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Fair Value Measurement (Tables)
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2012
Fair Value Measurement  
Information by Credit Spread Type

 

 

 

 

As of
 March 31, 2012

 

As of
 December 31, 2011

 

Based on actual collateral specific spreads

 

5

%

5

%

Based on market indices

 

90

%

90

%

Provided by the CDS counterparty

 

5

%

5

%

Total

 

100

%

100

%

Schedule of example effects of change in gross spreads, company's own credit spread and cost to buy protection on the on the Company affect the amount of premium the company can demand for credit protection

 

 

 

 

Scenario 1

 

Scenario 2

 

 

 

bps

 

% of Total

 

bps

 

% of Total

 

Original gross spread/cash bond price (in bps)

 

185

 

 

 

500

 

 

 

Bank profit (in bps)

 

115

 

62

%

50

 

10

%

Hedge cost (in bps)

 

30

 

16

 

440

 

88

 

The Company premium received per annum (in bps)

 

40

 

22

 

10

 

2

 

Fair Value Hierarchy of Financial Instruments Carried at Fair Value

 

As of March 31, 2012

 

 

 

 

 

Fair Value Hierarchy

 

 

 

Fair Value

 

Level 1

 

Level 2

 

Level 3

 

 

 

(in millions)

 

Assets:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investment portfolio, available-for-sale:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed maturity securities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. government and agencies

 

$

866.7

 

$

 

$

866.7

 

$

 

Obligations of state and political subdivisions

 

5,526.1

 

 

5,516.6

 

9.5

 

Corporate securities

 

1,042.8

 

 

1,042.8

 

 

Mortgage-backed securities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

RMBS

 

1,424.0

 

 

1,288.3

 

135.7

 

CMBS

 

501.5

 

 

501.5

 

 

Asset-backed securities

 

482.9

 

 

224.8

 

258.1

 

Foreign government securities

 

360.9

 

 

360.9

 

 

Total fixed maturity securities

 

10,204.9

 

 

9,801.6

 

403.3

 

Short-term investments

 

903.4

 

220.3

 

683.1

 

 

Other invested assets(1)

 

68.5

 

0.1

 

59.0

 

9.4

 

Credit derivative assets

 

463.6

 

 

 

463.6

 

FG VIEs’ assets, at fair value

 

2,827.7

 

 

 

2,827.7

 

Other assets(2)

 

67.9

 

28.0

 

 

39.9

 

Total assets carried at fair value

 

$

14,536.0

 

$

248.4

 

$

10,543.7

 

$

3,743.9

 

Liabilities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Credit derivative liabilities

 

$

2,416.3

 

$

 

$

 

$

2,416.3

 

FG VIEs’ liabilities with recourse, at fair value

 

2,365.2

 

 

 

2,365.2

 

FG VIEs’ liabilities without recourse, at fair value

 

1,085.6

 

 

 

1,085.6

 

Total liabilities carried at fair value

 

$

5,867.1

 

$

 

$

 

$

5,867.1

 

 

As of December 31, 2011

 

 

 

 

 

Fair Value Hierarchy

 

 

 

Fair Value

 

Level 1

 

Level 2

 

Level 3

 

 

 

(in millions)

 

Assets:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investment portfolio, available-for-sale:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed maturity securities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. government and agencies

 

$

922.4

 

$

 

$

922.4

 

$

 

Obligations of state and political subdivisions

 

5,455.4

 

 

5,445.9

 

9.5

 

Corporate securities

 

1,038.4

 

 

1,038.4

 

 

Mortgage-backed securities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

RMBS

 

1,427.9

 

 

1,294.3

 

133.6

 

CMBS

 

500.0

 

 

500.0

 

 

Asset-backed securities

 

458.1

 

 

222.6

 

235.5

 

Foreign government securities

 

339.7

 

 

339.7

 

 

Total fixed maturity securities

 

10,141.9

 

 

9,763.3

 

378.6

 

Short-term investments

 

734.0

 

210.3

 

523.7

 

 

Other invested assets(1)

 

43.5

 

 

32.8

 

10.7

 

Credit derivative assets

 

468.9

 

 

 

468.9

 

FG VIEs’ assets, at fair value

 

2,819.1

 

 

 

2,819.1

 

Other assets(2)

 

79.5

 

25.7

 

 

53.8

 

Total assets carried at fair value

 

$

14,286.9

 

$

236.0

 

$

10,319.8

 

$

3,731.1

 

Liabilities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Credit derivative liabilities

 

$

1,772.8

 

$

 

$

 

$

1,772.8

 

FG VIEs’ liabilities with recourse, at fair value

 

2,396.9

 

 

 

2,396.9

 

FG VIEs’ liabilities without recourse, at fair value

 

1,061.5

 

 

 

1,061.5

 

Total liabilities carried at fair value

 

$

5,231.2

 

$

 

$

 

$

5,231.2

 

 

(1)                                 Includes mortgage loans that are recorded at fair value on a non-recurring basis. At March 31, 2012 and December 31, 2011, such investments were carried at their market value of $7.8 million and $9.0 million, respectively.

 

(2)                                 Includes fair value of CCS and supplemental executive retirement plan assets.

Fair Value Level 3 Roll Forward

 

 

 

 

Three Months Ended March 31, 2012

 

 

 

Fixed Maturity Securities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

FG VIEs’

 

FG VIEs’

 

 

 

Obligations
of State and
Political
Subdivisions

 

RMBS

 

Asset-
Backed
Securities

 

Other
Invested
Assets

 

FG VIEs’
Assets at
Fair
Value

 

Other
Assets

 

Credit

Derivative
Asset
(Liability),
net(5)

 

Liabilities
with
Recourse,
at Fair
Value

 

Liabilities
without
Recourse,
at Fair
Value

 

 

 

(in millions)

 

Fair value as of December 31, 2011

 

$

9.5

 

$

133.6

 

$

235.5

 

$

1.7

 

$

2,819.1

 

$

53.8

 

$

(1,303.9

)

$

(2,396.9

)

$

(1,061.5

)

Total pretax realized and unrealized gains/(losses) recorded in:(1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income (loss)

 

0.2

(2)

0.8

(2)

5.8

(2)

 

135.1

(3)

(13.9

)(4)

(690.6

)(6)

(118.0

)(3)

(79.8

)(3)

Other comprehensive income (loss)

 

0.4

 

9.9

 

0.1

 

(0.1

)

 

 

 

 

 

Purchases

 

 

 

18.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Settlements

 

(0.6

)

(8.6

)

(1.3

)

 

(141.0

)

 

41.8

 

170.3

 

55.7

 

FG VIE consolidations

 

 

 

 

 

14.5

 

 

 

(20.6

)

 

Fair value as of March 31, 2012

 

$

9.5

 

$

135.7

 

$

258.1

 

$

1.6

 

$

2,827.7

 

$

39.9

 

$

(1,952.7

)

$

(2,365.2

)

$

(1,085.6

)

Change in unrealized gains/(losses) related to financial instruments held as of March 31, 2012

 

$

0.4

 

$

9.9

 

$

0.1

 

$

(0.1

)

$

231.4

 

$

(13.9

)

$

(634.6

)

$

(107.0

)

$

(118.1

)

 

 

 

Three Months Ended March 31, 2011

 

 

 

Fixed Maturity
Securities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

FG VIEs’

 

FG VIEs’

 

 

 

RMBS

 

Asset-
Backed
Securities

 

Other
Invested
Assets

 

FG
VIEs’

Assets at
Fair
Value

 

Credit
Derivative
Asset
(Liability),
net(5)

 

Liabilities
with
Recourse,
at Fair
Value

 

Liabilities
without
Recourse,
at
Fair Value

 

 

 

(in millions)

 

Fair value as of December 31, 2010

 

$

99.4

 

$

210.2

 

$

2.3

 

$

3,657.5

 

$

(1,869.9

)

$

(3,030.9

)

$

(1,337.2

)

Total pretax realized and unrealized gains/(losses) recorded in:(1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income (loss)

 

3.9

(2)

1.6

(2)

 

234.4

(3)

(236.2

)(6)

(11.1

)(3)

(135.5

)(3)

Other comprehensive income (loss)

 

(30.8

)

20.3

 

(0.1

)

 

 

 

 

Purchases

 

150.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sales

 

(4.1

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Settlements

 

(8.9

)

 

 

(212.9

)

(33.9

)

167.8

 

99.7

 

Fair value as of March 31, 2011

 

$

210.1

 

$

232.1

 

$

2.2

 

$

3,679.0

 

$

(2,140.0

)

$

(2,874.2

)

$

(1,373.0

)

Change in unrealized gains/(losses) related to financial instruments held as of March 31, 2011

 

$

(30.2

)

$

20.3

 

$

(0.1

)

$

348.3

 

$

(282.8

)

$

(35.9

)

$

(172.0

)

 

(1)

Realized and unrealized gains (losses) from changes in values of Level 3 financial instruments represent gains (losses) from changes in values of those financial instruments only for the periods in which the instruments were classified as Level 3.

 

 

(2)

Included in net realized investment gains (losses) and net investment income.

 

 

(3)

Included in fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs.

 

 

(4)

Recorded in fair value gain (loss) on committed capital securities.

 

 

(5)

Represents net position of credit derivatives. The consolidated balance sheet presents gross assets and liabilities based on net counterparty exposure.

 

 

(6)

Reported in net change in fair value of credit derivatives.

Schedule of Quantitative Information About Level 3 Fair Value Measurements

 

 

Financial Instrument Description

 

Fair Value at

March 31, 2012

(in millions)

 

Valuation

Technique

 

Significant Unobservable Inputs

 

Range (Weighted
Average)

 

Assets:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed maturity securities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Obligations of state and political subdivisions

 

$

9.5

 

Discounted cash flow

 

Rate of inflation

Timing of collateral sales

Assumed sale proceeds

Collateral recovery period

 

1.0% - 3.0%

3 years - 11 years

0.0% - 11.9%

3 years - 11 years

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

RMBS

 

135.7

 

Discounted cash flow

 

CPR

CDR

Severity

Yield

 

0.0% - 7.5%

3.5% - 41.5%

48.5% - 104.5%

6.0% - 16.0%

 

Asset-backed securities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Whole business securitization

 

44.3

 

Discounted cash flow

 

Annual gross revenue projections

Value of primary financial guaranty policy

Liquidity discount

 

$54 million - $96 million

 

 43.8%
5.0% - 20.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investor owned utility

 

185.3

 

Discounted cash flow

 

Liquidation value

 

Years to liquidation

Discount factor

 

$161.8 million - $261.0 million
0 years - 2 years
0.9% - 1.1%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

XXX life insurance transactions

 

28.1

 

Discounted cash flow

 

Yield
Discount on asset cash flows

 

14.5%

40.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other asset-backed

 

0.4

 

Discounted cash flow

 

CPR

CDR

Severity

Yield

 

0.0% - 10.0%

2.0% - 10.0%

40.0% - 100.0%

3.0% - 15.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other invested assets

 

9.4

 

Discounted cash flow

 

Discount for lack of liquidity Recovery on delinquent loans Default rates

Loss severity

Prepayment speeds

 

10% - 20%

20% - 60%

1% - 10%

40% - 90%

6% - 15%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

FG VIEs’ assets, at fair value

 

2,827.7

 

Discounted cash flow

 

CPR

CDR

Severity

Yield

 

0.0% - 10.9%

1.8% - 39.1%

25.5% - 110.1%

4.4% - 22.4%

 

 

Financial Instrument Description

 

Fair Value at

March 31, 2012

(in millions)

 

Valuation

Technique

 

Significant Unobservable Inputs

 

Range (Weighted
Average)

 

Other assets

 

39.9

 

Discounted cash flow

 

Quotes from third party pricing

Term

 

 

$40 - $45

3 years

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Liabilities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Credit derivative liabilities, net

 

(1,952.7

)

Discounted cash flow

 

Year 1 loss estimates

Hedge cost (in bps)

Bank profit (in bps)

Internal floor (in bps)

Internal credit rating

 

0% - 100%

94.5bps - 743bps

1.0bps -1,271.5bps

7.0bps - 40.0bps

AAA - CCC

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

FG VIEs’ liabilities, at fair value

 

(3,450.8

)

Discounted

 

CPR

 

0.0% - 10.9%

 

 

 

 

 

cash flow

 

CDR

 

1.8% - 39.1%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Severity

 

25.5% - 110.1%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Yield

 

4.4% - 22.4%

Fair Value of Financial Instruments

 

 

 

 

As of
March 31, 2012

 

As of
December 31, 2011

 

 

 

Carrying
Amount

 

Estimated
Fair Value

 

Carrying
Amount

 

Estimated
Fair Value

 

 

 

(in millions)

 

Assets:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed maturity securities

 

$

10,204.9

 

$

10,204.9

 

$

10,141.9

 

$

10,141.9

 

Short-term investments

 

903.4

 

903.4

 

734.0

 

734.0

 

Other invested assets

 

154.1

 

157.7

 

170.4

 

182.4

 

Credit derivative assets

 

463.6

 

463.6

 

468.9

 

468.9

 

FG VIEs’ assets, at fair value

 

2,827.7

 

2,827.7

 

2,819.1

 

2,819.1

 

Other assets

 

169.0

 

169.0

 

180.2

 

180.2

 

Liabilities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial guaranty insurance contracts(1)

 

4,827.6

 

6,102.3

 

4,664.0

 

4,319.8

 

Long-term debt(2)

 

1,034.7

 

1,265.6

 

1,038.3

 

1,186.3

 

Credit derivative liabilities

 

2,416.3

 

2,416.3

 

1,772.8

 

1,772.8

 

FG VIEs’ liabilities with recourse, at fair value

 

2,365.2

 

2,365.2

 

2,396.9

 

2,396.9

 

FG VIEs’ liabilities without recourse, at fair value

 

1,085.6

 

1,085.6

 

1,061.5

 

1,061.5

 

Other liabilities

 

18.3

 

18.3

 

7.6

 

7.6

 

 

(1)                                 Carrying amount includes the balance sheet amounts related to financial guaranty insurance contract premiums and losses, net of reinsurance.

 

(2)                                 Carrying amount represented principal less accumulated discount or plus accumulated premium.