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Fair Value Measurement (Tables)
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2016
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
Information by Credit Spread Type
Information by Credit Spread Type (1)
 
 
As of
December 31, 2016
 
As of
December 31, 2015
Based on actual collateral specific spreads
7
%
 
13
%
Based on market indices
77
%
 
73
%
Provided by the CDS counterparty
16
%
 
14
%
Total
100
%
 
100
%

 ____________________
(1)    Based on par.
Schedule of example effects of change in gross spreads, company's own credit spread and cost to buy protection on the on the Company affect the amount of premium the company can demand for credit protection
The following is an example of how changes in gross spreads, the Company’s own credit spread and the cost to buy protection on the Company affect the amount of premium the Company can demand for its credit protection. The assumptions used in these examples are hypothetical amounts. Scenario 1 represents the market conditions in effect on the transaction date and Scenario 2 represents market conditions at a subsequent reporting date.
 
 
Scenario 1
 
Scenario 2
 
bps
 
% of Total
 
bps
 
% of Total
Original gross spread/cash bond price (in bps)
185

 
 

 
500

 
 

Bank profit (in bps)
115

 
62
%
 
50

 
10
%
Hedge cost (in bps)
30

 
16
%
 
440

 
88
%
The premium the Company receives per annum (in bps)
40

 
22
%
 
10

 
2
%
Fair Value Hierarchy of Financial Instruments Carried at Fair Value
Fair Value Hierarchy of Financial Instruments Carried at Fair Value
As of December 31, 2016
 
 
 
 
Fair Value Hierarchy
 
Fair Value
 
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
(in millions)
Assets:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Investment portfolio, available-for-sale:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Fixed-maturity securities
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Obligations of state and political subdivisions
$
5,432

 
$

 
$
5,393

 
$
39

U.S. government and agencies
440

 

 
440

 

Corporate securities
1,613

 

 
1,553

 
60

Mortgage-backed securities:
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
RMBS
987

 

 
622

 
365

CMBS
583

 

 
583

 

Asset-backed securities
945

 

 
140

 
805

Foreign government securities
233

 

 
233

 

Total fixed-maturity securities
10,233



 
8,964

 
1,269

Short-term investments
590

 
319

 
271

 

Other invested assets (1)
8

 

 
0

 
8

Credit derivative assets
13

 

 

 
13

FG VIEs’ assets, at fair value
876

 

 

 
876

Other assets
114

 
24

 
28

 
62

Total assets carried at fair value
$
11,834

 
$
343

 
$
9,263

 
$
2,228

Liabilities:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Credit derivative liabilities
$
402

 
$

 
$

 
$
402

FG VIEs’ liabilities with recourse, at fair value
807

 

 

 
807

FG VIEs’ liabilities without recourse, at fair value
151

 

 

 
151

Total liabilities carried at fair value
$
1,360

 
$

 
$

 
$
1,360

 
Fair Value Hierarchy of Financial Instruments Carried at Fair Value
As of December 31, 2015
 
 
 
 
Fair Value Hierarchy
 
Fair Value
 
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
(in millions)
Assets:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Investment portfolio, available-for-sale:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Fixed-maturity securities
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Obligations of state and political subdivisions
$
5,841

 
$

 
$
5,833

 
$
8

U.S. government and agencies
400

 

 
400

 

Corporate securities
1,520

 

 
1,449

 
71

Mortgage-backed securities:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

RMBS
1,245

 

 
897

 
348

CMBS
513

 

 
513

 

Asset-backed securities
825

 

 
168

 
657

Foreign government securities
283

 

 
283

 

Total fixed-maturity securities
10,627

 

 
9,543

 
1,084

Short-term investments
396

 
305

 
31

 
60

Other invested assets(1)
12

 

 
5

 
7

Credit derivative assets
81

 

 

 
81

FG VIEs’ assets, at fair value
1,261

 

 

 
1,261

Other assets
106

 
23

 
21

 
62

Total assets carried at fair value
$
12,483

 
$
328

 
$
9,600

 
$
2,555

Liabilities:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Credit derivative liabilities
$
446

 
$

 
$

 
$
446

FG VIEs’ liabilities with recourse, at fair value
1,225

 

 

 
1,225

FG VIEs’ liabilities without recourse, at fair value
124

 

 

 
124

Total liabilities carried at fair value
$
1,795

 
$

 
$

 
$
1,795

 ____________________
(1)
Excluded from the table above are investments funds of $48 million and $45 million as of December 31, 2016 and December 31, 2015, respectively, measured using NAV per share. Includes Level 3 mortgage loans that are recorded at fair value on a non-recurring basis.

Fair Value Assets Measured on Recurring Basis
Fair Value Level 3 Rollforward
Recurring Basis
Year Ended December 31, 2016
 
 
Fixed-Maturity Securities
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Obligations
of State and
Political
Subdivisions
 
Corporate Securities
 
RMBS
 
Asset-
Backed
Securities
 
Short-Term Investments
 
FG VIEs’
Assets at
Fair
Value
 
Other
Assets (8)
 
Credit
Derivative
Asset
(Liability),
net (5)
 
FG VIEs' Liabilities with Recourse,
at Fair
Value
 
FG VIEs' Liabilities without Recourse,
at Fair
Value
 
 
(in millions)
Fair value as of December 31, 2015
$
8

 
$
71

 
$
348

 
$
657

 

$
60

 
$
1,261

 

$
65

 

$
(365
)
 
$
(1,225
)
 
$
(124
)
 
CIFG Acquisition
1

 

 
20

 
36

 
0

 

 

 
(67
)
 

 

 
Total pretax realized and unrealized gains/(losses) recorded in: (1)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 
 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
 
Net income (loss)
2

(2
)
(16
)
(2
)
10

(2
)
51

(2
)
0

(2
)
167

(3
)
0

(4
)
74

(6
)
(125
)
(3
)
(18
)
(3
)
Other comprehensive income (loss)
(4
)
 
5

 
(13
)
 
116

 

0

 

 

0

 


 


 


 
Purchases
33

 

 
70

 
76

 


 

 


 


 


 


 
Settlements
(1
)
 

 
(70
)
 
(139
)
 
(60
)
 
(629
)
 

 

(31
)
 

597

 

14

 
FG VIE consolidations

 

 

 

 


 
97

 


 


 

(54
)
 
(43
)
 
FG VIE deconsolidations

 

 
0

 

 

 
(20
)
 

 

 

 
20

 
Transfers into Level 3

 

 

 
8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Fair value as of December 31, 2016
$
39

 
$
60

 
$
365

 
$
805

 

$

 
$
876

 

$
65

 

$
(389
)
 
$
(807
)
 
$
(151
)
 
Change in unrealized gains/(losses) related to financial instruments held as of December 31, 2016
$
(4
)
 
$
5

 
$
(15
)
 
$
116

 
$

 
$
93

 
$
0

 
$
(33
)
 
$
(12
)
 
$
(17
)
 



Fair Value Level 3 Rollforward
Recurring Basis
Year Ended December 31, 2015

 
Fixed-Maturity Securities
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Obligations
of State and
Political
Subdivisions
 
Corporate Securities
 
RMBS
 
Asset-
Backed
Securities
 
Short-Term Investments
 
FG VIEs’
Assets at
Fair
Value
 
Other
Assets (8)
 
Credit
Derivative
Asset
(Liability),
net (5)
 
FG VIEs' Liabilities with Recourse,
at Fair
Value
 
FG VIEs' Liabilities without Recourse,
at Fair
Value
 
 
(in millions)
 
Fair value as of December 31, 2014
$
38

 
$
79

 
$
425

 
$
228

 
$

 
$
1,398

 

$
37

 
$
(895
)
 

$
(1,277
)
 
$
(142
)
 
Radian Asset Acquisition

 

 
4

 

 

 
122

 
2

 
(215
)
 
(114
)
 
(4
)
 
Total pretax realized and unrealized gains/(losses) recorded in: (1)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
 

 
 

 
 
Net income (loss)
3

(2
)
3

(2
)
18

(2
)
1

(2
)
24

(2
)
59

(3
)
26

(4
)
728

(6
)
111

(3
)
(28
)
(3
)
Other comprehensive income (loss)
(2
)
 
(11
)
 
(12
)
 
(9
)
 
0

 

 

0

 

 


 


 
Purchases

 

 
48

 
471

 
52

(7
)

 


 

 


 


 
Settlements
(31
)
(7
)

 
(134
)
 
(34
)
 
(16
)
 
(400
)
 

 
17

 

186

 

28

 
FG VIE consolidations

 

 
(1
)
 

 

 
104

 


 

 

(131
)
 

 
FG VIE deconsolidations

 

 

 

 

 
(22
)
 

 

 

 
22

 
Fair value as of December 31, 2015
$
8

 
$
71

 
$
348

 
$
657

 
$
60

 
$
1,261

 

$
65

 
$
(365
)
 

$
(1,225
)
 
$
(124
)
 
Change in unrealized gains/(losses) related to financial instruments held as of December 31, 2015
$
0

 
$
(11
)
 
$
(9
)
 
$
(9
)
 
$
0

 
$
110

 
$
26

 
$
281

 
$
4

 
$
(22
)
 
 ____________________
(1)
Realized and unrealized gains (losses) from changes in values of Level 3 financial instruments represent gains (losses) from changes in values of those financial instruments only for the periods in which the instruments were classified as Level 3.

(2)
Included in net realized investment gains (losses) and net investment income.

(3)
Included in fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs.

(4)
Recorded in fair value gains (losses) on CCS, net realized investment gains (losses), net investment income and other income.

(5)
Represents net position of credit derivatives. The consolidated balance sheet presents gross assets and liabilities based on net counterparty exposure.

(6)
Reported in net change in fair value of credit derivatives and other income.

(7)
Primarily non-cash transaction.

(8)
Includes CCS and other invested assets.

Fair Value, Liabilities Measured on Recurring Basis
The table below presents a roll forward of the Company’s Level 3 financial instruments carried at fair value on a recurring basis during the years ended December 31, 2016 and 2015.

Fair Value Level 3 Rollforward
Recurring Basis
Year Ended December 31, 2016
 
 
Fixed-Maturity Securities
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Obligations
of State and
Political
Subdivisions
 
Corporate Securities
 
RMBS
 
Asset-
Backed
Securities
 
Short-Term Investments
 
FG VIEs’
Assets at
Fair
Value
 
Other
Assets (8)
 
Credit
Derivative
Asset
(Liability),
net (5)
 
FG VIEs' Liabilities with Recourse,
at Fair
Value
 
FG VIEs' Liabilities without Recourse,
at Fair
Value
 
 
(in millions)
Fair value as of December 31, 2015
$
8

 
$
71

 
$
348

 
$
657

 

$
60

 
$
1,261

 

$
65

 

$
(365
)
 
$
(1,225
)
 
$
(124
)
 
CIFG Acquisition
1

 

 
20

 
36

 
0

 

 

 
(67
)
 

 

 
Total pretax realized and unrealized gains/(losses) recorded in: (1)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 
 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
 
Net income (loss)
2

(2
)
(16
)
(2
)
10

(2
)
51

(2
)
0

(2
)
167

(3
)
0

(4
)
74

(6
)
(125
)
(3
)
(18
)
(3
)
Other comprehensive income (loss)
(4
)
 
5

 
(13
)
 
116

 

0

 

 

0

 


 


 


 
Purchases
33

 

 
70

 
76

 


 

 


 


 


 


 
Settlements
(1
)
 

 
(70
)
 
(139
)
 
(60
)
 
(629
)
 

 

(31
)
 

597

 

14

 
FG VIE consolidations

 

 

 

 


 
97

 


 


 

(54
)
 
(43
)
 
FG VIE deconsolidations

 

 
0

 

 

 
(20
)
 

 

 

 
20

 
Transfers into Level 3

 

 

 
8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Fair value as of December 31, 2016
$
39

 
$
60

 
$
365

 
$
805

 

$

 
$
876

 

$
65

 

$
(389
)
 
$
(807
)
 
$
(151
)
 
Change in unrealized gains/(losses) related to financial instruments held as of December 31, 2016
$
(4
)
 
$
5

 
$
(15
)
 
$
116

 
$

 
$
93

 
$
0

 
$
(33
)
 
$
(12
)
 
$
(17
)
 



Fair Value Level 3 Rollforward
Recurring Basis
Year Ended December 31, 2015

 
Fixed-Maturity Securities
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Obligations
of State and
Political
Subdivisions
 
Corporate Securities
 
RMBS
 
Asset-
Backed
Securities
 
Short-Term Investments
 
FG VIEs’
Assets at
Fair
Value
 
Other
Assets (8)
 
Credit
Derivative
Asset
(Liability),
net (5)
 
FG VIEs' Liabilities with Recourse,
at Fair
Value
 
FG VIEs' Liabilities without Recourse,
at Fair
Value
 
 
(in millions)
 
Fair value as of December 31, 2014
$
38

 
$
79

 
$
425

 
$
228

 
$

 
$
1,398

 

$
37

 
$
(895
)
 

$
(1,277
)
 
$
(142
)
 
Radian Asset Acquisition

 

 
4

 

 

 
122

 
2

 
(215
)
 
(114
)
 
(4
)
 
Total pretax realized and unrealized gains/(losses) recorded in: (1)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
 

 
 

 
 
Net income (loss)
3

(2
)
3

(2
)
18

(2
)
1

(2
)
24

(2
)
59

(3
)
26

(4
)
728

(6
)
111

(3
)
(28
)
(3
)
Other comprehensive income (loss)
(2
)
 
(11
)
 
(12
)
 
(9
)
 
0

 

 

0

 

 


 


 
Purchases

 

 
48

 
471

 
52

(7
)

 


 

 


 


 
Settlements
(31
)
(7
)

 
(134
)
 
(34
)
 
(16
)
 
(400
)
 

 
17

 

186

 

28

 
FG VIE consolidations

 

 
(1
)
 

 

 
104

 


 

 

(131
)
 

 
FG VIE deconsolidations

 

 

 

 

 
(22
)
 

 

 

 
22

 
Fair value as of December 31, 2015
$
8

 
$
71

 
$
348

 
$
657

 
$
60

 
$
1,261

 

$
65

 
$
(365
)
 

$
(1,225
)
 
$
(124
)
 
Change in unrealized gains/(losses) related to financial instruments held as of December 31, 2015
$
0

 
$
(11
)
 
$
(9
)
 
$
(9
)
 
$
0

 
$
110

 
$
26

 
$
281

 
$
4

 
$
(22
)
 
 ____________________
(1)
Realized and unrealized gains (losses) from changes in values of Level 3 financial instruments represent gains (losses) from changes in values of those financial instruments only for the periods in which the instruments were classified as Level 3.

(2)
Included in net realized investment gains (losses) and net investment income.

(3)
Included in fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs.

(4)
Recorded in fair value gains (losses) on CCS, net realized investment gains (losses), net investment income and other income.

(5)
Represents net position of credit derivatives. The consolidated balance sheet presents gross assets and liabilities based on net counterparty exposure.

(6)
Reported in net change in fair value of credit derivatives and other income.

(7)
Primarily non-cash transaction.

(8)
Includes CCS and other invested assets.

Schedule of Quantitative Information About Level 3 Assets, Fair Value Measurements
Quantitative Information About Level 3 Fair Value Inputs
At December 31, 2016 

Financial Instrument Description(1)
 
Fair Value at December 31, 2016(in millions)
 
Significant Unobservable Inputs
 
Range
 
Weighted Average as a Percentage of Current Par Outstanding
Assets (2):
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed-maturity securities:
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Obligations of state and political subdivisions
 
$
39

 
Yield
 
4.3
%
-
22.8%
 
11.1%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Corporate securities
 
60

 
Yield
 
20.1%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
RMBS
 
365

 
CPR
 
1.6
%
-
17.0%
 
4.6%
 
 
CDR
 
1.5
%
-
10.1%
 
6.7%
 
 
Loss severity
 
30.0
%
-
100.0%
 
77.8%
 
 
Yield
 
3.3
%
-
9.7%
 
6.0%
Asset-backed securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Triple-X life insurance transactions
 
425

 
Yield
 
5.7
%
-
6.0%
 
5.8%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Collateralized debt obligations (CDO)
 
332

 
Yield
 
10.0%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
CLO/TruPS
 
19

 
Yield
 
1.5
%
-
4.8%
 
3.1%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Others
 
29

 
Yield
 
7.2%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
FG VIEs’ assets, at fair value
 
876

 
CPR
 
3.5
%
-
12.0%
 
7.8%
 
 
CDR
 
2.5
%
-
21.6%
 
5.7%
 
 
Loss severity
 
35.0
%
-
100.0%
 
78.6%
 
 
Yield
 
2.9
%
-
20.0%
 
6.5%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other assets
 
62

 
Implied Yield
 
4.5
%
-
5.1%
 
4.8%
 
 
Term (years)
 
10 years
 
 
Liabilities:
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Credit derivative liabilities, net
 
(389
)
 
Year 1 loss estimates
 
0.0
%
-
38.0%
 
1.3%
 
 
Hedge cost (in bps)
 
7.2

-
118.1
 
24.5
 
 
Bank profit (in bps)
 
3.8

-
825.0
 
61.8
 
 
Internal floor (in bps)
 
7.0

-
100.0
 
13.9
 
 
Internal credit rating
 
AAA

-
CCC
 
AA+
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
FG VIEs’ liabilities, at fair value
 
(958
)
 
CPR
 
3.5
%
-
12.0%
 
7.8%
 
 
CDR
 
2.5
%
-
21.6%
 
5.7%
 
 
Loss severity
 
35.0
%
-
100.0%
 
78.6%
 
 
Yield
 
2.4
%
-
20.0%
 
5.0%
____________________
(1)
Discounted cash flow is used as valuation technique for all financial instruments.

(2)
Excludes several investments recorded in other invested assets with fair value of $8 million.


 Quantitative Information About Level 3 Fair Value Inputs
At December 31, 2015 

Financial Instrument Description(1)
 
Fair Value at December 31, 2015(in millions)
 
Significant Unobservable Inputs
 
Range
 
Weighted Average as a Percentage of Current Par Outstanding
Assets (2):
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed-maturity securities (3):
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Corporate securities
 
$
71

 
Yield
 
21.8%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
RMBS
 
348

 
CPR
 
0.3
%
-
9.0%
 
2.6%
 
 
CDR
 
2.7
%
-
9.3%
 
7.0%
 
 
Loss severity
 
60.0
%
-
100.0%
 
74.0%
 
 
Yield
 
4.7
%
-
8.2%
 
6.0%
Asset-backed securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Investor owned utility
 
69

 
Cash flow receipts
 
100.0%
 
 
 
 
Collateral recovery period
 
2.9 years
 
 
 
 
Discount factor
 
7.0%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Triple-X life insurance transactions
 
329

 
Yield
 
3.5
%
-
7.5%
 
5.0%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
CDO
 
259

 
Yield
 
20.0%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Short-term investments
 
60

 
Yield
 
17.0%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
FG VIEs’ assets, at fair value
 
1,261

 
CPR
 
0.3
%
-
9.2%
 
3.9%
 
 
CDR
 
1.2
%
-
16.0%
 
4.7%
 
 
Loss severity
 
40.0
%
-
100.0%
 
85.9%
 
 
Yield
 
1.9
%
-
20.0%
 
6.4%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other assets
 
62

 
Implied Yield
 
5.5
%
-
6.4%
 
5.9%
 
 
 
Term (years)
 
5 years
 
 
Liabilities:
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Credit derivative liabilities, net
 
(365
)
 
Year 1 loss estimates
 
0.0
%
-
41.0%
 
0.6%
 
 
Hedge cost (in bps)
 
32.8

-
282.0
 
66.3
 
 
Bank profit (in bps)
 
3.8

-
1,017.5
 
110.8
 
 
Internal floor (in bps)
 
7.0

-
100.0
 
16.8
 
 
Internal credit rating
 
AAA

-
CCC
 
AA+
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
FG VIEs’ liabilities, at fair value
 
(1,349
)
 
CPR
 
0.3
%
-
9.2%
 
3.9%
 
 
CDR
 
1.2
%
-
16.0%
 
4.7%
 
 
Loss severity
 
40.0
%
-
100.0%
 
85.9%
 
 
Yield
 
1.9
%
-
20.0%
 
5.6%
____________________
(1)
Discounted cash flow is used as valuation technique for all financial instruments.

(2)
Excludes several investments recorded in other invested assets with fair value of $7 million.

(3)
Excludes obligations of state and political subdivisions investments with fair value of $8 million.

Schedule of Quantitative Information About Level 3 Liabilities, Fair Value Measurements
Quantitative Information About Level 3 Fair Value Inputs
At December 31, 2016 

Financial Instrument Description(1)
 
Fair Value at December 31, 2016(in millions)
 
Significant Unobservable Inputs
 
Range
 
Weighted Average as a Percentage of Current Par Outstanding
Assets (2):
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed-maturity securities:
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Obligations of state and political subdivisions
 
$
39

 
Yield
 
4.3
%
-
22.8%
 
11.1%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Corporate securities
 
60

 
Yield
 
20.1%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
RMBS
 
365

 
CPR
 
1.6
%
-
17.0%
 
4.6%
 
 
CDR
 
1.5
%
-
10.1%
 
6.7%
 
 
Loss severity
 
30.0
%
-
100.0%
 
77.8%
 
 
Yield
 
3.3
%
-
9.7%
 
6.0%
Asset-backed securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Triple-X life insurance transactions
 
425

 
Yield
 
5.7
%
-
6.0%
 
5.8%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Collateralized debt obligations (CDO)
 
332

 
Yield
 
10.0%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
CLO/TruPS
 
19

 
Yield
 
1.5
%
-
4.8%
 
3.1%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Others
 
29

 
Yield
 
7.2%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
FG VIEs’ assets, at fair value
 
876

 
CPR
 
3.5
%
-
12.0%
 
7.8%
 
 
CDR
 
2.5
%
-
21.6%
 
5.7%
 
 
Loss severity
 
35.0
%
-
100.0%
 
78.6%
 
 
Yield
 
2.9
%
-
20.0%
 
6.5%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other assets
 
62

 
Implied Yield
 
4.5
%
-
5.1%
 
4.8%
 
 
Term (years)
 
10 years
 
 
Liabilities:
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Credit derivative liabilities, net
 
(389
)
 
Year 1 loss estimates
 
0.0
%
-
38.0%
 
1.3%
 
 
Hedge cost (in bps)
 
7.2

-
118.1
 
24.5
 
 
Bank profit (in bps)
 
3.8

-
825.0
 
61.8
 
 
Internal floor (in bps)
 
7.0

-
100.0
 
13.9
 
 
Internal credit rating
 
AAA

-
CCC
 
AA+
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
FG VIEs’ liabilities, at fair value
 
(958
)
 
CPR
 
3.5
%
-
12.0%
 
7.8%
 
 
CDR
 
2.5
%
-
21.6%
 
5.7%
 
 
Loss severity
 
35.0
%
-
100.0%
 
78.6%
 
 
Yield
 
2.4
%
-
20.0%
 
5.0%
____________________
(1)
Discounted cash flow is used as valuation technique for all financial instruments.

(2)
Excludes several investments recorded in other invested assets with fair value of $8 million.


 Quantitative Information About Level 3 Fair Value Inputs
At December 31, 2015 

Financial Instrument Description(1)
 
Fair Value at December 31, 2015(in millions)
 
Significant Unobservable Inputs
 
Range
 
Weighted Average as a Percentage of Current Par Outstanding
Assets (2):
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed-maturity securities (3):
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Corporate securities
 
$
71

 
Yield
 
21.8%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
RMBS
 
348

 
CPR
 
0.3
%
-
9.0%
 
2.6%
 
 
CDR
 
2.7
%
-
9.3%
 
7.0%
 
 
Loss severity
 
60.0
%
-
100.0%
 
74.0%
 
 
Yield
 
4.7
%
-
8.2%
 
6.0%
Asset-backed securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Investor owned utility
 
69

 
Cash flow receipts
 
100.0%
 
 
 
 
Collateral recovery period
 
2.9 years
 
 
 
 
Discount factor
 
7.0%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Triple-X life insurance transactions
 
329

 
Yield
 
3.5
%
-
7.5%
 
5.0%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
CDO
 
259

 
Yield
 
20.0%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Short-term investments
 
60

 
Yield
 
17.0%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
FG VIEs’ assets, at fair value
 
1,261

 
CPR
 
0.3
%
-
9.2%
 
3.9%
 
 
CDR
 
1.2
%
-
16.0%
 
4.7%
 
 
Loss severity
 
40.0
%
-
100.0%
 
85.9%
 
 
Yield
 
1.9
%
-
20.0%
 
6.4%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other assets
 
62

 
Implied Yield
 
5.5
%
-
6.4%
 
5.9%
 
 
 
Term (years)
 
5 years
 
 
Liabilities:
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Credit derivative liabilities, net
 
(365
)
 
Year 1 loss estimates
 
0.0
%
-
41.0%
 
0.6%
 
 
Hedge cost (in bps)
 
32.8

-
282.0
 
66.3
 
 
Bank profit (in bps)
 
3.8

-
1,017.5
 
110.8
 
 
Internal floor (in bps)
 
7.0

-
100.0
 
16.8
 
 
Internal credit rating
 
AAA

-
CCC
 
AA+
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
FG VIEs’ liabilities, at fair value
 
(1,349
)
 
CPR
 
0.3
%
-
9.2%
 
3.9%
 
 
CDR
 
1.2
%
-
16.0%
 
4.7%
 
 
Loss severity
 
40.0
%
-
100.0%
 
85.9%
 
 
Yield
 
1.9
%
-
20.0%
 
5.6%
____________________
(1)
Discounted cash flow is used as valuation technique for all financial instruments.

(2)
Excludes several investments recorded in other invested assets with fair value of $7 million.

(3)
Excludes obligations of state and political subdivisions investments with fair value of $8 million.

Fair Value of Financial Instruments
The carrying amount and estimated fair value of the Company’s financial instruments are presented in the following table.
 
Fair Value of Financial Instruments
 
 
As of
December 31, 2016
 
As of
December 31, 2015
 
Carrying
Amount
 
Estimated
Fair Value
 
Carrying
Amount
 
Estimated
Fair Value
 
(in millions)
Assets:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Fixed-maturity securities
$
10,233

 
$
10,233

 
$
10,627

 
$
10,627

Short-term investments
590

 
590

 
396

 
396

Other invested assets(1)
146

 
147

 
150

 
152

Credit derivative assets
13

 
13

 
81

 
81

FG VIEs’ assets, at fair value
876

 
876

 
1,261

 
1,261

Other assets
205

 
205

 
206

 
206

Liabilities:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Financial guaranty insurance contracts(2)
3,483

 
8,738

 
3,998

 
8,712

Long-term debt
1,306

 
1,546

 
1,300

 
1,512

Credit derivative liabilities
402

 
402

 
446

 
446

FG VIEs’ liabilities with recourse, at fair value
807

 
807

 
1,225

 
1,225

FG VIEs’ liabilities without recourse, at fair value
151

 
151

 
124

 
124

Other liabilities
12

 
12

 
9

 
9

____________________
(1)
Includes investments not carried at fair value with a carrying value of $93 million and $93 million as of December 31, 2016 and December 31, 2015, respectively. Excludes investments carried under the equity method.

(2)
Carrying amount includes the assets and liabilities related to financial guaranty insurance contract premiums, losses, and salvage and subrogation and other recoverables net of reinsurance.