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Outstanding Exposure (Tables)
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2014
Outstanding Exposure Disclosure  
Debt Service Outstanding
Debt Service Outstanding

 
Gross Debt Service
Outstanding
 
Net Debt Service
Outstanding
 
March 31,
2014
 
December 31,
2013
 
March 31,
2014
 
December 31,
2013
 
(in millions)
Public finance
$
639,981

 
$
650,924

 
$
601,433

 
$
610,011

Structured finance
81,195

 
86,456

 
75,535

 
80,524

Total financial guaranty
$
721,176

 
$
737,380

 
$
676,968

 
$
690,535

Financial Guaranty Portfolio by Internal Rating
Financial Guaranty Portfolio by Internal Rating
As of March 31, 2014 

 
 
Public Finance
U.S.
 
Public Finance
Non-U.S.
 
Structured Finance
U.S
 
Structured Finance
Non-U.S
 
Total
Rating
Category
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
 
(dollars in millions)
AAA
 
$
4,658

 
1.3
%
 
$
1,020

 
2.9
%
 
$
29,868

 
53.9
%
 
$
8,856

 
68.2
%
 
$
44,402

 
9.9
%
AA
 
104,577

 
30.2

 
427

 
1.2

 
9,396

 
17.0

 
570

 
4.4

 
114,970

 
25.6

A
 
187,433

 
54.1

 
9,595

 
27.6

 
2,340

 
4.2

 
661

 
5.1

 
200,029

 
44.4

BBB
 
40,783

 
11.8

 
22,173

 
63.7

 
3,496

 
6.3

 
1,829

 
14.1

 
68,281

 
15.2

BIG
 
8,977

 
2.6

 
1,611

 
4.6

 
10,293

 
18.6

 
1,062

 
8.2

 
21,943

 
4.9

Total net par outstanding (excluding loss mitigation bonds)
 
$
346,428

 
100.0
%
 
$
34,826

 
100.0
%
 
$
55,393

 
100.0
%
 
$
12,978

 
100.0
%
 
$
449,625

 
100.0
%
Loss Mitigation Bonds
 
32

 
 
 

 
 
 
1,204

 
 
 

 
 
 
1,236

 
 
Net Par Outstanding (including loss mitigation bonds)
 
$
346,460

 
 
 
$
34,826

 
 
 
$
56,597

 
 
 
$
12,978

 
 
 
$
450,861

 
 
 
Financial Guaranty Portfolio by Internal Rating
As of December 31, 2013 

 
 
Public Finance
U.S.
 
Public Finance
Non-U.S.
 
Structured Finance
U.S
 
Structured Finance
Non-U.S
 
Total
Rating
Category
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
 
(dollars in millions)
AAA
 
$
4,998

 
1.4
%
 
$
1,016

 
3.0
%
 
$
32,317

 
54.9
%
 
$
9,684

 
69.1
%
 
$
48,015

 
10.5
%
AA
 
107,503

 
30.5

 
422

 
1.2

 
9,431

 
16.0

 
577

 
4.1

 
117,933

 
25.7

A
 
192,841

 
54.8

 
9,453

 
27.9

 
2,580

 
4.4

 
742

 
5.3

 
205,616

 
44.8

BBB
 
37,745

 
10.7

 
21,499

 
63.2

 
3,815

 
6.4

 
1,946

 
13.9

 
65,005

 
14.1

BIG
 
9,094

 
2.6

 
1,608

 
4.7

 
10,764

 
18.3

 
1,072

 
7.6

 
22,538

 
4.9

Total net par outstanding (excluding loss mitigation bonds)
 
$
352,181

 
100.0
%
 
$
33,998

 
100.0
%
 
$
58,907

 
100.0
%
 
$
14,021

 
100.0
%
 
$
459,107

 
100.0
%
Loss Mitigation Bonds
 
32

 
 
 

 
 
 
1,163

 
 
 

 
 
 
1,195

 
 
Net Par Outstanding (including loss mitigation bonds)
 
$
352,213

 
 
 
$
33,998

 
 
 
$
60,070

 
 
 
$
14,021

 
 
 
$
460,302

 
 
Financial Guaranty Exposures (Insurance and Credit Derivative Form)
(Insurance and Credit Derivative Form)
As of March 31, 2014

 
BIG Net Par Outstanding
 
Net Par
 
BIG Net Par as
a % of Total Net Par
 
BIG 1
 
BIG 2
 
BIG 3
 
Total BIG
 
Outstanding
 
Outstanding
 
 
 
 
 
(in millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
First lien U.S. RMBS:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Prime first lien
$
77

 
$
289

 
$
29

 
$
395

 
$
528

 
0.1
%
Alt-A first lien
703

 
787

 
1,223

 
2,713

 
3,478

 
0.6

Option ARM
66

 
59

 
440

 
565

 
877

 
0.1

Subprime
227

 
860

 
769

 
1,856

 
5,921

 
0.4

Second lien U.S. RMBS:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Closed-end second lien
8

 
19

 
116

 
143

 
239

 
0.0

Home equity lines of credit (“HELOCs”)
1,480

 
19

 
235

 
1,734

 
1,982

 
0.4

Total U.S. RMBS
2,561

 
2,033

 
2,812

 
7,406

 
13,025

 
1.6

Trust preferred securities (“TruPS”)
1,235

 
343

 

 
1,578

 
4,826

 
0.4

Other structured finance
1,348

 
304

 
719

 
2,371

 
50,520

 
0.5

U.S. public finance
8,117

 
419

 
441

 
8,977

 
346,428

 
2.0

Non-U.S. public finance
989

 
622

 

 
1,611

 
34,826

 
0.4

Total
$
14,250

 
$
3,721

 
$
3,972

 
$
21,943

 
$
449,625

 
4.9
%

Components of BIG Net Par Outstanding
(Insurance and Credit Derivative Form)
As of December 31, 2013

 
BIG Net Par Outstanding
 
Net Par
 
BIG Net Par as
a % of Total Net Par
 
BIG 1
 
BIG 2
 
BIG 3
 
Total BIG
 
Outstanding
 
Outstanding
 
 
 
 
 
(in millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
First lien U.S. RMBS:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Prime first lien
$
52

 
$
321

 
$
30

 
$
403

 
$
541

 
0.1
%
Alt-A first lien
656

 
1,137

 
935

 
2,728

 
3,590

 
0.6

Option ARM
71

 
60

 
467

 
598

 
937

 
0.1

Subprime
297

 
908

 
740

 
1,945

 
6,130

 
0.4

Second lien U.S. RMBS:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Closed-end second lien
8

 
20

 
118

 
146

 
244

 
0.0

HELOCs
1,499

 
20

 
378

 
1,897

 
2,279

 
0.4

Total U.S. RMBS
2,583

 
2,466

 
2,668

 
7,717

 
13,721

 
1.6

TruPS
1,587

 
135

 

 
1,722

 
4,970

 
0.4

Other structured finance
1,367

 
309

 
721

 
2,397

 
54,237

 
0.5

U.S. public finance
8,205

 
440

 
449

 
9,094

 
352,181

 
2.0

Non-U.S. public finance
1,009

 
599

 

 
1,608

 
33,998

 
0.4

Total
$
14,751

 
$
3,949

 
$
3,838

 
$
22,538

 
$
459,107

 
4.9
%

Net Par Outstanding for Below Investment Grade Credits
BIG Net Par Outstanding
and Number of Risks
As of March 31, 2014

 
 
Net Par Outstanding
 
Number of Risks(2)
Description
 
Financial
Guaranty
Insurance(1)
 
Credit
Derivative
 
Total
 
Financial
Guaranty
Insurance(1)
 
Credit
Derivative
 
Total
 
 
(dollars in millions)
BIG:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Category 1
 
$
12,242

 
$
2,008

 
$
14,250

 
193

 
24

 
217

Category 2
 
2,253

 
1,468

 
3,721

 
80

 
21

 
101

Category 3
 
2,872

 
1,100

 
3,972

 
109

 
27

 
136

Total BIG
 
$
17,367

 
$
4,576

 
$
21,943

 
382

 
72

 
454


 BIG Net Par Outstanding
and Number of Risks
As of December 31, 2013

 
 
Net Par Outstanding
 
Number of Risks(2)
Description
 
Financial
Guaranty
Insurance(1)
 
Credit
Derivative
 
Total
 
Financial
Guaranty
Insurance(1)
 
Credit
Derivative
 
Total
 
 
(dollars in millions)
BIG:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Category 1
 
$
12,391

 
$
2,360

 
$
14,751

 
185

 
25

 
210

Category 2
 
2,323

 
1,626

 
3,949

 
80

 
21

 
101

Category 3
 
3,031

 
807

 
3,838

 
119

 
27

 
146

Total BIG
 
$
17,745

 
$
4,793

 
$
22,538

 
384

 
73

 
457

_____________________
(1)    Includes net par outstanding for FG VIEs.
 
(2)
A risk represents the aggregate of the financial guaranty policies that share the same revenue source for purposes of making Debt Service payments.
Net Direct Economic Exposure to Selected European Countries
Net Direct Economic Exposure to Selected European Countries(1)
As of March 31, 2014

 
Hungary (2)
 
Ireland
 
Italy
 
Portugal (2)
 
Spain (2)
 
Total
 
 
Sovereign and sub-sovereign exposure:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Non-infrastructure public finance (3)
$

 
$

 
$
1,026

 
$
98

 
$
274

 
$
1,398

Infrastructure finance
370

 

 
18

 
12

 
156

 
556

Sub-total
370

 

 
1,044

 
110

 
430

 
1,954

Non-sovereign exposure:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Regulated utilities

 

 
235

 

 

 
235

RMBS
217

 
145

 
312

 

 

 
674

Sub-total
217

 
145

 
547

 

 

 
909

Total
$
587

 
$
145

 
$
1,591

 
$
110

 
$
430

 
$
2,863

Total BIG
$
587

 
$

 
$

 
$
110

 
$
429

 
$
1,126

____________________
(1)
While the Company’s exposures are shown in U.S. dollars, the obligations the Company insures are in various currencies, including U.S. dollars and Euros. Included in the table above is $145 million of reinsurance assumed on a 2004 - 2006 pool of Irish residential mortgages that is part of the Company’s remaining legacy mortgage reinsurance business. One of the residential mortgage-backed securities included in the table above includes residential mortgages in both Italy and Germany, and only the portion of the transaction equal to the portion of the original mortgage pool in Italian mortgages is shown in the table.

(2)
See Note 5, Expected Loss to be Paid.

(3)
The exposure shown in the “Non-infrastructure public finance” category is from transactions backed by receivable payments from sub-sovereigns in Italy, Spain and Portugal. Sub-sovereign debt is debt issued by a governmental entity or government backed entity, or supported by such an entity, that is other than direct sovereign debt of the ultimate governing body of the country.
Amortization Schedule of BIG Net Par Outstanding and BIG Net Debt Service Outstanding of Puerto Rico
Amortization Schedule of BIG Net Par Outstanding
and BIG Net Debt Service Outstanding of Puerto Rico
As of March 31, 2014

 
 
Estimated BIG Net Par Amortization
 
Estimated BIG Net Debt Service Amortization
 
 
(in millions)
2014 (April 1 - June 30)
 
$

 
$
64

2014 (July 1 - September 30)
 
254

 
315

2014 (October 1 - December 31)
 

 
61

2015
 
364

 
601

2016
 
289

 
509

2017
 
208

 
415

2018
 
159

 
358

2019-2023
 
884

 
1,718

2024-2028
 
937

 
1,566

2029-2033
 
697

 
1,125

After 2033
 
1,281

 
1,574

Total
 
$
5,073

 
$
8,306