EX-99.2 3 agl4q22supplement.htm AGL FINANCIAL SUPPLEMENT Document

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Assured Guaranty Ltd.
December 31, 2022
Financial Supplement
Table of ContentsPage
Income Components
This financial supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGL and, together with its subsidiaries, Assured Guaranty or the Company) with the United States (U.S.) Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022.





Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward Looking Statements:

Any forward looking statements made in this supplement reflect the current views of Assured Guaranty with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. Assured Guaranty's forward looking statements could be affected by many events. These events include (1) significant changes in inflation, interest rates, the world’s credit markets or segments thereof, credit spreads, foreign exchange rates or general economic conditions, including the possibility of a recession; (2) geopolitical risk, including war in Ukraine and the resulting economic sanctions, fragmentation of global supply chains, volatility in energy prices, potential for increased cyberattacks, and risk of intentional or accidental escalation; (3) the possibility of a United States (U.S.) government shutdown, payment defaults on the debt of the U.S. government or instruments issued, insured or guaranteed by related institutions, agencies or instrumentalities, and downgrades to their credit ratings; (4) the development, course and duration of the COVID-19 pandemic and the governmental and private actions taken in response, and the global consequences of the pandemic and such actions, including their impact on the factors listed in this section; (5) developments in the world’s financial and capital markets that adversely affect insured obligors’ repayment rates, Assured Guaranty’s insurance loss or recovery experience, investments of Assured Guaranty or assets it manages; (6) reduction in the amount of available insurance opportunities and/or in the demand for Assured Guaranty’s insurance; (7) the loss of investors in Assured Guaranty’s asset management strategies or the failure to attract new investors to Assured Guaranty’s asset management business; (8) the possibility that budget or pension shortfalls or other factors will result in credit losses or impairments on obligations of state, territorial and local governments and their related authorities and public corporations that Assured Guaranty insures or reinsures; (9) insured losses, including losses with respect to related legal proceedings, in excess of those expected by Assured Guaranty or the failure of Assured Guaranty to realize loss recoveries that are assumed in its expected loss estimates for insurance exposures, including as a result of the final resolution of Assured Guaranty’s remaining Puerto Rico exposures or the amounts recovered on securities received in connection with the resolution of Puerto Rico exposures already resolved; (10) increased competition, including from new entrants into the financial guaranty industry; (11) poor performance of Assured Guaranty’s asset management strategies compared to the performance of the asset management strategies of Assured Guaranty’s competitors; (12) the possibility that investments made by Assured Guaranty for its investment portfolio, including alternative investments and investments it manages, do not result in the benefits anticipated or subject Assured Guaranty to reduced liquidity at a time it requires liquidity, or to unanticipated consequences; (13) the impact of market volatility on the mark-to-market of Assured Guaranty’s assets and liabilities subject to mark-to-market, including certain of its investments, most of its financial guaranty contracts written in credit default swap (CDS) form, and certain consolidated variable interest entities (VIEs); (14) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade, a change in outlook, the placement of ratings on watch for downgrade, or a change in rating criteria, at any time, of AGL or any of its insurance subsidiaries, and/or of any securities AGL or any of its subsidiaries have issued, and/or of transactions that AGL’s insurance subsidiaries have insured; (15) the inability of Assured Guaranty to access external sources of capital on acceptable terms; (16) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (17) changes in applicable laws or regulations, including insurance, bankruptcy and tax laws, or other governmental actions; (18) the possibility that strategic transactions made by Assured Guaranty, including its acquisition of BlueMountain Capital Management LLC (BlueMountain, now known as Assured Investment Management LLC) and its associated entities (BlueMountain Acquisition), do not result in the benefits anticipated or subject Assured Guaranty to unanticipated consequences; (19) difficulties with the execution of Assured Guaranty’s business strategy; (20) loss of key personnel; (21) the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; (22) natural or man-made catastrophes or pandemics; (23) other risk factors identified in AGL’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC); (24) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; and (25) management’s response to these factors. Assured Guaranty undertakes no obligation to update publicly or review any forward looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as required by law.



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights (1 of 2)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

Three Months Ended Year Ended
December 31,December 31,
2022202120222021
GAAP (1) Highlights
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL$94 $263 $124 $389 
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share1.52 3.74 1.92 5.23 
Weighted average shares outstanding
Basic shares outstanding59.8 69.4 62.9 73.5 
Diluted shares outstanding (7)
61.0 70.4 63.9 74.3 
Effective tax rate on net income16.8 %14.9 %7.2 %12.2 %
GAAP return on equity (ROE) (4)
7.5 %16.8 %2.2 %6.0 %
Non-GAAP Highlights (2)
Adjusted operating income (loss)$14 $273 $267 $470 
Adjusted operating income (loss) per diluted share (2)
$0.22 $3.88 $4.14 $6.32 
Weighted average diluted shares outstanding61.0 70.4 63.9 74.3 
Effective tax rate on adjusted operating income (3)
61.4 %15.1 %9.2 %13.2 %
Adjusted operating ROE (2)(4)
1.0 %18.4 %4.6 %7.8 %
Components of adjusted operating income (loss) (2)
Insurance segment$66 $277 $413 $722 
Asset Management segment(3)(3)(6)(19)
Corporate division(36)(31)(134)(263)
Other (5)
(13)30 (6)30 
Adjusted operating income (loss)$14 $273 $267 $470 
Insurance Segment
Gross written premiums (GWP)$131 $100 $360 $377 
Present value of new business production (PVP) (2)
135 98 375 361 
Gross par written7,035 6,486 22,047 26,656 
Asset Management Segment
Assets under management (AUM):
Inflows-third party$23 $889 $1,385 $2,971 
Inflows-intercompany— 61 270 243 
Effect of refundings and terminations on GAAP measures:
Net earned premiums, pre-tax$34 $20 $179 $59 
Fair value gains (losses) of credit derivatives, pre-tax  2 7 
Net income effect27 15 142 51 
Net income per diluted share 0.44 0.21 2.23 0.68 
Effect of refundings and terminations on non-GAAP measures:
Operating net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues (5), pre-tax
$34 $20 $181 $66 
Adjusted operating income (5) effect
27 15 142 51 
Adjusted operating income per diluted share (5)
0.44 0.21 2.23 0.68 

1)    Accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP).
2)    Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
3)    Represents the ratio of adjusted operating provision for income taxes to adjusted operating income before income taxes.
4)    Quarterly ROE calculations represent annualized returns. See page 6 for additional information on calculation.
5)    Condensed consolidated statement of operations items mentioned in this Financial Supplement that are described as operating (i.e. operating net earned premiums) are non-GAAP measures and represent components of adjusted operating income. Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
6)    Represents the effect of consolidating financial guaranty variable interest entities and consolidated investment vehicles (FG VIE and CIV consolidation).
7)    In periods where the Company recognized a net loss, the impact of potentially dilutive outstanding stock-based awards was excluded from the calculation of diluted loss per share as their inclusion would have an antidilutive effect.
1


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights (2 of 2)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

As of
December 31, 2022December 31, 2021
AmountPer ShareAmountPer Share
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL$5,064 $85.80 $6,292 $93.19 
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity (1)
5,543 93.92 5,991 88.73 
Adjusted book value (1)
8,379 141.98 8,823 130.67 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity17 0.28 32 0.47 
Adjusted book value11 0.19 23 0.34 
Shares outstanding at the end of period59.0 67.5 
Exposure
Financial guaranty net debt service outstanding $369,951 $367,360 
Financial guaranty net par outstanding:
Investment grade$227,366 $229,036 
Below-investment-grade (BIG)5,892 7,356 
Total233,258 236,392 
Claims-paying resources (2)
$10,818 $11,219 
AUM
Collateralized loan obligations (CLOs)$15,150 $14,699 
Opportunity funds1,884 1,824 
Liquid strategies248 389 
Wind-down funds182 582 
Total$17,464 $17,494 

1)    Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
2)    See page 19 for additional detail on claims-paying resources.
2


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (unaudited)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

Three Months Ended Year Ended
December 31,December 31,
2022202120222021
Revenues
Net earned premiums$109 $107 $494 $414 
Net investment income78 65 269 269 
Asset management fees22 23 93 88 
Net realized investment gains (losses)(17)11 (56)15 
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives31 (27)(11)(58)
Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities (CCS)12 — 24 (28)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs(5)22 23 
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs(8)74 17 127 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement69 (1)(112)(23)
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities(4)— (34)— 
Commutation gains (losses)— — — 
Other income (loss)15 21 
Total revenues292 263 723 848 
Expenses
Loss and LAE (benefit)45 (166)16 (220)
Interest expense21 20 81 87 
Loss on extinguishment of debt— — — 175 
Amortization of DAC14 14 
Employee compensation and benefit expenses69 57 258 230 
Other operating expenses47 44 167 179 
Total expenses185 (41)536 465 
Income (loss) before income taxes and equity in earnings (losses) of investees107 304 187 383 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees(8)28 (39)94 
Income (loss) before income taxes99 332 148 477 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes17 50 11 58 
Net income (loss)82 282 137 419 
Less: Noncontrolling interests(12)19 13 30 
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL$94 $263 $124 $389 
Earnings per share:
Basic$1.55 $3.80 $1.95 $5.29 
Diluted$1.52 $3.74 $1.92 $5.23 

3


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited)
(dollars in millions)
As of
December 31,December 31,
20222021
Assets
Investments:
Fixed-maturity securities, available-for-sale, at fair value$7,119 $8,202 
Fixed-maturity securities, trading, at fair value303 — 
Short-term investments, at fair value810 1,225 
Other invested assets133 181 
Total investments8,365 9,608 
Cash107 120 
Premiums receivable, net of commissions payable1,298 1,372 
Deferred acquisition costs (DAC)147 131 
Salvage and subrogation recoverable257 801 
Financial guaranty variable interest entities’ (FG VIEs’) assets, at fair value416 260 
Assets of consolidated investment vehicles (CIVs)5,493 5,271 
Goodwill and other intangible assets163 175 
Other assets597 470 
Total assets$16,843 $18,208 
Liabilities
Unearned premium reserve$3,620 $3,716 
Loss and loss adjustment expense (LAE) reserve296 869 
Long-term debt1,675 1,673 
Credit derivative liabilities, at fair value163 156 
FG VIEs’ liabilities, at fair value715 289 
Liabilities of CIVs4,625 4,436 
Other liabilities457 569 
Total liabilities11,551 11,708 
Redeemable noncontrolling interests 22 
Shareholders’ equity
Common shares
Retained earnings5,577 5,990 
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)(515)300 
Deferred equity compensation
Total shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL5,064 6,292 
Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests228 186 
Total shareholders’ equity 5,292 6,478 
Total liabilities, redeemable noncontrolling interests and shareholders’ equity$16,843 $18,208 



4


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights
GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations (1 of 3)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

Adjusted Operating Income ReconciliationThree Months Ended Year Ended
December 31,December 31,
2022202120222021
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL$94 $263 $124 $389 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments(17)11 (56)15 
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives28 (23)(18)(64)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS12 — 24 (28)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves70 — (110)(21)
Total pre-tax adjustments93 (12)(160)(98)
Less tax effect on pre-tax adjustments(13)17 17 
Adjusted operating income (loss)$14 $273 $267 $470 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating income$(13)$30 $(6)$30 
Components of adjusted operating income:
Segments:
Insurance$66 $277 $413 $722 
Asset Management(3)(3)(6)(19)
Total segments63 274 407 703 
Corporate division(36)(31)(134)(263)
Other(13)30 (6)30 
Adjusted operating income (loss)$14 $273 $267 $470 
Per diluted share:
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL$1.52 $3.74 $1.92 $5.23 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments(0.29)0.16 (0.87)0.20 
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives0.47 (0.32)(0.27)(0.85)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS
0.19 (0.01)0.37 (0.38)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves1.13 — (1.72)(0.29)
Total pre-tax adjustments1.50 (0.17)(2.49)(1.32)
Less tax effect on pre-tax adjustments(0.20)0.03 0.27 0.23 
Adjusted operating income (loss)$0.22 $3.88 $4.14 $6.32 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating income$(0.22)$0.43 $(0.10)$0.41 


Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.







5


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights
GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations (2 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

ROE Reconciliation and Calculation
December 31,September 30,December 31,September 30,December 31,
20222022202120212020
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL$5,064 $4,929 $6,292 $6,300 $6,643 
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity5,543 5,575 5,991 5,906 6,087 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating shareholders’ equity 17 27 32  2 
Three Months Ended Year Ended
December 31,December 31,
2022202120222021
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL$94 $263 $124 $389 
Adjusted operating income (loss)14 273 267 470 
Average shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL$4,997 $6,296 $5,678 $6,468 
Average adjusted operating shareholders’ equity5,559 5,949 5,767 6,039 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in average adjusted operating shareholders’ equity 22 16 25 17 
GAAP ROE (1)
7.5 %16.8 %2.2 %6.0 %
Adjusted operating ROE (1)
1.0 %18.4 %4.6 %7.8 %

1)    Quarterly ROE calculations represent annualized returns.

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.


6


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights
GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations (3 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

As of
December 31,September 30,December 31,September 30,December 31,
20222022202120212020
Reconciliation of shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL to adjusted book value:
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL$5,064 $4,929 $6,292 $6,300 $6,643 
Less pre-tax reconciling items:
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (71)(101)(54)(32)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS47 35 23 24 52 
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio (523)(672)404 492 611 
Less taxes68 92 (72)(90)(116)
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity5,543 5,575 5,991 5,906 6,087 
Pre-tax reconciling items:
Less: Deferred acquisition costs 147 142 131 129 119 
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue157 159 160 164 182 
Plus: Net deferred premium revenue on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed3,428 3,373 3,402 3,383 3,355 
Plus taxes(602)(594)(599)(597)(597)
Adjusted book value$8,379 $8,371 $8,823 $8,727 $8,908 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity (net of tax (provision) benefit of $(4), $(6), $(5), $(1) and $-)$17 $27 $32 $— $
Adjusted book value (net of tax (provision) benefit of $(3), $(4), $(3), $3 and $2)$11 $16 $23 $(9)$(8)



Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.





7


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Income Components (1 of 4)
(in millions)

Components of Income for the Three Months Ended December 31, 2022


SegmentsCorporate and Other
InsuranceAsset ManagementCorporateOther (1)Reconciling ItemsConsolidated
Revenues
Net earned premiums$109 $— $— $— $— $109 
Net investment income80 — (3)— 78 
Asset management fees— 20 — — 22 
Net realized investment gains (losses)— — — — (17)(17)
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (2)
— — — 29 31 
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS— — — — 12 12 
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs— — — (5)— (5)
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs— — — (8)— (8)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement— — (3)70 69 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities(4)— — — — (4)
Other income (loss)— (3)— 
Total revenues193 24 (20)94 292 
Expenses
Loss and LAE (benefit) (3)
44 — — — 45 
Interest expense— 23 (3)— 21 
Amortization of DAC— — — — 
Employee compensation and benefit expenses41 18 10 — — 69 
Other operating expenses24 — 47 
Total expenses112 28 39 185 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees(5)— — (3)— (8)
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes10 (1)(2)(3)13 17 
Less: Noncontrolling interests— — — (12)— (12)
Total$66 $(3)$(36)$(13)$80 $94 


1)    Includes the consolidation of the FG VIEs and CIVs and intersegment eliminations.
2)    Insurance segment balances for this line include only the credit derivative revenues component of realized gains (losses) on credit derivatives.
3)    Insurance segment balances for this line item includes credit derivative impairment (recoveries).


8


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Income Components (2 of 4)
(in millions)

Components of Income for the Three Months Ended December 31, 2021

SegmentsCorporate and Other
InsuranceAsset ManagementCorporateOther (1)Reconciling ItemsConsolidated
Revenues
Net earned premiums$108 $— $— $(1)$— $107 
Net investment income67 — (3)— 65 
Asset management fees— 21 — — 23 
Net realized investment gains (losses)— — — — 11 11 
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (2)
— — — (30)(27)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS— — — — — — 
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs— — — — 
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs— — — 74 — 74 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement(1)— — — — (1)
Other income (loss)— (1)— 
Total revenues182 23 76 (19)263 
Expenses
Loss and LAE (benefit) (3)
(161)— — (7)(166)
Interest expense— 22 (3)— 20 
Amortization of DAC— — — — 
Employee compensation and benefit expenses37 14 — — 57 
Other operating expenses22 11 — 44 
Total expenses(98)26 33 (7)(41)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees44 — (1)(15)— 28 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes47 — (2)(2)50 
Less: Noncontrolling interests— — — 19 — 19 
Total$277 $(3)$(31)$30 $(10)$263 
1)    Includes the consolidation of the FG VIEs and CIVs and intersegment eliminations.
2)    Insurance segment balances for this line include only the credit derivative revenues component of realized gains (losses) on credit derivatives.
3)    Insurance segment balances for this line item includes credit derivative impairment (recoveries).
9


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Income Components (3 of 4)
(in millions)

Components of Income for the Year Ended December 31, 2022

SegmentsCorporate and Other
InsuranceAsset ManagementCorporateOther (1)Reconciling ItemsConsolidated
Revenues
Net earned premiums$497 $— $— $(3)$— $494 
Net investment income278 — (13)— 269 
Asset management fees— 106 — (13)— 93 
Net realized investment gains (losses)— — — — (56)(56)
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (2)
11 — — — (22)(11)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS— — — — 24 24 
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs— — — 22 — 22 
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs— — — 17 — 17 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement(5)(1)— (110)(112)
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities(34)— — — — (34)
Commutation gains (losses)— — — — 
Other income (loss)— — — 15 
Total revenues757 112 14 (164)723 
Expenses
Loss and LAE (benefit) (3)
12 — — (4)16 
Interest expense89 (10)— 81 
Amortization of DAC14 — — — — 14 
Employee compensation and benefit expenses148 80 30 — — 258 
Other operating expenses84 38 24 21 — 167 
Total expenses259 119 143 19 (4)536 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees(51)— — 12 — (39)
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes34 (1)(5)— (17)11 
Less: Noncontrolling interests— — — 13 — 13 
Total$413 $(6)$(134)$(6)$(143)$124 

1)    Includes the consolidation of the FG VIEs and CIVs and intersegment eliminations.
2)    Insurance segment balances for this line include only the credit derivative revenues component of realized gains (losses) on credit derivatives.
3)    Insurance segment balances for this line item includes credit derivative impairment (recoveries).

10


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Income Components (4 of 4)
(in millions)

Components of Income for the Year Ended December 31, 2021

SegmentsCorporate and Other
InsuranceAsset ManagementCorporateOther (1)Reconciling ItemsConsolidated
Revenues
Net earned premiums$418 $— $— $(4)$— $414 
Net investment income280 — (13)— 269 
Asset management fees— 77 — 11 — 88 
Net realized investment gains (losses)— — — — 15 15 
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (2)
20 — — — (78)(58)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS— — — — (28)(28)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs— — — 23 — 23 
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs— — — 127 — 127 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement(2)— — — (21)(23)
Other income (loss)17 — (2)— 21 
Total revenues733 83 142 (112)848 
Expenses
Loss and LAE (benefit) (3)
(221)— — 15 (14)(220)
Interest expense— 96 (10)— 87 
Loss on extinguishment of debt— — 175 — — 175 
Amortization of DAC14 — — — — 14 
Employee compensation and benefit expenses142 67 21 — — 230 
Other operating expenses98 40 20 21 — 179 
Total expenses33 108 312 26 (14)465 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees144 — — (50)— 94 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes122 (6)(47)(17)58 
Less: Noncontrolling interests— — — 30 — 30 
Total$722 $(19)$(263)$30 $(81)$389 

1)    Includes the consolidation of the FG VIEs and CIVs and intersegment eliminations.
2)    Insurance segment balances for this line include only the credit derivative revenues component of realized gains (losses) on credit derivatives.
3)    Insurance segment balances for this line item includes credit derivative impairment (recoveries).
11


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Fixed-Maturity Securities, Short-Term Investments and Cash
As of December 31, 2022
(dollars in millions)
Amortized CostAllowance for Credit LossesPre-Tax
Book Yield
After-Tax Book YieldFair Value
Annualized Investment Income (1)
Fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale:
Obligations of states and political subdivisions (2)(4)(7)
$3,509 $(14)3.67 %3.38 %$3,394 $129 
U.S. government and agencies118 — 2.04 1.75 111 
Corporate securities2,387 (6)2.70 2.37 2,084 64 
Mortgage-backed securities:
Residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) (3)(4)
418 (19)5.16 4.28 340 22 
Commercial mortgage-backed securities282 — 3.49 3.05 271 10 
Asset-backed securities (ABS)
CLOs449 — 6.36 5.02 428 29 
Other ABS (4)
423 (26)3.90 3.13 393 16 
Non-U.S. government securities121 — 1.08 1.06 98 
Total fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale7,707 (65)3.55 3.12 7,119 273 
Short-term investments810 — 3.22 2.58 810 26 
Cash (5)
107 — — — 107 — 
Total$8,624 $(65)3.52 %3.07 %$8,036 $299 
Fixed maturity securities, trading (8)
$303 
Ratings (6):
Fair Value% of Portfolio
U.S. government and agencies$111 1.6 %
AAA/Aaa1,012 14.2 %
AA/Aa2,530 35.5 %
A/A1,736 24.4 %
BBB784 11.0 %
BIG528 7.4 %
Not rated (7)
418 5.9 %
Total fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale$7,119 100.0 %
Duration of available-for-sale fixed maturity securities and short-term investments (in years):4.0
Average ratings of fixed maturity securities and short-term investmentsA

1)    Represents annualized investment income based on amortized cost and pre-tax book yields.
2)    Includes obligations of state and local political subdivisions that have been insured by other financial guarantors. The underlying ratings of these bonds, after giving effect to the lower of the rating assigned by S&P Global Ratings, a division of Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC (S&P) or Moody’s Investors Service, Inc. (Moody’s), average A.
3)    Includes fair value of $154 million in subprime RMBS, which has an average rating of BIG.
4)    Includes securities purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation or other risk management strategies.
5)    Cash is not included in the yield calculation.
6)    Ratings are represented by the lower of the Moody’s or S&P classifications except for purchased securities that it has insured, and for which it had expected losses to be paid (loss mitigation securities) and certain other securities, which use internal ratings classifications. Loss mitigation and other securities for which internal ratings are used total $922 million in par with carrying value of $594 million and primarily included in BIG category.
7)    Includes $358 million of new general obligation bonds and new bonds backed by toll revenue received in connection with 2022 Puerto Rico Resolutions (see page 33).
8)    Represents contingent value instruments received in connection with 2022 Puerto Rico Resolutions (see page 33). These securities are not rated.


12


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Investment Portfolio, Cash and CIVs
GAAP
(dollars in millions)

Investment Portfolio, Cash and CIVs as of December 31, 2022
Insurance Subsidiaries (1)
Holding Companies (2)
OtherAGL Consolidated
Fixed-maturity securities, available-for-sale$7,095 $24 $ $7,119 
Fixed-maturity securities, trading303   303 
Short-term investments668 132 10 810 
Cash44 56 107 
Total short-term investments and cash712 139 66 917 
Other invested assets
AssuredIM Funds (3)
CLOs272 — (272)— 
Municipal bonds105 — (105)— 
Healthcare91 — (91)— 
Asset-based101 — (101)— 
Equity method investments AssuredIM Funds569 — (569)— 
Other122 133 
Other invested assets691 9 (567)133 
Total investment portfolio and cash$8,801 $172 $(501)$8,472 
CIVs
Assets of CIVs$— $— $5,493 $5,493 
Liabilities of CIVs— — (4,625)(4,625)
Redeemable noncontrolling interests— — — — 
Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests— — (228)(228)
Total CIVs$ $ $640 $640 

Investment Portfolio, Cash and CIVs as of December 31, 2021
Insurance SubsidiariesHolding CompaniesOtherAGL Consolidated
Fixed-maturity securities, available-for-sale$8,106 $96 $ $8,202 
Short-term investments859 355 11 1,225 
Cash71 — 49 120 
Total short-term investments and cash930 355 60 1,345 
Other invested assets
AssuredIM Funds
CLOs228 — (228)— 
Municipal bonds107 — (107)— 
Healthcare115 — (115)— 
Asset-based93 — (93)— 
Equity method investments AssuredIM Funds543 — (543)— 
Other167 181 
Other invested assets710 8 (537)181 
Total investment portfolio and cash$9,746 $459 $(477)$9,728 
CIVs
Assets of CIVs$— $— $5,271 $5,271 
Liabilities of CIVs— — (4,436)(4,436)
Redeemable noncontrolling interests— — (22)(22)
Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests— — (186)(186)
Total CIVs$ $ $627 $627 
1)    Includes the Company's U.S., Bermuda and European insurance subsidiaries.
2)    Includes the Company's' holding companies: AGL, Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. and Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc. (AGMH).
3)    Funds managed by Assured Investment Management LLC (AssuredIM LLC) and its investment management affiliates (together with AssuredIM LLC, AssuredIM) (AssuredIM Funds).
13


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Income from Investment Portfolio and CIVs
Segment (1 of 2)
(dollars in millions)

Income from Investment Portfolio and Fair Value Gains (Losses) on CIVs on a Segment basis for the Three Months Ended December 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021

Three Months Ended December 31, 2022
InsuranceAsset ManagementCorporateOtherTotal
Net investment income$80 $ $1 $(3)$78 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities(4)— — — $(4)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees
AssuredIM Funds$$— $— $(3)$— 
Other(8)— — — (8)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees$(5)$ $ $(3)$(8)
CIVs
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs$— $— $— $(8)$(8)
Noncontrolling interests— — — 12 12 
Total CIVs$ $ $ $4 $4 


Three Months Ended December 31, 2021
InsuranceAsset ManagementCorporateOtherTotal
Net investment income$67 $ $1 $(3)$65 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees
AssuredIM Funds$10 $— $— $(15)$(5)
Other34 — (1)— 33 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees$44 $ $(1)$(15)$28 
CIVs
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs$— $— $— $74 $74 
Noncontrolling interests— — — (19)(19)
Total CIVs$ $ $ $55 $55 


14


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Income from Investment Portfolio and CIVs
Segment (2 of 2)
(dollars in millions)

Income from Investment Portfolio and Fair Value Gains (Losses) on CIVs for the Year Ended December 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021

Year Ended December 31, 2022
InsuranceAsset ManagementCorporateOtherTotal
Net investment income$278 $ $4 $(13)$269 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities(34)— — — $(34)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees
AssuredIM Funds$(10)$— $— $12 $
Other(41)— — — (41)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees$(51)$ $ $12 $(39)
CIVs
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs$— $— $— $17 $17 
Noncontrolling interests— — — (13)(13)
Total CIVs$ $ $ $4 $4 


Year Ended December 31, 2021
InsuranceAsset ManagementCorporateOtherTotal
Net investment income$280 $ $2 $(13)$269 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees
AssuredIM Funds$80 $— $— $(50)$30 
Other64 — — — 64 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees$144 $ $ $(50)$94 
CIVs
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs$— $— $— $127 $127 
Noncontrolling interests— — — (30)(30)
Total CIVs$ $ $ $97 $97 
15


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Equity Method Alternative Investments in the Insurance Segment
(dollars in millions)

Carrying ValueEquity in Earnings
December 31, 2022December 31, 2021Fourth Quarter 2022Twelve Months 2022Inception-to-Date
AssuredIM Funds(1)
Strategy:
CLOs$272 $228 $$(2)$39 
Municipal bonds105 107 (2)
Healthcare(3)
91 115 (5)(11)38 
Asset-based(3)
101 93 (2)27 
AssuredIM Funds (2)
569 543 (10)110 
Other alternative investments(3)
117 161 (8)(41)47 
Total $686 $704 $(5)$(51)$157 

1)    Eliminated in consolidation at the AGL level, reported in equity in earnings at AG Asset Strategies LLC (AGAS), which is owned 65% by Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. (AGM) and 35% by Assured Guaranty Corp. (AGC). AGAS is consolidated in AGM's consolidated financial statements.
2)    The inception-to-date annualized internal rate of return (IRR) is 9.4%, the year to date return was a negative 1.8% and the quarter to date return was 0.5%. For AssuredIM Funds, the returns represent IRR based on mark-to-market gains (losses). The inception-to-date IRRs are annualized; the quarterly and year-to-date returns are not annualized.
3)    Includes funds and investments reported on a lag. Excludes equity method investment in the Corporate division of $6 million and $8 million as of December 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively.

16












Insurance Segment
17


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Insurance Segment Results
(dollars in millions)

Three Months Ended Year Ended
December 31,December 31,
2022202120222021
Segment revenues
Net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues$111 $111 $508 $438 
Net investment income80 67 278 280 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities(4)— (34)— 
Commutation gains (losses)— — — 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement and other income (loss)15 
Total segment revenues193 182 757 733 
Segment expenses
Loss expense (benefit)44 (161)12 (221)
Interest expense— — — 
Amortization of DAC14 14 
Employee compensation and benefit expenses41 37 148 142 
Write-off of Municipal Assurance Corp. (MAC) insurance licenses— — — 16 
Other operating expenses24 22 84 82 
Total segment expenses112 (98)259 33 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees(5)44 (51)144 
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes76 324 447 844 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes10 47 34 122 
Segment adjusted operating income (loss)$66 $277 $413 $722 



18


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Claims-Paying Resources
(dollars in millions)
As of December 31, 2022
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.Assured Guaranty Corp.
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. (6)
Eliminations(2)
Consolidated
Claims-paying resources
Policyholders' surplus$2,747 $1,916 $709 $(217)$5,155 
Contingency reserve855 347 — — 1,202 
Qualified statutory capital3,602 2,263 709 (217)6,357 
Unearned premium reserve and net deferred ceding commission income(1)
2,134 327 551 (71)2,941 
Loss and LAE reserves (1)(7)
— — 165 — 165 
Total policyholders' surplus and reserves5,736 2,590 1,425 (288)9,463 
Present value of installment premium503 200 252 — 955 
CCS200 200 — — 400 
Total claims-paying resources$6,439 $2,990 $1,677 $(288)$10,818 
Statutory net exposure (1)(3)
$154,628 $20,951 $56,732 $(602)$231,709 
Net debt service outstanding (1)(3)
$249,089 $32,983 $87,494 $(1,269)$368,297 
Ratios:
Net exposure to qualified statutory capital43:19:180:136:1
Capital ratio (4)
69:115:1123:158:1
Financial resources ratio (5)
39:111:152:134:1
Statutory net exposure to claims-paying resources 24:17:134:121:1

1)    The numbers shown for AGM have been adjusted to include 100% share of its United Kingdom (U.K.) and French insurance subsidiaries.
2)    Eliminations are primarily for (i) intercompany surplus notes between AGM and AGC, and (ii) eliminations of intercompany deferred ceding commissions. Net exposure and net debt service outstanding eliminations relate to second-to-pay policies under which an Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary guarantees an obligation already insured by another Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary.
3)    Net exposure and net debt service outstanding are presented on a statutory basis. Includes $1,186 million of specialty insurance and reinsurance exposure, and a guarantee of rental income cash flows with maximum potential exposure of $228 million.
4)    The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.
5)    The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims-paying resources.
6)    Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. (AG Re) numbers represent the Company's estimate of AG Re on a U.S. statutory basis, except for contingency reserves.
7)    Loss and LAE reserves exclude adjustments to claims-paying resources for AGM and AGC because they were in a net recoverable position of $26 million and $49 million, respectively.


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the presentation of net debt service and net par outstanding.


19


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
New Business Production
(dollars in millions)

Reconciliation of GWP to PVP for the Three Months Ended December 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021

Three Months Ended Three Months Ended
December 31, 2022December 31, 2021
Public FinanceStructured FinancePublic FinanceStructured Finance
U.S.Non - U.S.
U.S.
Non - U.S.TotalU.S.Non - U.S.U.S.Non - U.S.Total
Total GWP$88 $9 $33 $1 $131 $71 $19 $8 $2 $100 
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments (1)
40 29 79 10 16 33 
Upfront GWP48 — — 52 61 — 67 
Plus: Installment premiums and other(2)
46 36 — 83 13 31 
Total PVP$94 $$40 $— $135 $70 $16 $10 $$98 
Gross par written $5,819 $ $971 $245 $7,035 $5,947 $ $375 $164 $6,486 


Reconciliation of GWP to PVP for the Year Ended December 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021

Year EndedYear Ended
December 31, 2022December 31, 2021
Public FinanceStructured FinancePublic FinanceStructured Finance
U.S.Non - U.S.U.S.Non - U.S.TotalU.S.Non - U.S.U.S.Non - U.S.Total
Total GWP$248 $75 $37 $ $360 $231 $89 $51 $6 $377 
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments (1)
40 75 30 — 145 43 65 44 158 
Upfront GWP208 — — 215 188 24 — 219 
Plus: Installment premiums and other(2)
49 68 36 160 47 55 35 142 
Total PVP$257 $68 $43 $$375 $235 $79 $42 $$361 
Gross par written $19,801 $624 $1,077 $545 $22,047 $23,793 $1,117 $1,316 $430 $26,656 

(1)    Includes the present value of new business on installment policies discounted at the prescribed GAAP discount rates, GWP adjustments on existing installment policies due to changes in assumptions and other GAAP adjustments.
(2)    Includes the present value of future premiums and fees on new business paid in installments discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturities such as Loss Mitigation Securities. The year 2022 also includes the present value of future premiums and fees associated with a financial guarantee written by the Company that, under GAAP, is accounted for under Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) 460, Guarantees.

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.







20


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Gross Par Written (1 of 2)
(dollars in millions)


Gross Par Written by Asset Type
Three Months Ended December 31,
20222021
Gross Par WrittenAverage Internal RatingGross Par WrittenAverage Internal Rating
Sector:
U.S. public finance:
General obligation$1,403 BBB+$2,609 A-
Transportation732 BBB+856 BBB
Municipal utilities980 BBB+684 A-
Tax backed949 A970 A
Healthcare769 BBB447 BBB+
Higher education366 A-341 A
Infrastructure finance573 BBB-40 A
Investor-owned utilities47 BBB— 
Other— — 
Total U.S. public finance5,819 BBB+5,947 A-
Non-U.S. public finance:
Total non-U.S. public finance— — 
Total public finance5,819 BBB+5,947 A-
U.S. structured finance:
Insurance securitization 653 A217 AA-
Pooled corporate obligations129 AAA11 AAA
Commercial mortgage-backed securities100 A— 
Structured credit10 BBB— 
Other79 A147 A-
Total U.S. structured finance971 A+375 A+
Non-U.S. structured finance:
Pooled corporate obligations11 AAA131 AAA
Other234 A33 A
Total non-U.S. structured finance245 A164 AAA
Total structured finance1,216 A+539 AA-
Total gross par written$7,035 A-$6,486 A-

Please refer to the Glossary for a description of internal ratings and sectors.


















21


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Gross Par Written (2 of 2)
(dollars in millions)


Gross Par Written by Asset Type
Year Ended December 31,
20222021
Gross Par WrittenAverage Internal RatingGross Par WrittenAverage Internal Rating
Sector:
U.S. public finance:
General obligation$6,267 A-$9,284 A-
Transportation3,707 BBB+3,307 A-
Municipal utilities3,240 A3,008 A-
Tax backed2,754 A4,271 A-
Healthcare2,355 BBB+1,524 BBB+
Higher education734 A-1,544 A
Infrastructure finance697 BBB-792 BBB+
Investor-owned utilities47 BBB— 
Housing revenue— 44 BBB-
Other— 19 A
Total U.S. public finance19,801 A-23,793 A-
Non-U.S. public finance:
Regulated utilities417 BBB— 
Infrastructure finance207 BBB-858 BBB
Renewable energy — 153 BBB+
Sovereign and sub-sovereign— 106 A
Total non-U.S. public finance624 BBB1,117 BBB+
Total public finance20,425 A-24,910 A-
U.S. structured finance:
Insurance securitization 653 A1,065 A+
Pooled corporate obligations129 AAA11 AAA
Commercial mortgage-backed securities113 A37 A
Structured credit27 BBB— 
Other155 A203 A-
Total U.S. structured finance1,077 A+1,316 A+
Non-U.S. structured finance:
Commercial receivables (1)
257 AA— 
Pooled corporate obligations11 AAA397 AA
Other277 A33 A
Total non-U.S. structured finance545 AA-430 AA
Total structured finance1,622 A+1,746 AA-
Total gross par written$22,047 A-$26,656 A-

(1)    Represents guarantees of rental income cash flows.

Please refer to the Glossary for a description of internal ratings and sectors.
22


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
New Business Production by Quarter
(dollars in millions)

Year Ended
1Q-212Q-213Q-214Q-211Q-222Q-223Q-224Q-2220212022
PVP:
Public finance - U.S.$81 $29 $55 $70 $49 $57 $57 $94 $235 $257 
Public finance - non-U.S.43 17 16 12 18 37 79 68 
Structured finance - U.S.21 10 — 40 42 43 
Structured finance - non-U.S.— — — — 
Total PVP (1)
$86 $81 $96 $98 $69 $76 $95 $135 $361 $375 
Reconciliation of GWP to PVP:
Total GWP$87 $84 $106 $100 $70 $65 $94 $131 $377 $360 
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments38 35 52 33 19 39 79 158 145 
Upfront GWP49 49 54 67 51 57 55 52 219 215 
Plus: Installment premiums and other(2)
37 32 42 31 18 19 40 83 142 160 
Total PVP$86 $81 $96 $98 $69 $76 $95 $135 $361 $375 
Gross par written:
Public finance - U.S.$5,427 $4,716 $7,703 $5,947 $3,931 $6,429 $3,622 $5,819 $23,793 $19,801 
Public finance - non-U.S.— 961 156 — 223 207 194 — 1,117 624 
Structured finance - U.S.45 460 436 375 60 16 30 971 1,316 1,077 
Structured finance - non-U.S.— — 266 164 257 43 — 245 430 545 
Total$5,472 $6,137 $8,561 $6,486 $4,471 $6,695 $3,846 $7,035 $26,656 $22,047 

1)    First quarter 2022 PVP and gross par written includes the present value (PV) of future premiums and total exposure, respectively, associated with a financial guarantee written by the Company that, under GAAP, are accounted for under ASC 460, Guarantees.
2)    Includes the present value of future premiums and fees on new business paid in installments discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturities such as Loss Mitigation Securities. The year 2022 also includes the present value of future premiums and fees associated with a financial guarantee written by the Company that, under GAAP, is accounted for under Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) 460, Guarantees.

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.

23


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Estimated Net Exposure Amortization(1) and Estimated Future Financial Guaranty Net Premium
and Credit Derivative Revenues
(dollars in millions)

Financial Guaranty Insurance (2)
Estimated Net Debt Service AmortizationEstimated Ending Net Debt Service OutstandingExpected PV Net Earned Premiums (i.e. Net Deferred Premium Revenue)Accretion of DiscountEffect of FG VIE Consolidation on Expected PV Net Earned Premiums and Accretion of Discount
Future Credit Derivative Revenues (3)
2022 (as of December 31)$369,951 
2023 Q1$4,110 365,841 $69 $$$
2023 Q24,139 361,702 69 
2023 Q36,336 355,366 69 
2023 Q44,941 350,425 68 
202418,824 331,601 260 21 
202520,170 311,431 244 20 
202619,241 292,190 229 18 
202717,646 274,544 214 17 
2023-202795,407 274,544 1,222 99 14 39 
2028-203283,967 190,577 898 70 11 30 
2033-203766,444 124,133 608 47 11 24 
2038-204247,693 76,440 370 31 16 
After 204276,440 — 521 46 — 11 
Total$369,951 $3,619 $293 $37 $120 


Reconciliation of Net Deferred Premium Revenue to Net Unearned Premium Reserve(4)

GAAPEffect of FG VIE Consolidation on Net Unearned Premium Reserve
Net deferred premium revenue:
Financial guaranty$3,619 $35 
Specialty10 — 
Net deferred premium revenue3,629 35 
Contra-paid(23)(4)
Net unearned premium reserve$3,606 $31 

1)    Represents the future expected amortization of current debt service outstanding (principal and interest), assuming no advance refundings, as of December 31, 2022. Actual amortization differs from expected maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay guaranteed obligations, terminations and because of management's assumptions on structured finance amortization.
2)    See also page 27, for ‘‘Net Expected Loss to be Expensed.’’
3)    Represents expected future premiums on insured credit derivatives.
4)    Unearned premium reserve represents deferred premium revenue less claim payments made (net of recoveries received) that have been recognized in the statement of operations (contra-paid).


24


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid
(dollars in millions)

Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid (1) for the Three Months Ended December 31, 2022

Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of September 30, 2022Economic Loss Development (Benefit) During 4Q-22Net (Paid)
Recovered Losses During 4Q-22
Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of December 31, 2022
Public Finance:
U.S. public finance$626 $35 $(258)$403 
Non-U.S public finance (1)
Public Finance632 39 (259)412 
Structured Finance:
U.S. RMBS52 (16)30 66 
Other structured finance43 — 44 
Structured Finance95 (16)31 110 
Total$727 $23 $(228)$522 


Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid (1) for the Year Ended December 31, 2022

Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of December 31, 2021Economic Loss Development (Benefit) During 2022Net (Paid)
Recovered Losses During 2022
Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of December 31, 2022
Public Finance:
U.S. public finance$197 $19 $187 $403 
Non-U.S public finance 12 (2)(1)
Public Finance209 17 186 412 
Structured Finance:
U.S. RMBS150 (143)59 66 
Other structured finance52 (9)44 
Structured Finance202 (142)50 110 
Total$411 $(125)$236 $522 

1)    Includes net expected loss to be paid (recovered), economic loss development (benefit) and (paid) recovered losses for all contracts (i.e., those accounted for as insurance, credit derivatives and FG VIEs).

25


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Loss Measures
As of December 31, 2022
(dollars in millions)

Three Months Ended December 31, 2022Year Ended December 31, 2022
 Total Net Par Outstanding for BIG Transactions

GAAP Loss and LAE(1)
Loss and LAE included in Adjusted Operating Income (2)
Insurance Segment
 Loss and LAE(3)

GAAP Loss and LAE (1)
Loss and LAE included in Adjusted Operating Income (2)
Insurance Segment
 Loss and LAE(3)
Public finance:
U.S. public finance$3,796 $58 $58 $58 $125 $125 $128 
Non-U.S public finance 981  — —  — — 
Public finance4,777 58 58 58 125 125 128 
Structured finance:
U.S. RMBS$1,010 (15)(16)(16)(112)(109)(120)
Other structured finance105 2 3 
Structured finance1,115 (13)(14)(14)(109)(105)(116)
Total$5,892 $45 $44 $44 $16 $20 $12 

1)    Includes loss expense related to contracts that are accounted for as insurance contracts.
2)    Includes loss expense related to contracts that are accounted for as insurance contracts and credit derivatives.
3)    Includes loss expense related to contracts that are accounted for as insurance contracts, credit derivatives, and consolidated FG VIEs.


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and of the various sectors.

26


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Net Expected Loss to be Expensed (1)
As of December 31, 2022
(dollars in millions)

GAAP
2023 Q1$2 
2023 Q22 
2023 Q33 
2023 Q43 
202412 
202513 
202617 
202715 
2023-202767 
2028-203261 
2033-203743 
2038-20428 
After 204212 
Total expected present value of net expected loss to be expensed (2)
191 
Future accretion82 
Total expected future loss and LAE$273 

1)    The present value of net expected loss to be paid is discounted using risk free rates ranging from 3.82% to 4.69% for U.S. dollar denominated obligations.
2)    Excludes $28 million related to FG VIEs, which are eliminated in consolidation.



27


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Net Par Outstanding and Average Internal Rating by Asset Type
As of December 31, 2022As of December 31, 2021
Net Par Outstanding Average Internal RatingNet Par Outstanding Average Internal Rating
U.S. public finance:
General obligation$71,868 A-$72,896 A-
Tax backed33,752 A-35,726 A-
Municipal utilities26,436 A-25,556 A-
Transportation19,688 A-17,241 BBB+
Healthcare11,304 BBB+9,588 BBB+
Higher education7,137 A-6,927 A-
Infrastructure finance6,955 A-6,329 A-
Housing revenue959 BBB-1,000 BBB-
Investor-owned utilities332 A-611 A-
Renewable energy180 A-193 A-
Other public finance1,025 BBB1,152 A-
Total U.S. public finance179,636 A-177,219 A-
Non-U.S public finance:
Regulated utilities 17,855 BBB+18,814 BBB+
Infrastructure finance13,915 BBB16,475 BBB
Sovereign and sub-sovereign9,526 A+10,886 A+
Renewable energy2,086 A-2,398 A-
Pooled infrastructure1,081 AAA1,372 AAA
Total non-U.S. public finance44,463 BBB+49,945 BBB+
Total public finance224,099 A-227,164 A-
U.S. structured finance:
Life insurance transactions3,879 AA-3,431 AA-
RMBS1,956 BBB-2,391 BB+
Pooled corporate obligations625 AAA534 AA+
Financial products453 AA-770 AA-
Consumer receivables437 A583 A+
Other structured finance878 BBB+665 BBB+
Total U.S. structured finance8,228 A8,374 A
Non-U.S. structured finance:
Pooled corporate obligations344 AAA351 AAA
RMBS263 A-325 A
Other structured finance324 AA-178 AA
Total non-U.S structured finance931 AA854 AA
Total structured finance9,159 A9,228 A
Total$233,258 A-$236,392 A-


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and the Company's internal rating approach, and of the various sectors.


28


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 3)
As of December 31, 2022
(dollars in millions)

Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio
 Public Finance - U.S.Public Finance - Non-U.S.Structured Finance - U.S.Structured Finance - Non-U.S.Total
Ratings:Net Par Outstanding%Net Par Outstanding%Net Par Outstanding%Net Par Outstanding%Net Par Outstanding%
AAA$222 0.1 %$1,967 4.4 %$926 11.2 %$469 50.4 %$3,584 1.5 %
AA16,241 9.1 3,497 7.9 4,633 56.3 12 1.3 24,383 10.5 
A96,807 53.9 9,271 20.9 1,075 13.1 340 36.5 107,493 46.1 
BBB62,570 34.8 28,747 64.6 479 5.8 110 11.8 91,906 39.4 
BIG3,796 2.1 981 2.2 1,115 13.6 — — 5,892 2.5 
Net Par Outstanding (1)
$179,636 100.0 %$44,463 100.0 %$8,228 100.0 %$931 100.0 %$233,258 100.0 %

1)    As of December 31, 2022, the Company excluded $1.3 billion of net par attributable to loss mitigation securities.


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and the Company's internal rating approach, and of the various sectors.




29


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 3)
As of December 31, 2022
(dollars in millions)

Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio
Net Par Outstanding% of Total
U.S.:
U.S. public finance:
California$36,818 15.8 %
Texas18,973 8.1 
Pennsylvania16,142 6.9 
New York15,580 6.7 
Illinois12,824 5.5 
New Jersey9,610 4.1 
Florida7,790 3.4 
Louisiana4,979 2.1 
Michigan4,943 2.1 
Alabama3,763 1.6 
Other48,214 20.7 
Total U.S. public finance179,636 77.0 
U.S. structured finance8,228 3.5 
Total U.S.187,864 80.5 
Non-U.S.:
United Kingdom34,903 15.0 
Canada1,728 0.7 
Spain1,575 0.7 
Australia1,506 0.6 
France1,437 0.7 
Other4,245 1.8 
Total non-U.S.45,394 19.5 
Total net par outstanding$233,258 100.0 %

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and of the various sectors.


30


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Specialty Insurance, Reinsurance and Guaranties
(dollars in millions)

As of December 31, 2022 As of December 31, 2021
Gross ExposureNet ExposureGross ExposureNet Exposure
Life insurance transactions (1)
$1,314 $986 $1,250 $871 
Aircraft residual value insurance policies (2)
355 200 355 200 
Other guaranties228 228 — — 

1)    The life insurance transactions net exposure is projected to reach $1.1 billion by June 30, 2024.
2)    As of both December 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, gross exposure of $144 million and net exposure of $84 million of aircraft residual value insurance was rated BIG.
31


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Expected Amortization of Net Par Outstanding
(dollars in millions)


Public FinanceStructured Finance
Estimated Net Par AmortizationEstimated Ending Net Par OutstandingU.S. and Non-U.S. Pooled CorporateU.S. RMBSFinancial ProductsOther Structured FinanceTotalEstimated Ending Net Par Outstanding
2022 (as of December 31)$224,099 $9,159 
2023 Q1$925 223,174 $$97 $20 $126 $251 8,908 
2023 Q21,070 222,104 91 95 195 8,713 
2023 Q33,632 218,472 90 (13)38 124 8,589 
2023 Q42,290 216,182 86 (3)262 352 8,237 
20249,003 207,179 34 303 10 168 515 7,722 
202510,795 196,384 85 252 29 159 525 7,197 
202610,348 186,036 114 178 36 215 543 6,654 
20279,155 176,881 194 144 (8)258 588 6,066 
2023-202747,218 176,881 458 1,241 73 1,321 3,093 6,066 
2028-203247,902 128,979 351 312 303 1,829 2,795 3,271 
2033-203741,695 87,284 74 317 63 1,283 1,737 1,534 
2038-204231,597 55,687 86 79 14 812 991 543 
After 204255,687 — — — 536 543 — 
Total$224,099 $969 $1,956 $453 $5,781 $9,159 


Net par outstanding (end of period)
1Q-212Q-213Q-214Q-211Q-222Q-223Q-224Q-22
Public finance - U.S.$172,941 $173,667 $175,952 $177,219 $175,957 $179,648 $177,842 $179,636 
Public finance - non-U.S.52,099 51,966 50,305 49,945 48,506 44,447 41,063 44,463 
Structured finance - U.S.8,678 8,568 8,677 8,374 8,101 7,935 7,449 8,228 
Structured finance - non-U.S.552 535 734 854 815 782 717 931 
Net par outstanding$234,270 $234,736 $235,668 $236,392 $233,379 $232,812 $227,071 $233,258 

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and of the various sectors.
32


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Exposure to Puerto Rico (1 of 2)
As of December 31, 2022
(dollars in millions)

Exposure to Puerto Rico
Par OutstandingDebt Service Outstanding
 GrossNetGrossNet
Total$1,378 $1,361 $1,899 $1,878 


Exposure to Puerto Rico by Company
Net Par Outstanding
 AGMAGCAG Re
Eliminations (1)
Total Net Par OutstandingGross Par Outstanding
Resolved Puerto Rico Exposures
Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority (PRHTA) (Transportation revenue) (2)
$49 $183 $108 $(42)$298 $298 
PRHTA (Highway revenue) (2)
140 30 12 — 182 182 
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico - General Obligation (GO) (3)
— 19 — 25 25 
Puerto Rico Buildings Authority (PBA)(3)
— (1)
Total Resolved190 236 126 (43)509 509 
Other Puerto Rico Exposures
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority (PREPA) (4)
446 69 205 — 720 730 
Puerto Rico Municipal Finance Agency (MFA) (5)
101 24 — 131 138 
Puerto Rico Aqueduct and Sewer Authority (PRASA) and University of Puerto Rico (U of PR) (5)
— — — 
Total Other547 76 229  852 869 
Total exposure to Puerto Rico$737 $312 $355 $(43)$1,361 $1,378 

1)    Net par outstanding eliminations relate to second-to-pay policies under which an Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary guarantees an obligation already insured by another Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary.
2)    Resolved on December 6, 2022, pursuant to the Modified Fifth Amended Title III Plan of Adjustment of the Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority.
3)    Resolved on March 15, 2022, pursuant to the Modified Eighth Amended Title III Plan of Adjustment of the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, the Employees Retirement System of the Government of the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, and the Puerto Rico Public Buildings Authority.
4)    This exposure is in payment default.
5)    All debt service on these insured exposures have been paid to date without any insurance claim being made on the Company.




33


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Exposure to Puerto Rico (2 of 2)
As of December 31, 2022
(dollars in millions)

Amortization Schedule of Net Par Outstanding of Puerto Rico

 2023 Q12023 Q22023 Q32023 Q42024202520262027202820292030203120322033 -20372038 -2042Total
Resolved Puerto Rico Exposures
PRHTA (Transportation revenue)$— $— $10 $— $— $$$— $— $12 $— $— $— $127 $133 $298 
PRHTA (Highway revenue)— — — — — — — — 30 27 101 — 182 
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico - GO — — — — — — — 19 — — — — — 25 
PBA— — — — — — — — — — — — — 
Total Resolved  12   10 10 4 8 39 8 30 27 228 133 509 
Other Puerto Rico Exposures
PREPA— — 95 — 93 68 105 105 69 39 44 75 14 13 — 720 
MFA— — 18 — 18 18 37 15 12 — — — — 131 
PRASA and U of PR— — — — — — — — — — — — — — 
Total Other  113  112 86 142 120 81 46 50 75 14 13  852 
Total $ $ $125 $ $112 $96 $152 $124 $89 $85 $58 $105 $41 $241 $133 $1,361 


Amortization Schedule of Net Debt Service Outstanding of Puerto Rico

 2023 Q12023 Q22023 Q32023 Q42024202520262027202820292030203120322033 -20372038 -2042Total
Resolved Puerto Rico Exposures
PRHTA (Transportation revenue)$$— $18 $— $15 $23 $22 $14 $14 $26 $14 $14 $14 $182 $151 $515 
PRHTA (Highway revenue)— — 10 10 18 17 17 38 34 116 — 288 
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico - GO — — — 20 — — — — — 34 
PBA— — — — — — — — — — — — — 
Total Resolved13  26  26 36 35 30 33 63 31 52 48 298 151 842 
Other Puerto Rico Exposures
PREPA14 109 122 92 126 122 80 47 51 81 15 14 — 879 
MFA— 21 — 24 22 41 17 14 — — — — 156 
PRASA and U of PR— — — — — — — — — — — — — — 
Total Other17 3 130 3 147 114 167 139 94 55 57 81 15 14  1,036 
Total $30 $3 $156 $3 $173 $150 $202 $169 $127 $118 $88 $133 $63 $312 $151 $1,878 
34


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
U.S. RMBS Profile
As of December 31, 2022
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating and Type of Exposure

Ratings:Prime First LienAlt-A First LienOption ARMsSubprime First LienSecond LienTotal Net Par Outstanding
AAA$$67 $$371 $$452 
AA10 76 142 191 426 
A— — 22 
BBB— — — 38 46 
BIG38 208 16 633 115 1,010 
Total exposures$57 $351 $32 $1,191 $325 $1,956 


Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Year Insured and Type of Exposure
 
Year insured:Prime First LienAlt-A First LienOption ARMsSubprime First LienSecond LienTotal Net Par Outstanding
2004 and prior$10 $$— $342 $14 $374 
200522 122 15 184 53 396 
200625 25 44 109 204 
2007— 196 16 590 149 951 
2008— — — 31 — 31 
Total exposures$57 $351 $32 $1,191 $325 $1,956 


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the Company's presentation of net par outstanding, internal ratings and a description of sectors.
























35


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile
As of December 31, 2022
(dollars in millions)


Distribution of Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Ratings
Net Par Outstanding% of TotalAverage Initial Credit EnhancementAverage Current Credit Enhancement
Ratings:
AAA$793 82.0 %41.9%50.7%
AA52 5.4 41.1%51.1%
A93 9.6 38.1%47.3%
BBB29 3.0 42.1%44.6%
Total exposures$967 100.0 %41.5%50.2%


Distribution of Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Asset Class

Net Par Outstanding% of TotalAverage Initial Credit EnhancementAverage. Current Credit EnhancementNumber of TransactionsAverage Rating
Asset class:
Trust preferred
Banks and insurance$367 38.0 %43.7%62.7%12AAA
U.S. mortgage and real estate investment trusts85 8.7 47.3%64.5%3A+
CLOs515 53.3 38.9%39.0%6AAA
Total exposures$967 100.0 %41.5%50.2%21AAA




Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of internal ratings, performance indicators and sectors.



36


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

BIG Exposures by Asset Exposure Type
As of
December 31, 2022December 31, 2021
U.S. public finance:
Healthcare$1,085 $23 
Municipal utilities1,025 1,069 
Tax backed889 2,327 
General obligation337 1,561 
Transportation109 110 
Higher education107 46 
Housing revenue73 90 
Infrastructure finance46 46 
Other public finance125 100 
Total U.S. public finance3,796 5,372 
Non-U.S. public finance:
Infrastructure finance911 470 
Sovereign and sub-sovereign52 102 
Renewable energy18 28 
Total non-U.S. public finance981 600 
Total public finance4,777 5,972 
U.S. structured finance:
RMBS1,010 1,265 
Consumer receivables60 72 
Life insurance transactions40 40 
Other structured finance
Total U.S. structured finance1,115 1,384 
Non-U.S. structured finance:
Total non-U.S. structured finance— — 
Total structured finance1,115 1,384 
Total BIG net par outstanding$5,892 $7,356 


Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the Company's presentation of net par outstanding and a description of various sectors.


37


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 3)
(dollars in millions)


Net Par Outstanding by BIG Category (1)
As of
December 31, 2022December 31, 2021
BIG Category 1
U.S. public finance$2,364 $1,765 
Non-U.S. public finance981 556 
U.S. structured finance18 122 
Non-U.S. structured finance— — 
Total BIG Category 13,363 2,443 
BIG Category 2
U.S. public finance108 116 
Non-U.S. public finance— — 
U.S. structured finance73 65 
Non-U.S. structured finance— — 
Total BIG Category 2181 181 
BIG Category 3
U.S. public finance1,324 3,491 
Non-U.S. public finance— 44 
U.S. structured finance1,024 1,197 
Non-U.S. structured finance— — 
Total BIG Category 32,348 4,732 
BIG Total$5,892 $7,356 

1)    Assured Guaranty's surveillance department is responsible for monitoring the Company's portfolio of credits and maintains a list of BIG credits. BIG Category 1: Below-investment-grade transactions showing sufficient deterioration to make future losses possible, but for which none are currently expected. BIG Category 2: Below-investment-grade transactions for which future losses are expected but for which no claims (other than liquidity claims which are claims that the Company expects to be reimbursed within one year) have yet been paid. BIG Category 3: Below-investment-grade transactions for which future losses are expected and on which claims (other than liquidity claims) have been paid.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the Company's internal rating approach, presentation of net par outstanding and a description of various sectors.



38


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (3 of 3)
As of December 31, 2022
(dollars in millions)

Public Finance and Structured Finance BIG Exposures with Revenue Sources Greater Than $50 Million
Net Par Outstanding
Internal Rating (1)
60+ Day Delinquencies
Name or description
U.S. public finance:
ProMedica Healthcare Obligated Group, Ohio$820 BB+
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority720 CCC
Puerto Rico Highways & Transportation Authority480 CCC
Illinois Sports Facilities Authority259 BB+
OU Medicine, Oklahoma253 BB+
Jackson Water & Sewer System, Mississippi164 BB
Puerto Rico Municipal Finance Agency131 CCC
Stockton City, California96 B
New Jersey City University87 BB
Harrisburg Parking System, Pennsylvania79 B
San Jacinto River Authority (GRP Project), Texas62 BB+
Indiana University of Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania58 CCC
Atlantic City, New Jersey54 BB
Total U.S. public finance3,263 
Non-U.S. public finance:
Coventry & Rugby Hospital Company (Walsgrave Hospital) Plc522 BB
Road Management Services PLC (A13 Highway)132 B+
Dartford & Gravesham NHS Trust The Hospital Company (Dartford) Plc115 BB+
M6 Duna Autopalya Koncesszios Zrt.63 BB+
Total non-U.S. public finance832 
Total public finance4,095 
U.S. structured finance:
RMBS:
Option One 2007-FXD2118 CCC16.4%
Option One Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-HL199 CCC26.3%
Argent Securities Inc. 2005-W493 CCC10.5%
Nomura Asset Accept. Corp. 2007-165 CCC20.4%
New Century 2005-A57 CCC16.0%
Total RMBS-U.S. structured finance432 
Total non-U.S. structured finance 
Total structured finance432 
Total$4,527 

1)    Transactions rated below B- are categorized as CCC.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the Company's internal rating approach, presentation of net par outstanding and a description of performance indicators and sectors.
39


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (1 of 3)
As of December 31, 2022
(dollars in millions)

50 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures by Revenue Source
Credit Name:Net Par Outstanding
Internal Rating(1)
New Jersey (State of)$3,130 BBB
Pennsylvania (Commonwealth of)2,271 BBB+
Metro Washington Airports Authority (Dulles Toll Road)1,630 BBB+
New York Metropolitan Transportation Authority1,568 A-
Illinois (State of)1,312 BBB-
Foothill/Eastern Transportation Corridor Agency, California1,309 BBB+
Alameda Corridor Transportation Authority, California1,261 BBB+
North Texas Tollway Authority1,239 A+
Port Authority of New York and New Jersey1,034 BBB
CommonSpirit Health, Illinois1,000 A-
San Joaquin Hills Transportation, California990 BBB
Yankee Stadium LLC New York City Industrial Development Authority924 BBB
San Diego Family Housing, LLC911 AA
Philadelphia School District, Pennsylvania892 A-
Montefiore Medical Center, New York837 BBB-
Great Lakes Water Authority (Sewerage), Michigan821 A-
ProMedica Healthcare Obligated Group, Ohio820 BB+
Dade County Seaport, Florida810 A
Wisconsin (State of)779 A
Metropolitan Pier and Exposition Authority, Illinois779 BBB-
California (State of)772 AA-
Jefferson County Alabama Sewer764 BBB
Tucson (City of), Arizona760 A+
Nassau County, New York753 A
New York (City of), New York750 AA-
Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) Water Resources750 AA
Central Florida Expressway Authority, Florida745 A+
Chicago Public Schools, Illinois731 BBB-
New York Power Authority726 AA-
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority720 CCC
Los Angeles Department of Airports (LAX Project), California719 A-
South Carolina Public Service Authority - Santee Cooper715 BBB
Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission701 A-
Anaheim (City of), California700 A-
Clark County School District, Nevada692 BBB+
Suffolk County, New York687 BBB+
Philadelphia (City of), Pennsylvania675 BBB+
Pittsburgh Water & Sewer, Pennsylvania666 A-
Chicago-O'Hare International Airport, Illinois657 A-
North Carolina Turnpike Authority628 BBB-
Municipal Electric Authority of Georgia622 BBB+
Mets Queens Ballpark608 BBB
Oglethorpe Power Corporation, Georgia575 BBB
Hayward Unified School District, California547 A
Palomar Health546 BBB
Kansas City, Missouri535 A
LCOR Alexandria LLC519 BBB
Regional Transportation Authority (Sales Tax), Illinois518 AA-
Duval County School Board, Florida509 A
Long Island Power Authority503 A-
   Total top 50 U.S. public finance exposures$44,110 
1)    Transactions rated below B- are categorized as CCC.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of net par outstanding, internal ratings and sectors.
40


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (2 of 3)
As of December 31, 2022
(dollars in millions)

25 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures
Credit Name:Net Par Outstanding
Internal Rating(1)
Private US Insurance Securitization$1,100 AA
Private US Insurance Securitization910 AA-
Private US Insurance Securitization500 A
Private US Insurance Securitization400 AA-
Private US Insurance Securitization395 AA-
Private US Insurance Securitization386 AA-
SLM Student Loan Trust 2007-A215 AA
Private US Insurance Securitization129 AA
Private Middle Market CLO129 AAA
Option One 2007-FXD2118 CCC
CWABS 2007-4104 A+
Private Balloon Note Guarantee100 A
Option One Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-HL199 CCC
Argent Securities Inc. 2005-W493 CCC
SLM Student Loan Trust 2006-C73 AA
ALESCO Preferred Funding XIII, Ltd.65 AAA
Nomura Asset Accept. Corp. 2007-165 CCC
Private Other Structured Finance Transaction64 A-
CAPCO - Excess SIPC Excess of Loss Reinsurance63 BBB
Private Balloon Note Guarantee59 BBB
New Century 2005-A57 CCC
CWALT Alternative Loan Trust 2007-HY956 A
Alesco Preferred Funding XVI, Ltd.52 A
Private Subscription Finance Transaction52 A
Private Other Structured Finance Transaction52 A-
   Total top 25 U.S. structured finance exposures$5,336 

1)    Transactions rated below B- are categorized as CCC.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of net par outstanding, internal ratings and sectors.



41


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (3 of 3)
As of December 31, 2022
(dollars in millions)

50 Largest Non-U.S. Exposures by Revenue Source
Credit Name:CountryNet Par OutstandingInternal Rating
Southern Water Services LimitedUnited Kingdom$2,199 BBB
Thames Water Utilities Finance PlcUnited Kingdom1,811 BBB
Southern Gas Networks PLCUnited Kingdom1,806 BBB
Dwr Cymru Financing LimitedUnited Kingdom1,635 A-
Quebec ProvinceCanada1,498 AA-
National Grid Gas PLCUnited Kingdom1,390 BBB+
Anglian Water Services Financing PLCUnited Kingdom1,215 A-
Channel Link Enterprises Finance PLCFrance, United Kingdom1,159 BBB
Yorkshire Water Services Finance PlcUnited Kingdom1,072 BBB
British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC)United Kingdom1,047 A+
Capital Hospitals (Issuer) PLCUnited Kingdom894 BBB-
Verbund, Lease and Sublease of Hydro-Electric EquipmentAustria869 AAA
Aspire Defence Finance plcUnited Kingdom724 BBB+
Verdun Participations 2 S.A.S.France680 BBB-
National Grid Company plcUnited Kingdom626 BBB+
Envestra LimitedAustralia617 A-
Severn Trent Water Utilities Finance PlcUnited Kingdom580 BBB+
Coventry & Rugby Hospital Company (Walsgrave Hospital) PlcUnited Kingdom522 BB
Wessex Water Services Finance plcUnited Kingdom500 BBB+
Campania Region - Healthcare ReceivableItaly492 BBB-
United Utilities Water PLCUnited Kingdom491 BBB+
Sydney Airport Finance CompanyAustralia474 BBB+
NewHospitals (St Helens & Knowsley) Finance PLCUnited Kingdom455 BBB+
Derby Healthcare PLCUnited Kingdom453 BBB
South East WaterUnited Kingdom452 BBB
North Staffordshire PFI, 32-year EIB Index-Linked FacilityUnited Kingdom447 BBB-
Central Nottinghamshire Hospitals PLCUnited Kingdom445 BBB-
The Hospital Company (QAH Portsmouth) LimitedUnited Kingdom413 BBB
Heathrow Funding LimitedUnited Kingdom367 BBB
University of Essex, United KingdomUnited Kingdom362 BBB+
International Infrastructure PoolUnited Kingdom360 AAA
International Infrastructure PoolUnited Kingdom360 AAA
International Infrastructure PoolUnited Kingdom360 AAA
Comision Federal De Electricidad (CFE) El Cajon ProjectMexico350 BBB-
Japan Expressway Holding and Debt Repayment AgencyJapan336 A+
South Lanarkshire SchoolsUnited Kingdom332 BBB
Q Energy - Phase II - Pride Investments, S.A.Spain309 BBB
Hypersol Solar Inversiones, S.A.U.Spain303 BBB
Private International Sub-Sovereign TransactionUnited Kingdom300 A
Catalyst Healthcare (Romford) Financing PLCUnited Kingdom293 BBB
Northumbrian Water PLCUnited Kingdom291 BBB+
Western Power Distribution (South West) PLCUnited Kingdom288 BBB+
Feria Muestrario Internacional de ValenciaSpain286 BBB-
University of Sussex - East Slope Residencies PLCUnited Kingdom285 BBB+
Q Energy - Phase III - FSL Issuer, S.A.U.Spain279 BBB
Bakethin Finance PlcUnited Kingdom279 A-
Private International Sub-Sovereign TransactionUnited Kingdom277 A+
Western Power Distribution (South Wales) PLCUnited Kingdom272 BBB+
Octagon Healthcare Funding PLCUnited Kingdom270 BBB
Artesian Finance Plc (Bristol)United Kingdom269 BBB+
 Total top 50 non-U.S. exposures$31,794 
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of net par outstanding, internal ratings and sectors.
42












Asset Management Segment

43


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Asset Management Segment Results (1 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Three Months Ended Year Ended
December 31,December 31,
2022202120222021
Segment revenues
Management fees:
CLOs$12 $12 $48 $48 
Opportunity funds and liquid strategies35 20 
Wind-down funds
Total management fees19 21 85 76 
Performance fees— 21 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement and other income (loss)
Total segment revenues24 23 112 83 
Segment expenses
Employee compensation and benefit expenses18 14 80 67 
Interest expense
Other operating expenses11 38 40 
Total segment expenses28 26 119 108 
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes(4)(3)(7)(25)
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes(1)— (1)(6)
Segment adjusted operating income (loss)$(3)$(3)$(6)$(19)


44


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Asset Management Segment Results (2 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Rollforward of Assets Under Management for the Three Months Ended December 31, 2022

 CLOsOpportunity FundsLiquid StrategiesWind-Down FundsTotal
AUM, September 30, 2022$14,951 $2,018 $367 $208 $17,544 
Inflows-third party— 23 — — 23 
Inflows-intercompany— — — — — 
Outflows:
Redemptions— — — — — 
Distributions(14)(100)(127)(10)(251)
Total outflows(14)(100)(127)(10)(251)
Net flows(14)(77)(127)(10)(228)
Change in value213 (57)(16)148 
AUM, December 31, 2022$15,150 $1,884 $248 $182 $17,464 


Rollforward of Assets Under Management for the Year Ended December 31, 2022

 CLOsOpportunity FundsLiquid StrategiesWind-Down FundsTotal
AUM, December 31, 2021$14,699 $1,824 $389 $582 $17,494 
Inflows-third party1,049 315 21 — 1,385 
Inflows-intercompany165 — 105 — 270 
Outflows:
Redemptions— — — — — 
Distributions(525)(290)(252)(399)(1,466)
Total outflows(525)(290)(252)(399)(1,466)
Net flows689 25 (126)(399)189 
Change in value(238)35 (15)(1)(219)
AUM, December 31, 2022$15,150 $1,884 $248 $182 $17,464 


1)    Liquid strategies inflows and outflows relate to the transfer of assets from an existing municipal bond fund to a new municipal relative value fund.


45


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Asset Management Segment Results (3 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Assets Under Management

 CLOsOpportunity FundsLiquid StrategiesWind-Down FundsTotal
As of December 31, 2022:
Funded AUM (1)
$15,047 $1,217 $248 $160 $16,672 
Unfunded AUM (1)
103 667 — 22 792 
Fee earning AUM (2)
$14,820 $1,640 $248 $87 $16,795 
Non-fee earning AUM (2)
330 244 — 95 669 
Intercompany AUM
Funded AUM$582 $192 $248 $— $1,022 
Unfunded AUM103 115 — — 218 
As of September 30, 2022:
Funded AUM$14,857 $1,304 $367 $186 $16,714 
Unfunded AUM94 714 — 22 830 
Fee earning AUM$14,575 $1,766 $367 $110 $16,818 
Non-fee earning AUM376 252 — 98 726 
Intercompany AUM
Funded AUM$574 $192 $346 $— $1,112 
Unfunded AUM93 125 — — 218 
As of December 31, 2021:
Funded AUM$14,575 $1,297 $389 $560 $16,821 
Unfunded AUM124 527 — 22 673 
Fee earning AUM$14,252 $1,527 $389 $408 $16,576 
Non-fee earning AUM447 297 — 174 918 
Intercompany AUM
Funded AUM$541 $217 $368 $— $1,126 
Unfunded AUM123 121 — — 244 

1)    Funded AUM refers to assets that have been deployed or invested into the funds or CLOs. Unfunded AUM refers to unfunded capital commitments from closed-end funds and CLO warehouse fund.
2)    Fee earning AUM refers to assets where AssuredIM collects fees or has elected not to waive or rebate fees to investors. Non-fee earning AUM refers to assets where AssuredIM does not collect fees or has elected to waive or rebate fees to investors.
46












Corporate Division

47


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Corporate Division Results
(dollars in millions)

Three Months Ended Year Ended
December 31,December 31,
2022202120222021
Total revenues$$$$
Expenses
Interest expense23 22 89 96 
Loss on extinguishment of debt— — 175 
Employee compensation and benefit expenses10 30 21 
Other operating expenses24 20 
Total expenses39 33 143 312 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees— (1)— — 
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes(38)(33)(139)(310)
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes(2)(2)(5)(47)
Adjusted operating income (loss)$(36)$(31)$(134)$(263)

48












Other
49


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Other Results (1 of 2)
(dollars in millions)

Three Months Ended December 31, 2022
FG VIEsCIVsIntersegment Eliminations and ReclassesTotal Other
(in millions)
Revenues
Net earned premiums$— $— $— $— 
Net investment income(1)— (2)(3)
Asset management fees— (6)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs(5)— — (5)
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs— (8)— (8)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement— (3)— (3)
Other income (loss)— (3)— (3)
Total revenues(6)(20)(20)
Expenses
Loss expense (benefit)— — — — 
Interest expense— — (3)(3)
Other operating expenses— (1)
Total expenses— (1)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees— (3)— (3)
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes(6)(22)— (28)
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes(1)(2)— (3)
Less: Noncontrolling interests— (12)— (12)
Adjusted operating income (loss)$(5)$(8)$— $(13)


Three Months Ended December 31, 2021
FG VIEsCIVsIntersegment Eliminations and ReclassesTotal Other
(in millions)
Revenues
Net earned premiums$(1)$— $— $(1)
Net investment income(1)— (2)(3)
Asset management fees— (4)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs— — 
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs— 74 — 74 
Other income (loss)(1)— — (1)
Total revenues70 76 
Expenses
Loss expense (benefit)— — 
Interest expense— — (3)(3)
Other operating expenses— (1)
Total expenses(1)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees— (15)— (15)
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes— 56 — 56 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes— — 
Less: Noncontrolling interests— 19 — 19 
Adjusted operating income (loss)$— $30 $— $30 

50


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Other Results (2 of 2)
(dollars in millions)

Year Ended December 31, 2022
FG VIEsCIVsIntersegment Eliminations and ReclassesTotal Other
(in millions)
Revenues
Net earned premiums$(3)$— $— $(3)
Net investment income(4)— (9)(13)
Asset management fees— (35)22 (13)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs22 — — 22 
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs— 17 — 17 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement— — 
Other income (loss)(2)— — 
Total revenues13 (12)13 14 
Expenses
Loss expense (benefit)— — 
Interest expense— — (10)(10)
Other operating expenses— (2)23 21 
Total expenses(2)13 19 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees— 12 — 12 
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes— 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes(1)— — 
Less: Noncontrolling interests— 13 — 13 
Adjusted operating income (loss)$$(10)$— $(6)


Year Ended December 31, 2021
FG VIEsCIVsIntersegment Eliminations and ReclassesTotal Other
(in millions)
Revenues
Net earned premiums$(4)$— $— $(4)
Net investment income(4)— (9)(13)
Asset management fees— (10)21 11 
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs23 — — 23 
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs— 127 — 127 
Other income (loss)(2)— — (2)
Total revenues13 117 12 142 
Expenses
Loss expense (benefit)15 — — 15 
Interest expense— — (10)(10)
Other operating expenses— (1)22 21 
Total expenses15 (1)12 26 
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees— (50)— (50)
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes(2)68 — 66 
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes(1)— 
Less: Noncontrolling interests— 30 — 30 
Adjusted operating income (loss)$(1)$31 $— $30 

51












Summary

52


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Summary of Financial and Statistical Data
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
Year Ended December 31,
20222021202020192018
GAAP Summary Statements of Operations Data
Net earned premiums$494 $414 $485 $476 $548 
Net investment income269 269 297 378 395 
Total expenses536 465 729 503 422 
Income (loss) before income taxes187 383 386 460 580 
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL124 389 362 402 521 
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share1.92 5.23 4.19 4.00 4.68 
GAAP Summary Balance Sheet Data
Total investments and cash$8,472 $9,728 $10,000 $10,409 $10,977 
Total assets16,843 18,208 15,334 14,326 13,603 
Unearned premium reserve3,620 3,716 3,735 3,736 3,512 
Loss and LAE reserve296 869 1,088 1,050 1,177 
Long-term debt1,675 1,673 1,224 1,235 1,233 
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL5,064 6,292 6,643 6,639 6,555 
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL per share85.80 93.19 85.66 71.18 63.23 
Other Financial Information (GAAP Basis)
Financial guaranty:
Net debt service outstanding (end of period)$369,951 $367,360 $366,233 $374,130 $371,586 
Gross debt service outstanding (end of period)370,172 367,770 366,692 375,776 375,080 
Net par outstanding (end of period)233,258 236,392 234,153 236,807 241,802 
Gross par outstanding (end of period)233,438 236,765 234,571 238,156 244,191 
Other Financial Information (Statutory Basis) (1)
Financial guaranty:
Net debt service outstanding (end of period)$366,883 $362,013 $360,392 $367,630 $359,499 
Gross debt service outstanding (end of period)367,103 362,423 360,852 369,251 362,974 
Net par outstanding (end of period)230,294 231,742 229,008 230,984 230,664 
Gross par outstanding (end of period)230,474 232,115 229,426 232,333 233,036 
Claims-paying resources (2)
Policyholders' surplus$5,155 $5,572 $5,077 $5,056 $5,148 
Contingency reserve1,202 1,225 1,557 1,607 1,663 
Qualified statutory capital6,357 6,797 6,634 6,663 6,811 
Unearned premium reserve and net deferred ceding commission income2,941 2,972 2,983 2,961 2,950 
Loss and LAE reserves165 167 202 529 1,023 
Total policyholders' surplus and reserves9,463 9,936 9,819 10,153 10,784 
Present value of installment premium955 883 858 804 577 
CCS and standby line of credit400 400 400 400 400 
Excess of loss reinsurance facility— — — — 180 
Total claims-paying resources$10,818 $11,219 $11,077 $11,357 $11,941 
Ratios:
Net exposure to qualified statutory capital36 :134 :135 :135 :134 :1
Capital ratio58 :153 :154 :155 :153 :1
Financial resources ratio34 :132 :133 :132 :130 :1
Adjusted statutory net exposure to claims-paying resources21 :121 :121 :120 :119 :1
Par and Debt Service Written (FG and Specialty)
Gross debt service written:
Public finance - U.S.$36,954 $35,572 $33,596 $28,054 $31,989 
Public finance - non-U.S.756 1,890 1,860 17,907 7,166 
Structured finance - U.S.1,120 1,319 508 1,704 1,191 
Structured finance - non-U.S.551 431 254 88 369 
Total gross debt service written$39,381 $39,212 $36,218 $47,753 $40,715 
Net debt service written$39,381 $39,212 $35,965 $47,731 $40,630 
Net par written22,047 26,656 23,012 24,331 24,538 
Gross par written22,047 26,656 23,265 24,353 24,624 
1)    Statutory amounts prepared on a consolidated basis. The National Association of Insurance Commissioners Annual Statements for U.S. Domiciled Insurance Subsidiaries are prepared on a stand-alone basis.
2)    See page 19 for additional detail on claims-paying resources.

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net debt service and net par outstanding and of the various sectors.
53


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Summary of GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations(1) (1 of 2)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

Year Ended December 31,
20222021202020192018
Total GWP$360 $377 $454 $677 $612 
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments (2)
145 158 191 469 119 
Upfront GWP215 219 263 208 493 
Plus: Installment premiums and other(3)
160 142 127 361 204 
Total PVP$375 $361 $390 $569 $697 
PVP:
Public finance - U.S. $257 $235 $292 $201 $402 
Public finance - non-U.S.68 79 82 308 116 
Structured finance - U.S.43 42 14 53 167 
Structured finance - non-U.S.12 
Total PVP$375 $361 $390 $569 $697 
Adjusted operating income reconciliation:
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL$124 $389 $362 $402 $521 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments(56)15 18 22 (32)
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives(18)(64)65 (10)101 
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS24 (28)(1)(22)14 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves(110)(21)42 22 (32)
Total pre-tax adjustments(160)(98)124 12 51 
Less tax effect on pre-tax adjustments17 17 (18)(1)(12)
Adjusted operating income (loss)$267 $470 $256 $391 $482 
Adjusted operating income per diluted share reconciliation:
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share$1.92 $5.23 $4.19 $4.00 $4.68 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments(0.87)0.20 0.21 0.22 (0.29)
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives(0.27)(0.85)0.75 (0.11)0.90 
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS0.37 (0.38)(0.01)(0.22)0.13 
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves(1.72)(0.29)0.49 0.21 (0.29)
Total pre-tax adjustments(2.49)(1.32)1.44 0.10 0.45 
Tax effect on pre-tax adjustments0.27 0.23 (0.22)(0.01)(0.11)
Adjusted operating income (loss) per diluted share$4.14 $6.32 $2.97 $3.91 $4.34 

1)    Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
2)    Includes the present value of new business on installment policies discounted at the prescribed GAAP discount rates, GWP adjustments on existing installment policies due to changes in assumptions and other GAAP adjustments.
3)    Includes the present value of future premiums and fees on new business paid in installments discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturities such as Loss Mitigation Securities. The year 2022 also includes the present value of future premiums and fees associated with a financial guarantee written by the Company that, under GAAP, is accounted for under Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) 460, Guarantees.

54


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Summary of GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations (1) (2 of 2)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
As of December 31,
20222021202020192018
Adjusted book value reconciliation:
Shareholders' equity attributable to AGL$5,064 $6,292 $6,643 $6,639 $6,555 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (71)(54)(56)(45)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS47 23 52 52 74 
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio (523)404 611 486 247 
Less taxes68 (72)(116)(89)(63)
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity5,543 5,991 6,087 6,246 6,342 
Pre-tax adjustments:
Less: Deferred acquisition costs 147 131 119 111 105 
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue157 160 182 206 219 
Plus: Net deferred premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed3,428 3,402 3,355 3,296 3,005 
Plus taxes(602)(599)(597)(590)(526)
Adjusted book value$8,379 $8,823 $8,908 $9,047 $8,935 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity (net of tax (provision) benefit of $(4), $(5), $-, $(2) and $(1))$17 $32 $$$
Adjusted book value (net of tax (provision) benefit of $(3), $(3), $2, $1 and $4)$11 $23 $(8)$(4)$(15)
Adjusted book value per share reconciliation:
Shareholders' equity attributable to AGL per share$85.80 $93.19 $85.66 $71.18 $63.23 
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (1.21)(0.80)0.12 (0.60)(0.44)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS0.80 0.34 0.66 0.56 0.72 
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio(8.86)5.99 7.89 5.21 2.39 
Less taxes1.15 (1.07)(1.50)(0.95)(0.61)
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity per share93.92 88.73 78.49 66.96 61.17 
Pre-tax adjustments:
Less: Deferred acquisition costs 2.48 1.95 1.54 1.19 1.01 
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue2.66 2.37 2.35 2.20 2.11 
Plus: Net deferred premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed58.10 50.40 43.27 35.34 28.98 
Plus taxes(10.22)(8.88)(7.70)(6.32)(5.07)
Adjusted book value per share$141.98 $130.67 $114.87 $96.99 $86.18 
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity per share$0.28 $0.47 $0.03 $0.07 $0.03 
Adjusted book value per share$0.19 $0.34 $(0.10)$(0.05)$(0.15)

1)    See Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.


55


Glossary

Financial Guaranty Insurance
Net Par Outstanding and Internal Ratings
Net Par Outstanding is insured par exposure, net of reinsurance cessions. Unless otherwise indicated, GAAP net par outstanding amounts exclude amounts as a result of loss mitigation strategies, including securities the Company has purchased for loss mitigation purposes that are held in the investment portfolio.

Internal Rating utilizes the Company’s ratings scale, which is similar to that used by the nationally recognized statistical rating organizations; however, the ratings in the tables may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency.

Statutory Net Par and Net Debt Service Outstanding. Under statutory accounting, net par and net debt service outstanding would be reduced both when an outstanding issue is legally defeased (i.e., an issuer has legally discharged its obligations with respect to a municipal security by satisfying conditions set forth in defeasance provisions contained in transaction documents and is no longer responsible for the payment of debt service with respect to such obligations) and when such issue is economically defeased (i.e., transaction documents for a municipal security do not contain defeasance provisions but the issuer establishes an escrow account with U.S. government securities in amounts sufficient to pay the refunded bonds when due; the refunded bonds are not considered paid and continue to be outstanding under the transaction documents and the issuer remains responsible to pay debt service when due to the extent monies on deposit in the escrow account are insufficient for such purpose).

Performance Indicators
The performance information described below is obtained from third parties and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to revision as updated or additional information is obtained:

60+ Day Delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or real estate owned divided by current collateral balance.

Average Credit Enhancement is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured Guaranty’s exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Some asset classes may not have subordinated tranches so they are excluded from the weighted averages.

Sectors
Below are brief descriptions of selected types of public and structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022.

U.S. Public Finance:
General Obligation Bonds are full faith and credit obligations that are issued by states, their political subdivisions and other municipal issuers, and are supported by the general obligation of the issuer to pay from available funds and by a pledge of the issuer to levy property taxes in an amount sufficient to provide for the full payment of the bonds.

Tax-Backed Bonds are obligations that are supported by the issuer from specific and discrete sources of taxation and tax-backed revenue bonds. Tax-backed obligations may be secured by a lien on specific pledged tax revenues, such as a gasoline or excise tax, or an income tax, or incrementally from growth in property tax revenue associated with growth in property values. These obligations also include obligations secured by special assessments levied against property owners and often benefit from issuer covenants to enforce collections of such assessments and to foreclose on delinquent properties. Lease revenue bonds typically are general fund obligations of a municipality or other governmental authority that are subject to annual appropriation or abatement; projects financed and subject to such lease payments ordinarily include real estate or equipment serving an essential public purpose.

Municipal Utility Bonds are obligations of all forms of municipal utilities, including electric, water and sewer utilities and resource recovery revenue bonds. These utilities may be organized in various forms, including municipal enterprise systems, authorities or joint action agencies.

Transportation Bonds include a wide variety of revenue-supported obligations, such as bonds for airports, ports, tunnels, municipal parking facilities, toll roads and toll bridges.

Healthcare Bonds are obligations of healthcare facilities, including community based hospitals and systems, as well as of health maintenance organizations and long-term care facilities.

Higher Education Bonds are obligations secured by revenue collected by either public or private secondary schools, colleges and universities. Such revenue can encompass all of an institution’s revenue, including tuition and fees, or in other cases, can be specifically restricted to certain auxiliary sources of revenue or revenue relating to student accommodation.
56


Glossary (continued)

Sectors (continued)
Infrastructure Bonds include obligations issued by a variety of entities engaged in the financing of infrastructure projects, such as roads, airports, ports, social infrastructure and other physical assets delivering essential services supported by long-term concession arrangements with a public sector entity.

Housing Revenue Bonds are obligations relating to both single and multi-family housing, issued by states and localities, supported by cash flow and, in some cases, insurance from entities such as the Federal Housing Administration.

Investor-Owned Utility Bonds are obligations primarily issued by investor-owned utilities, and include first mortgage bond obligations of for-profit electric or water utilities providing retail, industrial and commercial service, as well as sale-leaseback obligation bonds supported by such entities.

Renewable Energy Bonds are obligations backed by revenue from renewable energy sources.

Other Public Finance Bonds include other debt issued, guaranteed or otherwise supported by U.S. national or local governmental authorities, as well as student loans, revenue bonds, and obligations of some not-for-profit organizations.

Non-U.S. Public Finance:
Regulated Utility Obligations are obligations issued by government-regulated providers of essential services and commodities, including electric, water and gas utilities, supported by the rates and charges paid by the utilities’ customers. The majority of the Company’s non-U.S. regulated utility business is conducted in the U.K.

Infrastructure Finance Obligations are obligations issued by a variety of entities engaged in the financing of non-U.S. infrastructure projects, such as roads, airports, ports, social infrastructure, student accommodations, stadiums, and other physical assets delivering essential services supported either by long-term concession arrangements or a regulatory regime. The majority of the Company’s non-U.S. infrastructure business is conducted in the U.K.

Pooled Infrastructure Obligations are synthetic asset-backed obligations that take the form of CDS obligations or credit-linked notes that reference either infrastructure finance obligations or a pool of such obligations, with a defined deductible to cover credit risks associated with the referenced obligations. The Company has not entered into a pooled infrastructure transaction since 2006.

Sovereign and Sub-Sovereign Obligations primarily includes obligations of local, municipal, regional or national governmental authorities or agencies outside of the U.S.

Renewable Energy Bonds are obligations secured by revenues relating to renewable energy sources, typically solar or wind farms. These transactions often benefit from regulatory support in the form of regulated minimum prices for the electricity produced. The majority of the Company’s non-U.S. renewable energy business is conducted in Spain.

Other Public Finance Obligations are obligations of, or backed by, local, municipal, regional or national governmental authorities or agencies not generally described in any of the other described categories.

Structured Finance:
Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS) are obligations backed by first and second lien mortgage loans on residential properties. The credit quality of borrowers covers a broad range, including “prime,” “subprime” and “Alt-A.” A prime borrower is generally defined as one with strong risk characteristics as measured by factors such as payment history, credit score, and debt-to-income ratio. A subprime borrower is a borrower with higher risk characteristics. An Alt-A borrower is generally defined as a prime quality borrower that lacks certain ancillary characteristics, such as fully documented income. RMBS include home equity lines of credit (HELOCs), which refers to a type of residential mortgage-backed transaction backed by second-lien loan collateral. The Company has not provided insurance for RMBS in the primary market since 2008..

Life Insurance Transactions are obligations secured by the future earnings from pools of various types of insurance/reinsurance policies and income produced by invested assets.

Pooled Corporate Obligations are securities primarily backed by various types of corporate debt obligations, such as secured or unsecured bonds, bank loans or loan participations and trust preferred securities. These securities are often issued in “tranches,” with subordinated tranches providing credit support to the more senior tranches. The Company’s financial guaranty exposures generally are to the more senior tranches of these issues.

Consumer Receivables Securities are obligations backed by non-mortgage consumer receivables, such as student loans, automobile loans and leases, manufactured home loans and other consumer receivables.


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Glossary (continued)

Sectors (continued)
Financial Products Business is the guaranteed investment contracts (GICs) portion of a line of business previously conducted by Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc. (AGMH) that the Company did not acquire when it purchased AGMH in 2009 from Dexia SA and that is being run off. That line of business consisted of AGMH’s GIC business, its medium term notes business and the equity payment agreements associated with AGMH’s leveraged lease business. Although Dexia SA and certain of its affiliates (Dexia) assumed the liabilities related to such businesses when the Company purchased AGMH, AGM policies related to such businesses remained outstanding. Assured Guaranty is indemnified by Dexia SA and certain of its affiliates against loss from the former financial products business.

Other Structured Finance Obligations are obligations backed by assets not generally described in any of the other described categories.

Specialty Business
The Company also provides specialty insurance, reinsurance and guarantees in transactions with similar risk profiles to its structured finance exposures written in financial guaranty form. The Company provides such specialty insurance and reinsurance, for example, for life insurance transactions and aircraft residual value insurance (RVI) transactions.

AUM Definitions

The Company uses AUM as a metric to measure progress in its Asset Management segment. Management fee revenue is based on a variety of factors and is not perfectly correlated with AUM. However, the Company believes that AUM is a useful metric for assessing the relative size and scope of the Company’s asset management business. The Company uses measures of its AUM in its decision-making process and uses a measure of change in AUM in its calculation of certain components of management compensation. Investors also use AUM to evaluate companies that participate in the asset management business. AUM refers to the assets managed, advised or serviced by the Asset Management segment and equals the sum of the following:

the amount of aggregate collateral balance and principal cash of AssuredIM’s CLOs, including CLO Equity that may be held by AssuredIM Funds. This also includes CLO assets managed by BlueMountain Fuji Management, LLC (BM Fuji), which was sold to a third party in the second quarter of 2021. AssuredIM is not the investment manager of BM Fuji-advised CLOs, but following the sale, AssuredIM sub-advises and continues to provide personnel and other services to BM Fuji associated with the management of BM Fuji-advised CLOs pursuant to a sub-advisory agreement and a personnel and services agreement, consistent with past practices; and

the net asset value of all funds and accounts other than CLOs, plus any unfunded commitments. Changes in NAV attributable to movements in fund value of certain private equity funds are reported on a quarter lag.

The Company’s calculation of AUM may differ from the calculation employed by other investment managers and, as a result, this measure may not be directly comparable to similar measures presented by other investment managers. The calculation also differs from the manner in which AssuredIM affiliates registered with the SEC report “Regulatory Assets Under Management” on Form ADV and Form PF in various ways.

    The Company also uses several other measurements of AUM to understand and measure its AUM in more detail and for various purposes, including its relative position in the market and its income and income potential:

“Third-party AUM” refers to the assets AssuredIM manages or advises on behalf of third-party investors. This includes current and former employee investments in AssuredIM Funds. For CLOs, this also includes CLO Equity that may be held by AssuredIM Funds.

“Intercompany AUM” refers to the assets AssuredIM manages or advises on behalf of the Company. This includes investments from affiliates of Assured Guaranty along with general partners’ investments of AssuredIM (or its affiliates) into the AssuredIM Funds.

“Funded AUM” refers to assets that have been deployed or invested into the funds or CLOs.

“Unfunded AUM” refers to unfunded capital commitments from closed-end funds and CLO warehouse funds.

“Fee earning AUM” refers to assets where AssuredIM collects fees and has elected not to waive or rebate fees to investors.

“Non-fee earning AUM” refers to assets where AssuredIM does not collect fees or has elected to waive or rebate fees to investors. AssuredIM reserves the right to waive some or all fees for certain investors, including investors affiliated with AssuredIM and/or the Company. Further, to the extent that the Company’s wind-down and/or opportunity funds are invested in AssuredIM managed CLOs, AssuredIM may rebate any management fees and/or performance fees earned from the CLOs to the extent such fees are attributable to the wind-down and opportunity funds’ holdings of CLOs also managed by AssuredIM.



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Non-GAAP Financial Measures
 
The Company discloses both: (a) financial measures determined in accordance with GAAP; and (b) financial measures not determined in accordance with GAAP (non-GAAP financial measures). Financial measures identified as non-GAAP should not be considered substitutes for GAAP financial measures. The primary limitation of non-GAAP financial measures is the potential lack of comparability to financial measures of other companies, whose definitions of non-GAAP financial measures may differ from those of the Company.
The Company believes its presentation of non-GAAP financial measures provides information that is necessary for analysts to calculate their estimates of Assured Guaranty’s financial results in their research reports on Assured Guaranty and for investors, analysts and the financial news media to evaluate Assured Guaranty’s financial results.

GAAP requires the Company to consolidate entities where it is deemed to be the primary beneficiary which include:
FG VIEs, which the Company does not own and where its exposure is limited to its obligation under the financial guaranty insurance contract, and
CIVs in which certain subsidiaries invest and which are managed by AssuredIM.

The Company discloses the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation that is embedded in each non-GAAP financial measure, as applicable. The Company believes this information may also be useful to analysts and investors evaluating Assured Guaranty’s financial results. In the case of both the consolidated FG VIEs and the CIVs, the economic effect on the Company of each of the consolidated FG VIEs and CIVs is reflected primarily in the results of the Insurance segment.

Management of the Company and AGL’s Board of Directors use non-GAAP financial measures further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation (which the Company refers to as its core financial measures), as well as GAAP financial measures and other factors, to evaluate the Company’s results of operations, financial condition and progress towards long-term goals. The Company uses core financial measures in its decision-making process for and in its calculation of certain components of management compensation. The financial measures that the Company uses to help determine compensation are: (1) adjusted operating income, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation; (2) adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation; (3) adjusted book value per share, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation; (4) PVP, and (5) gross third-party assets raised.

Management believes that many investors, analysts and financial news reporters use adjusted operating shareholders’ equity and/or adjusted book value, each further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, as the principal financial measures for valuing AGL’s current share price or projected share price and also as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell AGL’s common shares. Management also believes that many of the Company’s fixed income investors also use adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, to evaluate the Company’s capital adequacy.

Adjusted operating income, further adjusted for the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation enables investors and analysts to evaluate the Company’s financial results in comparison with the consensus analyst estimates distributed publicly by financial databases.

The following paragraphs define each non-GAAP financial measure disclosed by the Company and describe why it is useful. To the extent there is a directly comparable GAAP financial measure, a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure is presented within this financial supplement.

Adjusted Operating Income: Management believes that adjusted operating income is a useful measure because it clarifies the understanding of the operating results of the Company. Adjusted operating income is defined as net income (loss) attributable to AGL, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of realized gains (losses) on the Company’s investments, except for gains and losses on securities classified as trading. The timing of realized gains and losses, which depends largely on market credit cycles, can vary considerably across periods. The timing of sales is largely subject to the Company’s discretion and influenced by market opportunities, as well as the Company’s tax and capital profile.

2)    Elimination of non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives that are recognized in net income, which is the amount of unrealized fair value gains (losses) in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses, and non-economic payments. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.
 
3)    Elimination of fair value gains (losses) on the Company’s CCS that are recognized in net income. Such amounts are affected by changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, price indications on the Company’s publicly traded debt and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.
 
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Non-GAAP Financial Measures (continued)

4)    Elimination of foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of net premium receivables and loss and LAE reserves that are recognized in net income. Long-dated receivables and loss and LAE reserves represent the present value of future contractual or expected cash flows. Therefore, the current period’s foreign exchange remeasurement gains (losses) are not necessarily indicative of the total foreign exchange gains (losses) that the Company will ultimately recognize.

5)    Elimination of the tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

Adjusted Operating Shareholders’ Equity and Adjusted Book Value: Management believes that adjusted operating shareholders’ equity is a useful measure because it excludes the fair value adjustments on investments, credit derivatives and CCS that are not expected to result in economic gain or loss.

Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity is defined as shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount of unrealized fair value gains (losses) in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses, and non-economic payments. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.
 
2)    Elimination of fair value gains (losses) on the Company’s CCS. Such amounts are affected by changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, price indications on the Company’s publicly traded debt and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.
 
3)    Elimination of unrealized gains (losses) on the Company’s investments that are recorded as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI). The AOCI component of the fair value adjustment on the investment portfolio is not deemed economic because the Company generally holds these investments to maturity and therefore would not recognize an economic gain or loss.

 4)     Elimination of the tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

Management uses adjusted book value, further adjusted for FG VIE and CIV consolidation, to measure the intrinsic value of the Company, excluding franchise value. Adjusted book value per share, further adjusted for FG VIE and CIV consolidation (core adjusted book value), is one of the key financial measures used in determining the amount of certain long-term compensation elements to management and employees and used by rating agencies and investors. Management believes that adjusted book value is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the Company’s in-force premiums and revenues net of expected losses. Adjusted book value is adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, as defined above, further adjusted for the following:
 
1)    Elimination of deferred acquisition costs, net. These amounts represent net deferred expenses that have already been paid or accrued and will be expensed in future accounting periods.
 
2)    Addition of the net present value of estimated net future revenue. See below.
 
3)    Addition of the deferred premium revenue on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed, net of reinsurance. This amount represents the present value of the expected future net earned premiums, net of the present value of expected losses to be expensed, which are not reflected in GAAP equity.

4)     Elimination of the tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

The unearned premiums and revenues included in adjusted book value will be earned in future periods, but actual earnings may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current adjusted book value due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults and other factors.






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Non-GAAP Financial Measures (continued)

Adjusted Operating Return on Equity (Adjusted Operating ROE): Adjusted Operating ROE represents adjusted operating income for a specified period divided by the average of adjusted operating shareholders’ equity at the beginning and the end of that period. Management believes that adjusted operating ROE is a useful measure to evaluate the Company’s return on invested capital. Many investors, analysts and members of the financial news media use adjusted operating ROE, adjusted for VIE consolidation, to evaluate AGL’s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the AGL common shares. Quarterly and year-to-date adjusted operating ROE are calculated on an annualized basis. Adjusted operating ROE, adjusted for VIE consolidation, is one of the key management financial measures used in determining the amount of certain long-term compensation to management and employees and used by rating agencies and investors.

Net Present Value of Estimated Net Future Revenue: Management believes that this amount is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the present value of estimated net future revenue for non-financial guaranty insurance contracts. This amount represents the net present value of estimated future revenue from these contracts (other than credit derivatives with net expected losses), net of reinsurance, ceding commissions and premium taxes.

Future installment premiums are discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than Loss Mitigation Securities. The discount rate is recalculated annually and updated as necessary. Net present value of estimated future revenue for an obligation may change from period to period due to a change in the discount rate or due to a change in estimated net future revenue for the obligation, which may change due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation. There is no corresponding GAAP financial measure.

PVP or Present Value of New Business Production: Management believes that PVP is a useful measure because it enables the evaluation of the value of new business production in the Insurance segment by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period as well as additional installment premiums and fees on existing contracts (which may result from supplements or fees or from the issuer not calling an insured obligation the Company projected would be called), regardless of form, which management believes GAAP gross written premiums and changes in fair value of credit derivatives do not adequately measure. PVP in respect of contracts written in a specified period is defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums. 

Future installment premiums are discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturity securities such as Loss Mitigation Securities. The discount rate is recalculated annually and updated as necessary. Under GAAP, financial guaranty installment premiums are discounted at a risk-free rate. Additionally, under GAAP, management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums the Company expects to receive, which may be based upon a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction.

Actual installment premiums may differ from those estimated in the Company’s PVP calculation due to factors including, but not limited to, changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults, or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation.
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Assured Guaranty Ltd.                        
30 Woodbourne Avenue
Hamilton HM 08
Bermuda
(441) 279-5705
www.assuredguaranty.com





Contacts:

Equity and Fixed Income Investors:
Robert Tucker
Senior Managing Director, Investor Relations and Corporate Communications
(212) 339-0861
rtucker@agltd.com

Michael Walker
Managing Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 261-5575
mwalker@agltd.com

Andre Thomas
Managing Director, Equity Investor Relations
(212) 339-3551
athomas@agltd.com

Media:
Ashweeta Durani
Vice President, Media Relations
(212) 408-6042
adurani@agltd.com