EX-99.2 3 ex99-2.htm EXHIBIT 99.2 - INVESTOR PACKET ex99-2.htm
Exhibit 99.2
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
®
 
 
 
 
Supplemental Investor Package
________________________________________________________________

Second Quarter 2008
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Investor Contact:
Jennifer DiBerardino
Vice President, Investor Relations
Tel:  973-948-1364
Jennifer.diberardino@selective.com
 
 
 

 
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
       
2008 Guidance
       
As of July 31, 2008
       
 

 

Reflecting six month results, we are tightening our earnings guidance range to $2.00 to $2.20 from $2.00 to $2.30 based on the following revised full-year assumptions:

·  
A statutory combined ratio between 99% and 100%;
·  
A GAAP combined ratio between 100% and 101%;
·  
After-tax catastrophe losses of $19 million, or $0.36 per share;
·  
After-tax investment income being flat to down 2%;
·  
Diversified Insurance Services revenue decrease of 1% and return on revenue of  approximately 10%; and
·  
Diluted weighted average shares of 52.5 million.
 
 

 
 Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
 Selected Balance Sheet Data (unaudited)
 ($ in thousands, except per share amounts)
 
   
June 30,
   
June 30,
   
December 31,
 
   
2008
   
2007
   
2007
 
   
Balance
   
Market
   
Unrealized
   
Balance
   
Market
   
Unrealized
   
Balance
   
Market
   
Unrealized
 
   
Sheet
   
Value
   
Gain/(Loss)
   
Sheet
   
Value
   
Gain(Loss)
   
Sheet
   
Value
   
Gain/(Loss)
 
Invested Assets:
                                                     
 
Corporate bonds
  $ 1,173,576       1,173,577       (44,051 )   $ 1,062,255       1,062,257       (1,319 )   $ 1,282,643       1,282,645       (910 )
 
Gov't\ Municipal bonds
    1,874,781       1,874,872       6,690       1,847,286       1,847,459       (16,548 )     1,796,687       1,796,829       24,688  
Total bonds
    3,048,357       3,048,449       (37,361 )     2,909,541       2,909,716       (17,867 )     3,079,330       3,079,474       23,778  
 
Equities
    212,838       212,838       69,754       321,021       321,021       143,742       274,705       274,705       114,315  
 
Short-term investments
    218,074       218,074       -       135,298       135,298       -       190,167       190,167       -  
 
Trading securities
    23,196       23,196       5,214       -       -       -       -       -       -  
 
Other investments
    206,410       206,410       26,258       175,506       175,506       31,500       188,827       188,827       30,647  
Total invested assets
    3,708,875       3,708,967       63,865       3,541,366       3,541,541       157,375       3,733,029       3,733,173       168,740  
                                                                         
Total assets
    5,079,175                       4,851,655                       5,001,992                  
                                                                         
 
Liabilities:
                                                                       
 
Reserve for losses
    2,262,310                       2,069,811                       2,182,572                  
 
Reserve for loss expenses
    375,451                       347,686                       359,975                  
 
Unearned premium reserve
    868,851                       863,187                       841,348                  
                                                                         
Total liabilities
    4,061,463                       3,848,288                       3,925,949                  
                                                                         
Stockholders' equity
    1,017,712                       1,003,367                       1,076,043                  
                                                                         
Total debt to capitalization ratio
    21.2%                       24.9%                       21.5%                  
Adjusted total debt to capitalization ratio *
    15.3%                       18.5%                       15.2%                  
                                                                         
Book value per share
    19.32                       18.76                       19.81                  
                                                                         
Book value per share excluding
                                                                       
 
FAS 115 unrealized gain or loss on bond portfolio
    19.78                       18.98                       19.53                  
                                                                         
NPW per insurance segment employee
    802                       780                       797                  
                                                                         
Statutory premiums to surplus ratio
    1.5x                       1.4x                       1.5x                  
                                                                         
Statutory surplus
    999,676                       1,059,939                       1,034,294                  
 
* The adjusted debt to capitalization ratio reflects a reduction in debt for amounts held in an irrevocable trust for the benefit of senior note holders as well as the median rating agency equity treatment of 75% applied to our $100 million Junior Subordinated Notes issued September 25, 2006.
 

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
                                               
Selected Income Statement Data (unaudited)
                                               
June 30, 2008
 
THREE MONTHS ENDED JUNE 30,
   
SIX MONTHS ENDED JUNE 30,
 
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)
 
2008
   
2007
   
2008
   
2007
 
         
Per diluted share
         
Per diluted share
         
Per diluted share
         
Per diluted share
 
Consolidated
                                               
 
Revenue
  $ 447,352           $ 462,038           $ 898,465           $ 924,147        
 
Operating income
    27,401       0.52       27,340       0.49       46,919       0.88       57,284       0.99  
 
Net realized gains, after tax
    1,250       0.02       8,546       0.15       2,235       0.04       15,854       0.27  
 
Net Income
    28,651       0.54       35,886       0.64       49,154       0.92       73,138       1.26  
 
Operating return on equity
    10.6%               10.7%               9.0%               11.0%          
                                                                 
Insurance Operations
                                                               
 
Gross premiums written
    443,767               455,216               883,812               916,179          
 
Net premiums written
    387,229               404,923               777,069               822,108          
 
Net premiums earned
  375,089              
376,351
              756,362               756,364          
 
Underwriting (loss) profit - before tax
   
(3,251
)
            (145
)
            (4,703
)
            9,572          
                                                             - after tax
    (2,113
)
    (0.04
)
    (94
)
    -       (3,057
)
    (0.06
)
    6,222       0.11  
 
GAAP combined ratio
    100.9%               100.0%               100.6%               98.7%          
                                                                 
Commercial lines
                                                               
 
Net premiums earned
    323,032               325,966               653,009               654,977          
 
GAAP combined ratio
    100.0%               97.9%               99.3%               97.1%          
Personal lines
                                                               
 
Net premiums earned
    52,057               50,385               103,353               101,387          
 
GAAP combined ratio
    106.1%               114.1%               108.7%               109.8%          
 
                                                               
Diversified Insurance Services
                                                               
 
Revenue
    30,064               30,677               59,863               59,855          
 
Income  - after tax
    3,270       0.06       4,019       0.07       6,083       0.11       6,923       0.12  
 
Return on revenue
    10.9%               13.1%               10.2%               11.6%          
 
                                                               
Investments
                                                               
 
Net investment income - before tax
    38,515               40,642               76,381               80,505          
                                                  - after tax
    30,082       0.57       31,788       0.56       59,453       1.11       62,945       1.07  
 
Effective tax rate
    21.9%               21.8%               22.2%               21.8%          
 
Annual after-tax yield on investment portfolio
                                    3.2%               3.5%          
 
Annual after-tax, after-interest expense yield
                                    2.8%               3.1%          
 
Invested assets per $ of stockholders' equity
                                  $ 3.64               3.53          
                                                                 
Other expenses (net of other income)
                                                               
 
Interest expense - before tax
    (5,127
)
            (5,992
)
            (10,436
)
            (12,323
)
       
                                                                 
 
Actual interest expense - after tax
    (3,333
)
            (3,895
)
            (6,783
)
            (8,010
)
       
 
Interest expense addback for dilution - after tax
    -               347               -               753          
 
Adjusted interest expense - after tax
    (3,333
)
    (0.06
)
    (3,548
)
    (0.06
)
    (6,783
)
    (0.13
)
    (7,257
)
    (0.12
)
 
                                                               
 
Other - after tax
  $ (505
)
    (0.01
)
  $ (4,478
)
    (0.08
)
    (8,777
)
    (0.15
)
  $ (10,796
)
    (0.19
)
 
                                                               
 Diluted weighted avg shares outstanding
    53,064               56,721               53,461               58,610          
 

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
                                 
2008 Statutory Results by Line of Business
                             
2nd Qtr 2008 (unaudited)
                                   
($ in thousands)
                                     
                                       
 
Net
   
Net
           
Underwriting  
Dividends to 
Combined
 
Combined
   
 
Premiums
Percent
 
Premiums
Percent
Loss
 
LAE
 
Expense
 
Policyholders 
Ratio  
Ratio 
Underwriting
 
Written
Change
Earned
Change
Ratio
 
Ratio
 
Ratio
 
Ratio
 
2008
 
2007
 
Gain/(Loss)
Personal Lines:
                                     
 
                                     
Homeowners
 $         18,500
7.0%
 
 $        16,975
10.4%
 
48.7%
 
7.6%
 
34.8%
 
0.0%
 
91.1%
 
111.7%
 
$                988 
Auto
            35,345
3.7%
 
           32,941
(0.5)%
 
66.3%
 
14.5%
 
29.3%
 
0.0%
 
110.1%
 
109.8%
 
$           (4,027)
Other (including flood)
             2,346
12.5%
 
             2,141
12.4%
 
52.9%
 
(29.4)%
 
(54.2)%
 
0.0%
 
(30.7)%
 
(17.9)%
 
               2,909 
Total
 $         56,191
5.1%
 
 $        52,057
3.3%
 
60.0%
 
10.4%
 
27.7%
 
0.0%
 
98.1%
 
105.5%
 
 $              (130)
 
                                     
Commercial Lines:
                                     
 
                                     
Fire/IM
 $         48,986
(0.9)%
 
 $        48,575
3.8%
 
52.1%
 
4.8%
 
37.6%
 
(0.1)%
 
94.4%
 
94.0%
 
 $            2,582 
Workers compensation
            78,753
(12.7)%
 
           77,501
(4.2)%
 
60.8%
 
10.5%
 
25.2%
 
2.1%
 
98.6%
 
102.2%
 
                 762 
General liability
          105,042
(4.8)%
 
           99,932
(1.6)%
 
51.5%
 
18.6%
 
33.1%
 
0.1%
 
103.3%
 
100.1%
 
              (4,982)
Auto
            78,483
(5.2)%
 
           77,758
(1.3)%
 
58.0%
 
8.2%
 
30.1%
 
(0.1)%
 
96.2%
 
84.1%
 
               2,702 
BOP
            14,499
7.8%
 
           14,384
10.4%
 
63.2%
 
12.7%
 
37.6%
 
0.0%
 
113.5%
 
116.5%
 
              (1,984)
Bonds
             4,987
3.4%
 
             4,718
0.8%
 
12.8%
 
3.5%
 
61.5%
 
0.0%
 
77.8%
 
86.4%
 
                 882 
Other
             2,453
10.6%
 
             2,329
15.7%
 
1.2%
 
0.1%
 
42.5%
 
0.0%
 
43.8%
 
31.9%
 
               1,256 
Total
 $       333,203
(5.7)%
 
 $       325,198
(0.8)%
 
55.0%
 
11.5%
 
31.8%
 
0.5%
 
98.8%
 
95.9%
 
 $            1,217 
 
                                     
Grand Total
 $       389,394
(4.3)%
 
 $       377,255
(0.3)%
 
55.6%
 
11.3%
 
31.4%
 
0.4%
 
98.7%
 
97.1%
 
 $            1,087 
 
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.
 
           
   
2008
 
2007
 
 
 Losses Paid
 $    184,579
 
 $            170,007 
 
 
 LAE Paid
         36,010
 
                 32,463 
   
 
 Total Paid
 $    220,589
 
 $            202,470 
 
 

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
                                 
2008 Statutory Results by Line of Business
                             
June 2008 YTD (unaudited)
                                   
($ in thousands)
                                     
 
                                     
 
Net
   
Net
           
Underwriting
Dividends to
Combined
 
Combined
   
 
Premiums
Percent
 
Premiums
Percent
Loss
 
LAE
 
Expense
 
Policyholders
Ratio  
Ratio  
Underwriting
 
Written
Change
Earned
Change
Ratio
 
Ratio
 
Ratio
 
Ratio
 
2008
 
2007
 
Gain/(Loss)
Personal Lines:
                                     
 
                                     
Homeowners
 $         32,608
8.4%
 
 $        33,546
9.9%
 
55.8%
 
8.0%
 
37.1%
 
0.0%
 
100.9%
 
116.6%
 
$                  30 
Auto
            68,920
3.8%
 
           65,547
(2.2)%
 
66.8%
 
14.7%
 
30.2%
 
0.0%
 
111.7%
 
105.7%
 
 $           (8,700)
Other (including flood)
             4,417
13.0%
 
             4,260
11.3%
 
51.7%
 
(12.9)%
 
(53.7)%
 
0.0%
 
(14.9)%
 
22.0%
 
               4,980 
Total
 $       105,945
5.5%
 
 $       103,353
1.9%
 
62.6%
 
11.4%
 
28.8%
 
0.0%
 
102.8%
 
105.7%
 
 $           (3,690)
                                       
Commercial Lines:
                                     
                                       
Fire/IM
 $         97,230
(3.3)%
 
 $        98,511
5.5%
 
51.7%
 
4.6%
 
38.9%
 
0.3%
 
95.5%
 
93.1%
 
 $            4,940 
Workers compensation
          159,053
(13.5)%
 
         155,968
(4.5)%
 
58.6%
 
11.0%
 
25.6%
 
1.3%
 
96.5%
 
100.2%
 
               4,609 
General liability
          216,325
(5.6)%
 
         203,201
(0.9)%
 
49.9%
 
17.4%
 
33.0%
 
(0.1)%
 
100.2%
 
97.5%
 
              (4,646)
Auto
          158,682
(6.9)%
 
         156,982
(0.4)%
 
59.7%
 
8.1%
 
30.4%
 
0.0%
 
98.2%
 
86.1%
 
               2,295 
BOP
            29,684
9.0%
 
           28,525
10.2%
 
57.9%
 
12.7%
 
38.8%
 
0.0%
 
109.4%
 
118.0%
 
              (3,124)
Bonds
             9,519
(0.4)%
 
             9,493
1.1%
 
12.2%
 
4.4%
 
62.8%
 
0.0%
 
79.4%
 
82.4%
 
               1,938 
Other
             4,910
8.5%
 
             4,608
18.9%
 
1.8%
 
0.2%
 
43.8%
 
0.0%
 
45.8%
 
34.7%
 
               2,362 
Total
 $       675,403
(6.9)%
 
 $       657,288
(0.2)%
 
54.1%
 
11.2%
 
32.2%
 
0.3%
 
97.8%
 
94.9%
 
 $            8,374 
                                       
Grand Total
 $       781,348
(5.4)%
 
 $       760,641
0.1%
 
55.2%
 
11.2%
 
31.8%
 
0.3%
 
98.5%
 
96.4%
 
 $            4,684 
                                       
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.
                             
                                       
   
2008
 
2007
                             
 
 Losses Paid
 $    373,419
 
 $            320,562 
                             
 
 LAE Paid
         70,471
 
                 64,666 
                             
 
 Total Paid
 $    443,890
 
 $            385,228 
                             
 

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
                                   
Diversified Insurance Services
                                   
( $ in thousands)
                                   
                                     
                                     
Three Months Ended June 30, 2008 (unaudited)
                                 
   
Revenue
 
Net Income
 
Return on Revenue
   
2008
 
2007
 
% Change
 
2008
 
2007
 
% Change
 
2008
 
2007
 
Pt Change
                                     
Flood
 
         14,013
 
       13,656
 
3%
 
          1,939
 
         2,447
 
-21%
 
13.8%
 
17.9%
 
             (4.1)
Human Resource Administration Outsourcing
 
         13,498
 
       14,928
 
-10%
 
             607
 
            944
 
-36%
 
4.5%
 
6.3%
 
             (1.8)
Other
 
           2,553
 
         2,093
 
22%
 
             724
 
            628
 
15%
 
28.4%
 
30.0%
 
             (1.6)
Total
 
         30,064
 
       30,677
 
-2%
 
          3,270
 
         4,019
 
-19%
 
10.9%
 
13.1%
 
             (2.2)
                                     
                                     
                                     
Six Months Ended June 30, 2008 (unaudited)
                                 
   
Revenue
 
Net Income
 
Return on Revenue
   
2008
 
2007
 
% Change
 
2008
 
2007
 
% Change
 
2008
 
2007
 
Pt Change
                                     
Flood
 
         26,110
 
       24,066
 
8%
 
          3,277
 
         3,749
 
-13%
 
12.6%
 
15.6%
 
             (3.0)
Human Resource Administration Outsourcing
 
         28,616
 
       31,723
 
-10%
 
          1,114
 
         1,829
 
-39%
 
3.9%
 
5.8%
 
             (1.9)
Other
 
           5,137
 
         4,066
 
26%
 
          1,692
 
         1,345
 
26%
 
32.9%
 
33.1%
 
             (0.2)
Total
 
         59,863
 
       59,855
 
0%
 
          6,083
 
         6,923
 
-12%
 
10.2%
 
11.6%
 
             (1.4)
                                     
                                     
                                     
Human Resource Administration Outsourcing Statistics (unaudited)
                       
                                     
   
2008
 
2007
 
% Change
                       
                                     
New Worksite EE - Selective Agents (Production)
 
           1,098
 
         1,363
 
-19%
                       
Total New Worksite EE - All Agents (Production)
 
           1,319
 
         1,871
 
-30%
                       
Total Worksite EE
 
         24,660
 
       27,215
 
-9%
                       
Annual Gross Billings (000's)
$
       975,684
 
     998,576
 
-2%
                       
Annual Gross Billings / Avg Worksite EE
$
         38,629
 
       37,745
 
2%
                       
 

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
 
 Quarterly
GAAP Investment Income
($ in thousands)
(Unaudited)
 
                                       
                                       
     
For the three months ended
   
%
   
Year to Date
   
%
 
     
June
   
June
   
Increase
   
June
   
June
   
Increase
 
     
2008
   
2007
   
(Decrease)
   
2008
   
2007
   
(Decrease)
 
Investment Income:
                                   
 
Interest:
                                   
 
Fixed Maturity Securities
  $ 36,424       34,258       6.3       72,830       68,846       5.8  
 
Short-term
    1,290       1,312       (1.7 )     2,727       3,790       (28.0 )
 
Other Investments
    344       4,151       (91.7 )     2,177       6,511       (66.6 )
 
Dividends
    1,520       2,186       (30.5 )     2,679       3,656       (26.7 )
 
Change in Fair Value (1)
    257       -       N/M       (1,631 )     -       N/M  
 
Miscellaneous
    49       43       14.0       123       117       5.1  
        39,884       41,950       (4.9 )     78,905       82,920       (4.8 )
                                                   
Investment Expense
    1,369       1,308       4.7       2,524       2,415       4.5  
                                                   
Net Investment Income Before Tax
    38,515       40,642       (5.2 )     76,381       80,505       (5.1 )
                                                   
Tax
      8,433       8,854       (4.8 )     16,928       17,560       (3.6 )
                                                   
Net Investment Income After Tax
  $ 30,082       31,788       (5.4 )     59,453       62,945       (5.5 )
                                                   
Net Investment Income per Share
    0.57       0.56       1.8       1.11       1.07       3.7  
                                                   
Effective Tax Rate
    21.9%       21.8%               22.2%       21.8%          
                                                   
Average Yields:
                                               
                                                   
   Fixed Maturity Securities
                                               
 
Pre Tax
                            4.6%       4.6%          
 
After Tax
                            3.6%       3.6%          
                                                   
   Portfolio
                                               
 
Pre Tax
                            4.1%       4.5%          
 
After Tax
                            3.2%       3.5%          
                                                   
       For the three months ended
 
   
Year to Date
         
     
June
   
June
           
June
   
June
         
Net Realized Gains (Losses)
 
2008
   
2007
           
2008
   
2007
         
 
     Fixed Maturities
    (12,619 )     (565 )             (13,230 )     (654 )        
 
     Equity Securities
    14,542       13,713               16,668       25,045          
 
Total
    1,923       13,148               3,438       24,391          
 
Net of Tax
    1,250       8,546               2,235       15,854          
                                                   
 
(1)  
Selective adopted Fas 159, the Fair Value Option for Financial Assets and Financial Liablilities - Including an amendment of FASB Statement No. 115, on January 1, 2008 and has made the fair value option election as it relates to a portfolio of equity securities (trading securities) currently being managed by one outside manager.
 

 
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
 
Unaudited
   
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
 
June 30,
 
December 31,
($ in thousands, except share amounts)
 
2008
 
2007
ASSETS
       
Investments:
       
Fixed maturity securities, held-to-maturity – at amortized cost
       
(fair value of:  $4,071 – 2008; $5,927 – 2007)
$
3,979 
 
5,783 
Fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale – at fair value
       
(amortized cost of:  $3,081,830 – 2008; $3,049,913 – 2007)
 
3,044,378 
 
3,073,547
Equity securities, available-for-sale – at fair value
       
(cost of:  $143,084 – 2008; $160,390 – 2007)
 
212,838 
 
274,705 
Short-term investments – at cost which approximates fair value
 
218,074 
 
190,167 
Equity securities, trading – at fair value (cost of: $17,982 – 2008)
 
23,196 
 
Other investments
 
206,410 
 
188,827 
Total investments
 
3,708,875 
 
3,733,029 
Cash and cash equivalents
 
16,402 
 
8,383 
Interest and dividends due or accrued
 
34,992 
 
36,141 
Premiums receivable, net of allowance for uncollectible
       
accounts of:  $4,157 – 2008; $3,905 – 2007
 
524,680 
 
496,363 
Other trade receivables, net of allowance for uncollectible
       
accounts of:  $226 – 2008; $244 – 2007
 
23,602 
 
21,875 
Reinsurance recoverable on paid losses and loss expenses
 
5,729 
 
7,429 
Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses and loss expenses
 
248,011 
 
227,801 
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
 
88,978 
 
82,182 
Current federal income tax
 
1,140 
 
4,235 
Deferred federal income tax
 
68,193 
 
22,375 
Property and equipment – at cost, net of accumulated
       
depreciation and amortization of:  $125,465 – 2008; $117,832 – 2007
 
54,668 
 
58,561 
Deferred policy acquisition costs
 
225,645 
 
226,434 
Goodwill
 
33,637 
 
33,637 
Other assets
 
44,623 
 
43,547 
Total assets
$
5,079,175 
 
5,001,992 
 
       
 
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY
       
Liabilities:
       
Reserve for losses
$
2,262,310 
 
2,182,572 
Reserve for loss expenses
 
375,451 
 
359,975 
Unearned premiums
 
868,851 
 
841,348 
Senior convertible notes
 
- 
 
8,740 
Notes payable
 
273,865 
 
286,151 
Commissions payable
 
44,987 
 
60,178 
Accrued salaries and benefits
 
84,166 
 
88,079 
Other liabilities
 
151,833 
 
98,906 
Total liabilities
 
4,061,463 
 
3,925,949 
         
Stockholders' Equity:
       
Preferred stock of $0 par value per share:
Authorized shares:  5,000,000; no shares issued or outstanding
       
Common stock of $2 par value per share:
       
Authorized shares:  360,000,000
       
Issued:  94,986,691 – 2008; 94,652,930 – 2007
 
189,973 
 
189,306 
Additional paid-in capital
 
208,067 
 
192,627 
Retained earnings
 
1,147,287 
 
1,105,946 
Accumulated other comprehensive income
 
15,270 
 
86,043 
Treasury stock – at cost (shares: 42,306,878 – 2008; 40,347,894 – 2007)
 
(542,885)
 
(497,879)
Total stockholders' equity
 
1,017,712 
 
1,076,043 
Commitments and contingencies
       
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity
$
5,079,175 
 
5,001,992 
 

 
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
               
UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
 
Quarter ended
 
  Six Months ended
   
June 30,
 
 June 30,
(in thousands, except per share amounts)
 
2008
 
2007
 
2008
 
2007
Revenues:
               
   $ 387,229    404,923   $ 777,069    822,108 
Net increase in unearned premiums and prepaid reinsurance premiums
 
(12,140)
 
(28,572)
 
(20,707)) 
 
(65,744)
Net premiums earned
 
375,089 
 
376,351 
 
756,362    
 
756,364 
Net investment income earned
 
38,515 
 
40,642 
 
76,381    
 
80,505 
Net realized gains
 
1,923 
 
13,148 
 
3,438    
 
24,391 
Diversified Insurance Services revenue
 
30,064 
 
30,677 
 
59,863    
 
59,855 
Other income
 
1,761 
 
1,220 
 
2,421    
 
3,032 
Total revenues
 
447,352 
 
462,038 
 
898,465    
 
924,147 
                 
Expenses:
               
Losses incurred
 
209,915 
 
208,621 
 
420,045    
 
411,931 
Loss expenses incurred
 
43,736 
 
42,615 
 
86,785    
 
85,598 
Policy acquisition costs
 
124,124 
 
124,701 
 
252,804    
 
247,619 
Dividends to policyholders
 
1,579 
 
1,022 
 
2,114    
 
2,509 
Interest expense
 
5,127 
 
5,992 
 
10,436    
 
12,323 
Diversified Insurance Services expenses
 
25,125 
 
24,608 
 
50,639    
 
49,419 
Other expenses
 
1,661 
 
6,693 
 
12,955    
 
17,763 
Total expenses
 
411,267 
 
414,252 
 
835,778    
 
827,162 
                 
Income before federal income tax
 
36,085 
 
47,786 
 
62,687    
 
96,985 
                 
Federal income tax expense (benefit):
               
Current
 
12,883 
 
14,726 
 
24,018    
 
30,337 
Deferred
 
(5,449)
 
(2,826)
 
(10,485) )
 
(6,490)
Total federal income tax expense
 
7,434 
 
11,900 
 
13,533    
  
23,847 
                 
Net income
$
28,651 
 
35,886 
 
49,154    
 
73,138 
                 
Earnings per share:
               
Basic net income
$
0.55 
 
0.69 
 
0.94    
 
1.38 
                 
Diluted net income
$
0.54 
 
0.64 
 
0.92    
 
1.26 
                 
Dividends to stockholders
$
0.13 
 
0.12 
 
0.26    
 
0.24 
 

 
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
   
UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF
   
STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY
   
   
Six Months Ended June 30,
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)
 
2008
 
2007
Common stock:
               
Beginning of year
$
189,306  
     
183,124  
   
Dividend reinvestment plan
               
(shares:  40,645 – 2008; 36,097 – 2007)
 
81  
     
72  
   
Convertible debentures
               
(shares:  45,759 – 2008; 848,604 – 2007)
 
92  
     
1,697  
   
Stock purchase and compensation plans
               
(shares:  247,357 – 2008; 702,919 – 2007)
 
494  
     
1,407  
   
End of period
 
189,973  
     
186,300  
   
                 
Additional paid-in capital:
               
Beginning of year
 
192,627 
     
153,246  
   
Dividend reinvestment plan
 
847  
     
859  
   
Convertible debentures
 
645  
     
9,831  
   
Stock purchase and compensation plans
 
13,948  
     
16,857  
   
End of period
 
208,067  
     
180,793  
   
                 
Retained earnings:
               
Beginning of year
 
1,105,946  
     
986,017  
   
Cumulative-effect adjustment due to adoption of FAS 159
               
   net of deferred income tax effect of $3,344
 
6,210  
     
-  
   
Net income
 
49,154  
 
49,154  
 
73,138  
 
73,138  
Cash dividends to stockholders ($0.26 share – 2008;
               
$0.24 per share – 2007)
 
(14,023) 
     
(13,216) 
   
End of period
 
1,147,287  
     
1,045,939  
   
 
               
Accumulated other comprehensive income:
               
Beginning of year
 
86,043  
     
100,601  
   
Cumulative-effect adjustment due to adoption of FAS 159,
               
   net of deferred income tax effect of $(3,344)
 
(6,210) 
     
-  
   
Other comprehensive (loss) income, (decrease) increase in:
               
   Net unrealized gains on investment securities, net of deferred
               
income tax effect of:  $(34,803) – 2008; $(14,592) – 2007
 
(64,633) 
 
(64,633) 
 
(27,099) 
 
(27,099) 
   Defined benefit pension plans, net of deferred income tax effect
               
of:  $38 – 2008; $101 – 2007
 
70  
 
70  
 
186  
 
186  
End of period
 
15,270  
     
73,688  
   
Comprehensive (loss) income
     
(15,409) 
     
46,225  
                 
Treasury stock:
               
Beginning of year
 
(497,879) 
     
(345,761) 
   
Acquisition of treasury stock
               
(shares:  1,958,984 – 2008; 5,386,005 – 2007)
 
(45,006) 
     
(137,592) 
   
End of period
 
(542,885) 
     
(483,353) 
   
Total stockholders’ equity
$
1,017,712  
     
1,003,367  
   
 

 
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
     
UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOW
 
Six Months ended
 
   
June 30,
 
($ in thousands)
 
2008
 
2007
 

Operating Activities
         
Net income
$
49,154 
 
73,138 
 
           
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:
         
Depreciation and amortization
 
14,197 
 
14,302 
 
Share-based compensation expense
 
9,137 
 
13,703 
 
Net realized gains
 
(3,438)
 
(24,391)
 
Deferred tax
 
(10,485)
 
(6,490)
 
Unrealized loss on trading securities
 
1,631 
 
 
           
Changes in assets and liabilities:
         
Increase in reserves for losses and loss expenses, net of reinsurance recoverable
         
on unpaid losses and loss expenses
 
75,033 
 
109,858 
 
Increase in unearned premiums, net of prepaid reinsurance and advance premiums
 
20,350 
 
66,234 
 
Decrease (increase) in net federal income tax recoverable
 
3,095 
 
(3,840)
 
Increase in premiums receivable
 
(28,317)
 
(89,014)
 
(Increase) decrease in other trade receivables
 
(1,727)
 
608 
 
Decrease (increase) in deferred policy acquisition costs
 
789 
 
(12,229)
 
Decrease in interest and dividends due or accrued
 
1,212 
 
696 
 
Decrease in reinsurance recoverable on paid losses and loss expenses
 
1,700 
 
59 
 
Decrease in accrued salaries and benefits
 
(4,301)
 
(14,967)
 
Decrease in accrued insurance expenses
 
(20,756)
 
(8,588)
 
Purchase of trading securities
 
(5,813)
 
 
Sale of trading securities
 
6,100 
 
 
Other-net
 
8,526 
 
5,063 
 
Net adjustments
 
66,933 
 
51,004 
 
Net cash provided by operating activities
 
116,087 
 
124,142 
 
           
Investing Activities
         
Purchase of fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale
 
(239,887)
 
(231,392)
 
Purchase of equity securities, available-for-sale
 
(16,095)
 
(54,214)
 
Purchase of other investments
 
(25,976)
 
(33,580)
 
Purchase of short-term investments
 
(1,061,242)
 
(861,197)
 
Sale of fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale
 
80,056 
 
51,717 
 
Sale of short-term investments
 
1,033,334 
 
922,902 
 
Redemption and maturities of fixed maturity securities, held-to-maturity
 
1,818 
 
628 
 
Redemption and maturities of fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale
 
158,685 
 
176,295 
 
Sale of equity securities, available-for-sale
 
34,585 
 
60,321 
 
Proceeds from other investments
 
3,798 
 
8,558 
 
Purchase of property and equipment
 
(3,851)
 
 (6,365)
 
Net cash (used in) provided by investing activities
 
(34,775)
 
33,673 
 
           
Financing Activities
         
Dividends to stockholders
 
(13,009)
 
(12,023)
 
Acquisition of treasury stock
 
(45,006)
 
(137,592)
 
Principal payment of notes payable
 
(12,300)
 
(18,300)
 
Net proceeds from stock purchase and compensation plans
 
4,457 
 
4,560 
 
Excess tax benefits from share-based payment arrangements
 
1,319 
 
2,656 
 
Principal payments of convertible bonds
 
(8,754)
 
 
Net cash used in financing activities
 
(73,293)
 
(160,699)
 
Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents
 
8,019 
 
(2,884)
 
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of year
 
8,383 
 
6,443 
 
Cash and cash equivalents, end of period
$
16,402 
 
3,559 
 
           
Supplemental Disclosures of Cash Flows Information
Cash paid during the period for:
         
Interest
$
10,643 
 
12,573 
 
Federal income tax
 
19,600 
 
32,000 
 
Supplemental schedule of non-cash financing activity:
         
Conversion of convertible debentures
 
169 
 
11,055 
 
 

 
 Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
 Combined Insurance Company Subsidiaries
 Unaudited Statutory Balance Sheets
 ($ in thousands)
               
               
   
Jun-30
 
Jun-30
 
Dec-31
 
   
2008
 
2007
 
2007
 
               
ASSETS
             
Bonds
$
          3,083,417
 
          2,913,393
 
        3,041,373
 
Common stocks
 
             258,064
 
             343,676
 
          297,102
 
Other investments
 
             206,560
 
             175,605
 
          188,827
 
Short-term investments
 
             181,852
 
               96,245
 
          125,650
 
Total investments
 
          3,729,893
 
          3,528,919
 
        3,652,952
 
               
Cash on hand and in banks
 
              (45,075
)
              (31,428
)
           (33,209
)
Interest and dividends due and accrued
 
               34,986
 
               34,093
 
            36,057
 
Premiums receivable
 
             521,029
 
             542,815
 
          491,308
 
Reinsurance recoverable on paid losses and expenses
               (7,601)
 
                4,942
 
              7,429
 
Deferred tax recoverable
 
               88,227
 
               90,964
 
            87,951
 
EDP equipment
 
                4,042
 
                3,534
 
              4,691
 
Equities and deposits in pools and associations
               11,661
 
                9,551
 
            10,411
 
Receivable for sold securities
 
                   848
 
                   569
 
                 167
 
Other assets
 
               30,359
 
               29,647
 
            32,105
 
Total assets
$
          4,368,369
 
          4,213,606
 
        4,289,862
 
               
LIABILITIES
             
Reserve for losses
$
          2,000,592
 
          1,850,635
 
        1,953,960
 
Reinsurance payable on paid loss and loss expense
                1,353
 
                   638
 
              1,310
 
Reserve for loss expenses
 
             373,173
 
             343,921
 
          358,126
 
Unearned premiums
 
             779,873
 
             787,347
 
          759,166
 
Reserve for commissions payable
 
               44,987
 
               49,533
 
            60,178
 
Ceded balances payable
 
                5,992
 
                8,531
 
              8,192
 
Federal income tax payable
 
               24,432
 
               18,025
 
            14,084
 
Premium and other taxes payable
 
               19,417
 
               20,669
 
            24,982
 
Reserve for dividends to policyholders
 
                5,112
 
                4,327
 
              5,651
 
Reserves for unauthorized/overdue reinsurance
                1,258
 
                1,570
 
              1,258
 
Payable for securities
 
               50,951
 
               12,572
 
                   -
 
Funds withheld on account of others
 
                4,854
 
                5,831
 
              5,070
 
Accrued salaries and benefits
 
               42,943
 
               37,020
 
            48,582
 
Other liabilities
 
               13,756
 
               13,048
 
            15,009
 
Total liabilities
 
          3,368,693
 
          3,153,667
 
        3,255,568
 
               
               
POLICYHOLDERS' SURPLUS
             
Capital
 
               28,325
 
               28,325
 
            28,325
 
Paid in surplus
 
             235,792
 
             235,792
 
          235,792
 
Unassigned surplus
 
             735,559
 
             795,822
 
          770,177
 
Total policyholders' surplus
 
             999,676
 
          1,059,939
 
        1,034,294
 
   Total liabilities and policyholders' surplus
$
          4,368,369
 
          4,213,606
 
        4,289,862
 
 

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
 Combined Insurance Company Subsidiaries
Unaudited Statutory Statements Of Income
($ in thousands)
 
                                                 
                                                 
   
Three Months Ended
 
   
 Six Months Ended
 
 
         
June
                     
June
             
                                                 
UNDERWRITING
 
2008
         
2007
         
2008
         
2007
       
                                                 
                                                 
Net premiums written
  $ 389,395             406,760             781,348             825,672        
                                                         
Net premiums earned
    377,254             378,207             760,641             759,924        
                                                         
                                                         
Net losses paid
    184,579             170,007             373,419             320,562        
Change in reserve for losses
    25,348             38,701             46,632             91,484        
Net losses incurred
    209,927       55.6%       208,708       55.2%       420,051       55.2%       412,046       54.2%  
Net loss expenses paid
    36,010               32,463               70,471               64,666          
Change in reserve for loss expenses
    6,768               8,505               15,047               19,060          
Net loss expenses incurred
    42,778       11.3%       40,968       10.8%       85,518       11.2%       83,726       11.0%  
Net underwriting expenses incurred
    122,768       31.6%       125,908       30.9%       249,254       31.9%       255,821       31.1%  
     Total deductions
    375,473               375,584               754,823               751,593          
Statutory gain
    1,781               2,623               5,818               8,331          
                                                                 
                                                                 
                                                                 
Net loss from premium balances charged off
    (833 )             (814 )             (1,486 )             (1,462 )        
Finance charges and other income
    1,775               1,228               2,466               3,003          
Total other income
    942       -0.2%       414       -0.1%       980       -0.1%       1,541       -0.2%  
Policyholders' dividends incurred
    (1,579 )     0.4%       (1,021 )     0.3%       (2,114 )     0.3%       (2,508 )     0.3%  
Total underwriting gain
    1,144       98.7%       2,016       97.1%       4,684       98.5%       7,364       96.4%  
                                                                 
                                                                 
INVESTMENT
                                                               
Net investment income earned
    37,992               38,015               78,240               74,749          
Net realized gain
    2,827               13,148               6,147               24,391          
Total income before income tax
    41,963               53,179               89,071               106,504          
Federal income tax expense
    15,254               16,684               29,948               36,077          
                                                                 
                                                                 
Net income
  $ 26,709               36,495               59,123               70,427          
                                                                 
                                                                 
Policyholders' Surplus
                                                               
Surplus, beginning of period
  $ 1,016,282               1,040,675               1,034,294               1,030,078          
                                                                 
                                                                 
Net income
    26,709               36,495               59,123               70,427          
Change in deferred tax
    5,842               4,537               7,253               10,583          
Change in unrealized (losses) gains
    (10,887 )             3,240               (29,002 )             (310 )        
Dividends to stockholders
    (28,003 )             (30,004 )             (52,543 )             (50,009 )        
Change in non-admitted assets
    (10,253 )             (1,874 )             (19,340 )             (7,686 )        
Surplus adjustments
    (14 )             6,870               (109 )             6,856          
                                                                 
                                                                 
Net change in surplus for period
    (16,606 )             19,264               (34,618 )             29,861          
                                                                 
                                                                 
Surplus, end of period
  $ 999,676               1,059,939               999,676               1,059,939          
                                                                 
                                                                 
 Statutory underwriting gain
  $ 1,144               2,016               4,684               7,364          
                                                                 
 Adjustments under GAAP:
                                                               
 Deferred policy acquisition costs
    87               3,573               (789 )             12,229          
 Flood income reclassification
    (2,989 )             (3,772 )             (5,055 )             (5,780 )        
 Other, net
    (1,493 )             (1,962 )             (3,543 )             (4,241 )        
 GAAP underwriting (loss) gain
  $ (3,251 )             (145 )             (4,703 )             9,572          
                                                                 
                                                                 
Note: Some amounts or ratios may not foot due to rounding.
                                 
Certain amounts have been reclassified to conform to the current year's presentation.
         
 

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Municipal Fixed Income Portfolio as of June 30, 2008
($ in millions)
(unaudited)
         
 
Average
Market
% of Total
Unrealized
 
Credit Rating
Value
Muni Portfolio
Gain
         
 Uninsured Securities
AA+
886
52%
151  
         
 Securities with Insurance Enhanced1
AA+
832
48%
(125) 
    Without Insurance Enhancement
AA-
     
         
 Total
 
 $     1,718
100%
 $           26  
         
1 Includes $16.4 million of unrated municipal fixed income securities which we consider to be investment grade.
   A "BBB-" rating has been applied to these municipal fixed income securities in the interest of conservatism.
         
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.
   
         
         
 
 

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Ratings on Municipal Fixed Income Portfolio
as of June 30, 2008 ($ in millions)
(unaudited)
 
       
 Total Municipal
 Fixed Income
 Total Municipal
 Fixed Income
   
 Insurance
 Underlying Rating of
 Portfolio
 Portfolio
 
 Uninsured
 Enhanced
 Insurance Enhanced
 (with Insurance
 (without Insurance
 
 Securities
 Securities1
 Securities1
 Enhancement)
 Enhancement)
 
(1)
(2)
(3)
(1) + (2)
(1) + (3)
S&P or equivalent
ratings
Market
Value
 %
of Total
Market
Value
 %
of Total
Market
Value
 %
of Total
Market
Value
 %
of Total
Market
Value
 %
of Total
 AAA
         426
48%
      288
35%
         56
7%
             715
42%
           482
28%
 AA+
         162
18%
        39
5%
         97
12%
             201
12%
           259
15%
 AA
         165
19%
      354
43%
       156
19%
             519
30%
           321
19%
 AA-
            75
8%
        88
11%
       243
29%
             162
9%
           318
19%
 A+
            21
2%
        31
4%
       109
13%
               52
3%
           130
8%
 A
              8
1%
        20
2%
         82
10%
               28
2%
             90
5%
 A-
            18
2%
           9
1%
         53
6%
               27
2%
             70
4%
 BBB+
              4
0%
 -
0%
         14
2%
                 4
0%
             18
1%
 BBB
              8
1%
 -
0%
 -
0%
                 8
0%
               8
0%
 BBB-
 -
0%
           3
0%
         21
3%
                 3
0%
             21
1%
 BB+
              1
0%
 -
0%
 -
0%
                 1
0%
               1
0%
 Total
         886
100%
832
100%
       832
100%
          1,718
100%
       1,718
100%
 Average Rating:
 
AA+
 
AA+
 
AA-
 
AA+
 
AA
 Unrealized Gain:
151
 
(125)
     
26
     
 
1 Includes $16.4 million of unrated municipal fixed income securities which we consider to be investment grade.
 
  A "BBB-" rating has been applied to these municipal fixed income securities in the interest of conservatism.
     
                     
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.
             
 

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Municipal Bonds with Credit Enhancement
June 30, 2008
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)
         
 
Credit Enhancement
Underlying
Composite Rating
 
 Market Value
 
 Book Value
 
 Unrealized
AMBAC
AAA
            16,819
            16,718
                 101 
(Ratings:
AA+
            10,980
            10,886
                  93 
Moody's = Aa3
AA
            29,705
            29,885
                (181)
S&P = AA
AA-
            14,961
            15,050
                 (89)
Fitch = WD)
A+
              7,971
              8,209
                (239)
 
A
            28,687
            29,206
                (518)
 
A-
              9,116
              9,142
                 (26)
 
BBB+
              3,257
              3,258
                   (2)
 
NR
              5,767
              5,790
                 (23)
AMBAC Total
 
          127,263
          128,145
                (882)
FGIC
AAA
            12,074
            11,961
                 113 
(Ratings:
AA+
            12,054
            11,997
                  56 
Moody's = B1
AA
            28,534
            28,233
                 301 
S&P = BB
AA-
            60,096
            60,719
                (623)
Fitch = BBB)
A+
            25,289
            25,742
                (453)
 
A
              8,759
              8,771
                 (12)
 
A-
              8,724
              8,732
                   (8)
 
BBB-
              2,821
              2,891
                 (70)
 
NR
                516
                 520
                   (5)
FGIC Total
 
          158,866
          159,566
                (699)
FSA
AAA
            25,845
            25,838
                    7 
(Ratings:
AA+
            51,816
            51,696
                 120 
Moody's =Aaa
AA
            43,187
            43,095
                  91 
S&P = AAA
AA-
            67,482
            66,417
              1,065 
Fitch = AAA)
A+
            26,283
            26,177
                 106 
 
A
            15,857
            15,801
                  56 
 
A-
            15,666
            15,593
                  73 
 
NR
              1,751
              1,785
                 (34)
FSA Total
 
          247,887
          246,402
              1,484 
MBIA
AAA
              1,286
              1,272
                  14 
(Ratings:
AA+
            21,895
            22,008
                (112)
Moody's = A2
AA
            54,856
            54,734
                 122 
S&P = AA
AA-
          100,785
          100,239
                 545 
Fitch = WD)
A+
            45,906
            45,591
                 315 
 
A
            28,909
            29,209
                (300)
 
A-
            19,137
            19,334
                (197)
 
BBB-
              2,020
              2,134
                (114)
 
BBB+
            10,764
            10,710
                  54 
 
NR
              7,077
              7,219
                (142)
MBIA Total
 
          292,636
          292,451
                 185 
RADIAN
Ratings:
Moody's = A3
S&P = A
Fitch = WD) 
 
 
 
 
NR 
 
 
 
 
1,271
 
 
 
 
1,266
 
 
 
 
RADIAN Total
 
              1,271
              1,266
                    5 
XLCA
(Ratings:
Moody's = B2
S&P = BBB-
Fitch = BB) 
 
 
 
 
A+ 
 
 
 
 
3,663
 
 
 
 
3,880
 
 
 
 
(217)
XLCA Total
 
              3,663
              3,880
                (217)
Grand Total
 
          831,586
          831,710
                (125)
         
Muni's with Insurance as a % of total Munis>>>
48%
   
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.
 
 

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Residential Mortgage Backed Securities (RMBS) and Residential Asset Backed Securities (RABS)- by Vintage Year
June 30, 2008
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)
               
               
Book Value
             
             
% of Total
            Type %  
Bond
Vintage Yr
AAA 
AA 
BBB 
Total 
of Total 
Portfolio
1983
                     21
 -
 -
 -
                     21
0%
0%
2002
              73,320
                3,060
 -
 -
              76,380
17%
2%
2003
              66,459
 -
                2,818
 -
              69,277
16%
2%
2004
              44,231
 -
 -
 -
              44,231
10%
1%
2005
              71,941
 -
 -
 -
              71,941
16%
2%
2006
            137,001
 -
                5,412
 -
            142,413
32%
5%
2007
              11,967
              13,718
                1,366
                1,294
              28,345
6%
1%
2008
                9,183
 -
 -
 -
                9,183
2%
0%
Total RMBS & RABS-Book Value
            414,123
              16,778
                9,597
                1,294
            441,791
100%
14%
% of Total RMBS & RABS
94%
4%
2%
0%
100%
   
               
               
Market Value
             
             
% of Total
            Type %  
Bond
Vintage Yr 
AAA 
AA 
BBB 
Total 
of Total 
Portfolio
1983
                     22
 -
 -
 -
                     22
0%
0%
2002
              74,676
                3,060
 -
 -
              77,736
18%
3%
2003
              66,419
 -
                2,294
 -
              68,713
16%
2%
2004
              43,535
 -
 -
 -
              43,535
10%
1%
2005
              66,677
 -
 -
 -
              66,677
16%
2%
2006
            125,802
 -
                5,412
 -
            131,214
31%
4%
2007
              12,163
              10,008
                   880
                   784
              23,835
6%
1%
2008
                9,161
 -
 -
 -
                9,161
2%
0%
Total RMBS & RABS-Market Value
            398,455
              13,069
                8,586
                   784
            420,893
100%
14%
% of Total RMBS & RABS
95%
3%
2%
0%
100%
   
Weighted Average Market Price
96.2
77.9
89.5
60.6
95.3
   
               
Unrealized Gain/(Loss)
             
               
Vintage Yr
AAA
AA
A
BBB
Total
   
1983
                       1 
 -
 -
 -
                       1 
   
2002
                1,356 
 -
 -
 -
                1,357 
   
2003
                    (40)
 -
                  (524)
 -
                  (565)
   
2004
                  (696)
 -
 -
 -
                  (696)
   
2005
               (5,264)
 -
 -
 -
               (5,264)
   
2006
             (11,199)
 -
 -
 -
             (11,199)
   
2007
                   197 
               (3,710)
                  (486)
                  (510)
               (4,510)
   
2008
                    (23)
 -
 -
 -
                    (23)
   
Total RMBS & RABS - Unrealized
             (15,668)
               (3,709)
               (1,011)
                  (510)
             (20,898)
   
% of Total RMBS & RABS
75%
18%
5%
2%
100%
   
               
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.
           
 

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Residential Mortgage Backed Securities (RMBS) and Residential Asset Backed Securities (RABS)- by Type
June 30, 2008
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)
               
Book Value
             
               
           
% of Total 
 
           
Bond 
 
RMBS Type
AAA
AA
A
BBB
Total
Portfolio 
 
Agency
            223,463
 -
 -
 -
            223,463
7%
 
FHA/VA
              14,271
 -
 -
 -
              14,271
0%
 
Total Agency
            237,735
 -
 -
 -
            237,735
8%
 
Alt-A
              81,309
 -
 -
 -
              81,309
3%
 
Alt-A CDO
 -
 -
                5,412
 -
                5,412
0%
 
Home Equity ABS
 -
                2,726
 -
 -
                2,726
0%
 
Non-Agency & Other Prime
              95,079
              14,052
                4,184
                1,294
            114,609
4%
 
Total RMBS & RABS-Book Value
            414,123
              16,778
                9,597
                1,294
            441,791
14%
 
% of Total RMBS & RABS
94%
4%
2%
0%
100%
   
               
               
Market Value
             
               
            % of Total   
            Bond   
RMBS Type
AAA
AA
A BBB Total Portfolio  
Agency
            226,236
 -
 -
 -
            226,236
7%
 
FHA/VA
              13,755
 -
 -
 -
              13,755
0%
 
Total Agency
            239,992
 -
 -
 -
            239,992
8%
 
Alt-A
              68,850
 -
 -
 -
              68,850
2%
 
Alt-A CDO
 -
 -
                5,412
 -
                5,412
0%
 
Home Equity ABS
 -
                2,726
 -
 -
                2,726
0%
 
Non-Agency & Other Prime
              89,614
              10,342
                3,174
                   784
            103,913
3%
 
Total RMBS & RABS-Market Value
            398,455
              13,069
                8,586
                   784
            420,893
14%
 
% of Total RMBS & RABS
95%
3%
2%
0%
100%
   
Weighted Average Market Price
96.2
77.9
89.5
60.6
95.3
   
               
Unrealized Gains/(Losses)
             
               
RMBS Type
 AAA
 AA
 A
 BBB
 Total
   
Agency
                2,773 
 -
 -
 -
                2,773 
   
FHA/VA
                  (516)
 -
 -
 -
                  (516)
   
Total Agency
                2,257 
 -
 -
 -
                2,257 
   
Alt-A
             (12,460)
 -
 -
 -
             (12,460)
   
Alt-A CDO
 -
 -
 -
 -
                      -
   
Home Equity ABS
 -
 -
 -
 -
                      -
   
Non-Agency & Other Prime
               (5,465)
               (3,709)
               (1,011)
                  (510)
             (10,695)
   
Total RMBS & RABS - Unrealized
             (15,668)
               (3,709)
               (1,011)
                  (510)
             (20,898)
   
% of Total RMBS & RABS
75%
18%
5%
2%
100%
   
               
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.
           
 

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities (CMBS) - by Vintage Year
June 30, 2008
($ thousands)
(unaudited)
                 
 Book Value
               
                 
                % of Total 
              Type %  Bond 
Vintage Yr  AAA AA A BBB BB Total of Total Portfolio
1996
                    5,256
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                    5,256
2%
0%
1999
                  26,524
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                 26,524
9%
1%
2000
                  33,979
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                 33,979
12%
1%
2001
                    36,311
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                   36,311
12%
1%
2002
                  49,425
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                 49,425
17%
2%
2003
                    2,005
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                    2,005
1%
0%
2004
                    9,500
                 5,000
                       -
                       -
                      -
                  14,500
5%
0%
2005
                    11,060
                 4,845
                       -
                4,798
                      -
                 20,702
7%
1%
2006
                  26,526
                10,390
               3,000
                       -
                      -
                  39,916
14%
1%
2007
                  38,872
                 6,823
               2,000
              10,687
               5,000
                 63,382
22%
2%
Total CMBS-Book Value
       239,458
       27,058
        5,000
       15,484
       5,000
       292,001
100%
10%
% of Total CMBS
82%
9%
2%
5%
2%
100%
   
                 
 Market Value
               
                 
                 % of Total
              Type %   Bond
Vintage Yr AAA AA A BBB BB Total of Total Portfolio 
1996
                     5,163
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                     5,163
2%
0%
1999
                  27,070
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                 27,070
10%
1%
2000
                  34,953
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                 34,953
13%
1%
2001
                  37,208
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                 37,208
14%
1%
2002
                  49,797
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                 49,797
18%
2%
2003
                     1,967
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                     1,967
1%
0%
2004
                    9,405
                  4,841
                       -
                       -
                      -
                  14,246
5%
0%
2005
                    8,062
                 4,727
                       -
                3,353
                      -
                   16,142
6%
1%
2006
                    21,614
                  8,120
               2,796
                       -
                      -
                 32,529
12%
1%
2007
                   38,441
                 5,608
                1,737
                5,480
               4,550
                  55,816
20%
2%
Total CMBS-Market Value
       233,680
       23,296
        4,532
        8,833
       4,550
       274,892
100%
9%
% of Total CMBS
85%
8%
2%
3%
2%
100%
   
Weighted Average Market Price
97.6
86.1
90.6
57.0
91.0
94.1
   
                 
Unrealized Gain/(Loss)
               
                 
Vintage Yr
AAA
AA
A
BBB
BB
Total
   
1996
                        (94)
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                        (94)
   
1999
                        547 
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                       547 
   
2000
                        974 
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                       974 
   
2001
                        897 
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                       897 
   
2002
                        372 
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                       372 
   
2003
                        (38)
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                        (38)
   
2004
                        (95)
                    (159)
                       -
                       -
                      -
                     (253)
   
2005
                  (2,998)
                     (118)
                       -
               (1,444)
                      -
                  (4,560)
   
2006
                   (4,913)
               (2,270)
                 (204)
                       -
                      -
                  (7,387)
   
2007
                       (431)
                 (1,215)
                 (263)
              (5,206)
                (450)
                  (7,566)
   
Total CMBS-Market Value
         (5,779)
       (3,762)
         (468)
       (6,651)
         (450)
        (17,109)
   
% of Total CMBS
34%
22%
3%
39%
3%
100%
   
                 
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.
             
 

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities (CMBS) - by Type
June 30, 2008
($ thousands)
(unaudited)
                 
Book Value
               
                 
                % of Total 
              Type %  Bond 
CMBS Type
AAA AA A BBB BB Total of total Portfolio 
Agency MultiFamily
                   58,133
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                  58,133
20%
2%
Cell Tower
                            -
                19,845
               5,000
                       -
                      -
                 24,845
9%
1%
Conduit
                  27,896
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                 27,896
10%
1%
Fusion (1)
                  115,910
                 3,823
                       -
              13,484
                      -
                 133,217
46%
4%
Lease-Backed
                    4,873
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                    4,873
2%
0%
Re-Securitization
                  24,586
                 3,390
                       -
                       -
                      -
                 27,977
10%
1%
Single Borrower - Multiple Properties
                    5,060
                         -
                       -
                2,000
               5,000
                  12,060
4%
0%
Timberland
                    3,000
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                    3,000
1%
0%
Total CMBS-Book Value
       239,458
       27,058
        5,000
       15,484
       5,000
       292,001
100%
10%
% of Total CMBS
82%
9%
2%
5%
2%
100%
   
                 
Market Value
               
                 
                % of Total 
               Type % Bond 
CMBS Type AAA AA A BBB BB Total of Total Portfolio
Agency MultiFamily
                   58,918
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                  58,918
21%
2%
Cell Tower
                            -
                 18,921
               4,532
                       -
                      -
                 23,453
9%
1%
Conduit
                  28,278
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                 28,278
10%
1%
Fusion (1)
                 116,424
                 2,944
                       -
                7,007
                      -
                126,375
46%
4%
Lease-Backed
                    4,989
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                    4,989
2%
0%
Re-Securitization
                   17,043
                   1,431
                       -
                       -
                      -
                  18,474
7%
1%
Single Borrower - Multiple Properties
                     5,192
                         -
                       -
                 1,826
               4,550
                   11,568
4%
0%
Timberland
                    2,836
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                    2,836
1%
0%
Total CMBS-Market Value
       233,680
       23,296
        4,532
        8,833
       4,550
       274,892
100%
9%
% of Total CMBS
85%
8%
2%
3%
2%
100%
   
Weighted Average Market Price
97.6
86.1
90.6
57.0
91.0
94.1
   
                 
Unrealized Gains/(Losses)
               
                 
CMBS Type
AAA
AA
A
BBB
BB
Total
   
Agency MultiFamily
                        785
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                       785 
   
Cell Tower
                            -
                   (924)
                 (468)
                       -
                      -
                   (1,392)
   
Conduit
                        382
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                       382 
   
Fusion (1)
                         514
                   (879)
                       -
              (6,477)
                      -
                  (6,842)
   
Lease-Backed
                          116
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                         116 
   
Re-Securitization
                  (7,544)
                (1,959)
                       -
                       -
                      -
                  (9,502)
   
Single Borrower - Multiple Properties
                         132
                         -
                       -
                  (174)
                (450)
                      (491)
   
Timberland
                       (164)
                         -
                       -
                       -
                      -
                      (164)
   
Total CMBS-Market Value
         (5,779)
       (3,762)
         (468)
       (6,651)
         (450)
        (17,109)
   
                 
(1) Fusion means a CMBS composed of large and small loans.
       
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.
             
 

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Fixed Income Agency Exposure at 6/30/2008
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)
 
                 
Unrealized
 
     
Book Value
     
Market Value
     
Gain/(Loss)
 
 Agency MBS
                 
Fannie Mae
    61,038       61,949       911  
Freddie Mac
    98,506       100,547       2,041  
        Total Agency MBS*
    159,544       162,496       2,952  
 
                       
                         
 Government Agency Debt
                       
Fannie Mae
    31,129       31,489       360  
Freddie Mac
    14,975       15,328       353  
      46,104       46,817       713  
                         
Federal Farm Credit Bank
    17,237       17,298       61  
Federal Home Loan Bank
    19,971       20,306       335  
      37,208       37,604       396  
                         
      Total Govt Agency Debt
    83,312       84,421       1,109  
                         
            Total Agency Exposure
    242,856       246,917       4,061  
                         
                         
* In addition, we have $122.1 million book value/$122.6 million market value of Ginnie Mae MBS which benefit from a direct government guarantee.
 
                         
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.
                 
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
Available-for-Sale Fixed Maturity Securities
Severity and Duration of Unrealized Losses
June 30, 2008
(unaudited)
 
 
 
Fair Value as a percentage of Amortized Cost
       
   
Unrealized
 
Fair
($ in millions)
 
(Loss) Gain
 
Value
85% but less than 100% of amortized cost
$
(32.3)
 
1,222.1
75% but less than 85% of amortized cost
 
(7.7)
 
34.3
Less than 75% of amortized cost
 
(28.7)
 
54.1
Gross unrealized losses on fixed maturity securities
 
(68.7)
 
1,310.5
Gross unrealized gains on fixed maturity securities
 
31.2 
 
1,733.9
Net unrealized losses on fixed maturity securities
$
(37.5)
 
3,044.4

 
 

 
Duration of Unrealized Loss Position  
75% but less 
 
Less than 
   
than 85% of 
 
75% of 
   
Amortized 
 
Amortized 
($ in millions)  
Cost
 
Cost 
0 – 3 months
$
(2.5)
 
(3.6)
4 – 6 months
 
(5.2)
 
(11.9)
7 – 9 months
 
 
(13.2)
Gross unrealized losses
$
(7.7)
 
(28.7)