20-F 1 aval-20201231x20f.htm 20-F

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 20-F

REGISTRATION STATEMENT PURSUANT TO SECTION 12(b) OR (g) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

OR

ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2020

OR

TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the transition period from ________________ to ________________

OR

SHELL COMPANY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
Date of event requiring this shell company report

Commission file number: 001-36631

GRUPO AVAL ACCIONES Y VALORES S.A.

(Exact name of Registrant as specified in its charter)

Republic of Colombia

(Jurisdiction of incorporation)

Carrera 13 No. 26A - 47

Bogotá D.C., Colombia

(Address of principal executive offices)

Jorge Adrián Rincón

Chief Legal Counsel

Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A.

Carrera 13 No. 26A - 47

Bogotá D.C., Colombia

Phone: (+57 1) 743-3222

E-mail: jrincon@grupoaval.com

(Name, Telephone, E-mail and/or Facsimile number and Address of Company Contact Person)

Copies to:

Nicholas A. Kronfeld, Esq.

Davis Polk & Wardwell LLP

450 Lexington Avenue

New York, NY 10017

Phone: (212) 450-4000

Securities registered or to be registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

None

Securities registered or to be registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Act:

Title of each class

 

Name of each exchange on which
registered

American Depositary Shares, each representing 20 preferred shares, par value Ps 1.00 per preferred share

 

New York Stock Exchange

Preferred Shares, par value Ps 1.00 per preferred share

 

New York Stock Exchange*


*     Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A.’s preferred shares are not listed for trading, but are only listed in connection with the registration of the American Depositary Shares, pursuant to the requirements of the New York Stock Exchange under the trading symbol(s): AVAL.

Securities for which there is a reporting obligation pursuant to Section 15(d) of the Act:

None

Indicate the number of outstanding shares of each of the issuer’s classes of capital stock or common stock as of the close of business covered by the annual report.

Preferred shares: 7,149,819,407


Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act.

Yes   No

If this report is an annual or transition report, indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

Yes   No

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.

Yes   No

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically every Interactive Data File required to be submitted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit such files).

Yes   No

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or an emerging growth company. See definition of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer,” and “emerging growth company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act:

Large accelerated filer

Accelerated filer

Non-accelerated filer

Emerging growth company

If an emerging growth company that prepares its financial statements in accordance with U.S. GAAP, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.

The term “new or revised financial accounting standard” refers to any update issued by the Financial Accounting Standards Board to its Accounting Standards Codification after April 5, 2012.

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has filed a report on and attestation to its management’s assessment of the effectiveness of its internal control over financial reporting under Section 404(b) of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act (15 U.S.C. 7262(b)) by the registered public accounting firm that prepared or issued its audit report.     

Indicate by check mark which basis of accounting the registrant has used to prepare the financial statements included in this filing:

US GAAP

International Financial Reporting Standards as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board

Other

If “Other” has been checked in response to the previous question indicate by check mark which financial statement item the registrant has elected to follow.

Item 17   Item 18

If this is an annual report, indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).

Yes   No


TABLE OF CONTENTS

 

 

Page

 

 

 

PRESENTATION OF FINANCIAL AND OTHER INFORMATION

1

PART I

5

ITEM 1. IDENTITY OF DIRECTORS, SENIOR MANAGEMENT AND ADVISERS

5

A.

Directors and senior management

5

B.

Advisers

5

C.

Auditors

5

ITEM 2. OFFER STATISTICS AND EXPECTED TIMETABLE

5

A.

Offer statistics

5

B.

Method and expected timetable

5

ITEM 3. KEY INFORMATION

5

A.

Selected financial data

5

B.

Capitalization and indebtedness

10

C.

Reasons for the offer and use of proceeds

10

D.

Risk factors

10

ITEM 4. INFORMATION ON THE COMPANY

37

A.

History and development of the company

37

B.

Business overview

41

C.

Organizational structure

98

D.

Property, plant and equipment

98

ITEM 4A. UNRESOLVED STAFF COMMENTS

98

ITEM 5. OPERATING AND FINANCIAL REVIEW AND PROSPECTS

99

A.

Operating results

99

B.

Liquidity and capital resources

156

C.

Research and development, patents and licenses, etc.

160

D.

Trend information

160

E.

Off-balance sheet arrangements

161

F.

Tabular disclosure of contractual obligations

161

ITEM 6. DIRECTORS, SENIOR MANAGEMENT AND EMPLOYEES

162

A.

Directors and senior management

162

B.

Compensation

166

C.

Board practices

166

D.

Employees

168

E.

Share ownership

169

ITEM 7. MAJOR SHAREHOLDERS AND RELATED PARTY TRANSACTIONS

169

A.

Major shareholders

169

B.

Related party transactions

170

C.

Interests of experts and counsel

172

ITEM 8. FINANCIAL INFORMATION

172

A.

Consolidated statements and other financial information

172

B.

Significant changes

173

ITEM 9. THE OFFER AND LISTING

173

A.

Offering and listing details

173

B.

Plan of distribution

173

C.

Markets

174

D.

Selling shareholders

175

E.

Dilution

175

F.

Expenses of the issue

175

i


ITEM 10. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

175

A.

Share capital

175

B.

Memorandum and articles of association

175

C.

Material contracts

182

D.

Exchange controls

182

E.

Taxation

182

F.

Dividends and paying agents

188

G.

Statement by experts

190

H.

Documents on display

190

I.

Subsidiary information

190

ITEM 11. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT RISK

191

ITEM 12. DESCRIPTION OF SECURITIES OTHER THAN EQUITY SECURITIES

213

A.

Debt securities

213

B.

Warrants and rights

213

C.

Other securities

214

D.

American depositary shares

214

PART II

216

ITEM 13. DEFAULTS, DIVIDEND ARREARAGES AND DELINQUENCIES

216

A.

Defaults

216

B.

Arrears and delinquencies

216

ITEM 14. MATERIAL MODIFICATIONS TO THE RIGHTS OF SECURITY HOLDERS AND USE OF PROCEEDS

216

A.

Material modifications to instruments

216

B.

Material modifications to rights

216

C.

Withdrawal or substitution of assets

216

D.

Change in trustees or paying agents

216

E.

Use of proceeds

216

ITEM 15. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES

216

A.

Disclosure controls and procedures

216

B.

Management’s annual report on internal control over financial reporting

216

C.

Attestation report of the registered public accounting firm

217

D.

Changes in internal control over financial reporting

217

ITEM 16. [RESERVED]

217

ITEM 16A. Audit committee financial expert

217

ITEM 16B. Code of ethics

217

ITEM 16C. Principal accountant fees and services

217

ITEM 16D. Exemptions from the listing standards for audit committees

218

ITEM 16E. Purchases of equity securities by the issuer and affiliated purchasers

218

ITEM 16F. Change in registrant’s certifying accountant

218

ITEM 16G. Corporate governance

219

ITEM 16H. Mine safety disclosure

220

PART III

221

ITEM 17. Financial statements

221

ITEM 18. Financial statements

221

ITEM 19. Exhibits

221

ii


PRESENTATION OF FINANCIAL AND OTHER INFORMATION

All references herein to “peso”, “pesos”, or “Ps” refer to the lawful currency of Colombia. ‎All references to “U.S. dollars”, “dollars” or “U.S.$” are to United States dollars. This annual report translates certain Colombian peso amounts ‎into U.S. dollars at specified rates solely for the convenience of the reader. The conversion of amounts expressed in ‎pesos as of a specified date at the then prevailing exchange rate may result in the presentation of U.S. dollar amounts ‎that differ from U.S. dollar amounts that would have been obtained by converting Colombian pesos as of another specified ‎date. Unless otherwise noted in this annual report, all such peso amounts have been translated at the ‎rate of Ps 3,432.50 per U.S.$1.00, which was the representative market rate published on December 31, 2020. The ‎representative market rate is computed and certified by the Superintendency of Finance on a daily basis and ‎represents the weighted average of the buy/sell foreign exchange rates negotiated on the previous day by certain ‎financial institutions authorized to engage in foreign exchange transactions. Such conversion should not be ‎construed as a representation that the peso amounts correspond to, or have been or could be converted into, U.S. ‎dollars at that rate or any other rate. On April 8, 2021 the representative market rate was Ps 3,634.07 per U.S. $1.00.

Definitions

In this annual report, unless otherwise indicated or the context otherwise requires, the terms:

“BAC Credomatic” or “BAC” means BAC Credomatic Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries;
“Banco AV Villas” means Banco Comercial AV Villas S.A. and its consolidated subsidiary;

“Banco de Bogotá” means Banco de Bogotá S.A. and its consolidated subsidiaries;
“Banco de Occidente” means Banco de Occidente S.A. and its consolidated subsidiaries;
“Banco Popular” means Banco Popular S.A. and its consolidated subsidiaries;
“banks” and “our banking subsidiaries” mean Banco de Bogotá S.A., Banco de Occidente S.A., Banco Popular S.A. and Banco Comercial AV Villas S.A., and their respective consolidated subsidiaries;
“Corficolombiana” means Corporación Financiera Colombiana S.A. and its consolidated subsidiaries;
“Grupo Aval”, “we”, “us”, “our” and “our company” mean Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A. and its consolidated subsidiaries;
“LB Panamá” means Leasing Bogotá S.A., Panamá and its consolidated subsidiaries;
“Multi Financial Group” or “MFG” means Multi Financial Group Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries.
“Porvenir” means Sociedad Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantías Porvenir S.A. and its consolidated subsidiary; and
“Superintendency of Finance” means the Colombian Superintendency of Finance (Superintendencia Financiera de Colombia), a supervisory authority ascribed to the Colombian Ministry of Finance and Public Credit (Ministerio de Hacienda y Crédito Público), or the “Ministry of Finance”, holding the inspection, supervision and control authority over the individuals or entities involved in financial activities, securities markets, insurance and any other operations related to the management, use or investment of resources collected from the public, as well as inspection and supervision authority over the holding companies of financial conglomerates in Colombia.

In this annual report, references to “beneficial ownership” are calculated pursuant to the definition ascribed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, or the “SEC”, of beneficial ownership for foreign private issuers contained in Form 20-F. Form 20-F defines the term “beneficial owner” of securities as referring to any person who, even if not the record owner of the securities, has or shares the underlying benefits of ownership, including the power to direct the voting or the disposition of the securities or to receive the economic benefit of ownership of the securities. A person is also considered to be the “beneficial owner” of securities when such person has the right to acquire within 60 days pursuant to an option or other agreement. Beneficial owners include persons who hold their securities through one or more trustees, brokers, agents, legal representatives or other intermediaries, or through companies in which they have a “controlling interest”, which means the direct or indirect power to direct the management and policies of the entity.

1


Financial statements

We are a financial holding company and an issuer in Colombia of securities registered with the National Registry of Shares and Issuers (Registro Nacional de Emisores y Valores), and in this capacity, we are subject to inspection and surveillance by the Superintendency of Finance and required to comply with corporate governance and periodic reporting requirements to which all financial holdings and issuers are subject. We are not a financial institution in Colombia and we are not supervised or regulated as a financial institution. Since February 6, 2019, we are subject to the inspection and surveillance of the Superintendency of Finance as the financial holding company of the Aval Financial Conglomerate and we are required to comply with capital adequacy and additional regulations applicable to financial conglomerates. See “Item 4. Information on the Company—B. Business overview—Supervision and regulation”. All of our Colombian financial subsidiaries, including Banco de Bogotá, Banco de Occidente, Banco Popular, Banco AV Villas, Corficolombiana, Porvenir, and their respective financial subsidiaries, are entities under the direct comprehensive supervision of, and subject to inspection and surveillance as financial institutions by, the Superintendency of Finance. In the case of LB Panamá’s financial subsidiaries, BAC and MFG, and their respective financial subsidiaries are subject to inspection and surveillance as financial institutions by the relevant regulatory authorities in each of the countries where BAC and MFG operate.

Our consolidated financial statements at December 31, 2020 and 2019 and for the years ended December 31, 2020, 2019, and 2018 are included in this annual report and referred to as our audited consolidated financial statements. Our historical results are not necessarily indicative of results to be expected for future periods. We have prepared the audited consolidated financial statements included herein in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”) as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (“IASB”).

Grupo Aval adopted IFRS 16 using the modified retrospective approach with the cumulative effect of initial adoption being recognized on January 1, 2019. Grupo Aval has not restated comparatives for prior reporting periods, as permitted under the specific transitional provisions in the standard. The reclassifications and the adjustments arising from the new leasing rules are therefore recognized in the opening Consolidated Statement of Financial Position on January 1, 2019. For more information on the effects of the adoption on Grupo Aval, please refer to “Note 2.4 Changes in Accounting Policies—A. IFRS 16 Leases” of our audited consolidated financial statements.

We and our Colombian subsidiaries prepare consolidated financial statements for publication in Colombia under IFRS as adopted by the Superintendency of Finance in accordance with Decree 1851 of 2013 and 3023 of 2013, as modified by Decrees 2420 and 2496 of 2015, 2131 of 2016, 2170 of 2017, 2483 of 2018 and 2270 of 2019. Prior to January 1, 2018, this accounting standard differed from IFRS as issued by the IASB in certain material respects. Starting on January 1, 2018, Grupo Aval’s consolidated financial statements for publication in Colombia do not differ from the consolidated financial statements prepared under IFRS as issued by the IASB.

Separate financial statements for us and our financial subsidiaries in Colombia are based on IFRS issued by the IASB in Spanish as of December 31, 2018 (which we refer to as “Colombian IFRS”), and pursuant to certain requirements under Colombian regulations. As a result, rules subsequently issued by the IASB are not applicable under Colombian IFRS. Our separate financial statements for local purposes, differ from IFRS as issued by the IASB in the following principal aspects:

Loss allowances are calculated based on specific rules of the Financial and Accounting Basic Circular (Circular Básica Contable y Financiera) issued by the Superintendency of Finance (which is applied in the local separate financial statements), whereas under IFRS, loss allowances are calculated according to the criteria set forth in IFRS 9 beginning on January 1, 2018.
Financial instruments under Colombian IFRS are classified and measured under specific rules of the Financial and Accounting Basic Circular, whereas under IFRS, financial instruments are classified and measured according to the criteria set forth in IFRS 9 beginning on January 1, 2018 (with the exception of hedge accounting which is still treated under guidelines set forth in IAS 39).

Ratios and Measures of Financial Performance

We have included in this annual report ratios and measures of financial performance such as return on average assets, or “ROAA”, and return on average equity, or “ROAE”. These measures should not be construed as an alternative to IFRS measures and should not be compared to similarly titled measures reported by other companies, which may evaluate such measures differently from how we do. For ratios and measures of financial performance, see “Item 3. Key Information—A. Selected financial data”.

Market share and other information

We obtained the market and competitive position data, including market forecasts, used throughout this annual report from market research, publicly available information and industry publications. We have presented this data on the basis of information from third-party sources that we believe are reliable, including, among others, the International Monetary Fund, or “IMF”, the Superintendency of Finance, the Colombian Banking Association (Asociación Bancaria y de Entidades Financieras de Colombia) or “Asobancaria”, the Colombian Stock Exchange, the Colombian National Bureau of Statistics (Departamento Administrativo Nacional de Estadística), or “DANE”, the World

2


Bank, the Superintendency of Banks in Panama (Superintendencia de Bancos de Panamá), the Superintendency of Financial Institutions in Costa Rica (Superintendencia General de Entidades Financieras), the Superintendency of Banks in Guatemala (Superintendencia de Bancos de Guatemala), the National Commission of Banks and Insurances in Honduras (Comisión Nacional de Bancos y Seguros), the Financial System Superintendency in El Salvador (Superintendencia del Sistema Financiero) and the Superintendency of Banks and Other Financial Institutions in Nicaragua (Superintendencia de Bancos y Otras Instituciones Financieras). Industry and Government publications, including those referenced herein, generally state that the information presented has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but that the accuracy and completeness of such information is not guaranteed. Unless otherwise indicated, gross domestic product, or “GDP”, figures with respect to Colombia in this annual report are based on the 2015 base year data series published by DANE. Although we have no reason to believe that any of this information or these reports is inaccurate in any material respect, we have not independently verified the competitive position, market share, market size, market growth or other data provided by third parties or by industry or other publications. We do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information.

Our consolidated statement of financial position and statement of income reflect information prepared under IFRS. Comparative disclosures of financial and operating performance of our Colombian banking subsidiaries, Corficolombiana, Porvenir and that of our competitors are based on separate information prepared under Colombian IFRS as reported to the Superintendency of Finance. These separate financial statements under Colombian IFRS do not reflect the consolidation of subsidiaries such as Corficolombiana, Porvenir or LB Panamá, are not intended to reflect the consolidated financial results of Grupo Aval and are not necessarily indicative of the results for any other future period. Except where otherwise indicated, comparative disclosures of our financial and operating performance pertaining to our operations in BAC and MFG are presented in accordance with IFRS and based on publicly available information filed with regulators. We include certain ratios in this annual report to compare us to our principal competitors, such as ROAA, ROAE, operational efficiency and asset quality indicators, among others.

“Grupo Aval aggregate” data reflects the sum of the separate financial statements of our four Colombian banking subsidiaries (Banco de Bogotá, Banco de Occidente, Banco Popular and Banco AV Villas) as reported to the Superintendency of Finance under Colombian IFRS. When referring to comparative figures to our peers in Central America on a national basis (i) data for Panama reflects the sum of the separate financial statements of BAC and MFG and (ii) data for other countries refers to the separate financial statements for BAC in each country where it operates, in each case as reported with the applicable local regulators.

Throughout this document, unless otherwise noted, references to average consolidated statement of financial position for 2020, 2019 and 2018 have been calculated as follows: the average of balances at December 31, at September 30, at June 30, and at March 31 of the corresponding year, and the balance at December 31, of the previous year.

Other conventions

Certain figures included in this annual report have been subject to rounding adjustments. Accordingly, figures shown as totals in certain tables may not be an arithmetic summation of the figures that precede them. As such, percentage calculations presented may differ from those of rounded numbers. References to “billions” in this annual report are to 1,000,000,000s and to “trillions” are to 1,000,000,000,000s.

“Non-controlling interest” refers to the participation of minority shareholders in a subsidiary’s equity or net income, as applicable.

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

Some of the matters discussed in this annual report concerning our operations and financial performance include estimates and forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 “Reform Act” including such statements contained in “Item 3. Key Information—D. Risk factors”, “Item 4. Information on the Company—B. Business overview” and “Item 5. Operating and Financial Review and Prospects”.

Our estimates and forward-looking statements are mainly based on our current expectations and estimates on projections of future events and trends, which affect or may affect our businesses and results of operations. Although we believe that these estimates and forward-looking statements are based upon reasonable assumptions, they are subject to several risks and uncertainties and are made in light of information currently available to us. Our estimates and forward-looking statements may be influenced by the following factors, among others:

changes in Colombian, Central American, regional and international business and economic, political or other conditions;
developments affecting Colombian, Central American and international capital and financial markets;
Government regulation and tax matters and developments affecting our company and industry;

3


declines in the oil and affiliated services sector in the Colombian and global economies;
increases in defaults by our customers;
increases in goodwill impairment losses, or other impairments;
decreases in deposits, customer loss or revenue loss;
increases in allowances for contingent liabilities;
our ability to sustain or improve our financial performance;
increases in inflation rates, particularly in Colombia and in jurisdictions in which we operate in Central America;
the level of penetration of financial products and credit in Colombia and Central America;
changes in interest rates which may, among other effects, adversely affect margins and the valuation of our treasury portfolio;
decreases in the spread between investment yields and implied interest rates in annuities;
movements in exchange rates;
competition in the banking and financial services, credit card services, insurance, asset management, pension fund administration and related industries;
adequacy of risk management procedures and credit, market and other risks of lending and investment activities;
decreases in the level of capitalization of our subsidiaries;
changes in market values of Colombian and Central American securities, particularly Colombian Government securities;
adverse legal or regulatory disputes or proceedings;
successful integration and future performance of acquired businesses or assets;
natural disasters, public health crises or internal security issues affecting countries where we operate;
loss of any key member of our senior management; and
other risk factors as set forth under “Item 3. Key Information—D. Risk factors”.

The words “believe”, “may”, “will”, “estimate”, “continue”, “anticipate”, “intend”, “expect”, “should”, “could”, “would”, “plan”, “predict”, “potential” and similar words are intended to identify estimates and forward-looking statements. All statements addressing our future operating performance, and statements addressing events and developments that we expect or anticipate will occur in the future, are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Reform Act. Estimates and forward-looking statements are intended to be valid only at the date they were made, and we undertake no obligation to update or to review any estimate and/or forward-looking statement because of new information, future events or other factors. Estimates and forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties and are not guarantees of future performance. Our future results may differ materially from those expressed in these estimates and forward-looking statements. In light of the risks and uncertainties described above, the estimates and forward-looking statements discussed in this annual report might not occur and our future results and our performance may differ materially from those expressed in these forward-looking statements due to the factors mentioned above, among others. Because of these uncertainties, you should not make any investment decision based on these estimates and forward-looking statements.

These cautionary statements should be considered in connection with any written or oral forward-looking statements that we may issue in the future.

4


PART I

ITEM 1. IDENTITY OF DIRECTORS, SENIOR MANAGEMENT AND ADVISERS

A.          Directors and senior management

Not applicable.

B.          Advisers

Not applicable.

C.          Auditors

Not applicable.

ITEM 2. OFFER STATISTICS AND EXPECTED TIMETABLE

A.          Offer statistics

Not applicable.

B.          Method and expected timetable

Not applicable.

ITEM 3. KEY INFORMATION

A.          Selected financial data

The following financial data of Grupo Aval at December 31, 2020 and 2019 and for the years ended December 31, 2020, 2019 and 2018 have been derived from our audited consolidated financial statements prepared in accordance with IFRS, included in this report. Our historical results are not necessarily indicative of results to be expected for future periods.

This financial data should be read in conjunction with our audited consolidated financial statements and the related notes, “Presentation of financial and other information” and “Item 5. Operating and Financial Review and Prospects” included in this annual report.

5


Statement of income data

IFRS

    

2020

    

2019

    

2018

(in Ps billions, except share and per share data)

Total interest income

 

20,222.8

19,552.7

18,356.6

Total interest expense

 

(8,262.3)

(8,267.2)

(7,484.8)

Net interest income

 

11,960.5

11,285.5

10,871.8

Impairment loss on loans and other accounts receivable

 

(6,267.2)

(4,194.0)

(4,150.0)

Impairment (loss) recovery on other financial assets

 

(74.8)

60.0

32.5

Recovery of charged-off financial assets

 

328.1

378.9

320.1

Net impairment loss on financial assets

 

(6,013.9)

(3,755.1)

(3,797.3)

Net interest income, after impairment losses

 

5,946.6

7,530.4

7,074.4

Net income from commissions and fees

 

5,093.4

5,455.3

4,839.6

Gross profit from sales of goods and services

2,823.3

2,374.8

2,643.9

Net trading income

 

1,295.4

761.9

582.7

Net income from other financial instruments mandatorily at fair value through profit or loss

252.4

217.6

205.8

Other income

 

1,716.9

1,283.0

1,358.7

Other expenses

 

(10,652.7)

(10,171.3)

(9,371.0)

Income before tax expense

 

6,475.3

7,451.7

7,334.1

Tax expense

 

(1,843.7)

(2,086.3)

(2,149.6)

Net income for the year

 

4,631.6

5,365.5

5,184.6

Net income for the year attributable to:

 

Owners of the parent

 

2,349.5

3,034.4

2,912.7

Non-controlling interest

 

2,282.1

2,331.0

2,271.9

Earnings per 1,000 shares (basic and diluted earnings):

 

  

 

  

 

  

Common shares (in pesos)

 

105,449.5

 

136,188.1

 

130,725.4

Earnings per 1,000 shares (basic and diluted earnings):

 

  

 

  

 

  

Preferred shares (in pesos)

 

105,449.5

 

136,188.1

 

130,725.4

Dividends per 1,000 shares(1):

 

  

 

  

 

  

Common and preferred shares (in pesos)

 

54,000.0

 

60,000.0

 

60,000.0

Weighted average number of shares:

 

  

 

  

 

  

Outstanding common shares in thousands

 

15,135,829.5

15,158,004.8

15,169,502.8

Outstanding preferred shares in thousands

 

7,145,187.6

7,123,012.3

7,111,514.4

Outstanding common and preferred shares in thousands

 

22,281,017.2

22,281,017.2

22,281,017.2

6


Statement of financial position data

    

2020

    

2019

(in Ps billions)

Assets:

 

  

 

  

Cash and cash equivalents

 

34,025.5

30,117.2

Trading assets

 

11,038.9

9,113.7

Investment securities

 

36,061.8

26,000.3

Hedging derivative assets

 

156.2

166.6

Total loans, net

 

195,542.0

173,942.3

Other accounts receivables, net

 

14,996.3

11,702.3

Non-current assets held for sale

 

240.4

206.2

Investments in associates and joint ventures

 

1,029.3

988.0

Tangible assets

 

8,974.0

8,950.4

Concession arrangement rights

 

9,187.6

7,521.5

Goodwill

 

7,713.8

7,348.6

Other intangible assets

 

1,623.7

1,206.5

Income tax assets

 

1,797.9

1,141.8

Other assets

 

508.5

427.2

Total assets

 

322,895.9

 

278,832.6

Liabilities:

 

  

 

  

Trading liabilities

 

1,452.6

962.4

Hedging derivatives liabilities

 

56.6

94.3

Customer deposits

 

211,841.6

175,491.4

Interbank borrowings and overnight funds

 

7,179.6

9,240.5

Borrowings from banks and others

 

19,654.5

19,803.3

Bonds issued

 

27,760.8

21,918.3

Borrowings from development entities

 

4,029.8

3,882.5

Provisions

 

912.9

868.6

Income tax liabilities

 

3,588.2

3,258.6

Employee benefits

 

1,201.9

1,235.0

Other liabilities

 

9,777.9

8,729.4

Total liabilities

 

287,456.3

 

245,484.3

Equity:

 

  

 

  

Attributable to the owners of the parent

 

  

 

  

Subscribed and paid-in capital

 

22.3

22.3

Additional paid-in capital

 

8,470.9

8,445.8

Retained earnings

 

11,302.1

10,289.1

Other comprehensive income

 

862.0

1,093.4

Equity attributable to owners of the parent

 

20,657.3

 

19,850.6

Non-controlling interest

 

14,782.3

13,497.7

Total equity

 

35,439.6

 

33,348.3

Total liabilities and equity

 

322,895.9

 

278,832.6

7


Other financial and operating data

Grupo Aval

 

At and for the year ended December 31, 

 

    

2020

    

2019

    

2018

 

(in percentages, unless otherwise

 

indicated)

 

Profitability ratios:

 

  

 

  

 

  

Net interest margin(1)

 

5.1%

5.6%

5.7%

ROAA(2)

 

1.5%

2.0%

2.2%

ROAE(3)

 

11.7%

16.4%

17.8%

Efficiency ratios(4):

 

Cost to income

46.0%

47.6%

45.7%

Cost to assets

3.4%

3.8%

3.9%

Capital ratios:

 

  

  

  

Period-end equity as a percentage of period-end total assets

 

11.0%

12.0%

11.4%

Tangible equity ratio(5)

 

8.3%

9.2%

8.4%

Credit quality data:

 

  

  

  

Cost of risk: Impairment loss on loans and other accounts receivable / average gross loans(6)

3.1%

2.4%

2.6%

Cost of risk, net: Impairment loss on loans and other accounts receivable, net / average gross loans(6)(7)

3.0%

2.2%

2.4%

Charge-offs as a percentage of average gross loans(6)

 

2.0%

2.7%

2.0%

Loans past due more than 30 days / gross loans(6)

 

4.9%

4.4%

4.3%

Loans past due more than 90 days / gross loans(6)

 

3.6%

3.3%

3.1%

Loans classified as Stage 2 / gross loans(6)

13.2%

4.5%

4.6%

Loans classified as Stage 3 / gross loans(6)

6.1%

5.5%

6.0%

Loans classified as Stage 2 and Stage 3 / gross loans(6)

19.3%

10.0%

10.6%

Loss allowance as a percentage of loans past due more than 30 days

 

110.3%

104.6%

113.9%

Loss allowance as a percentage of loans past due more than 90 days

 

151.7%

140.1%

158.0%

Loss allowance for Stage 2 loans as a percentage of Stage 2 loans(6)

11.4%

14.4%

15.5%

Loss allowance for Stage 3 loans as a percentage of Stage 3 loans(6)

49.4%

52.4%

50.8%

Loss allowance for Stage 2 and Stage 3 loans as a percentage of Stage 2 and Stage 3 loans(6)

23.5%

35.3%

35.6%

Loss allowance as a percentage of gross loans(6)

 

5.4%

4.6%

4.8%

Operational data (in units):

 

  

 

  

 

  

Number of customers of the banks(8)

 

16,999,944

 

16,474,645

 

15,654,858

Number of employees(9)

 

104,862

 

111,192

 

91,191

Number of branches(10)

 

1,589

 

1,692

 

1,734

Number of ATMs(10)

 

5,562

 

5,671

 

5,570


(1)Net interest margin is calculated as net interest income divided by total average interest-earning assets. Average interest-earning assets for 2020, 2019 and 2018 are calculated as the sum of interest-earning assets at each quarter-end during the applicable year and the prior year end divided by five.
(2)For the years ended December 31, 2020, 2019 and 2018, ROAA is calculated as net income divided by average assets. Average assets for 2020, 2019 and 2018 are calculated as the sum of assets at each quarter-end during the applicable year and the prior year end divided by five. See “Item 4. Information on the company—B. Business overview—Selected statistical data”.
(3)For the years ended December 31, 2020, 2019 and 2018, ROAE is calculated as net income attributable to owners of the parent divided by average equity attributable to owners of the parent. Average equity attributable to owners of the parent for 2020, 2019 and 2018 is calculated as the sum of equity attributable to owners of the parent at each quarter-end during the applicable year end and the prior year end divided by five. See “Item 4. Information on the company—B. Business overview—Selected statistical data”.
(4)Our cost to income ratio is calculated as Other Expenses (see Note 30 of our audited consolidated financial statements), divided by total income before net impairment losses on financial assets (defined as the sum of net interest income, net income from commissions and fees, gross profit (loss) from sales of goods and services, net trading income, net income from other financial instruments mandatorily at fair value through profit or loss “FVTPL” and other income). Our cost to assets ratio is calculated as Other expenses divided by average assets, as defined under ROAA.

8


(5)Tangible equity ratio is calculated as total equity minus intangible assets (calculated as goodwill plus other intangible assets, excluding those related to concession arrangements rights, Ps 9,187.6 billion in 2020, Ps 7,521.5 billion in 2019 and Ps 5,514.5 billion in 2018) divided by total assets minus intangible assets (as defined before). See “Item 3. Key Information—A. Selected financial data— Ratios and Measures of Financial Performance”.
(6)Gross loans exclude Interbank and overnight funds (Ps 4,693.7 billion in 2020, Ps 2,719.0 billion in 2019 and Ps 7,635.2 billion in 2018) as these are short-term liquidity operations generally not subject to deterioration. Total gross loan portfolio includes Interbank and overnight funds. Throughout this document charge-offs and write-offs refer to the same concept.
(7)Impairment (loss) on loans and other accounts receivable, net refers to Impairment (loss) on loans and other accounts receivable minus Recovery of charged-off financial assets.
(8)Reflects aggregated customers of our banking subsidiaries. Customers of more than one of our Colombian banking subsidiaries, BAC and MFG (for 2020 only) are counted separately for each banking subsidiary.
(9)Number of employees is defined as the sum of direct, temporary and outsourced personnel in financial entities (68,774 in 2020, 71,269 in 2019 and 71,851 in 2018), call-centers (8,813 in 2020, 8,538 in 2019 and 8,081 in 2018) and employees of non-financial entities of Corficolombiana (27,275 in 2020, 31,385 in 2019 and 11,259 in 2018). Employees in financial entities include 1,222 employees of MFG (for 2020 only).
(10)Reflects aggregated number of full-service branches or ATMs of our Colombian banking subsidiaries, BAC and MFG (for 2020 only), as applicable, located throughout Colombia and Central America.

Ratios and Measures of Financial Performance

The tables in this section, and elsewhere in this annual report, provide the calculation of certain ratios and measures of financial performance, which are used by our management to analyze the evolution and results of our company. Some of the ratios and measures of financial performance presented by us are either non-IFRS or use non-IFRS inputs. This non-IFRS information should not be construed as an alternative to IFRS measures. The ratios and measures of financial performance as determined and measured by us should not be compared to similarly titled measures reported by other companies as other companies may calculate and report such measures differently.

ROAA and ROAE

ROAA, which is calculated as net income divided by average assets, provides a measure of return on assets. ROAE, which is calculated as net income attributable to owners of the parent, divided by average equity attributable to owners of the parent, provides a measure of the total return generated from our company and our subsidiaries for shareholders. Net income attributable to non-controlling interest divided by net income, provides an indication of non-controlling interest ownership of Grupo Aval’s consolidated subsidiaries net income; where a higher ratio typically implies that higher net income was generated in subsidiaries in which Grupo Aval has lower ownerships and vice versa.

The following table sets forth ROAA, ROAE and Net income attributable to non-controlling interest divided by net income for Grupo Aval for the indicated years.

Year ended December 31, 

 

    

2020

    

2019

    

2018

 

(in Ps billions, except percentages)

 

Grupo Aval (consolidated):

 

  

 

  

Average assets(1)

 

317,797.0

 

267,058.8

 

240,905.4

Average equity attributable to owners of the parent(2)

 

20,146.5

 

18,521.1

 

16,349.5

Net income

 

4,631.6

 

5,365.5

 

5,184.6

Net income attributable to owners of the parent

 

2,349.5

 

3,034.4

 

2,912.7

Net income attributable to non-controlling interest

 

2,282.1

 

2,331.0

 

2,271.9

ROAA(1)

 

1.5%

2.0%

2.2%

ROAE(2)

 

11.7%

16.4%

17.8%

Net income attributable to non-controlling interest divided by net income

 

49.3%

43.4%

43.8%


(1)For methodology used to calculate Average assets and ROAA, see note (2) to the table under “Item 3. Key Information—A. Selected financial data—Other financial and operating data”.

9


(2)For methodology used to calculate Average equity attributable to owners of the parent and ROAE, see note (3) to the table under “Item 3. Key Information—A. Selected financial data—Other financial and operating data”.

B.          Capitalization and indebtedness

Not applicable.

C.          Reasons for the offer and use of proceeds

Not applicable.

D.          Risk factors

Our business, financial condition and results of operations could be materially and adversely affected if any of the risks described below occur. In such an event, the market price of our preferred shares or our American Depositary Shares, or ADSs, could decline, and you could lose all or part of your investment. We may face additional risks and uncertainties that are not presently known to us, or that we currently deem immaterial, which may also impair our business.

Summary

The following summarizes some, but not all, of the risks provided below. Please carefully consider all of the information discussed in this Item 3.D. “Risk Factors” in this annual report for a more thorough description of these and other risks:

Risks relating to Colombia and other countries in which we operate:
owe are exposed to adverse economic and political conditions in Colombia and other countries in which we operate, including variations in the exchange rates or downgrades in credit ratings of sovereign debt securities;
owe are exposed to the vulnerability to external shocks of the Colombian and Central American economies;
owe are exposed to internal security issues that have had or could have a negative effect on the Colombian economy;
owe are exposed to political and economic instability in the region;
owe are exposed to changes in Government policies and actions, as well as judicial decisions in Colombia and other countries in which we operate that could significantly affect the local economy;
owe are exposed to violations of anti-corruption laws and other laws in the jurisdictions in which we operate;
owe are exposed to risks related to our participation in government enforcement actions and/or ongoing governmental investigations;
owe are exposed to changes in tax regulations or the interpretation thereof that could result in new or higher taxes as well as Colombian tax haven regulations;
owe are exposed to natural disasters, acts of war or terrorism, rioting or other external events;
owe are exposed to public health threats such as the coronavirus outbreak and other pandemic diseases; and
owe are exposed to risks related to global climate change and environmental requirements;

Risks relating to our businesses and industry
oRisks relating to our banking business

we are exposed to a deterioration in asset quality, including the loan portfolios of our banking subsidiaries;
we are exposed to the inability of our banking subsidiaries to realize on collateral or guarantees of secured loans;
we are exposed to limitations on the ability of our banking subsidiaries to collect on monetary obligations and enforce rights against collateral or under guarantees imposed by Colombian and Central American insolvency laws;
we are exposed to failures of our risk management processes, including credit and market risk;
we are exposed to declines in the value of our banks’ sovereign debt portfolios;
we are exposed to counterparty risk;
we are exposed to market and operational risks associated with derivatives transactions;
we are exposed to liquidity risk;
we are exposed to defaults by one or more of our largest borrowers;
we are exposed to downgrades in our long-term credit ratings or in the credit ratings of our banking subsidiaries;
we are exposed to prepayment risk;
we are exposed to high competition in the credit card industry;
10

we are exposed to changes in banking and financial services laws and regulations in Colombia and the other countries in which we operate;
we are exposed to changes in accounting standards;
we are exposed to regulatory actions that may result in fines, penalties or restrictions;
we are exposed to legal and other challenges to maximize revenue from credit card fees and other fees from customer; and
we are exposed to the failure to protect personal information.

oRisks relating to our merchant banking business

we are exposed to difficult market conditions that could affect Corficolombiana;
we are exposed to Corficolombiana’s inability to realize profits from illiquid assets, which represent a significant part of its investments;
we are exposed to risks derived from Corficolombiana holding minority interest in other companies;
we are exposed to the concentration of Corficolombiana’s investments in five industries; and
we are exposed to a variety of other issues outside of our control.

oRisks relating our pension and severance fund management business

we are exposed to risks derived from the highly regulated market in which Porvenir operates; and
we are exposed to risks derived from the management of a significant amount of debt securities in pension and severance funds issued or guaranteed by the Colombian Government.

oOther risks relating to our businesses

we are exposed to fluctuations in interest rates and other market risks;
we are exposed to our inability to effectively manage risks associated with the replacement of benchmark indices;
we are exposed to fluctuations between the value of the Colombian peso or other local currencies where we operate, and the U.S. dollar;
we are exposed trading risks with respect to our trading activities;
we are exposed to limitations on interest rates;
we are exposed to limitations on the ability of residents to obtain loans denominated in foreign currency;
we are exposed to constitutional actions, class actions and other legal actions involving claims for significant monetary awards against financial institutions;
we are exposed to risks derived from acquisitions and strategic partnerships not performing in accordance with expectations, failing to receive required regulatory approvals or disrupting our operations;
we are exposed to risks derived from our inability to manage our growth successfully;
we are exposed to operational risks;
we are exposed to risks derived from the failure of our information systems;
we are exposed to cybersecurity threats;
we are exposed to risks derived from our inability to detect money laundering and other illegal or improper activities fully or on a timely basis;
we are exposed to competition and consolidation in the Colombian and Central American banking and financial industry;
we are exposed to risks derived from our dependency on our senior management and Board of Directors;
we are exposed to reputational risk; and
we are exposed to risks derived from conflicting interests between our controlling shareholder and other common, preferred shareholders and ADS holders.

Risks relating to our Central American operations
owe are exposed to risks derived from our inability to address the challenges and risks presented by our operations in countries outside Colombia;
owe are exposed to our dependency on BAC’s and MFG’s current senior management;
owe are exposed to changes in credit card regulations; and
owe are exposed to compliance risks in connection with a multi-jurisdictional regulatory regime.

Risks relating to our preferred shares and ADSs
owe are exposed to exchange rate volatility;
owe are exposed to restrictions on purchases of our preferred shares;
11

owe are exposed to risks derived from the relative illiquidity of the Colombian securities markets;
owe are exposed to risks derived from our inability to continue to develop or maintain an active market for our preferred shares and ADSs;
owe are subject to different corporate rules and regulations than those available in other jurisdictions which may make it more difficult to holders of ADSs and underlying preferred shares to protect their interests;
owe are subject to limitations imposed by Colombian law on our ability to pay dividends on the ADSs or underlying preferred shares;
oholders of ADSs may encounter difficulties in the exercise of dividend rights and in the limited voting rights of our preferred shares;
oour status as a foreign private issuer allows us to follow alternate standards to the corporate governance standards of the NYSE;
opreemptive rights may not be available to holders of preferred shares or ADSs;
oour ability to make payments on the ADSs may be adversely affected if we become unable to convert Colombian pesos to U.S. dollars or to transfer U.S. dollars abroad;
owe are exposed to price variations as a result of being traded on more than one market;
oif holders of ADSs surrender their ADSs and withdraw preferred shares, they may face adverse Colombian tax consequences;
obanking regulations, accounting standards and corporate disclosure applicable to us differ from those in the United States and other countries;
ojudgments of Colombian courts with respect to our preferred shares will be payable only in pesos; and
oU.S. investors in our preferred shares or the ADSs may find it difficult or impossible to enforce service of process and enforcement of judgments against us and our officers and directors.

Risks relating to Colombia and other countries in which we operate

Adverse economic and political conditions in Colombia and other countries in which we operate, including variations in the exchange rates or downgrades in credit ratings of sovereign debt securities, may have an adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition.

Our principal subsidiaries in Colombia are financial institutions (four commercial banks, a pension and severance fund administrator and a merchant bank), and the majority of our operations, properties and customers are located in Colombia. As a consequence, our results of operations and financial condition are materially affected by economic and political conditions in Colombia.

Colombia is subject to economic, political and other uncertainties, including changes in monetary, exchange control and trade policies that could affect the overall business environment in Colombia, which would, in turn, affect our results of operations and financial condition. For example, the Central Bank of Colombia (the “Colombian Central Bank” or “Central Bank”), could sharply raise or lower interest rates, which could negatively affect our net interest income and asset quality, and also restrict our growth. Variations in exchange rates could also negatively affect the foreign currency positions of our borrowers or our or our subsidiaries’ solvency, liquidity or profitability. Any of these events could have an adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition.

Decreases in the growth rate of the Colombian economy, periods of negative growth, material increases in inflation or interest rates, or high fluctuations in the exchange rate could result in lower demand for, or affect the cost of risk and the pricing of our services and products. Due to the fact that a large percentage of the costs and expenses of our subsidiaries is fixed, we may not be able to reduce costs and expenses upon the occurrence of any of these events, in which case our profitability could be affected.

In the case of our pension and severance fund management business, economic conditions may affect the businesses and financial capacity of employers, which may result in a reduction in employee-contributor head counts or decrease the ability of employers to create new jobs or increase employee incomes and could reduce returns on “stabilization reserves” and/or performance-based fees.

Our results of operations and financial condition also depend on economic, political and social conditions in other countries where our non-Colombian subsidiaries operate, primarily in Central America. The political, economic and social environments in such countries are affected by many different factors, including significant governmental influence over local economies, substantial fluctuations in economic growth, high levels of inflation, exchange rate movements, exchange controls or restrictions on expatriation of earnings, high domestic interest rates, civil strife, political instability, drug trafficking and other forms of organized crime, wage and price controls, changes in tax policies, imposition of trade barriers, changes in the prices of commodities and unexpected changes in regulation. The results of operations and financial condition of our Central American operations could be affected by changes in economic and other policies of each country’s government, which have exercised and continue to exercise substantial influence over many aspects of the private sector, and by other social and political developments in each country.

12


Adverse economic, political and social developments, including allegations of corruption against the Colombian Government and governments of other countries in which we operate in Central America, may adversely affect demand for banking services and create uncertainty regarding our operating environment, which could have a material adverse effect on our subsidiaries and, consequently, on our company.

The Colombian and Central American economies remain vulnerable to external shocks.

A significant decline in economic growth of any of Colombia’s or Central America’s major trading partners could have a material adverse effect on the trade balance and economic growth of the countries where we operate. In addition, a “contagion” effect, where an entire region or asset class becomes less attractive to, or subject to outflows of funds by, international investors could negatively affect Colombia or Central American countries in which we operate. Lower than expected economic growth may result in asset quality deterioration and could negatively affect our business.

Pension funds, such as those managed by Porvenir, invest globally and thus are affected by regional and global economic factors. Lower economic growth of Colombia’s major trading partners or a contagion effect in the region or globally may lead to lower pension funds returns, which may in turn result in decreases in assets under management and affect our business, results of operations or financial condition.

Fluctuations in commodity prices and volatility in exchange rates in the past have led to a deceleration in growth. In particular, the oil industry remains an important determinant of Colombia’s economic growth. Substantial or extended declines in international oil prices or national oil production may have an adverse effect on the overall performance of the Colombian economy and could have an adverse impact on the results of operations and financial condition of oil industry companies, which could have an adverse impact on our loans to oil industry companies. Our banking subsidiaries do not maintain a significant overall exposure to oil industry clients and have not been materially impacted by the decrease in international oil prices, however, continuing falling market prices, pose significant challenges to Colombia’s near-term outlook and may impair the ability of some of the clients of our banking subsidiaries to repay their debt obligations. Although the growth of the Colombian economy is expected to be steady in the future, there is no guarantee that the past decade’s average growth will be maintained.

A low rate of growth of the Colombian economy, a slowdown in the growth of customer demand, an increase in market competition, or changes in governmental regulations, could adversely affect the rate of growth of our loan portfolio and our cost of risk and, accordingly, increase our required loss allowances for loans. All of these conditions could lead to a general decrease in demand for borrowings. In addition, the effect on consumer confidence of any actual or perceived deterioration of household incomes in the Colombian or Central American economies may have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition.

Colombia has experienced and continues to experience internal security issues that have had or could have a negative effect on the Colombian economy.

Colombia has experienced internal security issues, primarily due to the activities of paramilitary and guerrilla groups, such as the National Liberation Army (Ejército de Liberación Nacional), or “ELN”, urban militias, former members of the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia), or “FARC”, and of drug cartels. These groups have exerted influence over the local population and funded their activities by protecting, and rendering services to drug traffickers. Any breakdown in peace, renewed or continuing drug-related crime and guerilla and paramilitary activities may have a negative impact on the Colombian economy in the future. Our business or financial condition could be adversely affected by rapidly changing economic or social conditions, including any peace negotiation with guerilla, paramilitary or other group, which may result in legislation that increases our tax burden, or that of other Colombian companies, which could, in turn, impact the overall economy.

Political and economic instability in the region may affect the Colombian economy and, consequently, our results of operations and financial condition.

Some of Colombia’s neighboring countries, particularly Venezuela, have experienced and continue to experience periods of political and economic instability. A significant number of Venezuelans have emigrated amid food and medicine shortages and profound political divisions in their country and a relevant portion of those migrants have opted to live in Colombia, and many have arrived with only what they could carry. Providing migrants with access to healthcare, utilities and education may have a negative impact on Colombia’s economy if the Government is not able to respond adequately to legalize migrants, generate programs to create jobs and help them find formal employment, and increase tax revenue and consumption.

Moreover, diplomatic relations with neighboring countries have from time to time been tense and affected by events surrounding the Colombian military forces’ confrontations with guerilla groups, particularly on Colombia’s borders with each of Venezuela and Ecuador.

13


Moreover, diplomatic relations between Colombia and Nicaragua involving disputed waters could result in the Nicaraguan Government taking measures, or a reaction among the Nicaraguan public, which would be detrimental to Colombian-owned interests in that country, including those owned by us through BAC.

Further economic and political instability in Colombia’s neighboring countries or any future deterioration in relations with countries in the region may result in the closing of borders, the imposition of trade barriers and a breakdown of diplomatic ties, or a negative effect on Colombia’s trade balance, economy and general security situation, which may adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.

Finally, political conditions such as changes in the United States policies related to immigration and remittances, could affect the countries in which we operate. Economic conditions in the United States and the region generally may be impacted by the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement. This could have an indirect effect on the Colombian economy and the countries in which we operate.

Changes in Government policies and actions, as well as judicial decisions in Colombia and other countries in which we operate, could significantly affect the local economy and, as a result, our results of operations and financial condition.

Our results of operations and financial condition may be adversely affected by changes in Colombian and Central American governmental policies and actions, and judicial decisions, involving a broad range of matters, including interest rates, fees, exchange rates, exchange controls, inflation rates, taxation, banking and pension fund regulations and other political or economic developments affecting Colombia and other countries in which we operate.

Colombian and Central American governments have historically exercised substantial influence over their economies, and their policies are likely to continue to have a significant effect on companies, including us.

Moreover, regulatory uncertainty, public dialogue on reforms in Colombia and other countries where we operate, or the approval of reforms, may be disruptive to our business or the economy and may result in a material and adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.

We and our subsidiaries are subject to anti-corruption laws and other laws in the jurisdictions in which we operate and violation of these regulations could harm our business.

We and our subsidiaries are subject to numerous, and sometimes conflicting, legal regimes on matters as diverse as anti-corruption, taxation, internal and disclosure control obligations, securities and derivatives regulation, anti-competition regulations, data privacy and labor relations. Compliance with diverse legal requirements is costly, time-consuming and requires significant resources. Violations of one or more of these regulations in the conduct of our business or the business of our subsidiaries could result in significant fines, criminal sanctions against us or our officers, prohibitions on doing business and damage to our reputation. Violations of these laws or regulations in connection with the performance of our obligations to our customers, as well as in connection with the performance of our subsidiaries’ obligations, could also result in liability for significant monetary damages, fines or criminal prosecution, unfavorable publicity and other reputational damage, restrictions on our ability to process information and allegations by our customers that we have not performed our contractual obligations. Because of the varying degrees of development of the legal systems of the countries in which we operate, local laws might be insufficient to protect our rights due in part to a lack of multiple recourses and/or deficiencies in the access to justice.

In particular, practices in the local business community may not conform to international business standards and could violate anti-corruption laws or regulations, including the U.S. Foreign Corrupt Practices Act. Our employees, and joint venture partners, or other third parties with which we associate, could take actions that violate policies or procedures designed to promote legal and regulatory compliance or applicable anti-corruption laws or regulations. Violations of these laws or regulations by us or our subsidiaries, our employees or any of these third parties could subject us to criminal or civil enforcement actions (whether or not we participated or knew about the actions leading to the violations), including fines or penalties, disgorgement of profits and suspension or disqualification from work, including governmental contracting, any of which could materially adversely affect our business, including our results of operations and our reputation.

Grupo Aval and certain of its subsidiaries and officers are defendants in government enforcement actions and/or subject to ongoing governmental investigations relating to the Ruta del Sol Project Sector 2 that could cause us to incur penalties and other sanctions, impact our ability to conduct our business, harm our reputation and negatively impact our financial results.

Grupo Aval and certain of its subsidiaries and officers are defendants in government enforcement actions and/or subject to ongoing governmental investigations relating to the Ruta del Sol Project Sector 2 in Colombia and the United States. For further information about these proceedings and investigations, see “Item 8. Financial Information—A. Consolidated statements and other financial information—Legal proceedings”.

14


We and our subsidiaries are exposed to a variety of potential material negative consequences as a result of these proceedings and investigations, which could result in judgments, settlements, admissions of wrongdoing, criminal convictions, fines, penalties, injunctions, cease and desist orders, debarment or other relief and we and our subsidiaries could be exposed to other litigation as a result of these proceedings and investigations, including actions initiated by shareholders.

Such investigations and proceedings, which are the subject of extensive media coverage and political interest in Colombia, could also have significant collateral consequences for our company and our subsidiaries, including damage to reputation, loss of customers and business, the inability to offer certain products and services, disqualification or losing permission to operate certain businesses for a period, the dissemination of potentially damaging information that may come to light in the course of the investigations and proceedings and other direct and indirect adverse effects. Management will need to continue to direct substantial time and attention to resolving such matters, which could prevent them from focusing on our core businesses. We can provide no assurance that the outcome of any such investigations and proceedings will not be material to our business, financial position, results of operations or our financial position.

New or higher taxes resulting from changes in tax regulations or the interpretation thereof in Colombia and other countries in which we operate could adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition or generate burdens to our shareholders or lenders.

New tax laws and regulations, and uncertainties with respect to future tax policies, pose risks to us. In recent years, Colombian tax authorities have imposed additional taxes in a variety of areas, such as taxes on dividends, withholdings on debt service, taxes on financial transactions, to fund Colombia’s war against terrorism and taxes created in order to fund post-conflict programs related to the peace negotiations with guerrilla forces. The Colombian Government is also obliged by Law 1473 of 2011, also known as Law of Fiscal Ruleto significantly reduce its fiscal deficit and address issues regarding public policy, oil price volatility, migrations, public health events or other events that could require further tax reforms over the following years. However, on June 2020, the fiscal rule committee announced the suspension of the fiscal rule for 2020 and 2021 due to the economic effects caused by the COVID-19 pandemic in the country. This, in addition to an increase in fiscal deficit and pressure from rating agencies, could lead to higher taxation rates on our business and that of our borrowers. Changes in tax-related laws and regulations, and interpretations thereof, can impact tax burdens by increasing tax rates and fees, creating new taxes or withholdings, limiting tax deductions, and eliminating tax-based incentives and non-taxed income. In addition, tax authorities or courts may interpret tax regulations differently than we do, which could result in tax litigation and associated costs and penalties.

Between 2012 and 2019, the Colombian Congress passed five tax reforms submitted by the Colombian Government and, due to the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, a new tax reform is expected to be filed before the Congress during the first half of 2021. The Colombian Government has announced that this reform will include a decrease in corporate income taxes and the removal or deferral of some special deductions and benefits. Additionally, the announced tax reform may include a value added tax on an extended base of goods, increase the population people subject to income tax and create a special tax applicable to high income retirement pensions and high income public employees. The final text of the tax reform is highly uncertain and its consequences cannot be predicted at this stage.  

Colombian Government may implement new changes in the tax rules applicable to our securities, which could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition or that may adversely affect our shareholders or holders of ADSs. ADSs do not have the same tax benefits as equity investments in Colombia. Although ADSs represent our preferred shares, they are subject to a different tax regulatory regime. Accordingly, the tax benefits applicable in Colombia to equity investments, in particular those relating to dividends and profits from sale, may not apply or apply differently in the case of our ADSs.

On December 27, 2019, Law 2010 also known as the Economic Growth Law, was enacted. Law 2010 of 2019, adopts standards for the promotion of economic growth, employment, investment, strengthening of public finances and the progressivity, equity and efficiency of the tax system, such as:

(i)the progressive reduction of the corporate income tax rate form 32% applicable for the year 2020 to 30% applicable as of the year 2022;
(ii)in the case of financial institutions, a surtax on the corporate income tax rate of 4% for the year 2020 and of 3% for the years 2021 and 2022. This surcharge should apply to financial institutions that obtain a taxable income exceeding approximately Ps 4.3 billion; and
(iii)an increase in the dividend tax on distributions made to foreign non-resident entities from 7.5% to 10%. Dividend tax for individuals is reduced from 15% to 10%.

For further information, see “Item 10. Additional Information—E. Taxation”.

15


Colombian tax haven regulations could adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.

Decree 1966 of 2014, as amended by National Decree 2095 of 2014, put into effect article 260-7 of Colombia’s Tax Code, which regulates applicable rules for tax havens. Accordingly, a number of jurisdictions, including countries in which our banking subsidiaries operate, were either declared tax havens for Colombian tax purposes or temporarily excluded from such list subject to the completion of tax information exchange treaties within a short timeframe.

Article 260-7 of the Colombian Tax Code was reformed by Law 1819 of 2016. This reform establishes a new legal framework and provides criteria pursuant to which certain jurisdictions may be classified as non-cooperative jurisdictions with low or no taxation or as jurisdictions with preferential tax regimes. This legal framework established a higher tax-withholding rate on Colombian source payments to those jurisdictions and entities considered part of such a jurisdiction.

As a result, some of our clients with financial products offered by our banking subsidiaries in such jurisdictions may experience, among other effects, an increase in their withholding tax rates, transfer pricing regulation, increased likelihood of being found in violation of tax regulations by the Colombian authorities and elevated information disclosure requirements which could have a negative impact on our business, financial condition and results of operations.

Natural disasters, acts of war or terrorism, rioting or other external events could disrupt our businesses and affect our results of operations and financial condition.

We are exposed to natural disasters, such as earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, tornadoes, tropical storms and hurricanes. Heavy rains or abnormally low rainfall in Colombia and other countries in which we operate, attributable in part to the La Niña and El Niño weather patterns, have resulted in severe flooding, mudslides and prolonged droughts in the past. These are recurring weather phenomena that may occur on an equal or greater scale in the future. In addition to severe weather and natural disasters, acts of war or terrorism, rioting and other adverse external events could have a significant impact on our ability to conduct business and may, among other things, affect the stability of our deposit base, impair the ability of borrowers to repay outstanding loans, impair the value of collateral of secured loans, cause significant property damage, cause us to incur additional expenses and/or result in loss of revenue. In the event of such circumstances, our disaster recovery plans may prove to be ineffective, which could have a material adverse effect on our ability to conduct our businesses, particularly if such an occurrence affects computer-based data processing, transmission, storage and retrieval systems or destroys customer or other data. In addition, if a significant number of our employees and senior managers were unavailable because of a natural disaster, our ability to conduct our businesses could be compromised. Natural disasters, acts of war or similar events could also result in substantial volatility in our results of operations for any fiscal quarter or year.

Our operations and results may be negatively impacted by public health threats such as the coronavirus outbreak or other pandemic diseases

Global and local health concerns, including the outbreak of pandemic or contagious disease, such as the recent coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak, may disrupt economic activity and adversely affect us.

Since December 2019, COVID-19 began to spread in China and promptly expanded to Europe, the United States and more than 200 countries, including Colombia and other countries in which we operate. Such events are causing disruption of regional and global economic activity, which has affected and may continue to affect our operations, financial results and the quality of our loan portfolio due to long periods of quarantines, unemployment, reduced household and corporate income, laws or regulation that impair our ability to operate, charge fees or interests or collect debt service, aggregate demand and limitations in the production and commerce of goods and services. The extent to which COVID-19 might affect our future results will depend on highly uncertain and unpredictable developments, including information which may emerge concerning the severity of future COVID-19 waves or new strains, and the actions to contain it, among others.  

To address the COVID-19 crisis and prevent its spread, the Colombian Government issued Decree 417 of 2020 by means of which the President of Colombia declared a State of Emergency for 30 calendar days. With the declaration of the State of Emergency the President was invested with the necessary powers to issue decrees with the force of law, in order to deal with the unforeseen circumstances generated by COVID-19.

Governments in the countries in which we operate have issued sanitary restrictions designed to reduce COVID-19 infections, such as preventive quarantines, suspension of on-site lectures, border restrictions, as well as the suspension of public events and the installment of mandatory social distancing regulations; with the exception of the Nicaraguan Government, which has not taken more strict precautions and instead maintains basic epidemiological surveillance and basic hygiene controls. In the case of Colombia, Costa Rica, Honduras, Panama and Guatemala, partial curfews have been established, to further restrict citizens’ exposure to the virus, along with public and private vehicle circulation restriction policies.

16


See “Item 4. Information on the Company—B. Business overview—Supervision and regulation”, “Item 5. Operating and Financial Review and Prospects” and “Item 11. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Risk” for further information on credit risk management, relief measures available for customers, additional measures taken by Governments and central banks, and an overall analysis of the negative impacts of coronavirus on our business, financial condition and results of operations including the line items referenced above.

Risks related to global climate change and environmental requirements

Climate change initiatives, laws or regulations, seeking to protect and adapt the companies to the environment, could be applicable to us in a non-material way. However, even if the impacts of such dispositions are not related specifically to the core business of Grupo Aval, it could have an effect on some of our affiliates’ financing products. The occurrence of environmental changes in dry seasons, floods, droughts, and others climate variations or changes in the local environmental legislation, could result in decreases of business operations for some of our banking customers due to lower revenues and slower business production or in asset impairment. Clients whose productivity and financial conditions could be affected by climate change policies could experience delays on repayment obligations to our banking subsidiaries or lower credit profiles susceptible to downturns in the economy. We might not be able to continue providing services to customers that participate in businesses with an adverse environmental impact. We could also be subject to reputational risk as a result of shifting sentiment among customers and increasing attention and scrutiny from other stakeholders on our response to climate change. Moreover, some of our investments related to energy and gas, infrastructure, agribusiness and hotel industries are vulnerable to the environmental changes mentioned above.

Risks relating to our businesses and industry

Risks relating to our banking business

A deterioration in asset quality, including the loan portfolios of our banking subsidiaries, may have an adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition.

Changes in the financial condition or credit profiles of customers of our banking subsidiaries and increases in inflation or interest rates and foreign exchange volatility could have a negative effect on the quality of our banks’ loan portfolios, potentially requiring them to increase impairment losses on loans and accounts receivable or resulting in reduced profitability. In particular, the percentage of past due or impaired loans may increase in the future as a result of factors beyond our control, such as economic conditions and political events affecting Colombia generally or specific sectors of the economy.

A substantial number of our banks’ customers are individuals and small and medium sized enterprises, or “SMEs”, and these customers are potentially more susceptible to downturns in the economy than large corporations and high-income individuals. In addition, some corporate clients could suffer the effects of economic downturns. Consequently, our banking subsidiaries may experience higher levels of past due or impaired loans, which could result in increased impairment losses on loans and other accounts receivable due to defaults by, or deterioration in the credit profiles of, individual borrowers. Past due or impaired loans and resulting impairment losses may increase materially in the future and adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.

Existing loan loss allowances may not be adequate to cover any increases in past due or impaired loans or a deterioration in the credit quality of loan portfolios. As a result, our banking subsidiaries may be required to increase impairment losses on loans and accounts receivables, which may adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition. Our exposure is concentrated in certain economic sectors and large corporations that could also increase our impairment losses.

Default rates generally increase with the age of loans, the level of past due or impaired loans may lag behind the rate of growth in loans but may increase when growth slows or the loan portfolios become more mature. As a result, historic loan loss experience may not necessarily be indicative of future loan loss experience.

Our banking subsidiaries may be unable to realize on collateral or guarantees of secured loans, which may adversely affect their results of operations and financial condition.

Our banking subsidiaries originate loans that are secured by collateral, including real estate and other assets that are generally located in Colombia and the countries where we operate. The value of collateral may significantly fluctuate or decline due to factors beyond the control of our subsidiaries, including, for example, prevailing economic and political conditions in the relevant jurisdiction. At December 31, 2020, 42.6% of consolidated loans past due more than 30 days were secured. An economic slowdown may lead to a downturn in the Colombian or Central American real estate markets, which may, in turn, result in declines in the value of real estate securing loans to levels below the principal balances of these loans. Any decline in the value of the collateral securing these loans or any other collateral securing these loans may result in reduced recoveries from collateral realization and have an adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition. We may also not have sufficiently recent information on the value of collateral, which may result in an inaccurate assessment for loss

17


allowance of our loans secured by such collateral. If this were to occur, we may need to incur additional impairments to cover actual losses of our loans, which may materially and adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.

Our banking subsidiaries also make loans on the basis of guarantees from relatives, affiliates or associated persons of their principal borrowers. To the extent that guarantors encounter financial difficulties due to economic conditions, personal or business circumstances, or otherwise, the ability of our banks to enforce such guarantees may be impaired.

In addition, our banking subsidiaries may face difficulties in enforcing their rights as secured creditors against borrowers, collateral or guarantees. In particular, timing delays, documentary and procedural problems in realizing against collateral, as well as debtor-protective or other judicial interpretations of the law, may make it difficult to foreclose on collateral, realize against guarantees or enforce judgments in our favor, which could materially and adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.

Colombian and Central American insolvency laws may limit the ability of our banking subsidiaries to collect on monetary obligations and enforce rights against collateral or under guarantees.

Insolvency laws in certain countries in which we operate provide that creditors of an insolvent debtor are prohibited from initiating collection proceedings outside the bankruptcy or reorganization process of such debtor. In addition, all collection proceedings outstanding at the beginning of the bankruptcy or reorganization process must be suspended and such creditors are prevented from enforcing their rights against the collateral and other assets of the insolvent debtor.

In some countries in which we operate once a non-merchant individual has ceased paying his or her debts, such individual can initiate a voluntary insolvency proceeding before a notary public or mediator to reach an out-of-court agreement with creditors. The terms of any agreement reached in accordance with the respective law and with a group (two or more) of creditors that represent the majority of the total amount of the claims will be mandatorily applicable to all relevant creditors. The insolvency law also provides other protections to debtors. A perception that loans to individuals may be difficult or impossible to recover could cause our banking subsidiaries to enhance credit requirements and result in decreased lending to individuals by making access to credit more expensive. In addition, increased difficulties in enforcing debt and other monetary obligations due to insolvency laws in countries in which we operate, could have an adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition.

Any failure of risk management processes, including credit and market risk, could materially and adversely affect our banking businesses, results of operations and financial condition.

Credit risk is the principal risk inherent in the business of our banks. Although we have group-wide risk management guidelines, each bank is responsible for managing its own risk. Each bank’s policies and procedures, which are designed to identify, monitor and manage risk, may prove to be insufficient. Furthermore, our banks may not be able to upgrade risk management systems on a timely basis. Due to limitations in the availability of information, our assessment of credit risk associated with a particular customer may not be based on complete, accurate or reliable information. Personnel of our banking subsidiaries may fail to detect risks before they occur, or may not effectively implement their risk management systems, which may increase exposure to credit risk. As a result, any failure by our banking subsidiaries to effectively implement or consistently follow or refine risk management systems may result in higher risk exposures for our banking subsidiaries, which could materially and adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.

Declines in the value of our banks’ sovereign debt portfolios could have an adverse effect on our results of operations.

Our Colombian banks’ securities portfolio primarily consists of debt securities issued or guaranteed by the Colombian Government. We are exposed to significant credit, market and liquidity risks associated with debt securities. At December 31, 2020 and 2019, debt securities represented 12.2% and 10.5% of our consolidated total assets, respectively, of which 44.1% and 47.9% were issued by the Colombian Central government, and 18.7% and 16.9% were issued or backed by Central American governments, respectively. A significant decline in the value of these government securities could materially and adversely affect our debt securities portfolio and, consequently, our financial condition and results of operations. See “Item 4. Information on the Company—B. Business overview—Supervision and regulation—Mandatory Investments”.

We are subject to counterparty risk in our banking business.

Our banks and, to a lesser extent, Corficolombiana, Porvenir and our international banking operations, are exposed to counterparty risks in addition to credit risks associated with lending activities. Counterparty risk may arise from, for example, investing in securities of third parties, entering into derivative contracts under which counterparties have obligations to make payments to us, or executing securities, futures, currency or commodity trades from proprietary trading activities that fail to settle at the required time due to non-delivery by the counterparty or systems failure by clearing agents, exchanges, clearing houses or other financial intermediaries. These risks could materially and adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.

18


Our banks are subject to market and operational risks associated with derivatives transactions.

Our banks and, to a lesser extent, Corficolombiana, Porvenir and our international banking operations, enter into derivatives transactions primarily for hedging purposes and, on a limited basis, on behalf of customers. Those transactions subject us to market and operational risks, including basis risk (the risk of loss associated with variations in the spread between the asset yield and the funding and/or hedge cost) and credit or default risk (the risk of insolvency or other inability of a counterparty to perform its obligations to us).

Market practices and documentation for derivatives transactions in Colombia and the countries where we operate may differ from those in other countries. In addition, the execution and performance of these transactions depend on our banks’ ability to develop adequate control and administration systems, and to hire and retain qualified personnel. These factors may further increase risks associated with derivatives transactions and could materially and adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.

Our banking subsidiaries are subject to liquidity risk, which may result in increases in funding costs.

The principal sources of funding for our banking subsidiaries are savings deposits, time deposits and checking accounts, which together represented 73.5% and 71.3% of our consolidated total liabilities at December 31, 2020 and 2019, respectively. Because our banking subsidiaries rely primarily on deposits for funding, a sudden or unexpected shortage of funds in the banking systems in which we operate or overnight money markets may prevent our banking subsidiaries from meeting their obligations or obtaining necessary funding without incurring higher costs or selling certain assets at prices below prevailing market values, which could materially and adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition. The liquidity of our financial entities could also be impacted by reputational events affecting our entities as well as systemic events.

Default by one or more of our largest borrowers could adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.

Our exposure is concentrated in certain economic sectors and large corporations that could increase our impairment losses. Default on loans by one or more of these borrowers may materially adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.

For a summary of our largest impaired exposures, see “Item 5. Operating and Financial Review and Prospects—A. Operating Results—Grupo Aval—Net impairment loss on financial assets”.

Downgrades in our long-term credit ratings or in the credit ratings of our banking subsidiaries would increase the cost of, or impair access to, funding and may impact our ability to maintain regulatory capital ratios.

Our credit ratings and those of our banking subsidiaries are an important component of our and their ability to obtain funding. Rating agencies regularly evaluate us, and their ratings of our debt are based on numerous dynamic, complex and inter-related factors and assumptions, including our financial strength, conditions affecting the overall financial services industry and the sovereign credit rating of Colombia and the jurisdictions we operate in.

Our banking subsidiaries may be required to raise additional capital in the future to maintain regulatory capital ratios and provide liquidity to meet commitments and business needs, particularly if asset quality or earnings were to deteriorate. Since February 6, 2019, we are subject to the inspection and surveillance of the Superintendency of Finance as the financial holding of the Aval Financial Conglomerate and we might be required in the future to raise additional capital to comply with new regulatory adequacy rules applicable to us at the conglomerate level. Furthermore, Decree 1477 of 2018 modified the capital adequacy requirements applicable to financing entities in Colombia. As a result, our banking subsidiaries migrated to Basel III capital requirements on January 1, 2021. See “Item 4. Information on the Company—B. Business overview—Supervision and regulation”. For a summary of our and our banking subsidiaries current credit ratings and outlook, see “Item 5. Operating and Financial Review and Prospects—B. Liquidity and capital resources—Funding”.

Adverse changes in credit ratings or outlooks could increase the cost of funding in the capital markets or borrowings, or reduce the feasibility of refinancing existing debt or issue new debt required to finance our future projects. In addition, lenders and counterparties in derivatives transactions are sensitive to the risk of a ratings or outlook downgrade. Our ability to raise deposits may also be impacted by a change in credit ratings or outlooks, which could make us less successful when competing for deposits or preclude us or our subsidiaries from receiving funds from institutional investors, governments, governmental entities, or other providers of deposits and other funding.

Any occurrence that may limit our and our banking subsidiaries’ access to funding, such as a downgrade in credit ratings or outlook, or a decline in the confidence of debt purchasers, depositors, or counterparties in the capital markets may adversely affect capital costs, ability to raise capital, and liquidity. Moreover, we and our banking subsidiaries may need to raise capital when many other financial institutions are also seeking to raise capital which, in turn, would require us to compete with numerous other institutions for investors. An inability to raise additional capital on acceptable terms, when needed, or a downgrade in our or our banking subsidiaries’ credit ratings or outlook could have a materially adverse effect on our and our banking subsidiaries’ financial conditions and results of operations.

19


Our banking subsidiaries’ loan portfolios are subject to risk of prepayment, which may result in reinvestment of assets on less profitable terms.

The loan portfolios of our banking subsidiaries are subject to prepayment risk, which results from the ability of a borrower to pay a loan prior to maturity. Generally, in a declining interest rate environment, prepayment activity increases with the effect of reducing weighted average lives of interest-earning assets and adversely affecting results. Prepayment risk also has an adverse effect on credit card and collateralized mortgage obligations, since prepayments could shorten the weighted average life of these portfolios, which may result in a mismatch in funding or in reinvestment at lower yields.

The credit card industry is highly competitive and entails significant risks, including the possibility of over indebtedness of customers, which could have a material adverse effect on us.

The credit card business is subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, including the possibility of over indebtedness of our customers, despite our focus on low-risk, middle- and high-income customers.

The credit card industry is characterized by higher consumer default than other segments of the credit markets, and defaults are highly related to macroeconomic indicators that are beyond our control. If Colombian and Central American economic growth rate slows or turns negative, or if we fail to effectively analyze the creditworthiness of our customers (including the targeting of certain sectors), we may be faced with unexpected losses that could have an adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition.

Changes in banking and financial services laws and regulations in Colombia and the other countries in which we operate could adversely affect our consolidated results.

Banking and financial services laws and regulations are subject to ongoing review and revision, including changes in response to global regulatory trends. As a result, governments have been actively considering new banking laws, regulations, reviewing and revising existing laws and regulations, particularly in relation to capital adequacy and accounting standards that may change the perceived strength on our banks, our credit ratings or our ability to grow or pay dividends. In addition, various international developments, will continue to impact us in the coming years. Decree 2555 of 2010 was amended in 2012, 2015, 2018 and 2019, modifying certain capital adequacy requirements for Colombian credit institutions. See “Item 4. Information on the Company—B. Business overview—Supervision and regulation”.

On September 21, 2017, the Colombian Congress passed Law 1870 to strengthen the regulation and supervision of financial conglomerates, also known as Law of Financial Conglomerates (Ley de Conglomerados Financieros). This law sets out the principles for supervising and regulating financial conglomerates. This law and its regulatory decrees (i) established criteria for identifying members of the financial conglomerates, as well as their controlling financial holding companies; (ii) provided the Colombian Government and Superintendency of Finance with tools to regulate and supervise financial conglomerates with respect to capital adequacy, corporate governance standards, risk management, internal control and criteria for identifying, administering, monitoring and revealing conflicts of interest; and (iii) established obligations and responsibilities applicable to the financial holding companies regarding the application and promotion of guidelines and rules across the financial conglomerates. Financial holding companies may be exposed to sanctions and fines derived from the breach of this law and its regulatory decrees by any member of the financial conglomerate. We cannot assure that such law and its regulatory decrees will not have a material adverse impact on us. See “Item 4. Information on the Company—B. Business overview—Supervision and regulation—Regulatory framework for Colombian Financial Conglomerates”.

Colombia and Central America have been impacted by regulatory changes regarding banking and corporate laws and regulations. In general terms, the COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in an array of special laws and regulations that have had a direct and/or indirect impact over our business in Colombia and in Central America; these rules have spanned from declaring national emergencies (i.e. establishing lockdowns, requiring business closures, restricted mobility, mandatory quarantines, curfews and/or public transportation limitations, allowing delays in judicial proceedings, etc.) to diverse labor-related regulations (e.g. suspension of work agreements), mandatory deferrals and other regulatory measures aimed at providing relief to clients impacted by the economic challenges resulting from the multiple health-related measures that were enacted.

In Colombia, as a response to the adverse impact of COVID-19 in the economy, the Superintendency of Finance issued External Circular 007 of 2020, through which financial institutions were required to apply favorable conditions to the loans granted to customers affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. Additionally, the Superintendency of Finance issued External Circular 008 of 2020 to promote the use of digital channels for the provision of financial services. The Superintendency of Finance also issued External Circular 009 of 2020 providing financial institutions with instructions with respect to the measures to be implemented to mitigate the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on financial markets. Regarding credit risk management, the Superintendence of Finance issued External Circular 022 of 2020 establishing a debtor support program (Programa de Acompañamiento a Deudores) and additional prudential measures regarding credit risk which allowed financial institutions to review the terms and conditions of their loans without affecting their credit ratings. The application of this debtor support program has been extended until June 30, 2021.

20


In December 2020, the Comisión Nacional de Bancos y Seguros (National Commission of Banks and Insurances or “NCBI”) in Honduras issued exceptional measures to develop prudential regulatory mechanisms for the treatment that financial institutions should give to the loan portfolio that could be directly or indirectly impacted by COVID-19 and the two tropical storms that affected the country in 2020. Pursuant to such measures, financial institutions in Honduras were required to create a “Restricted Non-Distributable Capital Reserve” which should be used exclusively to cover the deterioration of the loan portfolio affected by the COVID-19 pandemic and those natural phenomena. This capital reserve should amount to the total balance of the “Profits From Previous Years” account plus the profits recorded as of the end of the financial year 2020 and should be constituted no later than January 31, 2021. Upon the loan portfolio’s effective impairment, financial institutions are required to proportionally take amounts from the “Restricted Non-Distributable Capital Reserve” and charge them as Provision for Losses in the statement of income. The “Restricted Non-Distributable Capital Reserve” is meant to be temporary and last until December 31, 2025. Furthermore, financial institutions may request the NCBI the reclassification of any remnants of the “Profits From Previous Years” account, as long as it can provide sufficient evidence that it has created provisions for 100% of the impaired loan portfolio. The balance of the “Restricted Non-Distributable Capital Reserve” will be considered for regulatory purposes: (i) in its entirety as part of the “own-resources” account and as “complementary capital” for the purpose of calculating the capital adequacy ratio and (ii) up to 50% for the purposes of calculating the default coverage ratio; provided that such percentage is meant to be gradually diminished according to the conditions of each financial institution.  

Costa Rica experienced legislative changes that have negatively impacted fees and interest rate income. On June 20, 2020, law No 9859 (popularly known as the Usury Law or “Ley contra la Usura Crediticia”) modified the Antitrust and Consumer Protection Law (No 7472) and established, among other provisions, a maximum allowed interest rate for local credit operations. Furthermore, the executive rule that will regulate the implementation of Law No 9859 is currently under discussion and, in spite of not having been yet approved by the executive branch, its initial draft anticipates relevant impacts to our interest income and our business model. Furthermore, on March 24, 2020, Congress enacted Law No 9831 (in Spanish “Ley de Comisiones Máximas del Sistema de Tarjetas”) which, among other matters, regulates and establishes limits to card acquiring and interchange fees and to other fees related to card and electronic payments. In this regard, on November 25, 2020, the Costa Rican Central Bank issued a set of executive rules (in Spanish “Reglamento del Sistema de Tarjetas de Pago”) that further regulate some of the aspects established in the aforementioned Law. Both, Law No. 9859 and Law No. 9831 have a significant adverse impact on the income of local financial entities. Furthermore, a bill called the “Ley de Creación de una Tasa para el Mejoramiento de la Justicia Cobratoria” is currently under discussion in the Costa Rican Congress and intends to create a new specific non-refundable fee that would be charged to the plaintiff as a requirement to file a collection lawsuit. This new “tax” could further impact the overall financial margin and our ability to collect smaller delinquent obligations in our Costa Rican loan portfolios.

Costa Rica has also experienced changes regarding capital requirements. On June 6, 2020, the Central Bank of Costa Rica increased the minimum capital requirement for commercial private banks to ¢16,970 million Colones (equivalent to U.S.$28.6 million). The Superintendency of Securities also increased such requirement on June 30, 2020 for securities brokers and investment fund management companies, to ¢206 million Colones (equivalent to U.S.$343,300) and ¢141 million colones (equivalent to U.S.$235,000), respectively. Even though our subsidiaries were already in compliance with these increased requirements, these recent changes evidence a growing focus of the Costa Rican authorities to regulate capital requirements.

In Guatemala, as a response to the adverse impact that COVID-19 related measures (Decrees 5-2020 and 6-2020) were having on the economy, the Monetary Board issued the temporary administrative dispositions: i) JM 32-2020; ii) JM 34-2020; iii) JM 63-2020, to alleviate the situation with credit card consumers and other debtors. These provisions allowed financial institutions to review terms and conditions of loans that were not in arrears for more than a month without affecting the credit ratings and to grant deferrals. The process for consumers to apply for these benefits was also simplified. The use of generic reserves was allowed and the Regulations on Liquidity Risk Management (regarding policies, procedures, systems and calculations of liquidity coverage) were updated and revised. These dispositions were later ratified by the Congress of the Republic of Guatemala through Decree 12-2020 that enacted a national emergency law to protect Guatemalans from de effects caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.

In Nicaragua, the Law of Public Registries (“Ley General de los Registros Públicos”) and the Commercial Code (“Código de Comercio”) were amended in August 2020 in order to include important changes to corporate law. Among their main amendments were the creation of a Registry of Final Beneficiaries of Corporations and the obligation that all legal entities must register information identifying their shareholders and ultimate beneficiaries. This Registry is meant to guarantee the integrity, confidentiality and traceability of the information contained therein, and it will be accessed only by authorized authorities. Furthermore, in February 2021, the National Assembly approved an amendment to its Consumer Protection Law (“Ley de Protección de los Derechos de las Personas Consumidoras y Usuarias”) in order to regulate the process that a financial institution must follow when closing bank accounts or denying the opening of such accounts or the provision of other financial services to existing (or prospective) clients, establishing that such actions should be taken with sound legal ground and should be notified to the client.

In El Salvador, in addition to several COVID-19 related regulations that had an adverse impact on the economy and the financial sector, towards the end of 2020, several articles of the “Ley de Regulación de los Servicios de Información sobre el Historial Crediticio de las Personas” were modified in order to reduce the amount of time that negative client information (e.g. negative credit history) can be stored

21


by credit bureaus and financial institutions. Congress also enacted an Electronic Securities Law (“Ley de Valores Electrónicos”) which will come into force in 2021 and is expected to substantially assist our digital transformation efforts by allowing online loan origination using notes and other securities executed electronically using “simple” electronic signatures. Similarly, the Salvadorian Commercial Code was amended to facilitate the corporate governance practices of corporations in a remote environment.

Due to the significant impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in Panamá, the Panamanian Government established a state of emergency by means of Cabinet Resolution 11 of March 13, 2020 which created the legal framework to further enact measures to mitigate the spread of the virus. These measures included a nationwide lockdown and a temporary mandatory closing of all non-essential businesses. Furthermore, in an attempt to mitigate the economic effects of such measures, the Panamanian Banking Regulator (Superintendencia de Bancos de Panama) issued Rule 2-2020 of March 16, 2020, whereby banks were authorized to defer and or otherwise modify the contractual terms of loans in accordance with the conditions of such debtors that could demonstrate an impairment in their payment capacity due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Rule 2-2020 was further modified by Rules 3-2020 (March 26), 7-2020 (July 14), 9-2020 (September 11) and 13-2020 (October 21) which have sought to adapt such provisions to the development of other pandemic mitigation measures. Additionally, a mandatory moratorium was enacted on June 30, 2020 by means of Law 156 pursuant to which banks and other financial institutions were prohibited to collect payments, increase interest rates or apply fees or other surcharges to mortgage loans, personal loans, car loans, credit card debt, small and medium enterprise loans, commercial loans, transportation industry loans, agricultural loans and other forms of consumer/commercial loans, from: (i) debtors affected by work suspensions or dismissals, (ii) independent workers and/or (iii) businesses with a impaired payment capacity due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Moreover, since the law was considered of social interest, it was given retroactive effect as of March 1, 2020. Although it initially was expected to be in effect until December 31, 2020, the Panamanian Banking Regulator, by means of Rule 13-2020 extended the validity of these measures of financial relief to June 30, 2021 for those debtors that, by January 1, 2021, were still economically affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. Finally, on February 1, 2021, Bill 267 was submitted to the National Assembly in an attempt to extend the validity of Law 156 of 2020 (and its mandatory moratorium) to December 31, 2021. Similarly, Bill 490 has recently been approved in first debate and intends to extend the mandatory payment deferral to June 30, 2021, to force interest condonation and substantially limit the accrual of future interests or fees. The effects of this Bill are still uncertain, and although these types of moratoriums were established in other countries in Central America during 2020, Panama has evidenced an important delay recovering overdue payments related to COVID-19 relief measures. From the total outstanding overdue payments resulting from relief measures granted in connection with COVID-19 in our Central American operations as of December 31, 2020, 75% corresponded to Panamanian loans.

The Panamanian Government also enacted Executive Decree 81 of March 20, 2020 allowing those temporally closed companies to suspend their contracts with employees and to withhold the payment of salaries during the state of emergency. This decree was modified by the Executive Decrees 95, 97, 100, 229 and 231 of 2020 and 8 of 2021. More recent modifications to the Executive Decree established a plan to reactivate the suspended contracts pursuant to a “businesses reopening” schedule.

Finally, the Panamanian National Assembly is discussing Bill No 420, which intends to set a maximum interest rate of 1.25% per month to banking operations. This Bill also intends to amend the criminal code to make lending at a superior rate a criminal offense punishable with three to five years in prison. At its current stage, this bill needs still to undergo an additional round of Debate and approval before the plenary of the National Assembly and, if approved, it would also need to receive the approval from the President (as head of the Executive Branch) for it to become law.

The adoption of new laws or regulations, or changes in the interpretations or enforcement of existing laws or regulations may have an adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition.

Our financial results may be negatively affected by changes to accounting standards.

We report our results and financial position in accordance with IFRS as issued by the IASB. Changes to IFRS or interpretations thereof may cause our future reported results and financial position to differ from current expectations, or historical results to differ from those previously reported due to the adoption of accounting standards on a retrospective basis. Such changes may also affect our regulatory capital and ratios. We monitor potential accounting changes and when possible, we determine their potential impact and disclose significant future changes in our audited consolidated financial statements that we expect as a result of those changes. Currently, there are a number of issued but not yet effective IFRS standards, as well as potential IFRS changes. For further information about developments in financial accounting and reporting standards, see Note 2 to our audited consolidated financial statements.

Regulatory actions may result in fines, penalties or restrictions that could materially and adversely affect our businesses and financial performance.

Our Colombian banks, as well as Corficolombiana, Porvenir and our international banking operations, are subject to regulation and supervision by financial authorities. These regulatory authorities have broad powers to adopt regulations and other requirements affecting or restricting virtually all aspects of our subsidiaries’ organization and operations, including, for example, the imposition of anti-money laundering measures and the authority to regulate the terms and conditions of credit transactions. Failure to comply with applicable

22


regulations could subject our banking subsidiaries to fines or sanctions or even revocation of licenses or permits to operate. In the event that any of these subsidiaries encounter significant financial problems, is in danger of insolvency or becomes insolvent, or is otherwise deemed as non-viable, the financial authorities would have broad powers to intervene in our management and operations, including suspending or removing management and, in extreme circumstances, putting our banks, Corficolombiana, Porvenir and our international banking operations, into conservatorship or receivership or taking control of our banks, Corficolombiana, Porvenir and our other subsidiaries. Since February 6, 2019, Grupo Aval is subject to the inspection and supervision of the Superintendency of Finance as the financial holding of the Aval Financial Conglomerate and is required to comply with capital adequacy and additional regulations applicable to financial conglomerates that became effective on November 2019 and February 2020. As a result, we may become subject to more stringent regulation. See “Item 4. Information on the Company—B. Business overview—Supervision and regulation”.

We may face legal and other challenges to maximizing revenue from credit card fees and other fees from customers.

As part of their credit card business, our banking subsidiaries face pressures related to the fees and commissions charged to merchants (merchant discounts) and the pricing of bank interchange fees charged by issuer banks to acquiring banks. Banks and card processors in Colombia have been subject to administrative investigations regarding the fees and commissions that are charged to the merchants by the acquiring banks and in respect to the banking interchange fees.

Similar investigations may be carried out by the relevant authorities in the future, which may result in penalties, lower fees charged to merchants and bank interchange fees, lead to changes in commercial strategies that may adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition. In addition, fees charged for other banking services may continue to be reduced in the future as a result of regulatory measures and/or pressure from retailers and interest groups.

Failure to protect personal information could adversely affect our reputation and our business.

Our banks manage and hold confidential personal information of customers in the normal course of their banking operations. Although, our banks have procedures and controls to safeguard personal information in our possession, unauthorized disclosures or unauthorized access to privileged information, fraud or events that interfere with regular banking and other services could subject our banks and us to legal actions, administrative sanctions and damages.

Although we work to develop secure data and information processing, storage and transmission capabilities to enhance information security, we face risks related to security breaches in connection with debit and credit card transactions that typically involve the transmission of personal information of our customers through various third parties, including retailers and payment processors. We and some of these parties have in the past been the target of security breaches and because the transactions involve third parties and environments, where we do not control the processing, storage or transmission of such information or the security protocols enacted by such third parties or in such environments, security breaches affecting any of these third parties could affect us, and in some cases we may have exposure and suffer losses for breaches relating to them, including costs to replace compromised debit and credit cards and address fraudulent transactions.

Although we employ a variety of physical, procedural and technological safeguards to protect personal information from mishandling, misuse or loss, these safeguards do not provide absolute assurance that mishandling, misuse or loss of the information will not occur, and that if mishandling, misuse or loss of information does occur, those events will be promptly detected and addressed. It is not always possible to deter or prevent employee misconduct, and the precautions we take to detect and prevent this activity may not always be effective. Similarly, when personal information is collected, compiled, processed, transmitted or stored by third parties on our behalf, our policies and procedures require that the third party agrees to maintain the confidentiality of the information, establish and maintain policies and procedures designed to preserve the confidentiality of the information, and permit us to confirm the third party’s compliance with the terms of the agreement. Any failure to protect personal information could result in reputational damage and have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition.

Risks relating to our merchant banking business

Difficult market conditions can adversely affect Corficolombiana’s business.

Corficolombiana may be adversely affected by lower than expected returns on investments, reduced opportunities to realize value from investments, and failure to find suitable investments to deploy capital effectively. During periods of difficult market conditions (which may span across one or more industries, sectors or geographies), portfolio companies may experience adverse operating performance, decreased revenues, financial losses, difficulty in obtaining access to financing or increased funding costs. Negative financial performance of portfolio companies may materially and adversely affect Corficolombiana’s results of operations and cash flow. If the operating performance of those portfolio companies (as well as valuation multiples) does not improve following any such downturn or other portfolio companies experience adverse operating performance, Corficolombiana may be forced to sell those assets at values that are less than projected or even at a loss. Portfolio companies may also have difficulties expanding their businesses and operations or meeting debt service and other obligations as

23


they become due. Furthermore, negative market conditions could potentially result in a portfolio company entering bankruptcy proceedings, thereby potentially resulting in a complete loss of the investment. Even if such conditions improve broadly and significantly over the long term, adverse conditions and/or other events in particular sectors may cause our performance to suffer further.

Corficolombiana’s due diligence process for evaluating prospective investments may not identify all risks or ensure investment returns.

Before making investments, Corficolombiana conducts due diligence based on the facts and circumstances applicable to each investment. When conducting due diligence, it may be required to evaluate important and complex business, financial, tax, accounting, environmental and legal issues. Outside consultants, legal advisors, accountants and investment banks may be involved in the due diligence process to varying degrees depending on the type of investment, but it may be unable to engage these third parties in a timely manner, or at all. Nevertheless, the due diligence investigation carried out by Corficolombiana with respect to any investment may not reveal or highlight all relevant risks of such investment opportunity. Moreover, such an investigation will not necessarily result in the investment being successful.

A significant part of Corficolombiana’s investments are in relatively illiquid assets, and Corficolombiana may fail to realize any profits from these investments for a considerable period of time or lose some or all of the principal amount of these investments.

As of December 31, 2020, 76.8% of Corficolombiana’s investments were made in privately-held companies. There are often no readily ascertainable market prices for such securities or for those investments of Corficolombiana in listed companies with low or medium trading volumes. As a result, there may be limited or no marketability for these investments, and they may decline in value while Corficolombiana might be seeking to dispose of them. Because there is significant uncertainty as to the valuation of illiquid investments, the stated values of such investments may not necessarily reflect the values that could be realized by Corficolombiana. In addition, in some cases, Corficolombiana may be prevented by contract from selling such investments for a period. Corficolombiana’s ability to dispose of investments may also be dependent on factors beyond its control. Thus, it is possible that investments in privately-held companies will only be disposed over a substantial length of time, if at all, exposing the investment returns to risks of declines in market prices during the intended disposition period. Accordingly, under certain conditions, Corficolombiana may be forced to either sell securities at lower prices than it had expected to realize or defer—potentially for a considerable period—sales that it had planned to make.

Corficolombiana might have minority investments in companies and therefore, it might not control them.

Corficolombiana’s investments include non-controlling equity interests, and it may also dispose of a portion of its majority equity securities in portfolio companies over time in a manner that results in Corficolombiana retaining minority investments. Those investments will be subject to the risk that the company in which the investment is made may take business, financial or management decisions with which we do not agree. Similarly, the majority stakeholders or the management of the company may take risks or otherwise act in a manner contrary to our interests. If any of the foregoing were to occur, the values of these investments could decrease or we may not be able to dispose of them, which would adversely affect Corficolombiana’s results of operations and financial condition. Any wrongdoing by these companies or their management might result in reputational or legal risks to us or lead to charge-offs or write-downs of Corficolombiana’s investments in such companies.

Corficolombiana’s new investment projects depend on its ability to access financing.

Corficolombiana may directly, or through its operating subsidiaries, enter into new investment projects that require significant financing. Corficolombiana or its operating subsidiaries may experience difficulties in accessing debt and equity financing resources required to fund such projects and/or may obtain them at higher costs and/or lower tenors than initially expected. As a result, Corficolombiana’s investment objectives may attain lower returns due to higher financing costs, delays in the investment schedule or any eventual stoppage of the investment project, which could also result in the payment of penalties to its counterparties, including the Government entities in the case of development of new highways and toll roads. If Corficolombiana is unable to obtain adequate financing on terms satisfactory to it, its ability to continue to grow or support its business and respond to business challenges could be significantly limited.

Most of Corficolombiana’s investments are concentrated in five industries.

The majority of Corficolombiana’s investment portfolio is concentrated in the energy and gas, infrastructure, agribusiness, hotels and financial services. Energy and gas and infrastructure accounted for 91.1% of Corficolombiana’s total investment portfolio as of December 31, 2020. During periods of difficult market conditions or slowdowns in these sectors, Corficolombiana may experience decreased revenues, difficulty in obtaining access to financing and increased funding costs.

24


A variety of issues outside of Corficolombiana’s control could affect the timing and performance of its investments, which may result in additional costs and reputational harm to Corficolombiana, reductions or delays in revenues or the payment of liquidated damages.

Many of Corficolombiana’s investments, including in the energy and gas and infrastructure sectors, involve challenging engineering, permitting, procurement and construction phases that may occur over extended periods, sometimes several years. These investments may also encounter difficulties as a result of delays in design, engineering information or materials to be completed or procured by them, the customer or a third party, delays or difficulties in equipment and material delivery, schedule changes, delays due to failure to timely obtain permits or rights of way or meet other regulatory requirements or permitting conditions accidents and catastrophic events, weather-related delays, protests, legal challenges or other political activity, and other factors. In the energy and gas sector, Corficolombiana, through Promigas, is exposed to a variety of inherent hazards and operating risks in gas distribution which could cause substantial financial losses.

If any of Corficolombiana’s investments or projects fail to comply with the applicable professional standards or contractual requirements, Corficolombiana or its subsidiaries could be exposed to significant monetary damages or violations. A catastrophic event at one of the investments could also result in significant professional or product liability, and warranty or other claims as well as reputational harm, especially if public safety is impacted.

A relevant portion of Corficolombiana’s income is derived from construction activities that will be completed over the following years. Corficolombiana might not be successful originating and starting new projects to replace this income.  

Many of these difficulties and delays are beyond Corficolombiana’s control and could negatively impact its ability to achieve its anticipated return from its investments. Delays and additional costs may be substantial and not recoverable from third parties or insurance providers, and in some cases, may cause substantial financial losses. Failure to meet any of their schedules or performance obligations could also result in additional costs or penalties, including liquidated damages, and such amounts could exceed profits from these projects. In extreme cases, the abovementioned factors could cause project cancellations, and Corficolombiana may not be able to replace such projects with similar projects or at all. Such delays or cancellations may impact Corficolombiana’s investments, its reputation or relationships with customers and could have a material adverse effect on Corficolombiana’s business, results of operations or financial condition.

Risks relating to our pension and severance fund management business

Porvenir operates in a highly regulated market, which limits its flexibility to manage its businesses.

Porvenir’s operations are regulated by Law 100 of 1993, as amended, the Organic Statute of the Financial System (Estatuto Orgánico del Sistema Financiero), or “EOSF”, Decree 2555 of 2010 issued by the Ministry of Finance, as amended, and regulations issued by the Superintendency of Finance and, to the extent applicable, Colombian Corporation Law. These regulations limit the range of assets in which pension fund administrators, or “AFPs”, can invest and also set investment limits, depending on the type of mandatory pension or severance fund managed by each AFP. AFPs can manage four types of mandatory pension funds (i) Lower Risk Fund (“Fondo Conservador”), (ii) Mid-Risk Fund (“Fondo Moderado”), (iii) High Risk Fund (“Fondo de Mayor Riesgo”) and (iv) Planned Retirement Fund (“Fondo Especial de Retiro Programado”), and two types of severance portfolios (i) Short Term portfolio (“Portafolio de Corto Plazo”) and (ii) Long Term portfolio (“Portafolio de Largo Plazo”). In addition, each AFP is legally required to provide a minimum return on investment for each mandatory of its pension and severance funds. See “Item 4. Information on the Company—B. Business overview—Pension Fund Management-Porvenir—Pension Business Overview”.

The Colombian Government has for several years announced that it is considering presenting to the Colombian Congress a bill to amend current pension fund regulation to improve access to coverage, reduce inequality, and consolidate the financial sustainability of the system. As a result of the accession process of the Colombian Government to become a member country of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) further regulation amending the current pension fund regulation may be expected. The future regulation may not provide a favorable business environment and may adversely affect our results of operations and the financial condition of our pension and severance fund management business.

Furthermore, Porvenir manages voluntary pension funds (fondos de pensiones de jubilación e invalidez) created by Decree 2513 of 1987 as supplementary savings vehicles for pensions, which are independent and different from the mandatory pension funds and benefit from tax incentives. Subject to certain limits, savings in voluntary pension funds are considered as exempt income for purposes of the corporate income tax (Impuesto de Renta) under rules defined in article 1261-1 of the Tax Statute. These exemptions have been subject to modifications through tax reforms such as Law 1607 of 2012, Law 1819 of 2016, Law 1943 of 2018, also known as Ley de Financiamiento substantially replaced by Law 2010 of 2019, also known as Economic Growth Law. Changes in the applicable regulation to voluntary pension funds, in particular with respect to its tax benefits, could reduce the interest in this type of savings products and generate an adverse effect on the management fees received by Porvenir for the administration of these funds.

25


A significant amount of debt securities in pension and severance funds managed by our pension and severance fund businesses are issued or guaranteed by the Colombian Government.

Our pension and severance fund management business, like our banks and other participants in the banking industry, is subject to the risk of loss in value of sovereign debt securities. A significant decline in the value of the securities issued or guaranteed by the Colombian Government could adversely affect the debt securities portfolio of our pension and severance fund management business and, consequently, our pension and severance fund management business’s results of operations and financial condition.

Other risks relating to our businesses

We are subject to fluctuations in interest rates and other market risks, which may materially and adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.

Market risk refers to the probability of variations in income or in the market value of assets and liabilities due to changes in markets, including variations in market rates of interest and foreign currency exchange rates. Changes in interest rates affect the following areas, among others, of our banks’ businesses: net interest income, the volume of loans originated, market value of securities holdings, asset quality, and gains from sales of loans and securities. We do not manage market risk on a group-wide basis and are not subject to regulation or supervision of market risk on a group-wide basis.

Changes in short-term interest rates may affect interest margins quickly and, therefore, net interest income, which is the most important component of our revenue. Increases in interest rates may reduce the volume of loans originated by our banking subsidiaries. Sustained high interest rates may discourage customers from borrowing and may result in increased delinquencies in outstanding loans and deterioration in the quality of assets. Increases in interest rates may reduce the value of our assets, including the financial assets of our banks, the investments of Corficolombiana and the assets managed by Porvenir. Our banking subsidiaries hold a substantial portfolio of loans and debt securities that have both fixed and floating interest rates. In addition, we may incur costs (which, in turn, will affect our results of operations) if our banking subsidiaries implement strategies to reduce future interest rate exposure. Increases in interest rates may reduce gains or require our banking subsidiaries to record losses on sales of their loans or securities.

We have regional exposure to fluctuations in interest rates. If there are significant increases in such rates in any of the countries in which BAC and MFG operate, our operating margins may be adversely affected and our results of operations may experience significant adverse consequences.

We may not effectively manage risks associated with the replacement of benchmark indices.

Interest rate, equity, foreign exchange rate and other types of indices which are deemed to be “benchmarks,” including those in widespread and long-standing use, have been the subject of ongoing international, national and other regulatory scrutiny and initiatives and proposals for reform. Some of these reforms are already effective while others are still to be implemented or are under consideration. These reforms may cause benchmarks to perform differently than in the past, or to disappear entirely, or have other consequences, which cannot be fully anticipated.

Any of the benchmark reforms which have been proposed or implemented, or the general increased regulatory scrutiny of benchmarks, could also increase the costs and risks of administering or otherwise participating in the setting of benchmarks and complying with regulations or requirements relating to benchmarks. Such factors may have the effect of discouraging market participants from continuing to administer or contribute to certain benchmarks, trigger changes in the rules or methodologies used in certain benchmarks or lead to the disappearance of certain benchmarks.

Any of these developments, and any future initiatives to regulate, reform or change the administration of benchmarks, could result in adverse consequences to the return on, value of and market for loans, mortgages, securities, derivatives and other financial instruments whose returns are linked to any such benchmark, including those issued, funded or held by us or our banking subsidiaries.

Various regulators, industry bodies and other market participants in the U.S. and other countries are engaged in initiatives to develop, introduce and encourage the use of alternative rates to replace certain benchmarks. There is no assurance that these new rates will be accepted or widely used by market participants, or that the characteristics of any of these new rates will be similar to, or produce the economic equivalent of, the benchmarks that they seek to replace. If a particular benchmark were to be discontinued and an alternative rate has not been successfully introduced to replace that benchmark, this could result in widespread dislocation in the financial markets, engender volatility in the pricing of securities, derivatives and other instruments, and suppress capital markets activities, all of which could have adverse effects on our results of operations. In addition, the transition of a particular benchmark to a replacement rate could affect hedge accounting relationships between financial instruments linked to that benchmark and any related derivatives, which could adversely affect our results.

26


On July 27, 2017, the Chief Executive of the U.K. Financial Conduct Authority (the “FCA”), which regulates the London interbank offered rate (“LIBOR”), announced that the FCA will no longer persuade or compel banks to submit rates for the calculation of the LIBOR benchmark after 2021. This announcement indicates that the continuation of LIBOR on the current basis cannot be guaranteed after 2021. Therefore, after 2021 LIBOR may cease to be calculated. The Bank of England and the FCA are working with market participants to catalyze a transition to using the Sterling Overnight Index Average (Sonia). In addition, the Alternative Reference Rates Committee, a group of private-market participants and official-sector entities convened by the Federal Reserve Board and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, has recommended that the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) replace U.S. dollar LIBOR. Many unresolved issues remain, such as the timing of the successor benchmarks introduction and the transition of a particular benchmark to a replacement rate, which could result in widespread dislocation in the financial markets, engender volatility in the pricing of securities, derivatives and other instruments, and suppress capital markets activities. For example, SOFR and other alternate reference rates have compositions and characteristics that differ significantly from the benchmarks they may replace, have limited history, and may demonstrate less predictable performance over time than the benchmarks they replace.

These and other reforms may cause benchmarks to perform differently than in the past, or to disappear entirely, or have other consequences which cannot be fully anticipated which introduces a number of risks for Grupo Aval. These risks include (i) legal risks arising from potential changes required to documentation for new and existing transactions; (ii) risk management, financial and accounting risks arising from market risk models and from valuation, hedging, discontinuation and recognition of financial instruments linked to benchmark rates; (iii) business risk that the revenues of products linked to LIBOR (in particular those indices that will be replaced) decrease; (iv) pricing risks arising from how changes to benchmark indices could impact pricing mechanisms on some instruments; (v) operational risks arising from the potential requirement to adapt IT systems, trade reporting infrastructure and operational processes; (vi) conduct risks arising from the potential impact of communication with customers and engagement during the transition period; and (vii) litigation risks regarding our existing products and services, which could adversely impact our profitability.

As of December 31, 2020, Grupo Aval had Ps 54,157.3 billion of assets and Ps 6,613.9 billion of liabilities that used LIBOR as a benchmark, as well as derivatives with a nominal value of Ps. 1,336.7 billion of assets and Ps. 1,726.2 billion of liabilities with such characteristics. While some of these outstanding LIBOR-based loans, borrowings and contracts include fallback provisions to alternative reference rates, most of our outstanding LIBOR-based products and contracts do not include fallback provisions or adequate fallback mechanisms and will require amendments to modify their terms. Additionally, most of our outstanding LIBOR-based loans, borrowings and contracts may be challenging to modify due to the requirement that all impacted parties consent to such modification. It is not currently possible to determine whether, or to what extent, any such changes would affect us. However, the implementation of alternative benchmark rates may have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, financial condition and prospects.

We may be adversely affected by fluctuations between the value of the Colombian peso or other local currencies where we operate, and the U.S. dollar as a result of U.S. dollar-denominated indebtedness and assets, and as a result of our Central American operations.

We face exposure to fluctuations in the rate of exchange between local currencies and the U.S. dollar, particularly given the fact that the currencies in countries where we, BAC and MFG operate have historically experienced significant devaluations and depreciations. Fluctuations in the exchange rate between the value of the Colombian peso or other local currencies where we operate, and the U.S. dollar, may also negatively affect our leverage and capitalization ratios as measured by regulators or by rating agencies.

We are subject to impacts on our statement of income and/or statement of financial position derived from fluctuations of the Colombian peso, in particular, against the U.S. dollar, where most of our foreign long-term debt is denominated, and the Colombian peso, and between the U.S. dollar and each of the currencies in our Central American operations, as 43.5% of our average consolidated assets for the year ended December 31, 2020 and 47.1% of our average consolidated liabilities for the year ended December 31, 2020 were foreign currency-denominated.

We are exposed to changes in the values of current holdings and future cash flows denominated in other currencies, as part of our financial business as well as in the non-financial activities of Corficolombiana. For information on hedge accounting please refer to Note 10 of our audited consolidated financial statements.

Our significant dollar-denominated investments in Central America can affect our business. Fluctuations in the exchange rate between the Colombian peso and the U.S. dollar may affect the value of these debt and investments on our statement of financial position and cause us to recognize gains or losses in our statement of income. Any substantial fluctuation in the U.S. dollar relative to the Colombian peso could affect our results of operations and our ability to meet our future payment obligations and increase or decrease the peso value of our regulatory capital, risk-weighted assets and goodwill, thereby affecting capital ratios of our banking subsidiaries.

The exchange rate fluctuation between the Colombian peso and U.S. dollar also affects our results as the functional currency of LB Panamá, which consolidates BAC and MFG, is the U.S. Dollar. See “Item 5. Operating and Financial Review and Prospects—A. Operating results—

27


Results of Operations for the Year Ended December 31, 2020 Compared to the Year Ended December 31, 2019—Leasing Bogotá S.A. Panamá” for a description of the effect of such fluctuation on LB Panamá’s results.

A substantial portion of BAC’s earnings, assets and liabilities are in Costa Rican Colones, Guatemalan Quetzals, Honduran Lempiras, Nicaraguan Córdobas, Panamanian Balboas (1 Balboa is equivalent to 1 U.S. dollars) and U.S. dollars. A substantial portion of MFG’s earnings, assets and liabilities are in Panamanian Balboas (1 Balboa is equivalent to 1 U.S. dollars) and U.S. dollars. As a result, our Central American operations are subject to risks relating to foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations between these currencies and pesos.

Foreign exchange rate risks associated with U.S. dollar-denominated liabilities are hedged with the net investment that Grupo Aval maintains in BAC and MFG through Banco de Bogotá. The difference between the U.S. dollar-denominated debt and the net investments in BAC and MFG (including any goodwills associated with the acquisitions) may result in a net U.S. dollar asset position which Grupo Aval, through Banco de Bogotá and LB Panamá may hedge with forward contracts. For more information see Note 10 to our audited consolidated financial statements. This strategy materially hedges our equity against fluctuations in the exchange rate between the value of the Colombian peso and the U.S. dollar, but may generate volatility in our leverage ratios as measured by regulators or by rating agencies.

In accordance with its market risk policies, BAC maintains a U.S. dollar net asset position (long U.S. dollar position) which is intended to hedge its shareholders’ equity against possible devaluations of each of the local currencies in the countries where it operates against the U.S. dollar.

We are subject to trading risks with respect to our trading activities.

Our banking subsidiaries, Corficolombiana, Porvenir and some other subsidiaries are allowed to engage in proprietary trading, and we might derive a portion of our profits from such trading activities. As a result, any reduction in trading income could adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition. Our trading income is volatile and dependent on numerous factors beyond our control, including, among others, market trading activity, interest rates, exchange rates and general market volatility. A significant decline in our trading income, or large trading losses, could adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.

Declines in the market price for securities and expected losses could result in impairment losses as well as increased unrealized losses on other securities. Losses in the Colombian equity markets could result in further losses from impairment or sale of these securities as well as increases in unrealized losses. Any significant increases in exposure to any of these non-traditional risks, or a significant increase in credit risk or bankruptcy of any of the counterparties, could materially and adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.

Colombian law and similar regulations in countries in which we operate, impose or might impose limitations on interest rates, and future additional restrictions on interest rates or banking fees could negatively affect our profitability.

The Colombian Commercial Code (“Código de Comercio”) limits the amount of interest our Colombian subsidiaries may charge on commercial transactions, including transactions of our banking subsidiaries. In the future, regulations in Colombia or other countries in which we operate, could impose increased limitations regarding interest rates or banking fees. Law 1430 of December 2010, as amended, authorizes the Colombian Government to impose or place limits on tariffs and fees charged by banks and other financial institutions where the Government has determined that there is insufficient competition in a relevant market. Additionally, the law requires the Superintendency of Finance to implement a monitoring scheme of the tariffs and fees charged by the financial institutions in their relevant markets and to report the results of this evaluation semi-annually to the Colombian Government. The Colombian Government issued Decree 4809 of 2011 and Decree 1854 of 2015, which (i) require banks to provide each of their clients with statements of all fees charged to such clients on an annual basis, (ii) set a limit on the fees that banks may charge to their clients for withdrawals from automated teller machines of other banks and (iii) establish that transactions through the internet may not cost more than those made through other channels. Accordingly, the Superintendency of Finance has issued External Circular 012 of 2012, setting the rules and principles that must be followed by banking and financial institutions at the time of establishing, publishing and promoting their tariffs and fees. Recently, the Colombian Congress passed Law 2009 of 2019 by means of which entities authorized to take deposits from the public and charging management fees for savings accounts, debit cards and credit cards, must grant their clients monthly access to a minimum package of services at no cost. A significant portion of our banks’ revenues and operating cash flow is generated by credit services and other fees, any such increased limitations would materially and adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.

Local authorities may impose requirements on the ability of residents, including our businesses, to obtain loans denominated in foreign currency.

Under local exchange control requirements, authorities may impose certain mandatory deposit requirements in connection with foreign currency-denominated loans obtained by residents, including our businesses. Future measures or requirements imposed by local authorities, such as mandatory deposit requirements, may adversely affect our and our clients’ ability to obtain loans in foreign currency.

28


Our businesses face constitutional actions, class actions and other legal actions involving claims for significant monetary awards against financial institutions, which may affect our businesses.

Under the Colombian Constitution and similar regulations in other countries in which we operate, individuals may initiate constitutional actions (acciones populares), or class actions (acciones de grupo), to protect their collective or class rights, respectively. Individuals may also initiate constitutional actions for the protection of their fundamental rights, known as “Tutelas”. Colombian financial institutions, including our banking subsidiaries, Corficolombiana and Porvenir, and other of our businesses have been, and continue to be, subject to these actions with regard to fees, financial services, mortgage lending and interest rates, the outcomes of which are uncertain. In addition, the number of such actions could increase in the future and could significantly affect our businesses.

Acquisitions and strategic partnerships may not perform in accordance with expectations, may fail to receive required regulatory approvals or may disrupt our operations and adversely affect our credit rating and profitability.

A component of our strategy is to identify and pursue growth-enhancing strategic opportunities, such as acquisitions and alliances, inside and outside of Colombia. As part of that strategy, we have acquired interests in various financial institutions in recent years. Strategic acquisitions and alliances could expose us to risks with which we have limited or no experience, as in the case of any significant acquisition outside of Colombia. In addition, potential acquisitions in Colombia and elsewhere may be subject to regulatory approval. We may be unsuccessful in obtaining any such approval or we may not obtain approvals on terms that are acceptable for us particularly in view of our subsidiaries’ and our combined significant market share in the Colombian banking industry.

We must necessarily base any assessment of potential acquisitions and alliances on assumptions with respect to operations, profitability and other matters that may subsequently prove to be incorrect. Future acquisitions and alliances, as well as other investments, may not produce anticipated synergies or perform in accordance with our expectations and could adversely affect our operations and profitability. In addition, new demands on our existing organization and personnel resulting from the integration of new acquisitions could disrupt our operations and adversely affect our operations and profitability.

We may not be able to manage our growth successfully.

We have been expanding the scope of our operations over the past years and we expect that this expansion will continue. As we continue to grow, we must improve our operational, technical and managerial knowledge and compliance systems in order to effectively manage our operations across the expanded group. Failure to successfully integrate, monitor and manage expanded operations could have a material adverse effect on our reputation and financial results. Our future growth will also depend on our access to internal and external financing sources. We may be unable to access such financing on commercially acceptable terms or at all.

We are subject to operational risks.

Our business depends on the ability of our banking subsidiaries to process large numbers of transactions efficiently and accurately. Operational risks and losses can result from fraud, employee error, failure to properly document transactions or to obtain proper internal authorization, failure to comply with regulatory requirements, breaches of conduct of business rules, equipment failures, natural disasters or the failure of external systems, among others. Grupo Aval banking subsidiaries’ currently adopted procedures that may not be effective in controlling each of the possible operational risks faced.

During 2020, as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, our subsidiaries adopted remote work as part of the strategy to ensure, the health of their collaborators and the adequate operation and provision of services. In addition to adapting the technological requirements, their respective risk matrices were updated to identify the changes that the remote environment could imply.

Failure of our information systems could materially and adversely affect the effectiveness of our risk management and internal control processes as well as our results of operations and financial condition.

We and our subsidiaries are highly dependent on the ability to collect and process, on a timely basis, a large amount of financial and other information, and services and products, at a time when transaction processes have become more complex with increasing volumes. A partial or complete failure of any of these systems could materially and adversely affect our decision-making process, risk management and internal control systems as well as our ability to respond on a timely basis to changing market conditions. Additionally, increased dependency on communications as well as the migration of processes to cloud operations can increase our exposure to IT failures and cybersecurity threats. See “—We are subject to cybersecurity threats”.

In addition, Grupo Aval’s and our subsidiaries’ ability to remain competitive will depend in part on our ability to upgrade our IT infrastructure and implement digitalization of products and services on a timely and cost-effective basis. We and our subsidiaries must continually make significant investments and improvements in our and their IT infrastructure in order to ensure the proper functioning of financial control,

29


accounting and other data collection and processing systems and to remain competitive. Furthermore, as our banking subsidiaries open new branches and channels, they will need to improve their IT infrastructure, including maintaining and upgrading their software and hardware systems and their back-office operations. If there are technological impediments, unforeseen complications, errors or breakdowns in implementing new systems, our business, financial condition or results of operations may be adversely affected.

We are subject to cybersecurity threats

We and our subsidiaries are highly dependent on information systems to process transactions, respond to customer queries in a timely manner, operate our technological infrastructure and maintain profitable operations across the jurisdictions in which we operate.

We and our subsidiaries dedicate significant resources to maintaining and regularly upgrading our systems to implement technology that protects our networks against cyber-attacks. For example, we have implemented risk analysis processes and controls and a Computer Security Incident Response Team - CSIRT to handle incidents and emergencies. This team works in a coordinated manner in the face of joint threats. Although we have experienced cyber-attacks in the past, such as malware and ransomware infections, which have required immediate attention from CSIRT and resulted in some temporary interruptions to non-operational areas, these attacks have not had a material impact on our business and, depending on their relevance, have been reported to the corresponding committees of Information and IT security, and to the executive levels and Board of Directors of Grupo Aval. Nonetheless, future attacks could be more severe and have a material adverse impact on our business.

If one or more cyber-threats occur, it could result in a security impact on our systems and jeopardize our or subsidiaries customers’, or counterparties’ personal, confidential, proprietary or other information processed, stored in, and transmitted through our and our third-party providers’ computer systems. Furthermore, such events could cause interruptions or malfunctions in our or our subsidiaries customers’, counterparties’ or third parties’ operations, which could result in reputational damage with our or our subsidiaries customers’, reduced demand for our services and products, additional costs to us (such as repairing systems, adding new personnel or technologies), regulatory investigations, litigation or enforcement, or regulatory fines or penalties, all or any of which could adversely affect our business, financial condition or results of operation.

Given the increasing sophistication of cyber-attacks, incidents could occur and persist for an extended period without us being able to detect them. Investigations of cyber-attacks can be unpredictable and take time to complete. During such time we may not know the extent of the harm caused by or how best to remediate such cyber-attack. Additionally, we may not take the most appropriate actions to remediate or mitigate a cyber-attack, which would further exacerbate the costs and consequences of a cyber-attack. See “Item 4. Information on the Company—B. Business Overview—Oversight at the holding company—Cybersecurity” and “Item 11. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Risk—Risk Management—COVID-19 Global Event”.

Our policies and procedures may not be able to detect money laundering and other illegal or improper activities fully or on a timely basis, which could expose us to fines and other liabilities.

We and our subsidiaries are required to comply with applicable anti-money laundering laws, anti-terrorism financing laws, anti-bribery and other regulations. These laws and regulations require us, among other things, to adopt and enforce “know your customer” policies and procedures, and to report suspicious or large transactions to the applicable regulatory authorities. While we and our financial institutions have adopted policies and procedures aimed at detecting and preventing the use of banking networks for money laundering activities and by terrorists and terrorist-related organizations and individuals generally, such policies and procedures may not completely eliminate instances where they may be used by other parties to engage in money laundering and other illegal or improper activities. If we or any of our subsidiaries, joint ventures or other affiliates fail to fully comply with applicable laws and regulations, the relevant Government authorities to which they report have the power and authority to impose fines and other penalties. In addition, due to the COVID-19 pandemic, some warning signs have been adjusted to further identify unusual behavior in certain operations, such as the import of medical equipment and medicine acquisitions. Additionally, the frequency of monitoring was changed especially for medical import transactions, donations and foundation transactions, and awareness efforts were increased.

Competition and consolidation in the Colombian and Central American banking and financial industry could adversely affect our market position.

We operate in a competitive market. Since the 1990s, when the Colombian financial system was deregulated, there has been an ongoing process of consolidation that has included foreign bank participants entering the Colombian market. We expect that consolidation will lead to the creation of larger local financial institutions, including additional foreign banks, presenting the risk that we could lose a portion of our market share in the industry, adversely affecting our results of operations.

Various banking institutions, which have recently been incorporated in Colombia, target the microcredit and small and medium enterprises segments. Local subsidiaries of international financial institutions have entered the market targeting corporate clients. The businesses of

30


these new credit institutions may affect our market position in the individual, small and medium enterprises and our merchant banking operation. We also face competition from non-bank and non-financial competitors, such as fintechs.

In addition, consolidation in the Colombian and Central American financial services industry has increased, which may also increase competition in the markets where we operate. See “Item 4. Information on the Company—B. Business overview—Competition”.

Furthermore, our banking subsidiaries may face challenges as new competitors enter the market or existing competitors may adjust their services with unique product or service offerings or approaches to providing banking services. New entrants could take advantage of regulatory arbitrage to compete with substantially lower cost structures. Non-traditional providers of banking services, may offer and/or increase their offerings of financial products and services directly to customers. Several of these competitors may have long operating histories, large customer bases, strong brand recognition and significant financial, marketing and other resources. Technological advances and heightened e-commerce activities have increased consumers’ access to products and services, which has in turn intensified competition among banks and nonbanks in offering loans. Existing competitors and market entrants may adopt more aggressive pricing and rates and devote more resources to technology, infrastructure and marketing. If we are unable to successfully compete with current and new competitors, or if we are unable to anticipate and adapt our offerings to changing banking industry trends, including innovation, digitalization and technological changes, our business may be adversely affected.

Our ability to maintain our competitive position depends mainly on our ability to anticipate and fulfill the needs of new and current customers through the development of innovative services and products, and our ability to offer adequate services and strengthen our customer base through cross-selling. Our failure to effectively anticipate or adapt to emerging technologies or changes in customer behavior, including among younger customers, could delay or prevent our access to new digital-based markets which would in turn have an adverse effect on our competitive position and business.

Our efforts to offer new services and products may not succeed if product or market opportunities develop more slowly than expected or if the profitability of these opportunities is undermined by competitive pressures. As we expand the range of our products and services, some of which may be at an early stage of development in the Colombian and Central American market, we will be exposed to new and potentially increasingly complex risks and development expenses. Our employees and our risk management systems may not be adequate to handle such risks. In addition, the cost of developing products that are not launched is likely to affect our results of operations. Any or all these factors, individually or collectively, could have a material adverse effect on us.

We depend on our senior management and our Board of Directors, and the loss of their services could have an adverse effect on our business.

We are highly dependent on our senior management teams and Board of Directors at both the group and subsidiary levels, all of whom possess considerable experience and expertise and have strong relationships with customers, participants of the Colombian business.

The loss of the services of any of these members of our, or our subsidiaries’, senior management and members of the Board of Directors, could have an adverse effect on our business. Accordingly, our success is dependent on appropriately managing the risks related to executing a succession plan for senior management and members of the Board of Directors on a timely basis.

We are subject to reputational risk, and our reputation is closely tied to that of our controlling shareholder, our senior management and members of the Board of Directors, and that of our subsidiaries.

Damage to our reputation may limit our ability to attract customers, employees and investors. Harm to our reputation can arise from employee or former employee misconduct, legal and regulatory non-compliance, ethical issues, allegations of money laundering, and failing to deliver minimum standards of service and quality, among others. In particular, our success has been attributable, in part, to the high esteem in which our controlling shareholder Mr. Sarmiento Angulo, our president, Mr. Sarmiento Gutiérrez, some of our senior management and our subsidiaries’ senior management and members of the Board of Directors are held in Colombia and the markets in which we operate. Reputation plays an integral role in our business operations, which are based on customer confidence and trust. If the public image or reputation of any of the foregoing is damaged as a result of negative publicity or otherwise, business relationships with customers of Grupo Aval may deteriorate, which would adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition. Any perceived or real difficulties experienced by any one of our subsidiaries would harm the reputation of Grupo Aval as a whole, which would also have an adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition.

We are controlled by Mr. Sarmiento Angulo, whose interests could differ from the interests of other common, preferred shareholders and ADS holders.

Mr. Sarmiento Angulo beneficially owns 97.6% of our common shares outstanding and 42.7% of our preferred shares outstanding, as of April 7, 2021, and, accordingly, controls our group. See “Item 7. Major Shareholders and Related Party Transactions—A. Major

31


shareholders”. The preferred shares do not have any voting rights and thus will not affect such control of our Group. Mr. Sarmiento Angulo will continue to have the right to control decisions, regardless of how our minority shareholders may vote on these issues and regardless of the interests of such shareholders, including holders of ADSs and underlying preferred shares. In addition to Mr. Sarmiento Angulo’s beneficial ownership through Grupo Aval, as of April 7, 2021, he beneficially owns 8.3% of Banco de Bogotá, 13.3% of Banco de Occidente, 15.6% of Banco AV Villas, 0.8% of Banco Popular and 11.3% of Corficolombiana.

Circumstances may occur in which Mr. Sarmiento Angulo may have an interest in pursuing transactions that, in his judgment, enhance the value of his several investments in the financial sector. These transactions may not necessarily be in Grupo Aval’s interest or that of its shareholders even if holders of the ADSs or the underlying preferred shares disagree. Due to his control, Mr. Sarmiento Angulo has, and will have, the power to:

elect a majority of our directors and appoint our executive officers, set our management policies and exercise overall control over our company and subsidiaries;
agree to sell or otherwise transfer his controlling stake in our company; and
determine the outcome of substantially all actions requiring shareholder approval, including transactions with related parties, corporate reorganizations, acquisitions and dispositions of assets, and dividends.

In addition, the concentration of ownership may have the effect of delaying, preventing or deterring a change of control of our company, could deprive our shareholders of an opportunity to receive a premium for the ADSs or underlying preferred shares as part of a sale of our company and might ultimately affect the market price of the ADSs and the underlying preferred shares.

We may engage in additional transactions with our controlling shareholder in the future.

In the future we may engage, as we have done in the past, in business and financial transactions with our controlling shareholder and other shareholders that may present potential conflicts of interest between our company and these shareholders. While we believe that these transactions will be carried out on an arm’s-length basis, commercial and financial transactions between us and our controlling shareholder could create the potential for, or could result in, conflicts of interests between us and our other shareholders. To the extent that the price we pay for any assets acquired from our controlling shareholder exceeds the market value of such assets or is not as productive a use of our cash as other uses, our results of operations and financial condition could be adversely affected.

Certain risks relating to our Central American operations

We may be unsuccessful in addressing the challenges and risks presented by our operations in countries outside Colombia.

We conduct banking businesses outside our historical home market of Colombia primarily through BAC and MFG. Our Central American operations may involve risks to which we have not previously been exposed. Some of these operations are in countries that may present different or greater risks than those in Colombia. For example, BAC has a significant consumer finance business, including credit card operations, in the Central American countries in which it operates. We may face delays in payments by customers and higher delinquency rates in these countries, which could necessitate higher impairments for loan losses and, consequently, have a negative effect on our financial performance.

We depend on BAC’s and MFG’s current senior management, and the loss of their services could have a material adverse effect on our Central American operations.

The loss of services of any of BAC’s or MFG’s senior officers could have an adverse effect on our Central American operations.

Changes in credit card regulations may adversely affect BAC’s business.

The credit card business is an important business segment for BAC. The adoption of new laws and regulations or the revision of the current regulatory regime for credit cards in any of the jurisdictions in which BAC operates may have an adverse effect on BAC’s results of operations and financial condition.

32


BAC and our Central American operations are subject to significant compliance risks in connection with a multi-jurisdictional regulatory regime.

BAC’s businesses are subject to regulation under Costa Rican, Guatemalan, Honduran, Nicaraguan, Panamanian, Salvadoran, Grand Cayman, British Virgin Islands, Bahamian and U.S. federal, state and other foreign laws, regulations and policies. BAC thus is subject to a multi-jurisdictional regulatory regime. In addition, any changes to the regulatory regime of one of the Central American countries may lead to corresponding changes to the regulatory regime of other countries in the region. BAC’s businesses are regularly reviewed or investigated by regulators, which could lead to enforcement actions, fines and penalties or the assertion of private litigation claims and damages.

Regulation of financial institutions varies across the different Central American jurisdictions in which we operate. These differences are particularly pronounced in the assessment of credit risk and investments. These asymmetries may affect the expected results of our operations in each jurisdiction, and as a consequence could adversely affect our consolidated results of operations in Central America.

Risks relating to our preferred shares and ADSs

Exchange rate volatility may adversely affect the Colombian economy, the market price of the ADSs and the dividends payable to holders of the ADSs.

Pursuant to Colombian law, the Colombian Central Bank has the power to intervene in the exchange market in order to consolidate or dispose of international reserves, as well as to control any volatility in the exchange rate, acting through a variety of mechanisms, including discretionary ones. During recent years, the Colombian Central Bank has employed a floating exchange rate system with periodic interventions. From time to time, there have been significant fluctuations in the exchange rate between the Colombian peso and the U.S. dollar. Unforeseen events in international markets, fluctuations in interest rates, fluctuations in oil prices, changes in U.S. and international monetary policies, changes in capital flows, political developments or inflation rates may cause exchange rate instability that could, in turn, depress the value of the Colombian peso, thereby decreasing the U.S. dollar value of the dividends paid to holders of the ADSs.

Restrictions on purchasing our preferred shares may affect the market liquidity of our preferred shares and ADSs.

Under Colombian securities regulations, as a general rule, any transaction involving the sale of publicly traded shares of any Colombian company, including any sale of our preferred shares for the equivalent of 66,000 Unidades de Valor Real or “UVRs” (U.S.$5,288.9), or more, must be effected through the Colombian Stock Exchange. UVR is a Colombian inflation-adjusted monetary index calculated by the board of directors of the Colombian Central Bank and generally used for pricing home-mortgage loans (one UVR = Ps 275.1 (U.S.$0.08) and 66,000 UVRs = Ps 18,154,131.6 at December 31, 2020). Any transfer of preferred shares underlying the ADSs may be required to be sold through the Colombian Stock Exchange, which could limit their liquidity or affect their market price.

The relative illiquidity of the Colombian securities markets may impair the ability of preferred shareholders and holders of ADSs to sell preferred shares underlying the ADSs.

Our preferred shares are listed on the Colombian Stock Exchange, which is relatively small and illiquid compared to securities exchanges in major financial centers. In addition, a small number of issuers represent a disproportionately large percentage of the market capitalization and trading volume on the Colombian Stock Exchange. A liquid trading market for the preferred shares or ADSs may not develop on the Colombian Stock Exchange or New York Stock Exchange, respectively. A limited trading market could impair the ability of a holder of preferred shares or ADSs to sell preferred shares (in the case of an ADS holder, obtained upon withdrawal of such shares from the ADR facility) on the Colombian Stock Exchange in the amount and at the price and time desired by such holder, and could increase the volatility of the market price of the preferred shares and the ADSs. In addition, a decrease in the liquidity of our ADR program may also impair investors’ ability to sell our preferred shares or ADSs in the New York Stock Exchange.

An active market for our preferred shares and the ADSs may not continue to develop or be maintained and the market price of our preferred shares and the ADSs may fluctuate in response to numerous factors.

The market price of our ADSs and preferred shares may fluctuate significantly in response to numerous factors, many of which are beyond our control, including actual or anticipated fluctuations in our operating results, economic downturns, political events in Colombia, Central America or other jurisdictions where we operate, developments affecting the banking industry, exchange rates, changes in financial estimates by securities analysts or our failure to perform in line with such estimates, departures of key personnel, and sales of our preferred shares in the future, including by our banking subsidiaries who may have to sell our preferred shares obtained from investors who entered into loans with them to acquire our preferred shares in our offering of preferred shares in 2011, or the “Preferred Shares Local Offering”. Furthermore, common shares may be converted into preferred shares on a 1-1 basis provided that our preferred shares do not exceed 50% of our total subscribed share capital. Preferred shares are available for deposit into the ADS Program.

33


Our banking subsidiaries extended credit through loans to finance the acquisition of preferred shares in the Preferred Shares Local Offering of which, six loans, representing Ps 84.6 billion (U.S.$24.6 million), remained outstanding on December 31, 2020. The final loan will mature in 2021. Depending on the characteristics of the borrower, our banking subsidiaries may have required collateral, which may have included a pledge of the preferred shares that were subject to the financing. Such a pledge would permit our banking subsidiaries through a court procedure to seek the sale of the preferred shares if the borrower defaults. Our banking subsidiaries had, on an aggregate basis, pledges over 65,063,422 preferred shares (0.9% of our total preferred shares) related to loans made to third parties at December 31, 2020. All the loans are full-recourse loans. Under the terms of the pledges, each borrower is limited from selling the pledged shares until the loan is repaid. Under Colombian law, our banking subsidiaries must seek to sell any repossessed shares as banks are not permitted to hold shares issued by their parent. If changes in general economic conditions or other factors cause these borrowers to default on their loans, our subsidiaries will have to sell our preferred shares into the market, or alternatively, upon repayment of the loans, these borrowers will not be restricted from selling such shares in the market. As a result, the market price of our preferred shares and ADSs may decline.

Holders of ADSs and underlying preferred shares may face difficulties in protecting their interests because we are subject to different corporate rules and regulations than those available in other jurisdictions, and our preferred shareholders have limited rights.

Holders of ADSs are not direct shareholders of our company and are unable to enforce the rights of shareholders under our by-laws and Colombian law. Under Colombian law, holders of our preferred shares may have fewer rights than shareholders of a corporation incorporated in the United States. Even if a holder of ADSs surrenders its ADSs and becomes a direct shareholder, a holder of our preferred shares under Colombian law may have fewer alternatives to protect its interests relative to actions by our board of directors or executive officers, and these alternatives may be less well-defined than under the laws of those other jurisdictions. In addition, holders of the ADSs and our preferred shares are not entitled to vote for the election of directors or to influence our management policies. Under our by-laws and Colombian law, holders of preferred shares (and, consequently, holders of ADSs) have no voting rights in respect of preferred shares, other than in limited circumstances.

The Colombian securities markets are not as highly regulated or supervised as the U.S. securities markets or the markets in some other jurisdictions. In addition, rules and policies against self-dealing or for preserving shareholder interests may be less well-defined and enforced in Colombia than in the United States and certain other countries, which may put holders of our preferred shares and the ADSs at a potential disadvantage. Corporate disclosures also may be less complete or informative than for a public company in the United States or in certain other countries.

Our ability to pay dividends on the ADSs or underlying preferred shares may be limited by Colombian law and because we are a holding company dependent on dividends from subsidiaries.

Under Colombian law, a company may only distribute dividends to the extent such distribution is fully supported by accurate financial statements demonstrating the financial condition of the company. Any dividends distributed in violation of this provision may not be reclaimed from shareholders who received such payments in good faith, and any subsequent distribution of profits may be suspended. In addition, dividends may not be distributed until losses from previous fiscal years have been absorbed. Dividends must be approved at the ordinary annual shareholders’ meeting.

Our ability to pay dividends on the preferred shares represented by ADSs will be contingent upon the financial condition of our subsidiaries. Any of our banking subsidiaries may be restricted from paying dividends to us if such subsidiary does not meet its required technical capital ratios or does not have sufficient retained earnings. In addition, we conduct substantially all of our operations through subsidiaries and are dependent on dividends from our subsidiaries to meet our obligations.

Holders of ADSs may encounter difficulties in the exercise of dividend rights and in the limited voting rights of our preferred shares.

Holders of ADSs may encounter difficulties in exercising rights with respect to the preferred shares underlying ADSs. If we make a distribution to holders of underlying shares in the form of securities or rights to acquire securities, the depositary is allowed, in its discretion, to sell those securities or rights on behalf of ADS holders and instead distribute the net proceeds to the ADS holders. Also, under some circumstances, you may not be able to exercise your limited voting rights by giving instructions to the depositary.

Our status as a foreign private issuer allows us to follow alternate standards to the corporate governance standards of the NYSE, which may limit the protections afforded to investors.

We are a “foreign private issuer” within the meaning of the NYSE corporate governance standards. Under the NYSE rules, a foreign private issuer may elect to comply with the practices of its home country and not to comply with certain corporate governance requirements applicable to U.S. companies with securities listed on the NYSE. We currently follow Colombian practices concerning corporate governance and intend to continue to do so. Accordingly, you will not have the same protections afforded to shareholders of companies that are subject

34


to all NYSE corporate governance requirements. See “Item 6. Directors, Senior Management and Employees—C. Board practices—Principal differences between Colombian and U.S. corporate governance practices”.

Preemptive rights may not be available to holders of preferred shares or ADSs.

Colombian law and our by-laws require that, whenever we issue new common shares, we must offer the holders of common shares the right to subscribe a number of shares of such class sufficient to maintain their existing percentage ownership of our aggregate share capital. On the other hand, holders of preferred shares, including holders of ADSs, are entitled to preemptive rights only when so declared at a meeting of holders of our common shares. Our common shareholders may decide not to provide for such preemptive rights. Also, U.S. holders of ADSs may not be able to exercise their preemptive rights through JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., which acts as ADR depositary for our ADR facility, unless a registration statement

under the Securities Act is effective with respect to such rights or an exemption from the registration requirement thereunder is available. Although we are not obligated to do so, we or our shareholders, as applicable, could consider at the time of any preemptive rights offering the costs and potential liabilities associated with any such registration statement, the benefits to us from enabling the holders of the ADSs to exercise those rights and any other factors deemed appropriate at the time, and will then make a decision as to whether to file a registration statement. Accordingly, we might decide not to file a registration statement in some cases.

If holders of ADSs are unable to exercise these rights because a registration statement has not been filed and no exemption from the registration requirement under the Securities Act is available, the ADR depositary may attempt to sell the holders’ preemptive rights and distribute the net proceeds from that sale, if any, to such holders, provided that, the meeting of holders of our common shares decides that holders of preferred shares are entitled to preemptive rights. The ADR depositary, after consultation with us, will have discretion as to the procedure for making preemptive rights available to the holders of ADSs, disposing of such rights and making any proceeds available to such holders. If by the terms of any preemptive rights offering or for any other reason the ADR depositary is unable or chooses not to make those rights available to any holder of ADSs, and if it is unable or for any reason chooses not to sell those rights, the depositary may allow the rights to lapse.

Whenever the rights are sold by the ADR depositary or such rights lapse, or if the common shareholders’ meeting does not grant preemptive rights to the holders of preferred shares, the equity interests of the holders of ADSs will be proportionately diluted.

Our ability to make payments on the ADSs may be adversely affected if we become unable to convert Colombian pesos to U.S. dollars or to transfer U.S. dollars abroad.

The Colombian Government does not currently restrict the ability of Colombian persons or entities to convert Colombian pesos to U.S. dollars. However, the Government may impose foreign exchange controls on dividend payments and remittances of interest and principal if the foreign currency reserves of the Central Bank fall below a level equal to the value of three months of imports into Colombia. Colombian law also allows the imposition of a deposit requirement with the Central Bank in connection with any foreign exchange transaction that may increase the cost of foreign exchange transactions or limit the amount of such transactions for a particular time. No such foreign exchange controls are currently applicable. Nevertheless, such restrictions may be imposed in the future, and any such restrictions could prevent, restrict or increase the price of our access to U.S. dollars, which we need to pay our foreign currency-denominated obligations.

We are traded on more than one market and this may result in price variations; in addition, investors may not be able to easily move shares for trading between such markets.

Trading in our ADSs on the NYSE or preferred shares on the Colombian Stock Exchange take place in different currencies (U.S. dollars on the NYSE and pesos on the Colombian Stock Exchange), and at different times (resulting from different time zones, different trading days and different public holidays in the United States and Colombia). The trading prices of our shares on these two markets may differ due to these and other factors. Any decrease in the price of our preferred shares on the Colombian Stock Exchange could cause a decrease in the trading price of our ADSs on the NYSE. Investors could seek to sell or buy our shares to take advantage of any price differences between the markets through a practice referred to as arbitrage. Any arbitrage activity could create unexpected volatility in both our share prices on one exchange, and the shares available for trading on the other exchange. In addition, holders of ADSs will not be immediately able to surrender their ADSs and withdraw the underlying preferred shares for trading on the other market without effecting necessary procedures with the depositary. This could result in time delays and additional cost for holders of ADSs.

If holders of ADSs surrender their ADSs and withdraw preferred shares, they may face adverse Colombian tax consequences.

Although Colombian tax law does not specifically refer to the tax consequences applicable to an ADS holder withdrawing the underlying preferred shares, we believe, based on the advice of our Colombian counsel, that such a transaction should not result in a taxable event under Colombian law in the case of non-resident entities and non-resident individuals given the nature of the transaction. Nevertheless, this issue

35


is not free from doubt, and the Colombian tax authorities may have a different interpretation of the law, or the law may change, and the Colombian tax authorities may assess taxes on the conversion of ADSs into preferred shares based upon the difference between the market value of the preferred shares and the adjusted tax basis of the ADSs. Furthermore, an investor who surrenders ADSs and withdraws preferred shares will be subject to income taxes on any gain associated with the sale of such preferred shares if such sale exceeds 10% of the issued and outstanding shares of the listed company during a taxable year.

Banking regulations, accounting standards and corporate disclosure applicable to us differ from those in the United States and other countries.

Colombian banking regulations may differ in material respects from regulations applicable to banks in other countries, including those in the U.S. For example, in Colombia, we are not subject to regulations applicable to financial institutions, although our banking subsidiaries, Corficolombiana, Porvenir and certain of our other subsidiaries are subject to such regulations. Since February 6, 2019, Grupo Aval is subject to supervision as the financial holding company of the Aval Financial Conglomerate. In addition, capital adequacy requirements for banks and financial conglomerates under Colombian regulations differ from those under U.S. regulations and may differ from those of other countries.

Colombia and other countries in which we operate have different corporate disclosure and accounting standards for our industry than those applicable in the United States. Financial reporting disclosure requirements in the jurisdictions in which we operate differ in certain significant respects from those required in the United States. There are also material differences between IFRS (as issued by the IASB) and Colombian IFRS. Accordingly, our separate financial statements may not be the same as the information available to holders of shares issued by a U.S. company. Furthermore, since January 1, 2015, we began preparing our financial statements in accordance with IFRS as issued by the IASB and, as a result, some of our financial data may not be easily comparable from period to period.

Judgments of Colombian courts with respect to our preferred shares will be payable only in pesos.

If proceedings are brought in Colombian courts seeking to enforce the rights of holders of our preferred shares, we will not be required to discharge our obligations in a currency other than Colombian pesos. Under Colombian law, an obligation in Colombia to pay amounts denominated in a currency other than Colombian pesos may only be satisfied in Colombian currency at the exchange rate, as determined by the Colombian Central Bank and published by the Superintendency of Finance, also known as Tasa Representativa del Mercado, in effect on the date the judgment is obtained, and such amounts are then adjusted to reflect exchange rate variations through the effective payment date. The then-prevailing exchange rate may not afford non-Colombian investors with full compensation for any claim arising out of or related to our obligations under the preferred shares, or indirectly, the ADSs.

U.S. investors in our preferred shares or the ADSs may find it difficult or impossible to enforce service of process and enforcement of judgments against us and our officers and directors.

We are incorporated under the laws of Colombia, and all of our subsidiaries are incorporated in jurisdictions outside the United States. In addition, our executive offices are located outside of the U.S. All of our directors and officers reside outside of the United States, and all or a substantial portion of our assets and the assets of most of our officers and directors are, and will most likely continue to be, located outside of the United States. As a result, it may be difficult or impossible for U.S. investors to serve legal process within the United States upon us or any of these persons or to enforce a judgment against us for civil liabilities in U.S. courts. In addition, you should not assume that courts in the countries where we or our subsidiaries are incorporated or where our or our subsidiaries’ assets are located (i) would enforce judgments of U.S. courts obtained in actions against us or our subsidiaries based upon the civil liability provisions of applicable U.S. federal and state securities laws or (ii) would enforce, in original actions, liabilities against us or our subsidiaries based on those laws.

There is also substantial doubt that the courts of Colombia would enter judgment in original actions brought in those courts predicated on U.S. federal or state securities laws. We have been advised by our Colombian counsel that there is no legal basis for original actions to be brought against us or our directors and executive officers in a Colombian court predicated solely upon the provisions of the U.S. federal or state securities laws. In addition, certain remedies available under provisions of the U.S. securities laws may not be admitted or enforced by Colombian courts.

Grupo Aval’s by-laws contain an arbitration provision that provides for the exclusive jurisdiction of an arbitral tribunal to be seated at the Bogotá Chamber of Commerce. The arbitration provision provides that any conflict arising among shareholders, or between shareholders and Grupo Aval, in connection with the by-laws must be resolved by the arbitral tribunal. See “Item 4. Information on the Company—B. Business overview—Service of Process and Enforcement of Judgments”.

36


ITEM 4. INFORMATION ON THE COMPANY

A.          History and development of the company

We are Colombia’s largest banking group based on total assets and we are also the largest banking group in Central America based on total assets at December 31, 2020. We provide a comprehensive range of financial services and products from traditional banking services, such as making loans and taking deposits, to pension and severance fund management.

Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A. is a sociedad anónima, domiciled in Bogotá, Colombia and organized under Colombian laws and regulations. Grupo Aval was incorporated on January 7, 1994 under the name Administraciones Bancarias S.A. On April 18, 1997, the company changed its name to Sociedad A.B. S.A., and on January 8, 1998, to Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A.. Grupo Aval was created by our chairman, Mr. Sarmiento Angulo, to consolidate his interests in the Colombian financial sector.

In 1971, Mr. Sarmiento Angulo acquired a majority stake in Banco de Occidente, and in 1972 founded Corporación de Ahorro y Vivienda Las Villas to focus on low- and middle-income mortgage financing. In 1981, Mr. Sarmiento Angulo purchased a minority stake in Banco de Bogotá, and in 1988 he acquired a majority stake and control, consolidating a major participation in the banking system. Banco de Bogotá acquired a substantial majority of, and absorbed, Banco del Comercio in 1992.

In 1991, Banco de Bogotá and Banco de Occidente founded Porvenir as a severance fund manager, and following the creation in 1993 of the private pension fund system in Colombia, expanded the business to include pension fund management in 1994. In 1996, Banco Popular was acquired from the Colombian Government. In 1997, Mr. Sarmiento Angulo acquired Corporación de Ahorro y Vivienda Ahorramas, which was later merged with Corporación de Ahorro y Vivienda Las Villas in 2000 and became Banco AV Villas in 2002.

Between 1997 and 1999, Corficolombiana (which was founded in 1959 as an affiliate of Banco de Bogotá) acquired and merged with several merchant banks, including Corfitolima, Corfiprogreso, Corfes, Corfiboyacá, Corfisantander, Corfiandes and Indufinanciera. In 2005, Corfivalle, also a merchant bank merged with Corficolombiana.

In 1998, Mr. Sarmiento Angulo contributed a majority of his direct and indirect holdings in the financial institutions into Grupo Aval. The Red Aval (Grupo Aval Network) was also established in 1998 to provide an integrated service network of branches and ATMs.

Our international expansion began in 2010, with the acquisition of BAC Credomatic from GE Consumer Finance Central Holdings Corp. and General Electric Capital Corporation. On December 2013, we expanded our Central American operations with the acquisitions of BBVA Panamá (merged into BAC International Bank, Inc.) and Grupo Reformador (merged into Banco de América Central S.A. (Guatemala)).

On April 18, 2013, we acquired Horizonte and completed its merger into Porvenir on December 31, 2013.

On June 21, 2016, Grupo Aval, Banco de Bogotá, Banco de Occidente and Banco Popular entered into the Amended Corficolombiana Shareholders’ Agreement to provide for Grupo Aval to directly control Corficolombiana. Prior to June 21, 2016, Banco de Bogotá, which held a 38.3% equity interest in Corficolombiana, controlled Corficolombiana.

On December 4, 2018, Aval Soluciones Digitales S.A. received an operating license issued by the Superintendency of Finance, to act as the first SEDPE (Specialized Companies in Deposits and Electronic Payments) created by a financial institution in Colombia.

On December 31, 2018, our controlling shareholder registered Grupo Aval and some of its subsidiaries as part of the Sarmiento Angulo’s economic group (Grupo Empresarial Sarmiento Angulo) before the Chamber of Commerce of Bogotá.

On February 6, 2019, Law 1870 of 2017 came into force designating Grupo Aval as the holding company of the Aval Financial Conglomerate (which includes, aside from the holding company, all of the financial subsidiaries of the group). As such, Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A. is now under surveillance of the Superintendency of Finance.

On May 22, 2020, we acquired through LB Panamá, 96.6% of the ordinary and outstanding shares of MFG, with the option of acquiring the remaining 3.4% of its ordinary outstanding shares. The purchase price was US$433.8 million paid in cash. In June 2020, LB Panamá acquired an additional 3.0% of MFG’s ordinary outstanding shares, pursuant to the purchase option referred to above, reaching a total participation of 99.6%. In September 2020, LB Panamá received a refund for an amount of US$1.6 million as an adjustment to the price paid in connection with the transaction. The final adjusted purchase price was US$432.2 million. For more information, please refer to Note 25 and Note 35 of our audited consolidated financial statements.

37


Since 1999, Grupo Aval’s common shares have traded on the Colombian Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol “GRUPOAVAL”. Our preferred shares have been listed on the Colombian Stock Exchange since February 1, 2011 under the symbol “PFAVAL”. In 2014, we completed a SEC-registered initial public offering in the United States. Our ADSs began to trade on the New York Stock Exchange, or NYSE, under the symbol “AVAL” on September 23, 2014. Each ADS represents 20 preferred shares. For more information see “Item 9. The Offer and Listing—C. Markets”.

We have also completed three bond issuances in the international market, in addition to those from our subsidiaries:

in February 2012, we completed our first international bond offering, issuing Ps 1,083.6 billion (U.S.$600 million) at the date of the issuance of our 5.25% Senior Notes due 2017;
in September 2012, we completed our second international bond offering, issuing Ps 1,795.7 billion (U.S.$1.0 billion) at the date of the issuance of our 4.75% Senior Notes due 2022; and
in February 2020, we completed our third international bond offering, issuing Ps 3,401.6 billion (U.S.$1.0 billion) at the date of the issuance of our 4.375% Senior Notes due 2030.

In addition, we have completed multiple issuances on the local markets. The most recent of which are:

during 2017, Grupo Aval issued its sixth bond issuance in the local market in an amount of Ps 400 billion; and
in November 2019, Grupo Aval issued the first tranche of its first issuance program of ordinary bonds in an amount of Ps 400.0 billion.

See Note 21 of our audited consolidated financial statements for further information on Grupo Aval’s financial obligations from issued bonds.

The SEC maintains an internet website that contains reports, proxy, information statements and other information about issuers, like us, that file electronically with the SEC. The address of that website is www.sec.gov. The Company’s website address is www.grupoaval.com. The information contained on, or that can be accessed through, the Company’s website is not part of, and is not incorporated into, this Annual Report. The Company’s headquarters are located at Carrera 13 # 26A – 47, 23rd floor in Bogotá, Colombia and our telephone number is (+571) 743-3222.

Our strategy

We focus our efforts on pursuing profitable and sustainable growth, primarily through the following five strategic pillars:

(i)Risk management

Risk management is at the core of the banking business. Grupo Aval employs a risk management process, that aims to identify, measure, monitor and control, as part of its daily activities, all the risks that fall under our risk management policy. We seek to excel in understanding, managing and pricing the financial risks, such as credit, liquidity, market, interest rate and capital risks, that we assume as part of our activity.

Through our risk management teams at the corporate level and in our subsidiaries, we seek to ensure that the financial risks we assume are within our risk appetite and are correctly priced to generate long term value for our stakeholders. In addition, we strictly manage non-financial risks that we are exposed to in order to ensure the sustainability of our business. We constantly monitor changes in the environment in order to assess our risk position and anticipate their impact on our business.  

We implement risk underwriting standards and pricing discipline, seeking long-term value generation. Banks use funds transfer pricing (FTP) curves that allow them to isolate the risks managed by the asset liability management (ALM) units from the business units, as the base of an orderly pricing system for the intermediation activity.

(ii)Innovation and Digitalization

Grupo Aval works to identify and capture synergies between our banking subsidiaries. In order to contribute to this objective, in 2018 we launched a group-wide effort to lead the digital transformation, aligning our banking subsidiaries with a shared vision for a digital future. Our Colombian banking subsidiaries have joined efforts to align our digital strategy to their individual capacities, with the aim of digitalizing their products, channels and processes in order to achieve operational efficiency and create more innovative products and services.

38


In Central America, we have advanced along the same lines and consolidated a Digital Experience Lab in Costa Rica. This lab is responsible for all development needs for the six Central American banks regarding innovations in BAC’s website, online and mobile banking, and their payments platform. Regarding the integration of MFG into Grupo Aval’s digital strategy, our efforts in 2020 were focused on updating sales processes for loans and deposits and implementing our digital tools in MFG’s operations, in areas such as service channels, allowing MFG to serve clients digitally through Chatbot services and virtual assistants. In addition, the Customer Experience Center was launched to gradually transform MFG’s current interaction with clients through digitalization.

Our digital strategy considers 3 dimensions:  

Digitalize existing products and processes. We intend to be more efficient, provide a better service and improve customer journeys. We believe that the banking industry is changing through efforts like ours. Accomplishing this objective will become a bank’s “ticket to play” in the future. We are therefore currently focusing most of our digitalization effort on this first dimension. So far, the digitalization of products has allowed banks to enter customers’ homes and meet their financial needs. This contributed to preserve their health during the pandemic. This strategy has allowed Grupo Aval to expand its portfolio to digitalized products for its banking subsidiaries, facilitating over 675.1 thousand new digital customer deposits, 857.8 thousand digital sales of loans and other services and the approval of 44.6 thousand mortgages, during the year ended December 31, 2020. Additionally, we consolidated our data strategy capabilities by implementing a data platform "AUGUSTA" that has successfully deployed 40 use cases in Colombia. In Central America, we have developed 26 additional use cases under the direction of BAC. These business cases are intended to solve different business problems such as churn, buying propensity for our digital products, next best action, and fraud identification and prevention. These initiatives are supported on advanced analytics models to address specific business opportunities, for both retail and commercial banking.
Develop new digital business models. The creation of new products and services, such as dale! a 100% digital platform by Aval Soluciones Digitales S.A., which we launched in February 2020 enabled us to reach 29,930 new clients in Colombia in 2020. These clients have average deposit balances under five monthly minimum wages. As such, they were not previously served mainly due to high customer acquisition costs (CAC). We expect these innovative platforms to continue to reach new clients with no or little penetration, including younger generations more inclined to maintain exclusively digital relations, and non-profitable clients who have not been sought out by banks due to their low return and high CAC.

On January 29, 2021, Banco de Bogotá obtained the authorization from the Superintendency of Finance to test a financial technology project (“fintech”) through which crypto-currency exchange services will be offered. This project operates under a controlled environment for the testing and promotion of fintech projects supervised by the Superintendency of Finance, also known as a “regulatory sandbox”.

Generate or participate in “digital ecosystems”. We believe that consumers are now looking for an integrated and seamless experience. For this reason, Grupo Aval aims to align the efforts of its different subsidiaries and strategic allies through a joint vision and digital tools. These efforts intend to embed our service portfolio in digital experiences from beginning to end, addressing our customers’ needs in terms of savings, investment, financing, and complementary services such as insurance and payments, and increasing our presence in certain markets such as housing, vehicles and education. Achieving this objective involves offering our digital financial products and services in a complementary way that adds value to the ecosystems through which other non-banking products and services are offered.
(iii)Efficiencies and economies of scale

We pursue opportunities to create synergies among our subsidiaries and leverage our combined strength. We intend to benefit from our combined scale, while retaining the agility and the resilience of a diversified group of entities. In addition, we seek to benefit throughout the Group from innovation originated in any one of our entities. We focus work on group-wide projects, such as digital banking and business process digitization, analytics, information technology, network integration (such as Red Aval) and procurement of goods and services, among others. These efforts should allow us to achieve economies of scale by involving all of our subsidiaries under a single umbrella. We believe that these efforts have contributed and will continue to contribute to improve our efficiency.

In Central America, during 2019, BAC launched a shared service center in Costa Rica to centralize business processes and serve its operations in Central America achieving efficiencies and improving control. Regarding the integration of MFG, the focus was in implementing Grupo Aval’s technological tools such as SAP Payroll, the Transactions Monitoring System or SMT (Sistema de Monitoreo de Transacciones) and LivePerson in key areas of talent development, compliance and service channels. In addition, we launched an organizational simplification effort in MFG, involving the merger, liquidation or dissolution of several entities in 2020.

39


(iv)Talent management

We focus on attracting, compensating, developing and retaining the best talent. To achieve this, we and our subsidiaries are committed to developing our human capital, focusing on well-being and training programs, diversity and inclusion, and in-house talent scouting at a corporate level. We are developing a corporate talent retention and promotion policies, supported on transparent goal setting and objective performance measurement and compensation.

(v)Sustainability

We believe that conducting business in a sustainable manner is key to achieve long-term value. Our sustainability strategy is supported on strong governance practices, protection of the environment and social contribution. In 2019, we launched a corporate effort to consolidate and coordinate the environmental, social and governance (ESG) activities of our subsidiaries, to collectively increase our positive impact on our stakeholders.

In addition to our strategic pillars, we believe the continued growth of our business will be sustained by the following initiatives:

Further penetrate the markets in which we operate

As part of Colombia’s leading group, and drawing upon Grupo Aval’s multi-brand business model, we believe that we are well positioned to take advantage of market opportunities derived from economic cycles. We intend to continue benefiting from sharing commercial and operational standards and best practices across Grupo Aval, while capitalizing on our management’s expertise, our subsidiaries’ brand recognition, their customer base, and our portfolio of financial services and products. We intend to continue growing our business in Central America through a coordinated effort of our regional and local teams to improve operational efficiency, risk management, and commercial practices.

Our qualified and experienced management teams, both at Grupo Aval and at our subsidiaries, have played a key role in guiding our growth, see “Item 6. Directors, Senior Management and Employees”. Our chairman, Mr. Sarmiento Angulo, has over 65 years of business experience, including over 45 years in the banking and related financial services industry. Our president, Mr. Luis Carlos Sarmiento Gutiérrez, has over 20 years of experience in the banking and related financial services industry and over 30 years of business experience as an executive in Colombia and the United States. Our management team and those of our operating subsidiaries aim to formulate and execute business strategies driven by a culture of excellence, innovation and cooperation, which has guided our vision throughout the various acquisitions and initiatives undertaken by Grupo Aval.

Expand our services and product offering and diversify our sources of income

We believe we offer a comprehensive range of banking services and products in Colombia and Central America, that we continually seek to expand to satisfy evolving customer needs and enhance our profitability. We believe we can continue to capture additional revenue by (i) organically expanding our market share in profitable segments and products given our existing market position (such as credit cards and mortgage loans, where we have a market share of 20.0% and 13.6% in Colombia at December 31, 2020, respectively); (ii) launching existing and new products to serve new segments (such as the underbanked population); and (iii) improving our product and service offering through their digitization. In addition, we seek to leverage our extensive customer base in Colombia and Central America through cross-selling efforts.

Furthermore, we continue to implement initiatives to increase our non-interest income, which consists primarily of net fee income and income from our non-financial operations. Despite being negatively impacted by the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, in the year ended December 31, 2020, net fee income accounted for 22.0% of our consolidated total income before net impairment losses on financial assets. We believe we can increase non-interest income in future periods by, expanding our offering and participation in areas such as bancassurance products (i.e., bank-offered third-party insurance products) through our distribution networks, and credit card fee income by increasing credit card loan volume. With regards to the income from our non-financial operations, we believe that our equity investments in strategic sectors such as energy and gas and infrastructure will continue to contribute significant income to our bottom line.

We constantly pursue initiatives to extend our banking services to under-penetrated segments of the Colombian population that have low usage or that do not currently use banking services. In order to serve these segments, we offer low-cost products such as “Depósitos de Bajo Monto”, which are savings accounts with lighter requirements for the account opening process. In addition, we have cost-effective service channels, such as Corresponsales Bancarios and online/mobile banking.

40


Pursue selected acquisitions and increase our controlling interests in our subsidiaries

We have a proven track record of identifying, acquiring and integrating interests in companies we believe have strategic value to us. We are interested in expanding our businesses in Colombia, Central America and into other strategic markets. We will continue to seek opportunities to further expand into new geographies and will evaluate potential acquisition targets that would enable us to grow and consolidate our franchise through the services and products we offer. We actively assess opportunities in our target geographies considering their potential to generate value, complement our strategic goals and be accretive. We may also consider increasing our controlling interests in our subsidiaries.

B.          Business overview

Oversight at the holding company

Underlying Grupo Aval’s competitive strengths are group-level policies that we believe promote best practices and create synergies and efficiencies that can be captured across our subsidiaries. We closely monitor the performance of our banks, Corficolombiana, Porvenir and LB Panamá to align their performance with our strategic goal of profitable and sustainable growth. We do so through the following oversight functions.

Strategic planning and performance control

Our banking subsidiaries follow long-term business and strategic plans. We agree with our business units on yearly budget, as well as market share and profitability targets, and oversee their execution. In addition, we make recommendations for setting the compensation of top management in each of our banking subsidiaries annually, and link incentive compensation to achieving budget goals and other financial and strategic performance targets.

Our banking subsidiaries, Porvenir, Corficolombiana and LB Panamá are required to report their financial and commercial performance to us on a regular basis, including monthly detailed information. We monitor the performance of our banks against their respective budgets and the performance of our competitors. This systematic control process is complemented by ad-hoc analyses of key commercial and operational drivers, such as loan growth and the loan portfolio quality of each of our banking subsidiaries relative to the others and our competitors. When a subsidiary deviates from its plan or when weaknesses are identified, we meet with the respective bank’s management to discuss remedial measures and a course of action. Similarly, when a banking subsidiary finds itself in a new or challenging situation, we cooperate to assess and respond to these challenges. Our senior management and that of our banking subsidiaries meet on regular basis to discuss strategy, opportunities and current operations.

Risk management

We contribute to the cohesion and the control architecture of our subsidiaries through a corporate risk management system. Our subsidiaries must comply with risk related regulations in each jurisdiction they operate. In addition, our corporate risk function develops a consolidated assessment of the risks we take as a group, defines corporate risk policies and leads the effort to set risk appetites for our subsidiaries. Our risk management function coordinates group wide transformational initiatives, such as the adoption of Basel III capital adequacy standards in Colombia.

Although each banking subsidiary is responsible for its credit decisions and risk management, we oversee the implementation of appropriate risk management controls at our banks and have established upward loan reporting processes. Our risk management staff meets on a weekly basis to discuss our subsidiaries’ loan portfolio, developments in the industry, risks and opportunities. Our risk management staff evaluates lines of credit and transactions that would result in an aggregate exposure to a single issuer in excess of Ps 30 billion on a consolidated basis at the group level, often making recommendations with respect to the structure (such as tenor, guarantees, interest rates, commissions and covenants). We also coordinate loan syndications among our banks to effectively leverage the combined equity of our banks and manage any risk issues. For a discussion of our risk management guidelines, see “Item 11. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Risk”.

Cybersecurity

Cybersecurity risks for financial institutions, such as ours, have increased significantly due to the proliferation of new technologies, the use of the Internet and automated processes, the diversification of channels to perform financial transactions, hand in hand with the development of new techniques of organized crime, hackers, hacktivists, terrorists and other external parties. In particular, in 2020 these risks have been exacerbated by the effects of the health emergency caused by COVID-19. In addition, we are introducing new products and services, such as our digital channels, that are changing processes, which may result in new operational risks that we may not fully appreciate or identify.

41


As a result, we and our subsidiaries are susceptible to malware, ransomware, computer hackers, disgruntled employees and other causes that could affect the IT infrastructure that supports our service channels. We outsource certain services and, although we require that our service providers follow our security standards, we cannot assure you that any of our service providers will not experience cyber-attacks that would affect the provision of our services or interrupt our business. In the event of a breakdown or improper operation of our or a third party’s systems or unauthorized action by third parties or our employees, we could suffer financial loss, an impairment to our liquidity, a disruption of our businesses, regulatory sanctions or damage to our reputation. While many of our agreements with third party vendors include indemnification provisions, we may not be able to recover sufficiently, or at all, to adequately offset any losses; although we maintain insurance coverage that may, subject to policy terms and conditions, cover certain aspects of cyber risks, may be insufficient to cover all losses.

Cybersecurity incidents are immediately reported through the High Impact Event Report and analyzed by the information security and technology security department to assess their consequences both with regards to the entity affected within Grupo Aval and to any affected third parties. We monitor the existence of such situations on a quarterly basis.

Given the increasing sophistication of cyber-attacks, incidents could occur and persist for an extended period without detection. Investigations of cyber-attacks can be unpredictable and take time to complete. During such time we may not necessarily know the extent of the harm caused by or how best to remediate such cyber-attack. Additionally we may not take the most appropriate actions to remediate or mitigate a cyber-attack, which would further increase the costs and consequences of a cyberattack.

During 2020, to address the health emergency caused by COVID-19, technological capabilities were enabled for remote work and home office. Together with these capabilities, controls were implemented to restrict and protect access to information and technological resources.

To mitigate the risks generated by the increase in the use of digital channels, additional controls have been implemented such as: restricting the channels for sending double authentication factors, fraud intelligence with rules based on statistical models, strengthening the process enrollment in digital channels; transactional monitoring processes have been increased and awareness campaigns for our clients have been reinforced. Additionally, a process through which every subsidiary reports the changes made to the controls or the implementation of new ones has been adopted.

For a discussion of cybersecurity risk assessment during COVID-19 event, see “Item 11. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Risk—Risk Management—COVID-19 Global Event”.

Information technology strategy and network integration

Grupo Aval manages the Group’s IT strategy focused on architecture, cybersecurity, processes, infrastructure and corporate procurement. Although each banking subsidiary maintains its own information technology system, we work to identify potential synergies and assist in the implementation of technology and products developed at the holding level within our banks, to standardize and centralize technology and processes across our banks. As of the date of this annual report, we are in the process of centralizing all our templates and systems, models of access to the cloud and our IT departments.

Each banking subsidiary is responsible for its information technology systems and distribution network. However, we seek to maximize the effectiveness of our distribution network and the levels of customer service and customer retention across all our banks through our Red Aval (Grupo Aval network), which connects all of our Colombian banks’ networks. Our network allows each of our banking subsidiaries’ customers to access basic banking services at any ATM or branch office in any of our banks. In addition, the information related to the products and services that our customers have in any Grupo Aval entity is accessible through the website or mobile banking apps of any of our banks in Colombia.

Our principal projects currently consist of the following:

Migration of main systems to the cloud: This project will last for five years and is expected to obtain savings of technology costs after completion.
Basic software activity: We are focusing on the standardization of some processes in our banking subsidiaries, such as customer relationship management (CRM), treasury, IFRS accounting, habeas data and different cybersecurity tools.
Digitalization: Our focus on digitalization encompasses creating new products (customer experience) and transversal microservices that can be invoked though new apps or channels.

42


Policies: We continue working on migrating and implementing homogeneous policies in all our technological processes such as cybersecurity.

Compliance with corporate policies

Our internal control department regularly performs audits to our Colombian banks, Corficolombiana, Porvenir, BAC and MFG, as well as their subsidiaries, to provide objective assurance to our management and board of directors regarding their effectiveness, financial reporting and control mechanisms as well as to monitor compliance with our best practices and guidelines. Deviations from our best practices and guidelines are identified by our internal control team, which recommends remedial measures and ensures their implementation.

Marketing, corporate image and ESG

Our centralized marketing strategy in Colombia pursues two main objectives: to increase the competitiveness of our banks and to strengthen our corporate image while differentiating the identities of each of our entities. To achieve these objectives, we negotiate with third parties for the provision of certain marketing services and to design and implement advertising and marketing campaigns for certain services and products from our banking subsidiaries in Colombia. We have set up marketing guidelines and pursue communications that increase the exposure of our brands and those of our subsidiaries.

We believe that the construction of sustainable value is based on a transparent and close relationship with our stakeholders. For this reason, it is essential to promote spaces for dialogue where processes can be fed back as well as to work to meet the expectations of the different actors that are impacted by Grupo Aval. At the holding company level, we coordinate the social and environmental activities of our subsidiaries, to collectively increase our positive impact on our stakeholders. We are continuously searching for better environmental, social and governmental (ESG) standards and ratings to align our interests with those of our current and potential stakeholders.

Our sustainability effort is aligned with our strategic pillars and covers five dimensions (i) corporate governance and risk, (ii) financial performance, (iii) corporate efficiencies and innovation, (iv) human capital and (iv) environment. Within these dimensions, Grupo Aval has defined the following material topics:  

(1)Corporate governance and risk: (i) governance structure, (ii) risk management and internal control, and (iii) ethics;
(2)Financial performance: (i) subsidiary management, and (ii) investor services;
(3)Corporate efficiencies and innovation: (i) innovation, (ii) corporate procurement, and (iii) corporate marketing;
(4)Human capital: (i) talent attraction, retention and development, (ii) employee welfare, (iii) diversity and inclusion, and (iv) pride and identity; and
(5)Environment (social and environmental): (i) financial inclusion, (ii) social investment, and (iii) environmental management;

We expect that an adequate management of these material topics will allow us to achieve sustainable growth through strong governance practices, protection of the environment and social contribution.

Inorganic growth

From time to time, our banks explore merger and acquisition opportunities. We provide support to our banking subsidiaries’ management teams in identifying opportunities, negotiating favorable terms and implementing acquisitions. We independently assess a prospective target’s strategic fit with the acquiring banking subsidiary and within our group as a whole, and aid our banks in evaluating, negotiating and implementing acquisitions.

Our operations

We manage our business through six main operating segments: Banco de Bogotá, LB Panamá, Banco de Occidente, Banco Popular, Banco AV Villas and Corficolombiana (see Note 31 to our audited consolidated financial statements for more information), through which we conduct three main business lines: Commercial banking, merchant banking and pension and severance fund management. LB Panamá is Banco de Bogotá’s fully owned subsidiary through which we consolidate our interests in BAC and MFG.

43


Graphic


Source: Company data at December 31, 2020. Porvenir is held in Banco de Bogotá as follows: 36.5% through Banco de Bogotá and 10.4% through Fiduciaria Bogotá. Porvenir is held in Banco de Occidente as follows: 24.2% through Banco de Occidente and 8.9% through Fiduciaria de Occidente.

In addition to Mr. Sarmiento Angulo’s beneficial ownership through Grupo Aval, he beneficially owned 8.3% of Banco de Bogotá, 13.3% of Banco de Occidente, 15.6% of Banco AV Villas, 0.8% of Banco Popular and 11.3% of Corficolombiana, at April 7, 2021.

At December 31, 2020, 65.2% of our assets were recorded in our Colombian entities (our “Colombian operations”), and 34.8% in our Central American entities (our “Central American operations”).

In terms of businesses, 87.0% of our total assets were consolidated assets from our banking subsidiaries, 11.8% were consolidated assets from Corficolombiana, and 1.2% were on-balance sheet consolidated assets of our pension and severance fund manager, Porvenir. On a consolidated basis, Grupo Aval manages Ps 322.9 trillion of on-balance sheet assets, and Ps 321.4 trillion of off-balance sheet assets (assets under management).

Commercial banking

We provide commercial banking services in Colombia and Central America. In Colombia, we operate four commercial banks (Banco de Bogotá, Banco de Occidente, Banco Popular and Banco AV Villas). In Central America, we operate through LB Panamá, comprised of BAC and MFG. Our Red Aval (Grupo Aval network) is one of the largest networks of ATMs and branches in Colombia and has been a key element of our competitive positioning in the Colombian market. Customers of any of our banks may access Grupo Aval’s other bank branches to carry out basic banking transactions throughout our Red Aval (Grupo Aval network).

Under our multi-brand strategy, each of our banks focuses on particular types of customers, geographic regions and products. Our banks are encouraged to compete among themselves and with other market participants, while operating within central strategic guidelines established by our management. We believe that this strategy has contributed to our strong financial performance and allowed us to provide an integrated service network to our customers.

Banco de Bogotá, founded in 1870, is Colombia’s oldest financial institution and the third largest bank measured by gross loans, with a 12.5% market share at December 31, 2020. It is a full-service bank with nationwide coverage and a comprehensive portfolio of services and products. While Banco de Bogotá serves all market segments, it has a leading presence in commercial loans, with a particular focus on large

44


corporations and a market share of 16.8% of commercial loans at December 31, 2020. Banco de Bogotá had a market share of 8.9% of consumer loans in Colombia and of 6.3% of mortgages, both at December 31, 2020. At December 31, 2020, Banco de Bogotá had a market share of 13.6% of deposits. At and for the year ended December 31, 2020, Banco de Bogotá had consolidated total assets of Ps 208.3 trillion and net income attributable to controlling interest of Ps 2.2 trillion on a consolidated basis. The Banco de Bogotá segment of operations, under Grupo Aval’s business segments structure, had consolidated total assets of Ps 110.8 billion. For more information on operating segments analysis please refer to Note 31 of our audited consolidated financial statements.

Starting in 2018, Banco de Bogotá offers clients the option of opening digital savings accounts, credit cards, personal loans, payroll loans, and mortgage loans. Due to constant innovation and IT developments, the bank continues to strengthen and position the digital channels as the first option in customer transactions. Banco de Bogotá consolidates our Central American operations through LB Panamá and our pension and severance fund manager Porvenir, which will be described below.

Banco de Occidente is the fifth largest bank in Colombia measured by gross loans, with a market share of 6.2% at December 31, 2020. It focuses on mid-size and small and medium sized (SME) corporate customers, state-owned entities and high net-worth customers and has a diversified revenue stream. Banco de Occidente had market shares of 8.0% of commercial loans and 5.1% of consumer loans at December 31, 2020. Banco de Occidente had a market share of 8.4% of Colombia’s checking accounts at December 31, 2020. At December 31, 2020, Banco de Occidente had total consolidated assets of Ps 45,090.7 billion and net income attributable to owners of the parent of Ps 334.9 billion for the year ended December 31, 2020.

During 2020, Banco de Occidente implemented a series of strategies focused on, amongst others, commercial effectiveness, integration with its subsidiaries and digitalization. In order to increase commercial effectiveness, Banco de Occidente tailored its client segmentation models in corporate and personal banking, in terms of service channels, commercial coverage of sales managers and improved its product portfolios. The retail banking model was integrated to have a more client driven approach, shifting from a product driven one. Regarding integration with subsidiaries, (i) trust and portfolio management services offered by Fiduciaria de Occidente’s sales forces were incorporated into Banco de Occidente’s commercial offer, (ii) in the case of the international banking subsidiaries in Panama and Barbados, management of sales forces shifted to a correspondent type agreement with Banco de Occidente and Fiduciaria de Occidente and (iii) Banco de Occidente started offering shared services to its subsidiaries in areas such as talent management and procurement. Finally, on the digitalization front, Banco de Occidente now offers 3 new digital products (savings account, trust and digital signature for disbursement) and launched its new online personal banking platform.

Banco Popular is the seventh largest bank in Colombia measured by gross loans, with a market share of 4.3% at December 31, 2020. Banco Popular operates primarily in the consumer and public sector businesses. Banco Popular is a premier provider of financial solutions to Government entities nationwide with a particular strength in public sector deposits and loans, and a significant part of its portfolio consists of payroll loans to pensioners and public sector employees. Its access to payroll deductions for repayment of loans has historically resulted in consumer loans with a substantially lower-risk profile as compared to the banking system (consumer past-due loans of 2.8% compared to a banking system average of 6.3% at December 31, 2020). At December 31, 2020, Banco Popular had total consolidated assets of Ps 27,394.7 billion and net income attributable to owners of the parent of Ps 234.0 billion for the year ended December 31, 2020.

Banco Popular’s strategy for the future is based on three pillars: (i) strengthen its leadership in payroll loans supported by digitalization; (ii) diversify product offering, such as credit cards and mortgages; and (iii) further penetrate the medium-size business sector (companies with annual incomes of between Ps 2 billion and Ps 120 billion).

During 2020, Banco Popular focused its digitalization efforts on payroll loans (Libranza Digital), digital credit card, digital savings account, collection and sales analytics, and on an upgrade of its online banking platform. All these efforts are expected to continue contributing to loan growth over the coming years. As a measure to help Banco Popular’s customers stay safe during the COVID-19 pandemic, soon after lockdowns started in Colombia. Banco Popular implemented a strategy to link pension clients to an online or digital savings account. These clients traditionally collected their pensions in the bank’s offices and some of them were considered as population at risk, and as such, protecting them was one of the bank’s goals. By mid-2020, Banco Popular had already signed up 99.6% of clients in this segment.

Banco AV Villas is the tenth largest bank in Colombia measured by gross loans and focuses on services and products such as payroll loans and credit cards, as well as its traditional line of mortgages. Banco AV Villas has a broad service network throughout Colombia, with a concentration in Colombia’s central region, including Bogotá and the southwestern region. Banco AV Villas had a market share of 2.9% of deposits, 2.3% of gross loans, 4.6% of consumer loans and 3.2% of mortgages at December 31, 2020. At December 31, 2020, Banco AV Villas had total consolidated assets of Ps 16,589.1 billion and net income attributable to owners of the parent was Ps 163.3 billion, and consolidated ROAE for the year ended December 31, 2020 was 9.2%.

Banco AV Villas focuses on services and products, such as payroll loans and credit cards, as well as its traditional line of mortgages. It serves customers through a recently expanded sales force and through its traditional retail network, enterprise business centers and Express Branches. Banco AV Villas also seeks to continue to expand in the small- and medium-size corporate segment. In order to increase

45


transaction volume through electronic channels and improve efficiency, Banco AV Villas is developing projects focusing its efforts on the digitalization of the bank’s services to improve customer service experience.

LB Panamá, through BAC and MFG, is the largest banking group in Central America based on consolidated assets, with a leading position in the consumer and credit card banking businesses in the region. LB Panamá’s regional presence and operations are complementary to our Colombian operations. LB Panamá, through its subsidiaries, has operations in six Central American countries (Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua and Panama). It is the leading credit card issuer and merchant-acquiring franchise in Central America, according to internal benchmarks. At December 31, 2020, 84.8% of LB Panamá’s credit card portfolio was distributed across Costa Rica, Honduras, Guatemala and Panama. The remaining was distributed among El Salvador and Nicaragua.

BAC is the leading Central American banking group as measured by total assets and net loans, with operations in Costa Rica, Panama, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador and Nicaragua. BAC is a full-service financial institution with a leading credit card issuance and merchant-acquiring franchise in Central America, according to internal benchmarks.

Multi Financial Group, Inc. (“MFG”) provides a wide variety of financial services in Panama, mainly commercial, investment, mortgage and consumer banking, insurance, factoring, leasing and training services, as well as real estate. The main subsidiary of MFG is Multibank Inc., which consolidates the banking, insurance and portfolio management operations of the company.

Our differentiated multi-brand business model builds on the individual strengths of our banks and the wide recognition of their brands. Each of our banks has developed over time a focus on particular and, to a degree, overlapping market sectors, geographic regions and services and products. As a group, we are present in all banking businesses in Colombia and Central America, as shown in the following chart:

Graphic

Through the subsidiaries of our banks, we also offer bancassurance, insurance, trust, bonded warehousing and brokerage transactions, real estate escrow services, merchandise and document storage and deposit, customs agency, cargo management, surety bond and merchandise distribution services, payment and collection services, and provide deposit and lending operations in foreign currencies.

Corporate customers

Our banks provide services and products to public and private sector customers. Our banks segment their corporate customers into separate categories based principally on their annual revenues. We believe that these customer classifications, which are specific to each bank, allow our entities to tailor their services and products to the needs of each customer classification sector. The following table presents the number of corporate customers that our banks served at the dates indicated.

46


Grupo Aval

    

Banco de

    

LB

    

Banco de

    

Banco

    

Banco AV

    

Grupo Aval

Bogotá

Panamá(1)

Occidente

Popular

Villas

aggregate(2)

(in thousands)

Total corporate customers, as of:

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

December 31, 2020

 

207.8

 

134.1

 

61.6

 

7.2

 

29.4

 

440.1

December 31, 2019

 

202.0

 

129.5

 

67.9

 

7.1

 

29.8

 

436.3


(1)Reflects aggregated clients for BAC and MFG (only for 2020).
(2)Reflects aggregated amounts of our banking subsidiaries, these figures may include overlap of customers.

Individual customers

Our banks provide services and products to individuals throughout Colombia and Central America. Our banks classify their individual banking customers into separate categories based principally on income. The following table presents the number of individual customers that our banks served at the dates indicated.

Grupo Aval

    

Banco de

    

LB

    

Banco de

    

Banco

    

Banco AV

    

    

Grupo Aval

Bogotá

Panamá(1)

Occidente

Popular

Villas

Corficolombiana

aggregate(2)

(in thousands)

Total individual customers, as of:

    

  

    

  

    

  

    

  

    

  

    

  

    

  

December 31, 2020

 

6,995.1

 

3,735.9

 

915.6

 

3,378.2

 

1,193.2

 

341.9

 

16,559.8

December 31, 2019

 

6,619.2

 

3,705.3

 

871.2

 

3,176.7

 

1,294.5

 

371.5

 

16,038.3


(1)Reflects aggregated clients for BAC and MFG (only for 2020).
(2)Reflects aggregated amounts of our banking subsidiaries, these figures may reflect overlap of customers in Colombia.

Lending activities

We classify our banks’ loans into the following categories: commercial, consumer, microcredit and mortgages. The following table presents our total loans, net at December 31, 2020.

At December 31, 2020

Operating segments

    

Banco de

    

LB

    

Banco de

    

Banco 

    

Banco

    

    

Grupo Aval

Bogotá

Panamá

Occidente

Popular

AV Villas

Corficolombiana

consolidated(1)

(in Ps billions)

Commercial

 

47,643.6

    

35,095.7

    

23,213.4

    

7,062.4

    

2,811.9

    

1,629.5

    

115,680.6

Commercial loans

 

46,279.2

 

32,955.1

 

22,870.6

 

7,057.8

 

2,372.3

 

1,227.9

 

110,986.9

Interbank and overnight funds

 

1,364.4

 

2,140.6

 

342.8

 

4.7

 

439.6

 

401.6

 

4,693.7

Consumer

 

13,915.8

 

23,233.3

 

7,903.5

 

13,301.9

 

7,087.1

 

393.9

 

65,835.5

Mortgages

 

4,696.7

 

14,398.4

 

1,905.7

 

1,120.3

 

2,425.8

 

11.8

 

24,558.8

Microcredit(2)

 

367.0

 

 

 

4.9

 

0.4

 

 

372.3

Total gross loans

 

66,623.1

 

72,727.4

 

33,022.7

 

21,489.5

 

12,325.2

 

2,035.2

 

206,447.2

Loss allowance

 

(4,947.5)

 

(2,397.4)

 

(1,981.9)

 

(1,062.9)

 

(487.1)

 

(28.3)

 

(10,905.2)

Total loans, net

 

61,675.5

 

70,329.9

 

31,040.8

 

20,426.6

 

11,838.1

 

2,006.9

 

195,542.0


(1)Includes eliminations for intercompany or intra-group operations between Grupo Aval subsidiaries.
(2)Microcredit loans are issued for the purpose of encouraging the activities of small businesses and are subject to the following requirements: the maximum amount to be lent is equal to 25 times the minimum wage (salario mínimo mensual legal vigente) without the balance of one single borrower exceeding such amount at any time, and the main source of payment for the corresponding obligation shall be the revenues obtained from the activities of the borrower’s micro business. The borrower’s outstanding indebtedness may not exceed 120 times the minimum wage.

47


At December 31, 2020, the aggregate outstanding loans to our banks’ ten largest borrowers, our 11th to 50th largest borrowers and our 51st to 160th largest borrowers, represented 2.5%, 5.0% and 6.6%, respectively, of our consolidated total gross loan portfolio.

Commercial loan portfolio: consists of general purpose loans (loans with a maturity of over one year), working capital loans (loans with a maturity of up to one year), leases, loans funded by development banks, corporate credit cards and overdraft loans. Loans funded by development banks are loans granted to customers and focused on specific economic sectors and are funded by national or international government or government-related institutions. Interbank and overnight funds are short-term borrowings mostly entered into between banks. The following table presents our commercial loan portfolio at December 31, 2020.

At December 31, 2020

Operating segments

    

Banco de

    

LB

    

Banco de

    

Banco 

    

Banco

    

    

Grupo Aval

Bogotá

Panamá

Occidente

Popular

AV Villas

Corficolombiana

consolidated(1)

(in Ps billions)

General purpose loans

    

36,769.0

    

22,323.9

    

13,649.3

    

6,135.6

    

2,330.1

    

    

79,451.5

Working capital loans

 

3,809.5

    

9,369.3

    

2,697.3

    

299.4

    

4.1

    

    

16,164.8

Leases

 

3,088.8

    

819.0

    

5,253.2

    

228.0

    

21.8

    

1,227.9

    

10,636.6

Interbank and overnight funds

 

1,364.4

    

2,140.6

    

342.8

    

4.7

    

439.6

    

401.6

    

4,693.7

Loans funded by development banks

 

2,345.1

    

    

1,154.9

    

389.3

    

10.8

    

    

3,900.2

Overdrafts

 

68.3

    

442.9

    

43.4

    

3.5

    

4.6

    

    

562.7

Credit cards

 

198.5

    

    

72.5

    

1.9

    

0.8

    

    

271.1

Commercial loans

 

47,643.6

 

35,095.7

 

23,213.4

 

7,062.4

 

2,811.9

 

1,629.5

 

115,680.6


(1)Includes eliminations for intercompany or intra-group operations between Grupo Aval subsidiaries.

Consumer loan portfolio: consists of payroll loans, personal loans, automobile and other vehicle loans, credit cards, overdrafts, leases, and general purpose loans. A payroll loan is a type of loan where payments are deducted directly from an employer’s salary. The following table presents our consumer loan portfolio at December 31, 2020.

At December 31, 2020

Operating segments

    

Banco de

    

LB

    

Banco de

    

Banco 

    

Banco

    

    

Grupo Aval

Bogotá

Panamá

Occidente

Popular

AV Villas

Corficolombiana

consolidated(1)

(in Ps billions)

Payroll loans

5,159.3

5,698.2

2,566.5

12,838.3

4,341.5

30,603.7

Credit cards

 

2,736.1

    

10,748.8

    

1,367.7

    

363.5

    

1,120.5

    

    

16,336.8

Personal loans(2)

 

4,745.4

    

2,351.8

    

2,052.4

    

97.7

    

1,568.8

    

393.9

    

11,210.1

Automobile loans and leases

 

1,247.2

    

4,063.7

    

1,749.3

    

0.2

    

55.6

    

    

7,116.0

Leases

 

6.3

    

316.8

    

13.8

    

1.9

    

    

    

338.8

General purpose loans

 

    

    

151.2

    

    

    

    

151.2

Overdrafts

 

21.5

    

53.9

    

2.6

    

0.2

    

0.6

    

    

78.9

Consumer loans

 

13,915.8

 

23,233.3

 

7,903.5

 

13,301.9

 

7,087.1

 

393.9

 

65,835.5


(1)Includes eliminations for intercompany or intra-group operations between Grupo Aval subsidiaries.
(2)Mostly composed of personal installment loans.

48


We provide credit card services to our bank customers in Colombia through the Visa and MasterCard networks and in Central America through all major networks. The following table presents the number of activated issued credit cards of our banks at the dates indicated.

Activated Issued Credit Cards

    

December 31, 

    

December 31, 

Operating segment

2020

2019

Banco de Bogotá

 

1,086,633

 

1,168,126

LB Panamá

2,106,225

2,395,838

Banco de Occidente

 

579,729

 

597,084

Banco Popular

 

212,080

 

283,484

Banco AV Villas

 

478,468

 

506,581

Total activated issued credit cards

 

4,463,135

 

4,951,113

Mortgages portfolio: In Colombia, Banco de Bogotá and Banco AV Villas are our main originators of loans to customers for the purchase of real estate secured by mortgages, while Banco de Occidente and Banco Popular are increasing their presence in this business. We have implemented strict underwriting standards: we do not offer mortgage loans in amounts greater than 70% of the value of the property to be purchased, upon origination and all of our mortgage loans (excluding housing leases) have maturities of up to fifteen years. The weighted average maturity of the Colombian mortgage loan portfolio at December 31, 2020 was 171 months. Borrowers must also meet certain minimum income levels, and payments may not exceed 30% of the borrower’s monthly income in compliance with Colombian regulation.

At December 31, 2020, LB Panamá’s mortgage loans had an average loan-to-value ratio of 59.1%. The weighted average maturity of our mortgage portfolio related to our Central American operations at December 31, 2020 was 251 months. BAC’s and MFG’s mortgage loan portfolios have no significant exposure to the higher risk sectors, such as vacation homes or second-home mortgages.

Treasury operations

Our banks’ treasury departments are responsible for managing their proprietary trading activities, liquidity and distribution of treasury services and products to customers. Our banks’ proprietary trading activities include fixed income trading, derivatives and foreign exchange operations. We do not have any proprietary trading activities in equities and each of our banks have implemented trading activities policies. Our banks also take deposits from financial institutions as part of their treasury operations. These deposits are represented by certificates of interbank deposit, or “CDIs”, and earn interest at the interbank deposit rate. Banco de Bogotá and Banco de Occidente have active treasury operations, while Banco Popular and Banco AV Villas have smaller operations.

Deposits

Our banks offer traditional deposit services and products, including checking accounts, savings accounts, time deposits and other deposits. Checking accounts typically bear low or no interest. Checking accounts and savings accounts are payable on demand, although a significant portion of these accounts tend to be stable in amount over time. The majority of our time deposits have maturities below 12 months and commonly earn interest at a fixed rate. The following table presents our deposits by product type at the dates indicated.

At December 31, 2020

Operating segments

Banco de

    

LB

    

Banco de

    

Banco 

    

Banco

    

    

Grupo Aval

    

Bogotá

Panamá

Occidente

Popular

AV Villas

Corficolombiana

consolidated(1)

(in Ps billions)

Checking accounts

 

15,003.0

    

27,602.9

    

7,027.5

    

1,101.3

    

1,338.3

    

    

51,198.3

Savings accounts

 

28,720.5

    

15,808.4

    

15,314.3

    

10,987.8

    

8,708.2

    

484.3

    

76,551.5

Time deposits

 

23,636.4

    

36,149.5

    

8,561.9

    

8,507.5

    

3,914.6

    

4,364.4

    

83,559.2

Other deposits

 

128.2

    

238.6

    

67.0

    

15.1

    

5.6

    

78.1

    

532.7

Customer deposits

 

67,488.1

 

79,799.4

 

30,970.7

 

20,611.8

 

13,966.8

 

4,926.7

 

211,841.6


(1)Includes eliminations for intercompany or intra-group operations between Grupo Aval subsidiaries.

Distribution channels

Our banks provide services and products to their customers through our network. Each of our banks manages its own distribution network. In 1998, we created Red Aval (Grupo Aval network) in Colombia, which allows customers of any of our banks to make transfers, payments and undertake other basic banking functions in the networks of our other banks, through traditional channels and electronic networks, with

49


results posting in real time to the accountholder’s bank with no additional fees. Red Aval (Grupo Aval network) services vary for each channel. In Central America, we serve our customers through a diversified distribution network that includes branches, kiosks (non-cash machines which provide online banking capabilities as well as a full keyboard), ATMs, a standardized online banking platform, call centers and mobile phone banking.

The following table describes the main channels of our distribution network.

Distribution Channel

  

Description

Full-service branches

 

Full-service branches act as part of our sales network and allow our bank customers to perform check cashing, deposits, savings account withdrawals, loan and credit card payments, transfers and advances. In Colombia, our clients can perform transactions of any of our banks at any of our branches thanks to the integration provided by Red Aval (Grupo Aval network).

 

 

 

ATMs and electronic service points

 

Through our ATMs, all of our bank customers can, among other services, consult their balances, execute loan and credit card payments, perform transfers and advances, and pay for certain third-party services where we have a payment collection agreement in place (such as utility service companies).

 

 

 

Payment collection centers (Centros de pagos)

 

Payment collection centers allow our customers to pay for certain third-party services where we have a payment collection agreement in place (such as utility service companies).

 

 

 

Banking correspondents (Corresponsales bancarios)

 

Our banks enter into agreements with various third parties, including convenience store owners, to provide all of our bank customers with certain services, which can include checking and savings account withdrawals, account balance consultation, loan and credit card payments, transfers and advances, and payments for certain third-party services where we have a payment collection agreement in place (such as utility service companies).

 

 

 

Automated telephone banking, mobile banking and online banking

 

Through our banks’ websites, mobile banking services and automated telephone banking, customers may pay loan and credit card balances, make transfers between accounts and make payments for collection agreements originated in any of our banks.

During 2020, we continued optimizing our footprint by either closing, relocating or adapting branches to increase the effectiveness of our distribution network. The following table presents our total full-service branches in Colombia and Central America, at December 31, 2020 and 2019.

Change, December 31, 2020 vs.

At December 31, 

December 31, 2019

    

2020

    

2019

    

#

    

%

Banco de Bogotá

572

637

(65)

(10.2)

Banco de Occidente

194

210

(16)

(7.6)

Banco Popular

200

199

1

0.5

Banco AV Villas

292