EX-99.2 3 dex992.htm SLIDES PRESENTED DURING ALCOA INC. FIRST QUARTER 2007 EARNINGS CALL Slides presented during Alcoa Inc. first quarter 2007 earnings call
April 10, 2007
1
st
Quarter 2007 Analyst Conference
Exhibit 99.2
[Alcoa logo]


2
Forward Looking Statements
Today’s discussion may include “forward-looking statements”
within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform
Act of 1995.  Such statements relate to future events and
expectations and involve known and unknown risks and
uncertainties.  Alcoa’s actual results or actions may differ
materially from those projected in the forward-looking
statements.  For a summary of the specific risk factors that
could cause results to differ materially from those expressed
in the forward-looking statements, please refer to Alcoa’s
Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2006 filed with
the Securities and Exchange Commission.
[Alcoa logo]


[Alcoa logo]
Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Chuck McLane


4
[Alcoa logo]
1
st
Quarter 2007 Financial Overview
Income from continuing operations of $691m or
$0.79 per share -
$673m or $0.77 per share
including the impact of restructurings
Revenues of $7.9b
Cash from operations of $527m
Debt-to-cap at 30.9%
Trailing four quarters ROC of 12.7%


5
[Alcoa logo]
1
st
Quarter 2007 Financial Overview
In Millions
4Q'06
1Q'07
Change
Sales
$7,840
$7,908
$68
Cost of Goods Sold
$6,132
$6,007
($125)
   % of Sales
78.2%
76.0%
(2.2) pts.
SG&A
$367
$357
($10)
   % of Sales
4.7%
4.5%
(0.2) pts.
Restructuring and Other Charges
$554
$26
($528)
Interest Expense
$93
$83
($10)
Other Income, Net
($49)
($44)
$5
Effective Tax Rate
-0.3%
29.8%
30.1 pts.
Minority Interests
$98
$115
$17
GAAP Net Income
$359
$662
$303
(Loss) Income from Discontinued Operations
$101
($11)
($112)
GAAP Income From Continuing Operations
$258
$673
$415


6
[Alcoa logo]
4
th
Quarter vs. 1
st
Quarter Comparison


7
[Alcoa logo]
1Q’07
4Q’06
1Q’06
1,877
2,084
2,023
3
Party Shipments (kmt)
3,655
3,790
3,702
Production (kmt)
645
711
628
3
Party Revenue ($MM)
260
259
242
ATOI ($MM)
Decreased production
Higher prices
Lower shipments
Guinea strike impact
Stronger Australian dollar
Alumina
1
st
Quarter Highlights
2
nd
Quarter Outlook
Prices to follow 2 month lag calculation
Anticipate 4% production increase
sequentially
Anticipate impact of Guinea strike of
approximately $8 million after tax
1
st
Quarter Business Conditions
$100
$120
$140
$160
$180
$200
$220
$240
$260
$280
$300
1Q06
2Q06
3Q06
4Q06
1Q07
$800
$900
$1,000
$1,100
$1,200
$1,300
$1,400
ATOI
Total Revenue
rd
rd


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[Alcoa logo]
1
st
Quarter Highlights
504
480
445
ATOI ($MM)
2,902
2,766
2,534
3
Party Price ($/MT)
1,633
1,698
1,408
3
Party Revenue ($MM)
1Q’07
4Q’06
1Q’06
518
556
488
3
Party Shipments (kmt)
899
908
867
Production (kmt)
Primary Metals
2
nd
Quarter Outlook
1
st
Quarter Business Conditions
Higher realized pricing
Intalco and Iceland start-up costs
Increased carbon costs
Increased energy costs due to Rockdale
power plant closure
Unfavorable currency
Average March cash LME = $2,761/MT
Iceland start-up costs estimated at $25
million after-tax
Continued higher energy costs at
Rockdale
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
$450
$500
$550
1Q06
2Q06
3Q06
4Q06
1Q07
$1,500
$1,700
$1,900
$2,100
$2,300
$2,500
$2,700
$2,900
$3,100
$3,300
$3,500
ATOI
Total Revenue
rd
rd
rd


9
[Alcoa logo]
Favorable aerospace volumes and mix
Productivity offset cost inflation
Prior quarter tax benefit not repeated
1Q’07
4Q’06
1Q’06
62
62
66
ATOI ($MM)
2,275
2,127
1,940
3
Party Revenue
($MM)
Flat-Rolled Products
1
st
Quarter Highlights
2
nd
Quarter Outlook
1
st
Quarter Business Conditions
Global aerospace markets remain
strong
Continued productivity gains
Seasonal increases in can sheet and
building & construction markets
Increased volumes out of Russian
facilities
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
1Q06
2Q06
3Q06
4Q06
1Q07
$1,500
$1,600
$1,700
$1,800
$1,900
$2,000
$2,100
$2,200
$2,300
$2,400
ATOI
Third Party Revenue
rd


10
[Alcoa logo]
(6)
(4)
(5)
Other
73
61
16
4Q’06
Total
Investment Castings,
Forgings,  Fasteners
AFL, Auto Castings and
Structures
83
93
(5)
1Q’06
93
107
(8)
1Q’07
North America Class 8 truck builds off 25%
year over year –
partially offset by share gains
and new product sales
Weakness continued in the North American
automotive customer base
Prior quarter tax benefit not repeated
Increased global aerospace sales despite
A380 delays -
underpinned by share gains
and new product sales
Strong productivity across Fasteners,
Forgings and Investment Castings
Engineered Solutions
ATOI ($MM)
1
st
Quarter Business Conditions
2
nd
Quarter Outlook
Global aerospace markets remain strong
Decline in Class 8 truck to continue at an
accelerated rate –
45% year over year
North American auto production cuts continue
on specific platforms
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
1Q06
2Q06
3Q06
4Q06
1Q07
$800
$900
$1,000
$1,100
$1,200
$1,300
$1,400
$1,500
ATOI
Third Party Revenue


11
[Alcoa logo]
22
13
(7)
Alcoa Custom Extruded
Solutions, US Industrial
and Other
1Q’07
4Q’06
1Q’06
34
27
-
Total
12
14
7
Global Hard Alloy
Extrusions, Building &
Construction Systems
and Russia
Solid markets in building & construction
and aerospace
Lower volume in North American
automotive and Class 8 truck markets
Extruded and End Products
ATOI ($MM)
1
st
Quarter Business Conditions
2
nd
Quarter Outlook
Seasonal increase in building &
construction and soft alloy extrusion
demand
Aerospace and Industrial markets
remain strong
Expected to finalize soft alloy extrusions
joint venture
$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
1Q06
2Q06
3Q06
4Q06
1Q07
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
ATOI
Third Party Revenue


12
[Alcoa logo]
(1)
(1)
(1)
Other
26
(9)
36
4Q’06
Total
Reynolds Food Packaging
and Flexible Packaging
Closure Systems and
Consumer Products
8
(11)
20
1Q’06
19
(3)
23
1Q’07
Packaging & Consumer
ATOI ($MM)
1
st
Quarter Business Conditions
2
nd
Quarter Outlook
Seasonal increase in Closures and
Consumer businesses
Continued productivity improvements
across all businesses
Anticipate resin price stability
Normal seasonal decline in the
Consumer business
Year over year productivity
improvements
Stable resin cost environment
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
1Q06
2Q06
3Q06
4Q06
1Q07
$500
$600
$700
$800
$900
ATOI
Third Party Revenue


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[Alcoa logo]
1
st
Quarter 2007 Cash Flow Review
$ In Millions
1Q'06
1Q'07
Net Income
$608
$662
DD&A
307
304
Change in Working Capital
(915)
(457)
Other Adjustments
(136)
68
Pension Contributions
(77)
(50)
Cash From Operating Activities
(213)
527
Dividends to Shareholders
(131)
(148)
Change in Debt
830
509
Dividends to Minority Interests
(115)
(158)
Contributions from Minority Interests
0
114
Other Financing Activities
(14)
(107)
Cash From Financing Activities
570
210
Capital Expenditures
(592)
(783)
Other Investing Activities
(75)
(45)
Cash From Investing Activities
($667)
($828)


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[Alcoa logo]
Strong Performance Trends


15
[Alcoa logo]
2007 Financial Targets


[Alcoa logo]
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Alain J.P. Belda


17
[Alcoa logo]
Taking Action on Climate Change
0
30
1990
2006
2010 Target Level 25%
Direct CO
2
Reduction
26% Reduction in GHG Emissions
Leader in Public Policy
Founding Member USCAP
Alcoa is Favorably Positioned to Help Customers with GHG Emissions


18
[Alcoa logo]
Safety Performance


19
[Alcoa logo]
Global Environment
Aluminum Consumption Growth Rates
Source:  Alcoa analysis


20
[Alcoa logo]
Source:  Alcoa analysis
Global Environment
Supply / Demand Projections


21
[Alcoa logo]
Global Environment
Days of Consumption
Source:  IAI, Reuters and LME


22
[Alcoa logo]
Global Market Dynamics


23
[Alcoa logo]
Global Market Dynamics


24
[Alcoa logo]
Global Market Dynamics


25
[Alcoa logo]
Momentum Builders
Record 2006 Financial Performance
Disciplined Capital Management
Debt restructuring
Increased dividend
10% share buyback program
2007 peak capital spending year


26
[Alcoa logo]
Momentum Builders
Continued Portfolio Management
Sale of Alcoa Home Exteriors
Creation of a soft alloy extrusions joint venture
November 2006 downstream restructuring
Continued review of the packaging assets


27
[Alcoa logo]
Momentum Builders
Realization of the Growth Projects
Pinjarra refinery expansion
50% aerospace capacity increase
Russia and China rolling assets
Sao Luis refinery expansion
Juruti bauxite mine development
Iceland smelter


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[Alcoa logo]
Momentum Builders


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[Alcoa logo]
Momentum Builders
Continued Improvement in Downstream Performance
Consistent quarter over quarter improvement
Proprietary technology and unique equipment
Continued new product development
Significant investments in productive assets
Unique and proprietary products for growing end markets


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[Alcoa logo]
Momentum Continues


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[Alcoa logo]
Tony Thene
Director, Investor Relations
Alcoa
390 Park Avenue
New York, N.Y. 10022-4608
Telephone:  (212) 836-2674
Facsimile:  (212) 836-2813
www.alcoa.com
For Additional Information, Contact:


32
[Alcoa logo]
A


33
[Alcoa logo]
A
APPENDIX


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[Alcoa logo]
$  662
$2,248
$  359
$  537
$  744
$  608
Consolidated net income
(10)
104
10
(7)
51
50
Other
(11)
87
101
(3)
(5)
(6)
Discontinued operations
(18)
(379)
(386)
2  
6  
(1)
Restructuring and other charges
(86)
(317)
(82)
(64)
(82)
(89)
Corporate expense
(115)
(436)
(98)
(109)
(124)
(105)
Minority interests
(54)
(250)
(61)
(66)
(63)
(60)
Interest expense
11
58
14
23
10
11
Interest income
(27)
(170)
(66)
(19)
(49)
(36)
Impact of LIFO (1)
Unallocated amounts (net of tax):
$  972
$3,551
$  927
$  780
$1,000
$  844
Total segment ATOI
1Q07
2006
4Q06
3Q06
2Q06
1Q06
(1)
Certain amounts for the first and second quarter of 2006 have been reclassified to Other so that this line reflects only the impact of
LIFO.  Presenting the Impact of LIFO as a separate line in the Reconciliation of ATOI started in the third quarter of 2006.
Financial information for the first and second quarter of 2006 has been reclassified to reflect the movement of the home exteriors
business to discontinued operations in the third quarter of 2006.
Reconciliation of ATOI to
Consolidated Net Income


35
[Alcoa logo]
Return on Capital (ROC) is presented based on Bloomberg Methodology which calculates ROC based on trailing four quarters.
Reconciliation of Return on Capital
1Q'07
4Q'06
3Q'06
2Q'06
1Q'06
4Q'05
3Q'05
2Q'05
1Q'05
Bloomberg
Bloomberg
Bloomberg
Bloomberg
Bloomberg
Bloomberg
Bloomberg
Bloomberg
Bloomberg
(In Millions)
Method
Method
Method
Method
Method
Method
Method
Method
Method
Net income
$2,302
$2,248
$2,113
$1,865
1,581
$1,233
$1,270
$1,271
$1,215
Minority interests
$446
$436
$418
$368
304
$259
$230
$239
$252
Interest expense (after-tax)
$281
$291
$272
$268
$274
$261
$263
$234
$206
Numerator (sum total)
$3,029
$2,975
$2,803
$2,501
$2,159
$1,753
$1,763
$1,744
$1,673
Average Balances
Short-term borrowings
$441
$386
$349
$306
$342
$279
$155
$152
$185
Short-term debt
$360
$451
$449
$55
$53
$58
$272
$273
$269
Commercial paper
$972
$1,192
$1,678
$1,501
$1,652
$771
$581
$553
$815
Long-term debt
$5,767
$4,861
$4,915
$5,333
$5,243
$5,309
$5,746
$5,920
$6,023
Preferred stock
$55
$55
$55
$55
$55
$55
$55
$55
$55
Minority interests
$1,669
$1,583
$1,416
$1,340
$1,280
$1,391
$1,332
$1,253
$1,263
Common equity
$14,621
$13,947
$14,120
$13,834
$13,611
$13,282
$13,045
$12,761
$12,766
Denominator (sum total)
$23,885
$22,475
$22,982
$22,424
$22,236
$21,144
$21,185
$20,967
$21,376
Return on Capital
12.7%
13.2%
12.2%
11.2%
9.7%
8.3%
8.3%
8.3%
7.8%


36
[Alcoa logo]
Return on capital, excluding growth investments is a non-GAAP financial measure.  Management believes that this measure is
meaningful
to
investors
because
it
provides
greater
insight
with
respect
to
the
underlying
operating
performance
of
the
company’s
productive assets.  The company has significant growth investments underway in its upstream and downstream businesses, as
previously noted, with expected completion dates over the next several years.  As these investments generally require a period of
time before they are productive, management believes that a return on capital measure excluding these growth investments is more
representative of current operating performance.
Reconciliation of Adjusted Return on Capital
1Q'07
4Q'06
3Q'06
2Q'06
1Q'06
4Q'05
3Q'05
2Q'05
1Q'05
Bloomberg
Bloomberg
Bloomberg
Bloomberg
Bloomberg
Bloomberg
Bloomberg
Bloomberg
Bloomberg
(In Millions)
Method
Method
Method
Method
Method
Method
Method
Method
Method
Numerator (sum total)
$3,029
$2,975
$2,803
$2,501
$2,159
$1,753
$1,763
$1,744
$1,673
Russia, Bohai, and Kunshan
net losses
($79)
($74)
($85)
($78)
($86)
($71)
($48)
($41)
($12)
Adjusted numerator
$3,108
$3,049
$2,888
$2,579
$2,245
$1,824
$1,811
$1,785
$1,685
Average Balances
Denominator (sum total)
$23,885
$22,475
$22,982
$22,424
$22,236
$21,144
$21,185
$20,967
$21,376
Capital projects in progress and
Russia, Bohai, and Kunshan
capital base
$3,945
$3,655
$2,540
$2,330
$2,139
$1,913
$1,776
$1,478
$1,403
Adjusted denominator
$19,940
$18,820
$20,442
$20,094
$20,097
$19,231
$19,409
$19,489
$19,973
Return on capital, excluding
growth investments
15.6%
16.2%
14.1%
12.8%
11.2%
9.5%
9.3%
9.2%
8.4%


37
[Alcoa logo]
Reconciliation of Income and EPS, excluding
Restructuring Charges & Discrete Tax Items
Income
from
continuing
operations
excluding
restructuring
and
other
charges
and
discrete
tax
items
is
a
non-GAAP
financial
measure. 
Management
believes
that
this
measure
is
meaningful
to
investors
because
management
reviews
the
operating
results
of
Alcoa
excluding
the
impacts
of
restructuring
and
other
charges
and
discrete
tax
items.
There
can
be
no
assurances
that
additional
restructuring
and
other
charges
and
discrete
tax
items
will
not
occur
in
future
periods.
To
compensate
for
this
limitation,
management
believes
that
it
is
appropriate
to
consider
both
income
from
continuing
operations
determined
under
GAAP
as
well
as
income
from
continuing
operations
excluding
restructuring
and
other
charges
and
discrete
tax
items.
0.66
0.79
$   575
$   691
Income from continuing
operations   –
excluding
restructuring and other
charges and discrete tax
items
386
18
Restructuring and other
charges
(69)
Discrete tax items
0.29
0.77
258
673
Income from continuing
operations
101
(11)
(Loss) income from
discontinued operations
$  0.41
$  0.75
$   359     
$   662     
Net income
4Q06
1Q07
4Q06
1Q07
Quarter ended
Quarter ended
Diluted EPS
Net Income


38
[Alcoa logo]
51.5
49.9
51.1
Days of Working Capital
$   7,908
$   7,840
$   7,111
Sales
$   4,524
$   4,252
$   4,038
Working Capital
2,570
2,680
2,449
Less: Accounts payable, trade
3,780
3,805
3,524
Add: Inventories
$   3,314
$   3,127
$   2,963
Receivables from customers, less allowances
March 31,
2007
December 31,
2006
March 31,
2006
Quarter ended
Days of Working Capital = Working Capital divided by (Sales/number of days in the quarter)
Days of Working Capital