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Finance Receivables and Allowance for Credit Losses
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2020
Receivables [Abstract]  
Financing Receivables FINANCE RECEIVABLES AND ALLOWANCE FOR CREDIT LOSSES
We manage finance receivables as “consumer” and “non-consumer” portfolios. The receivables are generally secured by the vehicles, inventory, or other property being financed.

Consumer Portfolio. Receivables in this portfolio include products offered to individuals and businesses that finance the acquisition of Ford and Lincoln vehicles from dealers for personal or commercial use. Retail financing includes retail installment contracts for new and used vehicles and finance leases with retail customers, government entities, daily rental companies, and fleet customers.

Non-Consumer Portfolio. Receivables in this portfolio include products offered to automotive dealers and receivables purchased from Ford and its affiliates. The products include:

Dealer financing – includes wholesale loans to dealers to finance the purchase of vehicle inventory, also known as floorplan financing, as well as loans to dealers to finance working capital and improvements to dealership facilities, to finance the purchase of dealership real estate, and to finance other dealer programs. Wholesale financing is approximately 93% of our dealer financing.

Other financing – includes purchased receivables from Ford and its affiliates, primarily related to the sale of parts and accessories to dealers and certain used vehicles from daily rental fleet companies. In addition, we provide financing to Ford for vehicles that Ford leases to its employees. These receivables are excluded from our credit quality reporting since the performance of this group of receivables is generally guaranteed by Ford.

Finance receivables are recorded at the time of origination or purchase at fair value and are subsequently reported at amortized cost, net of any allowance for credit losses.

For all finance receivables, we define “past due” as any payment including principal and interest, that is at least 31 days past the contractual due date.
Revenue from finance receivables is recognized using the interest method and includes the accretion of certain direct origination costs that are deferred and interest supplements received from Ford and affiliated companies. The unearned interest supplements on finance receivables are included in Total finance receivables, net on the balance sheets, and the earned interest supplements are included in Total financing revenue on the income statements.

We measure finance receivables at fair value using internal valuation models. These models project future cash flows of financing contracts based on scheduled contract payments (including principal and interest). The projected cash flows are discounted to present value based on assumptions regarding expected credit losses, pre-payment speed, and applicable spreads to approximate current rates. The fair value of finance receivables is categorized within Level 3 of the hierarchy.
NOTE 4. FINANCE RECEIVABLES AND ALLOWANCE FOR CREDIT LOSSES (Continued)

On a nonrecurring basis, we also measure at fair value retail contracts greater than 120 days past due or deemed to be uncollectible, and individual dealer loans probable of foreclosure. We use the fair value of collateral, adjusted for estimated costs to sell, to determine the fair value of these receivables. The collateral for a retail financing or wholesale receivable is the vehicle financed, and for dealer loans is real estate or other property.

The fair value of collateral for retail financing receivables is calculated as the outstanding receivable balances multiplied by the average recovery value percentage. The fair value of collateral for wholesale receivables is based on the wholesale market value or liquidation value for new and used vehicles. The fair value of collateral for dealer loans is determined by reviewing various appraisals, which include total adjusted appraised value of land and improvements, alternate use appraised value, broker’s opinion of value, and purchase offers.

Notes and accounts receivable from affiliated companies are presented separately on the balance sheets. These receivables are based on intercompany relationships and the balances are settled regularly. We do not assess these receivables for potential credit losses, nor are they subjected to aging analysis, credit quality reviews, or other formal assessments. As a result, Notes and accounts receivable from affiliated companies are not subject to the following disclosures contained herein.

Finance Receivables Classification

Finance receivables are accounted for as held-for-investment (“HFI”) if we have the intent and ability to hold the receivables for the foreseeable future or until maturity or payoff. The determination of intent and ability to hold for the foreseeable future is highly judgmental and requires us to make good faith estimates based on all information available at the time of origination or purchase. If we do not have the intent and ability to hold the receivables, then the receivables are classified as held-for-sale (“HFS”).

Each quarter, we make a determination of whether it is probable that finance receivables originated or purchased during the quarter will be held for the foreseeable future based on historical receivables sale experience, internal forecasts and budgets, as well as other relevant, reliable information available through the date of evaluation. For purposes of this determination, probable means at least 70% likely and, consistent with our budgeting and forecasting period, we define foreseeable future to mean twelve months. We classify receivables as HFI or HFS on a receivable-by-receivable basis. Specific receivables included in off-balance sheet sale transactions are generally not identified until the month in which the sale occurs.

Held-for-Investment. Finance receivables classified as HFI are recorded at the time of origination or purchase at fair value and are subsequently reported at amortized cost, net of any allowance for credit losses. Cash flows from finance receivables that were originally classified as HFI are recorded as an investing activity since GAAP requires the statement of cash flows presentation to be based on the original classification of the receivables.

Held-for-Sale. Finance receivables classified as HFS are carried at the lower of cost or fair value. Cash flows resulting from the origination or purchase and sale of HFS receivables are recorded as an operating activity. Once a decision has been made to sell receivables that were originally classified as HFI, the receivables are reclassified as HFS and carried at the lower of cost or fair value. The valuation adjustment, if applicable, is recorded in Other income, net to recognize the receivables at the lower of cost or fair value.

The value of the finance receivables considered HFS at December 31, 2019 was $1,512 million, primarily Forso related finance receivables of $1,230 million. At December 31, 2020, there were $36 million of certain wholesale finance receivables specifically identified as HFS. These HFS values are reported in Assets held-for-sale on the consolidated balance sheets. See Note 1 for additional information.
NOTE 4. FINANCE RECEIVABLES AND ALLOWANCE FOR CREDIT LOSSES (Continued)

Finance Receivables, Net

Total finance receivables, net at December 31 were as follows (in millions):
20192020
Consumer
Retail installment contracts, gross$68,998 $73,726 
Finance leases, gross8,566 8,431 
Retail financing, gross77,564 82,157 
Unearned interest supplements from Ford and affiliated companies(3,589)(3,987)
   Consumer finance receivables 73,975 78,170 
Non-Consumer
Dealer financing (a)38,910 26,517 
Other financing (b)1,945 1,688 
Non-Consumer finance receivables 40,855 28,205 
Total recorded investment (c)$114,830 $106,375 
Recorded investment in finance receivables$114,830 $106,375 
Allowance for credit losses(513)(1,305)
Total finance receivables, net$114,317 $105,070 
Net finance receivables subject to fair value (d)$106,131 $97,043 
Fair value 106,260 98,630 
__________
(a)Includes $4.1 billion and $5.1 billion at December 31, 2019 and 2020, respectively, of receivables generated by divisions and affiliates of Ford in connection with vehicle inventories released from Ford and in transit to the destination dealers. Interest earned from Ford and affiliated companies associated with receivables from gate-released vehicles in transit to dealers for the years ended December 31, 2018, 2019, and 2020 was $261 million, $229 million, and $137 million, respectively. Balances at December 31, 2019 and 2020, also include $844 million and $515 million, respectively, of dealer financing receivables with entities (primarily dealers) that are reported as consolidated subsidiaries of Ford. For the years ended December 31, 2018, 2019, and 2020, the interest earned on receivables from consolidated subsidiaries of Ford to which we provide dealer financing was $8 million, $10 million, and $13 million, respectively. Consolidated subsidiaries of Ford include dealerships that are owned and consolidated by Ford.
(b)Represents other financing receivables with Ford and entities (primarily dealers) that are reported as consolidated subsidiaries of Ford, which includes amounts associated with purchased receivables and receivables associated with the financing of vehicles that Ford leases to employees. Interest earned from Ford and affiliated companies associated with these other financing receivables totaled $84 million, $96 million, and $88 million for the years ended December 31, 2018, 2019, and 2020, respectively.
(c)Earned interest supplements on consumer and non-consumer receivables from Ford and affiliated companies totaled $2.4 billion, $2.5 billion, and $2.4 billion for the years ended December 31, 2018, 2019, and 2020, respectively. Cash received from interest supplements totaled $2.7 billion, $2.6 billion, and $2.8 billion for the years ended December 31, 2018, 2019, and 2020, respectively.
(d)Net finance receivables subject to fair value exclude finance leases.

At December 31, 2019 and 2020, accrued interest was $253 million and $181 million, respectively, which we report in Other assets.

Included in the recorded investment in finance receivables were consumer and non-consumer receivables that have been sold for legal purposes in securitization transactions but continue to be reported in our consolidated financial statements. See Note 6 for additional information.
NOTE 4. FINANCE RECEIVABLES AND ALLOWANCE FOR CREDIT LOSSES (Continued)

Finance Leases

Finance leases are comprised of sales-type and direct financing leases. These financings include primarily lease plans for terms of 24 to 60 months. In limited cases, a customer may extend the lease term. Early terminations of leases may also occur at the customer’s request subject to approval. We offer financing products in which the customer may be required to pay any shortfall, or may receive as payment any excess amount between the fair market value and the contractual vehicle value at the end of the term, which are classified as finance leases. In some markets, we finance a vehicle with a series of monthly payments followed by a single balloon payment or the option for the customer to return the vehicle to Ford Credit; these arrangements containing a purchase option are classified as finance leases.

The amounts contractually due on finance leases at December 31, 2020 were as follows (in millions):

Finance Lease Receivables
20212022202320242025Total
Contractual maturity$1,978 $1,751 $1,348 $555 $55 $5,687 
Less: Present value discount251 
   Total finance lease receivables $5,436 

The reconciliation from finance lease receivables to finance leases, gross and finance leases, net at December 31 is as follows (in millions):
20192020
Finance lease receivables$5,651 $5,436 
Unguaranteed residual assets2,795 2,893 
Initial direct costs120 102 
   Finance leases, gross8,566 8,431 
Unearned interest supplements from Ford and affiliated companies(363)(337)
Allowance for credit losses(17)(67)
   Finance leases, net$8,186 $8,027 

Financing revenue from finance leases was $375 million, $380 million, and $357 million for the years ended December 31, 2018, 2019, and 2020, respectively, and is included in Retail financing.
NOTE 4. FINANCE RECEIVABLES AND ALLOWANCE FOR CREDIT LOSSES (Continued)

Credit Quality

Consumer Portfolio. When originating consumer receivables, we use a proprietary scoring system that measures credit quality using information in the credit application, proposed contract terms, credit bureau data, and other information.  After a proprietary risk score is generated, we decide whether to purchase a contract using a decision process based on a judgmental evaluation of the applicant, the credit application, the proposed contract terms, credit bureau information (e.g., FICO score), proprietary risk score, and other information.  Our evaluation emphasizes the applicant’s ability to pay and creditworthiness focusing on payment, affordability, applicant credit history, and stability as key considerations. 

After origination, we review the credit quality of retail financing based on customer payment activity. As each customer develops a payment history, we use an internally developed behavioral scoring model to assist in determining the best collection strategies, which allows us to focus collection activity on higher-risk accounts. These models are used to refine our risk-based staffing model to ensure collection resources are aligned with portfolio risk. Based on data from this scoring model, contracts are categorized by collection risk. Our collection models evaluate several factors, including origination characteristics, updated credit bureau data, and payment patterns.

Credit quality ratings for consumer receivables are based on our aging analysis. Consumer receivables credit quality ratings are as follows:

Pass – current to 60 days past due;
Special Mention – 61 to 120 days past due and in intensified collection status; and
Substandard – greater than 120 days past due and for which the uncollectible portion of the receivables has already been charged off, as measured using the fair value of collateral less costs to sell.

The credit quality analysis of consumer receivables at December 31, 2019 was as follows (in millions):
Consumer
31-60 days past due$839 
61-120 days past due166 
Greater than 120 days past due35 
Total past due1,040 
Current72,935 
Total$73,975 

The credit quality analysis of consumer receivables at December 31, 2020 was as follows (in millions):
Amortized Cost Basis by Origination Year
Prior to 201620162017201820192020Total
Consumer
31-60 days past due$45 $62 $103 $162 $166 $143 $681 
61-120 days past due12 24 44 45 31 163 
Greater than 120 days past due11 41 
Total past due63 80 134 214 218 176 885 
Current782 2,519 6,656 13,725 20,856 32,747 77,285 
Total$845 $2,599 $6,790 $13,939 $21,074 $32,923 $78,170 
NOTE 4. FINANCE RECEIVABLES AND ALLOWANCE FOR CREDIT LOSSES (Continued)

Non-Consumer Portfolio. We extend credit to dealers primarily in the form of lines of credit to purchase new Ford and Lincoln vehicles as well as used vehicles. Payment is required when the dealer has sold the vehicle. Each non-consumer lending request is evaluated by considering the borrower’s financial condition and the underlying collateral securing the loan. We use a proprietary model to assign each dealer a risk rating. This model uses historical dealer performance data to identify key factors about a dealer that we consider most significant in predicting a dealer’s ability to meet its financial obligations. We also consider numerous other financial and qualitative factors of the dealer’s operations, including capitalization and leverage, liquidity and cash flow, profitability, and credit history with ourselves and other creditors.

Dealers are assigned to one of four groups according to risk ratings as follows:

Group I – strong to superior financial metrics;
Group II – fair to favorable financial metrics;
Group III – marginal to weak financial metrics; and
Group IV – poor financial metrics, including dealers classified as uncollectible.

We generally suspend credit lines and extend no further funding to dealers classified in Group IV.

We regularly review our model to confirm the continued business significance and statistical predictability of the model and may make updates to improve the performance of the model. In addition, we regularly audit dealer inventory and dealer sales records to verify that the dealer is in possession of the financed vehicles and is promptly paying each receivable following the sale of the financed vehicle. The frequency of on-site vehicle inventory audits depends primarily on the dealer’s risk rating. Under our policies, on-site vehicle inventory audits of low-risk dealers are conducted only as circumstances warrant. On-site vehicle inventory audits of higher-risk dealers are conducted with increased frequency based primarily on the dealer’s risk rating, but also considering the results of our electronic monitoring of the dealer’s performance, including daily payment verifications and monthly analyses of the dealer’s financial statements, payoffs, aged inventory, over credit line, and delinquency reports. We typically perform a credit review of each dealer annually and more frequently review certain dealers based on the dealer’s risk rating and total exposure. We adjust the dealer’s risk rating, if necessary. The credit quality of dealer financing receivables is evaluated based on our internal dealer risk rating analysis. A dealer has the same risk rating for its entire dealer financing regardless of the type of financing.

The credit quality analysis of dealer financing receivables at December 31, 2019 was as follows (in millions):
Dealer financing
Group I$31,206 
Group II5,407 
Group III2,108 
Group IV189 
   Total (a)$38,910 
__________
(a)Total past due dealer financing receivables at December 31, 2019 were $62 million. 

The credit quality analysis of dealer financing receivables at December 31, 2020 was as follows (in millions):
Amortized Cost Basis by Origination Year
Dealer Loans
Prior to 201620162017201820192020TotalWholesale LoansTotal
Group I$503 $129 $110 $188 $70 $248 $1,248 $18,769 $20,017 
Group II38 20 11 35 87 194 4,680 4,874 
Group III— 19 35 69 1,464 1,533 
Group IV— — — 10 83 93 
Total (a)$552 $149 $124 $242 $78 $376 $1,521 $24,996 $26,517 
__________
(a)Total past due dealer financing receivables at December 31, 2020 were $99 million.
NOTE 4. FINANCE RECEIVABLES AND ALLOWANCE FOR CREDIT LOSSES (Continued)

Non-Accrual of Revenue. The accrual of financing revenue is discontinued at the time a receivable is determined to be uncollectible or when it is 90 days past due. Accounts may be restored to accrual status only when a customer settles all past-due deficiency balances and future payments are reasonably assured. For receivables in non-accrual status, subsequent financing revenue is recognized only to the extent a payment is received. Payments are generally applied first to outstanding interest and then to the unpaid principal balance.

Troubled Debt Restructuring (“TDR”). A restructuring of debt constitutes a TDR if we grant a concession to a debtor for economic or legal reasons related to the debtor’s financial difficulties that we otherwise would not consider. Consumer and non-consumer receivables that have a modified interest rate below market rate or that were modified in reorganization proceedings pursuant to the U.S. Bankruptcy Code, except non-consumer receivables that are current with minimal risk of loss, are considered to be TDRs. We do not grant concessions on the principal balance of our receivables. If a receivable is modified in a reorganization proceeding, all payment requirements of the reorganization plan need to be met before remaining balances are forgiven.

We have offered various programs to provide relief to our customers impacted by COVID-19. These programs, which were broadly available to our customers during the first half of 2020, included payment extensions. We concluded that these programs did not meet TDR criteria. As of December 31, 2020, in the United States, we have received payments on nearly all the pandemic extensions offered to our customers. The volume of payment extensions has returned to pre-COVID-19 levels and we continue to grant payment extensions to customers and dealers under our normal business practices.
NOTE 4. FINANCE RECEIVABLES AND ALLOWANCE FOR CREDIT LOSSES (Continued)

Allowance for Credit Losses

The allowance for credit losses represents our estimate of the lifetime expected credit losses inherent in finance receivables as of the balance sheet date. The adequacy of the allowance for credit losses is assessed quarterly.

Additions to the allowance for credit losses are made by recording charges to the Provision for credit losses on our consolidated income statements. The uncollectible portion of a finance receivable is charged to the allowance for credit losses at the earlier of when an account is deemed to be uncollectible or when an account is 120 days delinquent, taking into consideration the financial condition of the customer or borrower, the value of the collateral, recourse to guarantors, and other factors.

Charge-offs on finance receivables include uncollected amounts related to principal, interest, late fees, and other allowable charges. Recoveries on finance receivables previously charged off as uncollectible are credited to the allowance for credit losses. In the event we repossess the collateral, the receivable is charged off and we record the collateral at its estimated fair value less costs to sell and report it in Other assets on the consolidated balance sheets.

Consumer Portfolio

For consumer receivables that share similar risk characteristics such as product type, initial credit risk, term, vintage, geography, and other relevant factors, we estimate the lifetime expected credit loss allowance based on a collective assessment using measurement models and management judgment. The lifetime expected credit losses for the receivables is determined by applying probability of default and loss given default assumptions to monthly expected exposures then discounting these cash flows to present value using the receivable’s original effective interest rate or the current effective interest rate for a variable rate receivable. Probability of default models are developed from internal risk scoring models taking into account the expected probability of payment and time to default, adjusted for macroeconomic outlook and recent performance. The models consider factors such as risk evaluation at the time of origination, historical trends in credit losses (which include the impact of TDRs), and the composition and recent performance of the present portfolio (including vehicle brand, term, risk evaluation, and new / used vehicles). The loss given default is the percentage of the expected balance due at default that is not recoverable, taking into account the expected collateral value and trends in recoveries (including key metrics such as delinquencies, repossessions, and bankruptcies). Monthly exposures are equal to the receivables’ expected outstanding principal and interest balance.

The allowance for credit losses incorporates forward-looking macroeconomic conditions for baseline, upturn, and downturn scenarios. Three separate credit loss allowances are calculated from these scenarios. They are then probability-weighted to determine the quantitative estimate of the credit loss allowance recognized in the financial statements. We use forecasts from a third party that revert to a long-term historical average after a reasonable and supportable forecasting period which is specific to the particular macroeconomic variable and which varies by market. We update the forward-looking macroeconomic forecasts quarterly. If management does not believe the models reflect lifetime expected credit losses for the portfolio, an adjustment is made to reflect management judgment regarding qualitative factors, including economic uncertainty, observable changes in portfolio performance, and other relevant factors. On an ongoing basis, we review our models, including macroeconomic factors, the selection of macroeconomic scenarios, and their weighting, to ensure they reflect the risk of the portfolio.

Non-Consumer Portfolio
Dealer financing is evaluated on an individual dealer basis by segmenting dealers by risk characteristics (such as the amount of the loans, the nature of the collateral, the financial status of the dealer, and any TDR modifications) to determine if an individual dealer requires a specific allowance for credit loss. If required, the allowance is based on the present value of the expected future cash flows of the dealer’s receivables discounted at the loans’ original effective interest rate or the fair value of the collateral adjusted for estimated costs to sell. For the remaining dealer financing, we estimate an allowance for credit losses on a collective basis.
NOTE 4. FINANCE RECEIVABLES AND ALLOWANCE FOR CREDIT LOSSES (Continued)

Wholesale Loans. We estimate the allowance for credit losses for wholesale loans based on historical loss-to-receivable (“LTR”) ratios, expected future cash flows, and the fair value of collateral. For wholesale loans with similar risk characteristics, the allowance for credit losses is estimated on a collective basis using the LTR model and management judgment. The LTR model is based on the most recent years of history. An LTR ratio is calculated by dividing credit losses (i.e., charge-offs net of recoveries) by average net finance receivables, excluding unearned interest supplements and allowance for credit losses. The average LTR ratio is multiplied by the end-of-period balances, representing the lifetime expected credit loss reserve.

Dealer Loans. We use a weighted-average remaining maturity method to estimate the lifetime expected credit loss reserve for dealer loans. The loss model is based on the industry-wide commercial real estate credit losses, adjusted to factor in the historical credit losses for our dealer loans portfolio. The expected credit loss is calculated under different macroeconomic scenarios that are weighted to provide the total lifetime expected credit loss.

After establishing the collective and specific allowance for credit losses, if management believes the allowance does not reflect all losses inherent in the portfolio due to changes in recent economic trends and conditions, or other relevant forward-looking economic factors, an adjustment is made based on management judgment.

An analysis of the allowance for credit losses related to finance receivables for the years ended December 31 was as follows (in millions):
2019 (a)2020
ConsumerNon-ConsumerTotalConsumerNon-ConsumerTotal
Allowance for credit losses
Beginning balance$566 $23 $589 $496 $17 $513 
Adoption of ASU 2016-13 (b)— — — 247 252 
Charge-offs (527)(22)(549)(441)(29)(470)
Recoveries168 10 178 161 169 
Provision for credit losses291 296 771 57 828 
Other (c)(2)(1)11 13 
Ending balance$496 $17 $513 $1,245 $60 $1,305 

__________
(a)The comparative information has not been restated and continues to be reported under the accounting standard in effect during 2019.
(b)Cumulative pre-tax adjustments recorded to retained earnings as of January 1, 2020. See Note 2 for additional information.
(c)Primarily represents amounts related to translation adjustments.
For the year ended December 31, 2020, the allowance for credit losses increased $792 million. The change reflects an increase to the reserve of $252 million related to the adoption of ASU 2016-13, with the remainder primarily related to economic conditions attributable to the COVID-19 pandemic. The change to the reserve due to the impact of COVID-19 reflects economic uncertainty which, along with the expectation of continued higher unemployment, has increased the probability of default and loss given default rates used in our estimate of the lifetime expected credit losses for our consumer portfolio, especially in the United States. These economic trends and conditions are also expected to negatively impact our dealers. Although net charge-offs for the year ended December 31, 2020 remained low, reflecting government relief programs and our customer payment deferral programs, the future impact of COVID-19 on credit losses is expected to be adverse.