EX-99.1 2 a09-21796_1ex99d1.htm EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

 

 

Financial Security Assurance Inc. Financial Supplement

June 30, 2009

 

Table of Contents

 

Page

Selected Financial Highlights

 

1

Statements of Operating Earnings (Losses) and Reconciliation to FSA’s Net Income (Loss)

 

2

Consolidated Balance Sheets

 

3

Capital and Claims-Paying Resources

 

4

New Business Production

 

5

Investment Portfolio

 

6

Estimated Net Exposure Amortization

 

7

Estimated Net Unearned Premium Amortization and Estimated Credit Derivative Future Earnings

 

8

Financial Guaranty Profile

 

9

Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Profile

 

12

U.S. RMBS Profile

 

15

U.S. Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile

 

17

U.S. Consumer Receivable Profile

 

18

Credit Derivative Exposure Profile

 

19

Unrealized Gains (Losses) on Credit Derivatives

 

20

50 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures

 

21

50 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures

 

22

10 Largest Healthcare and International Exposures

 

23

10 Largest Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures

 

24

Below Investment Grade Exposures

 

25

Insured Portfolio by Surveillance Category

 

28

Loss and LAE Reserves and Credit Impairment on Credit Derivatives in the Insured Portfolio

 

29

Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses and Credit Impairment on Credit Derivatives in the Insured Portfolio

 

30

Summary Financial and Statistical Data

 

31

Glossary

 

32

Endnotes Related to Non-GAAP Financial Measures

 

33

 

This supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Financial Security Assurance Holdings Ltd. (“FSAH”) and Assured Guaranty Ltd. (“Assured”) with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including FSAH’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2008, FSAH’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarterly period ended March 31, 2009, Assured’s Current Report on Form 8-K dated July 8, 2009 and Assured’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarterly period ended June 30, 2009.

 

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:

 

Any forward-looking statements made in this supplement reflect Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s (“Assured” or “the Company”) current views with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.  Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements.  For example, the Company’s forward looking statements, including its calculations of adjusted book value, present value of insurance and credit derivative gross written premiums (“PVP”), net present value of estimated future installment premiums in force, total estimated net future premium earnings, and statements regarding capital losses, pricing, ratings, expenses and new business production could be affected by many events.  These events include rating agency action such as a ratings downgrade, difficulties with the execution of the Company’s business strategy, contract cancellations, developments or volatility in the world’s financial and capital markets, more severe or frequent losses associated with products affecting the adequacy of the Company’s loss reserves, investment losses, the availability of capital, changes in regulation or tax laws, governmental actions, natural catastrophes, the Company’s dependence on customers, decreased demand or increased competition, loss of key personnel, technological developments, the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures, changes in accounting policies or practices, changes in general economic conditions, other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time, management’s response to these factors, and other risk factors identified in Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s and Financial Security Assurance Holdings Ltd.’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.  Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, which speak only as of the dates on which they are made.  The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

 



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

Selected Financial Highlights (1)

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

% Change

 

Six Months Ended

 

% Change

 

 

 

June 30,

 

versus

 

June 30,

 

versus

 

 

 

2009

 

2008

 

2Q-08

 

2009

 

2008

 

YTD 2008

 

Operating earnings (losses) (b)

 

$

142.8

 

$

(444.2

)

132

%

$

126.7

 

$

(529.4

)

124

%

After-tax adjustments:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Plus: Fair-value adjustments for credit derivatives in the insured portfolio

 

130.7

 

184.1

 

(29

)%

477.2

 

(133.8

)

457

%

Plus: Fair-value adjustment for committed preferred trust securities

 

(34.3

)

24.0

 

(243

)%

(18.6

)

56.0

 

(133

)%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Plus: Other adjustments

 

0.1

 

 

NM

 

0.3

 

 

NM

 

Less: IFRS(2) adjustments

 

25.4

 

(1.8

)

NM

 

25.6

 

(1.4

)

NM

 

Net Income (Loss) of Financial Security Assurance Inc. and Subsidiaries

 

$

213.9

 

$

(234.3

)

191

%

$

560.0

 

$

(605.8

)

192

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Earned premiums from refundings and accelerations

 

$

84.1

 

$

13.7

 

NM

 

$

97.9

 

$

20.1

 

387

%

Operating earnings (losses) effect

 

$

51.1

 

$

8.0

 

NM

 

$

59.9

 

$

11.6

 

416

%

 


(1) The comparability of financial information is affected by the adoption of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 163,  “Accounting for Financial Guarantee Insurance Contracts” on January 1, 2009.

(2) International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”) adjustments, which consist primarily of foreign exchange gains/losses on the general investment portfolio.

 

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [operating earnings (losses) (b)].

 

NM = Not meaningful

 

1



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

Statements of Operating Earnings (Losses) and Reconciliation to FSA’s Net Income (Loss)

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

% Change

 

Six Months Ended

% Change

 

 

 

June 30,

 

versus

 

June 30,

 

versus

 

 

 

2009

 

2008

 

2Q-08

 

2009

 

2008

 

YTD 2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net earned premiums (1):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Scheduled net earned premiums

 

$

74.3

 

$

81.9

 

(9

)%

$

144.3

 

$

160.0

 

(10

)%

Refundings and accelerations

 

84.1

 

13.7

 

NM

 

97.9

 

20.1

 

387

%

Total net earned premiums

 

158.4

 

95.6

 

66

%

242.2

 

180.1

 

34

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net investment income from general investment portfolio

 

60.0

 

66.8

 

(10

)%

122.6

 

131.3

 

(7

)%

Realized gains (losses) on general investment portfoilio

 

(3.8

)

(2.1

)

(81

)%

(9.6

)

(2.3

)

(317

)%

Fees earned on credit derivatives in the insured portfolio

 

27.2

 

32.7

 

(17

)%

44.2

 

68.8

 

(36

)%

Credit impairment on credit derivatives in the insured portfolio

 

(43.5

)

(67.9

)

36

%

(66.1

)

(67.9

)

3

%

Unrealized gains (losses) on fair valued financial instruments

 

2.2

 

(1.4

)

257

%

25.2

 

(3.2

)

NM

 

Income from assets aquired in refinancing transactions

 

2.1

 

2.2

 

(5

)%

4.3

 

6.0

 

(28

)%

Realized gains (losses) on assets acquired in refinancing transactions

 

0.7

 

3.0

 

(77

)%

0.3

 

3.0

 

(90

)%

Other income

 

72.1

 

4.5

 

NM

 

60.5

 

8.1

 

NM

 

Total revenues

 

275.4

 

133.4

 

106

%

423.6

 

323.9

 

31

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Losses and loss adjustment expenses (1)

 

77.3

 

816.0

 

91

%

230.4

 

1,116.5

 

79

%

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

 

7.8

 

16.6

 

53

%

16.8

 

32.4

 

48

%

Other operating expenses

 

27.1

 

0.5

 

NM

 

57.2

 

23.7

 

(141

)%

Interest expense

 

2.8

 

2.9

 

3

%

5.3

 

6.6

 

20

%

Total expenses

 

115.0

 

836.0

 

86

%

309.7

 

1,179.2

 

74

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating earnings (losses) before provision (benefit) for income taxes

 

160.4

 

(702.6

)

123

%

113.9

 

(855.3

)

113

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes

 

43.0

 

(260.2

)

(117

)%

12.8

 

(327.3

)

(104

)%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Plus IFRS(2) adjustments, net of tax

 

25.4

 

(1.8

)

NM

 

25.6

 

(1.4

)

NM

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating earnings (losses) (b)

 

142.8

 

(444.2

)

132

%

126.7

 

(529.4

)

124

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Plus: Fair-value adjustments for credit derivatives in the insured portfolio, net of tax

 

130.7

 

184.1

 

(29

)%

477.2

 

(133.8

)

457

%

Plus: Fair-value adjustment for committed preferred trust securities

 

(34.3

)

24.0

 

(243

)%

(18.6

)

56.0

 

(133

)%

Plus: Other adjustments, net of tax

 

0.1

 

 

NM

 

0.3

 

 

NM

 

Less: IFRS (2) adjustments, net of tax

 

25.4

 

(1.8

)

NM

 

25.6

 

(1.4

)

NM

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Income (Loss) of Financial Security Assurance Inc. and Subsidiaries

 

$

213.9

 

$

(234.3

)

191

%

$

560.0

 

$

(605.8

)

192

%

 


(1) The comparability of financial information is affected by the adoption of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 163,  “Accounting for Financial Guarantee Insurance Contracts” on January 1, 2009.

(2) International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”) adjustments, which consist primarily of foreign exchange gain/losses on general investment portfolio.

 

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [operating earnings (losses) (b)].

 

NM = Not meaningful

 

2



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Balance Sheets(1)

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

As of

 

 

 

June 30,

 

December 31,

 

 

 

2009

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Assets

 

 

 

 

 

General investment portfolio, available-for-sale

 

 

 

 

 

Bonds at fair value

 

$

5,189.4

 

$

5,264.5

 

Short-term investments, at cost which approximates fair value

 

545.8

 

616.1

 

Equity securities, at fair value

 

1.3

 

0.4

 

Variable interest entities segment investment portfolio, at fair value

 

1,525.4

 

1,733.1

 

Assets acquired in refinancing transactions

 

172.8

 

166.6

 

Total investments

 

7,434.7

 

7,780.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash

 

85.1

 

101.2

 

Financial guaranty variable interest entity assets

 

990.3

 

 

Accrued investment income on general investment portfolio

 

65.8

 

70.5

 

Deferred acquisition costs

 

289.3

 

299.3

 

Ceded unearned premium revenue

 

1,299.2

 

1,012.0

 

Reinsurance recoverable on paid and unpaid losses

 

279.9

 

302.1

 

Premiums receivable, net

 

854.1

 

29.6

 

Credit derivatives

 

308.7

 

287.4

 

Deferred tax asset

 

507.2

 

796.3

 

Committed preferred trust securities

 

81.4

 

100.0

 

Variable interest entities segment derivatives

 

350.4

 

378.7

 

Other assets

 

703.6

 

442.3

 

Total assets

 

$

13,249.7

 

$

11,600.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Liabilities and shareholder’s equity

 

 

 

 

 

Liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

Unearned premium reserves

 

$

3,778.7

 

$

3,052.9

 

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserve

 

1,834.7

 

1,992.2

 

Variable interest entities segment debt

 

1,463.2

 

1,243.6

 

Financial guaranty variable interest entity debt

 

922.9

 

 

Notes payable to affiliate

 

155.0

 

172.5

 

Premiums payable, net

 

249.6

 

14.3

 

Accrued interest in variable interest entities segment debt

 

73.4

 

70.5

 

Credit derivatives

 

920.0

 

1,543.8

 

Other liabilities

 

353.3

 

148.1

 

Total liabilities

 

9,750.8

 

8,237.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholder’s equity

 

 

 

 

 

Preferred stock

 

 

 

Common stock

 

15.0

 

15.0

 

Additional paid-in capital

 

1,410.2

 

1,410.2

 

Accumulated earnings

 

1,388.2

 

901.4

 

Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)

 

37.7

 

(75.6

)

Total Financial Security Assurance Inc. and Subsidiaries shareholder’s equity

 

2,851.1

 

2,251.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Noncontrolling interest

 

647.8

 

1,111.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total shareholder’s equity

 

3,498.9

 

3,362.2

 

Total liabilities and shareholder’s equity

 

$

13,249.7

 

$

11,600.1

 

 


(1) The comparability of financial information is affected by the adoption of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 163,  “Accounting for Financial Guarantee Insurance Contracts” on January 1, 2009.  See Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in FSAH’s March 31, 2009 Quarterly Report on Form 10Q.

 

3



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

Capital and Claims-Paying Resources

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

As of:

 

 

 

June 30,

 

December 31,

 

 

 

2009

 

2008

 

Claims-paying resources

 

 

 

 

 

Policyholders’ surplus

 

$

816.2

 

$

710.8

 

Contingency reserve

 

1,148.0

 

1,281.6

 

Qualified statutory capital

 

1,964.2

 

1,992.4

 

Net unearned premium reserve

 

2,454.2

 

2,520.1

 

Net loss and loss adjustment expense reserves

 

1,514.5

 

1,688.0

 

Total policyholders’ surplus & reserves

 

5,932.9

 

6,200.5

 

Net present value of installment premiums (1)

 

793.0

 

962.6

 

Third party capital support(2)

 

550.0

 

550.0

 

Total claims-paying resources

 

$

7,275.9

 

$

7,713.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net debt service outstanding

 

$

599,834.7

 

$

631,885.6

 

Gross debt service outstanding

 

795,033.7

 

834,425.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net par outstanding

 

402,649.7

 

424,392.7

 

Gross par outstanding

 

520,644.2

 

545,567.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net debt service written (period ended)

 

5,300.4

 

77,164.0

 

Gross debt service written (period ended)

 

5,305.3

 

90,859.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net par written (period ended)

 

3,441.5

 

45,154.0

 

Gross par written (period ended)

 

3,454.8

 

52,496.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ratios:

 

 

 

 

 

Net par outstanding to qualified statutory capital

 

205:1

 

213:1

 

Capital ratio(3)

 

305:1

 

317:1

 

Financial resources ratio(4)

 

82:1

 

82:1

 

 


(1)  Statutory includes financial guaranty premiums on derivative and non-derivative contracts.

(2)  $350 million Bayerische Landesbank soft capital facility included above was amended.  Effective July 1, 2009 facility decreased to $298 million.

(3)  The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.

(4)  The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims-paying resources.

 

4



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

New Business Production

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

Three Months Ended

Six Months Ended

 

 

 

June 30,

 

June 30,

 

 

 

2009

 

2008

 

2009

 

2008

 

Reconciliation of PV Financial Guaranty Originations to Gross Written Premium (GWP) under GAAP:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Present value (PV) Financial Guaranty Originations (a)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Public finance

 

$

16.2

 

$

272.9

 

$

26.2

 

$

469.5

 

Structured finance

 

0.2

 

20.4

 

2.1

 

74.6

 

International

 

0.6

 

23.8

 

1.4

 

62.1

 

Total PV Financial Guaranty Originations

 

17.0

 

317.1

 

29.7

 

606.2

 

Less: PV Credit Derivatives Originated

 

 

 

 

62.8

 

PV Premiums Originated

 

17.0

 

317.1

 

29.7

 

543.4

 

Less: Installment component of PV Premiums Originated

 

(0.8

)

28.7

 

4.4

 

48.0

 

Total Upfront component of PV Premiums Originated

 

17.8

 

288.4

 

25.3

 

495.4

 

Plus: Installment component of GWP

 

11.0

 

51.0

 

13.2

 

97.6

 

Total GWP(1)

 

$

28.8

 

$

339.4

 

$

38.5

 

$

593.0

 

 

 

 

Three Months Ended

Six Months Ended

 

 

 

June 30,

 

June 30,

 

 

 

2009

 

2008

 

2009

 

2008

 

Gross Par Written:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sector:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Public Finance:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

United States

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

General obligation

 

$

1,857

 

$

6,787

 

$

2,716

 

$

13,555

 

Tax-supported

 

70

 

4,964

 

188

 

8,408

 

Municipal utility revenue

 

216

 

4,581

 

340

 

7,525

 

Health care revenue

 

34

 

235

 

104

 

728

 

Housing revenue

 

 

302

 

 

348

 

Transportation revenue

 

 

2,578

 

 

6,062

 

Education/University

 

26

 

1,320

 

81

 

2,438

 

Other domestic public finance

 

 

523

 

 

584

 

Subtotal

 

2,203

 

21,290

 

3,429

 

39,648

 

International

 

 

671

 

 

1,170

 

Total public finance

 

$

2,203

 

$

21,961

 

$

3,429

 

$

40,818

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Structured Finance:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

United States

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Residential mortgages

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

144

 

Consumer receivables

 

 

1,018

 

 

1,059

 

Pooled corporate

 

 

181

 

 

1,186

 

Other structured finance

 

 

49

 

 

49

 

Financial products

 

26

 

646

 

26

 

751

 

Subtotal

 

26

 

1,894

 

26

 

3,189

 

International

 

 

56

 

 

525

 

Total structured finance

 

$

26

 

$

1,950

 

$

26

 

$

3,714

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total exposures

 

$

2,229

 

$

23,911

 

$

3,455

 

$

44,532

 

 


(1) The comparability of financial information is affected by the adoption of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 163,  “Accounting for Financial Guarantee Insurance Contracts” on January 1, 2009.

 

Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and international obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

 

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [PV Financial Guaranty Originations (a)].

 

5



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

Investment Portfolio

As of June 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pre-Tax

 

 

 

 

 

Pre-Tax

 

After-Tax

 

 

 

Annualized

 

 

 

Amortized

 

Book

 

Book

 

 

 

Investment

 

 

 

Cost

 

Yield

 

Yield

 

Fair Value

 

Income

 

Fixed maturity securities available for sale:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies

 

$

99.2

 

3.3

%

2.2

%

$

101.4

 

$

3.3

 

Agency obligations

 

66.8

 

4.3

%

2.8

%

70.3

 

2.9

 

Foreign government securities

 

284.8

 

4.5

%

2.9

%

270.8

 

12.9

 

Obligations of states and political subdivisions

 

2,351.5

 

4.4

%

4.2

%

2,407.1

 

103.6

 

Insured obligations of state and political subdivisions (1)

 

1,977.7

 

4.8

%

4.5

%

1,975.3

 

94.3

 

Corporate securities

 

27.9

 

6.1

%

4.5

%

26.1

 

1.7

 

Mortgage-backed securities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pass-throughs

 

318.2

 

5.6

%

3.6

%

333.4

 

17.8

 

Planned Amortization Class

 

4.7

 

5.3

%

3.5

%

4.8

 

0.3

 

Asset-backed securities

 

0.2

 

5.0

%

3.3

%

0.2

 

0.0

 

Total bonds

 

$

5,131.0

 

4.6

%

4.2

%

$

5,189.4

 

$

236.8

 

Short-term investments

 

545.7

 

0.4

%

0.2

%

545.8

 

1.9

 

Total fixed-income securities

 

$

5,676.7

 

4.2

%

3.8

%

$

5,735.2

 

$

238.7

 

Equity securities

 

1.8

 

 

 

1.3

 

 

Total General Investment Portfolio

 

$

5,678.5

 

4.2

%

3.8

%

$

5,736.5

 

$

238.7

 

 

 

 

Fair Value

 

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bond Ratings (2):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies

 

$

101.4

 

2.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Agency obligations

 

70.3

 

1.4

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

AAA/Aaa

 

1,630.8

 

31.4

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

AA/Aa

 

2,236.0

 

43.1

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

A/A

 

1,021.0

 

19.7

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

BBB

 

110.8

 

2.1

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Below investment grade

 

6.6

 

0.1

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Not rated

 

12.5

 

0.2

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Bonds at Fair Value

 

$

5,189.4

 

100.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Duration of total general investment portfolio (in years):

 

 

 

4.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


(1) Reflects obligations of state and local political subdivisions that have been insured by other financial guarantors. The underlying ratings of these bonds average A.

(2) Ratings are represented by the lower of the Moody’s Investor Services and Standard & Poor’s classifications.

 

6



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

Estimated Net Exposure Amortization (1)

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

 

 

Estimated

 

 

 

Estimated Net

 

Ending Net

 

 

 

Debt Service

 

Debt Service

 

 

 

Amortization

 

Outstanding

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial Guaranty:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009 (as of June 30)

 

$

 

$

614,335

 

2009 (July - December)

 

29,334

 

585,001

 

2010

 

49,710

 

535,291

 

2011

 

41,221

 

494,070

 

2012

 

45,127

 

448,943

 

2013

 

38,254

 

410,689

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009-2013

 

203,646

 

410,689

 

2014-2018

 

149,348

 

261,341

 

2019-2023

 

100,800

 

160,541

 

2024-2028

 

71,958

 

88,583

 

After 2028

 

88,583

 

 

 

Total

 

$

614,335

 

 

 

 


(1) Represents amortization of existing guaranteed portfolio (principal and interest), assuming no advance refundings, as of June 30, 2009. Expected maturities will differ from contractual maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay guaranteed obligations.

 

7



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

Estimated Net Unearned Premium Amortization and Estimated Credit Derivative Future Earnings

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

Non-Derivative Financial Guaranty Contracts

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Estimated

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Unearned

 

 

 

Estimated

 

 

 

 

 

Net Unearned

 

Premium

 

Accretion of

 

Credit Derivative

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums (1)

 

Amortization

 

Discount

 

Future Earnings(2)

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial Guaranty:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009 (as of June 30)

 

$

2,479.5

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

2009 (3rd & 4th Qtrs)

 

2,370.1

 

109.4

 

8.2

 

52.0

 

169.6

 

2010

 

2,166.1

 

204.0

 

15.3

 

90.9

 

310.2

 

2011

 

1,979.4

 

186.7

 

14.3

 

75.6

 

276.6

 

2012

 

1,807.9

 

171.5

 

13.1

 

59.0

 

243.6

 

2013

 

1,650.9

 

157.0

 

11.9

 

37.1

 

206.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009-2013

 

1,650.9

 

828.6

 

62.8

 

314.6

 

1,206.0

 

2014-2018

 

1,010.6

 

640.3

 

47.9

 

61.1

 

749.3

 

2019-2023

 

581.9

 

428.7

 

32.9

 

5.0

 

466.6

 

2024-2028

 

310.3

 

271.6

 

21.5

 

3.3

 

296.4

 

After 2028

 

 

310.3

 

23.7

 

9.0

 

343.0

 

Total

 

 

 

$

2,479.5

 

$

188.8

 

$

393.0

 

$

3,061.3

 

 


(1) Unearned premium amounts are U.S. GAAP based and net of prepaid reinsurance premiums.

(2) Consists of estimated earnings on credit derivatives in the financial guaranty insured portfolio.

 

8



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 3)

(dollars in millions)

 

Net Par Outstanding and Average Rating by Asset Type

 

 

 

As of June 30,

 

As of December 31,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

2008

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Avg.
Rating (1)

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

 

 

 

 

Sector:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Public Finance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

United States

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

General obligation

 

$

131,170

 

A+

 

$

125,063

 

$

114,456

 

 

 

 

 

Tax-supported

 

56,557

 

A+

 

55,446

 

50,081

 

 

 

 

 

Municipal utility revenue

 

50,778

 

A+

 

50,341

 

44,365

 

 

 

 

 

Health care revenue

 

11,302

 

A

 

12,185

 

14,047

 

 

 

 

 

Housing revenue

 

7,111

 

AA-

 

7,434

 

7,711

 

 

 

 

 

Transportation revenue

 

21,198

 

A

 

21,304

 

17,407

 

 

 

 

 

Education/University

 

8,111

 

A+

 

7,902

 

5,468

 

 

 

 

 

Other domestic public finance

 

1,936

 

A

 

2,181

 

1,873

 

 

 

 

 

Subtotal

 

288,163

 

A+

 

281,856

 

255,408

 

 

 

 

 

International

 

24,902

 

A-

 

24,563

 

27,299

 

 

 

 

 

Total public finance

 

$

313,065

 

A+

 

$

306,419

 

$

282,707

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Structured Finance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

United States

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Residential mortgages

 

$

15,418

 

BB

 

$

17,052

 

$

19,774

 

 

 

 

 

Consumer receivables

 

4,847

 

BBB-

 

6,039

 

11,572

 

 

 

 

 

Pooled corporate

 

50,337

 

AAA

 

54,903

 

59,207

 

 

 

 

 

Financial products

 

11,340

 

AA-

 

15,253

 

19,468

 

 

 

 

 

Other structured finance

 

1,479

 

A

 

1,568

 

1,975

 

 

 

 

 

Subtotal

 

83,421

 

AA

 

94,815

 

111,996

 

 

 

 

 

International

 

19,344

 

AAA

 

22,860

 

31,639

 

 

 

 

 

Total structured finance

 

$

102,765

 

AA

 

$

117,675

 

$

143,635

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total exposures

 

$

415,830

 

A+

 

$

424,094

 

$

426,342

 

 

 

 

 

 

Distribution by ratings of financial guaranty portfolio

 

 

 

June 30, 2009

 

December 31, 2008

 

December 31, 2007

 

 

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Ratings (1):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AAA

 

$

71,573

 

17.2

%

$

84,091

 

19.8

%

$

110,956

 

26.0

%

AA

 

144,154

 

34.7

%

133,132

 

31.4

%

137,160

 

32.2

%

A

 

144,344

 

34.7

%

143,855

 

33.9

%

127,490

 

29.9

%

BBB

 

41,275

 

9.9

%

44,075

 

10.4

%

46,641

 

10.9

%

Other

 

14,484

 

3.5

%

18,941

 

4.5

%

4,095

 

1.0

%

Total exposures

 

$

415,830

 

100.0

%

$

424,094

 

100.0

%

$

426,342

 

100.0

%

 


(1) FSA’s internal rating.  FSA’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.

 

Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and international obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

 

9



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 3)

(dollars in millions)

 

Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio

 

 

 

As of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

Public
Finance

 

Structured
Finance

 

Total

 

 

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Ratings (1):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AAA

 

$

6,466

 

2.1

%

$

65,107

 

63.4

%

$

71,573

 

17.2

%

AA

 

128,242

 

40.9

%

15,912

 

15.4

%

144,154

 

34.7

%

A

 

141,904

 

45.3

%

2,440

 

2.4

%

144,344

 

34.7

%

BBB

 

35,041

 

11.2

%

6,234

 

6.1

%

41,275

 

9.9

%

Other

 

1,412

 

0.5

%

13,072

 

12.7

%

14,484

 

3.5

%

Total exposures

 

$

313,065

 

100.0

%

$

102,765

 

100.0

%

$

415,830

 

100.0

%

 

 

 

As of December 31, 2008

 

 

 

Public
Finance

 

Structured
Finance

 

Total

 

 

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Ratings (1):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AAA

 

$

6,790

 

2.2

%

$

77,301

 

65.7

%

$

84,091

 

19.8

%

AA

 

125,440

 

41.0

%

7,692

 

6.5

%

133,132

 

31.4

%

A

 

140,082

 

45.7

%

3,773

 

3.2

%

143,855

 

33.9

%

BBB

 

32,872

 

10.7

%

11,203

 

9.6

%

44,075

 

10.4

%

Other

 

1,235

 

0.4

%

17,706

 

15.0

%

18,941

 

4.5

%

Total exposures

 

$

306,419

 

100.0

%

$

117,675

 

100.0

%

$

424,094

 

100.0

%

 


(1) FSA’s internal rating.  FSA’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.

 

10



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 3)

(dollars in millions)

 

Geographic Distribution of Public Finance Financial Guaranty Portfolio as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

 

 

Outstanding

 

% of Total

 

Domestic by State:

 

 

 

 

 

California

 

$

42,107

 

13.4

%

New York

 

23,080

 

7.4

%

Pennsylvania

 

21,211

 

6.8

%

Texas

 

19,796

 

6.3

%

Illinois

 

17,375

 

5.5

%

Florida

 

15,281

 

4.9

%

Michigan

 

13,056

 

4.2

%

New Jersey

 

12,670

 

4.0

%

Washington

 

10,465

 

3.3

%

Massachusetts

 

8,555

 

2.7

%

Other states

 

104,567

 

33.5

%

Subtotal

 

288,163

 

92.0

%

International

 

24,902

 

8.0

%

Total public finance exposure

 

$

313,065

 

100.0

%

 

11



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (“RMBS”) Profile (1 of 3)

(dollars in millions)

 

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating(1), December 31, 2007 to June 30, 2009

 

 

 

06/30/09

 

12/31/08

 

12/31/07

 

Ratings(1):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AAA

 

13.0

%

13.7

%

56.7

%

AA

 

5.0

%

5.6

%

1.5

%

A

 

3.2

%

1.3

%

0.7

%

BBB

 

8.8

%

15.8

%

26.7

%

Below investment grade

 

70.0

%

63.6

%

14.4

%

 

 

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

 

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating(1) and Type of Exposure as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

Alt-A CES

 

Prime
HELOC

 

Alt-A First
Lien

 

Alt-A
Option
ARMs

 

Subprime

 

NIMs

 

Other MBS

 

Total Net Par
Outstanding

 

Ratings:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AAA

 

$

 

$

309

 

$

60

 

$

162

 

$

1,358

 

$

 

$

120

 

$

2,009

 

AA

 

282

 

385

 

77

 

 

30

 

 

3

 

777

 

A

 

 

 

 

 

493

 

 

3

 

496

 

BBB

 

 

1,207

 

 

 

111

 

31

 

 

1,349

 

Below investment grade

 

1,043

 

3,276

 

1,474

 

2,438

 

2,387

 

169

 

 

10,787

 

Total exposures

 

$

1,325

 

$

5,177

 

$

1,611

 

$

2,600

 

$

4,379

 

$

200

 

$

126

 

$

15,418

 

 

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Year Insured and Type of Exposure as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

Alt-A CES

 

Prime
HELOC

 

Alt-A First
Lien

 

Alt-A
Option
ARMs

 

Subprime

 

NIMs

 

Other MBS

 

Total Net Par
Outstanding

 

Year insured:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004 and prior

 

$

 

$

329

 

$

71

 

$

 

$

1,374

 

$

1

 

$

10

 

$

1,785

 

2005

 

 

783

 

421

 

148

 

440

 

15

 

 

1,807

 

2006

 

460

 

2,061

 

560

 

1,005

 

126

 

86

 

116

 

4,414

 

2007

 

865

 

2,004

 

559

 

1,447

 

2,364

 

98

 

 

7,337

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

75

 

 

 

75

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total exposures

 

$

1,325

 

$

5,177

 

$

1,611

 

$

2,600

 

$

4,379

 

$

200

 

$

126

 

$

15,418

 

 


(1) FSA’s internal rating.  FSA’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.

 

12



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (2 of 3)

(dollars in millions)

 

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

AAA

 

AA

 

A

 

BBB

 

BIG

 

 

 

 

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Total

 

Year insured:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004 and prior

 

$

1,261

 

$

71

 

$

58

 

$

347

 

$

48

 

$

1,785

 

2005

 

161

 

114

 

120

 

170

 

1,242

 

1,807

 

2006

 

278

 

 

 

555

 

3,581

 

4,414

 

2007

 

309

 

592

 

318

 

277

 

5,841

 

7,337

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

75

 

75

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

2,009

 

$

777

 

$

496

 

$

1,349

 

$

10,787

 

$

15,418

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

% of total

 

13.0

%

5.0

%

3.2

%

8.8

%

70.0

%

100.0

%

 

Distribution of U.S. Alt-A CES RMBS by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

AAA

 

AA

 

A

 

BBB

 

BIG

 

 

 

 

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Total

 

Year insured:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004 and prior

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

 

 

 

 

460

 

460

 

2007

 

 

282

 

 

 

583

 

865

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

 

$

282

 

$

 

$

 

$

1,043

 

$

1,325

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

% of total

 

0.0

%

21.3

%

0.0

%

0.0

%

78.7

%

100.0

%

 

Distribution of U.S. Prime HELOC RMBS by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

AAA

 

AA

 

A

 

BBB

 

BIG

 

 

 

 

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Total

 

Year insured:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004 and prior

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

329

 

$

 

$

329

 

2005

 

 

75

 

 

154

 

554

 

783

 

2006

 

 

 

 

479

 

1,582

 

2,061

 

2007

 

309

 

310

 

 

245

 

1,140

 

2,004

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

309

 

$

385

 

$

 

$

1,207

 

$

3,276

 

$

5,177

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

% of total

 

6.0

%

7.4

%

0.0

%

23.3

%

63.3

%

100.0

%

 


(1) FSA’s internal rating.  FSA’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.

 

13



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (3 of 3)

(dollars in millions)

 

Distribution of U.S. Alt-A First Lien RMBS by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

AAA

 

AA

 

A

 

BBB

 

BIG

 

 

 

 

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Total

 

Year insured:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004 and prior

 

$

34

 

$

37

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

71

 

2005

 

26

 

40

 

 

 

355

 

421

 

2006

 

 

 

 

 

560

 

560

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

559

 

559

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

60

 

$

77

 

$

 

$

 

$

1,474

 

$

1,611

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

% of total

 

3.7

%

4.8

%

0.0

%

0.0

%

91.5

%

100.0

%

 

Distribution of U.S. Alt-A Option ARM RMBS by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

AAA

 

AA

 

A

 

BBB

 

BIG

 

 

 

 

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Total

 

Year insured:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004 and prior

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

148

 

148

 

2006

 

162

 

 

 

 

843

 

1,005

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

1,447

 

1,447

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

162

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

2,438

 

$

2,600

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

% of total

 

6.2

%

0.0

%

0.0

%

0.0

%

93.8

%

100.0

%

 

Distribution of U.S. Subprime RMBS by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

AAA

 

AA

 

A

 

BBB

 

BIG

 

 

 

 

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Total

 

Year insured:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004 and prior

 

$

1,223

 

$

30

 

$

55

 

$

19

 

$

47

 

$

1,374

 

2005

 

135

 

 

120

 

15

 

170

 

440

 

2006

 

 

 

 

77

 

49

 

126

 

2007

 

 

 

318

 

 

2,046

 

2,364

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

75

 

75

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

1,358

 

$

30

 

$

493

 

$

111

 

$

2,387

 

$

4,379

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

% of total

 

31.0

%

0.7

%

11.3

%

2.5

%

54.5

%

100.0

%

 

Distribution of U.S. NIMs RMBS by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

AAA

 

AA

 

A

 

BBB

 

BIG

 

 

 

 

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Total

 

Year insured:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004 and prior

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

1

 

$

1

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

15

 

15

 

2006

 

 

 

 

 

86

 

86

 

2007

 

 

 

 

31

 

67

 

98

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

31

 

$

169

 

$

200

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

% of total

 

0.0

%

0.0

%

0.0

%

15.5

%

84.5

%

100.0

%

 


(1) FSA’s internal rating.  FSA’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.

 

14



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

U.S. RMBS Profile (1 of 2)

(dollars in millions)

 

Distribution of U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities Issued January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of June 30, 2009 (1)

 

U.S. Alt-A CES

 

 

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Pool Factor(2)

 

Subordination (3)

 

Cumulative
Losses (4)

 

60+ Day
Delinquencies (5)

 

Number of
Transactions

 

Year issued:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

$

 

0.0

%

0.0

%

0.0

%

0.0

%

 

2006

 

460

 

32.3

%

-52.7

%

46.5

%

18.6

%

2

 

2007

 

865

 

45.3

%

-8.2

%

43.8

%

20.0

%

9

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

1,325

 

40.8

%

-23.6

%

44.7

%

19.5

%

11

 

 

U.S. Prime HELOC

 

 

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Pool Factor(2)

 

Subordination (3)

 

Cumulative
Losses (4)

 

60+ Day
Delinquencies (5)

 

Number of
Transactions

 

Year issued:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

$

783

 

26.9

%

1.4

%

6.1

%

10.6

%

4

 

2006

 

2,136

 

47.3

%

0.4

%

17.6

%

14.7

%

8

 

2007

 

1,929

 

65.0

%

4.8

%

15.8

%

8.6

%

6

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

4,848

 

51.0

%

2.3

%

15.0

%

11.6

%

18

 

 

U.S. Alt-A First Lien

 

 

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Pool Factor(2)

 

Subordination (3)

 

Cumulative
Losses (4)

 

60+ Day
Delinquencies (5)

 

Number of Transactions

 

Year issued:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

$

421

 

46.2

%

16.2

%

3.8

%

21.8

%

8

 

2006

 

589

 

64.3

%

6.8

%

5.6

%

34.4

%

8

 

2007

 

530

 

74.8

%

7.7

%

7.0

%

44.0

%

3

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

1,540

 

63.0

%

9.7

%

5.6

%

34.3

%

19

 

 


(1) For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of June 2009. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on June 2009 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to adjustments.

(2) Pool factor is the percentage of net par outstanding divided by the original net par outstanding of the transactions at inception.

(3) Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of current collateral balance and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

(4) Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

(5) 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or Real estate owned (“REO”) divided by net par outstanding.

 

15



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

U.S. RMBS Profile (2 of 2)

(dollars in millions)

 

Distribution of U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities Issued January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of June 30, 2009 (1)

 

U.S. Alt-A Option ARMs

 

 

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Pool Factor(2)

 

Subordination (3)

 

Cumulative
Losses (4)

 

60+ Day
Delinquencies (5)

 

Number of
Transactions

 

Year issued:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

$

148

 

42.2

%

14.3

%

4.4

%

47.2

%

3

 

2006

 

1,005

 

70.3

%

10.6

%

4.3

%

44.4

%

6

 

2007

 

1,447

 

80.5

%

10.8

%

2.6

%

41.0

%

5

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

2,600

 

74.4

%

10.9

%

3.4

%

42.7

%

14

 

 

U.S. Subprime

 

 

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Pool Factor(2)

 

Subordination (3)

 

Cumulative
Losses (4)

 

60+ Day
Delinquencies (5)

 

Number of
Transactions

 

Year issued:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

$

517

 

37.4

%

48.8

%

4.6

%

33.7

%

8

 

2006

 

49

 

76.1

%

22.3

%

1.9

%

28.9

%

1

 

2007

 

2,364

 

78.1

%

28.0

%

4.4

%

42.4

%

9

 

2008

 

75

 

80.9

%

34.5

%

1.9

%

29.8

%

1

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

3,005

 

71.1

%

31.6

%

4.3

%

40.4

%

19

 

 


(1) For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of June 2009. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on June 2009 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to adjustments.

 

(2) Pool factor is the percentage of the pool balance outstanding of the transactions as of June 2009 divided by the original pool balance of the transactions at inception.

 

(3) Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of current collateral balance and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

 

(4) Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

 

(5) 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or Real estate owned (“REO”) divided by net par outstanding.

 

16



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

U.S. Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile

(dollars in millions)

 

Distribution by Ratings of U.S. Pooled Corporate Obligations as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

% of Total

 

Avg. Initial Credit
Enhancement (2)

 

Avg. Current
Enhancement (2)

 

 

 

Ratings (1):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AAA

 

$

46,497

 

92.4

%

25.8

%

22.8

%

 

 

AA

 

2,642

 

5.2

%

31.6

%

29.7

%

 

 

A

 

491

 

1.0

%

10.3

%

13.5

%

 

 

BBB

 

565

 

1.1

%

19.0

%

16.0

%

 

 

Below investment grade

 

142

 

0.3

%

40.6

%

10.7

%

 

 

Total exposures

 

$

50,337

 

100.0

%

25.9

%

23.0

%

 

 

 

Distribution of U.S. Pooled Corporate Obligations by Year Insured as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

% of Total

 

Avg. Initial Credit
Enhancement (2)

 

Avg. Current
Enhancement (2)

 

 

 

Year insured:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004 and prior

 

$

15,757

 

31.3

%

21.3

%

18.8

%

 

 

2005

 

9,994

 

19.9

%

26.3

%

23.3

%

 

 

2006

 

6,669

 

13.2

%

27.9

%

24.8

%

 

 

2007

 

17,917

 

35.6

%

29.1

%

25.8

%

 

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

50,337

 

100.0

%

25.9

%

23.0

%

 

 

 

Distribution of Direct U.S. Corporate Obligations by Asset Class as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

% of Total

 

Avg. Initial Credit
Enhancement (2)

 

Avg. Current
Enhancement (2)

 

Avg.
Rating(1)

 

Asset class:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Synthetic high yield pooled corporates

 

$11,273

 

22.4

%

35.7

%

31.2

%

AAA

 

Synthetic investment grade pooled corporates

 

11,613

 

23.1

%

15.5

%

14.0

%

AAA*(3)

 

CLOs

 

24,441

 

48.6

%

27.5

%

23.7

%

AAA

 

CBOs

 

1,486

 

3.0

%

16.3

%

20.0

%

A+

 

Market Value CDOs of corporates

 

1,119

 

2.2

%

17.0

%

23.8

%

AAA

 

Trust preferred - banks and insurance

 

170

 

0.3

%

40.6

%

37.2

%

A+

 

CDO of CDOs (corporate)

 

35

 

0.1

%

24.0

%

21.9

%

A-

 

CDO of ABS

 

30

 

0.0

%

14.8

%

34.4

%

AA

 

Other Pooled Corporates

 

170

 

0.3

%

N/A

 

N/A

 

A

 

 

 

$50,337

 

100.0

%

25.9

%

23.0

%

AAA

 

 


(1) FSA’s internal rating.  FSA’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.

 

(2) Average Credit Enhancement” is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinate tranches that are junior in the capital structure to FSA’s exposure, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the numbers shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to adjustments.

 

(3) AAA* represents super senior rated exposure.

 

17



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

U.S. Consumer Receivables Profile

(dollars in millions)

 

Distribution of U.S. Consumer Receivables by Year Issued as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

 

Credit Cards

 

Student
Loans

 

Auto

 

Manufactured
Housing

 

Total Net Par
Outstanding

 

 

 

 

 

Year issued:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004 and prior

 

$

 —

 

$

 —

 

$

 81

 

$

 340

 

$

 421

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

 

 

550

 

 

550

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

 

 

1,191

 

 

1,191

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

88

 

 

2,150

 

 

2,238

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

 

 

447

 

 

447

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

 88

 

$

 —

 

$

 4,419

 

$

 340

 

$

 4,847

 

 

 

 

 

Distribution of U.S. Consumer Receivables Net Par Outstanding by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

 

AAA

 

AA

 

A

 

BBB

 

BIG

 

 

 

 

 

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Total

 

 

Year insured:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004 and prior

 

$

 1

 

$

 12

 

$

 —

 

$

 121

 

$

 287

 

$

 421

 

 

2005

 

 

 

23

 

414

 

113

 

550

 

 

2006

 

 

 

 

712

 

479

 

1,191

 

 

2007

 

 

 

 

1,413

 

825

 

2,238

 

 

2008

 

 

 

 

286

 

161

 

447

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

1

 

$

12

 

$

23

 

$

2,946

 

$

1,865

 

$

4,847

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

% of total

 

0.0

%

0.2

%

0.5

%

60.8

%

38.5

%

100.0

%

 

Distribution of Consumer Receivables by Asset Class as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

 

Net Par Outstanding

 

%

 

Average
Rating (1)

 

Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement (2)

 

Avg. Current Enhancement (2)

 

 

 

 

 

Asset class:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Student loans

 

$

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Credit cards

 

88

 

1.8

%

BBB   

 

13.2

%

18.1

%

 

 

 

 

Auto

 

4,419

 

91.2

%

BBB-  

 

11.6

%

20.5

%

 

 

 

 

Manufactured Housing

 

340

 

7.0

%

BB   

 

27.6

%

29.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

4,847

 

100.0

%

BBB-  

 

12.8

%

21.1

%

 

 

 

 


(1) FSA’s internal rating.  FSA’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.

 

(2) Average Credit Enhancement” is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinate tranches that are junior in the capital structure to FSA’s exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to adjustments.

 

18



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

Credit Derivative Exposure Profile

(dollars in millions)

 

Distribution of Credit Derivative Exposure by Rating

 

 

 

As of

 

 

 

June 30, 2009

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

 

 

Outstanding

 

%

 

Ratings (1):

 

 

 

 

 

Super senior

 

$

28,965

 

45.5

%

AAA

 

28,539

 

44.9

%

AA

 

2,832

 

4.5

%

A

 

957

 

1.5

%

BBB

 

1,529

 

2.4

%

Below investment grade

 

797

 

1.2

%

Total exposures

 

$

63,619

 

100.0

%

 

Distribution of Credit Derivative Exposure by Sector and Average Rating

 

 

 

As of

 

 

 

June 30, 2009

 

 

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Average
Rating (1)

 

Sector:

 

 

 

 

 

Public Finance

 

 

 

 

 

United States

 

 

 

 

 

General obligation

 

$

201

 

A

 

Tax-supported

 

90

 

A

 

Municipal utility revenue

 

67

 

A

 

Health care revenue

 

148

 

A-

 

Housing revenue

 

10

 

A+

 

Transportation revenue

 

36

 

A

 

Other domestic public finance

 

119

 

BBB+

 

Subtotal

 

671

 

A

 

International

 

2,443

 

A

 

Total public finance

 

$

3,114

 

A

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Structured Finance

 

 

 

 

 

United States

 

 

 

 

 

Residential mortgages

 

$

429

 

BBB

 

Pooled corporate

 

44,408

 

AAA

 

Other structured finance

 

566

 

BBB

 

Subtotal

 

45,403

 

AAA

 

International

 

15,102

 

AAA

 

Total structured finance

 

$

60,505

 

AAA

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total exposures

 

$

63,619

 

AAA

 

 


(1) FSA’s internal rating.  FSA’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where FSA’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to FSA’s exposure or (2) FSA’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that the exposure incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes FSA’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

 

19



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

Unrealized Gains (Losses) on Credit Derivatives

(dollars in millions)

 

Unrealized Gains (Losses) on Credit Derivatives as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Wtd. Avg.
Credit
Rating

 

2Q-09
Unrealized
Gain (Loss)

 

YTD 2Q-09
Unrealized
Gain (Loss)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Credit Defaut Swaps (“CDS”) by Asset Type:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pooled Corporates(1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

High yield corporates

 

$

41,214

 

AAA

 

$

157.4

 

$

487.1

 

Trust preferred

 

102

 

AA

 

1.1

 

1.3

 

Market value CDOs of corporates

 

1,492

 

AAA

 

2.4

 

6.9

 

Investment grade corporates

 

15,994

 

AAA*(4)

 

58.9

 

244.9

 

Total pooled corporate obligations

 

58,802

 

 

 

219.8

 

740.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

RMBS(2):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. RMBS:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Subprime

 

210

 

A

 

3.0

 

3.3

 

Other U.S. RMBS

 

121

 

NIG

 

(2.6

)

(3.2

)

International RMBS

 

563

 

BBB

 

2.6

 

7.9

 

Total RMBS

 

894

 

 

 

3.0

 

8.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other(3)

 

3,179

 

A

 

(135.4

)

(102.4

)

Total

 

62,875

 

 

 

87.4

 

645.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Interest Rate Swaps and Other Financial Guaranty Contracts with Embedded Derivatives

 

744

 

A

 

(8.2

)

6.5

 

Total

 

$

63,619

 

 

 

$

79.2

 

$

652.3

 

 


(1) Includes all U.S. structured finance pooled corporate obligations and international pooled corporate obligations as well as corporate collateralized loan obligations, market value CDOs and trust preferred securities.

 

(2) Residential mortgage-backed securities is comprised of mortgage-backed and home equity securities.

 

(3) Other includes all other U.S. and international asset classes, such as commercial receivables and international infrastructure and pooled infrastructure securities.

 

(4) AAA* represents super senior rated exposure.

 

20



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

50 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures

As of June 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

 

 

Outstanding

 

Rating(1)

 

Credit Name:

 

 

 

 

 

Commonwealth of Massachusetts G.O.

 

$

1,993

 

AA

 

New Jersey Transportation Trust Fund Authority Transportation System Bonds

 

1,343

 

AA-

 

Port Authority of NY and NJ, Consolidated Bonds

 

1,308

 

AA-

 

New York City, NY Municipal Water Finance Authority, Water and Sewer System Revenue Bonds

 

1,305

 

AA+

 

State of California Department of Water Resources Power Supply Revenue Bonds

 

1,261

 

A-

 

Illinois State Toll Highway Authority, Revenue Bonds

 

1,239

 

AA

 

Massachusetts School Building Authority Dedicated Sales Tax Revenue Bonds

 

1,233

 

AA

 

Chicago, Illinois G.O.

 

1,187

 

A+

 

New York City, NY G.O.

 

1,182

 

AA-

 

State of California, G.O.

 

1,166

 

A

 

Los Angeles Unified School District, CA, G.O.

 

1,164

 

AA

 

Houston Combined Utility System, TX, First Lien Revenues

 

1,145

 

A+

 

Metropolitan Transportation Authority, NY, Dedicated Tax Fund Bonds

 

1,091

 

AA-

 

Dormitory Authority of the State of New York, Mental Health Services Facilities Improvement Revenue Bonds

 

1,085

 

A

 

State of Illinois, G.O.

 

1,078

 

AA

 

Broward County School Board, FL, Certificates of Participation

 

1,075

 

AA-

 

Metropolitan Transportation Authority, NY, Transportation Revenue Bonds

 

1,065

 

A

 

State of Washington, G.O.

 

1,010

 

AA

 

Atlanta, GA Water & Sewer Revenue Bonds

 

982

 

A

 

Massachusetts Water Resources Authority, General Revenue Bonds

 

971

 

AA

 

Los Angeles, CA, Department of Water and Power Electric Revenue Bonds

 

957

 

AA-

 

State of Hawaii, G.O.

 

918

 

AA

 

Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, G.O.

 

907

 

BBB-

 

San Diego County Water Authority Water Revenue Certificates of Participation

 

901

 

AA

 

Chicago Public Schools, IL, G.O.

 

870

 

A+

 

San Diego Unified School District, CA, G.O.

 

844

 

AA

 

State of Wisconsin Master Lease Certificates of Participation

 

807

 

A+

 

State of Michigan, State Trunk Line Fund Bonds

 

796

 

AA

 

Detroit, MI, Sewage Disposal System Revenue Bonds

 

795

 

A+

 

Seattle, Washington, Light and Power Revenue Bonds

 

790

 

A+

 

District of Columbia, G.O.

 

784

 

A+

 

California Housing Finance Agency Home Mortgage Revenue Bonds 1982 Resolution

 

776

 

AA

 

New Jersey Turnpike Authority, Revenue Bonds

 

776

 

A

 

New York State Thruway Authority, General Highway and Bridge Trust Fund Revenue Bonds

 

774

 

AA-

 

City of Philadelphia General Obligation Bonds

 

764

 

BBB+

 

Miami-Dade County, Florida Aviation Revenue Bonds Miami International Airport

 

764

 

A+

 

City of Chicago- Chicago O’Hare International Airport, Illinois General Airport Third Lien Revenue Refunding Bonds

 

760

 

A

 

Clark County School District, NV, G.O.

 

753

 

AA

 

King County, WA, Sewer Revenue Bonds

 

753

 

AA

 

Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority, Power Revenue Bonds

 

749

 

A-

 

Trustees of the California State University Systemwide Revenue Bonds

 

741

 

AA-

 

Long Island Power Authority, NY, Electric System General Revenue Bonds

 

741

 

A-

 

School District No. 1 in the City and County of Denver, CO Lease Purchase Agreement with Denver School Facilities Leasing Corp, COPS

 

736

 

A+

 

New Jersey Economic Development Authority State Pension Funding Bonds

 

727

 

AA-

 

Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, G.O.

 

725

 

AA-

 

Skyway Concession Company LLC

 

710

 

BBB

 

Kentucky State Property and Building Commission Revenue Bonds

 

710

 

AA

 

Garden State Preservation Trust, NJ, Open Space & Farmland Preservation Bonds

 

705

 

AA

 

Regents of the University of California, General Revenue Bonds

 

701

 

AA

 

Houston, TX, Airport System, Subordinate Lien Revenue Bonds

 

676

 

A+

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total top 50 U.S. public finance exposures

 

$

47,293

 

 

 

 


(1) FSA’s internal rating.  FSA’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.

 

21



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

50 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures

As of June 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

Current Credit

 

 

 

Outstanding

 

Rating(1)

 

Enhancement %

 

Credit Name:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

DB Super Senior IBOXX

 

$

1,465

 

AAA*(2)

 

6.2

%

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

 

1,460

 

AAA

 

62.9

%

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

 

1,449

 

AAA*

 

7.0

%

Fortress Credit Opportunities I LP

 

1,351

 

AA

 

29.3

%

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

 

1,135

 

AAA*

 

16.9

%

Stone Tower Credit Funding Ltd

 

1,119

 

AAA

 

23.8

%

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

 

820

 

AAA*

 

5.8

%

Countrywide HELOC 2006-I

 

791

 

CCC

 

0.0

%

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

 

778

 

AAA*

 

18.7

%

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

 

770

 

AAA*

 

15.8

%

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

 

754

 

AAA*

 

15.0

%

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

 

735

 

AAA

 

15.6

%

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

 

728

 

AAA

 

32.8

%

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

 

686

 

BB+

 

34.6

%

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

 

655

 

AAA*

 

16.7

%

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

 

652

 

AAA*

 

21.1

%

Countrywide HELOC 2006-F

 

643

 

CCC

 

0.6

%

AmeriCredit Automobile Receivables Trust 2007-B-F

 

640

 

BBB

 

15.4

%

MASTR Adjustable Rate Mortgages Trust 2007-3

 

624

 

CCC

 

12.9

%

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

 

562

 

AAA

 

30.9

%

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

 

522

 

AAA*

 

30.1

%

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

 

517

 

AAA*

 

22.1

%

Eastland CLO Ltd

 

515

 

AAA*

 

30.1

%

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

 

512

 

AAA*

 

29.2

%

Denali Capital CLO VII Ltd

 

496

 

AAA

 

20.6

%

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

 

479

 

AAA

 

63.5

%

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

 

461

 

AAA*

 

24.5

%

Avenue CLO V, Ltd

 

461

 

AAA

 

16.1

%

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

 

442

 

AAA*

 

10.1

%

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

 

433

 

AAA*

 

14.6

%

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

 

427

 

AAA

 

31.0

%

Option One Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-FXD2

 

421

 

BB+

 

22.1

%

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

 

419

 

AAA

 

35.6

%

Churchill Financial Cayman Ltd

 

415

 

AAA

 

36.8

%

Countrywide HELOC 2007-A

 

411

 

CCC

 

0.0

%

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

 

410

 

AAA

 

34.9

%

Grayson CLO Ltd

 

410

 

AAA*

 

21.0

%

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

 

399

 

AAA*

 

14.0

%

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

 

389

 

AAA*

 

15.8

%

Nomura Asset Acceptance Corporation, Alternative Loan Trust, Series 2007-1

 

388

 

CCC

 

8.6

%

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

 

387

 

AAA*

 

30.2

%

Stone Tower CLO III Ltd

 

381

 

AAA

 

21.2

%

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

 

377

 

AAA*

 

11.5

%

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

 

372

 

AAA

 

38.2

%

Countrywide HELOC 2005-D

 

371

 

CCC

 

0.0

%

HarborView Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-12

 

370

 

BB

 

11.9

%

AmeriCredit Automobile Receivables Trust 2006-A-F

 

365

 

BBB

 

19.4

%

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

 

363

 

AAA*

 

13.4

%

MASTR Adjustable Rate Mortgages Trust 2007-1

 

363

 

CCC

 

9.2

%

Cent CDO 15 Limited

 

360

 

AAA*

 

17.1

%

Total top 50 U.S. structured finance exposures

 

$

30,453

 

 

 

 

 

 


(1) FSA’s internal rating.  FSA’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where FSA’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to FSA’s exposure or (2) FSA’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that the exposure incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes FSA’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

(2) AAA* represents super senior rated exposure.

 

22



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

10 Largest Healthcare and International Exposures

As of June 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

 

10 Largest Healthcare Exposures

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Outstanding

 

Rating(1)

 

State

 

Credit Name:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Carolina HealthCare System

 

$

312

 

AA

 

NC

 

BayCare Health System

 

205

 

AA-

 

FL

 

Hospital Sisters Health Services Inc Obligated Group

 

204

 

AA-

 

IL

 

CHRISTUS Health

 

192

 

A+

 

TX

 

Carilion Health System

 

185

 

A

 

VA

 

Saint Luke’s Health System

 

183

 

AA-

 

MO

 

Multicare Health System, WA

 

173

 

A+

 

WA

 

Catholic Health Initiatives

 

168

 

AA

 

CO

 

Catholic Health Partners

 

165

 

AA-

 

OH

 

OSF HealthCare System

 

164

 

A

 

IL

 

Total top 10 healthcare exposures

 

$

1,951

 

 

 

 

 

 

10 Largest International Exposures

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Outstanding

 

Rating(1)

 

 

 

 

Credit Name:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

 

$

1,327

 

AAA*(2)

 

 

 

 

Channel Link Enterprises Finance Plc

 

930

 

BBB

 

 

 

 

Hydro-Quebec, Province of Quebec Guaranteed

 

838

 

A+

 

 

 

 

Thames Water Utilities Finance Plc

 

821

 

A-

 

 

 

 

Sovereign Debt Synthetic CDO

 

821

 

AAA

 

 

 

 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

 

721

 

AAA*

 

 

 

 

Sydney Airport

 

616

 

BBB

 

 

 

 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

 

580

 

AAA*

 

 

 

 

Artesian Finance II Plc

 

526

 

A-

 

 

 

 

Government Supported Public Enterprise

 

526

 

AA-

 

 

 

 

Total top 10 international exposures

 

$

7,706

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


(1) FSA’s internal rating.  FSA’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where FSA’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to FSA’s exposure or (2) FSA’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that the exposure incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes FSA’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

(2) AAA* represents super senior rated exposure.

 

23



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

10 Largest Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures

As of June 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

 

 

10 Largest Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

Outstanding

 

Servicer:

 

 

 

Countrywide Home Loans Servicing LP

 

$

6,594

 

American Home Mortgage Acceptance, Inc.

 

1,854

 

GMAC Mortgage, LLC/Homecomings/RFC

 

1,476

 

Specialized Loan Servicing, LLC

 

928

 

Ocwen Loan Servicing, LLC

 

909

 

Indymac Bank, FSB

 

810

 

Wells Fargo Bank Minnesota, N.A./Wachovia

 

529

 

First Tennessee Bank N.A.

 

480

 

Flagstar Bank, FSB

 

343

 

Litton Loan Servicing LP

 

318

 

Total top 10 residential mortgage servicers exposures

 

$

14,241

 

 

24



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 2)

Summary

As of June 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

Weighted Average

 

Net Par

 

Average

 

 

 

Remaining Life

 

Outstanding

 

Rating (1)

 

Below Investment Grade Exposures by Asset Type:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Public Finance:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

United States

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

General obligation

 

7.7

 

$

522

 

BB

 

Tax-supported

 

11.9

 

219

 

BB

 

Municipal utility revenue

 

9.4

 

166

 

D

 

Health care revenue

 

10.0

 

274

 

BB-

 

Housing revenue

 

10.5

 

7

 

BB

 

Education/University

 

6.1

 

4

 

BB-

 

Other domestic public finance

 

0.4

 

0

 

CCC

 

Subtotal

 

9.2

 

1,192

 

B+

 

International

 

3.6

 

220

 

BB

 

Total public finance

 

8.4

 

$

1,412

 

B+

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Structured Finance:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

United States

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Residential mortgages

 

5.2

 

$

10,787

 

B-

 

Consumer receivables

 

1.2

 

1,865

 

BB

 

Pooled corporate

 

2.6

 

142

 

CCC

 

Other structured finance

 

5.3

 

198

 

CCC

 

Subtotal

 

4.6

 

12,992

 

B

 

International

 

2.8

 

80

 

CCC

 

Total structured finance

 

4.6

 

$

13,072

 

B

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total below investment grade exposures

 

5.1

 

$

14,484

 

B

 

 


(1) FSA’s internal rating.  FSA’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.

 

Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

 

25



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 2)

Greater Than $50 Million

As of June 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

Weighted Average

 

Net Par

 

Internal

 

Current Credit

 

Name or Description

 

Remaining Life

 

Outstanding

 

Rating (1)

 

Enhancement

 

Countrywide HELOC 2006-I

 

4.5

 

$

791

 

CCC

 

0.0

%

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

 

2.7

 

686

 

BB+

 

34.6

%

Countrywide HELOC 2006-F

 

4.0

 

643

 

CCC

 

0.6

%

MARM 2007-3

 

3.3

 

624

 

CCC

 

12.9

%

Option One 2007-FXD2

 

4.4

 

421

 

BB+

 

22.1

%

COUNTRYWIDE HELOC 2007-A

 

4.2

 

411

 

CCC

 

0.0

%

NAAC 2007-1

 

4.8

 

388

 

CCC

 

8.6

%

Countrywide HELOC 2005-D

 

4.3

 

371

 

CCC

 

0.0

%

Harborview 2006-12

 

4.0

 

370

 

BB

 

11.9

%

MASTR 2007-OA1

 

4.0

 

362

 

CCC

 

9.2

%

COUNTRYWIDE HELOC 2007-B

 

4.3

 

357

 

CCC

 

0.0

%

Triad Auto Receivables Trust 2007-A

 

0.9

 

308

 

BB

 

17.6

%

Countrywide 2007-13

 

3.2

 

303

 

BB+

 

30.0

%

IndyMac 2007-H1 HELOC

 

4.7

 

296

 

CCC

 

0.0

%

TMTS 2006-12SL

 

20.8

 

257

 

CCC

 

-58.8

%

Triad 2006-B

 

0.6

 

225

 

BB

 

16.1

%

Private International Infrastructure Finance Transaction

 

3.6

 

220

 

BB

 

N/A

 

CWABS 2007-4

 

4.5

 

220

 

BB+

 

21.3

%

Soundview 2007-WMC1

 

3.3

 

218

 

CCC

 

18.5

%

Triad Auto Receivables Trust 2007-B

 

1.0

 

218

 

BB

 

16.3

%

TMTS 2007-1SL

 

21.1

 

211

 

CCC

 

-56.2

%

Harborview 2007-1

 

4.5

 

207

 

BB+

 

13.9

%

Harborview 2006-1

 

2.4

 

205

 

BB+

 

10.9

%

TMTS 2006-10SL

 

20.0

 

204

 

CCC

 

-45.1

%

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

 

2.9

 

191

 

CCC

 

45.0

%

NAAC 2007-S2

 

1.9

 

185

 

CCC

 

0.0

%

Drive 2006-1

 

0.6

 

184

 

BB

 

31.4

%

Countrywide HELOC 2005-C

 

4.2

 

183

 

CCC

 

0.0

%

Harborview 2006-10

 

4.5

 

179

 

CCC

 

8.8

%

New Century 2005-A

 

3.3

 

170

 

BB+

 

19.6

%

Private Consumer Receivable Transaction

 

1.2

 

161

 

BB

 

18.4

%

Private Consumer Receivable Transaction

 

1.3

 

161

 

BB

 

29.0

%

CSAB 2006-3

 

5.0

 

154

 

CCC

 

5.6

%

Jefferson County, AL Sewer Revenue Warrants

 

12.5

 

151

 

D

 

N/A

 

Renaissance (Delta) 2007-3

 

6.6

 

146

 

BB+

 

26.7

%

Jefferson County, AL Sales Tax Revenue Bonds

 

14.5

 

144

 

BB

 

N/A

 

Private Consumer Receivable Transaction

 

1.1

 

137

 

BB

 

19.9

%

IMSC 2007-HOA1

 

8.1

 

127

 

CCC

 

5.9

%

AHMA 2007-4 Negam

 

6.2

 

127

 

CCC

 

4.5

%

Private Structured Finance Transaction

 

5.7

 

126

 

CC

 

N/A

 

Private Consumer Receivable Transaction

 

0.7

 

113

 

BB

 

32.5

%

Countrywide AltA 2005-22T

 

5.3

 

108

 

BB

 

6.6

%

Conseco Finance Securtization

 

2.0

 

106

 

BB

 

26.0

%

Lehman ABS MH 2001-B

 

1.3

 

98

 

BB

 

38.4

%

Ace 2006-GP1

 

2.8

 

95

 

CCC

 

0.0

%

CSAB 2006-2

 

5.0

 

91

 

CCC

 

4.1

%

Deutsche Alt-B 2006-AB1

 

5.3

 

90

 

CCC

 

9.1

%

Deutsche Bank AltA DBALT 2006-AB4

 

3.6

 

88

 

CCC

 

6.5

%

GreenPoint 2000-4

 

4.8

 

84

 

B

 

17.3

%

TMTS 2005-16HE

 

3.3

 

83

 

BB+

 

22.0

%

City of Detroit, MI General Obligation Limited Tax Bonds

 

2.5

 

77

 

BB

 

N/A

 

City of Detroit, MI General Obligation Unlimited Tax Bonds

 

5.7

 

77

 

BB+

 

N/A

 

Dekalb Medical Center

 

15.8

 

76

 

BB

 

N/A

 

 

26



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 2)

Greater Than $50 Million

As of June 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

Weighted Average

 

Net Par

 

Internal

 

Current Credit

 

Name or Description

 

Remaining Life

 

Outstanding

 

Rating (1)

 

Enhancement

 

COUNTRYWIDE HELOC 2006-H

 

3.8

 

75

 

CCC

 

0.0

%

Soundview (Delta) 2008-1

 

2.5

 

75

 

BB+

 

34.5

%

Private Non-Municipal Transaction

 

5.2

 

72

 

BB

 

N/A

 

TMTS 2007-6ALT

 

4.4

 

71

 

CCC

 

5.7

%

Goldman AltA GSAA 2005-12

 

2.7

 

71

 

BB+

 

11.8

%

CSMC 2007-3

 

7.5

 

71

 

CCC

 

4.9

%

Private Consumer Receivable Transaction

 

0.9

 

70

 

BB

 

22.4

%

City of Erie, PA General Obligation Unlimited Tax Bonds

 

9.1

 

69

 

BB+

 

N/A

 

CWALT 2005-62

 

2.1

 

68

 

CCC

 

14.7

%

TMTS 2005-14HE

 

3.4

 

67

 

BB+

 

19.2

%

FFMLT 2007-FFC

 

4.1

 

66

 

BB—

 

0.0

%

ACE 2007-SL1

 

21.1

 

66

 

CCC

 

-25.5

%

DSLA 2005-AR5

 

2.6

 

65

 

CCC

 

15.2

%

Deutsche Bank AltA 2006-AB3

 

3.4

 

60

 

CCC

 

7.1

%

Luminent 2006-2

 

1.4

 

56

 

BB+

 

11.8

%

BSSLT 2007-1 2A

 

6.8

 

55

 

BB—

 

0.0

%

GMAC RFC HSA3

 

4.4

 

55

 

CCC

 

0.0

%

CSAB 2006-4

 

5.1

 

52

 

CCC

 

6.0

%

TMTS 2007-QH1

 

2.0

 

50

 

BB+

 

39.6

%

Total

 

4.9

 

$

13,462

 

 

 

 

 

 


(1) FSA’s internal rating.  FSA’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.

 

27



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

Insured Portfolio by Surveillance Category

(dollars in millions)

 

Net Par Outstanding by Surveillance Category

 

 

 

June 30, 2009

 

 

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

% of Total

 

Number of
Credits in
Category

 

Description:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Category I and II

 

$

393,483

 

94.7

%

11,405

 

Category III

 

11,222

 

2.7

%

138

 

Category IV

 

2,670

 

0.6

%

13

 

Category V

 

8,455

 

2.0

%

69

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

$

415,830

 

100.0

%

11,625

 

 

 

 

December 31, 2008

 

 

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

% of Total

 

Number of
Credits in
Category

 

Description:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Category I and II

 

$

400,855

 

94.5

%

11,444

 

Category III

 

10,725

 

2.5

%

129

 

Category IV

 

1,181

 

0.3

%

8

 

Category V

 

11,333

 

2.7

%

61

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

$

424,094

 

100.0

%

11,642

 

 

Categories I and II represent fundamentally sound transactions requiring routine monitoring, with Category II indicating that routine monitoring is more frequent, due, for example, to the sector or a need to monitor triggers.

 

Category III represents transactions with some deterioration in asset performance, financial health of the issuer or other factors. Active monitoring and intervention is employed for Category III transactions.

 

Category IV reflects transactions demonstrating sufficient deterioration to indicate that material credit losses are possible.  Transactions are subject to intense monitoring and intervention.

 

Category V reflects transactions where losses are most probable. This category includes (1) risks where claim payments have been made and where ultimate losses, net of recoveries, are expected, and (2) risks where claim payments are probable but none have yet been made and ultimate losses, net of recoveries, are expected. Transactions are subject to intense monitoring and intervention.

 

28



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

Loss and LAE Reserves and Credit Impairment on Credit Derivatives in the Insured Portfolio

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

As of

 

 

 

June 30,

 

December 31,

 

 

 

2009

 

2008

 

Loss and LAE Reserves by Type:

 

 

 

 

 

Specific (1)

 

$

1,554.8

 

$

1,535.6

 

Non-specific (1)

 

 

154.4

 

Total Loss and LAE Reserves

 

$

1,554.8

 

$

1,690.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net credit impairment on credit derivatives

 

$

147.6

 

$

152.4

 

 


(1)  The comparability of financial information is affected by the adoption of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 163,  “Accounting for Financial Guarantee Insurance Contracts” on January 1, 2009.

 

29



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses and Credit Impairment on Credit Derivatives in the Insured Portfolio

As of June 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

 

Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Loss and Loss

 

 

 

Total Net Par

 

2Q-09

 

YTD 2Q-09

 

Adjustment

 

 

 

Outstanding

 

Incurred Losses

 

Incurred Losses

 

Expense Reserves

 

Total non-derivative financial guaranty:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Alt-A CES

 

$

922

 

$

(66.8

)

$

(88.4

)

$

207.5

 

Prime HELOC

 

4,276

 

(24.4

)

171.4

 

329.0

 

Alt-A first lien

 

1,474

 

61.8

 

102.6

 

222.4

 

Alt-A option ARMs

 

2,438

 

93.7

 

177.8

 

490.5

 

Subprime

 

2,413

 

9.8

 

27.4

 

90.9

 

Total U.S. RMBS

 

11,523

 

74.1

 

390.8

 

1,340.3

 

NIMs

 

102

 

(2.0

)

9.8

 

24.9

 

Other structured finance

 

18,399

 

6.1

 

5.7

 

22.3

 

Public finance

 

56,412

 

1.0

 

23.9

 

153.9

 

Financial products

 

11,340

 

(2.0

)

(199.8

)

13.4

 

Total non-derivative financial guaranty

 

$

97,776

 

$

77.2

 

$

230.4

 

$

1,554.8

 

 

Credit Impairment on Credit Derivatives in the Insured Portfolio

 

 

 

Total Net Par

 

2Q-09

 

YTD

 

Net

 

 

 

Outstanding

 

Credit Impairment

 

Credit Impairment

 

Credit Impairment

 

Credit Derivatives

 

$

505

 

$

43.4

 

$

66.1

 

$

147.6

 

 

30



 

Financial Security Assurance Inc.

Summary Financial and Statistical Data

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

Year Ended December 31,

 

 

 

YTD 2009

 

2008

 

2007

 

2006

 

2005

 

2004

 

Statutory Data

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income (loss)

 

$

(15.9

)

$

(1,376.7

)

$

312.9

 

$

339.6

 

$

293.5

 

$

242.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Policyholders’ surplus

 

$

816.2

 

$

710.8

 

$

1,608.8

 

$

1,543.1

 

$

1,510.7

 

$

1,181.4

 

Contingency reserve

 

1,148.0

 

1,281.6

 

1,094.3

 

1,011.0

 

906.9

 

1,099.5

 

Qualified statutory capital

 

1,964.2

 

1,992.4

 

2,703.1

 

2,554.1

 

2,417.6

 

2,280.9

 

Net unearned premium reserve

 

2,454.2

 

2,520.1

 

2,274.6

 

2,070.8

 

1,850.4

 

1,649.2

 

Net present value of estimated future installment premiums

 

793.0

 

962.6

 

1,113.0

 

827.9

 

803.4

 

727.3

 

Premium resources

 

3,247.2

 

3,482.7

 

3,387.6

 

2,898.7

 

2,653.8

 

2,376.5

 

Net loss and LAE reserves

 

1,514.5

 

1,688.0

 

98.1

 

53.0

 

54.4

 

48.2

 

Third party capital support(3)

 

550.0

 

550.0

 

550.0

 

550.0

 

550.0

 

525.0

 

Total claims-paying resources

 

$

7,275.9

 

$

7,713.1

 

$

6,738.8

 

$

6,055.8

 

$

5,675.8

 

$

5,230.6

 

Statutory Financial Ratios

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

 

136.6

%

480.2

%

16.1

%

 

2.1

%

5.0

%

Expense ratio

 

46.7

%

9.1

%

30.0

%

29.9

%

27.8

%

26.8

%

Combined ratio

 

183.3

%

489.3

%

46.1

%

29.9

%

29.9

%

31.8

%

Other Financial Information (Statutory basis):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net debt service outstanding (end of period)

 

$

599,835

 

$

631,886

 

$

623,158

 

$

552,695

 

$

497,625

 

$

454,359

 

Gross par outstanding (end of period)

 

520,644

 

545,568

 

564,515

 

498,619

 

472,374

 

442,932

 

Ceded par to all Assured Guaranty companies

 

32,312

 

32,927

 

30,872

 

37,590

 

44,599

 

44,707

 

Ceded par to other companies

 

85,682

 

88,248

 

107,131

 

84,573

 

76,377

 

72,417

 

Net par outstanding (end of period)

 

402,650

 

424,393

 

426,512

 

376,456

 

351,398

 

325,808

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Qualified statutory capital

 

1,964.2

 

1,992.4

 

2,703.1

 

2,554.1

 

2,417.6

 

2,280.9

 

Policyholders’ surplus & reserves

 

5,932.9

 

6,200.5

 

5,075.8

 

4,677.9

 

4,322.4

 

3,978.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ratios:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net par insured to statutory capital

 

205:1

 

213:1

 

158:1

 

147:1

 

145:1

 

143:1

 

Capital ratio(1)

 

305:1

 

317:1

 

231:1

 

216:1

 

206:1

 

199:1

 

Financial resources ratio(2)

 

82:1

 

82:1

 

92:1

 

91:1

 

88:1

 

87:1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross debt service written:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Public finance

 

$

5,279

 

$

85,666

 

$

133,792

 

$

127,294

 

$

120,745

 

$

88,157

 

Structured finance

 

26

 

5,193

 

57,434

 

48,794

 

40,347

 

63,971

 

Total gross debt service written

 

$

5,305

 

$

90,859

 

$

191,226

 

$

176,088

 

$

161,092

 

$

152,128

 

 


(1)  The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net par and interest insured divided by qualified statutory capital.

(2)  The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net par and interest insured by total claims paying resources.

(3) $350 million Bayerishe Landesbank soft capital facility included above was amended.  Effective Jyly 1, 2009 facility decreased to $298 million.

 

31



 

Glossary

 

Below are the brief descriptions of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s 10-K report.

 

Other Public Finance. Other domestic public finance obligations insured by FSA include bonds secured by revenues and guarantees from the Federal government, financings supported by specific state or local government entity revenues and stadium financings.

 

Residential Mortgage Loans. Obligations primarily backed by residential mortgage loans generally take the form of conventional pass-through certificates or pay-through debt securities, but also include other structured products.  Included are:

 

Alt-A closed-end second lien-mortgage (CES). Backed by fully amortizing loans secured by a second lien on residential property.

 

Prime Home Equity Line of Credit (HELOC). Primarily backed by second liens and made to higher quality (“prime”) borrowers.

 

Alt-A first-lien mortgages. Collateralized by fixed and floating rate loans secured by first lien on residential property.

 

Alt -A Option Adjustable Rate Mortgage (Option ARM). Primarily backed by first lien mortgage loans made to prime borrowers (on average) with average original loan-to-value ratios.

 

Subprime U.S. RMBS. Characterized by lower quality borrowers and higher levels of structural credit prtection through subordination and/or excess spread.

 

Net interest margin securitizations (NIMs). Securities backed by the senior portion of residual cash flows from securitization of domestic residential mortgage loans.

 

Consumer Receivables.  Obligations primarily backed by consumer receivables include conventional pass-through and pay-through securities as well as more highly structured transactions.  Consumer receivables backing these insured obligations primarily include automobile loans, with some credit card receivables, manufactured housing loans and cash consumer loans.  Consumer receivable transactions in FSA’s insured portfolio tend to be concentrated in the subprime automobile loan sector.

 

Pooled Corporate Obligations. Obligations primarily backed by pooled corporate obligations include funded and synthetic obligations collateralized by corporate debt securities or corporate loans and obligations backed by cash flow or market value of non-consumer indebtedness, and include collaterallized debt obligations (“CDOs”), such as collateralized bond obligations (“CBOs”), collateralized loan obligations (“CLOs”) and comparable risks under CDS obligations.  Corporate obligations include corporate bonds, bank loan participations, trade receivables, franchise loans and equity securities.

 

Financial Products.  Represents GIC’s issued by FSAH’s Financial Products segment, which was not party of Assured Guaranty’s acquisition of FSAH on July 1, 2009.

 

Other Structured Finance. Other structured finance in FSA’s insured portfolio include bonds or other securities backed by goverment securities, letters of credit or repurchase agreements collateralized by government securities, securities backed by a combination of assets that include elements of more than one of the categories set forth above and unsecured corporate obligations satisfying FSA’s underwriting criteria.  Other structured finance obligations insured by FSA also include first mortgage bond obligations of for-profit electric or water utilities providing retail, industrial and commercial service, sale-leaseback obligation bonds supported by such utilities and other obligations backed by investor-owned utilities.  Other structured finance obligations include securitization of life insurance risks and airplane leases, including transactions benefiting from third-party financial guaranty insurance.

 

32



 

Endnotes related to non-GAAP financial measures discussed in the financial supplement:

 

(a) PRESENT VALUE FINANCIAL GUARANTY ORIGINATIONS:  The Present Value of Financial Guaranty Originations (PV Financial Guaranty Originations) is defined as (1) Present Value (PV) Premiums Originated, which consist of estimated future installment premiums, discounted to their present value and upfront premiums, plus (2) PV Credit Derivatives Originated which consists of estimated future earnings, discounted to their present value, of credit derivative premiums.  Management believes that, by disclosing the components of PV Financial Guaranty Orignations in addition to gross premiums written, the Company provides investors with a more comprehensive description of its new business activity in a given period.  The discount rate used to calculate PV Financial Guaranty Originations was 4.85% for 2009 and 4.92% for 2008. Discount rates used in the PV Financial Guaranty Orginations calculation represent the average pre-tax yield on its insurance investment portfolio for the previous three years.  PV Financial Guaranty Orginations are based on estimates of, among other things, prepayment speeds of asset-backed securities.  PV Financial Guaranty Orginations is a measure of gross origination activity and does not reflect cessions to reinsurers or the cost of credit default swaps or other credit protection, which may be considerable, employed by the Company to manage credit exposures.  Under SFAS No. 163, “Accounting for Financial Guarantee Insurance Contracts” (“SFAS 163”) PV of future installments on non-derivative financial guaranty contracts are recorded in gross premiums written and are discounted at a risk free rate.  Gross premiums written also includes adjustments to PV of future installment premiums, discounted at an updated risk-free rate, when there has been a change in prepayment assumptions.  Under SFAS 163 management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the contract whereas for PV Financial Guaranty Originations, management only records its estimate of the future installment premiums that it expects to receive.  Actual future net earned or written premiums and credit derivative revenues may differ from PV Financial Guaranty Originations due to factors such as prepayments, amortizations, refundings, contract terminations or defaults that may or may not be influenced by market interest rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, policy changes or terminations, credit defaults, or other factors that management cannot control or predict. This measure should not be viewed as a substitute for gross written premiums determined in accordance with U.S. GAAP.

 

(b) OPERATING EARNINGS (LOSSES): The Company defines operating earnings as net income excluding the effects of fair-value adjustments considered to be non-economic plus International Financial Reproting Standards (IFRS) adjustments. IFRS is the basis of accounting used by Dexia, FSA’s ultimate parent until the Company’s acquisition by Assured Guaranty Ltd. on July 1, 2009, and is the basis on which all of FSA’s compensation plans were referenced. The primary fair-value adjustments excluded from operating earnings are itemized below.

 

·Fair-value adjustments for credit derivatives in the insured portfolio, which are certain contracts for which fair-value adjustments are recorded through the consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income because they qualify as derivatives under SFAS No. 133, “Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities,” (“SFAS 133”) or SFAS No. 155, “Accounting for Certain Hybrid Financial Instruments.” These contracts include CDS, insured swaps in certain public finance obligations and insured NIM securitizations. In the event of credit impairment, operating earnings would include the present value of estimated economic losses.

·Fair-value adjustments attributable to the Company’s own credit risk on the Company’s committed preferred trust capital facility.

 

Operating earnings as defined by FSA’s new parent, Assured Guaranty Ltd., may be different due to differences in the calculations of this non-GAAP measures.  Operating earnings will be conformed with Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s calculations in the third quarter of 2009.

 

33



 

 

 

Contacts:

 

 

 

Equity Investors:

 

 

 

Sabra Purtill

 

Managing Director, Investor Relations

 

(212) 408-6044

 

spurtill@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

 

Ross Aron

 

Associate, Investor Relations

 

(212) 261-5509

 

raron@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Fixed Income Investors:

30 Woodbourne Avenue

Robert Tucker

Hamilton HM 08

Managing Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations

Bermuda

(212) 339-0861

(441) 299-9375

rtucker@assuredguaranty.com

www.assuredguaranty.com

 

 

Michael Walker

 

Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations

 

(212) 261-5575

 

mwalker@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

 

Media:

 

Betsy Castenir

 

Managing Director, Global Communications and Media Relations

 

(212) 339-3424

 

bcastenir@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

 

Ashweeta Durani

 

Vice President, Global Communications and Media Relations

 

(212) 408-6042

 

adurani@assuredguaranty.com