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Fair Value of Financial Assets and Liabilities
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2020
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
Fair Value of Financial Assets and Liabilities . GAAP guidance establishes a fair value hierarchy that prioritizes the inputs to valuation techniques used to measure fair value. The hierarchy gives the highest priority to unadjusted quoted prices in active markets for identical assets and liabilities (Level 1 measurements) and the lowest priority to unobservable inputs (Level 3 measurements). The three levels of the fair value hierarchy are as follows:
Level 1 measurements—Unadjusted quoted prices in active markets that are accessible at the measurement date for identical, unrestricted assets or liabilities.
Level 2 measurements—Quoted prices in markets that are not active or financial instruments for which all significant inputs are observable, either directly or indirectly.
Level 3 measurements—Prices or valuations that require inputs that are both significant to the fair value measurement and unobservable.

As required by U.S. GAAP guidance, assets and liabilities are classified in their entirety based on the lowest level of input that is significant to the fair value measurement. The following table sets forth by level within the fair value hierarchy financial assets and liabilities accounted for at fair value under U.S. GAAP guidance (in thousands):
 
As of March 31, 2020
 
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
Total
Assets:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Nasdaq Forwards
$

 
$

 
$
47,675

 
$
47,675

Loans held for sale, at fair value

 
739,383

 

 
739,383

Rate lock commitments

 

 
58,752

 
58,752

Forward sale contracts

 

 
229

 
229

Total
$

 
$
739,383

 
$
106,656

 
$
846,039

Liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Contingent consideration
$

 
$

 
$
33,337

 
$
33,337

Forward sale contracts

 

 
77,909

 
77,909

Total
$

 
$

 
$
111,246

 
$
111,246

 
As of December 31, 2019
 
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
Total
Assets:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Marketable securities
$
36,795

 
$

 
$

 
$
36,795

Nasdaq Forwards

 

 
26,502

 
26,502

Loans held for sale, at fair value

 
215,290

 

 
215,290

Rate lock commitments

 

 
32,035

 
32,035

Forward sale contracts

 

 
14,389

 
14,389

Total
$
36,795

 
$
215,290

 
$
72,926

 
$
325,011

Liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Contingent consideration
$

 
$

 
$
45,172

 
$
45,172

Rate lock commitments

 

 
12,124

 
12,124

Forwards sale contracts

 

 
13,537

 
13,537

Total
$

 
$

 
$
70,833

 
$
70,833


 
There were no transfers among Level 1, Level 2 and Level 3 for the three months ended March 31, 2020 and 2019.

Level 3 Financial Assets and Liabilities: Changes in Level 3 Nasdaq Forwards, rate lock commitments, forward sale contracts and contingent consideration measured at fair value on recurring basis were as follows (in thousands):  
 
As of March 31, 2020
 
Opening
Balance
 
Total realized
and unrealized
gains (losses)
included in
Net income
 
Issuances
 
Settlements
 
Closing
Balance
 
Unrealized
gains (losses)
outstanding
as of
March 31,
2020
Assets:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Rate lock commitments
$
32,035

 
$
58,752

 
$

 
$
(32,035
)
 
$
58,752

 
$
58,752

Forward sale contracts
14,389

 
229

 

 
(14,389
)
 
229

 
229

Nasdaq Forwards
26,502

 
21,173

 

 

 
47,675

 
47,675

Total
$
72,926

 
$
80,154

 
$

 
$
(46,424
)
 
$
106,656

 
$
106,656

 
Opening
Balance
 
Total realized
and unrealized
(gains) losses
included in
Net income
 
Issuances
 
Settlements
 
Closing
Balance
 
Unrealized
(gains) losses
outstanding
as of
March 31,
2020
Liabilities:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Contingent consideration
$
45,172

 
$
(12,113
)
 
$
2,221

 
$
(1,943
)
 
$
33,337

 
$
700

Rate lock commitments
12,124

 

 


 
(12,124
)
 

 

Forward sale contracts
13,537

 
77,909

 

 
(13,537
)
 
77,909

 
77,909

Total
$
70,833

 
$
65,796

 
$
2,221

 
$
(27,604
)
 
$
111,246

 
$
78,609

 

 
As of December 31, 2019
 
Opening
Balance
 
Total realized
and unrealized
gains (losses)
included in
Net income
 
Issuances
 
Settlements
 
Closing
Balance
 
Unrealized
gains (losses)
outstanding
as of
December 31,
2019
Assets:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Rate lock commitments
$
6,732

 
$
32,035

 
$

 
$
(6,732
)
 
$
32,035

 
$
32,035

Forward sale contracts
8,177

 
14,389

 

 
(8,177
)
 
14,389

 
14,389

Nasdaq Forwards
77,619

 
(51,117
)
 

 

 
26,502

 
26,502

Total
$
92,528

 
$
(4,693
)
 
$

 
$
(14,909
)
 
$
72,926

 
$
72,926

 
Opening
Balance
 
Total realized
and unrealized
(gains) losses
included in
Net income
 
Issuances
 
Settlements
 
Closing
Balance
 
Unrealized
(gains) losses
outstanding
as of
December 31,
2019
Liabilities:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Contingent consideration
$
32,551

 
$
2,287

 
$
14,957

 
$
(4,623
)
 
$
45,172

 
$
2,287

Rate lock commitments
7,470

 
12,124

 

 
(7,470
)
 
12,124

 
12,124

Forward sale contracts
9,208

 
13,537

 

 
(9,208
)
 
13,537

 
13,537

Total
$
49,229

 
$
27,948

 
$
14,957

 
$
(21,301
)
 
$
70,833

 
$
27,948

 

Quantitative Information About Level 3 Fair Value Measurements
The following tables present quantitative information about the significant unobservable inputs utilized by Newmark in the fair value measurement of Level 3 assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis:
March 31, 2020
Level 3 assets and liabilities
 
Assets
 
Liabilities
 
Significant Unobservable
Inputs
 
Range
 
Weighted
Average
Accounts payable, accrued expenses and other liabilities:
 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
Contingent consideration
 
$

 
$
33,337

 
Discount rate
 
0.3%-10.4%
(1) 
7.5%
 
 
 
 
 
 
Probability of meeting earnout and contingencies
 
0%-100%
(1) 
92.1%
 
 
 
 
 
 
Financial forecast information
 
 
 
 
Derivative assets and liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Nasdaq Forwards
 
$
47,675

 
$

 
Implied volatility
 
35.8% - 40.9%
(2) 
39.8%
Forward sale contracts
 
$
229

 
$
77,909

 
Counterparty credit risk
 
N/A
 
N/A
Rate lock commitments
 
$
58,752

 
$

 
Counterparty credit risk
 
N/A
 
N/A
December 31, 2019
Level 3 assets and liabilities
 
Assets
 
Liabilities
 
Significant Unobservable
Inputs
 
Range
 
Weighted
Average
Accounts payable, accrued expenses and other liabilities:
 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
Contingent consideration
 
$

 
$
45,172

 
Discount rate
 
0.3%-10.4%
 
8.6%
 
 
 
 
 
 
Probability of meeting earnout and contingencies
 
90%-100%
(1) 
98.1%
 
 
 
 
 
 
Financial forecast information
 
 
 
 
Derivative assets and liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Nasdaq Forwards
 
$
26,502

 
$

 
Implied volatility
 
25.7%-34.8%
(2) 
32.2%
Forward sale contracts
 
$
14,389

 
$
13,537

 
Counterparty credit risk
 
N/A
 
N/A
Rate lock commitments
 
$
32,035

 
$
12,124

 
Counterparty credit risk
 
N/A
 
N/A
 
(1) 
Newmark’s estimate of contingent consideration as of March 31, 2020 and December 31, 2019 was based on the acquired business’ projected future financial performance, including revenues.
(2)The volatility of Newmark’s Nasdaq Forwards is primarily based on the volatility of the underlying Nasdaq stock price.

Valuation Processes - Level 3 Measurements
Both the rate lock commitments to borrowers and the forward sale contracts to investors are derivatives and, accordingly, are marked to fair value on the accompanying unaudited condensed consolidated statements of operations. The fair value of Newmark’s rate lock commitments to borrowers and loans held for sale and the related input levels includes, as applicable:
The assumed gain/loss of the expected loan sale to the investor, net of employee benefits;
The expected net future cash flows associated with servicing the loan;
The effects of interest rate movements between the date of the rate lock and the balance sheet date; and
The nonperformance risk of both the counterparty and Newmark.
The fair value of Newmark’s forward sales contracts to investors considers effects of interest rate movements between the trade date and the balance sheet date. The market price changes are multiplied by the notional amount of the forward sales contracts to measure the fair value.

The fair value of Newmark’s rate lock commitments and forward sale contracts is adjusted to reflect the risk that the agreement will not be fulfilled. Newmark’s exposure to nonperformance in rate lock and forward sale contracts is represented by the contractual amount of those instruments. Given the credit quality of Newmark’s counterparties, the short duration of rate lock commitments and forward sales contracts, and Newmark’s historical experience with the agreements, management does not believe the risk of nonperformance by Newmark’s counterparties to be significant.

The Nasdaq Forwards are derivatives and, accordingly, are marked to fair value on the accompanying unaudited condensed consolidated statements of operations.  The fair value of the Nasdaq Forwards is determined utilizing the following inputs, as applicable:
The underlying number of shares and the related strike price;
The maturity date; and
The implied volatility of Nasdaq’s stock price.
The fair value of Newmark’s Nasdaq Forwards considers the effects of Nasdaq’s stock price volatility between the balance sheet date and the maturity date. The fair value is determined by the use of a Black-Scholes put option valuation model.

Information About Uncertainty of Level 3 Fair Value Measurements
The significant unobservable inputs used in the fair value of Newmark’s contingent consideration are the discount rate and forecasted financial information. Significant increases (decreases) in the discount rate would have resulted in a significantly lower (higher) fair value measurement. Significant increases (decreases) in the forecasted financial information would have resulted in a significantly higher (lower) fair value measurement. As of March 31, 2020 and December 31, 2019, the present value of expected payments related to Newmark’s contingent consideration was $33.3 million and $45.2 million, respectively (see Note 31 — “Commitments and Contingencies”). As of March 31, 2020 and December 31, 2019, the undiscounted value of the payments, assuming that all contingencies are met, would be $59.2 million and $66.4 million, respectively.

Fair Value Measurements on a Non-Recurring Basis
Equity investments carried under the measurement alternative are remeasured at fair value on a non-recurring basis to reflect observable transactions which occurred during the period. Newmark applied the measurement alternative to equity securities with the fair value of $77.3 million and $94.1 million, which were included in “Other assets” on the accompanying unaudited condensed consolidated balance sheets as of March 31, 2020 and December 31, 2019, respectively. These investments are classified within Level 2 in the fair value hierarchy, because their estimated fair value is based on valuation methods using the observable transaction price at the transaction date.