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Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
9 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2024
Insurance Loss Reserves [Abstract]  
Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses

6. Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses

The Company establishes reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses ("LAE") which represent the estimated ultimate cost of all losses incurred that were both reported and unreported (i.e., incurred but not yet reported losses; or “IBNR”) and LAE incurred that remain unpaid at the balance sheet date. The Company’s reserving process takes into account known facts and interpretations of circumstances and factors including the Company’s experience with similar cases, actual claims paid, historical trends involving claim payment patterns and pending levels of unpaid claims, loss management programs, product mix and contractual terms, changes in law and regulation, judicial decisions, and economic conditions. In the normal course of business, the Company may also supplement its claims processes by utilizing third-party adjusters, appraisers, engineers, inspectors, and other professionals and information sources to assess and settle catastrophe and non-catastrophe related claims. The effects of inflation are implicitly considered in the reserving process.

Reserves are estimates of unpaid portions of losses that have occurred, including IBNR losses; therefore, the establishment of appropriate reserves is an inherently uncertain and complex process. The ultimate cost of losses may vary materially from recorded amounts, which are based on management’s best estimates. The highest degree of uncertainty is associated with reserves for losses incurred in the current reporting period as it contains the greatest proportion of losses that have not been reported or settled. The Company regularly updates its reserve estimates as new information becomes available and as events unfold that may affect the resolution of unsettled claims. Changes in reserve estimates, which may be material, are reported in the results of operations in the period such changes are determined to be needed and recorded.

Management believes that the reserve for losses and LAE is appropriately established in the aggregate and adequate to cover the ultimate net cost of reported and unreported claims arising from losses which had occurred by the date of the consolidated financial statements based on available facts and in accordance with applicable laws and regulations.

The table below provides the changes in the reserves for losses and LAE, net of reinsurance recoverables, for the periods indicated as follows (dollars in thousands):

 

 

 

Three months ended
September 30,

 

 

Nine months ended
September 30,

 

 

 

2024

 

 

2023

 

 

2024

 

 

2023

 

Gross reserves - beginning of period

 

$

174,786

 

 

$

145,004

 

 

$

174,612

 

 

$

165,539

 

Less: reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses

 

 

(74,358

)

 

 

(56,505

)

 

 

(70,807

)

 

 

(82,651

)

Net reserves - beginning of period

 

 

100,428

 

 

 

88,499

 

 

 

103,805

 

 

 

82,888

 

Add: incurred losses and LAE, net of reinsurance:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current period

 

 

7,284

 

 

 

17,281

 

 

 

30,747

 

 

 

51,004

 

Prior period

 

 

7,868

 

 

 

3,630

 

 

 

10,206

 

 

 

2,939

 

Total net incurred losses and LAE

 

 

15,152

 

 

 

20,911

 

 

 

40,953

 

 

 

53,943

 

Deduct: loss and LAE payments, net of reinsurance:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current period

 

 

8,481

 

 

 

9,194

 

 

 

18,549

 

 

 

18,635

 

Prior period

 

 

12,054

 

 

 

7,768

 

 

 

31,164

 

 

 

25,748

 

Total net loss and LAE payments

 

 

20,535

 

 

 

16,962

 

 

 

49,713

 

 

 

44,383

 

Net reserves - end of period

 

 

95,045

 

 

 

92,448

 

 

 

95,045

 

 

 

92,448

 

Plus: reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses

 

 

65,860

 

 

 

46,766

 

 

 

65,860

 

 

 

46,766

 

Gross reserves - end of period

 

$

160,905

 

 

$

139,214

 

 

$

160,905

 

 

$

139,214

 

Net losses and LAE decreased by $5.8 million, or 27.5%, to $15.2 million during the third quarter of 2024, compared to $20.9 million for the same period in 2023. The $10.0 million decrease in current accident year losses during the third quarter of 2024, compared to the same period in 2023, was mostly due to a significant reduction in net earned premiums described above.

The Company’s incurred losses during the three months ended September 30, 2024 included prior-year adverse development of $7.9 million. The $7.9 million of adverse development related to emergence in the commercial liability lines of business. The adverse development was predominantly generated in the Security Guard program, which we ceased writing in September 2023, and ceded all unearned premiums on September 30, 2023. We experienced higher-than-expect open case loss emergence due to higher loss severity. To mitigate the impact of potential further adverse development on case reserves, we increased our expected loss ratio inputs for calculating IBNR in multiple accident years for this program which increased our ultimate loss estimates in accident years 2020 through 2023, by $10.9 million. The adverse development in this program was partially offset by favorable development in other programs.

The Company's incurred losses during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 included prior-year adverse reserve development of $3.6 million and $2.9 million, respectively. For the third quarter, the Company recognized $4.0 million of reserve development in the commercial liability lines of business relating to accident years 2020 through 2022, offset by

$414,000 of favorable development in the personal lines segment. For the nine months ended September 30, 2023, the Company recognized $4.1 million of adverse development in the commercial liability lines of business, related to accident years 2020 through 2022, offset by $1.2 million of favorable development in the personal lines segment.

As of September 30, 2024, the Company was $12.2 million into the $20.0 million layer provided by the adverse development cover of the LPT.