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Investments in Securities
9 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2012
Investments, Debt and Equity Securities [Abstract]  
Investments in Securities
Investments in Securities
Trading Securities
Trading securities are recorded at fair value with subsequent changes in fair value recorded as “Fair value losses, net” in our condensed consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income (loss). The following table displays our investments in trading securities as of September 30, 2012 and December 31, 2011.
 
 
As of
 
September 30,
 
December 31,
 
2012
 
2011
 
 
(Dollars in millions)
Mortgage-related securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fannie Mae
 
$
6,245

 
 
 
$
7,424

 
Freddie Mac
 
2,840

 
 
 
2,732

 
Ginnie Mae
 
280

 
 
 
287

 
Alt-A private-label securities
 
1,276

 
 
 
1,349

 
Subprime private-label securities
 
1,265

 
 
 
1,280

 
CMBS
 
9,920

 
 
 
10,411

 
Mortgage revenue bonds
 
681

 
 
 
724

 
Other mortgage-related securities
 
118

 
 
 
143

 
Total
 
22,625

 
 
 
24,350

 
Non-mortgage-related securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. Treasury securities
 
19,897

 
 
 
47,737

 
Asset-backed securities
 

 
 
 
2,111

 
Total
 
19,897

 
 
 
49,848

 
Total trading securities
 
$
42,522

 
 
 
$
74,198

 
The following table displays information about our net trading gains and losses for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2012 and 2011.
 
For the Three
 
For the Nine
 
Months Ended
 
Months Ended
 
September 30,
 
September 30,
 
2012
 
2011
 
2012
 
2011
 
 
(Dollars in millions)
Net trading gains (losses):
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mortgage-related securities
 
$
403

 
 
$
(209
)
 
 
$
687

 
 
$
151

Non-mortgage-related securities
 
3

 
 
(5
)
 
 
(11
)
 
 
(5
)
Total
 
$
406

 
 
$
(214
)
 
 
$
676

 
 
$
146

Net trading gains (losses) recorded in the period related to securities still held at period end:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mortgage-related securities
 
$
396

 
 
$
(206
)
 
 
$
724

 
 
$
145

Non-mortgage-related securities
 
3

 
 

 
 
1

 
 
2

Total
 
$
399

 
 
$
(206
)
 
 
$
725

 
 
$
147

Available-for-Sale Securities
We measure available-for-sale (“AFS”) securities at fair value with unrealized gains and losses recorded net of tax as a component of “Other comprehensive income, net of tax” and we record realized gains and losses from the sale of AFS securities in “Investment gains, net” in our condensed consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income (loss).
The following table displays the gross realized gains, losses and proceeds on sales of AFS securities for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2012 and 2011.
 
For the Three
 
For the Nine
 
Months Ended
 
Months Ended
 
September 30,
 
September 30,
 
2012
 
2011
 
2012
 
2011
 
(Dollars in millions)
Gross realized gains
$
5

 
$
15

 
$
32

 
$
148

Gross realized losses
3

 
22

 
13

 
75

Total proceeds (1)
44

 
597

 
444

 
1,826

__________
s
(1) 
Excludes proceeds from the initial sale of securities from new portfolio securitizations included in “Note 2, Consolidations and Transfers of Financial Assets.”
The following table displays the amortized cost, gross unrealized gains and losses and fair value by major security type for AFS securities we held as of September 30, 2012 and December 31, 2011.

 
As of September 30, 2012

Total Amortized Cost (1)
 
Gross Unrealized Gains
 
Gross Unrealized Losses - OTTI (2)
 
Gross Unrealized Losses - Other (3)
 
Total Fair Value

 
(Dollars in millions)
Fannie Mae
 
$
10,576

 
 
 
$
1,005

 
 
 
$
(1
)
 
 
 
$
(10
)
 
 
$
11,570

Freddie Mac
 
9,365

 
 
 
825

 
 
 

 
 
 

 
 
10,190

Ginnie Mae
 
676

 
 
 
116

 
 
 

 
 
 

 
 
792

Alt-A private-label securities
 
11,768

 
 
 
380

 
 
 
(792
)
 
 
 
(128
)
 
 
11,228

Subprime private-label securities
 
8,402

 
 
 
140

 
 
 
(868
)
 
 
 
(302
)
 
 
7,372

CMBS(4)
 
12,609

 
 
 
732

 
 
 

 
 
 
(20
)
 
 
13,321

Mortgage revenue bonds
 
8,604

 
 
 
176

 
 
 
(52
)
 
 
 
(55
)
 
 
8,673

Other mortgage-related securities
 
3,425

 
 
 
98

 
 
 
(22
)
 
 
 
(295
)
 
 
3,206

Total
 
$
65,425

 
 
 
$
3,472

 
 
 
$
(1,735
)
 
 
 
$
(810
)
 
 
$
66,352


 
 
As of December 31, 2011
 
Total Amortized Cost (1)
 
Gross Unrealized Gains
 
Gross Unrealized Losses - OTTI (2)
 
Gross Unrealized Losses - Other (3)
 
Total Fair Value
 
 
(Dollars in millions)
Fannie Mae
 
$
15,486

 
 
 
$
1,381

 
 
 
$
(3
)
 
 
 
$
(14
)
 
 
$
16,850

Freddie Mac
 
11,906

 
 
 
917

 
 
 

 
 
 

 
 
12,823

Ginnie Mae
 
775

 
 
 
127

 
 
 

 
 
 

 
 
902

Alt-A private-label securities
 
13,314

 
 
 
233

 
 
 
(1,618
)
 
 
 
(246
)
 
 
11,683

Subprime private-label securities
 
9,556

 
 
 
17

 
 
 
(1,534
)
 
 
 
(453
)
 
 
7,586

CMBS(4)
 
13,949

 
 
 
181

 
 
 

 
 
 
(104
)
 
 
14,026

Mortgage revenue bonds
 
10,172

 
 
 
202

 
 
 
(56
)
 
 
 
(64
)
 
 
10,254

Other mortgage-related securities
 
3,687

 
 
 
92

 
 
 
(39
)
 
 
 
(282
)
 
 
3,458

Total
 
$
78,845

 
 
 
$
3,150

 
 
 
$
(3,250
)
 
 
 
$
(1,163
)
 
 
$
77,582

__________
s

(1) 
Amortized cost consists of unpaid principal balance, unamortized premiums, discounts and other cost basis adjustments as well as the credit component of other-than-temporary impairments recognized in our condensed consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income (loss).
(2) 
Represents the noncredit component of other-than-temporary impairment losses recorded in “Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)” as well as cumulative changes in fair value of securities for which we previously recognized the credit component of an other-than-temporary impairment.
(3) 
Represents the gross unrealized losses on securities for which we have not recognized an other-than-temporary impairment.
(4) 
Amortized cost includes $566 million and $686 million as of September 30, 2012 and December 31, 2011, respectively, of increase to the carrying amount from previous fair value hedge accounting.
The following table displays additional information regarding gross unrealized losses and fair value by major security type for AFS securities in an unrealized loss position that we held as of September 30, 2012 and December 31, 2011.
 
 
As of September 30, 2012
 
Less Than 12 Consecutive Months
 
12 Consecutive Months or Longer
 
Gross Unrealized Losses
 
Fair Value
 
Gross Unrealized Losses
 
Fair Value
 
 
(Dollars in millions)
Fannie Mae
 
$
(1
)
 
 
$
259

 
 
$
(10
)
 
 
$
334

Alt-A private-label securities
 
(15
)
 
 
748

 
 
(905
)
 
 
5,159

Subprime private-label securities
 
(17
)
 
 
340

 
 
(1,153
)
 
 
5,583

CMBS
 

 
 

 
 
(20
)
 
 
272

Mortgage revenue bonds
 
(29
)
 
 
411

 
 
(78
)
 
 
908

Other mortgage-related securities
 
(3
)
 
 
107

 
 
(314
)
 
 
1,555

Total
 
$
(65
)
 
 
$
1,865

 
 
$
(2,480
)
 
 
$
13,811

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
As of December 31, 2011
 
Less Than 12 Consecutive Months
 
12 Consecutive Months or Longer
 
Gross Unrealized Losses
 
Fair Value
 
Gross Unrealized Losses
 
Fair Value
 
 
(Dollars in millions)
Fannie Mae
 
$
(4
)
 
 
$
519

 
 
$
(13
)
 
 
$
208

Alt-A private-label securities
 
(133
)
 
 
1,414

 
 
(1,731
)
 
 
6,525

Subprime private-label securities
 
(73
)
 
 
471

 
 
(1,914
)
 
 
6,686

CMBS
 
(20
)
 
 
1,458

 
 
(84
)
 
 
2,790

Mortgage revenue bonds
 
(4
)
 
 
114

 
 
(116
)
 
 
1,971

Other mortgage-related securities
 
(21
)
 
 
547

 
 
(300
)
 
 
1,588

Total
 
$
(255
)
 
 
$
4,523

 
 
$
(4,158
)
 
 
$
19,768

Other-Than-Temporary Impairments
We recognize the credit component of other-than-temporary impairments of our debt securities in “Net other-than-temporary impairments” and the noncredit component in “Other comprehensive income (loss)” in our condensed consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income (loss) for those securities that we do not intend to sell and for which it is not more likely than not that we will be required to sell before recovery.
The fair value of our securities varies from period to period due to changes in interest rates, in the performance of the underlying collateral and in the credit performance of the underlying issuer, among other factors. As of September 30, 2012, $2.5 billion of gross unrealized losses on AFS securities had existed for a period of 12 consecutive months or longer. Gross unrealized losses on AFS securities as of September 30, 2012 include unrealized losses on securities with other-than-temporary impairment in which a portion of the impairment remains in “Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss).” The securities with unrealized losses for 12 consecutive months or longer, on average, had a fair value as of September 30, 2012 that was 85% of their amortized cost basis. Based on our review for impairments of AFS securities, which includes an evaluation of the collectibility of cash flows and any intent or requirement to sell the securities, we have concluded that we do not have an intent to sell and we believe it is not more likely than not that we will be required to sell the securities. Additionally, our projections of cash flows indicate that we will recover these unrealized losses over the lives of the securities.
The following table displays our net other-than-temporary impairments by major security type recognized in our condensed consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income (loss) for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2012 and 2011.
 
For the Three Months Ended
 
For the Nine Months Ended
 
September 30,
 
September 30,
 
2012
 
2011
 
2012
 
2011
 
 
(Dollars in millions)
Alt-A private-label securities
 
$
6

 
 
 
$
238

 
 
$
361

 
 
$
329

Subprime private-label securities
 
21

 
 
 
2

 
 
324

 
 
2

Other
 
11

 
 
 
22

 
 
16

 
 
31

Net other-than-temporary impairments
 
$
38

 
 
 
$
262

 
 
$
701

 
 
$
362


Net other-than-temporary impairments recorded in the three months ended September 30, 2012 decreased compared with the three months ended September 30, 2011, primarily due to an increase in the net present value of projected cash flows on our Alt-A and subprime private-label securities resulting from improved home prices, as well as a tightening of credit spreads. Net other-than-temporary impairments recorded in the nine months ended September 30, 2012 increased compared with the nine months ended September 30, 2011, driven primarily by an update to the assumptions used to project cash flow estimates on our Alt-A and subprime securities in the three months ended June 30, 2012.  For additional information, refer to “Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies.”
The following table displays activity related to the unrealized credit component on debt securities held by us and recognized in our condensed consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income (loss) for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2012 and 2011. A related unrealized noncredit component has been recognized in “Other comprehensive income (loss).”
  
For the Three Months Ended
 
For the Nine
Months Ended
  
September 30,
 
September 30,
  
2012
 
2011
 
2012
 
2011
  
(Dollars in millions)
Balance, beginning of period
$
9,366

 
$
7,876

 
$
8,915

 
$
8,215

Additions for the credit component on debt securities for which OTTI was not previously recognized
11

 

 
13

 
8

Additions for the credit component on debt securities for which OTTI was previously recognized
27

 
262

 
688

 
354

Reductions for securities no longer in portfolio at period end
(1
)
 
(5
)
 
(3
)
 
(5
)
Reductions for amortization resulting from changes in cash flows expected to be collected over the remaining life of the securities
(91
)
 
(253
)
 
(301
)
 
(692
)
Balance, end of period
$
9,312

 
$
7,880

 
$
9,312

 
$
7,880

As of September 30, 2012, those debt securities with other-than-temporary impairment for which we recognized the credit component of OTTI in our condensed consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income (loss) consisted predominantly of Alt-A and subprime securities. We evaluate Alt-A (including option adjustable rate mortgage (“ARM”)) and subprime private-label securities for other-than-temporary impairment by discounting the projected cash flows from econometric models to estimate the portion of loss in value attributable to credit. Separate components of a third-party model project regional home prices, unemployment and interest rates. The model combines these factors with available current information regarding attributes of loans in pools backing the private-label mortgage-related securities to project prepayment speeds, conditional default rates, loss severities and delinquency rates. It incorporates detailed information on security-level subordination levels and cash flow priority of payments to project security level cash flows. We have recorded other-than-temporary impairments for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2012 based on this analysis. For securities we determined were not other-than-temporarily impaired, we concluded that either the bond had no projected credit loss or, if we projected a loss, that the present value of expected cash flows was greater than the security’s cost basis.
The following table displays the modeled attributes, including default rates and severities, which are used to determine whether our senior interests in certain non-agency mortgage-related securities will experience a cash shortfall as of September 30, 2012. Assumption of voluntary prepayment rates is also an input to the present value of expected losses.
 
As of September 30, 2012
 
 
 
Alt-A
 
Subprime
 
Option ARM
 
Fixed Rate
 
Variable Rate
 
Hybrid Rate
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
Vintage Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2004 & Prior:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid principal balance
$
1,459

 
 
$
448

 
 
 
$
2,973

 
 
 
$
445

 
 
 
$
2,027

 
Weighted average collateral default(1)
40.5
%
 
 
38.4
%
 
 
 
13.1
%
 
 
 
28.7
%
 
 
 
17.1
%
 
Weighted average collateral severities(2)
69.8

 
 
60.6

 
 
 
54.3

 
 
 
53.4

 
 
 
47.4

 
Weighted average voluntary prepayment rates(3)
6.4

 
 
6.3

 
 
 
12.4

 
 
 
7.0

 
 
 
9.9

 
Average credit enhancement(4)
51.8

 
 
12.2

 
 
 
12.1

 
 
 
22.7

 
 
 
9.4

 
2005
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid principal balance
$
145

 
 
$
1,203

 
 
 
$
1,056

 
 
 
$
484

 
 
 
$
2,124

 
Weighted average collateral default(1)
67.8
%
 
 
53.0
%
 
 
 
38.5
%
 
 
 
50.2
%
 
 
 
36.8
%
 
Weighted average collateral severities(2)
75.6

 
 
67.5

 
 
 
65.5

 
 
 
64.0

 
 
 
55.1

 
Weighted average voluntary prepayment rates(3)
2.4

 
 
4.9

 
 
 
7.3

 
 
 
5.5

 
 
 
6.4

 
Average credit enhancement(4)
64.9

 
 
20.7

 
 
 
0.9

 
 
 
12.4

 
 
 
4.1

 
2006
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid principal balance
$
10,781

 
 
$
1,038

 
 
 
$
478

 
 
 
$
1,444

 
 
 
$
1,495

 
Weighted average collateral default(1)
70.6
%
 
 
67.3
%
 
 
 
39.5
%
 
 
 
55.8
%
 
 
 
34.1
%
 
Weighted average collateral severities(2)
77.7

 
 
68.6

 
 
 
67.4

 
 
 
64.0

 
 
 
56.8

 
Weighted average voluntary prepayment rates(3)
2.3

 
 
3.6

 
 
 
5.8

 
 
 
4.3

 
 
 
6.3

 
Average credit enhancement(4)
14.1

 
 
13.0

 
 
 
0.4

 
 
 
0.6

 
 
 

 
2007 & After:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid principal balance
$
575

 
 
$

 
 
 
$

 
 
 
$

 
 
 
$
105

 
Weighted average collateral default(1)
66.3
%
 
 
N/A

 
 
 
N/A

 
 
 
N/A

 
 
 
40.1
%
 
Weighted average collateral severities(2)
69.8

 
 
N/A

 
 
 
N/A

 
 
 
N/A

 
 
 
59.0

 
Weighted average voluntary prepayment rates(3)
2.0

 
 
N/A

 
 
 
N/A

 
 
 
N/A

 
 
 
6.9

 
Average credit enhancement(4)
28.8

 
 
N/A

 
 
 
N/A

 
 
 
N/A

 
 
 
23.2

 
Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid principal balance
$
12,960

 
 
$
2,689

 
 
 
$
4,507

 
 
 
$
2,373

 
 
 
$
5,751

 
Weighted average collateral default(1)
67.0
%
 
 
56.1
%
 
 
 
21.8
%
 
 
 
49.6
%
 
 
 
29.2
%
 
Weighted average collateral severities(2)
76.4

 
 
66.8

 
 
 
58.3

 
 
 
62.0

 
 
 
52.9

 
Weighted average voluntary prepayment rates(3)
2.7

 
 
4.6

 
 
 
10.5

 
 
 
5.1

 
 
 
7.6

 
Average credit enhancement(4)
19.6

 
 
16.3

 
 
 
8.2

 
 
 
7.1

 
 
 
5.3

 
__________

(1) 
The expected remaining cumulative default rate of the collateral pool backing the securities, as a percentage of the current collateral unpaid principal balance, weighted by security unpaid principal balance.
(2) 
The expected remaining loss given default of the collateral pool backing the securities, calculated as the ratio of remaining cumulative loss divided by cumulative defaults, weighted by security unpaid principal balance.
(3) 
The average monthly voluntary prepayment rate, weighted by security unpaid principal balance.
(4) 
The average percent current credit enhancement provided by subordination of other securities. Excludes excess interest projections and monoline bond insurance.
Maturity Information
The following table displays the amortized cost and fair value of our AFS securities by major security type and remaining maturity, assuming no principal prepayments, as of September 30, 2012. Contractual maturity of mortgage-backed securities is not a reliable indicator of their expected life because borrowers generally have the right to prepay their obligations at any time.
  
 
As of September 30, 2012
 
Total Amortized Cost
 
Total
Fair
Value
 
One Year or Less
 
After One Year Through Five Years
 
After Five Years Through Ten Years
 
After Ten Years
 
 
 
Amortized Cost
 
Fair Value
 
Amortized Cost
 
Fair Value
 
Amortized Cost
 
Fair Value
 
Amortized Cost
 
Fair Value
  
(Dollars in millions)
Fannie Mae
 
$
10,576

 
 
$
11,570

 
 
$

 
 
$

 
 
$
29

 
 
$
30

 
 
$
1,009

 
 
$
1,073

 
 
$
9,538

 
 
$
10,467

Freddie Mac
 
9,365

 
 
10,190

 
 
3

 
 
3

 
 
58

 
 
62

 
 
876

 
 
945

 
 
8,428

 
 
9,180

Ginnie Mae
 
676

 
 
792

 
 

 
 

 
 
2

 
 
2

 
 
4

 
 
4

 
 
670

 
 
786

Alt-A private-label securities
 
11,768

 
 
11,228

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 
1

 
 
191

 
 
197

 
 
11,577

 
 
11,030

Subprime private-label securities
 
8,402

 
 
7,372

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 
8,402

 
 
7,372

CMBS
 
12,609

 
 
13,321

 
 
44

 
 
46

 
 
11,601

 
 
12,288

 
 
711

 
 
751

 
 
253

 
 
236

Mortgage revenue bonds
 
8,604

 
 
8,673

 
 
58

 
 
60

 
 
368

 
 
378

 
 
684

 
 
695

 
 
7,494

 
 
7,540

Other mortgage-related securities
 
3,425

 
 
3,206

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 
11

 
 
3,425

 
 
3,195

Total
 
$
65,425

 
 
$
66,352

 
 
$
105

 
 
$
109

 
 
$
12,058

 
 
$
12,761

 
 
$
3,475

 
 
$
3,676

 
 
$
49,787

 
 
$
49,806

Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss)
The following table displays our accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) by major categories as of September 30, 2012 and December 31, 2011.
 
 
As of
 
September 30,
 
December 31,
 
2012
 
2011
 
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
Net unrealized gains on available-for-sale securities for which we have not recorded other-than-temporary impairment, net of tax
 
$
1,426

 
 
 
$
1,152

 
Net unrealized losses on available-for-sale securities for which we have recorded other-than-temporary impairment, net of tax
 
(812
)
 
 
 
(1,953
)
 
Other losses
 
(413
)
 
 
 
(434
)
 
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)
 
$
201

 
 
 
$
(1,235
)
 
The following table displays the activity in other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax, by major categories for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2012 and 2011.
 
For the Three Months Ended
 
For the Nine
Months Ended
 
September 30,
 
September 30,
 
2012
 
2011
 
2012
 
2011
 
(Dollars in millions)
Comprehensive income (loss):
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net income (loss)
$
1,813

 
$
(5,085
)
 
$
9,650

 
$
(14,448
)
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax effect:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Changes in net unrealized gains (losses) on available-for-sale securities (net of tax of $386 and $210, respectively, for the three months ended and net of tax of $536 and $142, respectively, for the nine months ended)
719

 
(391
)
 
974

 
(264
)
Reclassification adjustment for other-than-temporary impairments recognized in net income (loss) (net of tax of $13 and $92, respectively, for the three months ended and $245 and $120, respectively, for the nine months ended)
25

 
170

 
456

 
242

Reclassification adjustment for gains included in net income (loss) (net of tax of $2 and $10, respectively, for the three months ended and net of tax of $8 and $1, respectively, for the nine months ended)
(3
)
 
23

 
(14
)
 
2

Other
5

 
1

 
20

 
6

Other comprehensive income (loss)
746

 
(197
)
 
1,436

 
(14
)
Total comprehensive income (loss)
$
2,559

 
$
(5,282
)
 
$
11,086

 
$
(14,462
)