EX-99.2 3 agl1q23supplement.htm AGL FINANCIAL SUPPLEMENT Document

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Assured Guaranty Ltd.
March 31, 2023
Financial Supplement
Table of ContentsPage

This financial supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGL and, together with its subsidiaries, Assured Guaranty or the Company) with the United States (U.S.) Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022 and its Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the quarterly period ended March 31, 2023.





Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward Looking Statements


Any forward looking statements made in this supplement reflect the current views of Assured Guaranty with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. Assured Guaranty's forward looking statements could be affected by many events. These events include (1) significant changes in inflation, interest rates, the world’s credit markets or segments thereof, credit spreads, foreign exchange rates or general economic conditions, including the possibility of a recession; (2) geopolitical risk, including United States (U.S.)-China strategic competition and technology decoupling, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the resulting economic sanctions, fragmentation of global supply chains, volatility in energy prices, potential for increased cyberattacks, and risk of intentional or accidental escalation between NATO and Russia; (3) the possibility of a U.S. government shutdown, payment defaults on the debt of the U.S. government or instruments issued, insured or guaranteed by related institutions, agencies or instrumentalities, and downgrades to their credit ratings; (4) the development, course and duration of the COVID-19 pandemic and the governmental and private actions taken in response, and the global consequences of the pandemic and such actions, including their impact on the factors listed in this section; (5) developments in the world’s financial and capital markets, including stresses in the financial condition of banking institutions in the U.S., that adversely affect repayment rates related to commercial real estate, municipalities and other insured obligors, Assured Guaranty’s insurance loss or recovery experience, investments of Assured Guaranty or assets it manages; (6) reduction in the amount of available insurance opportunities and/or in the demand for Assured Guaranty’s insurance; (7) the loss of investors in Assured Guaranty’s asset management strategies or the failure to attract new investors to Assured Guaranty’s asset management business; (8) the possibility that budget or pension shortfalls or other factors will result in credit losses or impairments on obligations of state, territorial and local governments and their related authorities and public corporations that Assured Guaranty insures or reinsures; (9) insured losses, including losses with respect to related legal proceedings, in excess of those expected by Assured Guaranty or the failure of Assured Guaranty to realize loss recoveries that are assumed in its expected loss estimates for insurance exposures, including as a result of the final resolution of Assured Guaranty’s remaining Puerto Rico exposures or the amounts recovered on securities received in connection with the resolution of Puerto Rico exposures already resolved; (10) increased competition, including from new entrants into the financial guaranty industry, nonpayment insurance and other forms of capital saving or risk syndication available to banks and insurers; (11) poor performance of Assured Guaranty’s asset management strategies compared to the performance of the asset management strategies of Assured Guaranty’s competitors; (12) the possibility that investments made by Assured Guaranty for its investment portfolio, including alternative investments and investments it manages, do not result in the benefits anticipated or subject Assured Guaranty to reduced liquidity at a time it requires liquidity, or to unanticipated consequences; (13) the possibility that Assured Guaranty’s planned transactions pursuant to which Assured Guaranty will contribute to Sound Point Capital Management, LP (Sound Point) most of its asset management business, other than that conducted by Assured HealthCare Partners LLC (AssuredIM Contributed Business) and receive an ownership interest in Sound Point, fail to close or are delayed due to the failure to fulfill or waive certain customary closing conditions, which include the receipt of certain consents and regulatory approval, or due to other reasons; (14) the impacts of the announcement and the completion of Assured Guaranty’s planned transactions with Sound Point on Assured Guaranty and its relationships with its shareholders, regulators, rating agencies, employees and the obligors it insures and on the AssuredIM Contributed Business and on the business of Assured Healthcare Partners LLC and their relationships with their respective clients and employees; (15) the possibility that strategic transactions made by Assured Guaranty, including the consummation of the planned transactions with Sound Point, do not result in the benefits anticipated or subject Assured Guaranty to negative consequences; (16) the inability to control the business, management or policies of entities in which the Company holds a minority interest; (17) the impact of market volatility on the mark-to-market of Assured Guaranty’s assets and liabilities subject to mark-to-market, including certain of its investments, most of its financial guaranty contracts written in credit default swap (CDS) form, and certain consolidated variable interest entities (VIEs); (18) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade, a change in outlook, the placement of ratings on watch for downgrade, or a change in rating criteria, at any time, of AGL or any of its insurance subsidiaries, and/or of any securities AGL or any of its subsidiaries have issued, and/or of transactions that AGL’s insurance subsidiaries have insured; (19) the inability of Assured Guaranty to access external sources of capital on acceptable terms; (20) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (21) changes in applicable laws or regulations, including insurance, bankruptcy and tax laws, or other governmental actions; (22) difficulties with the execution of Assured Guaranty’s business strategy; (23) loss of key personnel; (24) the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; (25) natural or man-made catastrophes or pandemics; (26) the impact of climate change on our business and regulatory actions taken related to such risk; (27) other risk factors identified in AGL’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC); (28) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; and (29) management’s response to these factors. Assured Guaranty undertakes no obligation to update publicly or review any forward looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as required by law.



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights (1 of 2)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
Three Months Ended
March 31,
20232022
GAAP (1) Highlights
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL$81 $66 
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share $1.34 $0.98 
Weighted average shares outstanding
Basic shares outstanding59.1 66.3 
Diluted shares outstanding60.4 67.4 
Effective tax rate on net income19.1 %20.0 %
GAAP return on equity (ROE) (4)
6.3 %4.4 %
Non-GAAP Highlights (2)
Adjusted operating income (loss)$68 $90 
Adjusted operating income (loss) per diluted share (2)
$1.12 $1.34 
Weighted average diluted shares outstanding60.4 67.4 
Effective tax rate on adjusted operating income (3)
20.3 %18.3 %
Adjusted operating ROE (2)(4)
4.9 %6.1 %
Components of adjusted operating income (loss) (2)
Insurance segment$117 $133 
Asset Management segment(1)— 
Corporate division(44)(33)
Other (5)
(4)(10)
Adjusted operating income (loss)$68 $90 
Insurance Segment
Gross written premiums (GWP)$86 $70 
Present value of new business production (PVP) (2)
112 69 
Gross par written5,363 4,471 
Asset Management Segment
Assets under management (AUM):
Inflows-third party$$91 
Inflows-intercompany— — 
Effect of refundings and terminations on GAAP measures:
Net earned premiums, pre-tax$4 $128 
Fair value gains (losses) of credit derivatives, pre-tax 2 
Net income effect3 103 
Net income per diluted share 0.06 1.52 
Effect of refundings and terminations on non-GAAP measures:
Operating net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues(5), pre-tax
$$130 
Adjusted operating income(5) effect
103 
Adjusted operating income per diluted share (5)
0.06 1.52 

1)    Accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP).
2)    Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
3)    Represents the ratio of adjusted operating provision for income taxes to adjusted operating income before income taxes.
4)    Quarterly ROE calculations represent annualized returns. See page 6 for additional information on calculation.
5)    Condensed consolidated statement of operations items mentioned in this Financial Supplement that are described as operating (i.e. operating net earned premiums) are non-GAAP measures and represent components of adjusted operating income. Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
6)    Represents the effect of consolidating financial guaranty variable interest entities and consolidated investment vehicles (FG VIE and CIV consolidation).

1


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights (2 of 2)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
As of
March 31, 2023December 31, 2022
AmountPer ShareAmountPer Share
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL$5,220 $88.07 $5,064 $85.80 
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity (1)
5,606 94.58 5,543 93.92 
Adjusted book value (1)
8,478 143.04 8,379 141.98 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity13 0.22 17 0.28 
Adjusted book value0.15 11 0.19 
Shares outstanding at the end of period59.3 59.0 
Exposure
Financial guaranty net debt service outstanding $374,475 $369,951 
Financial guaranty net par outstanding:
Investment grade$230,501 $227,366 
Below-investment-grade (BIG)5,882 5,892 
Total$236,383 $233,258 
Claims-paying resources (2)
$10,829 $10,818 
AUM
Collateralized loan obligations (CLOs)$15,140 $15,150 
Opportunity funds 1,776 1,884 
Liquid strategies 253 248 
Wind-down funds 133 182 
Total $17,302 $17,464 

1)    Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
2)    See page 16 for additional detail on claims-paying resources.


2


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (unaudited)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

Three Months Ended
March 31,
20232022
Revenues
Net earned premiums$81 $214 
Net investment income81 62 
Asset management fees26 34 
Net realized investment gains (losses)(2)
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives15 (3)
Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities (CCS)(16)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs(5)
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs58 14 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement20 (30)
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities (2)(4)
Other income (loss)27 
Total revenues283 300 
Expenses
Loss and LAE (benefit)57 
Interest expense21 20 
Amortization of DAC
Employee compensation and benefit expenses82 73 
Other operating expenses55 42 
Total expenses165 196 
Income (loss) before income taxes and equity in earnings (losses) of investees118 104 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees(11)
Income (loss) before income taxes 120 93 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes23 18 
Net income (loss)97 75 
Less: Noncontrolling interests16 
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL$81 $66 
Earnings per share:
Basic$1.37 $1.00 
Diluted$1.34 $0.98 

3


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited)
(dollars in millions)

As of
March 31,December 31,
20232022
Assets
Investments:
Fixed-maturity securities available-for-sale, at fair value$6,869 $7,119 
Fixed-maturity securities, trading, at fair value300 303 
Short-term investments, at fair value1,273 810 
Other invested assets140 133 
Total investments8,582 8,365 
Cash118 107 
Premiums receivable, net of commissions payable1,346 1,298 
Deferred acquisition costs (DAC)151 147 
Salvage and subrogation recoverable258 257 
Financial guaranty variable interest entities’ (FG VIEs’) assets, at fair value415 416 
Assets of consolidated investment vehicles (CIVs)5,118 5,493 
Goodwill and other intangible assets163 
Assets held for sale227 — 
Other assets557 597 
Total assets$16,778 $16,843 
Liabilities
Unearned premium reserve$3,631 $3,620 
Loss and loss adjustment expense (LAE) reserve291 296 
Long-term debt1,676 1,675 
Credit derivative liabilities, at fair value150 163 
FG VIEs’ liabilities, at fair value704 715 
Liabilities of CIVs4,458 4,625 
Liabilities held for sale51 — 
Other liabilities402 457 
Total liabilities11,363 11,551 
Shareholders’ equity
Common shares
Retained earnings5,638 5,577 
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)(420)(515)
Deferred equity compensation
Total shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL5,220 5,064 
Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests195 228 
Total shareholders’ equity5,415 5,292 
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity$16,778 $16,843 



4


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights
GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations (1 of 3)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

Adjusted Operating Income ReconciliationThree Months Ended
March 31,
20232022
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL$81 $66 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments(2)
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives13 (3)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS
(16)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves 20 (29)
Total pre-tax adjustments15 (28)
Less tax effect on pre-tax adjustments(2)
Adjusted operating income (loss)$68 $90 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating income$(4)$(10)
Components of adjusted operating income:
Segments:
Insurance$117 $133 
Asset Management(1)— 
Total segments116 133 
Corporate division(44)(33)
Other(4)(10)
Adjusted operating income (loss)68 90 
Per diluted share:
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL$1.34 $0.98 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments(0.03)0.05 
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives0.21 (0.04)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS(0.26)0.02 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves
0.32 (0.44)
Total pre-tax adjustments0.24 (0.41)
Less tax effect on pre-tax adjustments(0.02)0.05 
Adjusted operating income (loss) $1.12 $1.34 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating income$(0.06)$(0.14)



Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
5


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights
GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations (2 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

ROE Reconciliation and CalculationAs of
March 31,December 31,March 31,December 31,
2023202220222021
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL$5,220 $5,064 $5,802 $6,292 
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity5,606 5,543 5,860 5,991 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating shareholders' equity 13 17 22 32 
Three Months Ended
March 31,
20232022
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $81 $66 
Adjusted operating income (loss)68 90 
Average shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL$5,142 $6,047 
Average adjusted operating shareholders’ equity5,575 5,926 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in average adjusted operating shareholders’ equity 15 27 
GAAP ROE (1)
6.3 %4.4 %
Adjusted operating ROE (1)
4.9 %6.1 %

1)    Quarterly ROE calculations represent annualized returns.

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.

6


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights
GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations (3 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

As of
March 31,December 31,March 31,December 31,
2023202220222021
Reconciliation of shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL to adjusted book value:
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL$5,220 $5,064 $5,802 $6,292 
Less pre-tax reconciling items:
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (59)(71)(57)(54)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS32 47 24 23 
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio(413)(523)(26)404 
Less taxes54 68 (72)
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity5,606 5,543 5,860 5,991 
Pre-tax reconciling items:
Less: Deferred acquisition costs 151 147 135 131 
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue196 157 164 160 
Plus: Net deferred premium revenue on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed3,436 3,428 3,369 3,402 
Plus taxes(609)(602)(593)(599)
Adjusted book value$8,478 $8,379 $8,665 $8,823 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity (net of tax (provision) benefit of $(4), $(4), $(5) and $(5))$13 $17 $22 $32 
Adjusted book value (net of tax (provision) benefit of $(3), $(3), $(3), and $(3))$8 $11 $13 $23 

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.


7


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Income Components (1 of 2)
(in millions)

Components of Income for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2023

SegmentsCorporate and Other
InsuranceAsset ManagementCorporateOther (1)Reconciling ItemsConsolidated
Revenues
Net earned premiums$82 $— $— $(1)$— $81 
Net investment income82 — (3)— 81 
Asset management fees— 37 — (11)— 26 
Net realized investment gains (losses)— — — — (2)(2)
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (2)
— — — 13 15 
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS— — — — (16)(16)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs— — — (5)— (5)
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs— — — 58 — 58 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement— — (1)20 20 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities(2)— — — — (2)
Other income (loss)25 — (2)— 27 
Total revenues190 41 35 15 283 
Expenses
Loss and LAE (benefit) (3)
— — (5)— 
Interest expense— — 23 (2)— 21 
Amortization of DAC— — — — 
Employee compensation and benefit expenses39 34 — — 82 
Other operating expenses28 16 — 55 
Total expenses79 42 48 (4)— 165 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees30 — — (28)— 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes24 — (2)(1)23 
Less: Noncontrolling interests— — — 16 — 16 
Total$117 $(1)$(44)$(4)$13 $81 

1)    Includes the consolidation of the FG VIEs and CIVs and intersegment eliminations.
2)    Insurance segment balances for this line include only the credit derivative revenues component of realized gains (losses) on credit derivatives.
3)    Insurance segment balances for this line item includes credit derivative impairment (recoveries).

8


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Income Components (2 of 2)
(in millions)

Components of Income for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2022

SegmentsCorporate and Other
InsuranceAsset ManagementCorporateOther (1)Reconciling ItemsConsolidated
Revenues
Net earned premiums$215 $— $— $(1)$— $214 
Net investment income63 — (2)— 62 
Asset management fees— 37 — (3)— 34 
Net realized investment gains (losses)— — — — 
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (2)
— — — (7)(3)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS— — — — 
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs— — — — 
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs— — — 14 — 14 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement(1)— — — (29)(30)
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities(4)— — — — (4)
Other income (loss)— — 
Total revenues278 39 14 (32)300 
Expenses
Loss and LAE (benefit) (3)
60 — — (4)57 
Interest expense— 21 (2)— 20 
Amortization of DAC— — — — 
Employee compensation and benefit expenses38 29 — — 73 
Other operating expenses19 10 — 42 
Total expenses122 39 34 (4)196 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees(1)— — (10)— (11)
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes22 — — — (4)18 
Less: Noncontrolling interests— — — — 
Total$133 $— $(33)$(10)$(24)$66 

1)    Includes the consolidation of the FG VIEs and CIVs and intersegment eliminations.
2)    Insurance segment balances for this line include only the credit derivative revenues component of realized gains (losses) on credit derivatives.
3)    Insurance segment balances for this line item includes credit derivative impairment (recoveries).
9


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Fixed-Maturity Securities, Short-Term Investments and Cash
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)
Amortized CostAllowance for Credit LossesPre-Tax Book YieldAfter-Tax Book YieldFair Value
Annualized Investment Income (1)
Fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale:
Obligations of states and political subdivisions(2)(4)(7)
$3,161 $(14)3.58 %3.29 %$3,097 $113 
U.S. government and agencies94 — 2.05 1.80 88 
Corporate securities2,408 (6)2.78 2.45 2,153 67 
Mortgage-backed securities:
Residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) (3)(4)
429 (20)4.85 4.03 350 21 
Commercial mortgage-backed securities267 — 3.48 3.03 258 
Asset-backed securities (ABS)
CLOs453 — 6.77 5.35 433 31 
Other ABS (4)
426 (29)5.97 4.77 389 26 
Non-U.S. government securities121 — 1.08 1.07 101 
Total fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale7,359 (69)3.67 3.20 6,869 270 
Short-term investments 1,273 — 4.67 3.80 1,273 59 
Cash (5)
118 — — — 118 — 
Total$8,750 $(69)3.81 %3.29 %$8,260 $329 
Fixed maturity securities, trading (8)
$300 
Ratings (6):
Fair Value% of Portfolio
U.S. government and agencies$88 1.3 %
AAA/Aaa1,013 14.7 
AA/Aa2,512 36.6 
A/A1,737 25.3 
BBB805 11.7 
BIG
517 7.5 
Not rated (7)
197 2.9 
Total fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale$6,869 100.0 %
Duration of available-for-sale fixed maturity securities and short-term investments (in years):3.5
Average ratings of fixed maturity securities and short-term investmentsA+

1)    Represents annualized investment income based on amortized cost and pre-tax book yields.
2)    Includes obligations of state and local political subdivisions that have been insured by other financial guarantors. The underlying ratings of these bonds, after giving effect to the lower of the rating assigned by S&P Global Ratings, a division of Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC (S&P) or Moody’s Investors Service, Inc. (Moody’s), average A.
3)    Includes fair value of $149 million in subprime RMBS, which has an average rating of BIG.
4)    Includes securities purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation or other risk management strategies.
5)    Cash is not included in the yield calculation.
6)    Ratings are represented by the lower of the Moody’s or S&P classifications except for purchased securities that it has insured, and for which it had expected losses to be paid (loss mitigation securities) and certain other securities, which use internal ratings classifications. Loss mitigation and other securities total $914 million in par with carrying value of $584 million and are primarily included in BIG category.
7)    Includes $136 million of new general obligation bonds and new bonds backed by toll revenue received in connection with the 2022 Puerto Rico Resolutions (see page 29).
8)    Represents contingent value instruments received in connection with the 2022 Puerto Rico Resolutions (see page 29). These securities are not rated.
10


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Investment Portfolio, Cash and CIVs
GAAP
(dollars in millions)

Investment Portfolio, Cash and CIVs as of March 31, 2023
Insurance Subsidiaries (1)
Holding Companies (2)
OtherAGL Consolidated
Fixed-maturity securities, available-for-sale$6,844 $25 $ $6,869 
Fixed-maturity securities, trading300   300 
Short-term investments1,147 124 1,273 
Cash66 23 29 118 
Total short-term investments and cash1,213 147 31 1,391 
Other invested assets
AssuredIM Funds (3)
CLOs232 — (232)— 
Municipal bonds— — — — 
Healthcare73 — (73)— 
Asset-based91 — (91)— 
Equity method investments-AssuredIM Funds396 — (396)— 
Other130 10 — 140 
Other invested assets526 10 (396)140 
Total investment portfolio and cash$8,883 $182 $(365)$8,700 
CIVs
Assets of CIVs$— $— $5,118 $5,118 
Liabilities of CIVs— — (4,458)(4,458)
Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests— — (195)(195)
Total CIVs$ $ $465 $465 

Investment Portfolio, Cash and CIVs as of December 31, 2022
Insurance SubsidiariesHolding CompaniesOtherAGL Consolidated
Fixed-maturity securities, available-for-sale$7,095 $24 $ $7,119 
Fixed-maturity securities, trading303   303 
Short-term investments668 132 10 810 
Cash44 56 107 
Total short-term investments and cash712 139 66 917 
Other invested assets
AssuredIM Funds
CLOs272 — (272)— 
Municipal bonds105 — (105)— 
Healthcare91 — (91)— 
Asset-based101 — (101)— 
Equity method investments-AssuredIM Funds569 — (569)— 
Other122 133 
Other invested assets691 9 (567)133 
Total investment portfolio and cash$8,801 $172 $(501)$8,472 
CIVs
Assets of CIVs$— $— $5,493 $5,493 
Liabilities of CIVs— — (4,625)(4,625)
Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests— — (228)(228)
Total CIVs$ $ $640 $640 

1)    Includes the Company's U.S., Bermuda and European insurance subsidiaries.
2)    Includes the Company's' holding companies: AGL, Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. and Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc..
3)    Funds managed by Assured Investment Management LLC (AssuredIM LLC) and its investment management affiliates (together with AssuredIM LLC, AssuredIM) (AssuredIM Funds).
11


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Income from Investment Portfolio and CIVs
Segment
(dollars in millions)

Income from Investment Portfolio and Fair Value Gains (Losses) on CIVs on a Segment basis for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2023 and March 31, 2022

Three Months Ended March 31, 2023
InsuranceAsset ManagementCorporateOtherTotal
Net investment income$82 $ $2 $(3)$81 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities$(2)$ $ $ $(2)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees
AssuredIM Funds$28 $— $— $(28)$— 
Other— — — 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees$30 $ $ $(28)$2 
CIVs
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs$— $— $— $58 $58 
Noncontrolling interests— — — (16)(16)
Total CIVs$ $ $ $42 $42 


Three Months Ended March 31, 2022
InsuranceAsset ManagementCorporateOtherTotal
Net investment income$63 $ $1 $(2)$62 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities(4)   (4)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees
AssuredIM Funds$11 $— $— $(10)$
Other(12)— — — (12)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees$(1)$ $ $(10)$(11)
CIVs
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs$— $— $— $14 $14 
Noncontrolling interests— — — (9)(9)
Total CIVs$ $ $ $5 $5 


12


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Equity Method Alternative Investments in the Insurance Segment
(dollars in millions)

Carrying ValueEquity in Earnings
March 31, 2023December 31, 2022First Quarter 2023Inception-to-Date
AssuredIM Funds(1)
Strategy:
CLOs$232 $272 $19 $58 
Municipal bonds— 105 — 
Healthcare(3)
73 91 46 
Asset-based(3)
91 101 28 
AssuredIM Funds (2)
396 569 28 138 
Other alternative investments(3)
115 117 49 
Total $511 $686 $30 $187 

1)    Eliminated in consolidation at the AGL level, reported in equity in earnings at AG Asset Strategies LLC (AGAS), which is owned 65% by Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. (AGM) and 35% by Assured Guaranty Corp. (AGC). AGAS is consolidated in AGM's consolidated financial statements.
2)    The inception-to-date annualized internal rate of return (IRR) is 10.7% and the quarter to date return was 6.3%. For AssuredIM Funds, the returns represent IRR based on mark-to-market gains (losses). The inception-to-date IRRs are annualized; the quarterly and year-to-date returns are not annualized.
3)    Includes funds and investments reported on a lag. Excludes equity method investment in the Corporate division of $7 million and $6 million as of March 31, 2023 and December 31, 2022, respectively.

13
























Insurance Segment
14


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Insurance Segment Results
(dollars in millions)

Three Months Ended
March 31,
20232022
Segment revenues
Net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues$84 $219 
Net investment income82 63 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities(2)(4)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement and other income (loss)26 — 
Total segment revenues190 278 
Segment expenses
Loss expense (benefit)60 
Interest expense— 
Amortization of DAC
Employee compensation and benefit expenses39 38 
Other operating expenses28 19 
Total segment expenses79 122 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees30 (1)
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes141 155 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes24 22 
Segment adjusted operating income (loss)$117 $133 

15


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Claims-Paying Resources
(dollars in millions)
As of March 31, 2023
AGMAGC
AG Re(6)
Eliminations(2)
Consolidated
Claims-paying resources
Policyholders' surplus$2,742 $1,920 $732 $(220)$5,174 
Contingency reserve874 347 — — 1,221 
Qualified statutory capital3,616 2,267 732 (220)6,395 
Unearned premium reserve and net deferred ceding commission income(1)
2,092 326 597 (69)2,946 
Loss and LAE reserves (1)(7)
— — 152 — 152 
Total policyholders' surplus and reserves5,708 2,593 1,481 (289)9,493 
Present value of installment premium
491 205 240 — 936 
CCS200 200 — — 400 
Total claims-paying resources $6,399 $2,998 $1,721 $(289)$10,829 
Statutory net exposure (1)(3)
$155,630 $22,351 $59,068 $(735)$236,314 
Net debt service outstanding (1)(3)
$250,440 $35,278 $90,159 $(1,503)$374,374 
Ratios:
Net exposure to qualified statutory capital43:110:181:137:1
Capital ratio (4)
69:116:1123:159:1
Financial resources ratio (5)
39:112:152:135:1
Statutory net exposure to claims-paying resources24:17:134:122:1

1)    The numbers shown for AGM have been adjusted to include 100% share of its United Kingdom (U.K.) and French insurance subsidiaries.
2)    Eliminations are primarily for (i) intercompany surplus notes between AGM and AGC, and (ii) eliminations of intercompany deferred ceding commissions. Net exposure and net debt service outstanding eliminations relate to second-to-pay policies under which an Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary guarantees an obligation already insured by another Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary.
3)    Net exposure and net debt service outstanding are presented on a statutory basis. Includes $1,174 million of specialty insurance and reinsurance exposure, and a guarantee of rental income cash flows with maximum potential exposure of $1,626 million.
4)    The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.
5)    The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims-paying resources.
6)    Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. (AG Re) numbers represent the Company's estimate of AG Re on a U.S. statutory-basis, except for contingency reserves.
7)    Loss and LAE reserves exclude adjustments to claims-paying resources for AGM and AGC because they were in a net recoverable position of $44 million and $39 million, respectively.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the presentation of net debt service and net par outstanding.

16


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
New Business Production
(dollars in millions)

Reconciliation of GWP to PVP for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2023 and March 31, 2022

Three Months Ended Three Months Ended
March 31, 2023March 31, 2022
Public FinanceStructured FinancePublic FinanceStructured Finance
U.S.Non - U.S.
U.S.
Non - U.S.TotalU.S.Non - U.S.U.S.Non - U.S.Total
Total GWP$22 $36 $28 $ $86 $49 $16 $5 $ $70 
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments (1)
33 28 — 69 — 16 — 19 
Upfront GWP14 — — 17 49 — — 51 
Plus: Installment premiums and other(2)
27 27 33 95 — 12 — 18 
Total PVP$22 $30 $27 $33 $112 $49 $12 $$$69 
Gross par written $2,907 360 582 1,514 $5,363 $3,931 223 60 257 $4,471 

(1)    Includes the present value of new business on installment policies discounted at the prescribed GAAP discount rates, GWP adjustments on existing installment policies due to changes in assumptions and other GAAP adjustments.
(2)    Includes the present value of future premiums and fees on new business paid in installments, discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturities such as Loss Mitigation Securities. This also includes the present value of future premiums and fees associated with other guaranties written by the Company that, under GAAP, are accounted for under Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) 460, Guarantees.


Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
17


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Gross Par Written
(dollars in millions)

Gross Par Written by Asset Type

Three Months Ended March 31,
20232022
Gross Par WrittenAverage Internal RatingGross Par WrittenAverage Internal Rating
Sector:
U.S. public finance
General obligation$1,410 A$1,445 A-
Municipal utilities765 A-292 A
Healthcare388 A356 BBB
Higher education205 A-52 BBB+
Tax backed103 BBB+374 A-
Transportation36 BBB1,407 A-
Infrastructure finance— BBB
Total U.S. public finance2,907 A-3,931 A-
Non-U.S. public finance:
Sovereign and sub-sovereign253 A+— 
Regulated utilities107 BBB223 BBB
Total non-U.S. public finance360 A223 BBB
Total public finance3,267 A4,154 A-
U.S. structured finance:
Insurance securitizations500 A— 
Structured credit50 BBB— 
Other structured finance32 A60 A-
Total U.S. structured finance582 A60 A-
Non-U.S. structured finance:
Other structured finance1,514 AA257 AA
Total non-U.S. structured finance1,514 AA257 AA
Total structured finance2,096 AA-317 AA-
Total gross par written$5,363 A$4,471 A-





Please refer to the Glossary for a description of internal ratings and sectors.



18


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
New Business Production by Quarter
(dollars in millions)

1Q-222Q-223Q-224Q-221Q-23
PVP:
Public finance - U.S.$49 $57 $57 $94 $22 
Public finance - non-U.S.12 18 37 30 
Structured finance - U.S.— 40 27 
Structured finance - non-U.S.— — 33 
Total PVP (1)
$69 $76 $95 $135 $112 
Reconciliation of GWP to PVP:
Total GWP$70 $65 $94 $131 $86 
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments19 39 79 69 
Upfront GWP51 57 55 52 17 
Plus: Installment premiums and other(2)
18 19 40 83 95 
Total PVP$69 $76 $95 $135 $112 
Gross par written:
Public finance - U.S.$3,931 $6,429 $3,622 $5,819 $2,907 
Public finance - non-U.S.223 207 194 — 360 
Structured finance - U.S.60 16 30 971 582 
Structured finance - non-U.S. (1)
257 43 — 245 1,514 
Total$4,471 $6,695 $3,846 $7,035 $5,363 


1)    First quarter 2023 and 2022 PVP and gross par written includes the present value (PV) of future premiums and total exposure, respectively, associated with other guaranties written by the Company that, under GAAP, are accounted for under ASC 460, Guarantees.
2)    Includes the present value of future premiums and fees on new business paid in installments, discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturities such as Loss Mitigation Securities. This also includes the present value of future premiums and fees associated with other guaranties written by the Company that, under GAAP, are accounted for under Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) 460, Guarantees.


Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.

19


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Estimated Net Exposure Amortization(1) and Estimated Future Financial Guaranty Net Premium
and Credit Derivative Revenues
(dollars in millions)

Financial Guaranty Insurance (2)
Estimated Net Debt Service AmortizationEstimated Ending Net Debt Service OutstandingExpected PV Net Earned Premiums (i.e. Net Deferred Premium Revenue)Accretion of DiscountEffect of FG VIE Consolidation on Expected PV Net Earned Premiums and Accretion of Discount
Future Credit Derivative Revenues (3)
2023 (as of March 31)$374,475 
2023 2Q $4,136 370,339 $70 $$$
2023 3Q6,441 363,898 70 
2023 4Q4,963 358,935 69 
202419,186 339,749 267 23 
202520,479 319,270 251 21 
202619,506 299,764 235 20 
202717,524 282,240 221 19 
2023-202792,235 282,240 1,183 101 13 37 
2028-203285,708 196,532 925 76 12 31 
2033-203768,398 128,134 618 50 11 24 
2038-204248,898 79,236 377 33 — 16 
After 204279,236 — 528 47 — 11 
Total$374,475 $3,631 $307 $36 $119 

Reconciliation of Net Deferred Premium Revenue to Net Unearned Premium Reserve(4).

GAAPEffect of FG VIE Consolidation on Net Unearned Premium Reserve
Net deferred premium revenue:
Financial guaranty$3,631 $35 
Specialty— 
Net deferred premium revenue3,640 35 
Contra-paid(22)(4)
Net unearned premium reserve$3,618 $31 


1)    Represents the future expected amortization of current debt service outstanding (principal and interest), assuming no advance refundings, as of March 31, 2023. Actual amortization differs from expected maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay guaranteed obligations, terminations and because of management's assumptions on structured finance amortization.
2)    See also page 23, for ‘‘Net Expected Loss to be Expensed.’’
3)     Represents expected future premiums on insured credit derivatives.
4)    Unearned premium reserve represents deferred premium revenue less claim payments made (net of recoveries received) that have been recognized in the statement of operations (contra-paid).






20


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid
(dollars in millions)

Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid (1) for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2023

Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of December 31, 2022Economic Loss Development (Benefit) During 1Q-23Net (Paid) Recovered Losses
During 1Q-23
Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of March 31, 2023
Public Finance:
U.S. public finance$403 $$(24)$380 
Non-U.S public finance— 13 
Public Finance412 (24)393 
Structured Finance:
U.S. RMBS66 11 82 
Other structured finance44 (3)42 
Structured Finance110 124 
Total$522 $11 $(16)$517 


1)    Includes net expected loss to be paid (recovered), economic loss development (benefit) and (paid) recovered losses for all contracts (i.e. those accounted for as insurance, credit derivatives and FG VIEs).
21


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Loss Measures
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)

Three Months Ended March 31, 2023
 Total Net Par Outstanding for BIG Transactions
GAAP Loss and LAE (1)
Loss and LAE included in Adjusted Operating Income (2)
Insurance Segment
 Loss and
LAE (3)
Public finance:
U.S. public finance$3,804 $(4)$(4)$
Non-U.S public finance 990  — — 
Public finance4,794 (4)(4)
Structured finance:
U.S. RMBS988 6 
Other structured finance100 2 
Structured finance1,088 8 
Total$5,882 $4 $$

1)    Includes loss expense related to contracts that are accounted for as insurance contracts.
2)    Includes loss expense related to contracts that are accounted for as insurance contracts and credit derivatives.
3)    Includes loss expense related to contracts that are accounted for as insurance contracts, credit derivatives, and consolidated FG VIEs.




Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and of the various sectors.

22


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Net Expected Loss to be Expensed (1)
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)

GAAP
2023 (as of March 31)
2023 2Q $3 
2023 3Q3 
2023 4Q3 
202412 
202512 
202617 
202715 
2023-202765 
2028-203261 
2033-203749 
2038-20428 
After 204212 
Total expected present value of net expected loss to be expensed(2)
195 
Future accretion66 
Total expected future loss and LAE$261 

1)    The present value of net expected loss to be paid is discounted using risk free rates ranging from 3.44% to 4.87% for U.S. dollar denominated obligations.
2)     Excludes $29 million related to FG VIEs, which are eliminated in consolidation.


23


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Net Par Outstanding and Average Internal Rating by Asset Type
As of March 31, 2023As of December 31, 2022
Net Par Outstanding Average Internal RatingNet Par Outstanding Average Internal Rating
U.S. public finance:
General obligation$72,562 A-$71,868 A-
Tax backed32,798 A-33,752 A-
Municipal utilities27,009 A-26,436 A-
Transportation20,140 A-19,688 A-
Healthcare11,641 BBB+11,304 BBB+
Higher education7,318 A-7,137 A-
Infrastructure finance6,895 A-6,955 A-
Housing revenue959 BBB-959 BBB-
Investor-owned utilities331 A-332 A-
Renewable energy171 A-180 A-
Other public finance1,013 BBB1,025 BBB
Total U.S. public finance180,837 A-179,636 A-
Non-U.S public finance:
Regulated utilities18,604 BBB+17,855 BBB+
Infrastructure finance14,184 BBB13,915 BBB
Sovereign and sub-sovereign9,904 A+9,526 A+
Renewable energy2,114 A-2,086 A-
Pooled infrastructure1,103 AAA1,081 AAA
Total non-U.S. public finance45,909 BBB+44,463 BBB+
Total public finance$226,746 A-224,099 A-
U.S. structured finance:
Life insurance transactions$4,378 AA-3,879 AA-
RMBS1,910 BBB-1,956 BBB-
Pooled corporate obligations617 AAA625 AAA
Financial products452 AA-453 AA-
Consumer receivables405 A437 A
Other structured finance898 BBB+878 BBB+
Total U.S. structured finance8,660 A8,228 A
Non-U.S. structured finance:
Pooled corporate obligations349 AAA344 AAA
RMBS262 A-263 A-
Other structured finance366 AA-324 AA-
Total non-U.S structured finance977 AA931 AA
Total structured finance$9,637 A9,159 A
Total net par outstanding $236,383 A-$233,258 A-


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and the Company's internal rating approach, and of the various sectors.


24


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 3)
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)

Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio
Public Finance - U.S.     Public Finance - Non-U.S.Structured Finance - U.S.Structured Finance - Non-U.S.Total
Ratings:Net Par Outstanding%Net Par Outstanding%Net Par Outstanding%Net Par Outstanding%Net Par Outstanding%
AAA$220 0.1 %$2,000 4.4 %$908 10.5 %$472 48.3 %$3,600 1.5 %
AA16,239 9.0 3,535 7.6 4,605 53.1 12 1.2 24,391 10.3 
A97,909 54.1 10,460 22.8 1,567 18.1 385 39.4 110,321 46.7 
BBB62,665 34.7 28,924 63.0 492 5.7 108 11.1 92,189 39.0 
BIG3,804 2.1 990 2.2 1,088 12.6 — — 5,882 2.5 
Net Par Outstanding (1)
$180,837 100.0 %$45,909 100.0 %$8,660 100.0 %$977 100.0 %$236,383 100.0 %

1)    As of March 31, 2023, the Company excluded $1.3 billion of net par attributable to Loss Mitigation Securities.


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and the Company's internal rating approach, and of the various sectors.




25


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 3)
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)


Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio
Net Par Outstanding% of Total
U.S.:
U.S. public finance:
California$36,836 15.6 %
Texas19,812 8.4 
Pennsylvania16,164 6.8 
New York15,518 6.6 
Illinois12,648 5.4 
New Jersey9,239 3.9 
Florida8,121 3.4 
Michigan4,964 2.1 
Louisiana4,913 2.1 
Alabama3,831 1.6 
Other48,791 20.6 
Total U.S. public finance180,837 76.5 
U.S. structured finance8,660 3.7 
Total U.S.189,497 80.2 
Non-U.S.:
United Kingdom35,622 15.1 
Canada1,727 0.7 
Spain1,604 0.7 
Australia1,483 0.6 
France1,483 0.6 
Other4,967 2.1 
Total non-U.S.46,886 19.8 
Total net par outstanding$236,383 100.0 %

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and of the various sectors.


26


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Specialty Insurance, Reinsurance and Guaranties
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)


As of March 31, 2023 As of December 31, 2022
Gross ExposureNet ExposureGross ExposureNet Exposure
Life insurance transactions (1)
$1,302 $974 $1,314 $986 
Aircraft residual value insurance policies (2)
355 200 355 200 
Other guaranties1,626 1,626 228 228 


1)    The life insurance transactions net exposure is projected to reach $1.1 billion in 2025.
2)    As of both March 31, 2023 and December 31, 2022, gross exposure of $144 million and net exposure of $84 million of aircraft residual value insurance was BIG. All other exposures in the table above are investment-grade quality.



27


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Expected Amortization of Net Par Outstanding
(dollars in millions)


Public FinanceStructured Finance
Estimated Net Par AmortizationEstimated Ending Net Par OutstandingU.S. and Non-U.S. Pooled CorporateU.S. RMBSFinancial ProductsOther Structured FinanceTotalEstimated Ending Net Par Outstanding
2023 (as of March 31)$226,746 $9,637 
2023 2Q $1,033 225,713 $$90 $$72 $172 9,465 
2023 3Q3,597 222,116 90 (13)79 165 9,300 
2023 4Q2,102 220,014 85 (3)266 355 8,945 
20249,016 210,998 31 306 10 288 635 8,310 
202510,860 200,138 90 258 30 175 553 7,757 
202610,382 189,756 115 196 37 218 566 7,191 
20278,815 180,941 195 151 (9)266 603 6,588 
2023-202745,805 180,941 455 1,176 54 1,364 3,049 6,588 
2028-203248,708 132,233 352 326 316 1,826 2,820 3,768 
2033-203742,394 89,839 72 322 67 1,776 2,237 1,531 
2038-204232,234 57,605 87 79 15 810 991 540 
After 204257,605 — — — 533 540 — 
Total $226,746 $966 $1,910 $452 $6,309 $9,637 


Net par outstanding (end of period)
1Q-222Q-223Q-224Q-221Q-23
Public finance - U.S.$175,957 $179,648 $177,842 $179,636 $180,837 
Public finance - non-U.S.48,506 44,447 41,063 44,463 45,909 
Structured finance - U.S.8,101 7,935 7,449 8,228 8,660 
Structured finance - non-U.S.815 782 717 931 977 
Net par outstanding$233,379 $232,812 $227,071 $233,258 $236,383 


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and of the various sectors.
28


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Exposure to Puerto Rico (1 of 2)
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)

Exposure to Puerto Rico
Par OutstandingDebt Service Outstanding
 GrossNetGrossNet
   Total$1,367 $1,351 $1,855 $1,835 


Exposure to Puerto Rico by Company
Net Par Outstanding
 AGMAGCAG Re
Eliminations (1)
Total Net Par OutstandingGross Par Outstanding
Defaulted Puerto Rico Exposures
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority (PREPA)$446 $69 $205 $— $720 $730 
Total Defaulted446 69 205 — 720 730 
Resolved Puerto Rico Exposures (2)
Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority (PRHTA) (Transportation revenue) (3)
49 181 107 (42)295 295 
PRHTA (Highway revenue) (3)
140 30 12 — 182 182 
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico - General Obligation (GO) (4)
— 19 — 25 25 
Puerto Rico Public Buildings Authority (PBA) (4)
— (1)
Total Resolved190 234 125 (43)506 506 
Other Puerto Rico Exposures
Puerto Rico Municipal Finance Agency (MFA) (5)
96 22 — 124 130 
Puerto Rico Aqueduct and Sewer Authority (PRASA) and University of Puerto Rico (U of PR) (5)
— — — 
Total Other96 7 22  125 131 
Total exposure to Puerto Rico$732 $310 $352 $(43)$1,351 $1,367 

1)    Net par outstanding eliminations relate to second-to-pay policies under which an Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary guarantees an obligation already insured by another Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary.
2)    A substantial portion of the Company’s Puerto Rico exposure was resolved in 2022 in accordance with four orders (including orders implementing the GO/PBA Plan and HTA Plan described below) entered by the United States District Court of the District of Puerto Rico (Federal District Court of Puerto Rico) related to the Company’s exposure to all insured Puerto Rico credits experiencing payment default in 2022 except Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority (PREPA) (2022 Puerto Rico Resolutions). Under the Modified Eighth Amended Title III Joint Plan of Adjustment of the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, the Employees Retirement System of the Government of the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, and the Puerto Rico Public Buildings Authority (GO/PBA Plan), the Company received cash, new general obligation bonds (New GO Bonds) and contingent value instruments (CVIs). Under the Modified Fifth Amended Title III Plan of Adjustment for PRHTA (HTA Plan), the Company received cash, new bonds backed by toll revenues (Toll Bonds) and CVIs.
3)    The Company’s remaining PRHTA exposures consist of insured bondholders who elected to receive custody receipts that represent an interest in the legacy insurance policy plus cash and Toll Bonds that constitute distributions under the HTA Plan, and exposures assumed from third-parties.
4)    The Company’s remaining GO/PBA exposures consist of insured bondholders who elected to receive custody receipts that represent an interest in the legacy insurance policy plus cash, New GO Bonds and CVIs that constitute distributions under the GO/PBA Plan, and exposures assumed from third-parties.
5)    All debt service on these insured exposures have been paid to date without any insurance claim being made on the Company.



29


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Exposure to Puerto Rico (2 of 2)
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)

Amortization Schedule of Net Par Outstanding of Puerto Rico

 2023 (2Q)2023 (3Q)2023 (4Q)2024202520262027202820292030203120322033 - 20372038 - 2041Total
Defaulted Puerto Rico Exposures
PREPA$— $95 $— $93 $68 $105 $105 69 39 44 75 14 $13 $— $720 
Total Defaulted— 95 — 93 68 105 105 69 39 44 75 14 13 — 720 
Resolved Puerto Rico Exposures
PRHTA (Transportation revenue)— 10 — — — — 12 — — — 126 132 295 
PRHTA (Highway revenue)— — — — — — — 30 27 101 — 182 
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico - GO— — — — — — 19 — — — — — 25 
PBA— — — — — — — — — — — — 
Total Resolved— 12 — — 10 39 30 27 227 132 506 
Other Puerto Rico Exposures
MFA— 17 — 16 16 35 15 12 — — — — 124 
PRASA and U of PR— — — — — — — — — — — — — 
Total Other 17  17 16 35 15 12 7 6     125 
Total$ $124 $ $110 $94 $149 $124 $89 $85 $58 $105 $41 $240 $132 $1,351 


Amortization Schedule of Net Debt Service Outstanding of Puerto Rico

 2023 (2Q)2023 (3Q)2023 (4Q)2024202520262027202820292030203120322033 - 20372038 - 2041Total
Defaulted Puerto Rico Exposures
PREPA$$109 $$122 $92 $126 $122 $80 $47 $51 $81 $15 $14 $— $865 
Total Defaulted109 122 92 126 122 80 47 51 81 15 14 — 865 
Resolved Puerto Rico Exposures
PRHTA (Transportation revenue)— 17 — 15 23 22 14 14 26 14 14 13 181 150 503 
PRHTA (Highway revenue)— — 10 10 18 17 17 38 34 116 — 283 
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico - GO— — 20 — — — — — 33 
PBA— — — — — — — — — — — — 
Total Resolved— 25 — 25 36 35 30 33 63 31 52 47 297 150 824 
Other Puerto Rico Exposures
MFA— 20 — 22 20 39 16 14 — — — — 145 
PRASA and U of PR— — — — — — — — — — — — — 
Total Other 20  23 20 39 16 14 8 6     146 
Total$3 $154 $3 $170 $148 $200 $168 $127 $118 $88 $133 $62 $311 $150 $1,835 
30


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)


Distribution of Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Ratings
Net Par Outstanding% of TotalAverage Initial Credit EnhancementAverage Current Credit Enhancement
Ratings:
AAA$791 82.1 %41.8 %50.6 %
AA52 5.4 41.1 51.5 
A92 9.5 38.0 46.8 
BBB29 3.0 42.0 44.8 
Total exposures$964 100.0 %41.4 %50.1 %


Distribution of Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Asset Class
Net Par Outstanding% of TotalAverage Initial Credit EnhancementAverage Current Credit EnhancementNumber of TransactionsAverage Rating
Asset class:
Trust preferred
Banks and insurance$361 37.5 %43.6 %62.8 %12AAA
U.S. mortgage and real estate investment trusts84 8.7 47.3 64.2 3A+
CLOs519 53.8 38.9 39.0 6AAA
Total exposures$964 100.0 %41.4 %50.1 %21AAA


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of internal ratings, performance indicators and sectors.



31


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
U.S. RMBS Profile
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating and Type of Exposure
Ratings:Prime First LienAlt-A First LienOption ARMsSubprime
First Lien
Second LienTotal Net Par Outstanding
AAA$$65 $10 $358 $$443 
AA10 75 145 189 426 
A— — — 
BBB— — 37 48 
BIG34 203 15 625 111 988 
Total exposures$55 $343 $32 $1,168 $312 $1,910 


Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Year Insured and Type of Exposure
 
Year insured:Prime First LienAlt-A First LienOption ARMsSubprime
First Lien
Second LienTotal Net Par Outstanding
2004 and prior$$$— $332 $12 $361 
200522 119 15 182 50 388 
200624 25 41 105 196 
2007— 191 16 582 145 934 
2008— — — 31 — 31 
  Total exposures$55 $343 $32 $1,168 $312 $1,910 


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the Company's presentation of net par outstanding, internal ratings and a description of sectors.
























32


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

BIG Exposures by Asset Exposure Type
As of
March 31,December 31,
20232022
U.S. public finance:
Healthcare$1,085 $1,085 
Municipal utilities1,024 1,025 
Tax backed878 889 
General obligation361 337 
Transportation107 109 
Higher education106 107 
Housing revenue73 73 
Infrastructure finance46 46 
Other public finance124 125 
Total U.S. public finance3,804 3,796 
Non-U.S. public finance:
Infrastructure finance922 911 
Sovereign and sub-sovereign50 52 
Renewable energy18 18 
Total non-U.S. public finance990 981 
Total public finance$4,794 $4,777 
U.S. structured finance:
RMBS$988 $1,010 
Consumer receivables58 60 
Life insurance transactions40 40 
Other structured finance
Total U.S. structured finance1,088 1,115 
Non-U.S. structured finance:
Total non-U.S. structured finance— — 
Total structured finance$1,088 $1,115 
Total BIG net par outstanding$5,882 $5,892 


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the Company's presentation of net par outstanding and a description of various sectors.


33


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 3)
(dollars in millions)


Net Par Outstanding by BIG Category (1)
As of
March 31,December 31,
20232022
BIG Category 1
U.S. public finance$2,374 $2,364 
Non-U.S. public finance990 981 
U.S. structured finance12 18 
Non-U.S. structured finance— — 
Total BIG Category 13,376 3,363 
BIG Category 2
U.S. public finance109 108 
Non-U.S. public finance— — 
U.S. structured finance71 73 
Non-U.S. structured finance— — 
Total BIG Category 2180 181 
BIG Category 3
U.S. public finance1,321 1,324 
Non-U.S. public finance— — 
U.S. structured finance1,005 1,024 
Non-U.S. structured finance— — 
Total BIG Category 32,326 2,348 
BIG Total$5,882 $5,892 

1)    Assured Guaranty's surveillance department is responsible for monitoring the Company's portfolio of credits and maintains a list of BIG credits. BIG Category 1: Below-investment-grade transactions showing sufficient deterioration to make future losses possible, but for which none are currently expected. BIG Category 2: Below-investment-grade transactions for which future losses are expected but for which no claims (other than liquidity claims which are claims that the Company expects to be reimbursed within one year) have yet been paid. BIG Category 3: Below-investment-grade transactions for which future losses are expected and on which claims (other than liquidity claims) have been paid.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the Company's internal rating approach, presentation of net par outstanding and a description of various sectors.



34


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (3 of 3)
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)

Public Finance and Structured Finance BIG Exposures with Revenue Sources Greater Than $50 Million
Net Par Outstanding
Internal
Rating (1)
60+ Day Delinquencies
Name or description
U.S. public finance:
ProMedica Healthcare Obligated Group, Ohio$820 BB+
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority720 CCC
Puerto Rico Highways & Transportation Authority477 CCC
Illinois Sports Facilities Authority260 BB+
OU Health (Medicine), Oklahoma253 BB+
Jackson Water & Sewer System, Mississippi164 BB
Puerto Rico Municipal Finance Agency124 CCC
Stockton City, California96 B
New Jersey City University87 BB
Harrisburg Parking System, Pennsylvania78 B
San Jacinto River Authority (GRP Project), Texas62 BB+
Indiana University of Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania58 CCC
Atlantic City, New Jersey53 BB
Total U.S. public finance$3,252 
Non-U.S. public finance:
Coventry & Rugby Hospital Company (Walsgrave Hospital) Plc547 BB
Road Management Services PLC (A13 Highway)126 B+
Dartford & Gravesham NHS Trust The Hospital Company (Dartford) Plc120 BB+
M6 Duna Autopalya Koncesszios Zrt.55 BB+
Total non-U.S. public finance$848 
Total public finance$4,100 
U.S. structured finance:
RMBS:
Option One 2007-FXD2$116 CCC16.6%
Option One Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-HL199 CCC26.3%
Argent Securities Inc. 2005-W493 CCC10.4%
Nomura Asset Accept. Corp. 2007-163 CCC19.9%
New Century 2005-A55 CCC14.9%
Total RMBS-U.S. structured finance$426 
Total non-U.S. structured finance$— 
Total structured finance$426 
Total$4,526 

1)    Transactions rated below B- are categorized as CCC.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the Company's internal rating approach, presentation of net par outstanding and a description of performance indicators and sectors.
35


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (1 of 3)
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)
50 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures by Revenue Source
Credit Name:Net Par Outstanding
Internal
Rating (1)
New Jersey (State of)$2,777 BBB
Pennsylvania (Commonwealth of)2,270 BBB+
Metro Washington Airports Authority (Dulles Toll Road)1,636 BBB+
New York Metropolitan Transportation Authority1,543 A-
Illinois (State of)1,310 BBB-
Foothill/Eastern Transportation Corridor Agency, California1,308 BBB+
Alameda Corridor Transportation Authority, California1,273 BBB+
North Texas Tollway Authority1,251 A+
Port Authority of New York and New Jersey1,038 BBB
CommonSpirit Health, Illinois1,000 A-
San Joaquin Hills Transportation, California985 BBB
Yankee Stadium LLC New York City Industrial Development Authority925 BBB
San Diego Family Housing, LLC906 AA
Philadelphia School District, Pennsylvania892 A-
Municipal Electric Authority of Georgia877 BBB+
Montefiore Medical Center, New York837 BBB-
Great Lakes Water Authority (Sewerage), Michigan821 A-
ProMedica Healthcare Obligated Group, Ohio820 BB+
Dade County Seaport, Florida810 A
Metropolitan Pier and Exposition Authority, Illinois789 BBB-
Wisconsin (State of)782 A
California (State of)770 AA-
Jefferson County Alabama Sewer770 BBB
Tucson (City of), Arizona760 A+
Nassau County, New York754 A
New York (City of), New York750 AA-
Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) Water Resources750 AA
Central Florida Expressway Authority, Florida745 A+
Chicago Public Schools, Illinois732 BBB-
New York Power Authority726 AA-
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority720 CCC
Los Angeles Department of Airports (LAX Project), California719 A-
South Carolina Public Service Authority - Santee Cooper715 BBB
Anaheim (City of), California704 A-
Lower Colorado River Authority692 A
Clark County School District, Nevada692 BBB+
Philadelphia (City of), Pennsylvania681 BBB+
Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission669 A-
Pittsburgh Water & Sewer, Pennsylvania666 A-
Chicago-O'Hare International Airport, Illinois657 A-
Suffolk County, New York650 BBB+
North Carolina Turnpike Authority632 BBB-
Mets Queens Ballpark607 BBB
Oglethorpe Power Corporation, Georgia575 BBB
Palomar Health550 BBB
Hayward Unified School District, California548 A
Kansas City, Missouri535 A
Regional Transportation Authority (Sales Tax), Illinois518 AA-
LCOR Alexandria LLC512 BBB
Long Island Power Authority510 A-
   Total top 50 U.S. public finance exposures$44,159 
1) Transactions rated below B- are categorized as CCC.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of net par outstanding, internal ratings and sectors.

36


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (2 of 3)
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)

25 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures
Credit Name:Net Par Outstanding
Internal
Rating (1)
Private US Insurance Securitization$1,100 AA
Private US Insurance Securitization1,000 A
Private US Insurance Securitization913 AA-
Private US Insurance Securitization399 AA-
Private US Insurance Securitization394 AA-
Private US Insurance Securitization386 AA-
SLM Student Loan Trust 2007-A201 AA
Private Middle Market CLO129 AAA
Private US Insurance Securitization128 AA
Option One 2007-FXD2116 CCC
CWABS 2007-4104 A+
Private Balloon Note Guarantee100 A
Option One Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-HL199 CCC
Argent Securities Inc. 2005-W493 CCC
SLM Student Loan Trust 2006-C66 AA
ALESCO Preferred Funding XIII, Ltd.65 AAA
Nomura Asset Accept. Corp. 2007-163 CCC
CAPCO - Excess SIPC Excess of Loss Reinsurance63 BBB
Private Other Structured Finance Transaction62 A-
Private Balloon Note Guarantee59 BBB
New Century 2005-A55 CCC
CWALT Alternative Loan Trust 2007-HY954 A+
Private Subscription Finance Transaction52 A
Alesco Preferred Funding XVI, Ltd.52 A
Private Other Structured Finance Transaction51 A-
   Total top 25 U.S. structured finance exposures$5,804 

1)    Transactions rated below B- are categorized as CCC.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of net par outstanding, internal ratings and sectors.
37


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (3 of 3)
As of March 31, 2023
(dollars in millions)

50 Largest Non-U.S. Exposures by Revenue Source
Credit Name:CountryNet Par OutstandingInternal Rating
Southern Water Services LimitedUnited Kingdom$2,265 BBB
Thames Water Utilities Finance PlcUnited Kingdom1,901 BBB
Southern Gas Networks PLCUnited Kingdom1,879 BBB
Dwr Cymru Financing LimitedUnited Kingdom1,693 A-
Quebec ProvinceCanada1,498 AA-
National Grid Gas PLCUnited Kingdom1,456 BBB+
Anglian Water Services Financing PLCUnited Kingdom1,269 A-
Channel Link Enterprises Finance PLCFrance, United Kingdom1,197 BBB
Yorkshire Water Services Finance PlcUnited Kingdom1,110 BBB
British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC)United Kingdom1,054 A+
Capital Hospitals (Issuer) PLCUnited Kingdom910 BBB-
Verbund, Lease and Sublease of Hydro-Electric EquipmentAustria880 AAA
Aspire Defence Finance plcUnited Kingdom739 BBB+
Verdun Participations 2 S.A.S.France701 BBB-
National Grid Company plcUnited Kingdom654 BBB+
Envestra LimitedAustralia609 A-
Severn Trent Water Utilities Finance PlcUnited Kingdom605 BBB+
Coventry & Rugby Hospital Company (Walsgrave Hospital) PlcUnited Kingdom546 BB
Private International Sub-Sovereign TransactionScotland541 A+
Wessex Water Services Finance plcUnited Kingdom520 BBB+
United Utilities Water PLCUnited Kingdom518 A-
Campania Region - Healthcare ReceivableItaly498 BBB-
South East WaterUnited Kingdom473 BBB
NewHospitals (St Helens & Knowsley) Finance PLCUnited Kingdom469 BBB+
Sydney Airport Finance CompanyAustralia467 BBB+
Derby Healthcare PLCUnited Kingdom462 BBB
North Staffordshire PFI, 32-year EIB Index-Linked FacilityUnited Kingdom458 BBB-
Central Nottinghamshire Hospitals PLCUnited Kingdom456 BBB-
The Hospital Company (QAH Portsmouth) LimitedUnited Kingdom432 BBB
Heathrow Funding LimitedUnited Kingdom389 BBB
University of Essex, United KingdomUnited Kingdom373 BBB+
International Infrastructure PoolUnited Kingdom368 AAA
International Infrastructure PoolUnited Kingdom368 AAA
International Infrastructure PoolUnited Kingdom368 AAA
Comision Federal De Electricidad (CFE) El Cajon ProjectMexico350 BBB-
South Lanarkshire SchoolsUnited Kingdom338 BBB
Japan Expressway Holding and Debt Repayment AgencyJapan332 A+
Q Energy - Phase II - Pride Investments, S.A.Spain313 BBB
Hypersol Solar Inversiones, S.A.U.Spain307 BBB
Private International Sub-Sovereign TransactionUnited Kingdom307 A
Western Power Distribution (South West) PLCUnited Kingdom302 BBB+
Catalyst Healthcare (Romford) Financing PLCUnited Kingdom300 BBB
Northumbrian Water PLCUnited Kingdom300 BBB+
University of Sussex - East Slope Residencies PLCUnited Kingdom298 BBB+
Feria Muestrario Internacional de ValenciaSpain286 BBB-
Q Energy - Phase III - FSL Issuer, S.A.U.Spain283 BBB
Bakethin Finance PlcUnited Kingdom282 A-
Artesian Finance Plc (Bristol)United Kingdom280 BBB+
Western Power Distribution (South Wales) PLCUnited Kingdom278 BBB+
Octagon Healthcare Funding PLCUnited Kingdom275 BBB
Total top 50 non-U.S. exposures$32,957 

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of net par outstanding, internal ratings and sectors.
38















Asset Management Segment

39


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Asset Management Segment Results (1 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Three Months Ended
March 31,
20232022
Segment revenues
Management fees:
CLOs$12 $12 
Opportunity funds and liquid strategies
Wind-down funds— 
Total management fees17 21 
Performance fees20 16 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement and other
income (loss)
Total segment revenues41 39 
Segment expenses
Employee compensation and benefit expenses34 29 
Other operating expenses10 
Total segment expenses42 39 
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes(1)— 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes— — 
Segment adjusted operating income (loss)$(1)$— 


40


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Asset Management Segment Results (2 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Rollforward of Assets Under Management for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2023

 CLOsOpportunity FundsLiquid StrategiesWind-Down FundsTotal
AUM, December 31, 2022$15,150 $1,884 $248 $182 $17,464 
Inflows-third party— — — 
Inflows-intercompany— — — — — 
Outflows:
Redemptions— — — — — 
Distributions(64)(133)— (48)(245)
Total outflows(64)(133)— (48)(245)
Net flows(64)(132)— (48)(244)
Change in value54 24 (1)82 
AUM, March 31, 2023$15,140 $1,776 $253 $133 $17,302 




41


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Asset Management Segment Results (3 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Assets Under Management

 CLOsOpportunity FundsLiquid StrategiesWind-Down FundsTotal
As of March 31, 2023:
Funded AUM (1)
$15,008 $1,112 $253 $111 $16,484 
Unfunded AUM (1)
132 664 — 22 818 
Fee-earning AUM (2)
$14,801 $1,526 $253 $77 $16,657 
Non-fee earning AUM (2)
339 250 — 56 645 
Intercompany AUM
Funded AUM $548 $164 $253 $— $965 
Unfunded AUM 132 115 — — 247 
As of December 31, 2022:
Funded AUM $15,047 $1,217 $248 $160 $16,672 
Unfunded AUM 103 667 — 22 792 
Fee-earning AUM $14,820 $1,640 $248 $87 $16,795 
Non-fee earning AUM 330 244 — 95 669 
Intercompany AUM
Funded AUM $582 $192 $248 $— $1,022 
Unfunded AUM 103 115 — — 218 

1)    Funded AUM refers to assets that have been deployed or invested into the funds or CLOs. Unfunded AUM refers to unfunded capital commitments from closed-end funds and CLO warehouse fund.
2)    Fee-earning AUM refers to assets where AssuredIM collects fees or has elected not to waive or rebate fees to investors. Non-fee earning AUM refers to assets where AssuredIM does not collect fees or has elected to waive or rebate fees to investors.
42












Corporate Division

43


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Corporate Division Results
(dollars in millions)

Three Months Ended
March 31,
20232022
Total revenues$$
Expenses
Interest expense23 21 
Employee compensation and benefit expenses
Other operating expenses16 
Total expenses48 34 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees— — 
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes(46)(33)
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes(2)— 
Adjusted operating income (loss)$(44)$(33)

44













Other

45


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Other Results
(dollars in millions)

Three Months Ended March 31, 2023
FG VIEsCIVsIntersegment Eliminations and ReclassesTotal Other
(in millions)
Revenues
Net earned premiums$(1)$— $— $(1)
Net investment income(1)— (2)(3)
Asset management fees— (14)(11)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs(5)— — (5)
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs— 58 — 58 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement— (1)— (1)
Other income (loss)— (2)— (2)
Total revenues(7)41 35 
Expenses
Loss expense (benefit)(5)— — (5)
Interest expense— — (2)(2)
Other operating expenses— — 
Total expenses(5)— (4)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees— (28)— (28)
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes(2)13 — 11 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes— (1)— (1)
Less: Noncontrolling interests— 16 — 16 
Adjusted operating income (loss)$(2)$(2)$— $(4)

Three Months Ended March 31, 2022
FG VIEsCIVsIntersegment Eliminations and ReclassesTotal Other
(in millions)
Revenues
Net earned premiums$(1)$— $— $(1)
Net investment income(1)(2)(2)
Asset management fees— (9)(3)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs— — 
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs— 14 — 14 
Other income (loss)— — — — 
Total revenues14 
Expenses
Loss expense (benefit)— — 
Interest expense— — (2)(2)
Other operating expenses— — 
Total expenses— 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees— (10)— (10)
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes(4)— (1)
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes(1)— — 
Less: Noncontrolling interests— — 
Adjusted operating income (loss)$$(12)$— $(10)



46















Summary

47


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Summary of Financial and Statistical Data
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
As of and for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2023Year Ended December 31,
2022202120202019
GAAP Summary Statements of Operations Data
Net earned premiums$81 $494 $414 $485 $476 
Net investment income81 269 269 297 378 
Total expenses165 536 465 729 503 
Income (loss) before income taxes120 187 383 386 460 
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL81 124 389 362 402 
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share1.34 1.92 5.23 4.19 4.00 
GAAP Summary Balance Sheet Data
Total investments and cash$8,700 $8,472 $9,728 $10,000 $10,409 
Total assets16,778 16,843 18,208 15,334 14,326 
Unearned premium reserve3,631 3,620 3,716 3,735 3,736 
Loss and LAE reserve291 296 869 1,088 1,050 
Long-term debt1,676 1,675 1,673 1,224 1,235 
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL5,220 5,064 6,292 6,643 6,639 
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL per share88.07 85.80 93.19 85.66 71.18 
Other Financial Information (GAAP Basis)
Financial guaranty:
Net debt service outstanding (end of period)$374,475 $369,951 $367,360 $366,233 $374,130 
Gross debt service outstanding (end of period)374,698 370,172 367,770 366,692 375,776 
Net par outstanding (end of period)236,383 233,258 236,392 234,153 236,807 
Gross par outstanding (end of period)236,565 233,438 236,765 234,571 238,156 
Other Financial Information (Statutory Basis)(1)
Financial guaranty:
Net debt service outstanding (end of period)$371,574 $366,883 $362,013 $360,392 $367,630 
Gross debt service outstanding (end of period)371,797 367,103 362,423 360,852 369,251 
Net par outstanding (end of period)233,514 230,294 231,742 229,008 230,984 
Gross par outstanding (end of period)233,696 230,474 232,115 229,426 232,333 
Claims-paying resources(2)
Policyholders' surplus$5,174 $5,155 $5,572 $5,077 $5,056 
Contingency reserve1,221 1,202 1,225 1,557 1,607 
Qualified statutory capital6,395 6,357 6,797 6,634 6,663 
Unearned premium reserve and net deferred ceding commission income2,946 2,941 2,972 2,983 2,961 
Loss and LAE reserves152 165 167 202 529 
Total policyholders' surplus and reserves9,493 9,463 9,936 9,819 10,153 
Present value of installment premium936 955 883 858 804 
CCS and standby line of credit400 400 400 400 400 
Total claims-paying resources$10,829 $10,818 $11,219 $11,077 $11,357 
Ratios:
Net exposure to qualified statutory capital37 :136 :134 :135 :135 :1
Capital ratio59 :158 :153 :154 :155 :1
Financial resources ratio35 :134 :132 :133 :132 :1
Adjusted statutory net exposure to claims-paying resources22 :121 :121 :121 :120 :1
Par and Debt Service Written (FG and Specialty)
Gross debt service written:
Public finance - U.S.$5,559 $36,954 $35,572 $33,596 $28,054 
Public finance - non-U.S.743 756 1,890 1,860 17,907 
Structured finance - U.S.583 1,120 1,319 508 1,704 
Structured finance - non-U.S.1,515 551 431 254 88 
Total gross debt service written$8,400 $39,381 $39,212 $36,218 $47,753 
Net debt service written$8,400 $39,381 $39,212 $35,965 $47,731 
Net par written5,363 22,047 26,656 23,012 24,331 
Gross par written5,363 22,047 26,656 23,265 24,353 
1)    Statutory amounts prepared on a consolidated basis. The National Association of Insurance Commissioners Annual Statements for U.S. Domiciled Insurance Subsidiaries are prepared on a stand-alone basis.
2)    See page 16 for additional detail on claims-paying resources.

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net debt service and net par outstanding and of the various sectors.
48


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Summary of GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations(1) (1 of 2)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

Three Months Ended March 31, 2023Year Ended December 31,
2022202120202019
Total GWP$86 $360 $377 $454 $677 
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments (2)
69 145 158 191 469 
Upfront GWP17 215 219 263 208 
Plus: Installment premiums and other (3)
95 160 142 127 361 
Total PVP$112 $375 $361 $390 $569 
PVP:
Public finance - U.S.$22 $257 $235 $292 $201 
Public finance - non-U.S.30 68 79 82 308 
Structured finance - U.S.27 43 42 14 53 
Structured finance - non-U.S.33 
Total PVP $112 $375 $361 $390 $569 
Adjusted operating income reconciliation:
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL$81 $124 $389 $362 $402 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments(2)(56)15 18 22 
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives13 (18)(64)65 (10)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS(16)24 (28)(1)(22)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves20 (110)(21)42 22 
Total pre-tax adjustments15 (160)(98)124 12 
Less tax effect on pre-tax adjustments(2)17 17 (18)(1)
Adjusted operating income (loss)$68 $267 $470 $256 $391 
Adjusted operating income per diluted share reconciliation:
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share$1.34 $1.92 $5.23 $4.19 $4.00 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments(0.03)(0.87)0.20 0.21 0.22 
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives0.21 (0.27)(0.85)0.75 (0.11)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS(0.26)0.37 (0.38)(0.01)(0.22)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves0.32 (1.72)(0.29)0.49 0.21 
Total pre-tax adjustments0.24 (2.49)(1.32)1.44 0.10 
Tax effect on pre-tax adjustments(0.02)0.27 0.23 (0.22)(0.01)
Adjusted operating income (loss) per diluted share$1.12 $4.14 $6.32 $2.97 $3.91 

1)    Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
2)    Includes the present value of new business on installment policies discounted at the prescribed GAAP discount rates, GWP adjustments on existing installment policies due to changes in assumptions and other GAAP adjustments.
3)    Includes the present value of future premiums and fees on new business paid in installments, discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturities such as Loss Mitigation Securities. This also includes the present value of future premiums and fees associated with other guaranties written by the Company that, under GAAP, are accounted for under Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) 460, Guarantees.


49


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Summary of GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations(1) (2 of 2)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

As of March 31, 2023As of December 31,
2022202120202019
Adjusted book value reconciliation:
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL$5,220 $5,064 $6,292 $6,643 $6,639 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives(59)(71)(54)(56)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS32 47 23 52 52 
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio(413)(523)404 611 486 
Less taxes54 68 (72)(116)(89)
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity5,606 5,543 5,991 6,087 6,246 
Pre-tax adjustments:
Less: Deferred acquisition costs 151 147 131 119 111 
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue196 157 160 182 206 
Plus: Net deferred premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed3,436 3,428 3,402 3,355 3,296 
Plus taxes(609)(602)(599)(597)(590)
Adjusted book value$8,478 $8,379 $8,823 $8,908 $9,047 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity (net of tax (provision) benefit of $(4), $(4), $(5), $-, and $(2))$13 $17 $32 $$
Adjusted book value (net of tax (provision) benefit of $(3), $(3), $(3), $2, and $1)$$11 $23 $(8)$(4)
Adjusted book value per share reconciliation:
Shareholders' equity attributable to AGL per share$88.07 $85.80 $93.19 $85.66 $71.18 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives(0.99)(1.21)(0.80)0.12 (0.60)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS0.53 0.80 0.34 0.66 0.56 
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio(6.97)(8.86)5.99 7.89 5.21 
Less taxes0.92 1.15 (1.07)(1.50)(0.95)
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity per share94.58 93.92 88.73 78.49 66.96 
Pre-tax adjustments:
Less: Deferred acquisition costs 2.55 2.48 1.95 1.54 1.19 
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue3.30 2.66 2.37 2.35 2.20 
Plus: Net deferred premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed57.97 58.10 50.40 43.27 35.34 
Plus taxes(10.26)(10.22)(8.88)(7.70)(6.32)
Adjusted book value per share$143.04 $141.98 $130.67 $114.87 $96.99 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity per share0.22 $0.28 $0.47 $0.03 $0.07 
Adjusted book value per share0.15 $0.19 $0.34 $(0.10)$(0.05)

1)    See Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.

50


Glossary

Financial Guaranty Insurance
Net Par Outstanding and Internal Ratings
Net Par Outstanding is insured par exposure, net of reinsurance cessions. Unless otherwise indicated, GAAP net par outstanding amounts exclude amounts as a result of loss mitigation strategies, including securities the Company has purchased for loss mitigation purposes that are held in the investment portfolio.

Internal Rating utilizes the Company’s ratings scale, which is similar to that used by the nationally recognized statistical rating organizations; however, the ratings in the tables may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency.

Statutory Net Par and Net Debt Service Outstanding. Under statutory accounting, net par and net debt service outstanding would be reduced both when an outstanding issue is legally defeased (i.e., an issuer has legally discharged its obligations with respect to a municipal security by satisfying conditions set forth in defeasance provisions contained in transaction documents and is no longer responsible for the payment of debt service with respect to such obligations) and when such issue is economically defeased (i.e., transaction documents for a municipal security do not contain defeasance provisions but the issuer establishes an escrow account with U.S. government securities in amounts sufficient to pay the refunded bonds when due; the refunded bonds are not considered paid and continue to be outstanding under the transaction documents and the issuer remains responsible to pay debt service when due to the extent monies on deposit in the escrow account are insufficient for such purpose).

Performance Indicators
The performance information described below is obtained from third parties and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to revision as updated or additional information is obtained:

60+ Day Delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or real estate owned divided by current collateral balance.

Average Credit Enhancement is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured Guaranty’s exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Some asset classes may not have subordinated tranches so they are excluded from the weighted averages.

Sectors
Below are brief descriptions of selected types of public and structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022.

U.S. Public Finance:
General Obligation Bonds are full faith and credit obligations that are issued by states, their political subdivisions and other municipal issuers, and are supported by the general obligation of the issuer to pay from available funds and by a pledge of the issuer to levy property taxes in an amount sufficient to provide for the full payment of the bonds.

Tax-Backed Bonds are obligations that are supported by the issuer from specific and discrete sources of taxation and tax-backed revenue bonds. Tax-backed obligations may be secured by a lien on specific pledged tax revenues, such as a gasoline or excise tax, or an income tax, or incrementally from growth in property tax revenue associated with growth in property values. These obligations also include obligations secured by special assessments levied against property owners and often benefit from issuer covenants to enforce collections of such assessments and to foreclose on delinquent properties. Lease revenue bonds typically are general fund obligations of a municipality or other governmental authority that are subject to annual appropriation or abatement; projects financed and subject to such lease payments ordinarily include real estate or equipment serving an essential public purpose.

Municipal Utility Bonds are obligations of all forms of municipal utilities, including electric, water and sewer utilities and resource recovery revenue bonds. These utilities may be organized in various forms, including municipal enterprise systems, authorities or joint action agencies.

Transportation Bonds include a wide variety of revenue-supported obligations, such as bonds for airports, ports, tunnels, municipal parking facilities, toll roads and toll bridges.

Healthcare Bonds are obligations of healthcare facilities, including community-based hospitals and systems, as well as of health maintenance organizations and long-term care facilities.

Higher Education Bonds are obligations secured by revenue collected by either public or private secondary schools, colleges and universities. Such revenue can encompass all of an institution’s revenue, including tuition and fees, or in other cases, can be specifically restricted to certain auxiliary sources of revenue or revenue relating to student accommodation.
51


Glossary (continued)

Sectors (continued)
Infrastructure Bonds include obligations issued by a variety of entities engaged in the financing of infrastructure projects, such as roads, airports, ports, social infrastructure and other physical assets delivering essential services supported by long-term concession arrangements with a public sector entity.

Housing Revenue Bonds are obligations relating to both single and multi-family housing, issued by states and localities, supported by cash flow and, in some cases, insurance from entities such as the Federal Housing Administration.

Investor-Owned Utility Bonds are obligations primarily issued by investor-owned utilities and include first mortgage bond obligations of for-profit electric or water utilities providing retail, industrial and commercial service, as well as sale-leaseback obligation bonds supported by such entities.

Renewable Energy Bonds are obligations backed by revenue from renewable energy sources.

Other Public Finance Bonds include other debt issued, guaranteed or otherwise supported by U.S. national or local governmental authorities, as well as student loans, revenue bonds, and obligations of some not-for-profit organizations.

Non-U.S. Public Finance:
Regulated Utility Obligations are obligations issued by government-regulated providers of essential services and commodities, including electric, water and gas utilities, supported by the rates and charges paid by the utilities’ customers. The majority of the Company’s non-U.S regulated utility business is conducted in the United Kingdom.

Infrastructure Finance Obligations are obligations issued by a variety of entities engaged in the financing of non-U.S. infrastructure projects, such as roads, airports, ports, social infrastructure, student accommodations, stadiums, and other physical assets delivering essential services supported either by long-term concession arrangements or a regulatory regime. The majority of the Company’s non-U.S. infrastructure business is conducted in the U.K.

Pooled Infrastructure Obligations are synthetic asset-backed obligations that take the form of credit default swap obligations or credit-linked notes that reference either infrastructure finance obligations or a pool of such obligations, with a defined deductible to cover credit risks associated with the referenced obligations. The Company has not entered into a pooled infrastructure transaction since 2006.

Sovereign and Sub-Sovereign Obligations primarily include obligations of local, municipal, regional or national governmental authorities or agencies outside of the United States.

Renewable Energy Bonds are obligations secured by revenues relating to renewable energy sources, typically solar or wind farms. These transactions often benefit from regulatory support in the form of regulated minimum prices for the electricity produced. The majority of the Company’s international renewable energy business is conducted in Spain.

Other Public Finance Obligations are obligations of, or backed by, local, municipal, regional or national governmental authorities or agencies not generally described in any of the other described categories.

Structured Finance:
Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities are obligations backed by first and second lien mortgage loans on residential properties. The credit quality of borrowers covers a broad range, including “prime,” “subprime” and “Alt-A.” A prime borrower is generally defined as one with strong risk characteristics as measured by factors such as payment history, credit score, and debt-to-income ratio. A subprime borrower is a borrower with higher risk characteristics. An Alt-A borrower is generally defined as a prime quality borrower that lacks certain ancillary characteristics, such as fully documented income. RMBS include home equity lines of credit, which refers to a type of residential mortgage-backed transaction backed by second-lien loan collateral. The Company has not provided insurance for RMBS in the primary market since 2008.

Life Insurance Transactions are obligations secured by the future earnings from pools of various types of insurance/reinsurance policies and income produced by invested assets.

Pooled Corporate Obligations are securities primarily backed by various types of corporate debt obligations, such as secured or unsecured bonds, bank loans or loan participations and trust preferred securities. These securities are often issued in “tranches,” with subordinated tranches providing credit support to the more senior tranches. The Company’s financial guaranty exposures generally are to the more senior tranches of these issues.

Consumer Receivables Securities are obligations backed by non-mortgage consumer receivables, such as student loans, automobile loans and leases, manufactured home loans and other consumer receivables.

52


Glossary (continued)

Sectors (continued)
Financial Products Business is the guaranteed investment contracts (GICs) portion of a line of business previously conducted by Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc. (AGMH) that the Company did not acquire when it purchased AGMH in 2009 from Dexia SA and that is being run off. That line of business consisted of AGMH’s guaranteed investment contracts business, its medium term notes business and the equity payment agreements associated with AGMH’s leveraged lease business. Although Dexia SA and certain of its affiliates (Dexia) assumed the liabilities related to such businesses when the Company purchased AGMH, AGM policies related to such businesses remained outstanding. Assured Guaranty is indemnified by Dexia SA and certain of its affiliates against loss from the former Financial Products Business.

Other Structured Finance Obligations are obligations backed by assets not generally described in any of the other described categories.

Specialty Business
The Company also provides specialty insurance, reinsurance and guarantees in transactions with similar risk profiles to its structured finance exposures written in financial guaranty form. The Company provides such specialty insurance and reinsurance, for example, for life insurance transactions and aircraft residual value insurance transactions.


AUM Definitions
The Company uses AUM as a metric to measure progress in its Asset Management segment. Management fee revenue is based on a variety of factors and is not perfectly correlated with AUM. However, the Company believes that AUM is a useful metric for assessing the relative size and scope of the Company’s asset management business. Investors also use AUM to evaluate companies that participate in the asset management business. AUM refers to the assets managed, advised or serviced by the Asset Management segment and equals the sum of the following:

the amount of aggregate collateral balance and principal cash of AssuredIM’s CLOs, including CLO Equity that may be held by AssuredIM Funds. This also includes CLO assets managed by BlueMountain Fuji Management, LLC (BM Fuji), which was sold to a third party in the second quarter of 2021. AssuredIM is not the investment manager of BM Fuji-advised CLOs, but following the sale, AssuredIM sub-advises and continues to provide personnel and other services to BM Fuji associated with the management of BM Fuji-advised CLOs pursuant to a sub-advisory agreement and a personnel and services agreement, consistent with past practices; and

the net asset value of all funds and accounts other than CLOs, plus any unfunded commitments. Changes in NAV attributable to movements in fund value of certain private equity funds are reported on a quarter lag.

The Company’s calculation of AUM may differ from the calculation employed by other investment managers and, as a result, this measure may not be directly comparable to similar measures presented by other investment managers. The calculation also differs from the manner in which AssuredIM affiliates registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) report “Regulatory Assets Under Management” on Form ADV and Form PF in various ways.

    The Company also uses several other measurements of AUM to understand and measure its AUM in more detail and for various purposes, including its relative position in the market and its income and income potential:

“Third-party AUM” refers to the assets AssuredIM manages or advises on behalf of third-party investors. This includes current and former employee investments in AssuredIM Funds. For CLOs, this also includes CLO Equity that may be held by AssuredIM Funds.

“Intercompany AUM” refers to the assets AssuredIM manages or advises on behalf of the Company. This includes investments from affiliates of Assured Guaranty along with general partners’ investments of AssuredIM (or its affiliates) into the AssuredIM Funds.

“Funded AUM” refers to assets that have been deployed or invested into the funds or CLOs.

“Unfunded AUM” refers to unfunded capital commitments from closed-end funds and CLO warehouse funds.

“Fee earning AUM” refers to assets where AssuredIM collects fees and has elected not to waive or rebate fees to investors.

“Non-fee earning AUM” refers to assets where AssuredIM does not collect fees or has elected to waive or rebate fees to investors. AssuredIM reserves the right to waive some or all fees for certain investors, including investors affiliated with AssuredIM and/or the Company. Further, to the extent that the Company’s wind-down and/or opportunity funds are invested in AssuredIM managed CLOs, AssuredIM may rebate any management fees and/or performance fees earned from the CLOs to the extent such fees are attributable to the wind-down and opportunity funds’ holdings of CLOs also managed by AssuredIM.

53


Non-GAAP Financial Measures
 
The Company discloses both (a) financial measures determined in accordance with GAAP and (b) financial measures not determined in accordance with GAAP (non-GAAP financial measures). Financial measures identified as non-GAAP should not be considered substitutes for GAAP financial measures. The primary limitation of non-GAAP financial measures is the potential lack of comparability to financial measures of other companies, whose definitions of non-GAAP financial measures may differ from those of the Company.

The Company believes its presentation of non-GAAP financial measures provides information that is necessary for analysts to calculate their estimates of Assured Guaranty’s financial results in their research reports on Assured Guaranty and for investors, analysts and the financial news media to evaluate Assured Guaranty’s financial results.

GAAP requires the Company to consolidate entities where it is deemed to be the primary beneficiary which include:
FG VIEs, which the Company does not own and where its exposure is limited to its obligation under the financial guaranty insurance contract, and
CIVs in which certain subsidiaries invest and which are managed by AssuredIM.

The Company discloses the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation that is embedded in each non-GAAP financial measure, as applicable. The Company believes this information may also be useful to analysts and investors evaluating Assured Guaranty’s financial results. In the case of both the consolidated FG VIEs and the CIVs, the economic effect on the Company of each of the consolidated FG VIEs and CIVs is reflected primarily in the results of the Insurance segment.

Management of the Company and AGL’s Board of Directors use non-GAAP financial measures further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation (which the Company refers to as its core financial measures), as well as GAAP financial measures and other factors, to evaluate the Company’s results of operations, financial condition and progress towards long-term goals. The Company uses core financial measures in its decision-making process for and in its calculation of certain components of management compensation. The financial measures that the Company uses to help determine compensation are: (1) adjusted operating income, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation; (2) adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation; (3) adjusted book value per share, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation; and (4) PVP.

Management believes that many investors, analysts and financial news reporters use adjusted operating shareholders’ equity and/or adjusted book value, each further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, as the principal financial measures for valuing AGL’s current share price or projected share price and also as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell AGL’s common shares. Management also believes that many of the Company’s fixed income investors also use adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, to evaluate the Company’s capital adequacy.

Adjusted operating income, further adjusted for the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation enables investors and analysts to evaluate the Company’s financial results in comparison with the consensus analyst estimates distributed publicly by financial databases.

The following paragraphs define each non-GAAP financial measure disclosed by the Company and describe why it is useful. To the extent there is a directly comparable GAAP financial measure, a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure is presented within this financial supplement.

Adjusted Operating Income: Management believes that adjusted operating income is a useful measure because it clarifies the understanding of the operating results of the Company. Adjusted operating income is defined as net income (loss) attributable to AGL, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of realized gains (losses) on the Company’s investments, except for gains and losses on securities classified as trading. The timing of realized gains and losses, which depends largely on market credit cycles, can vary considerably across periods. The timing of sales is largely subject to the Company’s discretion and influenced by market opportunities, as well as the Company’s tax and capital profile.

2)    Elimination of non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives that are recognized in net income, which is the amount of unrealized fair value gains (losses) in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses, and non-economic payments. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.
54


Non-GAAP Financial Measures (continued)

3)    Elimination of fair value gains (losses) on the Company’s CCS that are recognized in net income. Such amounts are affected by changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, price indications on the Company’s publicly traded debt and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

4)    Elimination of foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of net premium receivables and loss and LAE reserves that are recognized in net income. Long-dated receivables and loss and LAE reserves represent the present value of future contractual or expected cash flows. Therefore, the current period’s foreign exchange remeasurement gains (losses) are not necessarily indicative of the total foreign exchange gains (losses) that the Company will ultimately recognize.
 
5)    Elimination of the tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

Adjusted Operating Shareholders’ Equity and Adjusted Book Value: Management believes that adjusted operating shareholders’ equity is a useful measure because it excludes the fair value adjustments on investments, credit derivatives and CCS that are not expected to result in economic gain or loss.

Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity is defined as shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount of unrealized fair value gains (losses) in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses, and non-economic payments. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

2)    Elimination of fair value gains (losses) on the Company’s CCS. Such amounts are affected by changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, price indications on the Company’s publicly traded debt, and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.
 
3)    Elimination of unrealized gains (losses) on the Company’s investments that are recorded as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI). The AOCI component of the fair value adjustment on the investment portfolio is not deemed economic because the Company generally holds these investments to maturity and therefore would not recognize an economic gain or loss.

4)     Elimination of the tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

Management uses adjusted book value, further adjusted for FG VIE and CIV consolidation, to measure the intrinsic value of the Company, excluding franchise value. Adjusted book value per share, further adjusted for FG VIE and CIV consolidation (core adjusted book value), is one of the key financial measures used in determining the amount of certain long-term compensation elements to management and employees and used by rating agencies and investors. Management believes that adjusted book value is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the Company’s in-force premiums and revenues net of expected losses. Adjusted book value is adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, as defined above, further adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of deferred acquisition costs, net. These amounts represent net deferred expenses that have already been paid or accrued and will be expensed in future accounting periods.

2)    Addition of the net present value of estimated net future revenue. See below.
 
3)    Addition of the deferred premium revenue on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed, net of reinsurance. This amount represents the present value of the expected future net earned premiums, net of the present value of expected losses to be expensed, which are not reflected in GAAP equity.

4)     Elimination of the tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

The unearned premiums and revenues included in adjusted book value will be earned in future periods, but actual earnings may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current adjusted book value due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults and other factors.

55


Non-GAAP Financial Measures (continued)

Adjusted Operating Return on Equity (Adjusted Operating ROE): Adjusted Operating ROE represents adjusted operating income for a specified period divided by the average of adjusted operating shareholders’ equity at the beginning and the end of that period. Management believes that adjusted operating ROE is a useful measure to evaluate the Company’s return on invested capital. Many investors, analysts and members of the financial news media use adjusted operating ROE, adjusted for VIE consolidation, to evaluate AGL’s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the AGL common shares. Quarterly and year-to-date adjusted operating ROE are calculated on an annualized basis. Adjusted operating ROE, adjusted for VIE consolidation, is one of the key management financial measures used in determining the amount of certain long-term compensation to management and employees and used by rating agencies and investors.

Net Present Value of Estimated Net Future Revenue: Management believes that this amount is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the present value of estimated net future revenue for non-financial guaranty insurance contracts. This amount represents the net present value of estimated future revenue from these contracts (other than credit derivatives with net expected losses), net of reinsurance, ceding commissions and premium taxes.

Future installment premiums are discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than Loss Mitigation Securities. The discount rate is recalculated annually and updated as necessary. Net present value of estimated future revenue for an obligation may change from period to period due to a change in the discount rate or due to a change in estimated net future revenue for the obligation, which may change due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation. There is no corresponding GAAP financial measure.

PVP or Present Value of New Business Production: Management believes that PVP is a useful measure because it enables the evaluation of the value of new business production in the Insurance segment by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period as well as additional installment premiums and fees on existing contracts (which may result from supplements or fees or from the issuer not calling an insured obligation the Company projected would be called), regardless of form, which management believes GAAP gross written premiums and changes in fair value of credit derivatives do not adequately measure. PVP in respect of contracts written in a specified period is defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums. 

Future installment premiums are discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturity securities such as Loss Mitigation Securities. The discount rate is recalculated annually and updated as necessary. Under GAAP, financial guaranty installment premiums are discounted at a risk-free rate. Additionally, under GAAP, management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums the Company expects to receive, which may be based upon a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction.

Actual installment premiums may differ from those estimated in the Company’s PVP calculation due to factors including, but not limited to, changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults, or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation. 

56

agllogoa08a.jpg






Assured Guaranty Ltd.                        
30 Woodbourne Avenue
Hamilton HM 08
Bermuda
(441) 279-5705
www.assuredguaranty.com





Contacts:

Equity and Fixed Income Investors:
Robert Tucker
Senior Managing Director, Investor Relations and Corporate Communications
(212) 339-0861
rtucker@agltd.com

Michael Walker
Managing Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 261-5575
mwalker@agltd.com

Andre Thomas
Managing Director, Equity Investor Relations
(212) 339-3551
athomas@agltd.com

Media:
Ashweeta Durani
Vice President, Media Relations
(212) 408-6042
adurani@agltd.com