0000902664-15-000008.txt : 20150106 0000902664-15-000008.hdr.sgml : 20150106 20150106080144 ACCESSION NUMBER: 0000902664-15-000008 CONFORMED SUBMISSION TYPE: SC 13D/A PUBLIC DOCUMENT COUNT: 3 FILED AS OF DATE: 20150106 DATE AS OF CHANGE: 20150106 GROUP MEMBERS: ANDREW NELSON GROUP MEMBERS: BARRY KONIG GROUP MEMBERS: COVE STREET CAPITAL, LLC GROUP MEMBERS: DANIEL SILVERS GROUP MEMBERS: LAURA CONOVER GROUP MEMBERS: SPRINGOWL ASSOCIATES LLC SUBJECT COMPANY: COMPANY DATA: COMPANY CONFORMED NAME: Forestar Group Inc. CENTRAL INDEX KEY: 0001406587 STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION: REAL ESTATE [6500] IRS NUMBER: 261336998 STATE OF INCORPORATION: DE FISCAL YEAR END: 1231 FILING VALUES: FORM TYPE: SC 13D/A SEC ACT: 1934 Act SEC FILE NUMBER: 005-83633 FILM NUMBER: 15508149 BUSINESS ADDRESS: STREET 1: 6300 BEE CAVE ROAD STREET 2: BUILDING TWO, SUITE 500 CITY: AUSTIN STATE: TX ZIP: 78746 BUSINESS PHONE: 512-433-5200 MAIL ADDRESS: STREET 1: 6300 BEE CAVE ROAD STREET 2: BUILDING TWO, SUITE 500 CITY: AUSTIN STATE: TX ZIP: 78746 FORMER COMPANY: FORMER CONFORMED NAME: Forestar Real Estate Group Inc. DATE OF NAME CHANGE: 20071101 FORMER COMPANY: FORMER CONFORMED NAME: Forestar Real Estate Group LLC DATE OF NAME CHANGE: 20070713 FILED BY: COMPANY DATA: COMPANY CONFORMED NAME: SPRINGOWL ASSOCIATES LLC CENTRAL INDEX KEY: 0000351262 STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION: UNKNOWN SIC - 0000 [0000] IRS NUMBER: 000000000 STATE OF INCORPORATION: NY FISCAL YEAR END: 1231 FILING VALUES: FORM TYPE: SC 13D/A BUSINESS ADDRESS: STREET 1: 1370 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS STREET 2: 28TH FLOOR CITY: NEW YORK STATE: NY ZIP: 10019 BUSINESS PHONE: 2124457861 MAIL ADDRESS: STREET 1: 1370 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS STREET 2: 28TH FLOOR CITY: NEW YORK STATE: NY ZIP: 10019 FORMER COMPANY: FORMER CONFORMED NAME: CUMBERLAND ASSOCIATES LLC DATE OF NAME CHANGE: 19980218 SC 13D/A 1 p15-0001sc13da.htm FORESTAR GROUP INC.

 

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION  
Washington, D.C. 20549  
   
SCHEDULE 13D/A
 
Under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
(Amendment No. 1)*
 

Forestar Group Inc.

(Name of Issuer)
 

Common Stock, par value $1.00 per share

(Title of Class of Securities)
 

346233109

(CUSIP Number)
 

Andrew Wallach

SpringOwl Associates LLC

1370 Avenue of the Americas

28th Floor

New York, NY 10019

(212) 445-7800

 

Daniele Beasley

Cove Street Capital, LLC

2101 East El Segundo Boulevard

Suite 302

El Segundo, CA 90245

(424) 221-5897

 

with a copy to:

David E. Rosewater

Schulte Roth & Zabel LLP

919 Third Avenue

New York, New York 10022

(212) 756-2000

(Name, Address and Telephone Number of Person
Authorized to Receive Notices and Communications)
 

January 6, 2015

(Date of Event Which Requires Filing of This Statement)
 

 

If the filing person has previously filed a statement on Schedule 13G to report the acquisition that is the subject of this Schedule 13D, and is filing this schedule because of Rule 13d-1(e), Rule 13d-1(f) or Rule 13d-1(g), check the following box. [ ]

(Page 1 of 11 Pages)

 
 

______________________________

* The remainder of this cover page shall be filled out for a reporting person’s initial filing on this form with respect to the subject class of securities, and for any subsequent amendment containing information which would alter disclosures provided in a prior cover page.

 

The information required on the remainder of this cover page shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purpose of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (“Act”) or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section of the Act but shall be subject to all other provisions of the Act (however, see the Notes).

 

 
CUSIP No. 346233109SCHEDULE 13D/APage 2 of 11 Pages

 

1

NAME OF REPORTING PERSON

SpringOwl Associates LLC

2 CHECK THE APPROPRIATE BOX IF A MEMBER OF A GROUP

(a) x

(b) ¨

3 SEC USE ONLY
4

SOURCE OF FUNDS

WC

5 CHECK BOX IF DISCLOSURE OF LEGAL PROCEEDING IS REQUIRED PURSUANT TO ITEMS 2(d) or 2(e) ¨
6

CITIZENSHIP OR PLACE OF ORGANIZATION

Delaware

NUMBER OF
SHARES
BENEFICIALLY
OWNED BY
EACH
REPORTING
PERSON WITH:
7

SOLE VOTING POWER

0

8

SHARED VOTING POWER

344,224 shares of Common Stock

9

SOLE DISPOSITIVE POWER

0

10

SHARED DISPOSITIVE POWER

344,224 shares of Common Stock

11

AGGREGATE AMOUNT BENEFICIALLY OWNED BY EACH PERSON

344,224 shares of Common Stock

12 CHECK IF THE AGGREGATE AMOUNT IN ROW (11) EXCLUDES CERTAIN SHARES ¨
13

PERCENT OF CLASS REPRESENTED BY AMOUNT IN ROW (11)

1.0%

14

TYPE OF REPORTING PERSON

OO; IA

         

 

 
CUSIP No. 346233109SCHEDULE 13D/APage 3 of 11 Pages

 

 

1

NAME OF REPORTING PERSON

Daniel Silvers

2 CHECK THE APPROPRIATE BOX IF A MEMBER OF A GROUP

(a) x

(b) ¨

3 SEC USE ONLY
4

SOURCE OF FUNDS

PF

5 CHECK BOX IF DISCLOSURE OF LEGAL PROCEEDING IS REQUIRED PURSUANT TO ITEMS 2(d) or 2(e) ¨
6

CITIZENSHIP OR PLACE OF ORGANIZATION

United States of America

NUMBER OF
SHARES
BENEFICIALLY
OWNED BY
EACH
REPORTING
PERSON WITH:
7

SOLE VOTING POWER

8,700 shares of Common Stock

8

SHARED VOTING POWER

700 shares of Common Stock (see Item 5)

9

SOLE DISPOSITIVE POWER

8,700 shares of Common Stock

10

SHARED DISPOSITIVE POWER

700 shares of Common Stock (see Item 5)

11

AGGREGATE AMOUNT BENEFICIALLY OWNED BY EACH PERSON

9,400 shares of Common Stock

12 CHECK IF THE AGGREGATE AMOUNT IN ROW (11) EXCLUDES CERTAIN SHARES ¨
13

PERCENT OF CLASS REPRESENTED BY AMOUNT IN ROW (11)

0.0%

14

TYPE OF REPORTING PERSON

IN

         

 

 
CUSIP No. 346233109SCHEDULE 13D/APage 4 of 11 Pages

 

 

1

NAME OF REPORTING PERSON

Andrew Nelson

2 CHECK THE APPROPRIATE BOX IF A MEMBER OF A GROUP

(a) x

(b) ¨

3 SEC USE ONLY
4

SOURCE OF FUNDS

PF

5 CHECK BOX IF DISCLOSURE OF LEGAL PROCEEDING IS REQUIRED PURSUANT TO ITEMS 2(d) or 2(e) ¨
6

CITIZENSHIP OR PLACE OF ORGANIZATION

United States of America

NUMBER OF
SHARES
BENEFICIALLY
OWNED BY
EACH
REPORTING
PERSON WITH:
7

SOLE VOTING POWER

4,000 shares of Common Stock

8

SHARED VOTING POWER

0

9

SOLE DISPOSITIVE POWER

4,000 shares of Common Stock

10

SHARED DISPOSITIVE POWER

0

11

AGGREGATE AMOUNT BENEFICIALLY OWNED BY EACH PERSON

4,000 shares of Common Stock

12 CHECK IF THE AGGREGATE AMOUNT IN ROW (11) EXCLUDES CERTAIN SHARES ¨
13

PERCENT OF CLASS REPRESENTED BY AMOUNT IN ROW (11)

0.0%

14

TYPE OF REPORTING PERSON

IN

         

 

 
CUSIP No. 346233109SCHEDULE 13D/APage 5 of 11 Pages

 

 

1

NAME OF REPORTING PERSON

Laura Conover

2 CHECK THE APPROPRIATE BOX IF A MEMBER OF A GROUP

(a) x

(b) ¨

3 SEC USE ONLY
4

SOURCE OF FUNDS

PF

5 CHECK BOX IF DISCLOSURE OF LEGAL PROCEEDING IS REQUIRED PURSUANT TO ITEMS 2(d) or 2(e) ¨
6

CITIZENSHIP OR PLACE OF ORGANIZATION

United States of America

NUMBER OF
SHARES
BENEFICIALLY
OWNED BY
EACH
REPORTING
PERSON WITH:
7

SOLE VOTING POWER

250 shares of Common Stock

8

SHARED VOTING POWER

0

9

SOLE DISPOSITIVE POWER

250 shares of Common Stock

10

SHARED DISPOSITIVE POWER

0

11

AGGREGATE AMOUNT BENEFICIALLY OWNED BY EACH PERSON

250 shares of Common Stock

12 CHECK IF THE AGGREGATE AMOUNT IN ROW (11) EXCLUDES CERTAIN SHARES ¨
13

PERCENT OF CLASS REPRESENTED BY AMOUNT IN ROW (11)

0.0%

14

TYPE OF REPORTING PERSON

IN

         
 
CUSIP No. 346233109SCHEDULE 13D/APage 6 of 11 Pages

 

 

1

NAME OF REPORTING PERSON

Barry Konig

2 CHECK THE APPROPRIATE BOX IF A MEMBER OF A GROUP

(a) x

(b) ¨

3 SEC USE ONLY
4

SOURCE OF FUNDS

PF

5 CHECK BOX IF DISCLOSURE OF LEGAL PROCEEDING IS REQUIRED PURSUANT TO ITEMS 2(d) or 2(e) ¨
6

CITIZENSHIP OR PLACE OF ORGANIZATION

United States of America

NUMBER OF
SHARES
BENEFICIALLY
OWNED BY
EACH
REPORTING
PERSON WITH:
7

SOLE VOTING POWER

1,200 shares of Common Stock

8

SHARED VOTING POWER

150 shares of Common Stock (see Item 5)

9

SOLE DISPOSITIVE POWER

1,200 shares of Common Stock

10

SHARED DISPOSITIVE POWER

150 shares of Common Stock (see Item 5)

11

AGGREGATE AMOUNT BENEFICIALLY OWNED BY EACH PERSON

1,350 shares of Common Stock

12 CHECK IF THE AGGREGATE AMOUNT IN ROW (11) EXCLUDES CERTAIN SHARES ¨
13

PERCENT OF CLASS REPRESENTED BY AMOUNT IN ROW (11)

0.0%

14

TYPE OF REPORTING PERSON

IN

         
 
CUSIP No. 346233109SCHEDULE 13D/APage 7 of 11 Pages

 

 

1

NAME OF REPORTING PERSON

Cove Street Capital, LLC

2 CHECK THE APPROPRIATE BOX IF A MEMBER OF A GROUP

(a) x

(b) ¨

3 SEC USE ONLY
4

SOURCE OF FUNDS

OO

5 CHECK BOX IF DISCLOSURE OF LEGAL PROCEEDING IS REQUIRED PURSUANT TO ITEMS 2(d) or 2(e) ¨
6

CITIZENSHIP OR PLACE OF ORGANIZATION

Delaware

NUMBER OF
SHARES
BENEFICIALLY
OWNED BY
EACH
REPORTING
PERSON WITH:
7

SOLE VOTING POWER

0

8

SHARED VOTING POWER

2,100,844 shares of Common Stock

9

SOLE DISPOSITIVE POWER

0

10

SHARED DISPOSITIVE POWER

2,100,844 shares of Common Stock

11

AGGREGATE AMOUNT BENEFICIALLY OWNED BY EACH PERSON

2,100,844 shares of Common Stock

12 CHECK IF THE AGGREGATE AMOUNT IN ROW (11) EXCLUDES CERTAIN SHARES ¨
13

PERCENT OF CLASS REPRESENTED BY AMOUNT IN ROW (11)

6.0%

14

TYPE OF REPORTING PERSON

OO; IA

         

 

 
CUSIP No. 346233109SCHEDULE 13D/APage 8 of 11 Pages

 

This Amendment No. 1 (“Amendment No. 1”) amends and supplements the statement on Schedule 13D filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) on November 14, 2014 (the “Original Schedule 13D” and together with this Amendment No. 1, the “Schedule 13D”) with respect to common stock, par value $1.00 per share (“Common Stock”), of Forestar Group Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Issuer”). Capitalized terms used herein and not otherwise defined in this Amendment No. 1 have the meanings set forth in the Schedule 13D. This Amendment No. 1 amends Items 3 , 4, 5 and 7 as set forth below.

 

 

Item 3. SOURCE AND AMOUNT OF FUNDS OR OTHER CONSIDERATION
   
Item 3 is hereby amended and restated in its entirety as follows:
   
 

The Reporting Persons used approximately $46 million (including brokerage commissions) in the aggregate to purchase the shares of Common Stock reported in this Schedule 13D.

 

The source of the funds used to acquire the Common Stock reported herein as beneficially owned by (i) SOA is the working capital of the funds and accounts managed by SOA; (ii) Mr. Silvers is the personal funds of Mr. Silvers; (iii) Mr. Nelson is the personal funds of Mr. Nelson; (iv) Ms. Conover is the personal funds of Ms. Conover; (v) Mr. Konig is the personal funds of Mr. Konig and (vi) CSC is the funds of CSC’s clients, as a result of CSC causing its clients to acquire such Common Stock, including pursuant to CSC’s discretionary authority to manage the assets of such clients. None of the shares of Common Stock reported herein were purchased with funds or other consideration borrowed or otherwise obtained for the purpose of acquiring, holding, trading or voting the securities.

 

Item 4. PURPOSE OF TRANSACTION
   
  Item 4 of the Schedule 13D is hereby amended and supplemented by the addition of the following:
 

 

On January 6, 2015, the Reporting Persons sent an open letter to the stockholders of the Issuer (the “January 6th Letter”). The January 6th Letter outlined the Reporting Persons’ concerns regarding the steady diminution in the value of their investment in the Issuer and offered strategic solutions to enhance stockholder value. The Reporting Persons’ strategic solutions included, among other things: (i) implementing shareholder-aligned oversight of the Issuer’s strategic review process; (ii) improving capital allocation discipline in conjunction with the strategic review processes; and (iii) implementing measures to improve the Issuer’s corporate governance. The description of the January 6th Letter in this Schedule 13D is qualified in its entirety by reference to the full text of the January 6th Letter, which is attached hereto as Exhibit 3 and is incorporated by reference herein.

 

Item 5. INTEREST IN SECURITIES OF THE ISSUER
   
Paragraphs (a)-(c) of Item 5 are hereby amended and restated in their entirety as follows:
   
 
CUSIP No. 346233109SCHEDULE 13D/APage 9 of 11 Pages

 

 

(a) – (b)

 

The aggregate number of shares of Common Stock to which this Schedule 13D relates is 2,460,068 shares of Common Stock, constituting approximately 7.0% of the outstanding Common Stock. All percentages set forth herein are based upon a total of 34,958,270 shares of Common Stock outstanding as of November 3, 2014, as reported in the Issuer’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period ended September 30, 2014, filed with the SEC on November 6, 2014.

 

SOA has the power to vote and direct the disposition of the 344,224 shares of Common Stock held by the funds and accounts for which it acts as investment advisor. Mr. Silvers has the power to vote and direct the disposition of (i) 8,500 shares of Common Stock directly beneficially owned by Mr. Silvers; (ii) 700 shares of Common Stock held in a joint account with his wife; (iii) 100 shares of Common Stock held in an account for the benefit of his daughter; and (iv) 100 shares of Common Stock held in an account for the benefit of his son. Mr. Nelson has the power to vote and direct the disposition of the 4,000 shares of Common Stock directly beneficially owned by him. Laura Conover has the power to vote and direct the disposition of the 250 shares of Common Stock directly beneficially owned by her. Mr. Konig has the power to vote and direct the disposition of (x) the 1,200 shares of Common Stock directly beneficially owned by him and (y) 150 shares of Common Stock held in an account for the benefit of his wife. CSC has the power to vote and direct the disposition of the 2,100,844 shares of Common Stock held by the accounts for which it acts as investment advisor.

 

The Reporting Persons may be deemed to have formed a “group” within the meaning of Section 13(d)(3) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Collectively, the group (and each member thereof) may be deemed to have beneficial ownership of a combined 2,460,068 shares of Common Stock, constituting approximately 7.0% of the Issuer’s outstanding shares of Common Stock. Each Reporting Person disclaims beneficial ownership of any shares of Common Stock beneficially owned by any other Reporting Person.

 

(c) Information concerning transactions in the Common Stock effected by the Reporting Persons since the filing of the Original Schedule 13D is set forth in Schedule I hereto and is incorporated herein by reference.

 

Item 7. MATERIAL TO BE FILED AS EXHIBITS
   
Exhibit

Description

 

3 January 6th Letter

 

 

 
CUSIP No. 346233109SCHEDULE 13D/APage 10 of 11 Pages

 

SIGNATURES

After reasonable inquiry and to the best of his or its knowledge and belief, each of the undersigned certifies that the information set forth in this statement is true, complete and correct.

Date: January 6, 2015

 

 

SPRINGOWL associates LLC

 

  By: SpringOwl Asset Management LLC
   
  By: /s/ Andrew Wallach
    Name: Andrew Wallach
    Title: Managing Member
   
   
  By: /s/ Daniel Silvers
    Daniel Silvers
   
   
  By: /s/ Andrew Nelson
    Andrew Nelson
   
   
  By: /s/ Laura Conover
    Laura Conover
   
   
  By: /s/ Barry Konig
    Barry Konig
 

 

 

cove street capital, llc

 

  /s/ Daniele Beasley
  Name: Daniele Beasley
  Title: Chief Compliance Officer; Member

 

 

 

 
CUSIP No. 346233109SCHEDULE 13D/APage 11 of 11 Pages

Schedule I

 

 

TRANSACTIONS IN COMMON STOCK BY THE REPORTING PERSONS

 

The following tables set forth all transactions in the Common Stock effected by each of the Reporting Persons since the filing of the Original Schedule 13D. Unless otherwise noted, all such transactions were effected in the open market through a broker and all prices per share include commissions.

 

 

Mr. Silvers

 

Trade Date Shares Purchased (Sold) Price Per Share ($)
11/26/2014 3,000 16.64
12/1/2014 1,000 15.81

 

 

Mr. Nelson

 

Trade Date Shares Purchased (Sold) Price Per Share ($)
12/2/2014 192 14.91
12/2/2014 100 14.90
12/2/2014 500 14.94
12/2/2014 208 14.95

 

CSC

 

Trade Date Shares Purchased (Sold) Price Per Share ($)
11/25/2014 50,000 16.79
11/26/2014 30,000 16.65
12/1/2014 315 15.30
12/15/2014 (103,752) 14.66
12/15/2014 103,752 14.71
12/18/2014 197,143 15.02
12/19/2014 25,457 15.34

 

 

EX-99 2 p15-0001exhibit3.htm EXHIBIT 3

SpringOwl Asset Management LLC Cove Street Capital LLC
1370 Avenue of the Americas, 28th Floor 2101 East El Segundo Boulevard, Suite 302
New York, NY 10019 El Segundo, CA 90245

 

January 6, 2015

 

The Need FOR Change: Oversight of Long Overdue Strategic Refocusing

 

Dear Fellow Forestar Stockholder:

 

The Value FOR Shareholders Group is a group of concerned shareholders comprised of SpringOwl Asset Management LLC and Cove Street Capital LLC that, together with their respective affiliated parties, beneficially own greater than 7.0% of Forestar’s outstanding common stock. We have been troubled by the steady diminution in the value of our investment, and believe the company can – and should – do better.

In light of recent announcements by Forestar that have started to address some – but not all – of the issues that we have privately raised to Management and your Board’s leadership, we thought this was an opportune occasion to convey our thoughts to you, our fellow Forestar shareholders. As a reminder, over the recent months, Forestar has announced several nascent initiatives – seemingly in response to our private conversations that began in January 2013 – which would, on their surface, appear to be constructive. However, in our view, these initiatives share a common thread: they are either (i) pushed so far into the future that they seem to lack any meaningful effect or (ii) their respective implementation lies at the discretion of your current Board, one which is responsible for many of the decisions that have led to the recent stock price underperformance. Although it is a positive step that the Board has at least recognized some of the serious issues that exist, we believe you should ask yourselves if you trust the same Board members, who have overseen and directed your company since its IPO, to fix their past mistakes without the benefit of additional shareholder-aligned oversight.

In addition – and in answer to many questions which many of you have raised to us privately since we filed a 13D on November 14, 2014 – we will use this letter to lay out for you the issues that we have raised over the past two years with the company in a series of private conversations and written correspondence.

 

OUR MESSAGE TO FORESTAR

We have sought to convey to your Board and Management that we believe the inherent flaws in Forestar’s capital allocation and a misguided strategic plan have led to dismal stock performance over the company’s seven years as a standalone public entity. Our management and Board outreach attempts intentionally have been conducted quietly and behind the scenes in order to convey the serious, long-term nature of our investment and to increase the probability of a value-enhancing partnership to benefit all Forestar shareholders. We would note that members of the Group have been Forestar shareholders since January 2013, and that all members of the Group originally invested in Forestar with the intention of being long-term stockholders.

 

 
The Need FOR Change
January 6, 2015
Page 2

 

The response from Management and the Board’s leadership to our correspondence and meetings to date has been cordial and professional, but only recently – after nearly 18 months of clinging to what we believe to be a failed plan – has the Board even begun to show any real signs of understanding the company’s predicament. Unfortunately, each of the company’s recent public announcements looks like one in a series of knee-jerk reactions that lack the cohesiveness of a real strategic plan that directly addresses the dismal results of the last seven years. Unfortunately, we believe that our efforts to effect meaningful long-term change through a private dialogue with Management and the Board have reached an impasse. As a result, we believe it is necessary to open the dialogue to all shareholders.

Forestar’s stock price performance has been disappointing for many years. We are troubled by this performance, much of which we believe has been self-inflicted. The following chart illustrates the year-to-date, 1-, 3- , 5-year and “Since January 1, 2008” performance of Forestar common stock, as compared to the performance of Forestar’s self-defined Peer Group, ISS’ defined Peer Group, the S&P 500 index, the Russell 2000 index, the S&P 400 Oil & Gas index and the S&P 500 Real Estate index. We believe the company can—and should—do better.

 

Our collective research indicates to us that this endemic underperformance stems from the following issues:

·A lack of clear and focused strategic direction within the company, driven by the inexplicable strategic decision in 2012 to attempt to become an operating Oil & Gas company – an endeavor that we believe was poorly executed and directly dilutive to shareholders through (i) equity-related issuances and (ii) expensive debt financings which have encumbered the company’s Real Estate assets with liens;
·A series of poor Capital Allocation decisions reflecting the Board’s apparent lack of understanding of appropriate valuation methodologies for an asset-rich company such as Forestar; and
·Questionable corporate governance practices at the hands of a Board that we believe has provided misguided and/or insufficient oversight of the company’s strategic direction, Capital Allocation and Compensation practices.

We believe that with its wealth of real assets, Forestar is at a critical juncture: there are tremendous opportunities within the control of the Board and Management to create and enhance shareholder value. We have presented to Management a proposed action plan (the “Value Enhancement Plan”) with the following recommendations:

 
The Need FOR Change
January 6, 2015
Page 3

·Evaluate strategic alternatives for all Oil & Gas investments and, pending this review, immediately halt all non-committed Oil & Gas spending.

The December 8th announcement of the removal of the head of the Oil & Gas division and the engagement of a financial advisor to review strategic options – would seemingly represent initial positive steps in addressing this issue. However, our collective research indicates that the company needs to take additional operational steps in its Oil & Gas business to protect the value of your investment. The operational steps include (i) an immediate cessation of all non-essential Oil & Gas investment and (ii) the enactment of meaningful cost savings initiatives within the Oil & Gas business. It is not clear that either Management or the Board has the relevant experience or appropriate acumen to make these difficult decisions. In this Oil & Gas environment, we do not believe that Goldman Sachs – which has assisted the company in making some of what we believe to be a series of poor decisions over the past seven years – is the appropriate arbiter of what needs to be done at your company.

·Implement a strategic review process for the Real Estate business that considers long-term value creation versus the current “Triple in FOR” plan that emphasizes short-term growth objectives and reported income metrics that we believe are irrelevant to the company’s long-term value;
·Improve Capital Allocation discipline in conjunction with the respective strategic review processes; and
·Implement measures to improve Corporate Governance, including:
oElimination of Poison Pill
oReevaluation of Management Compensation Program
oReevaluation of “Golden Parachute” Programs and Change of Control “triggers”
oIncrease Insider Ownership by Independent Directors
oAppointment of new Independent Directors who can bring the fresh perspective and skill sets that we believe are sorely lacking on the current Board

We believe that taking these steps would be overwhelmingly positive for Forestar shareholders. Specifically, we expect that we would emerge with a company that:

·is focused on per share value creation;
·has a tighter and more understandable strategic focus;
·operates with an improved balance sheet; and
·is adequately and appropriately capitalized to take advantage of compelling external investment opportunities or be in the position to return capital to shareholders if that is determined to be the value maximizing path.

We believe you should ask yourself: Given the lack of strategic direction the company has displayed and the degradation of shareholder value that has occurred, can the current Board be counted upon to reverse past mistakes and then take the appropriate actions to change the company’s course?

 

HOW DID WE GET HERE?

We believe the key reasons as to why the share price performance of Forestar has been such a disappointment since its 2007 spin-off from Temple Inland are relatively straightforward:

 
The Need FOR Change
January 6, 2015
Page 4

 

Poor Capital Allocation Decisions…

One need not look any further than at Forestar’s “Triple in FOR” program. Tripling any measure of corporate activity would seem to be an inherently flawed objective unless it considers two key metrics:

1.Capital required to achieve the goal; and
2.Estimated impact on per share value.

Based on both (i) the decisions your Board has made and (ii) the conversations we have had with the current leadership of your Board and Forestar’s Management, we are not convinced that this Board has sufficiently and appropriately considered and analyzed these metrics.

Although a tripling of EBITDA in four years might seem to be a laudable goal for an operating company, – assuming proper consideration of required capital spending – in Forestar’s case, such a goal is indicative of a failure to realize that EBITDA generation at the expense of net asset value can easily destroy shareholder value. In our view, Forestar’s failure to have or to articulate a strategy of creating sustainable value coupled with its misguided goals have led to stock price underperformance in the face of favorable underlying markets within Forestar’s core business – REAL ESTATE.

Under your Board, Forestar repeatedly has made decisions regarding the operations and strategic direction of your company that we believe have directly and negatively affected shareholder value. Most importantly, the current regime has diverted financial and managerial resources away from Forestar’s core assets—its vast Real Estate holdings. We believe that as a direct result of these diversions the company now suffers, even after the December 8th announcement, a “conglomerate” discount as an “orphan stock,” one without a specific industry following. In our view, putting these two highly capital intensive businesses under one small roof was a recipe for shareholder dilution, increasing levels of debt and magnification of cyclical exposure. Regrettably, it was a recipe concocted by your Board, the same Board which now seems to be seeking a “blank check” to reverse course without any meaningful oversight from representatives of its shareholders on the Board of Directors.

Our Group believes that these issues will not be properly addressed by the current Board and immediate action needs to be taken.

 

….Coupled with a Lack of Strategic Focus…

Instead of focusing on its core Real Estate business and simply leasing to more capable parties the mineral acres inherited in the Temple-Inland spin-off, your Board authorized the purchase of Credo Petroleum Corporation in June 2012 for approximately $146 million. At the time of the announcement, Mr. DeCosmo stated:[1]

·“This strategic acquisition is consistent with our recently announced Triple in FOR initiatives to accelerate value realization, optimize transparency and disclosure and raise net asset value through strategic and disciplined investments”
·“This acquisition establishes a meaningful oil and gas platform and a strong oil and gas team that is well positioned to deliver shareholder value for years to come”
·“Following the acquisition of Credo, we will have the scale and option to operate and capitalize on attractive oil and gas investment opportunities. This important milestone will allow us to leverage the newly acquired leasehold interests as well as our existing mineral rights to recognize and responsibly deliver the greatest value from every acre”

 

______________________________

[1] Forestar Press Release titled “Forestar to Acquire Credo Petroleum”, June 4, 2012

 
The Need FOR Change
January 6, 2015
Page 5

Credo’s key assets included non-operating wells in the Bakken area of North Dakota—land that has turned out to be prime real estate in that region – and an “off-the–radar” land position in Kansas and Nebraska. Furthermore, the original premise of the ongoing financial impact of the deal included the notion that capital expenditures were going to be “somewhere between $30 million to $35 million” and thus fundable within the then-current capital structure.2

A mere 18 months later, Management put out estimates of an approximately $175-200 million Oil & Gas capital spending program for 2014, very little of which was earmarked for developing the original mineral rights.3 While actual 2014 spending appears to have come in below this estimate, most of this reduction was a result of terrible winter weather in the Bakken which delayed the company’s drilling plans.

We are troubled that your company has spent approximately $300 million on what we view as its misguided shareholder-funded adventure into the Oil & Gas business over the past three years to get to a point where it remains sub-scale by Management’s own admission. This capital spending has been the primary reason for two dilutive capital raises in the past two years and it unnecessarily amplified the company’s exposure to the vicissitudes of an historically cyclical business, the effects of which the company is dealing with today.

We believe Forestar should (i) impose an immediate cessation of all non-committed drilling and land acquisition – a topic that has not been addressed by the company, (ii) conduct the strategic review of whether your company should continue to be an operating company in Oil & Gas exploration in conjunction with fresh perspectives in the Boardroom and (iii) institute a comprehensive cost-saving plan to allow returns from previous investments to be realized.

Up until its vague announcement on December 8th, these recommendations were completely resisted by Forestar despite its dismal results to date. We would further highlight the inherent value of Forestar’s ownership of non-operating assets in the Bakken – an area which continues to consolidate – and note that in September 2014, CEO Jim DeCosmo refused our suggestion that he speak with a specific potential private buyer (with the ability to quickly make a fully-financed bid) of non-operating assets in the Bakken to even discuss possible deals and ventures for our company’s assets.

As recently as its November quarterly conference call, the company showed no signs of stopping its Oil & Gas investing, as it announced an investment of $15 million in new and non-contiguous acreage in Oklahoma.

Our Group thinks it is entirely appropriate to ask whether the Board whose decision-making process created this flawed plan – a plan that has produced no discernible return while diluting shareholders and encumbering the company’s Real Estate assets – is the right group of people to make proper decisions for the company in the quickly-evolving and volatile energy business.

 

….Which Creates a “Circular Reference” with Capital Allocation, Given a Seemingly Limited Understanding of How to Create Value for Shareholders

In addition to continued profligate spending in non-core areas, your Board does not appear to have engaged in sufficiently thoughtful discussions regarding capital allocation alternatives. Based upon a conversation SpringOwl had with Management at Forestar’s offices in Austin, Texas on October 10, 2014, we do not believe that Management has engaged on a regular basis, if at all, in any discussion with Forestar’s Board of Directors concerning Management’s view of the company’s per share Net Asset Value. In fact, Management represented that your Board’s understanding of Net Asset Value per share had been driven by estimates prepared by Wall Street Research analyst - NOT – by Forestar Management, based upon its own intimate knowledge of the company’s asset base.

 

______________________________

[2] Forestar / Credo Acquisition Conference Call, June 4, 2012

[3] Forestar 4th Quarter 2013 Conference Call, February 13, 2014

 
The Need FOR Change
January 6, 2015
Page 6

As one alternative – but certainly not the only alternative – for allocating precious capital is share repurchases, we believe you should ask yourselves if the current Board could be in a position to make informed Capital Allocation decisions without even having Management’s assessment of the per share Net Asset Value.

To be clear, to the extent that attractive opportunities present themselves, we have no issue with reinvesting capital into such opportunities. Rather, we object to doing so in a haphazard manner without appropriate questions being asked by a company’s board of directors.

We would note that on November 5, 2014, Forestar announced vaguely-worded “plans to repurchase up to $55 million in stock.” We do not understand how it is possible to make this decision in a responsible manner without an internally-generated detailed analysis as to the intrinsic value of the company. Rather, this decision seems much more like a public relations gambit. We believe it is appropriate for you to ask yourselves if you believe this was a haphazardly-planned and reactive (to our efforts) decision made by your Board, rather than a decision made as part of a carefully thought out, long-term plan to generate shareholder value.

 

 

Corporate Governance Deficiencies Provide an Important Overlay on Missteps in Strategy and Capital Allocation

Board Expertise

We believe that operating expertise in Forestar’s lines of business is woefully underrepresented in the current Board membership, and that consequently there is little hope that your Board, as currently constituted, can effectively oversee Management in evaluating and maximizing the opportunities inherent in these business lines.

Furthermore, the collective background of your current directors does not appear to include sufficiently meaningful experience in or expertise involving the capital markets and corporate finance. Given a history of what we believe to be dilutive equity raises and high-cost debt raises as well as the inherent sensitivity of the company’s assets to changes in the overall economic environment (and specifically as it relates to interest rate and commodities exposure), we cannot overstate the importance of having better capital markets and corporate finance expertise at the Board level.

Given what we perceive to be insufficient information flow from Management to the Board with respect to Capital Allocation decisions, we believe you should ask yourselves whether this is a shortcoming that must be addressed though a change in the Board’s composition.

Interlocking Relationships at the Board

The current Board composition highlights a number of current and past relationships amongst the members of your Board. Notably, there are overlaps and presumed preexisting relationships with organizations including: Temple-Inland, Goldman Sachs, Countrywide Financial, KB Home, Genesis Energy and the University of Texas.

We have specific concerns about the extent to which these interlocking relationships center around your Chairman, Kenneth M. Jastrow, II.

 
The Need FOR Change
January 6, 2015
Page 7

 

·Temple-Inland

Mr. Jastrow’s service as Chairman and CEO of Temple-Inland overlapped with James Johnson’s and Richard Smith’s service on the Board of Temple-Inland. Additionally, Jim DeCosmo’s employment service at Temple-Inland overlapped with Mr. Jastrow’s tenure at Temple-Inland.

·Goldman Sachs

Kathleen Brown’s employment service at Goldman Sachs overlapped with Mr. Johnson’s service as a member of the Board at Goldman Sachs.

·Countrywide Financial

Ms. Brown’s and Michael Dougherty’s service on the Board of Countrywide Financial overlapped.

·KB Home

Mr. Jastrow’s and Mr. Johnson’s service on the Board of KB Home overlapped.

·Genesis Energy

Mr. Jastrow’s and Carl Thomason’s service on the Board of Genesis Energy overlapped.

·The University of Texas

Mr. Jastrow has served as Chairman of the School’s: Development Board, Advisory Council of the McCombs School of Business, Neighborhood Longhorns, Commission of 125 and its Capital Campaign. Charles Matthews is the Chair of the School’s Development Board. William Powers is the President of The University of Texas at Austin. Notably, Mr. Jastrow engaged in a letter writing campaign to the Chairman of the School’s governing board on behalf of Mr. Powers in 2011.

It is our understanding that the company has used Goldman Sachs as its “house bank.” Given Goldman’s prior roles in advising the company with respect to acquisitions and financing strategies – and what we believe to be the resultant degradation in shareholder value from some of the decisions that were made based on such advice – and the close ties of members of the Board to Goldman, we believe you should ask yourselves whether you are comfortable with Goldman’s acting as financial advisor to the company in connection with the Strategic Alternatives Review of the Oil & Gas business.

Furthermore, the Group believes that the long-term interrelationships among members of the Board means there are legitimate questions surrounding the independence of the Board and that you should ask yourselves whether, given the company’s history, there is a need for a stronger, more independent Board with additional expertise in the most relevant industries.

Superficial Steps Toward Addressing Prevailing Corporate Governance Issues

Recently, in another long overdue step, the company announced a proposal to de-stagger the Board, pending the outcome of a vote at the 2015 Annual Meeting. Although a superficially positive step towards improving corporate governance practices, if approved, this proposal would not provide even a portion of its intended benefit until the 2017 Annual Meeting – the first time more than one class of directors would be elected at the same time – and would not become fully implemented until the 2018 Annual Meeting (more than three years from today!). Unfortunately, this protracted lead time does not address what we believe to be the urgent need to change the company’s current flawed strategy – including its stated intentions to continue to allocate precious capital to its non-core, sub-scale Oil & Gas production business – through improved Board oversight.

 
The Need FOR Change
January 6, 2015
Page 8

Seemingly Misaligned Compensation Practices

We also have raised to the company the deep concerns we have with Forestar’s Compensation structure. We believe this structure is based upon flawed “growth” metrics related to both Real Estate and Oil & Gas. Despite sending several private letters to your Board, some of which provided concrete suggestions and highlighted companies that we believe have more aligned practices, we have not seen any indication that the Board is responding to these concerns.

Low Level of Purchased Insider Ownership

You should also be aware that based upon our review of Forestar’s filings with the SEC, it would appear that the company’s Independent Directors, in the aggregate, have only purchased 5,500 shares (in 2008 – almost 7 years ago!) of Forestar common stock in the open market since the company began to trade publicly. In contrast, the Value FOR Shareholders Group has purchased a greater than 7.0% ownership interest in your company. We are convinced that shareholders would benefit from stronger, and more aligned, representation in the Boardroom now – before any more damage can be done.

Correcting an Insular Approach

Given the serious issues facing our company, we believe significant change is required in the membership of the Board. To date, we have sought to meaningfully engage with your Board on a constructive basis regarding operating performance, Capital Allocation and Corporate Governance issues at Forestar. We have also provided suggestions to the company regarding potential new Directors that we believe could add significant value in the Boardroom. Our substantial efforts to work with the Chairman and the Board in regard to these suggestions have yielded little progress. In fact, despite repeated requests, we have not been afforded the chance to present to the full Board in order to allow the Board an opportunity to engage in a dynamic, back-and-forth discussion with significant owners of your company.

We continue to seek an opportunity to work constructively with the Board and Management to review the company’s strategies in its operating businesses and identify opportunities to enhance shareholder value.

Given the current state of the company, we believe that you should ask yourselves the following questions:

·Is the Board depriving shareholders of the opportunity to benefit from the capital markets and corporate finance experience that the principals of SpringOwl and Cove Street can bring to the table?
·What exactly could be driving the decision-making process of the Board, if not the objective of maximizing shareholder value?

The Time FOR Change Is Now

Almost two-and-half years after the acquisition of Credo, shareholders now are left with two very distinct options:

1.Continue to support the current Board and its record of overseeing a failed strategy and the degradation of significant shareholder value; or
2.Demand that your company embrace fresh perspectives that could lead to better returns for all shareholders.

We believe the choice is clear.

 
The Need FOR Change
January 6, 2015
Page 9

We welcome other shareholders to reach out to us any time to share their thoughts (and their answers to the questions we have posed to them) as we seek to maximize value on behalf of all of the company’s shareholders. We also welcome our fellow shareholders to share their thoughts with Forestar’s Board.

We remain enthusiastic about constructively engaging with the Board and hope that its leadership will reevaluate its unwillingness to engage meaningfully with the Group in a thoughtful two-way discussion about Capital Allocation and the best way to increase per share net asset value. However, in the absence of constructive engagement, we will evaluate all alternatives available to us.

 

 

Sincerely,        
SPRINGOWL ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC   COVE STREET CAPITAL LLC    
/s/  Andrew M. Wallach   /s/  Jeffrey Bronchick    
Andrew M. Wallach
Managing Member
  Jeffrey Bronchick
Chief Investment Officer
   

 

 

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