EX-99.(C)(1) 2 nc10018386x1_exc1.htm EXHIBIT (C)(1)
Exhibit (c)(1)

10/9/2020

Board of Directors
Watford Holdings, Ltd.
Waterloo House, 1st Floor
100 Pitts Bay Road
Pembroke HM 08, Bermuda

Members of the Board:

We understand that Watford Holdings Ltd. (“Watford” or the “Company”), Arch Capital Group Ltd. (“Arch” or the “Buyer”), and Greysbridge Ltd. (“Merger Sub”), a wholly owned subsidiary of Arch, propose to enter into an Agreement and Plan of Merger, substantially in the form of the draft dated October 9, 2020 (the “Merger Agreement”), which provides, among other things, for the merger of Merger Sub with and into the Company (the “Merger”), with the Company continuing as a wholly owned subsidiary of Arch. Pursuant to the Merger, each outstanding share of common stock, par value $0.01 per share, of the Company (the “Company Common Stock”), other than shares held in treasury or held by Arch, Merger Sub, the Company or any of their respective direct or indirect wholly owned subsidiaries or as to which dissenters’ rights have been perfected (the “Excluded Shares”), will be converted into the right to receive $31.10 per share in cash (the “Consideration”). We further understand that approximately 12.6% of the outstanding shares of the Company Common Stock are owned by Arch. The terms and conditions of the Merger are more fully set forth in the Merger Agreement.

You have asked for our opinion as to whether the Consideration to be received by the holders of shares of the Company Common Stock (other than Excluded Shares) pursuant to the Merger Agreement is fair from a financial point of view to such holders.

For purposes of the opinion set forth herein, we have:

1)
Reviewed certain publicly available financial statements and other business and financial information of the Company;

2)
Reviewed certain internal financial statements and other financial and operating data concerning the Company;

3)
Reviewed certain financial projections prepared by the management of the Company, including both on a standalone basis and under a run-off scenario;

4)
Discussed the past and current operations and financial condition and the prospects of the Company with senior executives of the Company;

5)
Reviewed the reported prices and trading activity for the Company Common Stock;

6)
Compared the financial performance of the Company and the prices and trading activity of the Company Common Stock with that of certain other publicly-traded companies comparable with the Company, and their securities;

7)
Reviewed the financial terms, to the extent publicly available, of certain comparable acquisition transactions;

8)
Participated in certain discussions and negotiations among representatives of the Company and the Buyer and their financial and legal advisors;

9)
Reviewed the Merger Agreement and certain related documents; and

10)
Performed such other analyses, reviewed such other information and considered such other factors as we have deemed appropriate.

We have assumed and relied upon, without independent verification, the accuracy and completeness of the information that was publicly available or supplied or otherwise made available to us by the Company, and formed a substantial basis for this opinion. With respect to the financial projections of the Company on a standalone basis, we have assumed that they have been reasonably prepared on bases reflecting the best currently available estimates and judgments of the management of the Company of the future financial performance of the Company if the Company continues on a standalone basis. With respect to the financial projections of the Company under a run-off scenario, we have assumed that they have been reasonably prepared on bases reflecting the best currently available estimates and judgments of the management of the Company of the future financial performance of the Company under a run-off scenario. In addition, we have assumed that the Merger will be consummated in accordance with the terms set forth in the Merger Agreement without any waiver, amendment or delay of any terms or conditions, including, among other things, that the definitive Merger Agreement will not differ in any material respect from the draft thereof furnished to us. Morgan Stanley has assumed that in connection with the receipt of all the necessary governmental, regulatory or other approvals and consents required for the proposed Merger, no delays, limitations, conditions or restrictions will be imposed that would have a material adverse effect on the contemplated benefits expected to be derived in the proposed Merger. We are not legal, tax, regulatory or actuarial advisors. We are financial advisors only and have relied upon, without independent verification, the assessment of the Buyer and its legal, tax, regulatory or actuarial advisors with respect to legal, tax, regulatory or actuarial matters. We express no opinion with respect to the fairness of the amount or nature of the compensation to any of the Company’s officers, directors or employees, or any class of such persons, relative to the Consideration to be paid to the holders of shares of the Company Common Stock in the transaction. We express no opinion with respect to the treatment of the Company’s 8½% Cumulative Redeemable Preference Shares in the Merger. We have not made any independent valuation or appraisal of the assets or liabilities of the Company, nor have we been furnished with any such valuations or appraisals. Our opinion is necessarily based on financial, economic, market and other conditions as in effect on, and the information made available to us as of, the date hereof. Events occurring after the date hereof may affect this opinion and the assumptions used in preparing it, and we do not assume any obligation to update, revise or reaffirm this opinion.

In arriving at our opinion, we were not authorized to solicit, and did not solicit, interest from any party with respect to the acquisition, business combination or other extraordinary transaction involving the Company, nor did we negotiate with any of the parties, other than the Buyer and Enstar Group Ltd., which expressed interest to Morgan Stanley in the possible acquisition of the Company or certain of its constituent businesses.

We have acted as financial advisor to the Board of Directors of the Company in connection with this transaction and will receive a fee for our services, a significant portion of which is contingent upon the closing of the Merger. In the two years prior to the date hereof, we have provided financing services for the Company, and have received fees in connection with such services. In the two years prior to the date hereof, we have not been engaged on any financial advisory or financing assignments for Arch, and have not received any fees for such services from Arch during this time. Morgan Stanley may also seek to provide financial advisory and financing services to Arch and the Company and their respective affiliates in the future and would expect to receive fees for the rendering of these services.

Please note that Morgan Stanley is a global financial services firm engaged in the securities, investment management and individual wealth management businesses. Our securities business is engaged in securities underwriting, trading and brokerage activities, foreign exchange, commodities and derivatives trading, prime brokerage, as well as providing investment banking, financing and financial advisory services. Morgan Stanley, its affiliates, directors and officers may at any time invest on a principal basis or manage funds that invest, hold long or short positions, finance positions, and may trade or otherwise structure and effect transactions, for their own account or the accounts of its customers, in debt or equity securities or loans of the Buyer, the Company, or any other company, or any currency or commodity, that may be involved in this transaction, or any related derivative instrument.

This opinion has been approved by a committee of Morgan Stanley investment banking and other professionals in accordance with our customary practice. This opinion is for the information of the Board of Directors of the Company and may not be used for any other purpose or disclosed without our prior written consent, except that a copy of this opinion may be included in its entirety in any filing the Company is required to make with the Securities and Exchange Commission in connection with this transaction if such inclusion is required by applicable law. In addition, Morgan Stanley expresses no opinion or recommendation as to how the shareholders of the Company should vote at the shareholders’ meeting to be held in connection with the Merger.

Based on and subject to the foregoing, we are of the opinion on the date hereof that the Consideration to be received by the holders of shares of the Company Common Stock (other than Excluded Shares) pursuant to the Merger Agreement is fair from a financial point of view to such holders.

 
Very truly yours,
     
 
MORGAN STANLEY & CO. LLC
     
 
By: 

   
Dean Scott
   
Managing Director