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Fair Value
3 Months Ended 12 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2023
Dec. 31, 2022
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]    
Fair Value Fair Value
The following table presents the Company’s fair value hierarchy for its assets and liabilities measured at fair value as of March 31, 2023 and December 31, 2022 (in thousands):
Fair Value Measurement as of
March 31, 2023
Level 1Level 2Level 3Total
Assets:
Cash equivalents$31,397 $— $— $31,397 
Prepaid forward contract— — 15,954 15,954
Total assets
$31,397 $— $15,954 $47,351 
Liabilities:
Fixed Maturity Consideration$— $— $6,967 $6,967 
Shortfall Warrants— — 5,104 5,104 
Brookfield SAFE liability— — 19,400 19,400 
Private placement warrants— — 2,626 2,626 
Public warrants2,189 — — 2,189 
Total liabilities
$2,189 $— $34,097 $36,286 
Fair Value Measurement as of
 December 31, 2022
 Level 1 Level 2 Level 3Total
Assets:
Cash equivalents$523 $— $— $523 
Liabilities:
Warrants on preferred shares— — 2,119 2,119 
Brookfield SAFE liability— — 50,000 50,000 
AM SAFE warrant— — 1,989 1,989 
AM SAFE liability— — 28,986 28,986 
Total Liabilities
$— $— $83,094 $83,094 
Forward Purchase Agreement
The fair value upon issuance of the FPA (both the prepaid forward contract and Fixed Maturity Consideration) and the change in fair value from issuance to March 31, 2023 is included in other expense, net in the condensed consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive loss. The fair value of the FPA was estimated using a Monte-Carlo Simulation in a risk-neutral framework. Specifically, the future stock price is simulated assuming a Geometric Brownian Motion (“GBM”). For each simulated path, the forward purchase value is calculated based on the contractual terms and then discounted back to present. Finally, the value of the forward is calculated as the average present value over all simulated paths. The Fixed Maturity Consideration was also valued as part of this model as the timing of the payment of the Fixed Maturity Consideration may be accelerated if the Maturity Date is accelerated.
The following table represents the weighted average inputs used in calculating the fair value of the prepaid forward contract and the Fixed Maturity Consideration as of March 31, 2023:
March 31, 2023
Stock price$3.88
Term (in years)2.86
Expected volatility55.0 %
Risk-free interest rate3.81 %
Expected dividend yield— %
Warrants on preferred shares
The fair value of the warrants on preferred shares was estimated using a Black-Scholes option pricing model. Since the warrants were exercised on February 8, 2023 (see Note 8 - Warrants, for a description of the valuation on
that date), the following table represents the weighted average inputs used in calculating the fair value of the preferred share warrants outstanding as of December 31, 2022:
December 31, 2022
Stock price$5.21
Weighted average exercise price$3.96
Term (in years)1.1
Expected volatility73.4 %
Risk-free interest rate4.47 %
Expected dividend yield— %
Shortfall Warrants
The fair value of the Shortfall Warrants was estimated using a Black-Scholes option pricing model. The following table represents the weighted average inputs used in calculating the fair value of the Shortfall Warrants outstanding as of March 31, 2023:
March 31, 2023
Stock price$3.88
Weighted average exercise price$10.00
Term (in years)5.0
Expected volatility68.0 %
Risk-free interest rate3.59 %
Expected dividend yield— %
SAFE Liabilities and AM SAFE Warrant
The change in fair value between reporting periods for the Brookfield SAFE liability is included in other expense, net in the condensed consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive loss for the three months ended March 31, 2023. The change in fair value between December 31, 2022 and the Closing Date for the AM SAFE liability is included in other expense, net in the condensed consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive loss for the three months ended March 31, 2023. See Note 7 - AM SAFE for more details. See Note 8 - Warrants for further details on the AM SAFE warrant.
The Company’s AM SAFE liability (until conversion to shares on the Closing Date), AM SAFE warrant (until conversion to an equity classified warrant on the Closing Date) and Brookfield SAFE liability are mark-to-market liabilities and are classified within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy as the Company is using a scenario-based approach which allowed the Company to estimate the implied value of the business based on the terms of the SAFE. Significant unobservable inputs included probability and expected term. Probability was based upon the likelihood of the Company closing a transaction with a special purpose acquisition company. The expected term was based on the anticipated time until the SAFE investments would have a conversion event.
At conversion, the AM SAFE liability was valued as described in Note 7 - AM SAFE. Significant inputs for Level 3 AM SAFE liability fair value measurement at December 31, 2022 are as follows:
Near TermLong-Term
Key assumptions:
Probability weighting61 %39 %
Time to conversion (in years)0.10.8
Liquidity price100 %90 %
Discount rate24.7 %24.7 %
At conversion to equity classification on February 8, 2023, the AM SAFE warrant was valued using a Black-Scholes option pricing model as the warrant became exercisable for a fixed number of shares at a fixed price as described in Note 8 - Warrants. The following table represents the weighted average inputs used in calculating the fair value of the preferred share warrants outstanding at conversion to equity on February 8, 2023:
February 8, 2023
Stock price$9.91
Term (in years)5.00
Expected volatility70.0 %
Risk-free interest rate3.82 %
Expected dividend yield— %
Significant inputs for Level 3 AM SAFE warrant fair value measurement at December 31, 2022 are as follows:
Near TermLong-Term
Key assumptions:
Probability weighting61 %39 %
Remaining life (in years)5.05.0
Volatility75 %75 %
Interest rate3.99 %3.99 %
Time to conversion (in years)0.10.8
Risk-free interest rate4.12 %4.75 %
Dividend yield— %— %
Significant inputs for Level 3 Brookfield SAFE liability fair value measurement at December 31, 2022 are the timing and likelihood of project financings under the Brookfield Framework Agreement. The Brookfield SAFE is legal form debt that the Company has elected to measure using the FVO under ASC 825. As of March 31, 2023, no part of the Brookfield SAFE has converted to Company common shares as a qualifying financing had not yet occurred and no project investments were presented. There were no cash flows associated with the Brookfield SAFE in the three months ended March 31, 2023.
As of its issuance date, the fair value of the Brookfield SAFE is equal to the investment amount of $50,000 based on the orderly nature of the transaction. The value as of December 31, 2022 remains the same due to the proximity of the valuation date to the issuance date (i.e., less than two months) and the absence of events which would indicate a change in expected payoffs to the investor. As of December 31, 2022 the same expectations about sufficient projects meeting the agreed-upon investment criteria pursuant to the Brookfield Framework Agreement are maintained. As such the Brookfield SAFE’s fair value is estimated to be $50,000, as of December 31, 2022.
As of March 31, 2023, the Company expects to present sufficient projects to Brookfield to result in the Brookfield SAFE being automatically converted into shares. Since the liquidity price is not expected to change
during the life of the Brookfield SAFE, the number of shares that Brookfield receives is fixed. Based on this expectation, the value of the Brookfield SAFE is equal to the Brookfield SAFE's as-converted value, which is the initial purchase amount, divided by the liquidity price, times the stock price, resulting in an estimated fair value of $19,400 recorded on the condensed consolidated balance sheet.
Significant inputs for Level 3 Brookfield SAFE measurement at March 31, 2023 are as follows:
March 31, 2023
Initial purchase amount$50,000 
Liquidity price10.00 
Stock price3.88 
Public Warrants and Private Placement Warrants
For the Public Warrants, the Company uses inputs such as actual trade data, quoted market prices from dealers or brokers, and other similar sources to determine the fair value and recognized a decrease in the fair value of the liability of approximately $286 on the condensed consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive loss within other expense, net representing the change in fair value from the Closing Date to March 31, 2023.
The fair value of the Private Placement Warrants was estimated using a Black-Scholes option pricing model. For the three months ended March 31, 2023, the Company recognized an increase in the fair value of liabilities of approximately $477 on the condensed consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive loss within other expense, net representing the change in fair value from the Closing Date to March 31, 2023.
The following table represents the weighted average inputs used in calculating the fair value of the Private Placement Warrants outstanding as of March 31, 2023 and at the time of the Business Combination:
March 31, 2023February 8, 2023
Stock price$3.88$9.91
Exercise price$11.50$11.50
Term (in years)4.865.00
Expected volatility45.0 %2.0 %
Risk-free interest rate3.60 %3.82 %
Expected dividend yield— %— %
The following tables represent reconciliations of the fair value measurements of the assets and liabilities using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) (in thousands):
Prepaid forward contractFixed Maturity ConsiderationShortfall WarrantsWarrants on Preferred SharesAM SAFE liabilityAM SAFE warrantBrookfield SAFEPrivate placement warrants
Balance as of January 1, 2023$— $— $— $(2,119)$(28,986)$(1,989)$(50,000)$— 
Recognized as a result of the Business Combination— — — — — — — (2,148)
Initial Prepayment Amount60,096 — — — 
(Loss) gain recognized in other expense, net on the condensed consolidated statement of operations and comprehensive loss(44,142)(6,967)(5,104)(3,770)(744)189 30,600 (477)
Conversion of warrants to preferred shares— — — 5,889 — — — — 
Conversion of SAFE liability— — — — 29,730 — — — 
Conversion of AM SAFE warrant to equity classification— — — — — 1,800 — — 
Balance as of March 31, 2023$15,954 $(6,967)$(5,104)$— $— $— $(19,400)$(2,625)
Warrants on Preferred SharesAM SAFE liabilityAM SAFE warrant
Balance as of January 1, 2022$(1,145)$(28,271)$(1,729)
Gain (loss) recognized in other expense, net on the condensed consolidated statement of operations and comprehensive loss41 148 (129)
Balance as of March 31, 2022$(1,104)$(28,123)$(1,858)
Fair Value
The following table presents the Company’s fair value hierarchy for its assets and liabilities measured at fair value as of December 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021 (in thousands):
Fair Value Measurement as of
December 31, 2022
Level 1Level 2Level 3Total
Assets:
Cash equivalents$523 $— $— $523 
Liabilities:
Warrants on preferred shares$— $— $2,119 $2,119 
Brookfield SAFE liability— — 50,000 50,000 
AM SAFE warrant— — 1,989 1,989 
AM SAFE liability— — 28,986 28,986 
Total liabilities
$— $— $83,094 $83,094 
Fair Value Measurement as of
 December 31, 2021
 Level 1 Level 2 Level 3Total
Assets:
Cash equivalents$516 $— $— $516 
Liabilities:
Warrants— — 1,145 $1,145 
AM SAFE warrant— — 1,729 1,729 
AM SAFE liability— — 28,271 28,271 
Total Liabilities
$— $— $31,145 $31,145 
Warrants
The Company has warrants to purchase preferred shares outstanding as of December 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021 representing 985,278 preferred shares, for each period respectively, which warrants expire at various dates through December 31, 2027. The exercise prices of the warrants range from $3.36 to $4.56 as of each of December 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021.
The warrants are accounted for as liabilities in accordance with ASC 480, and are presented within other accrued liabilities on the consolidated balance sheets. The warrant liabilities are measured at fair value at inception and on a recurring basis, with changes in fair value presented within the consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive loss.
The fair value of the warrants was calculated using the Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model. For the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021, the Company recognized a change in the fair value of liabilities of approximately $(974) and $(563), respectively, on the consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive loss within other expense, net.
The estimated fair value of the warrants is determined using Level 3 inputs. Inherent in the Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model are assumptions related to expected stock-price volatility, expected life, risk-free interest rate and dividend yield. The Company estimates the volatility of its warrants based on implied volatility from the Company’s warrants and from historical volatility of select peer companies that match the expected remaining life of the warrants. The risk-free interest rate is based on the U.S. Treasury zero-coupon yield curve on the grant date for a maturity similar to the expected remaining life of the warrants. The expected life of the warrants is assumed to be equivalent to their remaining contractual term. The dividend rate is based on the historical rate, which the Company anticipates remaining at zero.
The following table represents the weighted average inputs used in calculating the fair value of the preferred share warrants outstanding as of December 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021:
December 31, 2022December 31, 2021
Stock price$5.21 $3.15 
Weighted average exercise price3.96 3.96 
Term (in years)1.12.8
Expected volatility73.4 %70.6 %
Risk-free interest rate4.5 %0.8 %
Expected dividend yield— %— %
SAFE Liabilities and AM SAFE Warrant
The change in fair value between reporting periods for both the SAFE liabilities and SAFE warrant is included in other expense, net in the consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive loss.
The Company’s AM SAFE liability, Brookfield SAFE liability and AM SAFE warrant are mark-to-market liabilities and are classified within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy as the Company is using a scenario-based approach which allowed the Company to estimate the implied value of the business based on the terms of the SAFE. Significant unobservable inputs included probability and expected term. Probability is based upon the likelihood of the Company closing a transaction with a special purpose acquisition company. The expected term was based on the anticipated time until the SAFE investments would have a conversion event.
Significant inputs for Level 3 AM SAFE liability fair value measurement at December 31, 2022 are as follows:
Near TermLong-Term
Key assumptions:
Probability weighting61 %39 %
Time to conversion (in years)0.10.8
Liquidity price100 %90 %
Discount rate24.7 %24.7 %
Significant inputs for Level 3 SAFE warrant fair value measurement at December 31, 2022 are as follows:
Near TermLong-Term
Key assumptions:
Probability weighting61 %39 %
Remaining life (in years)5.05.0
Volatility75 %75 %
Interest rate3.99 %3.99 %
Time to conversion (in years)0.10.8
Risk-free interest rate4.12 %4.75 %
Dividend yield— %— %
Significant inputs for Level 3 Brookfield SAFE liability fair value measurement at December 31, 2022 are the timing and likelihood of project financings under the Brookfield Framework Agreement. As of its issuance date, the fair value of the Brookfield SAFE is equal to the investment amount of $50,000 based on the orderly nature of the transaction. The value as of December 31, 2022 remains the same due to the proximity of the valuation date to the issuance date (i.e., less than two months) and the absence of events which would indicate a change in expected payoffs to the investor. As of December 31, 2022 the same expectations about sufficient projects meeting the agreed-upon investment criteria pursuant to the Brookfield Framework Agreement are maintained. As such the Brookfield SAFE’s fair value is estimated to be $50,000, as of December 31, 2022.
The following tables represent reconciliations of the fair value measurements of the liabilities associated with our SAFE and warrant obligations using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) (in thousands):
WarrantsAM SAFE liabilityAM SAFE warrantBrookfield SAFE
Balance as of January 1, 2022$1,145 $28,271 $1,729 $— 
Issuance of Brookfield SAFE liability— — — 50,000 
Loss recognized in consolidated statement of operations and comprehensive loss974 715 260 $— 
Balance as of December 31, 2022$2,119 $28,986 $1,989 $50,000 
WarrantsAM SAFE liabilityAM SAFE warrantBrookfield SAFE
Balance as of January 1, 2021$582 $— $— $— 
Issuance of SAFE liability and warrant— 28,271 1,729 — 
Loss recognized in consolidated statement of operations and comprehensive loss563 — — — 
Balance as of December 31, 2021$1,145 $28,271 $1,729 $—