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Concentrations of Credit Risk
6 Months Ended
Jun. 30, 2011
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements  
Concentrations of Credit Risk

12. Concentration of Credit Risk

 

Mortgage Seller/Servicers.  Mortgage servicers collect mortgage and escrow payments from borrowers, pay taxes and insurance costs from escrow accounts, monitor and report delinquencies, and perform other required activities on our behalf. Our business with mortgage servicers is concentrated. Our ten largest single-family mortgage servicers, including their affiliates, serviced 76% of our single-family guaranty book of business as of June 30, 2011, compared with 77% as of December 31, 2010. Our ten largest multifamily mortgage servicers, including their affiliates, serviced 68% of our multifamily guaranty book of business as of June 30, 2011, compared with 70% as of December 31, 2010.

 

If one of our principal mortgage seller/servicers fails to meet its obligations to us, it could increase our credit-related expenses and credit losses, result in financial losses to us and have a material adverse effect on our earnings, liquidity, financial condition and net worth.

 

Mortgage Insurers.  Mortgage insurance “risk in force” represents our maximum potential loss recovery under the applicable mortgage insurance policies. We had total mortgage insurance coverage risk in force of $92.8 billion on the single-family mortgage loans in our guaranty book of business as of June 30, 2011, which represented approximately 3% of our single-family guaranty book of business. Our primary and pool mortgage insurance coverage risk in force on single-family mortgage loans in our guaranty book of business represented $88.6 billion and $4.2 billion, respectively, as of June 30, 2011, compared with $91.2 billion and $4.7 billion, respectively, as of December 31, 2010. Eight mortgage insurance companies provided over 99% of our mortgage insurance as of both June 30, 2011 and December 31, 2010.

 

Increases in mortgage insurance claims due to higher defaults and credit losses in recent periods have adversely affected the financial results and financial condition of many mortgage insurers. Additionally, because FHA continues to be a lower-cost option for some consumers with higher LTV ratios, new business volumes for many private mortgage insurers have been impacted and this could also adversely affect the financial results and financial condition of those insurers. The current weakened financial condition of our mortgage insurer counterparties creates an increased risk that these counterparties will fail to fulfill their obligations to reimburse us for claims under insurance policies. If we determine that it is probable that we will not collect all of our claims from one or more of these mortgage insurer counterparties, it could result in an increase in our loss reserves, which could adversely affect our earnings, liquidity, financial condition and net worth.

 

As of June 30, 2011, our allowance for loan losses of $69.5 billion, allowance for accrued interest receivable of $3.0 billion and reserve for guaranty losses of $960 million incorporated an estimated recovery amount of approximately $15.4 billion from mortgage insurance related both to loans that are individually measured for impairment and those that are collectively reserved. This amount is comprised of the contractual recovery of approximately $16.5 billion as of June 30, 2011 and an adjustment of approximately $1.1 billion which reduces the contractual recovery for our assessment of our mortgage insurer counterparties' inability to fully pay those claims.

 

We had outstanding receivables of $4.4 billion in “Other assets” in our condensed consolidated balance sheet as of both June 30, 2011 and December 31, 2010 related to amounts claimed on insured, defaulted loans that we have not yet received, of which $534 million as of June 30, 2011 and $648 million as of December 31, 2010 was due from our mortgage seller/servicers. We assessed the total outstanding receivables for collectibility, and they are recorded net of a valuation allowance of $253 million as of June 30, 2011 and $317 million as of December 31, 2010 in “Other assets.” These mortgage insurance receivables are short-term in nature, having a duration of approximately three to six months, and the valuation allowance reduces our claim receivable to the amount which is considered probable of collection as of June 30, 2011 and December 31, 2010.

 

We received proceeds under our primary and pool mortgage insurance policies for single-family loans of $1.5 billion and $3.1 billion for the three and six months ended June 30, 2011, respectively, and $6.4 billion for the year ended December 31, 2010. We negotiated the cancellation and restructurings of some of our mortgage insurance coverage in exchange for a fee.  The cash fees received of $796 million for the year ended December 31, 2010 are included in our total insurance proceeds amount; there were no such cash fees received in the six months ended June 30, 2011. These fees represented an acceleration of, and discount on, claims to be paid pursuant to the coverage in order to reduce future exposure to our mortgage insurers and were recorded as a reduction to our Foreclosed property expense (income).”

 

Financial Guarantors.  We were the beneficiary of financial guarantees totaling $8.3 billion and $8.8 billion as of June 30, 2011 and December 31, 2010, respectively, on securities held in our investment portfolio or on securities that have been resecuritized to include a Fannie Mae guaranty and sold to third parties. The securities covered by these guarantees consist primarily of private-label mortgage-related securities and mortgage revenue bonds. We are also the beneficiary of financial guarantees issued by Freddie Mac, the federal government and its agencies included in securities that totaled $31.8 billion as of June 30, 2011 and $25.7 billion as of December 31, 2010.

 

If a financial guarantor fails to meet its obligations to us with respect to the securities for which we have obtained financial guarantees, it could reduce the fair value of our mortgage-related securities and result in financial losses to us, which could have a material adverse effect on our earnings, liquidity, financial condition and net worth. We model the fair value of our securities assuming the benefit of those external financial guarantees that we determine are creditworthy.

 

Lenders with Risk Sharing. We enter into risk sharing agreements with lenders pursuant to which the lenders agree to bear all or some portion of the credit losses on the covered loans. Our maximum potential loss recovery from lenders under these risk sharing agreements on single-family loans was $14.3 billion as of June 30, 2011 and $15.6 billion as of December 31, 2010. As of both June 30, 2011 and December 31, 2010, 56% of our maximum potential loss recovery on single-family loans was from three lenders. Our maximum potential loss recovery from lenders under these risk sharing agreements on multifamily loans was $31.1 billion as of June 30, 2011 and $30.3 billion as of December 31, 2010. As of June 30, 2011 and December 31, 2010, 40% and 41%, respectively, of our maximum potential loss recovery on multifamily loans was from three lenders.