EX-99.2 3 dex992.htm REVISED PRESENTATION DATED MARCH 27, 2008 Revised Presentation dated March 27, 2008
1
1
3/27/08
Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2007
Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2007
Earnings Call Webcast
Earnings Call Webcast
March 27, 2008
March 27, 2008
Revised March 31, 2008
Revised March 31, 2008
9:00
9:00
am EDT
am EDT
Exhibit 99.2


2
2
3/27/08
Forward Looking Statements
Forward Looking Statements
The following information contains, or may be deemed to contain, “forward-
looking statements”
(as defined in the U.S. Private Securities Litigation
Reform Act of 1995). By their nature, forward-looking statements involve
risks
and
uncertainties
because
they
relate
to
events
and
depend
on
circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. Our future results
may vary from the results expressed in, or implied by, the following
forward-looking statements, possibly to a material degree. For a discussion
of some of the important factors that could cause our results to
differ from
those expressed in, or implied by, the following forward-looking
statements, please refer to our annual report on Form 10-K, in particular,
the “Risk Factors”
section thereof, and our quarterly reports on Form 10-Q
filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.


3
3
3/27/08
Reported Results
Reported Results
All periods exclude global Zinc segment
2007 reported results include:
Full year of Corus Aluminum
Wabash Alloys from mid-September
Minor impact from EKCO Products and Alumox
2006 includes five months of Corus Aluminum and excludes the 2007
acquisitions of EKCO Products, Wabash Alloys, and Alumox
Commentary focused on non-GAAP measure EBITDA from continuing
operations, excluding special items:
Purchase accounting
Mark-to-market gains and losses on derivative financial instruments
Restructuring and other charges
TPG management fees
Stock-based compensation expense


4
4
3/27/08
2007 Recap
2007 Recap
Highlights
Significant cash generation of $422M
Portfolio optimization
Wabash Alloys acquisition
Zinc sold for $295M
Gross productivity of $121M*
Maintained margins
Completed 2 major expansions
Excellent performance in Recycling
*Includes full year of Corus Aluminum productivity
Challenges
North American volume
Rolled Products
Specification Alloy
Commodity cost inflation/input costs
Alloy hardeners (zinc, copper, mag)
Natural gas
Rolling ingots
Fourth quarter “one-time”
costs
Absorption
Environmental reserves
Other costs
Addressing Cost Base in Current Economic Environment


5
5
3/27/08
2007 Performance
2007 Performance
162
340
32
$ 4,196
2006
422
372
(93)
$ 5,990
2007
Free Cash Flow
EBITDA from Continuing Operations,
Excluding Special Items
Income (Loss) from Continuing
Operations
Revenues
($M)
Reported Results
Note: See reconciliation of income (loss) from continuing operations to EBITDA from continuing operations, excluding special items on slide
29.
See
reconciliation
of
cash
flow
from
operating
activities
of
continuing
operations
to
free
cash
flow
on
slide
30.


6
6
3/27/08
Full Year Comparison
Full Year Comparison
EBITDA from Continuing Operations, Excluding Special Items
* Does not reflect productivity benefits realized by acquired operations of Corus Aluminum from 1/07-7/07.
Note: Amounts represent management estimates.  Variances do not reflect the impact of the Corus Aluminum acquisition
from 01/07 –
07/07. See reconciliation of income (loss) from continuing operations to EBITDA from continuing operations,
excluding special items on slide 29.
$372
$28
$340
($24)
($63)
($24)
($37)
($13)
($32)
$111
$86
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600


7
7
3/27/08
“One-Time”
“One-Time”
Costs
Costs
($32)
(9)
Accounting
Conformity
Changes
2007
vs
2006
(3)
Other Items
(15)
Absorption
($5)
Environmental Reserve
Non-Recurring
Costs
Disappointing;
Not
Expected
to
Repeat
in
2008


8
8
3/27/08
Pounds Shipped
Pounds Shipped
(1)
(1)
5,943
6,215
Total
3,818
3,870
Global Recycling
2,125
2,345
Global Rolled and Extruded Products
2007
2006
(1) Shipments reflect the acquisitions of Corus Aluminum, EKCO Products and Wabash Alloys as if they had occurred on January 1, 2006.


9
9
3/27/08
2007 North American Rolled Products
2007 North American Rolled Products
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1Q06
2Q06
3Q06
4Q06
1Q07
2Q07
3Q07
4Q07
Aleris Shipments
Housting Starts
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1Q06
2Q06
3Q06
4Q06
1Q07
2Q07
3Q07
4Q07
Aleris Shipments
MSCI Inventory
Building & Construction Volumes
(Indexed to 1Q06)
Distribution Volumes
(Indexed to 1Q06)
Source: Management estimates and U.S. Census
Bureau’s seasonally adjusted annual rates.
Source: Management estimates and MSCI data.


10
10
3/27/08
Margin
Margin
Performance
Performance
Global Rolled Products
Global Aluminum Recycling
Maintained Margin Despite Demand Erosion
Improved Pricing During 2007
$0.05
$0.06
$0.07
$0.08
$0.09
$0.10
$0.11
$0.12
$0.13
$0.14
$0.15
1Q07
2Q07
3Q07
4Q07
$0.00
$0.10
$0.20
$0.30
$0.40
$0.50
$0.60
$0.70
$0.80
1Q07
2Q07
3Q07
4Q07


11
11
3/27/08
0.50
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
1.10
4Q06
1Q07
2Q07
3Q07
4Q07
High Value Products
Lower Margin Products
European Rolled Products Shipments
European Rolled Products Shipments
LTM Shipments
Good Volume Growth in Value Added Product Lines


12
12
3/27/08
2007 Gross Productivity Recap
2007 Gross Productivity Recap
2007
Manufacturing
$    92
Metals
20
Non-metals/Other
9
Total
$  121
2007
Six Sigma
$    36
Energy / Recovery     
14
Headcount
13
Other Cost Reductions
18
Throughput
11
Total
$    92
Continued Relentless Focus on Productivity
($M)


13
13
3/27/08
Commodity Cost Inflation
Commodity Cost Inflation
Hardeners
(Indexed to 1Q06)
Natural Gas
(Indexed to 2006)
Source: Management data.
Source: Management data.
Driving to Recover Through Productivity and Announced Price Increases


14
14
3/27/08
Aluminum LME and Currency
Aluminum LME and Currency
Currency
(USD/Foreign Currencies
Indexed to 1Q 06)
Aluminum LME
Source: Management data.
Sources: Management data.
Better Hedging Programs Expected to Reduce Volatility


15
15
3/27/08
2007 Free Cash Flow Summary
2007 Free Cash Flow Summary
2007
Sources
Adjusted EBITDA
$372
Inventory
$123
Working Capital
242
Receivables
54
Capital Expenditures
(192)
Payables
65
Free Cash Flow
(1)
$422
Total
$242
(1)
These totals all exclude Zinc for 2007
($Millions)
Inventory
Improved 8 days DIO; inventory turns increased from 6 to 7
Receivables
2 day improvement in DSO
Payables
Selectively extended payment terms
Total
Improved 14 days down to 56; WC turns increased from 5.2 to 6.6
Note:  See reconciliation of income (loss) from continuing operations to EBITDA from continuing operations, excluding special items
Working Capital Drove Cash Generation


16
16
3/27/08
Financial Statistics
Financial Statistics
($M)
5.7x
-
Net Debt Adjusted for Zinc to Term
Loan Agreement EBITDA
427
-
Term Loan Agreement EBITDA**
369
N/A
Liquidity*
2,434
N/A
Net Debt Adjusted for Zinc Proceeds
2,654
2,462
Net Debt
$     192
$     119
Capital Expenditures
2007
2006
*Liquidity computed as revolver availability plus cash on hand.
**Term
loan
agreement
EBITDA
includes
the
acquisitions
of
Wabash
Alloys
and
EKCO
Products
as
if
they
had
occurred
on
January
1, 2007 and also includes synergies as permitted by our Term Loan Agreement. See slide 32 for a reconciliation of pro forma net
loss to term loan agreement EBITDA.


17
17
3/27/08
Global
Global
Rolled
Rolled
and
and
Extruded
Extruded
Products
Products
Full
Full
Year
Year
$ 0.36
$ 0.62
288
181
$ 2,726
1,641
2006
$ 0.40
Conversion Cost, $/Lb.
$ 0.67
Material Margin, $/Lb.
305
EBITDA, Excluding Special
Items
51
Segment Income
$ 4,305
Revenues
2,113
Volume, Lbs. Shipped
2007
($ & Lbs. in Millions)
2006 vs. 2007
Note: Amounts represent management’s estimates.
Note: See reconciliation of segment income to segment  EBITDA, Excluding
Special Items on slide 31.
($36)
$52
$111
($18)
($37)
($14)
($66)
($14)
$288
$39
$305
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
$450
$500


18
18
3/27/08
Global Recycling –
Global Recycling –
Full Year
Full Year
108
115
EBITDA, Excluding Special Items
60
85
Segment Income
$ 1,809
$ 1,489
Revenues
3,244
2,890
Volume, Lbs. Shipped
2007
2006
2006 vs. 2007
Note: Amounts represent management’s estimates.
($ & Lbs. in Millions)
Note: See reconciliation of segment income to segment  EBITDA, Excluding
Special Items on slide 31.
($8)
$2
$33
($9)
($12)
$108
$115
($13)
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
$160


19
19
3/27/08
Fourth Quarter Performance
Fourth Quarter Performance
Strong Cash Generation in Challenging Quarter
11
87
7
$1,338
4Q 2006
(1)
212
Free Cash Flow
49
EBITDA from Continuing Operations,
Excluding Special Items
(69)
Income (Loss) from Continuing Operations
$1,534
Revenues
4Q 2007
($ & Lbs. in Millions)
(1)
Excludes Wabash Alloys & EKCO Products acquisitions.
Note: See reconciliation of income (loss) from continuing operations to EBITDA from continuing operations, excluding special items on slide
29.
See
reconciliation
of
cash
flow
from
operating
activities
of
continuing
operations
to
free
cash
flow
on
slide
30.


20
20
3/27/08
$49
($9)
($16)
($10)
$87
($19)
($12)
($11)
$19
$20
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
$100
$110
$120
$130
$140
Fourth Quarter Comparison
Fourth Quarter Comparison
EBITDA from Continuing Operations, Excluding Special Items
Note: Amounts represent management’s estimates. See reconciliation of income (loss) from
continuing operations to EBITDA from continuing operations, excluding special items on slide 29.


21
21
3/27/08
Global
Global
Rolled
Rolled
and
and
Extruded
Extruded
Products
Products
4Q
4Q
Weak
U.S.
Demand
&
4Q
Non-Recurring
Costs
Impacted
Profitability
($ & Lbs. in Millions)
0.40
$ 0.63
80
45
$ 979
534
Q406
0.50
Conversion Cost, $/Lb.
$ 0.69
Material Margin, $/Lb.
24
EBITDA, Excluding Special Items
(29)
Segment Income (Loss)
$1,005
Revenues
498
Volume, Lbs. Shipped
Q407
Note: See reconciliation of segment income (loss)  to segment  EBITDA, excluding special items on slide 31.


22
22
3/27/08
Global Recycling –
Global Recycling –
Q4
Q4
($M)
24
22
EBITDA, Excluding Special Items
10
14
Segment Income
$ 541
$ 373
Revenues
810
569
Volume, Lbs. Shipped
4Q07
4Q06
Europe
and
Americas
Recycling
Productivity
Drives
Improvement
Note: See reconciliation of segment income (loss)  to segment  EBITDA, excluding special items on slide 31.


23
23
3/27/08
N. A. Rolled Products
Consolidated Beloit / Roxboro into Ashville (3Q07)
Shutdown Toronto (1Q08)
Shutdown Bedford (2Q08)
Idled 3
rd
party Richmond production (1Q08)
Recycling Americas
Shutdown Dickson, Guelph and Monterrey (4Q07)
Idled Tipton (1Q08)
Other / SG&A
Restructured Europe Recycling / Extrusions
Combined N. A. Spec Alloy and Recycling management team
Other Back office consolidations
Attacking the Costs
Attacking the Costs
Evaluating Other Initiatives


24
24
3/27/08
Positioning the Cost Base
Positioning the Cost Base
$   60-72
9
700
TOTAL
10-15
2
Other Initiatives
8-9
3
Recycling / Spec / Wabash Initiatives
16-20
-
Europe Initiatives
$    26-28
4
Rolled Products Initiatives
Announced:
2008 –
09
Savings
Facilities
Headcount
($M)


25
25
3/27/08
Started up new heat treat plate facility in Duffel (4Q07)
Started up  160”
hot mill in Koblenz for growing aerospace business (1Q08)
Finalizing new wide heat treat capabilities for Duffel hard alloy extrusions (2Q08)
Progressing 148”
hot mill project start-up in Duffel (1Q09)
Strategic Europe Investments
Strategic Europe Investments
Strategically Position Europe in High Value / Growth Products


26
26
3/27/08
13.00
13.50
14.00
14.50
15.00
15.50
16.00
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
350
400
450
500
550
600
75
95
115
135
155
175
195
MSCI Inventory
MSCI Shipments
2008 Outlook –
2008 Outlook –
U. S. Outlook
U. S. Outlook
0
1
2
3
4
2006
2007
2008
Housing Starts
Distributor Inventories and Shipments
Expect Continued Challenges/Headwinds in U.S.
U.S. Industrial Production
Source: JD Power, National Sources
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
% of Change from Previous Yr
Source: Davenport Equity Research.
Source: MCSI data.
Source: Brook Hunt report, February 2008.
North America Vehicle Production


27
27
3/27/08
2008 Outlook -
2008 Outlook -
Europe
Europe
European Light Vehicle Assembly
Euro Zone Industrial Production
Europe Expected to Remain Stable
Commercial Airplane Projected Deliveries
0
1
2
3
4
2006
2007
2008
% of Change from Previous Yr
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Source:  J.D. Power, National Sources.
Source  Brook Hunt, February 2008
European Residential Building Permits
Source:  Eurostat


28
28
3/27/08
Reconciliations of Non-GAAP Measures
and Appendix
This presentation refers to various non-GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) financial measures including
EBITDA from continuing operations, EBITDA from continuing operations, excluding special items, and free cash flow
from continuing operations.  The methods used to compute these measures are likely to differ from the methods used
by
other
companies.
These
non-GAAP
measures
have
limitations
as
analytical
tools
and
should
be
considered
in
addition to, not in isolation or as a substitute for, or superior to, Aleris’s measures of financial performance prepared in
accordance with GAAP.  You are encouraged to review the accompanying tables reconciling the non-GAAP financial
measures to comparable GAAP amounts.


29
29
3/27/08
Reconciliation of (Loss) Income from Continuing Operations to EBITDA
and EBITDA from Continuing Operations, Excluding Special Items
For the three
months ended
December 31
For the 
year ended
December 31
2007
2006
2007
2006
(Successor)
(Combined)
(Successor)
(Combined)
(Loss)
income from continuing operations
$ (68.7)
$
7.3
$
(92.9)
$32.2
Interest expe
nse, net
51.5
24.3
203.9
79.9
Income taxes
(38.3)
5.4
(88.4)
22.7
Minority interests
(0.9)
(1.0)
0.1
0.1
Depreciation and amortization     
54.6
45.2
202.9
106.8
EBITDA
from continuing operati
ons
(1.8)
81.2
225.6
241.7
Unrealized losses (gains)  on derivative financial
instruments
11.2
(35.3)
(3.9)
(28.3)
Restructuring and other charges
21.6
39.7
32.8
41.9
Impact of recording acquired assets at fair value
15.1
11.2
104.3
43.9
Sponsor management fee
2.3
--
9.1
--
Stock-based compensation expens
e
1.0
3.5
3.9
10.2
Loss on early extinguishment of debt
--
0.7
--
54.4
Gain on sale of Carso
n, CA property
--
(13.8)
--
(13.8)
Realized hedge gain
-Corus Aluminum acquisition
--
--
--
(9.8)
EBITDA
from continuing operations, excluding
special items  
$49.4
$87.2
$  371.8
$  340.2
(unaudited)
(in millions)


30
30
3/27/08
Reconciliation of Cash Flow from Operating Activities
Reconciliation of Cash Flow from Operating Activities
of Continuing Operations to Free Cash Flow
of Continuing Operations to Free Cash Flow
(unaudited)
(in millions)
For the three
months
ended
December 31
For the
year
ended
December 31
2007
2006
2007
2006
(Successor)
(Combined)
(Successor)
(Combined)
Free cash flow
$212.3
$11.0
$421.7
$161.7
Net working capital (decrease) increase
(228.2)
7.7
(241.7)
59.1
Capital expenditures
65.3
68.5
191.8
119.4
EBITDA, excluding  special items
49.4
87.2
371.8
340.2
Unrealized (losses) gains on derivative financial instruments
(11.2)
35.3
3.9
28.3
Loss on early extinguishment
of debt
-
(0.7)
-
(54.4)
Realized hedge gain-Corus Aluminum acquisition
-
-
-
9.8
Gain on sale of  Carson, CA property
-
13.8
-
13.8
Restructuring  and other  charges
(21.6)
(39.7)
(32.8)
(41.9)
Impact of recording  acquired assets at  fair  value
(15.1)
(11.2)
(104.3)
(43.9)
Sponsor  management fee
(2.3)
-
(9.1)
-
Stock-based compensation expense
(1.0)
(3.5)
(3.9)
(10.2)
EBITDA from continuing  operations
(1.8)
81.2
225.6
241.7
Interest expense, net
(
51.5)
(24.3)
(203.9)
(79.9)
Benefit from (provision for)  income taxes
38.3
(5.4)
88.4
(22.7)
Depreciation and amortization
(54.6)
(45.2)
(202.9)
(106.8)
Minority interest, net of provision for  income taxes
0.9
1.0
(0.1)
(0.1)
Net income (loss) from continuing  operations
(68.7)
7.3
(92.9)
32.2
Depreciation and amortization
54.6
45.2
202.9
106.8
Benefit from deferred income taxes
(49.4)
14.7
(99.7)
11.5
Excess income tax benefits f
rom
exercise of  stock options
-
-
(3.6)
Restructuring  and  other  charges:
Charges
21.6
39.7
32.8
41.9
Payments
(3.8)
(24.1)
(15.7)
(30.0)
Non-cash loss on early extinguishment  of  debt
-
-
-
16.4
Stock-based compensation expense
1.0
3.5
3.9
10.2
Proceeds from settlement of currency derivative financial instruments
-
-
-
(9.8)
Unrealized losses (gains) on derivative financial instruments
11.2
(35.3)
(3.9)
(28.3)
Non-
cash charges related to step
-up in carrying  value  of  inventory
1.1
(3.7)
47.3
5.4
(Gain) loss on sale of property, plant, and equipment
(0.6)
(14.7)
(0.6)
(14.7)
Other  non-cash charges
1.9
2.4
10.0
6.1
Net change in operating  assets and liabilities
195.6
30.7
223.8
65.9
Cash provided by operating  activities
from continuing  operations
$164.5
$65.7
$307.9
$210.0


31
31
3/27/08
Reconciliation of Segment (Loss) Income to
Reconciliation of Segment (Loss) Income to
Segment EBITDA, Excluding Special Items
Segment EBITDA, Excluding Special Items
(unaudited)
(in millions)
For the three months
ended  December 31
For the year ended
December 31
2007
2006
2007
2006
Global Rolled and Extruded Products
Segment (loss) income
$(29.2)
$45.4
$50.8
$180.7
Purchase accounting adjustments
15.4
11.4
100.8
43.9
Gain on sale of Carson, CA property
--
(13.8)
--
(13.8)
Stock-based compensation expense
--
0.8
--
1.8
Segment income, excluding special items
(13.8)
43.8
151.6
212.6
Depreciation
and amortization
37.6
36.4
153.6
75.5
Segment EBITDA, excluding special items
$23.8
$80.2
$305.2
$288.1
Global Recycling
Segment income
$9.9
$14.0
$59.8
$84.8
Purchase accounting adjustments
(0.5)
--
3.4
--
Stock-based compensation expense
--
0.2
--
0.4
Segment income, excluding special items
9.4
14.2
63.2
85.2
Depreciation and amortization
14.8
7.8
45.0
29.5
Segment EBITDA, excluding
special items
$24.2
$22.0
$108.2
$114.7


32
32
3/27/08
Reconciliation
Reconciliation
of
of
Pro
Pro
Forma
Forma
Loss
Loss
from
from
Continuing
Continuing
Operations
Operations
to
to
Pro
Pro
Forma
Forma
EBITDA
EBITDA
from
from
Continuing
Continuing
Operations
Operations
and
and
Term
Term
Loan
Loan
Agreement
Agreement
EBITDA
EBITDA
(1)
(1)
(1)
Represents
unaudited
pro
forma
financial
information
for
the
year
ended
December
31,
2007
and
presents
the
Company’s
combined
results
of
operations
as
if
the
acquisitions
of
Wabash
Alloys
and
EKCO
Products
had
occurred
on
January
1,
2007.
Pro
forma
adjusted
EBITDA
from
continuing
operations
includes
the
expected
synergy
savings
from
the
Corus
Aluminum,
Wabash
Alloys,
and
EKCO
Products
acquisitions
as
permitted
by
the
Company’s
Term
Loan
Agreement.
The
unaudited
pro
forma
information
is
not
necessarily
indicative
of
the
consolidated
results
of
operations that would have occurred had the acquisitions of Wabash Alloys and EKCO Products been made at the beginning of the period presented
or the future results of combined operations.
(2) Pro
forma
loss
from
continuing
operations
of
$98.8
consists
of
Aleris’s
historical
loss
from
continuing
operations
of
$92.9,
Wabash
Alloys’
historical
net
income
of
$6.7,
EKCO
Products’
historical
net
income
of
$0.6,
and
pro
forma
adjustments
of
($10.2).
The
net
income
of
Wabash
Alloys
and
EKCO
Products are estimates based on financial information provided by the management of those entities.
(unaudited)
(in millions)
For the year
ended
December 31, 2007
Pro forma loss
from continuing operations
(2)
$ (95.8)
Interest expense, net
216.3
Income taxes
(90.3)
Minority interests
0.1
Depreciation and amortization
210.8
Pro forma EBITDA from continuing operations
241.1
Unrealized losses on derivative financial instruments
(3.8)
Restructuring and other charges
32.8
Impact of recording acquired assets at fair value
104.3
Sponsor management fee
9.1
Stock-based compensation expense
3.9
Estimated synergies -
Corus Aluminum
18.0
Estimated synergies –
Wabash Alloys
20.0
Estimated synergies -
EKCO Products
2.0
Pro forma adjusted EBITDAfrom continuing operations
$427.4


33
33
3/27/08
Appendix –
Appendix –
Special Items
Special Items
-
$ 104
-
$ 15
-
13
-
13
Asset Impairments
$29
$ 150
$ 11
$  51
Total Special Items
-
$   4
-
$ 1
Stock Based Compensation
$9
$  9
$   2
$  2
TPG Management Fees
-
-
-
$ 11
Mark-to-market timing differences
Loss on FAS 133
-
57
-
14
Derivative financial instruments
-
$    47
-
$ 1
Non-cash cost of sales increase with inventory step up
12
$ 20
12
$ 33
1
$ 9
-
$ 22
Other
Purchasing Accounting
3
3
3
3
Exit Costs
$ 5
$ 5
$  5
$  5
Headcount reductions/severance
Restructuring and Other Charges
(1)
Cash
Reported
Cash
Reported
($M)
4Q 2007
Full Year 2007
(1) Excludes $ 20.3 of cash restructuring charges recorded through the purchase price allocations of TPG and Wabash.