EX-99.03 4 tm2034111d1_ex99-03.htm EXHIBIT 99.03

 

Exhibit 99.03

 

 

 

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

Three and nine months ended September 30, 2020

 

 

Amounts in United States dollars

 

 

 

 

ORLA MINING LTD.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

Three and nine months ended September 30, 2020  United States dollars unless otherwise stated

 

I.            Overview

 

Orla Mining Ltd. is a mineral exploration and development company which trades on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol OLA. The “Company”, “Orla”, “we”, and “our” refer to Orla Mining Ltd. and its subsidiaries.

 

Our corporate strategy is to acquire, develop and operate mineral properties where our expertise can substantially increase shareholder value. We have two material gold projects with near-term production potential based on open pit mining and heap leaching – the Camino Rojo Oxide Gold Project located in Zacatecas State, Mexico, and the Cerro Quema Gold Project located in Los Santos Province, Panama.

 

This Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) of the financial condition and results of operations of the Company should be read in conjunction with our condensed consolidated interim financial statements for the quarter end September 30, 2020. You can find additional information regarding the Company, including our Annual Information Form, on SEDAR1 under the Company’s profile at www.sedar.com.

 

All monetary amounts herein are expressed in United States dollars ($ or US$) unless otherwise stated. C$ refers to Canadian dollars.

 

This MD&A is current as of November 12, 2020.

 

Hans Smit, P.Geo, is the Qualified Person, as the term is defined in National Instrument 43-101 (“NI 43-101”). He has reviewed and approved the technical information disclosed in this MD&A.

 

II.            HIGHLIGHTS

 

During the quarter ended September 30, 2020, and to the date of this MD&A:

 

A.CAMINO ROJO OXIDE PROJECT DEVELOPMENT

 

·During the quarter, the Company’s Environmental Impact Statement (“Manifestos de Impacto Ambiental” or “MIA”) was granted approval from the Mexican Federal Environmental Department ("SEMARNAT") for the development of the Camino Rojo Oxide Gold Project (“Camino Rojo”) located in Zacatecas State, Mexico.

 

·Current construction activities include mobilization of the earthworks contractor, installation of the construction camp and offices, drilling water wells and site fence erection. The power line to site has been approved by the federal electricity commission and construction is currently underway ahead of schedule.

 

·The next phase of construction will be the earthworks. As a condition of the MIA, Orla submitted a Technical Economic Study to SEMARNAT on August 27, 2020. SEMARNAT is reviewing this Technical Economic Study, and upon acceptance, they will determine the amount of the environmental bond required to be placed. Earthworks can commence once we place the required environmental bond.

 

·At September 30, 2020, detailed engineering was 87% complete and amounts committed for equipment and contracts totaled $77 million to date.

 

·Major contracts for earth moving and civil works have been awarded. Earthworks can start once the required environmental bond is in place.

 

·Process plant equipment, including crusher and conveyors, is expected to start arriving on site in November 2020.

 

 

1 SEDAR is the System for Electronic Document Analysis and Retrieval, a filing system operated by the Canadian Securities Administrators, accessible at: www.sedar.com

 

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ORLA MINING LTD.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

Three and nine months ended September 30, 2020  United States dollars unless otherwise stated

 

B.Financing and Corporate

 

·The receipt of the MIA satisfied one of the key conditions precedent to the drawdown of the remaining $100 million available on the previously announced $125 million project finance facility (“Credit Facility”).

 

·Cash and cash equivalents balance on September 30, 2020 of $42 million.

 

·Drawdown of $50 million for the second tranche of the Credit Facility occurred on October 30, 2020.

 

·Appointed Sean Spraggett as the General Manager, Panama, in July 2020.

 

·Appointed Sylvain Guerard as the Senior Vice President, Exploration, in August 2020.

 

C.Exploration and Other Project Development

 

·A trenching program was completed in Mexico during the third quarter while a 6,000-meter reverse circulation (“RC”) drill program is 50% complete. Drilling will continue in the fourth quarter. A geophysics program consisting of 238 kilometres (“km”) of induced polarization (“IP”) lines was started and will continue in the fourth quarter.

 

·In Panama, the Company continued work on the Cerro Quema Pre-Feasibility Study update. Specific ongoing workflows include resource modelling, process and metallurgy design, geotechnical drilling, hydrology testing, and environmental study and review. The geotechnical drilling to support the study began during the third quarter.

 

·A regional exploration drilling program in Panama is planned for the fourth quarter and will focus on the areas of La Pelona, Sombrero, Idaida and Caballito. Resource work continues on the Caballito copper-gold discovery.

 

COVID-19 Global health emergency

 

The global outbreak of the novel coronavirus (“COVID-19”) in 2020 has had a significant impact on businesses through restrictions put in place by governments around the world, including the jurisdictions in which we conduct our business. Our activities have been restricted by government orders related to, among others, travel, business operations, and stay-at-home orders. As of the date of this MD&A, it is not possible to determine the extent of the impact that this global health emergency will have on our activities as the impacts will depend on future developments which themselves are highly uncertain and cannot be predicted with confidence. These uncertainties arise from the inability to predict the ultimate geographic spread of the disease, its extent and intensity, the duration of the outbreak, and possible government, societal, and individual responses to the situation.

 

On March 20, 2020, Orla suspended all activities at the Camino Rojo and Cerro Quema projects due to government mandated stay-at-home orders issued in response to the COVID-19 Global Health Emergency. Both operations have established COVID-19 committees that meet regularly to discuss operational protocols and safety measures and update as necessary.

 

Authorization to resume activities at Camino Rojo was received from the Mexican health authorities on May 23, 2020 after a plan was presented and all requirements had been met for a safe return to work. Government offices have resumed reviewing permit applications, although at a reduced capacity. Procurement and detailed engineering work continue on a remote basis. However, should there be changes to the current situation, our construction schedule and consequently our timing to production may be affected.

 

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ORLA MINING LTD.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

Three and nine months ended September 30, 2020       United States dollars unless otherwise stated

 

On June 1, 2020, the Panamanian government announced Block 2 of re-opening, which includes the mining industry. We submitted COVID-19 protocols for the re-opening of site operations and on July 8, 2020 we received approval from the Ministry of Health of Panama for a gradual re-opening of activities. In September 2020 the government moved to Block 4 of its reopening plan, lifting in-country travel restrictions, allowing hotels to open and domestic air travel. On October 12, 2020 international travel resumed. Exploration activities restarted in September 2020 and drilling started in October.

 

Return-to-work plans and protocols have been implemented at Cerro Quema, Panama, and Camino Rojo, Mexico, and approved by the health authorities. The Company has implemented strict COVID-19 protocols, including rigorous screening and testing programs at the site operations.

 

We continue to maintain robust organization-wide COVID-19 prevention protocols to support the health of our employees and local communities. Orla is closely monitoring the potential impacts from the pandemic on areas including equipment delivery and logistics, construction costs and schedule, as well as community and government relations.

 

III.            OUTLOOK AND UPCOMING MILESTONES

 

We remain focused on advancing the Company’s strategic objectives and near-term milestones, which include the following:

 

·Continue to maintain robust organization-wide COVID-19 prevention protocols to support the health of our employees and local communities.

 

·Continue safe and controlled mobilization at Camino Rojo as part of project construction.

 

·Complete Layback Agreement with Fresnillo for the Camino Rojo Oxide Project.

 

·Advance exploration programs at Camino Rojo and Cerro Quema.

 

·Progress Camino Rojo Sulphide Project studies.

 

·Update the Pre-Feasibility Study at Cerro Quema Oxide Project.

 

·Release a maiden mineral resource estimate for the Caballito discovery at Cerro Quema in Panama.

 

IV.            DISCUSSION OF OPERATIONS

 

A.Camino Rojo, Mexico

 

Project Description and History

 

The Camino Rojo Project lies 190 km NE of the city of Zacatecas, 48 km S-SW of the town of Concepcion del Oro, and 54 km S-SE of Newmont Corporation’s (“Newmont”) Peñasquito Mine and consists of seven concessions covering in aggregate 163,127 hectares. Camino Rojo is comprised of a near-surface oxide gold and silver deposit, a deeper sulphide zone containing gold, silver, zinc and lead mineralization, and a large area with untested exploration potential.

 

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ORLA MINING LTD.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

Three and nine months ended September 30, 2020       United States dollars unless otherwise stated

 

Canplats Resources Corporation (“Canplats”) initially discovered gold-silver mineralization at Camino Rojo in 2007, and subsequently completed 39,725 metres of drilling, largely delineating the shallow oxide mineralization. Canplats also carried out metallurgical studies prior to being acquired by Newmont in 2010. Newmont then completed more than 250,000 metres of drilling, conducted airborne and ground geophysical surveys, did extensive geological and mineralogical investigations, and conducted numerous metallurgical studies, which included detailed mineralogical studies, column leach tests on oxide material, size fraction analysis, variability test work and sulphide flotation studies.

 

The Ejido San Tiburcio holds the surface rights over the main area of known mineralization. Exploration has been carried out under the authority of agreements between the project operators and the Ejido San Tiburcio. There is a 30-year temporary occupation agreement in place with the Ejido San Tiburcio, with the right to expropriate, covering all the area of the mineral resource and area of potential development described in the “Feasibility Study, NI 43-101 Technical Report on the Camino Rojo Gold Project Municipality of Mazapil, Zacatecas, Mexico” dated effective June 25, 2019 (the “Camino Rojo Report”). Other temporary occupation agreements allow surface access for exploration activities in various other parts of the concession package. The Company has water rights in the area of the proposed development.

 

In November 2017, we acquired the Camino Rojo Project from Goldcorp Inc.1 (now, “Newmont”). A 2% net smelter return royalty on the sale of all metal production from the oxide material at Camino Rojo (the “Oxide Royalty”) was granted to Newmont as part of the acquisition.

 

The Company and Newmont also entered into an option agreement regarding the potential development of sulphide operations at Camino Rojo. Pursuant to the option agreement, Newmont will, subject to the applicable sulphide project meeting certain thresholds, have an option to acquire a 60% or 70% interest in the applicable sulphide project (“Sulphide Option”). Where Newmont decides not to exercise its Sulphide Option, a 2% net smelter return royalty will be granted on metal production from sulphide material (the “Sulphide Royalty”). On September 21, 2020, Newmont announced that it had entered into an agreement to sell the Oxide Royalty. Orla maintains a right of first refusal on the Oxide Royalty which expires on December 20, 2020.

 

The Company has full rights to explore, evaluate, and exploit the property. However, if sulphide projects are defined through one or more positive pre-feasibility studies with development scenarios either (i) exceeding 500 million tonnes of proven and probable reserves developed as a standalone operation, or (ii) using the existing infrastructure at the Peñasquito mine, Newmont would have an option to enter into a joint venture with Orla at a 60% or 70% level, respectively, for the purpose of future exploration, advancement, construction, and exploitation of such a sulphide project. Upon meeting one of the development scenario criteria, if Newmont then chooses to exercise its option, Orla’s share of the costs to develop a sulphide project would be, at Orla’s option, carried to production by Newmont. If Newmont acquires a portion of a sulphide project in the future through the exercise of its option, Orla will retain a right of first refusal on the future sale by Newmont of any portion of that sulphide project. The Camino Rojo Asset Purchase Agreement was filed on SEDAR on June 28, 2017. Details of the joint venture are available in our news release dated November 7, 2017, which is available here.

 

On June 24, 2019, we issued the results of a positive Feasibility Study along with a mineral reserve estimate on the Camino Rojo Oxide Gold Project. The Feasibility Study supports a technically simple open-pit mine and heap-leach operation with low capital and operating costs providing rapid payback and a strong financial return. An independent technical report prepared in accordance with the requirements of NI 43-101 is available at www.sedar.com under Orla's profile and on our website at www.orlamining.com.

 

 

1 Goldcorp Inc. is a predecessor company to Newmont, prior to April 18, 2019. Newmont is a publicly traded company resulting from the combination of Newmont Mining Corporation and Goldcorp Inc., effective April 18, 2019.

 

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ORLA MINING LTD.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

Three and nine months ended September 30, 2020       United States dollars unless otherwise stated

 

Camino Rojo Feasibility Study

 

The Camino Rojo Feasibility Study considers near-surface open pit mining of 44.0 million tonnes of oxide and transitional ore at a throughput rate of 18,000 tonnes per day for an average life of mine gold production of 97,000 ounces annually. Ore from the pit will be crushed to 80% passing 28 mm, conveyor stacked onto a heap leach pad and leached using a low concentration sodium cyanide solution. Pregnant solution from the heap leach will be processed in a Merrill-Crowe recovery plant where gold and silver will be precipitated and doré will be produced. The site's proximity to infrastructure, low stripping ratio, compact footprint and flat pad location all contribute to project simplicity, low initial capital of $123 million and low estimated all-in sustaining cost (“AISC”) of $576 per ounce of gold.

 

The Feasibility Study was prepared by a team of independent industry experts led by Kappes Cassiday and Associates ("KCA") and supported by Independent Mining Consultants ("IMC"), Resource Geosciences Incorporated ("RGI"), Barranca Group LLC, Piteau Associates Engineering Ltd., and HydroGeoLogica Inc. (“HGL”).

 

The Feasibility Study incorporates geological, assay, engineering, metallurgical, geotechnical, environmental, and hydrogeological information collected by Orla and previous owners since 2007, including 370,566 metres of drilling in 911 holes. Predicted average gold recoveries of 64% are based on results from 85 column tests.

 

Operating costs are based on contract mining with all other mine components being owned and operated by Orla. Capital costs were estimated using budgetary supplier quotes for all major and most minor equipment as well as contractor quotes for major construction contracts.

 

The proposed mine is located 3 kilometres from a paved four lane highway and approximately 190 kilometres from the city of Zacatecas. The area is flat and there are no known social or environmental impediments to mining. Orla has all surface, mineral and water rights required to develop the project as presented in the Feasibility Study and existing wells produce in excess of the average 24 litres per second of water required for the project.

 

There are no residents within the area of proposed development. The town of San Tiburcio is located 4 kilometres to the east of the proposed development. Orla has a Collaboration and Social Responsibility Agreement with the Ejido San Tiburcio and a 30-year temporary occupation agreement with an expropriation right over the 2,497 hectares covering the proposed pit and infrastructure area. Orla has an active community and social program in San Tiburcio and other nearby communities of El Berrendo and San Francisco de los Quijano.

 

Government review of the documents required to obtain an operating permit was delayed by COVID-19 closures and the final permit was received in August 2020. The approval of the MIA is conditional upon Orla meeting certain customary conditions and standard requirements, which the Company has completed and submitted to SEMARNAT and is awaiting confirmation. Orla now has the two principal permits necessary and construction activities that do not involve significant ground disturbance have been initiated. Current construction activities include mobilization of the earthworks contractor, installation of the construction camp and offices, drilling water wells and site fence erection. The power line to site has been approved by the federal electricity commission and construction is currently underway. Detailed engineering is nearly complete. Procurement remains on track and we expect first gold production in the fourth quarter of 2021.

 

Mineral Reserves

 

Camino Rojo comprises intrusive related, sedimentary strata hosted, polymetallic gold, silver, arsenic, zinc, and lead mineralization. The mineralized zones correspond to zones of sheeted sulphidic veins and veinlet networks, creating a bulk-mineable style of gold mineralization. Mineralization is almost completely oxidized to a depth of approximately 120 metres and then variably oxidized below (transitional to sulphide). The mineral resource estimate was divided into oxide, high and low transitional, and sulphide material. Only the oxide and transitional material were considered in the Feasibility Study for heap leach extraction.

 

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ORLA MINING LTD.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

Three and nine months ended September 30, 2020       United States dollars unless otherwise stated

 

The mineral reserve estimate for Camino Rojo is based on an open pit mine plan and mine production schedule developed by IMC. All mineral reserves are located on, and are accessible from, Orla's concessions and support the 6.8-year mine life.

 

The mineral reserve estimate at Camino Rojo includes proven and probable mineral reserves of 44.0 million tonnes at a gold grade of 0.73 grams per tonne ("g/t") and a silver grade of 14.2 g/t, for total mineral reserves of 1.03 million ounces of gold and 20.1 million ounces of silver. All mineral reserves are contained and accessible from within Orla's mineral concessions.

 

Mineral Resources

 

As part of the Feasibility Study efforts, IMC updated the mineral resource estimate from the previous estimate prepared as of April 27, 2018 and previously reported in Orla's May 29, 2018 news release. Mineral resources were divided between oxide and transitional material that could possibly be extracted by open pit mine and processed in a heap leach operation ("Leach Resource") and sulphide material that could possibly be extracted by open pit and processed in a mill ("Mill Resource"). For the Mill Resource, estimates were made for contained gold, silver, lead, and zinc. As lead and zinc would not be recovered in a heap leach operation, only gold and silver were estimated for the Leach Resource.

 

Updated measured and indicated mineral resources, inclusive of mineral reserves, amount to 353.4 million tonnes at 0.83 g/t gold and 8.8 g/t silver, resulting in an estimated 9.46 million ounces of gold and 100.4 million ounces of silver. Inferred mineral resources are 60.9 million tonnes at 0.87 g/t gold and 7.4 g/t silver, resulting in an estimated 1.70 million ounces of gold and 14.5 million ounces of silver.

 

The mineral reserve and resource estimate for Camino Rojo is available in the Company’s Annual Information Form which was filed on SEDAR on March 23, 2020, and is also accessible on the Company’s website at www.orlamining.com. All the mineralization comprised in Orla’s mineral resource estimate with respect to the Camino Rojo Project is contained on mineral titles controlled by Orla. However, the mineral resource estimate assumes that the north wall of the conceptual floating pit cone used to demonstrate reasonable prospects for eventual economic extraction extends onto lands where mineral title is held by Fresnillo and that waste would be mined on Fresnillo’s mineral titles. Any potential development of the Camino Rojo Project that includes an open pit encompassing the entire mineral resource estimate would be dependent on executing the Layback Agreement with Fresnillo, which addresses the oxide and transition portion of the mineral resources that are amendable to heap leaching, and a subsequent agreement addressing the sulphide mineral resources that are not amendable to heap leaching. It is estimated that approximately two-thirds of the mineral resource estimate is dependent on the proposed Layback Agreement and a subsequent agreement being obtained with Fresnillo.

 

The Feasibility Study in the Camino Rojo Report was based on only a portion of the total mineral resource estimate and was prepared on the assumption that no mining activities would occur on Fresnillo’s mineral titles. Accordingly, delays in, or failure to obtain, the Layback Agreement with Fresnillo to conduct mining operations on its mineral titles would have no impact on the timetable or cost of development of the potential mine modelled in the Camino Rojo Report.

 

Additional details on mineral reserve and resource assumptions, risks and data verification can be found in the independent technical report dated June 25, 2019 prepared in accordance with the requirements of NI 43-101 and available at www.sedar.com under Orla's profile and on the Company’s website at www.orlamining.com.

 

Layback Agreement

 

On March 23, 2020, Orla announced that it had entered into a non-binding letter agreement with Fresnillo as to the commercial terms on which the Corporation would obtain the right to expand the oxide pit at the Camino Rojo Project onto part of Fresnillo’s mineral concession located immediately to the north of Orla’s property under a proposed Layback Agreement. The proposed Layback Agreement will allow access to oxide and transitional heap leachable mineral resources on Orla’s property below the open pit outlined in the Camino Rojo Report. In addition, the Layback Agreement will provide Orla with the right to mine from Fresnillo’s mineral concession, and recover, for Orla’s account, all oxide and transitional material amenable to heap leaching that are within an expanded open pit.

 

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ORLA MINING LTD.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

Three and nine months ended September 30, 2020       United States dollars unless otherwise stated

 

Under the terms of the proposed Layback Agreement, Orla would pay Fresnillo a total cash consideration of $62.8 million based on the following schedule: (i) $10 million due upon the execution of the Layback Agreement; (ii) $15 million due upon Orla having received all funding and permits required for construction and development; or July 1, 2020, whichever is sooner (as both of these events have occurred, this term was subsequently revised to the date the Layback Agreement is entered into); (iii) $15 million due no later than (a) 12 months following the commencement of commercial production at the Camino Rojo Project or (b) December 1, 2022, whichever is earlier; and (iv) $22.8 million due no later than (a) 24 months following the commencement of commercial production at the Camino Rojo Project or (b) December 1, 2023, whichever is earlier. The amounts for the third and fourth payments shall bear an interest rate of 5% per annum from the date the Layback Agreement is entered into until the date of payment.

 

The non-binding letter agreement with Fresnillo has a term of 12 months and remains subject to execution of the Layback Agreement between the parties, which is currently underway and expected during the fourth quarter of 2020. The proposed Layback Agreement will not preclude or restrict Fresnillo from participating in any future development of the sulphide mineral resource at the Camino Rojo Project.

 

There can be no assurance that we will be able to negotiate the proposed Layback Agreement on terms that are satisfactory to us or that there will not be delays in obtaining the necessary agreement. Delays in, or failure to obtain, the proposed Layback Agreement with Fresnillo to conduct mining operations on its mineral titles would affect the development of a portion of the oxide and transitional mineral resources of the Camino Rojo Project that are not included in the Feasibility Study, in particular by limiting access to mineralized material at depth. We will require a different agreement with Fresnillo to develop the sulphide portion of the mineral resources. Should a subsequent agreement to access the sulphide mineral resource with Fresnillo not be obtained on favourable terms, the economics of any potential mine development using the full mineral resource estimate would be significantly negatively impacted.

 

An update to the Camino Rojo Oxide Gold Project Feasibility Study is being prepared to include the layback area resulting in a larger oxide pit.

 

Permitting

 

Exploration and mining activities in Mexico are subject to control by SEMARNAT, the federal government department which has authority over the two principal permits: (1) the Environmental Impact Statement (“Manifesto de Impacto Ambiental” or “MIA”, accompanied by a Risk Study), and (2) a Change of Land Use permit (“CUS”) accompanied by a Technical Justification Study (“ETJ”).

 

In early 2018, Orla resumed environmental assessment activities on the project and surrounding area under the guidance of independent environmental permitting consultant Patricia Aguayo. Data from this work was used in conjunction with information collected by previous operators and project information collected from Orla's consulting engineers to prepare the documents needed to apply for the MIA and CUS permits. The project is not located in an area with any special federal environmental protection designation and no factors were identified that would be expected to hinder authorization of required environmental permits.

 

We submitted permitting documents to SEMARNAT during the third quarter of 2019. We were notified that the CUS was accepted on December 12, 2019 and we paid the required fees on January 17, 2020. On August 13, 2020, the Company received approval of its MIA. The Company has received the two principal permits necessary for commencement of construction activities at Camino Rojo.

 

The approval of the MIA was conditional upon Orla meeting certain customary conditions and standard requirements. One of the conditions was the completion of a Technical Economic Study which was submitted to SEMARNAT on August 27, 2020. SEMARNAT is reviewing this Technical Economic Study, and upon acceptance, they will determine the amount of the environmental bond required to be placed. Earthworks can commence once we place the required environmental bond. All other conditions of the MIA have been met or submitted and we are awaiting confirmation from SEMARNAT.

 

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ORLA MINING LTD.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

Three and nine months ended September 30, 2020       United States dollars unless otherwise stated

 

We plan to build and operate the project in accordance with International Finance Corporation Performance Standards, as well as International Council on Mining and Metals principles. We have contracted ERM, a global consulting company, to review the environmental assessment and proposed mitigation measures for the project.

 

Development activities

 

Since submitting our permit applications in August 2019, we have focused our work on the detailed engineering and planning required to start construction in 2020. In September 2019, we awarded the engineering, procurement, and construction management (“EPCM”) contract for the Camino Rojo Oxide Gold Project to M3 Engineering & Technology Corporation (“M3”), a full service EPCM firm headquartered in Tucson, Arizona.

 

As of September 30, 2020, approximately 87% of the detailed engineering had been completed. We have placed purchase orders for major equipment and materials and have made cash down payments totaling approximately $18 million for these items.

 

Additional activities completed during the quarter include:

 

·COVID-19 Emergency Committee continued to meet as part of monitoring the latest information on the pandemic, and to develop plans and protocols for the safe return to work.

·Continued detailed engineering.

 

Approximately 50% of the project has been committed for purchase orders and contracts. Total cash payments to date on the overall project amount to approximately $27 million.

 

Camino Rojo Project Loan

 

In December 2019, the Company entered into a loan agreement with Trinity Capital Partners Corporation (“Trinity Capital”) and certain other lenders with respect to a credit debt facility of $125 million for the development of the Camino Rojo Oxide Gold Project (the “Credit Facility”). The Credit Facility was arranged by Trinity Capital and includes a syndicate of lenders led by Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (“Agnico Eagle”), Pierre Lassonde, and Trinity Capital.

 

The Credit Facility provides a total of $125 million to the Company, available in three tranches. The first tranche of $25 million was drawn down by the Company on December 18, 2019 upon execution of the definitive loan documentation. The second tranche of $50 million was drawn down on October 30, 2020. The third and final tranche provides $50 million and must be drawn within six months of the second tranche. There is no guarantee that all conditions precedent and covenants will be met in a timely manner and failure to do so could delay or prevent further draws from the Credit Facility in the future.

 

Regional exploration

 

As well as development-related activities, we continue to conduct a regional exploration program. Work completed during the quarter included mechanical trenching, geophysical IP survey and RC drilling.

 

A mechanical trenching program (5 trenches) was completed at the Las Miserias target where previous prospecting work identified silicified breccias along a major fault named Cerros del Aire. This trenching work provided us with valuable geological and geochemical information to orient follow-up work including planned geophysical IP survey.

 

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ORLA MINING LTD.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

Three and nine months ended September 30, 2020       United States dollars unless otherwise stated

 

Geophysical IP surveying was initiated on September 2, 2020 to cover prospective target areas supported by favourable geology, deformation, alteration, and anomalous geochemistry. A total of 72 km of IP lines were executed in September 2020 at the Las Miserias, Majoma and Hacheros targets.

 

A 6,400 metre RC drill program started on July 29, 2020, with 2,800 metres completed at the end of September 2020. The RC drilling has been performed at the Las Miserias target area to test a large IP chargeability anomaly lying under soil cover. A total of seven RC holes have been completed but no significant assay results have been reported. The IP anomaly appears to be generated by weak pyrite mineralization combined with high amount of water in some structures.

 

Community and social

 

We maintain an active community, social relations, and environmental management program. During the quarter, there were no environmental incidents. Community activities during the third quarter of 2020 were primarily focused on supporting our local communities and the challenges faced as result of COVID-19 impacts:

 

·Provided support to the local communities during the COVID-19 pandemic including the donation of food, medical and protective equipment;

·Provided training and educational materials regarding the coronavirus to local communities;

·Continued to provide support to the community in efforts to maintain a doctor assigned to the community.

 

At Camino Rojo, the Company is working in collaboration with various local service providers like truck drivers to ensure they have an opportunity to participate in construction activities. An updated database of local services and people available for work has been provided to our contractors as the Company seeks to encourage opportunities for local procurement and employment.

 

Orla’s community relations team continues to maintain communications with our local communities to understand how the Company can best support them. However, because of COVID-19 protocols which include necessary physical distancing, Orla has reduced direct contact with the local communities as a precautionary measure.

 

B.Cerro Quema Project, Panama

 

Project Description and History

 

Our 100%-owned Cerro Quema Project is located on the Azuero Peninsula in Los Santos Province, in south western Panama, about 45 kilometres southwest of the city of Chitre and about 190 kilometres southwest of Panama City. The project is at the exploration and development stage for a proposed open pit mine with process by heap leaching. We own the mineral rights as well as the surface rights over the areas of the current mineral resources and mineral reserves, proposed mine development, and the priority drill targets.

 

The Company owns the surface rights for land required to mine the Cerro Quema mineral reserves and to construct and operate a heap leach facility.

 

A predecessor company to Orla issued a mineral resource estimate and a Pre-Feasibility Study for Cerro Quema, and an independent technical report entitled “Cerro Quema Project – Pre-Feasibility Study on the La Pava and Quemita Oxide Gold Deposits” dated August 15, 2014 with an effective date of June 30, 2014 (the “Cerro Quema Report”1).

 

 

1 The “Cerro Quema Report” is an independent technical report for the Cerro Quema Project entitled “Cerro Quema Project – Pre-Feasibility Study on the La Pava and Quemita Oxide Gold Deposits” dated August 15, 2014 with an effective date of June 30, 2014 prepared by Eugene Puritch, P. Eng., Richard H. Sutcliffe, P.Geo., Tracy Armstrong, P.Geo., Antoine Yassa, P.Geo., David Burga, P.Geo., Kenneth Kuchling, P.Eng., and Fred Brown, P.Geo., of P&E Mining Consultants Inc., Gene Tortelli, PE, George Lightwood, PE, and David Brown, P.Geo., of Golder Associates Inc., and Mark Gorman, PE of KCA.

 

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ORLA MINING LTD.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

Three and nine months ended September 30, 2020       United States dollars unless otherwise stated

 

The Cerro Quema Report envisions a standard open pit mine with two pits, one at La Pava and one at Quemita, coupled with a 10,000 tonne per day heap leach facility to extract the gold. The project estimates average head grade of 0.77 g/t Au, crush size of 80% passing minus 50 mm, and an average gold recovery of 86%. This would result in 418,000 ounces of gold production over a 5.3-year mine life.

 

The Cerro Quema Report, which contains the 2014 mineral resource and mineral reserve estimate and Pre-Feasibility Study, was filed on SEDAR by Pershimco Resources Inc. on August 22, 2014. You can download it from SEDAR at www.sedar.com or from the Company’s website at www.orlamining.com.

 

Environmental and permitting

 

We have an ongoing environmental management plan that includes maintaining sediment dams, reforestation of previously disturbed areas and active sediment control activities. Baseline surface water quality sampling and groundwater level measurements are also ongoing.

 

Mineral concessions are comprised of three contracts between the Republic of Panama and Minera Cerro Quema SA, a wholly owned subsidiary of Orla. The original 20-year term for these concessions expired on February 26, 2017 (Contracts 19 and 20) and March 3, 2017 (Contract 21). The Company has applied for the prescribed 10-year extension to these contracts as it is entitled to under Panamanian mineral law. As of the date of this MD&A, formal approval of the extension of these concessions has not yet been received. Since the expiry of the concessions, we have continued to receive ongoing exploration permits and the Ministry of Commerce has continued to accept our annual concession fees.

 

On March 6, 2017, the Ministry of Commerce and Industry provided written confirmation to the Company that it had received the extension applications, and that exploration work could continue while the Company waits for the renewal. We have received verbal assurances from government officials that the renewal applications are complete with no outstanding legal issues. On April 26, 2017, the Company received authorization from the Ministry of Environment to drill in two areas outside of the existing permitted drill area. On June 28, 2017, the Company received a permit to use water for drilling. In October and November 2017, we received a permit for copper exploration, and two permits allowing temporary use of water for exploration drilling.

 

On May 8, 2018, we received a permit to drill in the Sombrero zone and on May 11, 2018, we received two permits to use water for drilling. In May 2018, an existing permit that allows drilling in the areas of the current mineral resources was extended for two years. In October 2018, the government accepted the payment our 2018 annual concession fees.

 

In February 2019, we paid the 2019 concession fees. On February 11, 2019, we received a new drilling permit for the Pelona area in the eastern part of the concessions. All drill permits are currently active.

 

We received two additional temporary water permits on January 13, 2020. On February 3, 2020, we paid the annual concession fees, which were accepted.

 

Corporate Social Responsibility

 

We have an active community relations program that includes providing hot lunches to 5 to 15-year-old children studying in the 12 schools located within a 15-km radius of the Cerro Quema project. We also provide support for various local amateur sports teams, a youth orchestra, local fairs, and cultural events.

 

Exploration

 

On June 1, 2020, the Panamanian government announced Block 2 of re-opening, which includes the mining industry. We submitted COVID-19 protocols for the re-opening of site operations and on July 8, 2020 we received approval from the Ministry of Health of Panama for a gradual re-opening of activities. In September 2020, the government moved to Block 4, lifting in-country travel restrictions, allowing hotels to open and domestic air travel. On October 12, 2020, international travel resumed.

 

Page 11

 

 

ORLA MINING LTD.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

Three and nine months ended September 30, 2020       United States dollars unless otherwise stated

 

Exploration drilling restarted on October 24, 2020. Current exploration activities are focused on advancing the Caballito copper-gold sulphide discovery and exploring for additional zones with similar mineralization. This style of mineralization, identified in 2018, presents potential value to the project in addition to the current heap-leach oxide gold project. The trend that hosts the Caballito mineralized zone, the Quemita deposit area and the Pelona target in the eastern part of the project provides prospective target areas for additional Caballito-style copper-gold (low-arsenic) mineralization.

 

Pre-Feasibility Study

 

We are in the process of updating the Cerro Quema Pre-Feasibility Study (“PFS”) on the oxide heap leach gold project initially completed in 2014. This will include updated mineral reserve and mineral resource estimates, mining plans, process plans, cost estimates, and additional geotechnical, environmental, and metallurgical investigations. Geotechnical drilling started in mid-September 2020.

 

C.Non-GAAP Measures

 

We have included herein certain performance measures (“non-GAAP measures”) which are not specified, defined, or determined under generally accepted accounting principles (in our case, International Financial Reporting Standards, or “IFRS”).

 

These are common performance measures in the gold mining industry, but because they do not have any mandated standardized definitions, they may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. Accordingly, we use such measures to provide additional information and you should not consider them in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”).

 

All-In Sustaining Costs ("AISC")

 

We have provided an AISC performance measure that reflects all the expenditures that are required to produce an ounce of gold from operations. While there is no standardized meaning of the measure across the industry, our definition conforms to the all-in sustaining cost definition as set out by the World Gold Council in its guidance dated June 27, 2013. We believe that this measure is useful to external users in assessing operating performance and the Company’s ability to generate free cash flow from current operations. Subsequent amendments to the guidance have not materially affected the figures presented.

 

V.            SUMMARY OF QUARTERLY RESULTS

 

The figures in the following table are based on the accompanying condensed consolidated interim financial statements which were prepared in accordance with IAS 34 of International Financial Reporting Standards.

 

Effective January 1, 2020, we changed our presentation currency to United States dollars. Internally, we budget in US dollars, report internally in US dollars, our project debt is denominated in US dollars, and our engineering and EPCM reports are presented in US dollars. We believe that presenting our financial information in US dollars is more useful to us internally to manage the business, and more useful to readers because of greater comparability and greater congruence with the underlying currencies of significant transactions.

 

Page 12

 

 

 

ORLA MINING LTD.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

Three and nine months ended September 30, 2020       United States dollars unless otherwise stated

 

This change in the financial statement presentation currency is an accounting policy change and we have accounted for it retrospectively. The functional currencies of all our entities remained unchanged. We translated the income statements at the average exchange rates for each reporting period. We recognized exchange differences arising from translating our subsidiaries’ financial results to United States dollars in other comprehensive income.

 

$ thousands  2020-Q3   2020-Q2   2020-Q1   2019-Q4   2019-Q3   2019-Q2   2019-Q1   2018-Q4 
Exploration expense  $3,590   $1,166   $7,603    3,069    3,630    2,612    5,642    5,046 
General and administrative   162    194    185    150    97    83    201    140 
Professional fees   425    230    176    165    170    110    94    134 
Regulatory and transfer agent   11    66    82    111    30    34    31    158 
Salaries and wages   563    527    264    730    423    450    383    640 
Depreciation   23    25    22    6    25    25    22    40 
Share based payments   705    612    772    374    580    673    942    807 
Interest and finance costs   1,503    609    606    446    467    34    221    63 
Foreign exchange   1,688    (1,220)   479    139        8    13    (88)
Other gains and losses   (1,019)                            
Net loss   7,651    2,209    10,189    5,190    5,422    4,029    7,549    6,940 
Loss per share (basic and diluted)  $0.03   $0.01   $0.05   $0.03   $0.03   $0.02   $0.04   $0.04 

 

In 2020, we began detailed engineering for the mine at Camino Rojo, and during the third quarter we received the necessary permits to commence construction.

 

In 2019, we worked on, completed, and publicly filed the feasibility study for Camino Rojo. We commenced detailed engineering and planning for construction of Camino Rojo. Quarterly variations are due to seasonality and timing of mining concession fees, drilling activities and awaiting results from previous quarters’ exploration activities.

 

Administrative costs and professional fees have trended with the level of activity of the Company, and with major regulatory events such as financings and public listings. In 2018-Q4 we commenced trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange, and in 2019-Q4 we closed a $125 million project credit facility – both events caused one-time increases in regulatory fees and legal fees.

 

Salaries have generally increased in 2019 and into 2020 as we have grown our team in preparation for the construction phase at Camino Rojo. In 2018-Q4, we accrued for payments related to the departure of the former CEO. In 2019-Q4 we incurred payments related to the departure of the former COO.

 

Share based payments expense is generally related to the number of stock options and RSUs vesting during the quarter. The grants occurred during 2018-Q2, 2019-Q1, and 2020-Q1; consequently, those quarters tend to be greater than the others.

 

Interest income is directly related to cash on hand and prevailing interest rates.

 

The Company received $25 million in 2019-Q4 as a first draw on the Camino Rojo project loan, which caused an increase in interest expense, and we can expect larger swings in foreign exchange gains and losses, starting in that quarter. We incurred loan initiation costs and those are being amortized over the next five years.

 

Foreign exchange gains and losses vary based on fluctuation of the Canadian dollar and the Mexican peso versus the US dollar. Near the end of 2020-Q1, there were unusually large swings in the Canadian dollar to US dollar and the Mexican peso to US dollar exchange rates related to economic uncertainty arising from the COVID-19 pandemic.

 

Page 13

 

 

ORLA MINING LTD.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

Three and nine months ended September 30, 2020       United States dollars unless otherwise stated

 

VI.            THIRD QUARTER OF 2020

 

The following table is based on accompanying condensed consolidated interim financial statements prepared in accordance with IFRS. Figures are expressed in thousands of United States dollars.

 

$ 000’s      Comparison to
last quarter
   Comparison to
same quarter last year
 
   2020-Q3   2020-Q2   Difference   2019-Q3   Difference 
Exploration expense  $3,590   $1,166   $2,424   $3,627   $(37)
General and administrative   162    194    (32)   97    65 
Professional fees   425    230    195    170    255 
Regulatory and transfer agent   11    66    (55)   30    (19)
Salaries and wages   563    527    36    423    140 
Depreciation   23    25    (2)   25    (2)
Share based payments   705    612    93    580    125 
Interest and finance costs   1,503    609    894    466    1,037 
Foreign exchange   1,688    (1,220)   2,908    1    1,687 
Other gains and losses   (1,019)       (1,019)       (1,019)
Loss for the quarter  $7,651   $2,209   $5,442   $5,419   $2,232 

 

Exploration and evaluation expenses during the current quarter are higher than both the previous quarter and the same quarter of 2019. During 2020-Q2, many of our exploration and evaluation activities had been curtailed by COVID-related work slowdowns and stay-at-home orders. In 2020-Q3 we paid semi-annual land and water use fees, which costs did not occur in 2020-Q2.

 

During 2020-Q3 we increased our activities at Cerro Quema compared to last year as we prepare to conduct further exploration and work on the Cerro Quema pre-feasibility study update.

 

The increase in salaries and wages from previous quarters is due to the hiring of corporate personnel.

 

During the current quarter we segregated modification gains on the Newmont loan, which had in past been grouped with and included as part of accretion expense.

 

VII.            LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

 

The Company had working capital of approximately $38 million as at September 30, 2020, compared with $21 million at December 31, 2019. During the year to date, the Company has raised C$75 million in an equity financing, and approximately $2.8 million pursuant to the exercise of warrants, and a further $1.7 million pursuant to the exercise of stock options.

 

Historically the Company's primary source of funding has been the issuance of equity securities for cash, typically through private placements to sophisticated investors and institutions. We have issued common share capital in many of the past few years, pursuant to private placement financings and the exercise of warrants and options. Our access to exploration and construction financing is always uncertain, and there can be no assurance of continued access to significant equity or debt funding.

 

Page 14

 

 

ORLA MINING LTD.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

Three and nine months ended September 30, 2020       United States dollars unless otherwise stated

 

In December 2019, we entered into an agreement for a credit facility for the development of the Camino Rojo Oxide Gold Project. This agreement provides a total of $125 million to the Company, available in three tranches. We drew down the first tranche of $25 million in December 2019, and we drew down the second tranche of $50 million subsequent to the reporting period. Under the terms of the credit facility, the third tranche must be drawn within six months of the second tranche, being April 30, 2021. There remain certain conditions precedent which Orla must satisfy prior to drawing the third tranche.

 

Our ability to carry out our long-range strategic objectives in future periods depends on our ability to raise financing from lenders, shareholders, and other investors. We continue to regularly review and consider financing alternatives to fund the Company’s ongoing activities. We expect to fund the operating costs and the operating and strategic objectives of the Company over the next twelve months with existing cash on hand, and with further equity financings and draws from the Camino Rojo project loan.

 

The Company had material commitments for capital expenditures as of September 30, 2020. At September 30, 2020, outstanding commitments arising from unfilled purchase orders and contracts totalled approximately $47 million.

 

VIII.            OFF-BALANCE SHEET ARRANGEMENTS

 

We have no off-balance sheet arrangements requiring disclosure under this section.

 

IX.            RELATED PARTY TRANSACTIONS

 

We had no significant or unusual transactions with related parties. Refer to note 15 of the accompanying condensed consolidated interim financial statements as and for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2020.

 

X.            CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES

 

In preparing the accompanying condensed consolidated interim financial statements, we have made judgements, estimates and assumptions that affect the application of accounting policies and the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, income, and expenses. Actual results may differ from these estimates.

 

We review estimates and their underlying assumptions on an ongoing basis. Revisions to estimates are recognized prospectively.

 

Judgements, estimates, and assumptions that we have made in applying accounting policies that have the most significant effects on the amounts recognized in the accompanying condensed consolidated interim financial statements include:

 

Exploration and evaluation expenditures

 

The application of the Company’s accounting policy for E&E expenditure requires judgement to determine whether future economic benefits are likely from either future exploitation or sale (prior to which we expense all E&E expenditures, and subsequent to which we capitalize the acquisition costs). It also requires us to make judgements on whether activities have reached a stage that permits development of the mineral resource (prior to which they are treated as E&E expenditures, and subsequent to which we treat such costs as projects under development and construction).

 

Page 15

 

 

ORLA MINING LTD.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

Three and nine months ended September 30, 2020       United States dollars unless otherwise stated

 

We apply a number of estimates and assumptions, such as the determination of the quantities and types of mineral resources, which itself involves varying degrees of uncertainty depending on resource classification (measured, indicated, or inferred). These estimates directly impact accounting decisions related to our E&E expenditures.

 

We make certain estimates and assumptions about future events and circumstances; particularly, whether economic mineral exploitation is viable. Any such estimates and assumptions may change as new information becomes available. If, after expenditure is capitalized, information becomes available suggesting that the recovery of expenditure is unlikely, we assess indicators of impairment and may conclude to write off such amounts to the statement of profit or loss.

 

Assessment of impairment indicators

 

We apply judgement in assessing whether indicators of impairment or reverse impairment exist for our E&E assets which could result in a test for impairment. We consider internal and external factors, such as our rights to explore, planned expenditures on E&E activities, the technical results of our E&E activities, and the potential for viable operations, to determine whether there are any indicators of impairment or reversal of a previous impairment.

 

Title to mineral properties

 

Although the Company has taken steps to verify title to mineral properties in which it has an interest, these procedures do not guarantee the Company’s title. Such properties may be subject to prior agreements or transfers and title may be affected by undetected defects. Further, we make judgements for properties where concessions terms have expired, and a renewal application has been made and is awaiting approval. We use judgement as to whether the concession renewal application is probable to be received, but ultimately this is beyond our control. If a renewal application is not approved, we could lose rights to those concession.

 

Functional currency

 

The functional currency for the parent entity and each of its subsidiaries is the currency of the primary economic environment in which the entity operates. Determination of functional currency involves judgements to identify the primary economic environment. We reconsider the functional currency of each entity if there is a change in the underlying transactions, events, and conditions which we used to determine the primary economic environment of that entity.

 

XI.            FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS

 

In the normal course of business, the Company is inherently exposed to certain financial risks, including market risk, credit risk and liquidity risk, through the use of financial instruments. The timeframe and the way we manage these risks varies based upon our assessment of these risks and available alternatives for mitigation. We do not acquire or issue derivative financial instruments for trading or speculative purposes. All transactions undertaken are to support our operations.

 

Page 16

 

 

ORLA MINING LTD.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

Three and nine months ended September 30, 2020       United States dollars unless otherwise stated

 

XII.            OUTSTANDING SHARE DATA

 

As of the date of this MD&A, the Company had the following equity securities outstanding:

 

·229,141,384 common shares

 

·48,690,050 warrants

 

·10,059,927 stock options

 

·500,000 bonus shares (all of which had vested but had not yet been settled into common shares)

 

·921,356 restricted share units

 

·644,525 deferred share units

 

You can find further details about these potentially issuable securities in the notes to the accompanying condensed consolidated interim financial statements for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2020.

 

Page 17

 

 

ORLA MINING LTD.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

Three and nine months ended September 30, 2020       United States dollars unless otherwise stated

 

XIII.            RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES

 

As the Company has not commenced principal operations, historical revenue and expenditure trends are not indicative of future activity. The Company has committed to certain work expenditures and may enter into future agreements. The ability of the Company to fund its future operations and commitments is dependent on its ability to obtain additional financing. Risks of the Company’s business include the following:

 

Permits and Licenses

 

The exploitation and development of mineral properties may require the Company to obtain regulatory or other permits and licenses from various governmental licensing bodies. There can be no assurance that the Company will be able to obtain all necessary permits and licenses that may be required to carry out exploration, development, and mining operations on its properties.

 

The Company is awaiting mineral concession renewals at its Cerro Quema Project. There is no assurance that we will receive necessary approvals or extensions, or receive them within a reasonable period of time. Failure to receive the permits or extensions would have an adverse effect on the Company’s business, financial position, and results of operations. Additional details are provided in the Cerro Quema Project section of this document.

 

The timing of our ability to construct a mine at Camino Rojo is subject to, and may be affected by, timely review and approval by the Mexican environmental and permitting authorities.

 

Foreign Country and Political Risk

 

The Company’s principal mineral properties are located in Mexico and Panama. The Company is subject to certain risks, including currency fluctuations, possible political or economic instability that may result in the impairment or loss of mineral titles or other mineral rights, opposition from environmental or other non-governmental organizations, and mineral exploration and mining activities may be affected in varying degrees by political stability and government regulations relating to the mining industry. Any changes in regulations or shifts in political attitudes are beyond the control of the Company and may adversely affect its business. Exploration and development may be affected in varying degrees by government regulations with respect to restrictions on future exploitation and production, price controls, export controls, foreign exchange controls, income taxes, royalties on production, expropriation of property, environmental legislation and mine and/or site safety.

 

Operating in developing economies such as Mexico and Panama has certain risks, including changes to, or invalidation of, government mining regulations; expropriation or revocation of land or property rights; changes in foreign ownership rights; changes in foreign taxation rates; security issues; corruption; uncertain political climate; narco-terrorist actions or activities; and lack of a stable economic climate.

 

We do not carry political risk insurance.

 

Dependence on Exploration-Stage Properties

 

The Company’s current efforts are focused primarily on exploration stage properties. The Camino Rojo and the Cerro Quema Projects may not develop into commercially viable ore bodies, which would have a material adverse effect on the Company’s potential mineral resource production, profitability, financial performance, and results of operations.

 

Estimates of Mineral Resources & Mineral Reserves and Production Risks

 

The mineral resource and mineral reserve estimates included in this MD&A are estimates based on a number of assumptions, including those stated herein, and any adverse change to those assumptions could require the Company to lower its mineral resource estimate. Until a deposit is actually mined and processed, the quantity and grades of mineral resources must be considered as estimates only. Valid estimates made at a given time may significantly change when new information becomes available. In addition, the quantity and/or economic viability of mineral resources may vary depending on, among other things, metal prices, grades, production costs, stripping ratios, recovery rates, permit regulations and other legal requirements, environmental factors, unforeseen technical difficulties, unusual or unexpected geological formations and work interruptions. Any material change in the quantity of mineral resources or grade may affect the economic viability of the Company’s properties. No assurance can be given that any particular level of recovery of minerals will in fact be realized or that an identified mineral resource will ever qualify as a commercially mineable (or viable) deposit that can be legally and economically exploited. There can also be no assurance that any discoveries of new mineral reserves will be made. Any material reductions in estimates of mineral resources could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s results of operations and financial condition.

 

Page 18

 

 

ORLA MINING LTD.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

Three and nine months ended September 30, 2020       United States dollars unless otherwise stated

 

The Camino Rojo Gold Project mineral resource estimate assumes that the Company can access mineral titles and lands that are not controlled by the Company

 

All of the mineralization comprised in the Company’s mineral resource estimate with respect to the Camino Rojo Project is contained on mineral titles controlled by the Company. However, the mineral resource estimate assumes that the north wall of the conceptual floating pit cone used to demonstrate reasonable prospects for eventual economic extraction extends onto lands where mineral title is held by another mining company (the “Adjacent Owner”) and that waste would be mined on the Adjacent Owner’s mineral titles. Any potential development of the Camino Rojo Project that includes an open pit encompassing the entire mineral resource estimate would be dependent on obtaining an agreement with the Adjacent Owner. It is estimated that approximately two-thirds of the mineral resource estimate is dependent on an agreement being obtained with the Adjacent Owner.

 

Delays in, or failure to obtain, an agreement with the Adjacent Owner to conduct mining operations on its mineral titles would affect the development of a significant portion of the mineral resources of the Camino Rojo Project that are not included in the Feasibility Study dated June 25, 2019, in particular by limiting access to significant mineralized material at depth. The Company intends to seek an agreement with the Adjacent Owner in order to maximize the potential to develop a mine that exploits the full mineral resource. There can be no assurance that the Company will be able to negotiate such agreement on terms that are satisfactory to the Company or that there will not be delays in obtaining the necessary agreement. Should an agreement with the Adjacent Owner not be obtained on favourable terms, the economics of any potential mine development using the full mineral resource estimate would be significantly negatively impacted.

 

The Feasibility Study was based on only a portion of the total mineral resource estimate and was prepared on the assumption that no mining activities would occur on the Adjacent Owner’s mineral titles. Accordingly, delays in, or failure to obtain, an agreement with the Adjacent Owner to conduct mining operations on its mineral titles would have no impact on the timetable or cost of development of the potential mine modelled in the Feasibility Study.

 

Mineral resource estimations for the Camino Rojo Gold Project are only estimates and rely on certain assumptions

 

The estimation of mineral resources relies on the judgment of the independent Qualified Person preparing the estimates. The process relies on the quantity and quality of available data and is based on knowledge, mining experience, analysis of drilling results and industry practices. Valid estimates made at a given time may significantly change when new information becomes available.

 

In particular, the estimation of mineral resources for the Camino Rojo Gold Project has assumed that there is a reasonable prospect for reaching an agreement with the Adjacent Owner. While the Company believes that the mineral resource estimates for the Camino Rojo Gold Project are well established and reflect best estimates, by their nature resource estimates are imprecise and depend on inferences that may ultimately prove to be inaccurate, including the assumption that an agreement with the Adjacent Owner will be reached.

 

Although all mineralization included in the Company’s mineral resource estimate for the Camino Rojo Gold Project are located on mineral concessions controlled by the Company, failure to reach an agreement with the Adjacent Owner would result in a significant reduction of the mineral resource estimate by limiting access to significant mineralized material at depth. Any material changes in mineral resource estimates may have a material adverse effect on the Company.

 

Mining Industry

 

The exploration for and development of mineral deposits involves significant risks, which even a combination of careful evaluation, experience and knowledge may not eliminate. While the discovery of an ore body may result in substantial rewards, few properties which are explored are ultimately developed into producing mines. Major expenses may be required to establish ore reserves, to develop metallurgical processes and to construct mining and processing facilities at a particular site. It is impossible to ensure that the current exploration programs planned by the Company will result in a profitable commercial mining operation.

 

Page 19

 

 

ORLA MINING LTD.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

Three and nine months ended September 30, 2020       United States dollars unless otherwise stated

 

Whether a mineral deposit will be commercially viable depends on many factors, some of which are the particular attributes of the deposit, such as size, grade and proximity to infrastructure, as well as metal prices which are highly cyclical and government regulations, including regulations relating to prices, taxes, royalties, land tenure, land use, importing and exporting of minerals and environmental protection. The exact effect of these factors cannot be accurately predicted, but the combination of these factors may result in the Company not receiving an adequate return on invested capital.

 

Mining operations generally involve a high degree of risk. The Company’s operations are subject to all the hazards and risks normally encountered in the exploration and development of ore, including unusual and unexpected geology formations, rock bursts, cave-ins, flooding and other conditions involved in the drilling and removal of material, any of which could result in damage to life or property, environmental damage and possible legal liability. The Company’s mineral exploration activities are directed towards the search, evaluation, and development of mineral deposits. There is no certainty that the expenditures to be made by the Company as described herein will result in discoveries of commercial quantities of ore. There is aggressive competition within the mining industry for the discovery and acquisition of properties considered to have commercial potential. The Company will compete with other interests, many of which with greater financial resources, for the opportunity to participate in promising projects. Significant capital investment is required to achieve commercial production from successful exploration efforts.

 

Government Regulation

 

The exploration activities of the Company are subject to various federal, provincial, and local laws governing prospecting, development, taxes, labour standards, toxic substances, and other matters. Exploration activities are also subject to various federal, provincial, and local laws and regulations relating to the protection of the environment. These laws mandate, among other things, the maintenance of air and water quality standards, and land reclamation. These laws also set forth limitations on the generation, transportation, storage, and disposal of solid and hazardous waste. Although the Company’s exploration activities are currently carried out in accordance with all applicable rules and regulations governing operations and exploration activities, no assurance can be given that new rules and regulations, amendments to current laws and regulations or more stringent implementation thereof could have a substantial adverse impact on the Company’s activities.

 

Title Matters

 

Although the Company has diligently investigated title to all mineral concessions (either granted or under re-application) and, to the best of its knowledge (except as otherwise disclosed herein), titles to all its properties are in good standing, this should not be construed as a guarantee of title. Other parties may dispute title to any of the Company’s mineral properties and any of the Company’s properties may be subject to prior unregistered agreements or transfers and title may be affected by undetected encumbrances or defects or governmental actions.

 

Land Title

 

The Company has investigated ownership of all surface rights in which it has an interest, and, to the best of its knowledge, its ownership rights are in good standing. However, all surface rights may be subject to prior claims or agreement transfers, and rights of ownership may be affected by undetected defects. While to the best of the Company's knowledge, titles to all surface rights are in good standing; however, this should not be construed as a guarantee of title. Other parties may dispute title to the surface rights in which the Company has an interest. The properties may be subject to prior unregistered agreements or transfers and titles may be affected by undetected defects.

 

Page 20

 

 

ORLA MINING LTD.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

Three and nine months ended September 30, 2020       United States dollars unless otherwise stated

 

Environmental Risks and Hazards

 

All phases of the Company’s mineral exploration operations are subject to environmental regulation in the various jurisdictions in which it operates. Environmental legislation is evolving in a manner which will require stricter standards and enforcement, increased fines and penalties for non-compliance, more stringent environmental assessments of proposed projects and a heightened degree of responsibility for companies and their officers, directors, and employees. There is no assurance that future changes in environmental regulations, laws and permits, if any, will not adversely affect the Company’s operations. Environmental hazards may exist on the properties on which the Company holds interests which are unknown to the Company at present, which have been caused by previous or existing owners or operators of the properties. The Company may become liable for such environmental hazards caused by previous owners and operators of the properties even where it has attempted to contractually limit its liability.

 

Government approvals and permits are currently, and may in the future be, required in connection with the Company’s operations. To the extent such approvals are required and not obtained; the Company may be curtailed or prohibited from proceeding with planned exploration or development of mineral properties.

 

Failure to comply with applicable laws, regulations and permitting requirements may result in enforcement actions thereunder, including orders issued by regulatory or judicial authorities causing operations to cease or be curtailed, and may include corrective measures requiring capital expenditures, installation of additional equipment, or remedial actions. Parties engaged in mining operations may be required to compensate those suffering loss or damage by reason of the mining activities and may have civil or criminal fines or penalties imposed for violations of applicable laws or regulations.

 

Commodity Prices

 

The profitability of mining operations is significantly affected by changes in the market price of gold and other minerals. The level of interest rates, the rate of inflation, world supply of these minerals and stability of exchange rates can all cause significant fluctuations in metal prices. Such external economic factors are in turn influenced by changes in international investment patterns and monetary systems and political developments. The price of gold and other minerals has fluctuated widely in recent years, and future serious price declines could cause commercial production to be impracticable.

 

Uninsured Risks

 

The Company carries insurance to protect against certain risks in such amounts as it considers adequate. Risks not insured against include environmental pollution or other hazards against which such corporations cannot insure or against which they may elect not to insure.

 

Compliance with Anti-Corruption Laws

 

Orla is subject to various anti-corruption laws and regulations including, but not limited to, the Corruption of Foreign Public Officials Act (1999). In general, these laws prohibit a company and its employees and intermediaries from bribing or making other prohibited payments to foreign officials or other persons to obtain or retain business or gain some other business advantage. The Company’s primary operations are located in jurisdictions which have been perceived as having fairly high levels of corruption. Orla cannot predict the nature, scope, or effect of future anti- corruption regulatory requirements to which the Company’s operations might be subject or the manner in which existing laws might be administered or interpreted.

 

Failure to comply with the applicable legislation and other similar foreign laws could expose the Company and/or its senior management to civil and/or criminal penalties, other sanctions and remedial measures, legal expenses and reputational damage, all of which could materially and adversely affect the Company’s business, financial condition and results of operations. Likewise, any investigation of any potential violations of the applicable anti-corruption legislation by Canadian or foreign authorities could also have an adverse impact on the Company’s business, financial condition, and results of operations.

 

As a consequence of these legal and regulatory requirements, the Company has instituted policies regarding business ethics, which have been designed to ensure that Orla and its employees comply with applicable anti-corruption laws and regulations. However, there can be no assurance or guarantee that such efforts have been and will be completely effective in ensuring the Company’s compliance, and the compliance of its employees, consultants, contractors and other agents, with all applicable anticorruption laws and regulations.

 

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ORLA MINING LTD.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

Three and nine months ended September 30, 2020       United States dollars unless otherwise stated

 

Conflicts of Interest

 

Certain directors of the Company also serve as directors and/or officers of other companies involved in natural resource exploration and development. Consequently, there exists the possibility for such directors to be in a position of conflict. Any decision made by such directors involving the Company will be made in accordance with their duties and obligations to deal fairly and in good faith with the Company and such other companies. In addition, such directors will declare, and refrain from voting on, any matter in which such directors may have a conflict of interest.

 

Threat of Infectious Diseases or Outbreaks of Viruses

 

Global markets have been adversely impacted by emerging infectious diseases and/or the threat of outbreaks of viruses, other contagions, or epidemic diseases, including the novel coronavirus COVID-19, and many industries, including the mining industry have been impacted. This outbreak has led to a widespread crisis that is adversely affecting the economies and financial markets of many countries. If increased levels of volatility continue or in the event of a rapid destabilization of global economic conditions, there may be an adverse effect on commodity prices, demand for metals, availability of equity or credit, investor confidence, and general financial market liquidity, all of which may adversely affect the Company’s business and the market price of the Company’s securities.

 

In addition, there may not be an adequate response to emerging infectious diseases. There are potentially significant economic and social impacts, including labour shortages and shutdowns, delays and disruption in supply chains, social unrest, government or regulatory actions or inactions, including permanent changes in taxation or policies, decreased demand or the inability to sell and deliver concentrates and resulting commodities, declines in the price of commodities, delays in permitting or approvals, governmental disruptions or other unknown but potentially significant impacts.

 

At this time, we cannot accurately predict what impacts there will be or what effects these conditions will have on its business, including due to uncertainties relating to the ultimate geographic spread, the duration of the outbreak, and the length of restrictions or responses that have been or may be imposed by the governments. Any outbreak or threat of an outbreak of a contagious or epidemic disease could have a material adverse effect on the Company, its ability to finance, its business and financial results and the market price of its securities.

 

XIV.            FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS

 

This MD&A contains “forward-looking statements” or “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable securities legislation (collectively, “forward-looking statements”). Forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements regarding (i) planned exploration and development programs and expenditures; (ii) the estimation of mineral resources and mineral reserves; (iii) expectations on the potential renewal of the expired mineral concessions with respect to the Cerro Quema project; (iv) proposed exploration plans and expected results of exploration from each of the Cerro Quema project and the Camino Rojo project; (v) the potential for the discovery of additional mineral resources; (vi) Orla’s ability to obtain required mine licenses, mine permits, required agreements with third parties and regulatory approvals, including but not limited to, the receipt of the Environmental & Social Impact Assessment (“ESIA”) permit related to the Cerro Quema project and other necessary permitting required to implement expected future exploration plans; (vii) community and ejido relations; (viii) requirements for additional land; (ix) availability of sufficient water for proposed operations; (x) results of feasibility studies, including but not limited to mineral resource and mineral reserve estimation, mine plans and operations, internal rates of return, sensitivities, taxes, net present values, potential recoveries, design parameters, operating costs, capital costs, production data and economic potential; (xi) upside opportunities such as pit wall angles, land agreements, and the development of the sulphide mineral resource, and exploration potential; (xii) the timing and costs for production decisions; (xiii) financing timelines and requirements, including the timing and the amount to be secured relating to the Camino Rojo project loan; (xiv) the Camino Rojo project loan, including meeting all the conditions precedent relating to tranches 2 and 3 of the project loan; (xv) timing for start of engineering work, construction, and receipt of permits; (xvi) changes in commodity prices and exchange rates; (xvii) currency and interest rate fluctuations; (xviii) timing for first gold production; and (xix) the Company's objectives and strategies.

 

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ORLA MINING LTD.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

Three and nine months ended September 30, 2020       United States dollars unless otherwise stated

 

Any statements that express or involve discussions with respect to predictions, expectations, beliefs, plans, projections, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance (often, but not always, identified by words or phrases such as “expects”, “is expected”, “anticipates”, “believes”, “plans”, “projects”, “estimates”, “assumes”, “intends”, “strategy”, “goals”, “objectives”, “potential”, “possible” or variations thereof or stating that certain actions, events, conditions or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “should”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be achieved (or the negative of any of these terms and similar expressions) are not statements of fact and may be forward-looking statements.

 

Forward-looking statements are necessarily based upon a number of factors and assumptions that, if untrue, could cause actual results, performance, or achievements to be materially different from future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such statements. Forward-looking statements are based upon a number of estimates and assumptions that, while considered reasonable by the Company at this time, are inherently subject to significant business, economic and competitive uncertainties and contingencies that may cause the Company’s actual financial results, performance, or achievements to be materially different from those expressed or implied herein. Some of the material factors or assumptions used to develop forward-looking statements include, without limitation, (i) the future price of gold; (ii) anticipated costs and the Company’s ability to fund its programs; (iii) the Company’s ability to carry on exploration and development activities; (iv) the Company’s ability to secure and to meet obligations under property agreements; (v) the timing and results of drilling programs; (vi) the discovery of mineral resources and mineral reserves on the Company’s mineral properties; (vii) the obtaining of an agreement with the Adjacent Owner (as defined herein) to develop the entire Camino Rojo Gold Project mineral resource estimate; (viii) the timely receipt of required approvals and permits, including those approvals and permits required for successful project permitting, construction and operation of projects; (ix) the costs of operating and exploration expenditures, (x) assumptions regarding the ability to meet the conditions precedent regarding drawdown on the Camino Rojo project loan; (xi) the accuracy of mineral resource and mineral reserve estimations; (xii) that there will be no material adverse change affecting the Company or its properties; (xiii) that all required permits and approvals will be obtained; (xiv) that social or environmental issues might exist, are well understood and will be properly managed; (xv) that there will be no significant disruptions affecting the Company or its properties; (xvi) the Company’s ability to operate in a safe, efficient and effective manner; and (xvii) the Company’s ability to obtain financing as and when required and on reasonable terms.

 

Forward-looking statements are subject to a variety of known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual events or results to differ from those expressed or implied. There can be no assurance that such statements will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Certain important factors that could cause actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those in the forward looking statements include, among others: (i) failing to meet certain conditions precedent to draw the remaining portion of the Camino Rojo project loan; (ii) risks related to uncertainties inherent in the preparation of feasibility studies, drill results and the estimation of mineral resources and reserves, including changes in economic parameters; (iii) risks relating to not securing agreements with third parties or not receiving required permits; (iv) failure to obtain required regulatory and stock exchange approvals with respect to any Offering; (v) uncertainty and variations in the estimation of mineral resources and mineral reserves; (vi) delays in or failure to obtain an agreement with the Adjacent Owner with respect to the Camino Rojo Gold Project; (vii) health, safety and environmental risks; (viii) success of exploration, development and operations activities; (ix) risks relating to foreign operations and expropriation or nationalization of mining operations; (x) delays in obtaining or failure to obtain governmental permits, or non-compliance with permits; (xi) delays in getting access from surface rights owners; (xii) uncertainty in estimates of production, capital and operation costs and potential for production and cost overruns; (xiii) the impact of Panamanian or Mexican laws regarding foreign investment; (xiv) the fluctuating price of gold; (xv) assessments by taxation authorities in multiple jurisdictions; (xvi) uncertainties related to title to mineral properties; (xvii) competition for, among other things, capital, acquisitions of mineral reserves, undeveloped lands and skilled personnel; and (xviii) the Company’s ability to identify, complete and successfully integrate acquisitions.

 

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ORLA MINING LTD.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

Three and nine months ended September 30, 2020       United States dollars unless otherwise stated

 

This list is not exhaustive of the factors that may affect any of the Company’s forward-looking statements. Although the Company believes its expectations are based upon reasonable assumptions and have attempted to identify important factors that could cause actual actions, events or results to differ materially from those described in forward-looking statements, there may be other factors that cause actions, events or results not to be as anticipated, estimated or intended. See the section entitled “Risks and Uncertainties” in this MD&A for additional risk factors that could cause results to differ materially from forward-looking statements.

 

You are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements contained herein are made as of the date of this MD&A and, accordingly, are subject to change after such date. We disclaim any intent or obligation to update publicly or otherwise revise any forward-looking statements or the foregoing list of assumptions or factors, except in accordance with applicable securities laws. You are urged to read the Company’s filings with Canadian securities regulatory agencies, which you can view online under the Company’s profile on SEDAR at www.sedar.com

 

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