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Contracts Accounted for as Credit Derivatives (Tables)
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2018
Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities Disclosure [Abstract]  
Credit Derivatives Subordination and Ratings and Net Par Outstanding by Internal Rating
Credit Derivatives (1)
 
 
 
As of March 31, 2018
 
As of December 31, 2017
Asset Type
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
Net Fair Value
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
Net Fair Value
 
 
(in millions)
Pooled infrastructure
 
$
1,577

 
$
(41
)
 
$
1,561

 
$
(42
)
U.S. RMBS
 
886

 
(28
)
 
916

 
(53
)
Pooled corporate obligations (TruPS collateralized debt obligations (CDOs))
 
767

 
(75
)
 
878

 
(72
)
Infrastructure finance
 
544

 
(26
)
 
572

 
(36
)
Other (2)
 
1,841

 
(66
)
 
2,280

 
(66
)
Total
 
$
5,615

 
$
(236
)
 
$
6,207

 
$
(269
)

____________________
(1)    Expected loss to be recovered were $6 million as of March 31, 2018 and $14 million as of December 31, 2017.

(2)
This comprises numerous transactions across various asset classes, such as regulated utilities, health care, municipal utilities, and consumer receivables.

Distribution of Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding by Internal Rating
 
 
 
As of March 31, 2018
 
As of December 31, 2017
Ratings
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
% of Total
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
% of Total
 
 
(dollars in millions)
AAA
 
$
2,137

 
38.1
%
 
$
2,144

 
34.6
%
AA
 
1,053

 
18.7

 
1,170

 
18.8

A
 
1,203

 
21.4

 
1,517

 
24.5

BBB
 
964

 
17.2

 
1,038

 
16.7

BIG
 
258

 
4.6

 
338

 
5.4

Credit derivative net par outstanding
 
$
5,615

 
100.0
%
 
$
6,207

 
100.0
%


Net Change in Fair Value of Credit Derivatives
Net Change in Fair Value of Credit Derivative Gain (Loss)
 
 
First Quarter
 
2018
 
2017
 
(in millions)
Realized gains on credit derivatives
$
2

 
$
5

Net credit derivative losses (paid and payable) recovered and recoverable and other settlements
0

 
10

Realized gains (losses) and other settlements
2

 
15

Net unrealized gains (losses):
 
 
 
Pooled infrastructure
1

 
6

U.S. RMBS
26

 
9

Pooled corporate obligations
(3
)
 
20

Infrastructure finance
10

 
1

Other
(2
)
 
3

Net unrealized gains (losses)
32

 
39

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives
$
34

 
$
54

CDS Spread on AGC and AGM
CDS Spread on AGC and AGM
Quoted price of CDS contract (in basis points)
 
 
As of
March 31, 2018
 
As of
December 31, 2017
 
As of
March 31, 2017
 
As of
December 31, 2016
Five-year CDS spread:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
AGC
121

 
163

 
173

 
158

AGM
109

 
145

 
181

 
158

One-year CDS spread
 
 
 
 


 
 
AGC
25

 
70

 
31

 
35

AGM
22

 
28

 
31

 
29



Fair Value of Credit Derivatives and Effect of AGC and AGM Credit Spreads
Fair Value of Credit Derivatives Assets (Liabilities)
and Effect of AGC and AGM
Credit Spreads

 
As of
March 31, 2018
 
As of
December 31, 2017
 
(in millions)
Fair value of credit derivatives before effect of AGC and AGM credit spreads
$
(499
)
 
$
(555
)
Plus: Effect of AGC and AGM credit spreads
263

 
286

Net fair value of credit derivatives
$
(236
)
 
$
(269
)


Schedule of Collateral Posting Requirements for Credit Derivative Contracts
AGC Insured CDS Collateral Posting Requirements

 
As of
March 31, 2018
 
As of
December 31, 2017
 
(in millions)
Gross par of CDS with collateral posting requirement
$
333

 
$
497

Maximum posting requirement
300

 
464

Collateral posted
1

 
18