EX-99.2 3 dex992.htm EARNINGS CONFERENCE CALL PRESENTATION SLIDES Earnings Conference Call Presentation Slides
Earnings Conference Call
4th
Quarter 2007
January 23, 2008
Exhibit 99.2


2
Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995, that are subject to risks and uncertainties.  The factors that could cause
actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements include those discussed herein as
well as those discussed in (1) Exelon’s 2006 Annual Report on Form 10-K in (a) ITEM 1A. Risk Factors, (b)
ITEM 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of
Operations
and
(c)
ITEM
8.
Financial
Statements
and
Supplementary
Data:
Note
18;
(2)
Exelon’s
Third
Quarter
2007
Quarterly
Report
on
Form
10-Q
in
(a)
Part
II,
Other
Information,
ITEM
1A.
Risk
Factors
and
(b)
Part
I,
Financial
Information,
ITEM
1.
Financial
Statements:
Note
13;
and
(3)
other
factors
discussed
in
filings
with
the
Securities
and
Exchange
Commission
by
Exelon
Corporation, Exelon
Generation Company, LLC, Commonwealth Edison Company, and  PECO Energy Company (Companies). 
Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which apply
only
as
of
the
date
of
this
presentation.
None
of
the
Companies
undertakes
any
obligation
to
publicly
release any revision to its forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of
this presentation.
This presentation includes references to adjusted (non-GAAP) operating earnings that exclude the impact
of certain factors. We believe that these adjusted operating earnings are representative of the underlying
operational results of the company. Please refer to the attachments to the earnings release and the
appendix to this presentation for a reconciliation of adjusted (non-GAAP) operating earnings to GAAP
earnings.


3
$0.39
$0.78
$0.18
$0.17
$0.17
$0.13
2006
2007
Exelon Operating EPS
$1.02
Exelon’s strong performance in the fourth quarter was driven primarily by increased earnings
at Exelon Generation, which were partially offset by the expected decrease in ComEd earnings
HoldCo/Other
ExGen
PECO
ComEd
4th Quarter (Q4)
$1.88
$3.45
$0.67
$0.75
$0.78
$0.30
2006
2007
$3.22
$4.32
$0.72
Full Year (FY)
Refer to Earnings Release Attachments for additional details on Q4 and FY earnings and to the Appendix for a reconciliation of adjusted (non-
GAAP) operating EPS to GAAP EPS.
$0.87
GAAP
EPS
$0.84
$2.35
$4.05
GAAP
EPS


4
Exelon Generation Operating EPS
Contribution
Q4
FY
$0.39
$0.78
Key Drivers –
Q4 ’07 vs. Q4 ’06*
Higher wholesale margins
Favorable market and portfolio
conditions
End of the below-market PPA with
ComEd
Contractual price increase associated
with the PECO PPA
Rebalancing of nuclear
decommissioning trust funds
Labor-related
inflation and nuclear
plant development costs
$3.45
$1.88
2007
2006
*Refer to the Earnings Release Attachments for additional details and to the Appendix for a reconciliation of adjusted (non-GAAP)
operating EPS to GAAP EPS


5
Q4
FY
ComEd Operating EPS Contribution
$0.17
$0.13
Key Drivers –
Q4 ’07 vs. Q4 ’06*
End of the regulatory transition period
in IL
Labor-related inflation and
uncollectible accounts expense
Increased distribution revenues
(December 2006 ICC Rate Order)
Increased transmission revenues
(2007 Transmission Rate Case)
Income tax settlements
$0.30
$0.78
2007
2006
*Refer to the Earnings Release Attachments for additional details and to the Appendix for a reconciliation of adjusted (non-GAAP)
operating EPS to GAAP EPS


6
Q4
FY
PECO Operating EPS Contribution
$0.18
$0.17
Key Drivers –
Q4 ’07 vs. Q4 ’06*
Scheduled CTC amortization
Uncollectible accounts expense
Favorable weather and load growth
$0.75
$0.67
2007
2006
*Refer to the Earnings Release Attachments for additional details and to the Appendix for a reconciliation of adjusted (non-GAAP)
operating EPS to GAAP EPS


7
2008 Outlook
2008
(1)
$0.55 -
$0.60
$3.15 -
$3.45
$4.00 -
$4.40
$0.35 -
$0.40
2008 EPS Guidance
(1)
Operating EPS:  $4.00 -
$4.40
GAAP EPS:  $3.70 -
$4.10
ComEd
PECO
Exelon Generation
HoldCo/Other ~$(0.10)
Exelon
(1)
Refer
to
“Key
Assumptions”
slide
on
Form
8-K
filed
on
12/19/07
for
key
assumptions
supporting
2008
earnings
guidance
and
for
expected
2008
earnings
drivers
for
Exelon
Generation,
ComEd
and
PECO.
Operating
Company
ranges
do
not
add
to
Exelon
guidance
of
$4.00
-
$4.40/share
due
to
rounding.
Key Drivers 2007 –
2008
Market conditions
Nuclear volume
Inflationary pressures
PECO CTC amortization
Weather
Load growth
ComEd transmission settlement
ComEd distribution rate case
26-29%
26-29%
21-24%
21-24%
4Q08
3Q08
2Q08
1Q08
Expected Quarterly EPS Distribution
We expect first quarter 2008 operating earnings to represent 21-24% of Exelon’s 2008
full year operating earnings.


8
Exelon Generation 2008 EPS Contribution
Exelon Generation’s 2008 earnings are impacted primarily by increased planned refueling
outages and higher nuclear fuel expense
2007
$2,331M
2008
(1)
$2,060M -
$2,260M
($0.09)
$(0.15)
$0.13
$3.15 -
$3.45
RNF
O&M
Other
(2)
$30M
+/-
500 Btu/KWh ATC Heat Rate
$5.5M
+/-
$1/mmBtu Gas
2008
Market Sensitivities  (After-Tax)
Depreciation
$(0.02)
$3.45
$ / Share
NOTE:
Refer
to
“Key
Assumptions”
slide
on
Form
8-K
filed
on
12/19/07.
(1)
Estimated contribution to Exelon’s operating earnings guidance.
(2)
Primarily reflects
the
change
in
shares
outstanding.
Key Items:
Nuclear volume: $(0.10)
Nuclear fuel expense: $(0.06)
State Line buyout: $(0.03)
Market / portfolio: $0.12
Interest
Expense
$(0.03)
Key Items:
Inflation: $(0.07)
Add’l
refueling outages: $(0.06)
Nuclear security: $(0.02)


9
ComEd 2008 EPS Contribution
ComEd’s operating earnings are expected to increase in 2008 primarily due to execution
of its Regulatory Recovery Plan
2007
$200M
RNF
O&M
Depreciation /
Amortization
Interest
Expense
Other
$0.35 -
$0.40
$0.30
$0.19
$0.04
($0.02)
$(0.03)
2008
(1)
$220M -
$260M
(2)
$(0.08)
Key Items:
Storms: $0.03
Uncollectible accounts: $0.02
($0.04)
Weather
$ / Share
NOTE:
Refer
to
“Key
Assumptions”
slide
on
Form
8-K
filed
on
12/19/07.
(1)
Estimated
contribution
to
Exelon’s
operating
earnings
guidance.
(2)
Assumes
full
$361M
revenue
increase
granted
in
current
distribution
rate
case
and
effective
10/1/08.
Key Items:
Distribution case
(2)
: $0.09
Transmission revenue: $0.04
Load growth: $0.03
Key Items:
Income tax settlements: $(0.07)


10
PECO 2008 EPS Contribution
PECO’s operating earnings are expected to decrease in 2008 primarily due to
increasing CTC amortization expense
2007
$507M
2008
(1)
$360M -
$400M
$0.75
($0.08)
$0.01
($0.03)
($0.06)
$0.55 -
$0.60
RNF
O&M
CTC
Amortization /
Depreciation
Other
NOTE:
Refer
to
“Key
Assumptions”
slide
on
Form
8-K
filed
on
12/19/07.
(1)  Estimated contribution to Exelon’s operating earnings guidance.
($0.03)
Weather
$0.02
Interest
Expense
$ / Share
Key Items:
Tax settlements: $(0.08)


11
11
7
7.2
7.4
7.6
7.8
8
8.2
8.4
8.6
8.8
Jan-
07
Feb-
07
Mar-
07
Apr-
07
May-
07
Jun-
07
Jul-
07
Aug-
07
Sep-
07
Oct-
07
Nov-
07
Dec-
07
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
Jan-
07
Feb-
07
Mar-
07
Apr-
07
May-
07
Jun-
07
Jul-
07
Aug-
07
Sep-
07
Oct-
07
Nov-
07
Dec-
07
7.4
7.6
7.8
8
8.2
8.4
8.6
8.8
9
9.2
9.4
Jan-
07
Feb-
07
Mar-
07
Apr-
07
May-
07
Jun-
07
Jul-
07
Aug-
07
Sep-
07
Oct-
07
Nov-
07
Dec-
07
Market Price Snapshot
As of December 31, 2007. Source: OTC quotes and electronic trading system. Quotes are daily.
Forward NYMEX Natural Gas
PJM-West and Ni-Hub On-Peak 
Forward Prices
PJM-West On-Peak Implied Heat Rate
Ni-Hub On-Peak Implied Heat Rate
8.84
9.04
9.24
9.44
9.64
9.84
10.04
10.24
10.44
10.64
10.84
Jan-
07
Feb-
07
Mar-
07
Apr-
07
May-
07
Jun-
07
Jul-
07
Aug-
07
Sep-
07
Oct-
07
Nov-
07
Dec-
07
2008
2009
2009
2008
2008 PJM-West
2009 PJM-West
2009 Ni-Hub
2008 Ni-Hub
2008
2009


12
12
7.7
7.8
7.9
8
8.1
8.2
8.3
8.4
Jan-
07
Feb-
07
Mar-
07
Apr-
07
May-
07
Jun-
07
Jul-
07
Aug-
07
Sep-
07
Oct-
07
Nov-
07
Dec-
07
56
58
60
62
64
66
68
70
72
74
Jan-
07
Feb-
07
Mar-
07
Apr-
07
May-
07
Jun-
07
Jul-
07
Aug-
07
Sep-
07
Oct-
07
Nov-
07
Dec-
07
7
7.5
8
8.5
9
Jan-
07
Feb-
07
Mar-
07
Apr-
07
May-
07
Jun-
07
Jul-
07
Aug-
07
Sep-
07
Oct-
07
Nov-
07
Dec-
07
Market Price Snapshot
2008
2009
2008
2009
As of December 31, 2007. Source: OTC quotes and electronic trading system. Quotes are daily.
2008
2009
Houston Ship Channel Natural Gas
Forward Prices
ERCOT North ATC Forward Prices
ERCOT North ATC v. Houston Ship Channel
Implied Heat Rate


13
Appendix –
GAAP Reconciliation


14
GAAP EPS Reconciliation
Three Months Ended December 31, 2006
$0.72
$(0.02)
$0.18
$0.17
$0.39
2006 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating Earnings (Loss) Per Share
(0.14)
-
-
(0.14)
-
Recovery of severance charges at ComEd
(0.04)
(0.04)
-
-
-
Investments in synthetic fuel-producing facilities
0.03
-
-
-
0.03
Mark-to-market adjustments from economic hedging activities
$0.87
$0.02
$0.18
$0.31
$0.36
Q4 2006 GAAP Earnings Per Share
Exelon
Other
(1)
PECO
(1)
ComEd
(1)
ExGen
(1)
(1)
Amounts shown per Exelon share and represent contributions to Exelon's EPS


15
GAAP EPS Reconciliation
Three Months Ended December 31, 2007
(1)
Amounts shown per Exelon share and represent contributions to Exelon's EPS
0.28
-
-
0.01
0.27
2007 Illinois electric rate settlement
0.02
-
-
0.02
-
City of Chicago settlement
0.11
-
-
-
0.11
Georgia Power tolling agreement
0.03
-
-
-
0.03
Mark-to-market adjustments from economic hedging activities
$1.02
$(0.06)
$0.17
$0.13
$0.78
2007 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating Earnings (Loss) Per Share
(0.04)
(0.08)
-
-
0.04
Non-cash deferred tax items
(0.19)
-
-
-
(0.19)
Termination of State Line PPA
(0.03)
(0.03)
-
-
-
Investments in synthetic fuel-producing facilities
$0.84
$0.05
$0.17
$0.10
$0.52
Q4 2007 GAAP Earnings Per Share
Exelon
Other
(1)
PECO
(1)
ComEd
(1)
ExGen
(1)


16
GAAP EPS Reconciliation
Year Ended December 31, 2006
$3.22
$(0.11)
$0.67
$0.78
$1.88
2006 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating Earnings (Loss)
Per Share
$2.35
$(0.21)
$0.65
$(0.17)
$2.08
2006 GAAP Earnings (Loss) Per Share
-
-
-
-
-
0.06
0.04
-
Other
(1)
(0.14)
1.15
(0.08)
-
0.01
0.01
-
-
ComEd
(1)
-
-
-
(0.13)
0.01
0.01
-
(0.09)
ExGen
(1)
-
-
-
-
0.01
0.01
-
-
PECO
(1)
Exelon
1.15
Impairment of ComEd’s goodwill
(0.08)
Recovery of debt costs at ComEd
0.03
Severance charges
(0.13)
Nuclear decommissioning obligation reduction
(0.14)
Recovery of severance costs at ComEd
0.09
Charges related to now terminated merger with PSEG
0.04
Investments in synthetic fuel-producing facilities
(0.09)
Mark-to-market adjustments from economic hedging
activities
(1)
Amounts shown per Exelon share and represent contributions to Exelon's EPS


17
GAAP EPS Reconciliation
Year Ended December 31, 2007
(1)
Amounts shown per Exelon share and represent contributions to Exelon's EPS
(0.01)
-
-
-
(0.01)
Settlement of a tax matter at Generation related to Sithe
(0.04)
(0.08)
-
-
0.04
Non-cash deferred tax items
(0.14)
(0.14)
-
-
-
Investments in synthetic fuel-producing facilities
0.41
-
-
0.03
0.38
2007 Illinois electric rate settlement
(0.19)
-
-
-
(0.19)
Termination of State Line PPA
0.11
-
-
-
0.11
Georgia Power tolling agreement
Exelon
Other
(1)
PECO
(1)
ComEd
(1)
ExGen
(1)
$4.32
$(0.18)
$0.75
$0.30
$3.45
2007 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating Earnings (Loss) Per Share
(0.01)
-
-
-
(0.01)
Sale of Generation's investments in TEG and TEP
0.02
-
-
0.02
-
City of Chicago settlement
(0.03)
-
-
-
(0.03)
Nuclear decommissioning obligation reduction
0.15
-
-
-
0.15
Mark-to-market adjustments from economic hedging activities
$4.05
$0.04
$0.75
$0.25
$3.01
2007 GAAP Earnings Per Share