EX-99.4 22 ex99-4.htm

 

Exhibit 99.4

 

 

 
 

 

 

 
 

 

   2016   2017   2018   2019   2020   2021E   2022E   2023E   2024E   2025E   2026E   CAGR 16-21E   CAGR 22-26 
Total Turnover of Securities Market in Hong Kong (Billion HKD)   16,396.4    21,709.2    26,422.8    21,440.0    32,110.1    35,184.2    41,840.9    48,628.7    55,983.9    63,821.6    72,756.7    16.5%   14.8%
                                                                  
Note: The actual 2021 figure is not yet available.                                                                 

 

      2016       2017       2018       2019       2020       2021E       2022E       2023E       2024E       2025E       2026E       CAGR 16-21E       CAGR 22-26  
Net Securities Commission Income in Hong Kong (Billion HKD)     18.7       23.1       24.2       19.9       28.4       31.7       33.5       34       36.4       38.7       41.2       11.1 %     5.3 %
                                                                                                         
Note: The actual 2021 figure is not yet available.                                                                                                        

 

    2016    2017    2018    2019    2020    2021E   2022E   2023E   2024E   2025E   2026E   CAGR 17-21E    CAGR 22-26 
Market Size by Asset Under Management in Asset and Wealth Management Business in Hong Kong (Billion HKD)   NA    24,270.0    23,955.0    28,769.0    34,931.0    41,742.5    49,757.1    59,210.9    70,401.8    83,426.1    98,609.7    14.5%   18.6%
                                                                  
Note: (i) The data disclosed was based on “Asset and Wealth Management Activities Survey” published by Securities and Futures Commission (ii) Due to discrepancy in survey scope, the historical data prior to 2017 is not available.                                                                 

 

    2016    2017    2018    2019    2020    2021E   2022E    2023E    2024E    2025E    2026E    CAGR 16-21E    CAGR 22-26 
Market Size by Asset Under Management in Asset Management and Fund Advisory Business in Hong Kong (Billion HKD)   14,236.6    17,511.0    16,447.0    20,040.0    24,038.0    28,629.3    33,925.7    40,100.2    47,358.3    55,977.5    65,941.5    15.0%   18.1%

 

    2016    2017    2018    2019    2020    2021E   2022E    2023E    2024E    2025E    2026E    CAGR 17-21E    CAGR 22-26 
Market Size by Asset Under Management in Private Banking and Private Wealth Management Business in Hong Kong (Billion HKD)    NA     7,812.0    7,624.0    9,058.0    11,316.0    13,862.1    17,216.7    20,923.6    25,217.3    30,342.2    36,228.6    15.4%   20.4%
                                                                  
Note: (i) The data disclosed was based on “Asset and Wealth Management Activities Survey” published by Securities and Futures Commission (ii) Due to discrepancy in survey scope, the historical data prior to 2017 is not available.                                                                 

 

    2016    2017    2018    2019    2020    2021E   2022E    2023E    2024E    2025E    2026E    CAGR 18-21E    CAGR 22-26 
Market Size by Asset Under Management in Assets Held Under Trust Business in Hong Kong (Billion HKD)   NA    NA    4,333.00    3,844.00    4,480.00    4,952.20    5,413.40    5,907.20    6,430.20    6,993.10    7,591.70    4.6%   8.8%
Note: (i) The data disclosed was based on “Asset and Wealth Management Activities Survey” published by Securities and Futures Commission (ii) Due to discrepancy in survey scope, the historical data prior to 2018 is not available.                                                                 

 

 
 

 

Market Size by Revenue of the Establishments Engaged in the Financial and Wealth management Industry by Market Segment in Hong Kong (Billion HKD)  Market share by revenue in 2021   Revenue in 2016   Revenue in 2020   Revenue in 2021   Expected Revenue in 2022   Expected Revenue in 2026   CAGR 2016-2021   CAGR 2022E-2026E 
Asset Management and fund advisory services   37.4%   58.2    96.1    114.0    132.1    226.9    14.4%   14.5%
Securities dealing and brokerage services   35.1%   64.2    93.8    107.1    119.4    188.2    10.8%   12.0%
Placing and underwriting services   16.2%   36.6    45.9    49.5    53.1    66.6    6.2%   5.8%
investment and corporate advisory services   3.0%   5.3    8.0    9.1    10.4    15.7    11.4%   10.8%
Others   8.3%   14.8    21.7    25.2    29.2    45.1    11.2%   11.5%
Total Market   100.0%   179.1    265.5    304.9    344.2    542.5    11.2%   12.0%

 

Market Size by AUM of Asset Management and Fund Advisory Sector (excluding REITs) in Hong Kong (Billion HKD)   Market share by AUM in 2021    AUM in 2016    AUM in 2020    AUM in 2021    Expected AUM in 2022    Expected AUM in 2026     CAGR 2016-2021    CAGR 2022E-2026E 
LCs- Asset Management   79.8%   12553.0    18865.0    22675.9    29123.3    51971.7    12.6%   15.6%
Insurance Companies (“ICs”) - Asset Management   4.9%   514.0    1171.0    1383.0    1631.9    3410.1    21.9%   20.2%
Ris - Asset Management   6.1%   956.0    1543.0    1745.1    1998.1    3682.2    12.8%   16.5%
LCs - Fund Advisory   9.2%   1198.0    2221.0    2625.2    3100.4    6243.8    17.0%   19.1%
Total Market   100.0%   15221.0    23800.0    28429.2    35853.7    65307.8    13.3%   16.2%

 

 
 

 

Competitive landscape of securities dealing service in Hong Kong

 

According to the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited, there were 700 Exchange Participants in the Stock Exchange and 195 Exchange Participants in the Futures Exchange as at 31 December 2020. HKEX Participants are divided into 3 categories; ‘‘A’’, ‘‘B’’ and ‘‘C’’. Category A consists of the top 14 brokerage firms by transaction size, while Category B refers to the participants ranked from 15 to 65. The remaining participants in the market are grouped in Category C. The brokerage services market in Hong Kong is relatively consolidated and dominated by certain Category A firms, with Category A participants accounting for 58.15% of the total market turnover in 2020, while Category B participants accounted for a share of approximately 34.50% of the total market turnover in the same year.

 

The numbers of high net worth individuals in Hong Kong and Mainland China rapidly increased from 148 thousand and 1,129 thousand in 2016 to 206 thousand and 1,633 thousand in 2021, and are expected to reach 324 thousand and 2,820 thousand by 2026, respectively.

 

The numbers of ultra-high net worth individuals (individuals who have a net worth of over US$30 million) in Hong Kong and Mainland China also rapidly increased from 3.2 thousand and 37.5 thousand in 2016, respectively, to 6.1 thousand and 93.9 thousand in 2021, respectively, and are expected to reach 7.6 thousand and 133.5 thousand by 2026, respectively.

 

The value of SFC-authorised RMB investment products increased from approximately RMB 70 billion on 31 March 2016 to approximately RMB204 billion on 31 March 2021.

 

The total market capitalisation of RMB-denominated SFC-authorised Exchange Traded Funds invested onshore through RMB Qualified Foreign Institutional Investors, Stock connect, Bond Connect and China Interbank Bond Market increased from approximately US$4,726 million on 31 March 2016 to approximately US$8,325 million on 31 March 2021.

 

Professional investors accounted for approximately 72% of the asset management and fund advisory business in Hong Kong as at 31 December 2020.