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Outstanding Exposure (Tables)
9 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2011
Outstanding Exposure 
Schedule of Debt Service Outstanding

 

 

 

Gross Debt Service Outstanding

 

Net Debt Service Outstanding

 

 

 

September 30,
2011

 

December 31,
2010

 

September 30,
2011

 

December 31,
2010

 

 

 

(in millions)

 

Public finance

 

$

811,423

 

$

851,634

 

$

727,401

 

$

760,167

 

Structured finance

 

148,006

 

178,348

 

138,291

 

166,976

 

Total

 

$

959,429

 

$

1,029,982

 

$

865,692

 

$

927,143

Schedule of Financial Guaranty Net Par Outstanding by Internal Rating.

 

 

 

As of September 30, 2011

 

 

 

Public Finance
U.S.

 

Public Finance
Non-U.S.

 

Structured Finance
U.S

 

Structured Finance
Non-U.S

 

Total

 

Rating Category

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

 

 

(dollars in millions)

 

Super senior

 

$

 

%

$

1,386

 

3.5

%

$

17,544

 

17.9

%

$

6,664

 

25.2

%

$

25,594

 

4.5

%

AAA

 

5,073

 

1.2

 

1,383

 

3.5

 

37,544

 

38.3

 

12,159

 

46.0

 

56,159

 

9.8

 

AA

 

149,190

 

36.6

 

1,094

 

2.8

 

12,532

 

12.8

 

1,255

 

4.7

 

164,071

 

28.7

 

A

 

208,837

 

51.2

 

12,022

 

30.6

 

5,086

 

5.2

 

926

 

3.5

 

226,871

 

39.7

 

BBB

 

41,700

 

10.2

 

21,231

 

54.1

 

5,283

 

5.4

 

3,589

 

13.7

 

71,803

 

12.5

 

BIG

 

3,265

 

0.8

 

2,151

 

5.5

 

19,980

 

20.4

 

1,831

 

6.9

 

27,227

 

4.8

 

Total net par outstanding

 

$

408,065

 

100.0

%

$

39,267

 

100.0

%

$

97,969

 

100.0

%

$

26,424

 

100.0

%

$

571,725

 

100.0

%

 

 

 

As of December 31, 2010

 

 

 

Public Finance
U.S.

 

Public Finance
Non-U.S.

 

Structured Finance
U.S

 

Structured Finance
Non-U.S

 

Total

 

Rating Category

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

 

 

(dollars in millions)

 

Super senior

 

$

 

%

$

1,420

 

3.5

%

$

21,837

 

18.4

%

$

7,882

 

25.7

%

$

31,139

 

5.0

%

AAA

 

5,784

 

1.4

 

1,378

 

3.4

 

45,067

 

37.9

 

13,573

 

44.3

 

65,802

 

10.7

 

AA

 

161,906

 

37.9

 

1,330

 

3.3

 

17,355

 

14.6

 

1,969

 

6.4

 

182,560

 

29.6

 

A

 

214,199

 

50.2

 

12,482

 

30.6

 

6,396

 

5.4

 

1,873

 

6.1

 

234,950

 

38.1

 

BBB

 

41,948

 

9.8

 

22,338

 

54.8

 

7,543

 

6.4

 

4,045

 

13.2

 

75,874

 

12.3

 

BIG

 

3,159

 

0.7

 

1,795

 

4.4

 

20,558

 

17.3

 

1,294

 

4.3

 

26,806

 

4.3

 

Total net par outstanding

 

$

426,996

 

100.0

%

$

40,743

 

100.0

%

$

118,756

 

100.0

%

$

30,636

 

100.0

%

$

617,131

 

100.0

%

Financial Guaranty Exposures (Insurance and Credit Derivative Form)

 

 

 

September 30, 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

BIG Net Par as a %

 

 

 

BIG Net Par Outstanding

 

Net Par

 

of Net Par

 

 

 

BIG 1

 

BIG 2

 

BIG 3

 

Total BIG

 

Outstanding

 

Outstanding

 

 

 

(in millions)

 

 

 

First lien U.S. RMBS:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Prime first lien

 

$

90

 

$

513

 

$

 

$

603

 

$

760

 

0.1

%

Alt-A first lien

 

1,815

 

1,594

 

1,433

 

4,842

 

5,541

 

0.9

 

Option ARM

 

124

 

1,115

 

1,148

 

2,387

 

2,627

 

0.4

 

Subprime (including net interest margin securities)

 

153

 

2,608

 

209

 

2,970

 

8,403

 

0.5

 

Second lien U.S. RMBS:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Closed-end second lien

 

 

497

 

538

 

1,035

 

1,061

 

0.2

 

Home equity lines of credit (“HELOCs”)

 

446

 

 

2,984

 

3,430

 

4,072

 

0.6

 

Total U.S. RMBS

 

2,628

 

6,327

 

6,312

 

15,267

 

22,464

 

2.7

 

TruPS

 

2,232

 

 

952

 

3,184

 

6,467

 

0.6

 

Other structured finance

 

1,483

 

423

 

1,454

 

3,360

 

95,462

 

0.6

 

Public finance

 

4,216

 

339

 

861

 

5,416

 

447,332

 

0.9

 

Total

 

$

10,559

 

$

7,089

 

$

9,579

 

$

27,227

 

$

571,725

 

4.8

%

Net Par Outstanding for Below Investment Grade Credits

December 31, 2010

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

BIG Net Par as a %

 

 

 

BIG Net Par Outstanding

 

Net Par

 

of Net Par

 

 

 

BIG 1

 

BIG 2

 

BIG 3

 

Total BIG

 

Outstanding

 

Outstanding

 

 

 

(in millions)

 

 

 

 

 

(restated)

 

(restated)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

First lien U.S. RMBS:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Prime first lien

 

$

82

 

$

542

 

$

 

$

624

 

$

849

 

0.1

%

Alt-A first lien

 

976

 

3,108

 

573

 

4,657

 

6,134

 

0.8

 

Option ARM

 

33

 

2,186

 

640

 

2,859

 

3,214

 

0.5

 

Subprime (including net interest margin securities)

 

729

 

2,248

 

106

 

3,083

 

9,039

 

0.4

 

Second lien U.S. RMBS:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Closed-end second lien

 

63

 

444

 

624

 

1,131

 

1,164

 

0.2

 

HELOCs

 

369

 

 

3,632

 

4,001

 

4,730

 

0.6

 

Total U.S. RMBS

 

2,252

 

8,528

 

5,575

 

16,355

 

25,130

 

2.6

 

TruPS

 

1,846

 

 

964

 

2,810

 

6,833

 

0.5

 

Other structured finance

 

841

 

363

 

1,483

 

2,687

 

117,429

 

0.4

 

Public finance

 

3,752

 

283

 

919

 

4,954

 

467,739

 

0.8

 

Total

 

$

8,691

 

$

9,174

 

$

8,941

 

$

26,806

 

$

617,131

 

4.3

%

 

By Category Below-Investment-Grade Credits

 

 

 

As of September 30, 2011

 

 

 

Net Par Outstanding

 

Number of Risks(4)

 

Description

 

Financial
Guaranty
Insurance(1)

 

FG VIEs(2)

 

Credit
Derivative(3)

 

Total

 

Financial
Guaranty
Insurance(1)

 

FG 
VIEs(2)

 

Credit
Derivative(3)

 

Total

 

 

 

(dollars in millions)

 

BIG:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Category 1

 

$

6,254

 

$

436

 

$

3,869

 

$

10,559

 

162

 

3

 

35

 

200

 

Category 2

 

4,107

 

1,084

 

1,898

 

7,089

 

64

 

8

 

38

 

110

 

Category 3

 

5,917

 

1,276

 

2,386

 

9,579

 

113

 

14

 

25

 

152

 

Total BIG

 

$

16,278

 

$

2,796

 

$

8,153

 

$

27,227

 

339

 

25

 

98

 

462

 

 

 

 

As of December 31, 2010

 

 

 

Net Par Outstanding

 

Number of Risks(4)

 

Description

 

Financial
Guaranty
Insurance(1)

 

FG
 VIEs(2)

 

Credit
Derivative(3)

 

Total

 

Financial
Guaranty
Insurance(1)

 

FG
 VIEs(2)

 

Credit
Derivative(3)

 

Total

 

 

 

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

(restated)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(restated)

 

 

 

 

 

(restated)

 

BIG:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Category 1

 

$

5,091

 

$

359

 

$

3,241

 

$

8,691

 

117

 

2

 

31

 

150

 

Category 2

 

5,222

 

495

 

3,457

 

9,174

 

96

 

2

 

50

 

148

 

Category 3

 

5,901

 

1,380

 

1,660

 

8,941

 

102

 

13

 

12

 

127

 

Total BIG

 

$

16,214

 

$

2,234

 

$

8,358

 

$

26,806

 

315

 

17

 

93

 

425

 

 

(1)                               Represents contracts accounted for as financial guaranty insurance. See Note 5.

 

(2)                               Represents net par outstanding as of September 30, 2011 for contracts accounted for as FG VIEs. See Note 8.

 

(3)                               Represents contracts accounted for as credit derivatives. See Note 7.

 

(4)                               A risk represents the aggregate of the financial guaranty policies that share the same revenue source for purposes of making Debt Service payments.