EX-99.(C)(4) 2 ny20049415x7_ex-c4.htm EXHIBIT (C)(4)

Exhibit (c)(4)

 Project Virgil  January 2025 
 

 Proposed Agenda  Restricted - External  Process Update  Virgil Trading Performance  4  8 
 

 Process Update 
 

 Overview of process & dialogue  Preliminary conversations addressing inbound interest in H2’24 led to formal process held in January 2025  4  12  7  4  2  Inbound Interest and Introductory Dialogue  (Q3/Q4’24)  Highly Active in Post- NDA Diligence  (Mid/Late January 2025)  Signed NDAs and Invited to Formal Process  (Mid-January 2025)  In the preceding months through Q4’24, the Company engaged with inbound interest from various potential acquirers by holding introductory conversations both in person and via videocall  The Company signed NDAs with seven parties that had communicated credible preliminary interest in a potential transaction  These seven received invites to a virtual data room on or around 1/18, and they were sent process letters asking for IOIs to be submitted by 1/28  Four parties engaged in notably active post-NDA activity that included submitting diligence requests and holding calls and meetings covering financial and business strategy diligence including with the Company’s CEO and CFO  REDACTED  submitted a non-binding IOI on 1/28  TPG remains highly active in finalizing their initial diligence and potentially imminently submitting a non-binding IOI  Still Active  REDACTED  Restricted - External 
 

 Pass rationale summary  Selected pass rationale among post-NDA parties who elected not to submit IOIs  Restricted - External  Five Parties Passed Post-NDA(a)  Did not engage in process post invitation  REDACTED  Passed after diligence  REDACTED  Slowing growth in recent years and in near-term outlook  Multi-year trend of slowing topline growth across revenue, volume, and customer counts mutes interest from parties seeking to invest into businesses with stronger current growth profile  Inability to offer compelling purchase price premium to public market value  Initial conversations with some parties took place in 2024 when the share price was trading at ~$8  By January when the Company’s share price had appreciated to $10-11, some parties indicated they could not offer a compelling premium to current public market value  Lack of visibility in various cited growth opportunities underlying the Company’s LRP model  Desire to see material traction in identified growth vectors such as Payments Accelerator, new pay modes, and Spend Management in order to more fully underwrite the growth projected in the LRP  Revenue mix  Some parties cited desire to see mix and growth opportunities more heavily weighted to software  revenue versus the majority of the Company’s existing revenue coming from payment monetization  Seeking transformational component of investment thesis  One party noted desire for notionally “transformational” opportunity, such as major imminent M&A, to form the core of their investment thesis, versus just underwriting incremental product roadmap and go-to-market growth drivers  Complexities and timing associated with regulatory approvals required to close  Necessity of securing MTL license transfers add transaction complexity and significant time between signing and closing, impacting potential buyer interest  5  (a) Among the twelve parties with which the Company engaged in preliminary dialogue, five did not proceed to NDA signing. These five were  REDACTED 
 

 Restricted - External  Transaction  Acquisition of 100% of AvidXchange in all-cash transaction  Purchase Price  Enterprise value: $1.9-2.1bn  Purchase price per share(a): $10.75 – 11.25  Premium vs. Closing Share Price on 1/30/25: 1-6%  Premium vs. 180-day VWAP: 16-21%  Valuation Multiples  2024 EBITDA Multiple: 22-25x  2025E EBITDA Multiple: 18-20x  2024 EBITDA less Capitalized Software Spend Multiple: 28-31x(b)  2025E EBITDA less Capitalized Software Spend Multiple: 22-25x  Acquisition Funding(c)  Debt: $732mm (34% of sources of cash)  ~7x Q4’24 run-rate EBITDA  Equity: $1,405mm (66% of sources of cash)  Remaining Due Diligence   (i) Market & competitive landscape, (ii) recent performance and 2025 budget, (iii) ePay strategy and new payment modes, (iv) supplier-level data analysis, (v) partner-level data analysis, (vi) client and partnerships review, (vii) go-to-market, (viii) cost and operations, (ix) technology platform, product roadmap, and R&D organization, (x) accounting, and (xi) legal  Timing  4-6 weeks from IOI acceptance to signing definitive documentation  Would not occur before the Company’s earnings announcement in late February  Advisors  Have engaged REDACTED for post-IOI work  Closing Conditions  Final approval from REDACTED investment committee prior to signing definitive documentation, with no additional approvals required  Expected Legal Terms   (i) No indemnity deal, (ii) a go-shop period and a reduced go-shop termination fee, (iii) a general company termination fee and sponsor reverse termination fee, (iv) expense reimbursement by the company in limited circumstances where the required shareholder vote is not obtained, (v) and customary financing provisions for a sponsor-backed LBO  (c) Funding of sources of cash assuming midpoint of purchase price range  6  REDACTEDnon-binding IOI summary  Received 1/28/25  (b) REDACTEDspecifically cited an implied 2024 EBITDA less capitalized software development spend multiple of 31-33x, using a projected 2024E metric of $62mm, which was lower than the actual full year 2024 metric was $67mm  (a) REDACTED assumed FDSO of 216.7mm 
 

 Virgil Trading Performance 
 

 Virgil Share Price Over Time  $5  $10  $15  $20  $30  Oct-21  Apr-22  Nov-22  May-23  Dec-23  Jun-24  Jan-25  Source(s): FactSet. Market data as of 1/29/2025. 1. Displaying Broker consensus NTM revenue growth, NTM Gross Profit margins and NTM EBITDA margins.  Share Price Since IPO  $10.76  Post-Earnings Price Reaction  IPO Price $25  $25.00  First Day Close:  $24.94  Nov 2024  3Q24 earnings; Strong bottom line growth;  raised EBITDA guidance  from $74mm to $78.5mm  Nov 2021  3Q21 earnings; Beat revenue by 6% and EBITIDA by 55%;  May 2022  1Q22 earnings; Raised CY23 revenue guidance from $299mm to  $305mm  Jan 2023  Named Dan Drees as President  Jun 2023  Virgil Investor Day  CY21  CY22  CY23  CY24  Q3  Q4  CY21  Q1  Q2  Q3  Q4  CY22  Q1  Q2  Q3  Q4  CY23  Q1  Q2  Q3  NTM Rev Growth(1)  24%  20%  20%  22%  21%  20%  16%  16%  16%  18%  19%  17%  17%  17%  13%  11%  NTM Gross Margin(1)  61%  63%  63%  62%  64%  65%  66%  66%  67%  68%  70%  72%  72%  73%  73%  74%  NTM EBITDA Margin(1)  (17%)  (13%)  (13%)  (10%)  (7%)  (3%)  1%  1%  2%  6%  10%  17%  17%  18%  19%  21%  NTM Rule of 40  7%  7%  7%  12%  14%  17%  17%  17%  18%  24%  29%  34%  34%  35%  32%  32%  Share Price Summary  High  Low  Avg  Since IPO  $26.57  $6.14  $10.44  LTM  $13.29  $7.44  $10.57  Market & Operating Summary (1/29/2025)  2024E  2025E  2026E  Market Cap  $2,399  EV / Revenue  4.8x  4.3x  3.8x  (-) Cash  ($386)  EV / Gross Profit  6.5x  5.8x  5.0x  (+) Debt  $72  EV / EBITDA  26.2x  21.0x  15.9x  Enterprise Value  $2,086  Jul 2024  2Q24 earnings; Lowered CY24 revenue guidance  from $445mm to  $437.5mm  Aug 2024  Announced first ever Share Repurchase Plan of up to $100mm  8  Restricted - External  30% 1-day  drop  $12.72  $8.94 
 

 Virgil Relative Share Price Performance vs. Peers  Source(s): FactSet. Market data as of 1/29/2025. 1. Peers include BILL, FLYW, PAY, ADYEN, PAYO, FOUR, WEX, CPAY, and BL.  Share Price Performance Since IPO  0%  50%  100%  150%  Oct-21  Apr-22  Nov-22  Virgil  May-23  Dec-23  Jun-24  Jan-25  Peers(1)  8  Restricted - External  (57%)  (1%)  Since IPO  3-Yr  2-Yr  1-Yr  YTD  Virgil  (57%)  19%  (6%)  (6%)  5%  Peers  (1%)  17%  10%  28%  5%  Performance 
 

 Virgil Q2 2024 Earnings Release on CY2024E Guidance  Source(s): FactSet, Broker Research, Company filings.  Revenue  Adj. EBITDA  $441.0  $442.0  $436.0  $444.4  $447.6  $447.5  $447.0  $448.0  $439.0  Q1 ’24A  May Roadshow  Q2 ’24A  Interest from customer funds  $49  $45  $45  $67  $71  $73  $52  $73  $77  $71  $75  $75  Q1 ’24A  May Roadshow  Q2 ’24A  ($ in millions)  ($ in millions)  Consensus  10  Restricted - External  CY24E Guidance Over Time  (2.2%)  (0.5%)  0%  ∆ to Midpoint  (3.8%)  0%  32% 
 

 Virgil Q4 2024 and CY2025E Consensus vs. Guidance  Q4 2024A  CY2025E  Source(s): Company Filings, Virgil Management Estimates, Broker Research as of 1/29/2025. 1. Calculated by taking latest FY guidance from 3Q24 disclosure and subtracting reported nine month results for 2024 (Q1 – Q3 2024). 2. Based on discussions with management.  10  Restricted - External  Consensus (Midpoint)  Illustrative Guidance(2)  $ Delta  % Delta  Revenue (Low)  $480.0  $453.0  ($27.0)  (5.6%)  Growth  9.4%  3.2%  620bps  Revenue (Midpoint)  $480.0  $456.5  ($23.5)  (4.9%)  Growth  9.4%  4.0%  (540bps)  Revenue (High)  $480.0  $460.0  ($20.0)  (4.2%)  Growth  9.4%  4.8%  (460bps)  EBITDA (Low)  $99.5  $87.0  ($12.5)  (12.6%)  Margin  20.7%  19.2%  (150bps)  EBITDA  (Midpoint)  $99.5  $89.5  ($10.0)  (10.1%)  Margin  20.7%  19.6%  (110bps)  EBITDA (High)  $99.5  $92.0  ($7.5)  (7.5%)  Margin  20.7%  20.0%  (70bps)  Implied Q4(1)  Consensus  Actuals  Δ to Implied  Δ to Consensus  Revenue  $114.5  $114.9  $115.4  0.8%  0.4%  Growth  10.0%  10.3%  10.9%  90bps  60bps  EBITDA  $20.1  $21.2  $26.3  30.8%  24.1%  Margin  17.6%  18.5%  22.8%  520bps  430bps 
 

 (9.6%)  (11.2%)  (14.7%)  (19.3%)  (7.6%)  (8.2%)  (14.1%)  (15.5%)  0.0%-(1.5%)  (1.5%)-(3.0%)  (3.0%)-(4.5%)  (4.5%)-(6.0%)  128  123  193  223  85  88  168  192  Median  0.0%-(1.5%)  (1.5%)-(3.0%)  (3.0%)-(4.5%)  (4.5%)-(6.0%)  (7.6%)  (13.9%)  (15.9%)  (5.0%)  (10.2%)  (17.2%)  0.0%-(1.5%)  (1.5%)-(3.0%)  (3.0%)-(4.5%)  65  143  213  50  105  162  0.0%-(1.5%)  (1.5%)-(3.0%)  (3.0%)-(4.5%)  Technology Universe Guidance Analysis Over The Last 3 Years(1)  Sales Guidance Revision  Source(s): Company Filings, FactSet. Market data as of 1/29/2025. 1. Analysis includes Technology stocks traded on a major exchange with market caps over $500mm and who have reported full year guidance on a quarterly cadence over the past 3 years. 2. Values shown for companies that have revised sales or EBITDA guidance lower for the full year and experienced a negative stock price reaction the following day. Excludes 27 instances when firms have not recovered after 650 days or below 10 days.  EBITDA  Guidance  Revision  Average 1-Day Share Price Reaction(2)  Days to Recover(2)  Average  12  Restricted - External  % Guidance Revision  % Guidance Revision 
 

 Average EV / NTM EBITDA  1 Year  2 Year  3 Year  Peers  13.3x  12.3x  12.5x  -  10.0x  20.0x  30.0x  Oct-21  Apr-22  Nov-22  Virgil  May-23  Jun-24  Jan-25  Dec-23  Peers(1)  4.3x  2.0x  Oct-21 Apr-22 Nov-22 May-23 Dec-23 Jun-24 Jan-25  6.0x  10.0x  14.0x  Multiples Compared to Peers  Source(s): FactSet. Market data as of 1/29/2025. 1. Peers include BILL, FLYW, PAY, ADYEN, PAYO, FOUR, WEX, CPAY, and BL. 2. Excludes multiples below 7x and above 28x over period.  Median EV / NTM Revenue Over Time  Median EV / NTM EBITDA Over Time(2)  6.3x  16.2x  0.0x  Average EV / NTM Revenue  1 Year 2 Year 3 Year  Virgil Peers  4.0x  5.1x  4.0x  5.4x  4.0x  5.8x  12  Restricted - External 
 

 0.0x  10.0x  20.0x  30.0x  40.0x  0%  5%  10%  15%  20%  25%  30%  35%  Payments Companies Regression Analysis  CY25E Revenue Growth  Source(s): FactSet. Market data as of 1/29/2025. Includes 63 companies in Payments space. Values above <0.0x and >85.0x are denoted as “NM” and excluded from the regression.  14  EV/CY25E EBITDA vs CY25E Revenue Growth  21.0x  EV/CY25E EBITDA  10%  (Implied) Multiples  Current  Consensus Guidance (Low) Guidance (Mid) Guidance (High)  18.0x  12.5x  11.6x  10.6x  3% 4% 5%  Restricted - External 
 

 2025 EBITDA  Preliminary Budget(1)  Illustrative Guidance(1)  LRP  Consensus  High  Mid Low  (10.0%) (12.5%)  $90 $87  +4.9%  -  (3.7%)  (7.5%)  (19.6%)  $104  $99  $96  $92  $80  21.0x  $11.21  $10.76  $10.42  $10.07  $9.83  $9.60  $8.95  19.0x  $10.31  $9.90  $9.59  $9.27  $9.06  $8.85  $8.25  17.0x  $9.38  $9.02  $8.74  $8.45  $8.26  $8.07  $7.54  15.0x  $8.46  $8.13  $7.88  $7.63  $7.46  $7.29  $6.82  13.0x  $7.52  $7.24  $7.02  $6.80  $6.65  $6.51  $6.10  11.0x  $6.58  $6.34  $6.16  $5.97  $5.85  $5.73  $5.38  EV / 2025 EBITDA Multiple  2025 Revenue  Preliminary Budget(1)  Illustrative Guidance(1)  LRP  Consensus  High  Mid Low  (4.9%) (5.6%)  $457 $453  +1.4%  -  (3.0%)  (4.2%)  (10.0%)  $487  $480  $465  $460  $432  EV / 2025 Revenue Multiple  4.8x  $11.96  $11.82  $11.51  $11.39  $11.32  $11.24  $10.79  1/29 close  4.3x  $10.88  $10.76  $10.48  $10.38  $10.31  $10.24  $9.84  3.8x  $9.81  $9.70  $9.45  $9.36  $9.30  $9.24  $8.88  3.3x  $8.73  $8.63  $8.42  $8.34  $8.28  $8.23  $7.92  2.8x  $7.64  $7.56  $7.37  $7.31  $7.26  $7.22  $6.95  2.3x  $6.55  $6.48  $6.33  $6.27  $6.23  $6.20  $5.98  Illustrative Virgil Share Price Sensitivity  Preliminary Share Price Sensitivity  EV / 2025 EBITDA Multiple  EV / 2025 Revenue Multiple  Current Multiple Implied by Consensus  % Delta vs. Consensus:  Source(s): Company Filings, Management Estimates, Broker Research as of 1/29/2025. 1. Based on discussions with management.  15  1/29 close  Current Multiple Implied by Consensus  Restricted - External 
 

 Disclaimer  Restricted - External  The following pages contain material that was provided to the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Virgil (the “Company”) by Barclays Capital Inc. (“Barclays”). The accompanying material and any Barclays presentation related to the material was compiled or prepared on a confidential basis solely for consideration by the Board and no part of it may be reproduced, distributed or transmitted without the prior written consent of Barclays. The information contained in this material was obtained from the Company[, the counterparty] and/or publicly available sources, and Barclays has relied upon such information without independent verification thereof and does not assume any liability for any such information. These materials are being provided in connection with an actual corporate engagement and may not be used or relied upon for any purpose other than as specifically contemplated by a written agreement with Barclays. 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