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Financial Guarantee Liability
9 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2020
Guarantees [Abstract]  
Financial Guarantee Liability Financial Guarantee Liability
Newmark shares risk of loss for loans originated under the Fannie Mae DUS and Freddie TAH programs and could incur losses in the event of defaults under or foreclosure of these loans. Under the loss-share guarantee, Newmark’s maximum liability to the extent of actual losses incurred is approximately 33% of the outstanding principal balance on Fannie Mae DUS or Freddie TAH loans. Risk-sharing percentages are established on a loan-by-loan basis when originated, with most loans at 33% and “modified” loans at lower percentages. Under certain circumstances, risk-sharing percentages can be revised subsequent to origination or Newmark could be required to repurchase the loan. In the event of a loss resulting from a catastrophic event that is not required to be covered by borrowers’ insurance policies, Newmark can recover the loss under its mortgage impairment insurance policy. Any potential recovery is subject to the policy’s deductibles and limits.

At September 30, 2020, the credit risk loans being serviced by Newmark on behalf of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac had outstanding principal balances of $22.7 billion with a maximum potential loss of $6.7 billion, of which $9.6 million is covered by the Credit Enhancement Agreement. At December 31, 2019, the credit risk loans being serviced by Newmark on behalf of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac had outstanding principal balances of approximately $20.2 billion with a maximum potential loss of approximately and $5.8 billion, of which and $9.8 million was covered by the Credit Enhancement Agreement (see Note 12 — “Credit Enhancement Receivable, Credit Enhancement Deposit and Contingent Liability”).

Newmark’s current estimate of expected credit losses considers various factors, including, without being limited to, historical default and losses, current delinquency status, loan size, terms, amortization types, the forward-looking view of the primary risk drivers (debt-service coverage ratio and loan-to-value) based on forecasts of economic conditions and local market performance. During the nine months ended September 30, 2020 there was an increase in the reserve by $14.7 million. There was no increase in the reserve for the three months ended September 30, 2020. A loan is considered to be delinquent once it is 60 days past due. As of September 30, 2020, there were four loans in the credit risk portfolio with outstanding principal balances of $53.5 million, with a maximum loss exposure of $17.8 million, that were delinquent. If all four delinquent loans resulted in a loss event, proceeds from the liquidation of assets are estimated to approximate $41.7 million based on current estimates of fair value. Newmark’s share of the loss would approximate $6.0 million.

The provisions for risk-sharing were included in “Operating, administrative and other” on the accompanying unaudited condensed consolidated statements of operations as follows (in thousands):
Balance, January 1, 2019$15 
Impact of adopting ASC 32617,935 
Balance, January 1, 2020$17,950 
Provision for expected credit losses14,702 
Balance, September 30, 2020$32,652