EX-99.2 4 w90733exv99w2.htm EXHIBIT 99.2 exv99w2
 

EXHIBIT 99.2

SEPTEMBER 2003

Fannie Mae’s summary of monthly business volumes, delinquency rates, and interest rate risk measures reflect the company’s continued record of disciplined growth.

Because of increased levels of actual and anticipated variability in performance measures on a month-to-month and quarter-to-quarter basis, management believes that it is important to view these measures on a year-to-date basis, and in the context of our longer-term outlook.

HIGHLIGHTS FOR SEPTEMBER INCLUDE:

  Total business volume rose to a record $145.6 billion in September.
 
  Due to the extraordinarily high amount of outstanding commitments that settled in September, portfolio purchases surged to a record $98.8 billion. Extremely strong growth during the month brought annualized year-to-date portfolio growth to 21.9 percent. Outstanding commitments at month-end fell to $29.6 billion, from $101 billion on August 31.
 
  Retained commitments were $28.0 billion, reflecting a narrowing of mortgage to debt spreads during the month.
 
  Outstanding MBS contracted in September despite new issues of $120.3 billion, due to record portfolio purchases and $63.6 billion in MBS liquidations.
 
  Liquidations for both the mortgage portfolio and MBS outstanding declined from August’s record high levels.
 
  The duration gap on Fannie Mae’s mortgage portfolio averaged a positive one month during September.
 
  The conventional single-family delinquency rate rose one basis point to 0.58 percent. The multifamily delinquency rate remained unchanged at 0.13 percent.


 

BUSINESS BALANCES AND GROWTH ($ in Millions) (1)

                                                 
    Mortgage Portfolio, Gross (2)   Outstanding MBS (3)   Book of Business
    End Balance   Growth Rate (4)   End Balance   Growth Rate (4)   End Balance   Growth Rate (4)
   
 
 
 
 
 
October 2002
  $ 751,347       -0.1 %   $ 1,018,303       39.6 %   $ 1,769,650       21.0 %
November 2002
    760,759       16.1 %     1,019,031       .9 %     1,779,790       7.1 %
December 2002
    790,800       59.2 %     1,029,456       13.0 %     1,820,256       31.0 %
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
 
YTD 2002
  $ 790,800       11.9 %   $ 1,029,456       19.9 %   $ 1,820,256       16.4 %
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
 
January 2003
  $ 810,609       34.6 %   $ 1,047,903       23.8 %   $ 1,858,512       28.3 %
February 2003
    816,747       9.5 %     1,073,564       33.7 %     1,890,311       22.6 %
March 2003
    815,964       -1.1 %     1,107,520       45.3 %     1,923,484       23.2 %
April 2003
    817,894       2.9 %     1,156,205       67.6 %     1,974,099       36.6 %
May 2003
    815,560       -3.4 %     1,186,128       35.9 %     2,001,688       18.1 %
June 2003
    812,467       -4.5 %     1,237,461       66.3 %     2,049,928       33.1 %
July 2003
    836,104       41.1 %     1,248,869       11.6 %     2,084,973       22.6 %
August 2003
    863,170       46.6 %     1,227,115       (19.0 %)     2,090,285       3.1 %
September 2003
    917,123       107.0 %     1,211,079       (14.6 %)     2,128,202       24.1 %
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
 
YTD 2003
  $ 917,123       21.9 %   $ 1,211,079       24.2 %   $ 2,128,202       23.2 %
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
 

BUSINESS VOLUMES ($ in Millions) (1)

                                                         
    MBS                
   
               
                    Total   Fannie Mae   MBS Issues                
    Single-family   Multifamily   Lender-originated   MBS   Acquired   Portfolio   Business
    Issues   Issues   Issues (5)   Purchases (6)   by Others   Purchases   Volume
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
October 2002
  $ 80,624     $ 699     $ 81,323     $ 19,043     $ 62,280     $ 32,853     $ 95,132  
November 2002
    80,375       951       81,326       33,535       47,791       47,807       95,599  
December 2002
    94,054       3,777       97,831       51,947       45,884       67,891       113,775  
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
     
 
YTD 2002
  $ 710,961     $ 12,336     $ 723,299     $ 245,039     $ 478,260     $ 370,641     $ 848,901  
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
     
 
January 2003
  $ 105,256     $ 1,390     $ 106,646     $ 42,858     $ 63,788     $ 57,281     $ 121,069  
February 2003
    92,720       465       93,185       27,530       65,655       40,420       106,075  
March 2003
    92,023       719       92,742       18,252       74,490       34,304       108,794  
April 2003
    120,976       667       121,643       25,648       95,995       43,028       139,024  
May 2003
    107,447       989       108,436       23,180       85,256       43,749       129,005  
June 2003
    121,457       1,449       122,906       21,655       101,251       41,183       142,434  
July 2003
    118,545       1,420       119,965       48,266       71,699       72,447       144,146  
August 2003
    108,866       796       109,662       54,295       55,367       82,656       138,023  
September 2003
    116,105       4,192       120,297       73,504       46,793       98,804       145,597  
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
     
 
YTD 2003
  $ 983,395     $ 12,087     $ 995,482     $ 335,189     $ 660,293     $ 513,873     $ 1,174,166  
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
     
 

MORTGAGE PORTFOLIO COMMITMENTS, PURCHASES, AND SALES ($ in Millions) (1)

                                                 
            Purchases        
           
  Mortgage
    Retained   Single-           Total           Portfolio
    Commitments   family   Multifamily   Purchases   Net Yield (7)   Sales
   
 
 
 
 
 
October 2002
  $ 67,342     $ 32,297     $ 556     $ 32,853       5.61 %   $ 951  
November 2002
    52,766       47,131       676       47,807       5.52 %     142  
December 2002
    29,214       66,703       1,188       67,891       5.42 %     293  
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
 
YTD 2002
  $ 388,059     $ 363,149     $ 7,492     $ 370,641       5.92 %   $ 9,582  
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
 
January 2003
  $ 25,097     $ 56,402     $ 879     $ 57,281       5.44 %   $ 60  
February 2003
    51,238       39,814       606       40,420       5.32 %     780  
March 2003
    39,548       33,621       683       34,304       5.20 %     431  
April 2003
    41,427       42,395       633       43,028       5.20 %     646  
May 2003
    73,784       42,795       954       43,749       5.12 %     1,894  
June 2003
    75,515       40,306       877       41,183       4.96 %     2,885  
July 2003
    77,679       70,246       2,201       72,447       4.86 %     513  
August 2003
    43,351       81,255       1,401       82,656       4.83 %     384  
September 2003
    27,961       97,693       1,111       98,804       4.85 %     581  
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
 
YTD 2003
  $ 455,600     $ 504,528     $ 9,345     $ 513,873       5.03 %   $ 8,173  
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
 

(1)   Represents unpaid principal balance.
 
(2)   Excludes mark-to-market adjustments, deferred balances and allowance for losses. Includes $590 billion of Fannie Mae MBS as of September 30, 2003.
 
(3)   MBS held by investors other than Fannie Mae’s portfolio.
 
(4)   Growth rates are compounded.
 
(5)   Excludes MBS issued from Fannie Mae’s portfolio, which was $2,551 million in September 2003.
 
(6)   Included in total portfolio purchases.
 
(7)   Yields shown on a taxable-equivalent basis.

 


 

LIQUIDATIONS ($ in Millions) (1)

                                 
    Mortgage Portfolio   Outstanding MBS
    Liquidations   Liquidations
   
 
    Amount   Annual Rate   Amount   Annual Rate
   
 
 
 
October 2002
  $ 31,990       51.09 %   $ 35,321       42.20 %
November 2002
    38,265       60.73 %     47,184       55.58 %
December 2002
    37,569       58.11 %     42,714       50.04 %
 
   
     
     
     
 
YTD 2002
  $ 277,419       37.35 %   $ 324,177       34.37 %
 
   
     
     
     
 
January 2003
  $ 37,423       56.09 %   $ 45,343       52.38 %
February 2003
    33,517       49.43 %     40,771       46.12 %
March 2003
    34,668       50.96 %     40,915       45.02 %
April 2003
    40,465       59.44 %     47,956       50.84 %
May 2003
    44,203       64.95 %     57,226       58.64 %
June 2003
    41,279       60.85 %     52,607       52.09 %
July 2003
    48,309       70.33 %     60,611       58.51 %
August 2003
    55,220       77.99 %     76,854       74.50 %
September 2003
    44,244       59.65 %     63,577       62.58 %
 
   
     
     
     
 
YTD 2003
  $ 379,329       60.96 %   $ 485,861       56.21 %
 
   
     
     
     
 

DELINQUENCY RATES

                                 
    Single-family Conventional (2)        
   
       
    Non-Credit   Credit           Multifamily
    Enhancement (3)   Enhancement (4)   Total (5)   Total (6)
   
 
 
 
October 2002       0.29 %     1.16 %     0.53 %     0.08 %
November 2002     0.30 %     1.24 %     0.56 %     0.10 %
December 2002     0.31 %     1.29 %     0.57 %     0.05 %
January 2003     0.32 %     1.34 %     0.59 %     0.03 %
February 2003     0.31 %     1.36 %     0.59 %     0.06 %
March 2003     0.30 %     1.34 %     0.57 %     0.09 %
April 2003     0.29 %     1.34 %     0.56 %     0.09 %
May 2003     0.29 %     1.38 %     0.55 %     0.15 %
June 2003     0.29 %     1.42 %     0.56 %     0.13 %
July 2003     0.29 %     1.47 %     0.57 %     0.13 %
August 2003     0.29 %     1.52 %     0.58 %     0.13 %

AVERAGE INVESTMENT BALANCES ($ in Millions)

                         
    Net   Liquid   Total Net
    Mortgages   Investments   Investments
   
 
 
October 2002
  $ 746,529     $ 64,923     $ 811,452  
November 2002
    749,432       76,959       826,391  
December 2002
    773,717       85,206       858,923  
 
   
     
     
 
YTD 2002
  $ 735,943     $ 68,658     $ 804,601  
 
   
     
     
 
January 2003
  $ 794,278     $ 75,849     $ 870,127  
February 2003
    808,377       63,706       872,083  
March 2003
    811,757       61,851       873,608  
April 2003
    809,928       75,874       885,804  
May 2003
    806,511       83,895       890,406  
June 2003
    808,205       86,136       894,341  
July 2003
    813,728       82,011       895,739  
August 2003
    832,100       95,607       927,708  
September 2003
    875,740       78,892       954,633  
 
   
     
     
 
YTD 2003
  $ 817,847     $ 78,202     $ 896,050  
 
   
     
     
 

INTEREST RATE RISK DISCLOSURES

                                         
            Rate Level Shock (50bp) (8)   Rate Slope Shock (25bp) (8)
           
 
    Effective   1 Year Portfolio   4 Year Portfolio   1 Year Portfolio   4 Year Portfolio
    Duration Gap (7)   Net Interest   Net Interest   Net Interest   Net Interest
    (in months)   Income at Risk   Income at Risk   Income at Risk   Income at Risk
   
 
 
 
 
October 2002
    -6       2.7 %     2.0 %     6.0 %     7.5 %
November 2002
    2       6.3 %     4.9 %     3.5 %     5.9 %
December 2002
    -5       0.6 %     1.6 %     4.7 %     6.6 %
January 2003
    -3       2.9 %     3.8 %     3.5 %     5.7 %
February 2003
    -5       3.6 %     1.3 %     4.9 %     6.8 %
March 2003
    -2       1.7 %     2.8 %     4.4 %     6.7 %
April 2003
    -2       2.1 %     2.5 %     4.6 %     6.5 %
May 2003
    -5       0.7 %     2.2 %     5.3 %     7.1 %
June 2003
    -1       2.1 %     6.6 %     3.9 %     5.9 %
July 2003
    6       9.3 %     8.7 %     1.9 %     2.9 %
August 2003
    4       4.8 %     3.2 %     3.4 %     5.2 %
September 2003
    1       2.7 %     1.3 %     5.2 %     6.8 %

(1)   Represents unpaid principal balance.
 
(2)   Includes conventional loans three or more months delinquent or in foreclosure process as a percent of the number of loans.
 
(3)   Loans without primary mortgage insurance or any credit enhancements.
 
(4)   Loans with primary mortgage insurance and other credit enhancements.
 
(5)   Total of single-family non-credit enhanced and credit enhanced loans.
 
(6)   Includes loans two or more months delinquent as a percent of loan dollars and includes the total credit book of business.
 
(7)   Effective January 2003, the duration gap is a weighted average for the month. Prior to 2003, the duration gap was calculated on the last day of the month.
 
(8)   Expresses projected core net interest income under the more adverse of the interest rate and yield curve scenarios as a percentage of projected net interest income without the rate shocks.

 


 

The information presented in this report is unaudited and includes, in the opinion of management, all adjustments (consisting of normally recurring accruals) necessary for a fair presentation. The data should be read in conjunction with audited financial statements and notes to financial statements that are available from the corporation. For more information regarding Fannie Mae, or for a more detailed quarterly report on Fannie Mae’s activity, please visit www.fanniemae.com or contact us at (202) 752-7115.