EX-99 3 eeipresentation.htm EEI PRESENTATION IN .HTM FORMAT

EXHIBIT 99.1


Allegheny Energy, Inc

EEI Financial Conference

October 26 - 29, 2003

DISCLAIMER

Certain statements contained herein constitute forward-looking statements with respect to Allegheny Energy, Inc. and its subsidiaries within the meanings of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Although Allegheny Energy believes that its forward-looking statements are based on reasonable estimates and assumptions and currently available information, such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors that may cause the actual results, performance, or achievements of Allegheny Energy to be materially different from any future results, performance, or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Actual results have varied materially and unpredictably in the past. Such factors, either individually or in the aggregate, may affect Allegheny Energy's operations, markets, products, services, prices, capital expenditures, development activities, and future plans. Such factors include, among others, the following: execution of restructuring activity and liquidity enhancement plans; complications or other factors that render it difficult or impossible to obtain necessary lender consent or regulatory authorizations on a timely basis; general economic and business conditions; changes in access to capital markets; changes in interest rates; the continuing effects of global instability, terrorism and war; changes in industry capacity, development, and other activities by Allegheny's competitors; changes in the weather and other natural phenomena; changes in technology; changes in the price of power and fuel for electricity generation; changes in the underlying inputs and assumptions used to estimate the fair values of commodity contracts; changes in laws and regulation applicable to Allegheny, its markets, or its activities; environmental regulations; the loss of any significant customers and suppliers; the effect of accounting policies issued periodically by accounting standard-setting bodies; additional collateral calls; changes in business strategy, operations, or development plans; and other similar risks and uncertainties. Additional risks and uncertainties are identified and discussed in Allegheny Energy's reports and registration statements filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

 

Agenda

Early Progress <highlighted>

Business Foundation

Financial Update

Conclusions

 

Progressing on a number of critical short-term issues

Improving Liquidity

Reducing Volatility and Risk

Reestablishing Financial Reporting

Rebuilding the Management Team

Focusing on Core Generation and Delivery Business

 

Improving liquidity

Sources of Cash Since June 16, 2003:

Net proceeds from sale of
Conemaugh Generating Station

June 27, 2003

$46 million

Convertible trust preferred
securities (net proceeds)

July 25, 2003

$275 million

Net Proceeds CDWR

  • Includes $26M in Pledged Account
  • Excludes $71M Held in Escrow

September 15, 2003

$69 million


Tax refunds

Q3 2003

$72 million

Result: Running Over $600M in Cash

Confident in ability to meet December 2003 debt principal payment

 

Reducing volatility and risk

Sold West Book

Terminated Williams and LV Cogen tolling agreements

Mutual terminations and close-outs to reduce open positions

Assignment and/or disposition of non-core trading positions

Trading now focused entirely on asset optimization within region

 

With significant results

Two graphs.

Left hand side shows incremental cash flow impact of $10 / MWh increase in peak power prices.

Millions of Dollars

Before Sales and Settlements

After Sales and Settlements

Q4 2003

(8.0)

0.4

2004

(17.5)

4.3

2005

(51.8)

2.1

Right hand side shows Value at Risk*.

Millions of Dollars

Before Sales and Settlements (7/8/03)

After Sales and Settlements (10/20/03)

Value at Risk

21

0.2

Note:  Analysis captures only risk of trading book (market risk of physical assets not shown)
           * "Before" is as of 7/8/2003 and "After" is as of 10/20/2003. One day, 18 year Value at Risk of trading portfolio

 

Financial reporting is getting back on track

SEC Filing

Goal

Status

2002 10-K

September 2003

Complete

2003 10-Qs
(1Q, 2Q & 3Q)

December 2003

In Process

2003 10-K

March 2004

On-Time

Goal is to provide timely and full financial disclosure

 

A talented senior management team has been put in place

President and CEO
Paul Evanson*
June 16, 2003

Chief Financial Officer
Jeff Serkes*

Chief Accounting Officer
Tom Gardner

General Counsel
David Hertzog*

VP Strategic Planning/Chief Commercial Officer
Phil Goulding*

VP HR and Admin.
Paul Slobodian*

President Allegheny Power
Joe Richardson*

President Supply
David Benson**

Board of Directors
Paul Evanson (Chairman)*
H. Furlong Baldwin*
Cyrus Freidheim, Jr.*
Julia Johnson*
Eleanor Baum**
Ted Kleisner**
Frank Metz, Jr.**
Steven Rice**
Gunnar Sarsten**

* New
** Existing

 

Focusing on core generation and delivery business

Re-focused trading business

Sold CDWR / hedges

Exited Williams and LV Cogen tolling agreement

Exited all remaining West Book positions

Discontinued development of non-core power generation

Evaluating divestiture of gas distribution businesses

 

A lot of accomplishments

Goal

Action

Implication

Increasing Liquidity

Sale of Conemaugh Generation Plant
$300M Convertible Issuance
Sale of West Book

Liquidity in Place to Meet 2003 Obligations

Decreasing Volatility and Risk

Completed Hedges, Bookouts, etc.
Sale of West Book
Reduction in Trading Open Positions

Substantially Reduced Cash and Earnings Volatility
Reduced Collateral Requirements

Reestablishing Financial Reporting

Release 2002 10-K
Fixing Processes for Future Reporting

Timely Reporting Opens Opportunity for Additional Capital Markets Activities

Rebuilding the Management Team

Rebuilt Senior Leadership Team

Talent in Place to Lead Next Phase of Business Recovery and Organization Improvement

Increasing Focus
on Core Generation
and Delivery

Exit Western Energy Market
Discontinue Power Development

Increased Focus on Core
Geographic Region

 

 

Many challenges ahead

Material Weaknesses in Internal Controls

Timely Financial Reporting

Liquidity Shortfall in 2004

"Going Concern" Opinion

Over-leveraged Balance Sheet

Revitalize Organization

Improve Core Operations

 

Agenda

Early Progress

Business Foundation <highlighted>

Financial Update

Conclusions

 

Core generation and delivery business

 

Allegheny Energy, Inc.

 

Allegheny Power

 

Allegheny Energy Supply

46.8 bil kWh
Consumed in 2002

Long-term POLR Power Supply
Agreement
46.9 bil kWh

48.2 bil kWh
Generated in 2002

Balanced portfolio of load and generation between Allegheny Power
and Allegheny Energy Supply with focus on core business

 

 

The regulated utility operates in the Mid Atlantic region

 

Allegheny Power

 

West Penn Power

Potomac Edison

Monongahela

Operates in 5 states (PA, WV, MD, VA, OH)

30,200 square miles

1.5 million electric customers

71,419 miles of transmission and distribution lines

Restructuring completed in each state except WV

0.2 million gas customers in WV

Map of Mid Atlantic Region

 

Balanced customer mix with steady growth prospects

Two graphs.

Left hand side is stacked bar chart showing Percent of Revenues by Customer Class (2002) for Allegheny Power compared to Industry Average split by Industrial, Commercial, and Residential

Right hand side shows historical load growth 1993 - 2002 in terawatt-hours, with data for 1999 - 2002 split by state (PA, WV, MD, VA, OH). The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of load from 1993 - 2002 is 2.2%.

 

Competitive cost position with further opportunity

Two graphs.

Left hand side: Bar chart of Transmission and Distribution Operations and Maintenance Costs* from 1999 to 2002 in dollars per megawatt-hour

Right hand side: Bar chart of Transmission and Distribution Operations and Maintenance Costs* showing Allegheny, industry average and top quartile. Highlights improvement potential for Allegheny to move to top quartile.

$20M improvement if first quartile achieved

Note: * Excludes G&A and transmission by others

 

Competitive rates

Bar chart showing Residential Rates in Effect January 1, 2003 for Allegheny Power and State Average in cents per kilowatt-hour by state (PA, WV, MD, VA, OH) and compared to the national average (8.39 cents per kilowatt-hour)

 

Regulated agreements give rate stability

Regulatory Summary: Gantt chart showing rate agreements by state (PA, WV, MD, VA, OH) by T&D and Generation by customer class (Residential, Commercial, Industrial)

 

High customer satisfaction

#2 in the East region in customer satisfaction for the past four years

Allegheny Power is one of only five utilities to maintain or improve satisfaction ratings every year since 1999
96% of customers rate their overall impression as good, very good, or excellent

 

Allegheny Power Summary

Balanced customer mix

Steady growth

Opportunity for performance improvement

Competitive rates

Rate agreements with stable regulatory environment

High customer satisfaction

 

Core generation and delivery business

 

Allegheny Energy, Inc.

 

Allegheny Power

 

Allegheny Energy Supply

46.8 bil kWh
Consumed in 2002

Long-term POLR Power Supply
Agreement
46.9 bil kWh

48.2 bil kWh
Generated in 2002

Balanced portfolio of load and generation between Allegheny Power
and Allegheny Energy Supply with focus on core business

 

Allegheny Energy Supply's fleet is primarily composed of base-load coal generation

Allegheny 2002 Owned Capacity (11,041 MW)

Three pie charts showing Capacity by Fuel Type (Coal, Gas, Hydro & Oil), MWh Output by Fuel (Coal, Gas, Hydro & Oil), Capacity by Region (PJM, Midwest)*

Note: * Proforma 2003

 

Asset base is cost advantaged in the PJM region

PJM Dispatch Cost - Ozone Season Compared to Load-Duration Curve (Oct. 2002-Sept. 2003). Generation Dispatch Cost ($/MWh) versus Load Duration Curve (% Hours Load). Allegheny's Hydro, Coal, and Oil and Gas capacity highlighted. Peak and average load for 2003 and 2004 shown.

 

Contracts contribute to cash flow stability

Two charts.

Left hand side is bar chart of contracted generation (POLR as a Percent of Projected Output) for 2004 - 2007.

Right hand side shows Contracted Coal (Portion of Coal Purchased in Advance at Known Prices) for 2003 - 2004.

 

Long term price improvement likely

Two charts.

Left hand side is a line graph showing weighted average POLR Price versus forecast market price in dollars.

Right hand side shows bar chart of total output (Contracted versus market).

 

Additional growth opportunity from operational improvements

Two charts.

Left hand side is a bar chart of 2002 Coal Plant Equivalent Availability Factor, showing Allegheny, National Average 2001, National Top Quartile. Improvement of over $100m if first quartile is achieved.

Right hand side is a bar chart of 2002 Coal Plant O&M in dollars per megawatt-hour showing Allegheny, National Average 2001, National Top Quartile. Improvement of $24m if first quartile achieved.

 

Allegheny Energy Supply Summary

Allegheny Energy Supply's fleet is primarily composed of cost advantaged base-load coal generation in the PJM region POLR contracts and coal contracts contribute to cash flow stability

POLR contract price increases and POLR volume decreases provide a significant opportunity for revenue uplift

Additional growth opportunity from operational improvements

 

Agenda

Early Progress

Business Foundation

Financial Update <highlighted>

Conclusions

 

2002 was a tough year financially

Financial Results (millions, except per share numbers):

2001

2002

Change

Total Operating Revenues

$3,425

$2,988

($437)

Pre-Tax Income

$699

($850)

($1,549)

Consolidated (Loss) Income Before Extraordinary Charge and Cumulative Effect of Accounting Change

$449

($502)

($951)

Basic EPS Before Extraordinary Charge
and Cumulative Effect of Accounting Change

$3.74

($4.00)

($7.74)

Consolidated Net (Loss) Income

$418

($633)

($1,051)

Consolidated Basic EPS

$3.48

($5.04)

($8.52)

 

Additionally, credit rating, internal controls and financial reporting suffered

Material Weakness of Internal Controls Identified

"Going Concern" Modification in Audit Opinion

Lack of Financial Reporting

Credit Ratings Received a Number of Downgrades

 

S&P

Moody's

Credit Rating Changes

2001

2002

2003

2001

2002

2003

Allegheny Energy, Inc.

A

B+

CCC+

Baa1

Ba1

B2

Supply Unsecured Debt

BBB+

BB-

CCC+

Baa1

B1

B3

Unrealized Losses on Commodity Contracts of $358M in 2002

Realized Losses on Commodity Contracts of $240M in 2002

Inaccurate Financial Forecasting

 

Management is actively addressing the issues

Actions

Example

Fix internal controls and reporting process

Overhauling financial reporting policies and procedures

Replace 58% of accounting department personnel in 2003/2004
Upgrading accounting and reporting systems

Return to timely financial reporting

Filed 2002 10-K in 9/03
Expect to file 2003 10-Qs in 4Q/03
Disclosure review procedure put in place

Continued cooperation with bank group

Waivers and consents received acknowledging delayed financial reporting
Flexibility on divestiture proceeds

Improve SEC and rating agency relationships

Timely and frequent communications
Full disclosure and management access

Enhance financial forecasting

Improving forecasting tools
Enhancing controls to ensure consistency

 

Early progress has improved liquidity  -  But significant debt matures in 2004 and 2005

Two graphs.

Left hand side shows short-term liquidity.

Millions of Dollars

Bank Facility Payments

Other

Total

9/30/2003

0

>600

>600

Debt Principal Repayments - Q4 2003

258

19

276

Right hand side shows 2004-2005* debt amortization schedule.

Millions of Dollars

Bank Debt

All Other Debt

Total

Q1 2004

7500

19885

27

Q2 2004

7500

102860

110

Q3 2004

207500

74059

282

Q4 2004

157500

17718

175

Q1 2005

7500

19372

27

Q2 2005

1302259

18542

1,321

Q3 2005

 

320656

321

Q4 2005

 

17782

18

Note: * Include $7.5M AYE, Inc. debt per quarter in 1Q04 through 1Q05

 

Short-term financial plan in place to address maturities, leverage and operating cash

Refinance debt, extend term and enhance flexibility

Sell selective non-core assets

Maximize core business free cash flow

Improve operational performance

Focus on G&A, O&M and capital expenditures

Evaluate potential equity issuance to fortify the balance sheet

 

Long-term financial objectives and goals established

Enhance Liquidity

Achieve Investment Grade FFO Coverage Ratios

Restore Balance Sheet

Return to Steady, Predictable Growth

Restore Dividend

 

Agenda

Early Progress

Business Foundation

Financial Update

Conclusions <highlighted>

 

Investment Highlights

Stable, proven utility with good customer mix and steady growth prospects

Low-cost coal generation fleet that is well matched to regional load

A majority of generation output under long-term contracts

Improving liquidity, financial reporting and controls

Talented, dedicated management team with focused financial and operational strategy

Future growth and performance improvement prospects