EX-99.2 3 a09-20113_3ex99d2.htm EX-99.2

Exhibit 99.2

 

GRAPHIC

 

Assured Guaranty Ltd. Financial Supplement

Second Quarter Ended June 30, 2009

 

Table of Contents

 

Page

Selected Financial Highlights

 

1

Consolidated Income Statements

 

2

Consolidated Balance Sheets

 

3

Consolidated Capital and Claims Paying Resources

 

4

New Business Production

 

5

Segment Consolidation

 

6-7

Financial Guaranty Direct Segment

 

8-9

Financial Guaranty Reinsurance Segment

 

10-11

Investment Portfolio

 

12

Estimated Net Exposure Amortization

 

13

Estimated Net Unearned Premium Amortization and Estimated Future Installment Premiums

 

14

Financial Guaranty Profile

 

15-20

Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile

 

21

Consolidated Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Profile

 

22-24

Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile

 

25-28

Consumer Receivables Profile

 

29

Financial Guaranty Direct Credit Derivative Exposures Profile

 

30

Unrealized Gains (Losses) on Credit Default Swaps

 

31

Below Investment Grade Exposures

 

32-33

Largest Exposures by Sector

 

34-37

Below Investment Grade and Closely Monitored Credits

 

38

Loss and LAE Reserves

 

39

Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses

 

40

Summary Financial and Statistical Data

 

41

Glossary

 

42

Endnotes Related to Non-GAAP Financial Measures

 

43

 

This supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. (“Assured” or “the Company”) with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our 10-Q’s dated March 31, 2008, June 30, 2008, September 30, 2008, March 31, 2009 and June 30, 2009 and our 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008.

 

Some amounts in this Financial Supplement may not add due to rounding.

 

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:

 

Any forward-looking statements made in this supplement reflect the Company’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.  Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements.  For example, the Company’s forward looking statements, including its calculations of adjusted book value, present value of insurance and credit derivative gross written premiums (“PVP”), net present value of estimated future installment premiums in force, total estimated net future premium earnings, and statements regarding capital losses, pricing, ratings, expenses and new business production could be affected by many events.  These events include rating agency action such as a ratings downgrade, difficulties with the execution of the Company’s business strategy, contract cancellations, developments or volatility in the world’s financial and capital markets, more severe or frequent losses associated with products affecting the adequacy of the Company’s loss reserves, investment losses, the availability of capital, changes in regulation or tax laws, governmental actions, natural catastrophes, the Company’s dependence on customers, decreased demand or increased competition, loss of key personnel, technological developments, the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures, changes in accounting policies or practices, changes in general economic conditions, other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time, management’s response to these factors, and other risk factors identified in the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.  Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, which speak only as of the dates on which they are made.  The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

 



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Selected Financial Highlights

(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

 

 

 

Quarter Ended

 

% Change

 

Six Months Ended

 

% Change

 

 

 

June 30,

 

versus

 

June 30,

 

versus

 

 

 

2009

 

2008

 

2Q-08

 

2009

 

2008

 

YTD 2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income (b)

 

$

27.3

 

$

38.7

 

(29

)%

$

90.8

 

$

45.0

 

102

%

Plus: Realized (losses) gains on investments, after tax

 

(7.1

)

0.9

 

NM

 

(24.2

)

1.3

 

NM

 

Plus: Unrealized (losses) gains on credit derivatives, after tax (1)

 

(190.2

)

505.6

 

NM

 

(151.1

)

329.8

 

NM

 

Net (loss) income

 

$

(170.0

)

$

545.2

 

NM

 

$

(84.5

)

$

376.0

 

NM

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Book value (2)

 

$

2,354.9

 

$

2,242.4

 

5

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Plus: Net unearned premium reserve, after tax (3)

 

1,870.2

 

1,020.4

 

83

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Plus: Net unearned revenue on credit derivatives, after tax (4)

 

16.2

 

18.1

 

(10

)%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Plus: Net present value of est. future installment premiums in-force, after tax (d)

 

380.8

 

800.7

 

(52

)%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Less: Deferred acquisition costs (DAC), after tax

 

353.9

 

258.1

 

37

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Adjusted book value (c)

 

$

4,268.3

 

$

3,823.5

 

12

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ROE, excluding AOCI

 

(31.0

)%

118.7

%

 

 

(7.9

)%

39.1

%

 

 

Operating ROE, excluding AOCI and after-tax unrealized (losses) gains on credit derivatives (b)

 

4.1

%

7.0

%

 

 

7.0

%

4.1

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Per diluted share: (5)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income (b)

 

$

0.29

 

$

0.42

 

(31

)%

$

0.98

 

$

0.52

 

88

%

Plus: Realized (losses) gains on investments, after tax

 

(0.08

)

0.01

 

NM

 

(0.26

)

0.01

 

NM

 

Plus: Unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, after tax (1)

 

(2.04

)

5.53

 

NM

 

(1.64

)

3.82

 

NM

 

Net (loss) income (6)

 

$

(1.82

)

$

5.96

 

NM

 

$

(0.91

)

$

4.35

 

NM

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Book value (3)

 

$

17.52

 

$

24.66

 

(29

)%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Plus: Net unearned premium reserve, after tax (3)

 

13.91

 

11.22

 

24

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Plus: Net unearned revenue on credit derivatives, after tax (4)

 

0.12

 

0.20

 

(40

)%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Plus: Net present value of est. future installment premiums in-force, after tax (d)

 

2.83

 

8.81

 

(68

)%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Less: DAC, after tax

 

2.63

 

2.84

 

(7

)%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Adjusted book value (c)

 

$

31.75

 

$

42.05

 

(24

)%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Book value, excluding AOCI and net unrealized mark-to-market gains (losses) on credit derivatives(7)

 

$

21.56

 

$

25.85

 

(17

)%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Adjusted book value, excluding AOCI and net unrealized mark-to-market gains (losses) on credit derivatives(7)

 

$

35.79

 

$

43.24

 

(17

)%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Consolidated net debt service outstanding

 

$

372,489

 

$

356,959

 

4

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Consolidated net par outstanding

 

246,799

 

230,402

 

7

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Consolidated claims-paying resources

 

5,309

 

5,206

 

2

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross par written

 

10,561

 

18,088

 

(42

)%

$

32,837

 

$

38,083

 

(14

)%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


(1) The quarter and six months ended June 30, 2009 included a fair value after-tax loss of $(39.4) million, or $(0.42) per diluted share, and $(26.6) million, or $(0.29) per diluted share, respectively, related to Assured Guaranty Corp.’s committed capital securities. The quarter and six months ended June 30, 2008 included a fair value after-tax gain of $5.8 million, or $0.06 per diluted share, and $11.3 million, or $0.13 per diluted share, respectively, related to Assured Guaranty Corp.’s committed capital securities.

(2) The Company adopted FAS No. 163 “Accounting for Financial Guarantee Insurance Contracts” (“FAS 163”) effective January 1, 2009. The adoption of this accounting rule had an effect of $19.4 million on January 1, 2009 book value.

(3) Unearned premium reserve (UPR) less pre-paid reinsurance premiums, after tax.

(4) Unearned revenue less pre-paid reinsurance premiums on credit derivatives, after tax.

(5) Effective January 1, 2009, the Company adopted FSP EITF 03-6-1, “Determining Whether Instruments Granted in Share-Based Payment Transactions Are Participating Securities” (“FSP”), which clarifies that share-based payment awards that entitle their holders to receive nonforfeitable dividends or dividend equivalents before vesting should be considered participating securities and shall be included in the calculation of basic and diluted net income (loss) per share. Upon retrospective adoption of the FSP, Assured increased previously reported diluted net income (loss) per share by $0.01 for Q2 2008. There was no impact on previously reported diluted net income (loss) per share for YTD Q2 2008. Operating income, a non-GAAP financial measure, for both periods is positive, therefore the per diluted share calculation ignores the effect of the FSP and includes the effect of dilutive securities.

(6) Total may not add due to differences in calculating GAAP and non-GAAP per diluted share amounts.

(7) Represents a fair value component of the Company’s credit derivative contracts, which are included in credit derivative asset or liability line on the balance sheet, and committed capital securities.

 

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [operating income and operating ROE (b), adjusted book value (c), and net present value of estimated future installment premiums in force (d)].

 

NM = Not meaningful

 

1



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Consolidated Income Statements

(dollars and shares in millions, except per share amounts)

 

 

 

Quarter Ended

 

% Change

 

Six Months Ended

 

% Change

 

 

 

June 30,

 

versus

 

June 30,

 

versus

 

 

 

2009

 

2008

 

2Q-08

 

2009

 

2008

 

YTD 2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net earned premiums (1)

 

$

78.6

 

$

51.7

 

52

%

$

227.1

 

$

98.5

 

131

%

Net investment income

 

43.3

 

40.2

 

8

%

86.9

 

76.8

 

13

%

Realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives

 

27.7

 

31.8

 

(13

)%

57.4

 

59.4

 

(3

)%

Incurred losses on credit derivatives

 

(35.2

)

(5.6

)

NM

 

(36.2

)

(8.8

)

NM

 

Other income

 

0.5

 

0.2

 

150

%

1.4

 

0.2

 

600

%

Total revenues

 

114.9

 

118.3

 

(3

)%

336.6

 

226.1

 

49

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses (1)

 

38.0

 

38.1

 

(0

)%

117.8

 

93.3

 

26

%

Profit commission expense

 

2.1

 

1.0

 

110

%

2.3

 

2.2

 

5

%

Acquisition costs (1)

 

16.5

 

11.8

 

40

%

40.0

 

23.7

 

69

%

Other operating expenses

 

22.6

 

19.7

 

15

%

50.3

 

48.3

 

4

%

FSAH acquisition-related expenses

 

24.2

 

 

NM

 

28.8

 

 

NM

 

Interest and related expenses

 

8.4

 

7.5

 

12

%

15.6

 

14.1

 

11

%

Total expenses

 

111.8

 

78.2

 

43

%

254.8

 

181.6

 

40

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income before (benefit) provision for income taxes

 

3.1

 

40.1

 

(92

)%

81.8

 

44.5

 

84

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total (benefit) provision for income taxes

 

(24.2

)

1.4

 

NM

 

(9.0

)

(0.5

)

NM

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income (b)

 

27.3

 

38.7

 

(29

)%

90.8

 

45.0

 

102

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Plus: Realized (losses) gains on investments, after tax

 

(7.1

)

0.9

 

NM

 

(24.2

)

1.3

 

NM

 

Plus: Unrealized (losses) gains on credit derivatives, after tax (2)

 

(190.2

)

505.6

 

NM

 

(151.1

)

329.8

 

NM

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net (loss) income

 

$

(170.0

)

$

545.2

 

NM

 

$

(84.5

)

$

376.0

 

NM

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Per diluted share

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income (b)

 

$

0.29

 

$

0.42

 

(31

)%

$

0.98

 

$

0.52

 

88

%

Plus: Realized (losses) gains on investments, after tax

 

(0.08

)

0.01

 

NM

 

(0.26

)

0.01

 

NM

 

Plus: Unrealized (losses) gains on credit derivatives, after tax (2)

 

(2.04

)

5.53

 

NM

 

(1.64

)

3.82

 

NM

 

Net (loss) income (4)

 

$

(1.82

)

$

5.96

 

NM

 

$

(0.91

)

$

4.35

 

NM

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of refundings

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Earned premiums from refundings

 

$

20.1

 

$

2.1

 

NM

 

$

110.3

 

$

4.5

 

NM

 

Operating income effect

 

$

12.9

 

$

1.2

 

NM

 

$

77.6

 

$

2.4

 

NM

 

Operating income per diluted share effect

 

$

0.14

 

$

0.01

 

NM

 

$

0.84

 

$

0.03

 

NM

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted average shares outstanding

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Basic shares outstanding - GAAP (4)

 

93.1

 

89.9

 

4

%

91.9

 

85.0

 

8

%

Diluted shares outstanding - GAAP (4)

 

93.1

 

90.6

 

3

%

91.9

 

85.6

 

7

%

Diluted shares outstanding - non-GAAP (4)

 

93.8

 

91.4

 

3

%

92.6

 

86.3

 

7

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Shares outstanding at the end of period

 

134.4

 

90.9

 

48

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


(1) The Company adopted FAS No. 163 “Accounting for Financial Guarantee Insurance Contracts” effective January 1, 2009.

(2) The quarter and six months ended June 30, 2009 included a fair value after-tax loss of $(39.4) million, or $(0.42) per diluted share, and $(26.6) million, or $(0.29) per diluted share, respectively, related to Assured Guaranty Corp.’s committed capital securities. The quarter and six months ended June 30, 2008 included a fair value after-tax gain of $5.8 million, or $0.06 per diluted share, and $11.3 million, or $0.13 per diluted share, respectively, related to Assured Guaranty Corp.’s committed capital securities.

(3) Effective January 1, 2009, the Company adopted FSP EITF 03-6-1, “Determining Whether Instruments Granted in Share-Based Payment Transactions Are Participating Securities” (“FSP”), which clarifies that share-based payment awards that entitle their holders to receive nonforfeitable dividends or dividend equivalents before vesting should be considered participating securities and shall be included in the calculation of basic and diluted net income (loss) per share. Upon retrospective adoption of the FSP, Assured increased previously reported diluted net income (loss) per share by $0.01 for Q2 2008. There was no impact on previously reported diluted net income (loss) per share for YTD Q2 2008. Operating income, a non-GAAP financial measure, for both periods is positive, therefore the per diluted share calculation ignores the effect of the FSP and includes the effect of dilutive securities.

(4) Total may not add due to differences in calculating GAAP and non-GAAP per diluted share amounts.

 

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [operating income (b)].

 

NM = Not meaningful

 

2



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Consolidated Balance Sheets

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

As of :

 

 

 

June 30,

 

December 31,

 

 

 

2009

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Assets

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed maturity securities, at fair value

 

$

3,413.3

 

$

3,154.1

 

Short-term investments, at cost which approximates fair value

 

1,171.0

 

477.2

 

Total investments

 

4,584.2

 

3,631.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash and cash equivalents

 

8.5

 

12.3

 

Accrued investment income

 

31.5

 

32.8

 

Deferred acquisition costs (1)

 

374.1

 

288.6

 

Prepaid reinsurance premiums (1)

 

23.1

 

18.9

 

Reinsurance recoverable on ceded losses (1)

 

4.5

 

6.5

 

Premiums receivable (1)

 

752.9

 

15.7

 

Goodwill

 

85.4

 

85.4

 

Credit derivative assets

 

146.4

 

147.0

 

Deferred tax asset (1)

 

209.1

 

129.1

 

Current income taxes receivable

 

26.4

 

21.4

 

Salvage recoverable (1)

 

199.8

 

80.2

 

Committed capital securities, at fair value

 

10.2

 

51.1

 

Other assets

 

39.7

 

35.3

 

Total assets

 

$

6,495.7

 

$

4,555.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Liabilities and shareholders’ equity

 

 

 

 

 

Liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

Unearned premium reserves (1)

 

$

2,222.7

 

$

1,233.7

 

Reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses (1)

 

200.3

 

196.8

 

Profit commissions payable

 

10.2

 

8.6

 

Reinsurance balances payable (1)

 

33.8

 

18.0

 

Funds held by Company under reinsurance contracts

 

30.0

 

30.7

 

Credit derivative liabilities

 

957.8

 

733.8

 

Long-term debt

 

517.0

 

347.2

 

Other liabilities

 

169.1

 

60.8

 

Total liabilities

 

4,140.8

 

2,629.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders’ equity

 

 

 

 

 

Common stock

 

1.3

 

0.9

 

Additional paid-in capital

 

1,734.0

 

1,284.4

 

Retained earnings (1), (2)

 

622.4

 

638.1

 

Accumulated other comprehensive (loss) income (2)

 

(2.8

)

2.9

 

Total shareholders’ equity

 

2,354.9

 

1,926.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity

 

$

6,495.7

 

$

4,555.7

 

 


(1) The Company adopted FAS 163 effective January 1, 2009.

(2) The Company adopted FAS 115-2 and FAS 124-2, “Recognition and Presentation of Other-Than-Temporary Impairments” (“FSP 115-2”) effective April 1, 2009. The adoption of this accounting rule increased retained earnings and decreased accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) by $57.7 million.

 

3



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Consolidated Capital and Claims Paying Resources

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

As of June 30, 2009

 

As of December 31, 2008

 

 

 

Assured
Guaranty
Corp.

 

Assured
Guaranty
Re Ltd. (1)

 

Consolidated

 

Assured
Guaranty
Corp.

 

Assured
Guaranty Re
Ltd. (1)

 

Consolidated

 

Statutory surplus and reserves

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Unearned premium reserve (2)

 

$

743

 

$

900

 

$

1,643

 

$

570

 

$

720

 

$

1,290

 

Contingency reserve

 

787

 

 

787

 

712

 

 

712

 

Policyholders’ surplus

 

298

 

1,110

 

1,408

 

378

 

1,220

 

1,598

 

Loss & loss adjustment expense reserves (3)

 

26

 

12

 

38

 

15

 

37

 

52

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total policyholders’ surplus and reserves

 

$

1,854

 

$

2,022

 

$

3,876

 

$

1,675

 

$

1,977

 

$

3,652

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Claims paying resources

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Policyholders’ surplus

 

$

298

 

$

1,110

 

$

1,408

 

$

378

 

$

1,220

 

$

1,598

 

Contingency reserve

 

787

 

 

787

 

712

 

 

712

 

Qualified statutory capital

 

1,085

 

1,110

 

2,195

 

1,090

 

1,220

 

2,310

 

Unearned premium reserve (2)

 

743

 

900

 

1,643

 

570

 

720

 

1,290

 

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves (3)

 

26

 

12

 

38

 

15

 

37

 

52

 

Total policyholders’ surplus and reserves

 

1,854

 

2,022

 

3,876

 

1,675

 

1,977

 

3,652

 

Present value of installment premium (d), (6)

 

661

 

372

 

1,033

 

566

 

345

 

910

 

Standby line of credit/stop loss

 

200

 

200

 

400

 

200

 

200

 

400

 

Total claims paying resources

 

$

2,715

 

$

2,594

 

$

5,309

 

$

2,441

 

$

2,522

 

$

4,962

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net par insured outstanding

 

$

127,698

 

$

119,136

 

$

246,799

 

$

111,025

 

$

111,715

 

$

222,722

 

Net debt service outstanding

 

$

181,194

 

$

191,323

 

$

372,489

 

$

164,283

 

$

184,541

 

$

348,816

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ratios:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net par insured to statutory capital

 

118:1

 

107:1

 

112:1

 

102:1

 

92:1

 

96:1

 

Capital ratio (4)

 

167:1

 

172:1

 

170:1

 

151:1

 

151:1

 

151:1

 

Financial resources ratio (5)

 

67:1

 

74:1

 

70:1

 

67:1

 

73:1

 

70:1

 

 


(1)  Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. (“AG Re”) numbers are the Company’s estimate of U.S. statutory as the Company files Bermuda statutory financial statements.

(2)  In 2008, unearned premium reserve for AG Re is U.S. GAAP based, includes unearned revenues on credit derivatives and is net of prepaid reinsurance premiums.

(3)  In 2008, loss and loss adjustment reserves for AG Re are U.S. GAAP based, include loss reserves for credit derivatives and are net of reinsurance recoverable and portfolio reserves.

(4)  The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.

(5)  The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims paying resources.

(6)  Includes financial guaranty and credit derivatives.

 

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [net present value of estimated future installment premiums in force (d)].

 

4



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

New Business Production

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

Quarter Ended

 

% Change

 

Six Months Ended

 

% Change

 

 

 

June 30,

 

versus

 

June 30,

 

versus

 

 

 

2009

 

2008

 

2Q-08

 

2009

 

2008

 

YTD 2008

 

Consolidated gross written premiums (GWP) analysis:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Present value of insurance and credit derivative GWP (PVP) (a)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. public finance

 

$

127.8

 

$

212.2

 

(40

)%

$

345.3

 

$

353.2

 

(2

)%

U.S. structured finance

 

12.2

 

56.1

 

(78

)%

14.6

 

130.4

 

(89

)%

International

 

 

10.6

 

NM

 

1.8

 

71.9

 

(97

)%

Total PVP

 

140.0

 

278.9

 

(50

)%

361.7

 

555.5

 

(35

)%

Less: PVP of credit derivatives

 

 

52.3

 

NM

 

2.4

 

145.8

 

(98

)%

PVP of financial guaranty GWP

 

140.0

 

226.6

 

(38

)%

359.3

 

409.7

 

(12

)%

Less: Financial guaranty installment premium PVP

 

12.5

 

12.0

 

4

%

24.1

 

48.1

 

(50

)%

Total: Financial guaranty upfront GWP

 

127.5

 

214.6

 

(41

)%

335.2

 

361.6

 

(7

)%

Plus: Financial guaranty installment GWP

 

 

31.2

 

NM

 

 

56.0

 

NM

 

Plus: Financial guaranty installment PVP adjustment (1)

 

14.7

 

 

NM

 

41.7

 

 

NM

 

Total financial guaranty GWP

 

142.2

 

245.8

 

(42

)%

376.9

 

417.6

 

(10

)%

Plus: Mortgage guaranty segment GWP

 

 

 

NM

 

 

0.5

 

NM

 

Plus: Other segment GWP

 

(1.1

)

 

NM

 

(1.1

)

3.5

 

NM

 

Total GWP

 

$

141.1

 

$

245.8

 

(43

)%

$

375.8

 

$

421.6

 

(11

)%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Consolidated financial guaranty gross par written:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. public finance

 

$

10,258

 

$

14,662

 

(30

)%

$

31,887

 

$

24,379

 

31

%

U.S. structured finance

 

302

 

2,799

 

(89

)%

394

 

8,790

 

(96

)%

International

 

 

626

 

(100

)%

556

 

4,914

 

(89

)%

Total

 

$

10,561

 

$

18,088

 

(42

)%

$

32,837

 

$

38,083

 

(14

)%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial guaranty direct gross written premiums (GWP) analysis:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial guaranty direct PVP (a)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. public finance

 

$

127.8

 

$

183.2

 

(30

)%

$

254.6

 

$

306.6

 

(17

)%

U.S. structured finance

 

12.2

 

51.9

 

(76

)%

14.6

 

123.2

 

(88

)%

International

 

 

6.3

 

(100

)%

1.7

 

66.8

 

(97

)%

Financial guaranty direct PVP(a):

 

140.0

 

241.4

 

(42

)%

270.9

 

496.6

 

(45

)%

Less: PVP of credit derivatives GWP

 

 

52.3

 

(100

)%

2.4

 

143.8

 

(98

)%

PVP of financial guaranty direct GWP

 

140.0

 

189.1

 

(26

)%

268.5

 

352.8

 

(24

)%

Less: Present value of insurance installment premiums (a)

 

12.5

 

5.9

 

112

%

19.0

 

39.7

 

(52

)%

Upfront financial guaranty gross written premiums (GWP)

 

127.5

 

183.2

 

(30

)%

249.5

 

313.1

 

(20

)%

Plus: Financial guaranty installment GWP

 

 

14.6

 

NM

 

 

31.1

 

NM

 

Plus: Financial guaranty installment PVP adjustment (1)

 

16.2

 

 

NM

 

34.3

 

 

NM

 

Financial guaranty direct GWP

 

$

143.7

 

$

197.8

 

(27

)%

$

283.8

 

$

344.2

 

(18

)%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial guaranty direct gross par written:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. public finance

 

$

10,256

 

$

13,170

 

(22

)%

$

18,456

 

$

20,383

 

(9

)%

U.S. structured finance

 

302

 

2,516

 

(88

)%

374

 

8,140

 

(95

)%

International

 

 

495

 

(100

)%

90

 

4,413

 

(98

)%

Total

 

$

10,559

 

$

16,181

 

(35

)%

$

18,919

 

$

32,936

 

(43

)%

 


(1) 2009 amounts represent the difference in management estimates for the discount rate applied to future installments as well as the estimated term for future installments compared to the discount rate used for FAS 163.

 

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures[PVP (a)].

 

NM = Not meaningful

 

5



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Segment Consolidation (1 of 2)

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

Quarter Ended June 30, 2009

 

 

 

Financial

 

Financial

 

 

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Guaranty

 

Guaranty

 

Mortgage

 

Financial

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Direct

 

Reinsurance(1),(2)

 

Guaranty

 

Guaranty

 

Other

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total PVP(a)

 

$

140.0

 

$

0.0

 

$

 

$

140.0

 

 

 

$

140.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income statement:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net earned premiums (1)

 

30.4

 

47.4

 

0.8

 

78.6

 

 

78.6

 

Realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net credit derivative premiums earned

 

27.1

 

0.9

 

 

28.0

 

 

28.0

 

Net credit derivative recoveries (losses)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ceding commissions income (expense), net

 

0.4

 

(0.7

)

 

(0.3

)

 

(0.3

)

Total realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives

 

27.5

 

0.2

 

 

27.7

 

 

27.7

 

Total revenues

 

57.9

 

47.6

 

0.8

 

106.3

 

 

106.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses (1)

 

31.8

 

25.6

 

(19.4

)

38.0

 

 

38.0

 

Incurred losses (gains) on credit derivatives

 

35.0

 

0.2

 

 

35.2

 

 

35.2

 

Total loss and loss adjustment expenses

 

66.8

 

25.8

 

(19.4

)

73.2

 

 

73.2

 

Profit commission expense

 

 

1.8

 

0.3

 

2.1

 

 

2.1

 

Acquisition costs (1)

 

3.6

 

12.8

 

0.1

 

16.5

 

 

16.5

 

Operating expenses

 

15.9

 

6.2

 

0.6

 

22.6

 

 

22.6

 

Total underwriting expenses

 

$

86.3

 

$

46.6

 

$

(18.4

)

$

114.4

 

$

 

$

114.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Underwriting (loss) gain

 

$

(28.4

)

$

1.0

 

$

19.2

 

$

(8.2

)

$

 

$

(8.2

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss and loss adjustment expense ratio (e)

 

116.2

%

53.4

%

NM

 

68.7

%

 

 

68.7

%

Expense ratio (e)

 

33.2

%

44.5

%

125.0

%

38.9

%

 

 

38.9

%

Combined ratio (e)

 

149.4

%

97.9

%

NM

 

107.6

%

 

 

107.6

%

 

 

 

Quarter Ended June 30, 2008

 

 

 

Financial

 

Financial

 

 

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Guaranty

 

Guaranty

 

Mortgage

 

Financial

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Direct

 

Reinsurance(2)

 

Guaranty

 

Guaranty

 

Other

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total PVP(a)

 

$

241.4

 

$

37.5

 

$

 

$

278.9

 

 

 

$

278.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income statement:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

 

20.8

 

29.6

 

1.3

 

51.7

 

 

51.7

 

Realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net credit derivative premiums earned

 

30.6

 

0.8

 

 

31.5

 

 

31.5

 

Net credit derivative recoveries (losses)

 

 

 

 

 

0.4

 

0.4

 

Ceding commissions income (expense), net

 

0.2

 

(0.3

)

 

(0.1

)

 

(0.1

)

Total realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives

 

30.9

 

0.6

 

 

31.4

 

0.4

 

31.8

 

Total revenues

 

51.7

 

30.2

 

1.3

 

83.1

 

0.4

 

83.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

 

28.2

 

11.3

 

0.1

 

39.6

 

(1.5

)

38.1

 

Incurred losses on credit derivatives

 

5.6

 

 

 

5.6

 

 

5.6

 

Total loss and loss adjustment expenses

 

33.8

 

11.3

 

0.1

 

45.2

 

(1.5

)

43.7

 

Profit commission expense

 

 

0.9

 

0.1

 

1.0

 

 

1.0

 

Acquisition costs

 

3.1

 

8.6

 

0.1

 

11.8

 

 

11.8

 

Operating expenses

 

15.2

 

4.0

 

0.5

 

19.7

 

 

19.7

 

Total underwriting expenses

 

$

52.1

 

$

24.8

 

$

0.8

 

$

77.7

 

$

(1.5

)

$

76.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Underwriting gain

 

$

(0.4

)

$

5.4

 

$

0.5

 

$

5.4

 

$

1.9

 

$

7.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss and loss adjustment expense ratio (e)

 

65.7

%

37.1

%

7.9

%

54.3

%

 

 

52.1

%

Expense ratio (e)

 

35.1

%

45.2

%

55.1

%

39.1

%

 

 

39.1

%

Combined ratio (e)

 

100.8

%

82.3

%

63.0

%

93.4

%

 

 

91.2

%

 


(1) The Company adopted FAS 163 effective January 1, 2009.

(2) Due to the timing of receiving reports prepared by Assured’s ceding companies, PVP for installment premiums, par written and par outstanding on treaty business in the Company’s Financial Guaranty Reinsurance segment are reported on a one-quarter lag.

 

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [PVP (a) and loss and loss adjustment expense ratio, expense ratio and combined ratio (e)].

 

NM = Not meaningful

 

6



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Segment Consolidation (2 of 2)

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

Six Months Ended June 30, 2009

 

 

 

Financial

 

Financial

 

 

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Guaranty

 

Guaranty

 

Mortgage

 

Financial

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Direct

 

Reinsurance(1),(2)

 

Guaranty

 

Guaranty

 

Other

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total PVP(a)

 

$

270.9

 

$

90.8

 

$

 

$

361.7

 

 

 

$

361.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income statement:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net earned premiums (1)

 

131.9

 

93.6

 

1.6

 

227.1

 

 

227.1

 

Realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net credit derivative premiums earned

 

55.5

 

2.1

 

 

57.6

 

 

57.6

 

Net credit derivative recoveries (losses)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ceding commissions income (expense), net

 

0.8

 

(1.0

)

 

(0.2

)

 

(0.2

)

Total realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives

 

56.3

 

1.1

 

 

57.4

 

 

57.4

 

Total revenues

 

188.2

 

94.7

 

1.6

 

284.5

 

 

284.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses (1)

 

43.5

 

62.4

 

11.8

 

117.8

 

 

117.8

 

Incurred losses (gains) on credit derivatives

 

36.4

 

(0.2

)

 

36.2

 

 

36.2

 

Total loss and loss adjustment expenses

 

79.9

 

62.3

 

11.8

 

154.0

 

 

154.0

 

Profit commission expense

 

 

2.0

 

0.4

 

2.3

 

 

2.3

 

Acquisition costs (1)

 

9.8

 

29.9

 

0.2

 

40.0

 

 

40.0

 

Operating expenses

 

36.2

 

12.9

 

1.3

 

50.3

 

 

50.3

 

Total underwriting expenses

 

$

125.9

 

$

107.0

 

$

13.7

 

$

246.6

 

$

 

$

246.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Underwriting (loss) gain

 

$

62.3

 

$

(12.3

)

$

(12.1

)

$

37.9

 

$

 

$

37.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss and loss adjustment expense ratio (e)

 

42.6

%

65.1

%

737.5

%

54.1

%

 

 

54.1

%

Expense ratio (e)

 

24.1

%

47.8

%

118.8

%

32.6

%

 

 

32.6

%

Combined ratio (e)

 

66.7

%

112.9

%

856.3

%

86.7

%

 

 

86.7

%

 

 

 

Six Months Ended June 30, 2008

 

 

 

Financial

 

Financial

 

 

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Guaranty

 

Guaranty

 

Mortgage

 

Financial

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Direct

 

Reinsurance(2)

 

Guaranty

 

Guaranty

 

Other

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total PVP(a)

 

$

496.6

 

$

58.9

 

$

 

$

555.5

 

 

 

$

555.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income statement:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

 

38.1

 

57.4

 

3.1

 

98.5

 

 

98.5

 

Realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net credit derivative premiums earned

 

58.0

 

1.3

 

 

59.3

 

 

59.3

 

Net credit derivative recoveries (losses)

 

 

 

 

 

0.4

 

0.4

 

Ceding commissions income (expense), net

 

0.1

 

(0.4

)

 

(0.3

)

 

(0.3

)

Total realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives

 

58.1

 

0.9

 

 

59.0

 

0.4

 

59.4

 

Total revenues

 

96.2

 

58.3

 

3.1

 

157.5

 

0.4

 

157.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

 

64.1

 

30.5

 

0.1

 

94.7

 

(1.5

)

93.3

 

Incurred losses on credit derivatives

 

8.8

 

 

 

8.8

 

 

8.8

 

Total loss and loss adjustment expenses

 

72.9

 

30.5

 

0.1

 

103.5

 

(1.5

)

102.1

 

Profit commission expense

 

 

2.0

 

0.2

 

2.2

 

 

2.2

 

Acquisition costs

 

6.1

 

17.4

 

0.2

 

23.7

 

 

23.7

 

Operating expenses

 

36.5

 

10.4

 

1.4

 

48.3

 

 

48.3

 

Total underwriting expenses

 

$

115.5

 

$

60.3

 

$

1.9

 

$

177.6

 

$

(1.5

)

$

176.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Underwriting gain

 

$

(19.3

)

$

(2.0

)

$

1.2

 

$

(20.0

)

$

1.9

 

$

(18.1

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss and loss adjustment expense ratio (e)

 

75.9

%

51.9

%

3.2

%

65.6

%

 

 

64.5

%

Expense ratio (e)

 

44.2

%

51.5

%

57.5

%

47.2

%

 

 

47.2

%

Combined ratio (e)

 

120.1

%

103.4

%

60.7

%

112.8

%

 

 

111.7

%

 


(1) The Company adopted FAS 163 effective January 1, 2009.

(2) Due to the timing of receiving reports prepared by Assured’s ceding companies, PVP for installment premiums, par written and par outstanding on treaty business in the Company’s Financial Guaranty Reinsurance segment are reported on a one-quarter lag.

 

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [PVP (a) and loss and loss adjustment expense ratio, expense ratio and combined ratio (e)].

 

7



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Financial Guaranty Direct Segment (1 of 2)

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Six Months

 

Six Months

 

 

 

1Q-08

 

2Q-08

 

3Q-08

 

4Q-08

 

1Q-09

 

2Q-09

 

2008

 

2009

 

Income statement:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net earned premiums:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Scheduled net earned premiums (1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. public finance

 

$

2.8

 

$

5.9

 

$

9.9

 

$

9.5

 

$

10.7

 

$

14.7

 

$

8.7

 

$

25.4

 

U.S. structured finance

 

11.3

 

13.6

 

12.3

 

11.2

 

14.4

 

13.1

 

24.9

 

27.5

 

International

 

3.1

 

1.3

 

4.7

 

3.0

 

2.8

 

2.6

 

4.4

 

5.4

 

Total scheduled net earned premiums

 

17.3

 

20.8

 

26.9

 

23.7

 

27.9

 

30.4

 

38.1

 

58.3

 

Net earned premiums from refundings (1)

 

 

 

 

1.3

 

73.6

 

 

 

73.6

 

Total net earned premiums

 

17.3

 

20.8

 

26.9

 

25.0

 

101.5

 

30.4

 

38.1

 

131.9

 

Realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net credit derivative premiums earned

 

27.3

 

30.6

 

28.4

 

26.8

 

28.4

 

27.1

 

58.0

 

55.5

 

Net credit derivative recoveries (losses)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ceding commissions income (expense), net

 

(0.1

)

0.2

 

0.2

 

0.3

 

0.4

 

0.4

 

0.1

 

0.8

 

Total realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives

 

27.3

 

30.9

 

28.6

 

27.1

 

28.8

 

27.5

 

58.1

 

56.3

 

Total revenues

 

44.5

 

51.7

 

55.5

 

52.1

 

130.3

 

57.9

 

96.2

 

188.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses (recoveries)(1):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Case

 

0.2

 

32.0

 

99.9

 

70.4

 

11.7

 

31.8

 

32.2

 

43.5

 

Portfolio

 

35.7

 

(3.8

)

(34.0

)

(3.7

)

 

 

31.9

 

 

Total loss and loss adjustment expenses (recoveries) - financial guaranty

 

35.9

 

28.2

 

65.9

 

66.7

 

11.7

 

31.8

 

64.1

 

43.5

 

Incurred losses on credit derivatives

 

3.2

 

5.6

 

10.1

 

19.5

 

1.4

 

35.0

 

8.8

 

36.4

 

Total loss and loss adjustment expenses (recoveries)

 

39.1

 

33.8

 

76.0

 

86.2

 

13.1

 

66.8

 

72.9

 

79.9

 

Profit commission expense

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Acquisition costs (1)

 

3.0

 

3.1

 

4.0

 

3.9

 

6.2

 

3.6

 

6.1

 

9.8

 

Operating expenses

 

21.3

 

15.2

 

15.4

 

9.6

 

20.3

 

15.9

 

36.5

 

36.2

 

Total expenses

 

$

63.4

 

$

52.1

 

$

95.5

 

$

99.7

 

$

39.6

 

$

86.3

 

$

115.5

 

$

125.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Underwriting gain (loss)

 

$

(18.9

)

$

(0.4

)

$

(40.0

)

$

(47.6

)

$

90.7

 

$

(28.4

)

$

(19.3

)

$

62.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss and loss adjustment expense ratio (e)

 

87.7

%

65.7

%

137.5

%

166.4

%

10.1

%

116.2

%

75.9

%

42.6

%

Expense ratio (e)

 

54.6

%

35.1

%

34.8

%

25.6

%

20.1

%

33.2

%

44.2

%

24.1

%

Combined ratio (e)

 

142.3

%

100.8

%

172.3

%

192.0

%

30.2

%

149.4

%

120.1

%

66.7

%

 


(1) The Company adopted FAS 163 effective January 1, 2009.

 

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [loss and loss adjustment expense ratio, expense ratio and combined ratio (e)].

 

8



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Financial Guaranty Direct Segment (2 of 2)

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Six Months

 

Six Months

 

 

 

1Q-08

 

2Q-08

 

3Q-08

 

4Q-08

 

1Q-09

 

2Q-09

 

2008

 

2009

 

PVP(a):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. public finance

 

$

123.3

 

$

183.2

 

$

67.7

 

$

57.4

 

$

126.8

 

$

127.8

 

$

306.6

 

$

254.6

 

U.S. structured finance

 

71.3

 

51.9

 

14.5

 

49.8

 

2.4

 

12.2

 

123.2

 

14.6

 

International

 

60.5

 

6.3

 

 

14.7

 

1.7

 

 

66.8

 

1.7

 

Total PVP

 

255.2

 

241.4

 

82.2

 

121.9

 

130.9

 

140.0

 

496.6

 

270.9

 

Less: PVP of credit derivatives GWP

 

91.5

 

52.3

 

 

57.6

 

2.4

 

 

143.8

 

2.4

 

PVP of financial guaranty GWP

 

163.7

 

189.1

 

82.2

 

64.2

 

128.5

 

140.0

 

352.8

 

268.5

 

Less: Present value of insurance installment premiums (a)

 

33.8

 

5.9

 

30.3

 

6.9

 

6.5

 

12.5

 

39.7

 

19.0

 

Upfront financial guaranty gross written premiums (GWP)

 

129.9

 

183.2

 

51.9

 

57.4

 

122.0

 

127.5

 

313.1

 

249.5

 

Plus: Financial guaranty installment GWP

 

16.5

 

14.6

 

19.5

 

11.7

 

 

 

31.1

 

 

Plus: Financial guaranty installment PVP adjustment (2)

 

 

 

 

 

18.1

 

16.2

 

 

34.3

 

Financial guaranty direct GWP

 

$

146.4

 

$

197.8

 

$

71.4

 

$

69.1

 

$

140.1

 

$

143.7

 

$

344.2

 

$

283.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross par written:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. public finance

 

$

7,213

 

$

13,170

 

$

5,574

 

$

4,752

 

$

8,200

 

$

10,256

 

$

20,383

 

$

18,456

 

U.S. structured finance

 

5,623

 

2,516

 

1,920

 

2,026

 

71

 

302

 

8,140

 

374

 

International

 

3,918

 

495

 

 

359

 

90

 

 

4,413

 

90

 

Total

 

$

16,755

 

$

16,181

 

$

7,494

 

$

7,137

 

$

8,361

 

$

10,559

 

$

32,936

 

$

18,919

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net par outstanding:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. public finance

 

$

14,607

 

$

27,602

 

$

32,889

 

$

37,461

 

$

45,548

 

$

55,680

 

$

27,602

 

$

55,680

 

U.S. structured finance

 

66,324

 

67,816

 

66,567

 

65,589

 

63,695

 

62,247

 

67,816

 

62,247

 

International

 

35,039

 

35,158

 

32,629

 

28,975

 

26,327

 

28,160

 

35,158

 

28,160

 

Total

 

$

115,970

 

$

130,576

 

$

132,084

 

$

132,026

 

$

135,570

 

$

146,087

 

$

130,576

 

$

146,087

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Unearned premium reserve, net of ceded reinsurance - financial guaranty

 

$

354.4

 

$

526.2

 

$

569.4

 

$

612.4

 

$

997.8

 

$

1,112.9

 

$

526.2

 

$

1,112.9

 

Unearned credit derivative revenues, net of ceded reinsurance

 

16.7

 

18.4

 

14.2

 

19.7

 

18.3

 

18.0

 

18.4

 

18.0

 

Net present value of installment premiums in force - credit derivatives (d)

 

481.7

 

531.6

 

408.0

 

436.9

 

530.4

 

525.9

 

531.6

 

525.9

 

Net present value of installment premiums in force - financial guaranty (d), (1)

 

234.1

 

231.9

 

241.3

 

229.3

 

 

 

231.9

 

 

 


(1) The Company adopted FAS 163 effective January 1, 2009. Net present value of installment premiums in force for financial guaranty are included in “unearned premium reserve, net of ceded reinsurance - financial guaranty” line.

(2) 2009 amounts represent the difference in management estimates for the discount rate applied to future installments as well as the estimated term for future installments compared to the discount rate used for FAS 163.

 

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [PVP (a) and net present value of estimated future installment premiums in force (d)].

 

9



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Financial Guaranty Reinsurance Segment  (1 of 2)

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Six Months

 

Six Months

 

 

 

1Q-08

 

2Q-08

 

3Q-08

 

4Q-08

 

1Q-09

 

2Q-09

 

2008

 

2009

 

Income statement:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net earned premiums (1):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Scheduled net earned premiums

 

$

25.4

 

$

27.5

 

$

25.7

 

$

26.7

 

$

29.5

 

$

27.3

 

$

52.9

 

$

56.8

 

Net earned premiums from refundings

 

2.4

 

2.1

 

31.7

 

24.4

 

16.7

 

20.1

 

4.5

 

36.8

 

Total net earned premiums

 

27.8

 

29.6

 

57.4

 

51.1

 

46.2

 

47.4

 

57.4

 

93.6

 

Realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net credit derivative premiums earned

 

0.5

 

0.8

 

2.1

 

1.5

 

1.2

 

0.9

 

1.3

 

2.1

 

Net credit derivative recoveries (losses)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ceding commissions income (expense), net

 

(0.2

)

(0.3

)

(0.7

)

(0.4

)

(0.3

)

(0.7

)

(0.4

)

(1.0

)

Total realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives

 

0.3

 

0.6

 

1.4

 

1.1

 

0.9

 

0.2

 

0.9

 

1.1

 

Total revenues

 

28.1

 

30.2

 

58.8

 

52.2

 

47.1

 

47.6

 

58.3

 

94.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses (recoveries) (1):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Case

 

11.7

 

17.2

 

18.0

 

23.9

 

36.8

 

25.6

 

28.9

 

62.4

 

Portfolio

 

7.4

 

(5.9

)

(2.5

)

(1.5

)

 

 

1.5

 

 

Total loss and loss adjustment expenses (recoveries) - financial guaranty

 

19.2

 

11.3

 

15.5

 

22.4

 

36.8

 

25.6

 

30.5

 

62.4

 

Incurred losses on credit derivatives

 

 

 

 

5.4

 

(0.4

)

0.2

 

 

(0.2

)

Total loss and loss adjustment expenses (recoveries)

 

19.2

 

11.3

 

15.5

 

27.8

 

36.5

 

25.8

 

30.5

 

62.3

 

Profit commission expense

 

1.1

 

0.9

 

(1.5

)

0.5

 

0.2

 

1.8

 

2.0

 

2.0

 

Acquisition costs (1)

 

8.8

 

8.6

 

15.1

 

14.2

 

17.1

 

12.8

 

17.4

 

29.9

 

Operating expenses

 

6.4

 

4.0

 

5.6

 

3.7

 

6.7

 

6.2

 

10.4

 

12.9

 

Total expenses

 

$

35.5

 

$

24.8

 

$

34.8

 

$

46.1

 

$

60.4

 

$

46.6

 

$

60.3

 

$

107.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Underwriting gain (loss)

 

$

(7.3

)

$

5.4

 

$

24.0

 

$

6.1

 

$

(13.3

)

$

1.0

 

$

(2.0

)

$

(12.3

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss and loss adjustment expense ratio (e)

 

67.8

%

37.1

%

26.1

%

52.8

%

76.9

%

53.4

%

51.9

%

65.1

%

Expense ratio (e)

 

58.1

%

45.2

%

33.5

%

35.6

%

51.2

%

44.5

%

51.5

%

47.8

%

Combined ratio (e)

 

125.9

%

82.3

%

59.6

%

88.4

%

128.1

%

97.9

%

103.4

%

112.9

%

 


(1) The Company adopted FAS 163 effective January 1, 2009.

 

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [loss and loss adjustment expense ratio, expense ratio and combined ratio (e)].

 

10



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Financial Guaranty Reinsurance Segment (1) (2 of 2)

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Six Months

 

Six Months

 

 

 

1Q-08

 

2Q-08

 

3Q-08

 

4Q-08

 

1Q-09

 

2Q-09

 

2008

 

2009

 

PVP (a):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. public finance

 

$

17.6

 

$

29.0

 

$

39.5

 

$

6.2

 

$

90.7

 

$

0.0

 

$

46.6

 

$

90.7

 

U.S. structured finance

 

2.9

 

4.2

 

 

 

 

 

7.2

 

 

International

 

0.9

 

4.2

 

17.7

 

 

0.1

 

 

5.1

 

0.1

 

Total PVP

 

21.4

 

37.5

 

57.2

 

6.2

 

90.8

 

0.0

 

58.9

 

90.8

 

Less: PVP of credit derivatives GWP

 

1.9

 

 

1.1

 

 

 

 

1.9

 

 

PVP of financial guaranty GWP

 

19.5

 

37.5

 

56.1

 

6.2

 

90.8

 

0.0

 

56.9

 

90.8

 

Less: Present value of financial guaranty installment premiums (a)

 

2.4

 

6.1

 

7.5

 

3.7

 

5.1

 

 

8.4

 

5.1

 

Upfront financial guaranty gross written premiums (GWP)

 

17.1

 

31.4

 

48.6

 

2.5

 

85.7

 

0.0

 

48.5

 

85.8

 

Plus: Upfront premium due to commutation (2)

 

 

 

(20.8

)

 

 

 

 

 

Plus: Financial guaranty installment GWP

 

8.3

 

16.6

 

13.4

 

12.1

 

 

 

24.9

 

 

Plus: Financial guaranty installment PVP adjustment (3)

 

 

 

 

 

8.9

 

(1.5

)

 

7.4

 

Financial guaranty reinsurance GWP per income statement

 

$

25.4

 

$

48.0

 

$

41.2

 

$

14.7

 

$

94.7

 

$

(1.5

)

$

73.4

 

$

93.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross par written:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. public finance

 

$

2,503

 

$

1,492

 

$

2,154

 

$

162

 

$

13,429

 

$

2

 

$

3,996

 

$

13,431

 

U.S. structured finance

 

367

 

283

 

6

 

 

21

 

 

650

 

21

 

International

 

370

 

131

 

1,122

 

(18

)

466

 

 

501

 

466

 

Total

 

$

3,240

 

$

1,906

 

$

3,282

 

$

144

 

$

13,916

 

$

2

 

$

5,147

 

$

13,918

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net par outstanding:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. public finance

 

$

75,382

 

$

76,003

 

$

72,695

 

$

69,860

 

$

81,616

 

$

79,935

 

$

76,003

 

$

79,935

 

U.S. structured finance

 

9,567

 

10,139

 

9,216

 

8,783

 

8,421

 

8,232

 

10,139

 

8,232

 

International

 

13,957

 

13,684

 

13,347

 

12,052

 

11,568

 

12,545

 

13,684

 

12,545

 

Total

 

$

98,906

 

$

99,826

 

$

95,258

 

$

90,696

 

$

101,606

 

$

100,712

 

$

99,826

 

$

100,712

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Unearned premium reserve, net of ceded reinsurance - financial guaranty

 

$

623.7

 

$

642.1

 

$

625.9

 

$

589.6

 

$

1,118.6

 

$

1,072.6

 

$

642.1

 

$

1,072.6

 

Unearned credit derivative revenues, net of ceded reinsurance

 

4.6

 

4.8

 

4.4

 

3.6

 

3.6

 

3.5

 

4.8

 

3.5

 

Net present value of installment premiums in force - credit derivatives (d)

 

15.5

 

11.8

 

11.2

 

10.1

 

14.2

 

12.4

 

11.8

 

12.4

 

Net present value of installment premiums in force - financial guaranty (d), (4)

 

261.2

 

258.2

 

253.4

 

233.2

 

 

 

258.2

 

 

 


(1) Due to the timing of receiving reports prepared by Assured’s ceding companies, present value of financial guaranty gross written premiums (PVP) for installment premiums, par written and par outstanding on treaty business in the Company’s financial guaranty reinsurance segment are reported on a one-quarter lag.

(2) Relates to commutation of XLFA reinsurance cession of approximately $2.1 billion of net par outstanding.

(3) 2009 amounts represent the difference in management estimates for the discount rate applied to future installments as well as the estimated term for future installments compared to the discount rate used for FAS 163.

(4) The Company adopted FAS 163 effective January 1, 2009. Net present value of installment premiums in force for financial guaranty are included in “unearned premium reserve, net of ceded reinsurance - financial guaranty” line.

 

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [PVP (a) and net present value of estimated future installment premiums in force (d)].

 

11



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Investment Portfolio

As of June 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

 

 

Pre-Tax

 

After-Tax

 

 

 

Annualized

 

 

 

Amortized

 

Book

 

Book

 

Fair

 

Investment

 

 

 

Cost

 

Yield

 

Yield

 

Value

 

Income

 

Fixed maturity securities available for sale:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies

 

$

441.9

 

2.9

%

2.3

%

$

453.8

 

$

12.9

 

Agency obligations

 

329.2

 

4.2

%

3.7

%

342.3

 

13.8

 

Foreign government securities

 

84.9

 

4.1

%

2.8

%

88.5

 

3.5

 

Obligations of states and political subdivisions

 

557.5

 

4.9

%

4.6

%

563.7

 

27.1

 

Insured obligations of state and political subdivisions (1)

 

525.8

 

4.7

%

4.4

%

529.8

 

24.6

 

Corporate securities

 

342.8

 

5.3

%

4.6

%

339.8

 

18.1

 

Mortgage-backed securities (2):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pass-throughs

 

1,037.6

 

8.8

%

8.0

%

996.9

 

91.1

 

PACs

 

27.1

 

4.8

%

4.7

%

27.0

 

1.3

 

Asset-backed securities (3)

 

71.6

 

5.4

%

5.4

%

71.5

 

3.8

 

Total fixed maturity securities available for sale

 

3,418.4

 

5.7

%

5.2

%

3,413.3

 

196.1

 

Short-term investments

 

1,171.0

 

0.2

%

0.2

%

1,171.0

 

2.2

 

Total investments

 

$

4,589.4

 

4.3

%

3.9

%

$

4,584.2

 

$

198.3

 

 

 

 

Fair

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ratings (4):

 

Value

 

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Treasury and U.S. government obligations

 

$

453.8

 

13.3

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Agency obligations

 

342.3

 

10.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

AAA/Aaa

 

1,263.3

 

37.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

AA/Aa

 

759.9

 

22.3

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

A/A

 

456.2

 

13.4

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

BBB

 

43.5

 

1.3

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Below investment grade(5)

 

94.3

 

2.7

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

$

3,413.3

 

100.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Duration of investment portfolio (in years):

 

 

 

3.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


(1) Reflects obligations of state and local political subdivisions that have been insured by other financial guarantors. The underlying ratings of these bonds average A+

(2) $1.2 million is U.S. subprime RMBS, which has an average rating of AAA.

(3) Contains no CDOs of ABS.

(4) Ratings are represented by the lower of the Moody’s Investors Service and Standard & Poor’s classifications.

(5) Includes $51.6 million which the Company purchased for risk mitigation purposes.

 

12



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Estimated Net Exposure Amortization (1)

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

 

 

Estimated

 

 

 

Estimated Net

 

Ending Net

 

 

 

Debt Service

 

Debt Service

 

 

 

Amortization

 

Outstanding

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial Guaranty Direct:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009 (as of June 30)

 

 

 

$

201,489

 

2009 (July - December)

 

$

5,456

 

196,033

 

2010

 

11,864

 

184,169

 

2011

 

12,699

 

171,470

 

2012

 

16,629

 

154,841

 

2013

 

14,743

 

140,098

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009-2013

 

61,391

 

140,098

 

2014-2018

 

55,744

 

84,355

 

2019-2023

 

28,391

 

55,963

 

2024-2028

 

19,474

 

36,489

 

After 2028

 

36,489

 

 

Total

 

$

201,489

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial Guaranty Reinsurance:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009 (as of June 30)

 

 

 

$

171,000

 

2009 (July - December)

 

$

4,540

 

166,460

 

2010

 

8,160

 

158,299

 

2011

 

8,489

 

149,810

 

2012

 

8,033

 

141,777

 

2013

 

7,771

 

134,006

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009-2013

 

36,994

 

134,006

 

2014-2018

 

37,820

 

96,187

 

2019-2023

 

32,208

 

63,979

 

2024-2028

 

24,974

 

39,005

 

After 2028

 

39,005

 

 

Total

 

$

171,001

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Financial Guaranty:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009 (as of June 30)

 

 

 

$

372,489

 

2009 (July - December)

 

$

9,997

 

362,492

 

2010

 

20,024

 

342,468

 

2011

 

21,188

 

321,281

 

2012

 

24,662

 

296,619

 

2013

 

22,514

 

274,105

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009-2013

 

98,384

 

274,105

 

2014-2018

 

93,563

 

180,541

 

2019-2023

 

60,599

 

119,942

 

2024-2028

 

44,448

 

75,494

 

After 2028

 

75,494

 

 

Total

 

$

372,488

 

 

 

 


(1) Represents amortization of existing guaranteed portfolio (principal and interest), assuming no advance refundings, as of June 30, 2009. Expected maturities will differ from contractual maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay guaranteed obligations.

 

13



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Estimated Net Unearned Premium Amortization and Estimated Net Future Installment Premiums

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

 

 

Estimated

 

CDS and Other

 

Total Estimated

 

 

 

 

 

Net Unearned

 

Installment

 

Net Future

 

 

 

Net Unearned

 

Premium

 

Earned

 

Premium

 

 

 

Premiums (1), (2)

 

Amortization (2)

 

Premiums(3)

 

Earnings (2),(3)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial Guaranty Direct:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009 (as of June 30)

 

$

1,130.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009 (3rd & 4th Qtrs)

 

1,068.3

 

$

62.6

 

$

50.8

 

$

113.4

 

2010

 

963.9

 

104.4

 

117.6

 

222.0

 

2011

 

872.0

 

91.9

 

108.7

 

200.6

 

2012

 

790.6

 

81.4

 

89.2

 

170.6

 

2013

 

718.9

 

71.8

 

70.6

 

142.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009-2013

 

718.9

 

412.0

 

436.8

 

848.9

 

2014-2018

 

441.9

 

276.9

 

162.3

 

439.2

 

2019-2023

 

256.1

 

185.9

 

78.8

 

264.6

 

2024-2028

 

135.3

 

120.8

 

57.2

 

178.0

 

After 2028

 

 

135.3

 

100.2

 

235.5

 

Total

 

 

 

$

1,130.9

 

$

835.3

 

$

1,966.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial Guaranty Reinsurance:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009 (as of June 30)

 

$

1,076.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009 (3rd & 4th Qtrs)

 

1,030.1

 

$

46.0

 

$

8.9

 

$

54.9

 

2010

 

949.0

 

81.1

 

21.2

 

102.4

 

2011

 

873.5

 

75.5

 

18.4

 

93.9

 

2012

 

801.9

 

71.6

 

17.7

 

89.4

 

2013

 

738.2

 

63.7

 

16.3

 

80.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009-2013

 

738.2

 

337.9

 

82.5

 

420.4

 

2014-2018

 

477.1

 

261.1

 

66.8

 

327.9

 

2019-2023

 

292.0

 

185.1

 

46.7

 

231.8

 

2024-2028

 

155.1

 

136.9

 

31.1

 

167.9

 

After 2028

 

 

155.1

 

26.3

 

181.4

 

Total

 

 

 

$

1,076.1

 

$

253.4

 

$

1,329.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Financial Guaranty:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009 (as of June 30)

 

$

2,207.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009 (3rd & 4th Qtrs)

 

2,098.5

 

$

108.6

 

$

59.7

 

$

168.3

 

2010

 

1,912.9

 

185.5

 

138.8

 

324.3

 

2011

 

1,745.5

 

167.4

 

127.1

 

294.5

 

2012

 

1,592.5

 

153.0

 

106.9

 

259.9

 

2013

 

1,457.1

 

135.4

 

86.8

 

222.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009-2013

 

1,457.1

 

749.9

 

519.4

 

1,269.3

 

2014-2018

 

919.0

 

538.0

 

229.1

 

767.2

 

2019-2023

 

548.1

 

370.9

 

125.5

 

496.4

 

2024-2028

 

290.4

 

257.7

 

88.3

 

346.0

 

After 2028

 

 

290.4

 

126.5

 

416.9

 

Total

 

 

 

$

2,206.9

 

$

1,088.8

 

$

3,295.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


(1) Unearned premium amounts are U.S. GAAP based and net of prepaid reinsurance premiums and include unearned credit derivative revenues net of ceded reinsurance.

(2) Includes unearned premium on credit derivatives.

(3) Includes earnings on future installments of credit derivatives  and discount accretion earnings on FG transactions.

 

14



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 6)

As of June 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

 

Net Par Outstanding and Average Rating by Asset Type

 

 

 

Financial Guaranty
Direct

 

Financial Guaranty
Reinsurance

 

Consolidated

 

Sector:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Avg.
Rating (1)

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Avg.
Rating (1)

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Avg.
Rating (1)

 

U.S. public finance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

General obligation

 

$

13,217

 

A

 

$

24,021

 

A+

 

$

37,238

 

A+

 

Tax backed

 

18,202

 

A

 

18,636

 

A+

 

36,838

 

A+

 

Municipal utilities

 

7,496

 

A

 

11,536

 

A

 

19,032

 

A

 

Transportation

 

4,613

 

A+

 

9,423

 

A

 

14,036

 

A

 

Healthcare

 

6,315

 

A

 

5,478

 

A

 

11,793

 

A

 

Higher education

 

3,216

 

A

 

3,657

 

A+

 

6,873

 

A

 

Investor-owned utilities

 

119

 

A

 

1,859

 

BBB+

 

1,977

 

BBB+

 

Housing

 

 

 

1,961

 

A+

 

1,961

 

A+

 

Other public finance

 

2,501

 

A-

 

3,364

 

A

 

5,865

 

A

 

Total U.S. public finance

 

$

55,680

 

A

 

$

79,935

 

A+

 

$

135,614

 

A

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. structured finance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pooled corporate obligations

 

$

32,057

 

AA+

 

$

1,282

 

AA+

 

$

33,339

 

AA+

 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

 

15,755

 

BBB+

 

943

 

BB

 

16,698

 

BBB

 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

 

5,612

 

AAA

 

206

 

A-

 

5,818

 

AAA

 

Commercial receivables

 

2,232

 

A+

 

2,733

 

A-

 

4,965

 

A

 

Consumer receivables

 

2,767

 

AA+

 

1,971

 

A-

 

4,738

 

AA-

 

Structured credit

 

2,530

 

A

 

343

 

BBB-

 

2,873

 

A

 

Insurance securitizations

 

1,245

 

A+

 

348

 

A+

 

1,593

 

A+

 

Other structured finance

 

49

 

BBB+

 

407

 

BBB+

 

455

 

BBB+

 

Total U.S. structured finance

 

$

62,247

 

AA-

 

$

8,232

 

A-

 

$

70,479

 

AA-

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Infrastructure and pooled infrastructure

 

$

6,061

 

AA+

 

$

3,856

 

BBB+

 

$

9,917

 

A+

 

Pooled corporate obligations

 

7,974

 

AA+

 

758

 

AAA

 

8,732

 

AA+

 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

 

7,243

 

AAA

 

106

 

AA

 

7,350

 

AAA

 

Regulated utilities

 

2,102

 

A

 

4,570

 

BBB+

 

6,672

 

A-

 

Public finance

 

983

 

AA

 

1,188

 

A

 

2,171

 

A+

 

Commercial receivables

 

889

 

A-

 

811

 

A-

 

1,701

 

A-

 

Future flow

 

848

 

BBB

 

317

 

BBB

 

1,165

 

BBB

 

Insurance securitizations

 

923

 

D

 

34

 

A

 

957

 

C

 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

 

468

 

AAA

 

324

 

A-

 

792

 

AA

 

Structured credit

 

 

 

471

 

A-

 

471

 

A-

 

Consumer receivables

 

 

 

101

 

AAA

 

101

 

AAA

 

Other international structured finance

 

670

 

AAA

 

8

 

A

 

678

 

AAA

 

Total international

 

$

28,160

 

AA

 

$

12,545

 

A-

 

$

40,706

 

AA-

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total net par outstanding

 

$

146,087

 

A+

 

$

100,712

 

A

 

$

246,799

 

A+

 

 


(1) Assured’s internal rating.  Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

 

15



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 6)

(dollars in millions)

 

Historical Net Par Outstanding and Average Rating by Asset Type

 

 

 

As of June 30,

 

As of December 31,

 

 

 

2009

 

2008

 

2007

 

Sector:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Avg.
Rating (1)

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Avg.
Rating (1)

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Avg.
Rating (1)

 

U.S. public finance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

General obligation

 

$

37,238

 

A+

 

$

27,047

 

A+

 

$

20,291

 

A+

 

Tax backed

 

36,838

 

A+

 

25,862

 

A+

 

17,799

 

A+

 

Municipal utilities

 

19,032

 

A

 

15,604

 

A

 

11,672

 

A+

 

Transportation

 

14,036

 

A

 

12,647

 

A

 

9,984

 

A

 

Healthcare

 

11,793

 

A

 

11,678

 

A

 

10,372

 

A

 

Higher education

 

6,873

 

A

 

5,330

 

A+

 

3,651

 

A+

 

Investor-owned utilities

 

1,977

 

BBB+

 

2,156

 

BBB+

 

2,314

 

BBB+

 

Housing

 

1,961

 

A+

 

1,981

 

A+

 

2,041

 

A+

 

Other public finance

 

5,865

 

A

 

5,015

 

A

 

3,790

 

A+

 

Total U.S. public finance

 

$

135,614

 

A

 

$

107,322

 

A+

 

$

81,914

 

A+

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. structured finance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pooled corporate obligations

 

$

33,339

 

AA+

 

$

34,680

 

AAA

 

$

33,813

 

AAA

 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

 

16,698

 

BBB

 

18,393

 

A

 

18,248

 

AA

 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

 

5,818

 

AAA

 

5,876

 

AAA

 

6,002

 

AA+

 

Commercial receivables

 

4,965

 

A

 

4,945

 

A

 

5,246

 

A+

 

Consumer receivables

 

4,738

 

AA-

 

5,158

 

AA

 

6,589

 

AA

 

Structured credit

 

2,873

 

A

 

3,274

 

A

 

1,572

 

A-

 

Insurance securitizations

 

1,593

 

A+

 

1,593

 

AA-

 

1,158

 

AA-

 

Other structured finance

 

455

 

BBB+

 

454

 

A-

 

1,191

 

AA

 

Total U.S. structured finance

 

$

70,479

 

AA-

 

$

74,373

 

AA

 

$

73,820

 

AA+

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Infrastructure and pooled infrastructure

 

$

9,917

 

A+

 

$

9,306

 

AA-

 

$

11,561

 

AA-

 

Pooled corporate obligations

 

8,732

 

AA+

 

8,383

 

AAA

 

8,459

 

AAA

 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

 

7,350

 

AAA

 

8,249

 

AAA

 

7,329

 

AAA

 

Regulated utilities

 

6,672

 

A-

 

7,515

 

A-

 

8,337

 

A-

 

Public finance

 

2,171

 

A+

 

1,680

 

A

 

1,996

 

A+

 

Commercial receivables

 

1,701

 

A-

 

1,713

 

A-

 

1,913

 

A-

 

Future flow

 

1,165

 

BBB

 

1,240

 

BBB

 

1,113

 

BBB+

 

Insurance securitizations

 

957

 

C

 

954

 

CCC

 

857

 

BBB-

 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

 

792

 

AA

 

795

 

AA-

 

1,240

 

AA+

 

Structured credit

 

471

 

A-

 

437

 

A-

 

592

 

A-

 

Consumer receivables

 

101

 

AAA

 

109

 

AAA

 

357

 

AA+

 

Other international structured finance

 

678

 

AAA

 

646

 

AAA

 

794

 

AA+

 

Total international

 

$

40,706

 

AA-

 

$

41,027

 

AA-

 

$

44,546

 

AA-

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total exposures

 

$

246,799

 

A+

 

$

222,722

 

AA-

 

$

200,279

 

AA-

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mortgage guaranty risk in force

 

$

412

 

NA

 

$

400

 

NA

 

$

1,116

 

NA

 

 


(1) Assured’s internal rating.  Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

 

NA = Not Applicable

 

16



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 6)

(dollars in millions)

 

Gross Par Written by Asset Type

 

 

 

Financial
Guaranty
Direct

 

Avg.
Rating (1)

 

Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance

 

Avg.
Rating (1)

 

Consolidated

 

Avg.
Rating (1)

 

Sector:

 

2Q-09

 

2Q-09

 

2Q-09

 

U.S. public finance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tax backed

 

$

4,581

 

A

 

$

2

 

A+

 

$

4,583

 

A

 

General obligation

 

2,619

 

A+

 

 

 

2,619

 

A+

 

Municipal utilities

 

1,537

 

A+

 

 

 

1,537

 

A+

 

Higher education

 

555

 

A

 

 

 

555

 

A

 

Healthcare

 

523

 

A

 

 

 

523

 

A

 

Transportation

 

220

 

A

 

 

 

220

 

A

 

Housing

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investor-owned utilities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other public finance

 

221

 

A-

 

 

 

221

 

A-

 

Total U.S. public finance

 

$

10,256

 

A

 

$

2

 

A+

 

$

10,258

 

A

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. structured finance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Consumer receivables

 

$

210

 

A

 

$

 

 

$

210

 

A

 

Commercial receivables

 

92

 

A

 

 

 

92

 

A

 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Insurance securitization

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pooled corporate obligations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Structured credit

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other structured finance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total U.S. structured finance

 

$

302

 

A

 

$

 

 

$

302

 

A

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Regulated utilities

 

$

 

 

$

 

 

$

 

 

Infrastructure and pooled infrastructure

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Public finance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Commercial receivables

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Consumer receivables

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Future flow

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Insurance securitizations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pooled corporate obligations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Structured credit

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other international structured -finance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total international

 

$

 

 

$

 

 

$

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total gross par written

 

$

10,559

 

A

 

$

2

 

A+

 

$

10,561

 

A

 

 


(1) Assured’s internal rating.  Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

 

17



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Financial Guaranty Profile (4 of 6)

(dollars in millions)

 

Gross Par Written by Asset Type

 

 

 

Financial
Guaranty
Direct

 

Avg.
Rating (1)

 

Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance

 

Avg.
Rating (1)

 

Consolidated

 

Avg.
Rating (1)

 

Sector:

 

Six Months 2009

 

Six Months 2009

 

Six Months 2009

 

U.S. public finance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tax backed

 

$

8,095

 

A

 

$

3,787

 

A

 

$

11,882

 

A

 

General obligation

 

4,813

 

A+

 

6,026

 

A+

 

10,840

 

A+

 

Municipal utilities

 

2,421

 

A

 

1,319

 

A

 

3,741

 

A

 

Higher education

 

916

 

A

 

819

 

A

 

1,735

 

A

 

Transportation

 

767

 

A

 

800

 

A

 

1,567

 

A

 

Healthcare

 

881

 

A

 

196

 

AA-

 

1,077

 

A+

 

Housing

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investor-owned utilities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other public finance

 

563

 

BBB

 

484

 

AA-

 

1,046

 

A

 

Total U.S. public finance

 

$

18,456

 

A

 

$

13,431

 

A

 

$

31,887

 

A

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. structured finance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Consumer receivables

 

$

210

 

A

 

$

21

 

BBB

 

$

231

 

A

 

Commercial receivables

 

164

 

A

 

 

 

164

 

A

 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Insurance securitization

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pooled corporate obligations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Structured credit

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other structured finance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total U.S. structured finance

 

$

374

 

A

 

$

21

 

BBB

 

$

394

 

A

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Regulated utilities

 

$

25

 

A

 

$

212

 

A-

 

$

238

 

A-

 

Infrastructure and pooled infrastructure

 

64

 

BBB

 

123

 

BBB-

 

188

 

BBB

 

Public finance

 

 

 

130

 

A+

 

130

 

A+

 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Commercial receivables

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Consumer receivables

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Future flow

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Insurance securitizations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pooled corporate obligations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Structured credit

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other international structured finance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total international

 

$

90

 

BBB+

 

$

466

 

A-

 

$

556

 

A-

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total gross par written

 

$

18,919

 

A

 

$

13,918

 

A

 

$

32,837

 

A

 

 


(1) Assured’s internal rating.  Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

 

18



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Financial Guaranty Profile (5 of 6)

(dollars in millions)

 

 

Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio

 

 

 

As of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial Guaranty
Direct

 

Financial Guaranty
Reinsurance

 

Consolidated

 

 

 

 

 

Ratings (1):

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

 

 

 

 

Super senior

 

$

27,734

 

19.0

%

$

1

 

0.0

%

$

27,735

 

11.2

%

 

 

 

 

AAA

 

31,048

 

21.3

%

4,292

 

4.3

%

35,341

 

14.3

%

 

 

 

 

AA

 

15,744

 

10.8

%

34,251

 

34.0

%

49,996

 

20.3

%

 

 

 

 

A

 

47,034

 

32.2

%

41,111

 

40.8

%

88,145

 

35.7

%

 

 

 

 

BBB

 

16,427

 

11.2

%

19,089

 

19.0

%

35,517

 

14.4

%

 

 

 

 

Below investment grade

 

8,098

 

5.5

%

1,967

 

2.0

%

10,066

 

4.1

%

 

 

 

 

Total exposures

 

$

146,087

 

100.0

%

$

100,712

 

100.0

%

$

246,799

 

100.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As of December 31, 2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial Guaranty
Direct

 

Financial Guaranty
Reinsurance

 

Consolidated

 

 

 

 

 

Ratings (1):

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

 

 

 

 

Super senior

 

$

32,351

 

24.5

%

$

1

 

0.0

%

$

32,352

 

14.5

%

 

 

 

 

AAA

 

35,542

 

26.9

%

5,191

 

5.7

%

40,733

 

18.3

%

 

 

 

 

AA

 

14,699

 

11.1

%

32,986

 

36.4

%

47,685

 

21.4

%

 

 

 

 

A

 

31,912

 

24.2

%

34,078

 

37.6

%

65,991

 

29.6

%

 

 

 

 

BBB

 

12,579

 

9.5

%

16,782

 

18.5

%

29,361

 

13.2

%

 

 

 

 

Below investment grade

 

4,943

 

3.7

%

1,657

 

1.8

%

6,600

 

3.0

%

 

 

 

 

Total exposures

 

$

132,026

 

100.0

%

$

90,696

 

100.0

%

$

222,722

 

100.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

U.S. Public
Finance

 

U.S. Structured
Finance

 

International

 

Consolidated

 

Ratings (1):

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Super senior

 

$

 

 

$

16,926

 

24.0

%

$

10,809

 

26.6

%

$

27,735

 

11.2

%

AAA

 

2,127

 

1.6

%

23,006

 

32.6

%

10,209

 

25.1

%

35,341

 

14.3

%

AA

 

42,322

 

31.2

%

5,765

 

8.2

%

1,909

 

4.7

%

49,996

 

20.3

%

A

 

73,256

 

54.0

%

7,646

 

10.8

%

7,244

 

17.8

%

88,145

 

35.7

%

BBB

 

16,455

 

12.1

%

9,532

 

13.5

%

9,529

 

23.4

%

35,517

 

14.4

%

Below investment grade

 

1,454

 

1.1

%

7,605

 

10.8

%

1,006

 

2.5

%

10,066

 

4.1

%

Total exposures

 

$

135,614

 

100.0

%

$

70,479

 

100.0

%

$

40,706

 

100.0

%

$

246,799

 

100.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As of December 31, 2008

 

 

 

U.S. Public
Finance

 

U.S. Structured
Finance

 

International

 

Consolidated

 

Ratings (1):

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Super senior

 

$

 

 

$

21,302

 

28.6

%

$

11,050

 

26.9

%

$

32,352

 

14.5

%

AAA

 

2,120

 

2.0

%

27,115

 

36.5

%

11,498

 

28.0

%

40,733

 

18.3

%

AA

 

38,028

 

35.4

%

7,687

 

10.3

%

1,970

 

4.8

%

47,685

 

21.4

%

A

 

53,086

 

49.5

%

7,058

 

9.5

%

5,846

 

14.2

%

65,991

 

29.6

%

BBB

 

13,020

 

12.1

%

6,692

 

9.0

%

9,649

 

23.5

%

29,361

 

13.2

%

Below investment grade

 

1,067

 

1.0

%

4,519

 

6.1

%

1,014

 

2.5

%

6,600

 

3.0

%

Total exposures

 

$

107,322

 

100.0

%

$

74,373

 

100.0

%

$

41,027

 

100.0

%

$

222,722

 

100.0

%

 


(1) Assured’s internal rating.  Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

19



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Financial Guaranty Profile (6 of 6)

(dollars in millions)

 

Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

 

 

Outstanding

 

% of Total

 

U.S.:

 

 

 

 

 

 

California

 

$

18,369

 

7.4

%

New York

 

12,773

 

5.2

%

Texas

 

10,498

 

4.3

%

Florida

 

10,259

 

4.2

%

Pennsylvania

 

7,669

 

3.1

%

Illinois

 

7,451

 

3.0

%

New Jersey

 

5,390

 

2.2

%

Massachusetts

 

4,749

 

1.9

%

Puerto Rico

 

3,829

 

1.6

%

Michigan

 

3,788

 

1.5

%

Other states

 

50,840

 

20.6

%

Structured finance (multiple states)

 

70,479

 

28.6

%

Total U.S.

 

$

206,094

 

83.5

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

International:

 

 

 

 

 

United Kingdom

 

$

21,987

 

8.9

%

Australia

 

3,495

 

1.4

%

Germany

 

3,396

 

1.4

%

Ireland

 

925

 

0.4

%

Turkey

 

755

 

0.3

%

Other

 

10,147

 

4.1

%

Total International

 

$

40,706

 

16.5

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total exposures

 

$

246,799

 

100.0

%

 

20



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile

(dollars in millions)

 

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Ratings as of June 30, 2009

 

Ratings (1):

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

% of Total

 

Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement (
2)

 

Avg. Current
Enhancement (
2)

 

 

 

AAA

 

$

30,185

 

75.4

%

35.8

%

30.9

%

 

 

AA

 

3,957

 

9.9

%

37.3

%

28.8

%

 

 

A

 

2,348

 

5.9

%

44.2

%

37.6

%

 

 

BBB

 

2,516

 

6.3

%

46.6

%

37.8

%

 

 

Below investment grade

 

1,025

 

2.6

%

42.5

%

28.8

%

 

 

Total exposures

 

$

40,031

 

100.0

%

37.3

%

31.5

%

 

 

 

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Year Insured as of June 30, 2009

 

Year insured:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

% of Total

 

Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement (
2)

 

Avg. Current
Enhancement (
2)

 

 

 

2004 and prior

 

$

1,426

 

3.6

%

30.4

%

27.0

%

 

 

2005

 

7,621

 

19.0

%

36.0

%

30.6

%

 

 

2006

 

12,789

 

31.9

%

37.6

%

29.4

%

 

 

2007

 

15,631

 

39.0

%

38.7

%

33.5

%

 

 

2008

 

2,563

 

6.4

%

34.8

%

35.1

%

 

 

2009

 

 

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

 

 

 

 

$

40,031

 

100.0

%

37.3

%

31.5

%

 

 

 

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Asset Class as of June 30, 2009

 

Asset class:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

% of Total

 

Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement (
2)

 

Avg. Current
Enhancement (
2)

 

Avg.
Rating(1)

 

High yield corporates

 

$

25,673

 

64.1

%

34.7

%

28.5

%

AAA

 

Trust preferred - banks and insurance

 

3,633

 

9.1

%

47.0

%

39.2

%

A-

 

Trust preferred - US mortgage and REITs

 

2,431

 

6.1

%

50.1

%

41.6

%

A-

 

Trust preferred - European mortgage and REITs

 

1,047

 

2.6

%

36.8

%

31.1

%

A

 

Market value CDOs of corporates

 

4,154

 

10.4

%

40.5

%

36.1

%

AAA

 

Investment grade corporates

 

2,270

 

5.7

%

28.7

%

29.8

%

AAA

 

Commercial real estate

 

758

 

1.9

%

49.2

%

48.0

%

AAA

 

CDO of CDOs (corporate) (3)

 

66

 

0.2

%

1.7

%

5.5

%

AAA

 

 

 

$

 40,031

 

100.0

%

37.3

%

31.5

%

AA+

 

 


(1) Assured’s internal rating.  Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

(2) “Average Credit Enhancement” is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured’s exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.

 

(3) Consists of one transaction whereby Assured’s exposure is principal-protected by a collateral account currently containing $70 million in assets and representing 106% of current net par.  Funds in the collateral account are permitted to be invested in cash, government securities and AAA ABS (other than MBS).

 

21



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (“RMBS”) Profile (1 of 3)

(dollars in millions)

 

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating (1) and by Segment as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

Direct

 

 

 

Reinsurance

 

 

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

 

 

Ratings(1):

 

Outstanding

 

%

 

Outstanding

 

%

 

Outstanding

 

%

 

 

 

Super senior

 

$

2,660

 

16.9

%

$

 

 

$

2,660

 

15.9

%

 

 

AAA

 

2,615

 

16.6

%

142

 

15.1

%

2,758

 

16.5

%

 

 

AA

 

830

 

5.3

%

88

 

9.3

%

918

 

5.5

%

 

 

A

 

1,900

 

12.1

%

110

 

11.7

%

2,010

 

12.0

%

 

 

BBB

 

1,909

 

12.1

%

113

 

12.0

%

2,022

 

12.1

%

 

 

Below investment grade

 

5,841

 

37.1

%

490

 

52.0

%

6,331

 

37.9

%

 

 

 

 

$

15,755

 

100.0

%

$

943

 

100.0

%

$

16,698

 

100.0

%

 

 

 

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating (1), December 31, 2006 to June 30, 2009

 

Ratings(1):

 

12/31/06

 

12/31/07

 

12/31/08

 

06/30/09

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Super senior

 

41.4

%

35.4

%

34.7

%

15.9

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

AAA

 

23.1

%

33.9

%

9.1

%

16.5

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

AA

 

0.3

%

5.0

%

8.5

%

5.5

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

A

 

9.2

%

6.4

%

13.4

%

12.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

BBB

 

25.1

%

9.1

%

10.4

%

12.1

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Below investment grade

 

0.9

%

10.1

%

24.0

%

37.9

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating (1) and Type of Exposure as of June 30, 2009

 

Year insured:

 

Prime First
Lien

 

Prime
Closed End
Seconds

 

Prime
HELOC

 

Alt-A First
Lien

 

Alt-A
Option
ARMs

 

Subprime
First Lien

 

Total Net Par
Outstanding

 

Super senior

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

2,660

 

$

2,660

 

AAA

 

13

 

53

 

10

 

2,485

 

5

 

192

 

2,758

 

AA

 

72

 

 

7

 

697

 

 

142

 

918

 

A

 

31

 

3

 

8

 

501

 

200

 

1,267

 

2,010

 

BBB

 

138

 

 

93

 

436

 

86

 

1,269

 

2,022

 

Below investment grade

 

673

 

325

 

1,393

 

1,816

 

1,215

 

909

 

6,331

 

Total exposures

 

$

927

 

$

381

 

$

1,510

 

$

5,935

 

$

1,505

 

$

6,440

 

$

16,698

 

 

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Year Insured and Type of Exposure as of June 30, 2009

 

Year insured:

 

Prime First
Lien

 

Prime
Closed End
Seconds

 

Prime
HELOC

 

Alt-A First
Lien

 

Alt-A
Option
ARMs

 

Subprime
First Lien

 

Total Net Par
Outstanding

 

2004 and prior

 

$

119

 

$

3

 

$

132

 

$

82

 

$

68

 

$

467

 

$

870

 

2005

 

194

 

 

655

 

377

 

49

 

85

 

1,361

 

2006

 

1

 

5

 

120

 

56

 

74

 

4,372

 

4,628

 

2007

 

614

 

373

 

603

 

3,043

 

1,170

 

1,491

 

7,294

 

2008

 

 

 

 

2,376

 

144

 

24

 

2,545

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total exposures

 

$

927

 

$

381

 

$

1,510

 

$

5,935

 

$

1,505

 

$

6,440

 

$

16,698

 

 


(1) Assured’s internal rating.  Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

22



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (2 of 3)

(dollars in millions)

 

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating (1) and Year Insured as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

Super

 

AAA

 

AA

 

A

 

BBB

 

BIG

 

 

 

Year insured:

 

Senior

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Total

 

2004 and prior

 

$

 

$

172

 

$

91

 

$

149

 

$

208

 

$

250

 

$

870

 

2005

 

 

51

 

155

 

102

 

191

 

862

 

1,361

 

2006

 

2,660

 

96

 

135

 

705

 

731

 

302

 

4,628

 

2007

 

 

62

 

537

 

896

 

893

 

4,905

 

7,294

 

2008

 

 

2,376

 

 

157

 

 

12

 

2,545

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

2,660

 

$

2,758

 

$

918

 

$

2,010

 

$

2,022

 

$

6,331

 

$

16,698

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

% of total

 

15.9

%

16.5

%

5.5

%

12.0

%

12.1

%

37.9

%

100.0

%

 

Distribution of U.S. Prime HELOC RMBS by Rating (1) and Year Insured as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

Super

 

AAA

 

AA

 

A

 

BBB

 

BIG

 

 

 

Year insured:

 

Senior

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Total

 

2004 and prior

 

$

 

$

0

 

$

6

 

$

5

 

$

75

 

$

45

 

$

132

 

2005

 

 

 

 

2

 

14

 

639

 

655

 

2006

 

 

 

 

 

3

 

117

 

120

 

2007

 

 

10

 

1

 

0

 

1

 

591

 

603

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

 

$

10

 

$

7

 

$

8

 

$

93

 

$

1,393

 

$

1,510

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

% of total

 

0.0

%

0.6

%

0.5

%

0.5

%

6.1

%

92.2

%

100.0

%

 

Distribution of U.S. Closed End Seconds RMBS by Rating (1) and Year Insured as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

Super

 

AAA

 

AA

 

A

 

BBB

 

BIG

 

 

 

Year insured:

 

Senior

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Total

 

2004 and prior

 

$

 

$

0

 

$

 

$

2

 

$

 

$

 

$

3

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

 

 

 

 

 

5

 

5

 

2007

 

 

53

 

 

1

 

 

320

 

373

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

 

$

53

 

$

 

$

3

 

$

 

$

325

 

$

381

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

% of total

 

0.0

%

13.9

%

0.0

%

0.8

%

0.0

%

85.3

%

100.0

%

 


(1) Assured’s internal rating.  Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

23



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (3 of 3)

(dollars in millions)

 

Distribution of U.S. Alt-A RMBS by Rating (1) and Year Insured as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

Super

 

AAA

 

AA

 

A

 

BBB

 

BIG

 

 

 

Year insured:

 

Senior

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Total

 

2004 and prior

 

$

 

$

12

 

$

7

 

$

41

 

$

22

 

$

 

$

82

 

2005

 

 

46

 

155

 

26

 

39

 

111

 

377

 

2006

 

 

50

 

 

 

 

6

 

56

 

2007

 

 

 

536

 

433

 

375

 

1,699

 

3,043

 

2008

 

 

2,376

 

 

 

 

 

2,376

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

 

$

2,485

 

$

697

 

$

501

 

$

436

 

$

1,816

 

$

5,935

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

% of total

 

0.0

%

41.9

%

11.8

%

8.4

%

7.4

%

30.6

%

100.0

%

 

Distribution of U.S. Alt-A Option ARM RMBS by Rating (1) and Year Insured as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

Super

 

AAA

 

AA

 

A

 

BBB

 

BIG

 

 

 

Year insured:

 

Senior

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Total

 

2004 and prior

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

51

 

$

16

 

$

 

$

68

 

2005

 

 

3

 

 

2

 

1

 

43

 

49

 

2006

 

 

1

 

 

 

4

 

69

 

74

 

2007

 

 

 

 

2

 

65

 

1,104

 

1,170

 

2008

 

 

 

 

144

 

 

 

144

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

 

$

5

 

$

 

$

200

 

$

86

 

$

1,215

 

$

1,505

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

% of total

 

0.0

%

0.3

%

0.0

%

13.3

%

5.7

%

80.7

%

100.0

%

 

Distribution of U.S. Subprime RMBS by Rating (1) and Year Insured as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

Super

 

AAA

 

AA

 

A

 

BBB

 

BIG

 

 

 

Year insured:

 

Senior

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Total

 

2004 and prior

 

$

 

$

147

 

$

6

 

$

18

 

$

91

 

$

205

 

$

467

 

2005

 

 

1

 

 

71

 

2

 

11

 

85

 

2006

 

2,660

 

44

 

135

 

705

 

724

 

104

 

4,372

 

2007

 

 

 

1

 

461

 

452

 

578

 

1,491

 

2008

 

 

 

 

13

 

 

12

 

24

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

2,660

 

$

192

 

$

142

 

$

1,267

 

$

1,269

 

$

909

 

$

6,440

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

% of total

 

41.3

%

3.0

%

2.2

%

19.7

%

19.7

%

14.1

%

100.0

%

 


(1) Assured’s internal rating.  Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

24



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (1 of 4)

(dollars in millions)

 

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS by Rating(1) and Type of Exposure as of June 30, 2009

 

Ratings(1):

 

Prime First
Lien

 

Prime Closed
End Seconds

 

Prime
HELOC

 

Alt-A First
Lien

 

Alt-A Option
ARMs

 

Subprime
First Lien

 

Total Net Par
Outstanding

 

Super senior

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

2,660

 

$

2,660

 

AAA

 

 

51

 

 

2,433

 

 

132

 

2,615

 

AA

 

 

 

 

695

 

 

135

 

830

 

A

 

 

 

 

473

 

196

 

1,230

 

1,900

 

BBB

 

134

 

 

20

 

433

 

81

 

1,240

 

1,909

 

Below investment grade

 

667

 

320

 

1,058

 

1,788

 

1,192

 

816

 

5,841

 

Total exposures

 

$

801

 

$

371

 

$

1,078

 

$

5,823

 

$

1,469

 

$

6,213

 

$

15,755

 

 

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS by Year Insured as of June 30, 2009

 

Year insured:

 

Prime First
Lien

 

Prime Closed
End Seconds

 

Prime
HELOC

 

Alt-A First
Lien

 

Alt-A Option
ARMs

 

Subprime
First Lien

 

Total Net Par
Outstanding

 

2004 and prior

 

$

 

$

 

$

20

 

$

48

 

$

66

 

$

322

 

$

456

 

2005

 

187

 

 

536

 

371

 

39

 

71

 

1,204

 

2006

 

 

 

 

 

53

 

4,348

 

4,401

 

2007

 

614

 

371

 

522

 

3,027

 

1,167

 

1,473

 

7,173

 

2008

 

 

 

 

2,376

 

144

 

 

2,521

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

801

 

$

371

 

$

1,078

 

$

5,823

 

$

1,469

 

$

6,213

 

$

15,755

 

 

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS by Year Issued as of June 30, 2009

 

Year issued:

 

Prime First
Lien

 

Prime Closed
End Seconds

 

Prime
HELOC

 

Alt-A First
Lien

 

Alt-A Option
ARMs

 

Subprime
First Lien

 

Total Net Par
Outstanding

 

2004 and prior

 

$

 

$

 

$

20

 

$

48

 

$

66

 

$

322

 

$

456

 

2005

 

187

 

 

536

 

371

 

39

 

3,519

 

4,652

 

2006

 

 

 

 

345

 

53

 

1,899

 

2,298

 

2007

 

614

 

371

 

522

 

5,058

 

1,311

 

474

 

8,350

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

801

 

$

371

 

$

1,078

 

$

5,823

 

$

1,469

 

$

6,213

 

$

15,755

 

 


(1) Assured’s internal rating.  Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

25



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (2 of 4)

(dollars in millions)

 

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Net Par Outstanding by Rating(1) and Year Issued as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

Super

 

AAA

 

AA

 

A

 

BBB

 

BIG

 

 

 

Year issued:

 

Senior

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Total

 

2004 and prior

 

$

 

$

98

 

$

5

 

$

64

 

$

122

 

$

167

 

$

456

 

2005

 

1,760

 

90

 

290

 

803

 

897

 

813

 

4,652

 

2006

 

900

 

262

 

 

24

 

450

 

662

 

2,298

 

2007

 

 

2,165

 

536

 

1,009

 

440

 

4,199

 

8,350

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

2,660

 

$

2,615

 

$

830

 

$

1,900

 

$

1,909

 

$

5,841

 

$

15,755

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

% of total

 

16.9

%

16.6

%

5.3

%

12.1

%

12.1

%

37.1

%

100.0

%

 

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Net Par Outstanding by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

Super

 

AAA

 

AA

 

A

 

BBB

 

BIG

 

 

 

Year issued:

 

Senior

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Total

 

2004 and prior

 

$

 

$

98

 

$

5

 

$

64

 

$

122

 

$

167

 

$

456

 

2005

 

 

46

 

155

 

98

 

174

 

733

 

1,204

 

2006

 

2,660

 

44

 

135

 

705

 

724

 

133

 

4,401

 

2007

 

 

51

 

536

 

889

 

890

 

4,808

 

7,173

 

2008

 

 

2,376

 

 

144

 

 

 

2,521

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

2,660

 

$

2,615

 

$

830

 

$

1,900

 

$

1,909

 

$

5,841

 

$

15,755

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

% of total

 

16.9

%

16.6

%

5.3

%

12.1

%

12.1

%

37.1

%

100.0

%

 


(1) Assured’s internal rating.  Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

26



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (3 of 4)

(dollars in millions)

 

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities Issued January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of June 30, 2009 (1)

 

U.S. Prime First Lien

 

Year issued:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Pool Factor(2)

 

Subordination (3)

 

Cumulative
Losses (4)

 

60+ Day
Delinquencies (5)

 

Number of
Transactions

 

2005

 

$

187

 

69.2

%

5.4

%

0.2

%

4.7

%

6

 

2006

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

2007

 

614

 

83.2

%

11.1

%

0.7

%

7.1

%

1

 

2008

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

2009

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

 

 

$

801

 

79.9

%

9.8

%

0.6

%

6.5

%

7

 

 

U.S. Prime CES

 

Year issued:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Pool Factor(2)

 

Subordination (3)

 

Cumulative
Losses (4)

 

60+ Day
Delinquencies (5)

 

Number of
Transactions

 

2005

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

2006

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

2007

 

$

371

 

56.2

%

20.6

%

34.7

%

20.0

%

5

 

2008

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

2009

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

 

 

$

371

 

56.2

%

20.6

%

34.7

%

20.0

%

5

 

 

U.S. Prime HELOC

 

Year issued:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Pool Factor(2)

 

Subordination (3)

 

Cumulative
Losses (4)

 

60+ Day
Delinquencies (5)

 

Number of
Transactions

 

2005

 

$

536

 

29.7

%

0.0

%

13.4

%

16.0

%

2

 

2006

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

2007

 

522

 

58.5

%

0.0

%

20.8

%

11.3

%

2

 

2008

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

2009

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

 

 

$

1,058

 

44.0

%

0.0

%

17.1

%

13.7

%

4

 

 

U.S. Alt-A First Lien

 

Year issued:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Pool Factor(2)

 

Subordination (3)

 

Cumulative
Losses (4)

 

60+ Day
Delinquencies (5)

 

Number of
Transactions

 

2005

 

$

371

 

57.9

%

11.8

%

1.1

%

11.8

%

13

 

2006

 

345

 

71.4

%

39.2

%

4.2

%

31.9

%

2

 

2007

 

5,058

 

74.9

%

20.3

%

2.2

%

26.4

%

11

 

2008

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

2009

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

 

 

$

5,775

 

73.6

%

20.9

%

2.3

%

25.8

%

26

 

 


(1) For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of June 2009. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on June 2009 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee (except for CES, Alt-A, and Subprime, which is based on May) and may be subject to restatement or correction.

(2) Pool factor is the percentage of net par outstanding divided by the original net par outstanding of the transactions at inception.

(3) Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

(4) Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

(5) 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

 

27



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (4 of 4)

(dollars in millions)

 

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities Issued January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of June 30, 2009 (1)

 

U.S. Alt-A Option ARMs

 

Year issued:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Pool Factor(2)

 

Subordination (3)

 

Cumulative
Losses (4)

 

60+ Day
Delinquencies (5)

 

Number of
Transactions

 

2005

 

$

39

 

31.2

%

27.3

%

1.4

%

22.6

%

1

 

2006

 

53

 

53.6

%

18.7

%

1.6

%

29.3

%

1

 

2007

 

1,311

 

78.0

%

20.5

%

2.1

%

28.1

%

7

 

2008

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

2009

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

 

 

$

1,403

 

75.8

%

20.6

%

2.0

%

28.0

%

9

 

 

U.S. Subprime First Lien

 

Year issued:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Pool Factor(2)

 

Subordination (3)

 

Cumulative
Losses (4)

 

60+ Day
Delinquencies (5)

 

Number of
Transactions

 

2005

 

$

3,519

 

30.2

%

63.8

%

8.0

%

42.4

%

42

 

2006

 

1,899

 

44.3

%

40.7

%

10.3

%

44.2

%

49

 

2007

 

474

 

46.2

%

39.3

%

11.0

%

47.1

%

2

 

2008

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

2009

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

 

 

$

5,892

 

36.0

%

54.4

%

9.0

%

43.4

%

93

 

 

U.S. CMBS

 

Year issued:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Pool Factor(2)

 

Subordination (3)

 

Cumulative
Losses (4)

 

60+ Day
Delinquencies (5)

 

Number of
Transactions

 

2005

 

$

3,429

 

95.9

%

29.0

%

0.0

%

0.5

%

158

 

2006

 

1,418

 

98.0

%

30.7

%

0.0

%

0.7

%

57

 

2007

 

512

 

87.7

%

21.2

%

0.0

%

2.8

%

13

 

2008

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

2009

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

 

 

$

5,359

 

95.7

%

28.7

%

0.0

%

0.8

%

228

 

 


(1) For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of June 2009. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on June 2009 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee (except for CES, Alt-A, and Subprime, which is based on May) and may be subject to restatement or correction.

(2) Pool factor is the percentage of net par outstanding divided by the original net par outstanding of the transactions at inception.

(3) Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

(4) Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

(5) 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

 

28



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Consumer Receivables Profile

(dollars in millions)

 

Distribution of Consolidated Consumer Receivables by Year Issued as of June 30, 2009

 

Year issued:

 

Credit Cards

 

Student
Loans

 

Auto

 

Total Net Par
Outstanding

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004 and prior

 

$

48

 

$

34

 

$

9

 

$

90

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

1,074

 

195

 

122

 

1,391

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

 

816

 

291

 

1,107

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

0

 

1,200

 

696

 

1,896

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

 

 

145

 

145

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

210

 

 

210

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

 1,122

 

$

2,455

 

$

1,263

 

$

4,839

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Consumer Receivables Net Par Outstanding by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

Super

 

AAA

 

AA

 

A

 

BBB

 

BIG

 

 

 

Year insured:

 

Senior

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Total

 

2004 and prior

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

7

 

 

7

 

2006

 

 

419

 

 

 

 

 

419

 

2007

 

 

842

 

 

 

117

 

 

959

 

2008

 

1,000

 

 

 

172

 

 

 

1,172

 

2009

 

 

 

 

210

 

 

 

210

 

 

 

$

1,000

 

$

1,261

 

$

 

$

382

 

$

125

 

$

 

$

2,767

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

% of total

 

36.1

%

45.6

%

0.0

%

13.8

%

4.5

%

0.0

%

100.0

%

 

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Consumer Receivables Net Par Outstanding by Rating(1) and Year Issued as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

Super

 

AAA

 

AA

 

A

 

BBB

 

BIG

 

 

 

Year issued:

 

Senior

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Total

 

2004 and prior

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

2005

 

1,000

 

 

 

 

7

 

 

1,007

 

2006

 

 

419

 

 

 

 

 

419

 

2007

 

 

842

 

 

172

 

117

 

 

1,131

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

210

 

 

 

210

 

 

 

$

1,000

 

$

1,261

 

$

 

$

382

 

$

125

 

$

 

$

2,767

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

% of total

 

36.1

%

45.6

%

0.0

%

13.8

%

4.5

%

0.0

%

100.0

%

 

Distribution of Consumer Receivables by Asset Class as of June 30, 2009

 

Asset class:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

% of Total

 

Average
Rating (1)

 

Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement (2)

 

Avg. Current Enhancement (2)

 

 

 

 

 

Student loans

 

$

1,471

 

53.1

%

AAA

 

7.2

%

7.2

%

 

 

 

 

Credit cards

 

1,000

 

36.1

%

AAA

 

57.5

%

57.5

%

 

 

 

 

Auto

 

297

 

10.7

%

A-

 

11.2

%

29.6

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

2,767

 

100.0

%

AA+

 

25.8

%

27.8

%

 

 

 

 

 


(1) Assured’s internal rating. Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

(2) “Average Credit Enhancement” is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured’s exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.

 

29



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Financial Guaranty Direct Credit Derivative Exposure Profile

(dollars in millions)

 

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct Credit Derivative Exposure by Rating

 

 

 

June 30, 2009

 

December 31, 2008

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

Ratings (1):

 

Outstanding

 

% of Total

 

Outstanding

 

% of Total

 

Super senior

 

$

26,734

 

38.1

%

$

31,129

 

43.3

%

AAA

 

26,413

 

37.6

%

29,574

 

41.1

%

AA

 

2,839

 

4.0

%

4,032

 

5.6

%

A

 

5,478

 

7.8

%

3,565

 

5.0

%

BBB

 

4,348

 

6.2

%

1,734

 

2.4

%

Below investment grade

 

4,437

 

6.3

%

1,931

 

2.7

%

Total exposures

 

$

70,249

 

100.0

%

$

71,964

 

100.0

%

 

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct Credit Derivative Exposure by Sector and Average Rating

 

 

 

June 30, 2009

 

December 31, 2008

 

Sector:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Average
Rating (1)

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Average
Rating (1)

 

U.S. public finance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

General obligation

 

$

415

 

AA+

 

$

417

 

AAA

 

Healthcare

 

100

 

A

 

100

 

A

 

Tax backed

 

69

 

BBB+

 

69

 

BBB+

 

Investor-owned utilities

 

39

 

AAA

 

39

 

AAA

 

Municipal utilities

 

25

 

AAA

 

25

 

AAA

 

Total U.S. public finance

 

$

647

 

AA

 

$

650

 

AA

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. structured finance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pooled corporate obligations

 

$

28,183

 

AA+

 

$

29,349

 

AAA

 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

 

12,173

 

A-

 

12,768

 

AA-

 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

 

5,325

 

AAA

 

5,355

 

AAA

 

Commercial receivables

 

1,504

 

AA-

 

1,540

 

AA

 

Consumer receivables

 

545

 

AAA

 

545

 

AAA

 

Structured credit

 

342

 

A+

 

351

 

A+

 

Insurance securitizations

 

100

 

BBB

 

100

 

AA

 

Other structured finance

 

49

 

BBB+

 

49

 

AA-

 

Total U.S. structured finance

 

$

48,221

 

AA

 

$

50,056

 

AA+

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

 

$

6,573

 

AAA

 

$

7,488

 

AAA

 

Pooled corporate obligations

 

7,419

 

AA+

 

6,905

 

AAA

 

Infrastructure and pooled infrastructure

 

5,350

 

AA+

 

4,933

 

AA+

 

Regulated utilities

 

665

 

A+

 

577

 

AA

 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

 

468

 

AAA

 

446

 

AAA

 

Future flow

 

189

 

BBB

 

224

 

BBB+

 

Insurance securitizations

 

41

 

D

 

41

 

B

 

Public finance

 

7

 

AAA

 

8

 

AAA

 

Other international structured finance

 

670

 

AAA

 

636

 

AAA

 

Total international

 

$

21,381

 

AA+

 

$

21,258

 

AAA

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total exposure

 

$

70,249

 

AA

 

$

71,964

 

AA+

 

 


(1) Assured’s internal rating. Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

 

30



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Unrealized Gains (Losses) on Credit Default Swaps (“CDS”)

 

Unrealized Gains (Losses) on CDS as of June 30, 2009

 

Asset Type:

 

Net Par
Outstanding
(in billions)

 

Wtd. Avg.
Credit
Rating

 

2Q-09
Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
(in millions)

 

YTD 2Q-09
Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
(in millions)

 

Financial Guaranty Direct

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pooled corporates(1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

High yield corporates

 

$

22.7

 

AAA

 

$

1.6

 

$

(75.8

)

Trust preferred

 

6.0

 

A-

 

(75.7

)

(0.4

)

Market value CDOs of corporates

 

3.8

 

AAA

 

(0.3

)

(7.3

)

Investment grade corporates

 

2.3

 

AAA

 

1.3

 

2.9

 

Commercial real estate

 

0.8

 

AAA

 

0.1

 

(2.1

)

CDO of CDOs (corporate)

 

0.1

 

AAA

 

0.6

 

(0.3

)

Total pooled corporate obligations

 

35.6

 

AA+

 

(72.4

)

(82.9

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. RMBS(2):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Prime first lien

 

7.2

 

AA+

 

10.0

 

(38.7

)

Alt-A first lien

 

6.0

 

BBB+

 

(201.8

)

(245.9

)

Subprime lien

 

5.5

 

A+

 

0.7

 

3.7

 

Other U.S. RMBS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total U.S. RMBS

 

18.7

 

A+

 

(191.0

)

(280.8

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities(3)

 

5.8

 

AAA

 

1.0

 

(30.2

)

Other(4)

 

10.1

 

AA-

 

12.4

 

154.8

 

Total Financial Guaranty Direct

 

70.2

 

AA

 

(250.0

)

(239.1

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Financial Guaranty Reinsurance

 

3.2

 

AA

 

(4.3

)

11.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Financial Guaranty Direct and Financial Guaranty Reinsurance

 

$

73.5

 

AA

 

$

(254.3

)

$

(227.3

)

 


(1) Corporate collateralized loan obligations, market value CDOs, and trust preferred securities include all U.S. structured finance pooled corporate obligations and international pooled corporate obligations.

(2) Residential mortgage-backed securities is comprised of prime and subprime U.S. mortgage-backed and home equity securities and residential international mortgage-backed and home equity securities.

(3) Commercial mortgage-backed securities is comprised of commercial U.S. structured finance and commercial international mortgage backed securities.

(4) Other includes all other U.S. and international asset classes, such as commercial receivables and international infrastructure and pooled infrastructure securities.

 

31



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 2)

As of June 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss and Loss

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Adjustment Expense

 

 

 

Wtd. Avg.

 

Net Par

 

Average

 

Reserves as of

 

Below Investment Grade Exposures by Asset Type:

 

Remaining Life

 

Outstanding

 

Rating (1)

 

June 30, 2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. public finance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Municipal utilities

 

24.3

 

$

465

 

D

 

$

7.0

 

General obligation

 

15.3

 

373

 

BB

 

0.0

 

Healthcare

 

13.4

 

171

 

BB-

 

16.4

 

Tax backed

 

23.5

 

133

 

BB

 

0.0

 

Transportation

 

15.2

 

22

 

D

 

2.8

 

Investor-owned utilities

 

8.7

 

2

 

BB

 

0.0

 

Housing

 

12.3

 

2

 

B-

 

0.3

 

Higher education

 

12.2

 

1

 

BB+

 

 

Other public finance

 

29.8

 

285

 

CCC-

 

2.3

 

Total U.S. public finance

 

21.5

 

$

1,454

 

CCC+

 

$

28.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. structured finance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

 

6.6

 

$

6,331

 

CCC+

 

$

200.3

 

Pooled corporate obligations

 

20.4

 

1,031

 

BB

 

1.7

 

Commercial receivables

 

4.5

 

105

 

BB+

 

0.0

 

Structured credit

 

2.0

 

63

 

BB

 

 

Consumer receivables

 

3.9

 

43

 

BB

 

0.2

 

Other structured finance

 

9.0

 

32

 

CCC-

 

7.7

 

Total U.S. structured finance

 

8.4

 

$

7,605

 

B-

 

$

209.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Insurance securitizations

 

11.8

 

$

923

 

D

 

$

30.9

 

Infrastructure and pooled infrastructure

 

7.0

 

64

 

CCC+

 

8.3

 

Future flow

 

2.7

 

18

 

BB

 

 

Commercial receivables

 

1.5

 

1

 

B

 

 

Total international

 

11.3

 

$

1,006

 

D

 

$

39.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total below investment grade exposures

 

10.6

 

$

10,066

 

CCC+

 

$

277.9

 

 


(1) Assured’s internal rating.  Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

 

32



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 2)

As of June 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

 

Below Investment Grade Exposures Greater Than $50 Million as of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

Wtd. Avg.

 

Net Par

 

Internal

 

Current Credit

 

Name or Description

 

Remaining Life

 

Outstanding

 

Rating (1)

 

Enhancement

 

Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2

 

8.1

 

$

967

 

CCC

 

9.3

%

MortgageIt Securities Corp. Mortgage Loan 2007-2

 

4.8

 

614

 

B

 

11.1

%

Ballantyne Re PLC Class A-2 Floating Rate Notes

 

12.8

 

500

 

D

 

NM

 

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-D

 

6.6

 

498

 

D

 

0.0

%

Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-3

 

4.5

 

491

 

B

 

15.5

%

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2005-J Class A1 & A2

 

5.7

 

461

 

D

 

0.0

%

CWALT Alternative Loan Trust 2007-HY9

 

9.9

 

456

 

BB

 

8.5

%

Jefferson County Alabama Sewer

 

24.7

 

455

 

D

 

n/a

 

Orkney Re II, PLC Floating Rate Notes

 

9.6

 

423

 

D

 

NM

 

Detroit Michigan General Obligation

 

16.5

 

311

 

BB

 

n/a

 

Taberna Preferred Funding III, Ltd.

 

26.3

 

288

 

BB+

 

36.3

%

Alesco Preferred Funding XVI, Ltd.

 

24.6

 

261

 

BB+

 

13.9

%

Taberna Preferred Funding II, Ltd.

 

26.6

 

245

 

B

 

36.2

%

Attentus CDO II Limited Class A-1

 

13.7

 

196

 

BB

 

32.5

%

CWALT Alternative Loan Trust 2007-OA10

 

3.4

 

179

 

B

 

10.8

%

Guaranteed student loan transaction

 

32.5

 

152

 

C

 

n/a

 

Lehman Excess Trust 2007-16N

 

4.8

 

137

 

BB

 

12.2

%

ACE Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-SL3

 

2.6

 

128

 

B

 

32.4

%

Taylor Bean & Whitaker 2007-2

 

4.7

 

113

 

BB

 

7.8

%

Guaranteed student loan transaction

 

37.6

 

95

 

B

 

n/a

 

Argent Securities Inc. 2003-W6

 

4.3

 

92

 

B

 

10.6

%

ACE Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-SL2

 

3.5

 

89

 

D

 

0.0

%

Orlando Tourist Development Tax Revenue Bonds

 

30.0

 

86

 

BB

 

n/a

 

Morgan Stanley Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-5AR

 

5.9

 

83

 

CCC

 

6.2

%

St. Barnabas Health Care System - New Jersey

 

12.8

 

81

 

BB

 

n/a

 

MASTR Asset Backed Securities Trust 2005-NC2 A4

 

5.5

 

80

 

BB

 

32.6

%

SACO I Trust 2005-GP1

 

2.3

 

75

 

D

 

0.0

%

Customer Asset Protection Company (CAPCO), Excess SIPC

 

2.0

 

63

 

BB

 

n/a

 

CSAB Mortgage-Backed Trust 2007-1

 

6.3

 

63

 

B

 

5.5

%

Bear Stearns ABS I Trust 2005-AC6

 

4.4

 

59

 

BB

 

9.6

%

American Home Mtg Assets Trust 2007-3

 

3.2

 

57

 

D

 

0.0

%

Avis Budget Rental Car Funding (Aesop) LLC 2007-2

 

5.0

 

55

 

BB+

 

41.8

%

Chevy Chase Funding LLC Series 2006-2 Class A-2

 

4.3

 

53

 

CCC

 

18.7

%

CWALT Alternative Loan Trust Ser 2005-55CB

 

8.2

 

53

 

BB

 

9.7

%

Rental Car Finance Corp 2007-1

 

4.0

 

50

 

BB

 

31.7

%

Total

 

11.4

 

$

8,009

 

CCC+

 

 

 

 


(1) Assured’s internal rating.  Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

33



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Largest Exposures by Sector (1 of 4)

As of June 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

 

50 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

 

 

Credit Name:

 

Outstanding

 

Rating(1)

 

 

 

State of California General Obligation & Leases

 

$

2,070

 

A+

 

 

 

New York City General Obligation & Leases

 

1,442

 

A+

 

 

 

Miami-Dade County Florida Aviation Authority

 

1,265

 

A

 

 

 

Commonwealth of Puerto Rico General Obligation & Leases

 

1,255

 

BBB-

 

 

 

State of New Jersey General Obligation & Leases

 

1,148

 

AA-

 

 

 

Commonwealth of Massachusetts General Obligation & Bay Transportation

 

1,090

 

A

 

 

 

Pennsylvania State Turnpike Commission

 

1,063

 

A+

 

 

 

Long Island Power Authority

 

998

 

A-

 

 

 

State of New York General Obligation & Leases

 

973

 

A+

 

 

 

City of Chicago General Obligation & Leases

 

963

 

AA-

 

 

 

Metropolitan Transportation Authority (New York) - Transportation Revenue

 

958

 

A

 

 

 

Port Authority of New York & New Jersey

 

935

 

AA-

 

 

 

North Texas Toll Road Authority

 

911

 

A+

 

 

 

Los Angeles Unified School District

 

907

 

AA

 

 

 

Miami-Dade County School Board

 

879

 

A

 

 

 

Puerto Rico Highway & Transportation Authority

 

847

 

BBB

 

 

 

State of Washington General Obligation

 

836

 

AA

 

 

 

Denver International Airport System

 

794

 

A+

 

 

 

San Francisco Airport Commission

 

790

 

A

 

 

 

Chicago Public Building Commission - Chicago Board of Education

 

755

 

A

 

 

 

District of Columbia General Obligation

 

747

 

A

 

 

 

Michigan State General Obligation

 

690

 

AA+

 

 

 

Florida State General Obligation

 

672

 

AAA

 

 

 

Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority

 

614

 

BBB+

 

 

 

Hawaii State General Obligation

 

607

 

AA

 

 

 

Houston Texas Combined Utility System

 

591

 

A+

 

 

 

Florida State Department of Environmental Protect

 

479

 

A+

 

 

 

Massachusetts School Building Authority

 

477

 

AA

 

 

 

New York City Municipal Water Finance Authority

 

466

 

AA+

 

 

 

Jefferson County, Alabama Sewer Enterprise

 

455

 

D

 

 

 

Philadelphia Pennsylvania GO & Municipal Authority

 

451

 

BBB

 

 

 

Kentucky State Property & Buildings Commission

 

447

 

A+

 

 

 

Clark County Nevada School District

 

447

 

AA

 

 

 

Piedmont South Carolina Municipal Power Agency

 

426

 

BBB

 

 

 

University of California Board of Regents

 

424

 

AA-

 

 

 

Dormitory Authority of the State of New York (DASNY) - School District Revenue

 

422

 

A

 

 

 

Yankee Stadium LLC (NYC IDA)

 

419

 

BBB-

 

 

 

Los Angeles California Department of Water & Power

 

418

 

AA-

 

 

 

Chicago-O’Hare International Airport

 

412

 

A

 

 

 

Metropolitan Washington DC Airports Authority

 

410

 

AA-

 

 

 

State of Illinois General Obligation & Leases

 

410

 

AA

 

 

 

State of Wisconsin General Obligation & Leases

 

406

 

AA-

 

 

 

Methodist Health System

 

403

 

A

 

 

 

Massachusetts Educational Finance Authority

 

400

 

AA

 

 

 

Puerto Rico Aqueduct & Sewer Authority

 

384

 

BBB-

 

 

 

Philadelphia Pennsylvania School District

 

380

 

A

 

 

 

Louisiana Citizens Property Insurance Corporation

 

378

 

A-

 

 

 

New York State Thruway Authority - Trust Fund

 

377

 

AA-

 

 

 

Florida State Board of Education - Lottery

 

369

 

AA-

 

 

 

American Municipal Power Ohio, Inc.

 

358

 

A

 

 

 

Total top 50 U.S. public finance exposures

 

$

34,818

 

 

 

 

 

 

10 Largest Healthcare Exposures

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

 

 

Credit Name:

 

Outstanding

 

Rating(1)

 

State

 

Methodist Health System

 

$

403

 

A

 

TN

 

Iowa Health System

 

342

 

AA-

 

IA

 

Christus Health System

 

329

 

A+

 

TX

 

Virtua Health, Inc.

 

300

 

A

 

NJ

 

Essentia Health

 

260

 

A-

 

MN

 

Integris Health, Inc.

 

255

 

AA

 

OK

 

Meridian Health System Obligated Group

 

237

 

A-

 

NJ

 

Centracare Health System

 

220

 

A

 

MN

 

Fairview Hospital & Healthcare Services

 

218

 

A

 

MN

 

Catholic Healthcare West

 

207

 

A

 

CA

 

Total top 10 healthcare exposures

 

$

2,770

 

 

 

 

 

 


(1) Assured’s internal rating.  Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

34



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Largest Exposures by Sector (2 of 4)

As of June 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

 

50 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

Credit

 

Credit Name:

 

Outstanding

 

Rating(1)

 

Enhancement

 

Ares Enhanced Credit Opportunities Fund

 

$

1,166

 

AAA

 

35.9

%

Discover Card Master Trust I Series A

 

1,000

 

AAA / Super senior

 

57.5

%

Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2

 

967

 

CCC

 

9.3

%

Fortress Credit Investments I & II

 

928

 

AAA

 

32.4

%

Field Point III & IV, Limited

 

905

 

AA-

 

11.6

%

Anchorage Crossover Credit Finance Ltd

 

880

 

AAA

 

22.9

%

Goldentree Credit Opportunities Financing I

 

837

 

AAA

 

38.9

%

280 Funding I - Class A-1 & A-2

 

660

 

AAA

 

38.8

%

Sandelman Finance 2006-1 Limited

 

623

 

AA

 

32.1

%

Private RMBS Re-Remic

 

620

 

AAA

 

26.2

%

MortgageIt Securities Corp. Mortgage Loan 2007-2

 

614

 

B

 

11.1

%

Prospect Funding I LLC

 

602

 

AAA

 

36.2

%

Private Structured Credit

 

600

 

BBB+

 

Private

 

Applebee’s Enterprises LLC

 

586

 

BBB-

 

33.9

%

Private RMBS Re-Remic

 

574

 

AAA

 

27.7

%

Private RMBS Re-Remic

 

564

 

AAA

 

26.9

%

Liberty CLO Ltd

 

541

 

AAA / Super senior

 

33.2

%

Private RMBS Re-Remic

 

536

 

AA

 

27.8

%

Park Avenue Receivables Company LLC

 

502

 

AAA

 

2.5

%

CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-D

 

498

 

D

 

0.0

%

LIICA Holdings, LLC

 

495

 

AA

 

26.3

%

Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-3

 

491

 

B

 

15.5

%

Shenandoah Trust Capital I Term Securities

 

484

 

A+

 

22.7

%

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2005-J Class 1 & 2

 

461

 

D

 

0.0

%

Field Point I & II, Limited

 

459

 

AA-

 

27.4

%

CWALT Alternative Loan Trust 2007-HY9

 

456

 

BB

 

8.5

%

KKR Financial CLO 2007-1

 

451

 

AAA

 

39.4

%

SLM Private Credit Student Loan Trust 2007

 

450

 

AAA

 

11.1

%

Jupiter Securitization Company

 

437

 

AAA

 

2.5

%

Private RMBS Re-Remic

 

433

 

A

 

23.6

%

Aaa Trust 2007-2

 

430

 

A

 

41.8

%

Dow Jones CDX.NA.IG.4 Single Tranche Transaction

 

425

 

AAA / Super senior

 

29.7

%

Dow Jones CDX.IG.04 7-Year Index (I)

 

425

 

AAA / Super senior

 

29.7

%

Dow Jones CDX.IG.04 7-Year Index (II)

 

425

 

AAA / Super senior

 

29.7

%

SLM Student Loan Trust 2007

 

392

 

AAA

 

3.2

%

Wasatch CLO Ltd.

 

387

 

AAA

 

16.1

%

Southfork CLO Ltd. Series 2005-A1 Class A1G

 

376

 

AAA / Super senior

 

24.7

%

Impac CMB Trust Series 2007-A

 

375

 

BBB

 

8.3

%

Newstar Credit Opportunities Funding II

 

374

 

AA

 

20.3

%

Cent CDO XI Limited

 

373

 

AAA

 

20.2

%

Private RMBS Re-Remic

 

357

 

AAA

 

36.9

%

SLM Private Credit Student Loan Trust 2006

 

356

 

AAA

 

11.0

%

Alesco Preferred Funding XIV

 

328

 

A+

 

33.4

%

ACS 2007-1 Pass Through Trust G-1

 

327

 

A

 

38.9

%

Dow Jones CDX.IG.08 5 Year

 

326

 

AAA / Super senior

 

30.3

%

Mountain View CLO II

 

322

 

AAA

 

21.5

%

Comstock Funding Ltd

 

316

 

AAA

 

20.6

%

HSAM Long/Short 2007-2

 

312

 

AAA / Super senior

 

24.3

%

Blue Mountain CLO Ltd. 2005-1 Class A1-F

 

303

 

AAA / Super senior

 

32.6

%

Taberna Preferred Funding VIII

 

301

 

AA

 

47.5

%

Total top 50 U.S. structured finance exposures

 

$

26,049

 

 

 

 

 

 


(1) Assured’s internal rating.  Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

35



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Largest Exposures by Sector (3 of 4)

As of June 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

 

25 Largest International Exposures

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

Credit Name:

 

Outstanding

 

Rating(1)

 

Permanent Master Issuer PLC

 

$

1,322

 

AAA

 

Arkle Master Issuer PLC

 

1,310

 

AAA

 

Prime European RMBS

 

1,308

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Gracechurch Mortgage Financing PLC

 

1,302

 

AAA

 

Essential Public Infrastructure Capital II

 

944

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Essential Public Infrastructure Capital III

 

931

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Granite Master Issuer PLC

 

859

 

AAA

 

International Infrastructure Pool

 

705

 

AAA / Super senior

 

International Infrastructure Pool

 

705

 

AAA / Super senior

 

International Infrastructure Pool

 

705

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Paragon Mortgages (No.13) PLC

 

670

 

AAA

 

Synthetic CDO - IG ABS

 

670

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Taberna Europe CDO II PLC

 

592

 

A+

 

Stichting Profile Securitisation I

 

563

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Global Senior Loan Index Fund 1 B.V.

 

546

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Ballantyne Re PLC Class A-2 Floating Rate Notes

 

500

 

D

 

United Utilities Water PLC

 

488

 

A

 

Harvest CLO III

 

486

 

AAA

 

Nemus Funding No.1 PLC

 

468

 

AAA / Super senior

 

RMF Euro CDO V PLC

 

461

 

AAA

 

Taberna Europe CDO I PLC

 

454

 

A-

 

Orkney Re II PLC

 

423

 

D

 

Southern Gas Networks PLC

 

418

 

BBB

 

Highlander Euro CDO

 

387

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Windmill CLO I PLC

 

372

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Total top 25 international exposures

 

$

17,592

 

 

 

 


(1) Assured’s internal rating.  Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

36



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Largest Exposures by Sector (4 of 4)

As of June 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

 

10 Largest Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures

 

 

 

Net Par

 

Servicer:

 

Outstanding

 

Countrywide Home Loans, Inc.

 

$

3,841

 

Wells Fargo Home Mortgage, Inc.

 

2,686

 

Residential Funding Corporation

 

2,082

 

Halifax PLC

 

1,327

 

Cheltenham & Gloucester PLC

 

1,310

 

European Mortgage Servicer (Private Transaction)

 

1,308

 

Barclays Bank PLC

 

1,302

 

EMC Mortgage Corp

 

1,067

 

Northern Rock PLC

 

859

 

AMC Mortgage Services

 

707

 

Total top 10 residential mortgage servicers exposures

 

$

16,490

 

 

37



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Below Investment Grade and Closely Monitored Credits (“CMC”)

(dollars in millions)

 

Net Par Outstanding by Below Investment Grade Category (1)

 

 

 

June 30, 2009

 

Description:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

% of Total

 

Number of
Credits in
Category

 

Category 1

 

$

1,209

 

12.0

%

44

 

Category 2

 

3,155

 

31.3

%

282

 

Category 3

 

5,701

 

56.6

%

432

 

BIG Total

 

$

10,066

 

100.0

%

758

 

 


(1)  Effective January 1, 2009 Assured adopted FAS 163. Assured’s surveillance department is responsible for monitoring our portfolio of credits and maintains a list of below investment grade (“BIG”) credits. The BIG credits are divided into three categories:. The closely monitored credits are divided into four categories: Category 1 (below investment grade credit with no expected losses); Category 2 (below investment grade credit with a loss reserve established prior to an event of default); Category 3 (below investment grade credit with a loss reserve established and where an event of default has occurred or is imminent).

 

Net Par Outstanding by Credit Monitoring Category (“CMC”) (1)

 

 

 

December 31, 2008

 

Description:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

% of Total

 

Number of
Credits in
Category

 

Fundamentally sound risk

 

$

215,987

 

97.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CMC:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Category 1

 

2,967

 

1.3

%

51

 

Category 2

 

767

 

0.3

%

21

 

Category 3

 

2,889

 

1.3

%

54

 

Category 4

 

20

 

 

14

 

CMC Total

 

6,643

 

3.0

%

140

 

Other below investment grade risk

 

92

 

 

89

 

Total

 

$

222,722

 

100.0

%

 

 

 


(1)  Assured’s surveillance department is responsible for monitoring the Company’s portfolio of credits and maintains a list of closely monitored credits. The closely monitored credits are divided into four categories: Category 1 (low priority; fundamentally sound, greater than normal risk); Category 2 (medium priority; weakening credit profile, may result in loss); Category 3 (high priority; claim/default probable, case reserve established); Category 4 (claim paid, case reserve established for future payments). The closely monitored credits include all below investment grade (BIG) exposures where there is a material amount of exposure (generally greater than $10.0 million) or a material risk of the Company incurring a loss greater than $0.5 million. The closely monitored credits also include investment grade (IG) risks where credit quality is deteriorating and where, in the view of the Company, there is significant potential that the risk quality will fall below investment grade.

 

38



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense (“LAE”) Reserves by Segment/Type

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

As of June 30, 2009

 

 

 

Financial

 

Financial

 

 

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Guaranty

 

Guaranty

 

Mortgage

 

Financial

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Direct

 

Reinsurance

 

Guaranty

 

Guaranty

 

Other

 

Total

 

Financial guaranty insurance reserves by segment and type (1):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Case

 

$

112.1

 

$

83.1

 

$

0.1

 

$

195.3

 

$

1.1

 

$

196.4

 

Incurred but not reported (“IBNR”) and portfolio

 

 

 

2.0

 

2.0

 

1.9

 

3.9

 

Total financial guaranty insurance loss and LAE reserves

 

$

112.1

 

$

83.1

 

$

2.1

 

$

197.3

 

$

3.0

 

$

200.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Credit derivative reserves by segment and type:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Case

 

$

77.7

 

$

5.0

 

$

 

$

82.7

 

$

 

$

82.7

 

Total credit derivative reserves

 

$

77.7

 

$

5.0

 

$

 

$

82.7

 

$

 

$

82.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total loss and LAE reserves

 

$

189.8

 

$

88.1

 

$

2.1

 

$

280.0

 

$

3.0

 

$

283.0

 

 


(1)  The Company adopted FAS 163 effective January 1, 2009.

 

 

 

As of December 31, 2008

 

 

 

Financial

 

Financial

 

 

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Guaranty

 

Guaranty

 

Mortgage

 

Financial

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Direct

 

Reinsurance

 

Guaranty

 

Guaranty

 

Other

 

Total

 

Financial guaranty insurance reserves by segment and type:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Case

 

$

64.2

 

$

55.7

 

$

0.1

 

$

120.0

 

$

1.5

 

$

121.5

 

IBNR

 

 

 

 

 

3.0

 

3.0

 

Portfolio reserves associated with fundamentally sound credits

 

11.8

 

35.5

 

2.5

 

49.8

 

 

49.8

 

Portfolio reserves on closely monitored credits (“CMC”) list

 

15.8

 

6.7

 

 

22.5

 

 

22.5

 

Total financial guaranty insurance loss and LAE reserves

 

$

91.8

 

$

97.9

 

$

2.6

 

$

192.3

 

$

4.5

 

$

196.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Credit derivative reserves by segment and type:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Case

 

$

7.2

 

$

5.5

 

$

 

$

12.7

 

$

 

$

12.7

 

Plus: Credit derivative portfolio reserves associated with fundamentally sound credits

 

15.7

 

 

 

15.7

 

 

15.7

 

Plus: Credit derivative portfolio reserves on CMC list

 

23.4

 

 

 

23.4

 

 

23.4

 

Total credit derivative reserves

 

$

46.3

 

$

5.5

 

$

 

$

51.8

 

$

 

$

51.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total loss and LAE reserves

 

$

138.1

 

$

103.4

 

$

2.6

 

$

244.1

 

$

4.5

 

$

248.6

 

 

39



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses

As of June 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

Loss and Loss

 

 

 

Net Par

 

2Q-09

 

YTD 2Q-09

 

Adjustment

 

 

 

Outstanding

 

Incurred Losses(2), (4)

 

Incurred Losses(2), (4)

 

Expense Reserves(3), (4)

 

Financial Guaranty Direct: (1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Prime first lien

 

$

801

 

$

0.1

 

$

(0.6

)

$

 

Prime closed end seconds

 

371

 

25.2

 

34.0

 

37.0

 

Prime HELOC

 

1,078

 

5.6

 

5.5

 

8.6

 

Alt-A first lien

 

5,823

 

26.4

 

22.2

 

43.4

 

Alt-A option ARMs

 

1,469

 

17.4

 

28.1

 

45.6

 

Subprime first lien

 

6,213

 

4.9

 

12.8

 

23.7

 

Total U.S. RMBS

 

15,755

 

79.6

 

101.9

 

158.3

 

Other structured finance

 

65,506

 

(12.8

)

(22.0

)

30.8

 

Public finance

 

64,825

 

 

(0.1

)

0.7

 

Total Financial Guaranty Direct

 

$

146,087

 

$

66.8

 

$

79.9

 

$

189.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial Guaranty Reinsurance: (1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Prime first lien

 

$

126

 

$

(0.1

)

$

0.4

 

$

0.5

 

Prime closed end seconds

 

10

 

(0.6

)

1.4

 

2.4

 

Prime HELOC

 

433

 

16.2

 

34.9

 

23.3

 

Alt-A first lien

 

112

 

0.7

 

0.9

 

3.5

 

Alt-A option ARMs

 

36

 

 

(0.1

)

 

Subprime first lien

 

226

 

1.8

 

2.6

 

12.2

 

Total U.S. RMBS

 

943

 

18.0

 

40.1

 

41.9

 

Other structured finance

 

10,221

 

1.1

 

0.9

 

16.5

 

Public finance

 

89,548

 

6.7

 

21.3

 

29.7

 

Total Financial Guaranty Reinsurance

 

$

100,712

 

$

25.8

 

$

62.3

 

$

88.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Financial Guaranty Direct and Reinsurance: (1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Prime first lien

 

$

927

 

$

 

$

(0.2

)

$

0.5

 

Prime closed end seconds

 

381

 

24.6

 

35.4

 

39.4

 

Prime HELOC

 

1,510

 

21.8

 

40.5

 

31.9

 

Alt-A first lien

 

5,935

 

27.1

 

23.0

 

46.9

 

Alt-A option ARMs

 

1,505

 

17.4

 

28.0

 

45.6

 

Subprime first lien

 

6,440

 

6.7

 

15.4

 

35.9

 

Total U.S. RMBS

 

16,698

 

97.6

 

142.0

 

200.2

 

Other structured finance

 

75,727

 

(11.7

)

(21.1

)

47.3

 

Public finance

 

154,374

 

6.7

 

21.2

 

30.4

 

Total Financial Guaranty Direct and Reinsurance

 

$

246,799

 

$

92.6

 

$

142.2

 

$

277.9

 

 


(1)  Includes financial guaranty (FG) and insured derivatives in the insured portfolio.

(2)  Includes loss and loss adjustment expenses (recoveries) and incurred losses on credit derivatives, for the financial guaranty direct and reinsurance segments only.

(3)  Includes loss and loss adjustment expense reserves for financial guaranty and credit derivatives, for the financial guaranty direct and reinsurance segments only.

(4)  The Company adopted FAS 163 effective January 1, 2009.

 

40



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Summary Financial and Statistical Data

(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

 

 

 

 

 

Year Ended December 31,

 

 

 

YTD 2009

 

2008

 

2007

 

2006

 

GAAP Summary Income Statement Data

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net earned premiums (1)

 

$

227.1

 

$

261.4

 

$

159.3

 

$

144.8

 

Realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives

 

57.4

 

117.6

 

74.0

 

73.9

 

Net investment income

 

86.9

 

162.6

 

128.1

 

111.5

 

Total expenses (1)

 

254.8

 

440.9

 

161.4

 

150.4

 

(Loss) income before provision for income taxes

 

(181.2

)

112.3

 

(463.0

)

190.0

 

Net (loss) income

 

(84.5

)

68.9

 

(303.3

)

159.7

 

Operating income (b)

 

90.8

 

74.5

 

178.0

 

157.2

 

Net (loss) income per diluted share (2)

 

$

(0.91

)

$

0.77

 

$

(4.38

)

$

2.13

 

Operating income per diluted share (2)

 

$

0.98

 

$

0.84

 

$

2.57

 

$

2.12

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial Ratios:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio (e)

 

54.1

%

81.4

%

3.4

%

(3.3

)%

Expense ratio (e)

 

32.6

%

38.7

%

55.8

%

59.2

%

Combined ratio (e)

 

86.7

%

120.1

%

59.2

%

55.9

%

GAAP Summary Balance Sheet Data (End of Period)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total investments and cash

 

$

4,592.7

 

$

3,643.6

 

$

3,147.9

 

$

2,469.9

 

Total assets

 

6,495.7

 

4,555.7

 

3,762.9

 

2,931.6

 

Unearned premium reserves (1)

 

2,222.7

 

1,233.7

 

887.2

 

631.0

 

Loss and LAE reserves (1)

 

200.3

 

196.8

 

125.6

 

115.9

 

Long-term debt

 

517.0

 

347.2

 

347.1

 

347.1

 

Shareholders’ equity

 

2,354.9

 

1,926.2

 

1,666.6

 

1,650.8

 

Book value per share

 

$

17.52

 

$

21.18

 

$

20.85

 

$

24.44

 

Other Financial Information:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net debt service outstanding (end of period)

 

$

372,489

 

$

348,816

 

$

302,413

 

$

180,174

 

Gross debt service outstanding (end of period)

 

377,592

 

354,858

 

307,657

 

181,503

 

Net par outstanding (end of period)

 

246,799

 

222,722

 

200,279

 

132,296

 

Gross par outstanding (end of period)

 

250,994

 

227,164

 

204,809

 

133,303

 

Consolidated qualified statutory capital

 

2,195

 

2,310

 

2,079

 

1,658

 

Consolidated policyholders’ surplus and reserves

 

3,876

 

3,652

 

3,040

 

2,374

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ratios:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Par insured to statutory capital

 

112:1

 

96:1

 

96:1

 

80:1

 

Capital ratio (3)

 

170:1

 

151:1

 

145:1

 

109:1

 

Financial resources ratio (4)

 

70:1

 

70:1

 

68:1

 

53:1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross debt service written:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. public finance

 

$

54,902

 

$

68,265

 

$

66,190

 

$

13,261

 

U.S. structured finance

 

613

 

13,972

 

42,414

 

28,902

 

International

 

889

 

8,840

 

24,971

 

17,979

 

Total gross debt service written

 

$

56,403

 

$

91,078

 

$

133,575

 

$

60,142

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net debt service written

 

56,403

 

89,871

 

129,872

 

59,775

 

Net par written

 

32,837

 

55,418

 

84,686

 

50,541

 

Gross par written

 

32,837

 

56,140

 

88,117

 

50,892

 

 


(1)  The Company adopted FAS 163 effective January 1, 2009.

(2)  Effective January 1, 2009, the Company adopted FSP EITF 03-6-1, “Determining Whether Instruments Granted in Share-Based Payment Transactions Are Participating Securities” (“FSP”), which clarifies that share-based payment awards that entitle their holders to receive nonforfeitable dividends or dividend equivalents before vesting should be considered participating securities and shall be included in the calculation of basic and diluted net income (loss) per share. Upon retrospective adoption of the FSP, Assured increased previously reported diluted net income (loss) per share by $0.08 for 2007 and decreased previously reported diluted net income (loss) per share by $0.02 for 2006. There was no impact on previously reported diluted net income (loss) per share for 2008. Operating income, a non-GAAP financial measure, for all periods is positive, therefore the per diluted share calculation ignores the effect of the FSP and includes the effect of dilutive securities.

(3)  The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.

(4)  The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims paying resources.

 

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [operating income (b) and loss and loss adjustment expense ratio, expense ratio and combined ratio (e)].

 

41



 

Glossary

 

Below are the brief descriptions of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s 10-K report.

 

Other public finance: primarily includes government insured student loans, government-sponsored project finance and structured municipal which includes excess of loss reinsurance on portfolios of municipal credits.

 

Pooled corporate obligations are structured financings backed by a pool of debt obligations. These financings are typically structured in multiple tranches (layers) from equity (first loss) through super senior (high excess). Losses on defaulted pool assets are allocated successively first to the equity tranche then to higher rated tranches.

 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity: includes individual and repackaged securities backed by either prime, Alt-A, or subprime first and second lien mortgages. Alt-A Option ARMs:  includes transactions where 66% or more of the collateral is comprised of mortgage loans that have the potential to negatively amortize. Alt-A First Lien:  includes all transactions, other than Alt-A Option ARM transactions, where more than 50% of the collateral is comprised of mortgage loans that were originated with less than full documentation.

 

Consumer receivables: principally includes auto loan receivables and credit card receivables.

 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities: includes individual and repackaged securities backed by commercial mortgage-backed securities.

 

Commercial receivables: includes equipment loans or leases, fleet auto financings and franchise loans.

 

Structured credit: includes whole business securitizations and intellectual property securitizations. Whole business securitizations are obligations backed by revenue-producing assets sold to a limited-purpose company by an operating company, including franchise agreements, lease agreements, intellectual property and real property.

 

Other structured finance: includes, manufactured housing, collateralized debt obligations of asset-backed securities and other securitizations not included in other asset classes.

 

42



 

Endnotes related to non-GAAP financial measures discussed in the financial supplement:

 

Endnotes related to non-GAAP financial measures discussed in the financial supplement:

 

(a) Present value of financial guaranty and credit derivative gross written premiums, or PVP, which is a non-GAAP financial measure, is defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums, on insurance and credit derivative contracts written in the current period, discounted at 6% per year. Management believes that PVP is a useful measure for management, investors and analysts because it permits the evaluation of the value of new business production for Assured by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period, whether in insurance or credit derivative contract form, which GAAP gross premiums written and the net credit derivative premiums received and receivable portion of net realized gains and other settlement on credit derivatives (“credit derivative revenues”) does not adequately measure. Management discounts estimated future installment premiums on insurance contracts for PVP at 6% per year, while under FAS 163 these amounts are discounted at a risk free rate.  Additionally, under FAS 163 management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the contract whereas for PVP management only records its estimate of the future installment premiums that it expects to receive based on the contractual terms of the transaction.  Actual future net earned or written premiums and credit derivative revenues may differ from PVP due to factors such as prepayments, amortizations, refundings, contract terminations or defaults that may or may not be influenced by market interest rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, policy changes or terminations, credit defaults, or other factors that management cannot control or predict. This measure should not be viewed as a substitute for gross written premiums determined in accordance with GAAP.

 

(b) Operating income, which is a non-GAAP financial measure, is defined as net income (loss) excluding i) after-tax realized gains (losses) on investments and ii) after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives and the fair value adjustment of the Company’s committed capital securities, other than the Company’s net estimate of after-tax incurred case and portfolio loss and loss adjusted expense reserves for credit derivatives. Operating return on equity (ROE) represents operating income as a percentage of average shareholders’ equity, excluding accumulated other comprehensive income and after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives. Management believes that operating income and operating ROE are useful measures for management, investors and analysts because the presentation of operating income and operating ROE enhance the understanding of Assured’s results of operations by highlighting the underlying profitability of Assured’s business. Realized gains (losses) on investments and unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives and the fair value adjustment of the Company’s committed capital securities, other than the portion attributable to the Company’s net estimate of incurred case and portfolio loss and loss adjustment expense reserves for credit derivatives, are excluded because the amount of both of these gains (losses) is heavily influenced by, and fluctuates, in part, according to changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other factors that management cannot control or predict. These measures should not be viewed as substitutes for net income (loss) or ROE determined in accordance with GAAP.

 

(c) Adjusted book value, which is a non-GAAP financial measure, is defined, subsequent to the adoption of FAS 163 in the first quarter of 2009, as shareholders’ equity (book value) plus the after-tax value of the unearned premium reserve, which includes estimated future installment premiums in force, discounted at the risk free rate, net of prepaid reinsurance premiums, the after-tax value of unearned premium on credit derivatives net of prepaid reinsurance premiums and the after-tax net present value of estimated future installment premiums on credit derivatives in force, less future ceding commissions, discounted at 6%, less after-tax deferred acquisition costs.

 

Adjusted book value, prior to the adoption of FAS 163, was defined as shareholders’ equity (book value) plus the after-tax value of the unearned premium reserve net of prepaid reinsurance premiums, the after-tax value of unearned premium on credit derivatives net of prepaid reinsurance premiums and the after-tax net present value of estimated future installment premiums in force, less future ceding commissions, discounted at 6%, less after-tax deferred acquisition costs.

 

Management believes that adjusted book value is a useful measure for management, equity analysts and investors because the calculation of adjusted book value permits an evaluation of the net present value of the Company’s in force premiums and shareholders’ equity. The premiums described above will be earned in future periods, but may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current adjusted book value due to changes in market interest rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, policy changes or terminations, credit defaults and other factors that management cannot control or predict. This measure should not be viewed as a substitute for book value determined in accordance with GAAP.

 

(d) Net present value of estimated future installment premiums in force, which is a non-GAAP financial measure, is defined as the present value of estimated future installment premiums from our credit derivative in-force books of business, net of reinsurance and discounted at 6%. Management believes that net present value of estimated future installment premiums in force is a useful measure for management, investors and analysts because it permits an evaluation of the value of future estimated credit derivative installment premiums. Estimated future premiums may change from period to period due to changes in par outstanding, maturity, or other factors that management cannot control or predict that result from market interest rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, policy changes or terminations, credit defaults, or other factors. There is no comparable GAAP financial measure.

 

(e) Loss ratio, which is a non-GAAP financial measure, is defined as loss and loss adjustment expenses (recoveries) plus the Company’s net estimate of credit derivative incurred case and portfolio loss and loss adjustment expense reserves, which is included in unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, plus net credit derivative losses (recoveries), which is included in realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives, divided by net earned premiums plus net credit derivative premiums earned, which is included in realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives. Expense ratio is calculated by dividing the sum of ceding commissions expense (income), profit commission expense, acquisition costs and operating expenses by net earned premiums plus net credit derivative premiums earned, which is included in realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives. Combined ratio, which is a non-GAAP financial measure, is the sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio. Management believes that loss, expense and combined ratios are useful measures for management, investors and analysts to measure the Company’s underwriting performance. There are no comparable GAAP financial measures.

 

For adjusted book value, net present value of estimated future installment premiums in force, and PVP, Assured uses 6% as the present value discount rate because it is the approximate taxable equivalent yield on Assured’s investment portfolio for the periods presented.

 

43



 

GRAPHIC

 

 

 

Contacts:

 

 

 

 

 

Equity Investors:

 

 

Sabra Purtill

 

 

Managing Director, Investor Relations

 

 

(212) 408-6044

 

 

spurtill@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

 

 

 

Ross Aron

 

 

Associate, Investor Relations

 

 

(212) 261-5509

 

 

raron@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

 

Fixed Income Investors:

30 Woodbourne Avenue

 

Robert Tucker

Hamilton HM 08

 

Manging Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations

Bermuda

 

(212) 339-0861

(441) 299-9375

 

rtucker@assuredguaranty.com

www.assuredguaranty.com

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Michael Walker

 

 

Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations

 

 

(212) 261-5575

 

 

mwalker@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

 

 

 

Media:

 

 

Betsy Castenir

 

 

Managing Director, Corporate Communications

 

 

(212) 339-3424

 

 

bcastenir@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

 

 

 

Ashweeta Durani

 

 

Vice President, Communications

 

 

(212) 408-6042

 

 

adurani@assuredguaranty.com