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RISK MANAGEMENT
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2021
Disclosure of risk management [abstract]  
RISK MANAGEMENT

NOTE 4 – RISK MANAGEMENT

Grupo Aval and its subsidiaries in the financial sector, Banco de Bogotá, Banco de Occidente, Banco AV Villas, Banco Popular, BAC Holding, MFH, Corficolombiana and Porvenir manage risk pursuant to the applicable regulations in each country where they operate and according to Grupo Aval’s internal policies.

The risk framework requires that strong risk management practices are integrated in key processes across Grupo Aval, with a goal of ensuring risks are appropriately considered, evaluated and responded to in a timely manner. Grupo Aval employs a risk management process, that aims to identify, measure, monitor and control, as part of the daily activities, all the risks that Grupo Aval manages.

Lines of Defense: in addition to the role of Executive Officers in managing risk, management has ownership and accountability across the three lines of defense: (1) First Line: Business Units, (2) Second Line: mainly concentrated in the Independent Risk Management units and (3) Third line: Corporate Audit.

Business Units: Include the business lines as well as the Technology and Operations areas which are responsible for appropriately assessing and effectively managing all the risks associated with their processes.
Independent Risk Management Units: Risk management areas include risk management and compliance departments. Grupo Aval has other control functions that are not part of these areas but are key in the risk mitigation of non-financial risks, including legal, human resources and certain activities within the financial and administrative processes.
Corporate Audit: Corporate audit maintains its independence from the first and second lines by reporting directly to the Audit Committee or the Board. Corporate Audit provides independent assessment and validation through testing of key processes and controls across Grupo Aval.

The following sections outline the key risks that are inherent in business activities of the subsidiaries in the financial sector:

Financial risks

i)Credit risk: the risk of financial loss if a debtor fails to meet its contractual obligations.
ii)Market risk: the risk of loss arising from potential adverse changes in the value of the subsidiaries in the financial sector assets and liabilities or future results, resulting from changes in market variables such as interest rates, foreign exchange rates, equity prices, commodity prices, implied volatilities or credit spreads; this includes the structural interest rate and foreign exchange risks.
iii)Liquidity risk: the risk of being unable to meet contractual and contingent obligations or that the subsidiaries in the financial sector do not have the appropriate amount, composition and tenor of funding and liquidity to support the financial assets and liabilities requirements (funding liquidity risk). Also includes the capability to manage its investment portfolio in terms of liquidity, duration and currency (market liquidity risk).
iv)Interest rate risk: it is the current or potential risk to equity and profits that arise from adverse movements in interest rates, which affect the positions of the banking book.

Additionally, the risk areas are responsible of supporting capital management by determining risk levels of the calculation of capital adequacy requirements, impact assessment of the risk materialization on compliance with capital levels and determine the levels of risk appetite.

Objective and general guidelines of financial risk management

Grupo Aval’s and its subsidiaries of the financial sector objective is to maximize returns for its investors, through proper risk management. The guiding principles of risk management at Grupo Aval are as follows:

a)Make risk management a part of every institutional process.
b)Collective decision making for commercial lending of significant amounts.
c)Extensive and in-depth industry and market knowledge, as a result of the leadership and experienced, stable and seasoned senior management.
d)Clear risk management policies based on a top-down approach with respect to:
Compliance with know-your-customer policies.
Commercial loans credit structure based on a clear identification of sources of repayment and of cash flow generation capacity of the borrower.
e)Use of similar credit analysis tools for analysis across Grupo Aval’s subsidiaries of financial sector.
f)Diversification of the commercial loan portfolio with respect to industries and economic groups.
g)Specialization in consumer product niches.
h)Extensive use of continuously updated scoring models and credit ratings updated permanently to ensure quality growth of consumer loans with high credit quality.
i)Conservative policies in terms of:
trading portfolio composition with bias towards lower volatility instruments,
proprietary trading position, and
the variable compensation for the trading staff.
j)Control the position-level based on market risk sensitivities (such as VaR, DV01, Delta, Rho and Vega) and credit risk exposures by counterparties.
k)Concentration and diversification limits which are based on market liquidity and volatility, operational capacity, valuation and credit quality of counterparties.
l)Control and follow up the funding and liquidity risk with independent oversight. This includes setting limits related with high quality liquid assets and maturity concentration of financial liabilities among others.
m)Ensuring compliance with regulatory limits and reviewing how the current and projected strategy can affect those limits.
n)Use of our market presence in the identification and implementation of best practices for operational risk management.

Main premises for risk management

Grupo Aval´s risk culture is based on the principles indicated in the section above and they are transmitted to all subsidiaries of the financial sector and business units. The strategy related with risk management is supported by the following guidelines:

a)In all of Grupo Aval´s subsidiaries of the financial sector, the risk function is independent of the business units. The segregation of functions between the business areas and the risk areas in charge of risk measurement analysis, control and reporting, provide enough independence and autonomy for proper risk control.
b)The decision-making process at the subsidiaries of the financial sector requires that transactions of significant amounts are sent to decision centers such as risk committees. The frequency of meetings of these committees ensures a high degree of agility regarding the resolution of proposals and continuous participation of senior management for management the different risks.
c)Grupo Aval has corporate policies for the risk to which it is exposed. The business and risk units of Grupo Aval and its subsidiaries of the financial sector hold orientation meetings based on approaches to risk that are consistent with Grupo Aval´s risk culture.
d)Grupo Aval has implemented a risk system that is updated on a regular basis to address new conditions in the markets and the risks to which Grupo Aval is exposed.
e)There are adequate information systems to monitor risk exposure, to ensure compliance and approval policies and, if necessary, to implement proper corrective actions.
f)Key risks are analyzed on a regular basis, not only when risks materialize or when problems occur during the normal course of business but in a continuous process of risk management.
g)Grupo Aval and its subsidiaries of the financial sector have training courses on risk culture for all hierarchy levels in the organization.
h)A risk culture integrated throughout the organization, consisting of a series of attitudes, values, skills and guidelines to action.

Interest rate benchmark reform

According to the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) announcement which informed the future termination or loss of representativeness of the LIBOR reference rates starting on December 31, 2021 with some references until completing the total of 35 references in June 2023, the entities that use these rates worldwide are forced to transfer the current positions that were indexed to these references, towards new reference interest rates that maintain the representativeness and depth that the LIBOR rates used to have.

Grupo Aval and its subsidiaries have not been immune to this phenomenon and even though the exposure is insignificant concerning other rates, there remains in its Entities a portfolio of credits, loans, deposits, and derivative contracts indexed at LIBOR rates, for which said Entities have been required to design and execute transition plans that allow them to identify the operational, commercial, legal and technological aspects to be taken into account to maintain their commercial relations and representativeness in the markets where they operate.

Grupo Aval have stablished several guidelines in search of adoption best practices to ensure an adequate transition to new reference rates regarding to shape a governance structure, to stablish a project roadmap with defined timelines and milestones, to line up risk management function of the entity with all the impacted front-line processes, to define a specific group to coordinate the transition plan with appropriate high-level oversight and identify and manage possible financial impacts and operational gaps.

The LIBOR Working Group periodically reports to the Assets and Liabilities Committee (ALCO) about the progress of the transition plan, as well as the policies, guidelines, and procedures related to the follow-up and adoption of the ARRC1 recommendations, adherence to the ISDA protocol, customer support, and internal and external training. , measurement of the impact of the process through calculation of sensitivity, follow-up of subsidiary transition processes, analysis of internal processes, development of tests and pilots, the inclusion of the fallback clause for new operations, among others.

For IBOR indexed contracts that expire after the LIBOR rate expected cessation, the LIBOR Working Group has established policies to modify the contractual terms. These amendments include the addition of fallback clauses or the replacement of the LIBOR rate with an alternative benchmark rate. The LIBOR Working Group implemented adherence to the ISDA Amendment and Protocols with this signing, the legal (contractual) risk of the transition for derivative contracts was eliminated, defining the replacement of the LIBOR rate by SOFR plus a fixed spread.

Each entities LIBOR Working Group has established policies regarding not closing new operations, or operations extensions at the Libor rate and initiating disbursements tied to the alternative rates and as an alternative to the transition, those in the short term and that will not have operations of repricing may be worked at a fixed rate, PRIME rate and in some cases for a smaller amount at other local rates in US dollars. As well, policies have been created so that portfolio operations are disbursed at a fixed rate, and in the event of a repricing, these may be tied to the Libor rate as long as their maturity date does not exceed June 2023. Once the technological developments, disbursements tied to the new reference rate will begin.

No operations tied to LIBOR are carried out in other currencies. To date, no additional provisions have been estimated regarding the transition to new reference rates in any of the jurisdictions.

The LIBOR Working Group monitors the LIBOR's progress transition to the new benchmark rates by reviewing the total amounts of contracts that have yet to transition to an alternative benchmark rate and the amounts of such contracts that exclude a fallback clause appropriate. A contract is considered to have not yet transitioned to an alternative reference rate when the interest under the contract is indexed to a reference rate that is still subject to LIBOR reform, even if it includes a fallback clause that addresses the LIBOR's rates cessation.

On March 2021, the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), as the ICE regulator (Intercontinental Exchange London Interbank Offered Rate, or the administering authority of LIBOR), announced that after December 31, 2021, the LIBOR references for the Pound Sterling, the Euro and the references for dollars one-week and two-month Americans will no longer be provided or will no longer be representatives. US dollar references will remain unprovided or no longer proxies after June 30, 2023.

As follows, the amount of the contracts that Grupo Aval and its subsidiaries have indexed to LIBOR rates that will expire in June 2023 and the amount of the contracts that have included fallback clauses for the December 31, 2021 and 2020 cut-off are shown below:

Non-derivative financial assets and liabilities.

During 2021 and 2020, the Group had the following LIBOR exposures concerning non-derivative financial assets and loan portfolio subject to IBOR benchmarks. The following table shows the value of non-derivative financial assets and liabilities indexed at LIBOR rates in millions of dollars and millions of Colombian pesos:

December 31, 2021

December 31, 2020

Total Amount
of Contracts

Total amount of
contracts expiring
after June, 2023

Amount
with
appropriate
fallback
clause

Total Amount of Contracts

Total amount of
contracts expiring
after June, 2023

Amount
with
appropriate
fallback
clause

Assets

Debt securities FVOCI

348

347

228

157

156

42

Debt securities at amortized cost

80

79

96

80

Loans Commercial

5,397

3,553

1,107

6,110

3,172

693

Loans Consumer

752

732

306

863

794

195

Loans Mortgage

2,730

2,724

746

2,810

2,800

244

Total financial assets indexed to Libor references

US$.

9,307

US$.

7,436

US$.

2,388

US$.

10,036

US$.

7,003

US$.

1,173

Liabilities

Time deposits

60

60

Borrowing from banks and others

4,922

2,459

1,761

2,260

478

247

Borrowing from development entities

2

5

2

Total Liabilities

US$.

4,984

US$.

2,459

US$.

1,761

US$.

2,325

US$.

480

US$.

247

December 31, 2021

December 31, 2020

Total Amount
of Contracts

Total amount of
contracts expiring
after June, 2023

Amount
with
appropriate
fallback
clause

Total Amount of Contracts

Total amount of
contracts expiring
after June, 2023

Amount
with
appropriate
fallback
clause

Assets

Debt securities FVOCI

1,383,736

1,382,029

907,806

624,925

622,993

167,918

Debt securities at amortized cost

319,053

314,747

382,249

319,387

Loans Commercial

21,486,230

14,146,949

4,408,031

24,325,232

12,627,600

2,757,269

Loans Consumer

2,995,026

2,912,621

1,220,083

3,436,992

3,161,789

776,025

Loans Mortgage

10,867,996

10,845,927

2,971,691

11,186,539

11,149,027

970,668

Total financial assets indexed to Libor references

Ps.

37,052,042

Ps.

29,602,273

Ps.

9,507,611

Ps.

39,955,938

Ps.

27,880,796

Ps.

4,671,880

Liabilities

Time deposits

238,870

238,870

Borrowing from banks and others

19,593,436

9,788,732

7,008,903

8,998,015

1,901,374

983,887

Borrowing from development entities

7,962

19,906

8,601

Total Liabilities

Ps.

19,840,268

Ps.

9,788,732

Ps.

7,008,903

Ps.

9,256,791

Ps.

1,909,975

Ps.

983,887

Derivatives and hedge accounting

Grupo Aval´s subsidiaries maintain trading derivatives and risk management hedges indexed at LIBOR rates. Certain derivatives held for risk management purposes are designated in hedging relationships. Interest rate swap and cross-currency swap contracts have floating legs that are indexed to LIBOR benchmarks. The following table shows the value of derivative and hedge accounting indexed at LIBOR rates in millions of dollars and millions of Colombian pesos:

December 31, 2021

December 31, 2020

Total Amount
of Contracts

Total amount of
contracts expiring
after June, 2023

Amount
with
appropriate
fallback
clause

Total Amount of Contracts

Total amount of
contracts expiring
after June, 2023

Amount
with
appropriate
fallback
clause

Derivatives and hedge accounting

Trading derivative assets

Interest rate swaps

1

15

11

Cross-currency swaps

7

2

7

Total

US$.

8

US$.

2

US$.

US$.

22

US$.

11

US$.

Trading derivative liabilities

Interest rate swaps

2

2

16

12

Cross-currency swaps

18

7

9

3

Total

US$.

20

US$.

9

US$.

US$.

25

US$.

15

US$.

Derivatives held for risk management

Interest rate swaps

42

41

41

44

42

42

Total

US$.

42

US$.

41

US$.

41

US$.

44

US$.

42

US$.

42

December 31, 2021

December 31, 2020

Total Amount
of Contracts

Total amount of
contracts expiring
after June, 2023

Amount
with
appropriate
fallback
clause

Total Amount of Contracts

Total amount of
contracts expiring
after June, 2023

Amount
with
appropriate
fallback
clause

Derivatives and hedge accounting

Trading derivative assets

Interest rate swaps

3,981

59,717

43,793

Cross-currency swaps

27,868

7,962

27,868

Total

Ps.

31,849

Ps.

7,962

Ps.

Ps.

87,586

Ps.

43,793

Ps.

Trading derivative liabilities

Interest rate swaps

7,962

7,962

63,699

47,774

Cross-currency swaps

71,940

27,868

36,666

11,943

Total

Ps.

79,902

Ps.

35,830

Ps.

Ps.

100,365

Ps.

59,717

Ps.

Derivatives held for risk management

Interest rate swaps

166,908

163,228

163,228

173,626

165,218

165,218

Total

Ps.

166,908

Ps.

163,228

Ps.

163,228

Ps.

173,626

Ps.

165,218

Ps.

165,218

Grupo Aval and its subsidiaries have insignificant positions in the LIBOR references that expired on 31, December, 2021, even so all the contracts included fallback clauses that allowed their transition to new references rates without affecting their compliances.

Credit Risk

Financial Risk Review

4.1          Credit Risk

4.1.1          Consolidated Credit Risk Exposure

Grupo Aval´s subsidiaries are exposed to credit risk, consisting of the risk of financial loss as a result of the failure of the debtor to meet its contractual obligations in financial transactions on a timely and complete manner. Exposure to credit risk for Grupo Aval and its subsidiaries is a result of credit activities and transactions with counterparties.

The maximum exposure to credit risk of Grupo Aval, at a consolidated level is reflected in the carrying value of financial assets in the statement of financial position of Grupo Aval as of December 31, 2021, and 2020 as follows:

Assets

    

December 31, 2021

    

December 31, 2020

Cash and cash equivalents (**)

Ps.

30,245,268

Ps.

27,687,525

Trading investments in debt securities

4,741,287

4,780,993

Investments in debt securities mandatorily at FVTPL

7,385

Investments in debt securities at FVOCI

37,493,866

28,966,356

Investments in debt securities at amortized cost

5,775,070

5,580,128

Derivatives instruments

1,162,909

1,133,924

Hedging derivatives

44,248

156,220

Loans

  

  

Commercial

122,027,804

110,986,938

Consumer

76,889,145

65,835,457

Mortgage

29,120,316

24,558,771

Microcredit

317,739

372,321

Interbank and overnight funds

3,218,433

4,693,678

Other accounts receivable FVTPL

3,228,480

2,958,385

Other accounts receivable at amortized cost

16,181,527

12,381,009

Total financial assets with credit risk

Ps.

330,446,092

Ps.

290,099,090

Financial instruments with credit risk outside of the statement of financial position at its nominal value

  

  

Financial guarantees and letters of credit

4,886,575

4,185,261

Credit commitments

43,049,746

32,967,149

Total exposure to credit risk outside of the statement of financial position

Ps.

47,936,321

Ps.

37,152,410

Total maximum exposure to credit risk

Ps.

378,382,413

Ps.

327,251,500

(**)   Not including funds in the entity’s custody (cash, tellers, vaults), because there is no credit risk regarding Grupo Aval entities. See Note 4.1.3 g)

With regard to guarantees and commitments to extend the credit amounts, the maximum credit risk exposure is the amount of the commitment. Credit risk is mitigated by guarantees and collaterals as described in note 4.1.4 Mitigation of Credit Risk, Collateral and Other Credit Risk Enhancements.

Each of Grupo Aval´s financial subsidiaries assume the credit risk for both the credit activity itself, which includes commercial, consumer, mortgage and microcredit credit lending and treasury activities, including interbank loans, investment portfolio management, derivatives and foreign currency trading activities, among others. Despite being independent businesses, the nature of insolvency risk of the borrower or counterparty is similar and therefore the criteria in which they are evaluated is similar.

4.1.1.A.  Loan portfolio disclosure

Loans are recorded at amortized cost on the statement of financial position and are classified as commercial, consumer, residential mortgage, microcredit and interbank and overnight funds. The following table presents the portfolio balances, provision balances and net value portfolio by segment:

December 31, 2021

    

    

    

Total loan

Portfolio segment

Loan Portfolio

Loss allowance

Portfolio, net

Commercial

 

Ps.

125,246,237

 

Ps.

5,857,131

 

Ps.

119,389,106

Interbank and overnight funds

3,218,433

2,386

3,216,047

Client portfolio

 

  

122,027,804

 

  

5,854,745

 

  

116,173,059

Consumer

 

  

76,889,145

 

  

4,581,004

 

  

72,308,141

Residential mortgage

 

  

29,120,316

 

  

732,407

 

  

28,387,909

Microcredit

 

  

317,739

 

  

105,070

 

  

212,669

Total portfolio

 

Ps.

231,573,437

 

Ps.

11,275,612

 

Ps.

220,297,825

December 31, 2020

    

    

    

Total loan

Portfolio segment

Loan Portfolio

Loss allowance

Portfolio, net

Commercial

 

Ps.

115,680,616

 

Ps.

5,281,257

 

Ps.

110,399,359

Interbank and overnight funds

4,693,678

851

4,692,827

Client portfolio

 

  

110,986,938

 

  

5,280,406

 

  

105,706,532

Consumer

 

  

65,835,457

 

  

4,938,971

 

  

60,896,486

Residential mortgage

 

  

24,558,771

 

  

560,904

 

  

23,997,867

Microcredit

 

  

372,321

 

  

124,039

 

  

248,282

Total portfolio

 

Ps.

206,447,165

 

Ps.

10,905,171

 

Ps.

195,541,994

4.1.1.B Loan portfolio given as collateral

For 2021, there were no portfolio operations delivered as collateral in resource auction operations with Banco República, compared to 2020, when operations were registered for Ps. 280,519.

4.1.2          Loan and Counterparty Approval Process for subsidiaries in the financial sector

The principles and rules for credit management and credit risk for each financial subsidiary are contained in the credit manual, both for commercial banking activities and treasury activities. Evaluation criteria to measure credit risk follows the principal instructions set forth by the Treasury and Credit Risk Committees.

The maximum authority regarding lending is the Board of Directors for each bank, which approves the general policy and has the capacity to approve large size transactions. In the normal banking operation, authorizations for approval of loans and lines of credit depend on the amounts, credit quality, tenor and security collateral or guarantees offered by the client. The Board of Directors of each bank has delegated part of its lending authorities to different committees and executives who process the credit requests and are responsible for the analysis and credit review.

Additionally, for the approval of credits, certain considerations are taken into account including but not limited to, the probability of default, the recovery percentage of guarantees received, current customer exposure, tenor and concentration by economic sector.

Regarding the operations for treasury activities, the Board of Directors of the financial subsidiaries, approves the lines of credit for counterparties. Risk control is essentially carried out through three mechanisms: periodic approval of lines of credit, at least once a year evaluation of the conditions of the issuers and a report on concentrations for each client or economic group.

Although each financial subsidiary is responsible for its credit decisions and risk management, Grupo Aval as a holding, through the Corporate Risk Unit oversees the implementation of appropriate risk management controls at the financial subsidiaries and has established upward loan reporting processes. The holding’s risk management staff meets on a periodically basis to discuss Grupo Aval subsidiaries’ loan portfolio, developments in industry, risks and opportunities. Grupo Aval also coordinates loan syndication among its banks to effectively leverage the combined equity of its banks and manage any risk issues.

Each subsidiary of the financial sector has a Credit Risk Management System, which is managed by the credit vice-presidency or its equivalent, and includes, among others, the design, implementation and evaluation of policies and risk mechanisms defined by the

Credit and Treasury Risk Committee and the Board of Directors of each entity. The operation of the Credit Risk Management System has resulted in the integration of risk measurement tools into the credit approval process in each of the financial subsidiaries.

Each subsidiary of the financial sector in Colombia has two models for evaluating credit risk for the approval of commercial loans: the financial ratings model, statistical models based on financial information of the client, which are used in the approval process and for the management and review of the portfolio. The second model is based on the client´s financial ratings and its historical payment behavior with the bank, used in the process of client rating.

In Central America, each subsidiary has a model for evaluating credit risk for the approval of commercial loans. It is a financial ratings model, which evaluates the financial information (ratios and growth rates, among others) of each debtor, which are used in the approval process and for the management and review of the corporate and medium sized companies. This model is complemented with information on payment behavior with the bank to set a minimum rating.

For retail loans (including mortgage loans and auto loans) in Colombia and Central America, models are based on sociodemographic variables and the historical payment behavior of the clients with the bank and the financial sector.

As a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, since the beginning of 2020 it was necessary to review and adjust origination strategies, along with approved debt limits in accordance with individual risk analysis, especially for customers identified in high-risk sectors. As economic recovery has taken place in the different regions where Grupo Aval has presence, many of the strategies implemented by the entities to mitigate the risk due to the pandemic have been reversed. For more information, see Note 1.1 Other events COVID-19 impact.

4.1.3          Credit quality analysis

The Credit-risk Monitoring Process and Credit rating of the loan portfolio

The monitoring process and credit risk review of each financial subsidiary is carried out in several steps including portfolio analysis by vintages, risk level rating, permanent high-risk clients’ review, restructuring processes of operations and the receipt of foreclosed assets as payment.

Periodically the financial subsidiaries classify each client in one of these categories: Category A-Normal, B-Subnormal, C-Deficient, D-Doubtful recovery and E- Unrecoverable, based on the statistical models that each subsidiary has.

Periodically each financial subsidiary evaluates the commercial portfolio by economic sectors, where macro-sectors are evaluated with the purpose of monitoring the concentration per economic sector and the risk level of each one.

At least once in a year, each financial subsidiary carries out an individual analysis of the credit risk based on updated financial information of the client, payment record, collateral security/guarantees received, credit bureau reports and other qualitative information available; based on the information, clients are classified by risk level as mentioned above. During 2021, the analysis carried out by our financial subsidiaries required a detailed review and classification of clients by risk levels, considering the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic effects in the Grupo Aval businesses.

As of December 2021, the analysis performed by the financial subsidiaries required a detailed review and classification of customers by risk levels, considering the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Each risk category is explained as follows:

Category

  

PD*

Risk

Description

1

 

0%- 7.5%

 

Normal

 

Appropriately serviced. The debtor’s financial statements or its projected cash flows, as well as all other credit information available to us, reflect adequate paying capacity

2

 

7.5% - 15%

 

Acceptable above normal

 

Adequately serviced and protected, but there are weaknesses which may potentially affect, on a transitory or permanent basis, the debtor’s paying capacity or its projected cash flows, to the extent that, if not timely corrected, would affect the collection of the credits as contracted

3

 

15% - 22.5%

 

 

4

 

22.5% - 30%

 

Appreciable

 

Have debtors with insufficient paying capacity or relate to projects with insufficient cash flow, which may compromise the normal collection of the obligations

5

 

30% - 45%

 

 

Category

  

PD*

Risk

Description

6

 

45% - 60%

 

Significant

 

Have the same deficiencies as loans in category 4-5, but to a larger extent; consequently, the probability of collection is highly doubtful

7

 

60% - 90%

 

 

8

 

> 90%

 

Non-recoverability

 

Deemed uncollectible.

(*)    Probability of default – “PD” is the probability that the counterpart defaults in its payment obligations of capital

and/or interest.

For mortgage loans and microcredits, the previous classification by risk levels is carried out monthly considering the number of days past due.

In addition, the credit risk exposure is managed through a periodic analysis of the borrowers (or potential borrowers) to determine the repayment capacity of capital and interest. The credit risk exposure is also mitigated partly by obtaining collateral security, corporate and personal guarantees.

The following table sets out information about the credit quality of financial assets measured at amortized cost. Unless specifically indicated, for financial assets, the amounts in the table represent gross carrying amounts. For loan commitments and financial guarantee contracts, the amounts in the table represent the amounts committed or guaranteed, respectively. Based on the foregoing classifications, each financial subsidiary establishes and executes collection strategies directed at maximizing the collection of the loan portfolio.

As of December 31, 2021, and 2020, the following is a summary of the credit portfolio by probability of default. Explanation of the terms: Stage 1, Stage 2 and Stage 3 are included in Note 2 (2.5) (ix) and explained in detail in Note 4.1.5 (Measurement of Expected Credit Loss).

Total Portfolio

December 31, 2021

Total Exposure

PD Range

    

Stage 1

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Total

0%- 7.5%

Ps.

180,615,328

Ps.

6,434,636

Ps.

384

Ps.

187,050,348

7.5% - 15%

9,118,305

3,280,770

189

12,399,264

15% - 22.5%

789,446

3,489,521

25

4,278,992

22.5% - 30%

140,222

2,465,098

37

2,605,357

30% - 45%

127,038

3,506,321

99

3,633,458

45% - 60%

18,134

5,499,764

279

5,518,177

60% - 90%

5,510

2,120,466

1,066

2,127,042

> 90%

5,138

101,997

13,853,664

13,960,799

TOTAL

Ps.

190,819,121

Ps.

26,898,573

Ps.

13,855,743

Ps.

231,573,437

December 31, 2020

Total Exposure

PD Range

    

Stage 1

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Total

0%- 7.5%

Ps.

160,410,317

Ps.

6,205,666

Ps.

7

Ps.

166,615,990

7.5% - 15%

6,054,623

3,204,615

198

9,259,436

15% - 22.5%

612,299

2,731,542

9

3,343,850

22.5% - 30%

197,377

2,111,235

25

2,308,637

30% - 45%

157,726

5,802,907

77,935

6,038,568

45% - 60%

48,428

3,305,930

84,507

3,438,865

60% - 90%

3,400

3,133,570

242,787

3,379,757

> 90%

5,478

92,734

11,963,850

12,062,062

TOTAL

Ps.

167,489,648

Ps.

26,588,199

Ps.

12,369,318

Ps.

206,447,165

Commercial

December 31, 2021

Total Exposure

PD Range

    

Stage 1

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Total

0%- 7.5%

Ps.

97,948,422

Ps.

3,979,842

Ps.

28

Ps.

101,928,292

7.5% - 15%

2,351,842

469,870

188

2,821,900

15% - 22.5%

441,936

1,650,110

2,092,046

22.5% - 30%

44,434

1,019,403

1,063,837

30% - 45%

48,970

965,305

1,014,275

45% - 60%

15,318

3,600,621

164

3,616,103

60% - 90%

5,195

57,424

62,619

> 90%

2,263

5,400

9,421,069

9,428,732

TOTAL

Ps.

100,858,380

Ps.

11,747,975

Ps.

9,421,449

Ps.

122,027,804

December 31, 2020

Total Exposure

PD Range

    

Stage 1

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Total

0%- 7.5%

Ps.

91,482,201

Ps.

3,063,730

Ps.

3

Ps.

94,545,934

7.5% - 15%

706,295

963,330

7

1,669,632

15% - 22.5%

195,341

933,973

1,129,314

22.5% - 30%

87,872

429,489

2

517,363

30% - 45%

104,057

3,299,369

205

3,403,631

45% - 60%

43,273

1,084,590

23

1,127,886

60% - 90%

2,645

60,967

10

63,622

> 90%

4,452

8,252

8,516,852

8,529,556

TOTAL

Ps.

92,626,136

Ps.

9,843,700

Ps.

8,517,102

Ps.

110,986,938

Consumer

December 31, 2021

Total Exposure

PD Range

    

Stage 1

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Total

0%- 7.5%

Ps.

57,159,315

Ps.

2,084,770

Ps.

356

Ps.

59,244,441

7.5% - 15%

6,187,490

1,508,771

1

7,696,262

15% - 22.5%

319,342

772,795

24

1,092,161

22.5% - 30%

70,402

1,143,141

35

1,213,578

30% - 45%

70,804

1,547,538

83

1,618,425

45% - 60%

1,297

1,129,306

115

1,130,718

60% - 90%

215

1,550,628

1,063

1,551,906

> 90%

2,875

91,777

3,247,002

3,341,654

TOTAL

Ps.

63,811,740

Ps.

9,828,726

Ps.

3,248,679

Ps.

76,889,145

December 31, 2020

Total Exposure

PD Range

    

Stage 1

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Total

0%- 7.5%

Ps.

45,952,378

Ps.

2,145,102

Ps.

Ps.

48,097,480

7.5% - 15%

4,949,864

1,092,553

189

6,042,606

15% - 22.5%

400,447

956,769

8

1,357,224

22.5% - 30%

98,380

1,114,336

7

1,212,723

30% - 45%

46,334

1,771,603

77,728

1,895,665

45% - 60%

4,745

1,732,311

84,479

1,821,535

60% - 90%

347

2,488,943

242,773

2,732,063

> 90%

1,026

81,109

2,594,026

2,676,161

TOTAL

Ps.

51,453,521

Ps.

11,382,726

Ps.

2,999,210

Ps.

65,835,457

Mortgage

December 31, 2021

Total Exposure

PD Range

    

Stage 1

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Total

0%- 7.5%

Ps.

22,224,572

Ps.

369,997

Ps.

Ps.

22,594,569

7.5% - 15%

476,755

1,302,129

1,778,884

15% - 22.5%

22,014

1,066,616

1

1,088,631

22.5% - 30%

12,899

301,834

2

314,735

30% - 45%

6,909

991,992

16

998,917

45% - 60%

769,729

769,729

60% - 90%

471,393

3

471,396

> 90%

4,820

1,098,635

1,103,455

TOTAL

Ps.

22,743,149

Ps.

5,278,510

Ps.

1,098,657

Ps.

29,120,316

December 31, 2020

Total Exposure

PD Range

    

Stage 1

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Total

0%- 7.5%

Ps.

18,223,127

Ps.

996,792

Ps.

4

Ps.

19,219,923

7.5% - 15%

298,817

1,148,718

2

1,447,537

15% - 22.5%

12,876

840,653

1

853,530

22.5% - 30%

845

567,375

16

568,236

30% - 45%

2,217

731,359

2

733,578

45% - 60%

456,779

5

456,784

60% - 90%

472,887

4

472,891

> 90%

3,309

802,983

806,292

TOTAL

Ps.

18,537,882

Ps.

5,217,872

Ps.

803,017

Ps.

24,558,771

Microcredit

December 31, 2021

Total Exposure

PD Range

    

Stage 1

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Total

0%- 7.5%

Ps.

66,191

Ps.

27

Ps.

Ps.

66,218

7.5% - 15%

100,613

100,613

15% - 22.5%

6,154

6,154

22.5% - 30%

12,487

720

13,207

30% - 45%

355

1,486

1,841

45% - 60%

1,519

108

1,627

60% - 90%

100

41,021

41,121

> 90%

86,958

86,958

TOTAL

Ps.

187,419

Ps.

43,362

Ps.

86,958

Ps.

317,739

December 31, 2020

Total Exposure

PD Range

    

Stage 1

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Total

0%- 7.5%

Ps.

59,072

Ps.

42

Ps.

Ps.

59,114

7.5% - 15%

99,647

14

99,661

15% - 22.5%

3,635

147

3,782

22.5% - 30%

10,280

35

10,315

30% - 45%

5,118

576

5,694

45% - 60%

410

32,250

32,660

60% - 90%

408

110,773

111,181

> 90%

64

49,850

49,914

TOTAL

Ps.

178,570

Ps.

143,901

Ps.

49,850

Ps.

372,321

Interbank and overnight funds

December 31, 2021

Total Exposure

PD Range

    

Stage 1

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Total

0%- 7.5%

Ps.

3,216,828

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

3,216,828

7.5% - 15%

1,605

1,605

15% - 22.5%

22.5% - 30%

30% - 45%

45% - 60%

60% - 90%

> 90%

TOTAL

Ps.

3,218,433

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

3,218,433

December 31, 2020

Total Exposure

PD Range

    

Stage 1

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Total

0%- 7.5%

Ps.

4,693,539

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

4,693,539

7.5% - 15%

15% - 22.5%

22.5% - 30%

30% - 45%

45% - 60%

60% - 90%

> 90%

139

139

TOTAL

Ps.

4,693,539

Ps.

Ps.

139

Ps.

4,693,678

Loan commitments and financial guarantee contracts

December 31, 2021

Total Exposure

PD Range

    

Stage 1

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Total

0%- 7.5%

Ps.

43,415,038

Ps.

263,329

Ps.

667

Ps.

43,679,034

7.5% - 15%

1,495,285

117,201

75

1,612,561

15% - 22.5%

38,875

2,034,625

153

2,073,653

22.5% - 30%

16,802

80,460

404

97,666

30% - 45%

5,874

114,349

1,478

121,701

45% - 60%

442

175,708

1,408

177,558

60% - 90%

199

69,091

1,274

70,564

> 90%

30

1,023

102,531

103,584

TOTAL

Ps.

44,972,545

Ps.

2,855,786

Ps.

107,990

Ps.

47,936,321

December 31, 2020

Total Exposure

PD Range

    

Stage 1

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Total

0%- 7.5%

Ps.

34,214,046

Ps.

104,370

Ps.

257

Ps.

34,318,673

7.5% - 15%

1,066,050

117,141

433

1,183,624

15% - 22.5%

35,947

881,508

10

917,465

22.5% - 30%

17,481

83,533

22

101,036

30% - 45%

7,962

219,634

451

228,047

45% - 60%

1,448

277,620

1,966

281,034

60% - 90%

40

114,813

2,398

117,251

> 90%

6

1,451

3,823

5,280

TOTAL

Ps.

35,342,980

Ps.

1,800,070

Ps.

9,360

Ps.

37,152,410

Credit quality of financial assets (excluding loan portfolio)

The following is the breakdown of the different financial assets excluding loan portfolio, by credit risk level and type of issuer based on the rating issued by the independent credit rating agency. A financial asset is considered investment grade if its credit rating is BBB- or higher by Standard & Poor's or Fitch Ratings scale, Baa3 or higher by Moody's scale, F3 or higher by Fitch Ratings Colombia S.A or BRC3 or higher by BRC of Colombia. Otherwise, the financial asset is considered speculative.

a)

Trading investment in debt securities

    

December 31, 2021

    

December 31, 2020

Investment grade

 

  

 

  

Sovereign (*)

 

Ps.

2,809,142

 

Ps.

2,904,210

Other public entities (**)

 

11,219

 

187,295

Corporate

 

114

 

46,168

Financial entities

 

544,748

 

1,301,917

Total investment grade

 

Ps.

3,365,223

 

Ps.

4,439,590

Speculative grade

 

  

 

  

Sovereign (*)

 

Ps.

162,673

 

Ps.

129,081

Other public entities (**)

238,291

Corporate

41,385

9,359

Financial entities

 

931,728

 

200,901

Multilaterals

1,923

2,007

Total Speculative grade

 

Ps.

1,376,000

 

Ps.

341,348

Without grade or not available

 

  

 

  

Corporate

 

Ps.

64

 

Ps.

55

Total without grade or not available

 

Ps.

64

 

Ps.

55

 

Ps.

4,741,287

 

Ps.

4,780,993

(*)    A sovereign credit rating considers the risk of Treasury issuer or similar agency (government debt portfolio).

(**)   Corresponds to operations with government entities, including public administrations in general including regional and local governments.

b)

Investments in debt securities at FVOCI

December 31, 2021

    

Stage 1

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Total

Investment grade

Sovereign (*)

 

Ps.

17,412,750

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

17,412,750

Other public entities (**)

 

132,804

 

 

 

132,804

Central banks

251,370

251,370

Corporate

 

382,041

 

 

 

382,041

Financial entities

 

2,076,597

 

 

 

2,076,597

Multilaterals

 

437,262

 

 

 

437,262

Total investment grade

 

Ps.

20,692,824

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

20,692,824

Speculative grade

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

Sovereign (*)

 

Ps.

11,391,676

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

11,391,676

Other public entities (**)

690,109

690,109

Central banks

 

1,606,349

 

 

 

1,606,349

Corporate

 

545,247

 

 

 

545,247

Financial entities

 

2,124,321

 

 

 

2,124,321

Multilaterals

25,085

25,085

Total speculative grade

 

Ps.

16,382,787

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

16,382,787

Without Grade or Not available

Corporate

Ps.

414,249

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

414,249

Financial Entities

4,006

4,006

Total Without Grade or Not available

Ps.

418,255

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

418,255

 

Ps.

37,493,866

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

37,493,866

(*)    Sovereign credit rating is considered as the risk of the Treasury issuer or a similar agency (government debt portfolio).

(**)   Corresponds to operations with government entities; including public administrations in general (includes regional and local governments).

December 31, 2020

    

Stage 1

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Total

Investment grade

Sovereign (*)

 

Ps.

16,266,158

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

16,266,158

Other public entities (**)

 

461,072

 

 

 

461,072

Central banks

196,524

196,524

Corporate

 

529,443

 

 

 

529,443

Financial entities

 

1,618,569

 

 

 

1,618,569

Multilaterals

 

192,699

 

 

 

192,699

Total investment grade

 

Ps.

19,264,465

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

19,264,465

Speculative grade

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

Sovereign (*)

 

Ps.

6,227,407

 

Ps.

16,956

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

6,244,363

Central banks

 

1,666,050

 

348

 

 

1,666,398

Corporate

 

478,079

 

 

 

478,079

Financial entities

1,293,864

1,293,864

Multilaterals

 

19,187

 

 

 

19,187

Total speculative grade

 

Ps.

9,684,587

 

Ps.

17,304

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

9,701,891

 

Ps.

28,949,052

 

Ps.

17,304

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

28,966,356

(*)    Sovereign credit rating is considered as the risk of the Treasury issuer or a similar agency (government debt portfolio).

(**)   Corresponds to operations with government entities; including public administrations in general (includes regional and local governments).

c)

Investments in debt securities at amortized cost

December 31, 2021

    

Stage 1

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Total

Investment grade

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

Sovereign (*)

 

Ps.

1,596,941

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

1,596,941

Financial entities

 

12,096

 

 

 

12,096

Total investment grade

 

Ps.

1,609,037

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

1,609,037

Speculative grade

Other public entities (**)

Ps.

3,696,298

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

3,696,298

Corporate

67,332

67,332

Financial Entities

55,657

55,657

Total speculative grade

Ps.

3,819,287

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

3,819,287

Without Grade or Not available

Corporate

Ps.

133,149

Ps.

133,262

Ps.

Ps.

266,411

Financial Entities

60,488

19,847

80,335

Total Without Grade or Not available

Ps.

193,637

Ps.

153,109

Ps.

Ps.

346,746

 

Ps.

5,621,961

 

Ps.

153,109

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

5,775,070

(*)    Sovereign credit rating is considered as the risk of the Treasury issuer or a similar agency (government debt portfolio).

(**)   Corresponds to operations with government entities; including public administrations in general (includes regional and local governments).

December 31, 2020

    

Stage 1

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Total

Investment grade

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

Sovereign (*)

 

Ps.

1,708,927

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

1,708,927

Other public entities (**)

 

3,378,438

 

 

 

3,378,438

Financial entities

 

169,232

 

 

 

169,232

Total investment grade

 

Ps.

5,256,597

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

5,256,597

Speculative grade

Corporate

Ps.

204,625

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

204,625

Financial entities

113,757

5,149

118,906

Total speculative grade

Ps.

318,382

Ps.

5,149

Ps.

Ps.

323,531

 

Ps.

5,574,979

 

Ps.

5,149

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

5,580,128

(*)    Sovereign credit rating is considered as the risk of the Treasury issuer or a similar agency (government debt portfolio).

(**)   Corresponds to operations with government entities; including public administrations in general (includes regional and local governments).

d)

Other accounts receivable at FVTPL

    

December 31, 2021

    

December 31, 2020

Investment grade

 

  

 

  

Sovereign (*)

 

Ps.

3,228,480

 

Ps.

2,958,385

Total investment grade

Ps.

3,228,480

Ps.

2,958,385

(*)    Sovereign credit rating is considered as the risk of the Treasury issuer or a similar agency (government debt portfolio).

e)

Other accounts receivable at amortized cost

December 31, 2021

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Simplified Approach

Total

Other receivables using general approach

Other accounts receivable and contract assets for corporate customers

Ps.

10,384,254

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

10,384,254

Other accounts receivable related to gas, energy services, contributions and others

1,051,546

83,952

159,333

1,294,831

Other receivables using simplified approach

Other accounts receivable from individual customers

4,502,442

4,502,442

Total other receivables

Ps.

11,435,800

Ps.

83,952

Ps.

159,333

Ps.

4,502,442

Ps.

16,181,527

December 31, 2020

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Simplified Approach

Total

Other receivables using general approach

Other accounts receivable and contract assets for corporate customers

Ps.

7,238,645

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

7,238,645

Other accounts receivable related to gas, energy services, contributions and others

965,745

151,179

176,500

1,293,424

Other receivables using simplified approach

Other accounts receivable from individual customers

3,848,940

3,848,940

Total other receivables

Ps.

8,204,390

Ps.

151,179

Ps.

176,500

Ps.

3,848,940

Ps.

12,381,009

Evaluated using general approach

The following table provides information about the exposure to credit risk for other accounts receivable and contract assets for corporate customers as of December 31, 2021, and 2020. The credit quality of these financial assets follows the methodology of the probability of default of Debt securities and other liquid financial assets (See note 4.1.5).

December 31, 2021

    

Stage 1

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Total

Investment grade

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

Sovereign (*)

 

Ps.

9,860,003

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

9,860,003

Financial entities

 

524,251

 

 

 

524,251

Total investment grade

 

Ps.

10,384,254

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

10,384,254

(*)    Sovereign credit rating is considered as the risk of the Treasury issuer or a similar agency (government debt portfolio).

December 31, 2020

    

Stage 1

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Total

Investment grade

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

Sovereign (*)

 

Ps.

6,773,024

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

6,773,024

Financial entities

 

465,621

 

 

 

465,621

Total investment grade

 

Ps.

7,238,645

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

7,238,645

(*)    Sovereign credit rating is considered as the risk of the Treasury issuer or a similar agency (government debt portfolio).

The following table provides information about the exposure to credit risk by segment for accounts receivable related to gas and energy services, the methodology used to estimate the ECLs is the same used for Loan and Receivable (See note 4.1.5):

December 31, 2021

    

Stage 1

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Total

Segmentation

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

Contributions

 

Ps.

153,917

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

153,917

Gas

 

656,962

 

80,326

 

72,759

 

810,047

Energy

 

73,084

 

3,626

 

86,574

 

163,284

Other accounts receivable

 

167,583

 

 

 

167,583

Total segmentation

 

Ps.

1,051,546

 

Ps.

83,952

 

Ps.

159,333

 

Ps.

1,294,831

December 31, 2020

    

Stage 1

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Total

Segmentation

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

Contributions

 

Ps.

150,972

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

150,972

Gas

 

527,230

 

144,339

 

91,907

 

763,476

Energy

 

75,350

 

6,840

 

84,593

 

166,783

Other accounts receivable

 

212,193

 

 

 

212,193

Total segmentation

 

Ps.

965,745

 

Ps.

151,179

 

Ps.

176,500

 

Ps.

1,293,424

Evaluated using simplified approach

Grupo Aval uses a probability matrix to measure the ECL for other receivables from individual customers, which have small balances.

The weighted-average loss rate is calculated using a “rolling rate” method based on the probability that a receivable will progress through successive stages of default until write off. The rolling rate is calculated for exposures in different segments and separately in accordance with the following common features of credit risk.

The following table provides information about the exposure to credit risk and ECLs for trade receivables and contract assets from individual customers as of December 31, 2021 and 2020.

Weighted-

Gross

    

average loss 

carrying

Loss

Credit-

December 31, 2021

    

rate 

    

amount

    

allowance

    

impaired

0–30 days past due

 

1.24

%  

3,189,052

 

39,473

 

31–60 days past due

 

2.22

%  

678,002

 

15,081

 

61–90 days past due

 

13.42

%  

56,125

 

7,534

 

More than 90 days past due

 

42.49

%  

579,263

 

246,102

 

579,263

 

  

 

Ps.

4,502,442

 

Ps.

308,190

 

Weighted-

Gross

    

average loss 

carrying

Loss

Credit-

December 31, 2020

    

rate 

    

amount

    

allowance

    

impaired

0–30 days past due

 

0.60

%  

2,773,642

 

16,570

 

31–60 days past due

 

0.56

%  

637,251

 

3,587

 

61–90 days past due

 

24.19

%  

43,874

 

10,611

 

More than 90 days past due

 

63.35

%  

394,173

 

249,700

 

394,173

 

  

 

Ps.

3,848,940

 

Ps.

280,468

 

The loss rates are based on the experience of real credit loss during a year and the balance of accounts receivable at the cut-off date for previously defined homogeneous segments. It takes into consideration elements such as: segmentation by type of receivable account, date of analysis, definition of loss, among others. Based on the characteristics of the short-term receivable accounts, these portfolios result from operations where there are no non-linear impacts, therefore, the application of macroeconomic scenarios is not considered.

f)

Derivative instruments

The details of credit rating determined by independent credit rating agents of counterparties in trading derivative and hedge derivatives are as follows.

Credit worthiness

    

December 31, 2021

    

December 31, 2020

Investment grade

 

Ps.

986,231

 

Ps.

972,729

Speculative

 

  

1,504

 

  

9,274

Without grade or not available

 

  

219,422

 

  

308,141

Total

 

Ps.

1,207,157

 

Ps.

1,290,144

The following table shows an analysis of counterparty credit exposures that arise from derivative transactions. Transactions derived from Grupo Aval are generally fully guaranteed with cash:

Trading derivatives

Total

Central counterparties

    

Notional

    

Fair

    

Notional

    

Fair

amount

value

amount

value

2021

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

Derivative assets

Ps.

63,868,342

Ps.

1,162,909

Ps.

18,568,369

Ps.

5,441

Derivative liabilities

 

57,021,642

 

1,049,910

 

11,681,893

 

8,648

2020

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

Derivative assets

Ps.

33,810,221

Ps.

1,133,924

Ps.

2,919,623

Ps.

Derivative liabilities

 

36,465,423

 

1,452,574

 

5,225,408

 

1,165

Hedging derivatives

Total

Central counterparties

    

Notional

    

Fair

    

Notional

    

Fair

amount

value

amount

value

2021

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

Derivative assets

Ps.

2,077,334

Ps.

44,248

Ps.

1,469,048

Ps.

Derivative liabilities

 

5,001,665

55,813

2,857,279

2020

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

Derivative assets

Ps.

3,732,435

Ps.

156,220

Ps.

1,577,234

Ps.

Derivative liabilities

 

1,326,995

 

56,627

 

387,873

 

Derivative transactions of Grupo Aval are collateralized by cash of Ps (1,012,678) as of December 31, 2021, and of Ps. 429,544 as of December 31, 2020, see note 4.1.10 “Offset of financial assets and financial liabilities”.

g)

Cash and cash equivalents

Grupo Aval held cash and cash equivalents of Ps. 36,642,829 as of December 31, 2021 (2020: Ps. 34,025,535). The cash and cash equivalents are held in central banks and financial institution counterparties. The following table shows an analysis of counterparty credit exposures:

    

December 31, 2021

    

December 31, 2020

Investment grade

 

Ps.

16,351,608

 

Ps.

16,273,954

Central bank

 

  

5,113,247

 

  

3,943,832

Financial entities

 

  

11,238,361

 

  

12,328,559

Others

1,563

Speculative grade

 

  

13,820,904

 

  

11,319,651

Central bank

 

  

11,200,970

 

  

9,900,155

Financial entities

 

  

2,619,934

 

  

1,419,496

Without grade or not available

 

  

72,756

 

  

93,920

Financial entities

 

  

72,756

 

  

93,920

Cash and cash equivalent with third parties

 

Ps.

30,245,268

 

Ps.

27,687,525

Cash held by entity (**)

 

  

6,397,561

 

  

6,338,010

Total

 

Ps.

36,642,829

 

Ps.

34,025,535

(**)   Cash held by each Grupo Aval’s bank in custody in vaults, ATMs and cash.

4.1.4          Mitigation of Credit Risk, Collateral and Other Credit Risk Enhancements

The exposure to credit risk for each of Grupo Aval´s financial subsidiaries is reduced by collateral and other credit enhancements. The existence of collateral security or guarantees can be a requirement but not a determinant one for the approval of a credit. Credit risk policies of Grupo Aval require an evaluation of the debtor’s payment capacity based on the debtor´s ability to generate the resources needed for the timely and complete payment of its obligations.

Credit risk management includes the following activities:

Analysis of credit risk: For commercial lending, tools are used for the individual evaluation of credits based on payment capacity supported on cash generation, credit rating models with inputs from historical and projected financial condition, and on the payment history of the debtor with the financial sector. For interbank and overnight funds, the Camel Model is used to analyze financial institutions according to six factors represented by capital adequacy, assets quality, management, earnings, liquidity, and sensitivity. For consumer lending (including mortgages and auto financing), scoring models are based on socio-demographic variables and payment history.
Evaluation of collateral security / guarantees with appropriate debt coverage in accordance with the credit policies of each financial subsidiary. Collateral security includes mortgages on real estate, pledge on assets, cash deposits and investments.
Evaluation of the liquidity of the collateral security / guarantees received.

The methods used for the evaluation of collateral security / guarantees are aligned with the market practices and include the use of independent real estate appraisers or the market value of securities. All collateral security / guarantees must be legally evaluated and drafted following the parameters of applicable legal regulations.

Residential mortgage lending

The following tables classify credit exposures for mortgage loans and advances to retail customers by ranges of loan-to-value (LTV) ratio. LTV is calculated as the ratio of the gross amount of the loan – or the amount of the loan commitments – to the value of the

collateral. The value of the collateral for residential mortgage loans is based on the collateral value at origination updated based on changes in house price indices. For credit-impaired loans the value of collateral is based on the most recent appraisals.

    

December 31, 2021

    

December 31, 2020

LTV ratio

  

  

Less than 50%

Ps.

9,023,386

Ps.

7,995,750

51 – 70%

9,821,038

8,341,911

71 – 90%

8,588,798

6,675,478

91 – 100%

1,347,872

1,251,401

More than 100%

339,222

294,231

Total

Ps.

29,120,316

Ps.

24,558,771

Credit-impaired mortgage loans

    

December 31, 2021

    

December 31, 2020

LTV ratio

 

  

  

 

  

  

Less than 50%

 

Ps.

230,561

 

Ps.

192,426

51 – 70%

 

  

346,707

 

  

254,087

More than 70%

 

  

521,389

 

  

356,504

Total

 

Ps.

1,098,657

 

Ps.

803,017

As of December 31, 2021, and 2020, the following chart shows the detail of the credit portfolio per type of guarantees received.

    

    

    

    

    

Interbank and

    

December 31, 2021

Commercial

Consumer

Mortgages

Microcredit

overnight funds

Total

Unsecured credits

 

Ps.

59,158,224

 

Ps.

66,439,942

 

Ps.

8,615

 

Ps.

199,049

 

Ps.

920,517

 

Ps.

126,726,347

Loans secured by other banks

 

  

130,507

 

  

2,873

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

133,380

Collateralized credits:

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

Mortgages

 

  

722,048

 

  

100,014

 

  

27,072,481

 

  

944

 

  

 

  

27,895,487

Other real estate

 

  

26,764,073

 

  

1,691,761

 

  

5,019

 

  

211

 

  

 

  

28,461,064

Investments in equity instruments

 

  

446,066

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

446,066

Deposits in cash or cash equivalents

 

  

1,970,279

 

  

222,014

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

2,192,293

Leased machineries and vehicles

 

  

8,726,191

 

  

361,770

 

  

1,969,170

 

  

 

  

 

  

11,057,131

Fiduciary agreements, standby letters and guarantee funds

 

  

10,071,120

 

  

32,225

 

  

64,975

 

  

114,188

 

  

 

  

10,282,508

Pledged income

 

  

3,814,831

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

3,814,831

Pledges

 

  

5,443,246

 

  

7,953,877

 

  

56

 

  

124

 

  

 

  

13,397,303

Other assets

 

  

4,781,219

 

  

84,669

 

  

 

  

3,223

 

  

2,297,916

 

  

7,167,027

Total gross loan portfolio

 

Ps.

122,027,804

 

Ps.

76,889,145

 

Ps.

29,120,316

 

Ps.

317,739

 

Ps.

3,218,433

 

Ps.

231,573,437

    

  

    

  

    

    

Interbank and

    

December 31, 2020

    

Commercial

Consumer

Mortgages

Microcredit

overnight funds

Total

Unsecured credits

 

Ps.

50,133,716

 

Ps.

56,603,996

 

Ps.

5,906

 

Ps.

242,727

 

Ps.

571,851

 

Ps.

107,558,196

Loans secured by other banks

 

  

237,028

 

  

2,640

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

239,668

Collateralized credits:

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

Mortgages

 

  

535,414

 

  

90,342

 

  

22,719,588

 

  

1,701

 

  

 

  

23,347,045

Other real estate

 

  

25,261,669

 

  

1,541,786

 

  

5,486

 

  

357

 

  

 

  

26,809,298

Investments in equity instruments

 

  

309,014

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

309,014

Deposits in cash or cash equivalents

 

  

1,357,417

 

  

213,473

 

  

 

  

 

  

33,276

 

  

1,604,166

Leased machineries and vehicles

 

  

8,475,723

 

  

338,388

 

  

1,755,468

 

  

 

  

 

  

10,569,579

Fiduciary agreements, standby letters and guarantee funds

 

  

12,103,331

 

  

32,609

 

  

72,217

 

  

118,032

 

  

 

  

12,326,189

Pledged income

 

  

4,212,031

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

4,212,031

Pledges

 

  

4,937,867

 

  

6,942,093

 

  

55

 

  

369

 

  

 

  

11,880,384

Other assets

 

  

3,423,728

 

  

70,130

 

  

51

 

  

9,135

 

  

4,088,551

 

  

7,591,595

Total gross loan portfolio

 

Ps.

110,986,938

 

Ps.

65,835,457

 

Ps.

24,558,771

 

Ps.

372,321

 

Ps.

4,693,678

 

Ps.

206,447,165

As of December 31, 2021, and 2020, the following chart sets out the carrying amount and the value of identifiable collateral (mainly commercial property) for commercial loans held by Grupo Aval at a consolidated level:

December 31, 2021

December 31, 2020

    

Carrying Amount

    

Collateral

Carrying Amount

Collateral

Stages 1 and 2

Ps. 

29,813,813

Ps.

27,396,891

Ps.

26,518,457

Ps.

24,473,502

Stage 3

2,989,892

2,691,236

2,516,373

2,397,219

Ps. 

32,803,705

Ps.

30,088,127

Ps.

29,034,830

Ps.

26,870,721

4.1.5          Amounts arising from Expected Credit Loss (ECL)

Definition of Default

Grupo Aval considers a financial asset to be in default when:

The borrower is unlikely to pay its credit obligations to Grupo Aval in full. Without prejudice, Grupo Aval takes actions such as realizing collateral (if any is held);
The borrower is more than 90 days past due on any material credit obligation other than mortgages to Grupo Aval. Overdrafts are considered past due once the customer has breached the allowed tenor or been advised of the reduction of the limit;
For mortgages, when the borrower is more than 180 days past due in Colombia, and 90 days past due in Central America;
The borrower is in a state of restructuring, bankruptcy proceedings or business reorganization.
In the case of fixed income financial securities, the following concepts among others apply:
-External rating of the issuer or instrument in rating D under Standard & Poor’s and Fitch Ratings scale or rating C under Moody’s scale;
-Contractual payments are not made on the due date;
-There is a very high probability of suspension of payments;
-The issuer likely to go bankrupt or file for bankruptcy or similar action; or
-The financial asset no longer has an active market given its financial difficulties.

In assessing whether a borrower is in default, Grupo Aval considers indicators as follows:

Qualitative: e.g. breaches of non-financial covenants;
Quantitative: e.g. breaches of financial covenants, overdue status and non-payment of another obligation of the same issuer to Grupo Aval; and
Based on internally historical or developed data and obtained from external sources.

Inputs used in the assessment of whether a financial instrument is in default and their significance may vary over time to reflect changes in circumstances.

Inputs, assumptions and techniques used to estimate expected credit loss allowance

Credit risk models measures the exposure for individual counterparties, based on the following parameters: Probability of default (PD), loss given default (LGD) and exposure at default (EAD). For a specific credit facility (Loans, debt securities, other liquid financial assets, other accounts receivable, loan commitments and financial guarantee contracts) the product of these three parameters results in the expected credit loss. See accounting policy in Note 2 (2.5 ix).

Measurement of ECL

The measurement of expected credit losses is a calculation that involves an important number of interrelated inputs and assumptions, such as the financial asset’s probability of default, loss given default and exposure at default, which are modelled based on macroeconomic variables. Furthermore, the economic impact caused by COVID-19 on the determination of the ECL required the application of expert credit judgment that involved the current situation. See Note 1.1 Other events.

As mentioned above, the key inputs for the measurement of ECLs are usually the following variables:

Probability of default (PD);
Loss given default (LGD); and
Exposure at default (EAD).

The estimation of these parameters depends on the credit facility. Loans and receivables methodology uses information derived from internally developed statistical models, comprising both quantitative and qualitative factors, and other historical data. On the other hand, debt securities methodology incorporates relevant external market information or international credit ratings.

PD is the probability that the counterpart defaults in its payment obligations of capital and/or interest. Credit risk grades are the primary input in the determination of the term structure of PD for exposures. Grupo Aval collects performance and default information about its credit risk exposures analyzed by jurisdiction or region, by type of product and borrower, and by credit risk grade. For some portfolios, information purchased from external credit reference agencies may also be used.

Grupo Aval employs statistical models to analyze the data collected and generates estimates of the remaining lifetime PD of exposures and how these are expected to change as a result of the passage of time.

LGD is an estimate of the loss arising on default, is the percentage of exposure that the entity ultimately expects to lose in the event of a default in a financial instrument.

Grupo Aval estimates LGD parameters based on the history of recovery rates of claims against defaulted counterparties. The LGD models considers the structure, collateral, seniority of the claim, counterparty industry and recovery costs of any collateral that is integral to the financial asset. For loans secured/ guaranteed by real estate, loan-to-value (LTV) ratios will be a key parameter in determining LGD. Estimates are calibrated for different economic scenarios and, for real estate lending, to reflect possible changes in property prices.

The EAD represents the expected exposure in the event of default. Grupo Aval derives the EAD from the current exposure to the counterparty and potential changes to the current amount allowed under the contract, including amortization and prepayments. The EAD of a financial asset is the gross carrying amount at default. For lending commitments and financial guarantees, the EAD considers the amount drawn, as well as potential future amounts that may be drawn or repaid under the contract, which are estimated based on historical observations and forward-looking forecasts.

Subject to using the Lifetime PD for financial assets for which credit risk has significantly increased, Grupo Aval measures ECLs considering the risk of default over the maximum contractual period (including any borrower’s extension options) over which there is exposure to credit risk, even if for risk management purposes, Grupo Aval considers a longer period. The maximum contractual period extends to the date at which Grupo Aval has the right to require repayment of an advance or terminate a loan commitment or guarantee.

For retail overdrafts, credit cards, and certain corporate revolving facilities that include both a loan and an undrawn commitment component, Grupo Aval measures ECLs over a period longer than the maximum contractual period if Grupo Aval’s contractual ability to demand repayment and cancel the undrawn commitment does not limit Grupo Aval’s exposure to credit losses to the contractual notice period. These facilities do not have a fixed term or repayment structure and are managed on a collective basis. Grupo Aval can cancel them with immediate effect, but the contractual right is not enforced in the normal day-to-day management, but rather when Grupo Aval becomes aware of an increase in credit risk of a particular facility. This period is estimated considering the credit risk management actions that Grupo Aval expects to mitigate ECLs. These include a reduction in the limits and the cancellation of the credit.

Where modelling of a parameter is carried out on a collective basis, the financial instruments are grouped based on shared risk characteristics that include:

Instrument type;
Credit risk ratings;
Collateral type;
Date of initial recognition;
Remaining term to maturity; and
Industry.

The groups are subject to regular review to ensure that exposures within a particular group remain appropriately homogeneous.

Credit Risk Model: Loans and receivables

I.          Transitions between stages

Significant Increase in Credit Risk

When determining whether the credit risk (i.e. risk of default) of a financial instrument has increased significantly since initial recognition, Grupo Aval considers reasonable and supportable information that is relevant and available without undue cost or effort, including both quantitative and qualitative information and analysis based on Grupo Aval’s historical experience, expert credit assessment and forward-looking information.

The following criteria are used to determine if a significant increase in credit risk has occurred:

Comparison of the remaining lifetime probability of default (PD) at the reporting date with the lifetime PD at initial recognition of the exposure.
Quantitative aspects such as credits with 30 days past due.
Qualitative criteria from analysts is also considered based on expert and supportable information.

The criteria for determining whether credit risk has increased significantly will vary by portfolio and will include a backstop based on delinquency.

Grupo Aval will monitor the effectiveness of the criteria used in identifying significant increases in credit risk through regular reviews to confirm that:

The criteria are useful in identifying significant increases in credit risk before an exposure is in default;
The criteria align with the point in time when an asset becomes over 30 days past due;
The average time between the identification of a significant increase in credit risk and default appears reasonable;
Exposures are not generally transferred directly from 12-month ECL measurement to credit-impaired; and
There is unwarranted volatility in loss allowance from transfers between 12-month ECL and lifetime ECL measurements.

II.          PD – Probability of Default

Term structure of PD

Credit risk grades are the primary input in the determination of the term structure of PD for exposures. Grupo Aval collects performance and default information about its credit risk exposures analyzed by jurisdiction or region, by type of product and

borrower, and by credit risk grade. For some portfolios, information purchased from external credit reference agencies may also be used.

Grupo Aval employs statistical models to analyze the data collected and generates estimates of the remaining lifetime PD of exposures and how these are expected to change as a result of the passage of time.

This analysis includes the identification and calibration of the relation between changes in default rates and changes in key macro-economic factors, as well as an in-depth analysis of the impact of certain other factors on the risk of default. For exposures to specific industries and/or regions, the analysis may extend to relevant commodity and/ or real estate prices.

For stage 1 the PD estimates the probability that the credit will default in the next 12 months, while the PD in stage 2 is the result of the probabilities for the remaining life of the credit. The probability in Stage 3 is defined as 100%.

Grupo Aval’s approach to incorporating forward-looking information into this assessment is discussed below.

Forward-Looking Information

Grupo Aval incorporates forward-looking information into both its assessment of whether the credit risk of an instrument has increased significantly since initial recognition and its measurement of ECLs. Grupo Aval formulates a ‘base case’ view of the future direction of relevant economic variables and a representative range of other possible forecast scenarios based on forecasts provided by economic experts and considering a forecast of multiple variables. This process involves developing two or more additional economic scenarios and considering the relative probabilities of each outcome.

The B scenario (base case) represents a most-likely outcome. It is aligned with information used by Grupo Aval for other purposes, such as budgeting. The other scenarios represent more optimistic and more pessimistic outcomes with their respective probability of occurrence.

Grupo Aval has identified and documented key drivers of credit risk and credit losses for each portfolio of financial instruments and, using an analysis of historical data, has estimated relationships between macro-economic variables and credit risk and credit losses.

Changes in economic conditions will be monitored by Grupo Aval´s Entities and subsidiaries to be incorporated into the macroeconomic parameters used to prepare stress scenarios and financial projections. Forward looking information was adjusted, recognizing macroeconomic impacts based on the available information about past events, current conditions and forecasts of economic conditions, considering the impact generated by COVID-19 and the subsequent economic recovery of some regions.

For more information, see Note 1.1 Other events COVID-19 impact.

The economic scenarios used as of December 31, 2021, and 2020 (one-year projections) include the following expected scenarios of key indicators (among others) for Colombia.

2021

2020

Scenario A

Scenario B

Scenario C

Scenario A

Scenario B

Scenario C

Inflation

3.39%

4.19%

5.63%

2.26%

2.69%

3.08%

Interest rate

4.50%

5.25%

6.50%

1.75%

2.25%

2.75%

GDP Growth

3.63%

4.57%

6.19%

3.89%

4.86%

5.85%

Used home prices

(2.20%)

1.18%

4.06%

(2.10%)

0.96%

3.27%

Unemployment rate

12.81%

11.38%

9.74%

16.31%

14.43%

12.90%

The economic scenarios used as of December 31, 2021, and 2020 (one-year projections) include the following expected scenarios of key indicators (among others) for Guatemala.

2021

2020

Scenario A

Scenario B

Scenario C

Scenario A

Scenario B

Scenario C

Inflation

4.46%

3.95%

3.74%

5.31%

3.28%

2.52%

Nominal interest rate variation

0.09%

(0.12%)

(0.30%)

0.04%

(0.27%)

(0.50%)

GDP Growth

3.83%

4.53%

6.49%

1.67%

4.20%

5.84%

Exchange rate

0.29%

(0.25%)

(1.64%)

1.16%

(0.25%)

(1.79%)

The economic scenarios used as of December 31, 2021, and 2020 (one-year projections) include the following expected scenarios of key indicators (among others) for Honduras.

2021

2020

Scenario A

Scenario B

Scenario C

Scenario A

Scenario B

Scenario C

Inflation

4.59%

4.38%

3.32%

3.34%

3.57%

2.54%

Nominal interest rate variation

0.61%

0.07%

(1.15%)

0.20%

(0.21%)

(0.50%)

GDP Growth

2.81%

4.53%

4.92%

2.03%

3.94%

4.71%

Exchange rate

0.91%

0.15%

(2.47%)

1.91%

0.92%

(0.55%)

The economic scenarios used as of December 31, 2021, and 2020 (one-year projections) include the following expected scenarios of key indicators (among others) for El Salvador. It is important to mention that it is a dollarized economy, so devaluation does not apply to it.

2021

2020

Scenario A

Scenario B

Scenario C

Scenario A

Scenario B

Scenario C

Inflation

1.13%

2.18%

3.34%

1.22%

0.23%

(0.23%)

Nominal interest rate variation

(0.03%)

0.69%

1.45%

1.10%

0.40%

(0.08%)

GDP Growth

4.43%

3.42%

1.53%

1.96%

3.60%

4.69%

The economic scenarios used as of December 31, 2021, and 2020 (one-year projections) include the following expected scenarios of key indicators (among others) for Nicaragua. It is important to mention that it is a dollarized economy, so devaluation does not apply to it.

2021

2020

Scenario A

Scenario B

Scenario C

Scenario A

Scenario B

Scenario C

Inflation

5.68%

4.14%

2.30%

3.67%

2.78%

2.49%

Nominal interest rate variation

3.73%

0.75%

(0.98%)

1.05%

0.11%

(1.38%)

GDP Growth

0.28%

3.31%

4.54%

(2.28%)

0.14%

2.12%

The economic scenarios used as of December 31, 2021, and 2020 (one-year projections) include the following expected scenarios of key indicators (among others) for Costa Rica.

2021

2020

Scenario A

Scenario B

Scenario C

Scenario A

Scenario B

Scenario C

Inflation

4.13%

3.33%

1.53%

2.22%

0.98%

0.75%

Nominal interest rate variation

1.59%

0.03%

(1.11%)

2.28%

1.82%

(0.01%)

GDP Growth

2.86%

3.32%

4.86%

0.93%

2.98%

4.27%

Exchange rate

6.84%

1.39%

0.00%

5.22%

3.67%

2.19%

The economic scenarios used as of December 31, 2021, and 2020 (one-year projections) include the following expected scenarios of key indicators (among others) for Panamá. It is important to mention that it is a dollarized economy, so devaluation does not apply to it.

2021

2020

Scenario A

Scenario B

Scenario C

Scenario A

Scenario B

Scenario C

Inflation

3.78%

2.86%

2.17%

1.89%

0.23%

(0.29%)

Nominal interest rate variation

0.89%

0.84%

0.37%

0.21%

0.02%

(0.13%)

GDP Growth

3.35%

5.12%

8.03%

2.37%

4.04%

6.34%

The scenario probability weightings applied as of December 31, 2021, and 2020 in measuring ECL are as follows.

Colombia

2021

2020

    

Scenario A

    

Scenario B

    

Scenario C

    

Scenario A

    

Scenario B

    

Scenario C

    

Scenario probability
weighting

23%

57%

20%

23%

55%

22%

Guatemala

2021

2020

    

Scenario A

    

Scenario B

    

Scenario C

    

Scenario A

    

Scenario B

    

Scenario C

    

Scenario probability
weighting

 

10%

55%

35%

10%

65%

25%

Honduras

2021

2020

    

Scenario A

    

Scenario B

    

Scenario C

    

Scenario A

    

Scenario B

    

Scenario C

    

Scenario probability
weighting

 

15%

60%

25%

15%

65%

20%

El Salvador

2021

2020

    

Scenario A

    

Scenario B

    

Scenario C

    

Scenario A

    

Scenario B

    

Scenario C

    

Scenario probability
weighting

 

30%

60%

10%

20%

65%

15%

Nicaragua

2021

2020

    

Scenario A

    

Scenario B

    

Scenario C

    

Scenario A

    

Scenario B

    

Scenario C

    

Scenario probability
weighting

 

25%

55%

20%

20%

65%

15%

Costa Rica

2021

2020

    

Scenario A

    

Scenario B

    

Scenario C

    

Scenario A

    

Scenario B

    

Scenario C

    

Scenario probability
weighting

 

15%

65%

20%

35%

60%

5%

Panamá

2021

2020

    

Scenario A

    

Scenario B

    

Scenario C

    

Scenario A

    

Scenario B

    

Scenario C

    

Scenario probability
weighting

 

15%

60%

25%

30%

60%

10%

The table below shows the loss allowance on loans assuming each forward-looking scenario (e.g. scenario A, B and C) were weighted 100% instead of applying scenario probability weights across the three scenarios.

December 31, 2021

December 31, 2020

Scenario A

Scenario B

Scenario C

    

Scenario A

Scenario B

Scenario C

Gross Exposure

Commercial

Ps.

122,027,804

Ps.

122,027,804

Ps.

122,027,804

Ps.

110,986,938

Ps.

110,986,938

Ps.

110,986,938

Consumer

76,889,145

76,889,145

76,889,145

65,835,457

65,835,457

65,835,457

Mortgages

29,120,316

29,120,316

29,120,316

24,558,771

24,558,771

24,558,771

Microcredit

317,739

317,739

317,739

372,321

372,321

372,321

Interbank and overnight founds

3,218,433

3,218,433

3,218,433

4,693,678

4,693,678

4,693,678

Total gross exposure

Ps.

231,573,437

Ps.

231,573,437

Ps.

231,573,437

Ps.

206,447,165

Ps.

206,447,165

Ps.

206,447,165

Loss Allowance

Commercial

Ps.

5,720,145

Ps.

5,830,791

Ps.

5,940,469

Ps.

5,247,205

Ps.

5,270,163

Ps.

5,321,111

Consumer

4,410,869

4,599,286

4,766,627

4,884,759

4,958,046

5,072,691

Mortgages

670,926

732,072

785,675

519,443

552,532

584,010

Microcredit

102,434

105,148

107,139

126,561

123,609

122,413

Interbank and overnight founds

7,198

7,279

7,335

3,251

3,345

3,460

Total Loss Allowance

Ps.

10,911,572

Ps.

11,274,576

Ps.

11,607,245

Ps.

10,781,219

Ps.

10,907,695

Ps.

11,103,685

Proportion of Assets in Stage 2

Commercial

9.8

%

10.1

%

10.5

%

8.6

%

8.8

%

9.0

%

Consumer

11.3

%

12.7

%

14.0

%

17.9

%

18.1

%

18.7

%

Mortgages

16.9

%

17.5

%

18.2

%

20.2

%

20.6

%

21.2

%

Microcredit

13.7

%

13.7

%

13.7

%

8.2

%

8.2

%

8.2

%

Interbank and overnight founds

%

%

%

%

%

%

Credit Risk Rating

Grupo Aval allocates each exposure to a credit risk grade based on a variety of data intended to be predictive of the probability of default and applying experienced credit judgment. Grupo Aval uses these grades with the purpose identifying significant increases in credit risk. Credit risk grades are defined using qualitative and quantitative factors that are indicative of the risk of default. These factors may vary depending on the nature of the exposure and the type of borrower.

Each exposure is allocated to a credit risk grade at initial recognition based on available information about the borrower. Exposures are subject to ongoing monitoring, which may result in an exposure being moved to a different credit risk grade. The monitoring typically involves using of the following data:

Commercial

   

Consumer 

   

Mortgage

   

Microcredit

-Information from the audited financial statements obtained during periodic reviews.

 

-Information collected internally about the behavior of customers.

 

-Information collected internally about the behavior of customers.

 

-Information collected internally about the behavior of customers.

-Data from credit reference agencies.

 

- Data from credit reference agencies.

 

- Data from credit reference agencies.

 

- Data from credit reference agencies.

-Information collected internally about the behavior of customers.

-Information from the different sectors.

III.          LGD – Loss Given Default

LGD is a measure of the likely loss in the event of a default. To estimate LGD, Grupo Aval uses information of the collateral security / guarantee which covers each individual credit, when available. In any case, Grupo Aval uses historical and forward-looking information (the same information described above in II. PD – Probability of Default - Forward-Looking Information) to estimate the expected potential recovery in case of a default. The LGD is estimated in groups by type of credit, collateral security / guarantee or maturity.

IV.          EAD – Exposure at Default

EAD represents the expected exposure from a counterparty at the time of a possible default. For stage 2 Grupo Aval incorporates in the analysis of the exposure at default the probability of payments and increase in exposure during the lifetime of the credit.

These probabilities are estimated using the historical information collected by the financial subsidiaries and are grouped by type of product. The probabilities are constantly reviewed in order to accurately estimate them and calibrate them.

Credit Risk Model: Debt securities

This model estimates the impairment of credit risk in debt securities. In general, at the moment of inception, all financial assets originate ECLs for the next 12 months. If credit risk increases significantly and there is enough objective evidence of increase of probability of default, then the reserve is adjusted for the remaining life of the financial asset.

I.          Transition between stages

A financial asset is classified as a low credit risk asset if the issuer is related to an investment grade credit rating.

Financial assets different than low credit risk must be evaluated individually. The first step in the methodology consist in evaluating a significant increase in credit risk by comparing the current status against the status at initial recognition of the security.

External elements related to a significant increase in credit risk are detailed below:

Negative changes in external credit ratings.
Changes in external market variables such as credit spreads, prices of issuer’s CDS and other prices of debt instruments and equities.
Changes in business, economic, financial, regulatory or technological environment which can affect the payment capacity of the issuer.
Changes in operational results that can compromise the payment capacity of the issuer.

If the financial asset loses its low credit risk condition or if changes in external environment results in a review of the condition, then this probably shows a significant increase in credit risk. Consequently, the financial asset will be analyzed to determine if there is a significant increase of credit risk (stage 2) or if the asset should be classified as stage 3.

Objective evidence of impairment is the second step in making changes between stages. It is concluded that there is objective evidence of impairment if one the following situations is met:

The external credit rating of the issuer, issuer or counterparty is reduced to D on the Standard & Poor´s and Fitch Ratings scale or up to C on the Moody´s scale.
Contractual payments are not made on the established dates, terms or grace periods.
There is a certainty of suspension of payments.
There is a probability that the issuer or counterparty will go into a bankruptcy process.
Due to financial difficulties there is no market for financial assets.

II.          PD – Probability of default

PD depends of the external credit rating of the issuance, issuer or counterparty. Credit rating information is published by international credit rating corporations, such as Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s and Fitch Ratings, or national credit rating corporations, such as Fitch Ratings Colombia S.A. or BRC. In any case, international ratings have priority over national ratings.

Credit ratings from S&P have priority over the other rating corporations. If the issuance, issuer or counterparty is not rated by S&P, credit ratings from Moody’s or Fitch Ratings can be used but they must be translated to the S&P rating scale. The order of priority in credit rating corporations is as follows: S&P in first place, Moody’s in second place and Fitch Ratings in the third one. The reason for choosing this hierarchy is to avoid discretion at the time of assigning a rating. National credit ratings can be used only if international credit ratings are not available, and the translation condition to the S&P rating scale must be followed as well.

For financial assets classified as stage 1, PD correspond to the probability of default for the next 12 months established in accordance to “Cumulative Default Rates by Rating Modifiers” for both sovereign and corporate issuers, expressed at an annual basis.  If the remaining life of the assets is less than 12 months, the resulting PD will correspond to the weighted 12 months-PD with the remaining life of the financial asset.

For financial assets classified as stage 2, lifetime PD must be used and computed using the “Cumulative Default Rates by Rating Modifiers” for both sovereign and corporate issuers, expressed at an annual basis and according to the term of each flow.

For financial assets classified as stage 3, lifetime PD will equal 100% for any issuance, issuer or counterparty.

PD value tables are available in S&P Global Ratings: “2020 Annual Sovereign Default Study and Rating Transitions” and “2020 Annual Global Corporate Default Study and Rating Transitions Study”.

Forward-Looking Information

Grupo Aval incorporates forward-looking information into its assessment of whether the credit risk of an instrument has increased significantly since initial recognition and its measurement of ECL. This information will directly affect the PD and the stage classification.

When rating the sovereign and corporate issuers, credit ratings agencies incorporate prospective information, as well as forecasting of macroeconomic variables and the influence of these factors over the business conditions. Grupo Aval’s methodology includes external credit ratings which, under the previous argument, have already considered prospective information.

Furthermore, credit ratings are also subject to rating outlooks which can modify the current credit ratings. Details are provided below. Rating outlooks are published by credit rating corporations and reflect the perspective of the potential long-term credit rating over the next 6 to 24 months.

If the Rating Outlook is categorized as “STABLE”, no adjustments in credit ratings are needed.
If the Rating Outlook is “POSITIVE”, PD will be adjusted as the average between the current PD and the applicable PD in the case credit rating improves one notch. However, this would only take place if the resulting PD is lower than the current PD.
If the Rating Outlook is “NEGATIVE”, PD will be adjusted as the average between the current PD and the applicable PD in the case credit rating deteriorates one notch. However, this would only take place if the resulting PD is higher than the current PD.

III.          LGD – Loss given default

LGD is a measure of the potential loss if a default scenario occurs. To establish the LGD, Grupo Aval’s methodology uses information published by Moody’s credit rating corporation. LGD is based on relevant external default data, such as the historical recovery rates, which is defined as the complement of LGD calculation.

Moody’s computes Recovery Rates as the ratio between market prices after 30 days of the default or the debt swap price at the closing date, and the market price of the issuance at the beginning of the default. In the case of unavailable market prices, recovery rates will be the resulting ratio between present value of expected cash flows of the new instruments received with the debt swap and the present value of the initial instruments.

Grupo Aval´s methodology assigns weights for recovery rates for Sovereigns Debt and Corporates Debt. The recovery rates for Sovereigns Debt rose slightly from 52% in 2020 to 53% in 2021, also the recovery rates for Corporates Debt fell moderately from 47% in 2020 to 46.9% in 2021.

Further information is available and published annually by Moody’s in the “Sovereign default and recovery rates 1983-2020” and “Annual Default Study” reports.

IV.          EAD – Exposure at default

EAD represents the amount owed from a counterparty at the time of a possible default and only for securities classified at amortized cost or FVOCI. See accounting policy in Note 2 (2.5 ix).

For stage 1 and stage 3 financial assets, EAD will correspond to the full valuation of the assets at amortized cost.

For stage 2 financial assets, EAD will consider the financial asset amortized scheme assuming no default in the previous years.

In the case that financial assets present a guarantees or security collateral, these could reduce total EAD. This is a typical case of collateralized interbank loans.

Credit Risk Model: Other accounts receivable

Grupo Aval uses two approaches to estimate ECL of financial assets classified as other accounts receivables.

The first one is the simplified approach where Grupo Aval uses an allowance matrix to measure the ECLs of trade receivables from individual customers, which comprise a very large number of small amounts.

Loss rates are calculated using a ‘roll rate’ method based on the probability of a receivable progressing through successive stages of delinquency to write-off. Roll rates are calculated separately for exposures in different segments based on the following common credit risk characteristics like type of product purchased.

Loss rates are based on the experience of real credit loss during a year and the balance of accounts receivable at the cut-off date for previously defined homogeneous segments. It takes into consideration elements such as: segmentation by type of receivable account, date of analysis, definition of loss, among others. Based on the characteristics of the short-term receivable accounts, these portfolios result from operations where there are no non-linear impacts, therefore, the application of macroeconomic scenarios is not considered.

The second one is the general approach, it considers the methodologies explained above for loans and debt securities. For non-financial companies in the oil and gas sector, the loans methodology is considered, while the debt securities methodology is considered for government and other government related entities.

For more information, see Note 1.1 Other events COVID-19 impact.

Loss allowance

The table below shows the loss allowance balances as of December 31, 2021 and 2020.

December 31, 2021

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Lifetime

Lifetime

ECL not

ECL

12-month

credit-

credit-

Simplified

    

ECL

    

impaired

    

impaired

    

approach

    

Total

Loan portfolio

 

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

Loan commercial portfolio

 

Ps.

655,655

 

Ps.

1,006,822

 

Ps.

4,192,268

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

5,854,745

Loan consumer portfolio

 

  

1,066,543

 

  

1,396,101

 

  

2,118,360

 

  

 

  

4,581,004

Loan mortgage portfolio

 

  

93,122

 

  

286,903

 

  

352,382

 

  

 

  

732,407

Loan microcredit portfolio

 

  

6,740

 

  

13,291

 

  

85,039

 

  

 

  

105,070

Loan interbank and overnight founds portfolio

 

  

2,386

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

2,386

Total loan portfolio

 

Ps.

1,824,446

 

Ps.

2,703,117

 

Ps.

6,748,049

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

11,275,612

Investments in debt securities at amortized cost

 

  

3,297

 

  

7,401

 

  

 

  

 

  

10,698

Other accounts receivable

 

  

18,939

 

  

16,771

 

  

129,449

 

  

217,643

 

  

382,802

Total loss allowance financial assets at amortized cost

 

Ps.

1,846,682

 

Ps.

2,727,289

 

Ps.

6,877,498

 

Ps.

217,643

 

Ps.

11,669,112

Investments in debt securities at FVOCI

 

  

123,978

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

123,978

Loan commitments and financial guarantee contracts

 

  

45,916

 

  

10,097

 

  

6,028

 

  

 

  

62,041

Total loss allowance

 

Ps.

2,016,576

 

Ps.

2,737,386

 

Ps.

6,883,526

 

Ps.

217,643

 

Ps.

11,855,131

December 31, 2020

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Lifetime

Lifetime

ECL not

ECL

12-month

credit-

credit-

Simplified

    

ECL

    

impaired

    

impaired

    

approach

    

Total

Loan portfolio

 

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

Loan commercial portfolio

 

Ps.

656,830

 

Ps.

805,097

 

Ps.

3,818,479

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

5,280,406

Loan consumer portfolio

 

  

1,013,071

 

  

1,948,030

 

  

1,977,870

 

  

 

  

4,938,971

Loan mortgage portfolio

 

  

72,294

 

  

225,889

 

  

262,721

 

  

 

  

560,904

Loan microcredit portfolio

 

  

17,089

 

  

60,040

 

  

46,910

 

  

 

  

124,039

Loan interbank and overnight founds portfolio

 

  

792

 

  

 

  

59

 

  

 

  

851

Total loan portfolio

 

Ps.

1,760,076

 

Ps.

3,039,056

 

Ps.

6,106,039

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

10,905,171

Investments in debt securities at amortized cost

 

  

7,188

 

  

7

 

  

 

  

 

  

7,195

Other accounts receivable

 

  

18,136

 

  

13,548

 

  

107,471

 

  

203,902

 

  

343,057

Total loss allowance financial assets at amortized cost

 

Ps.

1,785,400

 

Ps.

3,052,611

 

Ps.

6,213,510

 

Ps.

203,902

 

Ps.

11,255,423

Investments in debt securities at FVOCI

 

  

96,307

 

  

179

 

  

 

  

 

  

96,486

Loan commitments and financial guarantee contracts

 

  

57,226

 

  

8,679

 

  

1,488

 

  

 

  

67,393

Total loss allowance

 

Ps.

1,938,933

 

Ps.

3,061,469

 

Ps.

6,214,998

 

Ps.

203,902

 

Ps.

11,419,302

The table below shows for loans stage 3 individually assessed for ECL the gross amount and loss allowance balances as of December 31, 2021 and 2020.

December 31, 2021

    

Gross Amount Registered

    

Collateral Guarantees

    

Allowance Recognized

Without recognized provision

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

Commercial

 

Ps.

234,321

 

Ps.

226,767

 

Ps.

Repos, interbank loans portfolio

 

  

 

  

 

  

Subtotal

 

Ps.

234,321

 

Ps.

226,767

 

Ps.

With recognized provision

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

Commercial

 

Ps.

7,451,781

 

Ps.

1,611,433

 

Ps.

3,063,079

Consumer

 

  

1,825

 

  

 

  

1,103

Repos, interbank loans portfolio

 

  

 

  

 

  

Subtotal

 

Ps.

7,453,606

 

Ps.

1,611,433

 

Ps.

3,064,182

Totals

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

Commercial

 

  

7,686,102

 

  

1,838,200

 

  

3,063,079

Consumer

 

  

1,825

 

  

 

  

1,103

Repos, interbank loans portfolio

 

  

 

  

 

  

Total

 

Ps.

7,687,927

 

Ps.

1,838,200

 

Ps.

3,064,182

December 31, 2020

    

Gross Amount Registered

    

Collateral Guarantees

    

Allowance Recognized

Without recognized provision

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

Commercial

 

Ps.

193,605

 

Ps.

170,588

 

Ps.

Repos, interbank loans portfolio

 

  

 

  

 

  

Subtotal

 

Ps.

193,605

 

Ps.

170,588

 

Ps.

With recognized provision

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

Commercial

 

Ps.

6,771,799

 

Ps.

1,202,068

 

Ps.

2,810,985

Consumer

 

  

14,840

 

  

4,433

 

  

5,697

Repos, interbank loans portfolio

 

  

 

  

 

  

Subtotal

 

Ps.

6,786,639

 

Ps.

1,206,501

 

Ps.

2,816,682

Totals

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

Commercial

 

  

6,965,404

 

  

1,372,656

 

  

2,810,985

Consumer

 

  

14,840

 

  

4,433

 

  

5,697

Repos, interbank loans portfolio

 

  

 

  

 

  

Total

 

Ps.

6,980,244

 

Ps.

1,377,089

 

Ps.

2,816,682

The difference between the value of the loan and the guarantees disclosed on the table above corresponds to unsecured loans valued with the discounted cash flow method. When using this method, it is implied that it is possible for the customer to make future payments.

The loss allowance recognized in the period is impacted by a variety of factors, as described below:

Transfers between Stage 1 and Stages 2 or 3 due to financial instruments experiencing significant increases (or decreases) in credit risk or becoming credit-impaired in the period, and the consequent "step up" (or "step down") between 12-month and lifetime ECL;
Additional allowances for new financial instruments recognized during the period, as well as releases for financial instruments de-recognized in the period;
Impact of the measurement of ECL due to changes made to models and assumptions;
Discount unwind within ECL due to the passage of time, as ECL is measured on a present value basis;
Foreign exchange retranslations for asset denominated in foreign currencies and other movements; and
Financial assets derecognized during the period and write-offs of allowances related to assets than were written off during the period.

For more information, see Note 1.1 Other events COVID-19 impact.

The following tables show the reconciliations from the opening to the closing balance of the loss allowance by class of financial instrument. See note 1.1 “Other events COVID-19”.

Total Loan portfolio

Stage 2

Lifetime 

Stage 3

Stage 1

ECL not 

Lifetime 

12-month 

credit-

ECL credit-

    

ECL

    

impaired

    

impaired

    

Total

Loss allowance as of January 1, 2019

Ps.

1,824,874

Ps.

1,197,046

Ps.

5,174,267

Ps.

8,196,187

Transfers:

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

(231,472)

231,472

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

(132,800)

132,800

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

(567,849)

567,849

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

104,502

(104,502)

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

323,445

(323,445)

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

114,968

(114,968)

Net remeasurement of loss allowance (4)

(352,578)

632,102

3,696,083

3,975,607

New financial assets originated or purchased

659,037

119,690

203,482

982,209

Financial assets that have been derecognized

(366,590)

(241,128)

(177,357)

(785,075)

Unwind of discount (1)

280

2,155

502,002

504,437

FX and other movements

52,724

49,148

(72,493)

29,379

Write-offs

(38,750)

(44,961)

(4,633,236)

(4,716,947)

Loss allowance as of December 31, 2019

Ps.

1,853,138

 

Ps.

1,158,732

 

Ps.

5,173,927

Ps.

8,185,797

Transfers:

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

(747,230)

 

  

747,230

 

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

(86,240)

 

  

 

  

86,240

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

 

  

(1,121,369)

 

  

1,121,369

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

 

  

282,952

 

  

(282,952)

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

760,572

 

  

(760,572)

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

101,001

 

  

 

  

(101,001)

Net remeasurement of loss allowance (3)

163,470

 

  

2,134,128

 

  

3,330,703

5,628,301

New financial assets originated or purchased

997,855

 

  

1,338,601

 

  

597,193

2,933,649

Financial assets that have been derecognized

(1,332,641)

 

  

(658,999)

 

  

(333,365)

(2,325,005)

Unwind of discount (1)

 

  

 

  

488,862

488,862

FX and other movements

56,520

 

  

(69,694)

 

  

3,723

(9,451)

Write-offs

(6,369)

 

  

(11,953)

 

  

(3,978,660)

(3,996,982)

Loss allowance as of December 31, 2020

 

Ps.

1,760,076

 

Ps.

3,039,056

 

Ps.

6,106,039

 

Ps.

10,905,171

Transfers:

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

 

  

(375,884)

375,884

 

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

 

  

(62,711)

62,711

 

  

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

 

  

(1,573,080)

1,573,080

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

 

  

493,121

(493,121)

 

  

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

 

  

722,124

(722,124)

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

 

  

119,424

(119,424)

 

  

Net remeasurement of loss allowance (2)

 

  

(512,733)

895,936

3,457,483

 

  

3,840,686

New financial assets originated or purchased

 

  

1,536,668

1,139,491

1,196,713

 

  

3,872,872

Financial assets that have been derecognized

 

  

(1,342,958)

(952,975)

(946,763)

 

  

(3,242,696)

Unwind of discount (1)

 

  

440,452

 

  

440,452

FX and other movements

 

  

52,304

206,490

135,859

 

  

394,653

Write-offs

 

  

(71,864)

(198,682)

(4,664,980)

 

  

(4,935,526)

Loss allowance as of December 31, 2021

 

Ps.

1,824,446

 

Ps.

2,703,117

 

Ps.

6,748,049

 

Ps.

11,275,612

(1)

The unwind of discount on Stage 3 financial assets is reported within "interest income" so that interest income is recognized on the amortized cost (after deducting the ECL allowance)

(2)

This amount includes impact of the measurement of ECL due to changes made in PDs/LGDs/EADs and changes made to model assumptions and methodologies from the opening to the closing balance. The following table shows the impact by stage estimated using all parameters as of December 31, 2021 versus parameters as of December 31,2020 and the loan portfolio as of December 31, 2021.

December 31, 2021

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Stage 1

Lifetime ECL not 

Lifetime ECL 

12-month ECL

credit-impaired

credit-impaired

Total

Ps.

(73,359)

 

Ps.

588,507

 

Ps.

139,586

 

Ps.

654,734

(3)       This amount includes impact of the measurement of ECL due to changes made in PDs/LGDs/EADs and changes made to model assumptions         and methodologies from the opening to the closing balance. The following table shows the impact by stage estimated using all parameters as of December 31, 2020 versus parameters as of December 31,2019 and the loan portfolio as of December 31, 2020.

December 31, 2020

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Stage 1

Lifetime ECL not 

Lifetime ECL 

12-month ECL

credit-impaired

credit-impaired

Total

Ps.

(203,257)

 

Ps.

951,565

 

Ps.

94,477

 

Ps.

842,785

(4)       This amount includes impact of the measurement of ECL due to changes made in PDs/LGDs/EADs and changes made to model assumptions         and methodologies from the opening to the closing balance. The following table shows the impact by stage estimated using all parameters as of December 31, 2019 versus parameters as of December 31,2018 and the loan portfolio as of December 31, 2019.

December 31, 2019

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Stage 1

Lifetime ECL not 

Lifetime ECL 

12-month ECL

credit-impaired

credit-impaired

Total

Ps.

71,209

 

Ps.

23,388

 

Ps.

53,684

 

Ps.

148,281

The following table further explains changes in the gross carrying amount of the loan portfolio to help explain their significance to the changes in the allowance for the same portfolio as discussed above. See note 1.1 “Other events COVID-19”.

Stage 2

Lifetime 

Stage 3

Stage 1

ECL not 

Lifetime 

12-month 

credit-

ECL credit-

    

ECL

    

impaired

    

impaired

    

Total

Total portfolio as of January 1, 2019

 

Ps.

158,886,792

Ps.

7,721,137

Ps.

10,273,912

Ps.

176,881,841

Transfers:

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

(11,790,121)

  

11,790,121

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

(1,632,972)

  

  

1,632,972

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

  

(4,150,773)

  

4,150,773

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

6,281,477

  

(6,281,477)

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

  

743,373

  

(743,373)

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

582,523

  

  

(582,523)

New financial assets originated or purchased

122,422,192

1,039,653

3,104,714

126,566,559

Financial assets that have been paid

(111,126,183)

(2,838,645)

(3,549,580)

(117,514,408)

Net remeasurement of amortized cost and other receivables

7,920

(534)

9,783

17,169

Write-offs

(38,750)

(44,961)

(4,633,236)

(4,716,947)

FX and other movements

613,810

  

78,913

  

201,177

893,900

Total portfolio as of December 31, 2019

 

Ps.

164,206,688

Ps.

8,056,807

Ps.

9,864,619

 

Ps.

182,128,114

Transfers:

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

(23,112,703)

  

23,112,703

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

(1,574,736)

  

  

1,574,736

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

  

(4,284,347)

  

4,284,347

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

5,844,035

  

(5,844,035)

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

  

686,395

  

(686,395)

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

296,597

  

  

(296,597)

New financial assets originated or purchased

118,071,909

8,580,252

5,293,832

131,945,993

Financial assets that have been paid

(110,680,835)

(4,172,476)

(4,327,100)

(119,180,411)

Net remeasurement of amortized cost and other receivables

63,866

27,377

27,407

118,650

Write-offs

(6,369)

(11,953)

(3,978,660)

(3,996,982)

Stage 2

Lifetime 

Stage 3

Stage 1

ECL not 

Lifetime 

12-month 

credit-

ECL credit-

    

ECL

    

impaired

    

impaired

    

Total

On business combination(1)

12,198,534

  

390,932

  

519,752

13,109,218

FX and other movements

2,182,662

  

46,544

  

93,377

2,322,583

Total portfolio as of December 31, 2020

 

Ps.

167,489,648

 

Ps.

26,588,199

 

Ps.

12,369,318

 

Ps.

206,447,165

Transfers:

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

 

  

(17,334,957)

17,334,957

 

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

 

  

(1,543,825)

1,543,825

 

  

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

 

  

(7,053,993)

7,053,993

 

  

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

 

  

10,061,944

(10,061,944)

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

 

  

1,610,080

(1,610,080)

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

 

  

530,336

(530,336)

 

  

New financial assets originated or purchased

 

  

155,677,465

5,277,942

2,038,453

 

  

162,993,860

Financial assets that have been paid

 

  

(133,804,657)

(8,410,092)

(4,993,051)

 

  

(147,207,800)

Net remeasurement of amortized cost and other receivables

 

  

(2,239,801)

2,113

2,269,894

 

  

32,206

Write-offs

 

  

(71,864)

(198,682)

(4,664,980)

 

  

(4,935,526)

FX and other movements

12,054,832

1,809,993

378,707

14,243,532

Total portfolio as of December 31, 2021

 

Ps.

190,819,121

 

Ps.

26,898,573

 

Ps.

13,855,743

 

Ps.

231,573,437

(1)See note 35 Business combination

The total loan portfolio is composed of commercial loans, consumer loans, mortgage loans, microcredit loans and interbank and overnight funds loan. The following tables show the movement in provision and gross amounts of these portfolios separately:

Commercial loan portfolio

Stage 2

Lifetime 

Stage 3

Stage 1

ECL not 

Lifetime 

12-month 

credit-

ECL credit-

    

ECL

    

impaired

    

impaired

    

Total

Loss allowance as of January 1, 2019

Ps.

751,966

Ps.

211,926

Ps.

3,393,120

Ps.

4,357,012

Transfers:

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

(39,555)

39,555

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

(32,545)

32,545

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

(95,381)

95,381

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

20,636

(20,636)

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

43,460

(43,460)

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

21,431

(21,431)

Net remeasurement of loss allowance (4)

(178,010)

85,522

1,360,537

1,268,049

New financial assets originated or purchased

332,007

25,185

134,973

492,165

Financial assets that have been derecognized

(220,837)

(40,743)

(157,064)

(418,644)

Unwind of discount (1)

280

2,136

394,476

396,892

FX and other movements

16,214

8,664

(27,709)

(2,831)

Write-offs

(2,374)

(937)

(1,900,944)

(1,904,255)

Loss allowance as of December 31, 2019

Ps.

692,037

 

Ps.

213,103

 

Ps.

3,283,248

Ps.

4,188,388

Transfers:

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

(106,236)

  

106,236

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

(14,417)

  

  

14,417

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

  

(141,882)

  

141,882

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

  

40,930

  

(40,930)

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

125,920

  

(125,920)

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

21,407

  

  

(21,407)

Net remeasurement of loss allowance (3)

(53,544)

  

641,800

  

1,682,572

2,270,828

New financial assets originated or purchased

370,537

  

220,038

  

133,197

723,772

Financial assets that have been derecognized

(386,384)

  

(140,133)

  

(255,008)

(781,525)

Unwind of discount (1)

  

  

360,126

360,126

FX and other movements

9,196

  

(6,329)

  

(6,368)

(3,501)

Write-offs

(1,686)

 

  

(2,746)

 

  

(1,473,250)

(1,477,682)

Loss allowance as of December 31, 2020

 

Ps.

656,830

 

Ps.

805,097

 

Ps.

3,818,479

 

Ps.

5,280,406

Transfers:

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

 

  

(67,374)

 

  

67,374

 

  

 

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

 

  

(8,994)

 

  

 

  

8,994

 

  

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

 

  

 

  

(258,162)

 

  

258,162

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

 

  

 

  

66,035

 

  

(66,035)

 

  

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

 

  

112,967

 

  

(112,967)

 

  

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

 

  

39,360

 

  

 

  

(39,360)

 

  

Net remeasurement of loss allowance (2)

 

  

(253,424)

 

  

401,013

 

  

1,322,175

 

  

1,469,764

New financial assets originated or purchased

 

  

560,490

 

  

249,297

 

  

330,491

 

  

1,140,278

Financial assets that have been derecognized

 

  

(396,804)

 

  

(242,621)

 

  

(502,435)

 

  

(1,141,860)

Unwind of discount (1)

 

  

 

  

 

  

291,393

 

  

291,393

FX and other movements

 

  

17,031

 

  

36,669

 

  

45,117

 

  

98,817

Write-offs

 

  

(4,427)

 

  

(4,913)

 

  

(1,274,713)

 

  

(1,284,053)

Loss allowance as of December 31, 2021

 

Ps.

655,655

 

Ps.

1,006,822

 

Ps.

4,192,268

 

Ps.

5,854,745

(1)

The unwind of discount on Stage 3 financial assets is reported within “interest income” so that interest income is recognized on the amortized cost (after deducting the ECL allowance)

(2)

This amount includes impact of the measurement of ECL due to changes made in PDs/LGDs/EADs and changes made to model assumptions and methodologies from the opening to the closing balance. The following table shows the impact by stage estimated using all parameters as of December 31, 2021 versus parameters as of December 31,2020 and the loan portfolio as of December 31, 2021.

December 31, 2021

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Stage 1

Lifetime ECL not 

Lifetime ECL 

12-month ECL

credit-impaired

credit-impaired

Total

Ps.

26,567

 

Ps.

539,703

 

Ps.

85,264

 

Ps.

651,534

(3 )        This amount includes impact of the measurement of ECL due to changes made in PDs/LGDs/EADs and changes made to model assumptions and methodologies from the opening to the closing balance. The following table shows the impact by stage estimated using all parameters as of December 31, 2020 versus parameters as of December 31,2019 and the loan portfolio as of December 31, 2020.

December 31, 2020

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Stage 1

Lifetime ECL not 

Lifetime ECL 

12-month ECL

credit-impaired

credit-impaired

Total

Ps.

(68,131)

 

Ps.

349,266

 

Ps.

99,022

 

Ps.

380,157

(4 )        This amount includes impact of the measurement of ECL due to changes made in PDs/LGDs/EADs and changes made to model assumptions and methodologies from the opening to the closing balance. The following table shows the impact by stage estimated using all parameters as of December 31, 2019 versus parameters as of December 31,2018 and the loan portfolio as of December 31, 2019.

December 31, 2019

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Stage 1

Lifetime ECL not 

Lifetime ECL 

12-month ECL

credit-impaired

credit-impaired

Total

Ps.

57,078

 

Ps.

12,301

 

Ps.

36,166

 

Ps.

105,545

The following table further explains changes in the gross carrying amount of the commercial portfolio to help explain their significance to the changes in the allowance for the same portfolio as discussed above. See note 1.1 “Other events COVID-19”.

Stage 2

Lifetime 

Stage 3

Stage 1

ECL not 

Lifetime 

12-month 

credit-

ECL credit-

    

ECL

    

impaired

    

impaired

    

Total

Total portfolio as of January 1, 2019

 

Ps.

85,335,262

Ps.

1,931,245

Ps.

7,507,282

Ps.

94,773,789

Transfers:

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

(3,399,434)

  

3,399,434

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

(1,215,930)

  

  

1,215,930

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

  

(976,090)

  

976,090

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

1,094,712

  

(1,094,712)

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

  

165,806

  

(165,806)

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

251,317

  

  

(251,317)

New financial assets originated or purchased

71,920,832

  

568,237

  

1,500,142

73,989,211

Financial assets that have been paid

(65,044,533)

  

(1,244,422)

  

(2,224,011)

(68,512,966)

Net remeasurement of amortized cost and other receivables

7,603

  

(23)

  

4,696

12,276

Write-offs

(2,374)

(937)

(1,821,926)

(1,825,237)

FX and other movements

389,944

  

18,609

  

91,073

499,626

Total portfolio as of December 31, 2019

 

Ps.

89,337,399

Ps.

2,767,147

Ps.

6,832,153

 

Ps.

98,936,699

Transfers:

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

(6,731,542)

  

6,731,542

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

(916,057)

  

  

916,057

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

  

(1,498,250)

  

1,498,250

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

1,322,740

  

(1,322,740)

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

  

144,864

  

(144,864)

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

87,300

  

  

(87,300)

New financial assets originated or purchased

71,146,401

  

4,795,773

  

2,779,550

78,721,724

Financial assets that have been paid

(69,056,875)

  

(1,841,383)

  

(2,278,856)

(73,177,114)

Net remeasurement of amortized cost and other receivables

25,034

  

13,721

  

12,332

51,087

Write-offs

(1,686)

  

(2,746)

  

(1,473,250)

(1,477,682)

On business combination(1)

6,451,352

  

92,410

  

421,270

6,965,032

FX and other movements

962,070

  

(36,638)

  

41,760

967,192

Stage 2

Lifetime 

Stage 3

Stage 1

ECL not 

Lifetime 

12-month 

credit-

ECL credit-

    

ECL

    

impaired

    

impaired

    

Total

Total portfolio as of December 31, 2020

 

Ps.

92,626,136

 

Ps.

9,843,700

 

Ps.

8,517,102

 

Ps.

110,986,938

Transfers:

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

 

  

(8,066,876)

8,066,876

 

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

 

  

(1,110,290)

1,110,290

 

  

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

 

  

(2,298,275)

2,298,275

 

  

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

 

  

3,656,278

(3,656,278)

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

 

  

558,021

(558,021)

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

 

  

252,465

(252,465)

 

  

New financial assets originated or purchased

 

  

85,350,477

2,945,805

910,240

 

  

89,206,522

Financial assets that have been paid

 

  

(78,035,899)

(4,095,600)

(2,794,731)

 

  

(84,926,230)

Net remeasurement of amortized cost and other receivables

 

  

(925,586)

(55,189)

1,228,575

 

  

247,800

Write-offs

 

  

(4,427)

(4,913)

(1,274,713)

 

  

(1,284,053)

FX and other movements

7,116,102

443,828

236,897

7,796,827

Total portfolio as of December 31, 2021

 

Ps.

100,858,380

 

Ps.

11,747,975

 

Ps.

9,421,449

 

Ps.

122,027,804

(1)See note 35 Business combination

Consumer loan portfolio

Stage 2

Lifetime 

Stage 3

Stage 1

ECL not 

Lifetime 

12-month 

credit-

ECL credit-

    

ECL

    

impaired

    

impaired

    

Total

Loss allowance as of January 1, 2019

Ps.

1,000,009

Ps.

891,884

Ps.

1,556,991

Ps.

3,448,884

Transfers:

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

(177,418)

177,418

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

(96,243)

96,243

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

(423,627)

423,627

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

73,266

(73,266)

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

248,656

(248,656)

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

86,614

(86,614)

Net remeasurement of loss allowance (4)

(142,986)

491,902

2,198,819

2,547,735

New financial assets originated or purchased

300,445

93,015

68,472

461,932

Financial assets that have been derecognized

(141,199)

(192,984)

(15,734)

(349,917)

Unwind of discount (1)

19

89,657

89,676

FX and other movements

35,705

34,982

(32,964)

37,723

Write-offs

(35,743)

(43,805)

(2,601,445)

(2,680,993)

Loss allowance as of December 31, 2019

Ps.

1,077,840

 

Ps.

853,414

 

Ps.

1,623,786

Ps.

3,555,040

Transfers:

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

(589,705)

 

  

589,705

 

  

 

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

(67,290)

 

  

 

  

67,290

 

  

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

 

  

(918,066)

 

  

918,066

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

 

  

218,402

 

  

(218,402)

 

  

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

580,707

 

  

(580,707)

 

  

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

54,682

 

  

 

  

(54,682)

 

  

Net remeasurement of loss allowance (3)

191,249

 

  

1,215,153

 

  

1,480,858

 

  

2,887,260

New financial assets originated or purchased

604,215

 

  

1,105,837

 

  

450,434

 

  

2,160,486

Financial assets that have been derecognized

(877,441)

 

  

(472,211)

 

  

(40,271)

 

  

(1,389,923)

Unwind of discount (1)

 

  

 

  

107,099

 

  

107,099

FX and other movements

42,967

 

  

(54,704)

 

  

12,913

 

  

1,176

Write-offs

(4,153)

 

  

(8,793)

 

  

(2,369,221)

 

  

(2,382,167)

Loss allowance as of December 31, 2020

 

Ps.

1,013,071

 

Ps.

1,948,030

 

Ps.

1,977,870

 

Ps.

4,938,971

Transfers:

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

 

  

(290,074)

290,074

 

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

 

  

(52,284)

52,284

 

  

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

 

  

(1,223,251)

1,223,251

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

 

  

383,703

(383,703)

 

  

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

 

  

549,534

(549,534)

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

 

  

53,979

(53,979)

 

  

Net remeasurement of loss allowance (2)

 

  

(256,398)

392,840

1,996,796

 

  

2,133,238

New financial assets originated or purchased

 

  

941,873

836,627

788,765

 

  

2,567,265

Financial assets that have been derecognized

 

  

(861,113)

(637,177)

(388,768)

 

  

(1,887,058)

Unwind of discount (1)

 

  

121,699

 

  

121,699

FX and other movements

 

  

32,986

138,664

76,474

 

  

248,124

Write-offs

 

  

(65,031)

(183,875)

(3,292,329)

 

  

(3,541,235)

Loss allowance as of December 31, 2021

 

Ps.

1,066,543

 

Ps.

1,396,101

 

Ps.

2,118,360

 

Ps.

4,581,004

(1)

The unwind of discount on Stage 3 financial assets is reported within "interest income" so that interest income is recognized on the amortized cost (after deducting the ECL allowance)

(2)

This amount includes impact of the measurement of ECL due to changes made in PDs/LGDs/EADs and changes made to model assumptions and methodologies from the opening to the closing balance. The following table shows the impact by stage estimated using all parameters as of December 31, 2021 versus parameters as of December 31,2020 and the loan portfolio as of December 31, 2021.

December 31, 2021

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Stage 1

Lifetime ECL not 

Lifetime ECL 

12-month ECL

credit-impaired

credit-impaired

Total

Ps.

(97,455)

 

Ps.

56,801

 

Ps.

15,669

 

Ps.

(24,985)

(3)      This amount includes impact of the measurement of ECL due to changes made in PDs/LGDs/EADs and changes made to model assumptions and methodologies from the opening to the closing balance. The following table shows the impact by stage estimated using all parameters as of December 31, 2020 versus parameters as of December 31,2019 and the loan portfolio as of December 31, 2020.

December 31, 2020

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Stage 1

Lifetime ECL not 

Lifetime ECL 

12-month ECL

credit-impaired

credit-impaired

Total

Ps.

(135,158)

 

Ps.

500,012

 

Ps.

(8,650)

 

Ps.

356,204

(4)      This amount includes impact of the measurement of ECL due to changes made in PDs/LGDs/EADs and changes made to model assumptions and methodologies from the opening to the closing balance. The following table shows the impact by stage estimated using all parameters as of December 31, 2019 versus parameters as of December 31,2018 and the loan portfolio as of December 31, 2019.

December 31, 2019

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Stage 1

Lifetime ECL not 

Lifetime ECL 

12-month ECL

credit-impaired

credit-impaired

Total

Ps.

9,044

 

Ps.

4,268

 

Ps.

(2,890)

 

Ps.

10,422

The following table further explains changes in the gross carrying amount of the consumer portfolio to help explain their significance to the changes in the allowance for the same portfolio as discussed above. See note 1.1 “Other events COVID-19”.

Stage 2

Lifetime 

Stage 3

Stage 1

ECL not 

Lifetime 

12-month 

credit-

ECL credit-

    

ECL

    

impaired

    

impaired

    

Total

Total portfolio as of January 1, 2019

 

Ps.

48,863,858

Ps.

4,377,133

Ps.

2,214,073

Ps.

55,455,064

Transfers:

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

(6,703,975)

6,703,975

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

(379,049)

379,049

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

(2,673,304)

2,673,304

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

3,978,012

(3,978,012)

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

473,269

(473,269)

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

223,248

(223,248)

New financial assets originated or purchased

44,760,635

1,068,595

1,515,569

47,344,799

Financial assets that have been paid

(37,229,958)

(2,063,400)

(1,209,835)

(40,503,193)

Net remeasurement of amortized cost and other receivables

2,873

(144)

3,810

6,539

Write-offs

(35,743)

  

(43,805)

  

(2,601,445)

 

  

(2,680,993)

FX and other movements

75,586

43,141

99,508

218,235

Total portfolio as of December 31, 2019

 

Ps.

53,555,487

Ps.

3,907,448

Ps.

2,377,516

 

Ps.

59,840,451

Transfers:

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

(11,366,208)

  

11,366,208

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

(566,670)

  

  

566,670

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

  

(2,317,098)

  

2,317,098

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

3,314,200

  

(3,314,200)

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

  

433,559

  

(433,559)

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

125,565

  

  

(125,565)

New financial assets originated or purchased

40,576,605

  

3,160,656

  

2,382,100

46,119,361

Financial assets that have been paid

(37,552,539)

  

(2,109,543)

  

(1,818,794)

(41,480,876)

Net remeasurement of amortized cost and other receivables

21,838

  

10,389

  

12,511

44,738

Write-offs

(4,153)

  

(8,793)

  

(2,369,906)

 

  

(2,382,852)

On business combination(1)

2,861,841

  

154,993

  

48,033

3,064,867

FX and other movements

487,555

  

99,107

  

43,106

629,768

Total portfolio as of December 31, 2020

 

Ps.

51,453,521

 

Ps.

11,382,726

 

Ps.

2,999,210

 

Ps.

65,835,457

Transfers:

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

 

  

(7,393,087)

7,393,087

 

  

Stage 2

Lifetime 

Stage 3

Stage 1

ECL not 

Lifetime 

12-month 

credit-

ECL credit-

    

ECL

    

impaired

    

impaired

    

Total

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

 

  

(369,425)

369,425

 

  

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

 

  

(4,014,618)

4,014,618

 

  

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

 

  

4,655,119

(4,655,119)

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

 

  

855,852

(855,852)

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

 

  

178,614

(178,614)

 

  

New financial assets originated or purchased

 

  

61,470,863

2,073,804

1,100,860

 

  

64,645,527

Financial assets that have been paid

 

  

(47,804,215)

(3,777,472)

(1,913,485)

 

  

(53,495,172)

Net remeasurement of amortized cost and other receivables

 

  

(1,219,014)

8,654

930,405

 

  

(279,955)

Write-offs

 

  

(65,031)

(183,875)

(3,292,329)

 

  

(3,541,235)

FX and other movements

2,904,395

745,687

74,441

3,724,523

Total portfolio as of December 31, 2021

 

Ps.

63,811,740

 

Ps.

9,828,726

 

Ps.

3,248,679

 

Ps.

76,889,145

(1)See note 35 Business combination

Mortgage loan portfolio

Stage 2

Lifetime 

Stage 3

Stage 1

ECL not 

Lifetime 

12-month 

credit-

ECL credit-

    

ECL

    

impaired

    

impaired

    

Total

Loss allowance as of January 1, 2019

Ps.

49,134

Ps.

81,265

Ps.

170,864

Ps.

301,263

Transfers:

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

(5,351)

5,351

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

(867)

867

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

(25,163)

25,163

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

8,061

(8,061)

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

25,475

(25,475)

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

5,971

(5,971)

Net remeasurement of loss allowance (4)

(27,965)

37,178

116,037

125,250

New financial assets originated or purchased

13,514

839

(25)

14,328

Financial assets that have been derecognized

(1,821)

(7,126)

(4,434)

(13,381)

Unwind of discount (1)

7,413

7,413

FX and other movements

805

5,502

(11,820)

(5,513)

Write-offs

(509)

(136)

(77,157)

(77,802)

Loss allowance balance as of December 31, 2019

Ps.

58,386

Ps.

80,296

Ps.

212,876

Ps.

351,558

Transfers:

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

(23,251)

 

  

23,251

 

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

(1,081)

 

  

 

  

1,081

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

 

  

(42,052)

 

  

42,052

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

 

  

21,817

 

  

(21,817)

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

47,117

 

  

(47,117)

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

24,517

 

  

 

  

(24,517)

Net remeasurement of loss allowance (3)

13,360

 

  

232,709

 

  

153,075

399,144

New financial assets originated or purchased

14,288

 

  

11,638

 

  

13,495

39,421

Financial assets that have been derecognized

(64,919)

 

  

(45,758)

 

  

(37,748)

(148,425)

Unwind of discount (1)

 

  

 

  

11,772

11,772

FX and other movements

4,357

 

  

(8,661)

 

  

(2,822)

(7,126)

Write-offs

(480)

 

  

(234)

 

  

(84,726)

(85,440)

Loss allowance balance as of December 31, 2020

Ps.

72,294

Ps.

225,889

Ps.

262,721

Ps.

560,904

Transfers:

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

 

  

(13,038)

13,038

 

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

 

  

(407)

407

 

  

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

 

  

(63,357)

63,357

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

 

  

39,998

(39,998)

 

  

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

 

  

57,319

(57,319)

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

 

  

25,633

(25,633)

 

  

Net remeasurement of loss allowance (2)

 

  

11,100

120,809

91,964

 

  

223,873

New financial assets originated or purchased

 

  

18,987

52,937

77,436

 

  

149,360

Financial assets that have been derecognized

 

  

(79,057)

(69,155)

(54,845)

 

  

(203,057)

Unwind of discount (1)

 

  

13,945

 

  

13,945

FX and other movements

 

  

2,287

31,157

14,268

 

  

47,712

Write-offs

 

  

(1,996)

(7,094)

(51,240)

 

  

(60,330)

Loss allowance as of December 31, 2021

 

Ps.

93,122

 

Ps.

286,903

 

Ps.

352,382

 

Ps.

732,407

(1)

The unwind of discount on Stage 3 financial assets is reported within "interest income" so that interest income is recognized on the amortized cost (after deducting the ECL allowance)

(2)

This amount includes impact of the measurement of ECL due to changes made in PDs/LGDs/EADs and changes made to model assumptions and methodologies from the opening to the closing balance. The following table shows the impact by stage estimated using all parameters as of December 31, 2021 versus parameters as of December 31,2020 and the loan portfolio as of December 31, 2021.

December 31, 2021

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Stage 1

Lifetime ECL not 

Lifetime ECL 

12-month ECL

credit-impaired

credit-impaired

Total

Ps.

7,918

 

Ps.

(1,149)

 

Ps.

38,678

 

Ps.

45,447

(3)   This amount includes impact of the measurement of ECL due to changes made in PDs/LGDs/EADs and changes made to model assumptions and methodologies from the opening to the closing balance. The following table shows the impact by stage estimated using all parameters as of December 31, 2020 versus parameters as of December 31,2019 and the loan portfolio as of December 31, 2020.

December 31, 2020

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Stage 1

Lifetime ECL not 

Lifetime ECL 

12-month ECL

credit-impaired

credit-impaired

Total

Ps.

19,653

 

Ps.

57,870

 

Ps.

4,093

 

Ps.

81,616

(4)   This amount includes impact of the measurement of ECL due to changes made in PDs/LGDs/EADs and changes made to model assumptions and methodologies from the opening to the closing balance. The following table shows the impact by stage estimated using all parameters as of December 31, 2019 versus parameters as of December 31,2018 and the loan portfolio as of December 31, 2019.

December 31, 2019

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Stage 1

Lifetime ECL not 

Lifetime ECL 

12-month ECL

credit-impaired

credit-impaired

Total

Ps.

2,064

 

Ps.

5,674

 

Ps.

21,527

 

Ps.

29,265

The following table further explains changes in the gross carrying amount of the mortgage portfolio to help explain their significance to the changes in the allowance for the same portfolio as discussed above. See note 1.1 “Other events COVID-19”.

Stage 2

Lifetime 

Stage 3

Stage 1

ECL not 

Lifetime 

12-month 

credit-

ECL credit-

    

ECL

    

impaired

    

impaired

    

Total

Total portfolio as of January 1, 2019

 

Ps.

16,788,022

Ps.

1,386,657

Ps.

417,424

 

Ps.

18,592,103

Transfers:

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

(1,626,383)

1,626,383

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

(22,295)

22,295

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

(454,152)

454,152

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

1,195,200

(1,195,200)

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

99,768

(99,768)

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

106,163

(106,163)

New financial assets originated or purchased

4,402,822

77,453

45,414

4,525,689

Financial assets that have been paid

(2,681,584)

(200,886)

(69,083)

(2,951,553)

Net remeasurement of amortized cost and other receivables

227

359

667

1,253

Write-offs

(509)

(136)

(77,157)

(77,802)

FX and other movements

104,234

17,163

10,596

131,993

Total portfolio as of December 31, 2019

 

Ps.

18,265,897

 

Ps.

1,357,409

 

Ps.

598,377

 

Ps.

20,221,683

Transfers:

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

(4,873,758)

 

  

4,873,758

 

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

(78,406)

 

  

 

  

78,406

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

 

  

(452,576)

 

  

452,576

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

1,192,732

 

  

(1,192,732)

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

 

  

105,422

 

  

(105,422)

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

82,870

 

  

 

  

(82,870)

New financial assets originated or purchased

3,613,740

 

  

600,116

 

  

71,195

4,285,051

Financial assets that have been paid

(2,300,117)

 

  

(204,162)

 

  

(186,591)

(2,690,870)

Net remeasurement of amortized cost and other receivables

18,054

 

  

3,267

 

  

2,427

23,748

Write-offs

(480)

 

  

(234)

 

  

(84,041)

(84,755)

On business combination(1)

2,412,556

 

  

143,529

 

  

50,449

2,606,534

FX and other movements

204,794

 

  

(15,925)

 

  

8,511

197,380

Total portfolio as of December 31, 2020

 

Ps.

18,537,882

 

Ps.

5,217,872

 

Ps.

803,017

 

Ps.

24,558,771

Transfers:

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

 

  

(1,825,942)

1,825,942

 

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

 

  

(57,038)

57,038

 

  

Stage 2

Lifetime 

Stage 3

Stage 1

ECL not 

Lifetime 

12-month 

credit-

ECL credit-

    

ECL

    

impaired

    

impaired

    

Total

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

 

  

(653,342)

653,342

 

  

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

 

  

1,712,458

(1,712,458)

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

 

  

186,783

(186,783)

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

 

  

97,148

(97,148)

 

  

New financial assets originated or purchased

 

  

6,241,199

258,285

22,852

 

  

6,522,336

Financial assets that have been paid

 

  

(3,450,677)

(501,378)

(259,967)

 

  

(4,212,022)

Net remeasurement of amortized cost and other receivables

 

  

(112,195)

43,422

90,177

 

  

21,404

Write-offs

 

  

(1,996)

(7,094)

(51,240)

 

  

(60,330)

FX and other movements

1,602,310

620,478

67,369

2,290,157

Total portfolio as of December 31, 2021

 

Ps.

22,743,149

 

Ps.

5,278,510

 

Ps.

1,098,657

 

Ps.

29,120,316

(1)See note 35 Business combination

Microcredit loan portfolio

Stage 2

Lifetime 

Stage 3

Stage 1

ECL not 

Lifetime 

12-month 

credit-

ECL credit-

    

ECL

    

impaired

    

impaired

    

Total

Loss allowance as of January 1, 2019

Ps.

23,348

Ps.

11,962

Ps.

52,867

Ps.

88,177

Transfers:

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

(9,148)

9,148

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

(3,145)

3,145

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

(23,678)

23,678

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

2,539

(2,539)

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

5,854

(5,854)

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

945

(945)

Net remeasurement of loss allowance (4)

(3,610)

17,500

20,107

33,997

New financial assets originated or purchased

13,021

651

7

13,679

Financial assets that have been derecognized

(2,348)

(266)

(122)

(2,736)

Unwind of discount (1)

10,456

10,456

Write-offs

(123)

  

(83)

  

(53,542)

(53,748)

Loss allowance balance as of December 31, 2019

Ps.

24,794

 

Ps.

11,919

 

Ps.

53,112

Ps.

89,825

Transfers:

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

(28,038)

 

  

28,038

 

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

(3,452)

 

  

 

  

3,452

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

 

  

(19,369)

 

  

19,369

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

 

  

1,803

 

  

(1,803)

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

6,825

 

  

(6,825)

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

395

 

  

 

  

(395)

Net remeasurement of loss allowance (3)

12,346

 

  

44,439

 

  

15,103

71,888

New financial assets originated or purchased

8,099

 

  

1,088

 

  

8

9,195

Financial assets that have been derecognized

(3,830)

 

  

(873)

 

  

(338)

(5,041)

Unwind of discount (1)

 

  

 

  

9,865

9,865

Write-offs

(50)

 

  

(180)

 

  

(51,463)

(51,693)

Loss allowance balance as of December 31, 2020

 

Ps.

17,089

 

Ps.

60,040

 

Ps.

46,910

 

Ps.

124,039

Transfers:

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

 

  

(5,398)

5,398

 

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

 

  

(1,026)

1,026

 

  

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

 

  

(28,310)

28,310

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

 

  

3,385

(3,385)

 

  

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

 

  

2,304

(2,304)

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

 

  

452

(452)

 

  

Net remeasurement of loss allowance (2)

 

  

(11,869)

(18,726)

46,548

 

  

15,953

New financial assets originated or purchased

 

  

9,648

630

21

 

  

10,299

Financial assets that have been derecognized

 

  

(4,050)

(4,022)

(656)

 

  

(8,728)

Unwind of discount (1)

 

  

13,415

 

  

13,415

Write-offs

 

  

(410)

(2,800)

(46,698)

 

  

(49,908)

Loss allowance as of December 31, 2021

 

Ps.

6,740

 

Ps.

13,291

 

Ps.

85,039

 

Ps.

105,070

(1)

The unwind of discount on Stage 3 financial assets is reported within "interest income" so that interest income is recognized on the amortized cost (after deducting the ECL allowance)

(2)

This amount includes impact of the measurement of ECL due to changes made in PDs/LGDs/EADs and changes made to model assumptions and methodologies from the opening to the closing balance. The following table shows the impact by stage estimated using all parameters as of December 31, 2021 versus parameters as of December 31,2020 and the loan portfolio as of December 31, 2021.

December 31, 2021

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Stage 1

Lifetime ECL not 

Lifetime ECL 

12-month ECL

credit-impaired

credit-impaired

Total

Ps.

(10,466)

 

Ps.

(6,848)

 

Ps.

(25)

 

Ps.

(17,339)

(3)    This amount includes impact of the measurement of ECL due to changes made in PDs/LGDs/EADs and changes made to model assumptions         and methodologies from the opening to the closing balance. The following table shows the impact by stage estimated using all parameters as of    December 31, 2020 versus parameters as of December 31,2019 and the loan portfolio as of December 31, 2020.

December 31, 2020

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Stage 1

Lifetime ECL not 

Lifetime ECL 

12-month ECL

credit-impaired

credit-impaired

Total

Ps.

(21,060)

 

Ps.

44,417

 

Ps.

12

 

Ps.

23,369

(4)    This amount includes impact of the measurement of ECL due to changes made in PDs/LGDs/EADs and changes made to model assumptions         and methodologies from the opening to the closing balance. The following table shows the impact by stage estimated using all parameters as of    December 31, 2019 versus parameters as of December 31,2018 and the loan portfolio as of December 31, 2019.

December 31, 2019

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Stage 1

Lifetime ECL not 

Lifetime ECL 

12-month ECL

credit-impaired

credit-impaired

Total

Ps.

1,207

 

Ps.

(188)

 

Ps.

(531)

 

Ps.

488

The following table further explains changes in the gross carrying amount of the microcredit portfolio to help explain their significance to the changes in the allowance for the same portfolio as discussed above. See note 1.1 “Other events COVID-19”.

Stage 2

Lifetime 

Stage 3

Stage 1

ECL not 

Lifetime 

12-month 

credit-

ECL credit-

    

ECL

    

impaired

    

impaired

    

Total

Total portfolio as of January 1, 2019

 

Ps.

344,722

Ps.

25,374

Ps.

55,601

 

Ps.

425,697

Transfers:

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

(60,329)

60,329

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

(15,698)

15,698

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

(47,227)

47,227

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

13,553

(13,553)

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

4,530

(4,530)

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

1,795

(1,795)

New financial assets originated or purchased

304,306

2,968

43,589

350,863

Financial assets that have been paid

(258,304)

(7,537)

(46,651)

(312,492)

Write-offs

(123)

  

(83)

  

(53,542)

(53,748)

Total portfolio as of December 31, 2019

 

Ps.

329,922

 

Ps.

24,801

 

Ps.

55,597

 

Ps.

410,320

Transfers:

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

(141,195)

 

  

141,195

 

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

(13,603)

 

  

 

  

13,603

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

 

  

(16,423)

 

  

16,423

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

14,363

 

  

(14,363)

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

 

  

2,550

 

  

(2,550)

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

862

 

  

 

  

(862)

New financial assets originated or purchased

145,350

 

  

23,707

 

  

60,987

230,044

Financial assets that have been paid

(157,075)

 

  

(17,386)

 

  

(41,884)

(216,345)

Net remeasurement of amortized cost and other receivables

(4)

 

  

 

  

(1)

(5)

Write-offs

(50)

 

  

(180)

 

  

(51,463)

(51,693)

Total portfolio as of December 31, 2020

 

Ps.

178,570

 

Ps.

143,901

 

Ps.

49,850

 

Ps.

372,321

Transfers:

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

 

  

(49,052)

49,052

 

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

 

  

(7,072)

7,072

 

  

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

 

  

(87,758)

87,758

 

  

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

 

  

38,089

(38,089)

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

 

  

9,424

(9,424)

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

 

  

2,109

(2,109)

 

  

New financial assets originated or purchased

 

  

183,192

48

4,501

 

  

187,741

Financial assets that have been paid

 

  

(158,470)

(35,642)

(24,868)

 

  

(218,980)

Net remeasurement of amortized cost and other receivables

 

  

463

5,226

20,876

 

  

26,565

Write-offs

 

  

(410)

(2,800)

(46,698)

 

  

(49,908)

Total portfolio as of December 31, 2021

 

Ps.

187,419

 

Ps.

43,362

 

Ps.

86,958

 

Ps.

317,739

Interbank and overnight funds

Stage 2

Lifetime 

Stage 3

Stage 1

ECL not 

Lifetime 

12-month 

credit-

ECL credit-

    

ECL

    

impaired

    

impaired

    

Total

Loss allowance as of January 1, 2019

Ps.

417

Ps.

9

Ps.

425

Ps.

851

Transfers:

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

7

(7)

Net remeasurement of loss allowance (3)

(7)

583

576

New financial assets originated or purchased

50

55

105

Financial assets that have been derecognized

(385)

(9)

(3)

(397)

Write-offs

(1)

(148)

(149)

Loss allowance balance as of December 31, 2019

Ps.

81

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

905

Ps.

986

Transfers:

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

3

 

  

(3)

 

  

Net remeasurement of loss allowance (2)

59

 

  

27

 

  

(905)

(819)

New financial assets originated or purchased

716

 

  

 

  

59

775

Financial assets that have been derecognized

(67)

 

  

(24)

 

  

(91)

Loss allowance balance as of December 31, 2020

 

Ps.

792

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

59

 

Ps.

851

Transfers:

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

Net remeasurement of loss allowance (1)

 

  

(2,142)

 

  

(2,142)

New financial assets originated or purchased

 

  

5,670

 

  

5,670

Financial assets that have been derecognized

 

  

(1,934)

(59)

 

  

(1,993)

Loss allowance as of December 31, 2021

 

Ps.

2,386

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

2,386

(1)

This amount includes impact of the measurement of ECL due to changes made in PDs/LGDs/EADs and changes made to model assumptions and methodologies from the opening to the closing balance. The following table shows the impact by stage estimated using all parameters as of December 31, 2021 versus parameters as of December 31,2020 and the loan portfolio as of December 31, 2021.

December 31, 2021

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Stage 1

Lifetime ECL not 

Lifetime ECL 

12-month ECL

credit-impaired

credit-impaired

Total

Ps.

77

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

77

(2) This amount includes impact of the measurement of ECL due to changes made in PDs/LGDs/EADs and changes made to model assumptions and methodologies from the opening to the closing balance. The following table shows the impact by stage estimated using all parameters as of December 31, 2020 versus parameters as of December 31,2019 and the loan portfolio as of December 31, 2020.

December 31, 2020

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Stage 1

Lifetime ECL not 

Lifetime ECL 

12-month ECL

credit-impaired

credit-impaired

Total

Ps.

1,439

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

1,439

(3) This amount includes impact of the measurement of ECL due to changes made in PDs/LGDs/EADs and changes made to model assumptions and methodologies from the opening to the closing balance. The following table shows the impact by stage estimated using all parameters as of December 31, 2019 versus parameters as of December 31,2018 and the loan portfolio as of December 31, 2019.

December 31, 2019

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Stage 1

Lifetime ECL not 

Lifetime ECL 

12-month ECL

credit-impaired

credit-impaired

Total

Ps.

48

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

48

The following table further explains changes in the gross carrying amount of the interbank and overnight funds portfolio to help explain their significance to the changes in the allowance for the same portfolio as discussed above:

Stage 2

Lifetime 

Stage 3

Stage 1

ECL not 

Lifetime 

12-month 

credit-

ECL credit-

    

ECL

    

impaired

    

impaired

    

Total

Total portfolio as of January 1, 2019

 

Ps.

7,554,928

Ps.

728

Ps.

79,532

 

Ps.

7,635,188

Transfers:

New financial assets originated or purchased

1,033,597

(677,600)

355,997

Financial assets that have been paid

(5,911,804)

677,600

(5,234,204)

Net remeasurement of amortized cost and other receivables

(2,783)

(726)

610

(2,899)

Write-offs

(1)

(79,166)

(79,167)

FX and other movements

44,046

44,046

Total portfolio as of December 31, 2019

 

Ps.

2,717,983

 

Ps.

2

 

Ps.

976

 

Ps.

2,718,961

Transfers:

New financial assets originated or purchased

2,589,813

 

  

 

  

2,589,813

Financial assets that have been paid

(1,614,229)

 

  

(2)

 

  

(975)

(1,615,206)

Net remeasurement of amortized cost and other receivables

(1,056)

 

  

 

  

138

(918)

On business combination(1)

472,785

 

  

 

  

472,785

FX and other movements

528,243

 

  

 

  

528,243

Total portfolio as of December 31, 2020

 

Ps.

4,693,539

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

139

 

Ps.

4,693,678

Transfers:

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

New financial assets originated or purchased

 

  

2,431,734

 

  

2,431,734

Financial assets that have been paid

 

  

(4,355,396)

 

  

(4,355,396)

Net remeasurement of amortized cost and other receivables

 

  

16,531

(139)

 

  

16,392

FX and other movements

432,025

432,025

Total portfolio as of December 31, 2021

 

Ps.

3,218,433

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

3,218,433

(1)See note 35 Business combination

The following table further explains changes in the gross carrying amount of investments in debt securities at FVOCI portfolio to help explain their significance to the changes in the allowance for the same portfolio as discussed above:

Investments in debt securities at FVOCI

Stage 2

Lifetime 

Stage 3

Stage 1

ECL not 

Lifetime 

12-month 

credit-

ECL credit-

    

ECL

    

impaired

    

impaired

    

Total

Loss allowance balance as of January 31, 2019

Ps.

20,757

Ps.

31,980

Ps.

46,280

Ps.

99,017

Net remeasurement of loss allowance (4)

(7,696)

(3,564)

(55)

(11,315)

New financial assets originated or purchased

34,575

34,575

Financial assets that have been derecognized

(3,729)

(27,440)

(45,602)

(76,771)

FX and other movements

(9,827)

(976)

(623)

(11,426)

Loss allowance balance as of December 31, 2019

 

Ps.

34,080

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

34,080

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

(298)

298

Net remeasurement of loss allowance (3)

16,391

50

16,441

New financial assets originated or purchased

64,764

64,764

Financial assets that have been derecognized

(12,954)

(179)

(13,133)

FX and other movements

(5,676)

10

(5,666)

Loss allowance as of December 31, 2020

Ps.

96,307

 

Ps.

179

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

96,486

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

(45)

45

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

45

(45)

Net remeasurement of loss allowance (2)

 

  

(13,853)

 

  

 

  

 

  

(13,853)

New financial assets originated or purchased

 

  

78,371

 

  

 

  

 

  

78,371

Financial assets that have been derecognized

 

  

(50,665)

 

  

(178)

 

  

 

  

(50,843)

FX and other movements

 

  

13,818

 

  

(1)

 

  

 

  

13,817

Loss allowance as of December 31, 2021

 

Ps.

123,978

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

123,978

(2)    This amount includes impact of the measurement of ECL due to changes made in PDs/LGDs/EADs and changes made to model assumptions and methodologies from the opening to the closing balance. The following table shows the impact by stage estimated using all parameters as of December 31, 2021 versus parameters as of December 31, 2020 and the loan portfolio as of December 31, 2021.

December 31, 2021

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Stage 1

Lifetime ECL not 

Lifetime ECL 

12-month ECL

credit-impaired

credit-impaired

Total

Ps.

(12,852)

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

(12,852)

(3)    This amount includes impact of the measurement of ECL due to changes made in PDs/LGDs/EADs and changes made to model assumptions and methodologies from the opening to the closing balance. The following table shows the impact by stage estimated using all parameters as of December 31, 2020 versus parameters as of December 31, 2019 and the loan portfolio as of December 31, 2020.

December 31, 2020

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Stage 1

Lifetime ECL not 

Lifetime ECL 

12-month ECL

credit-impaired

credit-impaired

Total

Ps.

4,781

 

Ps.

35

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

4,816

(4)    This amount includes impact of the measurement of ECL due to changes made in PDs/LGDs/EADs and changes made to model assumptions and methodologies from the opening to the closing balance. The following table shows the impact by stage estimated using all parameters as of December 31, 2019 versus parameters as of December 31, 2018 and the loan portfolio as of December 31, 2019.

December 31, 2019

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Stage 1

Lifetime ECL not 

Lifetime ECL 

12-month ECL

credit-impaired

credit-impaired

Total

Ps.

(1,709)

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

(1,709)

The following table further explains changes in the gross carrying amount of investments in debt securities at amortized cost portfolio to help explain their significance to the changes in the allowance for the same portfolio as discussed above:

Investments in debt securities at amortized cost

Stage 2

Lifetime 

Stage 3

Stage 1

ECL not 

Lifetime 

12-month 

credit-

ECL credit-

    

ECL

    

impaired

    

impaired

    

Total

Loss allowance balance as of January 31, 2019

Ps.

71

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

71

Net remeasurement of loss allowance (4)

(615)

(615)

New financial assets originated or purchased

1,353

1,353

Financial assets that have been derecognized

(64)

(64)

FX and other movements

(8)

(8)

Loss allowance as of December 31, 2019

Ps.

737

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

737

Net remeasurement of loss allowance (3)

(755)

(755)

New financial assets originated or purchased

9,023

8

9,031

Financial assets that have been derecognized

(1,583)

(1,583)

FX and other movements

(234)

(1)

(235)

Loss allowance as of December 31, 2020

Ps.

7,188

 

Ps.

7

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

7,195

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

(1,805)

1,805

Net remeasurement of loss allowance (2)

(2,133)

4,066

1,933

New financial assets originated or purchased

2,999

1,443

4,442

Financial assets that have been derecognized

(3,831)

(3,831)

FX and other movements

879

80

959

Loss allowance as of December 31, 2021

 

Ps.

3,297

 

Ps.

7,401

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

10,698

(2)    This amount includes impact of the measurement of ECL due to changes made in PDs/LGDs/EADs and changes made to model assumptions and methodologies from the opening to the closing balance. The following table shows the impact by stage estimated using all parameters as of December 31, 2021 versus parameters as of December 31, 2020 and the loan portfolio as of December 31, 2021.

December 31, 2021

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Stage 1

Lifetime ECL not 

Lifetime ECL 

12-month ECL

credit-impaired

credit-impaired

Total

Ps.

(225)

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

(225)

(3)    This amount includes impact of the measurement of ECL due to changes made in PDs/LGDs/EADs and changes made to model assumptions and methodologies from the opening to the closing balance. The following table shows the impact by stage estimated using all parameters as of December 31, 2020 versus parameters as of December 31, 2019 and the loan portfolio as of December 31, 2020.

December 31, 2020

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Stage 1

Lifetime ECL not 

Lifetime ECL 

12-month ECL

credit-impaired

credit-impaired

Total

Ps.

215

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

215

(4)    This amount includes impact of the measurement of ECL due to changes made in PDs/LGDs/EADs and changes made to model assumptions and methodologies from the opening to the closing balance. The following table shows the impact by stage estimated using all parameters as of December 31, 2019 versus parameters as of December 31, 2018 and the loan portfolio as of December 31, 2019.

December 31, 2019

    

Stage 2

    

Stage 3

    

Stage 1

Lifetime ECL not 

Lifetime ECL 

12-month ECL

credit-impaired

credit-impaired

Total

Ps.

211

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

211

Other accounts receivable

General approach

Stage 2

Lifetime 

Stage 3

Stage 1

ECL not 

Lifetime 

12-month 

credit-

ECL credit-

    

ECL

    

impaired

    

impaired

    

Total

Loss allowance as of January 1, 2019

Ps.

19,700

Ps.

11,561

Ps.

66,327

Ps.

97,588

Transfers stages

Transfer from Stage 1 to Stage 3

(19,176)

  

  

19,176

  

Transfer from Stage 2 to Stage 3

  

(754)

  

754

  

Net remeasurement of loss allowance

8,062

  

4,160

  

28,041

40,263

FX and other movements

(21)

  

(6)

  

(23)

(50)

Transfer from general approach to simplified approach

8,996

  

(1,421)

  

(10,170)

(2,595)

Write-offs

(4,208)

  

(534)

  

(17,308)

(22,050)

Loss allowance as of December 31, 2019

Ps.

13,353

 

Ps.

13,006

 

Ps.

86,797

Ps.

113,156

Transfers stages

Net remeasurement of loss allowance

4,901

 

  

1,010

 

  

33,833

39,744

FX and other movements

107

 

  

(468)

 

  

60

(301)

Write-offs

(225)

 

  

 

  

(13,219)

(13,444)

Loss allowance as of December 31, 2020

 

Ps.

18,136

 

Ps.

13,548

 

Ps.

107,471

 

Ps.

139,155

Transfers stages

 

  

Net remeasurement of loss allowance

 

  

2,378

2,865

41,515

 

  

46,758

FX and other movements

 

  

(49)

358

1,223

 

  

1,532

Write-offs

 

  

(1,526)

(20,760)

 

  

(22,286)

Loss allowance as of December 31, 2021

 

Ps.

18,939

 

Ps.

16,771

 

Ps.

129,449

 

Ps.

165,159

Simplified approach

    

Loss allowance

Loss allowance as of January 1, 2019

Ps.

159,303

Entity deconsolidation

(56)

Provision charged to profit or loss

  

35,506

Recovery of partial payments from the clients

  

(11,129)

Write-offs

  

(13,097)

Exchange gains (losses) in foreign currency

185

Transfer from general approach to simplified approach

  

2,595

Loss allowance as of December 31, 2019

 

Ps.

173,307

On business combination

217

Provision charged to profit or loss

 

  

45,757

Recovery for partial payments from the clients

 

  

(9,144)

Write-offs

 

  

(6,256)

Exchange gains (losses) in foreign currency

 

  

21

Loss allowance as of December 31, 2020

 

Ps.

203,902

On business combination

Provision charged to profit or loss

 

  

44,210

Recovery for partial payments from the clients

 

  

(10,670)

Write-offs

 

  

(32,850)

Exchange gains (losses) in foreign currency

 

  

13,051

Loss allowance as of December 31, 2021

 

Ps.

217,643

Loan commitments and financial guarantee contracts

Stage 2

Lifetime 

Stage 3

Stage 1

ECL not 

Lifetime 

12-month 

credit-

ECL credit-

    

ECL

    

impaired

    

impaired

    

Total

Loss allowance as of January 1, 2019

 

Ps.

40,715

Ps.

14,358

Ps.

4,355

 

Ps.

59,428

Transfers:

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

(529)

 

  

529

 

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

(172)

 

  

 

  

172

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

 

  

(173)

 

  

173

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

8,116

 

  

(8,116)

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

3,582

(3,582)

Net remeasurement of loss allowance

(29,069)

 

  

(4,528)

 

  

(238)

(33,835)

New loan commitments and financial guarantees issued

22,613

 

  

875

 

  

627

24,115

FX and other movements

253

 

  

 

  

1

254

Loss allowance as of December 31, 2019

 

Ps.

45,509

 

Ps.

2,945

 

Ps.

1,508

 

Ps.

49,962

Transfers:

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

(1,879)

 

  

1,879

 

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

(417)

 

  

 

  

417

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

 

  

(178)

 

  

178

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

1,784

 

  

(1,784)

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

1

(1)

Net remeasurement of loss allowance

(1,230)

 

  

3,025

 

  

(587)

1,208

New loan commitments and financial guarantees issued

12,582

 

  

2,737

 

  

(8)

15,311

FX and other movements

876

 

  

 

  

36

912

Loss allowance as of December 31, 2020

 

Ps.

57,226

 

Ps.

8,679

 

Ps.

1,488

 

Ps.

67,393

Transfers:

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

 

  

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 2

 

  

(1,260)

1,260

 

  

Transfer from stage 1 to stage 3

 

  

(132)

132

 

  

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 3

 

  

(169)

169

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 2

 

  

36

(36)

 

  

Transfer from stage 2 to stage 1

 

  

4,585

(4,585)

 

  

Transfer from stage 3 to stage 1

84

(84)

Net remeasurement of loss allowance

 

  

(27,833)

822

(617)

 

  

(27,628)

New loan commitments and financial guarantees issued

 

  

13,222

4,025

4,924

 

  

22,171

FX and other movements

 

  

24

29

52

 

  

105

Loss allowance as of December 31, 2021

 

Ps.

45,916

 

Ps.

10,097

 

Ps.

6,028

 

Ps.

62,041

4.1.6          Concentrations of credit risk

Loan portfolio

Policies to prevent excessive credit-risk concentration

In order to prevent excessive concentrations of credit risk at an individual, economic group, country or economic sectors level, each financial subsidiary of Grupo Aval maintains updated exposure thresholds to limit concentration. The exposure limit by a financial subsidiary of Grupo Aval to an individual client or economic group depends on the risk profile of the client (or economic group), the nature of the risk of the debtor and the experience of each financial subsidiary in a specific market or sector.

Concentration risk control is key to the risk management process. Grupo Aval´s financial subsidiaries monitor the degree of credit risk concentration by sector and customer group.

In order to avoid credit risk concentration at Grupo Aval level, management relies on the financial subsidiaries Credit Risk Vice-Presidency or its equivalent, which consolidates, and monitors the credit risk exposures of all financial subsidiaries, to determine the maximum levels of concentration.

Pursuant to Colombian regulations, financial subsidiaries in Colombia cannot grant unsecured loans to borrowers, which on a combined basis exceed 10% of the financial subsidiary´s regulatory capital calculated according to the regulations of the Superintendency of Finance. Loans maybe more than 10% of the regulatory capital of the financial subsidiary when they are secured by acceptable collateral and/or certain guarantees.

In BAC, within its regional credit risk policy, were established a series of indicators focused on monitoring the structure, concentration and quality of the portfolio. These indicators are monitored monthly at the regional level, depending on how close they are to the limits established internally and those established by the regulators. This monitoring is carried out by means of a limit range measurement.

Some of the most relevant indicators that are established in the policy, with their respective upper limits are:

Concentration indicator that measures the concentration of the economic groups with the highest balance (top20), should not exceed 60% of the portfolio.
Concentration indicator that establishes that the concentration of the portfolio with the highest balance in the subsector should not exceed 80% of the subsidiary's equity.
Quality of the portfolio that establishes that impaired loans should not exceed 5% of the portfolio.
Quality of the portfolio in relation to the past due 30 days should not exceed 3.95%.
Indicator that measures the proximity to the regulatory limit of each subsidiary. The indicator cannot reach 90% of the regulatory limit.

At the Central American level, the limits established by regulators vary from one country to another; in Guatemala 30% for greater exposure per group and 15% for greater exposure by related parties; in Honduras 20% for greater exposure per group and 30% for greater exposure per related parties; in El Salvador, 15% for greater exposure per group and 5% for greater exposure by related parties; in Nicaragua, Costa Rica and Panamá for any type of exposure the limits are 30%, 20% and 25%, respectively. At the regional level, the group established as prudential limits of exposure per Economic Interest Group at a consolidated level at 7.5% without guarantee and 15% with mortgage guarantee.

Concentration by sector

Below is the credit portfolio distribution of Grupo Aval by economic sector as of December 31, 2021, and 2020:

Sector

    

December 31, 2021

    

%

December 31, 2020

    

%

Consumer services

 

Ps.

112,664,061

 

49

%  

Ps.

96,436,401

 

47

%  

Commercial services

 

  

47,289,524

 

20

%  

  

45,363,824

 

22

%  

Construction

16,207,343

7

%  

13,723,891

7

%  

Food, beverage and tobacco

 

  

10,734,796

 

5

%  

  

9,765,741

 

5

%  

Transportation and communications

7,762,906

3

%  

7,300,885

4

%  

Public services

6,526,252

3

%  

5,628,741

3

%  

Chemical production

 

  

4,905,552

 

2

%  

  

5,867,117

 

3

%  

Other industrial and manufacturing products

 

  

9,011,548

 

4

%  

  

5,936,370

 

3

%  

Agricultural

5,831,197

3

%  

5,375,932

3

%  

Government

 

  

4,496,895

 

2

%  

  

4,972,124

 

1

%  

Trade and tourism

 

  

2,697,992

 

1

%  

  

2,893,042

 

1

%  

Mining products and oil

 

  

1,003,516

 

%  

  

941,577

 

%  

Other

2,441,855

1

%  

2,241,520

1

%  

Total of each economic sector

 

Ps.

231,573,437

 

100

%  

Ps.

206,447,165

 

100

%  

Concentration by location

The detail of credit risk at the level of Grupo Aval in the different geographic areas determined according to the domicile of the debtor, without taking into consideration loan loss provisions as of December 31, 2021, and 2020 is as follows:

December 31, 2021

    

Commercial

    

Consumer

    

Mortgages

    

Microcredit

    

Interbank and overnight funds

    

Total

Colombia

Ps.

73,778,600

Ps.

47,488,265

Ps.

11,687,157

Ps.

317,739

Ps.

1,645,364

Ps.

134,917,125

Costa Rica

 

8,175,904

 

6,662,962

 

5,737,863

 

 

38,379

 

20,615,108

Panamá

14,955,358

10,905,167

6,197,405

211,493

32,269,423

Guatemala

8,609,322

4,072,181

2,458,318

16,712

15,156,533

Honduras

 

5,224,346

 

3,144,701

 

1,350,711

 

 

385,660

 

10,105,418

El Salvador

 

3,707,305

 

3,482,727

 

1,277,469

 

 

65,090

 

8,532,591

United States

4,119,960

11

796,009

4,915,980

Nicaragua

2,027,088

1,133,029

411,393

9

3,571,519

Other countries

 

1,429,921

 

102

 

 

 

59,717

 

1,489,740

Total gross loan portfolio

Ps.

122,027,804

Ps.

76,889,145

Ps.

29,120,316

Ps.

317,739

Ps.

3,218,433

Ps.

231,573,437

December 31, 2020

    

Commercial

    

Consumer

    

Mortgages

    

Microcredit

    

Interbank and

overnight

funds

    

Total

Colombia

 

Ps.

71,979,346

 

Ps.

42,601,861

 

Ps.

10,160,351

 

Ps.

372,321

 

Ps.

2,394,473

 

Ps.

127,508,352

Costa Rica

 

  

6,210,008

 

  

5,288,997

 

  

4,871,091

 

  

 

  

694,011

 

  

17,064,107

Panamá (1)

11,977,381

8,769,794

5,044,917

969,690

26,761,782

Guatemala

6,737,861

2,980,836

1,980,096

331,361

12,030,154

Honduras

4,198,906

2,520,708

1,082,213

62,244

7,864,071

El Salvador

 

  

2,825,146

 

  

2,875,819

 

  

1,045,839

 

  

 

  

131,648

 

  

6,878,452

United States

 

  

4,345,185

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

4,345,185

Nicaragua

1,764,773

797,128

374,264

22,022

2,958,187

Other countries

 

  

948,332

 

  

314

 

  

 

  

 

  

88,229

 

  

1,036,875

Total gross loan portfolio

 

Ps.

110,986,938

 

Ps.

65,835,457

 

Ps.

24,558,771

 

Ps.

372,321

 

Ps.

4,693,678

 

Ps.

206,447,165

(1)See note 35 Business combination

Concentration by currency

The classification of loan portfolio by type of currency is as follows:

December 31, 2021

    

Colombian Pesos

    

Foreign currency

    

Total

Commercial

 

Ps.

67,590,199

 

Ps.

54,437,605

 

Ps.

122,027,804

Consumer

 

  

47,424,440

 

  

29,464,705

 

  

76,889,145

Residential mortgage

 

  

11,687,028

 

  

17,433,288

 

  

29,120,316

Microcredit

 

  

317,739

 

  

 

  

317,739

Interbank and overnight funds

 

  

1,078,774

 

  

2,139,659

 

  

3,218,433

Total gross loan portfolio

 

Ps.

128,098,180

 

Ps.

103,475,257

 

Ps.

231,573,437

December 31, 2020

    

Colombian Pesos

    

Foreign currency

    

Total

Commercial

 

Ps.

67,436,479

 

Ps.

43,550,459

 

Ps.

110,986,938

Consumer

 

  

42,561,676

 

  

23,273,781

 

  

65,835,457

Residential mortgage

 

  

10,160,198

 

  

14,398,573

 

  

24,558,771

Microcredit

 

  

372,321

 

  

 

  

372,321

Interbank and overnight funds

 

  

2,052,909

 

  

2,640,769

 

  

4,693,678

Total gross loan portfolio

 

Ps.

122,583,583

 

Ps.

83,863,582

 

Ps.

206,447,165

As a December 31, 2021 the loan portfolio in foreign currency represents 44.7% of the total portfolio, equivalent to US$ 25,991. As a December 31, 2020 the loan portfolio in foreign currency represents 40.6%, equivalent to US$ 24,432.

Investment debt securities

Grupo Aval entities monitor concentrations of credit risk by sector and by geographic location. An analysis of concentrations of credit risk from investment securities is shown below.

Concentration by sector

Trading debt securities (see note 8.1)

The balance of financial assets in investments in trading debt securities includes the following as of December 31, 2021, and 2020:

    

December 31, 

    

December 31, 

2021

2020

In Colombian Pesos

 

  

  

 

  

  

Securities issued or secured by Colombian Government

 

Ps.

2,746,240

 

Ps.

2,778,391

Securities issued or secured by other Colombian Government entities

 

  

249,510

 

  

187,295

Securities issued or secured by other financial entities

 

  

1,208,661

 

  

1,339,848

Securities issued or secured by non-financial sector entities

 

  

9,388

 

  

24,975

Others

 

  

34,034

 

  

32,559

 

Ps.

4,247,833

 

Ps.

4,363,068

In foreign currency

 

  

  

 

  

  

Securities issued or secured by Colombian Government

 

Ps.

11,712

 

Ps.

53,588

Securities issued or secured by foreign Governments

 

  

213,863

 

  

201,312

Securities issued or secured by other financial entities

 

  

267,815

 

  

162,970

Others

 

  

64

 

  

55

 

Ps.

493,454

 

Ps.

417,925

Total trading debt securities

 

Ps.

4,741,287

 

Ps.

4,780,993

Investments in debt securities mandatorily at FVTPL (see note 9.1)

The balance of financial assets in investments in debt securities mandatorily at FVTPL includes the following as of December 31, 2021, and 2020:

    

December 31, 

    

December 31, 

2021

2020

In Colombian Pesos

 

  

  

 

  

  

Others

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

7,385

Total debt securities mandatorily at FVTPL

 

Ps.

 

Ps.

7,385

Investments in debt securities at FVOCI

The balance of financial assets in investments in debt securities at FVOCI includes the following as of December 31, 2021, and 2020:

    

December 31, 

    

December 31, 

2021

2020

In Colombian Pesos

  

  

Securities issued or secured by Colombian Government

 

Ps.

13,897,802

 

Ps.

11,130,893

Securities issued or secured by other Colombian Government entities

289,582

285,699

Securities issued or secured by other financial entities

877,265

476,499

Securities issued or secured by non-financial sector entities

16,040

25,752

Others

350,386

49,850

 

Ps.

15,431,075

 

Ps.

11,968,693

In foreign currency

  

 

  

  

Securities issued or secured by Colombian Government

Ps.

2,173,960

 

Ps.

1,716,306

Securities issued or secured by other Colombian Government entities

533,332

 

  

175,374

Securities issued or secured by foreign Governments

12,732,664

 

  

9,663,324

Securities issued or secured by central banks

1,857,718

 

  

1,862,922

Securities issued or secured by other financial entities

3,327,659

 

  

2,435,933

Securities issued or secured by non-financial sector entities

721,670

 

  

23,818

Others

715,788

 

  

1,119,986

 

Ps.

22,062,791

 

Ps.

16,997,663

Total debt securities at FVOCI

 

Ps.

37,493,866

 

Ps.

28,966,356

Investments in debt securities at amortized cost

The balance of financial assets in investments in debt securities at amortized cost includes the following as of December 31, 2021, and 2020:

December 31, 

    

December 31, 

In Colombian Pesos

2021

2020

Securities issued or secured by Colombian Government

Ps.

1,569,076

Ps.

1,674,180

Securities issued or secured by other Colombian Government entities

 

3,696,298

 

3,378,438

Others

 

  

39,973

 

  

 

Ps.

5,305,347

 

Ps.

5,052,618

In foreign currency

 

  

  

 

  

  

Securities issued or secured by foreign Governments

 

Ps.

27,866

 

Ps.

34,747

Securities issued or secured by other financial entities

148,087

288,138

Securities issued or secured by non-financial sector entities

266,411

165,663

Others

27,359

38,962

 

Ps.

469,723

 

Ps.

527,510

Total investments in debt securities at amortized cost

 

Ps.

5,775,070

 

Ps.

5,580,128

Concentration by location

As of December 31,

    

2021

    

2020

Colombia

 

Ps.

28,234,132

 

Ps.

23,771,178

Costa Rica

 

4,953,097

 

3,411,413

Panama

 

3,925,627

 

2,762,019

USA

 

2,649,544

 

2,851,200

Guatemala

 

2,275,076

 

1,899,509

Honduras

 

2,088,894

 

1,159,345

Nicaragua

 

1,139,903

 

917,257

El Salvador

 

816,076

 

919,211

Brazil

 

735,442

 

555,091

Mexico

 

344,855

 

280,492

Chile

 

257,825

 

239,432

Multilateral – Bladex (Foreign Trade Bank of Latin America)

222,023

118,902

Multilateral – Andean Development Corporation (Corporación Andina de Fomento)

 

114,936

 

66,860

Peru

97,145

320,468

Multilateral – International Bank for Reconstruction and Development

92,249

Multilateral – Inter-American Corporation for the Financing of Infrastructure

 

27,008

 

21,194

Dominican Republic

 

20,547

 

Multilateral – Central American Bank for Economic Integration

8,055

6,937

Paraguay

7,789

Germany

34,329

Barbados

25

Total investments

 

Ps.

48,010,223

 

Ps.

39,334,862

Concentration by Sovereign Risk

As a general rule, Grupo Aval considers sovereign risk to be the risk assumed in deposits with Central Banks (including the mandatory deposits), investments in debt issues of a Government. In addition, the risk arising from transactions with public sector entities that have the following features: their funds are obtained only from fiscal income, they are legally recognized as entities directly included in the government sector, and their activities are of a non-commercial nature.

Sovereign risk exposure arises mainly from Grupo Aval’s banking subsidiaries obligations to maintain certain mandatory deposits in Central Banks and from the fixed-income portfolios held as part of the on-balance-sheet structural interest rate risk management strategy and in the trading books of the treasury department. Most of these exposures are denominated in pesos and are financed through peso denominated repurchase agreements or customer deposits.

As of December 31, 2021, and 2020, the investment portfolio of financial assets in debt instruments is comprised mainly of securities issued or secured by entities of the Republic of Colombia and issued or secured by other Colombian Government entities, which represent 52.42% and 54.35%, respectively of the total portfolio.

Below is the detail of Grupo Aval’s sovereign debt portfolio issued by Central Governments per country:

December 31, 2021

December 31, 2020

 

    

    

    

    

%

    

    

%

 

Investment grade (1)

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

Colombia

Ps.

18,186,643

 

54.50

%  

Ps.

17,353,357

 

63.68

%

Panama

 

1,861,644

 

5.58

%  

994,002

 

3.65

%

Peru

4,436

0.01

%  

Mexico

55,063

0.16

%

38,381

0.14

%

United States of America

 

1,711,046

 

5.13

%  

2,465,185

 

9.05

%

Chile

 

 

%  

28,371

 

0.10

%

Ps.

21,818,832

 

65.38

%  

Ps.

20,879,296

 

76.61

%

Speculative (2)

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

Barbados

Ps.

%  

Ps.

25

0.00

%

Brazil

30,507

0.09

%  

%

Colombia

2,212,146

6.63

%  

%

Chile

3,838

0.01

%  

%

Costa Rica

 

4,830,529

 

14.47

%  

3,329,871

 

12.22

%

Honduras

 

1,986,864

 

5.96

%  

1,098,432

 

4.03

%

Guatemala

 

1,555,159

 

4.66

%  

1,010,075

 

3.71

%

El Salvador

 

761,743

 

2.28

%  

849,082

 

3.12

%

Nicaragua

 

173,563

 

0.52

%  

85,958

 

0.32

%

Ps.

11,554,349

 

34.62

%  

Ps.

6,373,443

 

23.39

%

Ps.

33,373,181

 

100.00

%  

Ps.

27,252,739

 

100.00

%

Below is the detail of Grupo Aval’s debt portfolio issued by Central Banks:

December 31, 2021

December 31, 2020

 

    

    

    

%

    

    

%

 

Investment Grade (1)

Panama (*)

Ps.

251,370

 

13.53

%  

Ps.

196,524

 

10.55

%

Ps.

251,370

13.53

%  

Ps.

196,524

10.55

%

Speculative (2)

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

Guatemala

Ps.

605,864

 

32.61

%  

Ps.

810,158

 

43.49

%

Costa Rica

 

43,007

 

2.32

%  

30,906

 

1.66

%

Nicaragua

 

957,478

 

51.54

%  

825,334

 

44.30

%

Ps.

1,606,349

 

86.47

%  

Ps.

1,666,398

 

89.45

%

Total sovereign risk

Ps.

34,979,530

 

100.00

%  

Ps.

28,919,137

 

100.00

%

(1)Investment grade includes the risk rating of Fitch Ratings Colombia S.A o F1+ to F3, BRC of Colombia from BRC 1+ to BRC 3 and Standard & Poor’s from AAA to BBB-.
(2)Speculative or non-investment grade level includes the risk rating of Fitch Ratings Colombia S.A. from B to E, BRC de Colombia from BRC 4 to BRC 6 and Standard & Poor’s from BB+ to D.

(*)    These investments correspond to the National Bank of Panama, which is the official Bank and has the functions of a Central Bank, however, it  does not have the power to issue banknotes or reserve requirements.

4.1.7          Modified Financial Assets - troubled debt restructuring business process.

Each financial subsidiary of Grupo Aval periodically carries out, at the request of the client, restructurings of obligations. Such restructurings generally consist of extensions of tenors, decrease of interest rates, partial write-off of indebtedness or payment with assets of the debtor or guarantor.

Our banking subsidiaries follow highly rigorous definitions and policies in this management process, so that it is performed in accordance with the best practices and in strict compliance with regulatory requirements. In connection to this, Grupo Aval´s banking subsidiaries have a detailed policy with regard to the aforementioned transactions.

The objective of granting such restructurings is to provide the client with a viable alternative to meet its obligations to the bank and to adapt to changing conditions.

When a loan is restructured due to a debtor´s financial difficulties, the debt is flagged within the records of each bank as a restructured credit in accordance with the regulations of the Superintendency of Finance. The restructuring process has a negative impact on the debtor’s rating, which can only be improved when the client has complied during a prudent period with the terms of the restructurings, its financial condition has improved or when sufficient additional guarantees have been obtained.

Restructured loans are included for impairment evaluation and determination of provisions. However, the marking of a credit as restructured does not necessarily imply its rating is impaired, because in some cases new guarantees are obtained supporting the obligation.

The following is the balance of restructured loans as of December 31, 2021, and 2020:

Restructured loans

    

December 31, 2021

    

December 31, 2020

Local currency

Ps.

2,301,239

Ps.

2,345,417

Foreign currency

 

6,942,286

 

4,807,728

Total restructured

Ps.

9,243,525

Ps.

7,153,145

The balance of restructured loans includes loans that received COVID 19 related reliefs, which according to their features were considered restructurings. See more detail in note 1.1. Other business "Clients credit reliefs".

4.1.8          Foreclosed assets business process

When persuasive collection processes or credit restructurings are not effective, a legal proceeding is carried out or an agreement is reached with the client for the receipt of assets as payment. Each subsidiary of the financial sector has clearly established policies for receiving assets and has a separate department specialized in the management of these cases and in charge of their eventual sale or liquidation.

During the years ended December 31, 2021, and 2020, the following is the total of foreclosed assets received and sold during such periods:

    

December 31, 2021

    

December 31, 2020

Foreclosed assets received

Ps.

212,191

Ps.

84,535

Foreclosed assets sold

 

95,042

 

224,310

4.1.9          Loan commitments and financial guarantee contracts

As part of our operations, Grupo Aval grants guarantees and letters of credit to its customers wherein Grupo Aval financial subsidiaries are irrevocably committed to make payments to third parties when customers do not comply with their obligations with such third parties. These products have the same policies for approval of disbursements of loans regarding client’s credit risk and guarantees required according to the circumstances of each client.

The commitments for credit extension represent unused portions of authorizations to grant loans, use of credit cards, overdraft limits and letters of credit. With respect to credit risk over commitments to extend credit lines, Grupo Aval is potentially exposed to credit risk in an amount equal to the total amount of unused commitments, if the unused amount were to be withdrawn in whole. However, the amount of the loss is less that the total amount of commitments unused, since most commitments to extend credits are contingent on the customer maintaining specific credit risk standards.

Grupo Aval monitors maturity terms of commitments regarding credit facilities, because long-term commitments have a higher credit risk than short-term commitments.

Pending unused credit lines and guarantees do not necessarily represent future cash out flows, because such facilities may expire and not be used whole or in part.

Following is the detail of the guarantees, letters of credit and credit commitments on non-used credit lines as of December 31, 2021, and 2020.

Loan commitments and financial guarantee contracts

December 31, 2021

December 31, 2020

    

Notional amount

    

Notional amount

Guarantees

Ps.

4,886,575

Ps.

4,185,261

Unused letters of credit

 

1,366,444

 

1,488,505

Unused limits of overdrafts

 

2,064,096

 

923,257

Unused credit card limits

 

29,541,882

 

23,931,872

Other

 

10,077,324

 

6,623,515

Total

Ps.

47,936,321

Ps.

37,152,410

The following is the detail of the credit commitments by type of currency:

    

December 31, 2021

    

December 31, 2020

Colombian Pesos

Ps.

22,073,167

Ps.

18,870,877

U.S. dollars

 

25,465,480

 

17,823,788

Euro

 

15,650

 

246,520

Other

 

382,024

 

211,225

Total

 

Ps.

47,936,321

 

Ps.

37,152,410

4.1.10          Offset of financial assets and financial liabilities

The disclosures set out in the following tables include financial assets and liabilities that:

are offset in the Group’s statement of financial position; or
are subject to an enforceable master netting arrangement or similar agreement that covers similar financial instruments, irrespective of whether they are offset in the statement of financial position.

The ‘similar agreements’ include derivative clearing agreements; global master repurchase agreements and global master securities lending agreements. Similar financial instruments include derivatives, sale-and-repurchase agreements, reverse sale-and-repurchase agreements, and securities borrowing and lending agreements. Financial instruments such as loans and deposits are not disclosed in the following tables unless they are offset in the statement of financial position.

The ISDA (International Swaps and Derivatives Association) and similar master netting arrangements do not meet the criteria for offsetting in the statement of financial position. This is because they create for the parties to the agreement a right of set-off of recognized amounts that is enforceable only following an event of default, insolvency or bankruptcy of Grupo Aval or of the counterparties or following other predetermined events. In addition, Grupo Aval and its counterparties do not intend to settle on a net basis or to realize the assets and settle the liabilities simultaneously.

Grupo Aval receives and gives collateral in the form of cash and marketable securities in respect of the following transactions:

Derivatives; and
Sale-and-repurchase, and reverse sale-and-repurchase agreements.

This collateral is subject to standard industry terms including, when appropriate, an ISDA credit support annex. This means that securities received/given as collateral can be pledged or sold during the term of the transaction but have to be returned on maturity of the transaction. The terms also give each party the right to terminate the related transactions on the counterparty’s failure to post collateral.

The gross amounts of financial assets and financial liabilities and their net amounts disclosed in the above tables have been measured in the statement of financial position on the following bases:

Derivative assets and liabilities – fair value;
Assets and liabilities resulting from sale-and-repurchase agreements, reverse sale-and repurchase agreements and securities lending and borrowing – amortized cost;

The following is the detail of the financial instruments subject to offset contractually required as of December 31, 2021, and 2020:

December 31, 2021

Gross

Gross Amounts

Net Amounts of

Gross Amounts Not

Amounts of

Offset 

in the

Assets Presented in

Offset in the Consolidated Balance Sheet

Recognized

Consolidated

the Consolidated

Financial

Cash collateral

Net

Assets

Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet

Instruments

Received

Exposure

Offsetting assets

  

  

  

  

  

  

Derivatives

Ps.

1,207,157

Ps.

Ps.

1,207,157

Ps.

(581,595)

Ps.

(30,314)

Ps.

595,248

Repurchase agreements

952,548

952,548

(915,461)

(24,941)

12,146

Total

Ps.

2,159,705

Ps.

Ps.

2,159,705

Ps.

(1,497,056)

Ps.

(55,255)

Ps.

607,394

Gross

Gross Amounts

Net Amounts of

Gross Amounts Not

Amounts of

Offset 

in the

Liabilities Presented in

Offset in the Consolidated Balance Sheet

Recognized

Consolidated

the Consolidated

Financial

Cash collateral

Net

    

Liabilities

Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet

Instruments

Received

Exposure

Offsetting liabilities

  

  

  

  

  

  

Derivatives

Ps.

1,105,723

Ps.

Ps.

1,105,723

Ps.

(179,437)

Ps.

(202,140)

Ps.

724,146

Repurchase agreements

9,449,943

9,449,943

(11,044,441)

(865,793)

(2,460,291)

Total

Ps.

10,555,666

Ps.

Ps.

10,555,666

Ps.

(11,223,878)

Ps.

(1,067,933)

Ps.

(1,736,145)

December 31, 2020

    

    

    

    

    

Gross

Gross Amounts

Net Amounts of

Gross Amounts Not

Amounts of

Offset in the

Assets Presented in

Offset in the Consolidated Balance Sheet

 

Recognized

Consolidated

the Consolidated

Financial

Cash collateral

Net

    

Assets

    

Balance Sheet

    

Balance Sheet

    

Instruments

    

Received

    

Exposure

Offsetting assets

  

  

  

  

  

  

Derivatives

Ps.

1,290,144

Ps.

Ps.

1,290,144

Ps.

(232,569)

Ps.

(109,388)

Ps.

948,187

Repurchase agreements

1,892,136

1,892,136

(1,642,412)

(439,722)

(189,998)

Total

Ps.

3,182,280

Ps.

Ps.

3,182,280

Ps.

(1,874,981)

Ps.

(549,110)

Ps.

758,189

    

    

    

    

Gross

Gross Amounts

Net Amounts of

Gross Amounts Not

Amounts of

Offset in the

Liabilities Presented in

Offset in the Consolidated Balance Sheet

Recognized

Consolidated

the Consolidated

Financial

Cash collateral

Net

    

Liabilities

    

Balance Sheet

    

Balance Sheet

    

Instruments

    

Received

    

Exposure

Offsetting liabilities

  

  

  

  

  

  

Derivatives

Ps.

1,509,201

Ps.

Ps.

1,509,201

Ps.

(103,784)

Ps.

(119,566)

Ps.

1,285,851

Repurchase agreements

6,191,191

6,191,191

(8,004,888)

(1,813,697)

Total

Ps.

7,700,392

Ps.

Ps.

7,700,392

Ps.

(8,108,672)

Ps.

(119,566)

Ps.

(527,846)

Market Risk

4.2          Market Risk

Market risk refers to the risk that a change in the level of one or more market prices, rates, indices, volatilities, correlations or other market factors, such as liquidity, will result in losses in a position or in the portfolio.

Grupo Aval´s financial subsidiaries (namely Banco de Bogotá, Banco de Occidente, Banco Popular, Banco AV Villas, BAC Holding, Corficolombiana, Porvenir and the trust companies of the financial subsidiaries) actively participate in money markets, foreign exchange markets and capital markets, for both of their books (for balance sheet risk management and trading book) and to provide financial services to their customers. This is done subject to established policies and risk limits. In that regard, they hold financial asset portfolios within the allowed limits and risk levels.

Market risk arises from the positions of Grupo Aval´s financial subsidiaries in debt securities investment portfolios, derivatives and equity instruments. These risks are created by changes in factors such as interest rates, inflation, foreign currency exchange rates, share prices, credit margins of instruments and their volatility, as well as the liquidity in the markets where Grupo Aval operates.

Our business units and trading desks are responsible for ensuring that market risk exposures are well-managed and prudent. The risk management groups and our business unit management ensure that these risks are measured and closely monitored. A variety of limits and controls are designed to manage price and liquidity risk. Market risk is monitored through various mechanisms such as: statistically analysis (using Value-at-Risk models and related analytical measures), risk factor sensitivity analysis, and routine stress testing, conducted in collaboration with the business units by the Market Risk Unit. The material risks identified by these processes are summarized in reports produced by the Market Risk Unit that are circulated to, and discussed with, senior management.

4.2.1          Trading Book Risk

Grupo Aval´s financial subsidiaries trade financial instruments for various reasons, mainly:

To offer products tailored to specific customer needs. Some of these products are designed to hedge the financial risks of customers.
To take advantage of arbitrage opportunities among different yield curves, assets and markets, obtaining returns with an adequate use of capital.
To hedge asset and liability risk positions on proprietary positions, to act on behalf of customers or to take advantage of arbitrage opportunities mainly in foreign exchange and interest rates in both local and foreign markets.

In carrying out these operations, Grupo Aval´s financial subsidiaries take risks, within predetermined limits. These risks are mitigated with the use of derivative products and other financial instruments within limits that are permanently monitored by risk.

The following is a breakdown of Grupo Aval’s financial assets and liabilities exposed to trading risk held at December 31, 2021 and 2020.

Account

    

December 31, 2021

    

December 31, 2020

Financial assets

  

Debt financial assets

  

  

Trading investments in debt securities

Ps.

4,741,287

Ps.

4,780,993

Investments in debt securities mandatorily at FVTPL

7,385

Investments in debt securities at FVOCI

37,493,866

28,966,356

Total debt securities

Ps.

42,235,153

Ps.

33,754,734

Derivative assets instruments

Ps.

1,162,909

Ps.

1,133,924

Hedging derivatives assets

44,248

156,220

1,207,157

1,290,144

Total financial assets

Ps.

43,442,310

Ps.

35,044,878

Liabilities

  

  

Derivative liabilities instruments

1,049,910

1,452,574

Hedging derivatives liabilities

55,813

56,627

Total financial liabilities

1,105,723

1,509,201

Net position

Ps.

42,336,587

Ps.

33,535,677

4.2.2          Description of Objectives, Policies and Processes to Manage Trading Risk

Our financial subsidiaries participate in money markets, foreign exchange markets and capital markets to meet their needs and those of their customers, subject to established policies and risk levels. In this respect, they manage different portfolios of financial assets within the limits and risk levels allowed.

The risks assumed by Grupo Aval´s financial subsidiaries in transactions related to the trading or treasury book are consistent with the overall trading strategy, considering the market depth for each instrument, its impact on risk-weighted assets and regulatory capital, the profit budget established for each business unit, and the balance sheet structure.

Trading strategies are established on the basis of approved limits, in an effort to balance the risk / return relationship. Moreover, there is a structure of limits consistent with Grupo Aval’s general philosophy and is based on capital levels, earnings performance and risk appetite.

The Market Risk Management System (SARM in Spanish) allows Grupo Aval´s financial subsidiaries to identify, measure, control and monitor the market risk they are exposed to in carrying out their operations.

There are several scenarios in which Grupo Aval´s financial subsidiaries are exposed to trading risks.

Interest Rate Risk

Grupo Aval’s financial subsidiaries are exposed to interest rate risk as a result of its market-making activities and proprietary trading in interest rate sensitive financial instruments (e.g., risk arising from changes in the level or implied volatility of interest rates, the timing of mortgage prepayments, the shape of the yield curve and credit spreads for credit sensitive instruments). This risk includes the risk of repricing of floating rates. Additionally, as part of the interest rate risk management, asset and liability management committees have been established to monitor the execution of these strategies.

Foreign Exchange Risk

Grupo Aval’s financial subsidiary’s portfolios are exposed to foreign exchange rate and implied volatility risk as a result of market making negotiation in foreign currencies and from maintaining foreign exchange positions.

Equity Price Risk and Mutual Fund Risk

Grupo Aval´s financial subsidiaries are exposed to equity price risk in specific investments and are exposed to mutual fund risk in short term investments in money market or mutual funds.

4.2.2.1          Risk Management

Grupo Aval financial subsidiaries manage their trading positions by employing a variety of risk mitigation strategies. These strategies include diversification of risk exposures and hedging through the purchase or sale of positions in related securities and financial instruments, including a variety of derivative products (e.g., futures, forwards, swaps and options). The financial subsidiaries manage their market risk associated with its trading activities on a decentralized basis. Our corporate risk unit supervises the level of risk taken in order to ensure that its global exposure limits are observed.

Senior management and the boards of directors of our banks and their financial subsidiaries play an active role in managing and controlling market risk. They do so by analyzing established reports and through committees that comprehensively monitor - both technically and fundamentally - the different variables that influence domestic and foreign markets. This process is intended to support strategic trading and portfolio decisions.

Analyzing and monitoring the market risks that Grupo Aval´s financial subsidiaries take in their operations is essential for decision making and to assess potential effects on their financial position. An ongoing analysis of macroeconomic conditions is necessary in order to achieve an ideal combination of market risk, return and liquidity.

The risks assumed in financial operations are reflected in a limit structure that includes different types of instruments, specific trading strategies, the market depth in which Grupo Aval´s financial subsidiaries operate, the impact on risk-weighted assets and regulatory

capital, as well as the balance sheet structure. These limits are monitored daily and reported regularly to the Board of Directors of Grupo Aval´s financial subsidiaries.

In order to minimize interest rate and exchange rate risks in specific positions and transactions, Grupo Aval´s financial subsidiaries manage hedging strategies by taking positions in derivative instruments such as non-deliverable forwards (NDF) related to securities, money market transactions and foreign exchange forwards.

4.2.2.2          Methods Used to Measure Trading Risk

The Market Risk areas independently reviews the Company’s trading portfolios on a regular basis from a market risk perspective utilizing VaR (internal and regulatory models) and other quantitative and qualitative risk measures and analyses. Each trading business and the market risk areas also use, as appropriate, measures such as sensitivity to changes in interest rates, prices, implied volatilities and time decay to monitor and report market risk exposures. Stress testing, which measures the impact on the value of existing portfolios of specified changes in market factors for certain products, is performed periodically and is reviewed by our risk and trading areas. Reports summarizing material risk exposures are produced by the market risk areas and are provided to senior management.

The Boards of Directors and the Risk Committees of Grupo Aval´s financial subsidiaries approve a framework of limits based on the value-at-risk related to the annual budget.

Regulatory VaR (regulatory calculation)

The Regulatory VaR calculation is primarily used for the Superintendency of Finance’s solvency ratio calculations. Each bank has standard models for capital purposes; however, they also maintain internal models in order to manage their day-to- day risk and profit decisions.

The Superintendency of Finance methodology is based on the Basel II model. This model applies only to the financial subsidiaries’ investment portfolio and excludes investments not classified as trading. Total market risk is calculated on a daily basis by aggregating the VaR for each risk exposure category on a ten-day horizon, based on risk factors calculated under extreme market stress scenarios. VaR at month-end is part of the capital adequacy ratio calculation (as set forth in Decree 2555 of 2010). The Superintendency of Finance’s rules require the financial subsidiaries to calculate VaR for the following risk factors: interest rate risk, foreign exchange rate risk, equity price risk and fund risk. Correlations between risk factors are not considered. The fluctuations in the portfolio’s VaR depend on sensitivity factors determined by the Superintendency of Finance, modified duration and changes in balances outstanding. The ten-day horizon is defined as the average time in which an entity could sell a trading position in the market.

The VaR  calculation includes all the portfolios of the entities and their financial subsidiaries and is estimated under the methodology defined by the Superintendency of Finance of Colombia.

These methods are used to determine the occurrence of potential losses among the different business units. The methods also allow comparisons of activities in different markets and identification of the riskiest positions in treasury activities. These tools are also used to determine limits on traders’ positions and to promptly review positions and trading strategies in response to changes in market conditions. VaR models have inherent limitations, partially because they rely on historical data, which may not be an indicative of future market conditions. VaR models could overestimate or underestimate the value at risk if market conditions vary significantly and they do not calculate the greatest possible loss. That’s why each company uses additional measurement tools in order to compensate for the VaR limitations. Expected Shortfall analysis, stress test and back tests are part of the risk measurement tools in the financial subsidiaries. The methods used to measure VaR are assessed regularly and backtested to check their efficiency.

Grupo Aval´s financial subsidiaries have tools to carry out portfolio stress and/or sensitivity tests, using extreme scenario simulations. Additionally, there are limits according to the "risk type" associated with each of the instruments comprising the different portfolios. These limits are related to sensitivity or impact on the value of the portfolio as a result of fluctuations of specific risk factors such as: interest rate (Rho), exchange rate (Delta) and volatility (Vega).

Grupo Aval´s financial subsidiaries have counterparty and trading limits for each trader in the trading platforms for the markets where they operate. trading limits are controlled daily by the back and middle offices of each entity. Trading limits for individual traders are assigned based upon the individual´s level in the organization, market and trading experience and product and portfolio management knowledge.

There is also a process to monitor the prices of fixed-income securities traded in foreign markets published by investment price providers for those jurisdictions.

In addition, fixed income securities are subject to a qualitative liquidity analysis to determine the market depth for those instruments.

Finally, the daily transaction monitoring process includes controlling different aspects of trading, such as terms of negotiation, non-conventional or off-market transactions, and related party transactions.

BAC Holding and MFH´s Value at Risk are consolidated through Banco de Bogotá using the standard methodology established by the Colombian Superintendency of Finance.

According to the standard model, the market value-at-risk (VaR) for Grupo Aval´s financial subsidiaries consolidated at their level of December 31, 2021 and 2020 was as follows:

December 31, 2021

December 31, 2020

    

    

Basis points of

    

    

Basis points of

Entity

Value

regulatory capital

Value

regulatory capital

Banco Bogotá

 

1,013,946

 

100

 

942,885

84

Banco de Occidente

 

327,612

 

135

 

223,942

 

65

Banco Popular

 

173,261

 

169

 

101,773

 

52

Banco AV Villas

 

126,799

 

2

 

110,085

 

1

Corficolombiana

 

211,684

 

7

 

178,478

 

5

Porvenir

 

23,700

 

168

 

13,897

183

The following tables show the VaR calculation relating to each of the risk factors described above and based on the Superintendency of Finance Methodology (Regulatory VaR) for the years ended December 31, 2021 and 2020, for a ten-day horizon for each of our Colombian banking subsidiaries. The minimum, maximum and average levels are determined based on end-of-month calculations, using 12 data points between January and December.

Banco de Bogotá S.A

Maximum, Minimum and Average VaR Values

December 31, 2021

    

Minimum

    

Average

    

Maximum

    

Period end

Interest rate

 

834,269

 

881,819

 

953,656

 

834,269

Exchange rate

 

16,782

 

75,904

 

122,718

 

70,029

Shares

 

2,714

 

8,623

 

15,898

 

2,820

Mutual funds

 

103,577

 

243,525

 

390,295

 

106,827

Maximum, Minimum and Average VaR Values

December 31, 2020

    

Minimum

    

Average

    

Maximum

    

Period end

Interest rate

 

562,477

 

678,937

 

784,070

 

784,070

Exchange rate

 

54,921

 

227,179

 

425,137

 

54,921

Shares

 

1,269

 

1,683

 

1,946

 

1,778

Mutual funds

 

64,884

 

71,340

 

102,117

 

102,117

Banco de Bogota´s market risk weighted assets remained on average 6.8% of the total risk-weighted assets during the year ended December 31, 2021 and 8.6% on the year ended December 31, 2020.

Banco de Occidente S.A

Maximum, Minimum and Average VaR Values

December 31, 2021

    

Minimum

    

Average

    

Maximum

    

Period end

Interest rate

 

165,412

 

252,604

 

298,420

 

255,312

Exchange rate

 

305

 

1,462

 

2,948

 

2,749

Shares

 

 

 

 

Mutual funds

 

53,521

 

65,460

 

76,636

 

69,551

Maximum, Minimum and Average VaR Values

December 31, 2020

    

Minimum

    

Average

    

Maximum

    

Period end

Interest rate

 

112,623

 

148,239

 

170,819

 

170,819

Exchange rate

 

762

 

4,529

 

21,198

 

968

Shares

 

 

 

 

Mutual funds

 

7,756

 

41,097

 

52,216

 

52,155

Banco de Occidente´s market risk weighted assets remained on average 10.1% of the total risk-weighted assets during the year ended December 31, 2021 and 5.8% for the year ended December 31, 2020.

Banco Popular S.A

Maximum, Minimum and Average VaR Values

December 31, 2021

    

Minimum

    

Average

    

Maximum

    

Period end

Interest rate

 

73,313

 

121,143

 

153,794

 

151,504

Exchange rate

 

4,459

 

5,261

 

6,067

 

5,649

Shares

 

143

 

169

 

183

 

144

Mutual funds

 

15,379

 

15,623

 

15,964

 

15,964

Maximum, Minimum and Average VaR Values

December 31, 2020

    

Minimum

    

Average

    

Maximum

    

Period end

Interest rate

 

81,513

 

98,609

 

117,115

 

81,513

Exchange rate

 

2,648

 

4,693

 

5,280

 

4,562

Shares

 

176

 

247

 

348

 

180

Mutual funds

 

14,577

 

15,025

 

15,518

 

15,518

Banco Popular´s market risk weighted assets remained on average 9.7% of the total risk-weighted assets during the year ended December 31, 2021 and 4.8% on the year ended December 31, 2020.

Banco Comercial AV Villas S.A

Maximum, Minimum and Average VaR Values

December 31, 2021

    

Minimum

    

Average

    

Maximum

    

Period end

Interest rate

 

122,480

 

139,437

 

154,513

 

125,004

Exchange rate

 

2

 

38

 

75

 

41

Shares

 

 

 

 

Mutual funds

 

309

 

1,248

 

1,942

 

1,754

Maximum, Minimum and Average VaR Values

December 31, 2020

    

Minimum

    

Average

    

Maximum

    

Period end

Interest rate

 

24,002

 

71,458

 

108,019

 

106,016

Exchange rate

 

1

 

39

 

174

 

52

Shares

 

 

 

 

Mutual funds

 

81

 

1,468

 

4,017

 

4,017

Banco AV Villas’ market risk weighted assets remained on average 13.0% of the total risk-weighted assets during the year ended December 31, 2021 and 9.7% on the year ended December 31, 2020.

Corficolombiana S.A

Maximum, Minimum and Average VaR Values

December 31, 2021

    

Minimum

    

Average

    

Maximum

    

Period end

Interest rate

 

128,648

 

183,241

 

216,352

 

195,119

Exchange rate

 

1,443

 

4,848

 

12,098

 

1,876

Shares

 

12,852

 

13,586

 

14,041

 

13,267

Mutual funds

 

1,333

 

2,607

 

5,523

 

1,423

Maximum, Minimum and Average VaR Values

December 31, 2020

    

Minimum

    

Average

    

Maximum

    

Period end

Interest rate

 

124,737

 

151,817

 

174,718

 

157,021

Exchange rate

 

441

 

3,265

 

6,449

 

5,463

Shares

 

10,807

 

12,339

 

13,507

 

13,507

Mutual funds

 

2,097

 

2,667

 

3,241

 

2,487

Corficolombiana’s market risk weighted assets remained on average 11.7% of the total risk-weighted assets during the year ended December 31, 2021 and 13.2% on the year ended December 31, 2020. As Corficolombiana does not have a relevant number of loans or other significant risk weighted assets, the ratio of the market risk weighted assets to total risk weighted assets is higher than in the banks.

As a pension fund, Porvenir has a value-at-risk measurement methodology that differs from credit establishments and is established by the Superintendency of Finance. The following tables show the VaR calculation relating to each of the risk factors described above and based on that Methodology (Regulatory VaR) for the years ended December 31, 2021, and 2020, for a ten-day horizon.

Porvenir S.A

Maximum, Minimum and Average VaR Values

December 31, 2021

    

Minimum

    

Average

    

Maximum

    

Period end

Interest rate

 

13,284

 

26,863

 

44,976

 

44,976

Exchange rate

 

192

 

350

 

491

 

272

Shares

 

996

 

1,741

 

2,673

 

2,673

Mutual funds

 

1,141

 

1,930

 

3,531

 

1,924

Maximum, Minimum and Average VaR Values

December 31, 2020

    

Minimum

    

Average

    

Maximum

    

Period end

Interest rate

 

15,597

24,404

48,969

17,707

Exchange rate

 

310

461

840

448

Shares

 

817

2,664

7,029

2,439

Mutual funds

 

823

3,971

8,905

1,532

Porvenir’ market risk weighted assets remained on average 24.0% of the total risk-weighted assets during the year ended December 31, 2021 and 16.2% on the year ended December 31, 2020.

Investment Price Risk in Equity Instruments

Equity Investments

As stated above, variations in equity price risk measured based on the regulatory VaR methodology include both equity securities held for trading through profit or losses and non-strategic holdings. In addition, it does not discriminate between listed and unlisted equity investments or between those which consolidate and those which do not. It includes investments in non-financial institutions.

Holding periods for many of Corficolombiana’s equity investments exceed ten years. Its largest investments have remained in the portfolio for several years and are intended to remain as permanent investments. Therefore, no value at risk is estimated. At December 31, 2021 and 2020, the only investments subject to regulatory VaR were holdings in Mineros S.A.

The following table breaks down our investments subject to regulatory VaR by time since initial investments at December 31, 2021 and 2020.

At December 31, 

 

2021

2020

 

    

Investment

    

    

    

Investment

    

    

 

subject to

Percentage

subject to

 

Regulatory

Regulatory

of

Regulatory

Regulatory

Percentage of

 

VaR

VaR

portfolio

VaR

VaR

portfolio

 

More than 36 months

 

85,229

12,529

100

%  

85,832

12,617

100

%

Total

 

85,229

 

12,529

 

100

%  

85,832

 

12,617

 

100

%

4.2.3          Structural foreign exchange risk

Grupo Aval´s financial subsidiaries have agencies and subsidiaries offshore and have assets and liabilities in foreign currencies and are thus exposed to changes in the exchange rates, primarily the United States Dollar. Foreign exchange risk is present when there are assets and liabilities denominated in foreign currency, when investments are made in foreign subsidiaries and branches and when we extend loans or take funds in foreign currency. There is also foreign exchange risk in foreign currency off balance sheet transactions.

Subsidiaries of the financial sector in Colombia are authorized by the country’s central bank (Banco de la República) to trade currencies and to maintain balances in foreign currency in accounts abroad. Colombian law allows for banks to maintain a net daily asset or liability position in foreign currency, determined as the difference in foreign currency denominated rights and foreign currency denominated obligations including both on and off-balance sheet positions. On a separate basis, the average of this difference over three business days cannot exceed twenty percent (20%) of the entity’s regulatory capital. On a consolidated basis, the average of this difference over three business days (positive or negative) cannot exceed forty percent (40%) of the consolidated entity´s regulatory capital.

The maximum and minimum total foreign currency position and the spot foreign currency position are determined according to each entity´s regulatory capital. The regulatory capital that is used in the calculations, corresponds to the regulatory capital of the last business day of the previous two-months. The exchange rate used in the calculation is the average of the exchange rate of the previous month set by the Superintendency of Finance.

A substantial amount of Grupo Aval’s foreign currency assets and liabilities are in U.S. dollars. Details on the assets and liabilities in foreign currency held by Grupo Aval at December 31, 2021 and 2020 are shown below:

December 31,2021

    

Other currencies

Total in

U.S. dollars

converted to U.S.

Colombian pesos

Account

    

(Millions)

    

dollars (Millions)

    

(Millions)

Financial assets

  

  

  

Cash and cash equivalents

4,711

2,021

26,800,791

Trading investments in debt securities

111

13

493,454

Investments in debt securities at FVOCI

4,459

1,083

22,062,791

Investments in debt securities at amortized cost

118

-

469,723

Loan portfolio financial assets at amortized cost

20,187

5,804

103,475,257

Derivative financial assets held for trading

239

-

952,889

Derivative financial assets held for hedging

4

-

16,669

Trade receivable

383

229

2,435,666

Total financial assets

30,212

9,150

156,707,240

    

    

Other currencies

    

Total in

U.S. dollars

converted to U.S.

Colombian pesos

Account

(Millions)

dollars (Millions)

(Millions)

Financial liabilities

  

  

  

Derivative financial liabilities held for trading

204

-

811,062

Derivative financial liabilities held for hedging

8

-

33,160

Customer deposits

20,630

7,394

111,566,151

Financial obligations

10,562

833

45,363,639

Accounts payable

536

-

2,134,728

Total financial liabilities

31,940

8,227

159,908,740

Net financial asset (liability) position

(1,728)

923

(3,201,500)

2

December 31,2020

    

Other currencies

Total in

U.S. dollars

converted to U.S.

Colombian pesos

Account

    

(Millions)

    

dollars (Millions)

    

(Millions)

Financial assets

  

  

  

Cash and cash equivalents

5,521

2,043

25,963,067

Trading investments in debt securities

122

417,925

Investments in debt securities at FVOCI

4,092

860

16,997,663

Investments in debt securities at amortized cost

150

4

527,510

Loan portfolio financial assets at amortized cost

19,678

4,754

83,863,582

Derivative financial assets held for trading

258

1

887,957

Derivative financial assets held for hedging

36

10

156,220

Trade receivable

367

201

1,949,445

Total financial assets

30,224

7,873

130,763,369

    

 

Other currencies

    

Total in

 

U.S. dollars

 

converted to U.S.

 

Colombian pesos

Account

(Millions)

 

dollars (Millions)

 

(Millions)

Financial liabilities

 

  

 

  

 

  

Derivative financial liabilities held for trading

349

1,197,924

Derivative financial liabilities held for hedging

8

26,924

Customer deposits

21,144

6,916

96,314,534

Financial obligations

9,717

712

35,797,463

Accounts payable

475

1,630,860

Total financial liabilities

 

31,693

 

7,628

 

134,967,705

Net financial asset (liability) position

 

(1,469)

 

245

 

(4,204,336)

Grupo Aval’s financial subsidiaries hedge their foreign exchange exposure using derivatives instruments, especially forwards. The net foreign currency position of each subsidiary is monitored on a daily basis.

Grupo Aval has a number of investments in foreign subsidiaries and branches whose net assets are exposed to foreign exchange risk because of the translation of gains or losses for the purpose of consolidating their financial statements. The exposure arising from net assets in foreign operations is hedged primarily with financial obligations, bonds and foreign exchange derivative instruments.

The following table presents sensitivities of profit or loss before taxes and equity (OCI) to reasonably possible changes in exchange rates applied at the end of the reporting period relative to the functional currency of the respective Group entities, with all other variables held constant:

December 31,2021

    

Increase

    

Decrease

Ps.100 per U.S. 

Ps.100 per U.S. 

dollar

dollar

Equity

 

Ps.

175,470

 

Ps.

(175,470)

Foreign exchange effect on profit before taxes

 

  

15,853

 

  

(15,853)

December 31,2020

    

Increase

    

Decrease

Ps.100 per U.S. 

Ps.100 per U.S. 

dollar

dollar

Equity

 

Ps.

(21,158)

 

Ps.

21,158

Foreign exchange effect on profit before taxes

 

  

(31,578)

 

  

31,578

The sensitivity in equity considers mainly assets and liabilities of entities with functional currencies different from the Group’s presentation currency compensated with derivatives and financial labilities designated to hedge net investments in foreign operations. The sensitivity in profit or loss was calculated for monetary assets and liabilities denominated in currencies other than the functional currency of the respective entities of the Group, including intercompany balances which are not hedged. The Group’s exposure to currency risk at the end of the reporting period is not representative of the typical exposure during the year.

4.2.4          Structural Interest Rate Risk

Non-trading instruments consist primarily of loans and deposits. The net interest margin of our financial subsidiaries may be affected by changes in interest rates. Losses can result from unexpected movements in interest rates. For this reason, our financial subsidiaries monitor the interest rate risk daily and set limits on asset and liability mismatches.

Grupo Aval´s financial subsidiaries monitor their interest rate risk daily and set limits to repricing mismatches between assets and liabilities. They analyze their interest rate exposure in a dynamic way. Scenario modelling considers renewal of existing positions, financing alternatives, and hedges. Considering these scenarios, the financial subsidiaries calculate the profit and loss impact of changes in interest rates.

The following table shows interest rates exposure for assets and liabilities at December 31, 2021 and 2020. In this table, fixed rate instruments are classified according to their maturity date and floating rate instruments are classified according to their repricing date. The following analysis includes the interest rate exposure of non-interest-bearing and interest-bearing assets and liabilities by maturity bucket for our financial subsidiaries:

December 31, 2021

    

Less than

    

From one to

    

    From six to

    

More than a

    

Non-

    

Assets

one month

six months

twelve months

year

interest

Total

Cash and cash equivalents

Ps.

5,283,158

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

31,359,671

Ps.

36,642,829

Trading investments in debt securities

32,533

795,986

716,615

3,196,153

4,741,287

Investments in debt securities mandatorily at FVTPL

Investments in debt securities at FVOCI

691,305

4,549,642

1,960,040

30,292,879

37,493,866

Investments in debt securities at amortized cost

1,503,177

3,710,000

385,985

175,908

5,775,070

Service concession arrangements

3,228,480

3,228,480

Commercial loans

38,417,251

31,409,143

10,996,375

41,205,035

122,027,804

Consumer loans

17,866,168

11,445,530

2,254,215

45,323,232

76,889,145

Mortgages loans

14,247,634

833,794

416,847

13,622,041

29,120,316

Microcredit loans

42,175

13,241

36,456

225,867

317,739

Interbank and overnight funds

3,121,735

96,698

3,218,433

Trade receivable

163

455,859

15,725,505

16,181,527

Total Assets

Ps.

81,205,136

Ps.

52,854,197

Ps.

16,766,533

Ps.

137,725,454

Ps.

47,085,176

Ps.

335,636,496

    

Less than

    

From one to

    

From six to

    

More than a

    

Non-

    

    

Liabilities

one month

six months

twelve months

year

interest

Total

Checking accounts

Ps.

34,024,691

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

25,201,158

Ps.

59,225,849

Time deposits

6,947,437

36,252,017

18,492,124

23,838,666

85,530,244

Saving deposits

89,097,128

89,097,128

Other deposits

9,727

92,610

514,864

617,201

Interbank and overnight funds

8,935,468

1,169,368

501,221

66,358

10,672,415

Leases contracts

50,860

244,198

173,335

2,413,764

2,882,157

Borrowing from banks and similar

3,323,809

11,132,293

3,823,854

5,962,597

24,242,553

Long-term debt

296,675

3,923,750

5,940,106

22,097,401

32,257,932

Borrowing from development entities

1,188,693

955,697

37,388

1,045,491

3,227,269

Total Liabilities

Ps.

143,874,488

Ps.

53,769,933

Ps.

28,968,028

Ps.

55,424,277

Ps.

25,716,022

Ps.

307,752,748

December 31, 2020

Less than

From one to

From six to

More than a

Non-

    

Assets

one month

six months

twelve months

year

interest

Total

Cash and cash equivalents

Ps.

5,103,991

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

28,921,544

Ps.

34,025,535

Trading investments in debt securities

63,016

1,315,010

351,964

3,051,003

4,780,993

Investments in debt securities mandatorily at FVTPL

7,385

7,385

Investments in debt securities at FVOCI

947,691

3,558,616

2,367,715

22,092,334

28,966,356

Investments in debt securities at amortized cost

2,206,728

2,856,442

302,641

214,317

5,580,128

Service concession arrangements

2,958,385

2,958,385

Commercial loans

28,249,224

44,158,080

8,350,536

30,229,098

110,986,938

Consumer loans

13,451,176

10,002,297

1,947,260

40,434,724

65,835,457

Mortgages loans

12,541,450

640,162

49,522

11,327,637

24,558,771

Microcredit loans

42,825

16,327

38,698

274,471

372,321

Interbank and overnight funds

4,500,014

193,664

4,693,678

Trade receivable

483

1,971

104

429,395

11,949,056

12,381,009

Total Assets

Ps.

67,106,598

Ps.

62,742,569

Ps.

13,408,440

Ps.

111,018,749

Ps.

40,870,600

Ps.

295,146,956

    

Less than

    

From one to

    

From six to

    

More than a

    

Non-

    

Liabilities

one month

six months

twelve months

year

interest

Total

Checking accounts

Ps.

30,243,920

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

20,954,364

Ps.

51,198,284

Time deposits

12,240,632

32,810,863

16,138,426

22,369,267

83,559,188

Saving deposits

76,551,465

.

76,551,465

Other deposits

532,660

532,660

Interbank and overnight funds

5,109,198

2,066,552

3,894

7,179,644

Leases contracts

26,413

121,753

128,407

2,749,160

3,025,733

Borrowing from banks and similar

2,282,920

5,574,251

890,090

7,881,523

16,628,784

Long-term debt

851,368

2,858,141

468,618

23,582,670

27,760,797

Borrowing from development entities

1,502,692

1,040,936

177,983

1,308,197

4,029,808

Total Liabilities

Ps.

128,808,608

Ps.

44,472,496

Ps.

17,807,418

Ps.

57,890,817

Ps.

21,487,024

Ps.

270,466,363

As part of their interest rate risk management process, our financial subsidiaries analyze the interest rate mismatches between their interest-earning assets and their interest-earning liabilities. This sensitivity analysis, based on hypothetical changes, assumes that the composition of Grupo Aval´s statement of financial position remains constant over the period being measured.

At December 31, 2021, if market interest rates increase 100 basis points, assuming no asymmetrical movement in yield curves and a constant financial position, profit for the year would have been Ps. 983,500 (2020: Ps. 871,706) higher, mainly as a result of higher interest income on variable interest assets compensated for higher interest expenses on variable interest liabilities and lower fair values of securities at fair value through profit or loss. Other comprehensive income in equity would have been Ps. 850,710 (2020: Ps. 307,667) lower, mainly as a result of a decrease in the fair values of fixed rate financial assets classified as fair value through OCI.

The following is a breakdown of non-interest-bearing and interest-bearing assets and liabilities by interest rate type and by maturity, at December 31, 2021 and 2020.

December 31, 2021

Under one year

Over one year

Non-

Assets

    

Variable

    

Fixed

    

Variable

    

Fixed

    

interest

    

Total

Cash due from banks and Central Bank

Ps.

3,274,798

Ps.

2,008,360

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

31,359,671

Ps.

36,642,829

Trading investments in debt securities

291,112

1,083,931

170,091

3,196,153

4,741,287

Investments in debt securities mandatorily at FVTPL

Investments in debt securities at FVOCI

76,076

6,256,332

2,252,022

28,909,436

37,493,866

Investments in debt securities at amortized cost

3,698,780

1,703,837

237,316

135,137

5,775,070

Service concession arrangements

3,228,480

3,228,480

Commercial loans

46,056,475

5,334,618

66,555,715

4,080,996

122,027,804

Consumer loans

1,155,463

19,598,761

16,209,829

39,925,092

76,889,145

Mortgages loans

51,719

564,377

17,623,160

10,881,060

29,120,316

Microcredit loans

1,508

187,218

1,717

127,296

317,739

Interbank and overnight funds

1,535,822

1,682,611

3,218,433

Trade receivable

163

272,552

183,307

15,725,505

16,181,527

Total Assets

Ps.

56,141,916

Ps.

38,420,045

Ps.

106,550,882

Ps.

87,438,477

Ps.

47,085,176

Ps.

335,636,496

Under one year

Over one year

Non-

Liabilities

    

Variable

    

Fixed

    

Variable

    

Fixed

    

interest

    

Total

Checking accounts

Ps.

741,009

Ps.

33,283,682

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

25,201,158

Ps.

59,225,849

Time deposits

8,304,838

50,693,337

5,342,572

21,189,497

85,530,244

Saving deposits

9,696,432

79,400,696

89,097,128

Other deposits

9,728

92,609

514,864

617,201

Interbank and overnight funds

1,992,364

8,613,693

66,358

10,672,415

Leases contracts

7,974

463,366

274,678

2,136,139

2,882,157

Borrowing from banks and other

10,007,688

7,868,540

2,982,781

3,383,544

24,242,553

Long-term debt

837,673

6,501,344

8,401,450

16,517,465

32,257,932

Borrowing from development entities

433,553

78,807

1,791,860

923,049

3,227,269

Total Liabilities

Ps.

32,031,259

Ps.

186,996,074

Ps.

18,793,341

Ps.

44,216,052

Ps.

25,716,022

Ps.

307,752,748

December 31, 2020

Under one year

Over one year

Non-

Assets

    

Variable

    

Fixed 

    

Variable

    

Fixed

    

interest

    

Total

Cash due from banks and Central Bank

Ps.

4,329,679

Ps.

774,312

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

28,921,544

Ps.

34,025,535

Trading investments in debt securities

155,967

1,216,804

510,017

2,898,205

4,780,993

Investments in debt securities mandatorily at FVTPL

7,385

7,385

Investments in debt securities at FVOCI

485,303

6,082,615

1,402,110

20,996,328

28,966,356

Investments in debt securities at amortized cost

4,628,090

654,021

122,739

175,278

5,580,128

Service concession arrangements

2,958,385

2,958,385

Commercial loans

41,440,988

4,248,149

62,230,307

3,067,494

110,986,938

Consumer loans

1,033,249

16,027,878

13,521,144

35,253,186

65,835,457

Mortgages loans

48,351

500,574

14,592,224

9,417,622

24,558,771

Microcredit loans

2,009

196,877

2,968

170,467

372,321

Interbank and overnight funds

2,580,209

2,113,469

4,693,678

Trade receivable

2,557

266,552

162,844

11,949,056

12,381,009

Total Assets

Ps.

54,706,402

Ps.

31,814,699

Ps.

95,606,446

Ps.

72,148,809

Ps.

40,870,600

Ps.

295,146,956

Under one year

Over one year

Non-

Liabilities

    

Variable

    

Fixed 

    

Variable

    

Fixed

    

interest

    

Total

Checking accounts

Ps.

9,353,906

Ps.

20,890,014

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

20,954,364

Ps.

51,198,284

Time deposits

4,811,779

52,155,859

6,705,712

19,885,838

83,559,188

Saving deposits

23,982,154

52,569,311

.

76,551,465

Other deposits

532,660

532,660

Interbank and overnight funds

57,455

7,122,189

7,179,644

Leases contracts

2,757

273,280

124,306

2,625,390

3,025,733

Borrowing from banks and other

2,620,479

5,456,796

2,617,529

5,933,980

16,628,784

Long-term debt

284,227

1,540,152

6,746,212

19,190,206

27,760,797

Borrowing from development entities

747,892

7,509

3,244,241

30,166

4,029,808

Total Liabilities

Ps.

41,860,649

Ps.

140,015,110

Ps.

19,438,000

Ps.

47,665,580

Ps.

21,487,024

Ps.

270,466,363

Liquidity Risk

4.3          Liquidity Risk

Liquidity risk management has always been a basic element of Grupo Aval’s business strategy and a fundamental cornerstone, together with capital, on which the strength of its balance sheet rests. Liquidity risk is related to the inability of Grupo Aval´s subsidiaries to fulfill their obligations with customers, financial market counterparties, lenders, suppliers, authorities or other stakeholders at any given moment, in any currency and in any location.

Structural liquidity management aims to finance the  recurring nature of a company’s activities under optimal terms of time and cost, avoiding taking unwanted liquidity risks. At Grupo Aval, the financing and liquidity model is decentralized and based on autonomous subsidiaries that are responsible for covering their own liquidity needs. Therefore, each entity reviews its available resources on a daily basis in order to control its liquidity risk.

The financial subsidiaries of Grupo Aval are responsible for complying with the regulatory liquidity requirements, as well as meeting the obligations arising from their current and future activity. In consequence, they will either take deposits from their customers, or by resorting to the wholesale markets where they operate. Grupo Aval’s financial subsidiaries have a strong capacity as well as to raise funds in the wholesale markets.

Financial subsidiaries comply with the requirements for liquidity risk management of the jurisdictions in which they operate. They define policies that govern the functions of identification, measurement, control and monitoring required to manage daily liquidity requirements, comply with minimum liquidity buffers and establish liquidity contingency plans to deal with any unexpected situation.

The methodology for the assessment and measurement of liquidity risk at BAC Holding and subsidiaries include:

a)Generation of liquidity GAP analysis by currency for the short and long term, including normal and stressed scenarios;
b)Coverage ratios, by currency, on 1 day and 30 days horizons, under normal and stressed scenarios;
c)Prudential regulation of maturity ratios, by currency, for 1 and 3 months horizons;
d)Indicator of liquidity coverage by currency according to regulation;
e)Internal measurements to assess liquidity risk, by currency (global liquidity indicator).

Financial subsidiaries controlled by Grupo Aval, in Colombia, are required to maintain adequate liquidity positions based on the Superintendency of Finance’s liquidity parameters, using a short-term liquidity index (Indicador de Riesgo de Liquidez), or “IRL,” that measures liquidity for different time horizons from 1 to 90 days. This index is defined as the difference between adjusted liquid assets and net liquidity requirements.

Liquid assets include total debt securities adjusted by market liquidity and exchange rate, excluding investment securities at amortized cost different from mandatory investments, Central Bank deposits and available cash.
Net liquidity requirements are the difference between expected contractual asset and contractual and non-contractual liability cash flows. Cash flows from past due loans are not included in this calculation.

During 2020, as part of its convergence towards Basel III standards, the Superintendency of Finance incorporates the segmentation by type of deposits in the calculation of non-contractual liability cash flows. The methodology segments saving deposits in eight

categories, according with their balance and the type of customer, then calculates the run-off rate for each category and finally multiplies both to determine the non-contractual reserve.

Grupo Aval´s financial subsidiaries assess the volatility of deposits, debt levels, the asset and liability structure, the liquidity of different asset types, the availability of lines of credit and the effectiveness of asset and liability management. The objective is to have adequate liquidity to manage possible stress scenarios.

The quantification of appropriate money market funding levels is an integral part of the liquidity measurement carried out by each entity. Based on statistical analysis, primary and secondary sources of liquidity are identified in order to ensure funding stability and diversification, and to minimize concentration.

Financial subsidiaries in Colombia and other countries must maintain cash on hand and in Central Banks deposits in order to comply with reserve requirements. The reserve requirement calculations are based on the daily average of the different types of deposits on a biweekly basis. As of December 31, 2021, and 2020, all of Grupo Aval´s financial subsidiaries comply with reserve requirements. Details on the required percentage in each country are shown below:

Requested Percentage

Country

    

Details

    

%

Colombia

 

Checking account and Savings accounts

8%

 

Time deposits > 18 months

3.5%

Guatemala

 

Deposits and Capital raising

14.6%

El Salvador

 

Demand deposits

17.4%

 

Saving Deposits

15.4%

 

Debt securities

5%

Debt overseas Banks

3%

Time Deposits

12%

Honduras

 

Demand deposits in local currency

12%

 

Demand deposits in foreign currency

24%

Nicaragua

 

Daily, Liabilities in local and foreign currency

10%

 

Biweekly, Liabilities in local and foreign currency

15%

Costa Rica

 

Demand deposits in local currency

12%

 

Demand deposits in foreign currency

15%

There are no reserve requirements for our subsidiaries located in Panamá because there is no Central Bank to regulate such requirements.

The following is a breakdown of the liquid assets by maturity from 1 to 90 days, based on separate figures of our financial subsidiaries in Colombia at December 31, 2021 and 2020:

December 31, 2021

    

Liquid assets

    

    

    

available at the end

From 31 to 90

Bank

of the year (1)

From 1 to 7 days (2)

From 1 to 30 days (2)

days (2)

Banco de Bogota

 

12,019,528

 

10,233,924

 

2,928,010

 

(12,974,116)

Banco Occidente

 

6,598,351

 

5,923,470

 

2,935,981

 

(4,254,187)

Banco Popular

 

4,752,893

 

3,847,320

 

1,670,839

 

(4,180,180)

Banco AV Villas

 

2,850,272

 

2,506,591

 

1,138,719

 

(2,391,818)

Corficolombiana

 

1,498,050

 

818,874

 

612,503

 

155,747

December 31, 2020

    

Liquid assets

    

    

    

 

available at the end

 

 

 

From 31 to 90

Bank

 

of the year (1)

From 1 to 7 days (2)

From 1 to 30 days (2)

days (2)

Banco de Bogota

 

13,288,366

 

12,028,201

 

4,061,462

 

(15,436,650)

Banco Occidente

 

5,721,647

 

5,059,970

 

2,493,311

 

(3,876,649)

Banco Popular

 

4,257,296

 

3,838,863

 

1,771,506

 

(3,288,224)

Banco AV Villas

 

3,856,825

 

3,490,247

 

2,118,081

 

(1,631,993)

Corficolombiana

 

1,475,013

 

1,041,529

 

846,155

 

265,176

(1)Liquid assets are the sum of assets that are easily convertible into cash. Fixed income investments at amortized cost and financial investments pledged as collateral or subject to any other type of encumbrance, preventive measure or of any nature, that prevent their free assignment or transfer, as well as those that have been transferred under repurchase agreements, simultaneous or temporary transfer of securities are excluded. The value of the liquid assets mentioned above is calculated at the market price of the fair value on the date of the evaluation.
(2)This amount is the remaining value of the liquid assets in the specified time period, or the IRL, that is calculated as the difference between  liquid assets and liquid assets requirement, according to the IRL methodology, the liquidity requirement is the difference of contractual cash inflows and contractual and non-contractual cash outflows during a given period.

The liquidity calculations described above assume normal liquidity conditions, according to the contractual flows and historical experience of each of the financial subsidiaries. for extreme liquidity events caused by unusual deposit withdrawals, the financial subsidiaries have contingency plans that include available credit lines with other financial institutions and access to special lines of credit with Colombia´s Central Bank, in accordance with current regulations. These lines of credit are granted when required, and are collateralized by Colombian government securities or by a portfolio of high-quality loans, as specified in the Central Bank regulations. Grupo Aval´s financial subsidiaries did not access the Central Bank special lines of credit during the years ended at December 31, 2021 and 2020.

The banks in each country are responsible for their liquidity position on a stand-alone basis. They have access to funding mechanisms with their central banks, and to funding through credit lines. Short-term credits are offered by correspondent banks and financing is granted by multilateral organizations, among others.

The following is a breakdown shows the contractual undiscounted cash flows of the financial assets and liabilities including contractual interest receivable and payable at December 31, 2021 and 2020.

December 31, 2021

Less than

From one to six

From six to twelve

More than

    

Assets

    

one month

    

months

    

months

    

a year

    

Total

Cash and cash equivalents

Ps.

36,643,590

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

36,643,590

Trading investments in debt securities

1,011,503

370,930

492,410

3,282,434

5,157,277

Investments in debt securities at FVOCI

1,604,848

3,044,414

2,862,119

34,745,868

42,257,249

Investments in debt securities at amortized cost

1,081,415

1,823,390

2,371,911

633,147

5,909,863

Commercial loans

9,809,098

30,451,593

18,772,628

76,758,332

135,791,651

Consumer loans

8,375,893

15,808,085

7,887,969

67,044,374

99,116,321

Mortgages loans

454,701

1,292,203

1,460,754

47,489,267

50,696,925

Microcredit loans

55,623

90,193

88,626

171,360

405,802

Interbank and overnight funds

3,122,471

96,699

3,219,170

Trading derivatives

507,825

425,590

101,956

148,323

1,183,694

Hedging derivatives

5,543

10,370

374

27,960

44,247

Trade receivable

3,271,964

13,153

16,124,995

19,410,112

Other assets

444,119

24,950

327,809

796,878

Total Assets

Ps.

66,388,593

Ps.

53,451,570

Ps.

34,038,747

Ps.

246,753,869

Ps.

400,632,779

Less than

From one to six

From six to twelve

More than

    

Liabilities

    

one month

    

months

    

months

    

a year

    

Total

Checking accounts

Ps.

59,225,849

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

59,225,849

Time Deposits

7,779,290

35,442,629

19,562,990

27,843,989

90,628,898

Saving deposits

89,097,129

89,097,129

Other deposits

513,538

102,703

960

617,201

Interbank and overnight funds

8,969,747

1,171,437

504,694

65,939

10,711,817

Leases contracts

57,865

283,853

217,949

2,429,190

2,988,857

Borrowing from banks and other

2,889,421

10,765,842

5,362,568

5,435,913

24,453,744

Long-term debt

200,635

3,817,290

6,333,080

28,286,920

38,637,925

Borrowing from development entities

82,034

1,026,949

294,017

2,409,550

3,812,550

Trading derivatives

434,100

277,799

109,758

168,757

990,414

Hedging derivatives

33,156

4

22,653

55,813

Other liabilities

5,538,451

358,081

1,856,437

7,752,969

Total Liabilities

Ps.

174,821,215

Ps.

53,246,587

Ps.

32,385,056

Ps.

68,520,308

Ps.

328,973,166

Less than one

From one to

From six to

More than a

Commitments Loans

month

six months

twelve months

year

Total

Guarantees

Ps.

3,775,771

Ps.

398,955

Ps.

420,525

Ps.

210,600

Ps.

4,805,851

Standby letters of credit

1,203,078

163,087

279

1,366,444

Overdraft facility

2,064,096

2,064,096

Standby credit card facility

28,906,520

986,366

100,320

401,281

30,394,487

Undrawn approved loans

3,332,443

134,755

3,467,198

Others

759,226

759,226

Total Commitments Loans

Ps.

39,281,908

Ps.

1,683,163

Ps.

521,124

Ps.

1,371,107

Ps.

42,857,302

December 31, 2020

Less than one

From one to

From six to

More than a

Assets

    

month

    

six months

    

twelve months

    

year

    

Total

Cash and cash equivalents

Ps.

34,026,753

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

34,026,753

Trading investments in debt securities

1,265,889

260,383

344,326

3,014,493

4,885,091

Investments in debt securities at FVOCI

736,508

3,055,021

3,101,278

26,052,069

32,944,876

Investments in debt securities at amortized cost

915,856

2,409,027

2,043,473

406,820

5,775,176

Commercial loans

9,379,468

26,383,248

15,939,046

70,385,496

122,087,258

Consumer loans

7,429,129

11,888,567

7,258,707

58,423,353

84,999,756

Mortgages loans

374,972

1,076,649

1,208,561

38,053,720

40,713,902

Microcredit loans

46,056

105,314

107,837

238,739

497,946

Interbank and overnight funds

4,506,807

187,157

4,693,964

Trading derivatives

628,282

347,114

103,115

79,826

1,158,337

Hedging derivatives

117,543

5,152

630

32,895

156,220

Trade receivable

2,727,684

11,139

104

12,608,086

15,347,013

Other assets

309,348

5

199,124

508,477

Total Assets

Ps.

62,464,295

Ps.

45,728,776

Ps.

30,107,077

Ps.

209,494,621

Ps.

347,794,769

Less than one

From one to

From six to

More than a

Liabilities

    

month

    

six months

    

twelve months

    

year

    

Total

Checking accounts

Ps.

51,198,289

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

Ps.

51,198,289

Time Deposits

8,925,182

31,192,770

18,811,378

29,021,634

87,950,964

Saving deposits

76,549,976

76,549,976

Other deposits

527,048

5,667

532,715

Interbank and overnight funds

5,106,274

2,066,582

3,894

7,176,750

Leases contracts

26,558

122,739

129,311

2,751,006

3,029,614

Borrowing from banks and other

1,445,835

5,054,121

2,368,809

8,701,112

17,569,877

Long-term debt

417,119

809,098

1,118,483

30,816,558

33,161,258

Borrowing from development entities

52,095

305,186

448,503

3,894,139

4,699,923

Trading derivatives

784,201

428,227

118,340

109,268

1,440,036

Hedging derivatives

24,653

22,428

254

9,291

56,626

Other liabilities

5,070,859

256,287

55,711

1,310,468

6,693,325

Total Liabilities

Ps.

150,128,089

Ps.

40,257,438

Ps.

23,054,683

Ps.

76,619,143

Ps.

290,059,353

Less than one

From one to

From six to

More than a

Commitments Loans

    

month

    

six months

    

twelve months

    

year

    

Total

Guarantees

Ps.

3,370,344

Ps.

480,872

Ps.

150,640

Ps.

183,404

Ps.

4,185,260

Standby letters of credit

1,431,833

56,145

527

1,488,505

Overdraft facility

923,257

923,257

Standby credit card facility

23,319,980

128,819

96,615

386,458

23,931,872

Undrawn approved loans

2,032,277

174,647

2,206,924

Others

232,331

232,331

Total Commitments Loans

Ps.

31,310,022

Ps.

840,483

Ps.

247,782

Ps.

569,862

Ps.

32,968,149

Regulatory capital management

4.4          Regulatory capital management

Grupo Aval, Financial Holding

As a result of Colombian Law 1870 of 2017 (also known as Financial Conglomerates Law), that came in effect on February 6, 2019, Grupo Aval is now also subject to the inspection and supervision of the Superintendency of Finance (SFC, for its acronym in Spanish). This law created the legal category of financial holding companies and of financial conglomerates and gives the Colombian Finance minister the power, to impose capital adequacy requirements on the financial conglomerates on an aggregate/consolidated basis, among others.

In compliance with Decree 774 issued on May 8th, 2018 by the Colombian Government that came in effect on 8th of November 2019 after an 18-month transition period and the External Circular 012 of June 5, 2018 (in Spanish Circular Externa 012 del 5 de junio de 2018) issued by the Superintendency of Finance (SFC), Grupo Aval is subject to minimum capital requirements. As of December 31, 2021, and 2020, Grupo Aval, Financial Conglomerate, complied with regulatory capital requirements.

Grupo Aval’s financial subsidiaries

Decree 2555 of 2010 (as modified by Decree 1771 of 2012, Decree 1648 of 2014, Decree 2392 of 2015, Decrees 1477 of 2018 and 1421 of 2019) sets forth capital adequacy requirements for Colombian credit institutions. Between August 1, 2013 and January 1, 2021, technical capital for Colombian credit institutions consisted of the sum of total basic capital (patrimonio básico) or total primary capital (Tier I), and secondary capital (patrimonio adicional) or secondary capital (Tier II). Primary capital (Tier I) consist of the sum of ordinary basic capital or primary capital (patrimonio básico ordinario) and additional basic capital or additional primary capital (patrimonio básico adicional). Tier I and Tier II, as defined herein, may differ to the manner in which those terms are used in other jurisdictions.

The total solvency ratio prior to January 1, 2021 was defined as the value of the technical capital calculated in the terms of the Decree 2555 of 2010, divided by risk-weighted assets by level of credit and market risk. Credit institutions’ technical capital had to be at least 9.0% of the institution’s total risk-weighted assets and also had comply with a measure of “core solvency” for Tier I, which required higher-quality capital set at a minimum of 4.5% of total risk-weighted assets.

Pursuant to Decree 2555 of 2010 (as amended), the Superintendency of Finance must grant prior approval of the eligibility of a debt, equity or hybrid instrument in order to be classified as Tier I, Additional Tier I (AT1) or Tier II.

The Decrees 1477 of 2018 and 1421 of 2019 introduced Basel III principles to estimate adequate capital in credit establishments. The main changes contained in these Decrees, which came into effect on January 1, 2021, are as follows:

Total solvency ratio is defined as the value of the technical capital (CET1, AT1 and T2) calculated under the terms of the Decree 1477 of 2018 and the Decree 1421 of 2019, divided by risk-weighted assets by level of credit, market and operational risk, at a minimum of 9%;
A minimum Core Equity Tier 1 (CET1) of 4.5%;
A minimum Core Equity Tier 1 plus Additional Tier 1 (AT1) of 6%;
A capital conservation buffer of 1.5% consisting of CET1;
A systemic risk buffer of 1.0% for systemically important financial institutions (SIFIS) consisting of CET1; and
Includes an operational risk component in risk weighted assets;
In addition, these Decrees established a minimum leverage ratio of 3%.

These indicators (with the exception of the leverage ratio) must be achieved gradually from 2021 to 2024, in accordance with the transition plan established in the regulation. Banco de Bogotá was considered an Entity of Systemic Importance, according to Circular Externa 76 of December 2, 2020, issued by the Superintendency of Finance and therefore must comply with this systemic buffer.

The following chart presents the statutory transition period as set forth in the Decrees 1477 of 2018 and 1421 of 2019:

Graphic

(1)Requires highest quality of capital.

(2)Will only apply to SIFIs as defined by the Superintendency of Finance.

In accordance with the minimum capital requirements and in compliance with the Superintendency of Finance of Colombia’s new regulation, Grupo Aval and its financial subsidiaries are aimed to accomplish the guidelines of Decree 1421 which was issued on August 6, 2019, which introduced minimum capital requirements for operational risk to credit establishments adopting the Basel III standard. The decree includes a transition period of 18 months, due on January 1, 2021. The supervisor incorporates in Chapter XXIII of Accounting and Financial Circular (CBCF), an update of instructions related to the management of operational risk that financial entities must implement, in order to raise their levels to international standards and best practices, which will become effective on July 7, 2021.  

As of December, 31 2021, and 2020, all of Grupo Aval´s financial subsidiaries complied with the minimum regulatory capital requirements, as established by Basel II. Below is shown the consolidated outcome by entity of the minimum regulatory capital, required for the entities regulated by the Superintendency of Finance:

December 31, 2021

 

    

Banco de

    

Banco de

    

Banco

    

Banco AV

    

 

Bogotá 

Occidente 

Popular 

Villas 

Corficolombiana

 

Common Equity Tier One Capital

 

16,798,256

3,976,479

2,679,376

1,328,179

10,297,725

Additional Tier One Capital

 

2,070,203

 

 

 

176

 

181

Tier One Capital

 

18,868,459

 

3,976,479

 

2,679,376

 

1,328,355

 

10,297,906

Tier Two Capital

 

3,438,652

 

464,650

 

196,830

 

67,754

 

Deductions

 

(28,010)

 

 

 

 

(49,152)

Technical Capital

 

22,279,101

 

4,441,129

 

2,876,206

 

1,396,109

 

10,248,754

Risk-weighted assets by level of credit

142,407,577

30,661,940

17,137,233

8,781,323

15,660,907

Market risk

11,266,069

3,640,125

1,925,118

1,408,877

2,352,045

Operational risk

10,857,424

1,670,957

800,880

614,340

2,112,103

Total risk-weighted assets

164,531,070

35,973,022

19,863,231

10,804,540

20,125,055

Basic solvency ratio (minimum 4.5%)

10.21

%  

11.05

%  

13.49

%  

12.29

%  

51.17

%  

Additional basic solvency ratio (minimum 6%)

11.47

%  

11.05

%  

13.49

%  

12.29

%  

51.17

%  

Capital Adequacy Ratio (minimum 9%)

13.54

%  

12.35

%  

14.48

%  

12.92

%  

50.93

%  

Combined buffer

5.71

%  

6.55

%  

8.99

%  

7.79

%  

46.67

%  

Leverage value

 

233,045,670

54,343,878

29,656,493

17,469,029

22,161,189

Leverage ratio (minimum 3%)

 

8.10

%  

7.32

%  

9.03

%  

7.60

%  

46.47

%

Starting on 18, December, 2021, given ATH is no longer considered as a financial entity by the Superintendency of Finance, Banco AV Villas' capital adequacy is in accordance with its separate financial statements under Colombian IFRS.

December 31, 2020

 

    

Banco de

    

Banco de

    

Banco

    

Banco AV

    

 

Bogotá 

Occidente 

Popular 

Villas 

Corficolombiana

 

Regulatory Capital

 

19,752,122

 

3,891,274

 

2,475,933

 

1,509,106

 

5,319,415

Basic ordinary equity

 

12,828,890

 

3,176,896

 

2,056,501

 

1,348,671

 

4,741,904

Basic additional equity

 

6,923,232

 

714,378

 

419,432

 

160,435

 

577,510

Market risk

 

14,090,858

 

2,143,050

 

1,130,815

 

1,223,164

 

1,983,088

Credit risk

149,689,953

 

34,570,240

 

22,510,106

 

11,361,903

 

13,065,397

Total assets weighted by risk

 

163,780,811

 

36,713,290

 

23,640,921

 

12,585,067

 

15,048,485

Total solvency risk index.

 

12.06

%  

10.60

%  

10.47

%  

11.99

%  

35.35

%

Basic solvency risk index.

 

7.83

%  

8.65

%  

8.70

%  

10.72

%  

31.51

%

Likewise, Porvenir has adequately complied with the capital requirements established for pensions fund administrators in Colombia. The following is the detail of the capital requirements defined for them:

December 31, 2021

Porvenir

Basic equity net of deductions

2,091,223

Additional equity

(2,063)

Stabilizations reserves

1,612,832

Regulatory Capital

476,328

Market risk exposure

263,338

Operational risk exposure

1,510,032

Assets weighted by risk

1,096,715

Solvency ratio

16.60

%

December 31, 2020

Regulatory Capital

Porvenir

Basic equity net of deductions

2,034,006

Additional equity

14,270

Stabilizations reserves

1,346,821

Regulatory Capital

701,455

Market risk exposure

154,412

Operational risk exposure

1,401,704

Assets weighted by risk

953,504

Solvency ratio

27.95

%