EX-99.1 2 d697682dex991.htm EX-99.1 EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

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Investor Meetings

March 24, 2014

Cross Winds Energy Park

Jackson Gas Plant

Consumers Smart Energy Program


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This presentation is made as of the date hereof and contains “forward-looking statements” as defined in Rule 3b-6 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, Rule 175 of the Securities Act of 1933, and relevant legal decisions. The forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties. All forward-looking statements should be considered in the context of the risk and other factors detailed from time to time in CMS Energy’s and Consumers Energy’s Securities and Exchange Commission filings. Forward-looking statements should be read in conjunction with “FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS AND INFORMATION” and “RISK FACTORS” sections of CMS Energy’s and Consumers Energy’s Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013. CMS Energy’s and Consumers Energy’s “FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS AND INFORMATION” and “RISK FACTORS” sections are incorporated herein by reference and discuss important factors that could cause CMS Energy’s and Consumers Energy’s results to differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. CMS Energy and Consumers Energy undertake no obligation to update any of the information presented herein to reflect facts, events or circumstances after the date hereof.

The presentation also includes non-GAAP measures when describing CMS Energy’s results of operations and financial performance. A reconciliation of each of these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure is included in the appendix and posted on our website at www.cmsenergy.com.

CMS Energy provides historical financial results on both a reported (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) and adjusted (non-GAAP) basis and provides forward-looking guidance on an adjusted basis. Management views adjusted earnings as a key measure of the company’s present operating financial performance, unaffected by discontinued operations, asset sales, impairments, regulatory items from prior years, or other items. These items have the potential to impact, favorably or unfavorably, the company’s reported earnings in future periods. Because the company is not able to estimate the impact of these matters, the company is not providing a reconciliation to the comparable future period reported earnings.


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Consumers Energy . . . .

T erritory

O verview

Fourth largest combination utility in the United States

1.8 million electric and 1.7 million gas customers

8,600 MW of owned and purchased generation capacity

312 TBtu of gas storage capacity

Premium regulatory environment

Cross WindsEnergy Park

Lake Winds Energy Park

. . . . one of largest investors and employers in Michigan.


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Mindset . . . . . . . . 20¢ 36¢ 50¢ 66¢ 84¢ 96¢ $1.02 $0.90

$0.96 $1.08 $0.84 $1.21 $1.26 $1.36 $1.45 $1.55

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Future

Dividend

EPS

Int’l Sale

a

10-Year Actual

7% CAGR

Dividend Payout 0% 25% 30% 40% 49% 58% 62% 62% 60%-70%

32% 27% 14% 39% 80%

Peers 4%

$1.78 $1.74 $1.66 $1.08 6% 5% - 7%

5% - 7%

6%

$0.81 _ _ _ _ _ Adjusted EPS (non-GAAP) excluding MTM in 2004-2006

a $1.25 excluding discontinued Exeter operations and accounting changes related to convertible debt and restricted stock drives consistent “real” EPS growth.

3


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CMS Energy MODEL . . . .

RESULTS Consistent Predictable

Investment

Ten year - $15 billion

Small, bite size projects

None “Bet The Company”

Imposed Limits

Sustainable base rates < 2% inflation

Investment “Needed Not Wanted”

Upside Catalysts

A. Capex >$15 billion

B. PPA’s expire = 2,000 MW

C. Credit rating

D. Sales

E. Capacity price increases

F. ROA elimination

G. Continuous cost reductions Self-

. . . . benefits customers AND shareowners.

4


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Model Delivers . . . .

A bove Average Return

Future Return

Attractive dividend yield 4%

62% payout ratio

EPS growth rate 5%-7%

Driven by $7 billion investment in regulated Utility over next five years

Shareowner return 9%-11%

EP Sa Gr owth vs Peers

7% 4% 5%-7% 4% 6%

CMS Peers CMS Peers

Ten-Year Growth Future

a Adjusted EPS (non-GAAP)

. . . . good, future return opportunity.

5


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A. Visible, 10-Year INVESTMENT Plan .

201 3-20 22 10-Year Plan

O pportunity Level

$ 15 Billion $ 20 Billion

Amount (bils)

Generation capacity

PPA replacement $1.7

ROA return Higher renewables .3

Gas conversions & expansion 1.0

Electric reliability & transmission 2.0

Total Opportunities $5.0

Rate Base 6%

Customer base rates <2 >4

X

P

. . . . . . . reflects catch-up needed to reduce cost and improve reliability.

6


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Visible Investment: Catch-Up . . . . 2013 Pct of Market Cap

Cap Inv OCF Liquidity

CMS 21% 20% 24%

Peers 18 16 20

21% 20%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Amount

(bils)

$1.8 $1.5

CMS

Peers

Source: 10K; actual amounts through 2012 smoothed for illustration

. . . . creates unique opportunity; with OCF already stronger than peers.

7


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Visible Investments: Customer-Driven . . . .

Clean Power $2.5 Billion

Reliability $4.0 Billion

. . . . small and incremental with no big bets.

Renewable energy New gas acquisition

Main replacements

Propane switching

Pipeline replacements

Gas distribution

Electric reliability

Consumers Smart Energy

Electric distribution Capacity $1.5 Billion

Infrastructure $4.5 Billion

Environmental

Gas conversions

Ludington Pumped Storage

8


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Visible Investment: Gas Infrastructure . . . . . . . . accelerating investment opportunities.

$1.4

$2.3

$2.6

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

2008 - 2012

2013 - 2017

2018 - 2022

#4 largest gas utility

27,000 miles of distribution mains

24,000 miles of service pipe

1,700 miles of transmission lines

312 TBtu gas storage

G as System

I nvestment Amount (bils) $

9


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Visible Investment: Major Generation I n v e s t i n g over $2 billion in generation over the next 5 years.

C ro ss Winds Energy Park J ackson Plant

L u dington Pumped Storage Plant

C ampbell Generating Plant

K a rn/Weadock Generating Complex

Generation Reliability $0.7 B Environmental Controls $1.0 B

New Capacity $0.4 B

O ver 6 GWs of Generation Assets 10


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Visible Investment: Renewable Energy . . . .

Mic hig an e ne rgy la w r e qu ire s:

1 0% renewa ble s by 2015

Purchase 50% and build 50%

Lake WindsEnergy Park

100 MW, 56 Vestas turbines

Commercial operation – November 2012

$235 million

Cross WindsEnergy Park Phase I

105 MW, 62 GE turbines

Commercial operation – November 2014

$255 million

. . . . Michigan’s largest renewable energy supplier.

11


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Visible Investment: Rate Base Growth . . . .

Gas Electric

$3 $4 $6 $11 $15 $19 0 5 10 15 20 2013 2017 2022

Amount (bils)

$

Base Rate Increases <2% <2% C apital Investment “Checklist”

üAdd Customer Value

üReduce O&M Costs

üReduce Fuel Costs

üMandated by State or Federal Regulators

$8 $11

$13

. . . . drives EPS, cash flow, and dividend growth.

12


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B. Expiring PPA’S . . . .

Replace PPA contracts with owned generation

Provides incremental rate base (and earnings potential) with no impact to customer rates

. . . . will provide investment headroom.

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2025

CE Portfolio

Jackson Plant

Capacity Shortfall

Smart Energy, EO, Interruptibles

Net Peak Demand Plus Reserves

Total Peak Demand Plus ReservesPalisades PPA Termination (778 MW)

MCV PPA Termination (1,240 MW) Planned Demand Reductions

Jackson Plant Classic 7 Mothballed (950 MW)

? 0 MW Capacity Shortfall

13


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C. Credit RATINGS . . . . . . . . just upgraded, more ahead?

Consistent Performance

Less Risk

Customer Focus

Constructive Regulation

Good Energy Policy

R eflects Present Prior 2002

Scale

S&P / Fitch

  

Moody’s

  

S&P

(March)  

  

 
 
 

Moody’s
 
 

  
(January) 
  

 

 

 

Fitch

(February

  

             

A+

  

A1

A

  

A2

  

 

 
 

Consumers
Secured

  
  

             

A-

  

A3

BBB+

  

Baa1

BBB

  

Baa2

BBB-

  

Baa3

BB+

  

Ba1

CMS Unsecured

BBB

  

Baa2

BBB-

  

Baa3

BB+

  

Ba1

BB

  

Ba2

BB-

  

Ba3

B+

  

B1

B

  

B2

B-

  

B3

Outlook

  

Positive

  

Stable

  

  

 

Stable

  

    

14


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D. Consumers SALES Growth . . . . . . . . best economic indicators in State. E conomic Indicators

Grand Rapids

  

Michigan

   

U.S

 

Unemployment December 2013

  

 

5.6

 

 

8.4

 

 

6.7

GDP (real) 2010 thru 2012

  

 

14

  

 

 

11

  

 

 

7

  

Population 2010 Census thru July 2012

  

 

2

  

 

 

0

  

 

 

2

  

E le ct ric

Gas

Combination Dart Container 2 MW

Enbridge 28 MW Secant 7 MW

Norplas 5 MW MACI 6 MW

E xamples of New Business I ndustrial Sales

-5% 6%

<1% -6%

2%

2008-2009

Recession

2010-2012

Recovery

2013-17 Plan

Assumptions

CMS

U.S. UtilitiesBetz Industries 8 MW

Magna-Cosma Casting 4 MW Eco-Bio Plastics 3 MW

Plan Conservatively 15


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E. CAPACITY Price Market Increases . . . . . . . . could add value to the 700 MW “DIG” plant.

$0.50

$4.50

$7.50

Capacity price < ($ kW per month) Today (mils)

Future Scenarios

(mils) $5

+$30 $55

$35 +$50 16


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F. Retail Open Access Policy (ROA) . . . . . . . . change could allow for lower industrial rates.

310 “ROA” Electric Customers 1 .8 Million Consumers Energy Customers = 99.98%

0.02%

Governor wants affordable residential bills and competitive industrial rates

Eliminating ROA could:

Lower industrial rates by 10% or all customers by 4%

Policy has big impact on competitiveness

$150 million cost opportunity

17


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Michigan’s Energy Future . . . .

G overnor’s 2025 Energy Goals

Adaptability

Eliminate energy waste

Reduce coal, replace with renewables and gas

Reliability

Top quartile performance (SAIFI)

Top half performance (SAIDI)

Affordability

Residential bills below U.S. average

Competitive industrial rates

Environmental Protection

Reduce mercury, acid rain, particulates

Increase renewables

. . . . will continue to strengthen with sound policy and strong leadership. R egulatory Support

(from the right)

Michigan Governor Rick Snyder

MPSC Chairman John Quackenbush

Michigan Energy Office Director Steve Bakkal 18


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The Governor on Retail Open Access. . . .

“Choice creates a lot of challenges and problems so I wouldn’t jump to say increasing choice is the answer. I’m concerned about people bouncing back and forth depending on what’s going on with rates, essentially trying to arbitrage markets.” Governor Rick Snyder

Question: “You seem to agree with utilities’ argument on choice. Does that mean you will eliminate shopping altogether or keep the 10% cap in place?” . . . . choice is not the solution to industrial competitiveness.

The Jackson City Council voted unanimously to pass a resolution opposing House Bill 5184. 19


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G. Self-Initiated COST Control . . . . . . . . . holds down rates and allows better system reliability.

Average Annual O&M Change

-2% +2%

-10% +1%

2006-2012

2012

2013

2014

2014-2018

Peers

w/o Storm Changes

Actual/Plan+6%

Peers 2013 Reinvestment

-8%

-2% Major Storms

-6%

-3% Major 2013 Storms

CMS Flat

-2%

Average -3.7%

Plan Conservatively

. holds down rates and allows better system reliability.

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G. Continuous COST Reduction . . . .

. . . . . a way of life at CMS.

P ast Progress $100k Each

$60k Each

7,600 1,000

600

7,200

2010

2012

F uture Examples

Fuel Mix Benefits

MW

  

Employees

 

2016

  

Retire Coal

  

- 900

  

 
 

-
300

  
  

2016

  

Add GCC

  

+ 540

  

 
 

+
20

  
  

Total

  

-360

  

- 280

  

Future Savings (mils)

  

$25

  

People Productivity = $64 million

Headcount

Future Annual Savings (mils)

 

2002-2012

  

Actions completed

  

$

25

  

2013

  

EGWP, OPEB & other

  

 

50

  

Future savings

  

$75

  

Fuel and Benefits

  

$100

  

. a way of life at CMS.

21


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Michigan Energy Law . . . .

22

. . . . . has the potential to be even better!.

Pre 2008

  

2008 Energy
Law

   

2015
Improvements

 

Historical test year

No cap choice

12-18 months regulatory lag

  

 
 
 

 
 
 

 
 

 
 

10
 
 

Energy
efficiency
standards

10
 

File-and-
implement


renewables 
by 2015 

  
  
  

% ROA 
cap 

 
  

 

 
 

 
 
 

 
 
 

 
 

Higher
renewables

Continued
energy
efficiency

Additional
regulatory
improvements

Eliminate
ROA?

  
  

  
  
  

  
  
  

  
  

More

capex Faster, smoother

has the potential to be even better!.

22


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54321

Constructive Regulation . . . .

. . . . strong law on the books supported by a quality commission. Commission

John Quackenbush (R), Chairman

Term Ends: July 2, 2017

Sally Talberg (I) Term Ends: July 2, 2019

Greg White (I) Term Ends: July 2, 2015

T i er 1 State Ranking

Barclays Research

Michigan

strong law on the books supported by a quality commission.

23


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Customer Rates – Working With MPSC To Be . . . . . . . . affordable and sustainable. ~1%

~1%

Electric

Gas

2% Inflation

a Includes surcharges

201 3-2017

Annual Average Base Rate Increasesa

C ost Reductions

üEliminate 2014 base rate increases:

Electric

Gas

üEliminated renewable surcharge

üEliminated rate skewing

üLowered summer block rates

affordable and sustainable.

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CMS Mindset . . . .

. . . . deliver for customers AND investors.

2 0 1 3 Cold Winter & Cost Savings

$1.66 +7%

Guidance

2012 Warm Winter 2012 Cost Saving 2012 Hot Summer

Reinvested earlier

2014 Cold Winter

2013 Mild Summer Icy Late December O&M B/(W) Than Forecast (mils)

Storm(total $50 M) $(37)

Insurance 16

Lower contributions 9

Sales-weather 12 Total $ 0

Reinvestment (January-October) Amount (mils)

Improve gas reliability $16

Improve electric reliability 14

Accelerate generation maintenance 7

Prefund pension & storm response 21

Total $58

deliver for customers AND investors.

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Operating Cash Flow Growth . . . . (0.5)

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018Amount (bils) $

Investment

Cash flow before dividend

a Non-GAAP NOLs & Credits $0.7 $0.6 $0.4 $0.5 $0.4 $0.2 $0.1

Gross operating cash flowa up $0.1 billion per year

. . . . self-funds investment and strategy. Up $0.5 Billion $2.1

Interest

Working capital and taxes

$1.6 $1.9

$2.0

$1.7 $1.8 $1.45

$2.2

$1.4

$1.5 26


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Key Takeaways . . . .

. . . . distinguish CMS favorably with customers and owners. _ _ _ _ _ a Adjusted EPS (non-GAAP) excluding MTM in 2004-2006

EPS a “Real” Growth

$2.00

C ore Fu nda men tal s

üVisible Investment

üCost Controls

üPlan Conservatively

üSupportive Regulatory

üCatalysts Upside

Target 5% - 7%

Actual = 7% +11%

Target 6% - 8% Actual EPS = 8%

+7% +12%

+12%

+4% +7%

+7% +7%

+8%

7% 5%

7%

5%

2003 2004 2005 2006

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

2012 2013 2014

Beyond27


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Appendix


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Capital Expenditures 201320142015201620172018Total(mils)(mils)(mils)(mils)(mils)(mils)(mils)ElectricDistribution199$ 190$ 197$ 202$ 211$ 208$ 1,008$ Generation89 96 93 88 60 155 492 New Customers48 47 38 39 38 34 196 Other96 102 81 82 84 61 410 Electric Base Capital432$ 435$ 409$ 411$ 393$ 458$ 2,106$ GasDistribution177$ 152$ 181$ 177$ 193$ 212$ 915$ New Customers45 45 40 36 36 35 192 Other88 60 53 53 49 44 259 - Gas Base Capital310$ 257$ 274$ 266$ 278$ 291$ 1,366$ Total Base Capital742$ 692$ 683$ 677$ 671$ 749$ 3,472$ Investment ChoicesEnvironmental292$ 280$ 200$ 122$ 114$ 111$ 827$ Electric Reliability102 156 208 108 129 133 734 Gas Infrastructure117 182 198 178 202 211 971 New Gas Plant Capacity- - - 155 10 100 265 Renewables83 163 9 - - - 172 Consumers Smart Energy66 84 134 175 120 - 513 Ludington Hydro & other62 90 55 58 56 145 404 Total Choices722$ 955$ 804$ 796$ 631$ 700$ 3,886$ Total Utility1,464$ 1,647$ 1,487$ 1,473$ 1,302$ 1,449$ 7,358$ 2014-2018 Plan29


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GAAP Reconciliation


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20032004200520062007200820092010201120122013Reported earnings (loss) per share - GAAP($0.30)$0.64($0.44)($0.41)($1.02)$1.20$0.91$1.28$1.58$1.42$1.66After-tax items:Electric and gas utility0.21(0.39)- - (0.07)0.050.330.03- 0.17- Enterprises0.740.620.04(0.02)1.25(0.02)0.09(0.03)(0.11)(0.01)*Corporate interest and other0.16(0.03)0.040.27(0.32)(0.02)0.01*(0.01)**Discontinued operations (income) loss(0.16)0.02(0.07)(0.03)0.40(*)(0.08)0.08(0.01)(0.03)*Asset impairment charges, net- - 1.820.760.60- - - - - - Cumulative accounting changes0.160.01- - - - - - - - - Adjusted earnings per share, including MTM - non-GAAP$0.81$0.87$1.39$0.57$0.84$1.21(a)$1.26$1.36$1.45$1.55$1.66Mark-to-market impacts0.03(0.43)0.51Adjusted earnings per share, excluding MTM - non-GAAPNA$0.90$0.96$1.08NANANANANANANA*Less than $500 thousand or $0.01 per share.(a) $1.25 excluding discontinued Exeter operations and accounting changes related to convertible debt and restricted stock.Earnings Per Share By Year GAAP Reconciliation(Unaudited)31


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2012201320142015201620172018Consumers Operating Income + Depreciation & Amortization1,635$ (a)1,740$ 1,800$ 1,876$ 1,952$ 2,054$ 2,162$ Enterprises Project Cash Flows17 16 25 30 28 35 36 Gross Operating Cash Flow1,652$ 1,756$ 1,825$ 1,906$ 1,980$ 2,089$ 2,198$ (411) (335) (375) (356) (730) (739) (748) Net cash provided by operating activities1,241$ 1,421$ 1,450$ 1,550$ 1,250$ 1,350$ 1,450$ (a) excludes $(59) million 2012 disallowance related to electric decouplingCMS EnergyReconciliation of Gross Operating Cash Flow to GAAP Operating Activities(unaudited)(mils)Other operating activities including taxes, interest payments and working capital32