EX-99.1 2 prpcf_ex991.htm MANAGEMENTS ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION Blueprint
PROPHECY DEVELOPMENT CORP.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
For the three months ended March 31, 2019
(Expressed in Canadian Dollars, except where indicated)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
         
 
 
 
 
 
 
Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
For the three months ended March 31, 2019
(Expressed in Canadian Dollars, except where indicated)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
TABLE OF CONTENTS
 
1
INTRODUCTION
2
2
CAUTIONARY NOTE REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
3
3
FIRST QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS AND SIGNIFICANT EVENTS
4
4
PROPERTY SUMMARY
5
5
SUMMARY OF QUARTERLY RESULTS
24
6
DISCUSSION OF OPERATIONS
25
7
PROPOSED TRANSACTIONS
26
8
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
26
9
CONTINGENCIES
28
10
RELATED PARTY DISCLOSURES
28
11
CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES AND ESTIMATES
29
12
FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS AND RELATED RISKS
30
14
RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES
31
15
DISCLOSURE CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES
32
16
CHANGES IN INTERNAL CONTROL OVER FINANCIAL REPORTING
33
17
DISCLOSURE OF OUTSTANDING SHARE DATA
33
18
OFF-BALANCE SHEET ARRANGEMENTS
33
 
 
 
PROPHECY DEVELOPMENT CORP.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
For the three months ended March 31, 2019
(Expressed in Canadian Dollars, except where indicated)
 
 
 1. INTRODUCTION
 
This Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) of Prophecy Development Corp. and its subsidiaries (“Prophecy”, or the “Company”) was prepared by management as at May 15, 2019 and was reviewed, approved, and authorized for issue by the Company’s Audit Committee. The following discussion of performance, financial condition and future prospects should be read in conjunction with the unaudited condensed interim consolidated financial statements of the Company and notes thereto for the three months ended March 31, 2019 prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”), applicable to the preparation of interim financial statements, including International Accounting Standard (“IAS”) 34 Interim Financial Reporting, as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board. This MD&A should be read also in conjunction with both the audited annual consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2018 (prepared in accordance with IFRS) (“Annual Financial Statements”) and the related annual MD&A (“Annual MD&A”) dated March 29, 2019, and the 2018 Annual Report (“Form 20-F”), all of which are available under the Company’s SEDAR profile at www.sedar.com.
 
The information provided herein supplements but does not form part of the financial statements. Financial information is expressed in Canadian Dollars, unless stated otherwise. Readers are cautioned that this MD&A contains “forward-looking statements” and that actual events may vary from management’s expectations. Readers are encouraged to read the cautionary note contained herein regarding such forward-looking statements. Information on risks associated with investing in the Company’s securities as well as information about mineral resources and reserves under National Instrument 43-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects (“NI 43-101”) are contained in the Company’s most recently filed Form 20-F which is available on the Company’s website at www.prophecydev.com and on SEDAR at www.sedar.com and on Edgar at www.sec.gov.
 
Description of Business
 
Prophecy is a company amalgamated under the laws of the Province of British Columbia, Canada. The Company’s Common shares (the “Shares”) are listed for trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange (the “TSX”) under the symbol “PCY”, the OTCQX® Best Market under the symbol “PRPCF” and the Frankfurt Stock Exchange under the symbol “1P2N”.
 
We are an exploration stage company focusing on mining and energy projects in the United States, Canada, Bolivia and Mongolia. We have a 100% interest in two vanadium projects in North America including the Gibellini vanadium project which is comprised of the Gibellini and Louie Hill vanadium deposits and associated claims located in the State of Nevada, USA (the “Gibellini Project”) and the Titan vanadium-titanium-iron project comprised of the Titan vanadium-titanium-iron deposit and related claims located in the Province of Ontario, Canada. We also own a 100% interest in the Pulacayo project, a silver-lead-zinc property located in Bolivia. We also own a 100% interest in three coal properties in Mongolia: the Ulaan Ovoo property, the Khavtgai Uul property and the Chandgana Tal property, in addition to the land use right and construction license for the Chandgana power plant project. We do not currently consider our properties in Canada, Bolivia or Mongolia to be material properties.
 
Our principal business is the acquisition, exploration and development of mineral and energy projects. Our business strategy focus is to make our Gibellini Project the first operating primary vanadium mine in North America, offering the best quality vanadium pentoxide product that exceeds customer requirements in a variety of high-tech applications such as batteries and aerospace. We are also considering development of our Titan Project and the acquisition of other vanadium resources to augment Gibellini and position us as a major producer of vanadium.
 
The vanadium resources are part of a portfolio of projects we are building that, through their diversity of locations, commodities and products, reduces our exposure to adverse regulation and political climates and changes in specific commodity prices. A diverse portfolio of projects from which a variety of minerals are mined and sold provides multiple opportunities to maintain revenue and is one facet of our efforts to attain our ultimate objective of stable positive cash flow.
 
General Corporate Information:
 
At March 31, 2019 and May 15, 2019, Prophecy had: (i) 95,816,217 Shares issued and outstanding; (ii) 8,846,000 and 9,031,000 stock options for Shares outstanding, respectively; (iii) 27,318,027 Share purchase warrants for Shares outstanding.
  Transfer Agent and Registrar
Computershare Trust Company of Canada
  3rd Floor, 510 Burrard Street
  Vancouver, BC, Canada V6C 3B9
Tel: +1 (604) 661-9400
 
 
Investor and Contact Information
All financial reports, news releases and corporate information can be accessed by visiting our website at: www.prophecydev.com,Tel: +1 (604) 569-3661 ext. 101 Email: ir@prophecydev.com
Head Office and Registered Office
Suite 1610 - 409 Granville Street
Vancouver, BC, Canada V6C 1T2
Tel: +1 (604) 569-3661
 
 
 
2
 
 
Directors and Officers
 
As at the date of this MD&A, Prophecy’s directors and officers were as follows:
 
Directors
Officers
John Lee, Executive Chairman
Michael Doolin, COO and Interim Chief Executive Officer
Greg Hall
Irina Plavutska, Chief Financial Officer
Masa Igata
     Bekzod Kasimov, Vice-President, Business Development
 
Michael Drozd, Vice-President, Operations and Metallurgy
 
Danniel Oosterman, Vice-President, Exploration
 
Ron Espell, Vice-President, Environment and Sustainability
 
Rocio Echegaray, Corporate Secretary
 
 
Audit Committee
Corporate Governance and Compensation Committee
Greg Hall (Chair)
Greg Hall (Chair)
Masa Igata
Masa Igata
John Lee
 
 
Qualified Persons
 
Danniel Oosterman, B.Sc.(Hons), PGeo, is a qualified person as defined under NI 43-101. Mr. Oosterman serves as the Company’s Vice-President, Exploration and qualified person. He is not considered independent of Prophecy given the large extent that his professional time is dedicated solely to Prophecy. Mr. Oosterman has reviewed and approved the technical and scientific disclosure regarding the mineral properties of Prophecy contained in this MD&A.
 
2.
CAUTIONARY NOTE REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
 
This MD&A contains” forward-looking information” and “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation concerning anticipated developments in the Company’s continuing and future operations in the United States, Canada, Bolivia and Mongolia, and the adequacy of the Company’s financial resources and financial projections. Such forward-looking statements include but are not limited to statements regarding the permitting, feasibility, plans for development of the Gibellini Project; development of the Titan Project; development of the Pulacayo project; development and production of electricity from Prophecy’s Chandgana power plant, including finalizing of any power purchase agreement; the likelihood of securing project financing; estimated future coal production at the Chandgana project; and coal production at the Ulaan Ovoo coal property and the Chandgana project, and other information concerning possible or assumed future results of operations of Prophecy. See in particular, Section 4 – Property Summary.
Forward-looking statements in this document are frequently identified by words such as “expects”, “anticipates”, “intends”, “plans”, “believes”, “estimates”, “potentially” or similar expressions, or statements that events, conditions or results “will”, “may”, “would”, “could”, “should” occur or are “to be” achieved, and statements related to matters which are not historical facts. Information concerning management’s expectations regarding Prophecy’s future growth, results of operations, performance, business prospects and opportunities may also be deemed to be forward-looking statements, as such information constitutes predictions based on certain factors, estimates and assumptions subject to significant business, economic, competitive and other uncertainties and contingencies, and involve known and unknown risks which may cause the actual results, performance, or achievements to be different from future results, performance, or achievements contained in such forward-looking statements made by Prophecy.
 
In making the forward-looking statements in this MD&A, Prophecy has made several assumptions that it believes are appropriate, including, but not limited to assumptions that: all required third party contractual, regulatory and governmental approvals will be obtained for the development, construction and production of Prophecy’s properties and the Chandgana power plant; there being no significant disruptions affecting operations, whether due to labour disruptions or other causes; currency exchange rates being approximately consistent with current levels; certain price assumptions for vanadium, silver, other metals and coal, prices for and availability of fuel, parts and equipment and other key supplies remain consistent with current levels; production forecasts meeting expectations; the accuracy of Prophecy’s current mineral resource estimates; labour and materials costs increasing on a basis consistent with Prophecy’s current expectations; and any additional required financing will be available on reasonable terms; market developments and trends in global supply and demand for vanadium, silver, other metals, coal and energy meeting expectations. Prophecy cannot assure you that any of these assumptions will prove to be correct. 
 
 
3
 
  
Numerous factors could cause Prophecy’s actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements, including the following risks and uncertainties, which are discussed in greater detail under the heading “Risks and Uncertainties” in this MD&A and “Risk Factors” in Prophecy’s most recent AR as filed under the Company’s SEDAR profile at www.SEDAR.com and posted on Prophecy’s website: Prophecy’s history of net losses and lack of foreseeable positive cash flow; exploration, development and production risks, including risks related to the development of Prophecy’s mineral properties; Prophecy not having a history of profitable mineral production; commencing mine development without a feasibility study; the uncertainty of mineral resource and mineral reserve estimates; the capital and operating costs required to bring Prophecy’s projects into production and the resulting economic returns from its projects; foreign operations and political conditions, including the legal and political risks of operating in Bolivia and Mongolia, which are developing countries and being subject to their local laws; the availability and timeliness of various government approvals, permits and licenses; the feasibility, funding and development of Prophecy’s projects; protecting title to Prophecy’s mineral properties; environmental risks; the competitive nature of the mining business; lack of infrastructure; Prophecy’s reliance on key personnel; uninsured risks; commodity price fluctuations; reliance on contractors; Prophecy’s need for substantial additional funding and the risk of not securing such funding on reasonable terms or at all; foreign exchange risk; anti-corruption legislation; recent global financial conditions; the payment of dividends; the inability of insurance to cover all potential risks associated with mining operations; conflicts of interest; and reliance on information systems with exposure to cyber-security risks.
 
In light of the risks and uncertainties inherent in all forward-looking statements, the inclusion or incorporation by reference of forward-looking statements in this MD&A should not be considered as a representation by Prophecy or any other person that Prophecy’s objectives or plans will be achieved.
 
These factors should be considered carefully, and readers should not place undue reliance on Prophecy’s forward-looking statements. The Company believes that the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements contained in this MD&A and the documents incorporated by reference herein are reasonable, but no assurance can be given that these expectations will prove to be correct. In addition, although the Company has attempted to identify important factors that could cause actual actions, events or results to differ materially from those described in forward-looking statements, there may be other factors that cause actions, events or results not to be as anticipated, estimated or intended. Prophecy undertakes no obligation to publicly update any future revisions to forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this MD&A or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events, except as expressly required by law.
 
3.
FIRST QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS AND SIGNIFICANT EVENTS
 
On January 21, 2019, the Company provided the Gibellini Project update. The Company’s objective for 2019 is to continue advancing its flagship vanadium project towards development and production.
 
On February 14, 2019, the Company announced that it has retained Amec Foster Wheeler E&C Services Inc. to undertake updating of the mineral resource and mining section for the Company’s upcoming Feasibility Study to be completed to the standards of National Instrument 43-101 for the Gibellini Project.
 
On February 19, 2019, the Company announced that Gerald Panneton has resigned as the President & Chief Executive Officer and as a director of the Company effective February 15, 2019.
 
On March 7, 2019, the Company announced the appointment of Michael Doolin as the Company’s Chief Operating Officer and interim Chief Executive Officer, effective April 1, 2019. Pursuant to the Company’s 2016 Share-Based Compensation Plan, the Company has granted to Mr. Doolin on May 1, 2019, 500,000 sign-on bonus shares and 500,000 incentive stock options exercisable at a price of $0.21 per Share for a term of five years expiring on April 1, 2024 and which vest at 12.5% per quarter for the first two years following the date of grant.
 
On March 18, 2019, the Company announced Ulaan Ovoo Mine start up and approximately 21,000 tonnes of coal production and sales in Mongolia.
 
On March 26, 2019, the Company also announced vanadium assay results from its Fall 2018 exploration reconnaissance program on the Gibellini Project. The 155 assays were taken from three prospective exploration areas all within 5km to existing Gibellini vanadium NI43-101 compliant resource pit outline whereat 49.9 million lbs measured and 81.5 million lbs indicated vanadium resource have already been identified.
 
Subsequent to period end
 
On April 16, 2019, the Company announced that it has submitted the requisite baseline studies for the Gibellini Project to both the Bureau of Land Management (BLM) and the Nevada Division of Environmental Protection (NDEP). The Enhanced Baseline Report format, made with guidance from the BLM, is designed to identify potential resource conflicts early in the project timeline. Doing so will allow measures to be taken to avoid and/or minimize such conflicts and ensure an up-front project planning that is sensitive to all environmental resources. In consultation with the BLM and NDEP, Prophecy is working with contractors to collect supplemental baseline data that will update and confirm the existing data sets. That work is set to be completed in May 2019.
 
For further information please view the Company’s 2019 news releases under the Company’s SEDAR profile at www.sedar.com.
 
 
4
 
 
4.
PROPERTY SUMMARY
 
Gibellini Project, Nevada, USA
 
The Company’s principal asset is its interest in the Gibellini Project. Prophecy holds a 100% interest in the properties by way of a lease agreement and staked claims. Claims are in the name of Prophecy’s indirect, wholly-owned Nevada subsidiaries, VC Exploration (US), Inc. (“VC Exploration”) and Vanadium Gibellini Company, LLC (“Vanadium Gibellini”).
 
The Gibellini Project consists of a total of 354 unpatented lode mining claims that include: the Gibellini group of 40 claims, the VC Exploration group of 105 claims, and the Prophecy group of 209 claims. The Gibellini group of claims is referred to by the Company as a “project”. All the claims are located in Eureka County, Nevada, approximately 25 miles south of the town of Eureka and are easily accessed from US Highway 50 to a paved road that becomes a graded, gravel road.
 
The Gibellini Project is situated on the east flank of the Fish Creek Range in the Fish Creek Mining District, about 25 miles south of Eureka, Nevada and is accessed by dirt road extending westward from State Route 379.
 
The Gibellini group of claims was acquired on June 22, 2017, through lease from the claimant and current holder of the Gibellini mineral claims (the “Gibellini Lessor”) and includes an area of approximately 771 acres. Under the Gibellini mineral lease agreement dated June 22, 2017 (the “Gibellini MLA”), Prophecy leased the Gibellini group of claims which originally constituted the Gibellini Project by among other things, agreeing to pay to the Gibellini Lessor, annual advance royalty payments which will be tied, based on an agreed formula (not to exceed USD$120,000 per year), to the average vanadium pentoxide price of the prior year. Upon commencement of production, Prophecy will maintain its acquisition through lease of the Gibellini group of claims by paying to the Gibellini Lessor, a 2.5% NSR until a total of USD$3 million is paid. Thereafter, the NSR will be reduced to 2% over the remaining life of the mine (and referred to thereafter, as “Production Royalty Payments”). All advance royalty payments made, will be deducted as credits against future Production Royalty Payments. The lease is for a term of 10 years, which can be extended for an additional 10 years at Prophecy’s option.
 
On April 19, 2018, the Gibellini MLA was amended to grant Prophecy the option, at any time during the term of the agreement, to require the Gibellini Lessor to transfer their title over all of the leased mining claims (excluding four claims which will be retained by the Gibellini Lessor and which contain minimal resource) to Prophecy in exchange for USD1,000,000, to be paid as an advance royalty payment.
 
On July 10, 2017, the Company acquired (through lease) from the holders (the “Former Louie Hill Lessors”) 10 unpatented lode claims totaling approximately 207 gross acres that comprised the Louie Hill group of claims located approximately 500 metres south of the Gibellini group of claims. These claims were subsequently abandoned by the Former Louie Hill Lessors, and on March 11 and 12, 2018, the Company staked the area within and under 17 new claims totaling approximately 340 gross acres which now collectively comprise the expanded Louie Hill group of claims.

On October 22, 2018, the Company entered into a royalty agreement (the “Royalty Agreement”) with the Former Louie Hill Lessors to replace on substantially similar terms, the former Louie Hill Mineral Lease Agreement dated July 10, 2017, wherein Prophecy will pay an advance royalty and a net smelter royalty on vanadium pentoxide produced from the area of the 10 unpatented lode claims originally acquired through lease from the Former Louie Hill Lessors that is now contained within 17 lode claims since staked by the Company’s subsidiaries. The annual advance royalty payments will be tied, based on an agreed formula (the total amount not to exceed USD$28,000 per year), to the average vanadium pentoxide price for the prior year.
  
Upon commencement of production, Prophecy will pay to the Former Louie Hill Lessors, a 2.5% NSR of which, 1.5% of the NSR may be purchased at any time by Prophecy for USD$1 million, leaving the total NSR to be reduced to 1% over the remaining life of the mine (and referred to thereafter, as “Production Royalty Payments”). All advance royalty payments made, will be deducted as credits against future Production Royalty Payments. The Royalty Agreement shall be for an indefinite period and shall be valid and in full force and effect for as long as the Company, its subsidiaries, or any of their permitted successors or assigns holds a valid and enforceable mining concession over the area.
 
On December 5, 2017, the Company announced that it had significantly expanded the land position at the Gibellini Project, by staking a total of 198 new claims immediately adjacent to the Gibellini Project covering 4091 acres that are sufficient to enable future vanadium mining, processing and extraction.
 
On February 15, 2018, the Company indirectly acquired an additional 105 unpatented lode mining claims located adjacent to its existing Gibellini Project in Nevada, USA through the indirect acquisition of VC Exploration (US) Inc, by paying a total of $335,661 in cash and issuing the equivalent of 500,000 Share purchase warrants to arm’s-length, private parties.
 
The Gibellini Project is situated entirely on public lands that are administered by the BLM. No easements or rights of way are required for access over public lands. Rights-of-way would need to be acquired for future infrastructure requirements, such as pipelines and powerlines.
 
 
5
 
 
On November 20, 2017, the Company received an independent technical report titled “Gibellini Vanadium Project Nevada, USA NI 43-101 Technical Report” with an effective date of November 10, 2017 (the ”Gibellini Report”) prepared by Wood The Gibellini Report was filed with Canadian securities regulatory authorities on SEDAR (available at www.sedar.com).
 
On June 25, 2018, Prophecy released the “Gibellini Vanadium Project, Eureka County, Nevada, NI 43-101 Technical Report on Preliminary Economic Assessment” (the “PEA”), with an effective date of May 29, 2018 and signed June 25, 2018 authored by Independent Qualified Persons Kirk Hanson, P.E.; Edward J.C. Orbock III, RM SME; Edwin Peralta, P.E.; and Dr. Lynton Gormely, P. Eng. of Wood and is in accordance with NI 43-101. The Gibellini PEA was filed with Canadian securities regulatory authorities on SEDAR (available at www.sedar.com).
 
Gibellini Deposit
 
On May 29, 2018, the Company received an independent technical report providing an updated the resource on the Gibellini project. The report is titled “Gibellini Vanadium Project Eureka County, Nevada, NI 43-101 Technical Report on Preliminary Economic Assessment” prepared by Mr. Kirk Hanson, P.E., Technical Director, Open Pit Mining; Mr. Edward J.C. Orbock III, RM SME, Principal Geologist and US Manager of Consulting; Mr. Edwin Peralta, P.E., Senior Mining Engineer; and Mr. Lynton Gormely, P.Eng., Consultant Metallurgist of Wood. The report has an effective date of May 29, 2018.
 
The PEA replaces the technical report entitled “Gibellini Vanadium Project, Nevada, USA, NI 43-101 Technical Report”, effective November 10, 2017 and filed November 20, 2017. The PEA is preliminary in nature and includes inferred mineral resources that are too speculative geologically to have economic considerations applied to them that would enable them to be categorized as mineral reserves. There is no certainty that the PEA results will be realized. Mineral resources are not mineral reserves and do not have demonstrated economic viability.
 
The PEA disclosed an estimated 7.94 million tons at a weighted average grade of 0.314% vanadium pentoxide (“V2O5”) in the Measured category and 15.02 million tons at a weighted average grade of 0.271% V2O5 in the Indicated category leading to a total combined Measured and Indicated Mineral Resource of 22.95 million tons at a weighted average grade of 0.286% V2O5. Total contained metal content of the Measured and Indicated Mineral Resources is 131.34 million pounds V2O5. The Inferred Mineral Resource estimate is 14.97 million tons at a weighted average grade of 0.175% V2O5. The total contained metal content of the Inferred Mineral Resource estimate is 52.30 million pounds V2O5. The table below contains a summary of the Gibellini deposit resource estimate:
 
Table 1: Mineral Resource Statement, Gibellini
 
Confidence Category
Domain
 
Cut-offV2O5 (%)
 
 
Tons(Mt)
 
 
GradeV2O5(%)
 
 
ContainedV2O5 (Mlb)
 
Measured
Oxide
  0.101 
  3.96 
  0.251 
  19.87 
 
Transition
  0.086 
  3.98 
  0.377 
  29.98 
Indicated
Oxide
  0.101 
  7.83 
  0.222 
  34.76 
 
Transition
  0.086 
  7.19 
  0.325 
  46.73 
Total Measured and Indicated

    
  22.95 
  0.286 
  131.34 
Inferred
Oxide
  0.101 
  0.16 
  0.17 
  0.55 
 
Transition
  0.086 
  0.01 
  0.18 
  0.03 
 
Reduced
  0.116 
  14.8 
  0.175 
  51.72 
Total Inferred
    
  14.97 
  0.175 
  52.3 
 
Notes to accompany Mineral Resource table for Gibellini:
 
1. 
The Qualified Person for the estimate is Mr. E.J.C. Orbock III, RM SME, a Wood Group of companies employee. The Mineral Resources have an effective date of May 29, 2018.
2. 
Mineral Resources that are not Mineral Reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability.
3. 
Mineral Resources are reported at various cut-off grades for oxide, transition, and reduced material.
4. 
Mineral Resources are reported within a conceptual pit shell that uses the following assumptions: Mineral Resource V2O5 price: $14.64/lb; mining cost: $2.21/ton mined; process cost: $13.62/ton; general and administrative (“G&A”) cost: $0.99/ton processed; metallurgical recovery assumptions of 60% for oxide material, 70% for transition material and 52% for reduced material; tonnage factors of 16.86 ft3/ton for oxide material, 16.35 ft3/ton for transition material and 14.18 ft3/ton for reduced material; royalty: 2.5% net smelter return (NSR); shipping and conversion costs: $0.37/lb. An overall 40º pit slope angle assumption was used.
5. 
Rounding as required by reporting guidelines may result in apparent summation differences between tons, grade and contained metal content. Tonnage and grade measurements are in US units. Grades are reported in percentages.
 
 
6
 
 
Louie Hill Deposit
 
The Louie Hill deposit lies approximately 1,600 ft south of the Gibellini deposit.
 
The Gibellini Technical Report provides an Inferred Mineral Resource of 7.52 million tons at a weighted average grade of 0.276% vanadium pentoxide (V2O5). The oxidation domains were not modeled. The total contained metal content of the estimate is 41.49 million pounds V2O5. The table below summarizes the Louie Hill deposit resource estimate:
 
Table 2: Mineral Resources Statement, Louie Hill
 
Confidence Category
 
Cut-offV2O5 (%)
 
 
Tons(Mt)
 
 
GradeV2O5 (%)
 
 
ContainedV2O5 (Mlb)
 
Inferred
  0.101 
  7.52 
  0.276 
  41.49 
 
Notes to accompany Mineral Resource table for Louie Hill:
 
1. 
The Qualified Person for the estimate is Mr. E.J.C. Orbock III, RM SME, a Wood Group of companies employee. The Mineral Resources have an effective date of May 29, 2018. The resource model was prepared by Mr. Mark Hertel, RM SME.
2. 
Mineral Resources that are not Mineral Reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability.
3. 
Oxidation state was not modeled.
4. 
Mineral Resources are reported within a conceptual pit shell that uses the following assumptions: Mineral Resource V2O5 price: $14.64/lb; mining cost: $2.21/ton mined; process cost: $13.62/ton; general and administrative (G&A) cost: $0.99/ton processed; metallurgical recovery assumptions of 60% for mineralized material; tonnage factors of 16.86 ft3/ton for mineralized material, royalty: 2.5% net smelter return (NSR); shipping and conversion costs: $0.37/lb. For the purposes of the resource estimate, an overall 40º slope angle assumption was used.
5. 
Rounding as required by reporting guidelines may result in apparent summation differences between tons, grade and contained metal content. Tonnage and grade measurements are in US units. Grades are reported in percentages.
 
A total of 280 drill holes (about 51,265 ft) have been completed on the Gibellini Project since 1946, comprising 16 core holes (4,046 ft), 169 rotary drill holes (25,077 ft; note not all drill holes have footages recorded) and 95 reverse circulation holes (22,142 ft).
 
The vanadium-hosted argillite unit ranges from 175 to over 300 ft thick and overlies gray mudstone and black shales. The argillite has been oxidized to various hues of yellow and orange to a depth of 100 ft and is believed to have been part an overall homogenous black shale unit. Alteration (oxidation) of the rocks is classified as one of three oxide codes: oxidized, transitional, and reduced.
 
No significant work has been conducted on the Gibellini Project since 2011 with some minor prospecting completed in October of 2018. We have completed trenching or drilling activities since the Gibellini Project acquisition.
 
The power supply for the Gibellini Project site is assumed to be at 24.9 kV and supplied from a planned substation to be located near Fish Creek Ranch. This substation would tap and step-down the 69kV supply carried by the line to the nearby Pan Mine to 24.9kV and place it on a line to the Gibellini Project. Negotiations with the power utility, Mt. Wheeler Power will need to be undertaken to secure any future power supply contract and transmission line to the site.
 
On April 18, 2018, the Company announced that it signed an agreement with Monitor Ventures Inc. (“Monitor”) for the right to access and use information related to the Gibellini Project which was commissioned, compiled and held by Monitor. In consideration, Prophecy paid $7,000 in cash, issued to Monitor the equivalent of 500,000 warrants entitling Monitor to purchase one Share at an exercise price the equivalent of $0.30 for a period of three years, and will, upon approval of the EIS by BLM, pay Monitor, $50,000 in cash.
 
 
7
 
 
On May 9, 2018, the Company submitted its Management’s plan of operations (the “MPO”) to the BLM and the Reclamation Permit Application to the Nevada Division of Environmental Protection, Bureau of Mining Regulation and Reclamation (the “BMRR”).
 
The MPO was prepared by SRK Consulting (U.S.) Inc. with over 1,100 pages of detailed development plans for the open pit mining operations and processing facilities to extract and recover vanadium from the Gibellini Project with stated average mine production during the seven-year mine life of 15.7 million tons of ore material containing 120.5 million pounds of vanadium. The primary facilities include the: pit, waste rock disposal facility, mine office, auxiliary facilities such as water and power, crushing facilities and stockpile, heap leach pad, process facility, water ponds, borrow areas, and mine and access roads.
 
A map of the proposed facilities is available at www.prophecydev.com.
 
In addition, the MPO includes the following designs along with associated environmental baseline studies:
 
1. Quality Assurance Plan
 
2. Storm Water Management Plan
 
3. Adaptive Waste Rock Management Plan
 
4. Monitoring Plan
 
5. Noxious Weed Management Plan
 
6. Spill Contingency Plan
 
7. Feasibility Study Level Pit Slope Design
 
8. Heap Leach and Waste Rock Dump Facility Stability Report
 
9. Geochemical Characterization Report
 
10. Water Management Plan
 
11. Closure and Reclamation Plan
 
12. Transportation Plan
 
13. Standardized Reclamation Cost Estimate
 
 
8
 
 
The baseline studies supplementing the MPO were completed by the previous operator between 2010 and 2012, and included studies of biological resources, cultural resources, surface water resources, ground water resources, and waste rock geochemical characterization.
 
In August 2018, the Company engaged NewFields, an environmental, engineering, and construction management consulting firm to advance EIS preparation for the Gibellini Project.
 
NewFields completed the Gibellini heap leach pad and waste dump designs (over 40 pages) as part of an overall basic engineering design lead by Scotia International of Nevada, Inc. in 2014. NewFields’ familiarity with the project should help to expedite permitting efforts at Gibellini.
 
As a result of direction from Secretary of the Interior Order No. 3355 (Streamlining National Environmental Policy Reviews and Implementation of Executive Order 13807) Prophecy anticipates the Gibellini EIS will not be more than 150 pages (excluding appendices) and the BLM to complete the Gibellini final EIS within one year from the issuance of the Notice of Intent (“NOI”). Should that occur, it means that permitting for the Gibellini Project may potentially be concluded in 2020.
 
PEA
 
On May 29, 2018, the Company received results of a PEA for the Gibellini Project. The PEA reported an after tax cumulative cash flow of $601.5 million, an internal rate of return of 50.8%, a net present value of $338.3 million at a 7% discount rate and a 1.72 years payback on investment from start-up assuming an average vanadium pentoxide price of $12.73 per pound. As of May 29, 2018, the price of vanadium pentoxide is $14.20 per pound according to www.asianmetal.com. The PEA was prepared by Wood and is based on the NI 43-101 compliant resource calculations reported above.
 
Table 3: Highlights of the PEA (after tax)
 
All dollar values are expressed in US dollars unless otherwise noted
 
Internal rate of return
50.8%
Net present value (“NPV”)
$338.3 million at 7% discount rate
Payback period
1.72 years
Average annual production
9.65 million lbs V2O5
Average V2O5 selling price
$12.73 per lb
Operating cash cost
$4.77 per lb V2O5
All-in sustaining costs*
$6.28 per lb V2O5
Breakeven price**
$7.76 per lb V2O5
Initial capital cost including 25% contingency
$116.76 million
Average grade
0.26% V2O5
Strip ratio
0.17 waste to leach material
Mining operating rate
3.4 million tons (leach material and waste) per year
Average V2O5 recovery through Direct Heap Leaching
62%
Life of mine
13.5 years
 
*includes selling costs, royalties, operating cash cost, reclamation, exploration and sustaining capital costs.

**includes selling costs, royalties, operating cash costs, taxes (local, state, and federal), working capital, and sustaining and capital costs.
 
The PEA is preliminary in nature, and includes inferred mineral resources that are considered too speculative geologically to have the economic considerations applied to them that would enable them to be categorized as mineral reserves, and there is no certainty that the PEA will be realized. Mineral resources are not mineral reserves and do not have demonstrated economic viability.
 
 
9
 
 
Sensitivity Analysis
 
The tables below show the sensitivity analysis to the vanadium pentoxide price, grade, and to the PEA capital cost and operating costs. This sensitivity analysis indicates strong project economics even in very challenging conditions, and that the project is well positioned to benefit from the current rising vanadium price environment. A 20% increase in the vanadium price relative to the base case translates to a USD$491.3 million after-tax NPV at a 7% discount rate.
 
Table 4: Sensitivity Analysis
 
All dollar values are expressed in US dollars unless otherwise noted
 
V2O5 price change
V2O5 price USD$/lb
After-taxIRR
After-tax NPVUSD$M @ 7%
After-taxcashflowUSD$M
30%
16.55
69%
568.0
996.0
20%
15.28
63%
491.3
864.4
10%
14.00
57%
415.2
733.2
Base price
12.73
51%
338.3
600.4
-10%
11.46
44%
261.0
467.2
-20%
10.18
36%
183.1
333.2
-30%
8.91
26%
103.9
196.9
 
V2O5 gradechange
V2O5grade
After-taxIRR
After-tax NPVUSD$M @ 7%
After-taxcashflowUSD$M
30%
0.34%
68%
554.4
972.8
20%
0.31%
63%
482.4
849.0
10%
0.28%
57%
410.7
725.4
Base grade
0.26%
51%
338.3
600.4
-10%
0.23%
44%
265.6
475.0
-20%
0.21%
37%
192.2
348.9
-30%
0.18%
28%
118.3
221.6
 
Capexchange
CapexUSD$M
After-taxIRR
After-tax NPVUSD$M @ 7%
After-taxcashflowUSD$M
30%
151.8
40%
307.2
564.3
20%
140.1
43%
317.6
576.3
10%
128.4
47%
328.0
588.4
Base Capex
116.8
51%
338.3
600.4
-10%
105.1
55%
348.6
612.5
-20%
93.4
61%
358.9
624.6
-30%
81.7
67%
369.3
636.8
 
Opexchange
OpexUSD$M
After-taxIRR
After-tax NPVUSD$M @ 7%
After-taxcashflowUSD$M
30%
6.20
45%
257.9
450.2
20%
5.72
47%
284.8
500.3
10%
5.25
49%
311.6
550.4
Base Capex
4.77
51%
338.3
600.4
-10%
4.29
53%
364.8
650.0
-20%
3.82
55%
390.7
698.4
-30%
3.34
56%
416.0
745.4
 
 
10
 
 
Mining & Processing
 
Mining at the Gibellini and Louie Hill projects is planned to be a conventional open pit mine utilizing a truck and shovel fleet comprised of 100-ton trucks and front end loaders. Average mine production during the 13.5 year mine life is 3.4 million tons of leach material (3 million tons) and waste (0.4 million tonnes) per year at a strip ratio of 0.17. Mining is to be completed through contract, with Prophecy’s mining staff overseeing the contracted mining operation and performing the mine engineering and survey work.
 
Table 5
 
 
Oxide‘000 tons
Transition‘000 tons
Reduced‘000 tons
Grade% V2O5
Metal containedV2O5 (Mlb)
Metal ProducedV2O5 (Mlb)
YR 1
2,600
400
0.291
17.440
10.633
YR 2
2,400
600
0.278
16.690
10.480
YR 3
1,760
1,240
0.310
18.580
12.067
YR 4
650
2,350
0.372
22.320
15.217
YR 5
310
2,680
10
0.366
21.950
15.185
YR 6
2,240
750
10
0.315
18.920
11.928
YR 7
3,000
0.316
18.980
11.394
YR 8
1,910
700
380
0.189
11.310
7.085
YR 9
690
1,220
1,090
0.216
12.940
8.023
YR 10
110
370
2,520
0.208
12.480
6.898
YR 11
450
360
2,180
0.182
10.910
6.103
YR 12
50
140
2,820
0.166
9.980
5.349
YR 13
390
10
2,600
0.183
10.970
5.839
YR 14
1,710
0.195
6.670
4.096
Totals:
18,290
10,830
11,590
0.258
210.15
130.297
 
The processing method envisioned for the Gibellini Project will be to feed leach material from the mine via loader to a hopper that feeds the crushing plant. The leach material will then be fed to the agglomerator where sulfuric acid, flocculent and water will be added to achieve adequate agglomeration. The agglomerated leach material will be transported to a stacker on the leach pad, which will stack the material to a height of 15 feet. Once the material is stacked, solution will be added to the leach heap at a rate of 0.0025 gallons per minute per square foot. The solution will be collected in a pond and this pregnant leach solution will be sent to the process building for metal recovery where it will go through solvent extraction and stripping processes to produce the vanadium pentoxide.
 
Vanadium Recoveries and Metallurgical Testing
 
Approximately 130.3 million pounds of V2O5 is expected to be produced from Gibellini and Louie Hill leaching operations at an average recovery of 62% (oxide: 60%, transition: 70% and reduced: 52%). The heap leaching is performed at ambient temperature and atmospheric pressure without pre-roasting or other beneficiation process. The pregnant leach solution is continuously collected with leach material undergoing, on average, a 150-day heap-leaching cycle. Table 9 below summarizes the projected metallurgical recoveries used in the PEA for the three defined oxidation-type domains.
 
 
11
 
 
Table 6
 
Mill Feed Material Type
Direct Leaching Recovery
Oxide
60%
Transition
70%
Reduced
52%
 
The direct heap leach vanadium recovery estimates used in the PEA were based on extensive metallurgical testing work performed by SGS Lakefield Research Laboratories, Dawson Minerals Laboratories, and McClelland Laboratories. Samples were selected from a range of depths within the deposit, representative of the various types and styles of mineralization. Samples were obtained to ensure that tests were performed on sufficient sample mass. The end results demonstrated low acid consumption (less than 100 lb acid consumption per ton leached) and high recovery through direct leaching. Notable test results included the following:
 
Acid Heap Leach Testing of a Gibellini Bulk Sample, McClelland Laboratories, September 4, 2013
 
A series of trenches were excavated and approximately 18 tons of material were sent to McClelland Laboratories for pilot testing. The material was air dried and stage crushed to 2” where a column sample was cut for 12” columns and then the leach material was crushed to – ½”. A head sample was taken and material for bench marking columns, and a bottle roll test was also taken. The results of the pilot plant testing are shown in Table 7:
 
Table 7
 
Crush Size 100%Passing
Test Type
Time (Days)
Head Grade%V*
% VanadiumRecovery
AcidConsumptionlbs/st
50 mm (2”)
Column, open circuit
123
0.299
76.6%
88
12.5 mm (1/2”)
Column, open circuit
123
0.313
80.2%
72
12.5 mm (1/2”)
Column, closed circuit
199
0.284
68.3%
84
12.5 mm (1/2”)
Column, closed circuit
Column, closed circuit
0.313
74.0%
96
12.5 mm (1/2”)
Bottle Roll
4
0.286
67.1%
74
1.7 mm (-10m)
Bottle Roll
4
0.286
66.3%
66
-75µ
Bottle Roll
4
0.279
67.6%
62
-75µ
Bottle Roll
30
0.298
74.2%
54
*to convert V to V2O5, multiply V by 1.7852.
 
Solvent Extraction (SX) Test Work
 
The design parameters from this test work are:
 
 SX Extraction pH Range 1.8 to 2.0
 
 Di-2-Ethyl Hexyl Phosphoric Acid Concentration 0.45 M (~17.3% by weight) Cytec
 
 923 Concentration 0.13 M (~5.4% by weight)
 
 The Organic Diluent is Orform SX-12 (high purity kerosene)
 
 SO2 addition of 1.0 to 1.5 g/l
 
 Strip Solution Sulfuric Acid Concentration 225 to 250 g/l SX
 
 Extraction Efficiency ~97%
 
 SX Strip Efficiency ~98%
 
 
12
 
 
Pilot Scale Solvent Extraction Testing on Vanadium Bearing Solutions from Two Gibellini Project Column Leach Tests, McClelland Laboratories, September 16, 2013
 
Solvent extraction (“SX”) processing was conducted to recover vanadium from sulfuric acid pregnant leach solution (“PLS”) generated during pilot column testing on bulk leach samples from the Gibellini project. Laboratory scale testing was conducted on select solutions generated during the pilot SX processing, to optimize the SX processing conditions. Additional laboratory scale testing was conducted on the loaded strip solution generated during the pilot SX testing, to evaluate methods for upgrading and purifying it to levels that may be required for sale of a final vanadium bearing product.
 
The final pregnant strip solution was 6.1% vanadium, 250 g/l sulfuric acid with approximately 2% Fe and Al. The solution was suitable for oxidation using sodium chlorate to convert the V+4 to V+5 which was then precipitated using ammonia to make ammonium metavanadate (“AMV”). To make a vanadium product for the steel industry, this AMV is calcined (ammonia driven off) and heated to above 700°C (the fusion temperature of V2O5). This fused V2O5 would then be cooled on a casting wheel, pulverized and packaged. Additionally, using ion exchange resins in conjunction with solvent extraction, strip solution was produced which met or exceeded specifications of electrolyte for vanadium flow batteries.
 
In August of 2018, Prophecy received metallurgical results from its technology partner, NWME from samples collected during a site visit in March of 2018. Tests were performed at it’s laboratory testing facilities located in Xi’an, China. NWME utilized a SX processing method to recover vanadium from sulfuric acid PLS generated by bottle roll and column test acid leaching on Gibellini samples. The solution was reduced and then precipitated using ammonia to make AMV. The AMV was calcined and heated then cooled and pulverized. A vanadium pentoxide with 98.56 % purity content was produced. The assay for this work is shown below:
 
 
Table 8
 
V2O5 %
SI %
Fe %
P %
S %
As %
Na2O %
K2O %
Al %
U %
98.56
0.0078
0.88
0.058
0.47
0.0026
0.43
0.052
0.22
0.0001
 
Uranium content is less than 0.0001% which does not affect the marketability of the product.
 
The PLS was produced with very low deleterious elements which enabled using an efficient SX process. The PLS V2O5 concentration was 1.15 gram per liter and the Pregnant Strip Solution V2O5 concentration was 39.61 grams per liter.
 
Capital and Operating Costs
 
The projected capital costs for the Gibellini vanadium project over a 1 ½ year construction period and mine life average operating costs are summarized in Tables 9 and 10 below. The capital cost includes 25% contingency or USD23.4 million.
 
 
13
 
 
Table 9: Pre-Production Capital Cost
 
All dollar values are expressed in US dollars unless otherwise noted
 
Cost Description
Total(USD$000s)
Open Pit Mine
Open pit mine development
1,412
Gibellini incremental WRSF
212
Mobile equipment
111
Infrastructure-On Site
Site prep
2,431
Roads
1,391
Water supply
2,007
Sanitary system
61
Electrical – on site
2,052
Communications
165
Contact water ponds
174
Non-process facilities – buildings
7,583
Process Facilities
Mill feed handling
15,380
Heap leach system
20,037
Process plant
14,441
Off-Site Infrastructure
Water system
4,495
Electrical supply system
3,227
First fills
860
Subtotal Total Direct Cost
76,039
Construction indirect costs
4,254
Sales tax / OH&P
4,236
EPCM
8,879
Total Before Contingency
93,409
Contingency (25%)
23,352
Total Project Cost
116,761
 
 
14
 
 
Table 10: Operating Costs
 
Total Cash Operating Cost
USD$ per Ton Leached
USD$ per lb of V2O5 Produced
G&A
0.99
0.31
Mining Cost
2.72
0.85
Total Processing Cost
11.54
3.61
Total
15.26
4.77
 
(All dollar values are expressed in US dollars unless otherwise noted)
 
The cash operating costs in the first half of the project covering years 1-7 is USD$3.59 per lb of V2O5 produced and for the years 8-14 is USD$7.12 per lb of V2O5 produced, resulting in the weighted average cash cost of USD$4.77 per lb of V2O5 produced. The cash operating cost is lower in the first half of the project due to processing higher grade material.
 
During the three months ended March 31, 2019, the Company incurred total costs of $1,114,820 (same period 2018 - $287,958) for the Gibellini Project including for $779,770 (same period 2018 - $74,876) for geological and engineering services, and $335,050 (same period 2018 - $84,070) for personnel, legal, general and administrative expenses and $Nil (same period 2018 - $26,524) for fees and taxes.
 
Permitting
 
Further to our news release dated May 9, 2018, Prophecy submitted its MPO and associated baseline studies to the BLM. Prophecy is currently working with the BLM to update all previous, and add all necessary, baseline studies. Upon acceptance of the baseline studies, MPO, and environmental report by the BLM, Prophecy expects to trigger a NOI in 2019 by the BLM, to prepare an EIS for the Gibellini project.
 
In December 2017, vanadium was listed by the U.S. Geological Survey as one of 23 metals critical to the US economy despite there being no active primary vanadium mines in North America. As a result of direction from Secretary of the Interior Order No. 3355 (Streamlining National Environmental Policy Reviews and Implementation of Executive Order 13807), Prophecy anticipates the Gibellini EIS will not be more than 150 pages (excluding appendices) and the BLM to complete the Gibellini final EIS within one year from the issuance of the NOI. Should that occur, it means that permitting for the Gibellini project may potentially be concluded in 2020.
 
Engineering Procurement Construction Management:
 
On August 15, 2018, the Company issued a request for proposal (the “RFP”) for EPCM from qualified bidders. The Company selected, in December 2018, M3 Engineering & Technology Corporation (“M3”) of Tucson, Arizona to provide engineering, procurement, construction and management services (EPCM) for its Gibellini Vanadium Project in response to its Request for Proposal. M3 was selected for its specific experience in heap leach engineering, and construction expertise in arid environments such as Nevada and Arizona.
 
The EPCM consists of three phases:
 
Phase 1 includes updating and simplifying previous basic engineering designs from producing delicate vanadium battery electrolyte to producing standard vanadium pentoxide off take product. The other parts of the design such as mine design, waste dump design, road design, borrow pit design, buildings and infrastructure designs will not be substantially changed.
 
Phase 2 will be procurement of the required equipment and services, and developing the detailed engineering design required to build the project facilities.
 
Phase 3 will outline construction management services to build the facilities to accomplish the actual work.
 
 
15
 
 
The Company expects Phase 1 of the EPCM, updating basic engineering design, to be completed in2020; Phase 2, equipment procurement and detailed engineering design, to be completed in 2021; Phase 3, facilities construction, to start in 2021 and be completed in 2022 with the Gibellini Project wet commissioning expected to be in 2022.
To try to minimize technical and implementation risk, the Company is working closely with its chosen technology partner, NWME, to fine tune metallurgy, process design and engineering, and ensure maximum vanadium recovery and high-grade vanadium pentoxide commercial product on site. NWME owns and is currently operating the world’s largest black-shale vanadium mine in China with an environmentally friendly, hydrometallurgical leach processing technology without the need of a pre-roasting step. Refer to news release dated March 12, 2018 for more details.
 
NWME conducted a Gibellini site visit in March 2018 and analyzed Gibellini samples in its laboratories. The results of this work are discussed in the following section.
 
Test Results
 
Samples collected by NWME’s technical team during their visit to the Project’s site in February 2018 were analyzed at NWME’s facility in Xi’an, China. Approximately 250 kg of material was submitted for analysis. The results are described herein.
 
98.6% V2O5 Produced on the 1st Run with Simple Conventional Flowsheet
 
NWME used SX processing method to recover vanadium from sulfuric acid PLS generated by bottle roll and column test acid leaching on Gibellini samples. The solution was reduced and then precipitated using ammonia to make AMV. The AMV was calcined and heated then cooled and pulverized. A vanadium pentoxide with 98.56 % purity content was produced. The assay for this work is shown in Table 11 below:
 
Table 11: Gibellini Vanadium Pentoxide Assay
 
V2O %
SI %
Fe %
P %
S %
As %
Na2O %
K2O %
Al %
U %
98.56
0.0078
0.88
0.058
0.47
0.0026
0.43
0.052
0.22
0.0001
 
Uranium content is less than 0.0001% which does not affect the marketability of the product.
 
The PLS was produced with very low deleterious elements which enabled using an efficient SX process. The PLS V2O5 concentration was 1.15 gram per liter and the Pregnant Strip Solution V2O5 concentration was 39.61 grams per liter.
Overall Vanadium Recovery of Over 60% and Low Acid Consumption
 
PLS was produced from both bottle roll and column tests. Sulfuric acid was added to the feed material with the bottle rolling for 1 hour, then the open bottle was allowed to cure for 24 hours and water was added to the bottle to attain the desired density (40%). Initial samples were taken at 6 hours, 12 hours, 24 hours, 36 hours, 48 hours and then once a day until the bottle roll was completed.
 
In column tests, sulfuric acid was added to the feed material and the material was allowed to cure for 24 hours before initiating the leaching. Leaching was conducted by applying 108 grams per liter acid solution over the material. PLS was collected every 24 hours and samples were taken for vanadium analysis. All the tests were performed at room temperature and at atmospheric pressure. The results of the tests are given in Table 12:
 
 
16
 
 
Table 12
 
Test
Leach Time
Vanadium Recovery %
Sulfuric Acid Consumed kg/t
Column Test
21 days
70.74
100
Bottle Roll Test - investigate the effect of the curing method and increase of sulfuric acid addition on the vanadium recovery
50 hours
62.8
150
Bottle Roll Test - investigate addition of NWME prepared leaching agent on the vanadium recovery
144 hours
66.5
100
Bottle Roll Test - investigate the leaching of coarse feed (2mm) on the vanadium recovery
216 hours
63.7
100
 
The results of the bottle roll and column leach tests performed by NWME largely validate the results of previous tests performed by McClelland Laboratories on Gibellini bulk sample in 2013 (18 tons of material).
 
The NWME test samples were not agglomerated and were on short leach time of 21 days for column tests and 5 days for bottle roll tests. Prophecy studied both the NWME test and McClleland test in detail and believe the results were consistent, whereby 70% recovery can be achieved with longer leach cycle (over 100 days McClelland Laboratories vs 21 days NWME) and less acid consumption (50 kg of acid per tonne of material McClelland Laboratories vs 100 kg of acid per tonne of material NWME).
 
A summary of acid heap leach tests of a Gibellini bulk sample, completed at McClelland Laboratories, September 4, 2013 is tabulated in Table 13 below:
 
Table 13
 
Size
Test Type
 
Time (Days)
 
 
Vanadium Recovery %
 
 
Head Grade % V2O5
 
 
Sulfuric Acid Consumed kg/t
 

50 mm (2”)
Column, open circuit
  123 
  76.6 
  0.53 
  39.9 
12.5 mm (1/2”)
Column, open circuit
  123 
  80.2 
  0.56 
  32.7 
12.5 mm (1/2”)
Column, closed circuit
  230 
  68.3 
  0.51 
  38.1 
12.5 mm (1/2”)
Column, closed circuit
  198 
  74.0 
  0.56 
  43.5 
12.5 mm (1/2”)
Bottle Roll
  4 
  67.1 
  0.51 
  33.6 
1.7 mm (-10m)
Bottle Roll
  4 
  66.3 
  0.51 
  29.9 
-75µ
Bottle Roll
  4 
  67.6 
  0.50 
  28.1 
-75µ
Bottle Roll
  30 
  74.2 
  0.53 
  24.5 
 
Representative Feed Grade with Benign Test Conditions that Can be Replicated in Commercial Setting
 
The leaching bottle roll and column tests were performed at room temperature and at atmospheric pressure based on Gibellini’s representative grade from grab sampling method across the width of the mineralization at various locations of the Project. These samples are characterized in Table 14:
 
 
17
 
 
Table 14
 
Sample Number
 
Sample ID
 
 
Weight kg
 
 
Head Grade V2O5 (%)
 
    1 
  18-L6-28 
  17.0 
  0.665 
    2 
  18-L6-29 
  17.0 
  0.885 
    3 
  18-L6-30 
  12.5 
  0.370 
    4 
  18-L6-31 
  18.0 
  0.210 
    5 
  18-L6-32 
  13.5 
  0.420 
    6 
  18-L6-33 
  22.5 
  0.280 
    7 
  18-L6-34 
  19.0 
  0.315 
    8 
  18-L6-35 
  20.0 
  0.185 
    9 
  18-L6-36 
  18.0 
  0.165 
    10 
  18-L6-37 
  20.0 
  0.195 
 
Total
 
    
  177.5 
    
 
For the purpose of metallurgical testing, the samples were mixed to produce a composite material with the average grade of 0.30% V2O5 which is representative of Gibellini resource grade. The composite material was ground to -75 lm feed. Prophecy believes the test conditions can easily be replicated in a commercial heap leach setting with low technical and implementation risk.
Unique Vanadium Mineralogy in Achieving Remarkable Recovery at Room Temperature and Atmospheric Pressure
 
NWME performed detailed mineralogical analysis which included microscope identification using a Carl Zeiss Axioskop, XRD analysis on Bruker D8-A25 XRD, multi-element analysis, electron probe X-ray microanalysis on JEOL JXA 8230, scanning electron microscopy/energy dispersive X-ray spectroscopy analysis on Mineral Liberation Analizer 650 and V element phase analysis. This mineralogical analysis confirmed that the Gibellini resource has a high percentage of independent vanadium minerals (“IVM”) such as kazakhstanite, shubnelite, sherwoodite, bokite, which can be leached easily at room temperature and atmospheric pressure within a short time frame.
 
NWME noted the unique nature of the Gibellini samples with over 45% IVM versus numerous other typical black shale deposits which they have encountered containing less than 10% IVM.
 
All of the testwork carried out on the material from the Gibellini Project indicate that there is a two-stage leaching phenomenon in Gibellini ore - about 50% of the vanadium leaches in the first 96 hours (independent vanadium minerals), and the remaining leaching approximately 15 to 20% occurs over a longer time horizon.
 
Heap leaching is the lowest-cost recovery method compared to roasting, and pressured container VAC leaching, whereby capital costs can compound to multiple times greater for the same throughput. Gibellini’s high IVM content is a key competitive differentiator which places the deposit in the top tier of black shale deposits in terms of pre-production capital cost required based on NWME’s research. The mineralogical results of the Gibellini ore as characterized by NWME’s testwork is shown in Table 15:
 
 
18
 
 
Table 15
 
Mineral composition
 
Mineral content %
 
 
V content in minerals %
 
 
V distribution %
 
Independent vanadium minerals
Kazakhstanite
  0.15 
  40.91 
  19.77 
45.2% of vanadium content
Shubnelite
  0.13 
  27.86 
  11.67 
 
Sherwoodite
  0.08 
  34.54 
  8.9 
 
Bokite
  0.03 
  36.51 
  3.53 
 
Melanovanadite
  0.01 
  41.27 
  1.33 
Vanadium-bearing layered aluminosilicate minerals
Sericite
  8.59 
  0.57 
  14.63 
20.8% of vanadium content
Illite
  5.58 
  0.28 
  5.03 
 
Chlorite
  0.81 
  0.44 
  1.14 
 
Nacrite-palygorskite
  0.7 
  - 
  - 
Vanadium-bearing layered iron oxide, sulfate 34% of vanadium content
Limonite
  1.76 
  5.48 
  31.07 
 
Strengite
  0.64 
  0.49 
  1.01 
 
Jarosite
  0.48 
  1.24 
  1.92 
Gangue
Quartz
  75.88 
  - 
  - 
 
Apatite
  2.83 
  - 
  - 
 
Potassium feldspar
  0.73 
  - 
  - 
 
Dolomite
  0.66 
  - 
  - 
 
Carbonaceous
  0.45 
  - 
  - 
 
Rutile
  0.25 
  - 
  - 
 
Barite
  0.04 
  - 
  - 
 
Pyrite
  0.2 
  - 
  - 
Total
 
  100 
    
  100 
 
Low Carbonate Content Results in Exceptional Low Acid Consumption
 
NWME detailed mineralogical analysis which included microscope identification using a Carl Zeiss Axioskop, XRD analysis on Bruker D8-A25 XRD, multi-element analysis, electron probe X-ray microanalysis on JEOL JXA 8230, scanning electron microscopy/energy dispersive X-ray spectroscopy analysis on Mineral Liberation Analyzer 650 and V element phase analysis, confirmed the extremely low carbonaceous content of Gibellini’s oxide and transition samples. This explains the low acid consumption (less than 50 kg per tonne) compared to other average black shale deposits of 200 kg to 300 kg per tonne based on extensive NWME data compilation. Given acid cost accounts for approximately 50% of the Project’s operating expenses, Gibellini’s low carbon content is a key competitive differentiator which places it in the top tier of black shale deposits in terms of processing cost based on NWME’s findings.
 
The following table is a generalized comparison of Gibellini’s deposit to a composite of typical black shale vanadium deposits:
 
 
19
 
 
Table 16
 
 
Gibellini Vanadium Deposit
Black Shale Series Vanadium Deposits
Host Rock
Silica State
Carbon Siliceous Rocks with Mudstone
The Mineral Composition
High Silica, Low Aluminium and Low Carbonaceous. SiO2-78.40%; Al2O3 - 4.13%; T(C) - 0.47%
High Silica, High Aluminum and High Carbonaceous. SiO2-62-93%; Al2O3 > 7%; T(C) > 10%
 
The next step for NWME will be to investigate the application of NWME’s proprietary technology to Gibellini mineral to produce a high purity vanadium pentoxide product with 99.5% V2O5 content. During the Prophecy’s team visit to NWME’s processing facilities in China in June 2018, NWME commented that its own black-shale vanadium mine produces exclusively 99.5% V2O5 which commands a 15 to 25% pricing premium (compared to benchmark 98% purity) to supply to the vanadium battery, chemical, and aerospace industries. Prophecy delivered the representative samples from the Project with a total weight of approximately 1 tonne to NWME in China and the test has begun. Prophecy expects to receive the results from the second phase of metallurgical testing by NWME in the second half of 2019.
 
On March 26, 2019, the Company announced vanadium assay results from its Fall 2018 exploration reconnaissance program on the Gibellini Project. The 155 assays are taken from three prospective exploration areas all within 5km to existing Gibellini vanadium NI43-101 compliant resource pit outline. Surface grab samples assay as high as 2% vanadium pentoxide (V2O5) and 75 samples (48% of total 155) have V2O5 grades greater than the Gibellini deposit’s cut-off grade of 0.101% V2O5 at $12.5/lb V2O5; V2O5 currently trades at approximately $16/lb.
 
The high vanadium assay results along the 5-kilometer northeast-southwest trend which line-up the Northeast Prospect, through Gibellini Hill, Louie Hill, Middle Earth Prospect, and Big Sky Prospect providing an indication of potential and possibly significant future expansion of vanadium mineralization along this corridor.
 
Detailed maps are available at www.prophecydev.com
 
Big Sky Prospect (300m by 50m)
 
The Big Sky prospect occurs 3.1 km southwest of the Gibellini Hill measured and indicated resource and 1.8 km southwest of Louie Hill inferred resource. A total of 62 samples were taken, of which 40% (n=25) returned assays greater than Gibellini cut-off grade. Sixteen (16) samples returned assays >0.200 V2O5. The distribution of samples occurs along a 300 meter exposure of the Woodruff Formation. Assays showing >0.200 V2O5 are shown in Table 17.
 
 
20
 
 
Table 17. V2O5% grab sample assay results at Big Sky prospect for samples with >0.200%
 
SAMPLE ID
Prospect
V2O5 %
301910
Big Sky
0.261
301913
Big Sky
0.223
301915
Big Sky
0.346
301916
Big Sky
0.400
301918
Big Sky
0.712
301920
Big Sky
0.264
301926
Big Sky
0.580
301927
Big Sky
2.008
301928
Big Sky
0.848
301944
Big Sky
0.264
301946
Big Sky
0.280
301947
Big Sky
0.218
301950
Big Sky
0.261
302050
Big Sky
0.214
302054
Big Sky
0.787
302055
Big Sky
1.982
 
Middle Earth Prospect (200m by 70m)
 
The Middle Earth prospect occurs 1.7 km southeast of the Gibellini Hill deposit and 300 meters south of the Louie Hill deposit. A total of 50 samples were collected of which 68% (n=34) returned assays >0.101% V2O5 or the Gibellini cut-off grade. Twenty-seven (27) samples returned assays >0.200 V2O5. The samples are distributed over 3 road cuts of exposed Woodruff Formation making up a 200 meter by 70-meter areal footprint. Assays showing >0.200 V2O5 are shown in Table 18.
 
 
21
 
 
Table 18. V2O5% grab sample assay results at Middle Earth prospect for samples with >0.200%
 
SAMPLE ID
Prospect
V2O5 %
301951
Middle Earth
0.350
301952
Middle Earth
0.482
301968
Middle Earth
0.628
301969
Middle Earth
0.605
301970
Middle Earth
0.634
301972
Middle Earth
0.252
301973
Middle Earth
0.687
301974
Middle Earth
0.470
301975
Middle Earth
0.612
301976
Middle Earth
0.637
301978
Middle Earth
0.559
301979
Middle Earth
0.557
301980
Middle Earth
0.259
301981
Middle Earth
0.405
301983
Middle Earth
0.255
301984
Middle Earth
0.303
301985
Middle Earth
0.434
301987
Middle Earth
0.291
301988
Middle Earth
1.294
301989
Middle Earth
0.261
301991
Middle Earth
0.314
301992
Middle Earth
0.457
301993
Middle Earth
0.380
301995
Middle Earth
0.302
301998
Middle Earth
0.539
301999
Middle Earth
0.618
302000
Middle Earth
0.532
 
Northeast Trench Prospect (500m by 300m)
 
The Northeast Trench prospect occurs 1.2 km northeast of the Gibellini Hill deposit and 2.5 km northeast of the Louie Hill deposit. A total of 43 samples were collected of which 37% (n=16) returned assays >0.101% V2O5 or the Gibellini cut-off grade. Three (3) samples returned assays >0.200 V2O5. The samples are distributed through road cuts (“trenches”) and dry gulches of exposed Woodruff Formation making up a 500 meter by 350-meter areal footprint. The exposure at the Northeast Trench is greatly obscured by colluvium material however the extent where it is exposed might indicate a large volume of Woodruff Formation yet to be explored. Assays showing >0.200 V2O5 are shown in Table 19.
 
 
22
 
 
Table 19. V2O5% grab sample assay results at Northeast Trench prospect for samples with >0.200%
 
SAMPLE ID
Prospect
V2O5 %
302004
NE Trench
0.239
302005
NE Trench
0.380
302016
NE Trench
0.303
 
Water supply
 
On August 20, 2018, the Company secured water supply for the Gibellini Project construction and operation. The Company signed a 10-year Agreement with the owner of a private ranch, located approximately 14.5 km from the Gibellini Project. The Agreement can be extended for any number of additional 7-year terms, not to exceed (with the primary term) a total of 99 years.
 
Per the terms of the Agreement, the lessor granted to Prophecy the rights to 805 acre-feet (approximately 262.4 million gallons) of water per year for the Gibellini Project, at a minimum flow rate of 500 gallons per minute (“gpm”) from its year-round springs surface water stream. The water flow rate was measured at the ranch springs in 1965, in 1981, from December 2011 to September 2013, and most recently, in 2017. The water flow rate ranges from 1,000 to 3,900 gpm with an average flow rate of 2,690 gpm, which exceeds the project’s maximum water operational requirement of 420 gpm based on the process engineering design prepared by Scotia International of Nevada, Inc. as a part of engineering, procurement, construction and management work done in 2014.
 
The Gibellini Project completed water-related baseline studies including the drilling of water-test wells, water source data collection, characterization, flow rate testing and modeling. Due to the fact that the Agreement provides a source of water from surface springs located on a private ranch and baseline studies related to it have been completed, Prophecy expects to significantly expedite the permitting process by eliminating the need to appropriate water rights from the Nevada Division of Water Resources (“DWR”).
 
Offtake and project financing
 
Prophecy has received unsolicited expressions of interest from various potential investment sources and is currently engaged in discussions with potential cornerstone investors, vanadium product off-takers and banks on potential equity, debt and prepaid off-take financing possibilities. We expect to report material progress in due course.
 
2019 Outlook
 
Prophecy intends to advance the Gibellini Project through the permitting process in cooperation with the BLM and to that end, Prophecy submitted its MPO and associated baseline studies to the BLM. Prophecy is currently working with the BLM to update all previous, and add all necessary, baseline studies. Upon acceptance of the baseline studies, MPO, and environmental report by the BLM, Prophecy expects to trigger a NOI in 2019 by the BLM, to prepare an EIS for the Gibellini project.
 
Prophecy continues with its EPCM work and expects Phase 1 of the EPCM, updating basic engineering design, to be completed by 2020; Phase 2, equipment procurement and detailed engineering design, to be completed in 2021; Phase 3, facilities construction, to start in 2021 and be completed in 2022 with the Gibellini Project wet commissioning expected to be in 2022.
 
The Company intends to spend the available funds as set forth above based on annual budgets approved by the Board of Directors consistent with established internal control guidelines, and programs recommended in the Gibellini PEA. However, there may be circumstances where, for sound business reasons, a reallocation of the net proceeds may be necessary. The actual amount that the Company spends in connection with each of the intended uses of proceeds may vary significantly from the amounts specified above and will depend on a number of factors, including those referred to under “Risk Factors”.
 
 
23
 
 
Other Properties
 
Pulacayo Paca Property, Bolivia
 
For details on the Pulacayo Project, please refer to the relevant section of the Annual MD&A and Annual Report on Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2018.
 
During the first quarter of 2019, the Company continued communication and negotiations with the Government of Bolivia on the agreement to develop Pulacayo and Paca projects.
 
2019 Outlook
 
Ulaan Ovoo Coal, Property
 
For information about the Ulaan Ovoo property, please refer to the relevant section of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2018.
 
During the first quarter of 2019 the Company announced Mongolian Ulaan Ovoo Mine start up in March and approximately 21,000 tonnes of coal production and sales.
 
5.
SUMMARY OF QUARTERLY RESULTS
 
The following table summarizes selected consolidated financial information for the eight most recently completed quarters:
 
 
 
2019
 
 
2018
 
 
2018
 
 
2018
 
 
 
  Q1 
 
 
  Q4 
 
 
  Q3 
 
 
  Q2 
 
 
    
    
    
    
Operating expense
 $(794,098)
 $(1,318,475)
 $(636,172)
 $(780,818)
Net loss
  (908,859)
  (16,044,665)
  (634,337)
  (916,247)
Net loss per share, basic and diluted
 $(0.01)
 $0.20 
 $(0.01)
 $(0.01)
Comprehensive loss
  (908,859)
  (15,975,825)
  (610,797)
  (966,787)
Comprehensive loss per share, basic and diluted
 $(0.01)
 $0.20 
 $(0.01)
 $(0.01)
 
 
 
  2018 
 
 
  2017 
 
 
  2017 
 
 
  2017 
 
 
 
  Q1 
 
 
  Q4 
 
 
  Q3 
 
 
  Q2 
 
 
    
    
    
    
Operating expense
 $(562,918)
 $(1,277,507)
 $(484,907)
 $(336,028)
Net loss
  (589,219)
  (17,869,936)
  (176,793)
  (516,243)
Net loss per share, basic and diluted
 $(0.01)
 $(0.32)
 $(0.00)
 $(0.01)
Comprehensive loss
  (643,219)
  (17,857,776)
  (176,793)
  (516,243)
Comprehensive loss per share, basic and diluted
 $(0.01)
 $(0.32)
 $(0.00)
 $(0.01)
 
 
24
 
 
6.
DISCUSSION OF OPERATIONS
 
The reader is encouraged to refer to Note 6 of the Company’s Annual Financial Statements for the year ended December 31, 2018 for Prophecy’s IFRS accounting policies. For discussion on each project, the reader is encouraged to refer to the “Business Overview” section of this MD&A.
 
Three Months Ended March 31, 2019 and 2018 (Q1 2019 and Q1 2018)
 
Results of operations are summarized as follows:
 
Operating Expenses
 
Three Months Ended March 31,
 
 
 
2019
 
 
2018
 
Advertising and promotion
 $134,048 
 $45,378 
Consulting and management fees
  58,552 
  68,278 
General and administrative expenses
  413,281 
  223,580 
Professional fees
  58,330 
  56,495 
Share-based payments
  51,085 
  134,928 
Travel and accommodation
  78,802 
  34,259 
 
 $794,098 
 $562,918 
 
The Company had an operating loss of $794,098 for Q1 2019, compared with an operating loss of $562,918 for Q1 2018.
 
The increase by $231,180 in operating expenses was a result of the overall increased activity levels of the Company. Of note are the following items:
 
advertising and promotion expenses increased by $88,670 due to increased activities to promote and market the Company in order to raise equity financing. The Company incurred higher marketing costs because the Company is working with the financial community to make its project known. Investor relations remains a priority due to the ongoing need to attract investment capital;
 
general and administrative fees consisting of general office expenses and administrative services related to maintaining the Company’s exchange listings and complying with securities regulations along with insurance, salaries and directors’ fees. General and administrative expenses increased by $189,701 in Q1 2019 compared to Q1 2018. The increase was mainly due to higher salary related expenses due to a hire of new President and CEO;
non-cash Share-based payments expenses decreased by $83,843 due to a lesser number of outstanding stock options vesting during the Q1 2019 compared to the Q1 2018; and
 
travel and accommodation expenses increased by $44,543 due to increased property site visits and travel to promote the Company.
 
For Q1 2019, the Company’s “Other Items” amounted to a loss of $114,761 compared to a gain of $26,301 for Q1 2018. The increase by $88,460 was mainly due to mineral properties impairment charges.
 
Other Items
 
Three Months Ended March 31,
 
 
 
2019
 
 
2018
 
Costs in excess of recovered coal
 $21,002 
 $38,671 
Foreign exchange gain
  (19,549)
  (12,370)
Impairment of mineral property
  113,308 
  - 
 
 $114,761 
 $26,301 
 
 
25
 
 
7.
PROPOSED TRANSACTIONS
 
As at the date of this MD&A there are no proposed transactions where the Board of Directors or senior management believes that confirmation of the decision by the Board is probable or with which the Board and senior management have decided to proceed.
 
8.
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
 
Working Capital
 
The Company utilizes existing cash received from prior issuances of equity instruments to provide liquidity to the Company and finance exploration projects.
 
At March 31, 2019, the Company had cash flow of $3,652,189 representing a decrease of $1,651,908 from $5,304,097 held at December 31, 2018. The Company’s working capital at March 31, 2019 was $1.76 million compared to a working capital of $3.83 million at December 31, 2018. The Company’s working capital decreased by $2.07 million since the year ended December 31, 2018 resulting mainly from expenditures incurred related to increased exploration activities of the Company to develop the Gibellini Project. The Company’s cash flow highlights are presented in the table below.
 
The Company believes it has sufficient capital to meet its cash needs for the next 12 months, including the costs of compliance with continuing reporting requirements.  
 
Cash Flow Highlights
 
 
 
Three Months Ended March 31,
 
 
 
2019
 
 
2018
 
Cash Used in Operating Activities
 $(923,503)
 $(418,819)
Cash Used in Investing Activities
  (719,476)
  (939,067)
Cash Used in Financing Activities
  (8,929)
  - 
Net Decrease in Cash
  (1,651,908)
  (1,357,886)
Cash - beginning of period
  5,304,097 
  4,100,608 
Cash - end of period
 $3,652,189 
 $2,742,722 
 
Operating activities: During Q1 2019, cash used in operating activities was $923,503 compared to $418,819 cash used during Q1 2018. The increased outflows in 2019 related to increased activities of the Company to develop the Gibellini Project. The year over year increase in cash used by operating activities is due to increased funds required for working capital changes.
 
Investing activities: During Q1 2019, the Company used $719,476 in investing activities (Q1 2018 - $939,067). During Q1 2019, the Company spent $719,476 on the Gibellini Project exploration activities. During Q1 2018, the Company spent $60,940 on purchasing marketable securities and 878,127 on mineral property acquisition and exploration activities.
 
Financing activities: During Q1 2019, the Company paid $8,929 for corporate office lease. As the Company adopted new accounting policy IFRS 16 on January 1, 2019 and in accordance with IFRS 16, cash payments for the lease liability are presented as cash flow from financing activities (see Note 11). No cash was used in financing activities during the Q1 2018.
 
 
26
 
 
Capital Resources
 
As an exploration and development company, Prophecy has no regular cash in-flow from operations, and the level of operations is principally a function of availability of capital resources. The Company’s capital resources are largely determined by the strength of the junior resource markets and by the status of the Company’s projects in relation to these markets, and its ability to compete for investor support of its projects. See Section “Risk Factors” set out in the Company’s AR. To date, the principal sources of funding have been equity and debt financing. Many factors influence the Company’s ability to raise funds, and there is no assurance that the Company will be successful in obtaining adequate financing and at favourable terms for these or other purposes including general working capital purposes.
 
For the foreseeable future, as existing properties are explored, evaluated and developed, the Company will continue to seek capital through the issuance of equity, strategic alliances or joint ventures, and debt, of which the Company currently has none.
 
The Company expects to continue requiring cash for operations and exploration and evaluation activities as expenditures are incurred while no revenues are generated. Therefore, its continuance as a going concern is dependent upon its ability to obtain adequate financing to fund future exploration, evaluation and development of the Gibellini Project and the potential construction of a mine, in order to reach profitable levels of operation. The Company has managed its working capital by controlling its spending on its properties and operations. Due to the ongoing planned advancement of project milestones for the Gibellini Project, the Company will continue to incur costs associated with exploration, evaluation and development activities, while no revenues are being generated.
 
The consolidated financial statements have been prepared on a going concern basis which assumes that the Company will be able to realize its assets and discharge its liabilities in the normal course of business for the foreseeable future. The Company’s ability to continue as a going concern is dependent upon the continued support from its shareholders, the discovery of economically recoverable reserves, and the ability of the Company to obtain the financing necessary to complete development and achieve profitable operations in the future. The outcome of these matters cannot be predicted at this time.
 
Contractual Commitments
 
Prophecy’s commitments related to mineral properties are disclosed in Note 13 to the Annual Financial Statements. The Company has no commitments for capital expenditures. Prophecy’s other commitments include a corporate office lease:
 
 
 
2019
 
 
2020
 
 
2021
 
 
2022
 
 
Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Office Lease Obligations
 $33,612 
 $45,489 
 $24,574 
 $9,540 
 $113,215 
 
 $33,612 
 $45,489 
 $24,574 
 $9,540 
 $113,215 
 
Capital Risk Management
 
Prophecy considers its capital structure to consist of Share capital, stock options and Share purchase warrants. The Company manages its capital structure and makes adjustments to it, based on the funds available to the Company, in order to support the exploration and development of its projects and to pursue and support growth opportunities. The Board of Directors does not establish quantitative returns on capital criteria for management. The Company is not subject to externally imposed capital requirements. There has been no change in the Company’s approach to capital management during the three-month period ended March 31, 2019.
 
Management is aware that market conditions, driven primarily by vanadium, silver, other metal and coal prices, may limit the Company’s ability to raise additional funds. These factors, and others, are considered when shaping the Company’s capital management strategy.
 
 
27
 
 
9.
CONTINGENCIES
 
The Company accrues for liabilities when they are probable and the amount payable can be reasonably estimated.
There is no change to the Company contingencies status described in the Annual Financial Statements at the date of this MD&A.
 
10.
RELATED PARTY DISCLOSURES
 
Prophecy had related party transactions with the following companies, related by way of directors and key management personnel:
 
Linx Partners Ltd., a private company controlled by John Lee, Director, CEO and Executive Chairman of Prophecy, provides management and consulting services to the Company.
MaKevCo Consulting Inc., a private company 50% owned by Greg Hall, Director of Prophecy, provides consulting services to the Company.
Sophir Asia Ltd., a private company controlled by Masa Igata, Director of Prophecy, provides consulting services to the Company.
 
A summary of amounts paid or accrued to related parties is as follows:
 
 
Three Months Ended March 31,
 
Related parties
 
2019
 
 
2018
 
Directors and officers
 $467,463 
 $117,163 
Linx Partners Ltd.
  84,000 
  105,012 
MaKevCo Consulting Inc.
  5,700 
  4,700 
Sophir Asia Ltd.
  5,400 
  4,400 
 
 $562,563 
 $231,275 
 
A summary of the transactions by nature among the related parties is as follows:
 
 
 
Three Months Ended March 31,
 
Related parties
 
2019
 
 
2018
 
Consulting and management fees
 $106,950 
 $55,512 
Directors' fees
  22,500 
  13,500 
Mineral properties
  175,910 
  93,763 
Salaries
  257,203 
  68,500 
 
 $562,563 
 $231,275 
 
As at March 31, 2019, amounts due to related parties totaled $Nil (December 31, 2018 – $4,634).

Key management personnel are those persons having authority and responsibility for planning, directing and controlling the activities of the Company, including directors of the Company. The amounts due to related parties is summarized below:
 
 
 
Three Months Ended March 31,
 
Key Management Personnel
 
2019
 
 
2017
 
Salaries and short term benefits
 $289,919 
 $70,912 
Share-based payments
  121,096 
  132,544 
 
 $411,015 
 $203,456 
 
 
28
 
 
11.
CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES AND ESTIMATES
 
The Company’s consolidated financial statements are prepared in accordance with IFRS as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board. The Company followed the same accounting policies and methods of computation in the Annual Financial Statements for the three months ended March 31, 2019. The significant accounting policies applied and recent accounting pronouncements are described in Notes 4 and 6 to the Annual Financial Statements and Note 2(d) to the condensed interim financial statements for the three months ended March 31, 2019.
 
In preparing the condensed consolidated interim financial statements in accordance with IFRS, management is required to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements, and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting period. Areas requiring the use of estimates include the rates of amortization for property and equipment, the useful life and recoverability of long-lived assets, the recoverability of accounts receivable, determination of environmental obligation provision for closure and reclamation, accounts payable and accrued liabilities, the assumptions used in the determination of the fair value of financial instruments and share-based payments, and the determination of the recoverability of deferred income tax assets bases its estimates and assumptions on current and various other factors that it believes to be reasonable under the circumstances. Management believes the estimates are reasonable; however, actual results could differ from those estimates and could impact future results of operations and cash flows.
 
Readers are encouraged to read the significant judgements, estimates and assumptions as described in Note 5 to the Annual Financial Statements.
 
Changes in and Initial Adoption of Accounting Standards
 
In the current period, the Company, for the first time, has applied IFRS 16 Leases (as issued by the IASB in January 2016) effective January 1, 2019, using the modified retrospective approach. The modified retrospective approach does not require restatement of prior period financial information and continues to be reported under IAS 17, Leases and IFRIC 4, Determining Whether an Arrangement Contains a Lease. IFRS 16 introduces new or amended requirements with respect to lease accounting. It introduces changes to the lessee accounting by removing the distinction between operating and finance leases and requiring the recognition of a right-of-use asset and a lease liability at the lease commencement for all leases, except for short-term leases and leases of low value assets. In contrast to lessee accounting, the requirements for lessor accounting have remained largely unchanged.
 
The Company’s leases consist of corporate office lease arrangements. The Company, on adoption of IFRS 16, recognized lease liabilities in relation to office leases which had previously been classified as operating leases under the principles of IAS 17. In relation, under the principles of the new standard these leases are measured as lease liabilities at the present value of the remaining lease payments, discounted using the Company’s incremental borrowing rate as at January 1, 2019. The associated right-of-use asse has been measured at the amount equal to the lease liability on January 1, 2019. The right-of-use asset is subsequently depreciated from the commencement date to the earlier of the end of the lease term, or the end of the useful life of the asset (refer to Note 5 and Note 9).
Furthermore, the right-of-use asset may be reduced due to impairment losses.
 
The following table reconciles the Company’s operating lease commitments at December 31, 2018, as previously disclosed in the Company’s Annual Financial Statements, to the lease liability recognized on adoption of IFRS 16 at January 1, 2019:
 
 
 
Adoption of IFRS 16
 
Lease commitments as at December 31, 2018
 $124,556 
Less short-term commitments
  (32,313)
 
  92,243 
Impact of discounting
  (37,246)
Lease liability as of January 1, 2019
  54,997 
 
For more details please refer to Notes 2(c), 5, and 9 to the Company’s unaudited condensed interim consolidated financial statements for the three months ended March 31, 2019.
 
 
29
 
 
12.
FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS AND RELATED RISKS
 
The Board of Directors, through the Audit Committee is responsible for identifying the principal risks of the Company and ensuring that risk management systems are implemented. Prophecy manages its exposure to financial risks, including liquidity risk, foreign exchange rate risk, interest rate risk, and credit risk in accordance with its risk management framework. The Company’s board of directors reviews Prophecy’s policies on an ongoing basis.
 
Financial Instruments
 
A description of financial instruments is included in Note 20 to the Annual Financial Statements and Note 11 to the Company’s condensed interim consolidated financial statements for the thee months ended March 31, 2019. Effective January 1, 2018, the Company has adopted IFRS 9 – Financial instruments. The implementation of the new standard resulted in no impact on the measurement of the Company’s reported financial results; however additional disclosures have been provided.
 
Related Risks
 
(a)
Liquidity risk
 
Liquidity risk is the risk that an entity will be unable to meet its financial obligations as they fall due. The Company manages liquidity risk by preparing cash flow forecasts of upcoming cash requirements. As at March 31, 2019, the Company had a cash balance of $3,652,189 (December 31, 2018 – $5,304,097). As at March 31, 2019, the Company had accounts payable and accrued liabilities of $1,990,834 (December 31, 2018 - $1,636,786), which have contractual maturities of 90 days or less.
 
(b)
Credit risk
 
Credit risk is the risk that one party to a financial instrument will fail to discharge an obligation and cause the other party to incur a financial loss. The Company is exposed to credit risk primarily associated to cash and restricted cash equivalents and receivables, net of allowances. The significant concentration of credit risk is situated in Mongolia. The carrying amount of assets included on the statements of financial position represents the maximum credit exposure.
 
(c)
Market risk
 
The significant market risks to which the Company is exposed are interest rate risk, foreign currency risk, and commodity and equity price risk. The objective of market risk management is to manage and control market risk exposures within acceptable limits, while maximizing returns.
 
(i)
  Interest rate risk
 
Interest rate risk is the risk that the fair value or future cash flows of a financial instrument will fluctuate due to changes in market interest rates. The Company’s cash and restricted cash equivalents primarily include highly liquid investments that earn interest at market rates that are fixed to maturity. Due to the short term nature of these financial instruments, fluctuations in market rates do not have significant impact on the fair values of the financial instruments as of March 31, 2019.
 
(ii)
Foreign currency risk
 
The Company is exposed to foreign currency risk to the extent that monetary assets and liabilities held by the Company are not denominated in Canadian dollars. The Company has exploration and development projects in the United States, Mongolia and Bolivia and undertakes transactions in various foreign currencies. The Company is therefore exposed to foreign currency risk arising from transactions denominated in a foreign currency and the translation of financial instruments denominated in US dollars, Mongolian tugrik, and Bolivian boliviano into its functional and reporting currency, the Canadian dollar.
 
Based on the above, net exposures as at March 31, 2019, with other variables unchanged, a 10% (December 31, 2018 – 10%) strengthening (weakening) of the Canadian dollar against the Mongolian tugrik would impact net loss with other variables unchanged by $100,000. A 10% strengthening (weakening) of the Canadian dollar against the Bolivian boliviano would impact net loss with other variables unchanged by $740,000. A 10% strengthening (weakening) of the US dollar against the Canadian dollar would impact net loss with other variables unchanged by $44,000. The Company currently does not use any foreign exchange contracts to hedge this currency risk.
 
(iii)
 Commodity and equity price risk
 
Commodity price risk is defined as the potential adverse impact on earnings and economic value due to commodity price movements and volatilities. Commodity prices fluctuate on a daily basis and are affected by numerous factors beyond the Company’s control. The supply and demand for these commodities, the level of interest rates, the rate of inflation, investment decisions by large holders of commodities including governmental reserves and stability of exchange rates can all cause significant fluctuations in prices. Such external economic factors are in turn influenced by changes in international investment patterns and monetary systems and political developments.
 
The Company is also exposed to price risk with regards to equity prices. Equity price risk is defined as the potential adverse impact on the Company’s earning due to movements in individual equity prices or general movements in the level of the stock market.
 
The Company closely monitors commodity prices, individual equity movements and the stock market to determine the appropriate course of action to be taken by the Company. Fluctuations in value may be significant.
 
 
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14.
RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES
 
Prophecy’s business is the exploration, evaluation and development of mining properties. Thus, the Company’s operations are speculative due to the high-risk nature of its business. The following list details existing and future material risks to the Company. The risks described below are not listed in any particular order and are not meant to be exhaustive. Additional risks and uncertainties not currently known to the Company, or those that it currently deems to be immaterial, may become material and adversely affect the Company. The realization of any of these risks may materially and adversely impact the Company’s business, financial condition or results of operations and/or the market price of the Company’s securities. Each of these risk factors is discussed in more detail under “Risk Factors” in the Company’s AR for the year ended December 31, 2018, which is available under the Company’s SEDAR profile at www.sedar.com.
 
History of net losses;
Capital costs, operating costs, production and economic returns;
Exploration and development risks;
No history of profitable mineral production;
Mineral reserves / mineral resources;
Environmental risks;
Foreign operations;
Reform of the General Mining Law in the U.S;
Government approvals and permits;
Property interests;
Mineral claims, mining leases, licenses and permitting;
Title risks;
First Nation;
Competition;
Inherent risks;
Reliance on key personnel;
Volatility of mineral prices,
Currency fluctuations;
Global and local financial conditions;
Third-party contractors;
Andy-bribery legislations;
Uninsured risks;
No dividend payments;
Related party transactions;
Litigation and regulatory proceedings;
Cyber security;
Foreign private issuer;
Non-Canadian investors;
Emerging growing company;
Additional risks.
 
 
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15.
DISCLOSURE CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES
 
Design of Internal Controls over Financial Reporting
 
Disclosure controls and procedures are designed to provide reasonable assurance that information required to be disclosed by Prophecy in its annual filings, interim filings or other reports filed or submitted by it under securities legislation is recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the time periods specified in the securities legislation and include controls and procedures designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed by the Company in its annual filings, interim filings or other reports filed or submitted under securities legislation is accumulated and communicated to the Company’s management, including its Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, as appropriate to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosure.
 
Prophecy’s disclosure committee is comprised of the Chief Executive Officer and senior members of management. The disclosure committee’s responsibilities include determining whether information is material and ensuring the timely disclosure of material information in accordance with securities laws. The board of directors is responsible for reviewing the Company’s disclosure policy, procedures and controls to ensure that it addresses the Company’s principal business risks, and changes in operations or structure, and facilitates compliance with applicable legislative and regulatory reporting requirements.
 
The Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, after participating with the Company’s management in evaluating the effectiveness of the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures have concluded that the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures were effective during the quarter ended March 31, 2019.
 
Design of Internal Controls over Financial Reporting
 
The Company’s management, with the participation of the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, is responsible for establishing and maintaining adequate internal control over financial reporting. The Company’s internal control over financial reporting is a process designed to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with IFRS. The Company’s internal control over financial reporting includes those policies and procedures that:
 
pertain to the maintenance of records that, in reasonable detail accurately and fairly reflect the transactions, acquisition and disposition of assets and liabilities;
 
provide reasonable assurance that transactions are recorded as necessary to permit preparation of the financial statements in accordance with IFRS and that receipts and expenditures are being made only in accordance with the authorization of management and directors of Prophecy; and
 
provide reasonable assurance regarding prevention or timely detection of unauthorized acquisition, use or disposition of assets, and incurrence of liabilities, that could have a material effect on the financial statements.
 
The Company’s management, with the participation of the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, assessed the effectiveness of the Company’s internal control over financial reporting using the criteria set forth in the Internal Control – Integrated Framework (2013) issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission. Based on this assessment, management concluded that the Company’s internal control over financial reporting was effective during the three months ended March 31, 2019.
 
 
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16.
CHANGES IN INTERNAL CONTROL OVER FINANCIAL REPORTING
 
There were no changes to the Company’s internal control over financial reporting during the three months ended March 31, 2019, that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, the Company’s internal control over financial reporting.
 
Limitations of controls and procedures
 
The Company’s management, including the Chief Executive Officer and the Chief Financial Officer, believe that any disclosure controls and procedures or internal controls over financial reporting, no matter how well conceived and operated, can provide only reasonable, not absolute, assurance that the objectives of the control system are met. Further, the design of a control system must reflect the fact that there are resource constraints, and the benefits of controls must be considered relative to their costs. Because of the inherent limitations in all control systems, they cannot provide absolute assurance that all control issues and instances of fraud, if any, within the Company have been prevented or detected. These inherent limitations include the realities that judgements in decision-making can be faulty, and that breakdowns can occur because of simple error or mistake. Additionally, controls can be circumvented by the individual acts of some persons, by collusion of two or more people, or by unauthorized override of the control. The design of any systems of controls also is based in part upon certain assumptions about the likelihood of future events, and there can be no assurance that any design will succeed in achieving its stated goals under all potential future conditions. Accordingly, because of the inherent limitations in a cost-effective control system, misstatements due to error or fraud may occur and not be detected.
 
17.
DISCLOSURE OF OUTSTANDING SHARE DATA
 
As at the date of this MD&A, the Company had a total of:
 
95,816,217 Shares outstanding with recorded value of $173,934,547;
 
9,031,000 stock options outstanding with a weighted average exercise price of $0.33. The options are exercisable to purchase one Share at prices ranging from $0.20 to $0.65 and expire between April 2020 and April 2024; and
 
27,318,027 Share purchase warrants outstanding with a weighted average exercise price the equivalent of $0.44. The Share purchase warrants are exercisable to purchase one Share at prices ranging from the equivalent of $0.30 to $0.70 and expire between May 2020 and June 2022.
 
18.
OFF-BALANCE SHEET ARRANGEMENTS
 
During the three months ended March 31, 2019, Prophecy was not a party to any off-balance sheet arrangements that have, or are reasonably likely to have, a current or future effect on the results of operations, financial condition, revenues or expenses, liquidity, capital expenditures or capital resources of Prophecy.
 
 
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