EX-99.(C)(9) 3 ny20006083x6_exc9.htm EXHIBIT (C)(9)

Exhibit (c)(9)

 Project Cloud  Supporting Materials  21 October 2022 
 

 Summary of the Transaction Terms  Current Capitalization  Ownership  Management Projections (Pre FX Adjustments)  Current Lender Model  Transaction Funding (Leverage LTM Q3 2022E PF Adj. EBITDA = $68.2m)  M  (+) Existing Debt  (+) M ino rities  (-) Cash  T EV ( P IP E at M in  (+) Redemptio n  (+) Existing  (+) M ino  (-) C  T  Offer P rice  $ 2 .85  T o p 5 Shareho lders  St yle  % O/ S  P o sitio n ( m)  $m   2022   2023   2024   2025   2026   2027   22 - 27 C A GR  SmartFresh Apple  91.9  90.4  84.7  81.2  77.9  76.4  (3.6%)  B asic Shares Outstanding (m)  52  The Dow Chemical Company  Other  39.9%  21.00  SmartFresh Diversificatio n  23.5  26.2  27.3  32.9  37.6  41.0  11.8%  Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding (m)  T. Rowe P rice Small Cap Value Fund  Value  10.5%  5.53  Harvista  17.3  20.7  23.7  28.3  37.6  46.9  22.0%  TSP Capital M anagement Gro up, LLC  GA RP  5.8%  3.07  Dimensio nal Fund A dviso rs, L.P .  Index  1.7%  0.90  P IP E C o nversio n  (m)   ( $ m)  PIPE Shares at $ 5.00 Co nversio n  33.19  PF B asic Outstanding Shares  P SP PF Ownership Dow PF Ownership  85.88  38.6%  24.5%  Shares Required to Reach 50.1% O/S  Shares Required to Reach 66.7% O/S  9.84  24.09  28.0  68.7  IRR Analysis (Management Case / 4.6x Gross Leverage at S+750)  IRR Entry Share Price  $2.60 $2.85 $2.90 $2.95 $3.00  1  8.0x  16.6%  15.7%  15.5%  15.3%  15.1%  8.5x  18.2%  17.2%  17.0%  16.8%  16.7%  Exit  9.0x  19.6%  18.7%  18.5%  18.3%  18.1%  Multiple  9.5x  21.0%  20.1%  19.9%  19.7%  19.5%  (TEV /  10.0x  22.4%  21.4%  21.2%  21.0%  20.8%  EBITDA  10.5x  23.7%  22.7%  22.5%  22.3%  22.1%  2027E)  11.0x  24.9%  23.9%  23.7%  23.5%  23.3%  11.5x  26.1%  25.1%  24.9%  24.7%  24.5%  12.0x  27.2%  26.2%  26.0%  25.8%  25.6%  Other  42.9  48.7  63.6  78.2  98.6  122.5  23.3%  arket C apitalizatio n  R evenue  175 .6  186 .0  199 .3  220 .5  251.7  286 .7  10 .3 %  (+) Redemptio n of PIPE (M in M OIC  First M anhattan Company  Value  5.5%  2.92  Gro ss P ro f it  120 .3  124 .9  130 .1  142 .5  161.1  183 .0  8 .8 %  Gross Profit (%) 68.5% 67.1% 65.3% 64.6% 64.0% 63.8%  A djusted EB IT D A 66 .5 68 .2 71.7 80 .2 93 .9 112 .7 11.1%  Adjusted EBITDA (%) 37.9% 36.6% 36.0% 36.4% 37.3% 39.3%  $m 2022   2023   2024   2025   2026   2027 22 - 27 C A GR  SmartFresh Apple SmartFresh Diversificatio n Harvista  Other  91.9  23.5  17.3  34.3  90.4  26.2  20.7  39.7  84.7  27.5  22.3  53.9  81.2  29.0  24.9  60.2  77.9  30.8  29.7  70.9  76.4  32.9  34.6  86.4  (3.6%)  7.0%  14.8%  20.3%  R evenue  167 .0  177 .0  188 .4  195 .3  209 .3  230 .3  6 .6 %  Gro ss P ro f it  114 .3  119 .0  124 .4  127 .0  134 .0  146 .0  5 .0 %  Gross Profit (%)  68.4%  67.2%  66.0%  65.0%  64.0%  63.4%  A djusted EB IT D A  62 .5  70 .3  71.5  72 .0  76 .1  84 .6  6 .2 %  Adjusted EBITDA (%)  37.4%  39.7%  38.0%  36.8%  36.3%  36.7%  So urces ( $ m)  Revo lver ($ 25m Commitment)  -  -  -  New Term Lo an  315.0  43.4%  4.6x  Spo nso r Equity  364.9  50.2%  5.4x  Cash fro m B alance Sheet  46.7  6.4%  0.7x  T o tal So urces  726 .6  100 .0 %  10 .7 x  Uses ( $ m)  Cash to B alance Sheet  15.0  2.1%  0.2x  Refinance Existing Debt  255.4  35.2%  3.7x  Refinance Co nvertible P referred  258.7  35.6%  3.8x  P urchase P rice of Equity  165.9  22.8%  2.4x  Transactio n Fees, OID and Expenses  31.5  4.3%  0.5x  T o tal Uses  726 .6  100 .0 %  10 .7 x 
 

 I  Analysis at Various Prices 
 

 STRICTLY PRIVATE & CONFIDENTIAL  Analysis at Various Prices: Management Case (1/2)  Note: Base gross leverage at 4.6x Q3 2022E PF Adj. EBITDA (incl. Savings) with S + 750 (vs. S + 675 presented in the initial lender model); excluding FX impact and cost savings; as of 19th October 2022  3  Management Case  ($m / $ per share) Current 52W Low 52W High Take-Out Offer  Share Price  $1.61  $1.46  $2.33  $2.60  $2.85  $2.90  $2.95  $3.00  (Discount) / Premium to Spot  -  (9.3%)  44.7%  61.5%  77.0%  80.1%  83.2%  86.3%  (Discount) / Premium to 52W High  (30.9%)  (37.3%)  -  11.6%  22.3%  24.5%  26.6%  28.8%  (Discount) / Premium to 52W Low  10.3%  -  59.6%  78.1%  95.2%  98.6%  102.1%  105.5%  (Discount) / Premium to L3M VWAP  (4.2%)  (13.1%)  38.6%  54.7%  69.6%  72.6%  75.5%  78.5%  (Discount) / Premium to L6M VWAP  (6.7%)  (15.4%)  35.1%  50.7%  65.2%  68.1%  71.0%  73.9%  NOSH (m)  58  58  58  58  58  58  58  58  Equity Value  94  85  136  151  166  169  172  175  Net Debt / Minorities  216  216  216  216  216  216  216  216  PIPE at Book Value  166  166  166  166  166  166  166  166  TEV (PIPE at BV)  476  467  518  533  548  551  554  557  Premium to the Current TEV  12.1%  15.2%  15.8%  16.4%  17.0%  TEV / LTM Q3 2022E PF Adj. EBITDA (excl. Savings) - $64.9m - Man. Case  7.3x  7.2x  8.0x  8.2x  8.4x  8.5x  8.5x  8.6x  TEV / LTM Q3 2022E PF Adj. EBITDA (incl. Savings) - $68.2m - Man. Case  7.0x  6.8x  7.6x  7.8x  8.0x  8.1x  8.1x  8.2x  TEV / EBITDA 2022E - $62.5m - Lender Case  7.6x  7.5x  8.3x  8.5x  8.8x  8.8x  8.9x  8.9x  TEV / EBITDA 2023E - $68.2m - Man. Case  7.0x  6.9x  7.6x  7.8x  8.0x  8.1x  8.1x  8.2x  TEV / EBITDA 2024E - $71.7m - Man. Case  6.6x  6.5x  7.2x  7.4x  7.6x  7.7x  7.7x  7.8x  PIPE at Min. MOIC (2.00x) - (Sep-22) - Incremental vs. BV  93  93  93  93  93  93  93  93  TEV (incl. PIPE at 2.00 MOIC)  569  560  610  626  641  644  647  649  TEV / LTM Q3 2022E PF Adj. EBITDA (excl. Savings) - $64.9m - Man. Case  7.3x  7.2x  8.0x  8.2x  8.4x  8.5x  8.5x  8.6x  TEV / LTM Q3 2022E PF Adj. EBITDA (incl. Savings) - $68.2m - Man. Case  7.0x  6.8x  7.6x  7.8x  8.0x  8.1x  8.1x  8.2x  TEV / EBITDA 2022E - $62.5m - Lender Case  7.6x  7.5x  8.3x  8.5x  8.8x  8.8x  8.9x  8.9x  TEV / EBITDA 2023E - $68.2m - Man. Case  7.0x  6.9x  7.6x  7.8x  8.0x  8.1x  8.1x  8.2x  TEV / EBITDA 2024E - $71.7m - Man. Case  6.6x  6.5x  7.2x  7.4x  7.6x  7.7x  7.7x  7.8x 
 

 Analysis at Various Prices: Management Case (1/2)  Management Case  Note: Base gross leverage at 4.6x Q3 2022E PF Adj. EBITDA (incl. Savings) with S + 750 (vs. S + 675 presented in the initial lender model); excluding FX impact and cost savings; as of 19th October 2022  3  ($m / $ per share) Current 52W Low 52W High Take-Out Offer  Share Price  $1.61  $2.33  $1.46  $2.60  $2.85  $2.90  $2.95  $3.00  (Discount) / Premium to Spot  -  44.7%  (9.3%)  61.5%  77.0%  80.1%  83.2%  86.3%  (Discount) / Premium to 52W High  (30.9%)  -  (37.3%)  11.6%  22.3%  24.5%  26.6%  28.8%  (Discount) / Premium to 52W Low  10.3%  59.6%  -  78.1%  95.2%  98.6%  102.1%  105.5%  (Discount) / Premium to L3M VWAP  (4.2%)  38.6%  (13.1%)  54.7%  69.6%  72.6%  75.5%  78.5%  (Discount) / Premium to L6M VWAP  (6.7%)  35.1%  (15.4%)  50.7%  65.2%  68.1%  71.0%  73.9%  NOSH (m)  58  58  58  58  58  58  58  58  Equity Value  94  136  85  151  166  169  172  175  Net Debt / Minorities  216  216  216  216  216  216  216  216  PIPE at Book Value  166  166  166  166  166  166  166  166  TEV (PIPE at BV)  476  518  467  533  548  551  554  557  Premium to the Current TEV  12.1%  15.2%  15.8%  16.4%  17.0%  TEV / LTM Q3 2022E PF Adj. EBITDA (excl. Savings) - $64.9m - Man. Case  7.3x  8.0x  7.2x  8.2x  8.4x  8.5x  8.5x  8.6x  TEV / LTM Q3 2022E PF Adj. EBITDA (incl. Savings) - $68.2m - Man. Case  7.0x  7.6x  6.8x  7.8x  8.0x  8.1x  8.1x  8.2x  TEV / EBITDA 2022E - $62.5m - Lender Case  7.6x  8.3x  7.5x  8.5x  8.8x  8.8x  8.9x  8.9x  TEV / EBITDA 2023E - $68.2m - Man. Case  7.0x  7.6x  6.9x  7.8x  8.0x  8.1x  8.1x  8.2x  TEV / EBITDA 2024E - $71.7m - Man. Case  6.6x  7.2x  6.5x  7.4x  7.6x  7.7x  7.7x  7.8x  PIPE at Min. MOIC (2.00x) - (Sep-22) - Incremental vs. BV  93  93  93  93  93  93  93  93  TEV (incl. PIPE at 2.00 MOIC)  569  610  560  626  641  644  647  649  TEV / LTM Q3 2022E PF Adj. EBITDA (excl. Savings) - $64.9m - Man. Case  7.3x  8.0x  7.2x  8.2x  8.4x  8.5x  8.5x  8.6x  TEV / LTM Q3 2022E PF Adj. EBITDA (incl. Savings) - $68.2m - Man. Case  7.0x  7.6x  6.8x  7.8x  8.0x  8.1x  8.1x  8.2x  TEV / EBITDA 2022E - $62.5m - Lender Case  7.6x  8.3x  7.5x  8.5x  8.8x  8.8x  8.9x  8.9x  TEV / EBITDA 2023E - $68.2m - Man. Case  7.0x  7.6x  6.9x  7.8x  8.0x  8.1x  8.1x  8.2x  TEV / EBITDA 2024E - $71.7m - Man. Case  6.6x  7.2x  6.5x  7.4x  7.6x  7.7x  7.7x  7.8x 

 Analysis at Various Prices: Management Case (2/2)  Management Case  Note: Base gross leverage at 4.6x Q3 2022E PF Adj. EBITDA (incl. Savings) with S + 750 (vs. S + 675 presented in the initial lender model); excluding FX impact and cost savings; as of 19th October 2022  4  ($m / $ per share) Current 52W Low 52W High Take-Out Offer  Share Price  $1.61  $2.33  $1.46  $2.60  $2.85  $2.90  $2.95  $3.00  Total Uses  712  727  729  732  735  Sources - Based on Lender Case  Gross Leverage at LTM Q3 2022E PF Adj. EBITDA (incl. Savings) - $68.2m - Lender Case  4.6x  4.6x  4.6x  4.6x  4.6x  Transaction Gross Debt  315  315  315  315  315  Implied % of Uses  44.2%  43.4%  43.2%  43.0%  42.8%  Memo: Cash from Balance Sheet  47  47  47  47  47  Implied % of Uses  6.6%  6.4%  6.4%  6.4%  6.3%  Required Equity Contribution  350  365  368  371  374  Implied % of Uses  49.2%  50.2%  50.4%  50.6%  50.8%  Dec-27 TEV 10.0x TEV / LTM EBITDA  1,146  1,146  1,146  1,146  1,146  (+) Exit Equity Value  1,014  1,014  1,014  1,014  1,014  (+) Accumulated Returns (Jul-20-Dec-22 - ex. Exit Equity Value)  41  41  41  41  41  (-) Old Money - Initial PSP Investment  150  150  150  150  150  Memo: (+) Equity Check Required  350  365  368  371  374  Memo: (-) PIPE Value at 2.0x MOIC  259  259  259  259  259  (-) New Money - Incremental Cash Required to Fund Equity Check  92  106  109  112  115  MOIC - Dec-27 (Old + New Money)  4.37x  4.12x  4.07x  4.03x  3.98x  IRR - Dec-27 (Old + New Money)  25.8%  25.0%  24.8%  24.7%  24.5%  (+) Exit Equity Value  1,014  1,014  1,014  1,014  1,014  (-) New Money - PSP Investment  350  365  368  371  374  MOIC - Dec-27 (New Money)  2.90x  2.78x  2.76x  2.74x  2.72x  IRR - Dec-27 (New Money)  22.4%  21.4%  21.2%  21.0%  20.8% 
 

 II  Trading Update + DCF Analysis 
 

 $1.61  $1.00  $1.25  $1.50  $1.75  $2.00  $2.25  $2.50  $2.75  $3.00  Oct-21  Dec-21  Feb-22  Apr-22  Jun-22  Aug-22  Oct-22  AgroFresh Share Price Evolution  Since October 2021  September 15th  Offer Price: $2.60 Premium to spot: +67%  $2.85  $2.60  October 10th  Source: Press releases, Factset as of 13th May 2021  6  Offer Price: $2.85  Premium to spot: +79% 
 

 TEV / NTM EBITDA Multiples Over Time  8.3x  10.6x  7.0x  10.2x  8.6x  6.8x  8.5x  11.5x  6.7x  13.3x  11.9x  15.7x  From Dec-21 to Sep-22  NTM EBITDA ∆: (3.5%)  Share Price ∆: (38.1%)  21.7x  From Dec-21 to Sep-22  NTM EBITDA ∆: (28.5%)  Share Price ∆: (54.1%)  21.4x  Dec-21 Sep-22 Today  Crop Protection (US)  Dec-21 Sep-22 Today  Animal Health  Dec-21 Sep-22 Today  Specialty Inputs  Notes: (1) Elder is excluded from the average of Farm Services (2) Kumiai based off 30-Dec-21 (3) Today is refence to 14-Oct-22, Sep-22 is reference to 15-Sep-22 (First Letter) and Dec-21 is reference to 31-Dec-21 (4) TEV bridge includes PIPE at min 2.0x MOIC  From Sep-22 to Today  NTM EBITDA ∆: (1.1%)  Share Price ∆:(14.4%)  14.7x  Source: FactSet as of 14th October 2022  7  From Sep-22 to Today  NTM EBITDA ∆: 1.3%  Share Price ∆: (12.4%)  17.1x  From Dec-21 to Sep-22  NTM EBITDA ∆: 1.6%  Share Price ∆: (21.6%)  From Sep-22 to Today  NTM EBITDA ∆: 0.2%  Share Price ∆: 3.8%  From Dec-21 to Sep-22  NTM EBITDA ∆: 13.6%  Share Price ∆:17.5%  From Sep-22 to Today  NTM EBITDA ∆: 1.1%  Share Price ∆:1.3%  11.6x  From Dec-21 to Sep-22  NTM EBITDA ∆: 8.5%  Share Price ∆: 1.8%  From Sep-22 to Today  NTM EBITDA ∆: (4.5%)  Share Price ∆:(8.5%)  From Dec-21 to Sep-22  NTM EBITDA ∆: 7.5%  Share Price ∆: 4.8%  From Sep-22 to Today  NTM EBITDA ∆: (1.4%)  Share Price ∆: (8.2%)  12.6x  Dec-21 Sep-22 Today  Farm Services(1)  Dec-21 Sep-22 Today  Crop Protection (non-US)  (2)  Dec-21 Sep-22 Today (3)  (4)  AGFS 
 

 DCF Analysis  The purpose of this analysis is to assess the sensitivity of AgroFresh’s valuation to changes in revenue estimates  We broke down AgroFresh (WholeCo) into two separate product lines:   Core Products, comprised of SmartFresh and Harvista   High Growth Products, comprised of all of the remaining product lines  We applied a fixed discount p.a. on yearly growth estimates per product line communicated by the management  We ran a DCF analysis on (1) Core Products; (2) High Growth Products and (3) WholeCo  TEV adjustments are allocated between Core and High Growth on the basis of their respective contribution to a WholeCo TEV ran with BP numbers   $457m of TEV adjustments, made of $257m of gross debt, $52m of cash,  $7m of minorities and $259m of PIPE (2.0x MOIC)   71% of total TEV adjustments are allocated to Core Products and 29% to High Growth Products  Methodology  Forecast period from 2023E to 2032E  Weighted Average Cost of Capital:   12% for Core Products   15% for High Growth Products  Perpetual Growth Rate of 2.0% across all products  Terminal Value calculated using Gordon Shapiro  All operational assumptions, aside from revenue growth, are based off the Business Plan communicated on September 2022  Capital structure is based off the latest SEC filings (2Q22 10Q) and assumes PIPE valued at 2.0x MOIC  Diluted NOSH of 58.2m  No further FX impact is assumed in our base case below   An additional scenario with FX revaluated at spot value is included in the  following pages  Assumptions  WholeCo Share Price  -  $6.6  $5.8  $5.8  $5.0  $5.1  $4.3  $4.4  $3.7  $3.9  $3.1  $8.4  $7.6  $6.9  $6.3  $7.4  $6.6  $5.9  $5.3  (1.5%)  (3.0%)  (4.5%)  $5.1  $4.5  $4.3  $3.7  $3.6  $3.0  $3.0  $2.3  $2.4  $1.8  Growth -  ut to BP  Haircut applied to annual revenue growth  Core Products - Haircut Applied p.a. to Yearly Growth Estimates from BP ('22E - '32E)  in the Management Case (23E-32E)  -  (1.5%)  (3.0%)  (4.5%)  (6.0%)  (7.5%)  (9.0%)  gh airc  (6.0%)  $5.7  $4.8  $3.9  $3.1  $2.4  $1.8  $1.2  Hi H  (7.5%)  $5.2  $4.2  $3.4  $2.6  $1.9  $1.3  $0.7  (9.0%)  $4.8  $3.8  $2.9  $2.1  $1.4  $0.8  $0.3  DCF value from m (no haircut applied t  anagement case  o revenue growth)  DCF value ranging from $3-4 a share  Source: Company Information, SEC Filings  8  Evercore has backed into a hypothetical $3-4 per share range based on separate WACC levels for Core (SmartFresh / Harvista) and High Growth products, which implies various haircuts being made to the management case annual revenue growth of 4-9% 
 

 WholeCo Valuation (Including FX Impact)  Assumes 2.0% terminal growth, mid-year cash flows convention and additional FX impact (EURUSD only)  WholeCo Valued at $4 (WACC: ~13.2%) – no FX Impact WholeCo Valued at $3 (WACC: ~13.5%) – no FX Impact  WACC  WACC  11.5%  12.0%  12.5%  13.0%  13.5%  14.0%  14.5%  11.5%  12.0%  12.5%  13.0%  13.5%  14.0%  14.5%  1.25%  $4.6  $3.9  $3.3  $2.7  $2.2  $1.8  $1.4  1.25%  $3.7  $3.1  $2.5  $2.0  $1.5  $1.1  $0.7  ate  1.50%  $4.7  $4.0  $3.4  $2.9  $2.3  $1.9  $1.4  ate  1.50%  $3.9  $3.2  $2.6  $2.1  $1.6  $1.2  $0.8  R  1.75%  $4.9  $4.2  $3.6  $3.0  $2.4  $2.0  $1.5  R  1.75%  $4.0  $3.4  $2.8  $2.2  $1.7  $1.3  $0.9  th  2.00%  $5.1  $4.3  $3.7  $3.1  $2.6  $2.1  $1.6  th  2.00%  $4.2  $3.5  $2.9  $2.3  $1.8  $1.4  $0.9  ow  2.25%  $5.3  $4.5  $3.8  $3.2  $2.7  $2.2  $1.7  ow  2.25%  $4.4  $3.7  $3.0  $2.5  $1.9  $1.5  $1.0  Gr  2.50%  $5.5  $4.7  $4.0  $3.4  $2.8  $2.3  $1.8  Gr  2.50%  $4.6  $3.8  $3.2  $2.6  $2.1  $1.6  $1.1  2.75%  $5.7  $4.9  $4.2  $3.5  $2.9  $2.4  $1.9  2.75%  $4.8  $4.0  $3.3  $2.7  $2.2  $1.7  $1.2  Assumptions as per WholeCo at $4 – with FX Impact  Assumptions as per WholeCo at $3 – with FX Impact  FX Impact Calculations  2023E  2024E  2025E  2026E  2027E  2028E  2029E  2030E  2031E  2032E  Total Revenue (BP)  186.0  199.3  220.5  251.7  286.7  320.9  360.7  402.2  443.9  487.6  Europe Revenue (based on BP FX)  59.1  61.3  62.1  66.6  77.4  88.6  97.3  104.2  113.6  123.7  BP FX  1.18  1.18  1.18  1.18  1.18  1.18  1.18  1.18  1.18  1.18  Spot FX  1.02  1.02  1.02  1.02  1.02  1.02  1.02  1.02  1.02  1.02  Coefficient  0.86  0.86  0.86  0.86  0.86  0.86  0.86  0.86  0.86  0.86  Europe Revenue (Spot)  50.9  52.9  53.5  57.4  66.7  76.3  83.8  89.8  97.9  106.6  Less: Europe Revenue (BP FX)  (59.1)  (61.3)  (62.1)  (66.6)  (77.4)  (88.6)  (97.3)  (104.2)  (113.6)  (123.7)  FX Impact  ($8.2)  ($8.5)  ($8.6)  ($9.2)  ($10.7)  ($12.2)  ($13.4)  ($14.4)  ($15.7)  ($17.1)  WACC  WACC  11.5%  12.0%  12.5%  13.0%  13.5%  14.0%  14.5%  11.5%  12.0%  12.5%  13.0%  13.5%  14.0%  14.5%  1.25%  $5.8  $5.1  $4.5  $3.9  $3.3  $2.8  $2.3  1.25%  $5.0  $4.3  $3.7  $3.1  $2.6  $2.1  $1.7  te  1.50%  $6.0  $5.3  $4.6  $4.0  $3.4  $2.9  $2.4  te  1.50%  $5.2  $4.4  $3.8  $3.2  $2.7  $2.2  $1.7  Ra  1.75%  $6.2  $5.4  $4.7  $4.1  $3.5  $3.0  $2.5  Ra  1.75%  $5.3  $4.6  $3.9  $3.3  $2.8  $2.3  $1.8  th  2.00%  $6.4  $5.6  $4.9  $4.2  $3.6  $3.1  $2.6  th  2.00%  $5.5  $4.8  $4.1  $3.5  $2.9  $2.4  $1.9  ow  2.25%  $6.6  $5.8  $5.1  $4.4  $3.8  $3.2  $2.7  ow  2.25%  $5.7  $4.9  $4.2  $3.6  $3.0  $2.5  $2.0  Gr  2.50%  $6.9  $6.0  $5.2  $4.5  $3.9  $3.3  $2.8  Gr  2.50%  $5.9  $5.1  $4.4  $3.7  $3.1  $2.6  $2.1  2.75%  $7.1  $6.2  $5.4  $4.7  $4.0  $3.4  $2.9  2.75%  $6.2  $5.3  $4.6  $3.9  $3.3  $2.7  $2.2  Based on an outside-in assessment, scenario assuming incremental FX impact on the management case seems to imply $1 / share decrease in DCF value  Source: Company Information, SEC Filings, FactSet as of 17th October 2022  9 
 

 III  Future Share Price Calculations 
 

 Implied Future Share Price Range with PIPE at 2.0x MOIC (Sept-22)  Current Share Price  Dec-2022E  Dec-2023E  Dec-2024E  Dec-2025E  Dec-2026E  1  2  PIPE Refinanced  NTM EBITDA Multiple required to reach a share price of $4 in each year  13.0x 12.6x 11.5x 10.0x 8.4x  Scenario 1  Scenario 2  12.8x  11.9x  10.4x  8.7x  7.0x  Source: Management Business Plan (Sept-22)  11 
 

 Scenario not viable from cash perspective  Assumes PIPE refinanced in December 2022 and taken out at 2.0x MOIC (~$255m) along with existing debt at BV  TEV calculation based off NTM EBITDA multiples ranging from 8.3x (low) to 8.9x (high), per historical multiple over time analysis  Assumes NTM EBITDA with a 20% haircut from BP from 2022 onwards  Assumes TEV Adjustments of $7.7m including non-controlling interests (from 2Q22 10Q) and Diluted NOSH of 56.6m (2Q22 10Q)  Implied NTM EBITDA multiple, shown as bubbles, display the required multiple to come up with a share price of $4.00  Methodology  Scenario 1 - PIPE Takeout, 20% EBITDA haircut 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E 2026E 2027E  LTM Adjusted EBITDA  53.2  54.5  57.3  64.1  75.1  90.2  NTM Adjusted EBITDA  54.5  57.3  64.1  75.1  90.2  TEV / NTM EBITDA Low  20% Haircut to BP  8.3x  8.3x  8.3x  8.3x  8.3x  TEV / NTM EBITDA High  8.9x  8.9x  8.9x  8.9x  8.9x  TEV Low  452.6  475.8  532.3  623.6  748.4  TEV High  485.3  510.2  570.8  668.7  802.5  Net Debt  474.0  490.6  505.7  518.7  527.6  525.2  Minority  7.7  7.7  7.7  7.7  7.7  7.7  PIPE  Equity Value Low  PIPE refinanced in Dec-22  (29.1)  (22.5)  18.9  97.3  213.1  Equity Value High  3.6  11.9  57.4  142.4  267.2  NOSH  56.6  56.6  56.6  56.6  56.6  Share Price Low  (0.51)  (0.40)  0.33  1.72  3.77  Share Price High  0.06  0.21  1.01  2.52  4.72  1 Scenario 1:  PIPE Refinanced at 2.0x MOIC / EBITDA with 20% Haircut  Source: Company Information, SEC filings  12 
 

 PIPE not refinanced and accounted for in TEV at 2.0x MOIC  TEV calculation based off NTM EBITDA multiples ranging from 7.2x (low) to 7.9x (high), per historical multiple over time analysis  Assumes NTM EBITDA with a 20% haircut from BP, from 2022 onwards  Assumes TEV Adjustments of $7.7m including non-controlling interests (from 2Q22 10Q) and Diluted NOSH of 56.6m (2Q22 10Q)  Implied NTM EBITDA multiple, shown as bubbles, display the required multiple to come up with a share price of $4.00  Methodology  LTM Adjusted EBITDA  53.2  54.5  57.3  64.1  75.1  90.2  NTM Adjusted EBITDA  54.5  57.3  64.1  75.1  90.2  Scenario 2 - no PIPE Takeout, 20% EBITDA haircut 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E 2026E 2027E  TEV / NTM EBITDA Low  20% Haircut to BP  7.2x  7.2x  7.2x  7.2x  7.2x  TEV / NTM EBITDA High  7.9x  7.9x  7.9x  7.9x  7.9x  TEV Low  392.6  412.7  461.8  541.0  649.2  TEV High  430.8  452.9  506.7  593.6  712.3  Net Debt  208.1  212.6  216.9  220.8  222.2  213.9  Minority  7.7  7.7  7.7  7.7  7.7  7.7  PIPE (2.0x MOIC)  254.5  237.1  218.5  198.9  178.0  155.8  Equity Value Low (PIPE at 2.0x MOIC)  PIPE at 2.0x MOIC (not refinanced)  (77.8)  (44.7)  18.6  113.7  241.4  Equity Value High (PIPE at 2.0x MOIC)  (39.6)  (4.5)  63.5  166.3  304.5  NOSH  56.6  56.6  56.6  56.6  56.6  Share Price Low (PIPE at 2.0x MOIC)  (1.37)  (0.79)  0.33  2.01  4.27  Share Price High (PIPE at 2.0x MOIC)  (0.70)  (0.08)  1.12  2.94  5.38  2 Scenario 2:  PIPE Not Refinanced / EBITDA with 20% Haircut  Source: Company Information, SEC filings  13 
 

 IV  U.S. Precedent All-Cash Deals 
 

 Date Announced  Acquirer  Target  Enterprise Value   Rev. LTM  EBITDA LTM   TEV 3months 6months Share Price   Premium   Microsoft Elon Musk LVMH  Microsoft  Activision Blizzard Twitter  Tiffany & Co. Nuance  26%  15%  40%  4  45%  Evergreen Coast Capital / Vista Equity Partners Citrix  40%  24%  47%  24%  6%  27%  50%  34%  29%  21%  21%  24%  30%  19%  19.4x NM 16.8  59.7  13.6  12.1  NM 39.2 NA 67.6  3  7.8x  9.9  4.9  11.9  5.1  5.5  10.2  9.4  17.7  6.9  9.4  4.1  $68,987 47,360  17,714  17,329  16,500  14,644  11,125  10,704  10,454  10,381  10,147  9,792  8,600  8,295  7  Zayo Proofpoint  Uitimate Software Anaplan  Zendesk RealPage  Cypress Semiconductors TEGNA  Avalara CoreLogic  SailPoint Technologies Stamps.com  CMC Materials Versum Mat Datto  Digital Colony / EQT Thoma Bravo Hellman & Friedman Thoma Bravo Hellman & Friedman Thoma Bravo Infineon  Standard General Vista Equity Partners Stone Point / Insight Thoma Bravo  Thoma Bravo Entegris Merck Kaseya Thoma Bravo Apollo  Standard Industries EQT  CD&R / KKR  DuPont Apollo G C  1/18/22  4/25/22  10/28/19  4/12/21  1/31/22  5/8/19  4/26/21  2/4/19  3/20/22  6/24/22  12/21/20  6/3/19  2/22/22  8/8/22  2/4/21  4/11/22  7/9/21  12/15/21  1/28/19  4/11/22  7/26/21  11/13/19  11/19/20  7/14/21  6/1/21  11/2/21  8/4/22  2/14/22  7/9/19   TEV / VWAP Unaffected(1) 52W High(2)  U.S. All-Cash Transactions of Public Companies >$500mm since 2019 ($ in millions, unless otherwise specified)  U.S. Precedent All-Cash Deals for Public Companies  Source: S&P CapIQ, FactSet (10/10/22), Thomson Reuters, Company Filings Note: Transactions are sorted by enterprise value  (1) Unaffected Share Price Premium represents the offer premium relative to the share price on the last trading day prior to any official announcement or market speculation of a transaction  (2) 52 Week High Share Price Premium represents the offer premium relative to the 52 week high share price by the last trading day prior to any official announcement or market speculation of a transaction  Chemicals Transactions  15 
 

 Announced  Acquirer  Target  Value  LTM  LTM  Premium  5/6/21  Hellman & Friedman  At Home  4,214  2.0  6.6  9%  43%  77%  17%  4%  12/13/21  Lone Star  SPX FLOW  3,842  2.5  20.0  37%  31%  43%  40%  21%  2/12/19  Thoma Bravo  Ellie Mae  3,368  7.0  27.5  22%  38%  17%  21%  (15%)  12/20/21  American Securities  Hexion  3,333  1.2  8.5  22%  78%  89%  53%  50%  12/13/20  Partners Group / Vista Equity Partners  Pluralsight  3,257  8.7  NM  11%  16%  16%  19%  (1%)  11/2/20  Clearlake  Endurance  2,979  2.7  9.5  26%  68%  129%  79%  42%  8/3/22  Thoma Bravo LLC  Ping Identity  2,750  8.6  NM  51%  21%  25%  63%  (6%)  12/17/21  Thoma Bravo  Bottomline Technologies  2,713  5.6  28.0  37%  43%  38%  42%  4%  10/22/19  Platinum Equity  Cision  2,698  3.7  10.6  8%  19%  (3%)  18%  (37%)  1/4/21  Centene  Magellan Health  2,571  0.4  10.7  14%  22%  30%  15%  9%  1/11/21  NCR  Cardtronics  2,525  2.2  9.7  6%  43%  55%  9%  (18%)  6/10/19  Apollo  Shutterfly  2,493  1.2  9.4  9%  3%  (21%)  13%  (49%)  9/27/21  DL Chemicals  Kraton Corp.  2,447  1.4  8.3  24%  25%  26%  47%  1%  8/14/19  BC Partners  Presidio  2,101  0.7  8.5  12%  15%  9%  21%  (10%)  9/10/20  Baring Asia  Virtusa  1,993  1.6  17.6  20%  55%  45%  27%  (3%)  2/8/21  Electronic Arts  Glu Mobile  1,983  3.7  57.0  41%  44%  43%  36%  15%  12/4/19  Thoma Bravo  Instructure  1,952  7.6  NA  8%  17%  13%  10%  (5%)  6/28/21  Thoma Bravo  QAD  1,803  5.7  NM  24%  24%  34%  20%  10%  4/15/19  Siris Capital  EFI  1,697  1.7  22.9  23%  43%  30%  26%  4%  2/6/20  Advent / Crosspoint  Forescout  1,607  5.0  NA  26%  (1%)  (9%)  30%  (29%)  7/7/22  SD Biosensor  Meridian Bioscience  1,542  4.6  NA  1%  19%  38%  1%  (1%)  8/22/22  Centerbridge  Computer Services  1,529  4.8  NA  57%  24%  21%  53%  (3%)  11/15/20  American Securities  Foundation Building Materials  1,423  0.7  7.3  14%  25%  43%  27%  (12%)  11/11/19  Open Text  Carbonite  1,396  3.4  24.3  32%  15%  4%  78%  (47%)  9/10/21  The Jordan Company  Echo Global  1,395  0.4  15.8  46%  51%  56%  54%  28%  7/21/22  Patient Square Capital LP  Hanger  1,363  1.2  11.0  12%  16%  9%  26%  (21%)  1/14/21  I Squared  Atlantic Power  1,269  4.7  NA  7%  14%  13%  44%  19%  12/7/20  AIP  SEACOR  1,182  1.5  11.3  10%  31%  42%  14%  (13%)  2/16/21  New Mountain  Aegion  1,154  1.5  8.6  29%  71%  81%  40%  28%  4/8/21  GI Partners  ORBCOMM  1,132  4.6  22.2  37%  50%  71%  52%  24%   TEV /   (1) (2)   VWAP Unaffected 52W High  Date  Enterprise   Rev. EBITDA TEV 3months 6months Share Price   U.S. All-Cash Transactions of Public Companies >$500mm since 2019 ($ in millions, unless otherwise specified)  U.S. Precedent All-Cash Deals for Public Companies (Cont’d)  Source: S&P CapIQ, FactSet (10/10/22), Thomson Reuters, Company Filings Note: Transactions are sorted by enterprise value  (1) Unaffected Share Price Premium represents the offer premium relative to the share price on the last trading day prior to any official announcement or market speculation of a transaction  (2) 52 Week High Share Price Premium represents the offer premium relative to the 52 week high share price by the last trading day prior to any official announcement or market speculation of a transaction  Chemicals Transactions  16 
 

 10/21/19  One Rock  Innophos  1,004  1.3  8.4  7%  14%  10%  11%  (31%)  7/26/19  HGGC  Monotype Imaging  840  3.4  10.8  22%  12%  12%  23%  (11%)  2/15/22  Madison Dearborn  MoneyGram  756  0.6  2.8  54%  55%  35%  50%  (11%)  7/2/19  Synthomer  OMNOVA  747  1.0  10.5  26%  46%  39%  52%  (6%)  9/6/22  CommerceHub  Channeladvisor  660  3.8  17.5  70%  39%  33%  57%  (19%)  1/15/21  Further Global / TowerBrook  ProSight Global  586  NA  NA  39%  39%  25%  42%  (35%)  7/20/20  Thoma Bravo  Majesco  536  3.7  29.9  79%  108%  82%  71%  31%  75th % - Overall  7.1x  24.3x  39%  48%  49%  52%  19%  Mean - Overall  4.9  19.1  29%  36%  36%  37%  1%  Median - Overall  4.0  15.0  24%  38%  35%  34%  (1%)  25th % - Overall  1.6  9.4  15%  19%  16%  21%  (13%)  Date  Enterprise   Rev. EBITDA   TEV 3months 6months Share Price   Announced Acquirer  Target  Value  LTM LTM  Premium  U.S. All-Cash Transactions of Public Companies >$500mm since 2019 ($ in millions, unless otherwise specified)   TEV / VWAP Unaffected(1) 52W High(2)  U.S. Precedent All-Cash Deals for Public Companies (Cont’d)  Most relevant reference points for AgroFresh TEV $500m-$800m  Chemicals Transactions  Source: S&P CapIQ, FactSet (10/10/22), Thomson Reuters, Company Filings Note: Transactions are sorted by enterprise value  (1) Unaffected Share Price Premium represents the offer premium relative to the share price on the last trading day prior to any official announcement or market speculation of a transaction  (2) 52 Week High Share Price Premium represents the offer premium relative to the 52 week high share price by the last trading day prior to any official announcement or market speculation of a transaction  17 
 

 Offer price/date/premium for selected high premia for US take private deals >$500 million TEV since 2019  Precedent Transaction Bid Progression Analysis  Net Change in  Acquirer / Target  Bid 1  Bid 2  Bid 3  Bid 4  Bid 5  Bid 6  Bid 7  Bid (1st to Final)  $48.00  27/2/19  52%  $53.00  6/4/19  67%  10%  Denotes when acquirer had position in capital structure prior to first bid  Decrease in bid due to poor recent financial performance, negative outlook, increased debt and  1  $11.90  1 $10.00  $10.15  other diligence findings  4/10/2018  20/6/2019  26/6/2019  (15%)  78%  50%  52%  $62.00  $67.00  2 $62.00  $64.50  $65.50 $70.00  $115.00  1/4/2019  10/4/2019  4/6/2019  13/6/2019  18/6/2019 6/7/2019  1/14/2021  85%  29%  39%  29%  34%  36% 48%  139%  $23.00  25/11/2019  2  -  78%  Decrease in bid due to contemporaneous market  $12.10  $13.10  $15.25  $16.00  events including worsening trade relations between  30/6/2020  16/7/2020  7/8/2020  7/8/2020  China and the United States and rising costs  32%  58%  71%  100%  109%  $7.25  $7.65  $8.75  $9.50  23/9/2020  19/10/2020  30/10/2020  30/10/2020  31%  37%  44%  65%  79%  $3.00  $3.03  7/9/2020  14/9/2020  1%  43%  44%  $60.00  $65.00  $70.00  9/11/2020  11/1/2021  1/4/2021  17%  50%  63%  75%  $270.00  $320.00  $330.00  8/6/2021  10/6/2021  10/6/2021  22%(1)  37%  62%  67%  $18.00  $19.00  $19.50  $20.25  29/1/2021  26/4/2021  7/7/2021  9/7/2021  13%  22%  29%  32%  37%  $10.00  $10.50  $11.00  17/11/2021  14/1/2022  31/1/2022  10%  36%  43%  50%  $22  $23  $23.50  $24.50  $24.65  12/11/2021  22/11/2021  22/12/2021  7/2/2022  10/2/2022  12%  56%  63%  67%  74%  75%  (1) Does not reflect approaches made in 2017 and 2019 with offers of $135 / share and $50 / share, respectively  18 
 

 V  Supporting Calculations 
 

 WholeCo ($4 per Share)  Historical Business Plan (Sep-22)    CAGR '22E-'32E   Fiscal Year  FY2022  FY2023  FY2024  FY2025  FY2026  FY2027  FY2028  FY2029  FY2030  FY2031  FY2032  from DCF:   from BP:  Sales  175.6  179.1  184.8  197.1  217.0  238.4  257.0  278.1  298.4  316.6  334.1  6.6%  10.8%  Yearly Growth (%)  5.8%  2.0%  3.2%  6.7%  10.1%  9.9%  7.8%  8.2%  7.3%  6.1%  5.6%  Plus: FX Impact  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  Gross Profit  120.3  120.4  120.7  127.5  139.0  152.3  163.8  178.1  191.4  204.2  216.3  6.0%  10.1%  Gross Margin (%)  68.5%  67.2%  65.3%  64.7%  64.1%  63.9%  63.7%  64.0%  64.2%  64.5%  64.7%  Adjusted EBITDA  66.5  65.7  66.5  71.7  81.1  93.9  103.4  115.3  126.3  136.9  146.8  8.2%  12.4%  Adj. EBITDA Margin (%)  37.9%  36.7%  36.0%  36.4%  37.4%  39.4%  40.2%  41.5%  42.3%  43.2%  43.9%  Less: D&A  (3.0)  (2.9)  (3.3)  (3.8)  (4.3)  (4.9)  (5.4)  (6.0)  (6.6)  (7.1)  (7.7)  As a % of Sales  (1.7%)  (1.6%)  (1.8%)  (1.9%)  (2.0%)  (2.0%)  (2.1%)  (2.2%)  (2.2%)  (2.3%)  (2.3%)  Adjusted EBIT  63.5  62.8  63.1  67.9  76.8  89.0  97.9  109.3  119.7  129.7  139.1  Adj. EBIT Margin (%)  36.2%  35.1%  34.2%  34.5%  35.4%  37.3%  38.1%  39.3%  40.1%  41.0%  41.6%  Less: Cash Taxes  (4.3)  (5.2)  (5.2)  (5.6)  (6.4)  (7.4)  (8.1)  (9.1)  (9.9)  (10.8)  (11.6)  As a % of Adj. EBITDA  6.4%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  Net Operating Profit after Taxes  59.3  57.6  57.9  62.3  70.4  81.6  89.8  100.2  109.8  119.0  127.6  Plus: D&A  2.9  3.3  3.8  4.3  4.9  5.4  6.0  6.6  7.1  7.7  Less: Capex  (5.4)  (5.5)  (5.9)  (6.5)  (7.0)  (7.4)  (7.7)  (8.0)  (8.1)  (8.2)  Less: Change in NWC  (5.4)  (5.6)  (6.3)  (7.4)  (8.9)  (9.0)  (10.4)  (10.9)  (10.9)  (11.5)  Less: Non-Recurring Cash Items  (2.9)  (2.8)  (2.7)  (3.4)  (3.3)  (3.7)  (4.0)  (4.3)  (4.6)  (4.8)  Unlevered Free Cash Flow  46.9  47.3  51.2  57.4  67.3  75.1  84.0  93.2  102.5  110.8  Discounted Unlevered FCF  44.1  39.3  37.6  37.2  38.6  38.1  37.6  36.8  35.8  34.2  Sum of Discounted uFCF  379.2   Terminal Value (Gordon Shapiro) 312.4   TEV  691.6  Less: TEV Adjustments  (456.6)  Common Equity Value  235.0  NOSH  58.2  Per Share Value 4.0  Assumes 2.0% terminal growth, ~13.2% WACC, mid-year cash flows convention and no additional FX impact  Source: Company Information, SEC Filings  20 
 

 Core Products ($3 per Share)  Historical Business Plan (Sep-22)    CAGR '22E-'32E   Fiscal Year  FY2022  FY2023  FY2024  FY2025  FY2026  FY2027  FY2028  FY2029  FY2030  FY2031  FY2032  from DCF:   from BP:  Sales  132.7  132.4  125.9  127.5  132.3  137.1  138.5  138.2  134.1  129.8  125.7  (0.5%)  3.2%  Yearly Growth (%)  (0.8%)  (0.3%)  (4.9%)  1.2%  3.8%  3.6%  1.0%  (0.2%)  (3.0%)  (3.2%)  (3.2%)  Plus: FX Impact  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  Gross Profit  106.1  104.9  98.5  98.8  101.0  103.2  103.0  102.3  98.9  95.1  91.6  (1.5%)  n/a  Gross Margin (%)  80.0%  79.3%  78.2%  77.5%  76.3%  75.2%  74.4%  74.0%  73.7%  73.3%  72.9%  Adjusted EBITDA  65.5  64.5  61.6  62.8  65.7  69.5  70.4  71.1  69.6  67.5  65.4  (0.0%)  n/a  Adj. EBITDA Margin (%)  49.4%  48.8%  48.9%  49.3%  49.6%  50.7%  50.8%  51.5%  51.9%  52.0%  52.1%  Less: D&A  (2.3)  (2.1)  (2.3)  (2.5)  (2.6)  (2.8)  (2.9)  (3.0)  (3.0)  (2.9)  (2.9)  As a % of Sales  (1.7%)  (1.6%)  (1.8%)  (1.9%)  (2.0%)  (2.0%)  (2.1%)  (2.2%)  (2.2%)  (2.3%)  (2.3%)  Adjusted EBIT  63.3  62.4  59.3  60.3  63.1  66.7  67.5  68.2  66.6  64.6  62.6  Adj. EBIT Margin (%)  47.7%  47.1%  47.1%  47.3%  47.6%  48.7%  48.7%  49.3%  49.7%  49.8%  49.8%  Less: Cash Taxes  (4.2)  (5.1)  (4.8)  (4.9)  (5.2)  (5.5)  (5.5)  (5.6)  (5.5)  (5.3)  (5.2)  As a % of Adj. EBITDA  6.4%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  Net Operating Profit after Taxes  59.1  57.3  54.5  55.4  57.9  61.3  62.0  62.6  61.2  59.3  57.4  Plus: D&A  2.1  2.3  2.5  2.6  2.8  2.9  3.0  3.0  2.9  2.9  Less: Capex  (4.0)  (3.8)  (3.8)  (4.0)  (4.0)  (4.0)  (3.8)  (3.6)  (3.3)  (3.1)  Less: Change in NWC  (2.3)  0.7  (2.0)  (2.5)  (2.8)  (2.0)  (1.6)  (0.3)  (0.2)  (0.3)  Less: Non-Recurring Cash Items  (2.1)  (1.9)  (1.7)  (2.1)  (1.9)  (2.0)  (2.0)  (1.9)  (1.9)  (1.8)  Unlevered Free Cash Flow  51.0  51.7  50.3  51.9  55.3  56.9  58.1  58.3  56.8  55.1  Discounted Unlevered FCF  48.2  43.7  37.9  34.9  33.2  30.5  27.8  24.9  21.7  18.8  Sum of Discounted uFCF  321.6   Terminal Value (Gordon Shapiro) 191.6   TEV  513.2  Less: TEV Adjustments  (338.8)  Common Equity Value  174.3  NOSH  58.2  Per Share Value 3.0  WholeCo at $4 per share; assumes 2.0% terminal growth, 12.0% WACC, mid-year cash flows convention and no additional FX impact  Source: Company Information, SEC Filings  21 
 

 High Growth Products ($1 per Share)  Historical Business Plan (Sep-22)    CAGR '22E-'32E   Fiscal Year  FY2022  FY2023  FY2024  FY2025  FY2026  FY2027  FY2028  FY2029  FY2030  FY2031  FY2032  from DCF:   from BP:  Sales  42.9  46.8  58.9  69.7  84.6  101.2  118.4  139.9  164.3  186.8  208.4  17.1%  21.7%  Yearly Growth (%)  33.6%  9.0%  25.9%  18.3%  21.5%  19.6%  17.0%  18.1%  17.4%  13.7%  11.6%  Plus: FX Impact  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  Gross Profit  14.1  15.5  22.2  28.6  38.0  49.1  60.8  75.7  92.6  109.1  124.7  24.3%  n/a  Gross Margin (%)  32.9%  33.0%  37.7%  41.1%  44.9%  48.5%  51.3%  54.1%  56.3%  58.4%  59.8%  Adjusted EBITDA  1.0  1.2  4.9  8.9  15.4  24.3  32.9  44.1  56.7  69.3  81.4  55.2%  n/a  Adj. EBITDA Margin (%)  2.3%  2.5%  8.3%  12.8%  18.2%  24.0%  27.8%  31.6%  34.5%  37.1%  39.0%  Less: D&A  (0.7)  (0.8)  (1.1)  (1.3)  (1.7)  (2.1)  (2.5)  (3.0)  (3.6)  (4.2)  (4.8)  As a % of Sales  (1.7%)  (1.6%)  (1.8%)  (1.9%)  (2.0%)  (2.0%)  (2.1%)  (2.2%)  (2.2%)  (2.3%)  (2.3%)  Adjusted EBIT  0.3  0.4  3.8  7.6  13.7  22.2  30.4  41.1  53.1  65.1  76.6  Adj. EBIT Margin (%)  0.6%  0.9%  6.5%  10.9%  16.2%  22.0%  25.7%  29.4%  32.3%  34.9%  36.7%  Less: Cash Taxes  (0.1)  (0.1)  (0.4)  (0.7)  (1.2)  (1.9)  (2.6)  (3.5)  (4.5)  (5.5)  (6.4)  As a % of Adj. EBITDA  6.4%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  Net Operating Profit after Taxes  0.2  0.3  3.5  6.9  12.5  20.3  27.8  37.6  48.6  59.7  70.2  Plus: D&A  0.8  1.1  1.3  1.7  2.1  2.5  3.0  3.6  4.2  4.8  Less: Capex  (1.4)  (1.8)  (2.1)  (2.5)  (3.0)  (3.4)  (3.9)  (4.4)  (4.8)  (5.1)  Less: Change in NWC  (3.0)  (6.3)  (4.3)  (4.8)  (6.0)  (6.9)  (8.9)  (10.6)  (10.7)  (11.2)  Less: Non-Recurring Cash Items  (0.8)  (0.9)  (0.9)  (1.3)  (1.4)  (1.7)  (2.0)  (2.4)  (2.7)  (3.0)  Unlevered Free Cash Flow  (4.1)  (4.5)  0.9  5.5  12.0  18.3  25.9  34.9  45.7  55.6  Discounted Unlevered FCF  (3.8)  (3.6)  0.6  3.4  6.4  8.5  10.4  12.2  13.9  14.7  Sum of Discounted uFCF  62.7   Terminal Value (Gordon Shapiro) 115.7   TEV  178.4  Less: TEV Adjustments  (117.8)  Common Equity Value  60.6  NOSH  58.2  Per Share Value 1.0  WholeCo at $4 per share; assumes 2.0% terminal growth, 15.0% WACC, mid-year cash flows convention and no additional FX impact  Source: Company Information, SEC Filings  22 
 

 WholeCo ($3 per Share)  Historical Business Plan (Sep-22)    CAGR '22E-'32E   Fiscal Year  FY2022  FY2023  FY2024  FY2025  FY2026  FY2027  FY2028  FY2029  FY2030  FY2031  FY2032  from DCF:   from BP:  Sales  175.6  176.0  179.0  189.0  206.7  226.2  243.7  264.9  286.8  307.4  328.2  6.5%  10.8%  Yearly Growth (%)  5.8%  0.2%  1.7%  5.6%  9.4%  9.4%  7.7%  8.7%  8.3%  7.2%  6.8%  Plus: FX Impact  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  Gross Profit  120.3  117.6  115.6  120.3  129.9  141.6  152.1  166.0  180.2  194.5  208.7  5.7%  10.1%  Gross Margin (%)  68.5%  66.8%  64.6%  63.6%  62.8%  62.6%  62.4%  62.7%  62.8%  63.3%  63.6%  Adjusted EBITDA  66.5  63.9  63.1  66.9  74.7  86.1  94.7  106.2  117.5  129.1  140.4  7.8%  12.4%  Adj. EBITDA Margin (%)  37.9%  36.3%  35.3%  35.4%  36.2%  38.1%  38.9%  40.1%  41.0%  42.0%  42.8%  Less: D&A  (3.0)  (2.9)  (3.2)  (3.7)  (4.1)  (4.6)  (5.2)  (5.7)  (6.3)  (6.9)  (7.5)  As a % of Sales  (1.7%)  (1.6%)  (1.8%)  (1.9%)  (2.0%)  (2.0%)  (2.1%)  (2.2%)  (2.2%)  (2.3%)  (2.3%)  Adjusted EBIT  63.5  61.1  59.9  63.2  70.6  81.5  89.6  100.4  111.2  122.2  132.9  Adj. EBIT Margin (%)  36.2%  34.7%  33.4%  33.4%  34.2%  36.0%  36.7%  37.9%  38.8%  39.7%  40.5%  Less: Cash Taxes  (4.3)  (5.0)  (5.0)  (5.3)  (5.9)  (6.8)  (7.5)  (8.4)  (9.3)  (10.2)  (11.1)  As a % of Adj. EBITDA  6.4%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  Net Operating Profit after Taxes  59.3  56.0  54.9  57.9  64.7  74.7  82.1  92.1  102.0  112.0  121.8  Plus: D&A  2.9  3.2  3.7  4.1  4.6  5.2  5.7  6.3  6.9  7.5  Less: Capex  (5.3)  (5.4)  (5.7)  (6.2)  (6.6)  (7.0)  (7.4)  (7.7)  (7.9)  (8.0)  Less: Change in NWC  (5.4)  (5.6)  (6.3)  (7.4)  (8.9)  (9.0)  (10.4)  (10.9)  (10.9)  (11.5)  Less: Non-Recurring Cash Items  (2.8)  (2.7)  (2.6)  (3.3)  (3.2)  (3.5)  (3.8)  (4.2)  (4.5)  (4.8)  Unlevered Free Cash Flow  45.4  44.4  47.0  52.0  60.7  67.7  76.2  85.6  95.7  105.1  Discounted Unlevered FCF  42.6  36.8  34.3  33.4  34.4  33.8  33.5  33.2  32.7  31.7  Sum of Discounted uFCF  346.5   Terminal Value (Gordon Shapiro) 282.3   TEV  628.8  Less: TEV Adjustments  (456.6)  Common Equity Value  172.2  NOSH  58.2  Per Share Value 3.0  Assumes 2.0% terminal growth, ~13.5% WACC, mid-year cash flows convention and no additional FX impact  Source: Company Information, SEC Filings  23 
 

 Core Products ($2 per Share)  Historical Business Plan (Sep-22)    CAGR '22E-'32E   Fiscal Year  FY2022  FY2023  FY2024  FY2025  FY2026  FY2027  FY2028  FY2029  FY2030  FY2031  FY2032  from DCF:   from BP:  Sales  132.7  128.6  118.8  116.9  118.1  119.1  117.0  113.4  106.8  100.4  94.5  (3.3%)  3.2%  Yearly Growth (%)  (0.8%)  (3.1%)  (7.7%)  (1.6%)  1.0%  0.8%  (1.8%)  (3.0%)  (5.8%)  (6.0%)  (6.0%)  Plus: FX Impact  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  Gross Profit  106.1  102.0  92.9  90.7  90.1  89.6  87.0  84.0  78.8  73.6  68.8  (4.2%)  n/a  Gross Margin (%)  80.0%  79.3%  78.2%  77.5%  76.3%  75.2%  74.4%  74.0%  73.7%  73.3%  72.9%  Adjusted EBITDA  65.5  62.7  58.1  57.6  58.6  60.4  59.5  58.4  55.5  52.3  49.2  (2.8%)  n/a  Adj. EBITDA Margin (%)  49.4%  48.8%  48.9%  49.3%  49.6%  50.7%  50.8%  51.5%  51.9%  52.0%  52.1%  Less: D&A  (2.3)  (2.1)  (2.2)  (2.3)  (2.4)  (2.4)  (2.5)  (2.5)  (2.4)  (2.3)  (2.2)  As a % of Sales  (1.7%)  (1.6%)  (1.8%)  (1.9%)  (2.0%)  (2.0%)  (2.1%)  (2.2%)  (2.2%)  (2.3%)  (2.3%)  Adjusted EBIT  63.3  60.6  55.9  55.3  56.3  58.0  57.0  55.9  53.1  50.0  47.0  Adj. EBIT Margin (%)  47.7%  47.1%  47.1%  47.3%  47.6%  48.7%  48.7%  49.3%  49.7%  49.8%  49.8%  Less: Cash Taxes  (4.2)  (4.9)  (4.6)  (4.5)  (4.6)  (4.8)  (4.7)  (4.6)  (4.4)  (4.1)  (3.9)  As a % of Adj. EBITDA  6.4%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  7.9%  Net Operating Profit after Taxes  59.1  55.7  51.4  50.8  51.7  53.2  52.3  51.3  48.7  45.9  43.1  Plus: D&A  2.1  2.2  2.3  2.4  2.4  2.5  2.5  2.4  2.3  2.2  Less: Capex  (3.9)  (3.6)  (3.5)  (3.5)  (3.5)  (3.4)  (3.2)  (2.9)  (2.6)  (2.3)  Less: Change in NWC  (2.3)  0.7  (2.0)  (2.5)  (2.8)  (2.0)  (1.6)  (0.3)  (0.2)  (0.3)  Less: Non-Recurring Cash Items  (2.1)  (1.8)  (1.6)  (1.9)  (1.7)  (1.7)  (1.6)  (1.5)  (1.5)  (1.4)  Unlevered Free Cash Flow  49.5  48.9  46.0  46.1  47.6  47.7  47.4  46.4  43.9  41.4  Discounted Unlevered FCF  46.8  41.2  34.6  31.0  28.6  25.6  22.7  19.8  16.8  14.1  Sum of Discounted uFCF  281.2   Terminal Value (Gordon Shapiro) 143.8   TEV  425.0  Less: TEV Adjustments  (308.6)  Common Equity Value  116.3  NOSH  58.2  Per Share Value 2.0  WholeCo at $3 per share; assumes 2.0% terminal growth, 12.0% WACC, mid-year cash flows convention and no additional FX impact  Source: Company Information, SEC Filings  24 
 

 High Growth Products ($1 per Share)  Historical   Business Plan (Sep-22)    CAGR '22E-'32  Fiscal Year  FY2022  FY2023  FY2024  FY2025  FY2026  FY2027  FY2028  FY2029  FY2030  FY2031  FY2032  from DCF  Sales  42.9  47.4  60.3  72.1  88.6  107.1  126.8  151.4  179.9  207.0  233.8  Yearly Growth (%)  33.6%  10.4%  27.3%  19.6%  22.9%  21.0%  18.3%  19.5%  18.8%  15.0%  Plus: FX Impact  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  -  Gross Profit  14.1  15.6  22.7  29.6  39.7  52.0  65.1  82.0  101  Gross Margin (%)  32.9%  33.0%  37.7%  41.1%  44.9%  48.5%  51.3%  54.1%  Adjusted EBITDA  1.0  1.2  5.0  9.2  16.1  25.7  35.2  Adj. EBITDA Margin (%)  2.3%  2.5%  8.3%  12.8%  18.2%  24.0%  27.8  Less: D&A  (0.7)  (0.8)  (1.1)  (1.4)  (1.8)  (2.  As a % of Sales  (1.7%)  (1.6%)  (1.8%)  (1.9%)  (2.0%)  Adjusted EBIT  0.3  0.4  3.9  7.9  Adj. EBIT Margin (%)  0.6%  0.9%  6.5%  10.9%  Less: Cash Taxes  (0.1)  (0.1)  (0.4  As a % of Adj. EBITDA  6.4%  7.9%  Net Operating Profit after Taxes  0.2  Plus: D&A Less: Capex  Less: Change in NWC Less: Non-Recurring  Unlevered F Disc  Sum of Discounted uFCF 71.2   Terminal Value (Gordon Shapiro) 132.6   203.8  (148.0)  TEV  Less: TEV Adjustments  Common Equity Value  55.8  NOSH  58.2  Per Share Value 1.0  WholeCo at $3 per share; assumes 2.0% terminal growth, 15.0% WACC, mid-year cash flows convention and no additional FX impact  Source: Company Information, SEC Filings  25 
 

 VI  Shareholding Information 
 

 Shareholding Structure (1/2)  10 Bridgeway Ultra-Small Company Market Fund  Fund  Index  0.39%  204  $0.4m  11 BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A.  Institution  Index  0.38%  198  $0.4m  12 Bridgeway Ultra-Small Company Fund  Fund  Growth  0.29%  155  $0.3m  13 Bridgeway Omni Small-Cap Value Fund  Fund  Value  0.28%  148  $0.3m  14 Avantis Investors  Institution  Growth  0.24%  125  $0.2m  15 Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF  Fund  Other  0.24%  125  $0.2m  16 Fidelity Extended Market Index Fund  Fund  Index  0.22%  113  $0.2m  17 Bridgeway Omni Tax-Managed Small-Cap Value Fund  Fund  Value  0.15%  79  $0.1m  18 Dimensional Fund Advisors, Ltd.  Institution  Index  0.13%  68  $0.1m  19 Envestnet Asset Management, Inc.  Institution  Growth  0.12%  65  $0.1m  20 MML Investors Services, LLC  Institution  Hedge Fund  0.12%  65  $0.1m  21 VALIC Co I Small Cap Fund  Fund  Growth  0.12%  62  $0.1m  22 Perritt Ultra MicroCap Fund  Fund  GARP  0.11%  60  $0.1m  23 Ergoteles Capital  Institution  Hedge Fund  0.07%  38  $0.1m  24 Fidelity NASDAQ Composite Index Fund  Fund  Index  0.07%  34  $0.1m  25 Fidelity Total Market Index Fund  Fund  Index  0.06%  31  $0.1m  26 Accurate Wealth Management LLC  Institution  Other  0.06%  30  $0.1m  27 Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC  Institution  Broker Dealer  0.05%  27  $0.0m  28 Schwab Total Stock Market Index Fund  Fund  Index  0.05%  24  $0.0m  29 BNY Mellon Asset Management  Institution  GARP  0.04%  21  $0.0m  30 BofA Global Research (US)  Institution  Broker Dealer  0.03%  17  $0.0m  Top 30 Funds and Institutions Total  70.0%  36,882  $65.7m  Representative Index Fund Total  4.9%  2,606  $4.3m  Top 30 Shareholders – Funds + Institutions not reporting at the fund level   # Top 30 Funds and Institutions Fund / Institution Fund Style % Owned Position (000) Value ($m)   36%  1 The Dow Chemical Company  Institution  Other  39.86%  21,001  $37.6m  2 T. Rowe Price Small Cap Value Fund  Fund  Value  10.50%  5,533  $9.9m 50.  3 TSP Capital Management Group, LLC  Institution  GARP  5.83%  3,074  $5.5m  4 First Manhattan Company  Institution  Value  5.55%  2,922  $5.2m  5 Dimensional Fund Advisors, L.P.  Institution  Index  1.70%  898  $1.6m  6 Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund  Fund  Index  1.22%  640  $1.0m  7 Renaissance Technologies LLC  Institution  Hedge Fund  0.84%  443  $0.8m  8 Vanguard Extended Market Index Fund  Fund  Index  0.75%  394  $0.6m  9 Millennium Management LLC  Institution  Hedge Fund  0.55%  288  $0.5m 66.  Source: Thomson Reuters as of 20th October 2022  Note: Ownership percentage based on outstanding shares of 52.7m  27  79% 
 

 Top 30 Shareholders – Funds only   # Top 30 Institutions Fund Style % Owned Position (000) Value ($m)   Shareholding Structure (2/2)  1 T. Rowe Price Small Cap Value Fund  Value  10.50%  5,533  $9.9m  2 Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund  Index  1.22%  640  $1.0m  3 Vanguard Extended Market Index Fund  Index  0.75%  394  $0.6m  4 DFA U.S. Small Cap Value Portfolio  Value  0.41%  216  $0.4m  5 Bridgeway Ultra-Small Company Market Fund  Index  0.39%  204  $0.4m  6 DFA U.S. Targeted Value Portfolio  Value  0.37%  197  $0.4m  7 Bridgeway Ultra-Small Company Fund  Growth  0.29%  155  $0.3m  8 Bridgeway Omni Small-Cap Value Fund  Value  0.28%  148  $0.3m  9 Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF  Other  0.24%  125  $0.2m  10 Fidelity Extended Market Index Fund  Index  0.22%  113  $0.2m  11 DFA U.S. Micro Cap Portfolio  Other  0.16%  82  $0.2m  12 Bridgeway Omni Tax-Managed Small-Cap Value Fund  Value  0.15%  79  $0.1m  13 iShares Micro-Cap ETF  Index  0.13%  67  $0.1m  14 VALIC Co I Small Cap Fund  Growth  0.12%  62  $0.1m  15 Perritt Ultra MicroCap Fund  GARP  0.11%  60  $0.1m  16 DFA U.S. Core Equity 2 Portfolio  Other  0.10%  54  $0.1m  17 Fidelity NASDAQ Composite Index Fund  Index  0.07%  34  $0.1m  18 Fidelity Total Market Index Fund  Index  0.06%  31  $0.1m  19 Schwab Total Stock Market Index Fund  Index  0.05%  24  $0.0m  20 Fidelity Series Total Market Index Fund  Index  0.03%  17  $0.0m  21 Dimensional World Equity Fund  Value  0.03%  14  $0.0m  22 DFA U.S. Small Cap Portfolio  Other  0.03%  13  $0.0m  23 Dimensional Funds PLC Global Targeted Value Fund  Value  0.02%  12  $0.0m  24 DFA VA U.S. Targeted Value Portfolio  Value  0.02%  11  $0.0m  25 Dimensional Funds PLC Global Core Equity Fund  Value  0.02%  10  $0.0m  26 Dimensional Global Small Companies Fund  Growth  0.02%  10  $0.0m  27 DFA Dimensional US Small Cap ETF  GARP  0.02%  10  $0.0m  28 Dimensional US Small Companies Fund  Other  0.02%  8  $0.0m  29 Dimensional Global Sustainability Core Eq USD Acc  Value  0.02%  8  $0.0m  30 DFA Dimensional US Targeted Value ETF  Value  0.02%  8  $0.0m  Top 30 Funds Total  15.8%  8,341  $14.6m  Representative Index Fund Total  2.9%  1,525  $2.4m  Source: Thomson Reuters as of 20th October 2022  Note: Ownership percentage based on outstanding shares of 52.7m  28 
 

 VII  Summary of Analysts Price Targets 
 

 Summary of Analysts Price Targets  BMO – Joel Jackson – HOLD at $2.25 (down from $2.50 – Aug 10th)  Views on Valuation Coverage Summary  “Maintain Market Perform rating but lower our target price to $2.25 (~7-7.5x 2022E EV/ EBITDA) as we slightly lower 2022/23E EBITDA estimates”. This as we model higher topline and gross margin growth, but this is offset by a higher R&D/SG&A spend as AGFS continues to invest for future disruptive/diversified growth  “Meaningful growth and diversification to offset competitive pressures in post-harvest 1-MCP (following loss of exclusivity) is under way but will take some time”  Looking for more price now on SmartFresh Apple given inflationary environment. AGFS has not had pricing before and needed to defend against generics through locking in contracts or keeping prices more constant. The company has to selectively get price on mix  If AGFS is successful in its R&D and new product efforts to improve operating leverage, and achieve double digit EBITDA CAGRs, the stock could rise to $5.00, PSP’s convertible preferred exercise price  Estimates  Updated o n 10 / 08 / 2022 2021A 2022E 2023E 2024E   R evenue 166 .0 175 .0 186 .0  n/a  6.3%  0.  -  -  -  5.4%  (0.4%)  172.0  1.7%  117 .0  70.5%  Gro wth (%)  Δ vs. BP  P rev. estimate (31/05/2022)  Δ vs. previo us estimate  Gro ss P ro f it  M argin (%)  Δ vs. BP  P rev. estimate (31/05/2022)  Δ vs. previo us estimate  A dj. EB IT D A  M argin (%)  Δ vs. BP P rev. es  C o mpany N ame  M arket C ap  ( USD )  T gt P rice ( LC Y)  P rice ( LC Y)  Implied R eturn ( %)  R ating  A gro Fresh So lutio ns, Inc.  101  2.3  1.7  34%  Ho ld  A lbemarle Co rpo ratio n  30,439  300.0  259.9  15%  B uy  A llkem Limited  5,764  13.0  13.5  (4%)  Ho ld  B ayer AG  65,755  66.0  51.5  28%  Ho ld  CF Industries Ho ldings, Inc.  18,412  120.0  106.9  12%  B uy  Chemtrade Lo gistics Inco me Fund  673  9.0  8.4  7%  Ho ld  Compass M inerals Internatio nal, Inc.  1,337  50.0  39.1  28%  Ho ld  Co rteva Inc  41,960  66.0  61.2  8%  B uy  FM C Co rpo ratio n  14,295  140.0  106.4  32%  B uy  ICL Gro up Ltd.  12,199  37.6  31.8  18%  Ho ld  Intrepid Potash, Inc.  620  50.0  45.5  10%  Ho ld  K+S AG  4,372  35.0  22.3  57%  B uy  Lithium Americas Co rp.  3,699  30.0  36.0  (17%)  Ho ld  Livent Co rpo ratio n  5,473  30.0  30.5  (2%)  Ho ld  M ethanex Co rpo ratio n  2,554  60.0  36.3  65%  B uy  M osaic Company  18,934  70.0  54.8  28%  B uy  Nutrien Ltd.  47,867  115.0  92.0  25%  B uy  So ciedad Quimica Y M inera De Chile S.A . S  14,466  125  101.3  23%  B uy  Superio r P lus Co rp  1,688  12.5  11.0  14%  Ho ld  Yara Internatio nal A SA  10,758  420.0  402.0  4%  Ho ld  Target and Share Price Evolution  30  Source: FactSet as of September 2nd 2022, Equity Research, Company Information 
 

 Summary of Analysts Price Targets  HCW – Amit Dayal – BUY at $5.00  Views on Valuation  Coverage Summary  Estimates  Target and Share Price Evolution  “We arrive at our $5.00 price target based on a DCF analysis that uses a discount rate of approximately 16.6%,  derived from the company’s weighted average cost of capital (WACC)”  “In the short term, we expect AgroFresh to gain market share in the post-harvest markets and expect the company to be opportunistically acquisitive in the mid-to-long term”  “We believe that AgroFresh is positioned to extract further leverage, and enhance its profitability, as its diversification strategy continues and the company is able to sell more products from its expanding portfolio that now includes VitaFresh Botanicals and FreshCloud”  “We believe geographic expansion, cross-selling, and increased crop registrations should be supportive to this effort”  C o mp any N ame  M arket C ap T g t Price Price Imp l ied R et urn ( U SD ) ( LC Y ) ( LC Y ) ( %)  R at ing  Aemetis, Inc. 291 28.0 8.4 233% Buy  AgriFORCE Growing Syst ems Ltd. 30 5.5 2.0 182% Buy  AgroFresh Solutions, Inc. 101 5.0 1.7 198% Buy  Alto Ingredient s, Inc. 291 16.0 4.0 297% Buy  Aqua M etals, Inc. 68 4.0 0.9 355% Buy  Arcimot o, Inc. 90 - 2.0 - Hold  Aspen Aerogels Inc 486 45.0 12.0 274% Buy Ballard Power Syst ems Inc. 2,165 - 7.3 - Hold Beam Global 140 - 13.9 - Hold  Broadwind, Inc. 61 - 3.0 - Hold Calumet Specialt y Product s Partner 1,384 28.0 17.5 60% Buy  Calyxt , Inc. 13 10.0 0.2 4286% Buy  Canoo Inc. Class A 817 10.0 2.9 246% Buy  Capst one Green Energy Corporatio 42 16.0 2.3 596% Buy  CECO Environment al Corp. 307 15.0 8.9 69% Buy ClearSign Technologies Corporatio 39 6.0 1.0 483% Buy Elect rovaya Inc. 117 3.3 1.0 213% Buy  Energy Focus, Inc. 6 - 0.7 - Hold Flux Power Holdings, Inc. 40 15.0 2.5 495% Buy  Fuel Tech, Inc. 42 4.0 1.4 192% Buy  Fusion Fuel Green Plc Class A 96 25.0 7.1 251% Buy  Gevo, Inc. 663 18.0 2.8 538% Buy  Greenlane Renewables Inc. 88 4.0 0.8 426% Buy  Loop Indust ries, Inc. 242 23.0 5.1 351% Buy  LSI Indust ries Inc. 209 16.5 7.8 110% Buy  Orion Energy Syst ems, Inc. 52 7.0 1.7 322% Buy  Pioneer Power Solutions, Inc. 34 12.0 3.6 238% Buy  Plug Power Inc. 14,971 78.0 25.9 202% Buy  Quest Resource Holding Corp. 141 12.0 7.4 63% Buy  ReneSola Ltd. Sponsored ADR 343 12.0 5.1 135% Buy  SenesTech, Inc. 6 4.0 0.5 733% Buy  Tecogen Inc. 26 4.5 1.1 325% Buy  TOM I Environment al Solutions, Inc. 16 3.5 0.8 341% Buy  Vertex Energy, Inc.  West port Fuel Syst ems, Inc.  621  182  15.0  9.0  8.2  1.4  83%  548%  Buy  Buy  Yield10 Bioscience, Inc.  15  25.0  3.1  699%  Buy  Updated on 10/08/2022  2021A  2022E  2023E  2024E  Revenue  166.0  181.6  192.1  214.8  n/a  Grow th (%) Δ vs. BP  Prev. estimate (31/05/2022) Δ vs. previous estimate  -  -  -  9.4%  3.4%  182.0  (0.2%)  5.8%  3.9%  192.1  0.0%  11.8%  10.2%  214.8  0.0%  Gross Profit  117.0  125.2  135.3  151.9  70.5%  Margin (%) Δ vs. BP  Prev. estimate (31/05/2022) Δ vs. previous estimate  -  -  -  68.9%  3.2%  124.6  0.5%  70.4%  7.6%  135.3  (0.0%)  70.7%  16.5%  151.9  (0.0%)  Adj. EBITDA  62.0  65.8  67.3  83.6  37.3%  Margin (%) Δ vs. BP  Prev. estimate (31/05/2022) Δ vs. previous estimate  -  -  -  36.2%  (1.0%)  66.7  (1.3%)  35.0%  (4.7%)  70.3  (4.2%)  38.9%  12.3%  86.7  (3.5%)  31  Source: FactSet as of September 2nd 2022, Equity Research, Company Information 
 

 "Our $4.50 price target applies a 9.0x multiple on our 2022 projected adjusted EBITDA of $63.1mm. Our calculation assumes conversion of the Preferred B shares”  “AGFS has traded in excess of 11-12x EBITDA in the past. Similarly, specialty agri-tech companies also trade in excess of these levels“  “We anticipate continued growth in diversification revenue as AGFS registers additional products in more localities. The medium-term opportunity remains AGFS’s global footprint, which directly touches tens of  Summary of Analysts Price Targets  Roth – Gerard Sweeney – BUY at $4.50  Views on Valuation  Coverage Summary  Target and Share Price Evolution  Updated on 10/08/2022  2021A  2022E  2023E  2024E  Revenue  166.0  181.6  192.1  214.8  Company Name Market Cap Tgt Price Price Implied Return Rating  (USD) (LCY) (LCY) (%)  AgroFresh Solutions, Inc.  101  4.5  1.7  168%  Buy  Alico, Inc.  254  40.0  33.5  19%  Buy  Allied Motion Technologies I  520  40.0  32.6  23%  Buy  thousands of customers. This platform provides a strong conduit for new product innovation and acquisition of  American Vanguard Corpor  713  26.0  19.5  34%  Buy  localized services or technology  CECO Environmental Corp.  307  11.0  8.9  24%  Buy  “While we anticipate SmartFresh remaining relatively stable on revenue / margin front, the diversification  Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.  247  19.0  16.1  18%  Buy  products carry lower margins. Therefore, our focus remains on gross profit dollar growth rather than strictly  DMC Global Inc.  421  35.0  21.6  62%  Buy  margin”  Farmer Bros. Co.  95  12.5  5.2  142%  Buy  Estimates  Farmland Partners Inc  772  16.5  14.2  16%  Buy  Global Water Resources, In  327  21.0  13.7  53%  Buy  Heritage-Crystal Clean, Inc.  758  40.0  31.4  28%  Buy  Hudson Technologies, Inc.  363  12.0  8.1  49%  Buy  Grow th (%)  n/a  9.4%  5.8%  11.8%  Lakeland Industries, Inc.  102  26.0  13.3  95%  Buy  Δ vs. BP  -  3.4%  3.9%  10.2%  Limbach Holdings, Inc.  78  12.5  7.5  66%  Buy  Prev. estimate (31/05/2022)  Δ vs. previous estimate  -  -  182.0  (0.2%)  192.1  0.0%  214.8  0.0%  Limoneira Company  207  20.0  11.7  71%  Buy  Gross Profit  117.0  125.2  135.3  151.9  Loop Industries, Inc.  242  20.0  5.1  292%  Buy  Margin (%)  70.5%  68.9%  70.4%  70.7%  Meta Materials Inc.  279  2.0  0.8  158%  Buy  Δ vs. BP  -  3.2%  7.6%  16.5%  Mission Produce, Inc.  1,090  18.0  15.4  17%  Buy  Prev. estimate (31/05/2022)  -  124.6  135.3  151.9  PureCycle Technologies Inc  1,460  20.0  8.9  124%  Buy  Δ vs. previous estimate  -  0.5%  (0.0%)  (0.0%)  Adj. EBITDA  62.0  65.8  67.3  83.6  Quest Resource Holding  Co 141  11.0  7.4  49%  Buy  Margin (%)  37.3%  36.2%  35.0%  38.9%  Transcat, Inc.  539  80.0  71.4  12%  Buy  Δ vs. BP  -  (1.0%)  (4.7%)  12.3%  Prev. estimate (31/05/2022)  -  66.7  70.3  86.7  Δ vs. previous estimate  -  (1.3%)  (4.2%)  (3.5%)  32  Source: FactSet as of September 2nd 2022, Equity Research, Company Information 
 

 Summary of Analysts Price Targets  LakeStreet – Ben Klieve – BUY at $3.00  Views on Valuation  Coverage Summary  Estimates  “With its portfolio of system-wide solutions within a large, underdeveloped and motivated market, we believe AgroFresh is uniquely positioned to capture value throughout the food chain”  “We believe downside risk from the current ~$85M market cap is relatively low given the stability of its $60M+ EBITDA generation and view the current valuation as a compelling entry point”  “Ultimately, we believe the market needs validation that 2021 successes were not a fluke and visibility of improved EBITDA/free cash flow before the stock can move to the upside”  Given the capital structure issues and the still early-stage nature of its revenue growth, we do not believe AGFS will command a premium valuation that would traditionally accompany a high- margin AgTech company with such considerable ESG benefits. However, we believe the current valuation of $1.66 which represents a sub-5x P/FCF multiple and 20%+ FCF yield is too steep of a discount. Our $3 PT reflects a 9x P/FCF multiple on our FY22 estimates  Grow th (%)  n/a  5.8%  4.2%  Δ vs. BP  -  (0.0%)  3.9%  Prev. estimate (31/05/2022)  -  166.0  172.0  Prev. estimate (31/05/2022)  -  117.0  118.9  Δ vs. previous estimate  -  2.8%  5.4%  Updated on 10/08/2022  2021A  2022E  2023E  2024E  Calavo Gro wers, Inc.  623  60.0  35.1  71%  B uy  Revenue  166.0  175.6  183.0  A rcadia B io sciences, Inc.  21  3.5  0.8  312%  B uy  B io ceres Cro p So lutio ns Co rp.  627  25.0  13.6  84%  B uy  Δ vs. previous estimate  -  5.8%  6.4%  Limo neira Company  207  19  11.7  63%  B uy  Gross Profit  117.0  120.3  125.4  Margin (%)  Δ vs. BP  70.5%  -  68.5%  -  68.5%  -  Lo cal Bo unti Co rpo ratio n  329  15.0  3.5  330%  B uy  C o mpany N ame  33  Source: FactSet as of September 2nd 2022, Equity Research, Company Information  M arket C ap T gt ( USD ) P rice  ( LC Y)  P rice ( LC Y  )  ( %)  Implied R eturn R ating  A gro Fresh So lutio ns, Inc. 101 3.0 1.7 79% B uy  A nderso ns, Inc. 1,231 60.0 36.4 65% B uy  A quaB o unty Techno lo gies Inc 80 5.0 1.1 342% B uy  Chefs' Wareho use, Inc.  1,238  48.0  32.4  48%  B uy  M GP Ingredients, Inc.  2,322  125  105.6  18%  B uy  Adj. EBITDA  62.0  64.9  67.4  Margin (%)  37.3%  37.0%  36.8%  Δ vs. BP  -  (1.0%)  (4.7%)  S&W Seed Company  52  4.0  1.3  220%  B uy  Prev. estimate (31/05/2022)  -  62.0  63.6  Δ vs. previous estimate  -  4.7%  6.0%  Yield10 B io science, Inc.  15  12.0  3.1  283%  B uy