34%
October
November
December
Alcoa
Tier II Issuers
Liquidity Remains Strong
Added revolver amid financial market crisis
Good performance in difficult CP markets
Values $ Billions
Source:  The Federal Reserve Board
% of Period Issuance with Maturity One Week or Greater
1.5
1.2
1.2
1.5
5.2
3.3
3.3
3.3
1Q 08
2Q 08
3Q 08
4Q 08
Commercial Paper
Additional Revolver Availability
20


[Alcoa
logo]
Cash Conservation Efforts
Wide-Ranging
Actions
Taken
21


[Alcoa
logo]
President and Chief Executive Officer
Klaus Kleinfeld


[Alcoa
logo]
Accomplishments: Clear strategy, speed & execution
2008 Accomplishments
Secured long-term power contracts for
nearly half of smelting system
Completed
successful
start-up
of
Fjardaal,
first
greenfield
smelter
in
two
decades
Record earnings in Engineered
Products & Solutions
Completed Packaging divestiture
Fast
response
to
early
signals,
e.g.:
Reached agreement for soft alloy
extrusion swap
Increased debt capacity and
improved debt structure
Named to Dow Jones Sustainability
Index
for
7
straight
year
Three Strategic Priorities
23
Disciplined
Execution
across all activities
Alcoa Advantage
creating value for
all businesses
Talent
Technology
Customer Intimacy
Purchasing
Operating System
Profitable
Growth
in every business
Business Programs
define:
3-year aspirations
Priority levers
Accountability
Disciplined
Execution
across all activities
Alcoa Advantage
creating value for
all businesses
Talent
Technology
Customer Intimacy
Purchasing
Operating System
Profitable
Growth
in every business
Business Programs
that
define:
3-year aspirations
Priority levers
Accountability
th


[Alcoa
logo]
Historic collapse in metal price –
(56%) over 5 months
LME
cash
price/ton,
in
US$
and
global
inventory
1
,
in
days
Reported Stocks,
Days of Consumption
LME Cash Price
1
Reported Stocks : Comex, IAI, Japan Port , LME, & SME
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
$3,500
-
56%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
$3,500
-
56%
24
Source: IAI and Bloomberg


[Alcoa
logo]
Expect global demand decline of 2% in 2009
Source: Alcoa analysis
Note: 2009 Projected Global Consumption: 36.2 million mt
Asia w/o China
North America
2008 Actual
2009 Forecast
Global Demand Growth Rates:
2008:  -3%
2009:  -2%
Brazil
China
CIS
Europe
2009 Projected
Consumption
5%
1%
3%
-2%
-7%
-4%
9%
-12%
-9%
-2%
-10%
2008 vs. 2009
Projected Growth Rates
3%
Primary Aluminum Consumption Growth Rates, 2009, in million mt
0.9
1.0
4.9
5.3
7.0
13.1
0.9
1.0
4.9
5.3
7.0
13.1
25


[Alcoa
logo]
Curtailment announcements –
13% of global output
Global
Smelting
Curtailment
Announcements
1
15%
(840)
5,700
North America
Region
Aug 08
Production¹
Announced
Curtailment¹
Percentage
Curtailed
China
14,000
(3,000)
21%
Eastern
Europe/Russia
4,650
(574)
12%
Western Europe
4,600
(230)
5%
Asia/Middle East
3,950
(80)
2%
Latin America
2,700
(93)
3%
Oceania
2,300
(102)
4%
Africa
1,700
(100)
6%
Total
39,600
(5,020)
13%
1,442
Sep
2008
& Prev
5,020
1,139
679
By Month
Oct
2008
Nov
2008
Dec
2008
Jan
2009
Total
840
920
1
Annualized kmt
By Region
13% of total
global output
800
completed
26


[Alcoa
logo]
2009 –
Aluminum Surplus or Deficit?
Supply
Demand
2008 Production
38,800
Estimated 2009
incremental production
600
Announced curtailments
(3,500)
Total 2009 Production
35,900
2008 Consumption
37,000
Lower 2009 consumption
(2%)
(800)
Stimulus effects
??
Total 2009 Consumption
??
Aluminum Supply / Demand Balance (in kmt)
Source: Alcoa analysis, CRU, IAI
27


[Alcoa
logo]
Managing downturn along the three strategic priorities
Three Strategic Priorities and Downturn Management
Disciplined
Execution
across all activities
Alcoa Advantage
creating value for
all businesses
Talent
Technology
Customer Intimacy
Purchasing
Operating System
Profitable
Growth
in every business
Business Programs
that
define:
3-year aspirations
Priority levers
Accountability
Disciplined
Execution
across all activities
Alcoa Advantage
creating value for
all businesses
Talent
Technology
Customer Intimacy
Purchasing
Operating System
Profitable
Growth
in every business
Business Programs
that
define:
3-year aspirations
Priority levers
Accountability
Accelerated
portfolio
moves (in &
out)
Curtailments
Plant shut
downs
Headcount
reduction
Additional
flexibility
R&D
technology
refocus
Share growth
Procurement
savings
Corporate
overhead
reduction
Increased
debt capacity
Speedy execution
Focus on cash and bottom line
Capital spend reduction
T  U  R  N            M  A  N  A  G
28


[Alcoa
logo]
Getting ahead of the curve 
2008/09 Alcoa Downturn Actions
Jul 11
Downsized
Electrical
and
Electronic
Solutions
Honduran &
Mexican
operations
Sep 30
Curtailed
150,000 mt
at Rockdale
smelter
Oct 7
Announced
halting of
all
non-critical
capital
spend
Oct 23
Reduced
production
at Point
Comfort
refinery
by 25%
(550,000 mt)
Nov 10
Curtailed
additional
350,000 mt
aluminum
production
over global
smelting
system
Jan 6, 2009
Announced  
wide-ranging
actions
to
address
economic
downturn
Sep 17
Suspended
share
repurchases
Oct 6
Power &
Propulsion
announced
headcount
reductions
in response
to market
conditions
Dec 22
Agreement
with Orkla
to
swap
soft
alloy
extrusion
share
for Elkem
smelter
share
Alcoa Downturn Actions: Timeline
29


[Alcoa
logo]
Portfolio
Streamlining
Production
Curtailments
Cost &
Procurement
Efficiencies
Liquidity
Initiatives
Suspend share
repurchases
Limit capital
spending
Comply with law
Fulfill customer
requirements
Complete
Brazilian growth
Secured additional
credit facility
Restructuring actions incorporate all improvement levers
Initiate smelting
curtailments
totaling 750 kmt
Adjust refining
capacity downward
by 1.5 million mt
per year
Workforce reduction
13,500
headcount
1,700
contractors
Global salary &
hiring freeze
Procurement
actions on key
inputs
Continued success
on repowering
smelting assets
1.9 million mt
Extensions as
long as 2043
Swap of Sapa stake
for Elkem
smelters
Divest four mid &
downstream
businesses
Electrical &
Electronic
Solutions
Global Foil
Cast Auto
Wheels
Transportation
Products Europe
Restructuring Announcement –
January 6, 2009
Restructuring Announcement: Levers and Actions
30


[Alcoa
logo]
Gaining upstream strength through cash-free swap
Elkem
Aluminium
Sapa JV
Equity Swap
46 plants
North America and Europe
Major customer segments:
Building and construction
Industrial
Commercial transportation
Sapa JV
Soft Alloy Extrusions
Elkem
Aluminium
Norway Smelters
Alcoa
Orkla
Alcoa
Orkla
Lista
and Mosjoen
smelters (282 kmt)
18% of new Mosjoen
anode plant (Alcoa
owns the remaining 82%)
LME-linked power (mostly hydro) to 2019
Both smelters are middle of cost curve
45.45%
54.55%
50%
50%
Current
Ownership
Current
Ownership
Complete
planned
exit
of
soft
alloy
extrusions
in
difficult
market
Building
out
leading
upstream
position
through
adding
quality
assets
(e.g.,
hydro-based)
(operator)
(operator)
BENEFITS
Portfolio
Streamlining:
Sapa
/
Elkem
Swap
31


[Alcoa
logo]
18% (750 kmt)
reduction
by end 1Q 09
Smelting curtailments taken to maximize cash position
Maximize cash position
for ramp down and ramp
up, considering:
•Operational flexibility
•Power flexibility
•Repowering impact
•Community impact
Reduce amperage
and eliminate end
pots
Utilize material in
inventory to reline,
but do not restart
pots
Targeted smaller
curtailments at
several locations
based upon cost
& strategic
situation
Full curtailment of
selected plant(s)
Smelting Curtailment Steps
7 plants*
10 plants*
Intalco*
Baie
Comeau*
Pocos
**
Rockdale*
Tennessee**
Smelting Production Curtailments: Tiered Approach
Guiding Principle
* Completed
** In process
32


[Alcoa
logo]
Increase labor and materials productivity
Labor Initiatives
Procurement Initiatives
Alumina & Primary
2,300
Flat Rolled Products
2,900
Engineered Products
& Solutions
8,100
Corporate
200
Total
13,500
Supply chain management
Utilizing Alcoa’s global presence
and logistics expertise, demonstrate
ability to employ non-traditional 
sourcing
from numerous
geographies –
e.g., coke & caustic
Change of specifications, e.g.,
Coke
Cathodes
Backward integration
Agreements reached covering
Fluoride
Caustic
Coke
Headcount reductions
Reduce 1,700 contractor positions
Global salary and hiring freeze
20% reduction
vs
late 2008
market levels
Cost & Procurement Efficiencies: Initiatives
33


[Alcoa
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Decreased capital spending and increased debt capacity
Commercial
Paper
balance
Credit
Revolver
availability
1Q 08
2Q 08
3Q 08
4Q 08
Capital Spending ($ millions)
Debt Maturities ($ millions)
Commercial Paper & Debt Capacity ($ billions)
99% of LT Debt
maturities
beyond 2009
2
half
$0.5b
1
half
$1.3b
Liquidity Initiatives: Results
-50%
$0
$1
$2
$3
$4
$5
$6
$1.5
$1.2
$1.2
$1.5
$3.3
$3.3
$3.3
$5.2
$0
$1
$2
$3
$4
$5
$6
$1.5
$1.2
$1.2
$1.5
$3.3
$3.3
$3.3
$5.2
34
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
$3,500
$4,000
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
$3,500
$4,000
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
st
nd


[Alcoa
logo]
Reaping substantial benefits
Portfolio
Streamlining
Production
Curtailments
Cost &
Procurement
Efficiencies
Liquidity Initiatives
Restructuring Announcement –
January 6, 2009
Restructuring Announcement: Benefits of Actions
Benefits of Actions
25%
lower
cost
per
ton
in
refining
&
smelting
(1Q
09
vs
3Q
08),
e.g.,
$1.3 billion annualized from procurement & energy
Headcount reductions
Improved overall cost position from curtailments
$450 million before tax annualized benefit comprised of:
$150 million from divested businesses
$200 million from mid/downstream & corporate headcount reductions
$100 million from upstream headcount reductions
Cash-free swap of soft alloy extrusion
Expected $100 million proceeds from divestiture of four businesses
Increase of nearly 60% in short-term debt capacity
Cash preservation through 50% lower capital spending
35


[Alcoa
logo]
Environment
Total energy consumption to
increase by 54% until 2025 –
>60% from developing
countries
Person Transport rates +40%
by 2030
Aluminum prospects remain bright
Light
Weight
High
Strength
Durable
Highly
Conductive
Non-
Corrosive
Malleable
Recyclable
Relative
Price
37
70
2008
2018
Demographics
Urbanization
Aluminum Benefits
Aluminum
Demand
(million
mt)
1
Mega Trends
Global population
2006:  6.6 billion
2025:  7.9 billion
2050:  9.1 billion
6% CAGR
Aluminum Outlook
Population living in cities
2006:  > 50%
2030:  > 60%
1
Source: Alcoa analysis
36


[Alcoa
logo]
Alcoa 25th
Alcoa is well-positioned for the future
Worst
Best
Alcoa 30th
Current
Post Juruti/Sao Luis
World class refining system
Outstanding power position
Bauxite Mining
#1
Refining
#1
Smelting Capacity
#1
End & Tab Can Sheet
#1
Can Body Stock
#2
Aerospace Sheet & Plate
#1
Hard Alloy Extrusions –
Advanced
#1
General Engineering Plate
#1
Aerospace Fastener Systems
#1
Aerospace Airfoils
#1
IGT Airfoils
#1
Aluminum Structural Forgings
#1
Aluminum Truck Wheels
#1
Commercial Building Systems (NA)
#1
Refining Cost Position
World leading businesses
Alcoa’s Competitive & Power Position
Above businesses account for 90% of
Alcoa’s overall revenue
Contracted power
and MOUs
Self-generated power
Repowering
efforts 2009 -
2012
Contracted power
and MOUs
Self-generated power
Repowering
efforts 2009 -
2012
37


[Alcoa
logo]
Greg Aschman
Director, Investor Relations
Alcoa
390 Park Avenue
New York, N.Y. 10022-4608
Telephone:  (212) 836-2674
Facsimile:  (212) 836-2813
www.alcoa.com
For Additional Information, Contact:
38


[Alcoa
logo]
39
[Alcoa logo]


[Alcoa
logo]
APPENDIX
40
[Alcoa logo]


[Alcoa
logo]
Reconciliation of Return on Capital
41
Bloomberg Return on Capital (1)
Bloomberg Return on Capital,
Excluding Growth Investments (1)
Year ended
Year ended
December 31,
December 31,
2008
2008
Net income
(loss)
$         (74)
Net income
(loss)
$         (74)
Minority interests
221
Minority interests
221
Interest expense
Interest expense
(after tax)
231
(after tax)
231
Numerator
$        378
Numerator
378
Restructuring charges (3)
670
Net losses of growth
investments (4)
300
Adjusted numerator
$     1,348
Average Balances
Average Balances
$       
521
$        521
129
129
1,196
1,196
7,440
7,440
55
55
2,529
2,529
13,821
13,821
Denominator
$    25,691
Denominator
25,691
Restructuring chares (3)
(436)
Capital projects in progress
and capital base
of growth
Investments (4)
(5,117)
Adjusted denominator
$   20,138
Return on capital
1.5%
Return on capital,
excluding growth
investments
and
restructuring  charges
6.7%
(1)
The
Bloomberg
Methodology
calculates
ROC
based
on
the
trailing
four
quarters.
Average
balances
are
calculated
as
(December
2008
ending
balance
+
December
2007
ending
balance)
divided
by
2
for
the
year
ended
December
31,
2008,
and
(December
2007
ending
balance
+
December
2006
ending
balance)
divided
by
2
for
the
year
ended
December
31,
2007.
(2)
Calculated
as
total
shareholders’
equity
less
preferred
stock.
(3)
Restructuring
charges
after-tax
and
minority
interests
for
the
years
ended
December
31,
2008
and
2007
were
$670
million
and
$201
million,
respectively.
The
pretax
amounts
are
in
Restructuring
and
other
charges
on
Alcoa’s
Statement
of
Consolidated
Income.
The
$436
million
is
the
average
of
the
restructuring
charges
after-tax
and
minority
interests
for
the
years
ended
December
31,
2008
and
2007.
(4)
For
all
periods
presented,
growth
investments
include
Russia,
Bohai,
and
Kunshan.
Short-term borrowings
Short-term debt
Commercial paper
Long-term debt
Preferred stock
Minority interests
Common equity (2)
Short-term borrowings
Short-term debt
Commercial paper
Long-term debt
Preferred stock
Minority interests
Common equity (3)


[Alcoa
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Reconciliation of Adjusted Income
42
(in millions)
Quarter ended
September 30,
2008*
December 31,
2008
Net income
(loss)
$     268
$ (1,191)
Loss from
discontinued
operations
(38
)
(262)
Income (loss) from
continuing
operations
306
(929)
Restructuring
and
other charges
25
614
Other special items**
94
Income (loss) from
continuing
operations
as
adjusted
$     331
$    (221)
*
Information
for
the
quarter
ended
September
30,
2008
was
reclassified
to
reflect
the
movement
of
the
Electrical
and
Electronic
Solutions
business
to
discontinued
operations
in
the
fourth
quarter
of
2008.
**
Other
special
items
include
obsolete
inventory,
environmental
reserve,
accounts
receivable
reserve,  
non-cash
tax
on
repatriated
earnings,
and
refund
of
indemnification
payment
(see
Slide
6
for
additional  
information).


[Alcoa
logo]
Reconciliation of ATOI to Consolidated Net Income
$     (74)
$(1,191)
$     268
$     546
$     303
$  2,564
$     632
Consolidated net income
(490)
(237)
(115)
(34)
(104)
851
309
Other
(303)
(262)
(38)
(7)
4
(250)
(6)
Discontinued operations
(693)
(637)
(25)
(1)
(30)
(201)
8
Restructuring and other charges
(328)
(78)
(77)
(91)
(82)
(388)
(100)
Corporate expense
(222)
(1)
(84)
(70)
(67)
(365)
(64)
Minority interests
(265)
(81)
(63)
(57)
(64)
(261)
(53)
Interest expense
35
4
10
12
9
40
10
Interest income
(7)
73
(5)
(44)
(31)
(24)
9
Impact of LIFO
Unallocated amounts (net of tax):
$  2,199
$       28
$     665
$     838
$     668
$  3,162
$     519
Total segment ATOI
2008
4Q08
3Q08
2Q08
1Q08
2007
4Q07
(in millions)
43
In
the
first
quarter
of
2008,
management
approved
a
realignment
of
Alcoa's
reportable
segments
to
better
reflect
the
core
businesses
in
which
Alcoa
operates
and
how
it
is
managed.
This
realignment
consisted
of
eliminating
the
Extruded
and
End
Products
segment
and
realigning
its
component
businesses
as
follows:
the
building
and
construction
systems
business
is
reported
in
the
Engineered
Products
and
Solutions
segment;
the
hard
alloy
extrusions
business
and
the
Russian
extrusions
business
are
reported
in
the
Flat-Rolled
Products
segment;
and
the
remaining
segment
components,
consisting
primarily
of
the
equity
investment/income
of
Alcoa's
interest
in
the
Sapa
AB
joint
venture,
and
the
Latin
American
extrusions
business,
are
reported
in
Corporate.
Additionally,
the
Russian
forgings
business
was
moved
from
the
Engineered
Products
and
Solutions
segment
to
the
Flat-Rolled
Products
segment,
where
all
Russian
operations
are
now
reported.
Prior
period
amounts
were
reclassified
to
reflect
the
new
segment
structure.
Also,
the
Engineered
Solutions
segment
was
renamed
the
Engineered
Products
and
Solutions
segment.
Prior
period
information
was
reclassified
to
reflect
the
movement
of
the
Electrical
and
Electronic
Solutions
business
to
discontinued
operations
in
the
fourth
quarter
of
2008.