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Outstanding Exposure (Tables)
9 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2013
Guarantor Obligations [Line Items]  
Debt Service Outstanding
Debt Service Outstanding

 
Gross Debt Service
Outstanding
 
Net Debt Service
Outstanding
 
September 30,
2013
 
December 31,
2012
 
September 30,
2013
 
December 31,
2012
 
(in millions)
Public finance
$
665,855

 
$
722,478

 
$
624,425

 
$
677,285

Structured finance
91,723

 
110,620

 
85,218

 
103,071

Total financial guaranty
$
757,578

 
$
833,098

 
$
709,643

 
$
780,356

Financial Guaranty Portfolio by Internal Rating
Financial Guaranty Portfolio by Internal Rating
As of September 30, 2013 

 
 
Public Finance
U.S.
 
Public Finance
Non-U.S.
 
Structured Finance
U.S
 
Structured Finance
Non-U.S
 
Total
Rating
Category (1)
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
 
(dollars in millions)
AAA
 
$
4,169

 
1.2
%
 
$
1,711

 
4.9
%
 
$
34,924

 
55.8
%
 
$
10,125

 
69.0
%
 
$
50,929

 
10.8
%
AA
 
112,319

 
31.1

 
488

 
1.4

 
9,438

 
15.1

 
590

 
4.0

 
122,835

 
25.9

A
 
197,403

 
54.6

 
9,358

 
26.8

 
2,587

 
4.1

 
797

 
5.5

 
210,145

 
44.4

BBB
 
42,684

 
11.8

 
21,729

 
62.2

 
4,329

 
6.9

 
2,162

 
14.7

 
70,904

 
15.0

Below-investment-grade (“BIG”)
 
4,628

 
1.3
%
 
1,626

 
4.7

 
11,306

 
18.1

 
997

 
6.8

 
18,557

 
3.9

Total net par outstanding (excluding loss mitigation bonds)
 
$
361,203

 
100.0
%
 
$
34,912

 
100.0
%
 
$
62,584

 
100.0
%
 
$
14,671

 
100.0
%
 
$
473,370

 
100.0
%
Loss Mitigation Bonds
 
34

 
 
 

 
 
 
1,263

 
 
 

 
 
 
1,297

 
 
Net Par Outstanding (including loss mitigation bonds)
 
$
361,237

 
 
 
$
34,912

 
 
 
$
63,847

 
 
 
$
14,671

 
 
 
$
474,667

 
 
 
Financial Guaranty Portfolio by Internal Rating
As of December 31, 2012 

 
 
Public Finance
U.S.
 
Public Finance
Non-U.S.
 
Structured Finance
U.S
 
Structured Finance
Non-U.S
 
Total
Rating
Category (1)
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
 
(dollars in millions)
AAA
 
$
4,502

 
1.2
%
 
$
1,706

 
4.5
%
 
$
42,187

 
56.6
%
 
$
13,169

 
70.2
%
 
$
61,564

 
11.9
%
AA
 
124,525

 
32.1

 
875

 
2.3

 
9,543

 
12.8

 
722

 
3.9

 
135,665

 
26.1

A
 
210,124

 
54.1

 
9,781

 
26.1

 
4,670

 
6.3

 
1,409

 
7.5

 
225,984

 
43.6

BBB
 
44,213

 
11.4

 
22,885

 
61.0

 
3,737

 
5.0

 
2,427

 
12.9

 
73,262

 
14.1

BIG
 
4,565

 
1.2

 
2,293

 
6.1

 
14,398

 
19.3

 
1,041

 
5.5

 
22,297

 
4.3

Total net par outstanding (excluding loss mitigation bonds)
 
$
387,929

 
100.0
%
 
$
37,540

 
100.0
%
 
$
74,535

 
100.0
%
 
$
18,768

 
100.0
%
 
$
518,772

 
100.0
%
Loss Mitigation Bonds
 
38

 
 
 

 
 
 
1,083

 
 
 

 
 
 
1,121

 
 
Net Par Outstanding (including loss mitigation bonds)
 
$
387,967

 
 
 
$
37,540

 
 
 
$
75,618

 
 
 
$
18,768

 
 
 
$
519,893

 
 

____________________
(1)
In Third Quarter 2013, the Company adjusted its approach to assigning internal ratings. See "Refinement of Approach to Internal Credit Ratings and Surveillance Categories" below. This approach is reflected in the "Financial Guaranty Portfolio by Internal Rating" tables as of both September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012.
Schedule of Financial Guaranty Exposure, Refinement of Approach to Internal Credit Ratings [Table Text Block]
es. The following table shows the BIG exposure as it would have been categorized under the previous approach and how it is categorized under the new approach:

Below-Investment-Grade
Net Par Outstanding
As of September 30, 2013

 
Previous Approach
 
New Approach
 
Difference
 
(in millions)
BIG 1
$
7,032

 
$
8,986

 
$
1,954

BIG 2
4,805

 
4,805

 

BIG 3
6,984

 
4,766

 
(2,218
)
Total
$
18,821

 
$
18,557

 
$
(264
)

Below-Investment-Grade
Net Par Outstanding
As of December 31, 2012

 
Previous Approach
 
New Approach
 
Difference
 
(in millions)
BIG 1
$
9,254

 
$
10,820

 
$
1,566

BIG 2
4,617

 
4,617

 

BIG 3
8,451

 
6,860

 
(1,591
)
Total
$
22,322

 
$
22,297

 
$
(25
)

Financi
Financial Guaranty Exposures (Insurance and Credit Derivative Form)
Financial Guaranty Exposures
(Insurance and Credit Derivative Form)
As of September 30, 2013

 
BIG Net Par Outstanding
 
Net Par
 
BIG Net Par as
a % of Total Net Par
 
BIG 1
 
BIG 2
 
BIG 3
 
Total BIG
 
Outstanding
 
Outstanding
 
 
 
 
 
(in millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
First lien U.S. RMBS:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Prime first lien
$
75

 
$
333

 
$
9

 
$
417

 
$
561

 
0.1
%
Alt-A first lien
913

 
1,454

 
434

 
2,801

 
3,993

 
0.6

Option ARM
68

 
353

 
211

 
632

 
1,014

 
0.2

Subprime
172

 
921

 
890

 
1,983

 
6,335

 
0.4

Second lien U.S. RMBS:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Closed end second lien
9

 
20

 
121

 
150

 
252

 
0.0

Home equity lines of credit (“HELOCs”)
1,461

 
22

 
472

 
1,955

 
2,365

 
0.4

Total U.S. RMBS
2,698

 
3,103

 
2,137

 
7,938

 
14,520

 
1.7

Trust preferred securities (“TruPS”)
941

 
136

 
919

 
1,996

 
5,164

 
0.4

Other structured finance
1,192

 
312

 
865

 
2,369

 
57,571

 
0.5

U.S. public finance
3,154

 
629

 
845

 
4,628

 
361,203

 
1.0

Non-U.S. public finance
1,001

 
625

 

 
1,626

 
34,912

 
0.3

Total
$
8,986

 
$
4,805

 
$
4,766

 
$
18,557

 
$
473,370

 
3.9
%

 Financial Guaranty Exposures
(Insurance and Credit Derivative Form)
As of December 31, 2012

 
BIG Net Par Outstanding
 
Net Par
 
BIG Net Par as
a % of Total Net Par
 
BIG 1
 
BIG 2
 
BIG 3
 
Total BIG
 
Outstanding
 
Outstanding
 
 
 
 
 
(in millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
First lien U.S. RMBS:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Prime first lien
$
28

 
$
436

 
$
11

 
$
475

 
$
641

 
0.1
%
Alt-A first lien
753

 
1,962

 
739

 
3,454

 
4,469

 
0.7

Option ARM
333

 
392

 
317

 
1,042

 
1,450

 
0.2

Subprime (including net interest margin securities)
152

 
988

 
921

 
2,061

 
7,048

 
0.4

Second lien U.S. RMBS:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Closed end second lien
97

 
76

 
58

 
231

 
348

 
0.0

HELOCs
644

 

 
1,932

 
2,576

 
3,079

 
0.5

Total U.S. RMBS
2,007

 
3,854

 
3,978

 
9,839

 
17,035

 
1.9

TruPS
1,920

 

 
953

 
2,873

 
5,694

 
0.6

Other structured finance
1,310

 
263

 
1,154

 
2,727

 
70,574

 
0.5

U.S. public finance
3,290

 
500

 
775

 
4,565

 
387,929

 
0.9

Non-U.S. public finance
2,293

 

 

 
2,293

 
37,540

 
0.4

Total
$
10,820

 
$
4,617

 
$
6,860

 
$
22,297

 
$
518,772

 
4.3
%

Net Par Outstanding for Below Investment Grade Credits
Below-Investment-Grade Credits
By Category
As of September 30, 2013

 
 
Net Par Outstanding
 
Number of Risks(2)
Description
 
Financial
Guaranty
Insurance(1)
 
Credit
Derivative
 
Total
 
Financial
Guaranty
Insurance(1)
 
Credit
Derivative
 
Total
 
 
(dollars in millions)
BIG:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Category 1
 
$
7,453

 
$
1,533

 
$
8,986

 
154

 
21

 
175

Category 2
 
2,537

 
2,268

 
4,805

 
76

 
25

 
101

Category 3
 
3,588

 
1,178

 
4,766

 
136

 
29

 
165

Total BIG
 
$
13,578

 
$
4,979

 
$
18,557

 
366

 
75

 
441


 Below-Investment-Grade Credits
By Category
As of December 31, 2012

 
 
Net Par Outstanding
 
Number of Risks(2)
Description
 
Financial
Guaranty
Insurance(1)
 
Credit
Derivative
 
Total
 
Financial
Guaranty
Insurance(1)
 
Credit
Derivative
 
Total
 
 
(dollars in millions)
BIG:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Category 1
 
$
7,929

 
$
2,891

 
$
10,820

 
163

 
33

 
196

Category 2
 
2,116

 
2,501

 
4,617

 
76

 
27

 
103

Category 3
 
5,543

 
1,317

 
6,860

 
131

 
29

 
160

Total BIG
 
$
15,588

 
$
6,709

 
$
22,297

 
370

 
89

 
459

_____________________
(1)    Includes net par outstanding for FG VIEs.
 
(2)
A risk represents the aggregate of the financial guaranty policies that share the same revenue source for purposes of making Debt Service payments.
Schedule of net economic exposure to selected European countries
The Company selected these European countries based on these reports and its view that their credit fundamentals are deteriorating. The Company’s economic exposure to the Selected European Countries (based on par for financial guaranty contracts and notional amount for financial guaranty contracts accounted for as derivatives) is shown in the following table, net of ceded reinsurance.
 
Net Economic Exposure to Selected European Countries(1)
September 30, 2013

 
Greece
 
Hungary (2)
 
Ireland
 
Italy
 
Portugal
 
Spain (2)
 
Total
 
(in millions)
Sovereign and sub-sovereign exposure:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Public finance
$

 
$

 
$

 
$
1,020

 
$
101

 
$
271

 
$
1,392

Infrastructure finance

 
417

 
24

 
85

 
96

 
171

 
793

Sub-total

 
417

 
24

 
1,105

 
197

 
442

 
2,185

Non-sovereign exposure:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Regulated utilities

 

 

 
229

 

 

 
229

RMBS

 
220

 
142

 
314

 

 

 
676

Commercial receivables

 
0

 
9

 
62

 
14

 
2

 
87

Pooled corporate
17

 

 
103

 
168

 
15

 
502

 
805

Sub-total
17

 
220

 
254

 
773

 
29

 
504

 
1,797

Total
$
17

 
$
637

 
$
278

 
$
1,878

 
$
226

 
$
946

 
$
3,982

Total BIG
$

 
$
599

 
$
7

 
$
1

 
$
113

 
$
425

 
$
1,145

 ____________________
(1)                             While the Company’s exposures are shown in U.S. dollars, the obligations the Company insures are in various currencies, including U.S. dollars, Euros and British pounds sterling. Included in the table above is $142 million of reinsurance assumed on a 2004 - 2006 pool of Irish residential mortgages that is part of the Company’s remaining legacy mortgage reinsurance business. One of the residential mortgage-backed securities included in the table above includes residential mortgages in both Italy and Germany, and only the portion of the transaction equal to the portion of the original mortgage pool in Italian mortgages is shown in the table.

 (2)
See Note 5, Expected Loss to be Paid.
PUERTO RICO
 
Guarantor Obligations [Line Items]  
Financial Guaranty Portfolio by Internal Rating
The table below presents the Company’s exposure to Puerto Rico credits:

 
 
Net Par Outstanding
 
Internal Rating
 
 
(in millions)
 
 
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico
 
$
1,885

 
BBB-
Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority (Transportation revenue)
 
928

 
BBB-
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority
 
860

 
BBB
Puerto Rico Municipal Finance Authority
 
450

 
BBB-
Puerto Rico Aqueduct and Sewer Authority
 
384

 
BB+
Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority (Highway revenue)
 
303

 
BBB
Puerto Rico Sales Tax Financing Corporation
 
267

 
A
Puerto Rico Convention Center District Authority
 
185

 
BBB
Puerto Rico Public Buildings Authority
 
139

 
BBB-
Puerto Rico Public Finance Corporation
 
44

 
BB+
Government Development Bank for Puerto Rico
 
33

 
BBB-
Puerto Rico Infrastructure Financing Authority
 
18

 
BBB-
University of Puerto Rico
 
1

 
BBB-
Total
 
$
5,497