EX-99.2 3 a07-20865_2ex99d2.htm EX-99.2

Exhibit 99.2

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Supplemental Information Regarding Residential Mortgage

Backed Securities (RMBS), Subprime RMBS, and

Collateralized Debt Obligations of Asset Backed Securities

(CDOs of ABS) Exposures as of June 30, 2007

Table of Contents

 

Page

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

 

 

RMBS and Subprime RMBS Profile

 

1-2

Financial Guaranty Direct US Subprime RMBS Deals Originated Since January 1, 2004

 

3-5

CDO of ABS Profile

 

6

 

This disclosure should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. (the “Company”) with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our 10-Q’s dated March 31, 2006, June 30, 2006, September 30, 2006 and March 31, 2007 and our 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2006.

Some amounts in this disclosure may not add due to rounding.

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:

Any forward-looking statements made in this disclosure reflect the Company’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. For example, the Company’s forward looking statements, including its statements regarding exposure to residential mortgage backed securities and CDOs of ABS, could be affected by rating agency action such as a ratings downgrade, difficulties with the execution of the Company’s business strategy, contract cancellations, a significant reduction in the amount of reinsurance ceded by one or more of our principal ceding companies, developments or volatility in the world’s financial and capital markets, more severe or frequent losses associated with products affecting the adequacy of the Company’s loss reserve, changes in regulation or tax laws, governmental actions, natural catastrophes, the Company’s dependence on customers, decreased demand or increased competition, loss of key personnel, technological developments, the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures, changes in accounting policies or practices, changes in general economic conditions, other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time, management’s response to these factors, and other risk factors identified in the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, which speak only as of the dates on which they are made. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.




Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Residential Mortgage Backed Securities (RMBS) Profile (Part 1 of 2)

As of June 30, 2007

(dollars in millions)

Distribution by Ratings(1) of RMBS by Category as of June 30, 2007

 

 

June 30, 2007

 

 

 

US

 

International

 

Total Net Par

 

 

 

Ratings (1)

 

Prime

 

Subprime

 

Prime

 

Subprime

 

Outstanding

 

% of Total

 

AAA/Aaa

 

$

1,484

 

$

6,332

 

$

4,093

 

$

28

 

$

11,937

 

66.6

%

AA/Aa

 

233

 

19

 

172

 

27

 

451

 

2.5

%

A/A

 

1,271

 

33

 

192

 

 

1,496

 

8.3

%

BBB/Baa

 

3,590

 

263

 

97

 

 

3,951

 

22.0

%

Below investment grade

 

 

100

 

 

 

100

 

0.6

%

Total exposures

 

$

6,578

 

$

6,746

 

$

4,554

 

$

55

 

$

17,933

 

100.0

%

 

Distribution of RMBS by Category and By Year Insured as of June 30, 2007

 

 

US

 

International

 

Total Net Par

 

 

 

 

 

Prime

 

Subprime(2)

 

Prime

 

Subprime

 

Outstanding

 

% of Total

 

2000 and prior

 

$

106

 

$

59

 

$

67

 

$

 

$

232

 

1.3

%

2001

 

17

 

19

 

208

 

 

244

 

1.4

%

2002

 

52

 

20

 

286

 

 

359

 

2.0

%

2003

 

120

 

376

 

104

 

48

 

648

 

3.6

%

2004

 

711

 

458

(2)

63

 

6

 

1,238

 

6.9

%

2005

 

1,989

 

109

(2)

1,264

 

1

 

3,363

 

18.8

%

2006

 

1,384

 

4,623

(2)

2,561

 

 

8,568

 

47.8

%

2007 year to date

 

2,200

 

1,081

(2)

 

 

3,281

 

18.3

%

 

 

$

6,578

 

$

6,746

 

$

4,554

 

$

55

 

$

17,933

 

100.0

%

 

Distribution of U.S. Subprime RMBS by Rating(1) and by Financial Guaranty Segment as of June 30, 2007

 

 

Direct

 

 

 

Reinsurance

 

 

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

Net Par

 

% of Direct

 

Net Par

 

% of Reins.

 

Net Par

 

 

 

Ratings (1)

 

Outstanding

 

Segment

 

Outstanding

 

Segment

 

Outstanding

 

% of Total

 

AAA/Aaa

 

$

6,112

 

95.3

%

$

220

 

66.4

%

$

6,332

 

93.9

%

AA/Aa

 

 

 

19

 

5.6

%

19

 

0.3

%

A/A

 

8

 

0.1

%

25

 

7.5

%

33

 

0.5

%

BBB/Baa

 

237

 

3.7

%

26

 

7.9

%

263

 

3.9

%

Below investment grade

 

58

 

0.9

%

42

 

12.7

%

100

 

1.5

%

 

 

$

6,414

 

100.0

%

$

332

 

100.0

%

$

6,746

 

100.0

%

 


(1). Assured Guaranty internal rating. Our scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.

(2). 100% of the $6.0 billion in U.S. subprime RMBS exposure insured by Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s Financial Guaranty Direct segment in 2004, 2005, 2006, and YTD 2007 is rated AAA/Aaa.

1




Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Residential Mortgage Backed Securities (RMBS) Profile (Part 2 of 2)

As of June 30, 2007

(dollars in millions)

 

Distribution of U.S. Subprime RMBS by Rating and Year Insured as of June 30, 2007

 

Consolidated Assured Guaranty Ltd.

 

Consolidated Net Par Outstanding by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of June 30, 2007

 

Year

 

Super

 

AAA

 

AA

 

A

 

BBB

 

BIG

 

 

 

Insured

 

Senior

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Total

 

2000 and prior

 

$

 

$

2

 

$

1

 

$

7

 

$

14

 

$

35

 

$

59

 

2001

 

 

1

 

0

 

0

 

2

 

16

 

19

 

2002

 

 

8

 

 

0

 

9

 

3

 

20

 

2003

 

 

84

 

 

10

 

237

 

45

 

376

 

2004

 

 

455

 

1

 

3

 

 

 

458

 

2005

 

 

109

 

0

 

0

 

0

 

 

109

 

2006

 

3,000

 

1,620

 

 

1

 

1

 

 

4,623

 

2007 YTD

 

 

1,052

 

17

 

12

 

0

 

 

1,081

 

 

 

$

3,000

 

$

3,332

 

$

19

 

$

33

 

$

263

 

$

100

 

$

6,746

 

% of total

 

44.5

%

49.4

%

0.3

%

0.5

%

3.9

%

1.5

%

100.0

%

 

Financial Guaranty Direct

 

Financial Guaranty Direct Net Par Outstanding by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of June 30, 2007

 

Year

 

Super

 

AAA

 

AA

 

A

 

BBB

 

BIG

 

 

 

Insured

 

Senior

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Total

 

2000 and prior

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

2001

 

 

 

 

 

 

9

 

9

 

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

3

 

3

 

2003

 

 

79

 

 

8

 

237

 

45

 

369

 

2004

 

 

300

 

 

 

 

 

300

 

2005

 

 

88

 

 

 

 

 

88

 

2006

 

3,000

 

1,600

 

 

 

 

 

4,600

 

2007 YTD

 

 

1,044

 

 

 

 

 

1,044

 

 

 

$

3,000

 

$

3,111

 

$

 

$

8

 

$

237

 

$

58

 

$

6,414

 

% of total

 

46.8

%

48.5

%

0.0

%

0.1

%

3.7

%

0.9

%

100.0

%

 

Financial Guaranty Reinsurance

 

Financial Guaranty Reinsurance Net Par Outstanding by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of June 30, 2007

 

Year

 

Super

 

AAA

 

AA

 

A

 

BBB

 

BIG

 

 

 

Insured

 

Senior

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Total

 

2000 and prior

 

$

 

$

2

 

$

1

 

$

7

 

$

14

 

$

35

 

$

59

 

2001

 

 

1

 

0

 

0

 

2

 

7

 

10

 

2002

 

 

8

 

 

0

 

9

 

 

17

 

2003

 

 

5

 

 

2

 

 

0

 

7

 

2004

 

 

155

 

1

 

3

 

 

 

158

 

2005

 

 

21

 

0

 

0

 

0

 

 

21

 

2006

 

 

20

 

 

1

 

1

 

 

22

 

2007 YTD

 

 

8

 

17

 

12

 

0

 

 

37

 

 

 

$

 

$

220

 

$

19

 

$

25

 

$

26

 

$

42

 

$

332

 

% of total

 

0.0

%

66.4

%

5.6

%

7.5

%

7.9

%

12.7

%

100.0

%

 


(1) Assured Guaranty internal rating. Our scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.

2




Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Financial Guaranty Direct Segment

Subprime RMBS Deals Originated Since January 1, 2004 (Part 1 of 3)

(dollars in millions)

Financial Guaranty Direct Segment Originated U.S. Subprime RMBS Net Par Outstanding by Year Insured from January 1, 2004 to June 30, 2007:

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ratings as of June 30, 2007

 

Subordination (1)

 

 

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Original Sub-

 

Current Sub-

 

 

 

 

 

Outstanding,

 

 

 

 

 

Original AAA

 

ordination

 

ordination

 

 

 

 

 

as of June 30,

 

 

 

Sub-

 

Below

 

Below

 

Year Insured

 

Year Issued

 

2007

 

S&P

 

Moody’s

 

ordination

 

Assured

 

Assured

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

2004

 

$

139.4

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

21.5

%

21.5

%

74.6

%

2004

 

2004

 

115.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

17.1

%

17.1

%

70.3

%

2004

 

2004

 

45.8

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

23.3

%

23.3

%

88.3

%

2004 par insured:

 

 

 

$

300.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

2005

 

88.1

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

23.0

%

23.0

%

43.3

%

2005 par insured:

 

 

 

$

88.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

2005

 

$

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

24.2

%

34.2

%

46.9

%

2006

 

2005

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

19.0

%

29.0

%

41.8

%

2006

 

2005

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

20.1

%

30.1

%

44.8

%

2006

 

2005

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

25.5

%

35.5

%

51.0

%

2006

 

2005

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

20.7

%

30.7

%

46.8

%

2006

 

2005

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

22.1

%

32.1

%

39.9

%

2006

 

2005

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

24.6

%

34.6

%

56.9

%

2006

 

2005

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

26.5

%

36.5

%

50.4

%

2006

 

2005

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

21.2

%

31.2

%

43.9

%

2006

 

2005

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

21.9

%

31.9

%

67.0

%

2006

 

2005

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

22.6

%

32.6

%

58.4

%

2006

 

2005

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

20.1

%

30.1

%

39.0

%

2006

 

2005

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

21.8

%

31.8

%

57.0

%

2006

 

2005

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

21.7

%

31.7

%

49.3

%

2006

 

2005

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

22.9

%

32.9

%

50.8

%

2006

 

2005

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

23.6

%

33.6

%

45.6

%

2006

 

2005

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

20.6

%

30.6

%

41.3

%

2006

 

2005

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

23.6

%

33.6

%

48.9

%

2006

 

2005

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

25.7

%

35.7

%

50.8

%

2006

 

2005

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

18.2

%

28.2

%

45.7

%

2006

 

2005

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

17.6

%

27.6

%

39.2

%

2006

 

2006

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

22.5

%

32.5

%

46.6

%

2006

 

2006

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

21.4

%

31.4

%

38.8

%

2006

 

2006

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

26.0

%

36.0

%

47.0

%

2006

 

2006

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

20.6

%

30.6

%

37.6

%

2006

 

2006

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

22.6

%

32.6

%

37.4

%

2006

 

2006

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

21.7

%

31.7

%

40.7

%

2006

 

2006

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

21.0

%

31.0

%

42.0

%

2006

 

2006

 

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

25.7

%

35.7

%

45.1

%

 


(1) Subordination refers to the level of credit protection provided by subordinate tranches within the deal structure. Total credit enhancement includes both subordination and the benefit from excess spread.

3




Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Financial Guaranty Direct Segment

Subprime RMBS Deals Originated Since January 1, 2004 (Part 2 of 3)

As of June 30, 2007

(dollars in millions)

Financial Guaranty Direct Segment Originated U.S. Subprime RMBS Net Par Outstanding by Year Insured from January 1, 2004 to June 30, 2007 (continued):

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ratings as of June 30, 2007

 

 

 

Subordination (1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Original Sub-

 

Current Sub-

 

 

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

Original AAA

 

ordination

 

ordination

 

Year Insured

 

Year Issued

 

Outstanding

 

S&P

 

Moody’s

 

Sub-ordination

 

Below Assured

 

Below Assured

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

2006

 

$

100.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

16.4

%

26.4

%

34.5

%

2006

 

2005

 

80.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

24.2

%

24.2

%

36.9

%

2006

 

2005

 

80.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

19.0

%

19.0

%

31.8

%

2006

 

2005

 

80.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

20.1

%

20.1

%

34.8

%

2006

 

2005

 

80.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

25.5

%

25.5

%

41.0

%

2006

 

2005

 

80.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

20.7

%

20.7

%

36.8

%

2006

 

2005

 

80.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

22.1

%

22.1

%

29.9

%

2006

 

2005

 

80.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

24.6

%

24.6

%

46.9

%

2006

 

2005

 

80.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

21.2

%

21.2

%

33.9

%

2006

 

2005

 

80.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

21.9

%

21.9

%

57.0

%

2006

 

2005

 

80.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

22.6

%

22.6

%

48.4

%

2006

 

2005

 

80.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

20.1

%

20.1

%

29.0

%

2006

 

2005

 

80.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

21.8

%

21.8

%

47.0

%

2006

 

2005

 

80.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

21.7

%

21.7

%

39.3

%

2006

 

2005

 

80.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

22.9

%

22.9

%

40.8

%

2006

 

2005

 

80.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

23.6

%

23.6

%

35.6

%

2006

 

2005

 

80.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

20.6

%

20.6

%

31.3

%

2006

 

2005

 

80.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

23.6

%

23.6

%

38.9

%

2006

 

2005

 

80.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

25.7

%

25.7

%

40.8

%

2006

 

2005

 

80.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

18.2

%

18.2

%

35.7

%

2006

 

2005

 

80.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

17.6

%

17.6

%

29.2

%

2006 par insured:

 

 

 

$

4,600.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

2005

 

$

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

18.7

%

18.7

%

21.3

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

21.5

%

21.5

%

32.5

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

18.6

%

18.6

%

21.1

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

22.7

%

22.7

%

33.9

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

21.2

%

21.2

%

25.6

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

23.9

%

23.9

%

26.1

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

25.3

%

25.3

%

38.0

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

23.5

%

23.5

%

33.5

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

26.0

%

26.0

%

30.3

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

21.5

%

21.5

%

27.1

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

21.7

%

21.7

%

25.2

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

20.2

%

20.2

%

23.1

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

19.8

%

19.8

%

24.4

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

19.7

%

19.7

%

28.0

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

20.2

%

20.2

%

23.2

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

19.2

%

19.2

%

21.4

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

20.2

%

20.2

%

27.3

%

 


(1) Subordination refers to the level of credit protection provided by subordinate tranches within the deal structure. Total credit enhancement includes both subordination and the benefit from excess spread.

4




 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Financial Guaranty Direct Segment
Subprime RMBS Deals Originated Since January 1, 2004 (Part 3 of 3)
As of June 30, 2007

(dollars in millions)

Financial Guaranty Direct Segment Originated U.S. Subprime RMBS Net Par Outstanding by Year Insured from January 1, 2004 to June 30, 2007 (continued):

 

 

 

 

 

Ratings as of June 30, 2007

 

Subordination (1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current Sub-

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Original

 

Original Sub-

 

ordination

 

 

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

 

 

AAA Sub-

 

ordination

 

Below

 

Year Insured

 

Year Issued

 

Outstanding

 

     S&P     

 

     Moody’s     

 

ordination

 

Below Assured

 

Assured

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

2006

 

$

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

21.8

%

21.8

%

27.1

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

24.9

%

24.9

%

33.5

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

23.4

%

23.4

%

28.5

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

17.6

%

17.6

%

19.5

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

25.2

%

25.2

%

39.9

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

20.7

%

20.7

%

30.1

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

21.4

%

21.4

%

25.6

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

23.2

%

23.2

%

25.6

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

21.0

%

21.0

%

31.8

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

26.0

%

26.0

%

37.0

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

22.1

%

22.1

%

25.4

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

20.5

%

20.5

%

27.5

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

21.7

%

21.7

%

24.8

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

18.7

%

18.7

%

22.6

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

19.5

%

19.5

%

28.6

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

22.3

%

22.3

%

31.6

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

21.6

%

21.6

%

23.7

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

22.0

%

22.0

%

27.4

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

17.4

%

17.4

%

29.5

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

22.5

%

22.5

%

26.4

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

22.1

%

22.1

%

30.0

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

17.4

%

17.4

%

23.0

%

2007

 

2006

 

25.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

22.1

%

22.1

%

30.2

%

2007

 

2007

 

44.0

 

AAA

 

Aaa

 

20.3

%

20.3

%

22.8

% (3)

YTD 2007 par insured:

 

 

 

$

1,044.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

 

 

$

6,032.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Subprime RMBS Net Par Outstanding Underwritten Since January 1, 2004 by Rating(2) and Year of Issue as of June 30, 2007

Vintage

 

Super

 

AAA

 

AA

 

A

 

BBB

 

BIG

 

 

 

Year

 

Senior

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

$

 

$

300.3

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

300.3

 

2005

 

2,100.2

 

1,713.1

 

 

 

 

 

3,813.3

 

2006

 

900.1

 

950.0

 

 

 

 

 

1,850.1

 

2007

 

 

69.0

 

 

 

 

 

69.0

 

 

 

$

3,000.2

 

$

3,032.4

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

6,032.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

% of total

 

49.7

%

50.3

%

0.0

%

0.0

%

0.0

%

0.0

%

100.0

%

 


(1) Subordination refers to the level of credit protection provided by subordinate tranches within the deal structure.  Total credit enhancement includes both subordination and the benefit from excess spread.

(2) Assured Guaranty internal rating. Our scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.

(3) This transaction is a secondary market execution on a deal that is wrapped by another AAA-rated financial guarantor.  The underlying security is also rated AAA/Aaa.

5




Assured Guaranty Ltd.

CDOs of ABS Exposure
Financial Guaranty Direct Segment

(dollars in millions)

Financial Guaranty Direct CDOs of ABS(1) Net Par Outstanding By Type of CDO, by Year Insured and by Collateral:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ratings as of June

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Type of Collateral as a Percent of Total Pool

 

30, 2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CDOs of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Legal

 

 

 

 

 

RMBS

 

 

 

Investment

 

 

 

Total

 

U.S.

 

 

 

 

 

Original

 

Original Sub-

 

Current Sub-

 

Year

 

Final

 

Net Par

 

 

 

(Includes

 

Comm. MBS

 

Grade

 

CDOs of

 

Collateral

 

Subprime

 

 

 

 

 

AAA Sub-

 

ordination

 

ordination

 

Insured

 

Maturity(2)

 

Outstanding

 

ABS

 

Subprime)

 

(CMBS)

 

Corporate

 

ABS

 

Pool

 

RMBS

 

S&P

 

Moody’s

 

ordination

 

Below Assured

 

Below Assured

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CDOs of Mezzanine ABS(3):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2001

 

2017

 

$

120.6

 

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

25.1

%

25.1

%

29.4

%

2001

 

2016

 

64.1

 

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

28.1

%

28.1

%

37.8

%

2002

 

2017

 

159.8

 

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

24.6

%

24.6

%

29.0

%

2002

 

2017

 

133.4

 

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

22.1

%

22.1

%

24.4

%

2002

 

2017

 

111.0

 

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

35.0

%

35.0

%

42.1

%

2002

 

2017

 

81.3

 

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

24.0

%

24.0

%

29.4

%

2003

 

2018

 

142.8

 

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

20.0

%

20.0

%

23.6

%

2003

 

2038

 

84.6

 

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

23.0

%

38.0

%

46.2

%

2003

 

2018

 

52.8

 

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

63.0

%

63.0

%

66.0

%

2004

 

No CDO of ABS business written

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

No CDO of ABS business written

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

No CDO of ABS business written

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007 YTD

 

No CDO of ABS business written

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Subtotal:

 

$

950.4

 

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

27.0

%

28.4

%

33.3

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CDOs of High Grade ABS(4):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

2008

 

280.8

 

0

%

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

7.0

%

45.0

%

45.0

%

2004

 

No CDO of ABS business written

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

No CDO of ABS business written

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

No CDO of ABS business written

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007 YTD

 

No CDO of ABS business written

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Subtotal:

 

$

280.8

 

0

%

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

7.0

%

45.0

%

45.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CDOs of Pooled AAA ABS(5):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

2010

 

640.1

 

35

%

34

%

26

%

5

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

0.0

%

12.5

%

12.5

%

2003

 

2008

 

594.0

 

37

%

57

%

6

%

0

%

0

%

100

%

32

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

0.0

%

10.0

%

10.0

%

2004

 

No CDO of ABS business written

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

No CDO of ABS business written

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

No CDO of ABS business written

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007 YTD

 

No CDO of ABS business written

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Subtotal:

 

$

1,234.1

 

36

%

45

%

16

%

3

%

0

%

100

%

15

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

0.0

%

11.3

%

11.3

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total:

 

 

 

$

2,465.2

 

18

%

23

%

47

%

13

%

0

%

100

%

8

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

11.2

%

21.7

%

23.6

%

 


(1) A CDO of ABS is a collateralized debt obligation (CDO) transaction whose collateral pool consists primarily of asset backed securities (ABS), including mortgage backed securities (MBS).  ABS transactions securities generally represent an ownership interest in a trust that contains collateral supporting the notes.  Those interests are divided into several tranches that can have varying levels of subordination, credit protection triggers and credit ratings.

(2) “Legal Final Maturity” represents the final date for payment specified in the transaction documents and does not take into account prepayments that shorten the expected maturity and weighted average life.

(3) “CDOs of Mezzanine ABS” is a market term that refers to transactions where the underlying collateral at issuance is comprised of mezzanine tranches rated BBB or lower.  The collateral underlying Assured’s exposure to CDOs of mezzanine ABS had weighted average ratings, based on rating information as of June 30, 2007, as follows: 17% AAA, 6% AA, 13% A, 46% BBB and 18% below investment grade (BIG).

(4) “CDOs of High Grade ABS” is a market term that refers to transactions where the underlying collateral at issuance is comprised of mezzanine tranches rated single A or higher.  The collateral underlying Assured’s exposure to CDOs of High Grade ABS had weighted average ratings, based on rating information, as of June 30, 2007 as follows: 31% AAA, 25% AA, 23% A, 21% BBB and 0% below investment grade (BIG).

 

(5) “CDOs of Pooled AAA ABS” is a market term that refers to transactions where the underlying collateral at issuance is comprised of the senior-most AAA rated securities.  Assured’s exposure to CDOs of Pooled AAA was rated, based on rating information as of June 30, 2007: 100% AAA/Aaa.

6