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Outstanding Exposure (Tables)
6 Months Ended
Jun. 30, 2012
Outstanding Exposure Disclosure  
Debt Service Outstanding
Debt Service Outstanding
 
 
Gross Debt Service
Outstanding
 
Net Debt Service
Outstanding
 
June 30,
2012
 
December 31,
2011
 
June 30,
2012
 
December 31,
2011
 
(in millions)
Public finance
$
767,155

 
$
798,471

 
$
719,301

 
$
716,890

Structured finance
123,437

 
137,661

 
115,787

 
128,775

Total financial guaranty
$
890,592

 
$
936,132

 
$
835,088

 
$
845,665

Financial Guaranty Portfolio by Internal Rating
Financial Guaranty Portfolio by Internal Rating
 
 
 
As of June 30, 2012
 
 
Public Finance
U.S.
 
Public Finance
Non-U.S.
 
Structured Finance
U.S
 
Structured Finance
Non-U.S
 
Total
Rating
Category
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
 
(dollars in millions)
Super senior
 
$

 
%
 
$
1,109

 
2.8
%
 
$
15,157

 
18.2
%
 
$
4,777

 
22.9
%
 
$
21,043

 
3.8
%
AAA
 
4,771

 
1.2

 
1,388

 
3.6

 
32,947

 
39.5

 
9,225

 
44.2

 
48,331

 
8.7

AA
 
136,709

 
33.3

 
998

 
2.6

 
10,416

 
12.5

 
889

 
4.3

 
149,012

 
27.0

A
 
220,154

 
53.7

 
10,657

 
27.5

 
4,692

 
5.6

 
1,352

 
6.5

 
236,855

 
42.8

BBB
 
43,836

 
10.7

 
22,102

 
57.0

 
4,201

 
5.0

 
2,740

 
13.1

 
72,879

 
13.2

Below-investment-grade (“BIG”)
 
4,407

 
1.1

 
2,515

 
6.5

 
16,017

 
19.2

 
1,875

 
9.0

 
24,814

 
4.5

Total net par outstanding
 
$
409,877

 
100.0
%
 
$
38,769

 
100.0
%
 
$
83,430

 
100.0
%
 
$
20,858

 
100.0
%
 
$
552,934

 
100.0
%
 
 
 
As of December 31, 2011
 
 
Public Finance
U.S.
 
Public Finance
Non-U.S.
 
Structured Finance
U.S
 
Structured Finance
Non-U.S
 
Total
Rating
Category
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
 
(dollars in millions)
Super senior
 
$

 
%
 
$
1,138

 
2.9
%
 
$
16,756

 
18.2
%
 
$
5,660

 
23.9
%
 
$
23,554

 
4.2
%
AAA
 
5,074

 
1.3

 
1,381

 
3.5

 
35,736

 
38.7

 
10,231

 
43.2

 
52,422

 
9.4

AA
 
139,693

 
34.6

 
1,056

 
2.7

 
12,575

 
13.6

 
976

 
4.1

 
154,300

 
27.7

A
 
213,164

 
52.9

 
11,744

 
30.1

 
4,115

 
4.5

 
1,518

 
6.4

 
230,541

 
41.3

BBB
 
40,635

 
10.1

 
21,399

 
54.8

 
5,044

 
5.5

 
3,391

 
14.3

 
70,469

 
12.6

BIG
 
4,507

 
1.1

 
2,328

 
6.0

 
18,008

 
19.5

 
1,919

 
8.1

 
26,762

 
4.8

Total net par outstanding
 
$
403,073

 
100.0
%
 
$
39,046

 
100.0
%
 
$
92,234

 
100.0
%
 
$
23,695

 
100.0
%
 
$
558,048

 
100.0
%
Schedule of net economic exposure to selected european countries
Net Economic Exposure to Selected European Countries(1)
June 30, 2012
 
 
Greece(2)
 
Hungary
 
Ireland
 
Italy
 
Portugal
 
Spain
 
Total
 
(in millions)
Sovereign and sub-sovereign exposure:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Public finance
$
276

 
$

 
$

 
$
977

 
$
110

 
$
257

 
$
1,620

Infrastructure finance

 
430

 
23

 
322

 
99

 
165

 
1,039

Sub-total
276

 
430

 
23

 
1,299

 
209

 
422

 
2,659

Non-sovereign exposure:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Regulated utilities

 

 

 
222

 

 
12

 
234

RMBS

 
215

 
133

 
489

 

 

 
837

Commercial receivables

 
1

 
19

 
26

 
14

 
18

 
78

Pooled corporate
31

 

 
208

 
227

 
14

 
492

 
972

Sub-total
31

 
216

 
360

 
964

 
28

 
522

 
2,121

Total
$
307

 
$
646

 
$
383

 
$
2,263

 
$
237

 
$
944

 
$
4,780

Total BIG
$
276

 
$
516

 
$
8

 
$
238

 
$
127

 
$
391

 
$
1,556

 ____________________
(1)                             While the Company’s exposures are shown in U.S. dollars, the obligations the Company insures are in various currencies, including U.S. dollars, Euros and British pounds sterling. Included in the table above is $133 million of reinsurance assumed on a 2004 - 2006 pool of Irish residential mortgages that is part of the Company’s remaining legacy mortgage reinsurance business. One of the residential mortgage-backed securities included in the table above includes residential mortgages in both Italy and Germany, and only the portion of the transaction equal to the portion of the original mortgage pool in Italian mortgages is shown in the table.
(2)                             As of June 30, 2012, the Company had established a full limit loss on this exposure. The Company accelerated claims under its financial guaranty on the July payment date with respect to the 2057 bonds and intends to accelerate claims on or after the September payment date with respect to the 2037 bonds.
Financial Guaranty Exposures (Insurance and Credit Derivative Form)
Financial Guaranty Exposures
(Insurance and Credit Derivative Form)
 
 
As of June 30, 2012
 
BIG Net Par Outstanding
 
Net Par Outstanding
 
BIG Net Par as
a % of Net Par Outstanding
 
BIG 1
 
BIG 2
 
BIG 3
 
Total BIG
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(in millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
First lien U.S. RMBS:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Prime first lien
$
76

 
$
430

 
$
3

 
$
509

 
$
690

 
0.1
%
Alt-A first lien
436

 
2,039

 
1,374

 
3,849

 
4,939

 
0.7

Option ARM
61

 
471

 
827

 
1,359

 
1,991

 
0.3

Subprime
218

 
1,276

 
864

 
2,358

 
7,754

 
0.4

Second lien U.S. RMBS:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Closed end second lien

 
450

 
419

 
869

 
997

 
0.2

Home equity lines of credit (“HELOCs”)
394

 

 
2,587

 
2,981

 
3,521

 
0.5

Total U.S. RMBS
1,185

 
4,666

 
6,074

 
11,925

 
19,892

 
2.2

Trust preferred securities (“TruPS”)
2,071

 

 
952

 
3,023

 
6,006

 
0.5

Other structured finance
1,261

 
459

 
1,224

 
2,944

 
78,390

 
0.5

U.S. public finance
3,285

 
407

 
715

 
4,407

 
409,877

 
0.8

Non-U.S. public finance (1)
2,239

 
276

 

 
2,515

 
38,769

 
0.5

Total
$
10,041

 
$
5,808

 
$
8,965

 
$
24,814

 
$
552,934

 
4.5
%
 
 
As of December 31, 2011
 
BIG Net Par Outstanding
 
Net Par Outstanding
 
BIG Net Par as
a % of Net Par Outstanding
 
BIG 1
 
BIG 2
 
BIG 3
 
Total BIG
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(in millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
First lien U.S. RMBS:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Prime first lien
$
77

 
$
465

 
$

 
$
542

 
$
739

 
0.1
%
Alt-A first lien
1,695

 
1,028

 
1,540

 
4,263

 
5,329

 
0.8

Option ARM
25

 
689

 
882

 
1,596

 
2,433

 
0.3

Subprime (including net interest margin securities)
795

 
1,200

 
513

 
2,508

 
8,136

 
0.4

Second lien U.S. RMBS:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Closed end second lien

 
495

 
520

 
1,015

 
1,040

 
0.2

HELOCs
421

 

 
2,858

 
3,279

 
3,890

 
0.6

Total U.S. RMBS
3,013

 
3,877

 
6,313

 
13,203

 
21,567

 
2.4

TruPS
2,501

 

 
951

 
3,452

 
6,334

 
0.6

Other structured finance
1,295

 
548

 
1,429

 
3,272

 
88,028

 
0.6

U.S. public finance
3,395

 
274

 
838

 
4,507

 
403,073

 
0.8

Non-U.S. public finance (1)
2,046

 
282

 

 
2,328

 
39,046

 
0.4

Total
$
12,250

 
$
4,981

 
$
9,531

 
$
26,762

 
$
558,048

 
4.8
%
_____________________
(1)    Includes $276 million and $282 million in net par as of June 30, 2012 and December 31, 2011, respectively, for bonds of the Hellenic Republic of Greece, a portion of which was accelerated in July 2012 and a portion of which the Company intends to accelerate on or after September 2012. See Note 4, Financial Guaranty Insurance Contracts.
Net Par Outstanding for Below Investment Grade Credits
Below-Investment-Grade Credits
By Category
 
 
 
As of June 30, 2012
 
 
Net Par Outstanding
 
Number of Risks(2)
Description
 
Financial
Guaranty
Insurance(1)
 
Credit
Derivative
 
Total
 
Financial
Guaranty
Insurance(1)
 
Credit
Derivative
 
Total
 
 
(dollars in millions)
BIG:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Category 1
 
$
7,467

 
$
2,574

 
$
10,041

 
164

 
35

 
199

Category 2
 
3,353

 
2,455

 
5,808

 
79

 
34

 
113

Category 3
 
6,894

 
2,071

 
8,965

 
132

 
25

 
157

Total BIG
 
$
17,714

 
$
7,100

 
$
24,814

 
375

 
94

 
469

 
 
 
As of December 31, 2011
 
 
Net Par Outstanding
 
Number of Risks(2)
Description
 
Financial
Guaranty
Insurance(1)
 
Credit
Derivative
 
Total
 
Financial
Guaranty
Insurance(1)
 
Credit
Derivative
 
Total
 
 
(dollars in millions)
BIG:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Category 1
 
$
8,297

 
$
3,953

 
$
12,250

 
171

 
40

 
211

Category 2
 
3,458

 
1,523

 
4,981

 
71

 
33

 
104

Category 3
 
7,204

 
2,327

 
9,531

 
126

 
26

 
152

Total BIG
 
$
18,959

 
$
7,803

 
$
26,762

 
368

 
99

 
467

_____________________
(1)                                Includes net par outstanding for FG VIEs.
 
(2)                                 A risk represents the aggregate of the financial guaranty policies that share the same revenue source for purposes of making Debt Service payments.