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Outstanding Exposure (Tables)
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2012
Outstanding Exposure Disclosure  
Debt Service Outstanding
Debt Service Outstanding

 
Gross Debt Service
Outstanding
 
Net Debt Service
Outstanding
 
December 31,
2012
 
December 31,
2011
 
December 31,
2012
 
December 31,
2011
 
(in millions)
Public finance
$
722,562

 
$
798,471

 
$
677,369

 
$
716,890

Structured finance
112,388

 
137,661

 
104,811

 
128,775

Total financial guaranty
$
834,950

 
$
936,132

 
$
782,180

 
$
845,665

Financial Guaranty Portfolio by Internal Rating
Financial Guaranty Portfolio by Internal Rating
As of December 31, 2012 

 
 
Public Finance
U.S.
 
Public Finance
Non-U.S.
 
Structured Finance
U.S
 
Structured Finance
Non-U.S
 
Total
Rating
Category
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
 
(dollars in millions)
Super senior
 
$

 
%
 
$
1,130

 
3.0
%
 
$
13,572

 
18.2
%
 
$
4,874

 
24.7
%
 
$
19,576

 
3.8
%
AAA
 
4,502

 
1.2

 
576

 
1.5

 
28,615

 
38.3

 
8,295

 
42.1

 
41,988

 
8.1

AA
 
124,525

 
32.1

 
875

 
2.3

 
9,589

 
12.8

 
722

 
3.7

 
135,711

 
26.1

A
 
210,124

 
54.1

 
9,781

 
26.1

 
4,670

 
6.2

 
1,409

 
7.2

 
225,984

 
43.4

BBB
 
44,213

 
11.4

 
22,885

 
61.0

 
3,717

 
5.0

 
2,427

 
12.3

 
73,242

 
14.1

Below-investment-grade (“BIG”)
 
4,603

 
1.2

 
2,293

 
6.1

 
14,532

 
19.5

 
1,964

 
10.0

 
23,392

 
4.5

Total net par outstanding
 
$
387,967

 
100.0
%
 
$
37,540

 
100.0
%
 
$
74,695

 
100.0
%
 
$
19,691

 
100.0
%
 
$
519,893

 
100.0
%
 
Financial Guaranty Portfolio by Internal Rating
As of December 31, 2011 

 
 
Public Finance
U.S.
 
Public Finance
Non-U.S.
 
Structured Finance
U.S
 
Structured Finance
Non-U.S
 
Total
Rating
Category
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
Net Par
Outstanding
 
%
 
 
(dollars in millions)
Super senior
 
$

 
%
 
$
1,138

 
2.9
%
 
$
16,756

 
18.2
%
 
$
5,660

 
23.9
%
 
$
23,554

 
4.2
%
AAA
 
5,074

 
1.3

 
1,381

 
3.5

 
35,736

 
38.7

 
10,231

 
43.2

 
52,422

 
9.4

AA
 
139,693

 
34.6

 
1,056

 
2.7

 
12,575

 
13.6

 
976

 
4.1

 
154,300

 
27.7

A
 
213,164

 
52.9

 
11,744

 
30.1

 
4,115

 
4.5

 
1,518

 
6.4

 
230,541

 
41.3

BBB
 
40,635

 
10.1

 
21,399

 
54.8

 
5,044

 
5.5

 
3,391

 
14.3

 
70,469

 
12.6

BIG
 
4,507

 
1.1

 
2,328

 
6.0

 
18,008

 
19.5

 
1,919

 
8.1

 
26,762

 
4.8

Total net par outstanding
 
$
403,073

 
100.0
%
 
$
39,046

 
100.0
%
 
$
92,234

 
100.0
%
 
$
23,695

 
100.0
%
 
$
558,048

 
100.0
%
Schedule of net economic exposure to selected european countries
Net Economic Exposure to Selected European Countries(1)
December 31, 2012

 
Greece
 
Hungary
 
Ireland
 
Italy
 
Portugal
 
Spain (2)
 
Total
 
(in millions)
Sovereign and sub-sovereign exposure:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Public finance
$

 
$

 
$

 
$
1,007

 
$
105

 
$
266

 
$
1,378

Infrastructure finance

 
434

 
24

 
333

 
100

 
169

 
1,060

Sub-total

 
434

 
24

 
1,340

 
205

 
435

 
2,438

Non-sovereign exposure:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Regulated utilities

 

 

 
229

 

 
9

 
238

RMBS

 
219

 
139

 
498

 

 

 
856

Commercial receivables

 
2

 
13

 
63

 
15

 
2

 
95

Pooled corporate
25

 

 
189

 
217

 
14

 
524

 
969

Sub-total
25

 
221

 
341

 
1,007

 
29

 
535

 
2,158

Total
$
25

 
$
655

 
$
365

 
$
2,347

 
$
234

 
$
970

 
$
4,596

Total BIG
$

 
$
616

 
$
7

 
$
248

 
$
121

 
$
419

 
$
1,411

 ____________________
(1)                             While the Company’s exposures are shown in U.S. dollars, the obligations the Company insures are in various currencies, including U.S. dollars, Euros and British pounds sterling. Included in the table above is $139 million of reinsurance assumed on a 2004 - 2006 pool of Irish residential mortgages that is part of the Company’s remaining legacy mortgage reinsurance business. One of the residential mortgage-backed securities included in the table above includes residential mortgages in both Italy and Germany, and only the portion of the transaction equal to the portion of the original mortgage pool in Italian mortgages is shown in the table.

 (2)
See Note 6, Expected Loss to be Paid.
Financial Guaranty Exposures (Insurance and Credit Derivative Form)
ancial Guaranty Exposures
(Insurance and Credit Derivative Form)
As of December 31, 2012

 
BIG Net Par Outstanding
 
Net Par
 
BIG Net Par as
a % of Net Par
 
BIG 1
 
BIG 2
 
BIG 3
 
Total BIG
 
Outstanding
 
Outstanding
 
 
 
 
 
(in millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
First lien U.S. RMBS:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Prime first lien
$
28

 
$
436

 
$
11

 
$
475

 
$
641

 
0.1
%
Alt-A first lien
109

 
1,987

 
1,479

 
3,575

 
4,589

 
0.7

Option ARM
61

 
392

 
643

 
1,096

 
1,550

 
0.2

Subprime
152

 
1,161

 
1,024

 
2,337

 
7,330

 
0.4

Second lien U.S. RMBS:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Closed end second lien

 
247

 
157

 
404

 
521

 
0.1

Home equity lines of credit (“HELOCs”)
91

 

 
2,627

 
2,718

 
3,196

 
0.5

Total U.S. RMBS
441

 
4,223

 
5,941

 
10,605

 
17,827

 
2.0

Trust preferred securities (“TruPS”)
1,920

 

 
952

 
2,872

 
5,693

 
0.6

Other structured finance
1,310

 
384

 
1,325

 
3,019

 
70,866

 
0.6

U.S. public finance
3,290

 
500

 
813

 
4,603

 
387,967

 
0.9

Non-U.S. public finance
2,293

 

 

 
2,293

 
37,540

 
0.4

Total
$
9,254

 
$
5,107

 
$
9,031

 
$
23,392

 
$
519,893

 
4.5
%

 Financial Guaranty Exposures
(Insurance and Credit Derivative Form)
As of December 31, 2011
 
BIG Net Par Outstanding
 
Net Par
 
BIG Net Par as
a % of Net Par
 
BIG 1
 
BIG 2
 
BIG 3
 
Total BIG
 
Outstanding
 
Outstanding
 
 
 
 
 
(in millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
First lien U.S. RMBS:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Prime first lien
$
77

 
$
465

 
$

 
$
542

 
$
739

 
0.1
%
Alt-A first lien
1,695

 
1,028

 
1,540

 
4,263

 
5,329

 
0.8

Option ARM
25

 
689

 
882

 
1,596

 
2,433

 
0.3

Subprime (including net interest margin securities)
795

 
1,200

 
513

 
2,508

 
8,136

 
0.4

Second lien U.S. RMBS:
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Closed end second lien

 
495

 
520

 
1,015

 
1,040

 
0.2

HELOCs
421

 

 
2,858

 
3,279

 
3,890

 
0.6

Total U.S. RMBS
3,013

 
3,877

 
6,313

 
13,203

 
21,567

 
2.4

TruPS
2,501

 

 
951

 
3,452

 
6,334

 
0.6

Other structured finance
1,295

 
548

 
1,429

 
3,272

 
88,028

 
0.6

U.S. public finance
3,395

 
274

 
838

 
4,507

 
403,073

 
0.8

Non-U.S. public finance (1)
2,046

 
282

 

 
2,328

 
39,046

 
0.4

Total
$
12,250

 
$
4,981

 
$
9,531

 
$
26,762

 
$
558,048

 
4.8
%
_____________________
(1)
Includes $282 million in net par as of December 31, 2011, for bonds of the Hellenic Republic of Greece. See Note 6, Expected Loss to be Paid.
Net Par Outstanding for Below Investment Grade Credits
Below-Investment-Grade Credits
By Category
As of December 31, 2012

 
 
Net Par Outstanding
 
Number of Risks(2)
Description
 
Financial
Guaranty
Insurance(1)
 
Credit
Derivative
 
Total
 
Financial
Guaranty
Insurance(1)
 
Credit
Derivative
 
Total
 
 
(dollars in millions)
BIG:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Category 1
 
$
7,049

 
$
2,205

 
$
9,254

 
153

 
30

 
183

Category 2
 
2,606

 
2,501

 
5,107

 
76

 
27

 
103

Category 3
 
7,028

 
2,003

 
9,031

 
142

 
32

 
174

Total BIG
 
$
16,683

 
$
6,709

 
$
23,392

 
371

 
89

 
460


 Below-Investment-Grade Credits
By Category
As of December 31, 2011

 
 
Net Par Outstanding
 
Number of Risks(2)
Description
 
Financial
Guaranty
Insurance(1)
 
Credit
Derivative
 
Total
 
Financial
Guaranty
Insurance(1)
 
Credit
Derivative
 
Total
 
 
(dollars in millions)
BIG:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Category 1
 
$
8,297

 
$
3,953

 
$
12,250

 
171

 
40

 
211

Category 2
 
3,458

 
1,523

 
4,981

 
71

 
33

 
104

Category 3
 
7,204

 
2,327

 
9,531

 
126

 
26

 
152

Total BIG
 
$
18,959

 
$
7,803

 
$
26,762

 
368

 
99

 
467

_____________________
(1)    Includes net par outstanding for FG VIEs.
 
(2)
A risk represents the aggregate of the financial guaranty policies that share the same revenue source for purposes of making Debt Service payments.